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# **Apple Stock Price Prediction Based on 40 Years Data** | ||
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This is a Dataset for Stock Prediction on Apple Inc. This dataset start from 1980 to 2021. It was collected from Yahoo Finance. Here's a breakdown of the dataset columns: | ||
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- **Date:** The date of the stock price record, providing a chronological timeline for the dataset. | ||
- **Open:** The opening price, representing the initial trading price of Apple Inc.'s stock on a given day. | ||
- **High:** The highest stock price during a specific period, providing insights into peak price levels. | ||
- **Low:** The lowest stock price observed during a defined period, indicating potential fluctuations in value. | ||
- **Close:** The closing price, representing the last recorded price at the end of a regular trading session. | ||
- **Adj Close (Adjusted Close):** Adjusts the closing price for corporate actions, offering a more accurate representation of the stock's true value. | ||
- **Volume:** Measures the number of shares traded, providing insights into interest and activity in Apple Inc.'s stock. | ||
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The dataset spans several decades, making it a valuable resource for various analytical purposes, including trend identification, volatility evaluation, and predictive modeling like the ongoing LSTM-based stock price prediction exploration. | ||
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### Dataset Link : https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/meetnagadia/apple-stock-price-from-19802021 |
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Apple Stock Price Prediction/Models/apple-stock-predictions-lstm-conv1d.ipynb
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Apple Stock Price Prediction/Models/apple-stock-predictions-lstm.ipynb
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Apple Stock Price Prediction/Models/apple-stock-predictions-using-prophet-model.ipynb
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# **Apple Historic Stock Price Analysis** | ||
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### 🎯 Goal | ||
To analyze and predict the future stock prices of Apple using various machine learning and deep learning models. | ||
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### Purpose | ||
The purpose of this project is to develop and compare the performance of different models, including LSTM, LSTM+CONV1D, and the Prophet Model, in predicting the stock prices of Apple. This can help investors make informed decisions by providing insights into future stock price movements. | ||
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### 🧵 Dataset | ||
The dataset used in this project is: https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/meetnagadia/apple-stock-price-from-19802021/data | ||
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### 🧾 Description | ||
This is a Dataset for Stock Prediction on Apple Inc. This dataset start from 1980 to 2021. It was collected from Yahoo Finance. Here's a breakdown of the dataset columns: | ||
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- **Date:** The date of the stock price record, providing a chronological timeline for the dataset. | ||
- **Open:** The opening price, representing the initial trading price of Apple Inc.'s stock on a given day. | ||
- **High:** The highest stock price during a specific period, providing insights into peak price levels. | ||
- **Low:** The lowest stock price observed during a defined period, indicating potential fluctuations in value. | ||
- **Close:** The closing price, representing the last recorded price at the end of a regular trading session. | ||
- **Adj Close (Adjusted Close):** Adjusts the closing price for corporate actions, offering a more accurate representation of the stock's true value. | ||
- **Volume:** Measures the number of shares traded, providing insights into interest and activity in Apple Inc.'s stock. | ||
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### 🚀 Models Implemented | ||
1. LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) | ||
2. LSTM+CONV1D (Combining LSTM and 1D Convolutional Layers) | ||
3. Prophet Model (Developed by Facebook for time series forecasting) | ||
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### 📚 Libraries Needed | ||
- TensorFlow: For building and training deep learning models. | ||
- Keras: For simplifying the creation and training of neural networks. | ||
- NumPy: For numerical computations and array operations. | ||
- Pandas: For data manipulation and analysis. | ||
- Matplotlib: For plotting and visualizing data. | ||
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### 📊 Data Visualization | ||
![Close Price History Plot](https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/155d8d3a-f065-4f4b-b5b5-8b126694c22e) | ||
![Scatter Plot](https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/562841ee-830a-4afa-ba55-074cebafae8c) | ||
![Histogram](https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/cf71256a-3d2b-4293-98df-38cb90e97be7) | ||
![Cross Price Seasonality](https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/a2532bcb-b137-41cb-98be-35704ddc1e86) | ||
![Correlation Matrix](https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/d00419ed-4bc8-4f03-8e23-c8d52a503344) | ||
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## 📈 Performance of the Models based on the Accuracy Scores | ||
| Model | Accuracy | | ||
|-------|-------------| | ||
| LSTM | 93.0% | | ||
| LSTM+ Conv1D | 98.11% | | ||
<img width="703" alt="Prophet Model" src="https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/1639d413-55a3-458f-b5f5-08e930d86385"> | ||
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### 📢 Conclusion | ||
Based on the evaluation metrics, the LSTM+CONV1D model outperforms the LSTM model in predicting Apple stock prices. The combination of LSTM and 1D convolutional layers allows the model to capture both long-term dependencies and local patterns in the time series data, leading to more accurate predictions. | ||
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### Best Fitted Model | ||
The LSTM+CONV1D model is identified as the best-fitted model for predicting Apple stock prices due to its higher accuracy compared to the LSTM model. | ||
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## ✒️ Contributor | ||
- Name: Himanshu Kumar |