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Adding 8 new PSP predictions on 2024-08-23
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jevanilla committed Aug 23, 2024
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52 changes: 26 additions & 26 deletions README.html
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46 changes: 23 additions & 23 deletions README.md
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Expand Up @@ -72,27 +72,27 @@ predictions <- read_forecast(year = "2024") |>
glimpse(predictions)
```

## Rows: 449
## Rows: 457
## Columns: 19
## $ version [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3…
## $ ensemble_n [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,…
## $ location [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "PSP10.11", "PSP10.33", "PSP12.01", "PSP12.03", "PSP12.13", "PSP12.28", "PSP12.34", "PSP15.25", "PSP16.41", "PSP19.…
## $ date [3m[38;5;246m<date>[39m[23m 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-0…
## $ name [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "Ogunquit River", "Spurwink River", "Basin Pt.", "Potts Pt.", "Lumbos Hole", "Bear Island", "Head Beach", "Christma…
## $ lat [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 43.25030, 43.56632, 43.73848, 43.73064, 43.79553, 43.78556, 43.71711, 43.84476, 43.92526, 44.15419, 44.23824, 44.90…
## $ lon [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m -70.59540, -70.27305, -70.04343, -70.02556, -69.94557, -69.87415, -69.84999, -69.55365, -69.25900, -68.65947, -68.3…
## $ class_bins [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,…
## $ forecast_start_date [3m[38;5;246m<date>[39m[23m 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-0…
## $ forecast_end_date [3m[38;5;246m<date>[39m[23m 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-0…
## $ p_0 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 93, 100, 100, 99, 31, 3, 95, 94, 95, 95, 100, 99, 100, 55, 91, 38, 39, 53, 98, 91, 69, 57, 37, 2, 93, 97, 66, 98, 1…
## $ p_1 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 6, 0, 0, 1, 44, 13, 4, 5, 4, 5, 0, 1, 0, 42, 9, 40, 46, 37, 2, 9, 26, 32, 36, 10, 6, 3, 28, 2, 0, 1, 2, 52, 29, 43,…
## $ p_2 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 1, 0, 0, 0, 18, 43, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 17, 12, 8, 0, 0, 4, 9, 21, 39, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 27, 44, 34, 3, 7…
## $ p_3 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 42, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 3, 2, 0, 0, 1, 2, 6, 50, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 21, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0…
## $ p3_sd [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 2.537746e-02, 1.702311e-04, 5.835063e-07, 3.170006e-04, 2.573652e+00, 1.032039e+01, 6.801030e-03, 1.598628e-02, 8.7…
## $ p_3_min [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 2.803591e-02, 1.613240e-06, 4.298889e-09, 3.494154e-05, 3.757856e+00, 2.148448e+01, 6.643038e-03, 1.782123e-02, 9.0…
## $ p_3_max [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 1.114067e-01, 5.424280e-04, 1.839769e-06, 9.452227e-04, 1.157185e+01, 5.338209e+01, 3.128168e-02, 7.217547e-02, 3.9…
## $ predicted_class [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
## $ f_id [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "PSP10.11_2024-05-06", "PSP10.33_2024-05-06", "PSP12.01_2024-05-08", "PSP12.03_2024-05-08", "PSP12.13_2024-05-08", …
## $ version [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0…
## $ ensemble_n [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,…
## $ location [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "PSP10.11", "PSP10.33", "PSP12.01", "PSP12.03", "PSP12.13", "PSP12.28", "PSP12.34", "PSP15.25", "PSP16.41", "PSP19.15", "PSP21.09", "PSP27.05", "PSP27.46", "PSP10.11", "PSP10.33", "PSP11.