diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 7801797..eae423e 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -80,10 +80,11 @@ The best way to start understanding/exploring the current model is to use the ex
[Current Predictions Explorer](current_explorer.html) -Explore the current (unlabeled) predictions generated by the latest model incarnation. All statements yet to be labeled by current fact-checking sources (currently, only [Washington Post Factchecker](https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/trump-claims-database)) are available. -Live predictions continuously added via [ipfs](https://ipfs.io). Twitter statements will be delayed by ~15 minutes to allow thread-based scoring. [Factba.se](https://factba.se) is polled for new statements every 10 minutes. -This explorer provides fact-checkers a means (one of many possible) of using current model predictions and may also help those building fact-checking systems evaluate the potential utility of integrating similar models into their systems. +Explore current predictions of the latest model. All statements that have yet to be labeled by the currently used fact-checking sources (only [Washington Post Factchecker](https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/trump-claims-database) at present) are available. + +Live predictions are continuously added via [ipfs](https://ipfs.io). Twitter statements will be delayed by ~15 minutes to allow thread-based scoring. [Factba.se](https://factba.se) is polled for new statements every 15 minutes. +This explorer provides fact-checkers a means (one of many possible) of using current model predictions and may also help those building fact-checking systems evaluate the potential utility of integrating similar models into their systems. current predictions explorer
@@ -116,7 +117,7 @@ The entire initial Deep Classiflie system (raw dataset, model, analytics modules - Fine-tune a base model (currently HuggingFace's [ALBERT implementation](https://huggingface.co/transformers/model_doc/albert.html) with some minor customizations) in tandem with a simple embedding reflecting the semantic shift associated with the medium via which the statement was conveyed (i.e., for the POC, just learn the tweet vs non-tweet transformation) (using [Pytorch](https://pytorch.org/)) -- Explore the latest model's training session on [tensorboard.dev](https://tensorboard.dev/experiment/rGNQpYnYSOaHb2A84xRAzw). +- Explore the latest model's training session on [tensorboard.dev](https://tensorboard.dev/experiment/Ys0KLo5nRnq0soINjyEv4A). - N.B. neuro-symbolic methods[6](#f6) that leverage knowledge bases and integrate symbolic reasoning with connectionist methods are not used in this model. Use of these approaches may be explored in [future research](#further-research) using this framework.
Analysis & Reporting @@ -140,7 +141,7 @@ The entire initial Deep Classiflie system (raw dataset, model, analytics modules
Global -Global metrics[9](#f9) summarized in the table below relate to the current model's performance on a test set comprised of ~12K statements made between 2020-04-03 and 2020-07-08:
+Global metrics[9](#f9) summarized in the table below relate to the current model's performance on a test set comprised of ~13K statements made between 2020-04-03 and 2020-07-08:
Global Stat Summary
@@ -180,7 +181,7 @@ To minimize false positives and maximize the model's utility, the following appr - Generate and configure thawing schedules for models. - EarlyStopping easily configurable with multiple non-standard monitor metrics (e.g. mcc) - Both automatic and manually-specified [stochastic weight averaging](https://pytorch.org/blog/stochastic-weight-averaging-in-pytorch/) of model checkpoints[f](#cf) -- mixed-precision training via [apex](https://github.com/NVIDIA/apex)[g](#cg) +- Mixed-precision training[g](#cg)
Analysis & reporting @@ -274,15 +275,9 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb cd transformers pip install . ``` -4. (temporarily required) Testing of this alpha release occurred before native AMP was integrated into Pytorch with release 1.6. As such, native apex installation is temporarily (as of 2020.08.18) required to replicate the model. Switching from the native AMP api to the pytorch integrated one is planned as part of issue #999 which should obviate the need to install native apex. - ```shell - git clone https://github.com/NVIDIA/apex - cd apex - pip uninstall apex - pip install -v --no-cache-dir --global-option="--cpp_ext" --global-option="--cuda_ext" ./ - ``` -5. [Install mariadb](https://mariadb.com/kb/en/getting-installing-and-upgrading-mariadb/) or mysql DB if necessary. -6. These are the relevant DB configuration settings used for the current release of Deep Classiflie's backend. Divergence from this configuration has not been tested and may result in unexpected behavior. +4. [Install mariadb](https://mariadb.com/kb/en/getting-installing-and-upgrading-mariadb/) or mysql DB if necessary. + +5. These are the relevant DB configuration settings used for the current release of Deep Classiflie's backend. Divergence from this configuration has not been tested and may result in unexpected behavior. ```mysql collation-server = utf8mb4_unicode_ci @@ -291,7 +286,7 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb sql_mode = 'STRICT_TRANS_TABLES,ERROR_FOR_DIVISION_BY_ZERO,NO_AUTO_CREATE_USER,NO_ENGINE_SUBSTITUTION,ANSI_QUOTES' transaction-isolation = READ-COMMITTED ``` -7. copy/update relevant Deep Classiflie config file to $HOME dir +6. copy/update relevant Deep Classiflie config file to $HOME dir ```shell cp ./deep_classiflie_db/db_setup/.dc_config.example ~ mv .dc_config.example .dc_config @@ -317,25 +312,23 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb export DCDB_NAME="deep_classiflie" ``` -8. execute Deep Classiflie DB backend initialization script: - - Deep Classiflie logo - - Ensure you have access to a DB user with administrator privs. "admin" in the case above. - +7. execute Deep Classiflie DB backend initialization script: ```shell cd deep_classiflie_db/db_setup ./deep_classiflie_db_setup.sh deep_classiflie ``` + Ensure you have access to a DB user with administrator privs. "admin" in the case above. + Deep Classiflie logo -9. login to the backend db and seed historical tweets (necessary as only most recent 3200 can currently be retrieved directly from twitter) +8. login to the backend db and seed historical tweets (necessary as only most recent 3200 can currently be retrieved directly from twitter) ```mysql mysql -u dcbot -p use deep_classiflie - source dcbot_tweets_init_20200814.sql + source dcbot_tweets_init_20200910.sql + exit ``` -10. copy over relevant base model weights to specified model_cache_dir: +9. copy over relevant base model weights to specified model_cache_dir: ```shell # model_cache_dir default found in configs/config_defaults.yaml # it defaults to $HOME/datasets/model_cache/deep_classiflie/ @@ -343,7 +336,7 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb cp albert-base-v2-pytorch_model.bin albert-base-v2-spiece.model {MODEL_CACHE_DIR}/ ``` -11. Run deep_classiflie.py with the provided config necessary to download the raw data from the relevant data sources (factba.se, twitter, washington post), execute the data processing pipeline and generate the dataset collection. +10. Run deep_classiflie.py with the provided config necessary to download the raw data from the relevant data sources (factba.se, twitter, washington post), execute the data processing pipeline and generate the dataset collection. ```shell cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/dataprep_only.yaml" @@ -369,33 +362,33 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb 2020-08-14 16:58:14,331:deep_classiflie:DEBUG: Metadata update complete, 1 record(s) affected. ... ``` -12. Recursively train the deep classiflie POC model: +11. Recursively train the deep classiflie POC model: ```shell cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/train_albertbase.yaml" ``` -13. Generate an swa checkpoint (current release was built using swa torchcontrib module but will switch to the now-integrated pytorch swa api in the next release): +12. Generate an swa checkpoint (current release was built using swa torchcontrib module but will switch to the now-integrated pytorch swa api in the next release): ```shell cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/gen_swa_ckpt.yaml" ``` -14. Generate model analysis report(s) using the generated swa checkpoint: +13. Generate model analysis report(s) using the generated swa checkpoint: ```shell # NOTE, swa checkpoint generated in previous step must be added to gen_report.yaml cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/gen_report.yaml" ``` -15. Generate model analysis dashboards: +14. Generate model analysis dashboards: ```shell # NOTE, swa checkpoint generated in previous step must be added to gen_dashboards.yaml cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/gen_dashboards.yaml" ``` -16. configure jekyll static site generator to use bokeh dashboards locally: +15. configure jekyll static site generator to use bokeh dashboards locally: ```shell @@ -447,8 +440,8 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb
  • [c] Deep Classiflie depends upon deep_classiflie_db (initially released as a separate repository) for much of its analytical and dataset generation functionality. Depending on how Deep Classiflie evolves (e.g. as it supports distributed data stores etc.), it may make more sense to integrate deep_classiflie_db back into deep_classiflie. ↩
  • [d] It's notable that the model suffers a much higher FP ratio on tweets relative to non-tweets. Exploring tweet FPs, there are a number of plausible explanations for this discrepancy which could be explored in future research. ↩
  • [e] Still in early development, there are significant outstanding issues (e.g. no tests yet!) and code quality shortcomings galore, but any constructive thoughts or contributions are welcome. I'm interested in using ML to curtail disinformation, not promulgate it, so I want to be clear -- this is essentially a fancy sentence similarity system with a lot of work put into building the dataset generation and model analysis data pipelines (I have a data engineering background, not a software engineering one).↩
    • -
  • [f] Current model release built/tested before swa graduated from torchcontrib to core pytorch. Next release of Deep Classiflie will use the integrated swa api.↩
    • -
  • [g] Current model release built/tested before AMP was integrated into core pytorch. Next release of Deep Classiflie will use the integrated AMP api.↩
    • +
  • [f] Previous versions used the swa module from torchcontrib before it graduated to core pytorch.↩
    • +
  • [g] Previous versions used NVIDIA's native apex before AMP was integrated into pytorch↩
  • [h] N.B. This daemon may violate Twitter's policy w.r.t. tweeting sensitive content if the subject's statements contain such content (no content-based filtering is included in the daemon). @DeepClassflie initially tested the Deep Classiflie twitter daemon but will post only framework-related announcements moving forward.↩
    • diff --git a/analysis/captum_cust_viz.py b/analysis/captum_cust_viz.py index b2f9ba7..f9d059b 100644 --- a/analysis/captum_cust_viz.py +++ b/analysis/captum_cust_viz.py @@ -196,7 +196,7 @@ def fmt_notes_box(ext_rec: Tuple) -> str:
  • prediction of whether Washington Post's Fact Checker will add this claim to its "Trump False Claims" DB
  • if claim was included in WP's Fact Checker false claims DB at time of original model training
  • accuracy estimated by sorting & bucketing the test set sigmoid outputs, averaging performance in each bucket -
  • global metrics relate to the current model's performance on a test set comprised of ~12K statements made between +
  • global metrics relate to the current model's performance on a test set comprised of ~13K statements made between {ext_rec[5][13].strftime('%Y-%m-%d')} and {ext_rec[5][14].strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}. Training, validation and test sets are chronologically disjoint.
  • subject to interpretability filter, some subword tokens have been omitted to facilitate interpretability
    • @@ -259,10 +259,10 @@ def gen_pred_exp_attr_tup(datarecord: VisualizationDataRecord, ext_rec: Tuple, t def pred_exp_attr(datarecords: List[VisualizationDataRecord], ext_recs: List[Tuple] = None, token_mask: List = None, - invert_colors: bool = False) -> Tuple[List, Tuple]: + invert_colors: bool = False, **_) -> Tuple[List, Tuple]: global_metrics_summ = ext_recs[0][8] pred_exp_tups = [] for i, (datarecord, ext_rec) in enumerate(zip(datarecords, ext_recs)): pred_exp_tup = gen_pred_exp_attr_tup(datarecord, ext_rec, token_mask, invert_colors) pred_exp_tups.append(pred_exp_tup) - return pred_exp_tups, global_metrics_summ + return pred_exp_tups, global_metrics_summ \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/analysis/gen_pred_explorer.py b/analysis/gen_pred_explorer.py index 4055c3d..bc787e5 100644 --- a/analysis/gen_pred_explorer.py +++ b/analysis/gen_pred_explorer.py @@ -38,7 +38,6 @@ def init_radio_groups() -> Tuple[RadioButtonGroup, ...]: def init_explorer_divs(pred_stmt_dict: Dict) -> Tuple[Div, ...]: - # stmt_attr, word_import_html, max_word_html default_idx = min([i for i, (b, c) in enumerate(zip(pred_stmt_dict['bucket_type'], pred_stmt_dict['tp'])) if b == 'max_acc_nontweets' and c == 1]) word_import_div = Div(text=pred_stmt_dict['pred_exp_attr_tups'][default_idx][1], height_policy='max', diff --git a/analysis/model_analysis_rpt.py b/analysis/model_analysis_rpt.py index 02db524..cd643b8 100644 --- a/analysis/model_analysis_rpt.py +++ b/analysis/model_analysis_rpt.py @@ -74,15 +74,15 @@ def gen_pred_exp_ds(self) -> Tuple[Dict, Tuple]: pred_exp_tups = fetchallwrapper(self.cnxp.get_connection(), self.config.inference.sql.pred_exp_sql) pred_exp_set = [] pred_exp_ds = OrderedDict({'bucket_type': [], 'bucket_acc': [], 'conf_percentile': [], 'pos_pred_acc': [], - 'neg_pred_acc': [], 'pos_pred_ratio': [], 'neg_pred_ratio': [], 'statement_id': [], - 'statement_text': [], 'tp': [], 'tn': [], 'fp': [], 'fn': []}) + 'neg_pred_acc': [], 'pos_pred_ratio': [], 'neg_pred_ratio': [], 'statement_id': [], + 'statement_text': [], 'tp': [], 'tn': [], 'fp': [], 'fn': []}) for (bucket_type, bucket_acc, conf_percentile, pos_pred_acc, neg_pred_acc, pos_pred_ratio, neg_pred_ratio, statement_id, statement_text, ctxt_type, tp, tn, fp, fn) in pred_exp_tups: label = 'False' if tp == 1 or fn == 1 else 'True' pred_exp_set.append((statement_text, ctxt_type, label)) for k, v in zip(list(pred_exp_ds.keys()), [bucket_type, bucket_acc, conf_percentile, pos_pred_acc, - neg_pred_acc, pos_pred_ratio, neg_pred_ratio, statement_id, - statement_text, tp, tn, fp, fn]): + neg_pred_acc, pos_pred_ratio, neg_pred_ratio, statement_id, + statement_text, tp, tn, fp, fn]): pred_exp_ds[k].append(v) pred_exp_attr_tups, global_metric_summ = Inference(self.config, pred_exp_set=pred_exp_set).init_predict() pred_exp_ds['pred_exp_attr_tups'] = pred_exp_attr_tups diff --git a/assets/dc_ds.zip b/assets/dc_ds.zip index ca49d76..834030e 100644 Binary files a/assets/dc_ds.zip and b/assets/dc_ds.zip differ diff --git a/assets/dc_model_alpha.zip b/assets/dc_model_alpha.zip index afc439d..fceb7af 100644 Binary files a/assets/dc_model_alpha.zip and b/assets/dc_model_alpha.zip differ diff --git a/configs/config_defaults_sql.yaml b/configs/config_defaults_sql.yaml index 66df436..09ee5fb 100644 --- a/configs/config_defaults_sql.yaml +++ b/configs/config_defaults_sql.yaml @@ -100,7 +100,7 @@ inference: global_model_perf_cache_sql: "select * from global_model_accuracy_lookup_cache" pred_exp_sql: "select * from pred_explr_stmts" save_model_sql: "insert into model_metadata select * from latest_global_model_perf_summary" - save_perf_sql: "insert into local_model_perf_summary_hist select * from latest_local_model_perf_summary" + save_perf_sql: "insert ignore into local_model_perf_summary_hist select * from latest_local_model_perf_summary" ds_md_sql: >- select dsid, train_start_date, train_end_date from ds_metadata where ds_type='converged_filtered' order by dsid desc limit 1 save_model_rpt_sql: >- diff --git a/configs/dataprep_only.yaml b/configs/dataprep_only.yaml index 9a6dbfd..185b818 100644 --- a/configs/dataprep_only.yaml +++ b/configs/dataprep_only.yaml @@ -5,10 +5,10 @@ experiment: dataprep_only: True debug: debug_enabled: True - use_debug_dataset: True + use_debug_dataset: False data_source: # db_conf must be explictly specified only in dev mode or if db_conf is in a non-default location - db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db_feat/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" + # db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db_feat/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" model_filter_topk: 20 filter_w_embed_cache: False # safest way to build a new dataset is to verify backup of the previous one and remove the relevant cache softlink diff --git a/configs/gen_dashboards.yaml b/configs/gen_dashboards.yaml index d37f0b0..fe2607f 100644 --- a/configs/gen_dashboards.yaml +++ b/configs/gen_dashboards.yaml @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ experiment: db_functionality_enabled: True # must set to True to generate reports, run dctweetbot, among other functions # provide the generated swa checkpoint below - inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200816114940/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" # note build_swa_from_ckpts will be ignored if inference_ckpt is present + inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200911144157/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" # note build_swa_from_ckpts will be ignored if inference_ckpt is present debug: debug_enabled: False data_source: diff --git a/configs/gen_report.yaml b/configs/gen_report.yaml index ec8a7b6..ad38ea6 100644 --- a/configs/gen_report.yaml +++ b/configs/gen_report.yaml @@ -1,13 +1,13 @@ experiment: db_functionality_enabled: True # must set to True to generate reports, run dctweetbot, among other functions # provide the generated swa checkpoint below - inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie_feat/checkpoints/20200901084410/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" # note build_swa_from_ckpts will be ignored if inference_ckpt is present + inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200911144157/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" # note build_swa_from_ckpts will be ignored if inference_ckpt is present debug: debug_enabled: False data_source: skip_db_refresh: True # db_conf must be explictly specified only in dev mode or if db_conf is in a non-default location - db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" + # db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" inference: report_mode: True # set to true to enable report generation rebuild_perf_cache: True # set True to (re)build perf cache (report_mode must also be True) diff --git a/configs/gen_swa_ckpt.yaml b/configs/gen_swa_ckpt.yaml index 49798c6..da49023 100644 --- a/configs/gen_swa_ckpt.yaml +++ b/configs/gen_swa_ckpt.yaml @@ -6,7 +6,9 @@ data_source: skip_db_refresh: True trainer: # replace checkpoints below with the desired checkpoints from your locally trained model (two checkpoints with lowest loss would be a good choice) - build_swa_from_ckpts: ['/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie_feat/checkpoints/20200831123242/checkpoint-0.5526-37-188214.pt', - '/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie_feat/checkpoints/20200831123242/checkpoint-0.5527-32-163449.pt'] + build_swa_from_ckpts: [ '/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200910214758/checkpoint-0.5536-17-89154.pt', + '/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200910214758/checkpoint-0.5540-22-113919.pt', + '/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200910214758/checkpoint-0.5628-23-118872.pt' ] + inference: report_mode: False # set to true to enable report generation \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/configs/infsvc.yaml b/configs/infsvc.yaml index 12f1739..9c199fd 100644 --- a/configs/infsvc.yaml +++ b/configs/infsvc.yaml @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ experiment: - inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie_feat/checkpoints/20200901084410/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" + inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200911144157/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" db_functionality_enabled: True debug: debug_enabled: True @@ -8,6 +8,6 @@ experiment: publish: True batch_mode: False skip_db_refresh: False -data_source: +#data_source: # db_conf must be explictly specified only in dev mode or if db_conf is in a non-default location - db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db_feat/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" \ No newline at end of file + # db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db_feat/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/configs/test_only.yaml b/configs/test_only.yaml index 1225fee..0301852 100644 --- a/configs/test_only.yaml +++ b/configs/test_only.yaml @@ -1,9 +1,9 @@ experiment: db_functionality_enabled: True # must set to True to generate reports, run dctweetbot, among other functions - inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie_feat/checkpoints/20200828093250/checkpoint-0.0000-swa_best_2_ckpts--1-0.pt" # note build_swa_from_ckpts will be ignored if inference_ckpt is present + inference_ckpt: "/home/speediedan/experiments/deep_classiflie/checkpoints/20200910214758/checkpoint-0.5540-22-113919.pt" # note build_swa_from_ckpts will be ignored if inference_ckpt is present debug: debug_enabled: False data_source: # db_conf must be explictly specified only in dev mode or if db_conf is in a non-default location - db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" + # db_conf: "/home/speediedan/repos/edification/deep_classiflie_db/deep_classiflie_db.yaml" skip_db_refresh: True \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/conf_tabs_tags.html b/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/conf_tabs_tags.html index 8adc2cc..db31fdf 100644 --- a/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/conf_tabs_tags.html +++ b/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/conf_tabs_tags.html @@ -1,2 +1,2 @@ -
    \ No newline at end of file +
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Please select another class.`;\\n null_set_warn_div.visible = true;\\n var local_metrics_dynamic = `\\n ${local_metrics_static_open}\\n <div class=\\"bn-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n <div class=\\"pc-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n <div class=\\"ba-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n <div class=\\"pap-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n <div class=\\"pan-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n <div class=\\"prp-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n <div class=\\"prn-val grid-data\\"></div>\\n </div>`\\n} else {\\n null_set_warn_div.visible = false;\\n var selected_index = stmt_view.indices[0];\\n var selected_stmt = stmttable_cds.data['statement_text'][selected_index];\\n word_import_div.text = stmttable_cds.data['pred_exp_attr_tups'][selected_index][1];\\n var local_metrics_dynamic = `\\n ${local_metrics_static_open}\\n <div class=\\"bn-val grid-data\\">${stmttable_cds.data['bucket_type'][selected_index]}</div>\\n <div class=\\"pc-val grid-data\\">${stmttable_cds.data['conf_percentile'][selected_index]}</div>\\n <div class=\\"ba-val 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know, you go through a whole nation and you see what's going on, and they report zero illegality. check out california sometime. check out no, check out the deal that they signed with judicial watch. it was i think judicial watch was like 1 million or 1.5 million people. they settled. they agreed that that many people either voted illegally, shouldn't have been voting a lot of things. they settled.","we had the best employment numbers that we've ever had.","we've done a great job, whether it's ventilators or anything you want to look at, testing. we test so many people, then we have more cases. everybody says,'we have so many cases.'that's because we test so many people.","i have no doubt that they were involved in this hoax one of the worst things ever to befall this country in terms of political scandal. i have absolutely no doubt that obama and biden were involved....it was a takedown of a president, regardless of me. it happened to be me. and, in my opinion, it was an illegal takedown.","we spent almost $8 trillion in the middle east because of that decision.","we had the greatest tax cut, biggest tax cut in history.","we've learned that young people do very well. very well. incredibly well.","we had the greatest economy in history of any country, not just ours. the greatest in history.","but i closed it and a lot of people didn't think a lot of very good people didn't think i should have closed. a lot of people in the administration felt i shouldn't close it many people, most people. and it was a very early move and it turned out to save a lot of lives, fortunately.","the violence and vandalism is being led by antifa and other radical left-wing groups who are terrorizing the innocent, destroying jobs, hurting businesses, and burning down buildings....radical-left criminals, thugs, and others all throughout our country and throughout the world will not be allowed to set communities ablaze.","the cupboards were bare. you've heard me say it a lot. when we came into this administration, those cupboards were bare.... under the previous administration, the stockpile was depleted and never fully refilled.","our nation will go to hell if he gets elected. you have 401ks which are now setting records. we'll go down maybe to nothing, maybe to dust because he's going to raise everybody's taxes. he has no idea what he's doing anyway. you know that he didn't when he was in prime time 20 years ago, you know, he never got more than 1%. i used to call them 1% joe, and then obama took him off the trash ship. and and it's it's a fluke.","i built the greatest economy in the history of the world.","these are nothing to do with any particular event, other than they're troublemakers or agitators, and they're anarchists.... we have a statues act a monument act, which puts you in jail for 10 years if you do what they've done.","if you look at that phony report that was put in, that report on the hydroxyl was given to people that were in extraordinarily bad condition extraordinarily bad, people that were dying....but they had a report come out and the results of the report it was a very unscientific report, by the way.","we had the best...unemployment numbers in history.","thats largely because i put tariffs on. nobody ever put tariffs on them. nobody ever did anything to china.","i don't think people know how much we've done for historically black colleges and universities. nobody knows that we've done more than any administration in history, and nobody knows that.","and china has never gave us 10 cents.","we had the largest increases and, you know, 3.2% increases, its unheard of what we did.","i think mayor of philadelphia named frank rizzo and he had an expression like that. but i've heard it many times. i think it's been used many times. it means two things very different things. one is if there's looting, there's probably going to be shooting. and that's not as a threat. that's really just a fact, because that's what happens. and the other is, if there's looting, there's going to be shooting...but when the looting starts, it oftentimes means there's going to be shooting, there's going to be death, there's going to be killing. and it's a bad thing. and it's also used as a threat.","never paid us 10 cents, by the way, before that. before trump, never paid anything.","absentee ballots are fine. absentee ballots are fine. like i live in the white house, and if i can't get to florida, or you live wherever you live, and you can't. but you have to go through a process. some people just can't make it to a polling station, and they have good reason.... there is tremendous evidence of fraud whenever you have mail-in ballots.","i'm proud to further announce that the u.s. is, by far, number one in testing number one in the world in testing.","likes to pretend as if shes on the inside. she has a picture with me like so many people do, but i haven't talked to her in over a year, maybe even longer.","one egregious example is when they try to silence views that they disagree with by selectively applying a'fact check'a fact check f-a-c-t. fact check. what they choose to fact check and what they choose to ignore or even promote is nothing more than a political activism group or political activism....this censorship and bias is a threat to freedom itself.","as you know, last year was the first year where drug prices, in 52 years where drug prices have actually gone down, the cost of prescription drugs.","a big thing is criminal justice reform. i keep hearing about, \\"oh, criminal justice reform,\\" and everyone is trying to take the credit. and that one, i will say, we will take the full credit because they couldn't have done it without us. and i'm not sure, frankly, that the previous administration tried. they may have, but they certainly couldn't get it done.","and if you look at some of the towns on the other side of the wall as an example, in california, we have a certain area that is heavily infected on the mexico side. and if we didn't have a border wall there, it would be a it would be really a catastrophic situation.... so, on the other side of san diego is a tremendously big problem with covid and other things.","i did something good. i made it famous. i made juneteenth very famous. its actually an important event, its an important time. but nobody had heard of it. very few people have heard of it.","we have the best tests of any country in the world.","china was ripping off this country, $530 billion a year, think of it, 530 billion a year ripping us up for years.","and, you know, when we took over, the cupboards were empty. i always say'the cupboards,'meaning the stockpile. we had very little.","i was going through a hoax, when i made the decision.","we had a depleted military. we had little on the shelves.","we have 26,000 mexican soldiers right now at the border not allowing people to come in.","they wanted drones. i say, what are you going to do? take pictures of everyone flowing across? they didn't want to say. they said, no, no. walls that's old technology. no, walls are the greatest technology. they work.","we've rebuilt our military. we have the strongest military we've ever had.","nobody has accomplished what we've accomplished in a relatively short period of time, a three-year period of time. nobody has been able to do that.","we have the most testing in the world.","china is paying us billions of dollars a year. they never gave us 10 cents.","the republicans really stood together like they never had stood before.","i mean, i assume, let's all talk about fairness. what they did to general flynn and, by the way, to roger stone and to others was a disaster and disgrace. and it should never be allowed to happen in this country again....they wanted him they were trying to force him to lie. you see the written statements where they were trying to force him into a position where we can get him on a lie or can we get him this way or that way. this is terrible.","way early, i closed our country to china. nancy pelosi was a month later saying, it's going to pass....on, i think, it was february 26,nancy pelosi is, let's dance in the streets of chinatown to show that it's not going to hurt us.","we built the greatest economy in the history of the world.","schumer brought nothing. you know what he brought? salt. you know what salt is, right? salt is a disaster.","we have the best tests in the world.","on january 14,2020,the world health organization gratuitously reaffirmed chinas now-debunked claim that the coronavirus could not be transmitted between humans, stating:preliminary investigations conducted by the chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel coronavirus (2019-ncov) identified in wuhan, china. this assertion was in direct conflict with censored reports from wuhan.","i'll tell you who's the demise of the postal service are these internet companies that give their stuff to the postal service packages...and if they'd raise the prices by actually a lot, then you'd find out that the post office could make money or break even. but they don't do that. and i'm trying to figure out why.","unemployment numbers, where we had our best numbers.","we built the greatest economy in the world, and i want to get that back as soon as possible.","and our stock market is booming, and our jobs are booming.","we have antifa, we have anarchists, we have terrorists, we have looters. we have a lot of bad people in those groups.... there's some great people but there are a lot of really, really bad people in there.","we had the greatest economy in the history of our country.","we're going to be giving a very strong report as to exactly what we think happened. and i think it will be very conclusive....so i think they made personally, i think they made a horrible mistake and they didn't want to admit it.","if you look prior to this virus, the deficit was coming way down under my administration because i put massive tariffs on china.","we have a record this month on the borders, nobody's coming in, very few people.","i love the republicans i told you, they came for me 100 percent; i'm at 96 percent approval rating in the republican party.","i've rebuilt our military. i spent two and a half trillion dollars. nobody else did.","we're saving so many lives compared to what it could have been. so, nobody knows what the number is, but we had a number of 100,000 lives. as many as that is, it's impossible to even think of it...hard to believe that if you had 60,000 you could never be happy, but that's a lot fewer than we were originally told and thinking. so they said between 100-and 220,000 lives on the minimum side, and then up to 2.2 million lives if we didn't do anything","california off the record, california was saying, please, can we have the wall? this is california. you know, they didn't want the wall. they didn't want the wall. but they wanted the wall, right?","china has paid us billions of dollars many, many billions of dollars in tariffs, which we've distributed some to the farmers, because they were targeted....we have a lot of money that we've taken in from china.","we had the greatest economy better than china, better than any place.","i made a deal. japan is now paying us $40 billion. they weren't paying us. they weren't doing anything....japan, we did a deal for $40 billion, $40 billion a year.","nancy pelosi a month later was saying'let's go to chinatown and dance in the streets'because she wanted people, you know, and i'd understand that, nobody thought it would be like this.","best employment numbers in the history of our country.... most number of jobs. almost 160 million jobs. we were never even close to that.","hundreds of billions of dollars a year were lost dealing with china, especially over the years during the prior administration.","i put a ban on china in january, and i took a lot of heat. joe biden said,'oh, he's xenophobic.'oh, that's right. yeah. but a month later, he said i was right.","nobody has done more in 3.5 years that this administration has done. nobody has come close to doing the things we've done.","we've given the largest tax cut in history.","we had the most people working in the history of our country, almost 160 million people far more than ever before.","our testing is the best in the world. we've now surpassed 15 million tests, which is much more than any other country by a factor of many times.","i'm looking at that tape that can't be. and the press, the media, the fake-news media and it is fake. it's terrible, actually. but they don't want to put it on.... i never saw anything like this. and you can't find that clip today.","we had the best economy in the history of the world, not just here, but anywhere in the world. you can talk china, you can talk any other country, we had the best economy anywhere in the world.","because we have so much fake news, i like to document things.","we built the strongest economy the world has ever seen before the virus, and together we're doing it again.","i've gotten the greatest tax cuts in history in the history of our country, the biggest tax cuts.","the airlines were having the best year they've ever had, ever, in their history.","i fired him, i got him out, he was no good, only want to do is bomb people.","we've already pretty much killed it because we got rid of the individual mandate....we got rid of the individual mandate, which basically was the end of obamacare.","schumer was talking in march, about there's no problem.","so we do all these tests, and we find pockets, and we find people, and we find cases. and they say, the cases have jumped, instead of saying what a job we're doing with testing. but we did the job with testing.","comey did, and other people did too.","the greatest job numbers we've ever had. we were up to almost 160 million jobs.","i think there's a lot of evidence, but we'll provide you with some, okay? and there's evidence that's being compiled just like it's being compiled in the state of california, where they settled with judicial watch, saying that a million people should not have been voting in you saw that.","so we're getting it down $35 per month... so its a massive cut i guess, 60,70%. nobody has seen anything like this for a long time. sleepy joe can't do this that, i can tell you.","but i could tell you that nancy pelosi was dancing in the streets in chinatown. she wanted to go,'let's go out and party.'that was late into february.","we've done more tax cuts, regulations we've done more than any other president, ever.","we've created incredible tests and we've done more testing than anybody has ever done in the world right now.","we never had a trade deal, where they ripped us left and right for years and years and decades.","but, in february, nancy pelosi said we should come to chinatown. this is late february.'come to chinatown. we think it's very safe. come here. let's all have the big parade chinatown parade.'","nobody's done what this administration has done in the first three-and-a-half years. nobody's even come close, when you look at everything that we are doing.","we were the greatest economy in history.","a month and a half, two months ago, we had the strongest economy in the history of the world.","it's treason....i said they'd been spying on my campaign. i said they've been taping. and that was in quotes, meaning a modern-day version of taping. it's all the same thing, but a modern-day version. but they've been spying on my campaign. i told you that a long time ago, it turned out i was right.","look at the pulitzer prize. the pulitzer prize is very embarrassed; it's lost a lot of its credibility because all these writers got pulitzer prizes on the russia, russia, russia, and they were all wrong.","and by the way, the inspector general, he went by the whistleblower. he didn't want to see the conversation that i had. when he saw the conversation that i had, he said,'well, that bears no resemblance to what the whistleblower said.'why didn't he look first before he ran to congress? he ran to congress like he couldn't get there fast enough with a whistleblower report.","we've totally rearmed our military $1.5 trillion.","if you look at secretary the secretary general, who's terrific stoltenberg he's been terrific. he's probably my biggest fan. he said,'nobody else could've done what trump did.'","and, you know, when you say per capita, there's many per capitas. it's, like, per capita relative to what? but you can look at just about any category, and we're really at the top, meaning positive on a per capita basis, too. they've done a great job.","so now the fake news is tracing the coronavirus origins back to europe, not china. this is a first! i wonder what the failing new york times got for this one? are there any named sources? they were recently thrown out of china like dogs, and obviously want back in. sad!","chris jacobs ( will be a tremendous congressman who will always fight for new york. he is strong on the border, our military and vets, and the second amendment. chris has my complete and total endorsement! vote for chris on june 23!","congressman russ fulcher ( is an incredible representative for the people of idaho! he fully supports the border wall, life, our vets and the second amendment. russ has my complete and total endorsement!","i am pleased to announce that the seattle areas will receive over $166m in federal funds from to help keep the transit system open & operational, helping get people to work or make necessary trips. these funds help replace lost fare revenue, very important!","hogan gidley will be leaving the white house on july 1 and heading over to my campaign to be the national press secretary. he is a strong, loyal and trusted member of the team that i know will do an outstanding job! we must win this election! follow him at","the white house press conference will take place today at 1:00 p.m., recognizing that it is good friday!","will be speaking at 7:00 p.m. thank you for all of the nice comments on the mount rushmore speech last night!!!","hire'debate questions to crooked hillary'fraud (and others who are even worse).","despite reports to the contrary, sweden is paying heavily for its decision not to lockdown. as of today, 2462 people have died there, a much higher number than the neighboring countries of norway (207), finland (206) or denmark (443). the united states made the correct decision!","cryin chuck schumer was on a late night show using a false talking point over & over again.'we don't have enough testing,'he would repeat, when he knows we have done a great job on testing, just like we have on ventilators and everything else.","wacko john boltons'exceedingly tedious'(new york times) book is made up of lies & fake stories. said all good about me, in print, until the day i fired him. a disgruntled boring fool who only wanted to go to war. never had a clue, was ostracized & happily dumped. what a dope!","congressman mark amodei ( is working hard for the incredible people of nevada! he is strong on immigration, taxes, job creation and he loves our military and vets. mark has my complete and total endorsement!","on this wonderful day, we celebrate our history, our heroes, our heritage, our flag, and our freedom. happy fourth of july to everyone!","congressman is a great supporter of the agenda! he fights for your rights and the border wall. scott is working hard for colorado and has my complete and total endorsement!","to all of our youth who are missing the start of their seasons, hang in there! we will get you back out on the fields, and know that you will be playing baseball soon we will get through this together, and bats will be swinging before you know it. in the meantime, take care of mom and dad, and know that this will not be forever!","chris jacobs ( will be a tremendous congressman who will always fight for new york. he is strong on the border, our military and vets, and the second amendment. chris has my complete and total endorsement! vote for chris on june 23!","i will be having a white house press conference today at 5:30 p.m. thank you!","i will be interviewed on at 8:00 a.m. enjoy!","just landed in pennsylvania, see everyone soon!","if i ever said something so mortifyingly stupid, the fake news media would come down on me with a vengeance. this is beyond a normal mistake. why isn't the media reporting it?","congressman jim banks ( is a fighter for indiana! a highly respected navy officer, jim works hard for our vets and small businesses. strongly supports the second amendment and our border wall! jim has my complete and total endorsement!","if people can go out and protest, riot, break into stores, and create all sorts of havoc, they can also go out and vote and keep our election honest. with millions of mail-in ballots being sent out, who knows where they are going, and to whom?","a really wonderful book. buy it and enjoy!","i will be having a white house press conference today at 5:00 p.m. thank you!","such a wonderful reception yesterday in pennsylvania. thank you!","i will be having a white house press conference today at 5:45 p.m. thank you!","i will be having a white house press conference today at 5:30 p.m. thank you!",". thank you for a great call yesterday with catholic leaders, and a great service today from","white house news conference at 5:30 p.m. eastern. thank you!","happy birthday to three time olympian and five term congressman,","there is a rise in coronavirus cases because our testing is so massive and so good, far bigger and better than any other country. this is great news, but even better news is that death, and the death rate, is down. also, younger people, who get better much easier and faster!","great new book out today by get your copy today!","just departed the for the great state of michigan!","june 14th just happens to be my birthday, thank you! love our boaters, love our country!","ashley hinson ( will be a tremendous advocate for the people of iowa! she will fight for our military, vets, small businesses, & our incredible farmersa true supporter of our agenda! ashley has my complete and total endorsement!","cuomos been calling daily, even hourly, begging for everything, most of which should have been the states responsibility, such as new hospitals, beds, ventilators, etc. i got it all done for him, and everyone else, and now he seems to want independence! that won't happen!","who else gave the less than elite (we are the elite. we know how to win!) 260 great new federal judges, 2 scjs, low taxes, biggest ever reg. cuts, rebuilt military, choice, saved 2a & much more? not sleepy joe!","i hate to be promoting at&t, but is great news, not fake news. everybody should be carrying them!","today we commemorate the 100th anniversary of the birth of saint john paul ii. happy birthday!","congressman jeff fortenberry ( is a great advocate for nebraska. he fights for farmers, small businesses and our incredible vets and military. jeff has my complete and total endorsement!","watch live:trump supporters descend on tulsa on eve of trump rally via thank you to all. see you tonight in tulsa!","vote today for big jim, a great governor. love west virginia!","congressman dan meuser ( is a tremendous advocate for pennsylvania! dan loves our military, vets and the second amendment a real supporter of our agenda. dan has my complete and total endorsement!","having the g7 meeting in washington is very important for those countries, and the world!","happy birthday to melania, our great first lady!","a great man for washington! will drain the swamp!","white house news conference today at 5:45 p.m. eastern. thank you!","i have retained highly respected pollster, mclaughlin & associates, to analyze todays cnn poll (and others), which i felt were fake based on the incredible enthusiasm we are receiving. read analysis for yourself. this is the same thing they and others did when we defeated crooked hillary clinton in 2016.they are called suppression polls, and are put out to dampen enthusiasm. despite 3 12 years of phony witch hunts, we are winning, and will close it out on november 3rd!","i will be having a white house press conference today at 5:45 p.m. thank you!","the paycheck protection program is now available! business guidance & loan resources:","as you know, i designated this day to be a national day of prayer. as our nation heals, our spirit has never been stronger!","if you want your 401ks and stocks, which are getting close to an all time high (nasdaq is already there), to disintegrate and disappear, vote for the radical left do nothing democrats and corrupt joe biden. massive tax hikes-they will make you very poor, fast!","big 4th of july air show soon coming down the east coast. get ready to look up to the sky. check local listings!","will be interviewed on tonight at 9:00 p.m. enjoy!","port tampa bay in florida will be awarded $19.9 million from to improve hookers point container facility, adding much-needed capacity to keep commerce moving and allowing the region to grow!","so now the fake news is tracing the coronavirus origins back to europe, not china. this is a first! i wonder what the failing new york times got for this one? are there any named sources? they were recently thrown out of china like dogs, and obviously want back in. sad!","white house news conference today at 6:00 p.m. eastern. thank you!","great job being done by dr. nicole saphier on","i will be interviewed by at 10:00 a.m. on thank you!","sleepy joe biden (mostly his reps.) went crazy when i banned, in late january, people coming in from china. he called me'xenophobic'& then went equally'nuts'when we let in 44,000 people-until he was told they were american citizens coming home. he later apologized!","the opening of a cold case against psycho joe scarborough was not a donald trump original thought, this has been going on for years, long before i joined the chorus. in 2016 when joe & his wacky future ex-wife, mika, would endlessly interview me, i would always be thinking........about whether or not joe could have done such a horrible thing? maybe or maybe not, but i find joe to be a total nut job, and i knew him well, far better than most. so many unanswered & obvious questions, but i won't bring them up now! law enforcement eventually will?",". thank you for a great call yesterday with catholic leaders, and a great service today from","white house news conference today at 5:00 p.m. eastern. thank you!","macys at 34th. street, long the largest single department store anywhere in the world, & a point of pride in nyc, was devastated yesterday when hoodlums and thieves vandalized it, breaking almost all of its large panels of storefront glass. what a shame. bring in national guard!","wishing a happy passover to those celebrating in the united states, israel, and around the world!","white house news conference at 5:30 p.m. eastern. thank you!","i will be having a white house press conference today at 5:30 p.m. thank you!","on behalf of our entire nation, congratulations to the incredible west point class of 2020!","congratulations to randy feenstra on your big win in the iowa republican primary. you will be a great congressman!","white house news conference at 5:45 p.m. eastern. thank you!","great work on behalf of the american people, thank you!","congressman mike simpson ( is a tremendous champion for idaho! mike is working hard for our incredible farmers, and he strongly supports our military, vets and the second amendment. mike has my complete and total endorsement!","the supreme court sends case back to lower court, arguments to continue. this is all a political prosecution. i won the mueller witch hunt, and others, and now i have to keep fighting in a politically corrupt new york. not fair to this presidency or administration!","nobody briefed or told me, pence, or chief of staff about the so-called attacks on our troops in afghanistan by russians, as reported through an'anonymous source'by the fake news everybody is denying it & there have not been many attacks on us.....","congressman john curtis ( gets things done for utah! john fights for small businesses, will lower your taxes, and will protect your second amendment. he has my complete and total endorsement!","sean parnell is a star. we need him in washington to drain the swamp!","today, celebrates the two year anniversary of her initiative dedicated to bringing awareness to issues that impact the lives of children. congratulations, and thank you!","have a good time this morning at first baptist dallas church. the wonderful pastor will be joined by our great mike pence!","white house news conference at 5:45.thank you!","if i were a senator or congressman, the first person i would call to testify about the biggest political crime and scandal in the history of the usa, by far, is former president obama. he knew everything. do it just do it. no more mr. nice guy. no more talk!","great rally and fantastic job on this morning. it is all happening!","white house news conference today at 5:30 p.m. eastern. thank you!","sean ( has my complete and total endorsement!","a really great woman, and what a job she is doing!","great book. get it and support charlie!","why is it that china, for decades, and with a population much bigger than ours, is paying a tiny fraction of $s to the world health organization, the united nations and, worst of all, the world trade organization, where they are considered a so-called'developing country'and are therefore given massive advantages over the united states, and everyone else? prior to the plague floating in from china, our economy was blowing everybody away, the best of any country, ever. we will be there again, and soon!","now that the very expensive, unpopular and unfair individual mandate provision has been terminated by us, many states & the u.s. are asking the supreme court that obamacare itself be terminated so that it can be replaced with a far better and much less expensive alternative..... obamacare is a joke! deductible is far too high and the overall cost is ridiculous. my administration has gone out of its way to manage oc much better than previous, but it is still no good. i will always protect people with pre-existing conditions, always, always,always!!!","looking forward to being in allentown, pennsylvania, on thursday. i love the state, and for very good reason!","this picture seems like just yesterday when ronald recieved the congressional medal of honor. what a man!","when wacko john bolton went on deface the nation and so stupidly said that he looked at the'libyan model'for north korea, all hell broke out. kim jong un, who we were getting along with very well, went'ballistic', just like his missiles-and rightfully so he didn't want bolton anywhere near him. boltons dumbest of all statements set us back very badly with north korea, even now. i asked him,'what the hell were you thinking?'he had no answer and just apologized. that was early on, i should have fired him right then & there!","the wall street journal always'forgets'to mention that the ratings for the white house press briefings are'through the roof'(monday night football, bachelor finale, according to & is only way for me to escape the fake news & get my views across. wsj is fake news!","congresswoman jackie walorski ( is doing an incredible job for indiana. she fights for small businesses, the economy, and our incredible military and vets! jackie has my complete and total endorsement!","getting ready to land in the great state of arizona!","congressman buddy carter ( keeps fighting for the incredible people of georgia. buddy has my complete and total endorsement! vote for buddy!","white house news conference at 6:45 p.m. eastern. thank you!","actually, a great book by a great and highly respected historian, doug wead!","the national guard has arrived on the scene. they are in minneapolis and fully prepared. george floyd will not have died in vain. respect his memory!!!","because the t.v. ratings for the white house news conferences are the highest, the opposition party (lamestream media), the radical left, do nothing democrats &, of course, the few remaining rinos, are doing everything in their power to disparage & end them. the peoples voice!","happy birthday to the great cindy adams of the new york post. cindy is 90,but looks 39 to me. she is going strong!","lisa scheller ( will fight for the incredible people of pennsylvania in congress! she strongly supports our military, vets, small businesses and the second amendment. lisa has my complete and total endorsement!","the last administration presided over the closing of the space shuttle and almost all of the giant facility that keeps so many people working, so many brilliant minds going. people were crying. they were devastated. but now it's the greatest of its kind anywhere in the world and will get greater and greater with years to come. i promise you that.","doing more than anybody else anywhere in the world. nothing funny about that, jon.","china has also unlawfully claimed territory in the pacific ocean, threatening freedom of navigation and international trade. and they broke their word to the world on ensuring the autonomy of hong kong.","i also like money going directly to people. it's not their fault that this happened.","we're close to finalizing the second partnership through which a u.s. manufacturer would convert its existing plant to produce over 10 million additional swabs per month. and we should be ready to announce this in a very short period of time.","hopefully it'll keep going as it was pre-the chinese plague coming in because when the plague came in, the whole thing changed. so i have to build it. once i built the greatest economy in the history of this country and the history of the world, and now i'm doing it again and we'll top it and we'll top it very soon.","i mean, if you took a number and cut it half, and half, and in half again, you'd end up at 500,000 people okay? if you want to make a very conservative guesstimate. five hundred thousand people is not acceptable. is that a correct sort of an analogy?","instead of saying and we offered this to him:no, no, we will take the conversation where, fortunately, we had that transcript. if we didn't have a transcript with the kind of deception and dishonesty that were practiced by the democrats, i might not be standing here right now. okay? fortunately, we had a transcript and it was a perfect transcript, because even the lieutenant colonel admitted it was correct. okay?","and that's a good thing and a bad thing. here's what's bad about it. we tested i think, 20 some odd million people now, right? no country is even close to that. you look at 4 million, maybe 5 million in germany, no country's even close to 20 million. the problem is when you test, you're finding cases, you're finding kids that had it and you know, etc, etc.","but seems to be very safe. but that study was a phony study put out by the va.","you don't leave and then write a book. and he's got, you know, i think he's got a lot of legal problems for doing it. i think he's got probably a lot of legal problems. he should not have done what he did. but you don't leave the office and go out and write a book about a current administration that's doing well, but about a current administration.","probably the greatest month we've ever had. i guess, if you look at the charts, we were we gave the charts to the fake-news media; they have them. and probably the greatest month we ever had in terms of that. and we haven't even started yet because new york is closed, which is starting to open. and california is essentially closed but starting to open.","china has to spend almost $250 billion on purchasing our products, $40-to $50 billion with our farmers. and the bernie sanders people are big believers on what i'm saying on trade. and i got a lot of them in the last election.","now, all of a sudden, i think you know very well, we've taken in tens of billions of dollars. i helped the farmers by giving them, two years ago, $12 billion all coming from china and we had plenty leftover too. and then the following year, $16 billion. and this year, we're also going to help our farmers. but nobody has ever done a thing like that. because they were targeted unfairly by china.","my administration continues to execute our massive military operation to supply our hospitals with equipment they need, and beds, if necessary. but it looks like we're totally covered on beds. we have plenty of beds. it's highly unlikely that would be bad news if we needed more beds. but it looks like it's going just the opposite direction.","they could have stopped it in china. and they did stop it going into china, for the most part, but they didn't stop it. beijing had a little bit of an outbreak, i understand, recently, but i would view that as somewhat different. they stopped it from going into china, but they didn't stop it from going to the u.s. and the world.","but all i did was endorse a candidate that's highly qualified a very respected person and all hell broke loose as soon as i did that.","so we're doing something very dramatic, and there's never been there hasn't been anything like what we've done since this a mobilization since world war two.","and one of the reasons we chose your state, as you know, kevin, was that you've done so so well with the covid.","so we're giving maine back a big part of its history, a big part of its industry, and we're giving you back your fishing rights to 5,000 miles of square miles that's a lot. boy, that's a big chunk. that's a big chunk of water, isn't that right?","every one of the workers in this project volunteered to take part in the greatest industrialization and mobilization project that our society has done, the american people have done in our lifetimes.","we don't want we i had one restaurant owner come up to me and say, sir, you know, i'm going to be opening up, but if i distance too much, i have 50 percent of the restaurant i had. and i said, and you'll also have a worse atmosphere. we want to be back where we can have we want it to be the way it was, because the way it was is the right way. we can't have somebody with a half a restaurant. you understand. he got 175 seats; now he's got half. that's not going to pay the rent or whatever.","no, i don't want to put a timescale because then the the media, the so-called so-called media lamestream media will say, he said a time. i don't want to say times, because every time i say a time, if you don't hit it, they'll say so i don't want to talk about time.","he got hit like everybody else. they went about it differently than us. i closed down from china, i closed down from europe, and we did a lot of close-downs. we had to close down from brazil. you're asking about brazil; we closed down, as you know, the other night from brazil.","we had to close down. we did the right thing. we closed it down and we saved millions of lives.","on tuesday, we announced $315 million in federal funding for michigan to increase testing and contact tracing and disease surveillance. so we're going all out. we want to make sure everything is absolutely perfect.","people that were in that room will tell you i think there were 21 people i was the only one in the whole room that wanted to do it. fortunately, i was the one that counted for that purpose. we put on a ban because i was reading bad things about china.","and today, 750,000 new protective gowns landed in dallas, texas, as a result of a partnership led by the federal government, dupont, and fedex. and that's been a great partnership. that's worked very well. so we have 600 and and we have 750,000 new protective gowns. and these are at a high level very high quality.","using our emergency public health authorities, we prevented a coronavirus catastrophe on the southern border, shutting down human smuggling and swiftly returning the crossers we call them crossers. they cross now, and we bring them right back. in the old days, it would take years to get them back. they wouldn't get them back. other administrations, like the previous administration, essentially didn't bring them back.","i said the other night, there are so many names to this. i could name 19 names, like corona-19.but i could name 19 names.","the true conservative republicans around this table, of which there are about seven seven solid but i still like the other ones, too. but they would say that they would say that's music to their ears, right?","so we've done 25 million tests. that means we show a lot of cases and that's all fine, but it makes us look bad, even though it should make us look good.","you have other people where the company is the same size, but you have 2,000 owners. what do you think of that?","you won't have a second amendment, you won't have religious liberty, you won't have anything. this i used to say, the other election the last election 2016,that you're a part of. i used to say that that was the most important election. i think it's superseded now because they've gone stone-cold crazy and they will do things that you wouldn't believe.","they said to me, what was the toughest...-friends of mine what's the toughest country to deal with? who is it? is it china? is it russia? could it be north korea? i said, no, it's the united states of america. the toughest country to deal with because we have schumer and pelosi and people that are bad people that i honestly believe don't love our country.","so, our conservation rules are they overly tough or are they ridiculous? because other countries don't have any conservation rules, right? most other countries.","we have you know who is in charge of it? honestly? i am. i'll tell you, i'm really in charge of it. i could say somebody else. i will say, we're dealing with, as you know, the general and the admiral. they're very much in charge. but i think probably, more than anything, i'm in charge. and i'm the one that gets blamed. and i get blamed anyway.","so again, when we have cases we have more cases than anybody else does anybody really believe that we have more cases than china? but they don't talk about numbers like this. and other countries. but we report everything.","these are high-quality ventilators. we had a choice:we could do inexpensive, less productive ventilators or high-quality. we've done a high-quality ventilator.","mike pence went out to a factory in wisconsin just the other day, three days ago. and he came back; he could not believe how incredible the factory was. they're making thousands of ventilators every couple of months. thousands.","so, a lot of progress is being made on a vaccine. but you never know, right? you never know. you know, with sars, they didn't come up with a vaccine. and sometimes they don't, and sometimes they do. i will say this:i don't think there was the same effort because a lot of people don't know what sars is and some people do. but but they do come up with vaccines.","montana will begin lifting restrictions on friday. ohio, north dakota, and idaho have advised non-essential businesses to prepare for a phased opening starting may 1st.","you see what we've done on ventilators. we're now we're the kings. i have many countries calling. we're the king of ventilators. countries are calling, and they're calling all the time now can we help them with ventilators. and we are helping some countries. we spoke to a number of them today:indonesia, honduras, el salvador. we spoke to numerous countries today. you probably saw that.","we were doing the greatest we had the greatest economy we ever had, the greatest job numbers we ever had, the greatest of everything. there wasn't a thing where we weren't number one. we were beating them and they were having a tough year. sixty-seven. it was one of the worst years they had in 67 years. and we were doing great. and then they said there's a plague coming over from china. here it comes. what a disgrace. what a disgrace. and now you saw, last week, the jobs numbers, the biggest ever. you saw the retail sales numbers, the biggest ever. number one.","we have done a tremendous job in the state of michigan not only in terms of bringing autos back and auto productions back, but also in terms of fighting the virus. we're fighting it, and we're fighting it very, very hard. it came from china. we're not happy about it. we just signed a trade deal. the ink wasn't dry and, all of a sudden, this floated in. we are not going to take it lightly.","we have tests that they don't even think of, other countries. you know, you hear about south korea. they're always congratulating me and the great job i've done with testing, but the media, the fake news, doesn't get the word out. that's why it's good to speak to you.","i saw what happened in dallas where they kicked the guy to death. i don't know if he died or not, but if he did, this it's a miracle what they did to him. they were kicking him. like, i've never seen anything like it in my life.","so that's the only thing, because you must go back and torture yourself with where did.","but you had a quarterback, drew henson, who was actually the starter, and he signed with the yankees","by the way, president of ukraine, foreign minister said, he did nothing wrong. and over that, with 196 to nothing vote by the republicans not one dissenting republican vote dishonest democrats impeached a president of the united states. that man is a disgrace to igs.","well look how tough i've been on huawei. nobody has been tougher than me on huawei. look at what's going on with huawei. i mean, we've convinced other nations not to do business with them. whether it's u.k. or italy or others. we can give you all the list. nobody has ever been so tough on a company as i have to huawei... so, nobody has been tough on huawei like me, and there's nobody been tough on china like me. now, i don't know what bolton has said.","so the good part about that is if you do go out, and if we do want to do stimulus or whatever we want to do, we're borrowing at zero and the dollar is very strong.","and other companies, other countries want to be in our currency. so we're we're getting all of the investment wanting to come into the dollar. the dollar is the strength. the dollar is the whole ballgame. we have a strong dollar. other currencies are going down way, way down in some cases.","but we're going to have a tremendous success. i did it once. we had the greatest numbers we've ever had.","you know, john bel edwards is the governor there. we worked very well with him in louisiana. that was a surprise because it sprung up from nowhere. it just came from nowhere. so i don't know. i think we've gotten really along. i got along very well with andrew cuomo, really.","but what happened is there was a lot to start off with, and then you had the virus, and it knocked the hell out of the market, it in terms of demand. so there's no demand and there's tremendous supply.","china was way early and they're getting under control just now. and europe was way early, and they're getting under control. we followed them, with this terrible china virus, and we are likewise getting under control. some areas that were very hard-hit are now doing very well. some were doing very well, and we thought they may be gone and they flare up, and we're putting out the fires. but other places were long before us, and they're now it's like life; it's got a life. and we're putting out that life, because that's a bad life that we're talking about.","following the announcement of our reopening guidelines, there have been some very partisan voices in the media and in politics who have spread false and misleading information about our testing capacity it's totally false and misleading demonstrating a complete failure to understand the enormous scope of the testing capabilities that we've brought online. and we started, really, from ground zero. we started from really being very, very outdated and obsolete as a country, from the past.","it was a disgrace that they could get away with a thing like that where they took it to that level over something that was there was nothing done wrong.","well, $273 million a lot of that's going to go toward trying to solve that problem. it's a problem that can be solved.","but i've dealt with a lot of different countries and i will say that no the respect for silicon valley and our tech companies there's nobody even close to our tech companies. they can't catch them. so they try and buy them, but we sort of put an end to a lot of that.","it probably ended the first world war because the soldiers were all getting sick. it was the worst the world has ever seen that we know of. we have something that's different. it's not as powerful, but it's far more contagious.","a couple of people have told me deborah, you told me that if we didn't shake hands, the incidence of flu flu is a big deal also and that flu might be cut down in half. who knew that shaking hands was such a bad thing? i felt it. i mean, i always felt it. and, you know, i was never to a point where i can't shake somebody's hand. i knew people like that too. but there aren't too many of them.","they get attacked violently by this horrible disease. china should have china should have kept it where it was. they could have easily stopped it. they either lost control. they either suffered great incompetence. something happened, or i don't know the worst thing would be is if they knew this was going to happen, because, other than just, tonight, i heard and yesterday, they it hit beijing, to a certain extent.","i can only say that i go 20 hours a day and i'm all over the place, and everybody really says it. and what i've done is it does take a lot of it takes a lot of energy. takes a lot of energy, and if you don't have a lot of energy, you're not going to be a good president. i really believe that, you need a lot of energy to do this job.","police officers run straight toward this incredible harm. take the world trade center:they ran straight into the twin towers of 9/11.many of them never returned. never returned. vast numbers of new york's finest never returned.","so you're going to have more tests. if we do 3 million, everyone would say, oh, we're doing great, you know, in terms of cases. we're going to have more cases. if we did 3 million maybe that's what we should've done. i said if i would've done 3 million, they'd say, oh, they have very few cases. united states is doing well.","but if you remember, when i first came in, we didn't have ammunition. not a good way to fight a war. president obama left us no ammunition. okay? and he left us virtually no medical and ventilators. he left us the cupboard was dry, right? the cupboard was dry.","but when you send out 7.7 million mail-in ballots, there's forgeries, there's, frankly, duplication where they print ballots on the same kind of paper with the same kind of machinery and you can't tell the difference. and they send in thousands and thousands of fake ballots. and i'll tell you what:this nation can't be going down that path because it's a very dangerous path to go down.","we just sent a big transit package to new jersey. i just spoke to the governor of new jersey, who is a terrific person, by the way, i have to tell you. and i just told him, a lot of money is coming your way for the transit. and also, i spoke with the governor of new york, governor cuomo. we just had a conversation yesterday. we're sending them a lot of transportation money. so it's important. but we've had a very good relationship working with all of the states regardless. all of the states.","i had a good talk with the governor of georgia.","the democrats want to increase everybody's taxes by a lot. they want to do things that are going to be a disaster, regulations all over the place. and if you do that, you're going to have a crash, and it will crash like crazy. and that's one of the reasons that the stock market right now would be up even more if there was no possibility that a guy like biden, that has no idea, he's had 47 years of failure. everything he's touched it's been a failure. and if he got in, you will have, mark my words, a crash.","but i then made a speech and it was a speech about the rocket, and i devoted 25 percent of the speech probably to what happened or more to what happened with respect to george george floyd, and it was and then you listen to this, he doesn't talk about george floyd. the rocket went off, i then i made a speech, and i talked about george floyd, but they said he didn't talk about george floyd.","we did 25-plus 25 million tests. think of that:25 million. if you look at other countries, they did 1 million, 2 million, 3 million. big countries. we did 25 million. way more by double, triple, quadruple any other country. therefore, with tests, we're going to have more cases. by having more cases, it sounds bad, but actually what it is, is we're finding people. many of those people aren't sick or very little. you know, they may be young people.","they call them cases. and that's only because our testing is much better.","scientists at the nih began developing the first vaccine candidate on january 11th think of that within hours of the virus's genetic code being posted online. so, january 11th. most people never even heard what was going on january 11th. and we were out there trying to develop a vaccine, not even knowing what we were up against.","we tested now 6.5 million people. the next highest is i think it's 2.5 million people, either germany or south korea. and south korea thinks we have done an incredible job.","so the percentage of veterans reporting that they trust the va and the va services is now the highest in the history of the service. satisfaction with the va outpatient care has reached 89 percent, and we're not going to rest until we have it at 100 percent, robert.","now, if you look at some of the reports that came out from italy, that came out from france, that came out from other a lot of our frontline workers take it because it possibly, and i think it does, but you know, people are going to have to make up their own mind. plus, it doesn't hurt people. it's been out on the market for 60 or 65 years for malaria, lupus, and other things. i think it gives you an additional level of safety.","also, we'll encourage pilot programs that allow social workers to join certain law enforcement officers so that they work together.","remember, when he was on laura two weeks ago, the whole world got shaken up. he just gives a very simple he's a very cool guy actually. you know, he gives like simple answer, then laura, who's great, she goes the she goes on to the next question, then she goes, whoa, wait, what did you just say? you know, she goes back because he gave a very strong answer two weeks ago, and yet he said so beautifully and he carries a big stick.","in previous decades, politicians shipped away our jobs, outsourced our supply chains, and offshored our industries. they sent them abroad and we're bringing them back. and we've been doing that long before this crisis. we're bringing them back. that's why we have so many plants being built all over the united states that make a beautiful product called cars. bringing them back. you see it.","they're paying a lot of money. what what's this thing about? and the father is there saying, get rid of the prosecutor. if you don't get rid of the prosecutor, forget it. was it $2 billion? you're not going to get it.","so, therefore, people want to invest. if we do a bond issue to do infrastructure, everybody wants a piece of that issue, even at zero interest.","how about ulysses s. grant? they want the confederate soldiers. but all of a sudden, they go after grant. but he's the one that defeated the confederate soldiers. so what's that all about?","canada has been very tough. very tough. you know why? because they got away with it. that's all. because people sitting here didn't know what the hell they were doing.","almost $40 a barrel, a couple of months ago it was zero and we were going to lose 10 million energy jobs, 10 million jobs. so, texas and oklahoma and north dakota and many other states would have been hurt. now, you think you're going to be hurt there, you try putting aoc in charge of your energy. that will make the pandemic look like child's play to the people in energy.","we did the right thing. we closed it up. we would have lost millions of lives. we've done a historic thing. we would have lost millions of lives.","but despite that, if you look despite an illegal witch hunt and that's what it was:it was a hoax; it was a witch hunt. the russian thing was a made-up, fabricated story. just like they went to congresswoman kelsey gabbard i don't know her at all and they said, you're a russian agent. i don't know her, but i know she's not a russian agent. then they went to dr. jill stein, of the green party. they said she's a russian agent. i don't know her at all. i know she's not a russian agent.","a lot of this equipment is coming.","last year, we were able to add poland to the visa waiver program. and they wanted that very badly, and we gave it to them because they really deserve it. it's a testament to poland's vigilant efforts to uphold the rule of law.","following our use of the defense production act, gm announced that its first ventilators come off the assembly line in kokomo, indiana a great place. they did it in 11 days, from start to finish, a remarkable testament to the ingenuity of the american worker. gm will ship over 600 ventilators this month alone, with thousands more to come. and we have other companies doing something similar.","they do get orders for a lot more than sometimes we think an area needs. generally speaking, we like to either negotiate that down or give it to them as they want.","they're closing one or two of the plants, actually.","and we had the drugstores stocked with the medicine, and that's fantastic.","you don't see the problem in minnesota now at all not even a little bit. you take a look at a great city it just a great, great city, minneapolis and it was under sees like nobody has ever seen where people are running from a police department, they great police and they were told to, they didn't want to run, they were told to. it's bad bad governing and i am not blaming the governor, i am blaming the mayor but we want to get all of this finished.","somebody said that a certain person i won't tell you, but a certain person said this will happen. and that's true. the problem is that person never did anything about it previous administrations. in previous admin-they never did anything about it.","he reported on a conversation that didn't happen, just like shifty schiff. shifty schiff went up before congress, and because he has immunity in other words, you can't put them in jail be-if he lies in front because they have immunity in the halls of congress, in the great hall. so he made a statement that was totally different from what i said.","and a lot of things like the paris accord the paris accord basically took your wealth away. it didn't give you the advantage. and i said, i won't sign it, because it took the wealth of this country away because they didn't want us to use our energy. they didn't want us to use our our great asset.","a lot of our frontline workers take because it possibly, and i think it does, but you know, people are going to have to make up their own mind.","and im endorsing you also lacy, you truly deserve it. you are doing a great job, and omar is a disaster who wants much higher taxes, hates our military & our vets, demands open borders, and is fighting to take away our great 2nd amendment. good luck lacy!","congresswoman carol miller ( is a tremendous advocate for the people of west virginia! she fights for our coal miners, the second amendment and for lower taxes. carol has my complete and total endorsement!","please study this closely. we saved many lives with our fast action on coronavirus!","im proposing a $50m award to from to reconstruct the tropicana avenue/i-15 interchange. so important for improving and reducing traffic in this booming area!","intel chief releases info on unmasking of flynn to capitol hill via","its a terrible situation, and i blame the leaders of those cities. the president of the united states has fought through a lot of different things since hes been in office, and to be honest with you, hes done one hell of a job.","please let this serve as my complete and total endorsement of a great fighter and ally in north carolina, she is strong on crime, borders, military, our great vets & 2a. she will be a great help to me in dc. early voting starts today. we need lynda bennett!","john kelly didnt know i was going to fire james mattis, nor did he have any knowledge of my asking for a letter of resignation. why would i tell him, he was not in my inner-circle, was totally exhausted by the job, and in the end just slinked away into obscurity. they all want to come back for a piece of the limelight!","sleepy joe biden refuses to leave his basement sanctuary and tell his radical left bosses that they are heading in the wrong direction. tell them to get out of seattle now. liberal governor is looking the fool. law & order!","be sure to watch, witch hunt, the flynn vindication hosted by the very knowledgeable on tonight at 8:00 p.m. this is yet another part of the greatest criminal hoax in american history!","sorry fake news, its all on tape. i banned china long before people spoke up.","he cannot pass the test i'aced'. he should give it a try!!!","senator of iowa has a new book, daughter of the heartland:my ode to the country that raised me. the first female combat veteran elected to serve in the u.s. senate joni is as tough as they come and a true inspiration for women everywhere. get her book today!","he cannot pass the test i aced. he should give it a try!!!","john james will be a great senator for michigan!","thank you to harvard and all others!","many testing sites are, and have been, open & available. just passed 5 million tests, far more than any other country in the world. in fact, more than all other major countries combined! don't believe the fake news!",". dems say president trump is trying to open the united states economy too quickly, but, if i took even a little more time, they would loudly chant that i am moving too slowly. just political talking points for them. for me its about lives & the future of our country!","i've done more for black americans, in fact, than any president in u.s. history... the possible exception of another republican president, the late, great, abraham lincoln...and its not even close. the democrats know this, and so does the fake news, but they refuse to write or say it because they are inherently corrupt!","just watched mike wallace wannabe, chris wallace, on i am now convinced that he is even worse than sleepy eyes chuck todd of meet the press(please!), or the people over at deface the nation. what the hell is happening to its a whole new ballgame over there!","the men and women of the national guard have been doing a great job fighting the coronavirus. this week, i will extend their title 32 orders through mid-august, so they can continue to help states succeed in their response and recovery efforts.","colin powell, a real stiff who was very responsible for getting us into the disastrous middle east wars, just announced he will be voting for another stiff, sleepy joe biden. didnt powell say that iraq had weapons of mass destruction? they didnt, but off we went to war!","96% approval rating in the republican party. thank you! also, just out, highest ever approval rating overall in the new gallup poll, and shows trump beating sleepy joe biden.","our economy is roaring back and will not be shut down. embers or flare ups will be put out, as necessary!","congressman is a tremendous fighter for the great state of ohio! he is tough on crime, our border, second amendment, and helps us combat illegal drugs! david has my complete and total endorsement!","thank you frank. fredos ratings are really bad, more than 50% down. a loser!!!","corrupt joe biden has confirmed that he would give unlimited healthcare to illegal immigrants. this would break our system and bring millions of people to the usa.","congressman hal rogers is doing a tremendous job for the people of kentucky! he is strong on the border, life and always protects your second amendment. hal has my complete and total endorsement!","congressman is doing a great job for the people of ohio! he will always protect your defend our borders, and support small business a great supporter of the agenda. troy has my complete and total endorsement!","first the fake news media said that its not fair for the president of the united states to be giving news conferences, but it is the only way i can reach the american people, as seen in the below poll.","mattis was our countrys most overrated general. he talked a lot, but never brought home the bacon. he was terrible! someday i will tell the real story on him and others-both good and bad!",". & msdnc are doing everything possible to'inflame'the crowd. fortunately they have a very small audience!","we have informed both india and china that the united states is ready, willing and able to mediate or arbitrate their now raging border dispute. thank you!",". oh bye the way, i appreciate the message from former president bush, but where was he during impeachment calling for putting partisanship aside. he was nowhere to be found in speaking up against the greatest hoax in american history!","thank you my friend. america loves india!","trump team should get'a lot of credit'for fast coronavirus stimulus:cbo","the number of new yorkers admitted to hospitals has dropped. good news!","harvard should give back the money now. their whole endowment system should be looked at!","really great numbers by any standard-unbelievable! joe go it right also!","this is the letter sent to dr. tedros of the world health organization. it is self-explanatory!","mail-in voting will lead to massive fraud and abuse. it will also lead to the end of our great republican party. we can never let this tragedy befall our nation","burgess owens, utah. we werent to sure in 2016,but we voted for the right person to take us through this process. thank you burgess. working hard!","a blow to her head? body found under his desk? left congress suddenly? big topic of discussion in florida...and, hes a nut job (with bad ratings). keep digging, use forensic geniuses!","sleepy joe biden and the radical left democrats want to'defund the police'. i want great and well paid law enforcement. i want law & order!","just out, highest ever approval rating overall in the new gallup poll, and shows'trump beating sleepy joe biden.'","this is no longer about peaceful protesting, this is about angry, violent, criminal mobs taking over certain (democrat run) cities. it is a lack of political leadership in that city. chad wolf","sleepy joe bidens people are so radical left that they are working to get the anarchists out of jail, and probably more. joe doesnt know anything about it, he is clueless, but they will be the real power, not joe. they will be calling the shots! big tax increases for all, plus!","looks whats going on here. where are the protesters? was this man arrested?","thank you cowboys. see you in new mexico!","vote by may 12th! his opponent voted to fire teachers, and cut their salaries while bumping up her pay. now shes mocking our great vets! we need navy fighter pilot mike garcia in","congressman joe wilson is a champion for the people of south carolina! he served our country as a colonel in the army, and now he serves our military & vets in congress. strong on the and border security! joe has my complete & total endorsement!","nyc is cutting police $s by one billion dollars, and yet the is going to paint a big, expensive, yellow black lives matter sign on fifth avenue, denigrating this luxury avenue. this will further antagonize new yorks finest, who love new york & vividly remember the horrible blm chant, pigs in a blanket, fry em like bacon. maybe our great police, who have been neutralized and scorned by a mayor who hates & disrespects them, wont let this symbol of hate be affixed to new yorks greatest street. spend this money fighting crime instead!","congressman is working hard for the people of kentucky! he fights for his fellow farmers, and is strong on trade, cutting taxes, and the second amendment. jamie has my complete and total endorsement!","thank you frank. its abc fake news. they knew they were wrong when they went with this hoax of a story!","they are one of the worst in the news business. total slime balls!","these are organized groups that have nothing to do with george floyd. sad!","i have authorized the federal government to arrest anyone who vandalizes or destroys any monument, statue or other such federal property in the u.s. with up to 10 years in prison, per the veterans memorial preservation act, or such other laws that may be pertinent.... this action is taken effective immediately, but may also be used retroactively for destruction or vandalism already caused. there will be no exceptions!","looting leads to shooting, and thats why a man was shot and killed in minneapolis on wednesday night-or look at what just happened in louisville with 7 people shot. i don't want this to happen, and thats what the expression put out last night means. it was spoken as a fact, not as a statement.","defunding police would be good for robbers & rapists.","great new book just out by the former director of ice, tom homan:defend the border and save lives:solving our most important humanitarian and security crisis. great guy, get your copy today!","thank you to william perry pendley of the bureau of land management. great job on describing some of the most beautiful land in the world!","mexico must take control of this very big problem!","chaos, lawlessness, and destruction take over new york. when will governor cuomo call the federal government for help?","im not running against sleepy joe biden. he is not even a factor. never was, remember 1% joe? im running against the radical left, do nothing democrats & their partner, the real opposition party, the lamestream fake news media! they are vicious & crazy, but we will win!","minneapolis city council unanimously approves proposal to disband police. the democrats would do this all over the u.s. it would be a disaster for safety & security!","republican ags come out in force against defunding police","95% approval rating of president trump in the republican party.","very troubled by durham probe findings. a.g. bill barr","it is amazing that i became president of the united states with such a totally corrupt and dishonest lamestream media going after me all day, and all night. either i'm really good, far better than the fake news wants to admit, or they dont have nearly the power as once thought!","as i have said for a long time, dealing with china is a very expensive thing to do. we just made a great trade deal, the ink was barely dry, and the world was hit by the plague from china. 