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import BuyMeACoffee from '@site/src/components/BuyMeACoffee'; | ||
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# Warnings | ||
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## Laws can change | ||
Following the Brexit, effective Jan 31st 2020, UK-based stocks have lost their eligibility to the [PEA](./getting-started/account-types#PEA). | ||
Impacted investors had to either sell their positions, or transfer them into a [CTO](./getting-started/account-types#PEA), thus losing any tax benefit. | ||
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## Fees can change | ||
In the 5 years I have been investing so far, I faced various modifications of fees from my brokers: | ||
- Saxo bumped US-traded stock fees from $0.01/transacted share, to a minimum of $8/transaction (2020), to a minimum of $1/transaction (2024). | ||
- Degiro increased fees of US-traded stocks from 0.50€/transaction to 1€/transaction (2022), to 2€/transaction (2023). | ||
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## ETFs can change | ||
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In 2019, Amundi - one of the largest European ETF providers - made changes its ETF offering, leading to the loss of PEA eligibility for a number of them. Impacted investors were forced to sell them, incurring transaction fees. | ||
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Late of 2023, Amundi - again - announced a series of shakeups to its offering as a consequence of the acquisition of Lyxor. | ||
For example: the ETF Amundi ETF PEA NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF changed name to become Amundi PEA US Tech ESG UCITS ETF | ||
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This change in name was accompanied by this list of impacts (values as of March 1st 2024): | ||
- Changed index from the Nasdaq-100 Index to the Solactive ISS ESG US Tech 100 Index. | ||
- Reduced diversification: 42 holdings for the new index vs 100 for the previous. | ||
- Apple represented 21.07% of the new index against 8.73% in the previous (x2.4). | ||
- Top 3 holdings had a weight of 53.24% in the new index against 22.52% in the previous (x2.4) | ||
- Increased fees from 0.23%/year to 0.30%/year. | ||
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## Dividends can change | ||
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Some investors focus on dividend-growing companies, the ones pushing the streak beyond 25 years join the club of the "Dividend Aristocrats". | ||
However, long streaks of growing dividends are not making a company immune to a dividend cut. | ||
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Most recent examples include: | ||
- 2024: Walgreens (WBA), 48% dividend cut after growing the dividend annually for 47 years. | ||
- 2023: W.P. Carey (WPC), 19.7% dividend cut after growing the dividend annually for 26 years. | ||
- 2023: V.F. Corp (VFC), 70% dividend cut after growing the dividend annually for 50 years. | ||
- 2021: AT&T (T), 47% dividend cut after growing the dividend annually for 35 years. | ||
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Examples of streaks at risk include: | ||
- 3M (MMM): 66 years | ||
- Walgreens (WBA): 47 years -> Cut in 2024 | ||
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK): 56 years | ||
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## Earnings can change | ||
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The main driver behind long-term stock performance is earnings growth. | ||
The more a company generates cash and keeps generating more year after year, the higher the stock price goes. | ||
Circumstances can change, and earnings can face dramatic changes (think of Covid). More resilient sectors include consumer staples and healthcare. | ||
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<BuyMeACoffee /> |