…
## $ date [3m[38;5;246m<date>[39m[23m 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-07, 2024-05-07, 2024-05-14, 2024-05-14, 2024-0…
## $ name [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "Ogunquit River", "Spurwink River", "Basin Pt.", "Potts Pt.", "Lumbos Hole", "Bear Island", "Head Beach", "Christmas Cove Town Landing", "Port Clyde", "Stonington", "Bass Hbr.", "Gove Pt.…
## $ lat [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 43.25030, 43.56632, 43.73848, 43.73064, 43.79553, 43.78556, 43.71711, 43.84476, 43.92526, 44.15419, 44.23824, 44.90545, 44.97084, 43.25030, 43.56632, 43.72800, 43.73316, 43.71190, 43.7384…
## $ lon [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m -70.59540, -70.27305, -70.04343, -70.02556, -69.94557, -69.87415, -69.84999, -69.55365, -69.25900, -68.65947, -68.34792, -67.05621, -67.05254, -70.59540, -70.27305, -70.09500, -70.16358, …
## $ class_bins [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10…
## $ forecast_start_date [3m[38;5;246m<date>[39m[23m 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-11, 2024-05-11, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-0…
## $ forecast_end_date [3m[38;5;246m<date>[39m[23m 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-17, 2024-05-17, 2024-05-24, 2024-05-24, 2024-0…
## $ p_0 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 93, 100, 100, 99, 31, 3, 95, 94, 95, 95, 100, 99, 100, 55, 91, 38, 39, 53, 98, 91, 69, 57, 37, 2, 93, 97, 66, 98, 100, 99, 98, 19, 6, 17, 75, 60, 86, 89, 63, 94, 46, 5, 61, 99, 83, 41, 93…
## $ p_1 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 6, 0, 0, 1, 44, 13, 4, 5, 4, 5, 0, 1, 0, 42, 9, 40, 46, 37, 2, 9, 26, 32, 36, 10, 6, 3, 28, 2, 0, 1, 2, 52, 29, 43, 21, 33, 13, 10, 30, 6, 42, 24, 31, 1, 15, 39, 7, 20, 39, 23, 4, 5, 5, 2…
## $ p_2 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 1, 0, 0, 0, 18, 43, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 17, 12, 8, 0, 0, 4, 9, 21, 39, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 27, 44, 34, 3, 7, 1, 1, 6, 0, 11, 40, 7, 0, 1, 16, 0, 41, 26, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1,…
## $ p_3 [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 42, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 3, 2, 0, 0, 1, 2, 6, 50, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 21, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 32, 1, 0, 0, 4, 0, 33, 10, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 52, 54,…
## $ p3_sd [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 2.537746e-02, 1.702311e-04, 5.835063e-07, 3.170006e-04, 2.573652e+00, 1.032039e+01, 6.801030e-03, 1.598628e-02, 8.719488e-03, 4.358502e-03, 1.378183e-06, 5.185523e-05, 5.231048e-07, 2.781…
## $ p_3_min [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 2.803591e-02, 1.613240e-06, 4.298889e-09, 3.494154e-05, 3.757856e+00, 2.148448e+01, 6.643038e-03, 1.782123e-02, 9.030735e-03, 2.118392e-03, 9.372612e-10, 3.377466e-06, 2.084870e-10, 1.508…
## $ p_3_max [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 1.114067e-01, 5.424280e-04, 1.839769e-06, 9.452227e-04, 1.157185e+01, 5.338209e+01, 3.128168e-02, 7.217547e-02, 3.986240e-02, 1.588983e-02, 4.431532e-06, 1.838427e-04, 1.674185e-06, 9.820…
## $ predicted_class [3m[38;5;246m<dbl>[39m[23m 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3, 2, 2, 0…
## $ f_id [3m[38;5;246m<chr>[39m[23m "PSP10.11_2024-05-06", "PSP10.33_2024-05-06", "PSP12.01_2024-05-08", "PSP12.03_2024-05-08", "PSP12.13_2024-05-08", "PSP12.28_2024-05-06", "PSP12.34_2024-05-06", "PSP15.25_2024-05-06", "PS…

## 2024 Season Results

Expand All @@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ glimpse(predictions)
## # A tibble: 1 × 1
## accuracy
## <dbl>
## 1 0.706
## 1 0.711

#### Closure-level (Class 3) Predictions

Expand All @@ -128,7 +128,7 @@ glimpse(predictions)
## # A tibble: 1 × 8
## tp fp tn fn cl_accuracy precision sensitivity specificity
## <int> <int> <int> <int> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
## 1 2 4 382 7 0.972 0.333 0.222 0.990
## 1 2 4 389 7 0.973 0.333 0.222 0.990

## 2023 Season Results

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -230,4 +230,4 @@ predictions <- read_forecast(year = "2023")