100 trade deals wouldnt make up the difference-and all those innocent lives lost!","if i wasn't constantly harassed for three years by fake and illegal investigations, russia, russia, russia, and the impeachment hoax, id be up by 25 points on sleepy joe and the do nothing democrats. very unfair, but it is what it is!!!","soon heading to west point graduation to give the commencement address. will be shown live on plus. enjoy!","sleep joe bidens people are so radical left that they are working to get the anarchists out of jail, and probably more. joe doesnt know anything about it, he is clueless, but they will be the real power, not joe. they will be calling the shots! big tax increases for all, plus!","congressman adrian smith is a strong fighter for nebraska. he fights for your second amendment, defends our borders, strengthens our military and loves our vets! adrian has my complete and total endorsement!","sleepy joes representatives have just put out an ad saying that i went to play golf (exercise) today. they think i should stay in the white house at all times. what they didnt say is that its the first time ive played golf in almost 3 months, that biden was constantly vacationing, relaxing & making shady deals with other countries, & that barack was always playing golf, doing much of his traveling in a fume spewing 747 to play golf in hawaii-once even teeing off immediately after announcing the gruesome death of a great young man by isis!","how brilliant are our farmers? thank you real talent!","the opposition party (lamestream media) and their partner, the radical left, do nothing democrats, have put their political game plan in full swing. whether he is right or wrong, it doesnt matter. criticize trump for everything, and dont let the public see biden. hide him.","vote by may 12th! his opponent voted to fire teachers, and cut their salaries while bumping up her pay. now shes mocking our great vets! we need navy fighter pilot mike garcia in","on national former prisoner of war recognition day, we honor the more than 500,000 american warriors captured while protecting our way of life. we pay tribute to these patriots for their unwavering and unrelenting spirit!","vote by may 12th! his opponent voted to fire teachers, and cut their salaries while bumping up her pay. now shes mocking our great vets! we need navy fighter pilot mike garcia in",". ceo mark zuckerberg is today criticizing twitter. we have a different policy than twitter on this. i believe strongly that facebook shouldnt be the arbiter of truth of everything that people say online. did twitter criticize obama for his you can keep your dr.?","why are the democrats allowed to make fake and fraudulent ads. they should be called out. they did nothing when they had the chance. i have done far more than any president in first 3 1/2 years!","probably just another phony times hit job, just like their failed russia hoax. who is their source?","i am a big fan of drew brees. i think hes truly one of the greatest quarterbacks, but he should not have taken back his original stance on honoring our magnificent american flag. old glory is to be revered, cherished, and flown high we should be standing up straight and tall, ideally with a salute, or a hand on heart. there are other things you can protest, but not our great american flag-no kneeling!","if biden had any passion or respect for law enforcement, he kept it well hidden in his philadelphia address. he criticized cops far more than he did arsonists & looters. michael goodwin,","crazy nancy pelosi deleted this from her twitter account. she wanted everyone to pack into chinatown long after i closed the border to china. based on her statement, she is responsible for many deaths. shes an incompetent, third-rate politician!","im proud to commit $40.9m in funding to milwaukees east-west bus rapid transit project. bringing modern transit to the regions most critical corridor and spur millions in economic development. love wisconsin!","we did a great job on coronavirus, including the very early ban on china, ventilator production, and testing, which is by far the most, and best, in the world. we saved millions of u.s. lives.! yet the fake news refuses to acknowledge this in a positive way.","the united states cannot have all mail in ballots. it will be the greatest rigged election in history. people grab them from mailboxes, print thousands of forgeries and force people to sign. also, forge names. some absentee ok, when necessary. trying to use covid for this scam","boltons book, which is getting terrible reviews, is a compilation of lies and made up stories, all intended to make me look bad. many of the ridiculous statements he attributes to me were never made, pure fiction. just trying to get even for firing him like the sick puppy he is!","the only thing we got wrong is that it was even worse (the corruption) than we thought. dirty cops!","just finished dinner in bedminster, new jersey, with governor phil murphy ( and his wonderful wife, tammy. talked about many things, including the opening of the beautiful garden state, getting people back to work, and rebuilding americas infrastructure with projects like the portal north bridge, which i have given authorization to proceed!","if the fake news opposition party is pushing, with all their might, the fact that president trump ignored early warnings about the threat, then why did media & dems viciously criticize me when i instituted a travel ban on china? they said early & not necessary. corrupt media!","thank you tammy. you have quickly become a great voice for freedom!","democrats & activists call to defund police departments. theyve gone so far left that they eat their young.",". is a fighter for virginia, and we need him back in congress! he served our country as a navy seal, and he is strong on the border, military, and the second amendment. scott has my complete and total endorsement!","seattles chop is just the latest example of liberal (democrat) cities caving to lawlessness.","republicans feel that social media platforms totally silence conservatives voices. we will strongly regulate, or close them down, before we can ever allow this to happen. we saw what they attempted to do, and failed, in 2016.we cant let a more sophisticated version of that happen again. just like we cant let large scale mail-in ballots take root in our country. it would be a free for all on cheating, forgery and the theft of ballots. whoever cheated the most would win. likewise, social media. clean up your act, now!!!!","im designating $56.8m to to construct a redesigned interchange at i-95 and sr 896 in new castle county. huge improvement for traffic flow and safety in this important area!","a great senator. must return to washington. steve has my complete & total 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asked that the department of justice expedite the federal investigation into his death and do it immediately, do it as quickly as absolutely possible. it's a local situation, but we're also making it into a federal situation. and it's it's a terrible thing. we all saw what we saw, and it's very hard to even conceive of anything other than what we did see. it should never happen. it should never be allowed to happen, a thing like that.","going before the virus, china had the worst year they had in 67 years....sixty-seven or so years, the worst economy they've had the worst they've, almost on record, that they've ever had, because of my negotiators and because i taxed them on the product that the last year because of my negotiations and because we taxed them on the product that they brought in.","brian, if this were a republican and if this were 25 people would be in jail for 50 years. they would be in jail for 50 years and it would have happened two years ago because everybody knew this was a hoax. i called it the russian hoax, and russia, russia, russia. and some of the people in your network","hello everybody. we'll be going to the space center, we're going to be, hopefully, seeing a great launch. it's about a 50/50 shot, but it's important, i think, as president to be there. what we've done with nasa is amazing, and we brought it back from the dead. it was not essentially functioning, and now it's one of the great centers in the world.","we're going to oklahoma. and if you think about it relative to your question, think about it as a celebration. don't think about it as an inconvenience. think about this as a celebration, not as this will be.","one of the things that was very interesting you probably saw it; we put it out before though was sweden. and you compare the deaths in sweden to denmark and finland and norway and you know, i hate to say it, but the deaths are very, very substantially higher in sweden because they've used that as an example. brazil is very high, if you look at what's gone on the graph graphically very, very high. very straight up, almost. right, deborah? very straight up.","i did this big thing. i love them. i'd love them. they're incredible and they do. i said, general, i've got myself a problem, general, because i'm wearing leather bottom shoes, which is good if you're walking on flat surfaces. it's not good for ramps. and if i fall down, look at all those press back there, look at that.","well, there's been a big change. number one, we had to save millions of lives, which we've done with the shutdown. so, we had the greatest economy in our history. we had the greatest economy in world history. no country has ever done better than what we were doing just a number of months ago. and we had to turn it off to save a lot of lives, which we've done, and now we're opening it up again.","good program. you saw the beautiful rocket three weeks ago go up, beautiful. we will defend privacy, free thought, free speech, religious, liberty, and the right to keep and bear arms. and when you see those lunatics all over the streets, it's damn nice to have arms. interesting, how all of a sudden, people understand that, right?","and i will say i feel much different today than i did two or three days ago, and i think the world does. we spoke to a lot of leaders. the world feels that we're really leading a path of optimism. the european union is having a lot of difficulty. you know, you take a look at what's going on with the european union; it's having tremendous difficulty.","no, i have a good relationship with kim jong un. that's not a bad thing to have a good relationship. obama wanted a relationship; he wouldn't meet with obama. wouldn't meet with him. okay? i have a good relationship with him.","so we're looking at the very strongly, but on the thrift fund, you know, it's run by the obama appointments, right. and we said you got to do this, and we're going to find out whether or not they're going to do it very soon, and if they're not we're going to replace them very quickly.","this country would be in such trouble. i will this, i've never seen spirit, not even last time, not even in 2016,because then they didn't really know. they didn't know exactly, you know, i didn't do it yet politically and now i've done it with the tax cuts to regulation, cuts the rebuilding of the military, space force, all of the things that we've done.","but, again, we are the greatest fighting force in the world. we're not a police force that's going to stay around, and police the streets, and check out the red lights and traffic. it's not what we're supposed to be doing. been there a long time.","by having more tests, we find more cases.... the reason we have more cases than other countries is because our testing is so much.","we made a great deal with south korea. we made a great deal...the south korea deal was a terrible deal and we made it good. hillary clinton actually made that deal. she said,'it's going to produce 250,000 jobs.'and she was right; it produced 250,000 jobs for south korea, not for us. wasn't too good, was it?","it's a very tough situation. we're talking to india. we're talking to china. they've got a big problem there. they've come to blows, and we'll see what happens. we'll try and help them out.","all you need now is a signature of the governor. and those millions of gallons of wasted water going into the pacific, that's like a drop in the bucket. it doesn't mean anything to the pacific. all of that water would come right down, all the way into los angeles.","i mean, i could even have you see the doctor over here, because white white house doctor. ask the white house doctor to come.","the federal government is also funding over 35,000 members of the national guard to help states deliver critical supplies to nursing homes and to assist with disinfecting and testing.","no, if you don't have a vaccine, if the virus is gone, we're like we were before. but having a vaccine would be a great thing. and i think we're going to get there in this case, just based on what i know, but we'll see what happens.","and saudi arabia, i think want to get it","now they're asking whether or not we could open up the ship for covid. we have given the governor of new york more than anybody has ever been given in a long time. i'll just say i was going to say in history, but in a long time. and i think he's happy.","excuse me. wait a minute. let me finish. i've heard about this for a long time pandemics. you don't want pandemics. and i don't think he was talking about a specific pandemic. he was talking about the threat of a pandemic could happen. and it could happen. most people thought it wouldn't and most people didn't understand the severity of it. this is a very severe. what's happened is very severe. but i'd let you answer that. i assume that he was talking about the concept of a pandemic.","i don't know. why didn't he do it before? he was doing right before the election.","the legislation passed by the senate yesterday and i want to thank everybody. a great, great vote. great. it's as you know, it was a unanimous vote. how often do you see that? but the legislation passed by the senate yesterday includes an additional $25 billion to further expand testing, and provides even more funding for community health centers and various forms of epidemics and pandemics. and we'll be working on that because, you know, as per a couple of your statements and questions before, we want to work on that for the future.","and when it comes to the ventilators, which are very complex, we are now building we have now, under construction, literally thousands of ventilators. so but so far, i think our projections on ventilators have been right. they've been correct.","and you have a lot of excess testing capacity. that's great.","we're double. if you add them up and double them, we've done more tests. but i can't get the press to print that, unfortunately.","testing on the plane. getting on the planes.","but this should never have happened. this should never have happened. this virus should not have spread all over the world. they should have put it out. they should have let us and other people in other countries go in and put it out. because people knew it was happening.","so, with that, i'd love to start with brian moynihan, the ceo of bank of america, who is one of the sba's first partners in implementing the paycheck protection program.","my goal is to produce everything america needs for ourselves and then export to the world, and that includes medicines. it's very important. too reliant on other countries. and i've been saying that for a long time, long before i became elected president, right? he knows. he's been hearing it.","we rebuilt our military....our military was bad. we've rebuilt our military, $1.5 trillion.","we're looking for an obvious focus in the hardest-hit regions. some of them are obvious and some aren't so obvious. they spring up. they come and they they hit you like you got hit by a club, an area that wasn't at all bothered. you look at what's going on in new jersey the governor is doing an excellent job, by the way but how that sprang up.","we haven't played too much lately. but i will say this, what we have to do is get get it open. i see new jersey is opening up their golf courses. florida is now opening up their golf courses. parks are opening. beaches are opening. at some point we have to open our country. and people are going to be safe.","so he's there right now. and i will tell you, they he's a gentleman, mike pence. a real gentleman. and they requested the democrat senators requested a phone call with him yesterday. and i think they had, for the most part, all of them on like, approximately 47.i heard it was just about all of them, whatever it might be. i don't want to be wrong by 1 or 2 or 10 and have the press say, he lied. he told a lie. terrible, terrible. whatever it was. but they have 47,and i guess most of them were on.","i said there's going to be a v. and everybody is now saying that i was right.","and essentially, the same thing by the by the, if you take a look at the senate and the house, i mean it was the same thing. look, what they've done and now they continue to do it. remember this:when you see these numbers and testing, you're probably even surprised because i watch chuckie schumer get on television, and they have sound bites.","america should not take lectures on racial justice from joe biden, sleepy joe. a man who praised and partied with segregationist, shipped millions of black-american jobs overseas, and everyone else's jobs too. by the way, if i didn't come along, we're building auto plants, we're building everything, and there's never been a comeback like we're making right now, never been.","but here's the president of honduras saying how good it was. i mean, i didn't even bring up the subject. he brought it up. so the study has to be there.","our military was totally depleted. now we have the strongest military.","he's going around, i stood up for china. no, his son walked out with $1.5 billion to manage.","if you look at secretary the secretary general, who's terrific stoltenberg he's been terrific. he's probably my biggest fan. he said,'nobody else could've done what trump did.'","in addition, my administration is committed to restoring black and hispanic communities to full economic health. they want to be healthy, economically and physically, and that's what we're doing.","in recent weeks, we've held multiple conference calls with every state, as well as with d.c. and puerto rico. we jointly developed testing projections and goals for each state for the month of may, altogether totaling 12.9 million tests. think of that:12.9 million tests.","so they closed 5,000 square miles of ocean off your coast, right? that's amazing, paul. how did you let that how did they let that happen?","i gave them the greatest regulation cuts by far in history.","i saw a group of your people yesterday, having to do with ships. you're involved in that partnership and it's fantastic, what they're doing in wisconsin. it was really a great day.","we have many things, ok. well, i've taken in billions of dollars in tariffs. and these drug companies have to get on the ball because they're going all not only to china","obamagate. it's been going on for a long time. it's been going on from before i even got elected. and it's a disgrace that it happened.... you know what the crime is. the crime is very obvious to everybody.","and by the way, i'm not the only one, a lot of people don't want and the military would like to see it not change. so, we'll see what happens but i would be against it.","you know, they've had cases where they where they stopped everybody from coming in, and all the farmers went out of business. they were literally out of business. you remember that, bret. it was not so long ago. but they it's easy you know, it's easier to stop everything cold than it is to plan it so that the farmers have the people that have been working on those farms for many years. and and that's what we're doing.","for about a week and a half.","we got a lot of televisions. it's a great plane, great everything. by the way, we ordered new ones. no president wanted to do it. they thought it was luxuries, wait a minute, air force one is 31 years old, people don't realize that. so i said, they gave me a job very early in my administration, like, how about the first week.","in the meantime, nations that are heavily infected we have a lot of nations that are heavily infected. some are getting better. some are still on the way up, unfortunately. we're keeping very strong borders with those nations. but with canada, we are talking about different things.","i said, i do too, but i'm not paying $5.6 billion and i'm not paying $4.6 billion. i said, it has to have a three on the front of it. that's a hell of a lot of money too, but it is a rather complex situation. they said, no way, no way. this was before boeing had problems by the way, but boeing's coming back.","new york what we did was incredible:2,900 beds in a matter of days. what they've done is so incredible. and fema, what they've done. and the doctors and the professionals and all of the people that you see me with all the time. you know, these are great people, and they've really done a great job.","it's also why you fought so hard this spring, when covid struck, to secure paid sick leave for americans employed by small businesses and additional funding for child care providers helping millions and millions of americans remain employed and providing relief to small businesses across the country. this is going to ensure a faster and stronger recovery.","all of this incredible news is the result of historic actions my administration has taken working with our partners in congress to rescue the u.s. economy from a horrible event that was formed, took place in china, and came here. and they could have stopped it. they could have stopped it. nobody likes to write that, but they could have stopped it. they know it, and i know it.","we got $150 billion. the money that they're paying, other countries they weren't paying. we were paying for 100 percent of nato. and now other countries are putting up....they're putting up $150 billion a year. and it's going up to $400 billion.","we're dealing with many countries right now. many, many countries. and we're giving them whatever information we're able to glean.","the choices that twitter makes when it chooses to suppress, edit, blacklist, shadow, ban are editorial decisions, pure and simple. they're editorial decisions. in those moments, twitter ceases to be a neutral public platform, and they become an editor with a viewpoint. and i think we can say that about others also, whether you're looking at google, whether you're looking at facebook and perhaps others.","we figured out that it's much better to have it the old-fashioned way, right?","now that we have passed the peak in new cases, we're starting our life again, we're starting rejuvenation of our economy again, in a safe and structured and very responsible fashion.","by the end of the year, we'll have 400 plus, and we'll have it finished very shortly. fully financed, everything done, despite totally opp-we were totally opposed by the other party, as you know.","excuse me, we do say that and we use the act. and we've used it a number of times very powerfully. and a lot of times, we don't have to use it, because we say, we're going to use it if you don't do this or that.","by the way, was he tested? because he's about two feet away, i can't get away from him.","and now, it's a different kind of a campaign, but i think we'll do equally as well. but it can never be as happy, because of the death. economically, i think we're going to do as well or better, but all of the death all over the world, not just here. so, now 186 186 countries.","we have our military ready, willing and able if they ever want to call our military, but we can have troops in the ground very quickly if they ever want our military. they're using their national guard right now. the as you know, i guess, as you probably know, they have their national guard out. we can have our military there very quickly.","how has that been? how is the level of infection right now?","$1.3 billion for nothing. listen to this:i closed them, essentially. i said, we're not going to do business. they come and ask:how do we get out of this? i ask them for a lot of money. they pay $1.3 billion and other things, not just $1.3.and then the democrats say, oh, you could have gotten more. they didn't do it. do you understand?","so they're talking to who they think is a russian.","we had, as you know, the governor of louisiana in today and we told that story, which has been a really great story. and we had the governor of florida in yesterday. and that was a great story. these were just incredible what's been happening.","i am somebody that believes in faith. and it matters not what your faith is, but our politicians seem to treat different faiths very differently. and they seem to think and i don't know what happened with our country, but the christian faith is treated much differently than it was. and i think it's treated very unfairly.","look what happens when you disagree, you use a term that's perfect and they're not happy with it. they call you a racist, they call you a horrible person. they want to crush religious liberty. they don't want religion. silence, religious believers, indoctrinate your children with hateful and vicious lies about our country, subsidize late-term abortion, and after birth execution.","jackie krick, ceo and founder of ecu communications. jackie, please.","so, you you looked okay, but you still felt a shortness of breath.","if he deserves it, he should. if he has the playing ability, he was he started off great. and then, he didn't end up very great in terms of as a player. he he was terrific in his rookie year. i think he was very good in his second year, and then, something happened. so, his playing wasn't up to snuff.","and i view it very differently. but nobody has been tough on china like i am. and you know that. look under obama and biden, they got away with murder. this should have been... what i've been doing to china should have been done a long time ago. obama-biden never... they just came in and it was pillage. it was terrible.","we have a governor that doesn't want to open up the state....now, he's a democrat, and a lot of the democrats, for political reasons, don't want to open up their states.","tomorrow, america will celebrate a very important anniversary:the 245th birthday of the united states army. unrelated, going to be my birthday also. i don't know if that happened by accident. did that happen by accident, please? but it's a great day because of that army birthday.","billions and billions of dollars has already been sold, and when we open, we're going to be opening with a bang, and small businesses will be leading the charge. thank you very much.","and he'll do what's right. bill barr will do what's right, but what richard grenell has done for this country is incredible.","our people said, no, no, you need 4,000.maybe 5,000.anyway, we got him what we thought was right. they never needed all of them. in fact, they gave some to other people. but he didn't need 40-40,000,as opposed to 4,000 or 5,000.and it worked out great.","i don't think we should be changing the names and a lot of people agree. they were named after the civil war in some cases in order to bring people together, north and south.","the cupboards were bare. you've heard me say it a lot. when we came into this administration, those cupboards were bare.... under the previous administration, the stockpile was depleted and never fully refilled.","a friend of mine is darrell scott. and he's a great guy and he's got a tremendous heart. at the same time, he's a tough cookie. i think that's what maybe attracted me to him, unfortunately. i didn't get attracted to the good parts, but that's a good part, too.","and i'll tell you, i've been called by democrats that want to do this, and so i think you could possibly have a bipartisan situation. but we're fed up with it, and it's unfair, and it's been very unfair. and we'll see what happens.","what they did to this man they tormented him; they destroyed him. but he's going to come back like i say, he's going to come back bigger and better. but what they did to him, and i hear there's a lot of other stuff coming out if i believe everything i'm reading. because i like to stay out of it. i don't have to stay out of it at all. but i like to stay out of it.","and if we can help states, we're always going to help states.","your son is a great pilot. and i don't know if he could be could he be a could he be a thunderbird? i don't know.","so by opening up this 5,000 miles, you are just this is a treasure chest, huh?","i never saw anything like this. and you can't find that clip today.","well all i can say is happy mother's day. and i had a great mom. i love my mom, and she loved me, which isn't hard which is i must tell you, probably not easy to do, but she was so good to me. she was so good. i couldn't do any wrong, which is a big problem. maybe that's why i ended up the way i ended up. i don't know.","so i was hearing millions of people, and it would have been millions of people if we didn't shut down. now, would i shut it down again? no, because we understand it now much better. we didn't know anything about it, it was new, it was fresh.","we're working with the governors and we're working closely with the governors. the relationship has been very good. the vice president has had a lot of conversations over the last two weeks with either 50 or almost 50 governors on every conversation. and they've been really positive conversations.","we're working to ensure that the supplies are delivered where and when they're needed, and in some cases, we're telling governors we can't go there because we don't think you need it and we think someplace else needs it. and pretty much, so far, we've been right about that. and we'll continue to do it.","it's a very, very it's a very tough thing to have, very tough thing. you see that. i mean, you look at what's going on with the hospitals in new york and new jersey. i was i was watching a little while ago, and it's it's terrible, a terrible thing.","and we there was hasn't been one person that needed a ventilator that didn't get it, which is amazing. and now we're helping other countries, and we're stockpiling in case some tragedy like this happens again.","boltons book, which is getting terrible reviews, is a compilation of lies and made up stories, all intended to make me look bad. many of the ridiculous statements he attributes to me were never made, pure fiction. just trying to get even for firing him like the sick puppy he is!","i have done more for farmers and ranchers than any president in history, and it has been my honor in doing so!","great job being done by dr. nicole saphier on","sorry fake news, its all on tape. i banned china long before people spoke up.",". is to be seriously respected. he has long been considered one of the dumbest men in the world of journalism, and he became executive editor of the failing new york times. not easy to do. he has given up on figuring trump out. called it all wrong from the beginning, was forced to apologize (fake news!) after the seriously wrong call of the 2016 election, and is now willing to write anything, even if not truthful. he laughs at his boss, publisher a.g. sulzberger, and i laugh at them all. the is a total mess!","just out, highest ever approval rating overall in the new gallup poll, and shows'trump beating sleepy joe biden.'","congratulations to randy feenstra on your big win in the iowa republican primary. you will be a great congressman!","rather hard to believe that didn't know that the border wall is well under construction, fully financed, & already over 200 miles long? will soon be finished! they just reported that'it is something that dems are unlikely to budge on in this election year.'","sean parnell is a star. we need him in washington to drain the swamp!","probably just another phony times hit job, just like their failed russia hoax. who is their source?","i've had great'ratings'my whole life, theres nothing unusual about that for me. the white house news conference ratings are'through the roof'(monday night football, bachelor finale, but i don't care about that. i care about going around the fake news to the people!","i love seniors & protect preexisting cs.","yesterday was a bad day for the cuomo brothers. new york was lost to the looters, thugs, radical left, and all others forms of lowlife & scum. the governor refuses to accept my offer of a dominating national guard. nyc was ripped to pieces. likewise, fredos ratings are down 50%!","tremendous sincerity, what a guy. hard to believe, with this kind of political talent, his numbers would tank so badly in utah!","nyc is cutting police $s by one billion dollars, and yet the is going to paint a big, expensive, yellow black lives matter sign on fifth avenue, denigrating this luxury avenue. this will further antagonize new yorks finest, who love new york & vividly remember the horrible blm chant, pigs in a blanket, fry em like bacon. maybe our great police, who have been neutralized and scorned by a mayor who hates & disrespects them, wont let this symbol of hate be affixed to new yorks greatest street. spend this money fighting crime instead!","thank you to william perry pendley of the bureau of land management. great job on describing some of the most beautiful land in the world!","hire'debate questions to crooked hillary'fraud (and others who are even worse).","so the so-called hhs whistleblower was against hydroxychloroquine. then why did he make, and sign, an emergency use authorization? said,'he shared his concerns with a reporter.'in other words, he leaked. a dumb hit job on a grandstanding never trumper!","i have retained highly respected pollster, mclaughlin & associates, to analyze todays cnn poll (and others), which i felt were fake based on the incredible enthusiasm we are receiving. read analysis for yourself. this is the same thing they and others did when we defeated crooked hillary clinton in 2016.they are called suppression polls, and are put out to dampen enthusiasm. despite 3 12 years of phony witch hunts, we are winning, and will close it out on november 3rd!","on behalf of our entire nation, congratulations to the incredible west point class of 2020!","somebody please tell highly overrated colin powell that i will have gotten almost 300 federal judges approved (a record), two great supreme court justices, rebuilt our once depleted military, choice for vets, biggest ever tax & regulation cuts, saved healthcare & 2a, & much more!","congressman mark amodei ( is working hard for the incredible people of nevada! he is strong on immigration, taxes, job creation and he loves our military and vets. mark has my complete and total endorsement!","sleepy joes representatives have just put out an ad saying that i went to play golf (exercise) today. they think i should stay in the white house at all times. what they didn't say is that its the first time i've played golf in almost 3 months","why is it that china, for decades, and with a population much bigger than ours, is paying a tiny fraction of $s to the world health organization, the united nations and, worst of all, the world trade organization, where they are considered a so-called'developing country'and are therefore given massive advantages over the united states, and everyone else? prior to the plague floating in from china, our economy was blowing everybody away, the best of any country, ever. we will be there again, and soon!","fake must be taken back. these'journalists'got everything wrong. give them to the real journalists who got it right!","the do nothing democrats are spending much of their money on fake ads. i never said that the coronavirus is a'hoax', i said that the democrats, and the way they lied about it, are a hoax. also, it did start with'one person from china', and then grew, & will be a'miracle'end!","when are the fake journalists, who received unwarranted pulitzer prizes for russia, russia, russia, and the impeachment scam, going to turn in their tarnished awards so they can be given to the real journalists who got it right. i'll give you the names, there are plenty of them!","why didn't the i.g., who spent 8 years with the obama administration (did she report on the failed h1n1 swine flu debacle where 17,000 people died?), want to talk to the admirals, generals, v.p. & others in charge, before doing her report. another fake dossier!","cryin chuck schumer was on a late night show using a false talking point over & over again.'we don't have enough testing,'he would repeat, when he knows we have done a great job on testing, just like we have on ventilators and everything else.","america owes our very hard working food supply workers so much as they produce and deliver high quality food for us during this horrible covid-19.join me in thanking our farmers, ranchers, processors, distributors and stores!","texas to open businesses in phases beginning friday. great job being done by","is now interfering in the 2020 presidential election. they are saying my statement on mail-in ballots, which will lead to massive corruption and fraud, is incorrect, based on fact-checking by fake news cnn and the amazon washington post....","indiana is set to receive $100m in transit funds for the to connect people to jobs around the state and the chicago-area and help cut down on traffic. has worked very hard on this project!","wow. record growth in 2nd quarter! under corrupt joe biden and his massive tax and regulation increases, markets, and your 401ks, will plunge! expect a record 2021!","watch live:trump supporters descend on tulsa on eve of trump rally via thank you to all. see you tonight in tulsa!","i will immediately ask congress for more money to support small businesses under the if the allocated money runs out. so far, way ahead of schedule. & community banks are rocking!","i work from early in the morning until late at night, haven't left the white house in many months (except to launch hospital ship comfort) in order to take care of trade deals, military rebuilding etc., and then i read a phony story in the failing about my work schedule and eating habits, written by a third rate reporter who knows nothing about me. i will often be in the oval office late into the night & read & see that i am angrily eating a hamberger & diet coke in my bedroom. people with me are always stunned. anything to demean!","happy birthday to melania, our great first lady!","will be online tomorrow morning at 10:30am (eastern) watching from baptist in dallas, texas. you can join us at.","so ridiculous to see twitter trying to make the case that mail-in ballots are not subject to fraud. how stupid, there are examples, & cases, all over the place. our election process will become badly tainted & a laughingstock all over the world.","because it was obamagate, and he and sleepy joe led the charge. the most corrupt administration in u.s. history!","true, except to the fake news media and a former president who didnt have a clue!","absentee ballots are fine. a person has to go through a process to get and use them. mail-in voting, on the other hand, will lead to the most corrupt election is usa history. bad things happen with mail-ins. just look at special election in patterson, n.j. 19% of ballots a fraud!","looting leads to shooting, and thats why a man was shot and killed in minneapolis on wednesday night-or look at what just happened in louisville with 7 people shot. i don't want this to happen, and thats what the expression put out last night means. it was spoken as a fact, not as a statement.","the biggest political crime in american history, by far!","first the fake news media said that its not fair for the president of the united states to be giving news conferences, but it is the only way i can reach the american people, as seen in the below poll.","it's a political witch hunt, it just continues. it's been from before i got here when obama and biden and everybody else was spying on my campaign illegally they were illegally spying on my campaign. and it's a very grave crime. it's the biggest political crime in the history of our country.","so now the fake news is tracing the coronavirus origins back to europe, not china. this is a first! i wonder where the failing new york times got for this one? are there any named sources? they were recently thrown out of china like dogs, and obviously want back in. sad!","nobody briefed or told me, pence, or chief of staff about the so-called attacks on our troops in afghanistan by russians, as reported through an'anonymous source'by the fake news everybody is denying it & there have not been many attacks on us.....","could it be even remotely possible that in roger goodells rather interesting statement of peace and reconciliation, he was intimating that it would now be o.k. for the players to kneel, or not to stand, for the national anthem, thereby disrespecting our country & our flag?","there is no way (zero!) that mail-in ballots will be anything less than substantially fraudulent. mail boxes will be robbed, ballots will be forged & even illegally printed out & fraudulently signed.","there is no way (zero!) that mail-in ballots will be anything less than substantially fraudulent. mail boxes will be robbed, ballots will be forged & even illegally printed out & fraudulently signed. the governor of california is sending ballots to millions of people, anyone living in the state, no matter who they are or how they got there, will get one. that will be followed up with professionals telling all of these people, many of whom have never even thought of voting before, how, and for whom, to vote. this will be a rigged election. no way!","our country has just suffered through the greatest political crime in its history. the massive abuse of fisa was a big part of it!","'this is a flat out lie. they (the media) are making things up'the lamestream media is out of control. it would be impossible to fully explain how dishonest they are!","intelligence has just reported to me that i was correct, and that they did not bring up the coronavirus subject matter until late into january, just prior to my banning china from the u.s. also, they only spoke of the virus in a very non-threatening, or matter of fact, manner.","if i ever said something so mortifyingly stupid, the fake news media would come down on me with a vengeance. this is beyond a normal mistake. why isn't the media reporting it?","thank you to all of my great keyboard warriors. you are better, and far more brilliant, than anyone on madison avenue (ad agencies). there is nobody like you!","fbi & doj had no evidence to start an investigation against president trump.'these are people with subversive actions and outright lies. they doctored documents.'now proven conclusively that this was the political crime of the century!","biden was constantly... vacationing, relaxing & making shady deals with other countries, & that barack was always playing golf, doing much of his traveling in a fume spewing 747 to play golf in hawaii-once even teeing off immediately after announcing the gruesome death of a great young man by isis!","mike has my complete & total endorsement. we need him badly in washington. a great fighter pilot & hero, & a brilliant annapolis grad, mike will never let you down. mail in ballots, & check that they are counted!","the paycheck protection program is now available! business guidance & loan resources:","wisconsin, please get out now and vote for tom tiffany for congress. a great guy!","senator mitch mcconnell ( always delivers for the people of kentucky, who will hopefully re-elect their powerful senate majority leader. mitch has helped us make america great again, and has my complete and total endorsement!","the supreme court sends case back to lower court, arguments to continue. this is all a political prosecution. i won the mueller witch hunt, and others, and now i have to keep fighting in a politically corrupt new york. not fair to this presidency or administration!","happy birthday to the great cindy adams of the new york post. cindy is 90,but looks 39 to me. she is going strong!","courts in the past have given'broad deference'. but not me!","floridians will get $10m grant from for i-4 to improve technology to provide travelers with better information and important messages in real time! will make getting back to work easier. great work","i have done more than any president in history in first 3 1/2 years!","we've done a great job on covid response, making all governors look good, some fantastic (and thats ok), but the lamestream media doesn't want to go with that narrative, and the do nothing dems talking point is to say only bad about'trump'. i made everybody look good, but me!","who else gave the less than elite (we are the elite. we know how to win!) 260 great new federal judges, 2 scjs, low taxes, biggest ever reg. cuts, rebuilt military, choice, saved 2a & much more? not sleepy joe!","just spoke to president juan orlando hernandez of the republic of honduras. we work closely together on the southern border. will be helping him with his request for ventilators and testing.","happy birthday to three time olympian and five term congressman,","just spoke to my friend, president joko widodo of the republic of indonesia. asking for ventilators, which we will provide. great cooperation between us!","i will be signing my executive order prohibiting immigration into our country today. in the meantime, even without this order, our southern border, aided substantially by the 170 miles of new border wall & 27,000 mexican soldiers, is very tight-including for human trafficking!","if i wasn't constantly harassed for three years by fake and illegal investigations, russia, russia, russia, and the impeachment hoax, id be up by 25 points on sleepy joe and the do nothing democrats. very unfair, but it is what it is!!!","i just signed the paycheck protection program flexibility act to further improve our very popular and successful program to help small businesses. thank you to our great republican senators!","'trump'is leading in all swing states. heavily biased democrat poll, just like 2016.biggest'enthusiasm'lead ever!","the wall street journal always'forgets'to mention that the ratings for the white house press briefings are'through the roof'(monday night football, bachelor finale, according to & is only way for me to escape the fake news & get my views across. wsj is fake news!","this is the letter sent to dr. tedros of the world health organization. it is self-explanatory!","we are having very productive calls with the leaders of every sector of the economy who are all-in on getting america back to work, and soon. more to come!","interesting? by congress not wanting the special 5 minute testing apparatus, they are saying that they are not'essential'. in any event, we have great testing capacity, and have performed 6.5 million tests, which is more than every country in the world, combined!","congressman guy reschenthaler ( is doing tremendous work for the people of pennsylvania! a navy veteran, guy strongly supports our vets, borders, and always votes to uphold the rule of law. guy has my complete and total endorsement!","i have wanted to take care of daca recipients better than the do nothing democrats, but for two years they refused to negotiate-they have abandoned daca. based on the decision the dems can't make daca citizens. they gained nothing!","cases, cases, cases! if we didnt test so much and so successfully, we would have very few cases. if you test 40,000,000 people, you are going to have many cases that, without the testing (like other countries), would not show up every night on the fake evening news.","wishing a happy passover to those celebrating in the united states, israel, and around the world!","i was honored to be in wisconsin today, on the edge of beautiful lake michigan, with the legendary workers of marinette marine!","sleepy joe biden (mostly his reps.) went crazy when i banned, in late january, people coming in from china. he called me'xenophobic'& then went equally'nuts'when we let in 44,000 people-until he was told they were american citizens coming home. he later apologized!","'i don't see any indication that there were any white supremest groups mixing in. this is an antifa organization. it seems that the first time we saw it in a major way was occupy wall street. its the same mindset.'true!","i am proud to announce the san francisco bay area will receive over $700m in federal funds to support continued operations and support workers at intl airport and for transit on & this money will aid in economic recovery!","the greatest political crime in usa history!","today people started losing their jobs because of crazy nancy pelosi, cryin chuck schumer, and the radical left, do nothing democrats, who should immediately come back to washington and approve legislation to help families in america. end your endless vacation!","cuomos been calling daily, even hourly, begging for everything, most of which should have been the states responsibility, such as new hospitals, beds, ventilators, etc. i got it all done for him, and everyone else, and now he seems to want independence! that won't happen!","so now the fake news is tracing the coronavirus origins back to europe, not china. this is a first! i wonder what the failing new york times got for this one? are there any named sources? they were recently thrown out of china like dogs, and obviously want back in. sad!","sorry to inform the do nothing democrats, but i am getting very good internal polling numbers. just like 2016,the polls are fake! the polls are a joke! do you think they will apologize to me & their subscribers again when i win? people want law, order & safety!","just landed in pennsylvania, see everyone soon!","i built the greatest economy in the world, the best the u.s. has ever had. i am doing it again!","95% approval rating of president trump in the republican party. i would imagine the 5% are the rinos and stupid people who dont want to see great judges & supreme court justices, a new & powerful military, choice for vets, 2a protection, big regulationcuts, life, & much more!","sleepy joes representatives have just put out an ad saying that i went to play golf (exercise) today. they think i should stay in the white house at all times. what they didnt say is that its the first time ive played golf in almost 3 months, that biden was constantly vacationing, relaxing & making shady deals with other countries, & that barack was always playing golf, doing much of his traveling in a fume spewing 747 to play golf in hawaii-once even teeing off immediately after announcing the gruesome death of a great young man by isis!","first thing the anarchists did upon taking over seattle was'build a wall'. see, i was ahead of our times!","big 4th of july air show soon coming down the east coast. get ready to look up to the sky. check local listings!","you know what i'm talking about very well. he's in no condition to do it, and everybody knows it. and he's china's dream.","we're also joined by secretary of the interior david bernhardt and a very good friend of mine, former governor paul lepage. paul, thank you very much for being here. you did a great job running this state i can tell you that.","well, we're going to be talking about that in phase four, as you know, which will start very shortly. and that has to do with infrastructure hopefully infrastructure, because this country needs infrastructure.","they did something because if you look, they had very little outbreak, although now they seem to have an outbreak in beijing, which is interesting, as of yesterday. but everybody knew they had it. i acted very early. i closed our country to china. by the way, bolton disagreed. he thought we shouldn't do it, okay?","in early march, my administration advised all nursing homes to suspend all medically unnecessary visits to help slow the spread and protect our seniors, and especially in our nursing homes. they are they're having a hard time in those nursing homes. we took action to step up enforcement of infectious disease standards at nursing homes all across america.","which tells me one thing, that kids are much stronger than us. when you see a little kid running around, say, boy, oh, boy, do you have a great immune system. how about a piece of your immune system? they don't even know about this. let's open the schools, please, open. open the schools.","other countries are calling to find out what are we doing and how do you do it. and we're helping them. we're dealing with a lot of countries, helping them on testing, just like we did on the ventilators.","every day, we're building up and building it up very rapidly, and deploying it. but we do get orders from some of the states where we don't think they need it. we try and get it for them what they want anyway.","the dedication of the men and women here today will also help our military accomplish one of my top national security priorities:rebuilding a 355-ship navy. as i told you, it went way down. very sad.","i think the fourth quarter is going to be really, really good, kevin. we were talking about that before. you maybe will say something. and we're going to be in a transition quarter next quarter, the third quarter. and i think we'll do very, very nicely there, from an economic standpoint.","no, because i think a lot of people cheat with mail-in voting. i think people should vote with id voter id. i think voter id is very important. and the reason they don't want voter id is because they intend to cheat.","so through the public-private partnerships and deregulation, the federal government has already made immense testing capabilities available, but some states need to take action to fully utilize it. to date, the united states has conducted millions more tests than any other country. you can add them all up and they don't catch us. and our numbers are doubling almost on a certainly on a monthly basis, but almost on a weekly basis. we're moving very rapidly, far at a number nobody thought possible.","yeah. yeah. they've done a we've worked very well together with with republican governors and with democrat governors.","we think that you know, we have a good a good amount ready to move. i mean, literally, like an army, they're ready to move to any hotspot. but some of the ones that you're talking about always a nasty question from cnn but some of the ones.","you know, they call themselves associates. see, in the old days, they'd say they were the boss. now they're associates. they're very smart. i say, oh, that's very smart. but they've done a great job as associates. you're all associates.","let's also express our appreciation to general curtis buzzard, general cindy jebb, and all of the wonderful instructors, coaches, and faculty members who are continuing west point's two-century tradition of unrivaled excellence.","but i will tell you, we're working very hard on this problem, and i think we've made a tremendous amount of progress. i even noticed your number:20.twenty is different than twenty-four. you know what that means:each day. hard to believe. each day. but 20 is a big difference, and we're getting it way down. and with some of the treatments that we're talking about, i think it'll go a lot lower than that.","but we speak a lot on the phone. but i'm in the white house. mike is at his office, but he's, you know, pretty much away from people.","so it's going to be picking up, and the energy business will be strong. but they cut back. it could be 20 million barrels, but it's, let's say, 15.that was between russia and saudi arabia.","and it is an essential service and we want to get our churches back open. everything, we've had such support from, and the churches have supported, but it is an essential service. when you look at some of the things that they consider an essential service, but they don't consider religious freedom, essential service?","for example, many believe that proper training might have prevented the tragic deaths of antwon rose and botham jean. as part of this new credentialing process, chokeholds will be banned, except if an officer's life is at risk.","well, one of the alternatives we can think about, steve and just in sitting here watching we could buy you know, the united states is the largest user of oil. we could buy oil at a great price into the future. that gives them the infusion they need, and we have oil at a great price into the future. so that's something i'd like you to think about.","but if you look at europe, most countries have done this. a couple tried not to. italy tried not to, and they held it. and spain tried not to; they went that way. france tried not to. i mean, nobody wants to do this. it's a brutal step. we're going to close down your country. who ever heard of a thing like this?","if you're weak and don't dominate your streets, they're you going to stay with you until you finally do it and you don't want that. philadelphia, you've got to toughen up because what's going on in philadelphia like new york is terrible, it's terrible. you've got to toughen up and they're going to leave.","so, we're starting up. and it's going to be very, very strong. we're very close to a vaccine. even with it without it, but i will tell you, we're very close to a vaccine. and we're very close to therapeutics, really good therapeutics. and but even without that i don't even like to talk about that, because it's fading away.","we have a political group, too. a lot of great politicians. well, some are great; some aren't so great. but i put them on anyway. you know, we want to have a sampling of everybody. so, we have a lot of talent.","he says, no. i had no evidence. no. there's no evidence about trump. i saw that two days ago or yesterday. there's no evidence whatsoever. so here's a guy that's purely lying, but you have to understand there's a big difference when he's under oath, under criminal prosecution. now, he's lied under oath already.","cms is finalizing new guidelines for doctors and patients to resume elective surgeries. it's a big thing. a lot of hospitals were closed. they couldn't do any elective surgeries. they'll be able to start doing that. procedures and medical care that needs to be done in person as long as the rate of infections remains low in a community, we want patients to be able to go to the doctors, get clinically tested, and have work done, surgeries, receive treatment for chronic conditions, and resume preventative care. so we'll be allowing that to happen very soon.","it was the men and women of honeywell who built the periscopes, mortar sites, and autopilot systems that powered american warriors as they battled the forces of tyranny and fought to victory in the second world war.","many other states are in very fine shape, they're doing very well. but we have some areas that looked like we were going to escape, that they were going to escape, and all of a sudden it became hot like florida, like california, like a couple of others. but i think you're going to see with all of the things that we're doing, and with all of the therapeutics that are coming out, and then ultimately the vaccine, we're going to be in very good shape very soon.","yeah, we're looking very much and reliant very much on the local areas, the governors. and that's been the way it has been for me, maybe not for everybody. but for me, that's the way it's been at the beginning and from the beginning.","and we're really, i'm very happy the governors have been the governors, really, have been doing a really good job working with us, and it's it's, really, pretty impressive to see. i've spoken to numerous leaders of countries over the last 48 hours, and they are saying we're leading the way. we're really leading the way in so many different ways.","yeah, we want to protect our healthcare workers, and that's one of the other reasons we're doing this.","it's going to be an amazing year.","and i think we really sort of started right over here. we got a call very early on from bill and the group. and this is incredible what's happened and what you've done.","got a lot of good options, jeff. beauties. i might like it even more.","and we won't be closing the country again. we won't be have to do that. but, at the beginning, i tell you, if we didn't do what we did we made all the right moves, sean. we would have lost anywhere from probably 1.5,minimum now, you have to understand that's 10 times what we're talking about now, 10 times.","they weren't paying up, and now many of them are. some of them still don't pay like they should. they're delinquent. you know that word? they're delinquent. no other president pressed them to pay; i pressed them to pay. and the people at nato are very happy with me, i will tell you.","i thought before i went any further though, i'd like to have general semonite, who has done an incredible job, tell you where we are. you know we're still building beds and hospitals for people that need them. i guess the hospital business generally is getting pretty much closed out now, but we're we're creating a lot of space for people, just in case. and in some cases, they probably will be using them.","we embrace the noble vision of reverend martin luther king jr. and believe that people should not be judged based on the color of their skin, but the content of their character.","our senior citizens have spent their entire lives working hard, supporting their communities and families, and paying into the system. we will not rest until they get the kind of care and support that they have earned and that they deserve.","they were going crazy. it was like throwing a rock at a hornets'nest. had i not fired him, i probably wouldn't be speaking to you right now other than maybe i'd be talking to you about the private sector because i'd be in the private sector had i not because this was a takeover. this was the takedown of a duly elected president of the united states.","you did a great piece on him, but they had a big party. and it was a different time.","that's great. thank you, ben. boy, that was pretty good. standing o for ben. he's used to that. he's used to it. great job, ben. he's done a fantastic job at hud, i have to tell you that.","well, i like the idea of payroll tax cuts. i've liked that from the beginning. that was the thing that i really would love to see happen. a lot of economists would agree with me. a lot of people agree with me. and i think, frankly, it's simple. it's not the big distribution, and it would really be an incentive for people to come back to work and for employers to hire. the double tax on the company and also on the person, that's what i like. and something like that could happen.","our supply chain logistics task force, led by admiral john polowczyk, who's doing a fantastic job, will ensure they're distributed to the healthcare and critical infrastructure workers in the areas with the most pressing requirements. that's the 60 million masks that we're talking about and the hundred and 180 million n95 masks. a hundred and eighty million. who ever heard of 180 million masks?","when you have something like this happen, you really you look at it, and you just say, how does a thing like that happen? because it just seems so bad to watch.","saving jobs in plus you don't want to lose the big companies. i mean, they're making great product. they're selling the product all over, but you know, like the airlines, we had to bail out the airlines a rough business, but a very important business for our country. but the job numbers came back and you saw them, uh, announced a week ago, the highest number ever announced and nobody got it. wall street that 119 analysts, not one analyst predicted it right, which makes me feel good.","new business applications have doubled since late march. that's a number that is not even thinkable to achieve this early into a pandemic. the latest ism manufacturing report rose 10 percentage points, with new orders jumping a remarkable 25 percentage points all a record.","so, do very well. say hello to the people of maine. they're great people. they were very nice to me, i'll tell you that. and i appreciate it very much, but i know you appreciate it much more than i do because you're getting a lot more than i am. okay? so good luck everybody.","i don't even like to talk about that, because it's fading away. it's going to fade away.","forty-five days ago, many of you joined me in the rose garden to launch a new partnership with the private sector to dramatically increase and accelerate america's capacity to test for the coronavirus. we've made such strides, like it wouldn't even be you wouldn't even believe it.","do you think you made a mistake there? no, i don't think so. i don't think so. i said:explain that one. so, the terrible, terrible thing that he did. but he broke the law, very simple, i mean, as much as it's going to be broken. this is highly classified. that's the highest stage. it's highly classified information.","you know, today is a very interesting day because it's my first day out. and doug reminded me of something. i didn't do it for that reason, but you said, this the first place you stopped when you ran, when i ran for something that turned out to be a very successful run. and we had tremendous crowds remember? at the convention center in phoenix. and it was pretty incredible. and i didn't do it for that reason, interestingly, but here we are. and it was great that you reminded us of that fact.","jared really led that charge. incredible. brilliantly. he may be my son-in-law, but he is a brilliant person, as they all understand. and they took that and they also now they're working on testing, and testing is coming along at a level that nobody thought even possible. we've now done more tests than anybody in the world by far.","but, you do anyway, even if you're not invited. and you see what's going on. every governor there's not been one patient in this entire massive country and we didn't have ventilators when we started. the cupboards were empty. the previous administration left us empty cupboards. there isn't one patient, not one, that needed a ventilator that didn't get one.","well, i know a lot about economists.","so they just closed it? they said you can't fish? but let me guess:other countries do, right? huh? they do.","this pandemic has reaffirmed the importance of keeping vital supply chains at home. we cannot outsource our independence. we cannot be reliant on foreign nations. i've been saying this for a long time. if we've learned one thing it's:let's do it here, let's build it here, let's make it here. we've got the greatest country in the world. we've got to start bringing our supply chains back.","we support the courageous men and women of law enforcement. we will never abolish our police or our great second amendment, which gives us the right to keep and bear arms.","he's a good he's a good man, too. for a long time we're known him.","so we wish governor cuomo and all of the people in new york great. and, new jersey, your governor is doing a great job. he's doing a great job in new jersey. they got hit very hard.","but from a country standpoint and an inflation standpoint, you don't have inflation, you don't have problems. no, we have a strong dollar. and right now it's good to have a strong dollar.","thank you very much. i appreciate it. great job. he gave me a little education on potatoes. that's interesting. i wonder if the media enjoyed that. i don't think so, but that's okay.","our founders launched not only a revolution in government, but a revolution in the pursuit of justice, equality, liberty, and prosperity. no nation has done more to advance the human condition than the united states of america. and no people have done more to promote human progress than the citizens of our great nation.","well, thank you, dan. and thank you for all of the great things you've said. you are a warrior. there aren't too many warriors out there. you are one of them. top of the list.","well, thank you very much. great to be here. beautiful runway. a little warmer than i'm used to, but that's okay, doug, right? we have a i was just given a beautiful picture of the wall. that's before and after. and that's quite a difference:one area you walk over, you drive over, you do whatever you want, and other one you say, well, i guess we don't get in. here's another one just given. that's great. that's a different section. pretty amazing.","detroit has been hit very hard. so there are some places that are hit very hard, and other places have not been hit very hard, frankly i mean, by comparison, very little. so we're looking at two concepts. we're looking at the concept we open up sections and we're also looking at the concept where you open up everything.","well, i've done it already. i've thrown it at yankee stadium. i've thrown it at boston. i've thrown it in chicago before i was even president. i don't care about throwing the first. the first pitch doesn't mean anything to me. what does mean something to me is getting sports back. so you know, i've done the throw out the first pitch many times.","please, jerome. we picked a good one. we got it right.","and we're safely reopening our country, and very importantly, we're safely reopening our schools. we want the schools to be open and going in the fall. and most of them, i think, are looking at it that way. it's very important. we're finding out that learning by computer is not as good as learning in the classroom or learning on the campus. and i think you're finding that too. we want to learn in the classroom. so, our schools we want them open in the fall.","and i spoke with angela merkel today. i spoke with prime minister abe of japan. i spoke with many of the leaders over the last four or five days. and so many of them, almost all of them i would say all of them; not everybody would want to admit it but they all view us as the world leader, and they're following us.","but they had their own difficulties. they everybody has certain difficulties. they had difficulties, and they had safety difficulties also.","vaccines are moving quickly into phase one and phase two trials, and trials of dozens of therapies and cures are underway. and we're making tremendous strides with therapies, cures, and vaccines. i think we're way ahead of schedule.","1.8 billion. and 150 billion. actually, i was more impressed with 1.8 billion in cash, if you want to know the truth. so it was one of those things.","so we've learned a good lesson. i think a lot of smart people knew that before. but we've distributed many hundreds of millions of masks.","vice president of naho-navajo nation, myron liz-lizer. and and, by the way, we appreciate it very much. and you know there is two ways of saying that name. they told me outside, but i always think of it as lezer. so how do you like it? how do you like it?","i am pleased to report that yesterday, federal agents arrested the suspected ringleader of the attack on the statue of andrew jackson in washington, d.c. and, in addition, hundreds more have been arrested.","the opportunity zones with senator tim scott has been fantastic and by the way it is one of the great unknowns because the opportunity zones you don't talk about it, it is one of the most incredible success stories ever in terms of the inner cities and in terms of black and hispanic and asian unemployment opportunity zones, you ought to do some stories about opportunity zones.","that's a terrible thing what they did. and what they've done to people, like general flynn and like others, is disgraceful. is disgraceful.","i have to say, the corps of engineers, what they can do is just incredible. they've done a fantastic job and they're building, nationwide, 21 temporary hospitals and care facilities, adding 17,000 hospital beds. and they did that all within a very short period of time. it's incredible what they've done. army corps of engineers. and fema has been fantastic.","so, kayleigh where is kayleigh? where is kayleigh? where is kayleigh? where is our kayleigh? what a job she's done our press secretary. where is she?","now multiply that times 10.it would have been unacceptable. and that's the lowest number possible. it probably would have been times 20 or maybe 25.so we did the right thing.","thank you very much, asa. and you've done a great job. you both have done a really great job, and it's been an honor to work with both of you. thank you very much. that was really terrific.","i see general kellogg; he's one of our great generals. he's done a fantastic job for me, and he's doing some very important things for me right now. so, general, thank you very much. really fantastic job.","there are a lot of things that go into a decision like that. and it's going to be it's going to be based on a lot of facts and a lot of instinct, also. whether we like it or not, there is a certain instinct to it. but we have to get our country back. people want to get back. they want to get back to work.","i did. i heard from a number of governors that said they're in very good shape. i also heard not only from the call, but i heard from some of the governors previous and i think you'll have some very good things to report over the next few days about states opening up.","so what i'm saying then, john, is we're going to replace obamacare with great healthcare at a lesser price, and preexisting conditions will be included and you won't have the individual mandate which was expensive and terrible and very unfair to everybody, and it was very unpopular.","you have some governors most of whom i have great respect for they're working very hard. they're watching very closely. but we've given leeway to the governors to make those decisions.","they are pushing absolutely as fast you know, this isn't something like, let's build machines or let's this is a very delicate balance. but we're pushing very, very hard on remdesivir.","but check with him, call him, the president of honduras a really nice guy. i just left him just on the phone. you know what they needed? ventilators. he said, can you give? i said, we can help you, because we're making we're going to have a hundred and we're going to have 110,000 made in a very short period of time. and they've been making them by the thousands.","i said i'll have three and any amount they want. i didn't say i want more.","well, i always knew that pandemics are one of the worst things that could happen. there's been nothing like this since probably 1917.that was the big one in europe. it started actually here and went to europe. probably. i've heard about","okay. and you know how many people when i used the ban how many cases of virus were in the united states when i issued the ban? do you know the number?","as dr. birx has been advising our governors for weeks, we continue to have an excess testing capacity of 1 million tests per week available for use. and our capabilities are growing every single day, especially with the new tests that are coming onto the market rapidly.","and you'll see more and more things come out i think because like i know how it works. you don't have clapper and brennan who sleaze and a guy like comey who's a sick man.","i haven't been able to play golf for a while i've been very busy and i think it's just one of those things. but we're getting back to normal we're going to be back at some point to to do bigger and better and stronger. but all of the deaths and all of the destruction that you've seen caused so needlessly came out of a location that should have we should have known, we should have been told maybe it could have been stopped but we weren't told so it's really a sad thing but it's a beautiful thing that you're doing today.","so let me, let me so i you would say, worse than that i said one person, one time. and it's true. there was a time when we had one person in this country. we knew about it. we worked on it. but we have one person, it mushroomed, thee 15 people, mushroomed. other people were coming in, also from europe.","we're here today to provide an update on the unprecedented testing capacity developed by the united states the most advanced and robust testing system anywhere in the world, by far. this afternoon, i'll also announce new steps that we're taking to make tests even more widely available.","thank you very much. you know, when we first came, there was a thing called the caravan. and you'd have caravans, you'd have these massive amounts of people coming up, and they'd be coming from sometimes honduras or guatemala, el salvador, other countries. they'd come through those countries sometimes, but thousands and thousands of people. i guess the largest one we saw was maybe 15,000.that's a lot of people.","nobody in 50 years has been weaker on china than sleepy joe biden. he was asleep at the wheel. he gave them everything they wanted, including rip-off trade deals. i am getting it all back!","minneapolis city council unanimously approves proposal to disband police. the democrats would do this all over the u.s. it would be a disaster for safety & security!","congresswoman carol miller ( is a tremendous advocate for the people of west virginia! she fights for our coal miners, the second amendment and for lower taxes. carol has my complete and total endorsement!","sleepy joe biden refuses to leave his basement sanctuary and tell his radical left bosses that they are heading in the wrong direction. tell them to get out of seattle now. liberal governor is looking the fool. law & order!","tony fauci has nothing to do with nfl football. they are planning a very safe and controlled opening. however, if they dont stand for our national anthem and our great american flag, i wont be watching!!!","actually, a great book by a great and highly respected historian, doug wead!","im proud to commit $40.9m in funding to milwaukees east-west bus rapid transit project. bringing modern transit to the regions most critical corridor and spur millions in economic development. love wisconsin!","sleepy joe has been in politics for 40 years, and did nothing. now he pretends to have the answers. he doesnt even know the questions. weakness will never beat anarchists, looters or thugs, and joe has been politically weak all of his life. law & order!","i thought this letter from respected retired marine and super star lawyer, john dowd, would be of interest to the american people. read it!","on national former prisoner of war recognition day, we honor the more than 500,000 american warriors captured while protecting our way of life. we pay tribute to these patriots for their unwavering and unrelenting spirit!","hopefully our country will soon mend. we are all missing our wonderful rallies, and many other things!","cant see aoc plus 3 supporting sleepy joe!","cases, numbers and deaths are going down all over the country!","barr:mail-in ballots absolutely opens the floodgates to fraud this will be the election disaster of our time. mail-in ballots will lead to a rigged election!","the only reason the u.s. has reported one million cases of coronavirus is that our testing is sooo much better than any other country in the world. other countries are way behind us in testing, and therefore show far fewer cases!","we need our great david perdue ( in the senate to drain the swamp & make america great again! his radical liberal opponent, jon ossoff (who we beat in 2017), supports lawless sanctuary cities, wants to raise your taxes, & weaken our great military. he is a puppet of schumer and pelosi. david is strong on crime, our military, vets, low taxes and will protect your at all times. he is a great senator and has my complete and total endorsement. vote for david perdue on november 3rd, a big day for us all!","there has never been, in the history of our country, a more vicious or hostile lamestream media than there is right now, even in the midst of a national emergency, the invisible enemy!","these were the people that trashed seattle years ago. whos paying for these people. i was appalled that 13 of joe bidens staff were donating money to bail people out in minneapolis. they should have stayed in jail until this is over (and beyond).","it is ashame that congress doesnt do something about the lowlifes that burn the american flag. it should be stopped, and now!","im proud to propose a $6.8m award to from to complete the last phase of the merrimac bridge rehabilitation more efficient and lower cost rail car travel over lake wisconsin!","congressman greg pence ( is doing a phenomenal job for indiana. his brother, our great vice president mike pence, and i need greg to help us keep our country safe and fight for our agenda. greg has my complete & total endorsement!","i am proud to announce that the united states will donate ventilators to our friends in india. we stand with india and during this pandemic. were also cooperating on vaccine development. together we will beat the invisible enemy!","corrupt joe biden and the democrats dont want to open schools in the fall for political reasons, not for health reasons! they think it will help them in november. wrong, the people get it!","radical left governor and the mayor of seattle are being taunted and played at a level that our great country has never seen before. take back your city now. if you dont do it, i will. this is not a game. these ugly anarchists must be stooped immediately. move fast!","just watched mike wallace wannabe, chris wallace, on i am now convinced that he is even worse than sleepy eyes chuck todd of meet the press(please!), or the people over at deface the nation. what the hell is happening to its a whole new ballgame over there!","more fake news, this time from jimmy kimmels last place show!","a great man for washington! will drain the swamp!","chris is a great winner and fighter for new york. he will never let you down! strong on crime, military, our vets, reducing taxes, regulations, and importantly, our vote on june 23rd. chris has my complete and total endorsement!","joe bidens handling of the h1n1 swine flu was a complete and total disaster. even polls on the matter were terrible!","thank you to the people of colorado for the warm and gracious notes and letters sent to me for all of the ventilators we got for you. it was my great honor!","no contest. steve blows him away. so important for montana. ill be there to help steve win big!!!",". has my complete & total endorsement. she is a great fighter & ally in north carolina. lynda is strong on crime, borders, military, our great vets & 2a. she will be a great help to me in dc. we need lynda to help drain the swamp! vote early!","many complaints coming in about maine. i love that state, won maine 2-dont make the cure worse than the problem itself. that can happen, you know!","senator jim inhofe ( delivers for the state of oklahoma! a u.s. army veteran, he fights hard for our military, vets, small businesses, and our terrific farmers. jim has my complete and total endorsement!","an amazing guy. burgess is what we need in washington, tough and smart!!!","im excited to commit $100m to fl in funding to connect fast-growing communities through state-of-the-art transit service! fast, safe, and beautiful infrastructure!","i am allocating $2.96 billion in emergency solutions grants to support homeless americans and those at risk of becoming homeless because of job or wage loss, or illness due to covid-19.we are taking care of our nations most vulnerable citizens. thanks","i will be delivering brief remarks from the rose garden at 6:30 p.m. eastern to update on the federal response.","a blow to her head? body found under his desk? left congress suddenly? big topic of discussion in florida...and, hes a nut job (with bad ratings). keep digging, use forensic geniuses!","big win in texas on mail-in ballots!",". fbi went rogue in pursuit of trump","probably the only thing barack obama & i have in common is that we both had the honor of firing jim mattis, the worlds most overrated general. i asked for his letter of resignation, & felt great about it. his nickname was chaos, which i didn't like, & changed to mad dog... his primary strength was not military, but rather personal public relations. i gave him a new life, things to do, and battles to win, but he seldom brought home the bacon. i didn't like his leadership style or much else about him, and many others agree. glad he is gone!","newly released documents show schiff knew all along there was no proof of russia-trump collusion. wall street journal","the white house press conference will take place today at 1:00 p.m., recognizing that it is good friday!","congressman dan meuser ( is a tremendous advocate for pennsylvania! dan loves our military, vets and the second amendment a real supporter of our agenda. dan has my complete and total endorsement!","almost one million people request tickets for the saturday night rally in tulsa, oklahoma!","wow, bernie is unwilling to give up his delegates, and wants more of them! whats that all about?","congressman joe wilson is a champion for the people of south carolina! he served our country as a colonel in the army, and now he serves our military & vets in congress. strong on the and border security! joe has my complete & total endorsement!",". a key coronavirus model is now predicting far fewer deaths than the number shown in earlier models. thats because the american people are doing a great job. social distancing etc. keep going!","nervous nancy is an inherently dumb person. she wasted all of her time on the impeachment hoax. she will be overthrown, either by inside or out, just like her last time as speaker. wallace & are on a bad path, watch!","we are getting the commercial fishing industry in maine back on track (will be better than ever) after suffering years of stupidity and abuse from the previous administration. already got 5000 square miles back and available to fish. china & e.u. told to drop their tariffs now!!!","this is why its not really the lamestream media, its the rigged media....and it is what i'm up against. it was corrupt in 2016.now it is much more corrupt, and what you are seeing is the least of it....but we will win again!","totally inappropriate-and it was me who shattered 100% of the isis caliphate. i was left a mess!","seattles chop is just the latest example of liberal (democrat) cities caving to lawlessness.","big crowds and lines already forming in tulsa. my campaign hasnt started yet. it starts on saturday night in oklahoma!","usa will be bigger and stronger than ever before!","the people that know me and know the history of our country say that i am the hardest working president in history. i don't know about that, but i am a hard worker and have probably gotten more done in the first 3 1/2 years than any president in history. the fake news hates it!","senator from colorado is a great senator who always fights for the people of his state. he protects your loves our vets and military, and cares deeply about our beautiful public lands. cory has my complete and total endorsement!","sleepy joe bidens people are so radical left that they are working to get the anarchists out of jail, and probably more. joe doesnt know anything about it, he is clueless, but they will be the real power, not joe. they will be calling the shots! big tax increases for all, plus!","i am so stunned. ive never seen numbers like this and ive been doing this for 30 years! steve m.","joe bidens record can be summed up as 4 decades of betrayal, calamity and failure he never did anything!","congressman kevin hern ( is a tremendous advocate for the state of oklahoma! a successful businessman, he is strong on the wall, our military and the second amendment. kevin has my complete and total endorsement!","chris jacobs ( will be a tremendous congressman who will always fight for new york. he is strong on the border, our military and vets, and the second amendment. chris has my complete and total endorsement! vote for chris on june 23!","biden/obama were a disaster in handling the h1n1 swine flu. polling at the time showed disastrous approval numbers. 17,000 people died unnecessarily and through incompetence! also, dont forget their 5 billion dollar obamacare website that should have cost close to nothing!","interesting guy. bolton is really dumb. true, and he broke the law!","pres. obama destroyed the lobster and fishing industry in maine. now its back, bigger and better than anyone ever thought possible. enjoy your lobstering and fishing! make lots of money!","china virus mortality rate is among the lowest of any country.","our testing is the best in the world, by far!","sleepy eyes chuck todd should be fired by concast (nbc) for this fraud. he knew exactly what he was doing. public airwaves = fake news!","we are learning much about the invisible enemy. it is tough and smart, but we are tougher and smarter!","poll:trump better than biden on economic growth, 55% to 34%. thats all? who are the 34%?",". is grossly incompetent, and in no way qualified to be running an important city like washington, d.c. if the great men and women of the national guard didnt step forward, she would have looked no better than her counterpart mayor in minneapolis!","the wall street journal editorial board doesnt have a clue on how to fight and win. their views on tariffs & trade are losers for the u.s., but winners for other countries, including china. if we followed their standards, wed have no country left. they should love sleepy joe!","you see, these loser types don't care about 252 new federal judges, 2 great supreme court justices, a rebuilt military, a protected 2nd amendment, biggest ever tax & regulation cuts, and much more.","congressman is a tremendous fighter for the great state of ohio! he is tough on crime, our border, second amendment, and helps us combat illegal drugs! david has my complete and total endorsement!","chris jacobs ( will be a tremendous congressman who will always fight for new york. he is strong on the border, our military and vets, and the second amendment. chris has my complete and total endorsement! vote for chris on june 23!","i cant stand back & watch this happen to a great american city, minneapolis. a total lack of leadership. either the very weak radical left mayor, jacob frey, get his act together and bring the city under control, or i will send in the national guard & get the job done right these thugs are dishonoring the memory of george floyd, and i wont let that happen. just spoke to governor tim walz and told him that the military is with him all the way. any difficulty and we will assume control but, when the looting starts, the shooting starts. thank you!","radical left governor and the mayor of seattle are being taunted and played at a level that our great country has never seen before. take back your city now. if you dont do it, i will. this is not a game. these ugly anarchists must be stopped immediately. move fast!","the democrats dont want to approve more money for our great workers under the incredibly successful paycheck plan. replenish account now!","congressman russ fulcher ( is an incredible representative for the people of idaho! he fully supports the border wall, life, our vets and the second amendment. russ has my complete and total endorsement!","just departed the for the great state of michigan!","the silent majority is stronger than ever!!!","wow! 96% approval rating in the republican party (and i believe this was before the'great'jobs numbers yesterday). thank you!","matt is a champion for the great state of new hampshire! he was a winner in my administration and he will always put america first. strong on our military, vets, low taxes and the second amendment. matt has my complete and total endorsement! we need him in washington now!",". is just a poor mans lapdog for at&t!","we are doing far more, and better, testing than any other country in the world, and yet the media does nothing but complain. no matter how good a job is done, the same as with the ventilators, they will never say we are doing a great job, they will only viciously gripe!","there will never be an autonomous zone in washington, d.c., as long as im your president. if they try they will be met with serious force!","riot gear or military control is not necessary because antifa & other wacko groups of anarchists arent present to cause trouble. incredible people. thank you maine!","the great state of wisconsin, home to tom tiffanys big congressional victory on tuesday, was just given another win. its democrat governor was forced by the courts to let the state open. the people want to get on with their lives. the place is bustling!","change hearts not stones. there is no end to historical purification. great historian doug wead",". dems say president trump is trying to open the united states economy too quickly, but, if i took even a little more time, they would loudly chant that i am moving too slowly. just political talking points for them. for me its about lives & the future of our country!","colin powell, a real stiff who was very responsible for getting us into the disastrous middle east wars, just announced he will be voting for another stiff, sleepy joe biden. didnt powell say that iraq had weapons of mass destruction? they didnt, but off we went to war!","i will never let our post office fail. it has been mismanaged for years, especially since the advent of the internet and modern-day technology. the people that work there are great, and were going to keep them happy, healthy, and well!","relief is on the way to utah! im proud to send $187.18m in cares act funding to this money will keep people moving and support a swift and smooth economic recovery for the great people of utah!","'its a trap because they want to tank the economy and make everything look trrrible so they can make president trump look bad in november. they want trump to have to send in troops so it looks bad for him.'dave rubin, author of'don't burn this book.'","wisconsin, get out and vote now for justice daniel kelly. protect your 2nd amendment!","we are testing more than any country in the world.","just like i was right on ventilators (our country is now the king of ventilators, other countries are calling asking for help-we will!), i am right on testing. governors must be able to step up and get the job done. we will be with you all the way!","congressman dusty johnson ( is a phenomenal advocate for the people of south dakota! he helped us deliver usmca for our farmers, and he is strong on the border and our second amendment. dusty has my complete and total endorsement!","retired ice director tom homan knows more about the border and border security than anyone. hes a tough guy, but a good guy-and as smart as they come. his new book, defend the border and save lives:solving our most important humanitarian and security crisis is a must read for anybody looking for u.s. security and protection. go get it now and make tom a top best seller he deserves 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    \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/word_importance_tag.html b/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/word_importance_tag.html index 680f648..108d21b 100644 --- a/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/word_importance_tag.html +++ b/docs/_includes/bokeh_viz/word_importance_tag.html @@ -1,2 +1,2 @@ -
    \ No newline at end of file +
    \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/docs/_layouts/default.html b/docs/_layouts/default.html index dd623c2..a3846bf 100644 --- a/docs/_layouts/default.html +++ b/docs/_layouts/default.html @@ -66,10 +66,6 @@ {{ content }} diff --git a/docs/about.md b/docs/about.md index cc8d2a6..2930776 100644 --- a/docs/about.md +++ b/docs/about.md @@ -27,6 +27,7 @@ the [current prediction explorer](current_explorer.html): current prediction explorer - the [prediction explorer](pred_explorer.html): + prediction explorer - and the [performance explorer](perf_explorer.html): @@ -74,8 +75,10 @@ Explore the performance of the current model incarnation using confusion matrice
    [Current Predictions Explorer](current_explorer.html) -Explore the current (unlabeled) predictions generated by the latest model incarnation. All statements yet to be labeled by current fact-checking sources (currently, only [Washington Post Factchecker](https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/trump-claims-database)) are available. -Live predictions continuously added via [ipfs](https://ipfs.io). Twitter statements will be delayed by ~15 minutes to allow thread-based scoring. [Factba.se](https://factba.se) is polled for new statements every 10 minutes. +Explore current predictions of the latest model. All statements that have yet to be labeled by the currently used fact-checking sources (only [Washington Post Factchecker](https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/trump-claims-database) at present) are available. + +Live predictions are continuously added via [ipfs](https://ipfs.io). Twitter statements will be delayed by ~15 minutes to allow thread-based scoring. [Factba.se](https://factba.se) is polled for new statements every 15 minutes. + This explorer provides fact-checkers a means (one of many possible) of using current model predictions and may also help those building fact-checking systems evaluate the potential utility of integrating similar models into their systems. current predictions explorer @@ -107,7 +110,7 @@ The entire initial Deep Classiflie system (raw dataset, model, analytics modules - Fine-tune a base model (currently HuggingFace's [ALBERT implementation](https://huggingface.co/transformers/model_doc/albert.html) with some minor customizations) in tandem with a simple embedding reflecting the semantic shift associated with the medium via which the statement was conveyed (i.e., for the POC, just learn the tweet vs non-tweet transformation) (using [Pytorch](https://pytorch.org/)) -- Explore the latest model's training session on [tensorboard.dev](https://tensorboard.dev/experiment/rGNQpYnYSOaHb2A84xRAzw). +- Explore the latest model's training session on [tensorboard.dev](https://tensorboard.dev/experiment/Ys0KLo5nRnq0soINjyEv4A). - N.B. neuro-symbolic methods[6](#f6) that leverage knowledge bases and integrate symbolic reasoning with connectionist methods are not used in this model. Use of these approaches may be explored in [future research](#further-research) using this framework.