### Last Updated

## [1] "2024-08-16"
## [1] "2024-08-23"
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17 changes: 8 additions & 9 deletions inst/forecastdb/current_forecast.csv
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -9,16 +9,15 @@ v0.3.0,10,PSP12.01,2024-08-12,Basin Pt.,43.73848,-70.04343,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-
v0.3.0,10,PSP12.03,2024-08-12,Potts Pt.,43.73064,-70.02556,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-16,2024-08-22,84,15,1,0,0.01453069508627702,0.0082789767475333,0.05114831146784127,0,PSP12.03_2024-08-12
v0.3.0,10,PSP12.13,2024-08-12,Lumbos Hole,43.79553,-69.94557,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-16,2024-08-22,98,2,0,0,3.814142752473752e-4,3.1078611755219754e-4,0.00151737431224319,0,PSP12.13_2024-08-12
v0.3.0,10,PSP12.28,2024-08-12,Bear Island,43.78556,-69.87415,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-16,2024-08-22,97,2,0,0,0.00125510981382541,0.00135069785756059,0.00562808745598886,0,PSP12.28_2024-08-12
v0.3.0,10,PSP14.21,2024-08-07,Newagen,43.78639,-69.65778,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-11,2024-08-17,93,7,0,0,0.01932009979603969,0.00355999072780832,0.06919746519997716,0,PSP14.21_2024-08-07
v0.3.0,10,PSP15.25,2024-08-14,Christmas Cove Town Landing,43.84476,-69.55365,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-18,2024-08-24,94,5,0,0,0.01177996698581249,0.00622991065029054,0.03893274115398526,0,PSP15.25_2024-08-14
v0.3.0,10,PSP16.41,2024-08-14,Port Clyde,43.92526,-69.259,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-18,2024-08-24,97,3,0,0,0.00122431109140799,0.00186139477591495,0.00612038566032424,0,PSP16.41_2024-08-14
v0.3.0,10,PSP19.12,2024-08-14,IAH Town Dock,44.0737,-68.64,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-18,2024-08-24,74,22,3,0,0.12458188990694088,0.16528961714357138,0.6158174946904182,0,PSP19.12_2024-08-14
v0.3.0,10,PSP19.15,2024-08-14,Stonington,44.15419,-68.65947,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-18,2024-08-24,94,5,0,0,0.00408579472260275,9.872738701233177e-4,0.01442223729100078,0,PSP19.15_2024-08-14
v0.3.0,10,PSP19.33,2024-08-07,Blue Hill Falls,44.37713,-68.5612,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-11,2024-08-17,97,3,0,0,0.0011183836857125,5.2768172054129536e-5,0.00357665121555328,0,PSP19.33_2024-08-07
v0.3.0,10,PSP21.09,2024-08-14,Bass Hbr.,44.23824,-68.34792,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-18,2024-08-24,94,6,0,0,0.0159331301973968,0.01793136616470292,0.06412088987417519,0,PSP21.09_2024-08-14
v0.3.0,10,PSP23.07,2024-08-11,Corea Hbr.,44.39319,-67.97628,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-15,2024-08-21,91,8,1,0,0.05909791282172384,0.07759732543490827,0.26230199728161097,0,PSP23.07_2024-08-11
v0.3.0,10,PSP25.06,2024-08-13,Kelley Pt.,44.53205,-67.5655,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-17,2024-08-23,96,4,0,0,0.00392130907036587,0.00160482122737448,0.01325916382484138,0,PSP25.06_2024-08-13
v0.3.0,10,PSP26.07,2024-08-13,Cutler Hbr.,44.65701,-67.20525,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-17,2024-08-23,85,12,2,0,0.15932280724116243,0.26486064307391644,0.7848865352571011,0,PSP26.07_2024-08-13
v0.3.0,10,PSP19.15,2024-08-21,Stonington,44.15419,-68.65947,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-25,2024-08-31,98,2,0,0,5.538926239705682e-4,0.00101984505818109,0.00289052295556757,0,PSP19.15_2024-08-21
v0.3.0,10,PSP21.09,2024-08-21,Bass Hbr.,44.23824,-68.34792,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-25,2024-08-31,96,3,0,0,0.0035317441787848,0.00950299072428606,0.02056643861578777,0,PSP21.09_2024-08-21
v0.3.0,10,PSP23.07,2024-08-18,Corea Hbr.,44.39319,-67.97628,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-22,2024-08-28,98,2,0,0,0.00181778156953278,0.00132143368318793,0.00750819308450445,0,PSP23.07_2024-08-18
v0.3.0,10,PSP24.08,2024-08-18,Ripley Pt.,44.52198,-67.79233,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-22,2024-08-28,99,1,0,0,2.3218325243999576e-4,2.736928536251071e-4,0.00109265183709794,0,PSP24.08_2024-08-18
v0.3.0,10,PSP25.06,2024-08-19,Kelley Pt.,44.53205,-67.5655,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-23,2024-08-29,98,2,0,0,4.572299719579288e-4,9.726649295771496e-4,0.00231326794164488,0,PSP25.06_2024-08-19
v0.3.0,10,PSP26.07,2024-08-19,Cutler Hbr.,44.65701,-67.20525,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-23,2024-08-29,93,6,1,0,0.04978758162919781,0.0481738185044378,0.20033696200698617,0,PSP26.07_2024-08-19
v0.3.0,10,PSP26.15,2024-08-12,Lubec Channel,44.85891,-66.98028,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-16,2024-08-22,96,3,0,0,0.00370021956624289,0.00164346292876871,0.01281095319427549,0,PSP26.15_2024-08-12
v0.3.0,10,PSP27.05,2024-08-12,Gove Pt.,44.90545,-67.05621,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-16,2024-08-22,96,3,0,0,0.00340005136889947,0.00145774793054442,0.01188107344205491,0,PSP27.05_2024-08-12
v0.3.0,10,PSP27.46,2024-08-13,Gleason Cove,44.97084,-67.05254,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-17,2024-08-23,86,13,1,0,0.004367447949594,0.00198846882994985,0.01484094245824962,0,PSP27.46_2024-08-13
v0.3.0,10,PSP27.05,2024-08-20,Gove Pt.,44.90545,-67.05621,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-24,2024-08-30,98,2,0,0,7.467143252935527e-4,0.00116278579298523,0.0039099726564018,0,PSP27.05_2024-08-20
v0.3.0,10,PSP27.46,2024-08-21,Gleason Cove,44.97084,-67.05254,"0,10,30,80",2024-08-25,2024-08-31,95,5,0,0,0.01137366573756626,0.00895123885129578,0.0412057270295918,0,PSP27.46_2024-08-21
17 changes: 8 additions & 9 deletions inst/forecastdb/dmr_webpage_table.csv
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Expand Up @@ -8,17 +8,16 @@ PSP12.01,2024-08-12,Basin Pt.,43.73848,-70.04343,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,<1%,Low
PSP12.03,2024-08-12,Potts Pt.,43.73064,-70.02556,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,<1%,Low
PSP12.13,2024-08-12,Lumbos Hole,43.79553,-69.94557,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,<1%,Low
PSP12.28,2024-08-12,Bear Island,43.78556,-69.87415,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,<1%,Low
PSP14.21,2024-08-07,Newagen,43.78639,-69.65778,2024-08-11,2024-08-17,<1%,Low
PSP15.25,2024-08-14,Christmas Cove Town Landing,43.84476,-69.55365,2024-08-18,2024-08-24,<1%,Low
PSP16.41,2024-08-14,Port Clyde,43.92526,-69.259,2024-08-18,2024-08-24,<1%,Low
PSP19.12,2024-08-14,IAH Town Dock,44.0737,-68.64,2024-08-18,2024-08-24,<1%,Low
PSP19.15,2024-08-14,Stonington,44.15419,-68.65947,2024-08-18,2024-08-24,<1%,Low
PSP19.33,2024-08-07,Blue Hill Falls,44.37713,-68.5612,2024-08-11,2024-08-17,<1%,Low
PSP21.09,2024-08-14,Bass Hbr.,44.23824,-68.34792,2024-08-18,2024-08-24,<1%,Low
PSP23.07,2024-08-11,Corea Hbr.,44.39319,-67.97628,2024-08-15,2024-08-21,<1%,Low
PSP25.06,2024-08-13,Kelley Pt.,44.53205,-67.5655,2024-08-17,2024-08-23,<1%,Low
PSP26.07,2024-08-13,Cutler Hbr.,44.65701,-67.20525,2024-08-17,2024-08-23,<1%,Low
PSP19.15,2024-08-21,Stonington,44.15419,-68.65947,2024-08-25,2024-08-31,<1%,Low
PSP21.09,2024-08-21,Bass Hbr.,44.23824,-68.34792,2024-08-25,2024-08-31,<1%,Low
PSP23.07,2024-08-18,Corea Hbr.,44.39319,-67.97628,2024-08-22,2024-08-28,<1%,Low
PSP24.08,2024-08-18,Ripley Pt.,44.52198,-67.79233,2024-08-22,2024-08-28,<1%,Low
PSP25.06,2024-08-19,Kelley Pt.,44.53205,-67.5655,2024-08-23,2024-08-29,<1%,Low
PSP26.07,2024-08-19,Cutler Hbr.,44.65701,-67.20525,2024-08-23,2024-08-29,<1%,Low
PSP26.15,2024-08-12,Lubec Channel,44.85891,-66.98028,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,<1%,Low
PSP27.05,2024-08-12,Gove Pt.,44.90545,-67.05621,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,<1%,Low
PSP27.46,2024-08-13,Gleason Cove,44.97084,-67.05254,2024-08-17,2024-08-23,<1%,Low
PSP27.05,2024-08-20,Gove Pt.,44.90545,-67.05621,2024-08-24,2024-08-30,<1%,Low
PSP27.46,2024-08-21,Gleason Cove,44.97084,-67.05254,2024-08-25,2024-08-31,<1%,Low
PSP12.34,2024-08-12,Head Beach,43.71711,-69.84999,2024-08-16,2024-08-22,1%,Low
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