    **Analysis & Reporting** @@ -131,7 +134,7 @@ The entire initial Deep Classiflie system (raw dataset, model, analytics modules
    Global -Global metrics[9](#f9) summarized in the table below relate to the current model's performance on a test set comprised of ~12K statements made between 2020-04-03 and 2020-07-08:
    +Global metrics[9](#f9) summarized in the table below relate to the current model's performance on a test set comprised of ~13K statements made between 2020-04-03 and 2020-07-08:
    Global Stat Summary
    @@ -171,7 +174,7 @@ To minimize false positives and maximize the model's utility, the following appr - Generate and configure thawing schedules for models. - EarlyStopping easily configurable with multiple non-standard monitor metrics (e.g. mcc) - Both automatic and manually-specified [stochastic weight averaging](https://pytorch.org/blog/stochastic-weight-averaging-in-pytorch/) of model checkpoints[f](#cf) -- mixed-precision training via [apex](https://github.com/NVIDIA/apex)[g](#cg) +- Mixed-precision training[g](#cg)
    Analysis & reporting @@ -264,15 +267,9 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb cd transformers pip install . ``` -4. (temporarily required) Testing of this alpha release occurred before native AMP was integrated into Pytorch with release 1.6. As such, native apex installation is temporarily (as of 2020.08.18) required to replicate the model. Switching from the native AMP api to the pytorch integrated one is planned as part of issue #999 which should obviate the need to install native apex. - ```shell - git clone https://github.com/NVIDIA/apex - cd apex - pip uninstall apex - pip install -v --no-cache-dir --global-option="--cpp_ext" --global-option="--cuda_ext" ./ - ``` -5. [Install mariadb](https://mariadb.com/kb/en/getting-installing-and-upgrading-mariadb/) or mysql DB if necessary. -6. These are the relevant DB configuration settings used for the current release of Deep Classiflie's backend. Divergence from this configuration has not been tested and may result in unexpected behavior. +4. [Install mariadb](https://mariadb.com/kb/en/getting-installing-and-upgrading-mariadb/) or mysql DB if necessary. + +5. These are the relevant DB configuration settings used for the current release of Deep Classiflie's backend. Divergence from this configuration has not been tested and may result in unexpected behavior. ```mysql collation-server = utf8mb4_unicode_ci @@ -281,7 +278,7 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb sql_mode = 'STRICT_TRANS_TABLES,ERROR_FOR_DIVISION_BY_ZERO,NO_AUTO_CREATE_USER,NO_ENGINE_SUBSTITUTION,ANSI_QUOTES' transaction-isolation = READ-COMMITTED ``` -7. copy/update relevant Deep Classiflie config file to $HOME dir +6. copy/update relevant Deep Classiflie config file to $HOME dir ```shell cp ./deep_classiflie_db/db_setup/.dc_config.example ~ mv .dc_config.example .dc_config @@ -306,26 +303,24 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb export DCDB_HOST="hostgoeshere" export DCDB_NAME="deep_classiflie" ``` - -8. execute Deep Classiflie DB backend initialization script: - - Deep Classiflie logo - - Ensure you have access to a DB user with administrator privs. "admin" in the case above. - + +7. execute Deep Classiflie DB backend initialization script: ```shell cd deep_classiflie_db/db_setup ./deep_classiflie_db_setup.sh deep_classiflie ``` + Ensure you have access to a DB user with administrator privs. "admin" in the case above. + Deep Classiflie logo -9. login to the backend db and seed historical tweets (necessary as only most recent 3200 can currently be retrieved directly from twitter) +8. login to the backend db and seed historical tweets (necessary as only most recent 3200 can currently be retrieved directly from twitter) ```mysql mysql -u dcbot -p use deep_classiflie - source dcbot_tweets_init_20200814.sql + source dcbot_tweets_init_20200910.sql + exit ``` -10. copy over relevant base model weights to specified model_cache_dir: +9. copy over relevant base model weights to specified model_cache_dir: ```shell # model_cache_dir default found in configs/config_defaults.yaml # it defaults to $HOME/datasets/model_cache/deep_classiflie/ @@ -333,7 +328,7 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb cp albert-base-v2-pytorch_model.bin albert-base-v2-spiece.model {MODEL_CACHE_DIR}/ ``` -11. Run deep_classiflie.py with the provided config necessary to download the raw data from the relevant data sources (factba.se, twitter, washington post), execute the data processing pipeline and generate the dataset collection. +10. Run deep_classiflie.py with the provided config necessary to download the raw data from the relevant data sources (factba.se, twitter, washington post), execute the data processing pipeline and generate the dataset collection. ```shell cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/dataprep_only.yaml" @@ -359,33 +354,33 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb 2020-08-14 16:58:14,331:deep_classiflie:DEBUG: Metadata update complete, 1 record(s) affected. ... ``` -12. Recursively train the deep classiflie POC model: +11. Recursively train the deep classiflie POC model: ```shell cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/train_albertbase.yaml" ``` -13. Generate an swa checkpoint (current release was built using swa torchcontrib module but will switch to the now-integrated pytorch swa api in the next release): +12. Generate an swa checkpoint (current release was built using swa torchcontrib module but will switch to the now-integrated pytorch swa api in the next release): ```shell cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/gen_swa_ckpt.yaml" ``` -14. Generate model analysis report(s) using the generated swa checkpoint: +13. Generate model analysis report(s) using the generated swa checkpoint: ```shell # NOTE, swa checkpoint generated in previous step must be added to gen_report.yaml cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/gen_report.yaml" ``` -15. Generate model analysis dashboards: +14. Generate model analysis dashboards: ```shell # NOTE, swa checkpoint generated in previous step must be added to gen_dashboards.yaml cd deep_classiflie ./deep_classiflie.py --config "{PATH_TO_DEEP_CLASSIFLIE_BASE}/configs/gen_dashboards.yaml" ``` -16. configure jekyll static site generator to use bokeh dashboards locally: +15. configure jekyll static site generator to use bokeh dashboards locally: ```shell @@ -436,9 +431,9 @@ N.B. before you begin, the core external dependency is admin access to a mariadb
  • [c] Deep Classiflie depends upon deep_classiflie_db (initially released as a separate repository) for much of its analytical and dataset generation functionality. Depending on how Deep Classiflie evolves (e.g. as it supports distributed data stores etc.), it may make more sense to integrate deep_classiflie_db back into deep_classiflie. ↩
  • [d] It's notable that the model suffers a much higher FP ratio on tweets relative to non-tweets. Exploring tweet FPs, there are a number of plausible explanations for this discrepancy which could be explored in future research. ↩
  • [e] Still in early development, there are significant outstanding issues (e.g. no tests yet!) and code quality shortcomings galore, but any constructive thoughts or contributions are welcome. I'm interested in using ML to curtail disinformation, not promulgate it, so I want to be clear -- this is essentially a fancy sentence similarity system with a lot of work put into building the dataset generation and model analysis data pipelines (I have a data engineering background, not a software engineering one).↩
    • -
  • [f] Current model release built/tested before swa graduated from torchcontrib to core pytorch. Next release of Deep Classiflie will use the integrated swa api.↩
    • -
  • [g] Current model release built/tested before AMP was integrated into core pytorch. Next release of Deep Classiflie will use the integrated AMP api.↩
    • -
  • [h] N.B. This daemon may violate Twitter's [policy](https://help.twitter.com/en/rules-and-policies/twitter-automation) w.r.t. tweeting sensitive content if the subject's statements contain such content (no content-based filtering is included in the daemon). [@DeepClassflie](https://twitter.com/DeepClassiflie) initially tested the Deep Classiflie twitter daemon but will post only framework-related announcements moving forward.↩
    • +
  • [f] Previous versions used the swa module from torchcontrib before it graduated to core pytorch.↩
    • +
  • [g] Previous versions used NVIDIA's native apex before AMP was integrated into pytorch↩
    • +
  • [h] N.B. This daemon may violate Twitter's policy w.r.t. tweeting sensitive content if the subject's statements contain such content (no content-based filtering is included in the daemon). @DeepClassflie initially tested the Deep Classiflie twitter daemon but will post only framework-related announcements moving forward.↩
    • --- @@ -477,5 +472,4 @@ Feel free to star the [repo]({{ site.github.repository_url }}) as well if you ### License [![License](https://img.shields.io/:license-mit-blue.svg?style=flat-square)](https://badges.mit-license.org) - [View on GitHub]({{ site.github.repository_url }}) - + [View on GitHub]({{ site.github.repository_url }}) \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/docs/assets/css/style.scss b/docs/assets/css/style.scss index 96a93e6..d486f9d 100644 --- a/docs/assets/css/style.scss +++ b/docs/assets/css/style.scss @@ -134,6 +134,7 @@ div.claim { max-height: 100px; overflow:hidden; min-width: 13rem; + text-align: left; } table#curr_preds .falsehood { @@ -839,7 +840,6 @@ details[open] summary:after { div.claim { height: unset; overflow:hidden; - text-align: left; } table.dataTable tbody td { padding: 0rem 0.2rem; @@ -1042,6 +1042,10 @@ ol { font-style: italic; } +table.curr_preds th sup a{ + color: #ffffff; +} + .main-content pre { padding: 0.8rem; margin-top: 0; diff --git a/docs/assets/current_explorer.gif b/docs/assets/current_explorer.gif new file mode 100644 index 0000000..afd646d Binary files /dev/null and b/docs/assets/current_explorer.gif differ diff --git a/docs/assets/dc_infsvc_pub_cache.json b/docs/assets/dc_infsvc_pub_cache.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..fc69a76 --- /dev/null +++ b/docs/assets/dc_infsvc_pub_cache.json @@ -0,0 +1,252525 @@ +[ + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, I say it publicly. I deal with the biggest companies, most prestigious companies, the best companies in the world, and they're doing, uh, vaccines right now. They're very close to having the answer and I think they'll be very safe and very effective. And I think we can do it by November 1st, sometime during October, uh, and it will be a great thing... Or, or shortly thereafter." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It will be done before the end of the year. And also therapeutics, which is also very important, and in some ways, I like it just as much or more because therapeutics, you go into the hospital, you give somebody a shot or a transfusion and they walk out two days later and they're well. So we're doing very well therapeutically and we're doing very, very well with the vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I think we can have it very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "No, the only thing that plays a role is life. I want people to live. I want people to be able to get out of this nightmare. We've done a great job with the ventilators and now you'll see with the vaccines and therapeutics. But, um, most importantly to me, a great job is getting it over with. We saved millions of lives by closing and now we open. super V. You understand what a super V is?" + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We're setting records in jobs and so many other things. But, no, I just, this has nothing to do, politics has nothing to do with it. This is a great thing for our country and, frankly, a great thing for the world because this will go worldwide." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, they don't want to give a stimulus bill because they want our country, the Democrats, to do poorly because they think that helps them with their elections. See, I don't think so. I think it's bad for their election and, uh, it, it is really bad for their election. We should have one more shot, one more stimulus bill." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Uh, it should be approved by the Democrats. I don't know that they'll do it. They would like to see things be as bad as possible on November, November 3rd, election day. Uh, I actually think we're doing very well without it but we could do even better if we had it. People deserve it. It wasn't their fault." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2734, + "raw_confidence": 0.7266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It was China's fault. China gave us this problem. It was their fault and they are being held accountable, believe me." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "No. As a Republican, uh, to be tied is good. I won it last time with Hillary, who was a much more capable candidate than Biden. And, uh, this year, I think we're gonna do very well. I think I was seven points down to Hillary last time in Florida right at the beginning and right at the end, toward the end, and ended up winning it fairly easily." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I think we win this. It's my home state. Uh, I just talked about Lake Okeechobee and, and all of the things we've done with everything. I mean we have, uh, a package like nobody's ever given to Florida. We're renewing Florida. We're helping Florida. It's a great state and we want to take care of our state." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's a precious state. And no, I think we're gonna win Florida by a lot, I hope." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2333, + "raw_confidence": 0.7667, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Yeah. What they do, nobody... Look, I said right, I would have done it already if I was gonna do something with social security. I've been here for almost four years. I would have played the social security card a long time ago. I'm not touching social security. They are because they'll destroy the economy of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2402, + "raw_confidence": 0.7598, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Social security will go down with everything else. If Biden got in, you'll have a stock market crash because they're gonna raise your taxes to a level that nobody's ever been raised before. You'll have a stock market crash the likes of which nobody in this country has ever seen before, the likes of 1929 or worse, and that's a very bad thing." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.194, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "In fact, it's even an overhang. We have one of the best stock markets we've ever had right now. We're rounding the turn on the pandemic but we have one of the best stock markets we've ever had. And the only overhang we have is the possibility that a guy like this could get in. Because if that would ever happen, you'll have a crash the likes of which you've never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, we're looking to do that. We will do it second term. We're looking to do something now if we can." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1523, + "raw_confidence": 0.8477, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "No, because we're taking it from the general fund. We're not taking it from social security. Comes right out of the general fund and we make up for it with the tremendous growth that we're going to experience and that we are experiencing. You will see numbers actually before the election for the third quarter which I think, I predict, will be among the biggest numbers ever that this country has ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1863, + "raw_confidence": 0.8137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's how well we're doing and that's despite the fact that the ge the, the Democrats want to continue lock downs." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6021, + "raw_confidence": 0.6021, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "In New York, in different places, they're continuing with these ridiculous lock downs. If you look at North Carolina, you look at Michigan and, and Illinois, they're locking down their states. They're not locking 'em down for any reason. They're locking 'em down because on November 4th, they'll all be opened." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They want to hurt the economy as much as possible. What they don't know is they're hurting people. With suicides and with drugs and alcohol, they're hurting people very badly with these lock downs, but they want to look as bad as possible on November 3rd. And I will say this, it'll all be open on November 4th, but what they're doing is very bad for them and it's very bad for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "No, I don't think so. I think we're in a, this is gonna be boom times, so don't... It's already set. Look, in the last four months we have hired and, and more people have come into the workforce than at any time in the history of our country. Think of that. And I did yearly records and monthly. Now we have over the last four months, more people have come in, over 10 million people. 10.4 million people have come in to get jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7917, + "raw_confidence": 0.7917, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Now before the China plague came in, it was the hottest... It wouldn't have even, I guess they would have had to have the election... I joke when I say that because they'll say, We have, we have breaking news, but they would have had to have the election but I wouldn't have had to work very hard and it was going beautifully." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, I will tell you. It would have been a very easy election for me to win, very easy. It was looking very easy and then the plague came in and we went back to work and we are now... Uh, now not only have we done a great job with COVID or COVID-19 as the expression goes, or the China virus, with the ventilators, with all of the things we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And now, if you take a look, you'll see it very soon, the vaccines and therapeutics. But we've done an incredible job with the economy 'cause our economy now is on a record increase with jobs and growth and everything else. We had retail sales last month. We, think of this. Retail sales which set a record, retail sales in the, hopefully, the final turn of a pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So it's been incredible, I mean, uh, the strength that we have. The biggest strength possibly is on the economy. We will have an economy the likes of which we haven't seen. Even last year, Florida had the best year they've ever had last year. Next year will be even better." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I'd like to see it, but I'd like to see it more for saving lives than for politics. That, I can tell you. For saving lives and for making people safe because it's a very strong vaccine. I think it's gonna prove to be very effective based on everything we're seeing." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Uh, I haven't made the determination, but I may, uh, I may do absentee or I may do that. I'd like to do it in person. I, I prefer doing it in person." + }, + { + "tid": "_7eyY3arEug", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jay-obrien-wpec-west-palm-beach-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I'll, I'll let you know. I'll let you know. You can greet me at the polling booth." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Appreciate you being here, and good evening. As we continue to confront the China virus, we're rebuilding America's economy like nobody thought possible, actually. We're doing incredibly well. Stock market's up almost 300 points again today, and today, while our economy is performing significantly better than Europe, which people have to understand very strongly, it's performing better than any market anywhere in the world, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "At the same time, Europe has experienced a 40% higher excess mortality than the United States. And I will say that that's a significant number. We're working with Europe on their difficulties and we are going to help them all the way. We're doing very well, as you know, in the vaccines and the therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "But think of that. We have the strongest performing economy in the world. We're up, I think it's $9 trillion since March, $9 trillion in value. That's a number that nobody's ever heard of before. We're also getting close to about a 50% number since March, which is incredible. So it's $9 trillion. It's almost 50%. In fact, I think it went above 50% today with the 300 point increase." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we're doing much better than Europe significantly. And at the same time, Europe has experienced a 40% higher excess mortality than the United States. I just want to mention, because another number of judges were approved recently, will be probably over 300 judges, federal judges, including Court of Appeals judges approved by the end of my first term." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2031, + "raw_confidence": 0.7969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And other than when they added new judges into somebody's term, which happens seldom, but it's a record nobody's ever seen anything like this in one term. So we're going to have over 300 federal judges and that's Court of Appeals judges. And that's just in the first term, probably will finish out over 300, which is pretty amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The stock market's rebound signal is a V-shaped recovery, stronger than our competitors anywhere in the world. If you look, you'll see exactly what we have. We lead the world. Japan is second, but in terms of a dollar value, it's not even close. So there it is. A lot of great competitors; Europe, United Kingdom, Japan, China, Hong Kong." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The United States is leading the world very substantially. The second slide you'll see the virus induced economic contraction in the United States has been far less severe than it was with our peers and peer nations. And you see that right there, there's the United States. And that's despite the fact that we've done more testing than any other nation in the world, that we've done more by far ventilators, we're building thousands and thousands of ventilators a month, and we're distributing them all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're helping other countries. But despite all of these factors, the shallowest contraction, which is a big deal, I'm sure you'd love to put them in your various media outlets. I know you want to get that out. If you want to leave the room early and do that, that will be fine. But it would be nice to report it." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1946, + "raw_confidence": 0.8054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The rapid recovery of home builders sentiment points to massive new construction. And we are doing massive amounts of construction of new homes and that's because people have tremendous confidence. This is where we went and the housing market has quickly rebounded. We were at a record and now we're going to be at a record again, very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1511, + "raw_confidence": 0.8489, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Those numbers are incredible. That's where we are. We had to turn off the economy and now we're turning it back on, and that's beyond the V shape. This is going to be a very strong, called a strong V. Automobile demand has increased 65% over the last three months, 65% automobile demand. And we're anticipating that that's going to go up even further, but that's more than any anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2557, + "raw_confidence": 0.7443, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The manufacturing sector, remember manufacturing is dead according to the past administration of Obama and Biden. Manufacturing is dead. You'd need a magic wand. Well, you don't need a magic wand. You need competence and capability. Manufacturing sector's booming and the production index is at the highest reading since October of 18, which was an extraordinary period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And there we are. That's pretty good. These are the numbers that nobody has seen until just recently. And now that it's just coming out, these are numbers that are leading. I guess, stock market people, they're very smart people. I know many of them and they're seeing things that they don't even believe." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So the manufacturing sector is booming and the production index is at its highest reading in a long, long time. The economy generated over 9 million jobs in the last three years, a record by far and 12 million more jobs than experts predicted. So there you are. You look at that and that's a record and it's a record for the quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We had substantially more than 9 million jobs. So those are incredible about our economy and how it's coming back. It's coming back very strongly. It's coming back at a level that's far greater than anybody anticipated and we're very proud of that. And I give a lot of credit to all of our people, Steve and Larry." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.376, + "raw_confidence": 0.624, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And we'll be talking about it, if you have any questions on it. It shouldn't have any questions. I didn't print those charts. Who did? The economy . Let's say, I don't know. We'll find that out for you. It wasn't us. We took those numbers from somebody. Where did we get those numbers, Larry? They're from where?" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Okay. Everybody has that. Everybody needs. The Democrats have abandoned the American people over the simple subject of politics. Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi are holding the American people hostage over money for their radical left wing agenda that the country doesn't want and won't accept. For example, they've asked for a ridiculous $3.5 billion, that's billion, $3.5 billion for universal mail-in voting, a system riddled by fraud and corruption." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8013, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You just look at what happened with the Carolyn Maloney race. They should do that race over, by the way. I think her opponent is right when he is having fits about that race. When you look at the ballot, the ballots that are missing and the ballot frauds, nobody knows what's going on with that race and yet they declared her a winner." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So I don't know what's happened over the last 24 hours, but her opponent is rightfully going a little bit crazy. And then you look at what happened in Virginia, where they have 500,000 applications sent out at random to people that have no idea what happened. And they admitted they made a mistake and many were sent to dead people, at least two, three, four, were sent to dogs." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3381, + "raw_confidence": 0.6619, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "One was sent to a cat. They were sent to all over the place. That was in Virginia in Patterson, New Jersey. And they had a massive amount of voter fraud and it's been a disaster. Paterson, New Jersey, has been a total disaster, that's universal mail-in voting. So they want $3.5 billion for universal mail-in voting for the country where you have hundreds of millions of voters." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1976, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They can't do a little race with 20,000 people. Now, they want to take it countrywide mail-in voting. It's going to be the greatest fraud in the history of elections. When you always talk Russia, Russia, Russia, China, Iran on voting, your biggest problem is going to be with the Democrats, not with China, Russia, and Iran." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.615, + "raw_confidence": 0.615, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Your biggest problem is going to be with the Democrats. But now the Democrats, they want $3.5 billion. Think of it. But now that they were unwilling to approve a bill that gives all of that money, of course, we would never approve an amount like that. And they also want $25 billion additional for the post office, Steve, 25 billion for the post office." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2005, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So the post office can handle this vast amount of ballots that are being sent at random all over the place. They have no idea where they're going. So they want 25 billion and think of this, they want 3.5 billion. Would you say that's enough to cover it? I think we could do it for less, right? I think we could do it for less." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "But they want 25 billion for the post office because of this. And remember, the new man who is a great person, a great businessman, just got there a little while ago. The post office has been run poorly for many, many decades. Great people in the post office, incredible people, but they've had very bad leadership for many years." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we'll get it straightened out. But they turned down this bill because they want radical left agenda items that nobody in their right mind would approve. So they want 25 billion for the post office, they want $3.5 billion for universal mail-in, 3.5 billion. And the bill is not going to happen because they don't even want to talk about it because we can't give them the kind of ridiculous things that they want that have nothing to do with the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2159, + "raw_confidence": 0.7841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It has nothing at all to do with China virus, much of what they're asking for. So therefore they don't have the money to do the universal mail-in voting. So therefore, they can't do it, I guess, right? Are they going to do it even though they don't have the money? They're asking for the 3.5 billion, they're asking for 25 billion for the post office so they can do this, I guess, and other things." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "At 25, I would hope it would be a lot of other things too, but therefore they don't have it. They don't have the money to do the universal mail-in votes. It will be the greatest rigged election in history. It will be the greatest fraud ever perpetrated other than perhaps what they did to my campaign, where they spied on my campaign, president Obama, Biden and everybody else, and they got caught." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Let's see what happens. This will be one of the greatest frauds in history. So they're admitting that they want 3.5 billion and they're not going to do a deal that's good for the American people. Therefore, they're not going to get the 3.5 billion. Therefore, they can't do the universal mail-in vote. It's very simple." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "How are they going to do it if they don't have the money to do it? The Democrats are also holding up money for schools and hospitals and small businesses and state and local governments. They tried to stop Americans from getting unemployment insurance and protection from evictions, which is why I took this decisive action." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And I did executive orders, which are now in full force and effect. And going forward, I signed a directive to provide a total of $400 of additional support for Americans who are unemployed due to the China virus. That's $400 more than the Democrats that provided. Remember that. That's $400 more than the Democrats had provided." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7061, + "raw_confidence": 0.7061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Nancy and Chuck haven't provided anything. And remember this, president Obama, when we had a problem, pretty big problem, a very big problem, you know what he gave? $25. He gave 25 bucks. So now they say, well, we want to give 500 or we want to give 600. They don't want to give. They don't want to give anything." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1882, + "raw_confidence": 0.8118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They're not doing anything. But president Obama and Biden, sleepy Joe gave $25, 25. And they'll complain, oh, we want to give more. Well, we're giving $400 and that's now in the works and that'll be getting out to the people soon, Steve. Okay? Remember that. $25 is what they gave the last time, 25. I want to make it unmistakably clear that I'm protecting people from evictions." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4567, + "raw_confidence": 0.5433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They didn't want to do that. The Democrats didn't want to do a protection from evictions. People getting evicted because of the coronavirus or the China virus, whatever you want to call it. Now we're up to 21 different names. All we know is it came out of China and it shouldn't have. They should have stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Under my executive order, HUD, HHS and CDC have been directed to ensure renters and homeowners that they can stay safely in their homes. They're not going to be evicted. They are not going to be evicted, and those letters have already been sent out, Steve, so you'll make sure of that. I'm providing a payroll tax holiday to all Americans earning less than 100,000 per year, meaning bigger paychecks for working families through the end of 2020. That's a tremendous amount of money that's being supplied and given to families." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Tremendous. The Democrats didn't want to do a payroll tax. They thought it was too much money, I guess. Or it would make businesses too successful. They don't want to see success. They certainly don't want to see it before the election. They certainly don't want to see the kind of graphs and charts that you saw up there because they say they can't win." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "With that kind of success, they can't win. They have to get used to it. Remember, we've already gotten $3 trillion in stimulus. So they should have probably negotiated a little bit differently. Maybe they should have asked for all of this before they got most of the money and we gave it out, a lot of it to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7526, + "raw_confidence": 0.7526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "When we win the election, when I win the election, I'm going to go completely and totally forgive all deferred payroll taxes without in any way, shape or form hurting social security. That money is going to come from the general fund. We're not going to touch social security. I said from day one that we're going to protect social security and we're going to protect our people." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2971, + "raw_confidence": 0.7029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And social security is \u00e2\u0080\u00a6 protect our people and social security is one of the things that will be protected. Pre-existing conditions will be protected. Medicare will be protected, but social security will be totally protected under me. Under them it will not be protected because we will have a stock market crash, the likes of which you've never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Your taxes will be doubled and tripled, and your regulations will go through the roof, which is what was causing the problems with the country in the first place. Student loans, I signed to director of providing relief to student borrowers, not their fault that they can't go to college. I will be deferring payments on student loans at zero interest until further notice." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we're going to take care of our students. A lot of great students out there and they got hit like everybody else. So I will be deferring payments on student loans at zero interest until further notice. And on the payroll tax, we'll be terminating the payroll tax. After I hopefully get elected, we'll be terminating the payroll tax." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So that will mean anywhere from 5,000 to even more per family and also great for businesses and great for jobs. A lot of people will be very happy to hear that a lot of the great certainly conservative economists will be great to have. They think that's the greatest thing we can do. That's better than the payments." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That's better than anything else. But it's a lot of money and it's going right directly to the people. And it goes there very easily, but it also creates stronger companies to employ the people. So we will be on the assumption I win, we are going to be terminating the payroll tax after the beginning of the new year." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Today I met with parents, students, teachers, and health experts to discuss the vital importance of safety and safely reopening America's schools. This evening I'll outline the common sense recommendations that should guide schools as they re-open with precautions. We want to be very, very safe and very careful, so precautions in place." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Our strategy to safely reopen schools, mirrors our approach nationwide as we race toward the competition. And the completion we're competing with others, but I'm not competing with anyone. We just want to have a vaccine. We're dealing with other countries and we want them to do well. We're giving them whatever information they need." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're all working towards something that will happen before the end of the year, maybe substantially before, but before the end of the year and therapeutics will happen, likewise, even sooner. But we're looking for that responsible path forward to shelter those at highest risk while allowing those at lower risk to resume work and school and play football, go play football." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7152, + "raw_confidence": 0.7152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I spoke to some of the great football players, college players, Trevor, and a lot of great players called . A lot of fantastic people. I got to speak to athletes, leaders. They want to play football, let them play, let them play. And they feel safer in the field than they do walking around and doing nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So hopefully that will happen. And hopefully when they play football, they will proudly stand for the national Anthem and they will proudly stand and respect the American flag or at least I'm not watching, I can't speak for others, but based on what I see now and based on what I'm looking at with respect to the NBA at this point, a lot of people agree with me." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we want people, we would like to request people, you stand proudly for the flag and for the national Anthem. In the month since the virus arrived, we've learned a great deal. Well, this is a dangerous and highly infectious disease. It primarily affects the oldest segment of our population or those with chronic health issues." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The United States has the largest nursing home and assisted living home population in the Western world by far. Nearly half of all of the deaths from the China virus in the United States have occurred in nursing homes and longterm care facilities. The median age of those who succumb to the virus is 78 years old." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "These findings underscore that all Americans must continue to apply extreme vigilance in protecting our elderly population and those with chronic conditions. Outcomes are very different for younger Americans without serious health issues, tremendously different. They can often expect mild or moderate symptoms or even no symptoms whatsoever." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They have very strong immune systems. We've learned even more so than we ever thought. In a typical year, approximately five times as many Americans under the age of 65, die from heart disease as have so far been lost to the Coronavirus from the same age group. That's an interesting statistic. Plus blessedly, children appear to face the lowest risk of all." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4458, + "raw_confidence": 0.5542, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It's 99.995% of all fatalities are adults. Think of that, 99.95. That is extremely close to 100% of all fatalities are adults. Children often have only mild symptoms and medical complications are incredibly rare, very, very, very rare. Those that do face complications often have underlying medical conditions." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "In each of the last five years, the flu resulted in more deaths of those under 18 in the United States than have been lost this far to Coronavirus by far. The flu does kill young people. Given these considerations, we believe many school districts can now reopen safely provided they implement mitigation measures and health protocols to protect families, to protect teachers and to protect students." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "All families should be empowered to make the decision that is right for their own circumstances. This is especially important if a child has underlying health conditions or lives with a parent or grandparent who is at a high risk. And one of the things we'd like to do is when we make payment to schools, because we spend a lot of money on schools, we'd like to make the payment directly to the student or to the child." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2309, + "raw_confidence": 0.7691, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And that would mean to the parents essentially, but to the child, we want to follow the child so that if a school is closed, the family can go to another school, maybe in another area, but they can do it and would like to make that payment. Rather than paying a school that's closed, we'd rather pay directly." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1849, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're following the child, where the child goes. And we want to pay the family, pay the child, and then the family can take care of the cost. And we're trying to get that approved too. But the Democrats don't like doing anything unless it means doing for the union, which controls Nancy and controls Chuck 100%. And I have nothing wrong with the union." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1567, + "raw_confidence": 0.8433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I have great respect more than very few people do. I respect more than a great teacher. It's a tremendous talent, they're really underappreciated. These are phenomenal people with tremendous talent. The great ones are among the most important people we have this country. And they'll be great at other they'll be great at charter schools, they'll be great at, when we talk about school choice, which we'd like to see so that parents can take their children to the school of their choice." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1589, + "raw_confidence": 0.8411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That's something we want. We think it's very important, especially in the minority communities, they want it so badly. African American, Hispanic American, Asian American, they wanted it so badly. But the two people I mentioned, Nancy and Chuck, they're totally controlled by the heads of the union. I think the teachers like us a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're taking care of our teachers, we want to take care of our teachers, but we cannot indefinitely stop 50 million American children from going to school and harming their mental, physical, emotional, and academic development and inflicting longterm lasting damage. I heard a gentleman today, a great person, some of you were at that meeting from Harvard say that every year is $10,000. They lose a tremendous amount of money in the future." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.184, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "He mentioned $10,000 and I think he was talking about on a yearly basis. They lose a lot by every year of education that they lost. Every year they gained, they gained $10,000. And when you have students sitting at home, playing with a computer, it's not the same. That's one thing we've learned for sure." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It's not the same, it can never be the same as being in a classroom. So we want to get our students in the classroom. The American Academy of Pediatrics has released guidance recommendation that schools reopen. They said, Reopen. It said, Lengthy time away from school and associated interruption of supportive services often results in social isolation, making it difficult for schools to identify and address important learning deficits. The doctors also warned about the risk of increased abuse, substance use, depression and suicide." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1895, + "raw_confidence": 0.8105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The National Education Association recently stated, Despite the momentous efforts of educators during the pandemic, online learning has never been an effective replacement for in- person learning and support. So when you sit at home in a basement, looking at a computer, your brain starts to wither away." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We have a lot of good experience at that just by taking a look at what's happening in politics. Studies estimate that school closures last spring caused the average student to fall 50% behind in math and roughly 35% in reading compared to a typical year. Think of that. It caused the average student to fall 50% behind in math and 35% in reading compared to being at the school, being with your teachers, being in a classroom." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've learned that learning from a laptop is not great. And frankly, we've also learned that tele-health, a little unrelated, but it's up 35000% and it's been incredible. 35000%. We'll check that number, Larry, but that's an incredible but it is people staying home and the telehealth of that has been a tremendous success." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've learned those two things during this period of time with the plague coming in, and those are the two things we know. School closures harm, low income students the most because they have less access to high quality remote learning. They don't have computers and less resources for academic support. All schools should be making plans to resume in person classes as soon as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5977, + "raw_confidence": 0.5977, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "To support the reopening of America schools, we provided $13 billion in elementary and secondary schools toward the CARES Act and CARES Act funding. We're giving CARES Act funding, the vast majority of which remain available for States to use. So a tremendous amount of money, $13 billion, that's the CARES Act funding." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And we're giving a large partial to that for States to use. Today I'm pleased to announce that we will provide up to 125 million reusable masks to various school districts all around the country. My administration also stands ready to deploy CDC teams to support schools that are opening and schools that need help in safety and in order to safely reopen." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Finally, today, my administration is highlighting general recommendations for all schools and guidance to protect high risk teachers and students. We're working very, very closely with many of the schools and school districts throughout the country. They include the following. To ensure all students, teachers and staff understand the symptoms of the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Require all students, teachers, and staff to self-assess their health every morning before coming to school. Encourage frequent hand washing or hand sanitizing during the school day, beginning upon entrance to school and ensuring that hand washing facilities are widely available throughout the school. And for the most part, schools have been very good at that." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Minimize large indoor gatherings. Hold large gatherings outdoors whenever possible. Maintain high standards of hygiene and ventilation within the classrooms, including keeping windows and doors open whenever possible and running fans and air conditioning units whenever possible. Require students, teachers, and staff to socially distance around high risk individuals and socially distance whenever possible in any event." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Encourage the use of masks when social distancing is not possible. Post instructions regarding hygiene and social distancing all over the school and all around the school. We encourage schools to adopt these measures. We've been working with so many of them and to the best of my knowledge, virtually every one of them agrees to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "While we're also providing high-risk teachers and students options to engage in distance teaching or learning, we're working on that also. College aged students also continue to be one of the lowest risk demographics. More than 99.8% of the deaths from this horrible disease, the invisible enemy we call it, occur in people over 24 years of age." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Think of that, 99.8% occur in people over 24 years of age. For this reason occur in people over 24 years of age. For this reason, it could be safer for them to live at a school rather than live with their older parents or grandparents. They got to go to school. We got to open up. We got to open up our schools and open up our businesses, and a lot of it has been opened, but we can do better." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4034, + "raw_confidence": 0.5966, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "As we move forward, the number of cases is not by any means the most important metric to focus on, because the fact is we have more cases because we have far more testing than any country in the world. There's no country that's even close. We've done more testing and better testing than any country. And many of these countries that the media was putting up as a shining example of success, they're right now in massive outbreaks." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You see what's going on in many of the countries that you constantly mention. Far more important is who the virus is infecting. That's why our strategy and attention are focused on preventing the cases that are most likely to require hospitalization or result in death. Those that afflict the elderly and those with certain underlying health conditions all the while acting to prevent hospital overcrowding." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.771, + "raw_confidence": 0.771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "If you look at some of the states that had a flare up recently, they're all doing very well. Florida is going down rapidly. I want to give a lot of credit to the governors. Florida is going down, and Arizona is going down, way down. They've done a fantastic job. California, as you know, is going down, and many other locations." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2206, + "raw_confidence": 0.7794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It's doing very well, and many locations are really in fantastic shape, some with very little, if any, problem. Large portions of the United States. Those advocating for a never ending blanket nationwide lockdown have no answer for what it would do to the mental, physical, and social health of millions of American children and people." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "This includes parents where they have to stay home with their children, because And they lose their work and they lose their job because their children isn't at school. They have to have somebody to take care of it and they want to take care of their child. They don't trust people. And society must put the health and safety of our children first." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "A man who has the respect of everybody, he's highly respected by me and anybody on this subject. He's just the expert. Dr. Scott Atlas is here from Stanford and he's been working with us for a period of time, and I thought it would be great. He was saying things to me the other day. I said, It would be great if you could tell that to the media. So, this is the first time I've shared the platform and it's an honor to do so." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Scott is truly He's a brilliant man. He's a wonderful man. And he cares about the subject very much. And I'd like to ask Scott to come up please, and say a few words. Thank you, Scott." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're giving $400 and we are in constant touch with governors also who They'll be making perhaps a contribution. They have options. They can do it, or they don't have to do it. I think most of them will do it. We're also doing a payroll tax cut, which is a massive number. That's a very big number and that's a number that's bigger than any of the numbers we talked about." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And the beauty of that is that it really incentivizes companies and because it's both a company cut and a employee cut. So that much, really, very much incentivizes people to go back to work and work hard and the company to hire people back. And we've had some of the great economic minds saying that's the most important cut." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That would be the best cut you could do it. We couldn't get the Democrats to even think about agreeing to it. It's not the Democrat way, I guess, because it just seems that whether it's Larry Kudlow or any of your many friends, that's the one they wanted the most. Would you say, Larry? And so, we're doing that." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And that was never even really discussed because that was taken off the table by the Democrats immediately. And this is every week. Every week you get a check or a month or biweekly. This is a major amount of money that you're getting directly. So it's really It's a very big number. It's a very substantial number." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And this is Don't forget this is an addition to the, to the $400, and this is a big number. And now, at the end of the year, the assumption that I win, I'm going to terminate the payroll tax, which is another thing that some of the great economists would like to see done. We'll be paying into Social Security through the general fund." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And it works out very nicely. If Biden would win, he wouldn't do that, because he's going to double and triple everybody's taxes. He's going to have to explain that one. And as you know, he's also going to a quadruple regulations. He wants to put regulations on. One of the reasons that we had the kind of numbers and big bounces that you've seen." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I mean, we closed it up. We saved millions of lives and now we open it and we bounce right back where we were. It looks like we'll be bouncing right back where we were. But one of the reasons is because we cut so many horrible regulations. And Biden with his new partner, Kamala, will If you think he's going to put it all back but many times more." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I mean, they want to increase regulations and that's just going to drive companies out and it's going to drive people out. It's going to drive them to other countries and it's going to make us not competitive with other countries. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They should. I think they're afraid to. In my book, it's virtually a part of their campaign. Antifa. The Democrats act like, Gee, I don't know exactly what that is. Take a look at Portland, take a look at any place you want to take a look at. And they're all over the place. They were here. We put on a 10 year prison sentence if you knocked down any statues two months ago." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2176, + "raw_confidence": 0.7824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And since then, we haven't seen much of them. We had to send border security. We sent actually Homeland and border and different forms of Homeland to Portland in order to You know what we had to do. We had to save They went to knock a courthouse, a $500 million courthouse. They wanted to burn it down, knock it down." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1951, + "raw_confidence": 0.8049, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And they were easily, easily able to defend, but the mayor and the governor of the state, they didn't want to do that. And we actually sent our people there and they did a great job. They did it easily. But in the meantime, they went to other parts of the city and they're doing damage, and we're recommending to the governor that they call in national security, call in the national guard." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're willing to get We would stop that problem in one hour. We sent just defensive measures to protect and save that courthouse from being burned down or knocked down. We also saved a couple of other buildings, federal buildings, because they were unable to do the job. I have to say this. They have really good police." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7134, + "raw_confidence": 0.7134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They have a great group of people that if they would be allowed to do their job, same with Chicago and same with New York and a couple of other cities. If they allowed In Chicago, 25,000 police, and they're really good, but they're not allowed to do their job. In New York, you have New York's finest, but they've totally taken away their incentive." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1849, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They've taken away their lives in a sense because they don't allow them to do their job. They could do that job so easily. You wouldn't have a problem in New York. And that includes with terrorism and everything else. They disband it. They've cut by a $1 billion, their budget, in New York, $1 billion. And crime is up by 200%, 250% depends on what week you're looking at." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It's crazy what's going on in New York. We could solve that problem easily, but we don't have to because they should be able to do it themselves, but they have to give They have to give the honor back. It's an honor. They have to give the honor back to their law enforcement groups. New York is great." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2078, + "raw_confidence": 0.7922, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So is Chicago. And in Portland, they could do the job. If they don't want to do that, we would send in, gladly if they want, the national guard will take care of it in one hour. It'll go very quickly as we did, by the way, if you take a look in Minneapolis, when they were burning down Minneapolis, a wonderful place, but nobody's ever seen anything like it." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2188, + "raw_confidence": 0.7812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "After days, the very liberal And these are all run by liberal Democrats. Every place I talk about is run because we have great cities and they're run by Republicans. Okay? There's no magic to it. It's obvious what's going on. And the cities that I mentioned are all run by liberal, very liberal Democrats, and it's very sad when you see what's happening to New York." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1937, + "raw_confidence": 0.8063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It's very sad when you see what's happening to other cities, not just those three. Other cities. When you look at what's happening, it's not even believable. I left New York almost four years ago, and you could see signs of problems because de Blasio was there. He's a horrific mayor, just horrific. I mean, people don't want to go there anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6892, + "raw_confidence": 0.6892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Not only is it bad with crime, the way he talks about the city and what he does, he's horrific. And when I see that, it's a very sad thing. I left almost four years ago, right? And when I look and see what's happening to a city that I love, that still has great potential, but it's going to have to be brought back because what happened in New York is It's not even believable." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2243, + "raw_confidence": 0.7757, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "What's happening in Chicago where one weekend you had 78 people shot and 18 die in a weekend. And then successive weekends, you have so much of that happening. And it's really not even believable. And if you let Democrats run this country, and we've stopped it from going other places. If you let Democrats run this country, you'll have all of your cities be just like that." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Well, you just saw other countries were doing much better than all other major countries, peer countries. This chart came out just a little while ago. I thought I'd See, it's that kind of a question, the wiseguy question, because I just went over the whole thing. We're doing better than almost everyone with the economy." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7794, + "raw_confidence": 0.7794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And I think we face a headwind because Democrats, perhaps for political reasons, don't want to open up their states and that's having a huge toll. That's taken a huge toll on people within those states. When you look at North Carolina, you have ] doesn't want to open it up. You look at Michigan, you look at some states." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I mean, they just want to keep these people in their houses, in their prisons. They call them prisons. And I think a lot of it's for political reasons, because they want to look as bad as possible on November 3rd. But I don't think it's going to matter because we're doing so well in so many ways. As far as the plague is concerned, when you look at the numbers, take a look at what's going on now with other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They're having flare ups that are very, very substantial and we've done very well. We're helping a lot of those countries. And those were model countries that you used to talk about and say how well they were doing, except they just exploded. They just had very big flare ups. You understand that. No, we're doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And I don't have to show you the charts again, but those charts are at a level that nobody even thought possible. I think we're going to have a fantastic third quarter. I think next year will be one of the strongest years we've had. And this is with California being closed down. This is where North Carolina and Michigan and tremendous states, great States, are being closed by for reasons I think that Scott would tell you, you disagree with, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You disagree with. We spent a great amount of time talking about it. We got to open up our country. We understand the disease. We understand who it hits. We have to protect our elderly people, especially our elderly people that are not well. We have to protect them, but we understand it and we understand it well." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've learned a lot and we're going to have the vaccine soon, and we're going to have the therapeutic soon. Going to come out very soon. And we're very proud of the people, and the job they've done. Yeah. Please go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I didn't watch. I saw just a moment of him speaking, a moment of her speaking and it was enough. Look, he made a choice, he picked her. I watched her, I watched her poll numbers go, boom, boom, boom, down to almost nothing. And she left angry, she left mad, there was nobody more insulting to Biden than she was." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3444, + "raw_confidence": 0.6556, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "She said horrible things about him, including accusations made about him by a woman where she, I guess, believed the woman. And now all of a sudden, she's running to be Vice President saying how wonderful he is. I thought it was a very unusual pick because you said such bad things and you know better than anybody what You won't write it because you don't want to do that, but you know, better than anybody, she said horrible things about him, horrible things." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1566, + "raw_confidence": 0.8434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And she mocked him, openly mocked him. That's why I thought that was a very risky pick, because I'm sure that'll be played back. Not necessarily by me, but others, it'll be played back. The other thing, if you look, she wants a $3 trillion tax hike, no fracking. How do you think no fracking in Pennsylvania is going to play?" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1531, + "raw_confidence": 0.8469, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That's a big fracking state. If you didn't have energy produced that way, you would have taxes that would triple and you'd have unemployment that you wouldn't believe. In Pennsylvania last year, had the best year they've ever had. Texas last year, had the best year they've ever had. Oklahoma, best year." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2467, + "raw_confidence": 0.7533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Almost every state in our nation last year, had the best year they've ever had. And they're going to have that again next year. And you can see that by what but think of it - She wants no fossil fuels. No fossil fuels. Really? Tell that to Texas. And then I hear, Trump is only one point up in Texas. Now, they said the same thing with crooked Hillary Clinton." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1931, + "raw_confidence": 0.8069, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "He wants to increase everybody's Taxes. And she's one of the people that wants that. I mean, you take a look at that. She wants to defund or at least substantially reduce money going to police departments, and you can't do that. You can't do that. It's actually got to be the opposite. I've been endorsed by so many police departments." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6814, + "raw_confidence": 0.6814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I'm getting a really good one this week, that you'll be seeing, really big, really good, but who could ever What police department, what law enforcement group could ever support Joe Biden, where he said things that are so bad and so foolish, frankly, so stupid in terms of crime and what would happen." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So, we're getting all of law enforcement, we're getting the military. She wants to spend much less on our military. I've rebuilt the military. We have the strongest military now, much of the equipment is coming in, all made in the United States. $2.5 trillion we spent. When I took over, we had a military that was totally, it was in terrible, terrible shape." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2134, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It was depleted. It was a depleted military, old planes, old tanks, old everything. And we have a beautiful brand new military with the best people in the world. We'd never had anything like it. Some of the equipment is still coming in. Now, we have a we've done a real job and I think we're going to be extremely successful." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2337, + "raw_confidence": 0.7663, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I was surprised that he picked her, very surprised because of the horrible way she talked about him. And frankly, because she dropped like a rock. I didn't, when I ran. I ran against 17 people, mostly governors and senators, some others. Ben Carson was very strong, very good, a couple of others, but mostly governors, mostly senators." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2586, + "raw_confidence": 0.7414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And I ran and I went up, she ran and she went down to rock bottom. I don't think she ever got to run her first to take a vote, in the first state. And so generally speaking, you don't want to pick somebody that went down. She went down, but she went down in a very terrible way and she said horrible things about Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "She said far worse about Biden than I ever did. And now, she's running as Vice President. So how does that work? Please, in the back?" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It's such a fair question, such a good question. Yeah, I mean, you hear what I was saying, or Scott will be involved and he'll be talking to you over the next couple of days, what he's saying from great experience. No, I feel very badly for him. And I have a feeling that on November 4th, somebody is going to announce schools are open." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "The country's open, everything's open. I really believe a lot of it's done for political reasons. If you want to know the truth. I think so. But you're right, online is not the same as being in the classroom and that's been proven. It's been proven loud and clear. Yeah, any other questions?" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6747, + "raw_confidence": 0.6747, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "What I mean is people are going to become they're going to be opening up areas of your neighborhood, which they're doing and now they're going to do they wanted to expand it and they will expand it, if for any reason they're going to In my opinion, destroy suburbia. And just so you understand, 30% plus of the people living in suburbia are minorities, African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American, they're minorities, 30%. The number's even higher it's, they say 35, but I like to cut it a little bit lower." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2415, + "raw_confidence": 0.7585, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You know why? That way I can never get myself in too much trouble with the fake news, but 30% plus are minorities living in suburbia. And when they go in and they want to change zoning, so that you have lots of problems where they want to build low-income housing. You want something where people can aspire to be there, not something where it gets hurt badly." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And that's what happens. So, with suburban women, suburban men, I think they feel very strongly about what I'm doing. I mean, it's a very fair question, it's a very important question, but they fought all their lives to be there. And then all of a sudden, they have something happened that changes their life and changes what they fought for for so many years." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we're looking at Gettysburg, a magnificent site, I've been there a number of times, it's just a magnificent site. And we're looking at the White House. And I would say it's really down to those two. The White House would be a much easier from the standpoint of secret service and the movement of hundreds of people, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I would say we love them both. I love Gettysburg, but this is, simpler would be magnificent. The White House is a the White House is the White House. Gettysburg is one of the great and historic sites of our country. Frankly, as far as I'm concerned, of the world. So one of those two, I'll probably be announcing it over the next week or so, maybe less." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're taking it out of the general fund and what we'll do" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1932, + "raw_confidence": 0.8068, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "What we'll be doing is, if we do that, we'll get it approved, in that case, by Congress. And we'll take the money from other places other than we will not take it from social security, in any way, shape or form." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You're right, but we're going to have tremendous growth. We have tremendous growth. You take a look at what's happening here. Next year, unless somebody comes in who doesn't know what they're doing and they start raising taxes and forcing everybody to leave the country or leave their jobs and companies to close, we will have tremendous growth." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You will see growth like you haven't seen in a long time. Okay" + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I think that's probably one of the reasons she was a terrible candidate and was forced to leave the race, because she got her facts wrong. She's very bad on facts, she's very weak on facts. And just so you understand, we've done more testing than any country in the world, by far. That includes India, which has 1.5 billion people." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7634, + "raw_confidence": 0.7634, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That includes China, that includes every country in the world, we've done more testing. We have better testing than any country in the world. They called, they want to know where do we get it, how do we get it. We have better testing than any country in the world. When you do as much testing as us, however, as you understand, you develop more cases." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6668, + "raw_confidence": 0.6668, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "If you test it on a set of 65 million people, which is what we've done, when you test that many people, you're going to find cases that normally you wouldn't see. If you go to Mexico and you go to other countries, you'll see they do almost no testing. They test. If somebody is not feeling well. They test if somebody is symptomatic, they test very little." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They test very little. We've done more testing than anybody in the world. We've done the best job of any country in the world, and that includes from making ventilators that nobody else could have done. We are the ventilator king of the world. We're supplying the whole world now, in a few short months, with ventilators that are very hard to produce, very expensive, very complex, very delicate, very, very important." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.581, + "raw_confidence": 0.581, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've done a great job. And then on top of that, when you look at the numbers, how we were impacted less than these other countries. And now, you look at the explosion of countries that you would have said did such a good job. And some of them had advantages over us for obvious reasons having to do the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "But when you look at the job that we've done compared to others, we've done a great job. And she I read today, that she's very short on facts. She I think she's going to be a big failure. And I think, I look forward to the debate between her and Mike Pence, because I think he'll do even better against her than he did a against Senator Kaine, which was a total wipe out." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we'll see how it all works out. One more. Yeah please, in the back. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6997, + "raw_confidence": 0.6997, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I see the Democrats are sabotaging the post office because they're not approving $25 billion that was requested. So this advertising the post office and then not allowing the post office to function properly, and they're certainly not allowing universal mail-in votes when they do that. But equally importantly, they're not allowing $3.5 billion in funds to do voting that they'd like to do." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Therefore, all of this and all of the tremendous mistakes that were made with regard to mail-in voting, all of these tremendous mistakes, you can't even do it. I would imagine the courts, you know this is in many courts right now. They're showing all of the disasters that have taken place, just in the last short period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "In the last two months with respect to universal mail-in voting. It's just like a total catastrophe what's happening and we can't let that happen. Go ahead, real fast." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Yeah, yeah. It's going up by cases, if you look at cases. And the cases are going up because we do so much testing and we find it. And I call it fake media gold, because we do so much more testing than any other country. And when you do all that testing, you find cases. Go ahead, Steve, real quick." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7898, + "raw_confidence": 0.7898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've taken a lot of money from China in the last year and a half, that no other president has taken in. We've done things to China that nobody else has done to China, or even thought of doing it. With 25% tariffs and taking in billions and billions of dollars, tens of billions of dollars. And given then, given the farmers as an example, 12 billion one year, 16 billion another year." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And made the farmers extremely happy, you don't hear them complaining. They were targeted by China. But I'm very angry at China, because they let this horrible disease, they let this horrible plague come into our country and come into the world and they should've been able to stop it. They stopped it from going into China." + }, + { + "tid": "_o6OBa9Cv_4", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They should've been able to stop it. So I'm very angry at China. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. And today I'm signing an executive order to ensure that the federal government lives by a very simple rule: Hire American. We've been doing it at a level that hasn't been done maybe ever." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I'll also be taking firm, disciplinary action against the leadership of the Tennessee Valley Authority, which has sadly and cruelly betrayed American workers. And we have some of those great American workers with us at the table. This is the Cabinet Room, and it's an honor to have you in the Cabinet Room and at the Oval Office." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We're joined by the Vice President; Congressman Tim Burchett, who's doing a fantastic job in the state of Tennessee; Secretary of Labor Eugene Scalia; Acting Deputy Secretary of Homeland Secretary, Ken Cuccinelli. Where's Ken? Hi, Ken. I didn't see you down there. That's great. Doing a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Keep you busy, right? We're keeping you busy, Ken." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3837, + "raw_confidence": 0.6163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Recently, the CEO of the Tennessee Valley Authority, Jeffrey Lyash, made a disastrous and heartless decision. The TVA announced that it would lay off over 200 American workers and replace them with cheaper foreign workers brought in from overseas." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7812, + "raw_confidence": 0.7812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The Tennessee Valley Authority leadership then ordered the American workers to train their foreign replacements, rubbing salt in their very open wound." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So we're going to bring in workers. They're going to foreign workers. And people from Tennessee, and some others states right around it, are going to train them what to do and how to do it. It doesn't work that way." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "As we speak, we're finalizing H1-B regulations so that no American worker is replaced ever again. H1-Bs should be used for top, highly paid talent to create American jobs, not as inexpensive labor program to destroy American jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Sitting at the table are six of the TVA workers who were ordered to train the foreign labor flown in to replace them. I want you and your colleagues to know that my administration will not be putting up with I happen to know a young woman who's been very active over the last couple of years because we were together on Disney and a couple of other things." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And it all seems to be working out pretty well." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Furthermore, the board must immediately hire that new CEO who puts the interest of American workers first. The current CEO, Jeff Lyash, is ridiculously overpaid. He earns $8 million a year. Did you know that? Eight million. He's the highest-paid government official of any country anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4063, + "raw_confidence": 0.5937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now, I don't know that you call him officially a government. It might be a public-private. It may be something a lot time ago, it was established, Tennessee Valley Authority. But he gets $8 million a year. So that was just a succession of deep-swamp things happening, and it's a disgrace. But he gets $8 million a year, and I can think of about almost 100 percent of the people I know would take that job. It's not a very hard job. I mean, you have not a lot of debt, not a lot of anything, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Public service is just that: Those who takes these jobs must be focused on the public good, not on personal profit. He would have taken the job for millions and millions of dollars less, but nobody asked him to do that. Okay? He would have gone for less. You could have had him for $4 million, $6 million, $7 million, $2 million, $1 million, probably $500,000 a year." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But the new CEO must be paid no more than $500,000 a year, which is still a significant amount more than the President of the United States makes. And I donate my salary. I've donated it. From what I hear, I'm the only President to do that. You'll have to check on that, but that's what I've heard. I'm very surprised to hear that. But I donate my full salary; I don't take it." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7378, + "raw_confidence": 0.7378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The board must work to ensure the CEO does not receive a lavish compensation package upon his departure, too. We don't want him leaving and then he gets a big check for millions and millions of dollars." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2623, + "raw_confidence": 0.7377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We want the TVA to take action on this immediately: Lower energy prices in the states of Georgia, Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. I love all those states. Any additional states you can think of there? I don't know. Let's see. So we're talking about of Georgia, Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. Great states, there every one of them." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So, with that, we're getting rid of him in one form or another. Either the board is going to do it, we're going to do it. But he's gone. And he's done not a great job. He's done not even a good job, in certain ways. Plants in Kentucky he could've kept the plant open in Kentucky, if he wanted to, even if they retrofitted the plant. And he didn't do that, did he, Congressman?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We asked him to do it. He didn't want to do it. We said, That's okay. And here we are doing what we're doing today." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So we will get somebody for a much lower price. I want the saving much lower salary I want the saving to go to the people of these great states in the form of energy savings. And that's a pretty substantial number." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So, Kevin, could I ask you to start off and say a few words, please?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So, that's it. So we're going to make that I see. So I think now you realize that it wasn't about me. I hope you now realize that." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I accept I accept your apology." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you, though I have to say, Kevin, the end was very appropriate. And while it has nothing to do with me, I can do things with respect to the board, and ultimately, the board controls that decision. This is a very, very old authority done in the" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2004, + "raw_confidence": 0.7996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So it was done during the FDR days. And it's been you know, it's been getting crazier and crazier just over the years. And they have, basically, nobody watching over them. And the board isn't watching. You see this happening in public companies also. You see it happening a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But for a essentially I would say, for a federal employee to be paid $8 million now what we're doing is we're looking at the board members, how much are they paid. Because usually what happens is they pay, and then he says, You know, I think you ought to get more money. And everybody is making a lot of money, and your pricing for electric and utilities starts going up, and people say, I wonder why." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1884, + "raw_confidence": 0.8116, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I also see that they're doing a lot of things in terms of electric, which is very expensive electric. They're building facilities that are very, very expensive to build and don't work well. But we'll discuss that separately." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But I appreciate it because you did make me aware of what's going on, and it's a terrific thing we're doing today. Thank you very much, Kevin." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, you're a very powerful speaker. And so powerful that we just got a call Mark just brought this in from the TVA CEO, and he's indicated a very strong willingness to reverse course." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So it must have been Stacy. I think Stacy did a much better job than me. I mean, you're talking and all of the sudden, I get the note." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So he's looking to change course and reverse it, and that's good. Now, maybe he'll take a major cut in salary, too. That'll be phase two, right? So we'll take a look at that. And maybe you'll start looking at that on behalf of everybody, gratis. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2085, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Everybody in this room did a good job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay? You had it anyway, but you have it now. It's a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The only congressman in the room. I tell you, Tim, great job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "That's only phase one. Phase two is imagine being paid the $8 million a year to run a thing that's pretty easy to run, in all fairness. It's not like he built it; he didn't build it. He went there and he's been there, and he gets a lot of money, and it shouldn't be. Five hundred thousand dollars is a lot of money, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3033, + "raw_confidence": 0.6967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And I'm willing to say he gets paid more money than I do. I don't care." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So that's a start. That's a start. And I think we should find out what board members make, okay? Because" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3908, + "raw_confidence": 0.6092, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I can almost guarantee you they're paid heavily." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I appreciate it, and thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And you'll see what happens. It's going to be very quick, too. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7342, + "raw_confidence": 0.7342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And this was everybody felt this way in Tennessee Valley Authority then, I guess right? if you do. You've been there for 19 years. So everyone had to feel this way, like there's been a big feeling of doubt, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They're waiting for it to happen to them." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And so, did they let you off yet? Or are you not sure?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So you're training people to take your job at a whatever. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And where are the people from that you're training?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2393, + "raw_confidence": 0.7607, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Because with Disney, they were from other countries, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay. Well, we'll make sure that things work out for the three of them because they're brave to be here, actually, Sara. So you'll check that out, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let's see that they get their jobs back" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "because I hear you're great workers. I mean, I said I want people, but I also people that are really good workers that did a great job. Because, you know, people can be let go; should be able to if they're not doing a good job. I'm all for that. I think I'll bet you are." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But I said, I want people that really do a great job and were unfairly let go. Right, Tim?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Wendy. We'll see what happens. Okay? We're going to push it hard." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "How does that compare to other big utilities, would you say?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yea, it's very big. That's a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "What's your biggest dam? What's the big dam?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I agree. That wouldn't happen with you, would it? Huh? It wouldn't happen." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I appreciate it, Chuck." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah. And you're going to lose you're going to lose people when you're firing people that are they live in Tennessee and they live in Georgia and they live in the other states that I mentioned, and it's not a fair situation." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Go ahead. Let's let's go, Chuck." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You spent $15 million a year on a consulting firm?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7976, + "raw_confidence": 0.7976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We just found another nugget of gold." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2222, + "raw_confidence": 0.7778, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Sara doesn't care about that one, but that's a I care about. You spent $15 million to one consulting firm." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "How many are there how many are there like that?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And they're paying tremendous amount of money?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Very they're very political people. You know this is a very political group of people you just named?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Not to me. Not to me, I don't care. I don't care who they are, but they they are very political." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, it's a racket. Well, we just found that out. No, it's a racket." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I mean I mean, I understand it. The four firms that you just mentioned that are paid tens of millions of dollars, they're very political firms. You know, they may be good, but they're very political firms. And they do it for much less much much, much, much less. You could give them half. You could give them 10 percent, they'd probably do it for. Those are big numbers for a consulting firm." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, that's right. And, by the way, in Kentucky, when we wanted to have a plant open with a lot of jobs, they didn't even want to consider it." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Do you think Joe Biden would do this?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, can you imagine him sitting at this table right now? Wouldn't have a clue." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm honored that you're here. And you've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah, well we're going to and we're going to get this finished too. So we'll get it finished, Sara." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Very good. You're going to find a lot. And thank you very much, Gene." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Right, Stacy? Right? I like that. You like that?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So that was like an ambition of yours to work someday for TVA?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And you had to have these consulting firms making 10, 15 million dollars a year?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3816, + "raw_confidence": 0.6184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And the man that heads it making $8 million a year, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Is that the way you view it: given to somebody else?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I've been hearing about it for a long time. When I was running, I met Sara, and we worked on the Disney situation" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "but that was a long time ago. But and, you know, this has been happening for a while. So we're taking care of it." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, Linda. We'll see what happens. You may be very pleasantly surprised. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And that was a big deal, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5486, + "raw_confidence": 0.5486, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Working because there's a great prestige to that." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1559, + "raw_confidence": 0.8441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And you train people to take your job?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So you've worked with people to take your job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1981, + "raw_confidence": 0.8019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You've taught them, like, almost everything you know, but plenty, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Maybe not. Maybe you held back a couple of secrets." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, let's see how out it works out, Jonathan. I think you're going to be in very good shape. Okay? I have a prediction." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And you see them going outside of the United States, not just here. You see them go" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Unbelievable. And they get us in many other ways too, but we're stopping it, as you noticed. That's very interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So you would say France, India, Ireland, Canada. Who else?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3971, + "raw_confidence": 0.6029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "A lot of them are a lot of the workers being outsourced" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You know, with TVA, more so than most companies. You're right you're talking about controlling all of that energy and power. It's you're right. You're right about that, Tim. That's a very good statement. Anything else?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's my honor. It's my great honor. Do you know the man next to you is Ken Cuccinelli, a legend?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3003, + "raw_confidence": 0.6997, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He's a legend in his own mind." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Ken Ken has done a fantastic job on the border. Unbelievable job on the border. And you might just tell us for a couple of seconds while we have the the media here I'm sure they'll report it very accurately how well we're doing on the border and then maybe get on to make a statement, because I know you've been working with Gene and everybody very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7125, + "raw_confidence": 0.7125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It used to take, in some cases, years. Years." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7832, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's been incredible what's happened at the border. And I think the wall is helping you quite a bit, right? We have now about almost 271 miles of wall." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7892, + "raw_confidence": 0.7892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They had a human trafficker the other day saying that they used to go out and they're trafficking human traffic mostly women and children, but mostly women, and they'd bring them across the border, taped up and horrible." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And this guy was saying how they used to go up and they'd make a left turn. They'd make a right and then a left into the United States. He says, and now we just keep driving into this massive wall that nobody gets through. Nobody is getting through that wall. That wall is the real deal. And it's steel, concrete, and everything else. And lots of cameras all over it." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2388, + "raw_confidence": 0.7612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And drones on top of it. And people aren't getting through. But it's been an incredible, incredible success." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah. And Mexico is helping us a lot. They have" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7869, + "raw_confidence": 0.7869, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They have a very good President who was just here two weeks ago." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He's really doing a good job. And we have 27,000 Mexican soldiers guarding the border. And they don't play games. They don't play games. It's been pretty amazing. The numbers are way, way down. And we want people to come in, but they have to come in legally, and that's" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 169, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You're doing a fantastic job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 171, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay, please. Go ahead. You can finish up." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 172, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, with our people running it, a very small chance, from what I understand." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 173, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Are the people that you're representing, are they because you represent a big group of people are they all nervous, like the folks at the table?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 175, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Tell them no. Tell them no, they're not next." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 176, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay? You can tell them. I think we can say that. So thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 177, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3293, + "raw_confidence": 0.6707, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So, right now, their mission is taking care of a lot of consultants and a lot of people and paying paying heads of this whole thing $8 million a year. And you'll find a lot of other things in there that are crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 178, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.668, + "raw_confidence": 0.668, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "What do the people of Tennessee think when they hear that the head of TVA which has been running for a long time and, in all fairness, not a very difficult thing; there are many people who can do it. What do they hear when they hear and they think of government, you know? It's sort of semi- I guess, you call it public-private. But there's not private, really, when you think of it. So, it's a board member." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 179, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7628, + "raw_confidence": 0.7628, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "What do they think when they hear that the head person is making $8 million a year? Which is, by the way, I said it before, the most highly paid person anywhere in any country if you call this government, which it sort of is. What do they think when they hear? Do they know he makes $8 million a year?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 180, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1902, + "raw_confidence": 0.8098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But people have known. I've known, actually, before the commercial because we were looking at it. We sent them notices a year ago and two years ago saying, We want some information. And, you know, people have known this. I just can't even imagine that somebody gets paid $8 million a year." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 181, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's the most sought-after job. It has to be the most sought-after job in any country in any government. Right, Tim? You'd take the job. Would you resign from Congress immediately?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 182, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You only need it for one year. You" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 183, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Tim would take it. That's he'll take it only" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 184, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Only for a year. You just need it for one year. That's right. Anyway." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 187, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7143, + "raw_confidence": 0.7143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I even think they like your President your current President, anyway. I'm not sure about the past President." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 188, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Trump. Yeah. No, they're great people. Say hello to them. Just say hello. They're great people." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 189, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Sara, why don't you just discuss it real quick, and you can maybe work with us in getting it all done very quickly. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 191, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7386, + "raw_confidence": 0.7386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Where you come up with the name Slow Biden? You know, so many people want me to use that term, and I say, It's too mean; it's too nasty." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 192, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And you just come up with that term. And where did that come from? Is that the" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 194, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "If he's 11, and he said he's slow and that he shouldn't be President" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 197, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "That's very nice. Thank you, Sara. Very great job you're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 199, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay, Mike. Go ahead. We'll knock it out, Sara." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 200, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Thank you. So we're going to sign a little document now. Is that okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 201, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And it's very important one, aligning federal contractors and contracting and hiring practices with the interests of the American workers, which is very simple which actually just boils down to pretty much what we're talking about today. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 202, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Here, give that to Sara because she was there very early." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 203, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I have to give I have to give one to you. You got us moving here. That's good. Will you pass these around the table, Mike? We'll just pass them on that side. You'll pass them on this side. Everybody that doesn't get it" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 205, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I'll get you one, Tim. Don't worry." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 207, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We're going to be we're going to be discussing, very shortly, a immigration bill, which covers this and many other things. It'll be a very, very comprehensive bill. That's a word that some people love and some people hate, but it'll be very comprehensive only in the sense that it'll cover just about everything." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 208, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It'll be based on merit. It will be it'll cover territory that nobody would have thought could have ever been agreed to. And I think it'll be bipartisan, in the sense that people are going to like a lot of the things that are in there. And probably some people won't; we're going to have that. And we'll probably do it maybe a little bit after our convention. We'll sign it after the convention." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 209, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Likewise, we're going to be doing a healthcare bill act and it'll be extremely comprehensive. It will cover a lot of things that nobody thought you would be able to get, and I mean, in a positive way. And I think it'll be very popular. And it will be a great thing for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 210, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In addition, we have many other things. But immigration and healthcare it doesn't get much bigger than that. Immigration will be very merit-based, but it'll be it'll be great for the worker, and it'll be great for people coming into our country but coming into our country legally and loving our country and wanting to help our country, as opposed to people coming in and they don't like our country." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 211, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You see that, and you see that with certain of our politicians that ran for office. I say, I don't think they like our country too much. All they do is complain. And you would never tell them to go back to their own country because that would be inappropriate, wouldn't it? But all they do is complain about our country, and their country is going to hell. So, you know, it's sort of an interesting phenomenon." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 212, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So the the merit-based immigration is going to be incredible, and the healthcare bill or act is going to be something that I don't think anybody in this country thought they'd ever see. And we've done much of that. If look at some of the legislation that we passed, Ken, I think you can say very strongly we've we've gotten things passed that nobody would be possible." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 213, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3485, + "raw_confidence": 0.6515, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Whether it's Right to Try that's where you're terminally ill and you don't have a right to use our great medicines because they haven't been approved they're in a line of approval and it takes some time. We've cut the time in half, by the way, for approval by the FDA. But people are sick." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 214, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7405, + "raw_confidence": 0.7405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We have very promising drugs and they're not allowed to use them because I mean, they're terminally ill and they wouldn't let them use them because of liability and other things, but I got that taken care of. So, Right to Try was a very important one." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 215, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7634, + "raw_confidence": 0.7634, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Getting Veterans Choice was so important having Veterans Choice. Nobody thought we could get that. Hasn't been done in 50 years. They haven't been able to get it. We got Veterans Choice. We got Veterans Accountability. Because we have so many other things. So many things." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 216, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And on the border, Ken, we've done things that nobody thought would have been possible. Right? Do you want to name a couple of them?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 218, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Nobody else could've gotten that done. Nobody. And we really thank Ken, but we thank a lot of people that came through." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 219, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1995, + "raw_confidence": 0.8005, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "By the way, some conservative very conservative really wanted it and some liberal wanted it. But we got criminal justice reform done. Nobody thought that was possible. The biggest beneficiary is African Americans and Hispanic Americans, I would say and Asian Americans the three, the groups." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 220, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But tremendous benefits and you know, it's really amazing. When we got that done, we had people supporting that that I would've never thought would've supported it. Not for bad reasons, but they would've never supported it, and they actually led the way. It's pretty incredible. Criminal justice reform was a big deal. You know that, Tim." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 221, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So and you were helpful actually, and I appreciate it. And thank you very much. Anybody have a question?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 227, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So my personal opinion was: You're probably better off buying the whole thing rather than buying 30 percent of it. I think buying 30 percent is complicated. And I suggested that he can go ahead. He can try. We set a date I set a date at around September 15th, at which point it's going to be out of business in the United States. But if somebody and whether it's Microsoft or somebody else buys it, that'll be interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 228, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7714, + "raw_confidence": 0.7714, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I did say that if you buy it, whatever the price is, that goes to whoever owns it. Because I guess it's China, essentially, but more than anything else. I said a very substantial portion of that price is going to have to come into the Treasury of the United States because we're making it possible for this deal to happen. Right now, they don't have any rights, unless we give it to them. So if we're going to give them the rights, then it has to come into it has to come into this country." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 229, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7256, + "raw_confidence": 0.7256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's a little bit like the landlord/tenant: Without a lease, the tenant has nothing. So they pay what's called key money, or they pay something. But the United States should be reimbursed or should be paid a substantial amount of money, because without the United States, they don't have anything at least having to do with the 30 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 230, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So I told him that. I think we're going to have maybe a deal is going to be made. It's a great asset. It's a great asset. But it's not a great asset in the United States unless they have the approval of the United States. So it'll close down on September 15th, unless Microsoft or somebody else is able to buy it and work out a deal an appropriate deal. So the Treasury of the really, the Treasury, I guess you would say, of the United States gets a lot of money. A lot of money. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 231, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we're doing a great job. I think we're doing great on vaccines. We're doing great on therapeutics. You'll be seeing that very soon. I think we're when you look at a map, this is a map of the I've got I sort of shown that around a little bit, but that's the red is the area of most concern. Pretty recent map of the of the country. And there's a lot of a lot of people that in a lot of areas that have gotten very you know, better very fast." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 232, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7351, + "raw_confidence": 0.7351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Hydroxy has tremendous support, but politically, it's toxic because I supported it. If they would have said, Do not use hydroxychloroquine under any circumstances, they would have come out and they would've said, It's a great it's a great thing. Many doctors have come out strongly in favor of it. They want it very badly. It's a great malaria drug." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 234, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let me finish my let me finish my answer." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 235, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2973, + "raw_confidence": 0.7027, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So for many years it's, I guess, 60 years it's been a malaria drug; very successful, as you know. And it's been also a drug for lupus. And it caused no trouble virtually nothing, in terms of causing people to get sick or having problems with anything. You add the zinc and you add the azithromycin the Z-Pak, as they call it and it's been very I happened to take it myself, the threesome." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 236, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I took it myself for a period of two weeks. I mean, I I had no problem. I had no problem whatsoever. And, importantly, I, you know, didn't test positive. That's very nice. Okay? I'm very happy about that negative." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 237, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And so so that's the story. It's it's very highly thought of. Interestingly, a great doctor, from what I understand a great doctor from Yale feels very strongly about hydroxychloroquine. The Ford Clinic in Michigan came out with a very, very powerful paper saying it's very good. Many other in France, as you know, they came out with a very positive statement. Many individual doctors have come out with very positive statements." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 238, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5517, + "raw_confidence": 0.5517, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I will tell you that if I was surrounded by people, as I was at the time the reason I took it: You know, we had some people that were relatively near me that tested positive. And I took it for that reason, just because I've heard good things." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 239, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7834, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't agree with Fauci on everything." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 240, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7664, + "raw_confidence": 0.7664, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't agree with Fauci. Look, Fauci didn't want and I I like him. I get along with him actually great. But he didn't want to ban people from China from coming into the country, and I overrode him and I did the right thing. He was saying face masks are no good a short while ago. So it doesn't mean he's a bad person, because he's not. He's a good person; I like him. But we we disagree on things. We disagree on things." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 241, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3999, + "raw_confidence": 0.6001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now, I will say this: We've done an amazing job with ventilators. We're supplying the world with ventilators. Ventilators are very hard, very expensive, very hard to make, very complex. Very complicated machines. Very very expensive." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 245, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.241, + "raw_confidence": 0.759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Fake news CNN, hold it. We have done a great job in this country. We haven't been given and not me. I'm not talking about me. The Vice President, the task force have not been given the kind of credit." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 246, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.751, + "raw_confidence": 0.751, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "If you look, countries all over the world are exploding right now people that you said were doing a wonderful job, so wonderful. But right now, take a look at the countries that are exploding: You have Italy back. You have Spain back. You have France back. You have Germany back. You have a lot of countries, and that's not to knock them." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 247, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2024, + "raw_confidence": 0.7976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It is a very delicate, very contagious disease. It was released by China. It should never have been allowed to release. There was the source where you could have stopped it. And they did stop it from going into China, although now they say that China is having a lot of problems. Moscow, in Russia, is having tremendous problems." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 248, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4735, + "raw_confidence": 0.5265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "What China unleashed was a very, very sad situation. With all of that being understood, the United States has done an amazing job, a great job, and you're going to see that because we have vaccines and we have therapeutics coming very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 250, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I am. Oh, why? The fact that I'm not over there with Crazy Nancy? No, I'm totally involved." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 251, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I'm totally involved. And we're going to be doing some things that are very good, because we don't think that she look, what Chuck Schumer wants more than anybody and I would say Nancy Pelosi would be second they want to bail out cities and states that have done a bad job over a long period of time. Nothing to do with coronavirus or China virus, or whatever you want to call it." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 252, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6652, + "raw_confidence": 0.6652, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They want to bail out cities and states. They want bailout money. They want to trillion dollars in bailout money, and a lot of people don't want to do that because we don't think it's right. The Democrats have run some very bad states and some very, very bad cities, and a lot of people don't want to give them a trillion dollars to reward them for doing a bad job." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 253, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "If you look at some of the states I won't insult anybody by naming those states, but you know what they are. They want bailout money. They're not interested in the people. They're not interested in unemployment. They're not interested in evictions, which is a big deal the evictions. They want to evict. A lot of people are going to be evicted, but I'm going to stop it because I'll do it myself if I have to. I have a lot of powers with respect to executive orders, and we're looking at that very seriously right now." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 254, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3423, + "raw_confidence": 0.6577, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But what the Democrats want, they want they're slow-rolling it, and all they're really interested in is bailout money to bail out radical-left governors and radical-left mayors, like in Portland and places that are so badly run. Chicago, New York City you see what's going on over there. Bailout cities and states who have been poorly run and spent a fortune doing it, they want a trillion dollars, and we're really not interested in that." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 255, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much, everybody. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "_Q4_lk4cQCc", + "sid": 256, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tech-workers-executive-order-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Jim, very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm going to have to, because we have to take care of our people. And the problem we have is that they're looking to Democrats to take care of states that have been poorly run. It's bailout money. They're looking for a trillion dollars in bailout money to bail out many states. I'm not going to name them now because it's insulting to name them, but you know who they are." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.213, + "raw_confidence": 0.787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "That are run by Democrats, run by the radical left in some cases. You look at what's going on with some cities like Portland and Seattle, and they want to do bailout money for places that are run by Democrats that are doing poorly. And it has nothing to do with corona. It has to do with something much different, that's years of neglect and not good management." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we don't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Yeah. I want to get them. I want to get them a lot. It's not their fault. It's China's fault that this whole thing happened. We were setting records. We were doing unbelievable business. It was an incredible thing, we've never done so well. Breaking records on employment, on the stock market, although the stock market's almost what it was, which is pretty incredible in itself, but we were breaking every record you can do. And then this, the plague, I call it the plague, came in and it's not the people's fault." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So we want to take care of them. Really good. Take care of them very well." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "People have to watch it. And there's a big theory on many different things. Number one, it's distancing. Here we are distanced, normally we would be a little bit closer, we'd be sharing a microphone and we want to get back to those days. But you want to have distancing. You want to have great hygiene and washing the hands." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2018, + "raw_confidence": 0.7982, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "People question masks, but there's no downside in wearing them. And you go with the masks and you do things and we're beating it, you take a look. Most of our country, much of our country is doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we're getting better very rapidly. When you look at all over the world, you look at Germany and you look at France and Spain and Italy, and there are so many places where it's coming back. This is a very, a very contagious, very difficult disease that came from China. I will tell you that, it's very difficult." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But I think we're doing very well. If I showed you a map, much of the map says, it's gone. It's gone from big areas of our country. If you look at Florida now, Texas and other places where it's sort of went back or started, you may say it just started there because they didn't have much of a problem in the first place." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7117, + "raw_confidence": 0.7117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The numbers are really good, really going down." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think you're going to have it for a little while. We're having vaccines made at a record level. I think we're going to be very successful with the vaccines. We're going to be making an announcement sooner than people even think. I think long before the end of the year. We also have therapeutics where they go in and they do transfusions or shots and people are going to get better, which is frankly my first choice right now, even before the vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And they're doing very well therapeutically and very well with the vaccine. And again, large parts of our country are doing really well. And people don't talk about them. But if you look at the hotspots, California is getting better, the numbers are going down. Texas is really in much better shape as the numbers are going down and likewise Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4126, + "raw_confidence": 0.5874, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So they were hotspots and they still are a little bit, but their numbers are going down." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2021, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So we're all set up with our military, logistically, we're all set. We have a general who does this. He delivers usually soldiers or other things, equipment. And now he's delivering a vaccine. He's really fantastic. It's a great group. It is logistically something that's going to be incredible. We're all set to go. As soon as they have that vaccine, we're going to make it. We're all set from a manufacturing standpoint and we're all set from a logistical standpoint, it's going to be delivered very fast." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to be very judicious. We're going to do with the people that need it most. And frankly, the people that need it most, as you know, are elderly, especially elderly that have a problem, whether it's diabetes or a heart problem. And we will do a real job with that, but we're going to be very judicious." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We're going to be smart about it." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to see, but the post office, I can't imagine, is equipped to do this. All of a sudden, you have millions of ballots. If you look in New York, they have a real problem. They had a congressional race and it took place about seven weeks ago and they have no idea what's going on. The votes are lost." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I don't know, there is fraud. There's something going on. But it's a very bad situation. If you look at Paterson, New Jersey, they had a race and it was very corrupt. I think they said about 20 percent of the ballots are not appropriate. So we want to make sure it's going to be a real election. This is a very dangerous thing, for World War I, World War II, people went and voted." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Now absentee ballots are good. Where you request a ballot, you get it. It's a process you have to go through. But the universal mail-in ballots are very, very dangerous. I don't think it works. I'll be honest. And I want it to work. I think it's good for me. But I don't think it works. You're not going to have... In Nevada, they passed something yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Yeah, we're suing. It's crazy, they passed it late at night. They didn't have public meetings. They didn't have anything. And results can be in seven days after the election. That means you're not even going to know who won on election night because" + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "No, not trying to suppress it. I want to have the vote. I want to actually have the vote. I want to have the real vote. I don't want an election to be stolen from either party. I don't want it to be stolen. But when they give the post office virtually no notice, and they say, We're going to give millions of ballots out and you have to go and deliver them and do whatever you have to do. I mean, how can anything run like this?" + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1882, + "raw_confidence": 0.8118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The post office didn't know about it. But just take a look at what's happened in New York, Carolyn Maloney. It's a mess. Take a look at Paterson, take a look at many other places. It's a mess. And it's going to be a very big embarrassment for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we have a great country that is going to only get better. We were set to do numbers in employment, African-American employment, Asian. I mean, if you look Hispanic-American, the greatest numbers ever, we had them, we had the greatest numbers. We're having 160 million people working. All of these numbers were records." + }, + { + "tid": "-OIwlgnznuo", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1993, + "raw_confidence": 0.8007, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-gray-television-jacqueline-policastro-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And then the virus came in and we had to do something. We had to close it down. We saved millions of lives. Now we're opening it up. We've got the greatest country in the world. We will do better next year than we've ever done before." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I thought I'd start by talking about some mail-in voting that just was revealed, just the news. Half a million incorrect absentee ballot applications were sent all across the state of Virginia, including to many dead people. This was an unprecedented mailing flub that's heightened concerns about the integrity of expanding mail-in voting and mail-in voting efforts." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2113, + "raw_confidence": 0.7887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It's a disaster, all over Virginia, half a million votes, so that's something you have to think about. We don't want to have a rigged election. I know that, and you have to be very careful when you mentioned, as you constantly do, Russia, or you mention China, or you mention Iran or others that attack our election system, and when you have this mail-in voting, it's a it's very susceptible." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It's to something that can be easily attacked by foreign countries and by, frankly, Democrats, and by Republicans, and I think that it's something you have to start thinking about very seriously. Our system is not equipped for it. The Post Office is not equipped for it, and people should vote like they did in World War I and World War II, and your numbers will be in 90 days, or less, your numbers will be very good, I think, much better on the coronavirus or the China virus, but it's something you have to look about look at and say, this is just crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7603, + "raw_confidence": 0.7603, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "This just came out: half a million incorrect ballot applications sent all over the state of Virginia to many people that weren't living, they had some sent to pets, dogs. This is what we're going to get into, and it's going to be a disaster, and it's going to be thought of very poorly. It's going to hurt our country." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "After our news conference Saturday night and the pro-growth announcement, pro-jobs, pro-health, safety executive orders, the stock market went up 358 points today, so we we issue those executive orders, and the stock market went up 358 points today. It's quite a reaction. The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 are now up 50 percent since March, 50 percent, think, if you had money in there, if you had put your money in in March, you're up 50 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4042, + "raw_confidence": 0.5958, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "The NASDAQ index continues to set new records. It's been up over 14 times new record and NASDAQ, and the S&P 500 and the Dow Dow Jones are going to be, I mean, the way they're going it looks like they're just about going to be topping records hopefully soon" + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So the White House and seems to be very well under control. I'd like to thank the Secret Service for doing their always quick and very effective work, but there was an actual shooting and somebody has been taken to the hospital. I don't know the condition of the person. It seems that the person was shot by Secret Service so we'll see what happens And yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "No, there were no details. We just found out just now. It was outside of the White House, this area right over here. And they'll have details for you in a little while. Somebody is taken to the hospital. It seems that the shooting was done by law enforcement at that person, at the suspect. It was the suspect who was shot." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And this just took place. A couple of people outside. I noticed a man named John Roberts, who you know very well. He reported that he heard shots. He was outside and he heard two shots." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We don't know yet. We don't know. They're going to find it." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We don't know that yet. No. We don't know that yet." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "No, we were taken just out over to the Oval Office." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Just told me When he came up, you pretty much saw it like I did. He said, Sir, could you please come with me? So you were surprised. I was surprised also. I think it's probably pretty unusual, but very, very professional people that do a fantastic job as you know. So it seems to me, it seems to be, from what I was said, there was a shooting." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6781, + "raw_confidence": 0.6781, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It was a law enforcement, shot someone, seems to be the suspect. And the suspect is now on the way to the hospital. I can't tell you the condition of the suspect." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "There was nobody else injured. There was no other law enforcement injured. And we'll get onto the press conference, but I do want to thank Secret Service. They are fantastic. The job they do." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "From what I understand, the answer is yes." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "That's what I understand. I don't know. You'll have to ask them." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I don't know. You'll have to get They'll have a detailed, maybe a briefing for you outside later." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I don't know. I didn't ask that question. It might not have had anything to do with me. It might've been something else, but it was on the outside of the premises, the wall, as you know, the fencing, especially the new fencing they put up is very powerful, but it was on the outside of the White House. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And they'll have a full report, Secret Service. In a little while, we'll have a full report." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I don't know. Do I seem rattled? It's unfortunate that this is a world, but the world's always been a dangerous place. It's not something that's unique. The world has been You look back over the centuries. The world has been a dangerous place, very dangerous place, and it will continue, I guess, for a period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "No, I feel very safe with Secret Service. They're fantastic people. They're the best of the best and they're highly trained. I don't know if anybody got to walk outside, but there were a lot of terrific looking people ready to go if something was necessary, people at the highest level of law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1888, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "There's nobody like these people. So they just wanted me to step aside for a little while just to make sure that everything was cleared outside because it was right in this area." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I didn't even think about not coming back. I said, Am I able to go back? And they said, You'd have to wait a little while. I waited a little while, as you know, in the Oval Office area. And I said, Can I get back now? And they said, Yes. And they have a lot of fortification outside just in case, but it was one person." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "They're going to be giving you a full briefing in a little while." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.46, + "raw_confidence": 0.54, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I can only tell you they're going to give you a briefing. It was outside of the premises. Near the fence, but outside of the premises." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Yeah, pretty close. So I was telling you that the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 are now 50% above the March level. NASDAQ is setting new records. It's already broken the record despite the situation of having the China virus. We have new jobs are rising and unemployment is falling faster than nearly anyone thought." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And over the past three months, we've created over 9 million jobs and that's a record, a three months record. If you added it up, it's a three month record by far. And we've beaten expectations by 12 million. We're 12 million above expectations, which is pretty remarkable. Today we had great reports on new job openings and there's clearly a housing boom, which has been incredible numbers in both housing and an automobile boom." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We've rarely seen anything it and it's going on right now in America. Inventories are at rock bottom, used car sales are at record levels, and we will have rebuilt We're doing a rebuilding like nobody's ever seen. It's a big plus for manufacturing and construction, so construction's getting close to record territory." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Manufacturing is doing very well. The car companies are doing great. Very happy for Michigan, the state of Michigan. We have a lot of car companies moving in. A lot of plants are being built and expanded in Michigan and Ohio. There is no reason why the economy can't grow at a 20% pace in the third quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "That would be a record. And interestingly, it will be a number that's going to be announced before November 3rd. It gets announced probably around November 1st, which is very interesting. But it's going to grow at a very substantial pace based on all of the numbers we're looking at and probably a lot more substantial than we originally thought." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We're creating new incentives for working jobs. We're also providing much needed assistance to those who are still suffering from the effects of the pandemic contraction. And the contraction is now while we have the pandemic, we have a lot of great things happening in terms of the vaccines and therapeutics, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2194, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And I think we'll be making tremendous progress over the next period of a few months and certainly before the end of the year. I think we'll have a vaccine before the end of the year, very substantially. And we may have a therapeutic very quickly. Very, very quickly. And frankly, that's the one I'd rather have faster because you'd go in, you'd give a transfusion or a shot to people that are very ill, and they'd be able to come out of the hospital the next day or a few days later." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "If the states participate in our core sharing unemployment plan, we are going to be doing something very, very interesting with all of the things that we announced on Saturday. I don't have to repeat what they are, you know very well. And we've had some tremendous success already. If you look at what's happening with the stock market and people are very thrilled at what we're doing, we'd like to get the Democrats to focus on other than what they're focusing on, which is a bailout of poorly running states." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We have many great running states, States that are setting records. And let's see what happens with respect to that. But we're looking at also considering a capital gains tax cut, which would create a lot more jobs. So we're looking very seriously at a capital gains tax cut and also at an income tax cut for middle income families." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We're looking at expanding the tax cuts we've already done, but specifically for middle income families. And you'll be hearing about that in the upcoming few weeks. And I think it'll be very exciting. So a capital gains tax is going to be a lot of people put to work and it would be a cut in the capital gains tax and also a cut in the middle income income tax." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So I now want to just discuss a little quick brief, and then we'll take a few more questions. But we took some. Who would have known we were going to take questions before we started? Is that right, Jennifer? But that's the way it happens sometimes. We want to discuss, if we might, the China virus and the world continues its fight against this horrible plague." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7062, + "raw_confidence": 0.7062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Countries in every continent are seeing increases in cases. We have a rapid increase only in cases where It's very interesting because we're so far ahead of testing, we have more cases. If we had much smaller testing, would have fewer, but we feel that having testing is a very important thing. It's a great record to have." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7794, + "raw_confidence": 0.7794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "In many ways we've tested, I guess, close to 65 million people right now. And nobody's even close to that number. No other country is close. India would be second at 11 million and they have 1.5 billion people. So we have the number one testing anywhere in the world by far. And we also have, I think, the highest quality tests." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5203, + "raw_confidence": 0.5203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We have a lot of different ones, but we have the highest quality including the short term and the lab tests. The lab tests take a little bit longer. And Dr. Burks was telling me a little while ago that we're down to two days and two and a half days on getting your result on the lab tests. The other ones, you get them in five minutes to 15 minutes." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So that's exciting. But countries in every continent are seeing increases in cases in recent days. Cases have rapidly increased in Japan and Australia, unfortunately, and they're now experiencing higher peaks than they did in March. To the south of a border, of our border, cases have continued to surge in Mexico, Central America, Argentina, Colombia, Peru, Brazil, and throughout Latin America." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It's really the hotspot. It's posing a major challenge for this continent. Latin America is now the region with the most number of confirmed cases by far despite a relative scarcity of testing. So when you think of that, that means it's pretty much on fire, having a hard time. We're helping them. We're sending them tremendous numbers of ventilators, which we're making by the thousands every month." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3397, + "raw_confidence": 0.6603, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And we're helping Latin America very much. It's hard for them to come into the country because we have big sections of wall up now. The new wall is being built, which people don't talk about. They used to talk about nothing but the wall. Now that it's being built, they're not talking about it so much, but it's helped us because we're up to almost We're getting close to 280 miles, 280 miles in the most important areas." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So that's helping us a lot in terms of not having people come in to the country who are infected with the coronavirus. This global trend underscores the persistence of the virus, including the nations that apply the strictest and most punishing lockdowns. You have nations that are really tough on the lockdowns and they're getting hit very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "That's why my administration is pursuing a science-based approach that protects the most vulnerable, preserves hospital capacity, and focuses on the delivery and development of treatments and ultimately the vaccine. I feel strongly that we will have a vaccine by the end of the year and it'll be put in service maybe even as we get it because we're all set militarily." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We're using our military to distribute the vaccine and logistically to distribute the vaccine and logistically there's nobody like this group of people. I meet with them a lot and they're ready to go. Soon as they have it, they'll be going. But more importantly, the therapeutics, as I said, I think the therapeutics could be great." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Initially speaking, I think that would be if I had my choice, but you're going to have them both. You're going to have a boat. You're going to have them both very soon, too. At the same time, we urge all Americans to apply common sense mitigation. You all know what that mitigation is. Everybody knows it by heart now." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Nearly half of all of the deaths from the China virus in the United States have occurred in nursing homes and longterm care facilities. That's why we have delivered funding, equipment and rapid testing to our nation's nursing homes to protect those at high risk. We're very focused on nursing homes and senior citizens' areas." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1561, + "raw_confidence": 0.8439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Anywhere that we have senior citizens, we're very, very focused. We've delivered over 1,800 rapid point of care testing devices, those are very quick, and shipped over 700,000 tests to nursing homes. Nursing homes are being protected like never before. The United States faces a unique range of challenges that requires our constant vigilance." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3302, + "raw_confidence": 0.6698, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "America has the largest at risk population of any developed country by far, 1.5 million residents of nursing homes, about five times out of the United Kingdom and other European countries. Our country also has a higher prevalence of underlying conditions that this virus targets. Yet we have fewer deaths per capita than the United Kingdom and most other peer nations in Western Europe." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So that's an important, we have fewer deaths per capita than the United Kingdom and most other nations in Western Europe and heading for even stronger numbers. But one person is too much as far as I'm concerned. Should have never been allowed to happen. Should have never been allowed to escape China. Nationwide we continue to see encouraging signs." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3684, + "raw_confidence": 0.6316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "In the last seven days, nationwide cases declined by 14%. Hospitalizations decreased by 7%. Fatalities decreased by 9%. Arizona and Florida are improving rapidly with fewer patients coming to emergency rooms by far as well as decreasing cases, decreasing fatalities, and expanded hospital capacity. So we have an expanded hospital capacity." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It's pretty dramatic when you look at it, meaning we have more room, should we need it. So a lot of tremendous work has been done. In Texas, likewise, the number of patients going to emergency rooms has dropped from July by more than two thirds. That's a lot. Nevertheless, we continue to monitor Texas very closely." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Terrific governor, terrific people working on that whole situation in Texas, especially at its test positivity rate, which rose over 20% this weekend. Overall cases in Texas are coming down and have stabilized in the border counties. That's again where you have the wall and you're next to, in some cases the wall, in some cases you'll have it very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You'll have it all built within a number of months. But those areas were hit very hard. And they're likely cases from Mexico that come in, back and forth from the border. They come in illegally. As doctors have found more effective ways to treat patients, the fatality rate continues to improve. Texas has one sixth the vitality rate of New York and New Jersey that they had in April." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4926, + "raw_confidence": 0.5074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And if you look at New York and New Jersey, they work very, very hard, but very heavy density. And they had a lot of different kinds of difficulty. The fatality rates in Florida and Arizona are between 25% and 33% of the peak rates of New York and New Jersey. Again, different climate, a different grouping, a different density, tremendously different density." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "In California the situation is starting to stabilize and improve throughout the major metropolitan areas. Statewide hospitalizations continue to decline very substantially with about 20% fewer inpatients now than on July 21st. California starting to really show signs of correcting. We're monitoring regions with increasing cases including Boston, Chicago, and the Midwest." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And we're monitoring them very, very strongly and very, very hard. I do want to say that I think at the end of a fairly short period of time, you're going to be in very, very good shape all over our country. Every loss of life is tragic and all nations must work together to defeat this horrible virus. My administration is going to continue to save as many lives as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We are working around the clock. Everybody, it's incredible how hard they're working and people from other countries, we're working with them also and they're working very hard. This is something that's now attacked 188 different countries. There are a wide range of factors that determine how the virus impacts a nation such as age, underlying conditions." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2015, + "raw_confidence": 0.7985, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Underlying conditions is a very big one to you. If you're sick in any way, if you're, especially they say heart and diabetes, that's not a good thing to have if you're going to have this, if you're going to catch it. So we're trying to protect especially those people that have problems with their heart or diabetes and levels of preexisting immunity resulting from past exposure to other viruses which happens." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We must stop politicizing the virus and instead be united in our condemnation of how this virus came to America, how this virus came to the world and we're going to figure it out and we're going to find out and we're very angry about it. On the therapeutics and vaccine updates, three vaccine candidates are currently in phase three clinical trial, something that would have been impossible under the previous administration or any other administration." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And several others are showing considerable promise. We have great companies, very well known companies. I think everyone in this room would know these companies, but they're the biggest and the best in the world. And we're working with other foreign companies and countries that have been really working very closely with us." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2241, + "raw_confidence": 0.7759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We're trading, we're not looking to do anything but come up with the answer and we really don't, we don't care. We want to come up with the answer. If it's one of ours or one of theirs, it's okay. We have to come up with the answer and we're very close to getting it. Some people think we have it. We may have it." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We have the best scientists in the world racing to develop a safe vaccine that will end this pandemic, save millions of lives and that's millions of lives all over the world and then the harm inflicted by this virus to our society and to all other nations. Last week, the NIH began a clinical trial of Remdesivir paired with another approved antiviral drug and anti-inflammatory drug." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1573, + "raw_confidence": 0.8427, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You know that Remdesivir has been very successful. And now they're experimenting with others, including antivirals and antiinflammatories, and they're having some very interesting success. We've secured enough Remdesivir to treat over 650,000 patients. On Saturday I took executive action in a signing to save American jobs and support American workers." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1835, + "raw_confidence": 0.8165, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I signed directives to give a payroll tax holiday with the understanding that after the election, on the assumption that it would be victorious for an administration that's done a great job, we will be ending that tax, will be terminating that tax. On the other hand, the other group wants to raise taxes and they may want to leave it where you pay it." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But the payroll tax is a big deal for people. It's a tremendous saving for people and we're going to be doing it. And we intend to terminate it at the end of the appropriate period of time. It's for those making less than $100,000 through the end of 2020, to provide an extra $400 per week also in unemployment benefits and to extend the freeze on home evictions." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2011, + "raw_confidence": 0.7989, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We want to extend the freeze so people aren't evicted. It's not their fault that the virus came from China. It's China's fault and to suspend payments on student loans through the end of the year and then beyond. And again, they're paying interest on loans and they're not allowed to go to their college." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So we're going to suspend payments on student loans through the end of the year, and then another extension most likely, because it's not fair to the students to have to pay when the colleges aren't doing the job of getting open. And I think probably many of them could be open. So I want to thank you all." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I'm sorry for the disturbance before. Things happen and if you'd like, we'll take a few questions. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "By the way, the gentleman you know everybody, you know Russell, you know. But this is Scott Atlas. You know that, right? Scott is a very famous man who's also very highly respected, Stanford. And he's working with us and will be working with us on the coronavirus. And he has many great ideas and he thinks what we've done is really good." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And now we'll take it to a new level. And so it's great to have Scott working along with us and we appreciate it very much, Scott. Thank you very much really . We've had some great discussions." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2142, + "raw_confidence": 0.7858, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We just had a meeting with the governors and they were very anxious to get money for the people in their states. And if they, depending on the state, we have the right to do what we want to do. We can terminate the 25% or we don't have to do that. So we'll see what it is. It depends on the individual state, but a lot of money will be going to a lot of people very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And I've instructed the Secretary of the Treasury to move as quickly as he can, right? So we'll get it done. Yeah, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know if he was closer or not, he or she. I don't know if it was a he or she, but I have such confidence in these people. They're so good. And I don't think the person breached anything. He was on the outside ground. So I don't believe anything was breached. I asked that question. So they were relatively far away." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "No, because they may have, as you would call it a case and maybe a case, but it's also a case where there's a tiny, it's a tiny fraction of death, tiny fraction, and they get better very quickly. Yeah, they may have it for a short period of time. But as you know, the seriousness of it in terms of what it leads to is extraordinarily small, very, very much less than one percent." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1876, + "raw_confidence": 0.8124, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Yeah. I think that for the most part, they do very well. I mean, they don't get very sick. They don't catch it easily. They don't get very sick. don't get very sick. They don't catch it easily. They don't get very sick. And according to the people that I've spoken to, they don't transport it or transfer it to other people, or certainly not very easily." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So yeah, I think schools have to open. We want to get our economy going. We have incredible numbers despite this. If we could get this going, I think it's a very important thing for the economy to get the schools going. Jonathan, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Well, if you look at the manifesto that they've come up with, and if you look at their stance on religion and things having to do very importantly with aspects of religion and faith, I don't think a man of deep religion would be agreeing to the Bernie Sanders plan. You take a look at what they have in, and you can't put that into the realm of a religious group of people." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I will say that. And I think it's one of the reasons why, if you look at polls, which I'm not a big believer in polls. If I was, I guess I wouldn't be standing here right now. And by the way, our poll numbers are going up very rapidly, as you know. And Joe's are going down very rapidly. He'll have to come out of the basement, it looks like pretty soon." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Because it's one of those things. But no, if you look at the manifesto. I call it the manifesto, a lot of people are calling it the manifesto. My opinion is further left than where Bernie was before. So normally he'd be left and you'd bring it somewhere a little bit toward the center. But some of the things that they have down there, and I'm not only talking in terms of religion, I'm not talking even in terms of religion." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But some of the things they have in the agreement made, and this wasn't agreement made by Bernie Sanders and Joe, it's a terrible thing. It would be a terrible thing for our country. It will destroy our country. We will go into a depression. We will put on regulation. We will double and triple taxes. It will be terrible for healthcare." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Just terrible. You'll have 180 million people lose their healthcare. It will be a terrible, terrible thing for our country. Okay. Yeah, please. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But I didn't say that. I said as an executive order. As you said, I said as an executive order it hasn't been done before. We want to be able to assure people that preexisting condition is always taken care of. As you know, we've done tremendous things having to do with the individual mandate. We got rid of the individual mandate from Obamacare." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2733, + "raw_confidence": 0.7267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Which really ended Obamacare as it would be officially known, because the individual mandate was the biggest part. It was also the most unpopular part, where you pay for a terrible privilege of overpaying for insurance. You pay not to have to pay for your healthcare. And that was a disaster for people, and very unpopular." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2061, + "raw_confidence": 0.7939, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "That was called the individual mandate. And we terminated that. And officially terminated that. And that was something that we have been given thanks for it by many, many people. But the individual mandate will always be with us, the individual mandate termination will always be, they can't start it up." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "In fact, I don't even believe, you'll have to tell me, I don't believe it's been challenged when we ended it. And preexisting conditions, the Republicans are 100% there. And I'll be issuing, at some point in the not too distant future, a very strong statement on that. Probably in the form of an executive order." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Just a double safety net, and just to let people know that the Republicans are totally strongly in favor of taking care of people with preexisting conditions. It's a signal to people. It's a second platform. We have preexisting conditions will be taken care of 100% by Republicans and the Republican party." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I actually think it's a very important statement. Yes, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "No, we haven't sent out invitations. We're talking to them. As you know, I was on the phone with many of them yesterday with respect to Lebanon, which is truly one of the saddest, most catastrophic things I've ever seen. And they have no idea how many people have died. They're having revolution right now in that country." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It's just a terrible thing. But I was, yesterday, eight o'clock in the morning our time, we had a big teleconference call. Some of those people were there. I'm much more inclined to do it sometime after the election, we were going to do it in September. They'd like to do it. We could do it through teleconference or we could do it through a meeting." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But I am now suggesting, I told my people yesterday actually, why don't we do it sometime after the election when things are a little bit you have a little more time to think about it? Because it's very important. The G7 is very important." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I don't know, but we have invited a number of people to the meeting. I certainly would invite him to the meeting, I think he's an important factor. But we will invite certain people that aren't in the G7. Some people have already accepted, but we're going to be doing it after the election. I think it's a better atmosphere to have a G7. I think it's just a better, calmer atmosphere to have a G7. Yeah, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "They're hurting people very badly. This would have been so easy for them to do. And I saw that Senator Schumer said today on a show, I don't know what show, but he said today on a show that we should meet, we should do something. But where has he been for, how many weeks have you been negotiating? Like four?" + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And they should do something. It would have been so much easier than doing it the way we did it. But we did something that's very important. And frankly, it's been well received, very well received. Go ahead, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Well I've been to Gettysburg numerous times. It's a national park. It's a national historic site. It's incredible. You know, it's the history. It's incredible actually, to me. It was a very important place, and is a very important place in our country. So we're looking at that, and we're looking at the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1929, + "raw_confidence": 0.8071, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "The White House would be very much easier for secret service. You see what just went on here, they're all here. Just like you have your seats, they have their seats at the White House. So there wouldn't be any expense or any extraordinary expense. And the White House would be a lovely place to do it also." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Least expensive place that you could do it would be at the White House. This is a government expense. And look, I watch also with governments, I watch to make sure that we do what's right. But we're looking at Gettysburg and we're looking at the White House. And we have other sites too, but I think these would be two really beautiful sets." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You could. You have plenty of room at both locations. I see John Roberts. John, you were outside, you said you heard shots fired before." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You definitely know the difference. I know that." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You know the difference. You thought they were shots, John?" + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I saw your report inside, when I went inside. It was a good report too. Thank you very much. Appreciate it. Jennifer, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Well we've already responded in many different ways. We're talking a lot about China. We shouldn't have been talking about China. We did a phase one deal and it was a wonderful deal. And all of a sudden it means very little in the overall import of things. They should have never allowed what happened to the world, including us." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But this was released into Europe and it was released into the US, and it was released all throughout the world. But it wasn't released into China. And we were doing numbers that just were incredible. And we hope to be able to do them, perhaps even next year. I think we're going to have an incredible year next year, but that will never pay for the loss of life in our country and all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So we view China differently than we did eight months ago. Very much differently. Yes, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2306, + "raw_confidence": 0.7694, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And Jennifer, we're also talking on the WTO, the World Trade Organization. China's treated much differently than we are. This should have been handled many years ago when it first happened, but they are treated as a nation that's developing. And they're treated as what they call a developing nation, which gives them tremendous incentives and advantages over and above what the United States gets." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And over and above what other countries get also. This is a developing nation. I don't think so. I don't think for purposes of what we're talking about it should be. And we are putting in, and we've already put in a request that China should no longer be declared a developing nation, that it have advantages over the US." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2355, + "raw_confidence": 0.7645, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And I told them that a year ago, and I told them that two years ago. And we put it in very powerfully that they should not have advantages over other countries, frankly. And they're not going to have any more advantages over This should have been done by numerous presidents a long time ago, because it gives them a tremendous boost over everybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And it's a very unfair situation. No, we are upset with China because of what they did. China was not good. And China will be, if you look at what's going to happen, whether it's Iran, Iran will make a deal with us in a month after the election's over if we win the election. But their greatest dream in the world is that Joe Biden wins, because they will own this country." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "China will own this country. North Korea will own this country. They will own our country. And they're all waiting to see the election. And if we have a win on November 3rd, we will have a deal with, in my opinion, Iran within one month. And I don't know that we want to have a deal with China, to be honest with you." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So I'm saying it myself, gee, but China wants us to lose very badly. And you know who else is not happy with us winning? Russia. The phony people that tell the story, the fake news stories about Russia. It was just reported the numbers, I raised $400 million extra in NATO. You know that. It went from 130 to $400 billion, and that's a year, in order to strengthen up NATO." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "That's a year, in order to strengthen up NATO. Nobody says that. We became the biggest energy exporter. We are now if you look at what we have, we're energy independent. So many different things. Our military is stronger than it ever was. We spent $2.5 trillion on our military. I exposed the terrible deal between Germany and Russia on the pipeline." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Nobody even knew about the pipeline. Nord Stream. Nord Stream, too. Nobody knew about it. Nobody talks about it. I said, What's this all about? So we protect Germany from Russia and Germany pays Russia, billions of dollars a year for energy. And it's a big portion of Germany's energy. If I was a person that was a German citizen, I would not be happy with that deal, because they were at a very big disadvantage." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So, no, Russia would not be happy. And I can tell you that China would not be happy at all. We've taken in tens of billions of dollars as your head of the treasury, Steve, right? We've taken in tens of billions of dollars from China. We never took 25 cents from China, never, not even 25 cents. And $28 billion we gave to our farmers because they were targeted by China." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Even though we made the deal, we're still receiving that money. So if we win the election, we'll have deals with a lot of countries, very fast. They're just waiting to see who wins because they are hoping, they are hoping that Joe Biden wins. Sleepy Joe. And if he wins, you know what's going to happen? China will own us." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2204, + "raw_confidence": 0.7796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Our markets will crash. The 401ks will go down to practically nothing. Stocks will go down to practically nothing. Remember stocks, there's these big companies, they're owned by millions of people that are carpenters and policemen and farmers and lots of other people. And they are the ones that benefit by having a good stock market, probably more than anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But the 401ks, the stocks, the economy will be in a shambles. They want to raise taxes. They want to triple taxes. They want to raise the corporate tax, but they want to raise all taxes. Ultimately, they can't pay for what they want to do anyway. And what they're going to do is destroy your health care and destroy so many other things." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We're going to have 180 million people that are so happy with their private health care. They're going to lose it under this crazy plan that these people are proposing. You will have a crash like you've never seen before. And I've been very good at predicting these things. Yeah, please go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4789, + "raw_confidence": 0.5211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "They said China, Russia, Iran, and probably others. But because of the fake news, they seem to think Russia plays the best." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So, what they do it's all right. Well, I'm just saying the way the politicians look the other day, they said the three countries. They said China and Russia and Iran, and some reporter got up and said, Russia is meddling. I said, Well, didn't it mention China and Iran? Why didn't you mention them too? So, I don't know." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You know what I'm telling you? I'll tell you who's meddling in our elections. The Democrats are meddling by wanting and insisting on sending mail in ballots where there's corruption all over the place. If you check what happened in New York, a small, relatively small race with Carolyn Maloney, and they called her the winner the other day, because I was mentioning it at conferences and getting a lot of action on that statement, so they called her they declared her the winner and they have no idea who won." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2249, + "raw_confidence": 0.7751, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And the person, her opponent is very angry, but they had mail in voting and they had hundreds, and I think even thousands of ballots that are missing that were fraudulent. Take a look at the Carolyn Maloney race. Take a look at Patterson, New Jersey. Take a look now at this one in Virginia, where they mailed out 500,000 applications and they're going to people that aren't supposed to be getting an application." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We're trying to do the best we can. You have big sporting events and that's good for our economy. That's good for us. And they do talk about certain exemptions and they make sure everyone's perfectly tested and everyone comes in at 100%. But we do make certain accommodations because you do have star athletes, and that means a good thing for the country." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "That's economic development, et cetera. But we are working very closely with Europe and with other countries to see what's the best time. And don't forget, I was the one that turned Europe off because they really they led the way they let it much more so than we did. We were months following them. And in terms of they got hit earlier than we did, quite a bit earlier than we did." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So I put the restrictions on Europe. I put the restrictions on China, which was a great thing to do in retrospect. We're getting, I mean, that was a very important day. Dr. Fauci said that was one of the most important days. And a lot of people didn't want me to do it, but we first put a ban on anybody from China coming in." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And then we put a ban on Europe coming in, but we're working very closely with Europe to see when that will all come off. Yeah, please." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "No, I wouldn't have done that. I think it's been amazing what we've been able to do. If we didn't close up our country, we would have had 1.5 or 2 million people already dead. We've called it right now, we don't have to close it. We understand the disease. Nobody understood it because nobody's ever seen anything like this." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2291, + "raw_confidence": 0.7709, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "The closest thing is in 1917, they say right. The great pandemic certainly was a terrible thing where they lost anywhere from 50 to 100 million people probably ended the Second World War. All the soldiers were sick. That was a terrible situation. And this is highly contagious. This one is highly, highly contagious." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Now, if I would have listened to a lot of people, we would have kept it open. And by the way, we keep it open now all the way. We keep it open. But we would have kept it open and you could be up to 1.5 or 2 million people right now. 1.5 to 2 million people. Our people have done a fantastic jobs. Our consultants and our doctors, and with disagreements and with a lot of things happening." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6082, + "raw_confidence": 0.6082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "What we've done with ventilators has been amazing. What we've done with medical equipment has been incredible. We've supplied the governors, nobody, not one person in this country that needed a ventilator didn't get it. And at the beginning there was a big shortage of ventilators. Nobody had stockpiles or anything comparable to what you had to have." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "So we would have lost if you think about it, you had mentioned 160,000 people and multiply that times 10 right now. I think it would have been unsustainable and unacceptable, but that's what would have happened. Had we kept it open. So, no, I think we're a very large country. We are one person, and I say it all the time, a lot of people like to leave that out, one person is too many." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "It should have never happened, but they've done a really, an extraordinary job. They'll never be given the credit, and I'm not talking about me. The people that have worked on this so hard will never be given the credit, but they've done an extraordinary job with a very large, diverse country, really an extraordinary job." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And a lot of the governors who, as you know, they sort of do the micro in their states and they go up. And I think I can tell you that a lot of the governors have done an extraordinary job too. Yeah, please go ahead. Thank you. Did" + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "You have to you can't. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "We haven't really discussed that too much, but at some point we probably will be, and we don't want people tariffing us. And if they tariff us, although I must tell you, I have a very good relationship with President Bolsonaro. He's great. And I hear he's doing well. He's recovered from having COVID, having COVID-19 as they say, and that's great and send him my regards." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1975, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "I think that as far as Brazil is concerned, if they do tariffs, we have to have an equalization of tariffs. And we are going to be presenting something having to do with tariffs and fairness and fair tariffs, because we have many countries for many years that have been charging us tariffs to do business, and we don't charge them." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "And it's called reciprocity. It's called reciprocal tariffs. And you may be seeing something on that very soon. Did you have one" + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7104, + "raw_confidence": 0.7104, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Well, look, the Obama campaign spied on our campaign and they've been caught. All right. And now let's see what happens to them, but they have been caught. They've been caught red handed. It's probably treason. It's a horrible thing they did. It probably never happened before, at least nobody got caught doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But they use the intelligence agencies of our country to spy on my campaign and they have been caught. And there are a lot of people involved. I don't want to say how much she's involved. Frankly, if he chooses her, that's fine. But that's a potential liability. We'll see." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2071, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "But President Obama knew about it. Joe Biden knew about it. Comey knew about it. Brennan, Clapper, the whole group, they all knew about it. Lisa Page, her lover, Strzok, they all knew about it. And we have it documented. We have it in texts. We have it in all sorts of forms. They knew about it. It was a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "-OVqw_4YRpw", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-10", + "claim_text": "Should have never happened and should never be allowed to happen again to a president. This should never happen again. This was a setup like we've never seen. I think it's a political crime of the century and they've been caught. So let's see what happens to them all. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "0p-XgCbPiFo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2759, + "raw_confidence": 0.7241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-vlog-rnc-convention-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We've had a really great convention so far. It's all about glory, and success, and making America great again. We want success. We want to bring our country to a point that it was at, and even beyond, because before the China virus came in, we had set every single record in the book, and now we're doing it again." + }, + { + "tid": "0p-XgCbPiFo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-vlog-rnc-convention-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "If you look at employment numbers, if you look at jobs, if you look at so many different things, we're doing it again, and I think next year, we'll be even more successful than we were before the virus came in. So I just want to thank everybody. It's been an incredible week. This is an incredible party. This is a party of optimism and strength." + }, + { + "tid": "0p-XgCbPiFo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-vlog-rnc-convention-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "It's an honor to be representing the Republican party, the party of Abraham Lincoln, and if you want to help, text vote to 88022. My team will send you everything that you're going to need to vote and secure your ballot, so we can make america great again. It's happening faster than we even thought. We did it once, and now we're going to do it again. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. And that was some greeting we had in North Carolina. I'll tell you, I don't know if you saw the crowd outside, but it's pretty amazing. But we've had it in Texas, in Ohio, South Carolina, Florida. It's just incredible what's happening. Please, sit down. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "And I'm honored to be in North Carolina, in the presence of true American heroes, as we commemorate the 75th anniversary of the American victory in World War Two. And a victory it was." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "On September 2nd, 1945, the great General Douglas MacArthur accepted Japan's unconditional surrender aboard the USS Missouri in Tokyo Bay. V-J Day marked the end of the deadliest conflict in human history and the ultimate triumph of American freedom. That was a big day. That was a great triumph of great country. And our country is greater than ever before. That's what's happening, and that's what it is. Greater with a greater military with a greater military than we've ever had before." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "We are deeply moved to be joined this afternoon by World War Two veterans, all of whom I met, all of whom are tough I don't want to mess around with any of them, I'll tell you right now whose blood, sweat, grit, courage, and unfailing devotion made that epic victory possible." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "These brave Americans raced into the fires of hell to vanquish tyranny, dethrone fascism, and defend the American way of life. You've earned the eternal and undying gratitude of all Americans, and that's why I'm here today. I wanted to be with you. You know what I'm talking about, don't you? And we had a good time, a little while ago right? over at the Oval Office. Congressional Medal of Honor." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "We're privileged to be joined as well by veterans from every generation, including a number of wounded warriors. We stand in awe of your service. I can say that: so respected, so loved. We are in awe." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Joining us for this commemoration are Secretary David Bernhardt. Secretary? Where is David? Thank you, David, very much for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "A great senator, a real friend of mine a tremendous senator, actually, and he works very, very hard and he loves the people of North Carolina Senator Thom Tillis. Thom, thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "And some warriors, they're in Congress. And they're tough, and they're smart. Representatives David Rouzer, Ted Budd, and Dan Bishop. Thank you, fellas. They are tough, but you're not as tough as these guys, I'll tell you right now. Right? You're not as tough as them." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "There is no better place to mark this profound World War Two anniversary than right here in Wilmington, North Carolina. The people of this city and this state and it's an incredible state, and I want to thank you for being so nice to me. You've been very nice very, very nice every time we've asked for something. But I've been nice to you also; I have to say that." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "But you made the extraordinary contributions to the war effort. That's North Carolina made this extraordinary contribution, and so many." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Nearly 2 million American servicemen trained for combat in North Carolina, more than any other state. Wow, that's pretty good, isn't it? Huh? Who would know that? Two million trained; more than any state." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Over 360,000 service members from your state fought in the Second World War. They battled on the cliffs of Normandy, over the skies of Africa, and in the deep waters of the Pacific. Over 11,000 North Carolina patriots fought the enemy until their very last breath. You know what that means, right? Think of that: Eleven thousand died in the war. We want to thank you. Boy. And we have family members here, by the way. That's them saying hello." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "In Wilmington, more than 20,000 workers of the North Carolina Shipbuilding Company poured out every ounce of their strength to build an astonishing 243 ships for the U.S. Navy. And it was the citizens of Wilmington who came together to save a priceless artifact of American history: the glorious battleship behind me, the USS North Carolina. And that is some powerful and beautiful ship." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2416, + "raw_confidence": 0.7584, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Coming in on coming in, we're just we got plenty of televisions on Air Force One, and they showed it in primetime, in the '40s, and they showed that ship. And I'll tell you, they don't make I shouldn't say this they don't make them that way anymore. They really don't. What a beautiful ship." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "During World War Two, this magnificent ship participated in many major naval offensives and in the Pacific theater itself, including the Marshall Islands, Iwo Jima, and Okinawa, earning more battle stars than any other battleship. We're learning a lot today, right? That's pretty good." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Why are you clapping? You come from West Virginia. Huh? He loves West Virginia; so do I. Right? But we're clapping anyway. Right? You better believe it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "After the war, the people of Wilmington organized a massive campaign to save this beautiful ship from the scrapyard. They preserved it as a memorial to the gallant deeds of American sailors, a monument to the American workers that built it, and an enduring symbol of American greatness. Now more than 200,000 people visit this site each year to learn the history and the heroism that defines our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "This afternoon, my administration is formally recognizing the city's exceptional contributions to victory in the Second World War." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1868, + "raw_confidence": 0.8132, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "It is my tremendous honor to officially designate Wilmington, North Carolina, as our nation's very first World War Two Heritage City. That's a big deal: our nation's very first, Wilmington. Congratulations to you all." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "And God is saluting you up there, I tell you. We may have to go a little quicker than I thought, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "With this designation, we proudly declare that, in America, we don't tear down the past, we celebrate our heroes, we cherish our heritage, we preserve our history, and we build a future." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "This mighty vessel in this magnificent town will forever tell that story with this designation. So I want to just congratulate North Carolina and Wilmington. That's a fantastic a fantastic thing." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "I want to thank Senator Tillis and Congressman Rouzer. Stand up, please in between the lightning bolts for their work to make this day possible. Thank you, Thom. Thank you, fellas. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "And let me also thank retired Navy Captain Wilbur Jones, who has championed the cause of World War Two Heritage Cities. Wilbur, thank you. Thank you, Wilbur. Great job. Great job. So, Wilbur, you know a lot of people wanted this, right? So you are just a tough cookie. You got it. Number one. Number one in the nation. I want to thank Wilbur. That's great." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "I also want to recognize several of the heroes who saved American freedom. And I've known some of them since I've been in office; I've seen them, and there they are. Here today is my good friend, who I just left, and he was in the Oval Office with me at the White House, Woody Williams. Seventy-five years ago, Woody showed fearless courage as a Marine in the Battle of Iwo Jima. You are amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2181, + "raw_confidence": 0.7819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "I promised him I would not tell that he's 97 years old. I promised. And I'll tell you, he's 100 percent sharp. He's 100 percent sharp. I know a 78-year-old that's not so sharp, and he's 97, and he's 100 percent, because it has nothing to do with that. Seventy-eight is young. Depends who's 78, that's all. He's 97. I said, Man, you are something. And physically in great shape." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "He braved a torrent of hostile fire while destroying one enemy machine gun position after another; knocked them out, one after one. For his daring actions, President Truman think of that awarded Woody the Congressional Medal of Honor, the highest in our land. Woody, congratulations. You inspire us all. It was great to have you on Air Force One." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "I had promised him, you know, maybe two years ago I said, I'll take you on Air Force. He came up. He's very aggressive. He said, I'd like to fly on Air Force One. I said I'll do it, and today we did it. Right? We got it done. Thanks, Woody. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Also joining us today is Paul Phillips, a veteran of World War Two, Korea, and Vietnam. During the Second World War, Paul proudly served on the USS North Carolina in the Pacific theater. At 93 years old, he has returned today to visit the ship upon which he so nobly served. He's a tremendous man. Paul, it's our honor to have you with us. Please, Paul, stand up. Thank you, Paul. Thank you. Perfect. Thank you, Paul. Great job, Paul. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Here as well is Army veteran, Greg Melikian. When Greg was 20 years old, he served as a radio operator in the headquarters of Supreme Allied Commander General Dwight D. Eisenhower. Oh, I'd loved to have heard some of those conversations. Much more interesting than today, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Seventy-five years ago, General Eisenhower directed Greg to broadcast around the world the long-awaited news that Germany had surrendered. Greg, your being here is very, very much appreciated. Thank you very much. It was a great honor meeting you before. Thank you very much. Very, very great honor." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Our task today is to pass on to the next generation the blessings of liberty that you fought for and that you bled for all for security. You wanted to secure our future, you wanted to praise and raise our flag, and you did that. You raise our flag, and you stand proud and you stand tall, and we're doing it in our nation too almost everyone. Every once in a while, you see somebody not do it. We don't like it when they don't do it, do we? We don't like it. I want to just thank you. A fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "American warriors did not defeat fascism and oppression overseas only to watch our freedoms be trampled by violent mobs here at home. We stopped those violent mobs very easily. All they have to do is say, Please, come in, Mr. President. We'll have it done in one hour. Please, come in." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "It's one of the great to me, just incredible that they don't immediately. They just as you know, Portland, the mayor last night, he was raided his home was raided. He was thrown out of his home. And then he'll stand up and he'll fight for these people. These people only know one thing, and that's strength. That's all they know. Strength. And we have strength." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "For the sake of all Americans, we must uphold the rule of law and defend the American Dream for every child in our land. We must teach our children that America is a land of heroes like you, you're heroes. You know that, right, Woody? You're heroes. You're great, great men. Great men. Better believe it." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "We're not ashamed in America. We're not ashamed of anything. I signed a very important edict recently. Three months ago, they were ripping down statues. I said, You can rip them down, but you're going to serve 10 years in jail, if you do. And as soon as I did that, incredibly, you haven't heard about statues coming down, have you? Statues or monuments." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "But we're not ashamed of our country; we're proud of our country. Prouder than we are of anything else. Our country is great, and we're going to keep it that way. We're going to keep our country great." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Together, we will remember America's towering victories, we will recognize America's outstanding virtues, and we will pay tribute to the heroes who keep us safe, strong, proud, and free. And I also, in addition to our wonderful, brilliant military, I want to thank law enforcement, because the law enforcement without them, we're not here today very well. They've done an incredible job. Really, an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "And thank you again to the World War Two veterans in attendance today. This is such a great tribute to North Carolina. We will never forget what you did for us. Your legacy is etched forever into the heart and soul of a grateful nation. And this spot is right now one of the most important military spots anywhere in the world. Congratulations to everybody, and thank you for making it come true." + }, + { + "tid": "179CgUTIKYA", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-world-war-2-heritage-city-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. God bless you. God bless North Carolina. And God bless America. Thank you all very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2029, + "raw_confidence": 0.7971, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "REMARKS BY PRESIDENT TRUMP AT KIDS FIRST: GETTING AMERICA'S" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. And we're here to talk about a very important subject education but also opening our schools. And we have some of our great teachers and parents and a very representative group, and we also have some extraordinary experts with us. I'd like to maybe start off by asking our Vice President to say a few words. And then, if you would, Betsy and Kellyanne. And we'll go around and talk to some of the parents and teachers. And thank you all for being here very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "But you like going back immediately, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "A lot of people agree. A lot of people agree with you." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2129, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So sitting in isolation with a computer, looking at a laptop, is not the same as being out there in the real world?" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2048, + "raw_confidence": 0.7952, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So if you're a presidential candidate and you're sitting in a basement and you're looking at a computer, that's not a good thing? Sounds like it would be the same." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I won't put you on the spot. I'm not going to put you on" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. A lot of truth to that." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And the concept of every other day seems a little ridiculous, right? If you're going to do it, you do it. If you're not going to do it the concept of going back, even from a management standpoint from the school, every other day seems very strange." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Okay, but you'd rather see them go back, period. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You'd rather not see that at all." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Okay. Great job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That's great. Thank you very much. Well said." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Say hello to everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I know the area well. It's great." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.202, + "raw_confidence": 0.798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And what I'd like to do is I'd like to see the money follow the student. If a school is going to be closed, and we're giving all of this money on the federal basis to a school, and if a student is going to go to a different school really, at the choice more of the parent, in all fairness, than the student; you know, where you want to go and what school you want to bring the student to I think the money should follow the student. And that's something that we want to do." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7765, + "raw_confidence": 0.7765, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're having a hard time with the Democrats. They want the money to follow the union, to be honest. It's very simple: Give it to the union. But the fact is Give it to dues. Because the union people are fantastic people in there, but the people that run the union, it's disgraceful, and the dues that they charge the teachers. And that's what it's all about." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So I would like anyway, I would like the money to follow the student. And this way, you can make your own choice if the school is closed." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You know, why are we paying if a school is closed? Why are we paying the school? I'd rather give it to the student, the parents, and you do your own thing. And, to me, it makes a lot of sense." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So, Mike, we'll let him know we're in favor of that. Tim Scott is fantastic, and the bill is really good. So why don't we do that, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That's really well said. So, it's been a burden a tremendous burden and what you've been through has been a great burden, obviously. How do they change that? How do they change it? What would you recommend?" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "That's great. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2973, + "raw_confidence": 0.7027, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "It is interesting because one thing we've learned during this horror show of the China plague is that virtual is not as good as being there. Virtual is just not the same thing. And, for a long time, we've been hearing how great it would be, how great it would be. Well, we've had the ultimate sample right? namely the whole country, practically, and it's not as good." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1913, + "raw_confidence": 0.8087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've also learned that telehealth is very good. Telehealth is up 3,500 percent. It's doing great. Can you imagine that 3,500 where people can stay in their in their homes, their apartments, wherever they are, and they can not have to go to hospitals and doctors and everything else? That's been an incredible success. You know, who would have thought? That's become tremendous and really has been good." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "But the virtual learning is not like being in a classroom, and we've learned that, I think, very strongly in almost all cases. People thought for a long time that would be the answer but it's that's not the answer. The answer is an old-fashioned one, isn't it? Huh?" + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Great job you're doing in Florida. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Very uniform, very interesting. And I think most people do feel this way, wouldn't you say so? I think most people feel this way." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We have a man with us who's a great expert from Stanford. He's working with us, he's consulting with us. And he's going to be at our press conference in a little while, at 5:30. But maybe Scott Atlas Dr. Scott Atlas could say just a couple of words. And we're going to be covering it in more detail in a little while, and you folks are if you're interested in watching, we'd love to have you." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1843, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Scott. That's very good. So we'll have more from Scott in a little while. We're going to meet together. And we've been working with him very closely all of the task force, all of the White House. And we've made a lot of progress. We've made tremendous progress. You see countries other countries are now blowing up, in terms of the the disease." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You call it what you want. So many different names for the disease, whether it's China virus and some I won't get into because I just get myself in trouble every time I do. But I'm I'm angry about it. And so everybody else in this country angry about it." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So we will have a press conference in a little while. You'll be seeing the doctor. You'll be seeing a few of the people, and I'll be making a statement. And I think that'll start at about 5:30." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2887, + "raw_confidence": 0.7113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I want to thank everybody very much for coming in and being with you. We're on your side 100 percent. We're on your side." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We'd like to also see football get going. We want to see college football. And I don't know what they're doing with high school football, but I guess it's the same kind of a thought process. So we want to see that happen. And I think some of it will happen. To a large extent, it's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They want to do it. I'll tell who wants to have do it are the players and the coaches. They want to do it. I spoke with Trevor Lawrence, the great quarterback, and he's very smart. He understood it very well. He said, Hey, I'm a lot safer on the field than I am being out there. And he he got it. He got it very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1921, + "raw_confidence": 0.8079, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Coach O, I spoke with him. He's a he's some coach, that one. He's a great coach. And he he feels his players just want to be out there. So we've spoken to a lot of different people, and they want to get out." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And our country is opening up. We're opening up very strongly, if you look at retail sales numbers, car sale numbers, used car numbers, and employment numbers. We have we're hiring over the last three months, the most people ever hired in the history of our country. So you had a lower base, but nevertheless we hired a tremendous amount by far the biggest number of people ever hired during a three-month period, so for the quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank everybody. We'll see you folks in a little while. And thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "2ONE8OQrRM0", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-back-to-school-safety-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We'll . We'll talk about it a little while. Too much respect for these people to discuss anything. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, maybe the point of great success. You know, we were at that point, where we had a tremendous nobody covered it better than you, Lou and we had a tremendous economy. We had the best employment numbers, best stock market numbers, although they're catching up. We're very close. But we had the best numbers that you have ever seen and the best numbers anybody has ever seen, probably the best numbers ever for an economy, beating China badly, beating everybody badly." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And they were coming along, because they weren't able to fight that. And the COVID actually, now they try and play that game. But they were very close. Success there's nothing like success for bringing people together. Sometimes, they don't want to necessarily come for that reason, but we were getting much closer." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And this came. And now I don't know if you heard some of the numbers on cars and manufacturing, but some of the numbers released yesterday" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3135, + "raw_confidence": 0.6865, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "and today were absolutely incredible, beyond anybody's belief." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, that's not going to happen, Lou. What we did is, we were, as we said, setting records in every way, and then we got hit by the plague. I call it the China plague, China virus. Call it whatever you want. It's got like 20 different names. And we got hit hard. And we did close up. We had to close it up. And we did the right thing." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.743, + "raw_confidence": 0.743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We saved millions of lives, Lou. We would have had millions of lives. We have a number now which is unacceptable, but every number, anybody anything more than one person is unacceptable, because they could have stopped it. They could have stopped it from coming in. You say it all the time. They stopped it from coming into China, but they didn't stop it from here, Europe and the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, we closed it down. And we're now opening it up. And it looks like it's a V. It's absolutely a V. But we're not going back to shutdowns now. We understand the disease. We understand the problems with elderly, especially elderly with heart or diabetes or other problems. And we're able to take care of them." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We understand it now. But we're not shutting down. We have done really very well. The numbers are looking very good, by the way, in Florida, Texas and California. They're heading down." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Right. Well, we are opening the economy very rapidly. And, frankly, some of the blue states, we wish they'd do it, and they'd do it fast. We're asking them to do it. But they like to keep it closed. It'll probably open up on November 4th. You understand that. They will announce that they're opening on November 4th." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7547, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "There's a lot of politics involved in some of these states that are closed. It's, let's say, Democrat governors. We're being kind. We will say Democrat governors, some radical left and maybe some not so radical left, but they're all Democrats. And, frankly, they want to keep it closed, I think, as long as possible, maybe for some good reasons, but maybe also for political reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But we want it opened. We want the schools open, Lou. You know, young people, they have better immune systems than we do, Lou. I hate to tell you this. And they are in very good shape" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "virtually, virtually immune from this disease. They're incredible, the strength of their probably, you have to give the credit to their immune system. It's called being young. And yet, with the flu and various other things, they don't do so well. So, you know, somebody will explain that someday, perhaps." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But they certainly, for the China virus, they do very well. They do very, very well. So, we want to open the schools. We are going to be opening most of the schools. The parents, generally speaking, want them open. And we want to do it safely, Lou. We want to get them open safely. But we want the whole deal opening." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We want people starting to go to the office and starting to work. And I have to say, despite that, the numbers have been very, very good. We have a big number coming out on Friday. I believe it will be Friday. And that's going to be another jobs number. The last two have been incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7825, + "raw_confidence": 0.7825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "They have been record-setting numbers, 7.5 million jobs. And we have another number coming up, the third one under after this whole catastrophe, and that will be that will be coming up, I believe, on Friday." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, that's that's as you know, that's a very political group, and they want to see if they can get Biden in there. And I don't know if you saw Rasmussen was yesterday, 51 percent. We were at 51 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And maybe, I don't know, almost more importantly, that strongly favor this is a number people don't see very often, but 40 percent strongly favor. That means they're really committed. That means they're enthusiastic. We have tremendous, record-setting enthusiasm on our side. And they have record-setting lack of enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "so unenthusiastic. I mean, it's an amazing thing. It's a very unenthusiastically endorsed candidate. So, we will see what happens. You never know. It's an election. But I think we have more than we have ever had. We went down, as you know, to Texas three days ago. And we had literally tens of thousands of people on the roadways, with the flags and the whole thing." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I mean, they were going wild. And then we went to Florida on Friday. All of the sheriffs of Florida and law enforcement endorse me 100 percent, Texas also, by the way. But, you know, when you think of it, he's against that group. And it's not him. It's he's told what to do. He's a puppet for the radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But when you think about it, they're against oil and gas. They're against guns. And I guess they're against God, OK? But they're against religion. They're against the Bible, certainly. I mean, you look at what they say. But, if you're against oil, if you're against the guns, and you're against the Bible, and then you're supposed to win Texas, I don't think that's working out too well." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, I was with the governor of Texas. He said, No, you have a very tremendous lead. They say they like to say Texas is in play, but how can you be against oil and gas and guns and lots of other things and you're in play? So, these polls are fake. I had it I had it you know better than anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "You have been so incredible. I'll tell you what, number one, you're a talented guy. I wouldn't want to have you as my enemy. That, I can tell you, but you are one hell of a man. And you have been there from the beginning. And we really appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "It's why I do that's why I do things with you, and I don't bother with others. But when you look at when you look at the kind of polls we get and I had the same thing last time. But the real polls and the internal polls are really fantastic. And when you take into consideration the enthusiasm and also the fact that a lot of people just don't want to get involved." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7985, + "raw_confidence": 0.7985, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "You saw the one poll. I think it said 62 percent of the people don't want to either get involved or say who they're voting for." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, how do you do a poll? So, I think you're going to have a big surprise. I think we have actually much more enthusiasm and many more people than we had in 2016. We will take 2016 right now, but I think the enthusiasm level I mean, you would know better than I. I think the enthusiasm level is at a number that people haven't seen before, not in a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "It's a record. It's a record. It's a record gap on enthusiasm. And, you know, I feel it when you see thousands, tens of thousands of people on these highways in Texas. And we went to Maine. We had unbelievable crowds. Nobody's ever seen crowds like that in Maine. And we went to other places, I mean, Pennsylvania." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We were in Pennsylvania, Tennessee. No matter where we go, the level of enthusiasm, they meet you at the plane. And, literally, as far as the eye can see, the people are along the roadways. It's a beautiful thing to see. There's tremendous spirit in our country, tremendous spirit." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, it's been very badly hurt by what happened, because I really believe they could have stopped it in Wuhan, and I feel strongly about that. And it's certainly been very badly hurt. The farmers will tell you, over the last few days, they ordered a record amount of corn, a record amount of soybeans, numbers that have never been literally a record." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8059, + "raw_confidence": 0.8059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I heard it was a record corn order and a record soybean order." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And they're buying. You know, I made a trade deal, and it's a wonderful deal. But, after this happened, I don't feel the same about the deal. We did USMCA, too, with Mexico, Canada. I feel that's been a great deal, because that took the place of the worst probably the worst trade deal ever made, NAFTA, which was just a horrible deal, emptied out our factories." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6846, + "raw_confidence": 0.6846, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But the USMCA is a great deal. The deal with China was a great deal, but I don't feel the same way as I did. Look, we have been we have lost 160,000 people. We're going to lose more. We would have lost millions had I just let it ride, as the expression goes. We could have lost millions at the same time." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Can you imagine, with all of the death, and now you multiply that number times 10, 15 or even 20? It would have been unsustainable and unacceptable. But this was caused by China. And so it certainly has had a negative impact. I have I had a really great relationship with President Xi, as good as you can have, I would suggest." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And but it just is it's been such a horrible, horrible thing, when you see everyone walking around now with masks" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "and you see all the death, and you see what's happened to this country, but really to the world. I mean, if you look at the world, the world is \u00e2\u0080\u0093 there's some countries who are have been just literally devastated. Look at Europe. Look at what happened to Italy and Spain and France and all of these all of these countries." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "They were just devastated by this. And it could have been stopped. So, it certainly has had an impact. TikTok is one thing that we're doing. And we just I don't know. I maybe I would have done that anyway. I don't know. It could have been affected by this. You know Huawei. I have stopped Huawei from coming into this country." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2562, + "raw_confidence": 0.7438, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I mean, there were some false reports." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2635, + "raw_confidence": 0.7365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I actually called the great Lou Dobbs to tell him, by the way, you have one report wrong. You were sort of indicating that I was allowing it in. I said, no, I wasn't allowing it in. In fact, we're actually taking down equipment where they have Huawei equipment, bought years and years ago, long before my time." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we're actually taking it down off the top of towers and things all over the country. No, I turn it. And I have gotten many countries not to buy it too, because it's we think it's a very big security risk. So, I don't know. Maybe I wouldn't be the same. Maybe I wouldn't feel the same. Maybe I'd sort of close a blind eye." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But you know what? It is what it is. It's been a horrible, horrible thing. And, again, we never did we had the greatest year in the history of the world, if you think of it, not just this country" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4133, + "raw_confidence": 0.5867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "There's never been a country that did better than us last year. And now we're fighting back. And now it looks like it's a V, based on the auto sales, based on I mean, based on a lot of different things. I don't know if you saw used car sales. You can't even get a used car now, which is a big indicator, by the way." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But you look at manufacturing numbers. And it'll be interesting to see what happens on Friday. I don't know the answer yet, but we will find out on Friday in jobs, another jobs number. But it looks very certainly like we're going to have a V, a very strong V. I'm dealing with Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we're trying to get some real good money to take care of people that should be taken care of and helped. The problem is, they're more interested in taking care of, let's say, Democrats who did a very poor job running a state. You know the states I'm talking about. There's a number of them" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "where they're run by Democrats, some radical left. You look at what's been going on in Portland. And, by the way, The Wall Street Journal gave us a great editorial that Trump wins in Portland. I sent a whole group of very, very tough, very talented there people to protect, can you believe it, a courthouse" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2247, + "raw_confidence": 0.7753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "a major federal courthouse, from being burned to the ground, torn down, decimated. And we saved that very easily, frankly. And we helped them beyond that. We could solve that problem totally very quickly and easily. But we're not doing that as of yet. But it's been a very big victory in Portland. It's been a big victory in Seattle." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7226, + "raw_confidence": 0.7226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We were going to send in the troops. I had mentioned that once to you before. We were all set to send them in. And they did it instead, which is the way it's supposed to be. It's supposed to be done locally. But they knew we were coming the following morning. And it worked out very well. These guys just raised up their hand." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The anarchists and the agitators, they were exhausted, and they just held up their hands and gave up. But we have had we have had tremendous success. And I think next year is going to be one of the best years we have ever had, Lou. But, in the meantime, you can never forget the death, and you can never forget all of the" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4408, + "raw_confidence": 0.5592, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "the tremendous amounts of money we have needed to put back into our country to keep it going well, to keep it going the way it should." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.21, + "raw_confidence": 0.79, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I find a company like Concast I don't call it com it's C-O-M, but I call it C-O-N because there's a whole big con job. They own NBC and MSDNC. And I find that company to be a disgrace and they could make our they could heal the wounds, because what's wrong with having strong military, low taxes, great school, great protection, good strong police forces, so you don't get hurt?" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2824, + "raw_confidence": 0.7176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Suburbia strong. You know I ended that horrible rule where they were building low income housing in the middle of the suburbs right next to your house and really destroying a lot of families and a lot of a lot of a lot of the American dream. And I ended it. I totally they wanted to changed it. I said no, you got to end it. That's been going on for a long time, got much worse under Obama and would have gotten much worse Cory Booker was going to take it over." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So you can imagine how that would have been. That would have been a disaster with him. He was another great presidential candidate that ended up getting out with zero percent of the vote. So you know, it's one of those things, Lou, but it's I will tell you this, what I've done is I'm fighting some of these companies I'm fighting now big pharma." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6867, + "raw_confidence": 0.6867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And I'm going to do a favored nation's clause, you know, Germany and we have countries that get drugs for a tiny fraction of what we pay. We pay for all of the cost, all of the research and development, all of the everything. And you'll have a pill, as an example, that will sell for pennies and we pay dollars." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Our people have to pay big dollars for them. And so what I'm doing is, I've instituted a favored nation's clause, which is tough. That's very tough. That means if if let's say \u00e2\u0080\u0093 just use it as a name, let's say Germany or let's U.K. gets their medicines and gets there prescription drugs for a very low price and we're paying a very high price, we now get the same price as the lowest as the lowest country anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.211, + "raw_confidence": 0.789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "You're talking about 50, 60, 70 percent reductions in price and more. And you're talking about nobody's ever done that. Plus they have the rebate rule where we get all the rebates. You know, you've always heard in the drug thing, very complex pricing structure, but it's really a rip off. And the rebate now goes toward reducing the price and goes to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5718, + "raw_confidence": 0.5718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And then we also have the right to buy from foreign countries, like Canada as an example, it buys drugs for half the price of we so we're going to buy some of the drugs directly from Canada, because we get through all of the red tape, and I've authorized it, they can do it. So Florida, as an example, I think I think Ron DeSantis will be the first one to do it. He's going to buy a lot of the drugs going to save 40, 50, 60 percent by buying the drug from Canada." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "It's ridiculous, but still I don't care. The prices come just way down for the identical drug, same exact drug. So you know, I wouldn't say that big pharma is in love with me. They're taking commercials all over the place trying to, you know, hurt me politically. And I don't care. You know, they don't they don't do anything for me. I don't need their money." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "A lot of politicians do, to be honest with you. But the favored nations clause will reduce drug prices massively. And just one thing, first time in 51 years last year that drug prices came down. So no other president got them down. But that's peanuts compared to what we're talking about now. Now we're talking about price reductions of 50, 60, 70 percent in prescription drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Nobody ever thought that was possible. Favored nations nobody else would have done it, Lou." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.195, + "raw_confidence": 0.805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The polls are looking good. The internal yes, the internal polls have been fantastic and Rasmussen has already turned around, and they were very accurate last time. And we're leading in the Rasmussen poll. And by the way, we built the wall. You know the wall is 275 miles now, Lou. We'll be at 500 miles long, which is what we wanted, by the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2469, + "raw_confidence": 0.7531, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And I can't imagine the chamber of commerce being against it, but they were. They fought me the chamber of commerce fought me. And think about if we didn't have the wall. You know, we're setting record low numbers on the border, and when people come in illegally, we bring them out. We want people to come in legally." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But you would think and and because of the pandemic, because, as you know, Mexico is very heavily infected because of the wall, we're not getting a huge negative impact from Mexico, which is a tremendous thing. So a lot of good things are happening. You think the chamber of commerce would be extremely happy with the job I'm doing, but they're coming from a different side of the plate." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.756, + "raw_confidence": 0.756, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So we caught President Obama and Biden spying on the campaign. Biden was even saying using the Logan Act, which is exactly what they used on Flynn. They used the Logan Act, and they had it down in writing in a White House meeting where President Obama and Vice President Biden were there. Biden suggested the Logan Act, which I understand very well, but General Flynn probably didn't. But they used it on him very, very terribly." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "What they've done to him and so many other people, they've destroyed their lives. I caught them, and we caught them spying using the intelligence apparatus of our country to spy on an opponent's, or the opposing party's campaign, both before and after the election. How about after the election? I had already won, and now they wanted to get \u00e2\u0080\u0093" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "That was the insurance policy, Lou. We're going to get him out in case she loses. We're going to use the insurance policy, a famous quote from Peter Strzok and his lover, Lisa Page. You remember that beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So that was the story. We caught them spying. Now it's up to our attorney general. As you know, I've wanted them to do it. I didn't want to get overly involved maybe I should, maybe I shouldn't. But I do hear it's breathtaking what they've found. That's all I can say, breathtaking. And hopefully it'll come out soon." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But it's beyond what anybody ever thought even possible, how bad it is. How bad it is and how corrupt it is. But I'm going to let them do that, I'm not going to do that. It's a horrible thing that took place, and it should never be allowed to happen to another president." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think you're the probably in this country, you're the UFO expert, so I'm going to be totally guided by the great \u00e2\u0080\u0093" + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "by the great Lou Dobbs. And I will tell you that I'll do whatever you ask me to do including total transparency. And I got to tell you, there's probably some pretty good transparency needed there. There's no doubt about that." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "It's my great honor. You've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "2R3_bQPAmls", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-lou-dobbs-fox-business-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Lou. Thank you very much. Bye." + }, + { + "tid": "3ebaGXScZnY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7989, + "raw_confidence": 0.7989, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-vlog-joe-biden-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden has no clue. He's being pulled to the left to a level that nobody ever thought possible far further left than Bernie Sanders ever dreamt." + }, + { + "tid": "3ebaGXScZnY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-vlog-joe-biden-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "He has no idea Joe what's happening. We have to win this election." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Hi, Sean. Those are two very familiar voices to me, and two great voices." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, it's true. And they are now telling and everybody is very proud of us. We're energy independent. Biden is and it's not Biden. I don't think Biden knows what it even represents, but Bernie and everybody else and Biden has totally accepted it they're anti-fracking. They're anti-everything." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They're anti-fossil fuel. And our nation would go into a massive depression if that ever happened. And when you talk about Pennsylvania and Ohio and Texas, by the way, and Oklahoma, they're anti-fracking. They don't want to do any fracking. And they can end it very quickly, and they will." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I have watched some, not that much, but I have watched some. A lot of hate." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, it's socialized medicine. That's what they're really socialized health care. They're talking about something that's so expensive the country can't afford it. And even if it could, it's no good. It's no good. It's socialized medicine. You're not going to have your doctor. You're not going to have your plan, which you didn't have when Obama promised you." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And 28 different times, he said that. So, no, they're talking about exactly that. And it's a ridiculous situation. They're also not talking about law enforcement and our great police. They're not talking about that. They don't want to talk about it. And they see Portland. And you see New York, with a 358 percent increase in crime, some number that's just crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And you see what's going on in Chicago. But look at Portland. They're anarchists. They don't want to talk about police, because it's a losing subject for them. They want to defund the police. And they want to they want to abolish police. I mean, they're actually trying to do it in Seattle. The Democrat-run cities are a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We could do it so quickly. Like, when you look at Portland and I just watched the young man on the screen, on your screen. And what they did with him last the other night was just horrible, when you look at it, horrible. And they're just thugs. And they're not being properly protected, because the police don't want to do that, and because the police aren't allowed to do their thing." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They're all good police, but they're not allowed to do their thing. They don't want to lose their pension, don't want to lose their job, although their job, they're feeling frankly, a lot of them are leaving, because they are just it's a shame, what's happened. You know, we were just supported by New York City's finest." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We Pat Lynch came over and gave us the endorsement of the New York police, and which is a great honor for me, because they're phenomenal. But they're not allowed to do their job. And we have the endorsements in Ohio and Texas and Pennsylvania and Florida. We just got the sheriffs, all of the sheriffs in Florida, at a ceremony." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And I don't know. I can't imagine they're ever going to endorse anybody who's going to endorse Biden, because they really have a very unsafe policy for our country. And you talk about suburbia. You know, we're all saying about suburban women. The fact is, they're going to really want to support me, because we're for law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2786, + "raw_confidence": 0.7214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're for safety and security. And Biden is not. It's just incredible. They have talked him into things that nobody would have thought possible. And he's not in a position to fight back." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, they don't want the police to use pepper spray or tear gas, which is, frankly..." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "... not so nice, but it's very standard for crowd control. If you don't use it, you can't protect. You saw where all of the police associations got together. And they said, in Wisconsin, we're not going to be able to do this. And, frankly, it didn't matter, because Biden didn't want to leave his home state." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2012, + "raw_confidence": 0.7988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He never leaves his home state. He hasn't answered a question since July 17 and July 17 or 27. I mean, for a long time, he hasn't answered a reporter's question. And he hasn't answered a real question from before that. So, I don't know what's going on. Something is going on. And I assume we will be able to find out sooner, rather than later, I hope." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But something is going on. It's very strange." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, I don't want to get into that. Pretty obvious what's going on. I will say this. When you deal with President Xi of China, which I do all the time, and with President Putin, and with President Erdogan, and you're dealing with all of these people, Kim Jong-un of course, Obama never spoke to him." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I said, did you ever speak to him before going to war? He said, I never spoke to him. So, you know, you're dealing with these people. I can tell you one thing, they're very sharp. They're at the top of their game. And if you're not at the top of your game, it's not going to be a pretty picture. It's like chess masters, and if you're not a great chess master, you're going to have a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And that we don't think he is. So, I don't know. You know, one thing you left off your list, that was, he wants to takeaway, they will take away without question your Second Amendment. That's like, without question. I've been fighting that successfully, very successfully. It's not going anywhere with me here and we have some good people." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7388, + "raw_confidence": 0.7388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Kevin McCarthy is great. And we really have some great people fighting for us. But the Second Amendment is gone. You can forget about the Second Amendment if we lose this election, and your taxes will be doubled, tripled, and quadrupled. Your jobs will be gone. I mean, you're going to have a depression if that happens." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2173, + "raw_confidence": 0.7827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And it's the biggest headwind. You know, we just set a new record in the stock market. And believe it or not, the biggest headwind, it would have been much higher. But the biggest headwind and that's during the pandemic, which I hope is nearing the final turn. But the biggest single headwind is if he got in." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7511, + "raw_confidence": 0.7511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "If they didn't think, if we were just like last time, we won it and it went up like a rocket ship right after the election. The same thing would happen now. So, those 401ks will go up 25 percent, 30 percent, 40 percent, but they will go down 40 percent or 50 percent if he gets in. All of this stuff that you're talking about is going to kill our country and kill the economy." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2168, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I think we're going to have a third quarter, a great fourth quarter, but we're going to have an incredible next year. And you look at you know, you're talking about the employment numbers and you look at the numbers that just came for the quarter, and they're record-setting, over 9 million jobs. And that's really with a minimum of stimulus, because as you know, the Democrats don't want to approve stimulus for people." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So, people, all they want to do is get bail out money for their governors who have done so badly in states like New York and Illinois. He's done a traditional job in Illinois. Pritzker is terrible. He doesn't know what he's doing. And, you know, they are having a hard time in California, as you know, although he's treated me very nicely, therefore I'm going to treat him very nicely." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But, you know, they are having a hard time. But they want bail out money in other Democrat-run states also. Republicans are doing very well. Republican states are doing great. You look at what's happening, they're doing great. But these Democrats and this is long-term. This isn't just over the last few years." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2172, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "This is for many, many years. And they want they think they can use COVID-19 or they could use the China plague as we call it to get bail out money. And, you know, we don't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "No, without them, I would never you know, when I talk about them, I'm talking about without Biden and Obama, I wouldn't be president. I wouldn't have run. They were so bad. People don't remember the hatred and division. There was tremendous division, probably a little more quiet, but it was tremendous hatred and division that we had for eight years." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And, you know, people don't like to talk about that, but you remember it well. He was a terrible president. He was a very divisive person, a very divisive president. We had the slowest recovery in the history of our country from 1929, let's say, I guess they say, from 1929, the Great Depression, this was the slowest recovery we've ever had under him." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1877, + "raw_confidence": 0.8123, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And then when I got in, it was a rocket ship. We gained. And now, incredibly, the stock market is I mean, Nasdaq is actually higher than it was at any time and the rest of it looks like it's going to be higher, just almost the same. And who would have thought that's possible? This is while we're going through this problem caused by China." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, it's a disaster and it's going to be, no matter how you look at it. They are sending out 51 million ballots to people that didn't ask for them. Now, absentee ballots are great. I used one for Florida. And a lot of people use absentee a lot of people in Florida use them. But that's when you go through a process." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5025, + "raw_confidence": 0.5025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You ask for it, they send it to you, and it's very secure. There is nothing like going to the voter's booth, by the way, but it's and we should have voter ID, which the Democrats don't want for obvious reasons, with your picture on it. But absentee is good. But they want to send what's called mail-in, universal mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7579, + "raw_confidence": 0.7579, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Fifty-one million ballots sent to who knows who? I mean, you know, where are they going? This is going to be the greatest scam in history. This will be the most fraudulent election in history. Fifty-one million ballots being sent to people. Many of them will have been dead. Many of them will get more than one." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But it's going to be a really horrible thing. It's just a horrible, horrible thing. And it's impossible to police. You had Carolyn Maloney, a congresswoman who's not a very good one, on the East Side of Manhattan. I mean, that thing was so messed up for weeks and weeks, and they just declared her a winner, but they have no idea where the votes are, where the ballots are." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3492, + "raw_confidence": 0.6508, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's gone. New Jersey, a disaster, it's been a disaster in New Jersey, a horrible disaster. And Virginia has been and we're talking about things that just took place, and small elections relatively. But now, they are talking about sending 51 million ballots out to anybody that you know, nobody knows who's going to get them." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's a horrible thing. It's a fraudulent election. Everybody knows it. You don't even have to know politics to know it 51 million ballots are going to indiscriminately sent out to people that didn't even ask for them, people that say, hey, I just got a ballot. That's great. Let me vote. And it's a it's a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2042, + "raw_confidence": 0.7958, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're going to have everything. We're going to have sheriffs and we're going to have law enforcement and we're going to have hopefully, U.S. attorneys, and we're going to have everybody, and attorney generals. But it's very hard. I mean, you have some of these states sending them out like Nevada where they don't even have to check the signatures so anybody can sign it." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.779, + "raw_confidence": 0.779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "New Jersey just sent it where the governor, as I understand, has just signed an executive order, didn't even go through the legislature to get it done. And nobody has ever heard of anything like this. So, they're going to be sending out 51 million ballots to people they have no idea why it's coming, who it's going to." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Unfortunately, they may have a very good idea the people sending them. They may send them to all Democrat areas and not to Republican areas, as an example. It could be the other way too, but I doubt it." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So, it's a very it's a very serious problem. And, you know, the other thing, a lot of times, you don't even have to send it back until after the election. So, on November 3rd, the evening, like we used to sit at home and hearing, Trump won the election, what a great thing. And you saw how happy Hillary's people were." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1945, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They were thrilled when I won. You saw that. That's one of the all-time classic" + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.664, + "raw_confidence": 0.664, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Do you remember during the debate the debate when she do you remember during the debate when she asked me very strongly, well, will you support the decision of the voters? And I'm looking at her and she didn't support it. She still doesn't get it. She's walking around saying, what happened?" + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4897, + "raw_confidence": 0.5103, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, there is no trouble with the Postal Service. The Postal Service is going to do a good job. You know, it's not the Postal Service. It's what happens to these ballots when they are sent. Who are they being sent to? Who are these 51 million ballots being sent to? Where are they going? Who determines where they are sent to?" + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And you are talking about massive numbers. They couldn't Carolyn Maloney, who shouldn't be able to accept that position, by the way. I mean, they gave they declared her a winner over a guy that is right now looking around saying, what happened? He thought he won. They declared her a winner. They do that election over again in Manhattan." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4274, + "raw_confidence": 0.5726, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's a disgrace, that election. But that was mail-in votes. Now that's one small election. That was for a congressional seat in New York. What about you know, when you're sending them all over the country, 51 million, it's going to be about 51 million they estimate, and they're going to send them to every whoever sends those ballots is a very powerful person." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1886, + "raw_confidence": 0.8114, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And on the assumption that the person is honest, it's still going to be fraught with error, even if somebody was going to be honest about it, because people die and then other people see it and they grab it and they sign it and they send it back. No, you're not going to have you can't have it it's impossible to have a fair election like this." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But I might be watching I watched a lot of hate last night and the..." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2127, + "raw_confidence": 0.7873, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Yes, I think we're going to have more of it as live than what they did. I think it's pretty boring when you do tapes. I'm going to go live and do mine live. And Michelle Obama, as you know, taped it, and obviously long before because she had no idea who the vice-presidential nominee was, didn't get scolded for that at all." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They said, oh, wasn't that wonderful? So, I mean, she couldn't even tape it near, you know, the date. And then she had certain numbers wrong, certain very interesting numbers were way off. And so, she taped it obviously a long time before the evening it was aired. But and then they said, wasn't it wonderful?" + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You know, wonderful, she had a lot of hate. She had a lot of anger. But they did because, look, they thought they would win an election and they didn't. I've gotten to a point by the end of this term I'll have appointed 300 federal judges and two Supreme Court judges. And nobody has ever done that before." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And so, they're very, very upset, very, very upset. They thought it was going to be a victory. And places like Wisconsin that they always win, the Democrats, they ended up not winning. And Michigan they ended up not winning. And Pennsylvania they ended up not winning. And North Carolina they ended up not winning." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And Florida other places. It was quite an evening." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, he hasn't answered a question since mid-July, is what they reported tonight. And I am just saying, you know, I am answering questions all day long. Every time I pass reporters, I'll stop and say, go ahead, what do you want to know? I'll go give it. And you know..." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "The other thing is they're so nice to him. I mean, these reporters are so nice, they'll ask him the simplest questions. I've never seen anything like it. And some of the answers he reads off a teleprompter. That means he knows what the question is. And he reads an answer off the teleprompter. So, there is something going on." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2299, + "raw_confidence": 0.7701, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And it's not fair to our country." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.606, + "raw_confidence": 0.606, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, I put a ban on people coming in from China who were heavily infected. I mean, they it was a very Wuhan, very, very infected area of the world. And I put a ban. And people were against that. And Dr. Fauci actually said that I saved hundreds of thousands of lives. And I also put a ban on Europe, when I looked at Italy and I looked at France and Spain, in particular." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I said, wait a minute, we have to ban. So, I put a ban. So, we saved hundreds of thousands of lives. But we also saved millions of lives by closing up. We had the greatest economy in history of any country. Blowing away China, blowing away everybody. And I had to make a decision. And we closed it. We saved millions of lives, Sean." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2128, + "raw_confidence": 0.7872, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "When you see the number of 170 as opposed to, let's say, 2 million or 2.5 million lives, can you imagine if it would be that? But it would be 10, 15, or 20 times more if we didn't close it. So, we closed it. We learned about it. We learned that the elderly we have to protect, especially the elderly that have problems with heart or diabetes or anything." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And we've saved ultimately millions of lives by making that decision. And now we want to open up and the Democrats have to open up their states and cities and they have to open up the schools and let's play football." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I would. I would have no problem with it. I will tell you that we are very close. We are in the Phase 3 trials. And that's, you know, years ahead of schedule. I mean, normally that would be years before you would be there. And we have vaccine, we have therapeutics. We are going to do very well. And I think we are going to have some very good news very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They are doing fantastically. And even without that, doing great in Texas now, doing really good in Arizona, Florida. This country has done a fantastic job. We have done a fantastic job. The people have been incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I think if I had said it I think I probably wouldn't be here right now. I can tell you that. And the White House, you have a picture of it up there right now. It's a beautiful place. It's a great place. It's so important, what it represents. How the greatness it represents. But no, we need somebody that is going to do the job." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We've brought back trade. We have incredible trade deals. We had the worst trade deals made by any country in history. And we've made them into great deals. We are doing well. We're doing well. We got hit by this China plague. But other than that. I mean, we were rocking. And now we're going to be rocking again very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "4-TMAyTcejI", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Sean. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So we're very strong in law and order, and we're calling these very Liberal Democrats, usually in all we don't have any Republicans involved to be honest, but there are cities that are run by Liberal Democrats like Seattle. I don't know if you know, but we were going in there the following morning and they heard that, and we told them, we said, we're going in. And they sent the police in and they solved it but we would have done it. In Minnesota, in Minneapolis, we had National Guard after watching that what happened with the police." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7108, + "raw_confidence": 0.7108, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They didn't run. They were told to run. They were told to leave. The police would have been perfect. They would have settled it. There are great police there. I know some of the people in that force, but they were told run, leave leave the police they took over the police station, these people." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "a city like Chicago, which is so ridiculous where they had like 68 shootings and 18 deaths over the weekend. It's not even comprehensible, worse than Afghanistan, worse than any war zone. And so, we're supposed to be asked, she is supposed to call the Mayor, Lightfoot, she's supposed Laurie. She's supposed to call and she's supposed to say, we need your help." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We call her, would you like to have us go in? And they don't want us. And I say, what's going on? We are going to have to do something very comprehensive because we don't want to sit back and watch this. It can end very easy." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, that means sending people in. Just sending people in to clean it up." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3012, + "raw_confidence": 0.6988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "By the way, the Chicago Police are great. They're great but they're not being allowed to do their job. The greatest example is New York, what's happening in New York. Crime is up 358% shooting. Nobody's ever seen numbers like this. They're not allowed to do their job. And if they do their job, if they do it well, and it gets a little bit rough, they're afraid that they're going to go to jail for the rest of their life." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I mean, it's a you, you can have a bad apple but we're what we're do 'cause what happened was terrible, with as you know, George Floyd. What happened there was terrible. It was we all, everybody acknowledges that. But what this has done to the world, what this has done to law and order. And when you look at St. Louis with two people that came out, they were going to be beat up badly if they were lucky, OK. If they were lucky." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3675, + "raw_confidence": 0.6325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They were going to be beat up badly and the house was going to be totally ransacked and probably burned down like they tried to burn down churches. And these people were standing there, never used it, and they were legal, the weapons. And now, I understand somebody local. They want to prosecute these people." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "It's a disgrace. So we are very tough on it. We are dealing behind the scenes. We're saying you better get going. There's a point at which we were allowed to go in. And that point is rapidly being reached. But we were going into Seattle. We did go into if you look at the Minneapolis event. You remember that event when they lined up and they just walked right through those streets, like, there was nothing, the National Guard." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But there's a point at which we will have to do it because we just have to do it for the good of the country. And a lot of people say, don't do it. That's a local problem. That's good for you politically. I don't care if it's good for us or bad for us, we can't let this continue on." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, there's never been a time and this has been going on for years. You know, it's gotten worse, worse, worse. It's gotten crazy. When now they want to just abolish police forces, right? Defund and abolish. That's their term, defund and and they made it. I mean, I watched Biden. He has a campaign now where he wants to bring energy where you can't use petroleum products." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2098, + "raw_confidence": 0.7902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You're not going to have any factories working and he wants to do it at a very short period of time. That means Texas is gone. That means all these jobs. You have millions and millions of jobs, but it's not a strong form of energy. I understand alternate and I understand every form of energy very well." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I understand wind. I understand solar. You don't have the power. You don't have the capacity. We would have to close down half of our factories. What, what they're doing. And basically, that's a Bernie Sanders deal. He's gone crazier than Bernie Sanders. And I don't think it's good for votes either. I don't even think it's good politically." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And then what are they going to do with the airplanes? You know, no more flying? What are you going to do?" + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So they just came out. He moved up to date 15 years and they want to go, I guess, all green by a certain time. The problem is you're not going to have any factories because the capacity is not there. You can do some alternate energy. You can do alternative, alternate. You can do many forms of energy. You have a lot of different forms of energy but it's not going to get us there." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We're the No. 1 in the world by far and it's not going to be able to keep us there if they do that. But these people have gone crazy. Now with law and order, it's the same thing. With law and order, what they're doing, and it's unfair to the police. And I say to the police, you are loved, you are respected." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "This is a small group of crazy people. Just stay where you are. It's going to be turned around. It's going to be a turn it's going to you're going to have people better be very careful because you are going to have a backlash that's going to be incredible. People better be very careful what they wish for because the American people are not going to take it very much longer." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, no. With her, it's just words. It's just words. She's not going to do that. And we have to open schools. It's up to the Governors and we're pushing them and pushing them strongly through Department of Education and me. We have to open up schools. And one thing we've learned a lot about this virus, we did the right thing." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.195, + "raw_confidence": 0.805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We saved millions of lives by doing what we do did. By banning China when nobody else wanted me to. We saved hundreds of thousands of lives. We've done it right. But now we have to keep open but we have to open up schools, a big part of it. And one thing we've learned, if you're under 18 years old, you're in very good shape." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Very, very few instances where there's a big problem. We have to open our schools and we have to open them up in the fall. As soon as they're ready, which is getting to be very close." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Yes, right. Well, that big push. Well, that big push would have been a disaster and we knew nothing about the disease. If you remember, there was a time we knew nothing. Now we know it affects older people, especially older people with a problem with diabetes or heart problem. So we've learned a lot about this disease and we're going to have fires and sometimes embers, but sometimes you're going to have fires, and we're going to put them out." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1933, + "raw_confidence": 0.8067, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But we did the right thing because I think you would have had two and a half, 3 million people dead right now. We have 135,000 too many. One is too many. It all came out of China. They should have never allowed this to happen. You're going to see some bad things happening with respect to how this did happen." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2842, + "raw_confidence": 0.7158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "It's a disgrace that it was allowed to happen but it is what it is. And we took we take a look at ventilators. We didn't have ventilators. We make now thousands of ventilators a month, many thousands of ventilators. We're helping other countries. We have more than we need. We have every place. There's not one person in the country that needed a ventilator that didn't get it. And you have to understand, we started off with we didn't have ventilators." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2272, + "raw_confidence": 0.7728, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We have 11 different companies building ventilators right now and really good ones to a point where we're helping many other countries that will never be able to do a ventilator. It's hard to build. It's expensive. It's big. Take a look at what's happened with testing. We test more than any country in the world by many times." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now, that is both good and bad and you can spot what's happening and you can spot, uh, so to speak, trends. But the bad is that we have more cases. The reason we have more cases is because we go out looking for cases. So we tested 45 million people. If we tested half, we'd have half the number of cases. If we tested half of that we got when I was with the heads of numerous countries but Mexico was just, he was a great guy." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1992, + "raw_confidence": 0.8008, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But basically, they're testing is somebody sick. They have symptoms or they have a problem, or they go to the hospital, they get tested. But they don't report, you know, thousands of cases all over the country like we do. So the testing is good. But what the testing does do is it gives the fake news fodder to go after you, cases, cases, cases." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6767, + "raw_confidence": 0.6767, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "For instance, if they did testing like we're doing in Brazil or in Russia, or in China or in any of these places, you'd see numbers that would blow us away. You'd see numbers that would be but they don't do that. They do it at the hospital. They do it at doctor's offices. They do it locally. When somebody is not feeling well." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5163, + "raw_confidence": 0.5163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We test everybody. And probably, the right thing to do but it gives the fake news a lot of ammunition." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "It's very effective. So the radical left Democrats, whoever you call them, anything you want, they had a thing about hydroxychloroquine because of the fact that I, one day said, hey, I think it's good. I heard good things. There was some very good studies. They went after it. And then, they do test where they test 89-year old people that are close to death." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1888, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "In one case, they said they took it and he died immediately that he was close to death. They came out with these terrible and phony, totally phony studies only because I was pushing it because I thought he could help people. And I did. I took it for a period of two weeks because I was in a White House that, uh, a couple of people got positive, had zero impact, zero." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I mean, I'm still here. Let's put it that way. Uh, and I would take it again. If for any reason I thought and it's really something that you'd take early or before. Frontline doctors take it. A lot of people like it since. Then, we got a couple of phony reports and everybody said, oh, no good. Then, since then, some very good reports have come out." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7921, + "raw_confidence": 0.7921, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "One report from the Ford clinic, which is a big deal. The Ford system, medical system in Michigan came out. It was unbelievable. Plus, we have a lot of doctors saying it works great. We have one doctor in Westchester, New York. He said he has 500 patients and every one of them lived. You've seen that. But we've had a lot of good report, the French study, and I say it works." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3913, + "raw_confidence": 0.6087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But here's the thing, it's been used for malaria for 40 years. It doesn't hurt you to take it. You have to take that zinc and Z-Pak if you're feeling the lungs are in trouble. You take Z-Pak for three or four days. But I took it for two weeks, the Hydroxy, and I had zero impact. All I know is I didn't get it. So I don't want to knock on those columns if they were wood, but no they're not." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4928, + "raw_confidence": 0.5072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They're concrete or they're stone or something." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But I'll pretend they're wood. Um, so I took it and for two weeks, exactly, two-week regimen. There was no problem and I didn't get it. But the one thing is it's been tested for many years. Plus, it's a very inexpensive drug. It's been around for so long and it's incredible on malaria. And malaria countries, they say are, you know, where people take Hydroxy have an unbelievably low rate." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now, you'd have to check that. Somebody will check it but that's what I've heard. But some great tests came out. The only reason, Katie, that the people went after it was because I was for it. I was only for it for one reason, because if it makes people better and I would love to say, take Hydroxy. It costs almost nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7616, + "raw_confidence": 0.7616, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And give it to all the people in Florida and Texas, people that are not people that are advanced with a problem because we have Remdesivir. We have other things too, a lot of great things are happening in terms of therapeutics and vaccines, tremendous stories happening. But with the Hydroxy it's almost free and I'd give it to people before they get it, or when they have the early signs." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2917, + "raw_confidence": 0.7083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I think you'd see a big difference but tremendous tests are coming out. Tremendous studies are coming." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Right. But we're also making them here now. We have plants making all over. You know, like Honeywell and you know, companies that you wouldn't think of for making this kind of stuff. Uh, they're making the, uh, certain types of mask, especially the medical, the doctors, what the doctors need in the hospital, 95s. They, they are doing I went up to one of the factories in Maine and it's incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "One of the plants and it's incredible what all of these companies are doing. We're starting to make a lot but you'll be seeing over the next two weeks. I'm doing something that's extremely bold and, uh, you'll see. I think you'll be extremely impressed by it." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, look, I've been fighting this with China for a long time. You had the globalists. They want to make everything in China. We can make our pencils here. We don't need 57 pencils for every kid. You can have two. Uh, and look, I'm very upset with China. I think what China did is a disgrace, whether they knew it or not, I won't get into that." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2777, + "raw_confidence": 0.7223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But one thing, they knew it well enough that it didn't get into the rest of China but it did get out to the rest of the world, including Europe and the U.S. Then, they tried to blame it on Europe. Then, they tried to blame it on American soldiers. They did everything. Now, it's a China virus, whether you like it or not, it's a China virus and you got 20 other names you can give it. But I am very, uh, angry with China." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Yeah. We do, we do. Something very strong, yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll see. And we may have to, uh, stop doing business with both of them. We may, if that's the fact, I'll look at that and I'll see. But if that's the case, let China get rich with Iran. We just don't do business with them. That's fine. As far as I'm concerned, that would be the best solution anyway." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6456, + "raw_confidence": 0.6456, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We've lost $500 billion a year with China every year for many years, many years. We've lost we lose hundreds of billions, not millions, hundreds of billions of diners dollars with China. You didn't do business with China, can I tell you something? You made a lot of money for this country. You made a lot of money for this country." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7806, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "China has ripped us off from day one. I can't paint on it. We made a great China deal where they have to buy $240 billions billion, including $50 billion, $40 billion to $50 billion with our farmers. The problem is, the ink wasn't dry on this deal. The ink wasn't even dry when the plague came in from China." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So if they want to make a deal with Iran, that's fine. Let's not do business with either of them. That would be just fine with me." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3975, + "raw_confidence": 0.6025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, it's unconventional for one big reason because of these mail-in ballots. Patterson, New Jersey just had an election and 20% of the ballots were a fraud and people are going to jail. You have other elections where they're indicting mailman because the mailman are stealing them and selling them. You have others where they're even the 2016, 1% are unaccounted for of the mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7226, + "raw_confidence": 0.7226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "This election is going to be a fraud if they do that. Now, it's different from an absentee where you go in and you write in and you go through a whole procedure, and you do it like I'm working at the White House and I'm in Florida, voting in Florida. So it's a much different situation. Absentee is great because you have to go through a process." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7981, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "These mail-ins, think of it, some Democrat Governor sends in millions of ballots all over the state, like in California, millions of ballots. Who, who were they sending them to? Nobody has any idea. They're sending them to dogs. They actually have it sent to dogs. They sent them a friend of mine from Westchester County." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2112, + "raw_confidence": 0.7888, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "His son died, unfortunately, great son. He died seven years ago. And my friend called up a couple of nights ago, he said, my son, Robert just got sent a ballot, a mail-in ballot. He said, what do I do? I said, save it, give it to me. I want to use it because we're saying that this election we cannot have a fair election if we're going to have millions of ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "It's not only where they send them, it's where they don't send them. So you have a Republican neighborhood and you have a Democrat Governor, and they happen to skip that neighborhood. It's a fraud and it's, it's, it's so easy. It's it will be a rigged election." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7519, + "raw_confidence": 0.7519, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You look at what happened in California, Katie, but look at just a few weeks ago. Patterson, New Jersey, 20% of the ballots were a fraud. People are being locked up left and right, look at the postman that are being indicted for federal crime, for terrible crimes. So, you have States run by Democrats. And in many cases, run by Republicans too." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6917, + "raw_confidence": 0.6917, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And I don't know what's going to happen there, but you have States run by Democrats who are sending out millions of ballots, and then, they come back. There's no what you should have is a voter ID and you have to go and vote. Unless, you can't vote and then you should get an absentee ballot, go through a process." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So it's a very to me, that's the most dangerous thing about this election because we're going to win the election. When you look at Joe, he doesn't know what he's doing. Everybody knows it. He's been doing this for 47 years. Now, all of a sudden, he turned green, OK. He turned green, he's become a greenie." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2387, + "raw_confidence": 0.7613, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And he's going to have all our businesses within a short period of time working off of a wind. We'll close up 90% of the factories in our country if they do that and Texas will be out of business. We'll lose 10 million energy jobs. It's the craziest thing I've ever heard. But Joe Biden for 47 years, now, all of a sudden, he's become green." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And in all fairness, Joe doesn't know where he is. You know that better than anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "5YBXhjMNWbc", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-pavlich-townhall-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you very much, Katie." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1867, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Hello, Nevada, I'm thrilled to be with you tonight or today, depending on where you are, but I will tell you it's been it's been very interesting because there are a lot of people on the phone right now and I very much appreciate it. We have a critical decision facing our country, the most important election of our nation's history and in our nation's history, 64 days, we're going to win, hopefully, really win big and in in Nevada." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2369, + "raw_confidence": 0.7631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We have a little more than two months, it's hard to believe. It's coming down so quickly, it's coming down to that final period of time, and I will tell you this is the most important election in the history of our country. We just had an important one four years ago and I would have never thought I'd say this, but this is the most important election because the radical left they'll do things that are you see it's going, everything they're running is is danger, is bad and falling apart." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Joining us on tonight's call are some of your great Republican leaders who are fighting right by my side, Congressman Mark Amodei, who's a fantastic warrior. Our congressional candidates, Dan Rodimer, and he's he really is he's done a fantastic he's done a fantastic job of fighting, he's going to fight he's going to win." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Jim Marchant. And Jim has been in there Between Dan and Jim, I think you're going to have a big success. I think you're to have a really great, great success and I'm going to be with them, I'm going to be there with them very shortly and they will be campaigning and very I think, we're going to campaign very successful." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We're going to take back the House. We are Mark has been an absolute warrior. I'll tell you what I appreciate it very much. We also have Nevada Republican Party Chairman, Michael McDonald, and you all know and he tells me things are going very well in the state and if you look at today's polls, you'll see they're going very well all over the country, but we still have to get it there and my campaign co-chair a very well-known man, Adam Laxalt and he's been great, and I appreciate Adam you're being on the phone." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6251, + "raw_confidence": 0.6251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They're working with me to fight legislation that you're a Democrat governor ram through to flood your state with unsolicited mail-in voting. My campaign is soon to protect your vote. You can help me in this fight and that's a vote as early as possible. Don't let anyone talk you out of it. You get out there and just vote as early as possible and in order to have your the confidence that your vote is going to count, you can mail in your unsolicited ballot very early." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.236, + "raw_confidence": 0.764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And if you do vote and you're and they're late, which is pretty unlikely, I guess, but if they're late they won't be able they won't be able to count the ballot because you will have voted, so it will be one vote but and that's what we want. But that's the way that I would say, I would suggest that it would be the best, by far, to make sure that your vote counts." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And Americans should know that their ballot is counted. So if your ballot is counted, you're not going to be able to vote, it's very simple, I think that it's very important that you make sure that everything is 100%, because there are a lot of bad rumors that go on in that state, and we want to make sure that we win, and that is not going to be taken away from us." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7044, + "raw_confidence": 0.7044, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We've accomplished more than any administration in history. in the first three-and-a-half years, we secured our borders, we built the wall, as you know, it will be finished very soon. It's a tremendous numbers are along the border. We have the best numbers that we've had record numbers, that's largely because we're up to over 300 miles of wall already and again it'll be completed very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But it's it's really had an impact on people illegally crossing the border. We brought back our manufacturing jobs at a very high clip. We rebuilt our military and wiped out ISIS. We killed al-Baghdadi and Soleimani, the two biggest terrorist leaders and any time and we we killed both, one was ISIS and the other was the biggest of them all, Soleimani." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We knocked him out both. We appointed by the time we are finished, 300 new federal judge justices that will be by, what looks like the end of the first term, we will have about 300 new judges and we'll have two great Supreme Court justices that you know, we're very proud of our choices and our picks." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "These are great great people. So, end of the term, we should be at about 300 new judges and two Supreme Court justices. That's a that's a lot. I I it's about a record. I think there may be one person, that's close, but we won't even discuss that, but that's a record or about a record passed. The biggest tax cuts and regulation cuts in the history of our country get the biggest tax cuts and they want to raise your taxes very substantially." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Biden wants to lift up your taxes, raise them, wants to put regulation cuts which will destroy jobs and everything else. We replaced NAFTA, fix broken trade deals and we stood up to China. They paid us billions and billions of dollars in tariffs, and we gave a lot of that money to our farmers, $28 billion to our farmers because they were targeted by China and nobody else would have been able to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And our farmers are doing very well right now. Achieved American energy independence and now we're No. 1 in the world which people are so surprised to hear. But we have American energy independence for the first time, we've protected our great Second Amendment, it's right to bear arms. And we we are protecting your right to have a gun." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3146, + "raw_confidence": 0.6854, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "It's the second amendment and anybody else that would have been it would have been either gone or obliterated if they get in it will be gone or obliterated, and it will take place very quickly. We eliminated Obamacare's unfair individual mandate, penalty, not only unfair, the most unpopular aspect of it, which really obliterated Obamacare." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2337, + "raw_confidence": 0.7663, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We cut drug prices and we're now in the process of cutting them more than anybody thought even imaginable, 50, 60, 70%, and we're doing that by using favored nation's clauses and things that nobody would have used before or ever even thought about. So the drug prices have come down last year. First time in 51 years that drug prices came down, but now we're going for the big one and that's by using rebates and also by favored nation's clause We protected people with pre-existing conditions and we always will." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4428, + "raw_confidence": 0.5572, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "There won't be anything that's passed without pre-existing conditions. And all of these things we did despite the fact that, as you know, four years ago, they spied in our campaign, they got caught, so let's see what happens, but they spied on our campaign. They've done things that nobody in history has even thought about doing." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7862, + "raw_confidence": 0.7862, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We passed a very, very incredible Right to Try. You know what that is. I talk about it, a lot, the right for you to use some of our great medicines and the research we do, the doctors, we have the best labs, the best everything in the world. And if it's not passed by the FDA, if somebody is terminally ill, they have the right now to get a drug, which before they had to travel to faraway lands and most people couldn't afford to do that, but it wasn't very good anyway, but we have a Right to Try and it's had an incredible impact." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5189, + "raw_confidence": 0.5189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So we passed that, it's all done. We passed the V.A. Accountability and V.A. Choice. Nobody thought either of those were possibility. Now, people are accountable for taking care of our vets and if you have to wait, if you have to wait on line for days and weeks and months for a doctor, you go out to get a private doctor and we pay the bill if you're a vet." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So we take care of our vets, had 91% approval rating recently, the highest ever by a lot. I mobilized the largest response since World War II to fight the China virus and we are really doing well. Our numbers are excellent, really really good, and hopefully, we're rounding the final turn on that disaster given to us by China." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2098, + "raw_confidence": 0.7902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "That was a total disaster but we did things that nobody thought possible, including ventilators. We had ventilators that were the coverage I always say the coverage were pretty bare and they were virtually bare and certainly ventilators and other things, and we worked with the governors. We made a lot of governors look good frankly, some governors, it shouldn't look very good." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We made them look good, we supply them with what they needed because their coverage were definitely bare and they shouldn't have been. We looked to in our second term, create 10 million new jobs in the first 10 months. We're setting a record in the last quarter. We have over 9 million jobs in the last quarter, so we're going to be back." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I know your state very well, you know, I'm there all the time. It's great, I know, what's good, what's bad and I tell you we're going to only we're going to take the good, we're going to create at least 10 million new jobs in the first 10 months, create tax credits for companies that bring back jobs from China and other countries and impose tariffs on companies that ship our jobs away and don't treat us like they should." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We're going to take care of that and that one's an easy one. We're going to be proposing and getting new tax cuts in addition to the cuts that you've already get gotten, which again, are the largest tax cuts in the history of our country. Fully fund law enforcement and hire more police as opposed to defunding police." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want to defund the police, we want to hire the police so, but we're going to full fund our law enforcement, take care of our law enforcement. Just like I did with all of the gear and equipment. We had millions and millions of dollars, hundreds of millions of dollars, of equipment, military equipment." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "It was excess military equipment. We gave it to the police, it was sitting in storage houses all over the United States. We gave it to our police. Further lower drug prices and health insurance premiums are coming down and they're coming down at a clip like never seen before. We're going to provide school choice for every student in America, something that the Democrats are totally against and it's one of the most important things that we can do." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Expand opportunity zones and sanctuary cities. Bring NASA back into full operation, which it is now. We're at a point where just about at full operation, we'll be landing on the moon, we'll be landing on Mars before anybody else and ensure that America is treated like it like it should always be because they have not treated us, other countries, they have not treated us the way they should." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1819, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Trade deals, we're doing new trade deals. We did the USMCA, which was incredible, got rid of the worst trade deal ever made. It was an incredible deal and it's been great for Nevada, and if you look at the Biden-Sanders unity platform, we call it the manifesto, they want to abolish borders, they want to take down the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Can you believe that? Takedown the wall, which is having such a great impact, and again we want people to come into our country, but they have to come in legally. They want they want to abolish immigration detention. They want to take away your union health care, so important. They want to take away your union health care, if you're in the union, for socialized medicine and medical and health care." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7158, + "raw_confidence": 0.7158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want to take it away and the union people that's why they didn't want to support Joe Biden. It's nothing is going to be changed. They wanted to support Bernie Sanders, I know in the primary, but they want to take away and they're going to do that 100%. They want to do that. And so for the union members that are on, they're going to take away your health care and for so many others they want to take away a 180 million people, private health care." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2031, + "raw_confidence": 0.7969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They have a private health care that they really like and they want to take it away. So union members are taking away your health care, and you have a good health care system, good health care. I know it very well and they also want to take away private health care from 180 million people. They want to stop all deportations and prosecution of illegal border crossers, support sanctuary cities, which is just supporting crime." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3067, + "raw_confidence": 0.6933, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Incentivize illegal alien child smuggling. They want to expand asylum for all illegal aliens. These are things that are just unthinkable, so many of them. Cancel all asylum cooperation agreements in the Western Hemisphere so that when we want to bring people back, and they could be murderers, they could be many different things, and now they get taken back and we bring them back." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5036, + "raw_confidence": 0.5036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Taxpayer-funded lawyers for all illegal aliens. So, on top of everything else now they come in and they want to give they want to give taxpayer-funded lawyers to people that come into our country illegally. They want to abolish immigration enforcement against illegal workers, grant work permits for illegal aliens and that's competing with your jobs, which is not a good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2068, + "raw_confidence": 0.7932, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Now, people competing very strongly for your job. They want to give government health care to illegal aliens. All of these things are not affordable that's why your taxes are going to be raised to appear to a point that is unthinkable. They want to give federal student aid and free community college to illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want to sign up all new illegal immigrants to welfare immediately and end requirement for for immigrant self-sufficiency and maximize all welfare payments to illegal aliens. You hear these things. They want to end travel bans from jihadist regions. We have a travel ban, including from jihadist regions." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7612, + "raw_confidence": 0.7612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want to grant mass amnesty, vastly expand the low-skilled immigration within the United States, and no no merit whatsoever increase refugee admissions by 700%, and from a law enforcement standpoint, they will end up defunding your police or depleting your police. They want to end cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals onto the streets, abolish the death penalty, appoint social justice prosecutors to free violent criminals." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want violent criminals to be released, it's just crazy what they're doing, end mandatory minimums. They want to incentivize prison closures so that people that come in or bad people, generally, there are no prisons. They want to get rid of the prison system. They want to free federal housing for former inmates, so you get all of this free housing." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.189, + "raw_confidence": 0.811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want to create housing for inmates they want to do more for inmates than they do for you. It is crazy. They want to abolish energy, they want to end fracking. They want to stop exploration, they want to get away from fossil fuels. Your energy bills will go up at a level in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "There won't be anything like it and the beautiful thing is we are now energy independent. So for the first time, we're energy independent. We don't need all of these countries in faraway lands and they want to end all of that. They want to abolish a very important thing, school choice, so important. They want to abolish charter schools." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3487, + "raw_confidence": 0.6513, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And, frankly, if you look at your certain areas in the suburbs, they want it they will be destroyed. You won't have suburbs, as you know, many low because they want to continue with a policy that I ended totally ended, but they want to build low-income housing in the suburbs, which has been a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "That was a disaster from day one. So all of those things they want to do and we have done things like nobody has done in the first, again, in the first three-and-a-half years, there's been nothing like what we've been able to do and we have a tremendous amount to go. It's really important that you get out and vote." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "You have, whether it's for congress or whether it's for the president, but we are making our country great again. What's exactly what we want to do and that's a theme from day one and that's exactly what's happening. We got hit with the China virus it it slowed things down, to put it mildly. We had the greatest economy in history, the greatest in the history of our country, and then we got hit with the China virus and we went to a different stance." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7422, + "raw_confidence": 0.7422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We went to a very protective stance, we're now opening up our country and we're setting records and doing it, especially with, if you look at the retail sales, it was a record. Employment was a record, a record for the quarter. Numbers like we haven't seen before. We're opening up very fast, it's a V-shape." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7131, + "raw_confidence": 0.7131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They all said you wouldn't get a V shape. A V V-shape is a rapid opening, but we saved millions of lives, by the way, we've done it, and now soon we're going to have a vaccine very very soon, they're in Stage 3 trials already, most of them, and soon you're going to have a vaccine, and you already have therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We have great therapeutics and the numbers are really, really much different than you would ever even believe possible. We're among the best in the world, the number wise were among the best in the world. So I want to thank everybody. Again, it's a tremendous number of people on the call. I want to thank you all for being on the call so important to get out and vote and be careful with those unsolicited ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We're cutting your taxes. We're giving substantial tax increases decreases next year. Next year, we'll be applying, actually, in the not too distant future to do substantial tax decreases in addition to what you've already gotten. So, I just want to thank everybody very much for being on the call. Get out there, vote, November 3rd, so important." + }, + { + "tid": "5yDmOinR_-w", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-nevada-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Go out and do your ballots the way you have to do your ballots make sure everything is perfect and make sure they count, and it's an honor speaking to everybody. I will see you soon. I'll be there pretty soon and I hope to see as many of you as I can. Thank you all for being on the line. Thank you very much. Goodbye." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. This is very important. This is a big event. And I want to just congratulate all of the people standing behind me because they have done an incredible job. This is something that hasn't been done in more than 25 years." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1857, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Just a few moments ago, I hosted a very special call with two friends Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed of the United Arab Emirates where they agreed to finalize a historical peace agreement. Everybody said this would be impossible. And, as you know, Mohammed is one of the great leaders of the Middle East." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "After 49 years, Israel and the United Arab Emirates will fully normalize their diplomatic relations. They will exchange embassies and ambassadors, and begin cooperation across the board and on a broad range of areas, including tourism, education, healthcare, trade, and security." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5369, + "raw_confidence": 0.5369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "This is a truly historic moment. Not since the Israel-Jordan peace treaty was signed more than 25 years ago has so much progress been made towards peace in the Middle East." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "By uniting two of America's closest and most capable partners in the region something which said could not be done this deal is a significant step towards building a more peaceful, secure, and prosperous Middle East." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Now that the ice has been broken, I expect more Arab and Muslim countries will follow the United Arab Emirates' lead. And I want to just thank them for being it's not surprising, knowing Mohammed so well. It's not surprising. They are in that lead position. And normalize relations with Israel. We are already discussing this with other nations with very powerful, very good nations and people that want to see peace in the Middle East. So you will probably see others of these, but this is the first one in more than 25 years." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.19, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "This deal will allow much greater access to Muslims from throughout the world to visit the many historic sites in Israel which the Muslims want to see very badly and have wanted to see for many, many decades and to peacefully pray at the Al-Aqsa Mosque, which is a very special place for them." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "My first trip as President was to Saudi Arabia in May of 2017. In my speech to the assembled leaders of 54 Muslim countries every single one was by their leader, their number-one leader. It was an amazing really, an incredible event. A very important event. I made clear that the problems of the Middle East can only be solved when people of all faiths come together to fight Islamic extremism and pursue economic opportunity for people of all faiths." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And when you look at what's happening, you're seeing a lot of progress is being made that nobody thought could possibly be made. And things are happening that I can't talk about, but they're extremely positive." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I want to thank the leaders of Israel and the UAE for their courage and for their leadership to forge this tremendous agreement. It will be known as the Abraham Accord. And I'd like to ask our ambassador, David Friedman, to please explain why we're doing and calling it the Abraham Accord." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2175, + "raw_confidence": 0.7825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It's a great great thing. I wanted it to be called the Donald J. Trump Accord. But I didn't think the press would understand that. I didn't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, you've done a great job. And Jared has done a fantastic job. People don't really understand the things that he's able to do. He's done a fantastic job on this. And you and your team nobody else could have done it. I don't think anybody else could have done it." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, Jared. What a great job. And what Jared said is so, though we don't have to be there anymore. We don't need oil. We don't need anything there except friendship. We have some great friends. These are two countries that have been great friends, and we've been great friends to them. But we no longer have to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It started off when we had to be there, but as of a few years ago, we don't have to be there. We don't have to be patrolling the straits. We're doing things that other countries wouldn't do. But we put ourself, over the last few years, in a position where we no longer have to be in areas that, at one point, were vital. And that's a big statement. But we are there for our friends, and we always will be there for our friends." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Robert, would you say a few words please?" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "MR. O'BRIEN: Mr. President, thank you. The point I want to make, Mr. President: You inherited a Middle East that was a mess when you came to office, and this is one more historic step in bringing peace to the Middle East." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "First of all, there was a caliphate that was raging an ISIS caliphate. And that physical caliphate was destroyed, and you brought justice to al-Baghdadi. You reassured our friends in Israel, who had suffered at the end of the last administration, with a U.N. resolution. You moved the capital to Jerusalem. You recognized the Golan Heights." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7404, + "raw_confidence": 0.7404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "In the broader region, you had a very difficult situation in Afghanistan, where we were soldiers were American soldiers were coming home injured; wounded; sadly, in some cases, dead. You brought a you've got a peace agreement now with the Taliban, and we're going to have less than half the number of troops in Afghanistan that were there when you started your term of office." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And now you've brought about this historic peace deal between the UAE and Israel. This is the first time in 25 years that Israel and an Arab country have normalized diplomatic relations and entered into a peace deal. And they're the two most capable countries in the Middle East two very capable, very skilled, very innovative allies of the United States. So, it's great for Israel, it's great for the UAE, but it's also great for the American the American people." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, you came in you came into office with a region that was that was really aflame, and you brought peace to that region, and there's more to come. And so it's an honor to be part of your team, Mr. President, and to serve under your leadership." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We do have a lot more to come in the Middle East. A lot of very positive things are happening, and you'll be seeing that taking place. But where we can get a leader like UAE to head the band and get along with Israel, that's a big that's a very big step." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Would you please say a few words? You have done such a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Would anybody like to say a few words? Anybody here? Because you were saying plenty of words during that negotiation. So they got very quiet in front of the media." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "That happens that happens on occasion." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, which is easier: dealing with the Democrats or dealing with the Middle East?" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6636, + "raw_confidence": 0.6636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I think the Middle East is more reasonable, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I'd like you two guys to say a couple of words. You've been so instrumental. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you all very much. This is very exciting. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Do you have any questions? Do you have any questions on this accord?" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No. It was like and love. It was a tremendous relationship that's been built up over the last, I would say, year. Before that, it was very tense, as everything in the Middle East is. It's very tense. It's a very tense place. But it's becoming less tense, and I have great relationships with all of the leaders. And some of some are enemies against each other, and I get along with both." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "That's, I guess, the big thing; people don't understand that about me. I actually I've gotten along. Remember, when I was elected, they said the war will start with somebody within days, and I've kept us out of war." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7981, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "You look at North Korea. Everybody said, including President Obama, that's the biggest problem. Everybody said you'd be at war. Well, we're not at war. It would have been a war if I wasn't elected, if it was somebody else." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, we're we're doing very well in the Middle East. And I'll tell you what: It's been an incredible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But, no, it was tense, but the relationship has become a very good one with between UAE and Israel and also with other countries, many other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I think you'll be seeing some very exciting things, including ultimately with the Palestinians. I think that's going to be happening at some point because it makes a lot of sense for them to let it happen." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, we're talking to Israel about that right now, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Oh, you really know you're stuff, don't you? Well, we're not going to talk to you about that. We're going to work something out, and then we'll talk after it's completed. But it'll be a very satisfactory" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We've been working on this for a long time. It's been a labor of love for a lot of the people in this room. And a lot of them love Israel, and a lot of them love the Middle East, and they love the countries that we're talking about" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1934, + "raw_confidence": 0.8066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "like UAE, as an example standing right here. And it's been a labor of love. They know it has to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3143, + "raw_confidence": 0.6857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I don't want to be speaking too much about it, but if you look, what's happened since I broke up that ridiculous Iran nuclear deal money isn't going to some horrible, horrible groups. And you haven't seen the kind of terrorism that you saw before." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Now, I don't like saying it, because all of a sudden, they'll say, We've got to do something. But you know what? They're not getting money because Iran isn't giving money, and I appreciate that. But Iran is going through very difficult times, and I appreciate that." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.24, + "raw_confidence": 0.76, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I'll say this, and I can say it very publicly, that if I win the election, I will have a deal made with Iran within 30 days. They make a very fast deal. They're dying to make a deal, but they'd much rather negotiate with Sleepy Joe Biden than with us." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But we'll we'll be having a deal made very, very quickly. But, you know, rightfully, they're waiting until after the election because they would there's nothing China, Iran, Russia, all of them would like to see more than have Trump be defeated, where they could deal with Joe Biden, because that would be like a dream." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And this was something that was very exciting. We thought this would be the first country. He's a great leader; Mohammed is a great leader. And we're very happy that he was the first country, I would say. And you can see many other things happening in the Middle East over a fairly short period of time. But this is the first time in more than 25 years and and UAE is big stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7409, + "raw_confidence": 0.7409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The UAE is very powerful, very strong" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7638, + "raw_confidence": 0.7638, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "has one of the strongest militaries. It's big stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Very soon. I guess they'll be setting up the meetings. Do you have any time?" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "There will be an official signing at the White House over the next few weeks. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "64MGYQDi-Mc", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-israel-united-arab-emirates-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And other than that, we'll meet you at 5:30 or so, and we'll talk, and we'll actually take one of your questions. Okay? Thank you. Thank you everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1867, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "These are my friends, these are the incredible workers that helped us so much with the COVID. We can call it many different things from China virus, I don't want to go through all the names because some people may get insulted, but that's the way it is. These are great, great people, doctors, nurses, firemen, policemen." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We want to thank you all. You have been incredible and we want to thank you, and all of the millions of people that you represent. Thank you all very much. Great job. Thank you. Thank you all very much. So tell me a little about your stories. How about we'll start with you." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Good and we're taking good care of our postal workers." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That I can tell you, believe me. We're not getting rid of our postal workers you know. They'd like to sort of put that out there. If anyone does, it's the Democrats not the Republicans. I want to thank you very much and thank everybody in that whole beautiful post office system. We appreciate it. How about you?" + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Oh, wow. That's fantastic. Well, congratulations. I love the truckers you know. They're on my side." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I think all of them, frankly. I think pretty much all of them. How about you?" + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Can I tell you that that world, that profession will never be out of business. You know that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much for being here. Thank you. And how about you?" + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm for the nurses and for the doctors, I'm for everybody. We just have to make this China virus go away and it's happening. Please, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.755, + "raw_confidence": 0.755, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I appreciate what you said because we have delivered billions of dollars of equipment that Governors were supposed to give, and in many cases, they didn't get. So the federal government had to help them and all of the people that did this incredible work, they never got credit for it, but you understand where it came from." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, both. It's really nice. Please, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That means we don't have to be afraid of you at all, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7803, + "raw_confidence": 0.7803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Once you're recovered, you know, we have the whole thing with plasma happening." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That means your blood is very valuable. You know that, right? Thank you very much. Great. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Did they do anything specifically to help you recover?" + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "OK. And I won't even ask you about the Hydroxychloroquine because they said it's a shame what they've done to that one, but I took it. I took the Z-Pack also and zinc. I want to thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "6m7AiXWyRIw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-frontline-works-pre-recorded-rnc-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's an honor to have you in the White House. You're fantastic people and the people you represent, you represent an incredible group of people and we love you all. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great to be in this wonderful state. So many friends, so much success, and we love being here. And we're here, actually, today to discuss the exciting progress that we've achieved under the Operation Warp Speed our historic initiative to develop, test, manufacture, and deliver a vaccine in record time. And that's what it is, in record time. Likewise, therapeutically, we are very, very advanced. You're hearing about it and you'll be hearing about it a lot more in the next two weeks. We will achieve a victory over the virus by unleashing America's scientific genius, which is what it is." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Four additional promising candidates are expected to enter final trials in the coming weeks, including the Novavax vaccine being developed right here at this facility. It's an incredible facility. We're going to be making a tour in a little while a very, very complete tour with the folks that run it and the people that operate." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We've just completed a tour of Fujifilm's innovation laboratories and that's going to be done at a much, much higher level in a few minutes after I'm finished, and I believe we'll take a few questions too which were carrying out a crucial biomanufacturing process needed to make the Novavax vaccine. This production is made possible by my administration's $1.6 billion award to Novavax as part of Operation Warp Speed. It lets us deliver the final product in a time that never has been achieved anywhere, at any time, for anything like this." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Operation Warp Speed is funding a historic portfolio of highly promising vaccine candidates. In addition to our $1.6 billion investment in Novavax, we've issued a $483 million contract with Moderna, a $1.2 billion contract with AstraZeneca, a $465 million contract with Janssen, and just last week, a $1.95 billion agreement with Pfizer. Tremendous progress is being made with all of those great companies." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "A groundbreaking agreement with Pfizer includes a guarantee to deliver 100 million doses shortly after the vaccine's approval almost immediately with the option to purchase an additional 500 million thereafter. Not only is Operation Warp Speed accelerating the development of a vaccine, we're also directing a colossal industrial mobilization to ensure its rapid delivery. Nothing has happened like this since the end of World War Two." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Instead of the usual sequence of vaccine development, testing and trials, followed by production, our strategy is to conduct these phases simultaneously. So everything goes at one time. We're not waiting and waiting and waiting; it's all going at one time. We have a system that has I think it's unparalleled. Never been done before, but we suspect it's going to work, and work very well." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2905, + "raw_confidence": 0.7095, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We're mass producing all of the most promising vaccine candidates in advance so that on the day one that it's approved, it'll be available to the American people immediately. And we'll probably have a lot for a lot of other people throughout the world. The world is suffering from this China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Another dimension of Operation Warp Speed is our focus on therapeutics to treat the virus. Over 140 clinical trials are underway, and a number of effective therapies have already been developed and widely delivered, including remdesivir, which is having a tremendous impact you see that with mortality rates and other things, statistically dexamethasone, convalescent plasma, and antibody treatments. We have numerous treatments right now that are under study, and I think over the next couple of weeks, we may actually have some very positive answers as to that." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2475, + "raw_confidence": 0.7525, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "On July 7th, we announced a $450 million agreement with Regeneron to begin advanced manufacturing of its antibody treatment, which is currently in late-stage clinical trials. Late stage." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3254, + "raw_confidence": 0.6746, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Due to the medical advances we've already achieved and our increased knowledge in how to treat the virus, the mortality rate for patients over the age of 18 is 85 percent lower than it was in April think of that: 85 percent and is 25 percent lower than Europe as a whole." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.731, + "raw_confidence": 0.731, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "In the middle of April, more than 22 percent of all deaths in the United States were attributable to the China virus. As the last week, that number has dropped down as of last week, it's dropped down to under 7 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6013, + "raw_confidence": 0.6013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "To decrease the turnaround times for testing, the first two laboratories have been approved to provide pooled testing very important. In other words, samples from multiple patients are processed together. They're pooled. Now, pool testing will reduce turnaround times by more than substantially more than 50 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1994, + "raw_confidence": 0.8006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Last week, our Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services began distributing rapid point-of-care diagnostic test instruments to all of the nursing homes in the United States, focusing on the areas of greatest need, which is our elderly and our nursing homes." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2849, + "raw_confidence": 0.7151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "What we've already sent includes testing instruments to 635 nursing homes for 196,000 rapid point-of-care tests. It's a tremendous amount. That's you'll get your response and answer from 5 to 15 minutes." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2555, + "raw_confidence": 0.7445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Over the next three weeks, 1,700 nursing homes will receive an additional 800,000 point-of-care tests. Think of that. The United States has conducted over 52 million tests. That's more than all of Europe put together, times two. Nobody is even close. And as countries go, it is as an example, India is up to 11 million tests. We're going to be very shortly at 55 million tests. India has 1.4 billion people." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Through our relentless efforts, we've completely rebuilt our stockpile, which the previous administration depleted and did not refill. The cupboards were bare. I say it often. In total, we've now distributed nearly 100 million N95 masks, 35 million surgical masks, 15 million face shields, and much, much more. In addition to that, ventilators, the most difficult thing of all, we are now building thousands a month, and we're distributing them we have all we need in our country, but to other countries that are in desperate need. Other countries are having a tremendously difficult time with the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3688, + "raw_confidence": 0.6312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Last week, FEMA sent additional personal protective equipment to over 15,000 nursing homes, including 643,000 pairs of protective eyewear, 7 million masks, 34 million pairs of gloves, and 6 million gowns. It's a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2021, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Over the weekend, cases in Florida, Texas, and Arizona held steady and are now heading down. In Arizona, they're heading very substantially down, and rapidly. We've been constant and in constant communication with the states, and are surging them resources when requested. They largely had what they needed, but anything they need, we send them immediately. We are totally full, we have everything we need, we get it to the states immediately, we deal with the governors. The relationship with the governors has been very good." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "These states are not out of the woods, but rigorous compliance with guidelines should allow them to turn the corner, and very, very quickly. We are working with every governor and health commissioner across the country to bring a complete, individualized analysis to each state, as well as tailored recommendations. States are different." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3915, + "raw_confidence": 0.6085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "My administration is also closely monitoring the surging caseload in Latin America, which is now the region in the world with the most active reported infections, by far. Due to the relative scarcity of testing in Latin America, however, the region's reported number of cases is also likely to be dramatically undercut or undercounted. And I can say that's probably true throughout the entire world. We report our cases; most of the world doesn't. They either don't do testing, therefore they have very few cases, even though people are sick, or they just don't report it." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6935, + "raw_confidence": 0.6935, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Given the reality of what we just said, we're focusing aggressively on the Texas border and countries that we think have to be watched very, very carefully, because you have some very, very highly infected countries outside of our borders." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I've spoken with Governor Abbott terrific gentleman and I can report that over 3,300 federal personnel are on the ground in Texas. We've given them a tremendous amount of extra help, including doctors, nurses, frontline people. We've supplied Texas with more than 2.5 million gloves, 800,000 goggles, 337,000 surgical gowns, 1.8 million surgical masks, 1.36 million N95 respirators, and half a million KN90 masks." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.775, + "raw_confidence": 0.775, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Beginning this week, Texas hospitals will receive 500 cases of remdesivir, which has proven very effective, enough to treat 3,200 patients." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "In addition to the cross-border spread, this stage of the pandemic is being fueled by younger Americans who generally have little risk of being seriously harmed by the disease but can spread the disease. We need all Americans to be conscious about their actions and to exercise extreme vigilance." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I trust all Americans to do the right thing, but we strongly advise everyone to especially, especially focus on maintaining a social distance, maintaining rigorous hygiene, avoid large gatherings and crowded indoor bars, and wear masks when appropriate." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2053, + "raw_confidence": 0.7947, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We also strongly urge citizens to take extra precautions to shield those at highest risk, which are, in most cases, in many cases, the elderly especially the elderly with medical problems, such as heart or diabetes. But you want to shield them and you want to guard them and you want to protect them from the virus especially especially those that are really targeted almost targeted, you could say, by this horrible, horrible plague, this horrible epidemic, pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1589, + "raw_confidence": 0.8411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "America will develop a vaccine very soon, and we will defeat the virus. We will have it delivered in record time. As our visit here demonstrates and I want to thank all of the people and representatives from the great state of North Carolina. This is a great this is a great place. It's a phenomenal place. And we've had so many great meetings and such a great time." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I want to drive the the drive and tenacity of your representatives and your politicians has been incredible. When they call them there, when they call most of them, many of them are sitting here right now I will always answer their call." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "So thank you very much. I appreciate you being here with us. And let's get on to a few questions. Tremendous progress has been made, and it's been made rapidly and it's been made in areas that nothing like that has taken place before." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "So, please. Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, I think I think so. But, you know, there would be not that same kind of hope if we weren't doing so well." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We're you know, before just before I left the White House, in the Oval Office, we had a meeting with our doctors, scientists, some others, and they're making tremendous prog- progress with respect to therapeutics. I can tell you, therapeutically, I think over the next couple of weeks, we'll have some, really, very good things to say. We're just having great answers." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "So it is about that, and it's also the vaccine that we discussed today at even greater length is just coming along really well. And it's not just one company; it's many companies have had tremendous progress. So that'll be announced over the next very short period." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, I heard very positive things, but by the end of the year, we think we're in very good shape to be doing that. By the end of this year, we're going to in terms of the vaccine. I think in terms of therapeutics, even sooner than that. Therapeutics, meaning, you go and you give somebody, whether it's transfusion or shots or whatever it may be, and they heal, and they heal quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "So we've had tremendous progress. We already have, if you look at remdesivir and if you look at some of the other things. But we'll have we'll have some announcements on that over the next two weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Yeah, it it is hope, but it's only hope because we've gotten such incredible results, scientifically." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We don't talk about what we discussed, but we had plenty of discussion, and I think it was very productive." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. I think the recovery has been very strong. We've set record job numbers. We've set record numbers. Whether it's a pure V or a little bit less than that, I think it's going to be very good." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.677, + "raw_confidence": 0.677, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "If, therapeutically, we come up with some answers very quickly, which I think we will, then you're going to have a tremendous recovery likewise, with the vaccines. If you do that by the end of the year, that's ahead of schedule substantially ahead of schedule. And it's ahead of anything that's ever taken place, in terms of vaccines, before." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "So I think if those things happen if just one of those events happen, you'll go right back into that V, and I think you're probably in the V anyway." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I really do believe a lot of the governors should be opening up states that they're not opening, and we'll see what happens with them. But a lot will have to do with the fact that, therapeutically, I think you're going to have some great answers vaccine-wise, likewise." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Yeah, please. Go ahead, in the back." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, we're actually coming to North Carolina, as you know. We're having a very major I guess that would be the nomination night, so that's Monday. That'll be Monday they're going to be here. And the rest we'll do in a different form. We could've done it many different ways, but I think we did the right thing. And I'm really happy that we're going to be having a piece of it at least and a very important piece in North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.75, + "raw_confidence": 0.75, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I think the poll numbers are very good. The poll numbers we have are very good. We're leading in North Carolina. We're leading in Pennsylvania. We're leading in Arizona our numbers. We're leading in Arizona. We're leading nicely in Florida. I think our poll numbers are very good. We're leading substantially in Georgia." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5702, + "raw_confidence": 0.5702, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I mean, we get a lot of suppression polls. We get a lot of fake polls, just like we have fake news. I mean, it's a terrible thing when you look at it." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7113, + "raw_confidence": 0.7113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "But I had the same thing four years ago. I was losing everywhere. I had poll numbers where I wasn't going to win any state, and I ended up winning every one of them you know, the swing states. I wasn't going to win any of them, and I won all of them. And I have the same thing this year. This year, they have it even closer. They have it closer, but it's the same suppression-type polls. We have polls that show me leading in almost every swing state, and substantially in other states, by even more than I won in '16." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1931, + "raw_confidence": 0.8069, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "When you look at Florida, as an example, you have thousands of boat out on boats out in the ocean, out in the Intracoastal. You look at other states where, likewise, you have thousands of boats, and they're all waving the Trump sign Trump-Pence sign and they're so proud. Thousands and thousands. You've seen it where you have Bikers for Trump with lines that are miles long on highways going along on weekends." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I think there's more spirit now than there's ever been for my campaign, and that includes 2016, where obviously there was great enthusiasm, great spirit. We had great spirit. I think there's more today because what we've done, nobody has ever done before. Nobody has ever rebuilt the military, cut taxes the most in our history created the greatest economy we've ever had, cut regulations at a level that nobody has ever done, and all of these different things." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "The VA we got VA Choice. We got VA everything for the VA. Right now they had a 91 percent approval rating at in a recent poll. I was just speaking to the Secretary 91 percent in the VA. That's never happened before." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7536, + "raw_confidence": 0.7536, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I think when people see all that we've done even Space Force. We created a Sp- a force, an actual you know, Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines. Right? It's it's pretty amazing. Coast Guard. And now, Space Force that hasn't happened in 75 years. What we've done working with some of those warriors over there, by the way but what we've done has never been done." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7991, + "raw_confidence": 0.7991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "If you look at Alaska with ANWR, one of the bil- perhaps the biggest drilling site in the world. Even Ronald Reagan and Bush and Clinton everybody wanted to get it done; I got it done ANWR in Alaska. Probably or possibly the biggest drilling site in the world. No, what we've done has been incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7513, + "raw_confidence": 0.7513, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Recently, it looked like the energy business was going to be a catastrophe. We were number one in the world, and then we had the pandemic, and nobody was using energy. Nobody was driving in automobiles, no gasoline. And by the way, gasoline prices for everyone are very, very low in many cases, less than $2. That's pretty incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7383, + "raw_confidence": 0.7383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "And I saved the energy business. I got Russia and I got Saudi Arabia on the phone, and they cut way back. And we're now at $40-and-plus a barrel. And we're saving tens of millions of jobs in energy. We're the number-one in energy in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7909, + "raw_confidence": 0.7909, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We closed this greatest economy ever far bigger than China, better than China. China was having, by the way, the worst year they had in 67 years. Tariffs they paid us tens of billions of dollars. The worst year they've had think of it in 67 years. We were having the best year we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3968, + "raw_confidence": 0.6032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I had to close it, and now we're reopening it. And next year, we'll be stronger. It'll be the strongest year so far. It'll be better, even than last year." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much. I'll be heading back, and I'll see you back at the White House. Thank you very much. We're going to take an additional tour of the facility with your great leaders." + }, + { + "tid": "7D-dhy354ck", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavirus-briefing-tour-durham-north-carolina-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much to the people of North Carolina. We love being here. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much, everyone. It's a great honor. It's a magnificent building, and they do a magnificent job at the Red Cross. I'm delighted to be here to discuss the remarkable progress being made in the development of plasma. Plasma. So important. Therapies." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "These therapies transfuse powerful antibodies from the blood of recovered patients to help treat those battling the current infection that we all know so well. Plasma is one of the more delicate ways of doing things. It's had tremendous response so far we've had. And it's an effort to accelerate to really accelerate new therapies and further reduce mortality." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4936, + "raw_confidence": 0.5064, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We've been able to show some tremendous things. If you notice today, it was covered very well. A lot of countries where they thought they were doing well, they're not doing well at all. They've had explosions explosions, unfortunately." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We're joined by Secretary of Health and Human Services, who's doing a terrific job, Alex Azar. Alex hi, Alex. FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn. Hi, Steve. Surgeon General Jerome Adams. And I hope your wife is okay, Jerome. I know she had a little difficulty, but I'm sure she's going to be fine, right? Please give her my regards. Thank you, Jerome. Dr. Francis Collins, who everyone knows Francis, thank you very much. NIH. And Dr. Anthony Fauci. Anthony, hi. And Deborah. Where's Deborah? Deborah? Hi, Deborah. Good job." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "You know, everybody is everybody is doing a good job. Everybody is working very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I want to also thank to the CO- CEO of American Red Cross, somebody who's done outstanding work I've known about it for a long time Gail McGovern. Thank you, Gail. Really, an outstanding job, too." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "CEO of America's Blood Centers, Kate Fry. Hi, Kate. Thank you very much. CEO of CSL Limited, Paul Perreault. Paul, thank you very much. Great job. And CEO of LabCorp, Adam Schechter. Thank you, Adam, very much." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1887, + "raw_confidence": 0.8113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We've taken bold actions to give Americans access to plasma therapies. The FDA made the treatment available to patients with life-threatening infections beginning in March. We provided $48 million to the Mayo Clinic to support their expanded access program for plasma. We're providing up to $270 million to the Red Cross and America's Blood Centers for the collection of up to 360,000 units of plasma." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "My administration is partnering with commercial labs, insurers, and healthcare providers to encourage those who have had the virus to donate plasma. So if you've had the virus, if you donate, it would be a terrific thing. We really need donations of the plasma. To those that have had the virus, you've gotten through it, and I guess that means you have something very special there. Right, Gail? So we would appreciate that. It would help a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7656, + "raw_confidence": 0.7656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We're grateful to LabCorp for offering free antibody testing to identify people who can donate. And LabCorp has really been fantastic in a lot of ways other ways also." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "As a result of these initiatives, we've already treated nearly 50,000 patients with plasma. Roughly 2 million Americans have fully recovered from the virus. This afternoon, I'm asking these citizens to go to the Coronavirus.gov it's Coronavirus.gov and volunteer to donate plasma as soon as you can. We have a lot of people that would heal, would get better. As soon as you can, please." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "In addition, I'm once again urging all Americans to protect the elderly, socially distance, wear a mask when you cannot avoid the crowded places. And if you can, you have to avoid crowded places. It just seems like so many things are taking place in crowded places. We don't want that. And always wash your hands wash your hands as often as you can. Together, we'll defeat the virus, we'll defeat the invisible enemy." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I want to thank the American Red Cross. I've been a fan of the Red Cross for a long time, as you know, and we appreciate the great work that you do. Thank you very much, Gail." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And now I'd like to ask Gail to say a few words, please. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "You're really doing something very special. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Alex. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Francis. Appreciate it very much." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Kate. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Please. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "It's a great idea. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Stephen, could you give a few words on the speed with which we're getting the vaccines out and approved hopefully approved and finalized and where we are with phase one, two, and three, et cetera?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And you're literally many, many months and even years ahead of schedule in terms of approval. So we really appreciate the FDA. And please let us let everyone know how we feel, all of us. Thank you. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And I hope you'll be able to do it even before the end of the year and maybe substantially before that, from what I'm hearing." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Would anybody have any questions of these very brilliant people having to do with plasma, antibodies? Any questions?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well I'd let perhaps, Tony, do you want to discuss that, please?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2667, + "raw_confidence": 0.7333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, I can tell you I only heard of goggles for the first time about one hour ago. Now I'm hearing about goggles. So I don't know." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Deborah, do you want to discuss that?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I think when you look at Miami, by the way, or Florida, in particular, it looks like things are getting much better. Arizona getting much better. Heading down. Heading in the right direction. Some other areas getting much better. Could be catching on, unfortunately, in a couple of areas. We don't know quite yet, but we'll be able to report that soon. But some very big progress being made in some of the states that two weeks ago looked like they were going to be quite bad. And some great progress made." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2905, + "raw_confidence": 0.7095, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So we're getting mostly now, we're ordering as many of the immediate tests, which is 5 minutes to 15 minutes even a little bit less, in some cases, than five minutes. But we're trying to get those tests. We have pretty close to 50 percent. I call them short-term tests, but we're up to about 50 percent, which is amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "The other tests, while good, you have to send them, then they have to do the work, and they have to send them back. So the process takes long, just in terms of delivery. We really are liking the short-term test where you find out immediately whether or not you have a problem. And that's what we're striving for. But we're already up to approximately 50 percent. Is that correct, Deborah?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And how is LabCorp doing about turnaround?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So then for nursing homes, one day, and something more than that for everyone else. But three days looks like it's a pretty good target." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, that's really you know that's very good. We'd be happy with those numbers. And numbers that we are happy with, and we use a certain test around here that goes very quickly. And it's just been recently developed. So we've done an amazing job. Everybody at this table has done, really, an amazing job in coming up with testing, and testing that works." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1971, + "raw_confidence": 0.8029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, when we have the vaccine, we have the military all lined up, and the military is going to be doing it in a very powerful manner. These are people that don't usually do vaccines. They do soldiers and they do lots of other things that, frankly, are more difficult. But we have our general, and logistically, he's all set." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Tony, do you want to say something about that?" + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Dr. FAUCI: That is correct. As the vaccine rolls out, we'll be getting them distributed. And as you probably have heard, we are going to make sure that we do it in an equitable way and it's representative of the populations who need it the most. And we have the standard way that we determine that, with the ACIP working with the CDC." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But Dr. Collins and Dr. Redfield have put together, with the National Academy of Medicine, a group that will fortify that decision-making process so that we're making sure that we're very fair and equitable in getting the vaccine distributed properly." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7456, + "raw_confidence": 0.7456, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And I think I could have Francis say that tremendous progress has been made on the vaccine, beyond anything that we would have thought if you go back six months." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And, Francis, we're working very well with other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "7GNRi2-7Qa8", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-red-cross-plasma-donation-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much, everybody. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. And Governor Kim Reynolds has done an incredible job for calling me, and with you and Chuck and Joni. We have come through for you, and we will always come through for Iowa, for you." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We're pleased to be joined by Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Chad Wolf, who has been doing a fantastic job. And we're going to the border in a little while, and we're going to see the wall part of the wall that has been built. We're up to almost 300 miles. Can you believe that? Three hundred miles. And it's moving along rapidly, and we're very proud of it." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.444, + "raw_confidence": 0.556, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's had a tremendous impact on people coming into our country illegally, especially with the pandemic. Because Mexico has got some very big problems on the pandemic very heavily infected. And we've stopped them. It's the strongest we've been on the border in many, many years. Probably decades. So it's been very good." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And FEMA Administrator Pete Gaynor Pete, thank you very much. He's been so busy, I don't even talk to him anymore. I just say, Hi, Pete. I said, Where's next? But you've been doing, really, a fantastic job, and we appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And Senator Chuck Grassley a incredible man and a friend of mine and somebody that represents the state so well. And I almost don't have a chance when he calls. Right, Joni?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We almost don't have and then, on top of it, Joni Ernst calls. And between the two of them, Kim" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "you get what you want, right? But we really do; we have a fantastic team. And also, state and local officials and Iowans affected by this storm." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2087, + "raw_confidence": 0.7913, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Last week, for those of you that don't know what happened, a powerful hurricane-force winds pummeled Iowa, like, I guess, you haven't really seen before. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1564, + "raw_confidence": 0.8436, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Has this ever happened a thing like this?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yeah. The size and the power of the wind." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "All Americans are united in grief and prayer for the precious life that was lost. So how many people were lost, would you say?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, that's good. That's three is too many, but that's a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And people injured, I know. But it's but they're they'll be okay, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2652, + "raw_confidence": 0.7348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "This took a big chunk out of your entire state, Chuck. This was a big portion. I guess more than half of your counties were affected, and some very badly, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1884, + "raw_confidence": 0.8116, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So my administration is already working with Iowa officials, some of whom are with us now, to provide aid and to assess the damage." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3695, + "raw_confidence": 0.6305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Winds from 80 to 110 miles per hour have carved a path of destruction through over half of Iowa's really great counties, many of which I got to know over the years. Up to 43 percent of the state's corn and soybean crops have been damaged or totally destroyed. Three hundred and thirty-two cell towers were damaged think of that impacting one million residents. Nearly half a million of the Iowa Electric customers lost power, but I understand the power is back to about 90 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5093, + "raw_confidence": 0.5093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And the power company has done a good job" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So they really did a good job getting it back, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6325, + "raw_confidence": 0.6325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And schools here in Cedar Rapids were hit very hard. And many of the schools that plan to open are now going to be delayed not for the pandemic reason, but for an unrelated reason that nobody thought would happen." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So, yesterday, I approved disaster a disaster declaration for Iowa. You know that. And it was done in record time. And we're offering the full support of the federal government, so you'll take care of that." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And the USDA also announced assistance for impacted farmers. Just as we delivered $117 million to the Cedar Rapids flood mitigation project in 2018 and that was another big one. Cedar Rapids has had a rough couple of years, when you think about it, right? But we took good care of the flooding. And just like we did that, we're going to help you recover from the storm. And we'll get it done, and we'll all get it done together." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Iowans have always been resilient and strong and tough and great people. From the depths of this grave hardship, we will rebuild even stronger than before. We're going to be in fantastic shape in a very short period of time. You have a outstanding group of people representing you." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And maybe if I could, Kim, you could start off and say a few words as to what's going on and how we can further help." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And, Pete, you'll do whatever you have to do?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7878, + "raw_confidence": 0.7878, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "How do you compare this, in terms of damage, with what you had with the flooding a year and a half ago, two years ago?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So this is even more than the floods." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, you know you have your friends from the Army Corps of Engineers. Nobody better. They helped you the last time. You didn't think you'd be back so soon, General, did you?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So, Chuck, with that voice, wouldn't he be a great politician? His voice is almost as tough as yours. Not quite." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Chuck, what would you like to say?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7127, + "raw_confidence": 0.7127, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And, you know, it's difficult because you had the largest order of corn in history did you know that? last week from, of all groups, China. How about that? China. Which I don't know it makes you think a little bit, doesn't it? Huh? But China made the largest order of corn, twice, over the last week." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So how does that affect an order like that, when you have such damage to the crops to the corn crops?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But are they able to fulfill an order like that? Can they will they be able to get an order that big?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1858, + "raw_confidence": 0.8142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's the biggest the two biggest orders of corn in history, we got. That's because they think I'm not happy, and I'm not. I'm not. I'm not happy at all. Just the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7226, + "raw_confidence": 0.7226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So, I approved the ethanol, and we did the whole thing with the 12-month, and all of the others." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Let me ask you, how is ethanol doing with the with the markets? It's got to be a little bit tough, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But they'll be ready when the market comes back. They'll be ready like never before, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Don't forget: This has been a very loving area for me. Cedar Rapids has been fantastic, and there's a lot of we've developed a lot of great relationships in Cedar Rapids, so I never had a doubt, really." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7771, + "raw_confidence": 0.7771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And we wanted to get it done fast, and we did record record fast." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "He's seen it all. This guy has seen devastation like nobody, but this is bad." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "What is the timing, do you think?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Can you find usage in some of the corn? Is it aged enough, or is it just really not going to be able to be used?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you you've never seen anything like that?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "What about other states, by the way? Did it how was it? And they weren't affected nearly like this, but" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Incredible. Okay, thank you very much. Good job. Would anybody like to say anything? Please, go ahead. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You expect it when? When do you expect it everything to" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, then they've done a very good job." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "How have the insurance companies responded and acted, would you say?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2226, + "raw_confidence": 0.7774, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Are you pretty well covered with insurance, though? I mean, you have clauses." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "All right. Good. We'll take a look at that. You know about that." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Okay. We'll take care of it, Mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So is that liability when you have trees, all those trees? You love those trees. You'd rather keep those trees, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "How how are you doing with the COVID? How's your area? Both of you, how are you doing with COVID?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Well, they're doing great on vaccines, and they're doing great on therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2574, + "raw_confidence": 0.7426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And even places like I was reading New Zealand is in such good shape, and then, today, they have a big outbreak. So, you know, it's it's the invisible enemy, but we're getting through it. And the vaccines are coming along really well soon. And therapeutically, really good." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Okay. Well, we're going to look very seriously at the individual help. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Let's do that. Okay? It's a double whammy. Let's help." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7514, + "raw_confidence": 0.7514, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When was the last time something like this happened, would you say, if ever? I mean, like 100 years ago?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll take care of it. And you're going to have a very fast recovery, I predict." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you have you really have good insurance? Most of you seem to have very good insurance. That's great." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So, this was, in a way, less dangerous than a tornado, but much wider, right? But the point of a tornado is truly brutal." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2485, + "raw_confidence": 0.7515, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "He said, Maybe it is a tornado." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And, Kayleigh, let me ask you: With all that is going on in the world, is the world aware of what happened in Iowa? Because it is really something." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to take care of it." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's incredible. That's a big part of it. That's a very big part of it." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Would anybody like to ask any questions? The governor or senators and FEMA or Chad any questions for them concerning this situation, which we're going to take care of very rapidly in Iowa? Anybody?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Senator, thank you very much. Joni, thank you very much. I appreciate it. That's great. We'll get it taken care of. We'll get it done very quickly. All of you, we'll get it done. Ashley, we'll get it done very quickly. Chad, thank you. Governor." + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's all done. So now we have to start working, but the papers are done. You're going to look into the one event" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "quickly, and we'll get that approved. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "7qGUkYnSV8s", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-iowa-disaster-recovery-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Okay, well, thank you very much. You've asked to see what's going on at our meetings, so I figured let you come in. You'll look and you'll see we have a lot of a lot of good things happening. We have tremendous progress on vaccines and therapeutics. We're getting reports. We're studying the reports very closely. I think people are going to be very pleasantly surprised with what's going on on the vaccine front and the therapeutic front. And that, to us, is always the first topic." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Secondarily, but very importantly, we're working and negotiating with the Democrats on trying to get a plan that helps small businesses, helps people, helps this country. And I think we've made a lot of progress on that. And the discussions are going on." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Steve, do you want to say a few words as to where we are?" + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7257, + "raw_confidence": 0.7257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "It came from China. It should have never been allowed to get out. They could have stopped it. They could have stopped it easily. They chose not to. And we'll have further reports on that. But it came from China. They could have stopped it, but they didn't. They stopped it from going into China, but they didn't stop it from going to the rest of the world. It didn't stop it from going to Europe, to us." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "They should have stopped it. They could have stopped it. They weren't transparent at all; they were the opposite. It's not good." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3113, + "raw_confidence": 0.6887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "I spoke with the President of France this morning, and I spoke with I spoke with the President of Egypt, and we had a very, very good conversation, both of us. And all of us, and all of us together I've had many conversations with leaders all over the world over the weekend, and over the last couple of weeks in particular. And this is a pandemic that is flaring up all over the place. Countries thought they were in good shape and then, all of a sudden, they have a big flare-up." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2339, + "raw_confidence": 0.7661, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "I see that over the weekend I guess on Friday there was a worldwide number of death worldwide. Because when you watch the news the local news and you see it, and it's it's, like, all about the United States. They never like to talk about what's going on in the world. But you look at Mexico, Brazil, many countries in Europe, many countries all over Russia. Russia has a got a tremendous problem. It's what's going on is terrible. It's terrible. But this is a worldwide problem." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "And we're helping the world with ventilators. We're helping a lot of countries. They don't have ventilators, and we're sending thousands of ventilators to different countries. But I do want people to understand this is a worldwide problem caused by China, but it's a worldwide problem." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Countries are going through hell, and it's going to we're going to give you a lot briefings in the next week and over the next few weeks as to I think it's very important to do it, the vaccines and the therapeutics. I think I'm going to bring some of the great companies that are working, and very successfully in the past have worked on these things, and they're going to tell you very specifically what they're doing and how they're doing. But we think we're doing very well in that regard." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Those two items I think, frankly, therapeutic, I like almost better at this point. You go in and you make people better. Now, we have had some very good luck with remdesivir, and that's been successful. And others have been successful. The plasma has been successful. But we are we're really coming up with some very good answers, meaning, they are. All over the world, they're working. And we're working very closely all over the world on the vaccines and the therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "So we're going to have some of the heads of these great companies coming in. Johnson & Johnson is doing very well, in particular. They seem to be doing very well. But numerous are doing very well. It's something that I really feel certain I guess you can never use totally certain but pretty damn certain that they're going to have the vaccine, they're going to have therapeutics, and it's going to start taking place very shortly, and that will be a great thing. For the world, that will be a great thing." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "But this is happening all over the world, not just the United States. And it's a tough one. It's very tough. It's very sad when you see the death. It's all death that could have could've been stopped by China. If they wanted to stop it, they could've stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much, everybody. Please. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "I think it's very important. I think it's a very important thing. It's very good. It's been proven to be successful. It's a big saving for the people. It's a tremendous saving, and I think it's an incentive for companies to hire their workers back and to keep their workers. So the payroll tax cut, to me, is very important. We're working on it. And I don't think that there's too much dispute as to the level of importance, John. It's a very important thing. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "It's one of that's one of many elements we're discussing. We're discussing probably a total of 10 different elements. But payroll tax cut is a very important one." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Oh, absolutely. No, I think I think, hopefully, we'll get there, but we're talking about a lot of things, not just the payroll tax cut." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1938, + "raw_confidence": 0.8062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Well, we had very successful briefings. I was doing them, and we had a lot of people watching record numbers watching. In the history of cable television television, there's never been anything like it." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "And we were doing very well, and I thought it would be, sort of, automatic. And a lot of a lot of positive things were happening. And, frankly, a lot of the country is doing well. A lot of the people don't say it, as you understand." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "And so I think we'll start that probably starting tomorrow. I'll do it at 5 o'clock, like we were doing. We had a good slot. And a lot of people were watching, and that's a good thing. I think that Kayleigh will continue hers at 11 o'clock, just like they were. And I'll be discussing the as I call it, the China virus, the China plague. I'll be discussing it, and I'll also be discussing perhaps some other things." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "But, you know, we're doing very well in so many different ways, but unfortunately, this is something that's very tough, but we're going to get it solved, and I think we're going to get it solved in numerous ways, but the two best would be vaccines and therapeutics. So we'll we'll be having that." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Well, it depends on what your definition of troops is. I mean, we're sending law enforcement. Portland was totally out of control. The Democrats the liberal Democrats running the place had no idea what they were doing. They were ripping down for 51 days, ripping down that city, destroying the city, looting it. The level of corruption and what was going on there is incredible. And then the governor comes out: We don't need any help." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2548, + "raw_confidence": 0.7452, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "How about Chicago? I read the numbers were many people killed over the weekend. We're looking at Chicago too. We're looking at New York. Look at what's going on. All run by Democrats, all run by very liberal Democrats. All run, really, by radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "But we can't let this happen to the cities. New York was up 348 percent the crime rate. So the governor has to do something about it. And if the governor is not going to do something about, we'll do something about it." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "But what's happening in New York, a place I love I love New York. And look at what's going on over there. The woman who was shot because she said, Could you please not light off fire crackers? And they turned around and shot her eight times, and she died. That's not our civilization. That's not about us." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1928, + "raw_confidence": 0.8072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "And then the police are afraid to do anything. I know New York very well. I know the police very well New York's Finest. And the fact is they're restricted from doing anything. They can't do anything." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm going to do something that, I can tell you. Because we're not going to let New York and Chicago and Philadelphia and Detroit and Baltimore and all of these Oakland is a mess. We're not going to let this happen in our country. All run by liberal Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "We're going to have more federal law enforcement that, I can tell you. In Portland, they've done a fantastic job. They've been there three days, and they really have done a fantastic job in very short period of time. No problem. They grab them; a lot of people in jail. They're leaders. These are anarchists. These are not protestors. People say protestors; these people are anarchists. These are people that hate our country. And we're not going to let it go forward." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2007, + "raw_confidence": 0.7993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "And I'll tell you what: The governor and the mayor and the senators out there, they're afraid of these people. That's the reason they don't want us to help them. They're afraid. I really believe they're actually maybe even physically afraid of these people because what they're doing is incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "7r3dLQWcDgw", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pandemic-planning-july-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-20", + "claim_text": "We didn't just go there. This wasn't like it started right away. We went there after 51 days. We said, We can't let that happen anymore. But these are anarchists. And the politicians out there, yes, they're weak, but they're afraid of these people. They're actually afraid of these people. And that's why they say, We don't want the federal government helping." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4289, + "raw_confidence": 0.5711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Well they are coming back right now and as you know we made a big deal with Saudi Arabia and Russia and saving 10 million barrels a day each and that knocked it out and now you're back to about $41 a barrel and we worked hard on it because it looked really bleak about three months ago when this pandemic started for the oil and gas and now it's looking really good were here really almost celebrating in a sense." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2171, + "raw_confidence": 0.7829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "A lot of people are going to be hired back, ultimately they will all be hired back, plus." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I think we're going to have it really very soon. I think we're going to have not only the vaccine but the therapeutic which to me is almost and maybe even more important, and that is being developed right now we have many many companies really great labs doing it and we have a lot of choices we're already in our third set of trials so that's very advanced and great companies like Pfizer, Johnson and Johnson really the best companies so I think we're going to have something very soon before the end of the year but maybe sooner than that." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I would do it, yeah I mean if I take it first they'll say he shouldn't do it first but if I take it last they'll say he shouldn't take it last so but I will take it whenever they want me to but I would certainly take it it's going to be safe and it seems to be, looks like it's going to be very effective" + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah, well Louie is a friend of mine, he's a great guy. He's a character and he has courage but Louie is going to be fine. So he tested positive today, right? I just heard it a little while ago, but he's a great guy. He's a warrior." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So we're working on that right now Katie, its being working on that very hard I think probably we're going to have something that is going to be very good over the next week or so we want to take care of people that don't have jobs were taking care of a lot of people very important we have to do it smart but we want we very generous." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We're going to see it may go higher than that actually." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1882, + "raw_confidence": 0.8118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Well, it's an honor to be here someone said I'm the first one to be here from the White House and that's okay its a great place, a lot of friends." + }, + { + "tid": "8IYRnq_zq0w", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-katie-orth-kmid-abc-2-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Enjoy your stay. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. Please. I hope it's not too hot. But it's pretty warm. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So, we've had a big day in the stock market. Things are coming back, and they're coming back very rapidly a lot sooner than people thought. People are feeling good about our country. People are feeling good about therapeutics and possible vaccines. But we're going to go over quite a bit, and maybe at the end, we'll take some questions if we have time, if it's not too hot." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1931, + "raw_confidence": 0.8069, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Today, I signed legislation and an executive order to hold China accountable for its oppressive actions against the people of Hong Kong. The Hong Kong Autonomy Act, which I signed this afternoon, passed unanimously through Congress. This law gives my administration powerful new tools to hold responsible the individuals and the entities involved in extinguishing Hong Kong's freedom. We've all watched what happened. Not a good situation. Their freedom has been taken away. Their rights have been taken away. And with it, goes Hong Kong, in my opinion, because it will no longer be able to compete with free markets." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4237, + "raw_confidence": 0.5763, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Today, I also signed an executive order ending U.S. preferential treatment for Hong Kong. Hong Kong will now be treated the same as mainland China: no special privileges, no special economic treatment, and no export of sensitive technologies." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.279, + "raw_confidence": 0.721, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "In addition to that, as you know, we're placing massive tariffs and have placed very large tariffs on China first time that's ever happened to China. Billions of dollars have been paid to the United States, of which I've given quite a bit to the farmers and ranchers for our country because they were targeted. And that's been going on for three years. It's the first time anybody's ever done anything like that." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.792, + "raw_confidence": 0.792, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And prior to the plague pouring in from China, they were having the worst year, you know, in 67 years. And I don't want them to have a bad year; I want them to have a good year, but they were taking advantage of the United States for many, many years, and that's stopping." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But then they then the virus came in, and the world is a different place. But we're now getting back, and one of the reasons the market is doing so it's almost at the point that it was at prior to the plague. Almost. We're getting very close. It's a great thing. It's an amazing thing, what our people have done and what they've endured." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1547, + "raw_confidence": 0.8453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No administration has been tougher on China than this administration. We imposed historic tariffs. We stood up to China's intellectual property theft, at a level that nobody has ever come close. We confronted untrustworthy Chinese technology and telecom providers. We convinced many countries many countries and I did this myself, for the most part not to use Huawei because we think it's an unsafe security risk. It's a big security risk. I talked many countries out of using it. If they want to do business with us, they can't use it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.762, + "raw_confidence": 0.762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Just today, I believe that UK announced that they're not going to be using it. And that was up in the air for a long time, but they've decided. And you look at Italy; you look at many other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2258, + "raw_confidence": 0.7742, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And make no mistake: We hold China fully responsible for concealing the virus and unleashing it upon the world. They could've stopped it. They should've stopped it. It would've been very easy to do at the source when it happened." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "In contrast, Joe Biden's entire career has been a gift to the Chinese Communist Party and to the calamity of of errors that they've made. They made so many errors. And it's been devastating for the American worker. China has taken out hundreds of billions of dollars a year from our country. And we rebuilt China. I give them all the credit in the world. I don't give the credit for the people that used to stand here, because they allowed this to happen where hundreds of billions of dollars were taken out of the United States Treasury in order to rebuild China." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "There's no company and no country in the world no country in the world has ever ripped off the United States like the incredible job that they did on this country and the people that ran it. Possibly, it's one of the reasons certainly, it's one of the very big reasons trade and things related to trade that I got elected in the first place. I've been talking about it for a long time, along with many other subjects, frankly." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.788, + "raw_confidence": 0.788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Biden personally led the effort to give China permanent, most-favored nation status, which is a tremendous advantage for a country to have. Few countries have it. But the United States doesn't have it. Never did. Probably never even asked for it, because they didn't know what they were doing." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.191, + "raw_confidence": 0.809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "As Vice President, Biden was a leading advocate of the Paris Climate Accord, which was unbelievably expensive to our country. It would've crushed American manufacturers while allowing China to pollute pollute the atmosphere with impunity. Yet one more gift from Biden to the Chinese Communist Party." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3579, + "raw_confidence": 0.6421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They took all of the advantage away from us. They took everything away. They don't have oil. We would've had to close up tremendous amounts of our energy to qualify, eventually, not too far into the future. We would've had to do things that would have been unbelievably destructive to our country, including the possible closing of 25 percent of our businesses. Think of that. And it was going to cost us hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars for the privilege of being involved in the Paris Climate Accord." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7524, + "raw_confidence": 0.7524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And you just have to look at what took place this year in Paris and France, where money was being sent to countries all over the world, and the people of France didn't want to take it, and they didn't, and they did a lot of rioting. They had their taxes raised. We would have had to raise our taxes. And it was a disaster. I've been given a lot of credit for what I did there. It took a certain amount of courage, I guess, because it sounds so nice the Paris Climate Accord but it wasn't good for us at all." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.722, + "raw_confidence": 0.722, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "America lost nearly 10,000 factories while Joe Biden was Vice President. Think of that: 10,000 factories. He wrote something today, and he made a statement today that I wrote down. It's pretty accurate." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5404, + "raw_confidence": 0.5404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So Biden was here for 47 years. Eight years the last eight years, not long ago as Vice President, he said, One in five miles of our highways are still in poor condition. Well, we're doing a good job in highways, but why didn't he fix them three years ago? Why didn't he fix them?" + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6211, + "raw_confidence": 0.6211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Tens of thousands of bridges are in disrepair and on the verge of collapse. Well, it's probably not a right number, but we have bridges that should have been fixed. Why didn't he fix them? He was there for eight years with President Obama. Why didn't they fix them? Tens of thousands of bridges. This is what he wrote: High-speed broadband. We want high-speed... Well why didn't he get it? Three years ago it's not a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And he didn't do any of the things, but now he says he's going to be President, and, as President, he's going to do all the things that he didn't do. He never did never did anything, except make very bad decisions, especially on foreign policy." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now the Democrat Party is calling for defunding of our military. Think of that: defunding. They want to defund our military when China is building a massive military. They're building a massive military, and Biden wants to defund our military. And the world needs American strength right now more than ever, and we've got it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5552, + "raw_confidence": 0.5552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We've we've got now, soon as it all this equipment comes in, all made in the USA we've got the newest, most incredible weapons anywhere in the world. We have the best tanks, the best ships, the best missiles, rockets. We have the best of everything. We have the best fighter jets the F-35, the F-18. All of these assets are being built. Tankers incredible tankers. Bombers. Hope we don't have to use them, but we have the most incredible military." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6339, + "raw_confidence": 0.6339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "When I came in, the military was totally depleted. It was it was at a level that was just absolutely incredible. And you know the statements. I made the statements before I told you what generals told me about our military. And I'll make them again. If somebody needs them, we'll give them to you. Very well documented." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4375, + "raw_confidence": 0.5625, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "As Vice President, Biden opposed tariffs, and he was standing up for China. He didn't want to do anything to disrupt the relationship with China, even though China was taking us to the cleaners. He opposed my very strict travel ban on Chinese nationals to stop the spread of the China virus. He was totally against it. Xenophobic, he called me. Xenophobic. A month later, he admitted I was right." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1958, + "raw_confidence": 0.8042, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We would've had thousands of people additionally die if we let people come in from heavily-infected China. But we stopped it; we did a travel ban in January. Nancy Pelosi was dancing on the streets of Chinatown in San Francisco a month later, and even later than that, and others too. They all thought what I did was a terrible mistake." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We would have lost in fact, Dr. Fauci said you would've lost thousands of additional people if President Trump had to do that. And I was a crowd of one, because even experts didn't want to do it. They thought it was a mistake. And then I did Europe when I started seeing what was going on in Italy and Spain and France and other countries in Europe. I did a ban on people coming in from Europe. That would have been disastrous for our country also." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7523, + "raw_confidence": 0.7523, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And we saved tens of thousands of lives, but we actually saved millions of lives by closing by closing up, we saved millions, potentially millions of lives. Could be a number that we're actually working on but it could be 2- to 3 million lives. So we're at 135,000, which is terrible; one is too much. But we would've had millions of people dead from this curse that came at us." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But we did what we had to do, and now we'll put out the flames as it as it happens. We have to get the schools open. We have to get everything open. A lot of people don't want to do that for political reasons, not for other reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2509, + "raw_confidence": 0.7491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But if we had listened to Joe Biden, hundreds of thousands of additional lives would have been lost. And if you look at the job he did on swine flu I looked at a poll they have polls on everything nowadays and he they got very bad marks on the job they did on the swine flu, H1N1. He calls it N1H1. H1N1. He got very poor marks from Gallup on the job they did on swine flu. And they stopped, very early on, testing. They totally stopped it. They just said, Stop." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.497, + "raw_confidence": 0.503, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And, frankly, if we didn't test, you wouldn't have all the headlines because we're showing cases. And we have just about the lowest mortality rate. But if we did think of this: If we didn't do testing instead of testing over 40 million people, if we did half the testing, we would have half the cases. If we did another you cut that in half, we would have, yet again, half of that." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We now make ventilators for the world. We had very few ventilators. There wasn't one person in any hospital anywhere in this country that needed a ventilator that didn't get it. And that was because we mobilized to a level using the Purchasing Act, in some cases we mobilized to a level that nobody thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Nothing has happened like that since World War Two. Our task force has done a great job. Mike Pence worked so hard and gets so little credit. Sad to see that, actually. But he works so hard, and gets so little credit. The governors would tell us we'd be on the phone with 50 different governors; they'd all tell us what a great job Great job. And then they'll go to the media and say, Well, they didn't do such a good job. Well, we did a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7752, + "raw_confidence": 0.7752, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We made a lot of governors look fantastic. We did in New York what we did in New York was one of the most incredible things: 2,800 beds in Javits Center, but the governor used very few of them, unfortunately. Then we moved in our great hospital ships one of our two great. We moved one also to Los Angeles." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And we could have used that for our senior citizens. We could have used it for other people. They could have used it instead of sending our seniors back into nursing homes that were infected, where you lost thousands of people. Thousands of people in New York died because of poor management by the governor. And it's a very sad thing to see and very sad to watch and very sad to look at those statistics." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1918, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But we have we have an incredible Javits Center that we built with thousands of beds. I think it was 2,800, all ready to go. And they could have sent people there or they could have sent senior citizens there instead of sending them into the nursing homes. And after all of that work and getting it done, the Army Corps of Engineers I mean, the job they did was incredible. They built it in a matter of days." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7907, + "raw_confidence": 0.7907, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "When it was all completed FEMA, everybody was there doctors. We ended up getting doctors. They said, We can't man it. I said, So we'll man it and woman it. And that's what we did. We brought in doctors, nurses, everything. We're all set. We said, Where are the people? They didn't send the people. Very few people came in. They could have sent them into the Javits Center. They could have sent them to the hospital ship, which was virtually unused, but we were there." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2214, + "raw_confidence": 0.7786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "By contrast, my administration acted very early to ban travel from China, from Europe, saving all of these lives. Incredible. And I want everyone to know, I want every citizen know that we're using the full power of the federal government to fight the China virus and to keep our people safe." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We're also working with many other countries on the vaccine. Many countries are working with us. We're unleashing our nation's scientific genius to kill the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7586, + "raw_confidence": 0.7586, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden didn't just side with China on the virus he did; he called me, again, xenophobic. That's what he said. You all heard it many times. He described the rise of China as, quote, a very positive development. It's not a positive development not for us, it's not. He said that the idea that China is our competition is really bizarre. He's really bizarre." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7241, + "raw_confidence": 0.7241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "He said China is not a problem. No, nobody's ripped us off more than China over the last 25, 30 years. Nobody close. And he says China is not a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1958, + "raw_confidence": 0.8042, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now he takes it all back now. Now he wants to be Mr. Tough Guy. But for years 47 years he never came out against China, never said anything bad. Just the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7696, + "raw_confidence": 0.7696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "His son walked out with $1.5 billion of money to invest, where he'll make hundreds of thousands of dollars maybe millions of dollars a year. Walked out with $1.5 billion. I asked one of the biggest people on Wall Street maybe the biggest Is that possible? He said, No. He's never seen it. They don't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2095, + "raw_confidence": 0.7905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But Hunter where's Hunter? Where is Hunter, by the way? Hunter Biden walked out with 1.5 billion. In Ukraine, he got $83,000 a month and, I guess, an up-front payment of $3 million. So he went from not having a job to getting $83,000 a month, with a lot of money paid upfront to work for Burisma. And you all know about Burisma, but nothing happens. Nobody cares. And he was unemployed, as you know. He was unfortunately forced to leave the military. He was forced to leave. Didn't have a job, and all of a sudden, he's making a fortune. But nobody talks about that." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Indeed, Biden expressed more fawning praise about China on an ordinary day than about America on the Fourth of July. The last Independence Day, Biden attacked the United States and said we had, quote, never lived up to the ideals of our fathers, our forefathers, or our Founding Fathers those founding ideals. And yet, he enthusiastically stated that China is a great nation and we should hope for its continued expansion." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, we all wish well to China, but what China has unleashed on the world, it's it's hard to even fathom. I see people now, friends of mine they walk up, they want to say hello, and they have to keep their distance, and they're all covered up, like you're all covered up, with facemasks. It's a different world, but we're coming out on top." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Biden sides with China over America time and time again. And he said, on the Fourth of July, American history is no fairy tale. And yet, blindly celebrates China, saying, few... nations in history have come so far, so fast. He's so proud of them. He's so proud of them." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7964, + "raw_confidence": 0.7964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now Joe Biden is pushing a platform that would demolish the U.S. economy totally demolish it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2047, + "raw_confidence": 0.7953, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So we built the greatest economy in the history of our country greatest in the history of the world. That was a few months ago. Best unemployment numbers ever. Best for African American, Asian American, Hispanic American. Best for women. Best for everybody. Best for young people that didn't have a high school diploma, didn't have a college diploma. If they had a diploma, they were really in good shape. We built the greatest-ever stock market, highest ever in history. We had 143 days of all-time stock market highs in just less than three and a half years." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And we had to close it down because we did the right thing by doing that. As I said, we saved millions of lives. But China was saying, This is incredible what's going on. China was, for the first time, respecting the United States. And now they want to do something that's much different: Joe Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1998, + "raw_confidence": 0.8002, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Today, Joe Biden gave a speech in which he said that the core of his economic agenda is a hard-left crusade against American energy. He wants to kill American energy. He wants to reenter the unfair, one-sided Paris Climate Accord which will destroy us at the expense of many other nations who benefit. It was actually drawn, in my opinion, to take advantage of the United States, just like so many other deals that are done to take advantage of the fools running the United States. But this would do nothing for the environment, but would cripple American industry while greatly helping China." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2, + "raw_confidence": 0.8, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "He wants to impose massive energy taxes and job-crushing mandates to eliminate carbon from the United States economy let him define the word carbon, because he won't be able to obliterating American oil, clean coal, natural gas, and the natural energy resources that supply supply countless American jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6534, + "raw_confidence": 0.6534, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden put AOC, a young woman not talented, in many ways in charge of his energy plan and the environment. Essentially, her and Bernie Sanders who ran a lot of times for President, never made it. Good base, but that's about it. In other words, he wants to impose the Green New Deal on our country." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7692, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "When I first saw the Green New Deal, I thought it was a joke. I said, This will never go anywhere. Now they're trying to impose it. This will destroy our country and make us noncompetitive with other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2152, + "raw_confidence": 0.7848, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Don't forget we're in competition with China, and with many other countries throughout the world. We're in tremendous economic competition, including Europe, which has never treated us well. The European Union was formed in order to take advantage of the United States. They formed, and they take advantage of the United States. And I know that, and they know I know that, but other Presidents had no idea." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2014, + "raw_confidence": 0.7986, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Last week, Joe Biden released his unity platform, developed with socialist Bernie Sanders, describing what he would do if elected President. The Biden-Sanders agenda is agenda is the most extreme platform of any major party nominee, by far, in American history. I think it's worse than, actually, Bernie's platform; it's gone so far right. And he's doing that because he's begging for their vote." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But one of the things I just asked my people to do is just draw up for me, just quickly, some of the things that we've been hearing about over the last couple of weeks. And these are actual key elements of the Biden-Sanders unity platform:" + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7997, + "raw_confidence": 0.7997, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Abolish immigration detention. No more detention. You come in here illegally, no more detention." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.789, + "raw_confidence": 0.789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Stop all deportation. So if we get a MS-13 gang member, which we've taken out of our country by the thousands brought them back to Honduras, Guatemala can't do that anymore El Salvador. Can't do that anymore. Stop all deportations. So in other words, we'll take all of these people many of whom are in prison for rape, murder, lots of other things." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7373, + "raw_confidence": 0.7373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "End prosecution of illegal border crossers. Oh, okay, they come in illegally, and we have to stop the whole process." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7929, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Support the deadly sanctuary cities where many of these people are protected better than the American citizen is protected." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3779, + "raw_confidence": 0.6221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Incentivize illegal-alien child smuggling. Give it an incentive. Because if you look at what they're saying, that's exactly what they do: incentivize illegal-alien child smuggling. They're incentivized by what this plan calls for." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7838, + "raw_confidence": 0.7838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Expand asylum for all new illegal aliens. How about that one? All new illegal aliens, expand asylum." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7698, + "raw_confidence": 0.7698, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Cancel all asylum cooperation agreements in the Western Hemisphere. Well, we have agreements with Honduras, Guatemala, with El Salvador. We have great agreements, where, when Biden and Obama used to bring killers out, they would say, Don't bring them back to our country. We don't want them. Well, we have to. We don't want them; they wouldn't take them. Now, with us, they take them. Someday I'll tell you why. Someday I'll tell you why. But they take them, and they take them very gladly." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3559, + "raw_confidence": 0.6441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They used to bring them out and they wouldn't even let the airplanes land if they brought them back by airplanes. They wouldn't let the buses into their country. They said, We don't want them. I said, No, but they entered our country illegally. And they're murderers; they're killers, in some cases. And they said, Nope, we don't want them. They'd turn the bus around, they'd turn the plane around, and they'd land in the United States, and who knows what happened to them, but it wasn't good." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3391, + "raw_confidence": 0.6609, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Taxpayer-funded lawyers will be given to all illegal aliens. So we're going to pay now for the lawyers' lobby. And we're going to give all illegal aliens taxpayer-funded lawyers. How does that sound? Pretty good? In other words: Come in here illegally. We're going to give you a free legal advice. We'll take you up to the Supreme Court as much as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2007, + "raw_confidence": 0.7993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Abolish immigration enforcement against illegal workers. Think of that: Abolish immigration enforcement. They're going to abolish immigration enforcement. Well, basically, as you know, what they're going to do is they're going to rip down the wall. They're taking it down. They want to take down the wall, which we fought hard for: up to 259 miles right now of great, powerful wall that's really working because, if you look at the numbers, in addition to the fact that Mexico, for various reasons, has 27,000 soldiers on our southern border to keep people out of our country and I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.524, + "raw_confidence": 0.524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We had a great meeting last week with the President of Mexico. Great guy. Friend of mine become a friend of mine. A lot of people thought that couldn't happen because we're very opposite, in terms of our views, maybe even in terms of our temperament. But he's a great guy, and he's a friend of mine, and they've been terrific. Mexico has been terrific. Twenty-seven thousand soldiers on our border Mexican soldiers. And we have great, great numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7711, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We got rid of so many different things: Catch and release is gone. So many different things have taken place. We used to catch them, take their name, and release them into our country. We don't do that anymore. We now release them back where they came from. Sometimes we'll bring them back to their country." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8077, + "raw_confidence": 0.8077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Grant work permits for illegal aliens. So if you come in illegally, you get a work permit. People that live here don't get work permits, in many cases." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7075, + "raw_confidence": 0.7075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Provide taxpayer subsidies and welfare for illegal aliens and new immigrants. So we want to provide taxpayer subsidies and welfare for people that come into our country illegally illegal immigrants. They want government healthcare for all illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2009, + "raw_confidence": 0.7991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "This is part of their plan. I'm not making this up. This is all down in their plan from last week. And this is good, compared to what I heard today." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2974, + "raw_confidence": 0.7026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Federal Student Aid and free community college for illegal aliens. What do you think about that? Federal Student Aid and free community college. We're going to have every person in the world pouring into our country from all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And by the way, the wall was so timely, because it stopped people coming in from heavily infected areas of Mexico. If we had that, we would be in trouble like you wouldn't believe. You wouldn't believe." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.779, + "raw_confidence": 0.779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And remember, cases is different than deaths. And cases we give you, because our testing is the best in the world. And by the way, by far, the most: 45 million. Find out which country tested 45 million people. If China, if Russia, if India tested 45 million people or if they did tests like we did, check out how many cases they'd have." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But it's still we've done a great job; get no credit for it. And I don't want the credit. I want the people that have done this great job the people that have done such an incredible job on building the ventilators and doing the testing and building a testing platform that's been amazing. We have many platforms. Many companies have come up with different forms of tests. When we started, there was no such thing." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2323, + "raw_confidence": 0.7677, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Sign new immigrants up for welfare immediately. This is Joe Biden. So they walk off, and they come in, and they put a foot into our land, and we sign up new immigrants up for welfare. We sign them up immediately. They get welfare benefits. United States citizens don't get what they're looking to give illegal immigrants. Think of that: sign up it's hard to believe I'm even reading that new immigrants for welfare immediately. Not to mention the cost of this, which is incalculable. The cost of this is so crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2054, + "raw_confidence": 0.7946, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "End requirement for immigrants' self-sufficiency and maximize their welfare. Now, this is us writing this. Who's not coming to the United States? Every person from South America is going to pour in and every person from other countries, they're going to be pouring in. End requirement think of that for immigrant self-sufficiency and, remember, to maximize welfare. So we're giving them maximum." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7937, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Then, we have massively expand immigration during a global pandemic, taking jobs from unemployed Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So, listen to this: End all travel bans. He's talking about the ban that I won that everybody said I didn't win. They said I didn't win because in the lower court we lost. And we lost in the Appellate Division, and then we won in the Supreme Court. So they said, He lost. And they're right, at the lower level. But, in the meantime, we won in the Supreme Court. So it's in effect, but they didn't say that. They said, He lost, which again, is fake news, but that's the way they do it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2369, + "raw_confidence": 0.7631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So, end all travel bans, including from jihadist regions. They specified that." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1984, + "raw_confidence": 0.8016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Grant mass amnesty. Everybody gets amnesty. Mass amnesty. Think of that. And this says: Create a roadmap to citizenship for massive, massive numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And we're not talking about DACA, because I'm going to take care of DACA much better than the Democrats did. The Democrats had their chance, and they blew it. But we're going to take care of DACA because I'm going to be doing, in the not-too-distant future, pretty soon I'm going to be signing a new immigration action very, very big merit-based immigration action that, based on the DACA decision, I'll be able to do." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Vastly expand low-skilled immigration to the United States. So they want a lot of people come in with low skills; I like merit. Think of that: Vastly expand low-skilled immigration to the United States. These are the things that are in the plan. This is Biden. Biden has gone radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7939, + "raw_confidence": 0.7939, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Increase refugee admissions by 700 percent. Huh. That's a lot: by 700 percent. Nobody has ever heard of such a thing. Increase refugee admissions by 700 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4675, + "raw_confidence": 0.5325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Abolish law enforcement as we know it. I think the police do an incredible job in this country. And you're going to have a rogue, terrible cop, on occasion, like you do in any industry, in any business, in any profession. But I think they do an incredible job. Abolish law enforcement as we know it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7543, + "raw_confidence": 0.7543, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "End cash bail. No bail. Just, we let you right out. Look at what's happened to New York: Crime is up, shootings are up at numbers that nobody's ever seen before. Look at Chicago. What a disaster. And we're waiting for them to call us because we're all set to go. We have the FBI. We have Homeland Security. We have everybody ready to go. We have the National Guard. They're all ready to go. End cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals onto our streets. Cash bail. New York just did that. Other places have done it. They haven't turned out to good." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7498, + "raw_confidence": 0.7498, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Abolish completely the death penalty. And I know there's a lot of debate on the death penalty, and there has been for a long time, but sometimes you use the death penalty, depending on the crime. You know what happened today with regard to the death penalty." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4381, + "raw_confidence": 0.5619, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Appoint social justice prosecutors in order to free violent criminals. So, they want to appoint social justice prosecutors to free violent criminals." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "End mandatory minimums. And that's by empowering judges to determine appropriate sentences by fighting to repeal mandatory minimums at the federal level and give states incentives to repeal their mandatory minimums." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We could go on for days. Incentivize prison closure. So they want to close our prisons. They now want to abolish" + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2287, + "raw_confidence": 0.7713, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "they want to abolish our police departments. They want to abolish our prisons, I guess. Incentivize jail and prison closures as populations decline." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Ensure the resources saved are invested directly into those communities. So they want to close them, rather than have them for some very bad people people that are not going to behave when they get out. You see that in New York; they allowed a lot of criminals out, and those criminals are causing havoc. And then they got rid of their incredible and legendary crime squad. And bad things are happening in New York. Bad things are happening. I love New York. I hate to see what's going on." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7952, + "raw_confidence": 0.7952, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Free federal housing for former inmates. So, federal housing now can go to inmates former inmates." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2234, + "raw_confidence": 0.7766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Rejoin Paris Climate Accord, and seek an even higher level of restrictions. Oh, I didn't notice that. Oh, I see. So they want to rejoin the Paris Climate Accord, and they want to seek an even higher level of restraint. In other words, make it worse than it was." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4839, + "raw_confidence": 0.5161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Mandate net-zero carbon emissions for homes, offices, and all new buildings by 2030. That basically means no windows, no nothing. It's very hard to do. I tell people when they want to go into some of these buildings, How are your eyes? Because they won't be good in five years. And I hope you don't mind cold office space in the winter and warm office space in the summer, because your air conditioning is not the same as the good old days." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.799, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Mandate zero carbon emissions from power plants by 2035. Zero. We're talking about zero. Nothing can go in the air." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Mandate net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. And I believe he's changing that. He's bringing it down. He wants no petroleum product. He wants no oil or gas. I don't think Texas is going to do too well. They're going to get rid of about 7 million jobs if you go by the Biden plan. I don't think that Oklahoma, North Dakota, Pennsylvania are going to be too happy with that and many other states Ohio." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7711, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Mandate all 500,000 school buses and all 3 million government vehicles be changed to zero-emission vehicles within five years. I've heard it worse than that." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3036, + "raw_confidence": 0.6964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Here's a bad one a really bad one: End school choice. There is nothing that the African American community wants more than school choice. And mothers and fathers are going to be very happy to see him be defeated just on that alone: End school choice. So Joe Bi- Joe Biden wants to end school choice." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8077, + "raw_confidence": 0.8077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "End tax credit scholarships serving disadvantaged students in 26 states." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.797, + "raw_confidence": 0.797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Oppose 14 million Americans with education savings accounts and get rid of school choice, having to do with school choice." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5957, + "raw_confidence": 0.5957, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Eliminate school choice in Washington, D.C. You know what they've done in Washington. They have some incredible example right here. Example I know of one example. I think they have a number of them, but one is incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.795, + "raw_confidence": 0.795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Abolish all charter schools. Charter schools are doing great." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3124, + "raw_confidence": 0.6876, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Ban funding for charter schools in poor neighborhoods. We don't want charter schools in poor neighborhoods. Well, that's not fair." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Abolish in the suburbs, you're going to abolish the suburbs with this. Enforce Obama-Biden's radical AFFH that's the AFFH regulation that threatens to strip localities of federal affordable housing funds unless they change their zoning laws to fit the federal government's demands. So what you have I mean, I've been watching this for years in Westchester, coming from New York. They want low-income housing built in a neighborhood." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3099, + "raw_confidence": 0.6901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm ending that rule. I'm taking it out, so I spoke with Ben Carson the other day. We're going to be taking it out. I've watched that whole thing go, and now they want to make it twice as bad in the suburbs in the suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Mothers aren't happy about that. Fathers aren't happy about that. They worked hard to buy a house, and now they're going to watch the housing values drop like a rock, and that has happened. It dropped like a rock. So we're not going to do that; we're going to do the exact opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Probably, there has never been a time and this is just a few this is it's much worse than that. We did this very quickly. It's probably never been a time when candidates are so different. We want law and order; they don't want law and order. We want strong closed borders with people able to come in through merit, through a legal process; they don't want to have any borders at all." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7837, + "raw_confidence": 0.7837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They're going to rip down the wall. It was hard to get that built. And now it's almost completed. It'll be completed by a little after the end of the year, and they want to rip it down. And it's had such an impact. It's incredible. It stops trafficking human trafficking of women and children, but women, mostly." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7971, + "raw_confidence": 0.7971, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Human trafficking: one of the worst things ever all at a level that has never been at because of the Internet. You wouldn't think you think of it as an ancient statement. You wouldn't think that's possible today, but it's human trafficking of women and children. And they want to let that continue." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7787, + "raw_confidence": 0.7787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "The wall has stopped it so much because they will go over to a section where there aren't people not an entry point and they'll make a left into the United States. They're on their way. They can't do that anymore. We have a 30-foot wall that goes 6 feet into the ground. It stops a lot of the tunneling because they're pretty good at tunnels. But we watch the tunnels, and we have equipment for that. But you can't make a left anymore and come into the United States loaded up with human traffic." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1806, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So they want to take down the wall. They want to have open borders. Think of open borders today though, with the pandemic. I mean, the timing is sort of interesting, but with the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So there's never been a time when two candidates were so different. I mean, I've seen races where it's like the same exact platforms. I'm even talking about essentially Democrat, Republican. There's not that much difference. There's a little difference, but there's not much. Choose one because you like the way they look, you like the way they sound, you like the way they talk. You like something about one, and you don't like the other. But there's you know, there's never been a difference." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3087, + "raw_confidence": 0.6913, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now, it could be removed at some point. You go through a process, a legal process, go through Congress, whatever. I understand that. At the same time, some people like these statues and monuments. But it can be removed, but you have to go through a legal process." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2974, + "raw_confidence": 0.7026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So they were going to have 20- to 25,000 people that night, and nobody showed up. Nobody. You know that because you were disappointed to see that. The next night, I believe, 22 people showed up. They said, We're going to make it Friday night instead, and 22 people showed up. Four were actually arrested because we have pictures of them knocking down all the statues. So they're in jail now." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So, there has never been an election where we've had this kind of difference. We want strong borders. Without borders you've heard me say it 1,000 times without borders, you don't have a country. They don't want to have borders; they want to have open borders. It's radical left, and it'll destroy our country." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7614, + "raw_confidence": 0.7614, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Twenty years ago, Venezuela was a very rich country one of the richest, one of the richest anywhere. Per capita, one of the richest. Tremendous oil reserves. Now they don't have water. They don't have food. They don't have medicine. We do everything we can to take care of the people, but they have nothing. And that's exactly the ideology that you have going over here. If I wasn't there to stop it, if I wasn't here to say, No way, that's not going to happen, we'd be in some mess. We'd be in some mess." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And Pelosi and Schumer and Bernie and Joe, they'll never stop it. They don't have the power, the strength to stop it. It's beyond them. But we do." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2554, + "raw_confidence": 0.7446, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So there's never been a time like this, where you've had an election of people so different." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Okay, a couple of questions. Yeah, please, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, I don't. I think we have a really good poll numbers. They're not suppression polls; they're real polls. You look at the Intracostal in Florida. You look at the lakes. You see thousands of boats with Trump signs, American signs. You've got the Trump-Pence sign all over. You look at what's going on. You look at bikers, for miles and miles, riding up highways proudly with their signs." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7941, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I have look, we won a race where it was the same thing: 2016. We had polls that were fake. They turned out to be fake. Not all a couple of them got it right. Three of them, to be exact. Three of them. One of them was unsuspecting, but they got it right. They were very proud of it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5026, + "raw_confidence": 0.5026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But we had, in 2016, something even more so, but we got in, and we had 306 to, I guess, 223, which was a tremendous margin of difference. You remember, they all said, He cannot get to 270." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7916, + "raw_confidence": 0.7916, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I went to Maine a number of times, where we just freed up lobster fishing and fishing. Just they took away 5,000 square miles from Maine. I just opened it up. And I just got rid of tariffs in China. And we're working on European Union, which charge our fishermen tariffs. And I said, You're not going to do that. So we freed it up for Maine." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6255, + "raw_confidence": 0.6255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But if you take a look, we went up there recently. There were crowds. Thousands of people lined up going over to a factory where we were opening up for we're making swabs. A beautiful, big, new factory, making swabs." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.215, + "raw_confidence": 0.785, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I think we're doing very well in the polls. And I think you have a silent majority the likes of which this country has never seen before. This is a very important election. We've done a great job. We had to turn it off, as I said. Turn it off. And now we've started it again." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7875, + "raw_confidence": 0.7875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "As you know, they announced two weeks ago, record job numbers: almost 5 million people. And that beat the last month, which was also a record: 2.8 million people. Nobody's ever done what we've done, and now we're doing it twice." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And I think by Election Day, you're going to see some incredible numbers. The third quarter is going to be really good. Fourth quarter is going to be great. But next year is going to be one of the best economic years. So hopefully, I'll be able to be the President where we say, Look at the great job I did." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I think, great. I think we have a great chance. I think we're going to have a lot of people show up. I'm very worried about mail-in voting because I think it's subject to tremendous fraud and being rigged. You see that Paterson, New Jersey, where I believe it was 20 percent of the vote was fraudulent. It was all sorts of things happened. I understand a a mailman was recently indicted someplace for playing games with the mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7541, + "raw_confidence": 0.7541, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You'll have tremendous fraud if you do these mail-in ballots. Now, absentee ballots are okay, because absentee ballots you have to get applications. You have to go through a process. If I'm here and I vote in Florida, you get an absentee ballot, but you have to go through a process. Absentee ballots are great." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6985, + "raw_confidence": 0.6985, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But mail-in voting where a governor mails millions of ballots to people all over the state California millions and millions of ballots, as an example and then they come back; they don't come back. Who got them? Did you forget to send them to a Republican area or a Democrat area, I guess you could say?" + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7588, + "raw_confidence": 0.7588, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But if you take a look at all of the unbelievable fraud that's been involved with mail-in voting over the last even a short period of while but look at Paterson, New Jersey. It was a massive error and a massive miscalculation, and there was incredible fraud. Look at the city council, what's happened to it. This is one place, but you have many places, and they're all over." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, I haven't spoken to him. No, I don't I have no plan to speak to him." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, I I wish her the best. I hope she's better. I didn't hear that, actually. She was just hospitalized? No, that's too bad. No, I wish her the best." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "She's actually given me some good rulings. Okay? So you know that, right? People were surprised. No, I wish her the absolute best." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6252, + "raw_confidence": 0.6252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, we've banned for Europe, and at some point that'll come off. And we're dealing with them all the time. The relationship is very good, they just don't treat us very well on trade. They are they have been very unfair to us over many, many decades. And we're doing that. It's very easy to solve. I was all set to solve it actually, and then we got hit with the plague." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7422, + "raw_confidence": 0.7422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But we have a travel ban on various countries, and that travel ban remains until such time as we say it doesn't remain." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We want our country safe. We don't unlike Biden, we don't want to have criminals pouring into our country. We don't want to have open borders. We're not going to have that. And we want to take care of our police. We want to actually fund our police, not defund them. And we're not going to abolish our police. And we're not going to make our military small and weak, because probably or, at least, at top of the level, we need our military right now." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Okay, look, my policy is America First. We've lost hundreds of billions of dollars a year with China and many other countries. And what we're doing is just handing everybody everything. It's just a sad I've watched it, I've looked at it." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8091, + "raw_confidence": 0.8091, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We did the U.S.-Mexico- you saw that, USMCA. We made a very fair deal on trade. We had the worst deal ever, right? You know that. We had the worst deal ever, and it replaced that; it replaced that horrible NAFTA deal. That was one of the worst trade deals ever made." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7952, + "raw_confidence": 0.7952, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you, the only deal that might be worse is the WTO World Trade Organization. May be worse." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 166, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Yes, and you'll see more coming. This was a very important bill that we signed. But you're going to see more coming over the next short period of time. But, yes, we don't want them investing in Chinese military companies. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, you have a lot of actions we can take, including the including the increase. You know, right now people don't know: China is paying a lot of tariffs. We made a China deal, and they bought just I think the third-highest amount of corn ever in our in world history. They just bought from us the highest amount, which is great for our farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But I view it differently than I did before I made the deal. When I made the deal, I thought this was a great deal. After what happened to us what happened to the world, coming from China I view it much differently. But we can impose massive tariffs on China if we want and other countries, if we want. And we'll see. We just want to be treated fairly. We want a level playing field. Our farmers were never treated properly by anybody, and they were targeted by China." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 169, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7958, + "raw_confidence": 0.7958, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You know, I paid our farmers $28 billion over a two-year period because they were targeted to that amount of money to that exact amount of money: $28 . It was $16 billion, and it was $12 billion $28 over a two-year period. And we gave $28 billion to our farmers. That's why they're all here." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 170, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And now they're doing very well. Our farmers are doing very well because we made really great trade deals. USMCA just kicked in. The China deal they're buying a lot. They are buying a lot. Yeah, we'll say that: They're buying a lot. A lot of people ask, How are they doing on the trade deal? They're buying a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 171, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank everybody and we'll be having these conferences again." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 172, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I we're going to be signing an immigration act very soon; it's going to be based on merit. It's going to be very strong. We're going to work on DACA because we want to make people happy. And I'll tell you, even conservative Republicans want to see something happen with DACA." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 173, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.799, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "The Democrats had their chance for three years to do something with DACA, and they always turned it down. They always turned it down. They used it as politics. I'm using it to get something done." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 174, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2159, + "raw_confidence": 0.7841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But we'll be signing a very powerful immigration act. It'll be great. It'll be merit-based. The country has tried to get it for 25 or 30 years. It'll be strong on the border, but you'll come in legally, and you'll be able to come in legally." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 175, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1851, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And very importantly, we'll be taking care of people from DACA in a very Republican way. A Republicans I've spoken to many Republicans, and some would like to leave it out, but, really, they understand that it's the right thing to do." + }, + { + "tid": "8MiiRELznlE", + "sid": 176, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-china-hong-kong-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So we're going to be taking care of DACA. We will be doing for DACA what the Democrats had a chance to do and they never did it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, and hello, Arizona. I'm thrilled to be with you and talk to you today about the critical decisions facing our country, and we have some big ones, and you know that. We've been doing really well. Numbers are looking really incredible for this comeback that we've already staged and are staging." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2882, + "raw_confidence": 0.7118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We have record-setting job growth and everything else, but we got hit by the plague from China and that set us back. We were having the best year we've ever had, the best numbers, the best stock markets, which are frankly, getting close to being the best already again. But we got hit and we're doing a really good job on that, and I think very soon, you're going to see some fantastic news in terms of vaccines and therapeutics, and just fighting it the way we've been fighting it. We built ventilators, we did all sorts of things that nobody thought frankly were possible." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.242, + "raw_confidence": 0.758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We inherited empty cupboards and it's it wasn't a good situation, but we've helped the 50 states. We've actually helped the world because we've we've made things and sent them out to the world, in particular, the ventilators where we had very few, and now we make thousands a month. So we are doing very well in terms of our economy and building it back." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And just to take a look at the option on November 3rd, that's going to be a big date for this country because the election really is a choice between our movement of American patriots. Everybody on this line, I think, is an American patriot who want to build up our country. We're proud of our country. We're proud of our heritage." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4762, + "raw_confidence": 0.5238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It's really we're very proud of our heritage and Joe Biden and the radical-left wing mobs that you see all over in some of the cities where you look at Chicago and you look at even now when you just saw what's going on and in Oregon. You take a look at what's happening there and you take a look at what's happening in so many different places that are run by Liberal Democrats and it's not a good situation, not a good situation at all." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7873, + "raw_confidence": 0.7873, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We sent people to you probably heard, to Seattle and as soon as we let the world know that we were going there, they went in and they sent their own police department finally, after a long period of time. And they gave up and they took back their city, and the same thing is happening right now in a great state, Oregon and it's it's terrible what when you look at what's happening throughout the state and you have people defending what's taking place, and we can't allow that to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So you'll see things happening in other cities, that frankly, we let the Democrats have it. But then you look at Chicago where last year last week, over the weekend, 68 people shot, 14 people died. And now, you look at they've lost control of New York. This super liberal group that's running New York, New York state, whether it's the Mayor or whether it's the Governor, Cuomo or de Blasio." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "You look at what's happening, so we're going to start getting involved. We figured let them run it. Let them do it and then we're going to have to get involved. So that's the way it is, but we've been doing a great job. We actually it's hard to believe. We have record-low crime numbers but you look at some of the states run by Democrats, run cities also run by Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It's really very, very disgraceful and we look forward to solving that problem. We have no choice but to get involved. So we have and wherever we're involved, Minneapolis as an example, they went rampant and then we had the National Guard. As soon as we send in the National Guard, everything stopped, everything stopped." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So it's great to have everybody in the fold. We're going to talk about a little bit. We would normally be doing this with a rally. We loved our rallies, but because of COVID or COVID-19, there's plenty of different names for it. You can call it a lot of different things, the China virus, call it whatever you want." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2005, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But it should have been stopped, should have never been allowed to come here. Should have never been allowed to come into our country. They could have stopped it and they didn't. It went all over the world, 188 countries are suffering and still suffering, and some very greatly but we have that under control." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1784, + "raw_confidence": 0.8216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I want to thank some of the wonderful Arizona Republicans that are fighting with us and they are really been they've been warriors. Governor Doug Ducey has been fantastic, Senator Martha McSally. I hope we're going to send her back to Washington. We can really use we need everybody we can have. Representatives Paul Gosar, Andy Biggs, David Schweikert, and Debbie Lesko." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They're tremendous people and the Head of the Arizona Republican Party, your Chair, Kelli Ward, been a friend of mine for a long time. She's a fantastic person, does a great job. She works very hard. But since by inauguration, we've been fighting for the hardworking patriots of Arizona like never before." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1947, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "You had your best year ever. You never had a year like it and you could I really could say you had your best three years. Then, we got hit but you're coming back and you're coming back strong. We've helped a lot. We've built over 250 miles of wall to stop the flow of drugs and crime, and illegal immigration and trafficking, and trafficking in women mostly and children, but women mostly." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.49, + "raw_confidence": 0.51, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And a lot of it's built already. It's 250 miles, we'll be up to we'll have it almost complete by the end of the year. This is despite the fact that the Democrats took down every barrier to I mean, they what they did to try and stop it. And in the end, we won that one and we're stopping gang members from pouring through." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6419, + "raw_confidence": 0.6419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Somebody said, you know, it's amazing we don't see the caravans anywhere. Well, the caravans aren't happening anymore. We worked with Guatemala, El Salvador, with Honduras, with Mexico. We worked with the countries and they wouldn't even take those countries, wouldn't take people back. When they caught bad, bad, a lot of bad people." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They said we're not going to take them back. We'd have planes flying around trying to land, buses trying to go back into those countries. They wouldn't take them back. Now they take them back. They had no choice, they take them back. But we've deported over 16,000 gang members, 2,000 MS-13 members. And for the first time ever, we're now prosecuting vast numbers of MS-13, and most importantly, MS-13 leaders." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And these people are really stopping we're stopping the flow of MS-13. That's a bad group, probably the worst. But we're bringing them back and I want to thank all of the members of ICE Border Patrol that worked so hard on it and to defend Arizona farmers and ranchers and workers. As you know, we officially replaced the disaster known as NAFTA, which was one of the worst trade deals." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "That was maybe the worst, although, they made a lot of them in this country. With a brand new USMCA and the USMCA is expected to create 76,000 new automotive jobs for the first time in five years and that's going to be also great. A lot of jobs are moving into Arizona, but tremendous for automotive, but great for the farmer, great for the rancher, and great for manufacturing." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.326, + "raw_confidence": 0.674, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It's been a fantastic deal and it's gone into effect, totally gone into effect and NAFTA is dead. That NAFTA was so unfair to our country. Many of you know that. Many of you were hurt by NAFTA, thousands and thousands of facilities, factories, plants closed up because of NAFTA. I was the only President to stand up to China with historic tariffs paid for by China by the way, through a devaluation of their currency." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And I was defending Arizona workers and jobs and factories against China's plunder and theft because that's what it's been. It's been 30 years of plunder and theft and nobody did anything about it, no other President. And they had a field day with President Obama and Biden. Under my administration, China will also be held fully accountable for the lies and deceit that unleashed the China virus into the world, into our country, into the world." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They could have stopped it as I said. We marshaled every power at America's disposal to defeat the virus and through Operation Warp Speed, which was something that was very successful that the fake news doesn't like writing about. We're rapidly developing therapies and vaccines, and what we did is what we've done in terms of delivery of everything." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.225, + "raw_confidence": 0.775, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Never if you think of it, never with all of the complexities of as an example, ventilators never once did anybody in our country, our entire country who needed a ventilator, not get it. We got everybody ventilators. Now, we're delivering them all over the world. Thousands were making thousands a month all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And through a lot of great research and working also with other countries, the therapies and the vaccines are going to be happening and they're going to be happening very soon. We expect to have 100 million doses of vaccine available before the end of the year and maybe much sooner than that. And therapeutically, we think we're going to be in very great shape very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Tremendous progress has been made and we're working with a lot of great nations on this, but we are we are leading the way. Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we provided nearly $9 billion so that 80,000 Arizona small businesses could continue paying their workers. We're also working now on Phase 4 with Congress, and I think, it's going to be very successful." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We're getting it through. We're getting through this bad period. And I think you're going to see a third-quarter that's going to be incredible, and next year will one of the best years we've had economically. You know, retail sales were more in June by a little bit than last June, and this is with with what we're going through with the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And a lot of states, by the way, are doing very well but we have we had some flare-ups to put it mildly, and we'll put those flare-ups out. After years of devastating budget cuts, we've rebuilt our military. It was a totally depleted military when I took over. Investing more than $2.5 trillion in new tanks and planes, ships and missiles, and what we've done with our military is amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3578, + "raw_confidence": 0.6422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And frankly, what we've done for our vets and your state is a very, very big state for our vets. What we've done with our vets is just something that's incredible. It's been years and years, they've been fighting for Veterans Choice, and I got it approved and Veterans Accountability. Now, Accountability is where you have bad people working in the VA and you couldn't get them out." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2649, + "raw_confidence": 0.7351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "You couldn't get them fired. We can now fire them. We fired about 9,000 people that have done a terrible job and they were sadists, they were thieves, and you couldn't get them out. Even if they were guilty and you caught him being guilty. But now you get them out. So Veterans Choice and Accountability, we got them both approved." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3824, + "raw_confidence": 0.6176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They've been for many, many decades people were trying to get them approved and they said it's not doable. I got them both done. We've appointed a record number of federal judges. By the end of the year, we think we're going to be up to 300 or close to 300 federal judges, which is impossible for people to even imagine." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "That will be a tremendous record, including two great new Supreme Court justices, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh. So two Supreme Court justices, that's turning out to be a very big thing. Whoever the next President is, is going to be choosing one, two, three, maybe even four Supreme Court justices. And they'll make a tremendous difference whether it's the Second Amendment or Choice or any anything you can imagine." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1919, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They'll be making tremendous and important decisions on abortion. They'll be making tremendous decisions on guns, the Second Amendment. They'll be making decisions on a lot of different things and you'll have anywhere from one to four choices. That will be it. And if you don't get your viewpoint, it's perhaps the most important thing that we'll be talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I've heard it over and over. I've always said defense and what we've done defensively and offensively, frankly, in terms of our military. But very, very important that will be the choice of judges and choice of justices for the Supreme Court. We passed the largest package of tax cuts and reform in American history, saving the average family more than $3,000 a year, including regulation cuts, which are the most cuts in regulations in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "More than any other president, whether it's four years, eight years, or in one case, more than eight years. And I'm also fighting for school choice and we believe that every parent in America should be empowered to send their child to a public-private charter, religious, or an independent school of their choice." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2374, + "raw_confidence": 0.7626, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And one thing that we have been doing and you know the pressure we've been under. We've saved your Second Amendment and we got rid of the U.S. Waters Act. If you look at that was a disgraceful situation where your land was being taken away, your job, your life was being taken away and we got rid of that." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3153, + "raw_confidence": 0.6847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We had many people up in my office when I signed and there was a lot of emotion because that was really it took your life away. So not everybody knows what that means, but the ones that were affected, including the jobs frankly. The ones that were affected really knew. The economy, America's security, and our American way of life are going to be challenged by Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And I don't even think it's Biden. I don't think Biden knows what's happening, frankly. But the people surrounding him are vicious and they want our country changed. And you see that in Portland, where we're spending a lot of a lot of time over the last few days, a lot. You'll see what's happening. Just turn on your television, you'll see what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Running away with it but this is they'd like to see this everywhere. And that's not even about drugs, which in many cases, a lot of the city's problems are drugs. That's about these are anarchists and agitators. These are bad that's a bad group of people, Antifa, and we are in there and we're fighting very strongly." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3173, + "raw_confidence": 0.6827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And we're up against radical-left politicians that would rather let these people take over their cities and we're just not allowing it to happen. But if you look, Biden, he was for NAFTA, TPP, which would have been a disaster for our businesses, especially automotive, the KORUS that's Korea was a disaster, I totally renegotiated." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2926, + "raw_confidence": 0.7074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "China's entry into the World Trade Organization, another one approved, voted for by Biden. He voted for the war in Iraq, which was a disaster. We're just about out of Iraq, very close, very few trips, and he voted for mass amnesty. And if you look at mass amnesty, you see exactly what you're getting. Now, Biden supports raising your taxes." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "He wants massive tax increases. All my life, I grew up and I said, hey, politicians they want to lower your taxes, not this group. They want massive tax increases. They want to pack your courts with the radical far-left judges. That's what we just talked about. You'll have justices and judges literally packed in your courts, totally changing our country, totally changing our way of life, and they are indoctrinating our children to hate America." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "You'll see you'll see that and we're not going to fund schools where they have this kind of hate and they preach this kind of hate. And the other thing is, they want open borders. They want open borders going right into Arizona and going right into other states where people walk right across right across that line." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7441, + "raw_confidence": 0.7441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Well, we're setting records right now at the border and I want to thank Mexico. Mexico's been great. You know it very well, 27,000 soldiers of Mexico, free. They're guarding our border and that had to do with trade and trade deal. But 27,000 Mexican soldiers are guarding our border. Very few people are coming in. We're setting records." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7902, + "raw_confidence": 0.7902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So between saving your Second Amendment and doing so many other things, and your Second Amendment has been under siege from the first day I got into office. And anybody if one of these radical-left people get in and I look forward to seeing who he chooses as a VP because one of these radical lefts, your Second Amendment is gone." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So I just want to tell you some of the key elements of the Biden-Sanders. He made a deal with Bernie Sanders, which is absolutely ridiculous, and just some of these deals for Arizona, but for any of our states are death defying. It's just crazy. The key elements of the Biden-Sanders Unity platform, abolish borders, abolish immigration detention." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Think of that. If I get somebody, no detention. Stop all deportations even for criminals, end prosecution of illegal border crossers. So we can't so we catch somebody walking through Arizona, walking right into our country, which of course, now is very hard because we have a very powerful wall, but end prosecution of illegal borders." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2059, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "By the way, I understand he wants to take down the wall. We're spending a lot of money building the finest of its kind and he wants to Biden wants to rip it down. That's what I heard, you know. It's not him, it's his handlers. Support sanctuary cities. They support sanctuary cities, which is basically supporting criminals and that's disgraceful and it's not popular anywhere, including in California." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7111, + "raw_confidence": 0.7111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Incentivize illegal alien, child smuggling, and women smuggling. They're incentivized by what these people are doing, expand asylum for all new illegal aliens. So they want to have more aliens come in, which is not what you want. They want to have taxpayer-funded lawyers at the highest level possible for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So on top of everything else, everyone's going to have their own lawyer. Abolish immigration enforcement against illegal workers, grant work permits for illegal aliens, and would with very little, if any restrictions. They want to provide taxpayer subsidies and welfare for illegal aliens and new immigrants, government healthcare for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Think of this. Everybody's going to want to come here. I mean, part of it is that everybody is going to want to come to this country, to our great country. It won't be a great country for long if they're elected. Federal student aid and free community college for illegal aliens, that's nice. That's more than we do for our own students." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to sign new immigrants up for welfare immediately and maximize all welfare payments. They want to massively expand immigration during a global pandemic. Think of that. Maximize and massively expand immigration during this global pandemic, taking jobs from unemployed Americans, end all travel bans, including those from jihadist regions." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3471, + "raw_confidence": 0.6529, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "As you know, I won the travel ban, won that in the Supreme Court. So we have a travel ban so we don't have to take people from countries that are not so good for us, OK? Grant mass amnesty mass amnesty to be granted. They want to increase refugee admission 700%, by 700%, abolish law enforcement as we know it, end cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals onto the streets, abolish the death penalty, appoint Social Justice prosecutors to free violent criminals, get rid of many of our police, and have it's just you just look." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I'm just looking at a list that's been put in front of me. This is a long agreement that Bernie Sanders made with Biden. Seek prison closures, end solitary confinement, free federal housing for former inmates, and then, they want to abolish energy, rejoin the Paris Climate Accord. I got us out because it was a rip-off." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7692, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We would have paid trillions of dollars. It was good for China. It was good for India. It was good for Russia. It was bad for the U.S. I don't know who negotiated but they didn't do a good job. They did just as bad as they did with Iran with that deal where we paid them $150 billion to do a terrible, terrible deal." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2157, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And gave them by the way, $1.8 billion in cash. Somebody will explain that someday. They want to mandate net-zero carbon emissions for homes, offices, and all new buildings by well, within a very short period of time. Now, I tell you that'll make your home unaffordable. Your electric will go up by 4 times to 5 times if that." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It'll be maybe more. They want to mandate zero-carbon emissions from power plants and mandate zero-carbon emissions period, which will make it impossible to have any form, in my opinion of energy. You couldn't even make what they want to do because the carbon emissions from the making of a windmill are so massive that you end up saving nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Abolish school choice, end school choice, abolish they want to abolish all school choice, end it. They Want to abolish charter schools. This is just never-ending. And just finally, they want to abolish educational standards and abolish what will be a the equivalent of abolishing or hurting very badly the suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6795, + "raw_confidence": 0.6795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to enforce Obama-Biden's radical AFFH regulation that threatens to strip localities of federal affordable housing funds unless they change the zoning laws to fit the federal government's demands. So the AFFH is a disaster. It's been a disaster. It's ruining the suburbs, it's destroying the suburbs, it's bringing down values of houses, and it's bringing up crime and I will be telling you." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I think maybe, for just about the first time that I'm eliminating the AFFH. People are surprised to hear that but we're eliminating. When people work so hard to live in a certain community, we shouldn't be destroying that community. And everybody, they've worked hard, all. Race, color, creed, they want to be in a neighborhood, then all of a sudden, the government comes on. They want to destroy everything that they've built." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So I'm going to be eliminating the AFFH and you're going to be seeing that over the next two weeks. So we had the greatest economy in history. We had the best job numbers. We had the best of everything, best stock market, best 401ks, and you're 401ks right now are just about back to where they were before." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2047, + "raw_confidence": 0.7953, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And if this other group gets in there, it's a single biggest difference in history between two candidates, two parties. If the other group gets in there, you're 401ks they're going maybe to nothing because we're going to go into a tailspin like you've never seen before. Again, they want to raise your taxes." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to do things that are not even thinkable. And I just want to say to the great people of Arizona State that's been backing me from the beginning and I appreciate it. I have tremendous relationships in that state. I just want to say that you really you have to go along with us because we are going to make Arizona even better." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2287, + "raw_confidence": 0.7713, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "You had the best three years you've ever had in the history of your state and you're having a good year now. You're going to have a very good year next year. I think you'll have the best year ever next year. But what we've done to the border and what we've done to everything that you need, you've really gotten." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And you're going to have something that's going to be very, very special. So I just want to thank all of the people. We got a lot of people on the line, I understand. Like, big numbers. I just want to thank all of the people on the line and those from Arizona in particular, we covered a lot of territory." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1939, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But what we've done for Arizona is something that nobody else would have been able to do. We've done more in three and a half years than any other administration in history, no administration between the tax cuts and regulation cuts and rebuilding our military, and all of the different things that we've enumerated, and we're going to do a lot more, we're going to do a lot more." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And we have to protect what we've done because as we've done them, they can take them out, whether it's Second Amendment or other things, they can destroy it very quickly. So I want to thank everybody for being on the line. It's a great honor to be talking to you. I'd love to be there for a rally. We loved our rallies in Arizona and every place else." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And until the COVID it is gone, it's a little bit tough. And frankly, some of the Democrat Governors make it impossible to do a rally anyway. They're saying you can't do political rallies and that's nice. But frankly, it's it's fine. So we're doing the tele-town halls or tele-rallies and we are getting very big crowds." + }, + { + "tid": "9COL70_vKvo", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-arizona-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you all. We're going to do a fantastic job for Arizona, and we will see you soon. We'll be out there as soon as we can. Thank you very much. Goodbye." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, Clay. It's an honor. You have a great show." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I think he's going to do a great job. He's a winner. He knows how to win. That's a big thing. He's just been a great quarterback with a great coach, it's a great combination and a great owner in Bob Kraft, frankly. He probably wanted a change. He wanted a change. I think, he had plenty of teams to go to." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Then he picked one with, from what I understand, a good offensive line and very good receivers. He looked at that closely. I think he probably had other choices where they had players. I think his biggest thing, because he wants to win, and from what I know, and I know the ownership of the team, they'll do whatever they have to." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They're fantastic people, the owners of the team that's Tom's on now. I think he's going to do well in Tampa Bay. I think he'll do well. I think he'll, I don't know why it would be a surprise, but perhaps it will be, but I think he's going to surprise a lot of people. I think he's going to do great." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, they want to open. They want to open badly. They've been working with government. I would say this. If they don't stand for the National Anthem, I hope they don't open. Other than that, I'd love to see them open. We're doing everything possible for getting them open. They can protest in other ways." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They shouldn't protest our flag or our country." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They know my feelings very well. They've been expressed. I think it's been horrible for basketball. Look at the basketball ratings. They're down to very low numbers, very, very low numbers. People are angry about it. They don't realize. They don't want, they have enough politics with guys like me. They don't need more as they're driving down, they're going up for the shot that are needed." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7683, + "raw_confidence": 0.7683, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "There was a nastiness about the NBA, the way it was done too. I think that NBA's in trouble. I think it's in big trouble, bigger trouble than they understand. Frankly, ice hockey, which is doing very well. They didn't do that. They respected, the Morays. They respected what they're supposed to be doing." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They're actually doing very well, as I understand it. I don't have much time to be watching this stuff just so you understand. It's just what I'm reading and what I'm seeing. Ice hockey was with respect. I did not like what baseball did even a little bit. Again, you have to stand for your flag. You have to respect your flag and your country." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You're making millions of dollars a year to be playing a sport. You'd be playing any way if you didn't make. They'd be playing it on the weekends. They have to respect their country. If they don't, frankly, if the NFL didn't open, I'd be very happy. If they don't stand for the flag and stand strongly, I would be very happy if they didn't open with." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.197, + "raw_confidence": 0.803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Without that and with that being said, I'd love to see them open." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I haven't noticed them sending things back at me, but I will say that I wouldn't be that surprised. Some are very nasty, very, very nasty and frankly, very dumb, but I haven't noticed that. I will say this the way they cater to China, the way they bow to China, it's a disgrace, frankly. They make a lot more money here than they do from China." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2456, + "raw_confidence": 0.7544, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We have a system that allows you to disrespect your system and that's too bad for them and too bad for them. They don't appreciate what they have here. No, what they did with China and what China did to us with the China virus and the rest of the world, by the way. I mean, the whole rest of the world. They stopped it from going in and spreading in China, but they didn't stop it from spreading in the US and in other parts of the world, including Europe, but other parts in the world, 188 countries." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I watched that whole thing with the general manager of the team. Was it Houston?" + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5525, + "raw_confidence": 0.5525, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well look, for years, Hong Kong was making a lot of money that we could have been making in the New York Stock Exchange and our great exchanges. We have the biggest exchanges. We have the great dollar. The dollar, which I've made stronger, much stronger than it used to be. I hope people recognize that in the world of sports." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1952, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Our country is in good shape and we're coming back so strong. It's incredible, when you look at the numbers that we're producing and putting up. We're coming back very strong. We've saved millions and millions of lives by closing down and restarting. I will say that with Hong Kong, we gave tremendous incentives and costs us a fortune to keep Hong Kong viable and going." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1914, + "raw_confidence": 0.8086, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Now what we've done, I've ended everything. I've ended all of that. There is no incentive whatsoever. We're not sending money through incentives back to Hong Kong. We're going to make a lot more money, because they're not going to be competitive. It will be a competitive market. Can't be with the government running it." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They're going to have a different kind of a deal. We're not participating from the standpoint of, we're not spending billions of dollars on making life comfortable with them for freedom. That was okay. We'd do that if they were free, but they're not free. It's a part when you look, I mean, take a look at a map." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's attached to China, so it's a little bit tough from certain standpoints. We will do very well by not having a good competitor. I guess it'll be a competitor, but on a much smaller scale," + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I used to have a very good relationship with him. We made a trade deal. It was a great deal for us. Look, China has ripped off our country for 30 years, like nobody ever. Nobody's ever done anything like what they've done. We had a bunch of people sitting in the office that I'm in now that allowed it to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7798, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We were losing 500 billion, 600 billion, billion, not million billion dollars a year in trade with China. The deficit was massive, probably averaged $200 or $300 billion over many years. We helped rebuild China. Look, if it wasn't for us, they wouldn't have China as you know it today. We gave so much money, so stupidly how these people allowed it to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I came in, and I charged them 25% tariffs and even more than that. I had a great relationship with President Xi. I like him, but I don't feel the same way now. Every once in a while you will say, and you've had it. You've had it very well and play. I understand. I know you. Indirectly, I know you. You have your likes and dislikes very strongly, so do I. I didn't like what took place." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "This is not trade. This is a thousand times the trade deal, what happened with all of the deaths and all of the world. I mean, the world had to shut down. It's a disgrace what happened. You look at some of these countries in Europe, which is devastated. Look at what's going on in Africa with this horrible disease." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I certainly feel differently. I had a very, very good relationship. I haven't spoken to him in a long time. It's a different, it's a much different, we have a much different relationship with China now than we did for years where they ripped us off. Then I stopped that. They were having the worst year they had in 67 years, because I charged them tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7737, + "raw_confidence": 0.7737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're making a lot of money. I was giving a lot of money to farmers. They were targeted. They were targeting farmers. I gave $28 billion. That was the amount. It came all out of China. The farmers are doing great because of it. Otherwise, they would have been all out of business. I treated them as you would do it, but I still had a good relationship." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7894, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Once the plague came in from China. I call it the plague, but once the plague came in from China, the relationship changed. No question about it. It would be hard to believe that it wouldn't change." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, first of all, the people in that sport is like incredible people, like some of the coaches, like Nick Saban and Coach O, how about Coach O?" + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You're doing a football movie, you've got to pick him as your coach, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And put him in the movie. Lou Holtz is just a fantastic guy, a friend of mine. He's been a supporter from the beginning. Just so many others, they're just great people. They want to play football. They know better than anyone else. The other thing is, and somebody who was explaining it. I had actually one of the great doctors." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3304, + "raw_confidence": 0.6696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They said, these people are so powerful and so strong and not lots of body fat, although you could take a couple of offensive lineman perhaps and dispute that, but not a lot of body fat, maybe none in some cases. They're very healthy people. People don't realize it's a tiny percentage of people that get sick." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2516, + "raw_confidence": 0.7484, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They're old. It just attacks old people, especially old people with bad heart, diabetes or some kind of a physical problem, a weight problem. Isn't that wonderful that I'm a perfect physical specimen. It's so great." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That's right. I was a, yeah. 0%, didn't I have 0%? Somebody said I had 0% body fat. Wouldn't that be nice?" + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.184, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "No, but this attacks older people very viciously, by the way. It can be if it's the wrong person. These football players are very young, strong people and physically, I mean, they're physically in extraordinary shape. They're not going to have a problem. You're not going to see people ... Could there be, could it happen?" + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But I doubt it. You're not going to see people dying. Many people get it and they have, like kids, they get it. They have the sniffles. Young kids, almost none have a serious problem with it. I mean, literally you look, I think, it said the state of California, almost nobody that's young had a, like zero had a problem with, meaning a serious problem with this disease." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I mean, they get better very quickly if they get it at all. I think football, I was making a tragic mistake. It's interesting when it opens, when I went to that game, it was incredible. I went to a couple of them. I never really did the big time college football. I went to an Ivy League school. It wasn't quite the same." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7845, + "raw_confidence": 0.7845, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "When I went to Alabama and I went to LSU and these stadiums are massive. Yeah. I have no idea about that. It's much bigger crowds than the NFL. The NFL you'll have 60. Here we had, I think 115,000 people. You go to see these games. It's brilliant football. It's great football. It's the atmosphere. There's nothing like it." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.755, + "raw_confidence": 0.755, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You can't have empty seats. If I had five empty seats, for instance, they said, when I do a rally, sir, the reason I won't do them, because you can't have one seat and then seven around that seats, sir, have to empty. Oh, that'll look great. You have one person and everything's empty around him. You can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I don't think, I'm not sure that college football can do it, but we'll have to see. Some sports. I see. I think golf has not been hurt visually by it. In fact, I think golf looks more beautiful if you want to know the truth, instead of a lot of people. Cheering's good. Certainly, I guess the income is good and all, but golf works." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You know what works? UFC works very well. UFC, I watched that the other night. They light up the stage. They light up the cage. It's really bright. They darken the arena, maybe put a little silk around it, who knows, but that works. Other sports don't work. Basketball is not working. I think basketball is not working because of the way they treated our flag and our Anthem, if you want to know the truth." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It doesn't seem to have anything. I looked at it. I couldn't watch it. Baseball, I haven't made a ruling on that yet in terms of my own, I haven't had much of a chance to watch it. Some sports are working okay. Some sports are. I thought golf looked really good for the PGA. I didn't miss the fans. I think that probably UFC was a very good one." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I am not impressed. Somebody told me hockey works okay. Those sports are meant more for fans. I really believe that. I think they're meant more for spins. I think basketball is going to need its fans back from what I'm seeing. It looks very dull." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Oh, that's so funny that you mentioned that, because I talk about it all the time. Nobody else does. I say, Look, I could have had the wall built very easy. You know we're building a wall, but it was getting it like was pulling teeth. The Democrats opposed, et cetera, et cetera. You watch that. Now it's being built." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3282, + "raw_confidence": 0.6718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're up to 277 miles. It'll be done by the end of the year, a little bit after the end of the year. It's incredible the impact it's had. Anyway, if I would have said, I don't want a wall, they would have given it to immediately. This hydroxy chloroquine, a lot of doctors swear by it, by my saying, it's good." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.426, + "raw_confidence": 0.574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I took it for two weeks. There was a little outbreak around Washington. I said, Let me have something. I took it for two weeks. It was fine. It was great. I didn't have it. I didn't get it. I had no problem whatsoever with it. It's been around for a long time. It's a malaria pill actually and lupus. It causes no problem." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "As soon as I came out with it, they said, Oh, it doesn't work. They went crazy. They still are on Twitter. It's number one all the time, which is phony. It's number one all the time and trending hydroxy, negative hydroxy stuff. If I would have said, I don't believe in hydroxy chloroquine. It's terrible with zinc and with the Z-Pak, azithromycin. If I would have said, I don't believe in it." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It doesn't work, it would be the hottest thing going right now. No, no. I say it. I say it all the time. We could say it about a lot of different things, even religion. I went, I held a Bible in front of a church that the agitators and anarchists, they call them protesters. They tried to burn down a church." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1833, + "raw_confidence": 0.8167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I held a Bible up in front of the church. They said it was a terrible thing I did. I said, I even affect religion negatively, okay? I hold a Bible in front of a church that they tried to burn down the day before, and they say, Isn't he a terrible human being? I said, I've affected religion, hydroxy, and just about anything else, maybe even your show after today, that'll be the end. You've got these great ratings going, I see, Clay." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You have a hell of a show. Maybe I will have destroyed your show. The end result, our country now is so strong. Our military has been rebuilt. Our taxes have been cut way back and regulations and what I've done for the vets, nobody's ever done, nobody's ever even come close to doing and so many other things." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8093, + "raw_confidence": 0.8093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We've done more than anybody, including even space force, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7533, + "raw_confidence": 0.7533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Space force, so we've done a lot. We have to fight hard, probably have to fight harder than a lot of other people." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I think that I would be inclined to go a different route than what he's done, doing it the way he, first of all, he roped himself into a certain group of people, which is fine." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He said that. Some people would say that men are insulted by that. Some people would say it's fine. I don't know. I will say this. People don't vote for the ... This is history. This isn't necessarily me. This is history, because we have a great Vice President. Mike Pence has been incredible, actually. He's been a great Vice President and done a really, really good job in everything I've given him." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.229, + "raw_confidence": 0.771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "People don't vote for the Vice President. They really don't. They don't vote for the Vice President. You can pick a George Washington to be your Vice President. Let's pick up Abraham Lincoln coming back from the dead. They just don't seem to vote for the Vice President. Now in this case, because Joe's got some things going on." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Let's not kid ourselves. Unless you, I don't know where your politics are, but Joe's got some pretty big things going on. This is going to be a very, very important pick. It'll be interesting to see who he chooses. I'm interested to see also. In the end, I don't think it's going to matter. Joe's going to have to stand on his own two feet." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7794, + "raw_confidence": 0.7794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're doing very well. Our poll numbers have really come up. We got hit by, we were unbeatable, and then we got hit by the China plague, by the China virus, and obviously we got hit hard. That affects a politician. Look all over the world. When you get hit, it affects a politician. We fought. We've done a really good job with that and every other thing." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Now the economy's come back so strong and my poll numbers are good. They're getting very good. I think they're going to go even much higher. People appreciate what we're doing. I don't know who he's going to pick. In theory, it doesn't matter much, but maybe with him, it probably matters much more than it normally does for the obvious reason." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I've seen them both. Michael Jordan is. Plus, he wasn't political, so people like him better." + }, + { + "tid": "9tk3OQwzpNg", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-clay-travis-fox-sports-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great, thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "A great honor to be with you today. And being here is a real a really important moment, as far as I'm concerned. My first duty as President is to protect the American people, and today I'm taking action to fulfill that sacred obligation. In recent weeks, there has been a radical movement to defund, dismantle, and dissolve our police departments." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Extreme politicians have joined this anti-police crusade and relentlessly vilified our law enforcement heroes. To look at it from any standpoint, the effort to shut down policing in their own communities has led to a shocking explosion of shootings, killings, murders, and heinous crimes of violence. This bloodshed must end." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "This bloodshed will end. Today, I'm announcing a surge of federal law enforcement into American communities plagued by violent crime. We'll work every single day to restore public safety, protect our nation's children, and bring violent perpetrators to justice. We've been doing it, and you've been seeing what's happening all around the country." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We've just started this process, and, frankly, we have no choice but to get involved. With us today is Attorney General Bill Barr thank you, Bill, very much; Acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf Chad, thank you; and FBI Director Christopher Wray thank you, Chris, very much. We're also pleased to be joined by Americans who have tragically lost their loved ones to recent violence." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "To each of you, please know that America grieves with you, that we pledge to honor the memory of your cherished loved ones by fighting to bring safety in every, single community. We will bring that safety. You will see. For decades, politicians running many of our nation's major cities have put the interests of criminals above the rights of law-abiding citizens." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "These same politicians have now embraced the far-left movement to break up our police departments, causing violent crime in their cities to spiral and I mean spiral seriously out of control. In New York City, over 300 people were shot in the last month alone. A 277 at least percent increase over the same period of a year ago." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.624, + "raw_confidence": 0.624, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Murders this year have spiked 27 percent in Philadelphia and 94 percent in Minneapolis compared to the same period in 2019. Perhaps no citizens have suffered more from the menace of violent crime than the wonderful people of Chicago a city I know very well. At least 414 people have been murdered in the city this year, a roughly 50 percent increase over last year." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "More than 1,900 people have been shot. These are numbers that aren't even to be believed. Yesterday alone, 23 people were shot in Chicago, including at least 15 who were shot in a merciless onslaught of gunfire outside of a funeral home. Sixty-three people were shot in the city this past weekend, and at least twelve people were killed." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Over the Fourth of July weekend, nearly 80 people were shot, and 17 were killed. Over Father's Day weekend, 104 people were shot, and 15 were killed, including 5 young children. And the last weekend in May saw the city's deadliest day on record: 18 murders in 24 hours. Behind each of these horrifying statistics is a victim, a family, a loved one, and a life of cruelly shattered and it's just so sad to see and so sad to look and so sad to see how these lives have been just torn apart." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "An African American father of three was killed while walking into a store to pay his cellphone bill. A 13-year-old girl was killed when a stray bullet came through the window of her home and hit her in the neck in the presence of her family. On Independence Day, 14-year-old Vernado Jones, Jr., was playing basketball with friends in a Chicago park when he was senselessly killed in a massacre that left eight people dead or wounded." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Vernado's mother Sharrell is here with us today. And, Sharrell, please know that all Americans mourn by your side. We will carry your son's memory. He will not be forgotten, Sharrell. Sharrell. Thank you very much. Thank you for being here, Sharrell. Thank you very much. It was a great honor to meet you before." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you. This rampage of violence shocks the conscience of our nation, and we will not stand by and watch it happen. Can't do that. The citizens of Chicago are citizens of America, and they have the same right as every other American to live in safety, dignity, and peace. No mother should ever have to cradle her dead child in her arms simply because politicians refuse to do what is necessary to secure their neighborhood and to secure their city." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Every American no matter their income, their race, or their ZIP Code should be able to walk their city streets free from violence and free from fear. For this reason, today I am announcing that the Department of Justice will immediately surge federal law enforcement to the city of Chicago. The FBI, ATF, DEA, U.S. Marshals Service, and Homeland Security will together be sending hundreds of skilled law enforcement officers to Chicago to help drive down violent crime." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2723, + "raw_confidence": 0.7277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And murderers and violent criminals are breaking a wide range of federal laws. We have that; it's as wide as it can be. We will find them, arrest them, and prosecute them. They will be in jail for many years to come. And we will work with local police to identify violations of state and local laws to help ensure that offenders are caught and jailed for their crimes." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But we must remember that the job of policing a neighborhood falls on the shoulders of local elected leadership. We can never forget that. When they abdicate their duty, the results are catastrophic. Americans must hold their city leaders accountable. They must insist that community officials fully support, fully back, and fully fund their local police departments." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "There is simply no substitute for a police department that has the strong backing of city leaders. In the meantime, we will use federal law enforcement to vigorously charge federal crimes and support these besieged communities to the greatest extent possible. This will be hard, painstaking work. It will take time." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "The tide will not recede overnight, but we will marshal all of the strength and focus and determination that we can possibly do. This is a critical effort. We will continue to call on state and local leaders to do their job and protect their citizens. The operation in Chicago will be done as part of Operation LeGend, which was recently launched in Kansas City, Missouri and very successfully, I might add." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "It is named after LeGend Taliferro, a four-year-old boy who was shot. Think of this: He was shot and killed last month while he lay asleep in his home. LeGend's mother grieves our hearts and pains and souls and we thank you very much for being here. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Appreciate it. We are profoundly grateful to be joined by Charron." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Would you please stand? Charron? Charron, please. And also, LeGend's father Raphael and his grandparents, Alfred and Pauline. Yes. You look so great. So great. Thank you very much. I appreciate your nice statements before, too. Thank you very much. Thank you. LeGend is looking down. He's very proud of you right now, I can tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. To LeGend's family: We cannot even begin to imagine your anguish and your sorrow, but we solemnly promise to honor LeGend, and we will be every day to save the lives of America's children. Under Operation LeGend, we will also soon send federal law enforcement to other cities that need help." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Other cities need help. They need it badly. They should call. They should want it. They're too proud or they're too political to do that. One of them is Albuquerque, New Mexico, where, last fall, 55-year-old Jackie Vigil was murdered as she was getting into her car to go to the gym. We're joined today by her husband Sam and her sons Raul and Kevin, both New Mexico State Police officers." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Would you please stand? Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. I appreciate it. Thank you. Great-looking family. Thank you very much. To Sam, Raul, and Kevin: We're moved beyond words by your presence here today. We thank you very much for being here. It's a great honor to meet you. This afternoon, I'm also announcing that the Department of Justice will provide more than $61 million in grants to hire hundreds of new police officers in cities that are the focus of Operation LeGend." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We will never defund the police. We will hire more great police. We want to make law enforcement stronger, not weaker. What cities are doing is absolute insanity. Many of the same politicians who want to slash resources for law enforcement have also declared that their cities are sanctuaries for criminal illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.312, + "raw_confidence": 0.688, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "In other words, after arresting illegal aliens for crimes, the police are ordered to release those criminals back onto the streets to continue their crime. Last year, Chicago politicians forced the release of illegal aliens charged with crimes such as assault, armed robbery, strangulation, and attempted murder." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "My administration will be working to remove dangerous offenders sprung loose by these deadly policies and, frankly, by these deadly politicians. America must be a sanctuary for law-abiding citizens, not criminal aliens. My vision for America's cities could not be more different from the lawlessness being pushed by the extreme radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "While others want to defund, defame, and abolish the police, I want to support and honor our great police. While the radicals want to abolish charter schools and eliminate school choice, I want to expand school choice, and every family in America should have that option. While others want to destroy opportunity, shut down businesses, and send our jobs overseas, we are hiring Americans and we are buying American product." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1567, + "raw_confidence": 0.8433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We want to build factories in Baltimore, not Beijing. We want to make our products in Chicago, not Shanghai. We want the American Dream for American children, and I will fight to deliver that dream. Every ounce, every single ounce of my strength I will be fighting. But opportunity cannot thrive where there is violence." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Prosperity cannot flourish where there is bloodshed. And security cannot exist where there are violent criminals who are able to maim and murder with impunity. That is what Operation LeGend is all about. That is why we are here today to answer the pleas of those crying for justice and crying for help. For those people in Chicago and other cities where we'll be: Help is on its way." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I'd now like to ask Attorney General William Barr, who is doing a fantastic job, to explain Operation LeGend in greater detail, followed by Acting Secretary Wolf. And then, we'll hear from loved ones of fallen Americans. I'll ask Sam Vigil and Charron Powell to the podium, and we'd love to hear them say a few words in honor of their loved one." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Chris, do you want to say a few words, please? You're going to be a big part of it. Huh? Come on. Go ahead, please." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Please. Please. Please, Sam." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Sam. And we're going to be giving a special effort to that when we go. And we have some very talented people going in. We're going to give give a very special effort to Jackie. Okay? Thank you very much. Charron, please. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. And LeGend and Jackie are looking down right now at you, and are very proud. They're very proud. Thank you both. Thank your families for being here. Thank you. So to every family: I'm very proud to stand with you in this struggle. I'm proud to stand with the heroes of law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "They are true heroes. Thank you all for being here. We appreciate it very much. Great, great people. And I'm proud to fight by your side to deliver a better future for the citizens of every race, color, religion, and creed. As soon as the cities and states call to ask for help on a very large basis, we will be there with full force and we will stop this horrible situation very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "A2uDEh18KB8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-federal-police-deployment-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But, in the meantime, we're doing something that's going to have an impact. And, Mr. Attorney General, thank you very much. Chad, thank you very much. Do a good job; I have no doubt you will. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you. See you later. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you very much. Appreciate it. And thank you for being here. Let me provide a brief update on the China virus, as well as our economic recovery, which is going really very well, as you probably have been hearing." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Nearly 85 percent of jurisdictions all across our country are reporting a very steep decline in cases, and that's despite the fact that we have the number one testing program anywhere in the world. We're up to almost 70 million tests, far beyond any other country. This week, cases nationwide have declined by 6 percent; the test positivity rate has fallen to just 6.5 percent, a 71 percent reduction from April and a 15 percent reduction from mid-July. That's a big reduction. The hospitalization rate for the virus has been reduced by half since April." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And I urge everyone to apply commonsense mitigation. We know that. And we are all doing that, and I want to thank the American people for really doing such a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "We are focused on aggressively shielding the highest-risk individuals. Those living in nursing homes and long-term care facilities are less than 1 percent of the U.S. population but account for nearly half of all fatalities. That's an incredible thing. So it's 1 percent of the U.S. population but they account for nearly half of the fatalities from the China virus. That's why we have rushed nursing home funding, protective gear, and rapid testing equipment. And we will announce additional measures to protect nursing home residents." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "In the coming days, we've worked very hard with nursing home companies and also with the governors 50 governors all around the United States and we have developed a very good relationship with most of the governors. And I think, for the most part, they're doing a really good job. They're focused very heavily on nursing homes. And when they need equipment that they can't get remember, they're supposed to get it, but when they can't get, we have tremendous amounts of equipment in stock." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Thanks to my administration's decisive action to save American jobs, we're currently witnessing the fastest economic recovery in American history. And that's because the foundation that we set previously, before the virus came and hit our shore the foundation was so strong; we had such a strong foundation that we're recovering much faster than anybody anticipated. It turns out that it will be a very, very strong V, and you'll see that in just a second." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2016, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So retail spending has fully recovered and is now at an all-time high. That's not all time for this month or last month; that's at an all-time high, and you see that with the chart. This was previous to the the plague, I call it the plague coming into our land, and really affected 188 dealing with 188 countries." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3215, + "raw_confidence": 0.6785, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And if you see, we've not only recovered but we're at a much higher level than we were even then. That's an incredible number that nobody thought would even be possible. So we're currently witnessing the fastest economic recovery in American history. That's an amazing statement." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.495, + "raw_confidence": 0.505, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So retail spending is great, and now, if they would put up, auto production has surged 28 percent, and that's your auto production, which is right there. So you'll see that that's now about even to where it was, and that was at an all-time record high, and we're already even." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7734, + "raw_confidence": 0.7734, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And if you had a chart for used cars, you'd see that used car sales are setting a record, and that's great for production because when the used cars are practically not available they're very, very tight that means you're going to make a lot of new cars. So that number is going to go up even beyond what it is right now, but that's a fantastic number. That's a number that's the equivalent of where it was, and that was a record." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So you see what's happening with respect to the economy and the recovery. And the stock market is almost at an all-time high. In fact, NASDAQ is at an all-time high. It's had 14 days where we broke the record already over the last two months. So a lot of great things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Through the historic relief package that I signed into law, we saved over 50 million American jobs 50 million American jobs and the unemployment rate is rapidly going down. You see that. You've seen that. And I think you'll see it over the next two months, and you'll have a good report even prior to the election. You're going to have a very good report. I think you're going to have an incredible GDP. You're going to have a tremendous report on business, and a lot of it's going to be released which is very fortunate prior to the election." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.221, + "raw_confidence": 0.779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I think the Democrats are going out of their way to try and do whatever they can to stop these kind of numbers. They don't like these kind of numbers because they think it'll hurt them in the election. I think we all have to pull together and we have to do the right job, and we have to do what's what's good for the American people." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3062, + "raw_confidence": 0.6938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "We were unfairly treated by China because they could have stopped it. With that being said, China has purchased the most amount of corn in history. They last week, they purchased the two largest days in the history of corn purchase and a massive amount of soybeans. Also cattle." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4937, + "raw_confidence": 0.5063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So China has been buying a lot of a lot of things, and they're doing that to keep me happy, but they're dreaming about Joe Biden. They would love to have that happen, but I don't think that's going to happen. They are dreaming about him and so is Iran dreaming about Joe and so are numerous other countries. They dream about it because if that happens, they'll own the United States. And China, I can tell you, specifically, will own the United States. Can't let that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "If you remember, China had the worst the worst year they've had in 67 years prior to the plague coming to our shores. And we are now starting to do really well. We're going to have a very good third quarter, maybe a great third quarter. And we're going to have an incredible next year, unless somebody comes up and quadruples taxes, which is what they're talking about doing." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Small business optimism has come surging back. In June, it was higher than any month under the previous administration. Think of that. So small business optimism was higher than any month under the previous administration. And that is while we're going through a pandemic, a worldwide pandemic, you have a number like that. And when you see the numbers that we quoted just now as to what's happening with cases and all of the other hospitalization rates, a lot of tremendous things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7708, + "raw_confidence": 0.7708, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Industrial production is increasing at the fastest rate ever recorded. I mean, think of these numbers. I mean, how does that happen? Industrial production is increasing at the fastest rate on record, which is ever recorded." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7341, + "raw_confidence": 0.7341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Consumer spending is expected to grow at an astronomical rate this quarter. So we don't have the number yet, but it looks like it's going to be at an astronomical rate." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But he's just a great young man. I talked to him actually for a long time. They want to play football. And he made the statement that he feels he's safer on the field. He's safer on the field than he is out you know, outside of the field. He feels very safe." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.763, + "raw_confidence": 0.763, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And if you look, the SEC, the Big 12, and the ACC are back. They want to come back, and I think they're coming back. The Big 10 and the Pac 12 are not, and I wish they would come back." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And, you know, I just want to say it's sort of sad because I'd been fighting for football to come back. We're trying to help the NFL, as long as they stand for our National Anthem, as long as they honor our flag and our country. If they start kneeling, I'm not going to be helping them much. They might come back, but I won't be watching. Neither will a lot of other people." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2927, + "raw_confidence": 0.7073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I think what the NBA did was atrocious. I thought it was disgraceful the way they kneeled. And their ratings are reflective of that. But I think football has to get smart. That's the NFL; let's see what happens. But if they do it they learned their lesson, I thought, two years ago when people started not watching and when people really weren't going to the game so much. A lot of empty seats all of a sudden. So they're going to learn that lesson again if they don't wise up." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But I just want to say so, Trevor Lawrence, great. And some of the great people SEC, Big 12, ACC I want to thank them and I want to congratulate them for coming back." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7471, + "raw_confidence": 0.7471, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I want to also mention that CNN had a story that, Will they blame Trump for football in the swing states? What a dishonest story that is. Will they blame me? I'm the one that's pushing them to come back. So they want to try and blame me. So them and, I guess, the New York Times reported one person it was one person in the story one person said maybe it's Trump's fault. And I'm the one pushing them back." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So I'd like to see college football come back. I'd like to see them come back proud and strong. I was very impressed by Trevor. I was very impressed by other people that called me. Players called me, coaches called me Coach O. If you want a coach who's central casting for a movie if you're doing a movie, you have to put Coach O as the head because this guy is central casting." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But when you have guys like Nick Saban and others calling for it to come back they want it to come back. And these are great athletes. These are not people that seem to be at all susceptible to this horrible disease. And they want to play football. And we have great testing, so you'll be able to test." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3123, + "raw_confidence": 0.6877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And when CNN and the New York Times the New York Times quoted one person one person. And I'm the one pushing. So we'll get it straight: I'm the one pushing for football to come back. I think if I wasn't pushing, you wouldn't have anything happening." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So, with that, we'll take we'll take a few questions. Steve, please." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, we knew what the vote was going to be but we'll be doing a snapback. You'll be watching it next week." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Yeah, you'll be watching it next week." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Probably not. No, I think we want to wait until after the election. Look, Iran wants me to lose so badly, because if they do you know, Iran is a whole different ballgame right now. They haven't been sponsoring terror because they don't have very much money to sponsor terror, and they know we just captured four Iranian ships, as you know, and we brought them into Houston. They were going to Venezuela; they're not supposed to be doing that. Iran would love to have me defeated." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, we have a man in there for two months. He's a very talented man. He's a brilliant business person. He's done great. He's a very nice man also. And he Louis he is working very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4504, + "raw_confidence": 0.5496, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But as you know, the Democrats aren't approving the proper funding for Postal, and they're not approving the proper funding for this ridiculous thing that they want to do, which is all mail-in voting. Universal, you could call it, mail-in voting." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6594, + "raw_confidence": 0.6594, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Again, absentee voting is great. You request I'm an absentee voter because I requested, I got, and then I sent in my vote. So that works out very well. That's what we've had. But now they want to send in millions and millions of ballots. And you see what's happening. They're being lost, they're being discarded. They're finding them in piles. It's going to be a catastrophe. So and this is beyond the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But Louis DeJoy is working very hard. The Post Office has, for decades, lost billions and billions of dollars. I read numbers today that are unthinkable. And what they want to do now is hit the Post Office with millions of ballots from certain states. And if you look at what happened in New York and Virginia and various other places, it's a catastrophe. They're losing 20 percent of the votes. Nobody knows what's happened." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So we're going to see what happens. But I do say this: Universal mail-in voting is going to be catastrophic. It's going to make our country a laughingstock all over the world. You can't send out millions of ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And look at all of the tests. Look, you've seen them, and there are many. Far more just look at New York. Look at New Jersey. Look at the catastrophe in New Jersey. And New Jersey had more than just Paterson. Look at what's going on in Virginia. Look at what's happening with this mail-in voting. It's a disgrace. Absentee is good; mail-in, universal is very, very bad. There's no way they're going to get it accurately. They're off by 20 and 30 percent. And this is beyond Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Now, with that being said, they want money for the universal mail-in ballots, and they're not getting it. You know why? Because of them. We want money to go to people. They want money in order to bail out states that have done very poorly. The states that have done poorly, you know them as well as I do, these are run by Democrats, usually radical-left Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2063, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "You take a look at what's happening in Portland. And we'll go into Portland we have to be asked we'll go into Portland, straighten it out in one hour, like happened in Minneapolis. We'll go straighten it out in one hour. We will straighten it out so fast, but they have to ask us." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So they need money, but they're not willing to approve the money that they need. If they can't get the money that they need for universal mail-in voting, I don't see how they can have it. And that's not only Post Office, it's also for the voting itself." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2014, + "raw_confidence": 0.7986, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "He wants to he wants to make the Post Office great again. Do you ever hear the expression? He wants to make the Post Office great again." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I don't know I don't know what he's doing. I can only tell you he's a very smart man. He'll be a great Postmaster General. And he needs obviously, if you're going to do these millions of ballots out of nowhere, he's going to obviously need funding. But the Democrats aren't willing to provide other things and therefore they're not going to get the funding for that." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But you are going to have a catastrophic situation with universal mail-in votes. And, on top of it, the Democrats aren't willing to give the people the money and the Post Office the money." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.19, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, the problem with the mail-in voting, number one, you're never going to know when the election is over. Okay? I mean, they called the election in New York for Carolyn Maloney. They shouldn't have done that. I think you should redo that election. And, you know, the opponent is screaming. They can't believe it. Ballots are lost. Ballots are defrauded. It's a total mess. And they called it for her. The reason is because I've been using it as a case. I've been using it as a case." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So, look, we are going to have an election that takes place on a beautiful day, November 3rd. And usually, at the end of the evening, they say, Donald Trump has won the election. Donald Trump is your new President. Whatever they say." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "You know what? You're not going to know this possibly, if you really did it right for months or for years, because these ballots are all going to be lost. They're going to be gone. And just take a look at a smaller basis, but it's great tests. We're doing tests. I mean, these are you could call them polls, you could call them tests. Look at what's happening all over the country, where you have universal mail-in" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5123, + "raw_confidence": 0.5123, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Wait a minute. The ballots are lost. There's fraud. There's theft. It's happening all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1888, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Now we're going to do it with this whole, vast, big section of the country. It's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "No, not at all. He would love to see it happen. I didn't speak to him about it, but I will tell you this: I would imagine he would say number one, they didn't give me the funding for it because it's sitting in Congress because they they want a trillion dollars to bail out states, just so you" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6835, + "raw_confidence": 0.6835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "They want a trillion dollars to bail out badly run Democrat-run states, okay? That's what they want. They're not giving the money to the Post Office. They have to give the money to the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "No, not at all. The steps that he is taking are trying to stop the tremendous losses that have taken place for many, many years. He's trying to streamline the Post Office and make it great again. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, wait a minute. You just threw look, I just read last night that now New Jersey is going to try the universal mail-in voting. Well, they didn't know this. So now, all of a sudden, New Jersey is going to be hit with millions of ballots to be sent out. They didn't know anything about this." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3901, + "raw_confidence": 0.6099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So how does a Post Office how does a Postal Service that doesn't know about it, now all of a sudden, New Jersey is supposed to take out, and millions of ballots are going to be sent all over New Jersey?" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But the Democrats are not they are not approving the resources. You're right, there has to be more resources, I agree, because all of a sudden" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7607, + "raw_confidence": 0.7607, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "the Post Office is tripling up instead." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3, + "raw_confidence": 0.7, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "The problem is the Democrats are not approving the funds necessary. It's in there. Now, they have $25 billion. I've seen $15 billion. I've seen a lot of money. I don't know how you're going to spend that much, but that's what they're saying. They're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2902, + "raw_confidence": 0.7098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So not only do they want a trillion dollars to hand out as welfare to all these states that are run by Democrats doing badly, they want $25 billion for the Post Office. But they're not approving it." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Now, what I want is a lot of money thousands of dollars to go to people because they need money. They really despite the good numbers, despite numbers like that, they need money to live. And I want that to happen. The Democrats don't care about that. They just want to give bailout money to their friends running big states poorly." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm going to look at it. I mean, I'm not that aware of the Snowden situation, but I'm going to start looking at it. There are many, many people it seems to be a split decision that many people think that he should be somehow treated differently, and other people think he did very bad things. And I'm going to take a very good look at it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I mean, I've I've seen people that are very conservative and very liberal, and they agree on the same issue; they agree both ways. I'm going to take a look at that very strongly, Edward Snowden." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "No, I mean, you can't compare it to 1917. That was incredible. That was that was the worst ever by far. That was you look at they lost possibly 100 million people. No, I don't agree with that." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But if you look at these numbers, they're coming down very substantially. And I do believe that Americans many are wearing masks, which is a good thing. Again, some people thought that you shouldn't wear a mask. You know, when this whole thing started, Dr. Fauci, who I like and respect, said don't wear masks, okay? And so did Dr. Redfield. And then, all of a sudden, it was like everybody should wear masks. And that's okay. People can change their mind." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2968, + "raw_confidence": 0.7032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But wash your hands, good hygiene all of those things I think people are really doing it to a level that they've never done before." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2285, + "raw_confidence": 0.7715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And when you look and when you look at when you look at the numbers, the way the numbers are coming out, I mean, it's very impressive when you see what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So, no, I think that we're doing very well. We're on our way. And we're also opening up our economy, and our economy is going to set records. And if stupid people aren't elected next year, we're going to have one of the greatest years that we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.235, + "raw_confidence": 0.765, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, the big thing is Huawei, right? Huawei is not here. And Huawei I'm not allowing. And I've told European countries and others Australia has been fantastic, as an example. But Huawei is not coming here." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2178, + "raw_confidence": 0.7822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And we told certain countries that were thinking about Huawei: That's okay, you can use them, but we're not going to be sharing intelligence. And they've all backed away. If you look at the UK, it looked like they were going that way and now they backed out Scotland Yard." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "We're looking at other things. Yes, we are. We are." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, you'll have to ask him. I know this: He's a very efficient operator, a very good operator, but again, he needs money to operate if you're going to hit him with millions of ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And if you ask him, he will tell you, and he'll tell you very nicely: You have the money, it's sitting there, it's ready to go. The Democrats don't want to approve it, but I want money for other things too. I want money to go to people so they can live very nicely, because China caused the problem; they didn't." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So, I have nothing to do with that. I read something about it. And I will say that he is a brilliant lawyer that I guess he wrote an article about it. So I know nothing about it, but it's not something that bothers me." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Why do you say that? I just don't know about it, but it's not something that we will be pursuing." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Let me put it differently. Don't tell me what I know. Let me put it differently. Let me put it differently: To me, it doesn't bother me at all. I don't know about it. I read one quick article. The lawyer happens to be a brilliant lawyer, as you probably know. He wrote an article saying there could be a problem. It's not something that I'm going to be pursuing." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I just told you, I have not gone into it in great detail. If she's got a problem, you would have thought that she would" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5967, + "raw_confidence": 0.5967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "You would have thought that she would have been vetted by Sleepy Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So I think we've done very well. We've had three phases. We're into phase four. We've gotten everything we wanted. And we've also gotten a great economy. All you have to do is take a look at these charts. Our economy is doing good. But we want different things than them. I want money for the people; they want money to bail out Democrat governors and Democrat mayors." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Listen to me. Listen to me. My people are doing very good. And my people call me. They're in the office; they call me. They call me. When it's right nobody knows the deal better than I do. When it's right, I'll meet. But right now it's not right. They want a trillion dollars to bail out badly run states. States they're Democrat. They're all I mean, they're Democrat states." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Will something happen? Possibly. But I want to tell you, the country is doing very well right now. We can live very happily with it, without it. But I'd like to do it because I want to give money to the people. I want to put money into the people's hands. They want to put money into politicians' hands so that the politicians don't look stupid." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Mark Yesper? Did you call him Yesper?" + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Oh, okay. Some people call him Yesper. No, I get along with him. I get along with him fine. He's fine." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.184, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I consider firing everybody. At some point at some point, that's what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Jennifer do you have something, Jennifer? You're working so hard." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.615, + "raw_confidence": 0.615, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "So, if we have the success I think we have a silent majority, the likes of which has never been seen before I think you read about it where 62 percent of the people say they're not even telling the truth on polling and where the polling is fake; you know, where they do registered voters and where they do many more Democrats than they do Republicans. Same as happened last time." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "But this year, I think we have much more enthusiasm. Maybe those people back there would understand it better than anybody. But I think there's more enthusiasm for 2020 than there was even for 2016. And 2016 was a record. You found that out. And I believe there's much more enthusiasm now than there was even in 2016." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4875, + "raw_confidence": 0.5125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "We have a silent majority, the likes of which nobody has seen. I just looked there are thousands of boats in lakes, rivers, and oceans. Thousands and thousands of boats. It's called Boaters for Trump, Boaters for Trump-Pence. There's signs all over. Some of the boats have 10 flags on them. They're incredible. There are thousands. We did nothing to do this. This is just generic. It just happened." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Let me just tell you, I think the level of enthusiasm for what we're doing we want law and order. We want low taxes. They want to raise your taxes. They want to get rid of they want to have open borders. And they want to defund the police. How do you win on that? They want to go to Texas and they want to go to Pennsylvania, and they want to stop fracking. And Ohio, they want to stop fracking. They're against steel, they're against anything with petroleum, the word petroleum in it. You won't have a country. These people are crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know. I think for next year I mean, generally speaking, a lot of times I understand when, if we win, a President will ask for the resignation of everybody and then bring back the people he wants. That's happened before, Steve. And I could see something like that happening. I think that makes sense." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "No, I have a very good Cabinet I mean, with few exception. I wouldn't say I'm thrilled with everybody, frankly. But I have overall, I think we have a very good Cabinet." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7886, + "raw_confidence": 0.7886, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "I think this I will say this: No administration none no administration, first three and a half years, has done anywhere near what we've done. Three hundred we will have, at the end of the first term, 300, maybe more, federal judges including Court of Appeals, two Supreme Court justices. Nobody has done this." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Take a look at take a look at what we've done: the biggest tax cuts in history; the biggest regulation cuts in history; rebuilt our military; took care of our vets. We have a 91 percent approval rating from the vets. Nobody has ever had a 91 percent approval rating before. We I guarded the Second Amendment. They want to destroy the Second Amendment. Take a look at Kamala. They want to destroy the Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1907, + "raw_confidence": 0.8093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "And, as you know, Joe is has no control over anybody. He has no control over himself." + }, + { + "tid": "a3AYci5vmtc", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-15", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much, everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. So we'll be making a pretty big journey today, stopping at a couple of wonderful states that, in one case, had some big problems, and we got that straightened out." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.291, + "raw_confidence": 0.709, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I just approved an emergency declaration for Iowa, who had an incredible wind storm like probably they've never seen before. It really did a lot of damage. So I've informed the governor; I've informed Senator Grassley and Senator Joni Ernst. So I've approved the declaration emergency declaration for Iowa." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we are heading now to a combination of different places. We may do a surprise visit. We'll make it I'll say this: a surprise visit to Iowa. If we can get it in, we're going to do that. But the very important thing is that we approved the emergency declaration for Iowa. So they're in good shape." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They're they're working as we speak. Also, FEMA is in Iowa now, full force, and helping them greatly." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'd you'd have to say it." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I've heard of it, yes. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Is it something that people are talking about very strongly? We'll look at it. We'll look it. We're looking at a lot of different things." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I will say, the FDA has been great. They are very close we're very close to a vaccine, very close to a therapeutic. I've heard that name mentioned. We'll find out. I can get back to you later. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's possible. We're trying to work it into the schedule. I want to see the people. I love the people of Iowa. They've been very loyal. And the big thing was getting the declaration signed, but I'll be going very soon, and maybe today." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's a terrible situation Belarus. We'll be following it very closely. We'll be following." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, I haven't heard about that. No." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're going to look at that. We've been asked that question. Brazilian students coming back in we're looking at it very closely." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1939, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're looking at the Brazilian situation. We'll take care of all of it." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Okay? So we'll see you in a little while." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to be stopping at a number of places. We'll be working very hard. It doesn't have to be covered, but it probably will be, you know. But we're going to be working very hard, stopping at various states. You have a list of the states pretty comprehensive. We're going to be working very hard. We have to. We're getting down to final crunch. We want to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "As an example, Iowa just came up. We're doing well in Iowa. It just came up. I want to be with the people of Iowa. So we add that to the schedule." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Probably on Friday. We're looking at Friday. And we may do just a small service right here in the White House for my brother. We're looking at doing that. That would be, I think, a great honor to him. I think he'd be greatly honored. He loves our country. He loved our country so much. He was so proud of what we were doing and what we are doing for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So I think it would be appropriate. So we'll have, probably on Friday afternoon, a small service in honor of my brother, Robert." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No. I think this: I think that Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer should get back into Washington, and they should approve stimulus for the people. They should give we should give some of that this was China's fault; it wasn't their fault. And we'd like to see payment going to the people maybe . But we want payment going to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3865, + "raw_confidence": 0.6135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We'll take care of the Post Office. We want to make sure that the Post Office runs properly, and it hasn't run properly for many years. For probably 50 years, it's run very badly. So we want to make sure that the Post Office runs properly and doesn't lose billions of dollars. Somebody said it lost $78 billion over a relatively short period of time. That's over years $78 billion. So you can't have that." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, we will work with them, but we want money to go to the people that need it, and they don't want to do that. They just want to take care of the bailout money. They want bailout money to go to their friends that are doing a bad job running Democrat states." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7758, + "raw_confidence": 0.7758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You have states that are losing a lot of money. They've been poorly run by Democrats for many years. And that's all they want to talk about is bailing out those states. That's unfair to the rest of the country." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, no, the Post Office is running very well. The Post Office now, look, if you look at the Post Office, for years, that's all people complained about. We're going to run it well, and we're going to not lose so much money." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.775, + "raw_confidence": 0.775, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "One of the things the Post Office loses so much money on is the delivering packages for Amazon and these others. Every time they deliver a package, they probably lose three or four dollars. That's not good. They have to raise those prices okay not for the people to pay, but for Amazon and those companies to pay." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Are you ready? Absentee ballots are great. You request a ballot, you can't be I signed an absentee ballot. Absentee ballots are great. They work. They've been proven. They're good like in Florida. But this universal mail-in is a very dangerous thing. It's fraught with fraud and every other thing that can happen, and we have to be very, very careful." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2104, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have a very big election coming up. I think we're going to do very well. And I want to make sure the election is not stolen, and so does everybody else. And I'm sure both sides feel that way. So we have to be very careful with this universal, mail-in ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.786, + "raw_confidence": 0.786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Absentee ballots are great. They've worked for a long time. And I I totally endorse absentee ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, not at all. Wouldn't do that. No, I have encouraged everybody: Speed up the mail, not slow the mail." + }, + { + "tid": "aR319Q1b94c", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7542, + "raw_confidence": 0.7542, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I also want to have a Post Office that runs without losing billions and billions of dollars a year, as it has been doing for 50 years." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1835, + "raw_confidence": 0.8165, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody, and hello Michigan. Very great place. We had some great victories there. I will tell you that but that was one in particular. We appreciate it. We have to do it again and we're building a lot of car plants and brought back a lot of industry that nobody thought they'd ever see again. But we're doing great with the cars." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I have other plants. We'll be announcing very shortly. We got plenty of activity in Michigan. It's been an incredible period of time, but also I want to welcome Central Michigan because we have, as you know, through John Moolenaar, your great Congressman. We've done something that people are very happy about." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "The Edenville Dam broke and it was a disaster. And so, I signed a major disaster declaration, $43 million and I think that's actually going to be a little bit higher than that when it's done. But we're going to take care of those people that are great people and the work has already started. So, it's it's an honor to be on the phone with you." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We're up to almost 50 50 million tests. Nobody thought that was possible but we're doing a job. But we'll talk about that in a little while. But I'm thrilled to be talking to everybody about the critical decision facing the Michigan and our country this November. The election is a choice between our movement of American patriots, people that truly love our country." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to build up America, they want to keep American history and culture, and keep it just what it was but better. And that's what was happening and it's happening now, but was happening and we had to close it up. And now, we've we're rebuilding it again and it's going at a record pace, job numbers, and retail sale numbers are at a record but we're doing it again." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But the other side that's Joe Biden. I really say it's his handlers because I don't think Joe knows. But Joe Biden handlers and they're very radical left-wing people, the Biden people. They want to destroy our police destroy our police forces, tear down our history, and they want to demolish our economy, and we just can't have that, we can't have that, what they're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7952, + "raw_confidence": 0.7952, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "If you look at Portland tonight, if you take a look at what's going on there and I sent in the great people from the border and ICE and many other agencies. And we're sending back big, very big league, as they would say, where we're doing a real job, a lot of arrests and a lot of things are happening in Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And frankly, the politicians are against it. They it's been going on for a long time. They're ripping down Portland. Portland, Oregon, and ripping it down and we sent them in. We're not taking it. We're going to be looking very strongly at Chicago. We did a good job with Seattle. We were getting ready to go in the following day and the police heard about it. Everybody heard about it, they sent them in. The police were good in Seattle, but they weren't allowed to do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So, we're looking at a lot of these places run by very radical-left politicians, Democrats, in all cases, and we are doing what we have to do. We're doing we keep our country strong past a past a very important piece of paper. Well, I signed into I send a very important, you would call it an act, and it was very, very strong on statues and monuments." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And you go to jail for 10 years if you rip them down. Anything federal, the states have to get smart and do it, too. But they've stopped with the federal. You haven't seen anything happen for a long time because they go to jail for 10 years. We had no choice. We had to pass that. But I've been fighting for the hardworking patriots of Michigan and every place else in this country." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1973, + "raw_confidence": 0.8027, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We had the best business we've ever had. We had the best numbers, best employment, best unemployment, best everything. Best stock market numbers which, by the way, are going to be, I think, even higher now very soon. NASDAQ's already higher. Your 401ks, hopefully, you're right in the same position you were, but you're right now, you're going to be topping where you were, even even as we fight the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And we'll be you'll be seeing very good numbers over the next four or five weeks on that. You'll be seeing tremendous numbers on vaccines and therapeutics. But we built 250 miles of wall, you remember? That was a campaign promise, 250 miles of wall and we're stopping the flow of drugs and crime and illegal immigration." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7973, + "raw_confidence": 0.7973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We have a tremendous, really, we've done, a tremendous job. The walls are going to be finished right around the end of the year, a little bit after that. We fought the radical-left politicians in Washington and we ended up winning. We got it fully taken care of and it's under construction, and I think, we're up through 254 miles right now, and it'll be finished shortly after the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2241, + "raw_confidence": 0.7759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It's had a tremendous, tremendous impact. Very, very few people are getting through and we have through good negotiation, Mexico's got 27,000 troops on our border. You notice that the cartels have a have a having a hard time but the caravans have stopped. If you remember we had thousands and thousands of people pouring up in caravans." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We don't allow that. We stopped them from Guatemala, from Honduras, from El Salvador. We stopped in Mexico and you don't see the caravans anywhere. Very dangerous, very dangerous to the people, frankly, in the caravan. We've deported over 16,000 gang members, we've arrested 2,000, MS-13 members. This is very important for the people in Michigan and for people in the suburbs of Michigan, and just the people in our country." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2643, + "raw_confidence": 0.7357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Two thousand MS-13 members and we are it's said to be the toughest the toughest of all the gangs. We don't know about that. But we have done a real number on them and we're now prosecuting many of the MS-13 leaders on charges of terrorism, which had never been done before to defend the great people of Michigan and farmers and ranchers, and all of the businesses and the manufacturing." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And most importantly, I think for you, the automobile business. We've officially replaced the disaster known as NAFTA with the brand new USMCA. The USMCA is expected to create hundreds of thousands of new automotive jobs in the next few years and a lot of those jobs are going to Michigan. You know that. You see all of the plants that have been built and you see all of the plants that have been expanding in Michigan." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7832, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I was I received years ago, I guess 10 years ago, the man of the year in Michigan and I got up and I said how do you let other countries take your jobs? I couldn't believe it. I mean, I was a student of Michigan at the time. I loved the state, loved the people, I have a lot of friends but I wasn't a student." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1979, + "raw_confidence": 0.8021, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But I did know that you were losing your automobile business. Actually, 32% of it went down right now. Mexico has 32% of our business. They were taking our plants and everything else in historic levels and I stopped it. It's been stopped. And now, you're going to see a lot of activity coming back in and coming back into Michigan in particular, but also other states within our great country." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7849, + "raw_confidence": 0.7849, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I stood up to China and all of the historic tariffs that I've put on have had a tremendous impact. We've taken in hundreds of billions, we've taken in tens of billions of dollars. I gave much of it to farmers workers, but farmers, $12 billion and $16 billion, $28 billion total. So you know, they were they were targeted and I was able to do that and it solved a lot of things." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7958, + "raw_confidence": 0.7958, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "China had the worst year they've had in 67 years prior to the Chinese virus coming in, prior to the pandemic, prior to whatever you want you have many names you can call it. You can call it lots of different names but it's all the same thing. They should have stopped it. They should have stopped it at their borders and they didn't. They chose not to I guess because they largely stopped it going into China, but not going to Europe, the U.S., and the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So we're going to hold them accountable for that. But we've had the best year we've ever had and the best couple of years we've ever had. And now, we're rebuilding at a level that nobody's ever seen before. Our job numbers are the best ever. The best on record, almost 5 million jobs last month and the month before that was a record until we just broke it last month." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So, it's been really amazing. We have we are marshaling all of our efforts to defeat the virus and do it quickly. And the vaccines and the therapeutics are coming along, as I said, very, very rapidly. We expect to have 100 million doses of vaccine available. And certainly, before the end of the year, but we think we're going to have therapeutically or through vaccine, something announced long before even that." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And we're ready logistically to take it and run with it. Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we've provided billions of dollars to Michigan and their small businesses, and that's been great. After years of devastating budget cuts, we rebuilt our military $2.5 trillion. It's in the best condition it's ever been in. We have new tanks and planes and ships, missiles." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2038, + "raw_confidence": 0.7962, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "All well-deserved pay raises. We've had three pay raises, and I think, very importantly, all built in the U.S.A. We all of those new all of the new equipment, whether it's tanks or planes, or ships or missiles, or anything you want to talk about, it's built in the USA. So that's been great, and very importantly, for our vets, we have Choice." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7928, + "raw_confidence": 0.7928, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "Everyone said getting Veterans Choice was impossible. So, if a veteran has to wait in line for any period of time they go outside, they get a doctor. We pay the bill and our veteran gets taken care of. Everyone said that was impossible. Sounds simple, it wasn't. They've been trying to get it for 50 years." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4544, + "raw_confidence": 0.5456, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "I got it done and I got Accountability done, Veterans Accountability. This is where you had sadists, you had thieves, you had some very bad people working at the VA. They weren't able to fire them. Now we fired them. We fired over 9,000 people that were bad for our veterans. People that took horrible, I mean, they were abusive and terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We're now able to get bad people. We want them to love our vets and respect our vets. We will have appointed a record number by the end of the year of federal judges, close to 300 federal judges. That's a record, including two great new Supreme Court justices, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh. And I think very importantly when you're looking to vote on November 3rd, it's going to be very important because the Supreme Court if it goes radical left and that's what they will put on there, radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6616, + "raw_confidence": 0.6616, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It'll affect many things, including your Second Amendment, including abortion, including a lot of different things. We'll be we'll be have a huge impact. So I think, it's going to be, as it was in the last election, we had two choices: the next President could have anywhere from one, two, three, or even four choices on the Supreme Court, four justices." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So, I think that's a very big fact. We passed the largest package of tax cuts in the history of our country. We passed the largest number of regulation cuts by far in the history of our country. That's one of the reasons our jobs can come back. We ended the U.S. Waters Act. If you look at that act, they took and a lot of people from Michigan who were affected very seriously by that." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They took your land away, they took your life away, and we're fighting for school choice and Biden wants to end that. We have a very strong belief that every parent in America should be empowered to send their child to the school of their choice. Second Amendment, very important, Biden and the radical democrats would destroy your Second Amendment and they'll destroy America's economy, America's security, and American way of life." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They'll destroy our military, they'll destroy our VA. You look at what they're doing. You look at their plan. It's not even it's not even to be thought about. Look, there's never been a decision more important than this decision you're about to make. November 3rd, get out and vote, and be careful with your mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3522, + "raw_confidence": 0.6478, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "If we have to go that way, a lot of court cases going on right now. But be careful because they're sent out by the millions and it's a very dangerous thing. Absentee ballots are good. You have to go through a process, that's good, but mail-in ballots, you've got to be very careful. Let's see what happens in the courts." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But Biden and these people are looking to do things that are absolutely destructive of our economy. As you know, he supported NAFTA, TPP, which would have been a disaster, KORUS. That's in Korea. I renegotiated it, made it great for us. And China's entry into the World Trade Organization, which was a disaster for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They've given all sorts of advantages that we don't have, but we've largely clamped down on that. He voted for the war in Iraq and he voted for mass amnesty. And now, Joe Biden supports raising your taxes by a lot, packing your courts with radical-left judges, indoctrinating our children to hate America." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "You look at what they're teaching in schools and opening our borders. And some of the key elements to what Biden and the radical left they got together with Sanders, Bernie Sanders he's his other beauty. They got together and I just got this list but I'm going to read a couple of the things off because what they are doing is not what the people of Michigan are going to accept." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7799, + "raw_confidence": 0.7799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to abolish borders, abolish immigration detention, stop all deportations. Think of that one. We catch criminals and they want to stop. Right now, we bring them back to their countries where they came from, or in some cases, we prosecute them in our own courts. They want to stop deportations and prosecution of illegal border crossers." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7833, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to support the horrible sanctuary cities. It's a way of protecting criminals, incentivize illegal alien, child smuggling, and women smuggling. Because what they're doing will make illegal alien if you take a look at this, if you look at the smuggling, that's a big thing now because of the Internet." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2227, + "raw_confidence": 0.7773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "It's bigger than ever before, having to do with women and children because of the Internet. It's you think of it as an ancient crime. It's not ancient. It's because of the Internet, it's bigger than ever before all over the world, not just here. They want to expand asylum for all illegal aliens. They want taxpayer-funded lawyers at the highest level for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3269, + "raw_confidence": 0.6731, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to abolish immigration enforcement against illegal workers. So they want all immigration. They want immigration enforcement against they want to abolish it against illegal workers, grant work permits to illegal aliens, not even believable, some of the things you're going to hear. They want to provide taxpayer subsidies and welfare for illegal aliens and new immigrants." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1822, + "raw_confidence": 0.8178, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "In many cases, this would be more than our own citizens are getting and substantially. And what it's going to do is bring tens of millions of people to our country and we can't have it. Government healthcare for all illegal aliens. So everyone's going to come to America, you get free government healthcare." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "That's what it really means. Federal student aid and free community college for illegal aliens. We don't get that for our own people. They want to sign new immigrants up for welfare immediately and maximize all welfare payments, massively expand immigration during a global pandemic which we're in now, taking jobs from unemployed Americans, end all travel bans." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7934, + "raw_confidence": 0.7934, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We won the big travel ban, but they want to end all travel bans. We won that in the United States Supreme Court five to four, which tells you again, how important it is to keep the court and win the court, including from jihadist regions. So, we have bans that we're allowed to put on given by the Supreme Court, jihadist regions, if that's the case, they want to end all travel bans." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3953, + "raw_confidence": 0.6047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to grant mass amnesty. These are just some of the things in the very long document that was approved between Joe Biden's camp because I doubt he ever read it and and the Bernie Sanders group and AOC, and that group of beauties. Increase refugee admissions 700%, abolished law enforcement as we know it, they want to end cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals onto the streets, no cash bail, abolish the death penalty, appoint Social Justice prosecutors to free violent criminals, and that would be reducing our police forces down to a very low number." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6954, + "raw_confidence": 0.6954, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to seek prison closures so that we don't have very many prisons anymore, end solitary confinement, free federal housing for former inmates so that inmates can have nice posh housing, abolish energy, rejoin the very expensive prohibitively trillions of dollars, ultimately, rejoin the Paris Climate Accord." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "This would have been a disaster for our country to the benefit of many other countries. They want to rejoin the Paris Accord. I ended it because I said it's a rip off to the United States. They want to mandate net-zero carbon emissions for homes, offices, and all new buildings by the year 2030. They want to mandate zero carbon emissions for power plants." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to mandate net-zero carbon emissions overall. That would make it impossible economically for people to live in our country. Your electrical costs and your utility costs would go up, maybe 8 times or 9 times more expensive, ridiculous. They want to abolish school choice, end school choice, abolish all charter schools." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "They want to abolish educational standards and they want to enforce a horrible situation on our suburbs. The men and women that have fought so hard to live in a beautiful area. They want to enforce Obama-Biden's radical, AFFH regulation that threatens to strip localities of federal affordable housing funds unless they change their zoning laws to fit the federal government's demands." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2525, + "raw_confidence": 0.7475, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And I'm going to be eliminating I've already announced it, eliminating the AFFH regulation. It's a disaster and I think the suburbs will be very happy. This has been going on for years. Housing prices go down, crime goes up, it's ridiculous. So we have a situation in Michigan, but all over the country, where there's never been a difference like this." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We're going to keep America great. We're going to keep our standards. We're going to keep our history and our culture, and we're going to be proud of the people that built our country and they want to be just the opposite. They want to go socialism plus and that's going to ultimately, and it can happen here just like it happened in Venezuela and many other places." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "And we're going to continue to work with your Governor and we're going to continue to work with all of the people that we have to do. We we are working with her. Sometimes we don't want to and we disagree with many of the things she's doing, but we will continue to work with her. We're also working quite honestly around her and we have to do that because what she wants to do is not going to be good for the state." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But we'll work with her when we have to because we have to do positive things for your we have to do positive things for your state. It's a great state, it's a state that we love, and it's a state that I very much appreciate. That was an incredible victory. So, regardless of who's Governor, we're going to be there and we're going to be with you." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We're going to be fighting with you. We're going to continue to bring in massive car plants and lots of other industry from a lot of different from a lot of different countries, including the fact that we still have, because of what I've done, we have people not leaving Michigan with their plants, whether it's automobile or otherwise." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank everybody for being on the call. I love the State of Michigan and we're going to take care of your state. And I hope in November you're going to get to the polls and you're going to be voting for a person that will do a great job for our country. We have all of your values and we know exactly what you're looking for and thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "We have a tremendous number of people on the call. I want to thank you all for being on the call. I want to get out there and do the rally as soon as we can and we will be doing that. COVID between COVID and your Governor's restrictions, it really makes it very difficult, but we'll be out there eventually." + }, + { + "tid": "AticIyfJaXA", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-michigan-july-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-18", + "claim_text": "But in the meantime, we're doing it telephonically. I appreciate everybody for being on the call. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you, very much. Please, let's enjoy ourselves. This is a tremendous moment for Jim and your family. And let's just enjoy ourselves for a little while. We'll ask Jim to say a few words. I want to hear what he has to say about his great talent, his great running ability. I find athletics to be extraordinary. I love it. Thank you for being here. And today it is my privilege to present our nation's highest civilian honor, the Presidential Medal of Freedom to a legendary athlete and a legendary runner, Olympian and true American Patriot, former Congressman Jim Ryun. Jim, congratulations. Fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "We're joined today by Jim's wife, Anne. Thank you Anne, very much. Congratulations." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "And various family members. But his son, where's Ned? Ned, thank you very much. Catharine, thank you very much. And I'm going to ask you to come up and say a few words, the both of you, so you better be prepared. You've got a lot of news back there. See, I'm being nice today. I don't use the other word in front of the word news." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "But Jim's journey started with a prayer. After being cut from his church baseball team, I can't believe that, that must've been a bad day, huh, and his junior high basketball team, they probably made a mistake, he asked God for guidance. Jim wanted to know God's plan for him. And he only had one request, that it was something to do with sports." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "You liked sports. That prayer was answered when Jim joined the high school track team. He joined it and had no experience whatsoever, as he said, he didn't really know what he was doing and he didn't know what he was doing there. In his very first mile race, however, he came in second place to the reigning state champion and a real talented person." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Do you ever see him around by the way? He's still around?" + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Okay, that's pretty good. He's still saying, What happened? But Jim's first time in running the mile was 4:32.4 seconds. So that tells you there's something genetically that's pretty good, because that doesn't happen. 4:32.4 seconds, first time he ever ran the mile. That was the last time he ever came in second in a high school race." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "And after that, Jim was always first. The next year, Jim ran a 3:59 mile and became the first high school athlete in history to smash the four minute barrier. That summer he also competed in the 1964 Tokyo Olympics as the youngest middle distance runner in the world, by quite a bit actually. In Jim's senior year of high school, he ran against three time Olympic gold medal winner Pete Snell." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "He was good wasn't he? But that was a bad day for Pete. Before the event, Snell reportedly said that he didn't think Jim would really have much of a chance or be much of a factor. Jim soon proved him wrong. With 300 meters left in the race, Jim surged ahead of the pack and swept across the finish line in a fraction of his time." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "What was your time? 3:55.3 seconds. That's not bad, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Not bad? I don't know. What did Pete say? Was he gracious about it?" + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "But he was a great runner. I mean, he was a great runner. This also right now stands in high school as a record 35 years. It took 35 years to break that record. When ESPN ranked the greatest high school athletes, listen to this, this is incredible, when ESPN ranked the greatest high school athletes of all time, all sports, they listed Jim Ryun as number one." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "That's not bad for guy who couldn't make his baseball team, right? That's really an amazing achievement. That's incredible. Jim continued his extraordinary athletic career at the University of Kansas. In 1966, he set his first world record in the mile at a time of 3:51.3 seconds, becoming the first American to do so in more than three decades." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "After the race, a young fan ran up to him and asked for his autograph. That fan would soon become his future wife. That was a good autograph. That was Anne. You two are so lucky that happened. I wonder where you'd be, I guess. That's fantastic. Great, Anne. In 1967, Jim ran an incredible 3:51.1 mile, which would stand as the world record mile for almost a decade." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7974, + "raw_confidence": 0.7974, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Jim still describes it as the easiest race he ever ran. Is that right? It was magic." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "It was magic. To this day, it's the last time in American set the world record in the mile. So that was a while ago. What is the world record right now? So your at 3:51." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "3:43 or so? Okay, that's a long time. Training and lots of other things." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "We have breaking news now. This could be the big story today. That's great. But that is some long period of time that he held the record. In 1968, Jim Bradley represented Team USA at the Mexico City Olympics and won the silver medal for the 1500 and he competed in 1972 at the Munich Olympics with great distinction." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "A few years later, Jim retired from running. He had been on the cover of Sports Illustrated seven times, was ranked Sportsman of the Year in 1966, was inducted into the Kansas Sports Hall of Fame and received the immortal nickname Master of the Mile. And he was, I remember it. I shouldn't tell you that, but I remember a lot of your races." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "They weren't even close, actually. In 1975, you founded the Jim Ryun Running Camps. For the past 45 years, Jim has helped teach thousands of young people to reach their fullest and best athletic potential. He has been a dedicated mentor to campers and shared in the critical importance of a Christian faith." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "He is very devoted to Christianity. In 1996, Jim was elected to the House of Representatives and he went on to serve five terms in Congress. I wish we had him now. We have some great people in there though, I'll tell you. We have some great, dedicated, hard workers and they've done a terrific job, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Wouldn't you say, Ned? I think so. Some really great ones. But he served five terms from Kansas's Second District. He was a principled, committed, very tough and beloved lawmaker. That's what they said. He was tough and yet beloved. That's a rare combination. Jim has personified the greatness of our country throughout his life, whether he was running on a track race or whether he was doing anything there was, running an office or running for office." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "He was always the top person. People respected him more. I've heard it for a long time. I'd ask about him and they'd say, When he was in Washington, he was just a respected person. He was a giant of American athletics, a dedicated public servant and a man of charity, generosity, and faith. He's a great man, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Jim, thank you so much for your unfailing devotion to our country and congratulations on a lifetime of incredible success. Not only athletically, that was obviously a big deal, but what you've done in life and even with your family has been just incredible. So I'd like to congratulate you very much. And before we present you with the incredible beautiful metal, I'd like to ask maybe Catharine and Ned to come up and say a few words, if you'd like, and talk about your father." + }, + { + "tid": "AwketZc5cr0", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-medal-of-freedom-jim-ryun-july-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. That's so nice. Thank you, Catharine." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you. They did a very good job, I will say." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, first of all, on the Woodward book, on the book itself, he called. He I didn't participate in his last one. And he does hit you, obviously, with everybody. He even did it on Obama, but constant hit jobs. On Bush, I guess they did three books. They were all terrible. So, I figured, you know, let's just give it a little shot." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I'll speak to him. It wasn't a big deal. I speak to him, and let's see. I don't know if the book is good or bad. I have no idea. Probably, almost definitely won't read it, because I don't have time to read it. But I gave it a little bit of a shot. Sounds like it's not going to be good. But if you look at what I said today, I said, don't panic." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We don't want to be jumping up and down and going wild. Don't panic. I'm a cheerleader for this country. And I don't want to see panic. And I thought what Matt said was fantastic, because we would have lost two million, 2.5 million lives, instead of the number we're talking about. Anything above one is no good." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's no good. We can't have it. It was China's fault. They sent this to us. And it's no good. But I thought I'd give the Bob Woodward some time. I gave him some time. But, as usual, with the books he writes, that didn't work out too well, perhaps. I don't know. Maybe it was maybe it's good. Who knows?" + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But, as far as the timing is concerned, I did something very important, as you know. At the end of January, I banned I banned China, because the people from China, because they were heavily infected. And I had a lot of people, including Dr. Fauci and I don't say that with disrespect. I it's really what he believed." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But a lot of people believed that, that we shouldn't ban them, it was no reason to ban them. And Biden was going around for many, many weeks after that saying, it's not even going to be a problem. You covered it incredibly. Actually, Karl Rove covered that incredibly tonight, and just incredibly, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And they were all going around, no problem, no problem, everybody, practically everybody. Nobody had any idea it would be as violent as it turned out to be. And we studied it. We understand it. Now we're opening up. But we could have lost two million, 2.5 million, maybe even more than that, if we did it a different way." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2166, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And we have done a really good job. But, if you look at our numbers, our fatality numbers compared to other countries, we're in we're in really I mean, it's amazing, what we have done. We have been able to do something that a country, especially with the kind of size we're dealing with we have done an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yes, absolutely. And if you look at we have had flu years where we lost 70,000, 80,000, and 90,000 people. People don't realize that. But if you look that, and multiply that times five, it's actually more than we lost. Now, we could have lost two million, 2.5 million, as Matt said, if we did it a different way." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But what I want to show is, I want to show a calmness. I'm the leader of the country, I can't be jumping up and down and scaring people. I don't want to scare people. I want people not to panic. And that's exactly what I did. And if you look at the representatives of Joe Biden, you see what they were saying." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They were saying, no problem, this won't be a problem. He didn't think it was going to be a problem until months later. He was way late. Pelosi was way, way late. And I was at the end of January, far ahead of everybody, because I did something nobody wanted me to do. Nobody wanted me to do the ban on China." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7272, + "raw_confidence": 0.7272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And then, as you know, shortly thereafter, I did a ban on Europe. That was, frankly, even more controversial. And that was good, because I saw what was going on in Italy and in Spain and in France. And we did a ban there. And if we didn't do those bans, we would have had numbers that were much, much more." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1917, + "raw_confidence": 0.8083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And if we didn't do the shutdown and now the reopening and they should do the opening faster. If you look at some of the states, like North Carolina, Pennsylvania, you look at what they're doing, they're taking so they're shut down. They're still shut down. Michigan is terrible. It's still shut down." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And that's a shame. It's a shame. They don't know what they're doing, frankly." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But they should all be open. And our country is doing very well. We have record numbers of jobs. You saw the numbers just came out. For the four months, it's the largest number ever, by far, not even close, and retail sales, the same thing. They're it's record numbers. So, we're opening up with a strong V, not just a V. It's a very strong V. And we're going to have a tremendous year next year." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We're going to have a very good quarter. And that's going to be announced before the election." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1561, + "raw_confidence": 0.8439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, the media, in terms of what they're doing, is actually worse than what you're saying, because it looks to me like they're asking him a question, and then he's reading an answer off the teleprompter. Now, that would mean that, like your friend over there Donna Brazile, he has who FOX brilliantly hired, and she's a..." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1898, + "raw_confidence": 0.8102, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Donna Brazile, that's another real great one." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But it would look to me like he's been given the questions, and he's reading the answers. But that would mean that the media is giving him the questions. They never gave me the questions. I can tell you that. It's like, we have some pretty wild times. But they they hit me with the worst possible questions possible." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7969, + "raw_confidence": 0.7969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And you have to learn to do it, and you have to be able to do it. And, if you can't do it, you can't be a politician. You certainly can't represent our country, because, when you deal with President Xi and Putin and Kim Jong-un and all of the people you have to deal with, in all due respect to the media, they're much tougher, they're much smarter than the people I have to deal with in the in the various rooms and outside by the helicopters and all the places, I\u2019m willing always to take questions." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8, + "raw_confidence": 0.8, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But I don\u2019t get I don't get any help in terms of, here\u2019s the question, and you can read an answer to it. I\u2019ve never seen anything like it. And frankly, I think the media is disgracing themselves. But it's obvious that Joe is reading the answers off a teleprompter in many cases. That happened yesterday when he said move it closer. A woman asked him a question, move it closer." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8073, + "raw_confidence": 0.8073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Meaning move teleprompter closer. It's terrible. It\u2019s actually terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8034, + "raw_confidence": 0.8034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Because outside of war and peace, the most important thing a president does is select Supreme Court justices, and judges. You know, we\u2019re going to have probably over 300 by the end of my first term, which is a record, over 300 federal judges, and Court of Appeals judges, too. So, that\u2019s a that\u2019s a number that nobody thought even possible." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And we will have that number, and it'll be all confirmed and done and great. And also, Supreme Court judges or justices. And you the whole country, it depends on these decisions, which way you go, whether you have a Second Amendment or not. I mean, the Second Amendment would be under siege. If I wasn't here, you wouldn't have a Second Amendment right now." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8044, + "raw_confidence": 0.8044, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You wouldn't have a right to guns. You would whether you had it or it was just almost totally obliterated, but it would be in a very different form than you have right now. I\u2019ve kept it totally as it was, and it's, you know, something I\u2019m very proud of, and people I think it\u2019s a real voting issue, Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8017, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Life, you look at that. So these judges are going to be making massive decisions. And the next president is going to get one, two, three, or four justices of the Supreme Court. I have two. That\u2019s actually considered a lot. You've had many you've had many presidents, frankly, where they didn't have I think they had none, many of them had none." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8013, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You know, they stay on there a long time. You don't have many, and they stay on there for a long time. So, you\u2019ve had presidents with none that have been there for a long period of time. But I\u2019ve already had two. And you could have, literally, anywhere from one to four additional. That changes the entire fabric of the nation for many years." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You know, they are on the court for 25, 30, 40 years, depending on the age, depending on what age you choose. And frankly, most of them are young, because you want to pick young, you want them on as long as you can have them on. So, it's a very, very important thing that's happening. And I felt that I should announce the list and from which I will only pick." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8013, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So, we had 22 or 23, and now, I added 20. So we have about 43. And it will only be from that list that I\u2019ll pick, whether it\u2019s one, two, three, or four, it will only be from that list. So everyone can look at that list, and they\u2019ll be happy or not happy. Joe has to put up a list. This is something that I came up with the last election." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1978, + "raw_confidence": 0.8022, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I think it might be one of the reasons for my success in the election, because people weren't sure who would I pick. And I actually put out a list of 20, and then 25, and I said, only from that list. Well, only from this list and the previous list will I pick. Joe has to come up now with a list. He should come up with a list." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8036, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Otherwise, people can't vote for him. But the reason he possibly won't is because he's going to come up with far radical left judges. I mean, these will be people that are very, very far to the left, that are, you know, revolutionary in a sense, I think, and he's got to come up with them. I don't know that they\u2019re going to allow, because they control him totally." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8022, + "raw_confidence": 0.8022, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They control Joe Biden. He\u2019s not controlled he is not in control of himself. He is controlled by the radical left, it\u2019s a very dangerous part of our society, and he is totally controlled. And he is not going to be able to name Democrats judges that are in the middle someplace, or normalized, you know, people that are, like, normal people." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.802, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He will be forced to pick extremely radical left judges, and I don't think you can get elected if you do that. If you do what he has to do, which is name the judges that he's going to pick, or the justices, soon to be, that he's going to pick, I don't think it\u2019s I don't think he would be electable. So he's got a real problem." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.803, + "raw_confidence": 0.803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yeah, it's a total lie. It\u2019s total disinformation. They put it out, then they do commercials on it. And to think that nobody that I know could have said those things, looked down at soldiers that have been dead for decades and decades and decades, real heroes. And they made it up. They made up the story." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8043, + "raw_confidence": 0.8043, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We have 21 people I think you probably saw, much more than that if we wanted to, because there were many people there, and the Secret Service wouldn't let me take the trip because of the dangers of going through very crowded parts of certain part of Europe, as you know, we\u2019re in Paris, and they wouldn\u2019t let they said, we can't do it, because the helicopter couldn't fly." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8029, + "raw_confidence": 0.8029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It was raining as hard as I\u2019ve ever seen it rain. And it was foggy, so foggy you couldn't see anything. It was serious Paris fog. And like you couldn't see anything. So I knew immediately you couldn't take the helicopter. The drive would have been a very long one which I would have been I had nothing else to do." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7925, + "raw_confidence": 0.7925, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I went there for that. In fact, the next day, I went to another cemetery. And, by the way, it was pouring, but not nearly as hard, but it was pouring and I made a speech in the rain. No umbrellas, no anything. You know, they said it's just disinformation, I didn't want to get my hair wet. I\u2019ve had my hair wet plenty of times." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8051, + "raw_confidence": 0.8051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I\u2019ve made plenty of speeches in the rain. And if I wasn\u2019t if I didn't, you wouldn't be president right now, that I can tell you. So, it\u2019s disinformation. They made up a story about two disgusting words that they say I said, and I didn't. And I have many witnesses we have 21 witnesses, they only have sources." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.79, + "raw_confidence": 0.79, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Sources say. There were no sources. They made it up. It's a bad guy. It's a bad, failing magazine called The Atlantic, and, of course, the media picks it up. And then they do television commercials. We put them on notice: don't do it, take it down. And I\u2019ve worked too hard on the military and making it really great again." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8025, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "That\u2019s what we\u2019ve done. We\u2019ve rebuilt it. It was totally depleted when I took over. It was depleted, it was tired, it was exhausted from all of these endless wars where our soldiers are being brought back, because I can't stand to see them coming back in shape when they\u2019re not really fighting, they\u2019re really serving as police forces over there." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8036, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We\u2019re not fighting to win, and they haven't fought to win. But I knocked out ISIS, killed Soleimani, killed al-Baghdadi, did things that Obama can't even think about doing. When I took over, ISIS was all over Syria, was all over Iraq. But I want to get out of there. Now, we've done it. Let them protect themselves." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And there's plenty of countries over there that can do it." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4781, + "raw_confidence": 0.5219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, Kenosha is a great example. That was ready to burn down after three nights. And we went in with the National Guard and just closed it out. It took, like, so quick. And Minneapolis is another example. That was burn the problem was it was burning for two weeks before the National Guard came in. And once the National Guard came in, it was over." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8019, + "raw_confidence": 0.8019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It took you saw it, 45 minutes to one hour, and it was all over. This was going on for weeks. And we would do the same thing we were ready to go into Seattle. They took over 20 percent of the city, a big chunk in the middle of the city. And they heard we told them we\u2019re coming in. And then, they sent their police." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8035, + "raw_confidence": 0.8035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And their police are fine. They\u2019re good, if they let them do what they are supposed to be doing. But they don't do that. These they are all Democrat-run cities. And they\u2019re not a well-run. And they are very, very they become very unsafe, because the level is so ridiculous. They do want to defund the police." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And I've never seen somebody that could change like Biden. Now, I don't actually think he is aware of what he is even saying, to be honest with you. But I've never seen anything like it, where he talks about defunding the police or not doing much for the police, and then, all of a sudden, he sees what is happening with his poll numbers, because as you see, we are going way up." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5637, + "raw_confidence": 0.5637, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I think we are leading in Florida. We're leading in Wisconsin. We're leading in Pennsylvania. We're leading in North Carolina. I think we are leading in New Hampshire. We are leading by a lot and we are really leading by a lot in Ohio, I just saw a poll a little while ago. I think we are leading all over the place, frankly." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8024, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But, you know, the fake news doesn't like to say that. I must tell you that FOX is among the worst pollsters of all. I think they're terrible. I don't know who at FOX is doing it. But they are terrible pollsters. And they have been, frankly, even four years ago. That\u2019s probably the same group. But they don't have a clue, your pollsters." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You should talk to your people about that." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7995, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, that\u2019s right. I've never seen anything quite like it, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Sean, I've never seen anything quite like it. The travel ban, all of a sudden, he denies that, thinks it's fine, thinks it was good. But how about fracking? And you need that, it is basically your fossil fuels, your energies. We would have to close many of the plants, a big percentage of the plants in our country if we didn't do this." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2077, + "raw_confidence": 0.7923, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We have these massive plants and they are not going to run by wind. And they're not going to run by solar at this point, and maybe at no point. But we have natural gas, which is really very environmentally friendly. We have all sorts of things. We are the number one in the world now in energy. We've done a great job with energy." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3335, + "raw_confidence": 0.6665, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And you look at what you are paying, a price per gallon at your car, people are saying it's unbelievable, they're paying less than $2 in many cases, and going down, even. And they can't believe how well we have done. We don't need to be in the Middle East other than for the protection of Israel. There is no reason to be there from the standpoint of oil." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But we have allies, Saudi Arabia and others, that have been really spend a lot of money here, and treat us well, and, you know, will take care of a lot of our people. We have some very good allies over there. And Israel, of course, we help Israel a lot. We took out Soleimani. We took out a lot of problems, they were having over there, or they would have without us." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And they are all disciples of AOC, and AOC plus three. And it is ridiculous. But they constantly talk about no fracking. Then all of a sudden, he sees his poll numbers going down, and he sees, you know, Texas wants oil, I say, they are against guns. They are against oil. And they are against religion. That doesn't do well in Texas or Pennsylvania or North Carolina, or just about any other place that I can think of." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And it's you know, it's incredible. But they will change in an instant and pretend like nothing ever happened. They'll say, oh, no, I'm OK with fracking. He said it the other day. Biden said it the other day. He said, no, no, no, fracking is OK. We are going to grandfather it. We are going to do something with it, but fracking is OK." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And yet he just ran for months and months of where he is fighting fracking. And she I don't think she could possibly say it, she has been fighting it for years. But the bottom line, they will go back to where they come from. Where they come from is no oil, no fracking, no drilling. Religion, look at what they are doing to religion." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They don't let your churches open. They let a casino open. But they won't let your churches open. They will let protesters protest in the streets without masks by the thousands. But they won't let your churches open. So there it's religion, it's oil, and it's guns. And those three items alone, how can anybody even run?" + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3162, + "raw_confidence": 0.6838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "George Washington and Abraham Lincoln, as a combo, as a combination, couldn't win. But this is what we're up against. They change their view. But where they are going from, and where they are going to is where they originally came from. And that is none of this stuff, you are not going to frack, you are not going to have energy." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And our nation is going to have one of the best years it ever had next year. Last year was the best year we've ever had. Next year is going to be better. And this third quarter coming up, and the numbers are going to be out before the before the election, those numbers are going to be fantastic, you watch." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, a little bit, but what I'm concerned about are all these ballots, because they are sending unsolicited ballots. It could be as many as 80 million throughout the nation. And when you have small races, like a congressional race in New York, with two people, where the ballots are a mess and" + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2198, + "raw_confidence": 0.7802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yes, the ballots are missing, they are gone. There there has been fraud. There has been deceit and deception. And this is just a small congressional race Carolyn Maloney, a small congressional race. And then you look at New Jersey, what happened in Paterson, what happened in Virginia, what happened in a most every place." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1897, + "raw_confidence": 0.8103, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And these are small little races that are easy to you would think it would be very easy, but it's terrible. And now, we are sending out 80 million ballots. And they are unsolicited. So when you send out an that means people are going to get ballots that don't even know they are getting them. And that takes the enthusiasm away a little bit, because we have this massive the largest ever, they say, the difference in enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But if people are going to start walking up to your door and saying, do you want to sign this? They'll say, I don't want to vote. Well, sign this. OK, I'll sign it. There is no enthusiasm necessary there. It's really a corrupt system. And you watch, they have a plan, and the plan is not a good plan. They look to tie it all up, because they can't control the ballots on a small congressional race and smaller races even than that." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2706, + "raw_confidence": 0.7294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And now you're going to control 80 million ballots? I don't think so." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7249, + "raw_confidence": 0.7249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So, four years ago, I won it in the last month. And we have about three times more cash now than we had then. And that's without me putting up any. If I needed extra, I'll put it up myself. I just I said that two days ago. I said, if there's any necessary extra cash. But we have a lot of money coming in and small donors." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7107, + "raw_confidence": 0.7107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I haven't been heavy on big donors, because I don't want to call them. You know, when you call big donors (AUDIO GAP), in a very compromising position, when somebody puts up a lot of money, you are in a compromised position. Whether you say it, whether you don't say it, it doesn't matter. And what I like are the small donors." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But, no, we have substantially more, two to three times more than we had four years ago at this time. And four years ago, we won. But if we need it anymore, if I saw that we were going to need more, I would put it up myself, absolutely." + }, + { + "tid": "AYP3fPrGqfc", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "If and when we win, we are going to have the greatest economy in the history of our country. It will be next year. And you will see numbers like you have never seen, with tax cuts and regulation cuts, further, already done the biggest tax cut in history. But we're going to do a great job. And we're going to keep our military and our vets very, very happy." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, everybody. I very much appreciate you being here. Thank you. And we we love this state. It's been a great state for me, and it's been a great state for everybody in this room, I can tell you, Governor, right? And we're here to help." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "We're joined today by Governor Greg Abbott, a very special man. And he's doing a fantastic job for the state of Texas, and he has from day one." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick, another friend of mine. And thank you, Dan. And I watched you the other night on a very important show, and you did incredibly well representing the state." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7781, + "raw_confidence": 0.7781, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And State Attorney General Ken Paxton, where he's a very aggressive attorney general, and that's what we like. And you have got some very big ones, including the mail-in ballots, right? Unsolicited, I call them. The unsolicited mail-in ballots, where people are sitting home and they just get hit with mail-in ballots all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, I hope you're going to be successful. I think it's actually a very important case, not only here but for the whole country. So I know you're you're really on top. I think we have about 18 of those cases throughout the country. In Pennsylvania, we have, and North Carolina. We have a lot of them, so we'll see." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "But you're one of the great leaders. Thank you very much, Ken. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "A man who's really been there when we need him, and he's he's been incredible for Texas and he's been my friend: Ted Cruz. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Ted. We spent a lot of time before, and we're working on getting Texas everything they need. And we'll bring it back." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Congressman Brian Babin. Brian, thank you very much. A warrior and a really terrific guy." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And Randy where's Randy? Randy, thank you. Randy Weber, congressman. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2406, + "raw_confidence": 0.7594, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And we have a couple of people who have been friends of mine, and I won't mention too much, but they got a little shot of COVID. And I understand they're going to be perfect; they're going to be absolutely fine." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "I want to say hello to Becky Ames. Becky, thank you very much. Beaumont you're doing good, right? Everything okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah, it could've been a lot harder." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, Becky. I hear you're doing a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah. It went from a storm to 185 and 175 miles an hour. And then, when it hit, it was and I think they say it was the most the strongest that they've had in Louisiana and Texas in 150 years. But the path was a little bit lucky, so we got a little bit lucky, so that's great." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "I want to also introduce Chad Wolf, who, as you know, we just took the acting away from his name. And you're doing a fantastic job Homeland Security. And hopefully, Ted, we'll be pushing that very hard, and we'll get him through quickly because he's done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "He'll he'll do it, all right?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Good. If he says it, that means it's a good sign. That's a good sign." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6697, + "raw_confidence": 0.6697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And FEMA Administrator Pete Gaynor, who's been doing this with me for a long time, and we haven't had a loss yet. We haven't had a loser. I'll tell you, we do it good and we do it fast, and we get you back up." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And everything, I think, Governor, has been signed and you're ready to go? Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You're ready to go. I will dispense with all of the different numbers; you know what they are. We just sort of did it. We were in Louisiana and we went through, and they have been hit hard. They we went through a couple of areas. I have never seen anything quite like it. You had trees ripped out from the roots. You had pine trees that were broken in half, not even from and you just don't see that kind of power." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So we went through something that was pretty, pretty bad. I don't think you got anything like that, and that's good. So we took the emergency declaration. We gave it to the Governor immediately. And Dan called about it also, and I appreciate that call. And between the two of them, that's a great one-two punch. The Governor told me that himself, so I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And FEMA has delivered 400,000 liters of water and 250,000 meals already. We've worked with the private sector to restore power to remaining 200,000 residents, and they think the power is going to be restored almost in very good order, I believe." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And all of the other things that we've been doing the infrastructure, all of the elements that we've been working on. And we're working very close with Ted Cruz and with John Cornyn, who I hear is doing very well, by the way. I hear he's doing he's a great senator. He's doing a fantastic job. And and we've been working with the Governor and with Dan, and I think maybe it'd be good if you would tell us how are we doing and what can we do and how can we help you, Governor." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, Governor. You're doing a great job in every way. In fact, I notice your COVID you say COVID-19. Many different names. At least 20 different names, right? But you call it COVID-19. That's okay with me, at least for today. Generally, I call it something else." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "But you're doing very well in that. You're coming down very rapidly Texas and so is Florida and so is Arizona has been incredible; it's down to its lowest numbers. So it's really it's really doing well. So, that's part of this." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And I like what you're doing with respect to keeping people separated during this problem with the hurricane. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Really great job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Great job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6771, + "raw_confidence": 0.6771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, I knew I knew he was going to be up, so . With him, I don't have to worry about that." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "No, I know. I know. I see the records." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Dan. I appreciate it. Ken? Please." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And say hello to the mayor. He'll be fine; I know it. Just tell him to get well." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You checking him out, right? He's very good." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "That's great. He's doing a great job. Thank you very much. Thank you, Brian." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Randy, very much. You're doing a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much. A very important state; a great state. And we're going to take care of the people of Texas. That's all there is to it." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You're doing a great job. Thank you, Becky, very much." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Judge, I want to thank you very much. I hear just the job you do is incredible. And I can see the passion you have for it. It's really great. We appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Do you think it'll work? Because I love the Army Corps." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "They happen to be building our wall, just so you know. They're doing a very good job. Ten miles a day. We're up to 300 miles. It's going good." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1857, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "No, the wall I know. The wall is good. The levee." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So that'll stop the water from pouring in?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "What do you think the cost will be of the entire project?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Is that part of the original approval Houston?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You know, the Governor, Ted, called me. He said, Would you do me a favor? Just one more favor. That's all I want. It's very small. I said, How much, Governor? He said, It's not much. Ten billion dollars. I said, Ten billion dollars? But he said that would really do something with respect to this tremendous flooding every time you have a hurricane." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And so your phase one really, phase one is what we're talking about, but you could do something, and that'll also take care of the Houston area." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2446, + "raw_confidence": 0.7554, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "We're not going to build it and we're going to say, Oops, it sprung a leak, and that's the end of that. It's a big it's a big project, but it will work, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Okay. If you guys do it, it's going to work." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "From law enforcement down on the other side, and you've done a fantastic job, do you have anything to say?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Greg, do you want to finish it off?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "It's my honor. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Do you have any questions for the Governor or the Senator or anybody? Anybody have any questions?" + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Probably so. We've had tremendous success, as you know. We were finally able to get the go-ahead from the local authorities to send in the National Guard. We sent in the National Guard, and within a few minutes of the Guard, everybody cleared out, and it became safe. We have that was three days ago. We've had absolutely no problem." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7914, + "raw_confidence": 0.7914, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "We sent in 1,000 National Guard, and that's not even a big force. We could clean out as an example, Portland: We could fix Portland in, I would say, 45 minutes. And the people in Portland should protest because the mayor doesn't know what he's doing. He has no clue. He doesn't even have a clue. And this has been going on for years in Portland, and it's now been going on 94 days." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1996, + "raw_confidence": 0.8004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And if he would call or if they would ask, or if the governor would ask, we would have we would have the National Guard in there in a very short period of time, and that would be cleaned out in a matter of literally minutes, and you'd have a safe Portland. It's ridiculous that they go on like this." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2081, + "raw_confidence": 0.7919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So, with Kenosha, it's been in very, very good shape from the moment they set foot in that area. The sheriff has been great. The police commissioner, the police chief has been great. We've been working with all of them. But the governor let us do what we had to do, and we cleaned it out, and we'll see what happens. We have to keep it going. But it's we won't have any problem." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, that's under investigation right now, and they'll be reporting back to me over the next 24 hours, 48 hours maybe, max. And we'll have a comment about it." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "But that is right now, we're being we're looking at it very, very carefully. What we are doing with it's a great state, Wisconsin. Great state. And they should not have to put up with what they went through. And so the National Guard has done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, I could have Mark answer that question. Mark? Please." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7941, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Director Ratcliffe brought information into the committee, and the information leaked. Whether it was Shifty Schiff or somebody else, they leak the information before it gets in. And what's even worse: They leak the wrong information." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.194, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And he got tired of it. So he wants to do it in a different form, because you have leakers on the committee obviously, leakers that are doing bad things. Probably not even legal to leak. But we'll look into that separately. But they were leaking the information as brought in." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "How would you you don't have that in Texas. Ken, you wouldn't allow that in Texas." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6627, + "raw_confidence": 0.6627, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "I guarantee Ken will not be allowing the leakers to be doing that." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So we were he wanted to make sure that it doesn't leak." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.575, + "raw_confidence": 0.575, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, I tell you, you've had tremendous storms in Texas for many decades and for many centuries, and that's the way it is. We handle them as they come. All I can do is handle them as they come, and that's what we do, and nobody has ever done a better job of it." + }, + { + "tid": "BBobSsYwRBw", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-orange-texas-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And we love the people of Texas. And, Governor, it's an honor to be with you. Thank you very much. Ted, thank you very much. Great job. Thank you, Dan. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, if you read the various political pundits, you would've said maybe that would've been the one. A lot of people think it's a dangerous choice. I think she is the most liberal person, supposedly, in the Senate. That's pretty liberal. But she is supposed to be the most. I'm not sure that's what the country wants." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I think, if it is, we have got problems. But I would be surprised if it is. She wants to raise taxes. She wants to get rid of your Second Amendment, no guns for protection, no nothing. She is very strong on the Second Amendment, getting rid of it, and very bad to the military. She wants to cut the military." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She wants to cut spending for the military and the vets. And, you know, I don't quite get the choice. But we will have it out. Ere we have a great vice president named Mike Pence. And he will take care of business, just like he did the last time against a different candidate." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1495, + "raw_confidence": 0.8505, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, that's 180 million people. And they love their plan, not like it. And they don't want to take it away. And if you going to socialize medicine, which is what she wants and support strongly, and it's what Biden wants, ultimately he's not going to have a choice, because his party wants it. The people that really control the party he will never control the party they want it." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That means you're destroying something that 180 million people love. They have a plan that they really like. That's a very hard thing to do, very hard thing to do. And, by the way, I have to say, Larry and Leo and Jeanine and your great Senator John Kennedy, who is fantastic, and Karl Rove, who has been so great, last you know, Karl and I had our disputes previously." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We like each other a lot now. He's been great. But Karl was great tonight. And I will say, that was some little precast I had on. That was very impressive. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, they were good. They were good." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1996, + "raw_confidence": 0.8004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, we are now energy-independent for the first time I guess ever. And we are very powerful on energy. And we when we had the pandemic hit us from China, which should have never happened they should have never let that happen. But there was obviously a lot of energy around. And we saved it. I saved it." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6312, + "raw_confidence": 0.6312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We called Russia, President Putin. We called the king of Saudi Arabia. They cut 10 million barrels of oil a day. And we saved the energy. And now, we are at $41 a barrel. But, more importantly, for the people driving cars, we are around $2 and even less a gallon. And that's fantastic. She's against petroleum." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She is against fracking. So is Biden. And that means you can't win Texas. You can't win Pennsylvania. You can't win Oklahoma or North Dakota or many other states. And it also means your electric bills would go up literally by 10 times. You wouldn't it wouldn't be even sustainable. And if they went with this crazy Green it's like child's play." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3158, + "raw_confidence": 0.6842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "If they went with the so-called Green New Deal, you're talking about a catastrophic for the country. You would probably have to close 20 to 25 percent of your businesses even to qualify. And they wouldn't function properly, because we don't have that kind of energy. It's crazy. This can't they can't power our massive we have these massive plants, some of which and many of which are being built under me." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1819, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The car companies are moving back from Japan and from other countries, coming in from Germany. They're coming back to America, first time in 42 years. And you can't even think about firing up those plants with the kind of things they're talking about. Wind is nice. It's nice. It's but it's it causes tremendous environmental problems, from sight to home values going way down." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4133, + "raw_confidence": 0.5867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "If you see a windmill and you hear a windmill, your home is worth half or less than half. It kills all the birds. The whole thing is crazy, what they want to do. And they will destroy the country. We have built the greatest. And if you see what has happened, we had the greatest economy in the history of the world, better than China by far." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We were lapping them. And then, all of a sudden, when the plague came in, we had to close it down. We saved millions of lives. And now we're opening it up, and we're setting records. And you even see the stock prices today, where the markets are Nasdaq is higher than it ever was. And the Dow is just about ready." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I mean, it's right at almost at the same level. Who would have believed that in the middle of a pandemic, which we are soon going to have vaccines and therapeutics. It's going to be it's going to all be good next year. We're going to have one of the greatest years we have ever had, if it isn't blown out the window by tripling and quadrupling taxes and regulations." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7283, + "raw_confidence": 0.7283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, the wall is well under construction. We have 281 miles up, 281 miles. That's one of the reasons that the border numbers are so good, because, wherever it's built, nobody comes through. You can't get through it, unless you're a climber of Mount Everest. That's about it. You would have to be of that talent." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, we have 281 miles. The rest is being built. By the end of the year, it'll be mostly finished. We may add another 50 miles that was unplanned for in certain areas that are little bit tough. So, we will make that determination. But the wall is built. You don't hear about that anymore, Sean. And, remember, that was like the biggest topic." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1896, + "raw_confidence": 0.8104, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "As soon as I won, the Democrats stopped talking about it. And when they stop, their co-partner stops. That's the media, the corrupt media, the fake news. So, you don't hear about it. But the wall is going up and having a tremendous impact. And it's exactly what the Border Patrol wanted. We designed it together." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And it's exactly what they wanted. They wanted steel, concrete, and rebar. I said, how about one? They said, we need all three for strength and for other reasons, security." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, that and, if you look at ICE, these people are incredible. They are taking out thousands of MS-13 gang members. These are the roughest there are anywhere in the world. They are crazy. They are crazy. And we are either bringing them back to their country, or we are not we're putting them in jail." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2255, + "raw_confidence": 0.7745, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "In some cases, we really have to put them in jail. We don't want to have to pay for them for the next 50 years, but we don't want to take a chance. They are so violent. They kill people with knives because it's more painful and it goes slower. That's what they say. It goes slower, and it's more painful." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7402, + "raw_confidence": 0.7402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We are taking them out by the thousands. And Guatemala, if you look at Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, these are countries that wouldn't take people back. Tremendous problems came to our country. They wouldn't take them back. Now they take them back. You know, we were paying them for years hundreds of millions of dollars a year, ridiculously." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I said, you mean we're paying them the money? We don't take them back. We bring them to the country. They wouldn't accept. They wouldn't let our planes land before me. And when I got there, I said, well, if they won't do that, then we are not going to pay them anymore. Once I said that, we stopped paying them." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And then all of a sudden, they take these people back gladly, with very, very happily. Mexico has 27,000 of their soldiers on the Southern border. And people aren't coming in now. They don't go past the Mexican soldiers, so, very, very few people coming in illegally. And then that's helped, of course, by the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, we have made tremendous strides. We let people come in legally. We want people to come in through merit, where they can help our country, where they can love our country. And that's what's happening. And the Democrats stay away. The I call them the radical left, because, if you look at the races, you look at some of the races that are taking place, all of these old, mainline, older mainline Democrats are being beaten by radical left, I don't know, I guess you could say anarchists in a certain way." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5222, + "raw_confidence": 0.5222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But the people that are winning these races for the Democrats Eliot Engel, he was a staple many, many years. And you know who I'm talking about, a staple, from a very nice part of the world that's going bad on us, New York. It's going bad. I left there. It was four years ago. It was a wonderful place." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You could see signs of badness, but it was a wonderful place. And now it's crime is up by many, many times. And what's happening in New York is so horrible for our country, what they have done. What Mayor de Blasio has done to that city in a short period of time is horrible. But you look at Eliot Engel, and gets beaten easily by the radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And the Democrats, that's where they are. They don't want petroleum. They don't want Second Amendment. They don't want religion. They don't want anything. It's it's disgraceful." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "No, but we really have some very talented people. It was quick. And we have some talented people. Yes, I thought it might be her, because, if you remember, she was going to do very well. She was one of the people that was projected to have a chance at winning. And all she did, as people got to know her, she went down." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She finished at two percent, probably less than that, and she fled. Remember how quickly? She said horrible things about Biden. The one thing I felt he couldn't do I mean, she took what somebody said about her some horrible things that were said about Joe, and she said she agreed with the woman that said them." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That was a terrible statement. And I said, you know, just that statement alone. But she made terrible statements. She essentially called him a racist and other things that were very bad. And you know, I said, he probably can't pick her, but let's do something on her, because people were saying it could happen." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we had others in mind also. We had some we had some other choices. She was my number one draft pick. She was the one that I thought would be the best for us." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Mike will handle it very easily. Mike is a pro." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8014, + "raw_confidence": 0.8014, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, first of all, what you said about Russia, \"The New York Times\" is fake reporting. It's a fake newspaper, as far as I'm concerned, and \"The Washington Post,\" likewise. I always try and figure out which is worse. And then you have CNN and, frankly, ABC, CBS, NBC. And but you have some good ones in between." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Locals are great. Locals, we do great in. I couldn't possibly be here. And on social media, I don't does anybody do better in terms of people watching and the importance of social media? So, we get the word out. But you know, the sad thing is, you have so many incredibly talented writers, journalists, frankly, including yourself, because I consider you really a journalist, to a very to the largest extent, the job you have done, because you got the Russia hoax correct." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6546, + "raw_confidence": 0.6546, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And your people that came on that show night after night, including, by the way, our great congressmen and senators, and senators you had John Kennedy on tonight. You have a lot of them on. But a lot of people got it right. And a lot of our Congress and Senate got it right. And they got it wrong, and they got Pulitzer Prizes." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.782, + "raw_confidence": 0.782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The Pulitzer Prize is worthless, as far as I'm concerned, because, when you have the Maggie Habermans getting a Pulitzer Prize, and she got it all wrong, she doesn't I haven't spoken to her in forever. She is like my biographer, like she knows everything about me. She knows nothing about me. And they talk about they have sources." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8074, + "raw_confidence": 0.8074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They don't have sources. They are made up. They make them up in their mind. They have no sources. I know when there are sources. But, if you look at \"The Times,\" and I guess \"The Washington Post,\" they got Pulitzer Prizes, and they were totally wrong. And they got them, I guess, before the end result. And there was no collusion." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7162, + "raw_confidence": 0.7162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And now this thing turns out to be a total hoax. And now it finds out that we caught Obama-Biden. That's why I didn't think that Susan Rice could get it, because she's part of this whole illegal thing that happened, which is one of the worst, perhaps the worst, political scandal in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And they got caught. Now let's see what happens. But they are caught red-handed. And but these writers the writers got Pulitzer Prizes. And that shows you, a Pulitzer Prize is worthless. And, frankly, you ought to start a petition to return the Pulitzer Prize, because they were all wrong. They were wrong on the whole subject of Russia, Russia, Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It was made up, fabricated. It was a crime that was committed. And you look at Hillary Clinton, where she paid for the fake dossier. And now the dossier is proven to be totally fake. It's a disgrace what happened. And no other president should have to go through it, Sean." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I hope it goes quickly. But this is the greatest political crime, the worst political crime, I think, in the history of our country. And I hope that they do it properly, because this is this affected this had to do with Obama and Biden, as well as Brennan and Comey and Clapper. And you go down to Page Lisa Page, and her lover, Peter Strzok, and McCabe." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But you look at all of these people, and they're all implicated. Now we're going to find out. Let me tell you, the Democrats play a much dirtier game than the Republicans. And I say that in a very negative way. It's a disgrace. They play a much dirtier game. They will impeach you over a phone call that was perfect." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Nothing like that has ever happened before. They impeached me over a phone call that was absolutely perfect. You couldn't have made a better phone call. There was nothing done wrong with that phone call. And they play a much dirtier game, a much tougher game than the Republicans. The Republicans, fortunately, much better policy, but they ought to get tougher." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1947, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The Republicans have to get tougher. And this whole thing with this mail-in ballot, that's a rigged election waiting to happen. It's rigged, and everyone knows it, because you can't send out 60 million mail-in ballots to everybody in the who knows who's getting them? The mailmen are going to get them." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And people are going to just grab batches of them. And you talk about China and Russia. They will be grabbing plenty of them. It's a it's a disaster. It's a rigged election waiting to happen. And it's just common sense. You wouldn't even have to know anything about politics or elections. It's common sense." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7597, + "raw_confidence": 0.7597, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And an absentee ballot is OK, where you send in for a ballot, they go through a process, and they send it to you, and then you send it. It's fine. But these mail-in ballots, where they send millions of them all over the country, it's a it's going to be a rigged election. And this country shouldn't allow it." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The courts have to step in. We are in many different courts right now. If the courts don't step in, the federal courts, you will never know who won the election. Just like in New York, they had an election with Carolyn Maloney, a third-rate congresswoman that I have known for a long time, third-rate. Well, she won, but they have no idea where the ballots are." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2492, + "raw_confidence": 0.7508, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Where are the ballots? Many missing ballots. Her opponent is having a fit. But they declared that because it was so embarrassing. Then you look at Paterson, New Jersey. They declared her the winner because it was so embarrassing. You look at then Paterson, New Jersey. Look at what happened there. Look at what just happened in Virginia, where they sent in 500,000 applications." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2364, + "raw_confidence": 0.7636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And they're most of them are to wrong people. They sent some to dogs. They sent two to cats. They sent people that are that passed away, dead people. They were sent to dead people, and 500,000 applications. This is crazy, what we are doing. And it's not a question of anything else. It can't work. It hasn't worked in little districts." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2075, + "raw_confidence": 0.7925, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Small, little defined districts, they can't do it. And it's an impossibility. Plus, the post office isn't set up for this. The post office is not set up for millions. When you look at what they did in Nevada, and take a look, where they are sending millions of ballots, and you don't have to have a confirmed signature, there is nothing to say that that person signed it." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, we should have voter I.D., Sean. We should have voter I.D." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So simple. So good. They don't want it because it's too and you're right. To get into the Democratic Convention, you need I.D., but to vote" + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2125, + "raw_confidence": 0.7875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "they don't want voter I.D. What does that tell you?" + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, it's ridiculous. And we should do the opposite of defunding. We should help the police more. They have been taken their guts have been taken out. And it's it's very sad. Now, we have talked to the governor. If you look at Oregon and you look at what's going on out there, we're willing to help." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You know, we need they're supposed to call and say, please send help. But, honestly, they have 10,000 great law enforcement people there. Really, they can take care of it themselves. But we'd be glad to send in the National Guard and solve the problem, like we did in Minneapolis. We solved that problem in one hour after they arrived." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We can do it in Portland so easy. We can do it in Chicago, a little more difficult. It's a different kind of a problem. One is anarchists, and the other are people that go around indiscriminately shooting everyone and themselves. But we can solve the problems, if they ask. They have to ask. We are ready, willing, and able." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7821, + "raw_confidence": 0.7821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We went to Portland to save the courthouse, if you can believe it, an expensive courthouse, a beautiful courthouse. It was going to be destroyed. It was going to be set on fire. And the mayor wasn't saving it. And the governor of the state wasn't going to save it. So we sent Homeland Security, 300 people." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And they it was very easy for them. They could've marched forward. They are not allowed to do that. They have very strong restrictions, unfortunately. And they were they surrounded it, and they protected it, and it's fine. And they are still there, by the way. You know, the mayor likes to say they're they are still there." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2413, + "raw_confidence": 0.7587, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They are to protect the courthouse. It's not for them to do anything beyond that. They are not allowed to. But we can have the National Guard go in and clean out Portland in a matter of hours, less than hours. But they have to ask us for that. And they don't want to ask. And it's not because they are too proud." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's because they truly don't have a clue as to what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, one reason is, they didn't care. They never even tried to get criminal justice reform, which is a big deal. And I got it. And nobody else was able to get it. And I don't think anybody else could've gotten it. And they never really tried. They never really helped the black colleges and universities. They call them historically black colleges and universities." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1547, + "raw_confidence": 0.8453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They never they never helped. And these wonderful people, like, 40 people, 42 people would come up, the heads of each college. And after two years of seeing them, I say: Why do you people keep coming back? Why are you continuing to come back? Well, we have to come back and ask for money. I said: Every year, you have to ask for money?" + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Every year? That's not that's terrible. And one man said something. A wonderful guy in charge of one of the colleges, the head person at one of these really good colleges, said to me: Yes, they make us feel like beggars, because, every year, they make us come back for money. And you have been doing this for years? They said: Yes, sir, we have been doing this for years. I said: We have to give you long-term financing." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we have to give you a number that's higher than you're asking for. And I did that. And Obama could have done that, too, but he didn't. He could've done that. And he could've possibly at least tried criminal justice reform. He didn't even try. I have done more for the black community than any other president, other than perhaps Abraham Lincoln." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you, when you look at what we did with Tim Scott on Opportunity Zones, it's incredible, the jobs that we are producing for African-Americans, Hispanic-Americans, Asian-Americans. But the jobs that we are producing Tim Scott is incredible. The jobs that we are producing, it was an idea that Tim had, and we took it." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1814, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we made it into an incredible thing, where jobs are being done. And areas that haven't been invested in, in decades are being brought back. It's an incredible thing to see. And we did these things. And Obama didn't do it. And this mostly helps the minority communities, the black community. It's incredible, what has happened." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's actually incredible, some of the things we have done. And we have tremendous African-American support. I will tell you that, Sean, tremendous. We have tremendous Hispanic support. And you know who likes the wall the best of all and who likes the border safety the best of all? The Hispanic, because they understand the border better than anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2347, + "raw_confidence": 0.7653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And they understand the bad people that can come in through the border. And they don't want them in our country. And the Hispanic appreciate more than anybody else what I have been able to do at our Southern border." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "OK. So, the therapeutics are great. We could have something very soon. And that's where you would go and give a transfusion or a shot in hospitals. And people are going to come out, and they are going to walk out pretty soon after that, and they're going to be in great shape. And we are having a tremendous success with that." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And you will be hearing about that soon, and the vaccines by the end of the year, and maybe before that, maybe substantially before that. We're having tremendous success. We are in stage three trials already. The previous administration or any other administration could've never been there. We are doing more testing than any country in the world by far." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1919, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And because of that, we will have more cases. We are testing people, we have more cases. If you don't test, you don't have cases. And that's called fake news gold, because they say, cases. That's all they say, is talk about cases. But what we're doing is the greatest testing anywhere in the world, the most and the best, best quality." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we are doing very well with it. All of these incredible people, they get very little credit. All of the ventilators we are now making ventilators for everybody in the world. We have all we can use. And it's hard to make and complicated and big and expensive. But we are making them and distributing them all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We have done a great job. And it's moving along. We're going to have the vaccine soon. And we are going to have therapeutics very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "Bf92LOx4SVw", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Thanks a lot, Sean. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "No, no. It's been horrible in the last 90 days" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "but no. It's been going on for many it's been going on for many, many years. It's like, you're in I won't name the city, but it's a city someplace in the world that's not so good, OK? It's a terrible situation." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Right, but they won't ever criticize anybody that's truly you know, that's a violent person, frankly, that's violent. They stick up for the violence. They don't the people that are getting hurt, they don't care about. They don't care about these people. It's a weird thing. It's like warped minds. And for the last 93 days, I've been offering to send in as you know, they have to take the offer. They have to make they have to ask to have help. I've been standing, and I've been saying, anytime you're ready we'll put it" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I think it's a sickness, actually. I think they're also there's a fear. I watched the way they treated this Mayor Wheeler when he was standing there. And I'll tell you how unfair the news is. NBC News didn't show that he was being shouted at and cursed at. And he ran literally, he had to run for his life. Because they were going to really hurt him. He had security. If he didn't, he would have probably" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "No, no. How he can still stick up for them I think there's a fear. I think he's afraid." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "and we put it out quickly. You wouldn't have Kenosha right now." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Look, he's a weak person. He's been weak all his life, but now he's really weak. He shouldn't be running for president. He should not be there." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, there it's a peaceful protest. I mean" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So, if it weren't Donald Trump's America, to just use the expression, as I'm president, you would have riots like you've never seen. The Democrats have lost control of the radical left. And if you look at Bernie and the I call it the manifesto, that was agreed to with Biden in his crew, that's further left than Bernie ever was. They won't be able to control these people. These people have lost they have lost control of these people. And it's hurting them. Don't forget, Biden wasn't going to come out of his basement until the election." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Because I am a tremendous fan of law enforcement, and I want to thank the law enforcement. They've done a good job. And when the governor says that I shouldn't come or he'd prefer that I not come, I'm the one that called him and said, Tony, you got to bring out the National Guard. Well, I don't really want to do it. Tony, you got to bring it out. And unlike your governor of Oregon, that just keeps saying no, he agreed to it at least. Now, he agreed to a small number, but the small number was plenty." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "it, because they travel well wait, the people paying them, those people will be overthrown, their lives will be taken away, their lives will be endangered. They're all going to be gone. They're just stupid, foolish people that made a lot of money." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Because they're weak people, led by weak people, in many cases, not all corporations are" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2819, + "raw_confidence": 0.7181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I looked at numbers where one company is giving hundreds of millions of dollars" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Oh, it's terrible what's going on. But, Black Lives Matter came into existence walking down the street screaming, pigs in a blanket, fry 'em like bacon. And that was about police officers, that was representing police. They were pigs pigs in a blanket, like the sausages or hot dogs, fry 'em like bacon" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Oh, I think even worse. Yes, probably." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Could you get I don't know, do you get worse?" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So, they have under investigation a lot in fact, I'll show you, I just had this, because of this very important interview with you, but I just and I'll give this to you. In Kansas City violence has decreased by a third since the initiative began, in Indianapolis 49 guns confiscated, more than 1,000 arrests have been made under the initiative. DOJ is addressing violence and crime across the country, FBI but you don't read that. The FBI and ATF are assisting the Portland Police Department. But you can't do much when you have absolutely no cooperation. I don't" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1885, + "raw_confidence": 0.8115, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "People that you've never heard of. People that are in the dark shadows. People that" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "No. People that you haven't heard of. They're people that are on the streets. They're people that are controlling the streets. We had somebody get on a plane from a certain city this weekend, and in the plane it was almost completely loaded with thugs wearing these dark uniforms, black uniforms with gear and this and that. They're on a plane." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you sometime, but it's under investigation right now, but they came from a certain city, and this person was coming to the Republican National Convention, and there were like seven people on the plane like this person, and then a lot of people were on the plane to do big damage. They were coming for" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Yes, this was all this is all happening." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6996, + "raw_confidence": 0.6996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "some very stupid rich people that have no idea that if their thing ever succeeded, which it won't, they will be thrown to the wolves like you've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, that's what they said last time, too." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "OK. I have to be aggressive, because I'm like standing here in a sea of incompetent people, stupid people, and violent people very violent people." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8037, + "raw_confidence": 0.8037, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "That was the Obama rule. It was a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I know the suburbs. Look, Westchester was ground zero, OK, for what they were trying to do. They were trying to destroy the suburban, beautiful place. The American dream, really. They want low income housing, and with that comes a lot of other problems, including crime. May not be nice to say, but" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.209, + "raw_confidence": 0.791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "He's going to do $4 trillion in tax increases. He's going to do things that are going to cost so much on the Green New Deal, which is which is done by a child, OK? That's the mind of a child because the Green New Deal is ridiculous. It doesn't work. They're going to do things under the Green you know, the Green New Deal, if you actually did it, is $100 trillion. That's more money than this country could make in a thousand years" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2311, + "raw_confidence": 0.7689, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Let's rip down a building and build a new one with no windows, OK?" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So I've done criminal justice reform. I saved the Historically Black Colleges and Universities. What they went through was for years, including Obama" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But wait a minute. I've done more for the black community than any president in the United States, with the exception of Abraham Lincoln. And it's true. Criminal justice reform was such a big deal, and look what Biden did in 1994. What he did to people, to black people" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5441, + "raw_confidence": 0.5441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Super predators, actually. He called them super predators." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "What the black community wants in this country is, they want police and they want law and order. They don't want what's happening to their communities. They're being affected in a much harsher, meaner manner than anybody else. That includes Hispanics, where I'm doing very well also. Look, they want law and order. They want the police. They do polls, and the polls are at 82, 83 percent. They want the police. They've gotten along with the police. And the police have been very badly mistreated. Because you have one bad apple, and it becomes the story for weeks" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4318, + "raw_confidence": 0.5682, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The police are under siege because of things they can do 10,000 great acts, which is what they do, and one bad apple or a choker you know, a choker. They choke. Shooting the guy" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2009, + "raw_confidence": 0.7991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "shooting the guy in the back many times. I mean, couldn't you have done something different? Couldn't you have wrestled him? You know, I mean, in the meantime, he might have been going for a weapon, and, you know, there's a whole big thing there, but they choke. Just like in a golf tournament, they miss a three-foot putt." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The call is being made, as I understand it. Yes." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2137, + "raw_confidence": 0.7863, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And the prosecutors go after people for political reasons, but if somebody kills somebody, it's like, there's nothing wrong with that. The prosecutors in New York are out of control. They're out of control. They go after political people. It's all Cuomo and your state attorney general and your prosecutors." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7943, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "You know, I went I won everything in Washington. Now, I got targeted in New York." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "That's the people they should go after. They have to get that and they have to put that person away for" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So I'm going to give it a very good shot. I'm going to give New York a very good shot, because the same people that voted against me, like me now. And you know, I won upstate big. I won Long Island. All the outside of the little circle in the middle, which is crazy because I built so many" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "things there, but outside of that circle. And I said it the other day. I said, I can't believe these people are happy. I can't believe they're happy, but you have to understand, a lot of people are leaving because of de Blasio and because of Cuomo. They're fleeing New York and they're fleeing" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7856, + "raw_confidence": 0.7856, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I gave him more than he asked for, and all they are is nasty." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "No, I think it was so oh, people are vandalizing it. People are so angry. It's built such anger. You know what's happening. People are going by there, throwing paint on it. They're vandalizing it. Because it was meant as a bad thing. What we've done for de Blasio is incredible. What we've done for Cuomo but it doesn't matter. New York is in serious trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3115, + "raw_confidence": 0.6885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And a lot of them didn't have masks." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I know he'd like not to. I mean, I know that because I have people representing us" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "What is strange, I watched the various debates when he was running against all these people, and they were killing him. He was so bad, but against Bernie he was he was" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I would rather have that. First of all, the media is unbelievable. But what I'd like is that would be the ultimate debate, two guys standing on a stage and you just debate it out. So, I know he'd like not to do the debates. I think he probably has to. I don't know how you get out of the debates. I think you probably have to." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, once you get to a certain number, you know, we use the word herd, right, once you get to a certain number, it's going to go away. So you know it doesn't have to be, but yes, I mean, a lot of people are not going to want to do it. A lot of people don't want to do the flu vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1996, + "raw_confidence": 0.8004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "You know, I never had the flu, but I never had a shot. I never had the vaccine. I come here, the first thing, sir, you have to have a flu shot. I said, why? Because you have to have it. I say, what's the percentage? And I wasn't thrilled with the percentage you know it's like 50 percent, 55 percent" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I said, look if I've never had it, wouldn't it be good and then I thought I should have it because I'll set an example. So, I had it. So, I've had it now three times, but and I still haven't had the flu. So, maybe I'll give credit to the flu vaccine, I don't know. I can say this" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4567, + "raw_confidence": 0.5433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "you'll I think we're going to have a vaccine very soon. A lot of tremendous work has been done. You can have a vaccine just like we have therapeutics, which to me are even more important, you go into the hospital, you make people better. That's, to me, the most. But and we just did the convalescent plasma. I think and you have other things, too. So, I think we're going to have a lot of therapeutics, and we're going to have a vaccine very soon. As to whether or not people take it" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6013, + "raw_confidence": 0.6013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But, if you add 35 to the people that have had it and to all of the other things, you know, people that have had it, where in theory you can't get it, although they found one person and they're making a big deal one person got it twice but if you add it all up it it gives you very good protection." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1988, + "raw_confidence": 0.8012, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I'll tell you I can tell you what is happening, Nancy Pelosi doesn't want to give any stimulus, we should have it. It wasn't the people's fault that China gave us this virus. China gave us the virus, whether it was through incompetence or on purpose." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I always tell her to go I always tell her to go back to San Francisco, take care of your homeless problem, take care of your problem in California, because there's nothing like what I'm witnessing out there. Right outside, right where she lives, right in her district is so bad, needles all over the place" + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1883, + "raw_confidence": 0.8117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, we should have we'd like to get it for the people, because it wasn't their fault, but she doesn't want to give it because that will make the economy a little bit better and that would be a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I get along with him very well. I disagree with a lot of what he said. He said keep it open for China. That was a big mistake and he admits it. I just I get along with him but every once in a while he'll come up with one that I say, where did that come from? I inherited him. He was here. He was a part of this huge piece of machine I didn't put anybody in charge. He was here. He was he's been here for 40 years." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "OK. He's been here for many, many years. But and I you know, you inherit a lot of people. It's part of the machinery. And you have some you love, some you don't. I like him. I don't agree with him that often but I like him." + }, + { + "tid": "BqIKDb46Pfc", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5368, + "raw_confidence": 0.5368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "It's been different because I've accomplished so much. On the military I've accomplished first of all, bringing many of the troops home and most of the troops home. Even cutting down Germany, OK? Because they've taken advantage of us like you wouldn't believe. But it's been different for a lot of different reasons. I think primarily because I've accomplished so much." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2009, + "raw_confidence": 0.7991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I think most of them are told what to ask, and I see them reading their notes and then they look up and they ask this really obnoxious question. Then I can respond to it. I used to love really sparring with them, but now we're getting down to final strokes. We just got a great poll, 52% in Zogby, which frankly was never good for me, and 52% That's a big number." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "That's a really good number. By the way, before the plague set in from China, it was over as far as I was concerned. I mean, we were doing great, and then it came in and we had to go back to work. Now we're doing great and the economy is going to be very strong. We're going to have a great third quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "But I think they're told actually, what to ask, how to ask it. What I do now is, if I don't like a question I'll say, Thank you very much. Bye-bye. And I leave. Frankly, I mean, I'm not telling any town secrets. What happens then is that everybody gets angry at the reporter that asked that obnoxious question." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.194, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I don't mind tough questions. What I don't think is fair are some of these questions that are really statements more than questions. They're supposed to be asking questions of the President of the United States, and if they can't do that, then I just do something else." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1948, + "raw_confidence": 0.8052, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "Well, you have one man who I think hasn't answered a question since July something, some date in July, long time ago. That's a long time ago. And then you have me. Here I am with you and I'm with everybody. I go to the helicopter and I'll take questions, screaming questions. I've answered every question you would imagine that could be asked, and I feel good in doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "The reason I do that is because it is fake news. I get so many There's so much corrupt It's really worse than fake. It's corrupt. Sometimes you'll see the evening news and they'll start off with the exact There was a line they used a while ago called manufactured. Something was manufactured. All three newscasts said it was a manufactured statement or something." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I said, Who uses that word? I've never heard that word used in politics. All of a sudden they're using the word manufactured, all three of them." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.303, + "raw_confidence": 0.697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "They're like a pipeline from the DNC. If you look at NBC is horrible. NBC is horrible. Concast It's supposed to be com. I call it con, because it's a con. Concast is horrible. ABC is horrible. CBS Of course, CNN is just It's just dishonest stuff. You look at it and it's Then of course, MSDNC We call it MSDNC is just atrocious, between them and CNN." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1919, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "You get all of this bad I really have no choice. If I don't answer questions, if I don't go out there not that I want to do it, but if I don't go out there and give an answer Oftentimes it's live television, which frankly, I like a lot better, because they don't chop it up into 15 different pieces where it doesn't make sense." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "That's happened to me plenty of times, too. I'm very happy to be answering questions because I have no other choice. It's one of the reasons I use social media to the level I do, because otherwise I'd have no voice." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2718, + "raw_confidence": 0.7282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "Well, over the years I've been to two or three conventions, unrelated to what I'm doing, which is a lot, to be honest. It's sort of a lot, considering it's every four years. I've always found it to be fascinating, never thinking too much in terms of running. A lot of people said, You should run. I had great success." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "Then they said, You should run. Then I did the apprentice and it became a very big hit on television. It was a tremendous hit on television for a long time. I decided not to do that. They wanted to extend for a long time, and I said, No. In fact, they chose Arnold Schwarzenegger after I said, I can't do it. That didn't work out too well." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I didn't do that. I said, I'm going to run. That's probably when I really first knew it, because I could have had a very nice extension." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "Even if you're rich, it's still a lot of money and it's a lot of prestige. You know, you have a primetime show, actors, major actors want to get onto prime time television and they can't. When I turned that down, I knew that I was going to run because that was really it. I almost ran in the I call it the Romney year." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "He should have won that race easily. That should have been a race that was won easily. He choked. But that was one that would have, I think, been easier than beating Hillary. That was second term Obama. He had a horrible four years. I think that one would have That was too bad. But I almost did that, but I had a contract." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I was building buildings and I wanted to get everything finished and perfect, and I did it the following Let's call it a session, because that's what it is. It's all sessions." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "But it was really something very special. I think actually beating Obama would have been easier than beating Hillary Clinton, because you had the first woman and you had a lot of things happening. But I think that beating Obama in the second term would have been actually easier. I'd been thinking about it over the years, almost did it four years before." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "We did it this time and it worked out. I think we're doing really well. I mean, nothing's over, but it would have been almost over had the plague not come in from China. Now I'm working very hard and step by step, and I think we're probably ahead. They're seeing the many things we've done, as you do, and as your network reports very accurately." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2006, + "raw_confidence": 0.7994, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "Well, I am four years younger, but that's not the big deal because I know people that are 78, 79 and 80, but I also know people that are in their 90s that are totally sharp, mentally sharp, even physically pretty good. Bernie Marcus, Home Depot You talk to him, he's no different than he was 20 years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7207, + "raw_confidence": 0.7207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I know many people. My father was in great shape well into his 80s mentally. They keep talking about, He's old. But I know so many people in their 80s and even their 90s, where they're sharp. I see them. I see them, a lot of vet A World War II vet, a Korean war vet, and I'll meet How old are you? I'm 97, sir." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2289, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I love you, sir. I have one, 100. He's, I'm 100 years old, sir. He's sharp as can be." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "So with Biden, it's not the age. I think there's something going on, but it's not for me to say. It's not for me to say. I do say this. Why isn't he being grilled by you right now, instead of me? Why isn't he taking any questions? Then when you watch I watched that fixed ABC interview. That was terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3081, + "raw_confidence": 0.6919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I like David Muir a lot, but those questions were terrible. The way he asked these really easy questions. The other thing is, Biden's always getting angry. He's so angry, which is a sign, by the way. But you can ask the simplest question You couldn't have been softer than David Muir was the other night at ABC." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "He gets angry all the time, and that's a bad sign. There are lots of reasons to be angry. I should be the one that's angry. I'm less angry, much less angry, and I should be the one that's angry, with all the phony stuff. They spied on my campaign. They got caught. Every day you get a subpoena for this one, that one, that one." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7916, + "raw_confidence": 0.7916, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "Just got another one from Schiff, shifty Schiff. These are dishonest people, and you can't do anything about it. Like Schiff, where he goes and repeats what I said in a phone call. It was a total lie, and we caught him cold. You can't do anything because he said it in the halls of Congress. It should be the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "You have to be more honest in the halls of Congress. So I should be the one, but Biden has great anger. I'm watching that as he's asked a very routine question and he There's something going on, but that's not for me to say." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "It's an incredible thing. We went to Texas. We went to Florida. We went to Ohio. We went to Pennsylvania recently, and North Carolina. You see the crowds on the street. Tens of thousands of people, tens of thousands on the highways, and they're all with the Trump flags and they're waving flags and the American flag, by the way." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5114, + "raw_confidence": 0.5114, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "The other side, they have very little, very few people with a Biden sign. Even though it's for me, I'm riding, but you rarely see By the way, the press will always say, Biden was heavily represented too. It's like, there was nobody. But, tens of thousands of people, American flags all over the place, which you never see on the other side, all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "I say it's incredible. I will say this. We had a 2016 election like no other. There is more spirit in this. There's more enthusiasm in this than there ever was, ever, for 2016, and we had unbelievable enthusiasm. We have more today, and that's because I produced." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7379, + "raw_confidence": 0.7379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "When you go back for just before the virus came in, the best numbers Employment, I don't have to go through it. The best of everything, no matter who you are, whether it's women or African American or Hispanic or Asian, it doesn't matter. The best numbers we had, the best stock markets, which by the way, are catching up within Right now, we've already NASDAQ and S&P are higher than they were even then." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "That's because the markets know what's going to happen. We're going to have an incredible next year, if somebody doesn't come along and raise taxes, which they want to do. But there is a tremendous feeling that we have for each other. I have, and they have. There's a great loyalty. In fact, if somebody isn't with me, like a senator or a congressperson, then they really don't get I mean, they're writing a lot of stories, but never get elected." + }, + { + "tid": "Bz0VPrewq-0", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chanel-rion-oann-august-26-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-26", + "claim_text": "We have a tremendous relationship together, and they want one thing. They want to make America great again, and that's what I want to do. That's why I'm here, make America great again. It's very simple. That's what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, we've been doing really well. We've had auto production, manufacturing, everything is really clicking, and looks like we're going to have a tremendous 3rd quarter jobs. We had the most jobs ever in a three month period. We got hit by the China plague. Which they should have never done, never, ever done." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're not going to forget it, but we're going to have an incredible 3rd quarter. As you know in Wisconsin, you had your best year ever last year, we're going to have an even better year next year." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well that's just an excuse they have. Mail-in ballots, other than absentee, which is a great thing, but mail-in ballots are very dangerous for our country. And the post office, look, we love the post office, it's losing so much money, so we have to straighten it out, but this has nothing to do with the post office, this has to do with bad policy by the Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2299, + "raw_confidence": 0.7701, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "All they want to do is have their people fix up the States that they owe so much money. I'll give you an example, so New York, Illinois, California, are almost at a point where they've been so badly, managed, what's going to happen, what they want is a trillion dollars to help get those governors, who are Democrats, get them even." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I don't want the whole country to be paying for that, it's not fair. So what we're doing is we are going to have a very good, very solid, and very legal election. If you look at the mail-in ballots, New Jersey, New York, Virginia, it's been a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I think just by doing a good job, Mike Pence has been a great vice president, respected by everybody. And Kamala, has anybody been more disrespectful than Kamala? To Joe, Joe Biden was mocked on the stage in debates about everything they call him from a racist to everything else. Nobody treated Joe Biden worse than Kamala Harris, and now he picks her." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7421, + "raw_confidence": 0.7421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I never thought she'd be picked because nobody treated him worse than Kamala." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1784, + "raw_confidence": 0.8216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well they're only higher, not at a high, but they're only higher, you have to understand I did criminal justice reform, I was able to get funding for the historically black colleges and universities, longterm financing. I have done more for the black community than any other president, except for maybe Abraham Lincoln." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's true. And nobody ever says anything differently. Opportunities, I did all of it." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3501, + "raw_confidence": 0.6499, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We were in great shape, the best numbers, best unemployment numbers ever. And then the flu came in, the virus came in and it changed it, but now it's coming back. And last month we reported great economic numbers for the black community." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3274, + "raw_confidence": 0.6726, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I would like to see schools open and I would like to see sports played. These are young people. They're strong. They have very good immune systems, better than mine, I guess right, better than people that are a little bit older. But I would like to see schools open, and I would like to see sports, but I would like to see football played." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We are going to see tremendous results. There's tremendous results happening all over our country right now. We're setting records in every way, whether its employment, other than the bad cities. When you look at some of these cities where they're run by liberal Democrats, they're rough. But we are doing better in terms economically and every other way than we've ever done before." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.209, + "raw_confidence": 0.791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And as soon as the plague is gone, we have vaccines coming, we have therapeutics coming, and it's going to be gone. And it's going to be gone soon. You'll see numbers, the likes of which we've never seen in our country before. Unless somebody comes along like Biden and doubles and triples everybody's taxes, in which case, that would be a disaster for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But you will see numbers the likes of which we've never seen before. You had the best year you ever had last year. You'll have an even better year next year." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well I think you were treated very disrespectfully by having the Democrats not come here, and the way they did it. I thought it was very very disrespectful." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3401, + "raw_confidence": 0.6599, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I think you were treated very disrespectfully by the Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "caCt4TvURzw", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7956, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kia-murray-wluk-green-bay-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I got $28 million for the farmers. I got tariffs off of Canada. I got tariffs off of Mexico. Nobody's done the job I've done for farmers, and the farmers are doing really well, especially since we're in the middle of a pandemic, we're in the backside, but we're in a pandemic pandemic. Nobody has ever done for the farmers what Donald Trump has done." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Two years ago, I was honored to tell John Ponder's story of transformation in the Rose Garden, on the National Day of Prayer. Today, I'm thrilled to welcome him back to the White House. John's life is a beautiful testament to the power of redemption. John grew up without his father. As he tells it, my mother was strong, but she wasn't able to keep us out of the gangs and off of the streets, and they were violent streets." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "At the age of 38, he was arrested for bank robbery. While Jon was in prison, he began reading the Bible and listening to Christian radio. One day he heard Reverend Billy Graham on the radio proclaim, Jesus wants to be Lord of your life. On that day, Jon dedicated his life to Christ. He spent the rest of his time in prison, studying the Bible." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2309, + "raw_confidence": 0.7691, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "When he was released, he heard a knock at his door." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "It was the officer who put him in jail, FBI Special Agent Richard Beasley, who said, I want you to know that I've been praying for you. Now, Richard and John are best friends and we are grateful that Richard is here with us today. In the last 10 years, since Jon was released, he has created one of the most successful reentry programs, Hope for Prisoners, in Las Vegas." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "I was led to speak there earlier this year. As Jon says, Hope for Prisoners is a movement that began as a dream, in a tiny prison cell and is now making a difference in the lives of thousands, truly bringing a hope that there is an opportunity and a community that is waiting and willing to offer them a second chance." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Jon, we honor your devotion to showing returning citizens that they are not forgotten. We believe that each person is made by God for a purpose. I will continue to give all Americans, including former inmates, the best chance to build a new life and achieve their own American dream and a great American dream it is." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Now, I'd like to ask John and Richard to say a few words." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Now, I'd like to invite Jon's wife, Jamie, to join us as I grant Jon, I'm not sure you know this, a full pardon. I don't know if you know that Jamie. Come on over here. It's just an honor. You have done incredible work." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "All of Las Vegas and all of Nevada and all of every place in this country is very proud of you the job you've done, bringing people back. You're right. I was supposed to be there for five minutes. I stayed for an hour and a half" + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Because it was so interesting to me. Congratulations" + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Richard, thank you very much for the job you do." + }, + { + "tid": "cD_hCit5DZo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-jon-ponder-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Okay. I think I 'll give it to Jamie. What do you think?" + }, + { + "tid": "CEW_sojcr2E", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. We're going to be making a couple of stops to look at some of the damage that was done. We're going to get it fixed it, we're going to help rebuild their businesses in Kenosha, and it's just been a great state, great people, and we're gonna it straightened out." + }, + { + "tid": "CEW_sojcr2E", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7083, + "raw_confidence": 0.7083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The violence has stopped from the time the National Guard came, literally, when they set their foot on this location, it stopped. So, we'll see you over there." + }, + { + "tid": "CEW_sojcr2E", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We'll do a roundtable after that, and we'll have plenty to talk about during the day. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. Now if you want to really drive them crazy, you say 12 more years. Because we caught them doing some really bad things in 2016. Let's see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7153, + "raw_confidence": 0.7153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We caught them doing some really bad things. We have to be very careful because they're trying it again with this whole 80 million mail-in ballots that they're working on, sending them out to people that didn't ask for them, they didn't ask, they just get them and it's not fair and it's not right and it's not going to be possible to tabulate in my opinion." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's just my opinion. We have to be very, very careful, and you have to watch. Every one of you, you have to watch. Because bad things happened last time with the spying on our campaign and that goes to Biden and that goes to Obama and we have to be very, very careful. Have to be very, very careful, and this time they're trying to do it with the whole Post Office scam." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They'll blame it on the Post Office. You can see them setting it up. Be very careful and watch it very carefully. Because we have to win. This is the most important election in the history of our country. This is the most For a long period of time, I would say, Well 2016, how special was that evening?" + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Was that one of the great... That was one of the great evenings but we have to be very, very careful and we have to win. Our country is counting on it. This is the biggest, this is it. Our country can go in a horrible, horrible direction or in an even greater direction and before the plague came in from China, that's where we were going." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5892, + "raw_confidence": 0.5892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We were going in a direction like we had never seen. The most successful economy in the history of our country, the best unemployment numbers in history for African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American, women, college students, bad students, good students, everybody. If you had a diploma, if you didn't have a diploma, didn't matter, you were doing well." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3141, + "raw_confidence": 0.6859, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Everybody was doing well and we were actually coming together. You know success brings people together, maybe better than anything else. Success brings people, so many times they say we're divided. Well we were very divided under President Obama, very divided. People have no idea how divided. They didn't talk about it as much, they didn't say it as much, but we were really coming together and I was speaking with Democrats all of a sudden because the success, the markets were at an all-time high and by the way, take a look at what's happening with the markets." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7703, + "raw_confidence": 0.7703, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Take a look at your 401(k)s which you probably do every hour. Take a look at your stocks. We're very close to breaking the record and NASDAQ has already done it. You know NASDAQ has broken the record I think 16 times already during a pandemic. Hopefully we'll call it the final phase of the pandemic. Biden the other day said no he'd shut it down." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "He'd listen to some guy say and he'd shut it down. We just broke a record on jobs, an all-time record. There's never been three months where we've put more people to work, over nine million people, and again, we're just about ready to break the all-time stock market record. I mean you look at it, we're just about ready to do it again and what that means is everything else is going to follow." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Very small on Wall Street. Everything else is going to be there, the economy is coming up very rapidly, our farmers are doing well. Our farmers are doing well because I got China to give them $28 billion because they were targeted by China. I got the farmers $28 billion, 16 and 12. That's why. So in spite of the pandemic and our farmers did a great job in supplying food and all the difficulties during this period of time, but we're getting ready to do things like nobody has ever seen before, but the best way to bring unity is success." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Success brings unity and we were there, and then we got hit with the plague but we won't forget that. I just want to thank the people of North Carolina because to be honest with you, I felt an obligation to be here. You have a governor is in a total shutdown mood. I guarantee you on November 4 it will all open up, it will be fine like most Southern states." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3834, + "raw_confidence": 0.6166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "On November 4, you know these Democrat governors, they love shutdown until after the election's over because they want to make our numbers look as bad as possible for the economy but our numbers are looking so good and frankly I used to say a V and people would say, Well maybe not. I don't think so. Some would say no way." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1891, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We have a super V, you're right. It's now looking like it's a super V. Our automobile numbers are incredible, both used cars and brand new cars, our manufacturing number is incredible. We're putting a lot of manufacturing jobs to work that the previous administration said you'd need a magic wand. You'd need a magic wand for manufacturing jobs, I don't think so." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4959, + "raw_confidence": 0.5041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I guess we had the magic wand, that's all, but again, we're putting them back, we're bringing them back. But think of your life just prior to the plague coming in. It was the best it's ever been. Your state had the best numbers they've ever had, ever had, by far, and we had the best employment numbers also." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1814, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We were up to 160 million jobs. We were never anywhere near that, and then we had to shut it down. We saved millions and millions of lives. We learned the enemy, we learned all about the invisible enemy, how it affects really people that are older, especially older people, the elderly, but older people with problems with heart and diabetes, with other problems, and we learned and most of the country is right now doing very, very well." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6719, + "raw_confidence": 0.6719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They've done an incredible job and to have a man sitting on television the other day say, Oh I'd shut it down. Oh I'd shut it. Like it's easy, shut it down. By the way, when you shut it down and we did the exact right thing, we shut it down, then we reopened and that's what we're doing now. We're well into it, but If we didn't shut it down at that point, we would have had millions of people dead." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Millions of people. You see the numbers, the job that Mike Pence and the taskforce and all of us together have done has been incredible, what we've done, what we've achieved, whether it's ventilators, whether it's supplying equipment to governors that were totally ill-prepared. Many of the governors were totally ill-prepared." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Nobody wants to say that but it's supposed to work that way, federalist, it's supposed to work that way. The governors are supposed to do it, and many of them did a fine job and many of them came back well. But most of them didn't have the equipment that they should have had. Few of them had the ventilators which are very, very complex machines and hard to make and hard to manufacture and expensive and we're right now making thousands of ventilators a month and we're sending them, we have all we can use, our whole country, every state." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7189, + "raw_confidence": 0.7189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're stocked, we're stocked and I always say and I'll say it again, there's never been a person that needed a ventilator that didn't get a ventilator. Every single person that's ever needed a ventilator, with all that you've heard with how much they said we didn't have again, I took over a country whose military was depleted and whose cupboard on this front were bare." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6335, + "raw_confidence": 0.6335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The cupboards were bare. We didn't have anything. We didn't have a thing. We had very, very little and we did a great job. We haven't been given And it's not for me, it's for the incredible people, the generals, the admirals, the doctors, the nurses and yet you saw yesterday convalescent plasma, you saw Remdesivir." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3427, + "raw_confidence": 0.6573, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You'll soon see vaccines pouring out years ahead of what they would have been under a more traditional, let's use that term because it's nicer, a more traditional administration where they would have taken years to come up with this stuff. We're coming up with it like nobody's ever seen before. The FDA, Dr." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Hahn I want to thank him, Alex Azar, I want to thank him. They've come with things and done things that have never been done in terms of speed and frankly in terms of quality. If you look at it what we're doing and what we're coming up with, drug companies are coming up with vaccines that are I've seen some results already, it's going to be very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They're in Stage 3 trials. It's unheard of. We wouldn't be there for two years if this were a more normal situation. So I just want to thank everybody for being here and again I felt an obligation to come to North Carolina. It's been a place that's been very good to me. You know we won a lot of victories here." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7636, + "raw_confidence": 0.7636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I haven't been doing this that long but I won every chance I had in North Carolina. I even stole a great chief of staff, Mark Meadows, right? I stole him from North Carolina, and he left Congress as a very popular guy. Could have been there for a long time if he wanted and he came in and by the way, you have a fantastic young gentleman going to take his place, he's a fantastic young guy and he's going to be a real star in the party." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "He's going to be a real star in the party. So I just want to thank everybody from North Carolina and I do want to show a little bit of a difference because another state that's been very good to me is Wisconsin and Joe Biden was going to have their convention in Milwaukee and they didn't go there at all, they didn't do this." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We did this out of respect for your state. We didn't do this for any other reason other than respect for the state of North Carolina. Because we said we wanted to hold our convention in North Carolina and I think you're going to remember that frankly on November 3. We wanted to hold our convention in North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So I did that out of respect, and if you had a governor that would have let us have some people. He actually told me this, we had an arena that holds 19,000 people, it was totally jammed, sold out, every hotel was full, everything, and I called him, he said, But we have a shutdown going on and according to the rules and regulations... Now this is 19,000, he did say it." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I don't think he'll deny it, but he said, According to the rules and regulations, the most people you're allowed to have in that room, meaning that arena, he viewed it as a room, Is 10 people. I say, So Governor, so I'm at 19,000, you're at 10. Can we work something in the middle. It didn't sound too good, so we really had no choice." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It was a terrible thing but I felt so badly because you could have I mean economic development money, all of the things that happen, but we decided, I was with Ronna, the vice president, everybody, Mark, and we said let's have our big deal, the roll call, let's have it right here and let's do it and I'm going to show up and I'm not going to tell anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Until a few minutes ago nobody knew I was coming. Nobody knew I was coming. But what's more important than the roll call? You're the ones calling it so what's more important I have to tell you, we're going to do a lot of things. I'm just going to go over very briefly because we're going to make a speech on Thursday night, I hope you're all going to be listening." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7662, + "raw_confidence": 0.7662, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Because I came in, I'm on Air Force One and Air Force One has more televisions that any plane in history. They've got them in closets, they've got them on ceilings, floors. They've got more You can't escape a television, and I turned to CNN and they didn't have this. They weren't having it, can you believe it?" + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They didn't have it. No no, CNN didn't have our roll call. Then I turned to MSDNC as I call it. MSDNC which is truly, it is a branch of the Democrats. It's a I wouldn't say fully owned corporation but it's certainly a fully controlled or they control them, nobody really knows who's controlling who but they had it on television." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3744, + "raw_confidence": 0.6256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I remember watching it, it was interesting. You see the difference states and we say this and we say that, the great state of Alaska, the great state of Alabama, the great state of North Carolina, the great state of all of them, and it's very interesting ... Carolina. The great state of all of them. And it's very interesting to me." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3185, + "raw_confidence": 0.6815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They had theirs on, but they didn't show it. Instead, they're showing the scam because they're trying to show the post office so that when their whole mail-in thing fizzles, they'll try blaming it on the post office. Okay. So they show in these hearings that are very boring actually and they're not showing you this either." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They weren't showing this. And Fox had it on, but unfortunately, Fox wasn't showing it too much because they had the announcers talking, talking, talking. I said, I want to hear what they're saying, the delegates. I want to hear what they're saying. So I think we had to switch over to CSPAN or to OANN or somebody." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But I wanted to hear them. But I can promise you a few things. Number one, we will not be taking the word, God, out of The Pledge of Allegiance. Okay. Like they did a number of times at their caucuses, so they took the word God out. I heard it. I was listening and I said, That's strange. It's sort of weird." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You've heard it all your life, right? Under God, under God. All of a sudden, those two words are missing. I said, Oh, he must've made a mistake. Maybe the teleprompter wasn't working or his book wasn't working that I have right here. Something wasn't working. I must admit. But the problem was then the next day I heard it again." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I said, That's not a mistake. And then they immediately went into a mode, Oh, no, no, no, no. We didn't mean that. No, no. We didn't say if for the convention. We didn't say it. No, that's where they're coming from. That's where they're coming from. You can say it or not say it. That is where they're coming from." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Just like with energy, they don't want energy. Not working well in Texas, by the way. I just looked at a poll. And by the way, it just came out that we have received 51% in the big and very important Rasmussen poll, and my numbers actually went up during the Democratic National Convention, 51%. So, think of it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I love this state. Think of it Thank you. I love this state. I like this place and you're from all over the place. But this has been a good one for me. No, but think of it, so we're at 51% in Rasmussen. Do you read about it? Do you hear about it?. You don't hear about it. They give you these suppression polls, where they do registered voters instead of most likely." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's supposed to be likely, likely. In other words, how about you, you're likely to vote. But how about you, you're registered, but I'm not voting. But see, under their plan where they send these ballots, you don't have to want to vote. You get the ballot and then they have harvesting. They get guys to go, Do you want to vote? No, not really, but I have a ballot. All right, good." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Who's it for? Sleepy Joe Biden. Now put it here, sign. Okay. Could I have it? And they'll take it. In fact, harvesting is illegal in your state. They wanted to put a Republican, a fine man, a pastor, they wanted to put them in jail because he harvested. Now they want to make harvesting legal all of a sudden." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1919, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They'll put him in jail as a Republican, right? If he was a Democrat, they wouldn't even be thinking about it. In California, they do the same thing. No repercussion. In North Carolina, you had a fine pastor, a fine man, and they got him on harvesting and they wanted to put them in jail. And now they want to make it all so that everybody can harvest because they know it's not a good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So people that don't want to vote are going to be sitting there, there'll be making them If you talk about 80 million ballots, it's 80 million, it could even be higher than that. I used to say 51 million, now it's 80 million. They said, Sir, you're a little obsolete with the 50. I said, All right, what is it? 80. I said, 80. How is it possible?" + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Think of it, they'll be sending them, they'll be dumping them in neighborhoods. People are going to be picking them up. They'll be bribing. They'll be paying off people to grab some. This is going to be one of the greatest scams. And it's common sense. This has nothing to do with politics. It's common sense." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7577, + "raw_confidence": 0.7577, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Anybody, you don't have to know politics, they're going to mail out 80 million ballots. It's impossible. They have no idea. Who's mailing them? Mostly Democrat states and Democrat governors. Well, supposing they don't mail them to Republican neighborhoods. That means they're not going to get them. So they're going to complain and the election's going to be over." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And then they're going to complain. And then they'll say, Oh, well, we didn't get it. Big deal. In the meantime, you might lose the election. This is the greatest scam in the history of politics, I think, and I'm talking about beyond our nation. And they act like they're aggrieved. Like by saying this, we're saying such a horrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're not patriotic by saying this. No, we voted during World War I. We voted at the voting booth during World War II. The pandemic, we're doing very well and people know how to handle it. Look at the crowds. They're doing very well. It's very safe. It's going to be very safe. If you have an absentee ballot where you request it, we're all in favor of that." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2131, + "raw_confidence": 0.7869, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Absentee, like in Florida, they have absentee is good. But other than that, they're very, very bad. There'll be millions of ballots. Take a look at New York, take a look at Virginia, take a look at New Jersey, all different cases. They just had one last night. Now they're thinking about recalling certain elections that took place with mail-in, and these are small elections that are locally based that are easy to run, not millions, but thousands of ballots, thousands, hundreds of ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1829, + "raw_confidence": 0.8171, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But these are small, and they can't control it. They said 23% of the ballots were defective. What does defective mean? It means fraud. It means a lot of things that we won't get into because I don't want to be accused. You see all the cameras back there. It's the fake news. I don't want to be accused of anything." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3728, + "raw_confidence": 0.6272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But what it means is they're trying to steal the election from the Republicans, that's what it means. In a very, very nice way, I will tell you they are trying to steal the election just like they did it last time with spying and we caught them, and that included President Obama and that included Let's be nice." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6829, + "raw_confidence": 0.6829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Biden. This could only happen in North Carolina. But that included them and they got caught. And then somebody said, Well, what are you going to do? Well, we can attack a president. Oh, I see. If it was me They say we can't attack a president. We caught him. We caught him cold and they say, we can't attack." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "He was at meetings talking about it. And by the way, this was spying before and after. And I think it's a disgrace to our country. I think we can never let that happen again. But now they're doing something that in a certain way is more dangerous because it's more effective. They spied on my campaign, you know what they found, nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But this is big stuff. This is stealing millions of votes. And it's going to be very hard. Now we're in courts all over the country. And hopefully, we have judges that are going to give it a fair call because if they give it a fair call, we're going to win this election. The only way they can take this election away from us is if this is a rigged election." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4364, + "raw_confidence": 0.5636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're going to win this election. We're going to win this election. I'm just saying we cannot have these live, we call them live, some people call them universal, I like the word live, these live mail-in ballots sent to everybody, including mostly people that never asked for them." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1564, + "raw_confidence": 0.8436, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Think of it. You're sitting there, you get a ballot. Here's the bottom line. It was just given that in the polls believe it or not because the polls try and treat us right. That's why I respect Rasmussen because they did well. A few of the others feel the same way, and they did well last time. Those are the ones that I look at." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3189, + "raw_confidence": 0.6811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The ones that did well last time and Rasmussen was very good. But if you look at it, every single vote that they have, every single vote it's going to be looked at. A man is sitting, or a woman is sitting, waiting for nothing, watching television, has no enthusiasm. Because on enthusiasm, the polls are saying that I'm up by massive numbers, not just a little." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I'm also way up on the economy, by the way, put at the top. Way, way up. But I'm up by massive, and when I say I'm up, I'm talking about we're up. Okay. So if you could but I'm up by massive numbers on enthusiasm. So our voters are saying, I'm very angry about this. I'll go to the poll directly and vote. But that vote is the saying, I don't care if Biden gets in. He doesn't have any enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "When you go to Ohio, when you go to Wisconsin, when you go to North Carolina, when you go to a lot of states, they have the Trump-Pence sign on every lawn. It's all over the place, right? It's all over. Indiana too. Indiana is great. Bobby Knight. We love Bobby Knight too." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you, we love Bobby Knight and Coach Oates and all of them. They love us. And we love them. Indiana is great. Thank you. But here's the thing. So if they don't have any enthusiasm, so you'd say, Are you going to vote? I'm not getting up to vote. Okay. I want to watch television instead of vote. All right." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But here's a ballot. It just got to you. And he opens it. Oh, here's a ballet. What the hell am I going to do with this thing? And then they have somebody knocking on your door and they're harvesting. Hey, have you gotten your ballot? Yeah, I have my ballot. You going to sign it? Well, if you want, I'll sign it." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Here it is. Get out of here. That's the most honest way of doing it, and that's unfair. That's unfair because now they're taking all of that enthusiasm that our party has, and we have tremendous enthusiasm. I think we have record enthusiasm. We have a base the likes of which nobody's seen, including these people." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5342, + "raw_confidence": 0.5342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Wall Street Journal did a fantastic story this weekend, a fantastic cover story this weekend on the base. It's an incredible base. Everybody here is going to vote everybody in our base. I mean, we have a tremendous base. They don't. They have no enthusiasm for their candidate. Because frankly, Bernie Sanders, they have much more enthusiasm for him." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2046, + "raw_confidence": 0.7954, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But Bernie Sanders, excuse me, again, he's the greatest loser I've ever seen. This guy can lose and be so happy. Hillary Clinton, I want to use nice language so I don't want to a use certain word. It starts with the word S-C. I don't want to use it because they'll say he used foul language while in North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So I won't do that. But Bernie Sanders got taken advantage of, is that okay, by Hillary Clinton, but worse by the Democrats this time because of Pocahontas, Elizabeth Warren got out of the campaign one day prior to the Super Tuesday vote, Bernie Sanders would have won every single state because Biden won by a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2288, + "raw_confidence": 0.7712, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "She didn't do well, but she took thousands and thousands of votes away and he stayed. If you add just a percentage of those votes back, that means that Bernie would have won easily the nomination. And I'm glad he didn't because he had much more enthusiasm. And he would have had a base, a much smaller base than ours, but equally, I have to say this, equally as enthusiastic." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1956, + "raw_confidence": 0.8044, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "This base doesn't like Joe Biden. They don't like Joe Biden. I think we're going to get a lot of votes. We did last time. People were surprised. Primarily because of trade because I know how other countries take advantage of us, and I understand that, and that's something that Bernie Sanders people really feel because I understand trade." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7845, + "raw_confidence": 0.7845, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I've done USMCA now. I got rid of NAFTA, the world's worst China tariffs. I mean, China had the worst year they've had in 67 years prior to the plague. The worst year they've had in decades and decades and we had the best year we've ever had. But we took in billions from China." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7935, + "raw_confidence": 0.7935, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We never took in 25 cents from China, never took in 25 cents. China for 25 years, and not only Obama, for 25 years China was taken in anywhere between 200 billion with a B and $550 billion from the United States. I give them all the credit, number one for being smart and outfoxing all of the people that stood here and their representatives, but China, we built China." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7711, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We helped build. We gave them three, four, $500 billion a year because before that, and before the World Trade Organization and they getting into it, China was flat line. China was It was after that happened. And then they took advantage of us because we didn't have people that were smart enough to see." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7915, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And by the way, Biden would be the worst of all of them because his son took out one and a half billion dollars and he gets fees on one and a half billion, which is millions of dollars a year. Give me a break. China will own our country if this guy gets elected. We can't let it happen. We can't let it happen. So, we have a big one coming. ... So we have a big one coming." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And just to finish, enthusiasm. So they take the enthusiasm now out of the equation, because they're going to go knock on everybody's door. Here, would you sign this? Yeah, I'll sign it. Nobody knows who the hell is signing it. And they now want to have it where the signature doesn't have to be verified." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1565, + "raw_confidence": 0.8435, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That's right. The signature doesn't have to be verified. And then they're going to play the game that we're not patriotic. What they're doing is using COVID to steal an election. They're using COVID to defraud the American people, all of our people, of a fair and free election. And we can't do that. And don't let them give you the Post Office stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4467, + "raw_confidence": 0.5533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The Postal Service, they do a great job. Lose a lot of money. I've said if they charged Amazon and these companies doing that, a couple of dollars more a package, that Amazon has to pay, not the customer. You know what happened? Post Office would start doing very well, thank you. Amazon dumps all the packages." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Why should we deliver it? We'll let the Post Office do it and lose a fortune. So if they charged Amazon, now of course, he owns the Washington Post. So when I get bad stories in the Washington Post, I wonder why, right? I wonder why. But I just tell it like it is, right? I tell it like it is. We've accomplished more." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6866, + "raw_confidence": 0.6866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We've accomplished more during the first three and a half years of this administration than any president in the history of our country. And I'm not even getting push back. I've been saying this for two years, for three years, I used to say for two years, for three years. But we've done more, let's say just about." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "This way they can't say, Well, somebody won a war, or something. Right? No, no. We've accomplished more than just about any administration in the history of our country. We've secured our borders. We've built our wall, which will be finished very shortly. We brought back manufacturing jobs. We've defeated the entire Defeated the ISIS caliphate and killed al-Baghdadi." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2298, + "raw_confidence": 0.7702, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We also killed the greatest, biggest terrorist maybe of them all, Soleimani. We killed Soleimani, right? And al-Baghdadi. We appointed 300 new judges. By the end of the first term, we will have appointed 300. It's an unheard of number. That's because president Obama was very nice and he gave me 142 openings." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3097, + "raw_confidence": 0.6903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And historically, you get no open. When you become president. First question, you say, How many judges? They'll say, None, sir. Because the other previous president, they want to It's a very important thing, federal judges. We will have appointed 300, could be even more than that by the end of the first term." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2046, + "raw_confidence": 0.7954, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I sat down, I said, first day, I said, How many judges do I get to appoint? They said, Sir, 142. I said, 100. Because you know what? He thought that Hillary was going to win. Right? And the Republicans did not make it easy, let's say. But if you have enough time, there's not much anybody can do about it." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1952, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We ended up with 142 judges. And now we've added many, many, and we're going to end up with 300 and two great Supreme Court justices. And remember this, I'm saying that I'm I'm demanding actually, a list. Let Biden put up a list of the judges he's going to appoint. That he'll take them out, like I did." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I had 25 and we're going to take it out of that list. And we're going to be announcing a list over the next couple of weeks with the judges that we had, plus we might add a few more. So you know exactly where we stand. He can't do it, because he would appoint It's not him. He has no choice. The radical left will demand that he appoints super radical, left, wild, crazy justices." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7666, + "raw_confidence": 0.7666, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Going into the Supreme Court, your American dream will be dead if that happens. It'll be dead. And by the way, the next president So I've had two. Some presidents have had none. I have had to in a relatively short period of time. But I will tell you that the next one could have two, three, four, and even five." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The next president. This is so important. This is so Whether you're talking about life, whether you're talking about second amendment, whether you're talking about military, this is so important. We have to do this. We have to win this election. But we brought back manufacturing. We rebuilt our military." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4495, + "raw_confidence": 0.5505, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We wiped out ISIS. I mean, think of it. When I came, ISIS was all over Iraq. The Prime Minister of Iraq was in last week and he said, I want to thank you for defeating ISIS. I said, Now, are you talking about me or the United States? You, because when you came into office, it was a mess. They were all over Iraq and Syria, and you defeated them, sir. I said, Good." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1833, + "raw_confidence": 0.8167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Tell that to the media, please. Would you do that? And he said, I will. So let's say he does. But we passed the biggest tax cuts and regulations cuts in the history of our country. We replaced the worst trade deal ever made, NAFTA, with a great USMCA deal, that's going to keep our companies here and it's going to be treating us very nicely." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I wouldn't say the other two countries were thrilled with it, but they were happy enough. And we did that. And that's another thing, they said, You'll never be able to replace NAFTA. You'll never be able to get it. And I got it. We got it through Congress. We fixed a lot of our broken and bad trade deals." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7661, + "raw_confidence": 0.7661, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're getting 40 billion now from Japan. We fixed a horrible deal that was made with South Korea. Remember, that was a Hillary Clinton special. She said, This will produce 250,000 jobs. And she was right. Except unfortunately, the jobs went to South Korea, not to us. She said it would produce 250,000 jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2301, + "raw_confidence": 0.7699, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And it did, to South Korea. And we stood up to China like nobody's ever stood up. Between the tariffs and the trade deal, which now Don't forget, when I made that the ink wasn't dry before the China virus poured into our country, right? The ink wasn't dry. So I view that differently than I would have, because it's done very well." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "In the last week they had the largest order of corn, the largest order of soybeans. They are doing things They're very smart. A lot of people, because they see my attitude. A lot of people would say, We're not going to order. They do just the opposite. I got a call last week, Sir... In fact, Sonny Purdue is here." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1902, + "raw_confidence": 0.8098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The great Sonny Purdue, Secretary of Agriculture. There he is. Is that right, Sonny? I got a call. They ordered the largest, it was the largest order of corn in the history of our country. Twice. Twice. The largest order of corn. The largest order of soybeans. Here's how smart, somebody else would say, running some country." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They'd say, Well, we're not going to do business with him. He's not saying nice things about... China's very smart. Instead, they order more corn than we've ever thought possible. Right, Sonny? Order more soybeans than we ever thought possible. And now I have farmers calling me up, Sir, we love China very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Please don't be too tough on them. It makes it very difficult, Sonny, right? We do too good a job sometimes. We've achieved American energy independence. And we're now number one in the world, by far. And I saw where these phonies, you know they want to end everything we've done. They want to end it. They want to go to wind." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2896, + "raw_confidence": 0.7104, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They don't even know if they want to go to wind. I think they want to just basically close up our country, because they've taken away our strength, but they want to do something. But, there is no such thing. Solar can't do it. I love solar. It's all fine. Very, very heavily expensive. Very expensive. But they want to go to other forms of alternative energy." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I think that's okay, except we don't have them. And it's not going to power these massive factories. And hydro, I love. It's one of my all time favorites. Hydro, I love. I have to tell you. That's the Great Dams. You don't see that too much. You know why? The environmentalist say, You can't build a dam there. But now we can, because we've done We've done things that nobody thought were possible." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Like example, the Keystone pipeline. We got that approved. The Dakota Access pipeline. They were all bogged down, right? Right? We've got things that they said you couldn't get done. We're energy independence. And they said, We want to ban fracking. No fracking. How do you think they'll do in Texas, Oklahoma, North Dakota?" + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7479, + "raw_confidence": 0.7479, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Louisiana is going to love it. There's no fracking. There's basically They want no fossil fuel whatsoever. Okay? No gas, no oil, no coal. No nothing. Okay. So they don't want anything. Now, they're getting killed. Because a poll just came out in Texas. Texas wasn't happy. They want no guns. They want no oil and gas." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3619, + "raw_confidence": 0.6381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And they want no God. No God. It's no religion, no guns, no oil and gas. I don't think you're going to do too good in Texas. George Washington could come back from the dead and he could choose as his VP candidate, the late great Abraham Lincoln. And you're not going to win the state of Texas if you have no oil, no guns and no religion." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. I don't think so. You're not going to win too many places. We eliminated Obamacare's horrible and very unfair individual mandate, which basically knocked out Obamacare. We knocked out Obamacare. We've protected your second amendment. So important. We're protected the second amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We've cut drug prices, first time in 51 years, we got drug prices down. Now, I'm really doing it. I did a favored nations clause. Meaning, we pay the same price as the lowest country that has the best deal. The companies are going crazy. The drug companies. They're taking ads on me. I said I went to Mark Meadows." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I said, Mark, they're killing me. They have nothing but cash. Okay? Big pharma, they call it for a reason. There's nobody that gives the politicians more money than big pharma. Nobody. Not even close. So I said, Well look, if you're not going to negotiate a fair deal, we're going to do a favored nations clause. To the top people, the biggest guys." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2035, + "raw_confidence": 0.7965, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They said, No, don't do that, favored nations. Favored nations, because you know, we have countries out there that are paying a tiny fraction of what our people are expected to pay. So if you have a country, Germany or others, they make By the way, UK, all of Europe, Canada pays 50%, 5-0. 50% less. In fact, people leave our country, go to Canada, and pick up their drugs and they come back home." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Can you believe that? This is the kind of difference. So I said, No, I want a favored nations clause. I also want a rebate clause. A rebate, where instead of the money going to the middleman, who have to be the richest people in the world. They get so much. They get more money, frankly, than the drug companies." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "At least the drug companies make a product. So I wiped out the rebate, where now it goes to people. And I instituted what's called a favored nations clause. And it's very simple. You have that in deals. It's whatever the lowest price in the world, we're the biggest purchaser of prescription drugs by far in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So whatever the lowest price is that other countries pay. So if you have a country paying 25 cents for a pill and we're paying $2.50 cents, and it's not such an exaggeration, believe me, then we get it for 10. So what happens is that doesn't work. So they'll go up a little bit. We'll come way, way down. So I said, Favored nations." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1909, + "raw_confidence": 0.8091, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I want to pay what the lowest price is anywhere in the world. We're the biggest purchaser, we want a favored nations. They had a heart attack. And then I signed it. They didn't believe it. And now what they're doing is they have ads, millions and millions of dollars worth of ads, that I've been horrible to the people because of drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I believe in socialism. Socialism. You know why? Because some of the socialistic countries get the lowest price. So the only thing I have with socialism is I wanted to get their price. Okay. That's the only thing. Other than that is our country will never be a socialist country. So we cut drug crisis." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And you could get cuts. You could get cuts. You could get cuts as much as 50, 60 or 70%, maybe even more than that, on prescription drug prices. And wouldn't it be a kick I'll use this, wouldn't it be a kick in the ass if I lost and sleepy Joe is president, and this thing kicks in right about soon, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "In 30, 40 days. And people wake up after the election. Boy, Biden's done a great job. My drug prices just went down by 70%. What a great My drug prices just went down by 70%. What a great president he's been. He's great. And sleepy Joe would say, I thought about that, but everybody knew about favorite nations, but nobody had the guts to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I'll tell you, I was called by many politicians, please don't do it, sir. Please. I said, why? They don't want to tell me why. I know why. Because they're politicians and they've been helped out and I guess we have to understand that too. But the fact is that we signed a favorite nations clause and a rebate clause, and your numbers are going to come down 60, 70%. And I hope you remember that on November 3rd, because nobody but me would ever do it." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7802, + "raw_confidence": 0.7802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The other thing I've done aside from very strongly protecting your Second Amendment, which was not easy. That was not easy. And by the way, they will take your guns away as sure as you're standing or sitting there. They will take your guns away, either that or obliterate the Second Amendment, the right to bear arms." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1982, + "raw_confidence": 0.8018, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You have the right to bear arms, especially when you look at a Portland and you see how weak those Democrats are. The governor, the mayor, how pathetic they let them riot every night. We're saying, let us come in and solve your problem. We will solve it for you in one hour just like we did in Minneapolis, Minnesota, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2036, + "raw_confidence": 0.7964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Five nights, six nights, they have to ask us in. Let us come in. We'll solve your problem. They're almost used to it. This is the way our whole country would be if you ever let a thing like this happen, our whole country would be. So we protected your preexisting conditions, very strongly protected and you don't hear that." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But we very strongly protected your preexisting condition. So we got rid of the horrible individual mandate, which cost everybody a fortune and we strongly protected. Every Republican is sworn to protecting your pre existing conditions. It's very important. You won't hear that. You won't hear that from the fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We passed Right to Try. We passed VA Accountability and VA Choice. We mobilized the largest response since the Second World War. We are doing an incredible job on the China virus, but I'm going to talk to you about that Thursday night. Will anybody be listening on Thursday night? And just very quickly, in the second term among many other things, we'll continue with our military." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3145, + "raw_confidence": 0.6855, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We built the strongest military by far. It was depleted. A nice Marine back there. It was depleted like you wouldn't believe. We have the best jets and rockets and equipment of any kind, tanks. Tanks made in Ohio. Lima. Tanks made in Ohio. So we're going to create 10 million jobs, I think very easily, in the first 10 months." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They want to raise your taxes. All my life I've heard as a politician, you like to lower taxes, right? This is the only election where somebody said we're going to raise your taxes. They're going to raise your taxes, quadruple your taxes. They're going to add on to the regulations. There all of these projects that we got started that are great projects, they won't be able to get built." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So they're going to raise your taxes. They're going to raise your regulations, make it impossible to build a highway. It used to take 17 years, 18 years, 20 years, 21 years, long time in some cases, to get approval to build a highway, right? We have it down to two years now, we're going to have it down to one." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And it may get rejected for environmental or safety reasons, but we're going to know it very quickly. We're not going to take 17 years. We could name highways. They took forever. End up costing a hundred times more and they're not as good. Some of them go in circles, I mean, to get to a point. They want to say let's spend 37 million to look, we've got to be smart." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Got to be smart. We've got to win an election. Also, we're going to create tax credits for companies that bring our jobs back from China and other countries and impose tariffs on countries that take advantage of the United States. They've been taking advantage of us for years and years, and I've already done it in certain cases." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We have countries that tariff us and we don't tariff them. So they tariff us. It's very simple. It's called reciprocal. They tariff us, we tariff them. We are going to fully fund law enforcement and hire more police. We're going to go with school choice and we've made a lot of progress on school choice for every student in America." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're going to continue to expand opportunities zones. There has been nothing better. Don't forget. It was us, us together that got criminal justice reform done. The greatest thing for the black community, African American community. They came and they said, We can't believe it. Obama didn't even try. And not only that, I got funded, the historically black colleges and universities." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1958, + "raw_confidence": 0.8042, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I got them funded. They weren't funded. They were year to year. They didn't know if they were going to be around for another year and they'd come in to the White House. And after three years, I said, Why do you guys keep coming back? Well, it's a year to your deal. I said, That's not fair. So you have to come back every year. And we got them longterm financing and longterm funding." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Nobody's done more for the historically black colleges and universities than Donald Trump. Nobody. Nobody's done more for the African American community. No president has done as much as anybody since, I mean, since, and I say it, since Abraham Lincoln. It's true. It's true. Criminal justice reform, opportunity zones with Tim Scott of South Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "He's a great senator, he's a great gentleman. Tim Scott is fantastic. Opportunities zones. But think of it, criminal justice reform, opportunity zones, the colleges and universities. What we've done has been amazing. But the most important thing is prior to the virus, the greatest job numbers in the history of the African American community, the Hispanic community and the Asian, as I said." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank everybody. We're going to get rid of our sanctuary cities as soon as we can so that they don't protect. We put NASA back in action. NASA had grass growing through its runway. It had grass growing through the cracks of its runways. It was closed, essentially, just a disaster. Now it's the number one space center anywhere in the world by far." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2728, + "raw_confidence": 0.7272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You saw the ships going up. And for some reason, a lot of rich people like rockets going up. And so we say, let's lease them our beautiful launching areas and let them send all the rockets, let them pay for it. But we'll be landing on Mars. We're going to the moon. We're go into Mars. We'll be the first on Mars." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Let's see if that happens. We have to do it. If we hear it's going to happen. If somebody else is here, you're probably not. But I just want to, again, thank I want to thank you from the bottom of my heart. You're incredible warriors. You have incredible strength. You have unbelievable intelligence and patience." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's a combination of both. I don't know which is greater, the intelligence or the patience, but let's assume it's the intelligence. But I have to tell you, I think we have the greatest base of support anywhere at any time, any election and people are starting to find that out. They found it out in 2016. And I will be honest, this election, I believe we have far greater enthusiasm in this election." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And we had a level that was a record because they still don't believe what happened. They said, Where are all these people coming from? Right? People that were great Americans that never voted, because they didn't like who they were watching or looking. People were great, they didn't vote. I'll never forget, a Congressman from Tennessee came up." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They do very early voting. Tennessee, a great state. And they had just started voting. And I was in Pennsylvania making a speech. And he said, Sir, I don't know. I can't speak for anybody, but I'm from Tennessee and I've been doing this for a long time. He said, I've never seen anything like it. People are coming from the valleys and the hilltops." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And they're coming from the cities. They're coming from all over. I never say, they're coming out of the rivers. They're coming along those beautiful war fields that we have. They're coming from everywhere, sir. I've never seen anything like it. But if other States are like Tennessee, you're going to win this election." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "He was the first one to say it. He was the first one. They came from the mountains. They came from everywhere. He said, I've never seen anything like it. And people they'd be having Trump pins and the hats. These are people that never were political people. They never wore a pin in their life having to do with politics." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's been an incredible experience for me. It's been an incredible experience, I think, for everyone. And I'll tell you what, next year is going to be an incredible it's going to be a great, great year. It's going to be a year of tremendous success. We're fighting off this horrible thing that was delivered by China." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And it was by China and we're never going to forget it and I let them know. We're never going to forget what they did because you know what? We're going to do great economics the best year in the history of your state, but we're going to do better economically than we did last year. But we can never forget the 175,000 people, which will go up." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2182, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Remember this though, we saved millions because if we didn't move and if I didn't put the ban on highly heavily infected people coming to our nation from China, that everybody told me not to do. Months later, they were saying we shouldn't and then they all either apologized or admitted it was right. And Europe." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I did Europe too, very early. If we didn't do that, our numbers would be at a level like you wouldn't believe. So, I just want to thank everybody for this incredible support. Be very, very careful. This is going to be, and I really believe this. This is the most important election in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "Cm9K9_2kMew", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-republican-national-convention-charlotte-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Don't let them take it away from you. Don't let them take it away. North Carolina, we love you. That's why I'm here. Thank you very much. Very special people. Thank you. God bless you all. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you. I want to thank you very much your workers I want to explain this to the fake news. Your workers we wanted to see you in town we couldn't because of the coronavirus which we are working very hard on. We are doing a job and a lot of good numbers, a lot of good things are happening including vaccines and therapeutics but I just wanted to let you know I thank you for coming out here." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They said you have a maximum number that you can have and that is all we are allowed so you are a very special group and thank you all for coming out here. Thank you. So I am thrilled to be back in Ohio and proud of the hard-working patriots of the Buckeye State. Four years ago I came here, right here, that was an amazing four years ago was in it when you think how time flies?" + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Right here to Cleveland to accept the Republican nomination for president of the United States and we have worked hard and we have done some job and they are finally starting to recognize it and they will see. Do you know when they are going to recognize it? On November 3, that is when they are going to recognize it." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Three months from now on November 3 we will once again win the State of Ohio like we did last time. I just spoke to Bob and he said we are doing better than we did last time and I think we won it by almost 9 points and he said we are doing better than last time. Thank you, Bob. But we are looking forward to beat to really, I mean look we are running against a radical left ideology, their messenger is sleepy Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "He doesn't know he does know what it with the message is but he's going to do whatever they tell them to do, you know it because he's not all there. I want to just say that a very good friend of mine just tested positive. Do you know that? Our great governor, the governor of Ohio, DeWine just tested positive just here and we want to wish him the best." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "He will be fine. I guess he is going for a secondary test. I just said I look forward to seeing the governor. They said sir, he just tested positive but he's a great guy. He's a fantastic job and your Lieutenant John Husted is here someplace. John, hi John. Thank you, John very much. Also House Speaker Bob Cupp." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Bob. Thanks, Bob. Republican candidate for Ohio's 13th District Christina Hagan. Christina, come here. Come up here, John. Just come up here. Bob, come up here. Come on over here. I don't know if they hear me with these crazy speakers, but whatever. Just social distance Christina right there, Christina." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So listen, you have a guy really he is so terrible Tim Ryan, this woman is incredible you got to let her win. Tim Ryan, he talks, and he talks, and he talks gets nothing done. What I mean, we have to beat this. He only talks about jobs he does nothing. We have in Christina an incredible candidate, incredible in every way." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "She will work so hard for you. Tim Ryan goes out he runs for President he got zero, zero, zero, zero. All talk so I hope Christina they're going to put you there. You have my complete and total endorsement. And that has meant a lot, that has meant a lot. I think it's about 244 to 2 or 3 or something so I don't want you to be number four, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "You are going to get it and fellas you are doing a great job. We appreciate it. Say hello to the governor too. But we will finish this up. Thank you very much. Christina, thank you very much. Good luck. We are with you all the way, Christina. We have got to win. Also we have our Republican Party Chairwoman Lisa Stickan." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Hi, Lisa. Thank you, Lisa. Great job you are doing. Thank you. Are we doing good, Lisa? Good. And we have as you know Gene Scalia. Good good bloodline. Gene Scalia, there he is and Bob who was with me from day one in Ohio, and he has done a fantastic job. So I've come to visit the workers of the great state and a great American company whirlpool." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2106, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They had a lot of problems until I got involved and now they are doing great. It's the largest washing machine manufacturing facility in the world. It is in Clyde, Ohio, you know that, and that is where I am going. Under the last administration, the men and women of Whirlpool saw their job and factories targeted for destruction and yet you know the story, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2651, + "raw_confidence": 0.7349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Vice President Biden he's a real beauty; he let it happen. Foreign-made washing machines were dumped in our market below cost in order to put Whirlpool out of business and yet the Obama administration with Joe Biden watching over freely allowed this grave injustice to continue. They let other countries pillage American jobs, lay waste to American communities, and eviscerate American middle class." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1565, + "raw_confidence": 0.8435, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So they allowed things to happen which should never have happened to you when we're brought it back, and you know that we have brought it back. Under my administration all of that has changed. We stood up to the foreign cheaters, we defended American jobs, we imposed massive tariffs on foreign washing machines, and we saved the workers of Whirlpool." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And everything we do, we are finally putting America first. That's right. During Joe Biden's five decades in Washington think of it he's been in public office for 47 years he's done nothing now he's going to fix everything. Doesn't work that way. And I wouldn't say he's at the top of his game, would you?" + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Do you think? But he supported every single globalist attack on American workers. Joe Biden's policies put China first and America last, and that is what he will continue to do if he ever got the shot, and you will have a disruption in the market the likes of which our country has never seen. You will have a crash in the markets because he's going to double and triple your taxes; he's going to do things that nobody ever would ever think even possible because he's following the radical left agenda." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2518, + "raw_confidence": 0.7482, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Take away your guns, destroy your Second Amendment, no religion, no anything, hurt the Bible, hurt God. He's against God. He's against guns. He's against energy, our kind of energy. I don't think he's going to do too well in Ohio. If he did, we would have a big story. He's not going to do well. I was in Texas the other day I said wait a minute the other side is against guns." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They are against oil and gas. They are against religion, Bible, God. How's he going to win Texas? How's he going to win Texas? So he's not going to win Texas. He's not going to win Ohio. Bob told me we're better now in Ohio than we were four years ago. I will take the same victory. But I think we're better." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7099, + "raw_confidence": 0.7099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So I just want to tell you that my first week in office, I canceled the Transpacific Partnership, which was a disaster. I canceled the so-called clean water power plan the clean power plan, which only had a nice name it took all of your land away. I have been given more credit for that maybe than anything." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1952, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "It gave you back your rights, it gave you back your freedom. I canceled the so-called clean power plan, withdrew the United States from unfair Paris Climate Accord which was costing us a fortune which was meant against us, which was pitted against us and ended the war on American energy. We are now number one in the world in energy, energy production." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2508, + "raw_confidence": 0.7492, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We renegotiated the Korea trade deal, which was a disaster. I imported and came in with what we took into our country and then put out, but most importantly, I imposed historic tariffs on China and stood up to China's rampant trading abuses. They had the worst year and 67 years, we had the best year we've ever had, and now we're going back to that again." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And then, of course, I passed the largest tax cuts in the history of our country and the largest regulation cuts in the history of our country. We got rid of all of those job-killing regulations, and that is one of the reasons that not only did we do well but we're doing well and you'll see numbers coming out." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They're coming out very well. Including look at the stock market. We're almost at an all-time high and NASDAQ a month ago just hit the highest it's ever been. So to me, that means jobs. One of the things I did in Lima, do you know Lima? We saved your tank plant. And I came in and was gone and I said give me a tour of the tank plant and we went to Lima." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I went looked at it. I said, supposing we need tanks? Well, I have this we have to buy them overseas. That's no good and I said I canceled the order to say I saved it and now it's doing business like is never done before and I'm very proud. That was a very personal thing for me. When I went through that plant I'm pretty good at this stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "When I went through that plant, I said you can't rebuild this and, more importantly, you'll never get people that can build. They're very, very complicated and complex and I said you'll never get people to do this job again. So I just want to thank you. You've been with me, all of you from the beginning." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I want to thank you. We're taking a helicopter ride. You know where were going over to Whirlpool. I wanted to thank you. I wanted to say you're a very special group of people. We're going to win bigger in Ohio now than we did four years ago. And were very proud of what we've done. We built the greatest economy in the history of the world, better than any other nation by far, and then the plague was released by China whether it was incompetent or other reasons, it got out." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2049, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "It didn't get out to China, but it got out to the U.S. and to Europe and to a lot of other countries. 188 countries and we will not forget that. We will not be forgetting that. But now we're rebuilding. We closed it, we saved millions of lives and now we're reopening. We want our schools open, we want our buildings open, our our office buildings open." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We want to get back to business and we're doing it and it's looking more and more like, just as I predicted, it's going to be a V. Did you see yesterday? Auto production, one of the highest numbers they've ever seen. Used car sales, one of the highest numbers I think the highest number that ever seen. Those are big numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "CsxRxo9Mts8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-economy-cleveland-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So we're doing really well. We're going to have a tremendous third quarter, but were going to have a fantastic next year. Ohio, I love you and I love all of these incredible workers. Thank you. Right from the beginning. Thank you very much and I'll see you soon. We're going to go and help Whirlpool right now. So long, everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "d-ZMjUIjmyA", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-airport-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. over there in two seconds. Thank you very much, everybody. It's great to be with you. I'm going to a battleship. Did you ever hear of a battleship... The North Carolina, right? So we're going to say hello to some of our incredible veterans, and it's really... Boy, this is a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "d-ZMjUIjmyA", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-airport-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "I thought there might be a few people. So we won a big race in 2016 and they say the enthusiasm right now is far greater than even 2016. I have to say this: this is the most important election in the history of our country. I really believe that. Because we're running against people that have got some big issues." + }, + { + "tid": "d-ZMjUIjmyA", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-airport-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "They've got some big, big problems. They're stone-cold crazy, and we have to keep our country. As you know, Joe Biden, he doesn't have a clue. We can't let it happen to our country. We're making strides. You know, the stock market's hitting another high. That means your stocks, your 401(k)s. We have to do what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "d-ZMjUIjmyA", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-wilmington-airport-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "The country's coming back really strongly. I'm going to say hello to this group, then I'm going to say hello to that group, and then I'll say a few words in the middle, okay? Thank you. I'll be right there. Yeah, if you could just hold that for just hold it." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Well, thank you very much. Please. Great honor to have you the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we're here today to celebrate the passage of truly landmark legislation that will preserve America's majestic natural wonders, priceless historic treasures and that's exactly what they are grand national monuments, and glorious national parks. This is a very big deal. And from an environmental standpoint and from just the beauty of our country standpoint, there hasn't been anything like this since Teddy Roosevelt, I suspect." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "In a few moments, I will proudly sign the Great American Outdoors Act into law. And so many of the people here today have been so involved, and I'll be introducing you, and some will say a few words. And we really appreciate what you've done for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2255, + "raw_confidence": 0.7745, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "For more than 50 years, Congress has struggled to adequately fund land and water conservation, leading to a never-ending backlog of maintenance and other critical needs in our parks and public lands. And I've been hearing about this for years. I've been watching it and hearing about it for years." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2714, + "raw_confidence": 0.7286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Today, more than 5,500 miles of road, 17,000 miles of trails, and 24,000 buildings are in critical need of repair; they have been for a long time. Many are closed, boarded up. They thought it was less expensive to close them than it was to repair them. Some are magnificent, too." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, I called on Congress to pass legislation that would end this maintenance backlog once and for all. Today we're making the most significant investment in our parks since the administration of the legendary conservationist President Theodore Roosevelt. This landmark legislation would not have been possible without the incredible leadership and hard work of two outstanding senators in particular, and two fine people, Cory Gardner and Steve Daines. I want to thank you both." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I also want to thank Senators Rob Portman, Lamar Alexander, Martha McSally, John Hoeven, and Representatives Don Young, Jeff Fortenberry, and Tom Reed. And I think they're all here, right? Yes. Hi, Rob. Good. Good. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We're honored also to be joined by Vice President Mike Pence, Interior Secretary David Bernhardt, Agricultural Secretary Sonny Perdue, a person named Ivanka Trump does everybody know? who's been very, very active in this; she believes in it very strongly and many wonderful conservation advocates. And thank you all for your tireless work. And the work you've done is something that you'll be very proud of in the years to come. Thank you, Mike. Everybody, thank you very much. Really great." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The Great American Outdoors Act provides $900 million a year in guaranteed funding for the Land and Water Conservation Fund so that all Americans can continue to enjoy our parks, wildlife refuges. I mean, if you look at this, if you look at what we do with our wildlife, and it's really been incredible. So all of the wildlife areas, the wildlife parks, historic battlefields, national monuments, and public lands." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2084, + "raw_confidence": 0.7916, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Additionally, this bill provides nearly $10 billion for long-delayed maintenance projects, repairs, and upgrades to make the national parks greater than they have ever been before. We think that's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The legislation I'm signing today builds on my administration's unwavering commitment to conserving and the grandeur and the splendor of God's creation. This is truly God's creation." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Last year, I designated 1.3 million acres of public land as new wilderness. I ordered much more active forest management to prevent catastrophic wildfires. And I'm recommending they do that in California and other locations, and you'll see how quickly the wildfires stop. And I signed the Save Our Seas Act to protect our environment from foreign nations that litter the oceans with garbage and pollution." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2474, + "raw_confidence": 0.7526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The United States has among the cleanest air and water on Earth, and my administration is working every day to keep it that way. We're at a level now we have never been at this level in the modern age. I guess, if you go back 100, 200 years, it was a little different story. A lot fewer people. But nothing even close in the modern age." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We believe Americans know best how to conserve this magnificent land that we love and cherish and adore." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, I announced that the United States would join the One Trillion Trees Initiative to plant new trees in America and around the world. Today I'm calling on Congress to expand this effort by passing the REPLANT Act, sponsored by Senator Rob Portman. Thank you, Rob. Very good. Thank you. Great. Thank you. Fellas, would you both stand up, please? That's fantastic. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, Jeff. Thank you, Rob." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.406, + "raw_confidence": 0.594, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Which would quadruple the funding and for the restoration of our national forest. This would quadruple the funding, create thousands of jobs, and help plant more than 1 billion trees in America and on American soil over the next 10 years." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But the kind of things we've done and they don't talk about it, but the kind of things we've done are really record-setting. This is record-setting stuff, and you're all a big part of it. So thank you. And thank you, Rob. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "To preserve America's brilliance for the next generation, we're also defending our national heritage. In June, I signed an executive order requiring the Department of Justice to prosecute to the full extent extent allowed under law anyone who defaces our historic statues or monuments." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Under my order, these criminals face 10 years in jail, 10 years in prison. And it was an incredible thing because we were having a lot of problems all over the country with people going around and knocking down monuments some very beautiful monuments. And they were knocking them down with impunity, as they would say. And once I signed that, I haven't seen anything happen. It's amazing, David, the way it quieted down. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7702, + "raw_confidence": 0.7702, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Once I signed that it was about two months ago now, and we haven't had they were having a march on Washington to knock down a lot of monuments, and I signed it before the march. We announced it at a news conference that you go to jail for 10 years if you knock down a monument, and the march to Washington never happened. I don't know that's strange how that all works. Isn't it, though? Isn't that a beautiful thing?" + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "After decades of abandonment and neglect, we're once again taking care of America's historic sites, lush forests, towering mountains, windswept and beautiful windswept prairies, and precious wetlands and wildlife. President Theodore Roosevelt was right when he called these exquisite resources the most glorious heritage a people ever received." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "President Roosevelt understood that our nation's untamed spirit of adventure, exploration, and discovery is kindled in the great outdoors. It's the same spirit that calls settlers and pioneers to head West to brave the unknown and to carve out a new life on the wild frontier." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The President understood and enshrined conservation at the heart of the Republican Party. And today, we're building upon that noble legacy. The Republican Party has been unbelievably active in this. People don't necessarily associate us with that, but I think they probably will have to start. At some point, they'll have to start thinking about the Republican Party and all of the incredible things we've done on conservation and many other fronts." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We want every American child to have access to pristine outdoor spaces. When young Americans experience the breathtaking beauty of the Grand Canyon; when their eyes widen in amazement as Old Faithful bursts to the sky; when they gaze upon Yosemite's Yoseminite's towering sequoias, their love of country grows stronger and they know that every American has truly a duty to preserve this wondrous inheritance. And that's what they're doing and that's what we're doing: We're preserving an incredible inheritance." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "America's natural landscapes belong to the American people. And while I'm President, we will always protect the great outdoors for hunting, fishing, camping, hiking, and the admiration, enjoyment, and reverence of every American citizen. We will preserve the stunning beauty of the American and the Americas and this nation. This nation is a special nation." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2308, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I was watching, the other day, NASA. NASA was essentially closed down. And now I'm watching those rockets go up, and it's a beautiful thing to see. Over the weekend, we just saw the the capsule and how professional, how brave they were, but how professional it was handled professionally. And it was really something to behold." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2807, + "raw_confidence": 0.7193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But we started up NASA again, and very soon we'll be going to Mars. And we are very importantly, we created the Space Force, and NASA will be a big part of that. So that's defense. That's not going to Mars; that's defending our country, and it's something that's very, very important what we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7638, + "raw_confidence": 0.7638, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "When I first went to the headquarters, and I went with Mike, and I looked at runways that were loaded up with weeds, that hadn't been used. It was almost like an abandoned an abandoned place. And now I look at it I was there two months ago, and it was an incredible sight: so different, so vibrant; people working, people happy. It's really something, what they've done. But that's another thing that we've done, and it's something I'm very proud of." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "With that, I'd like to again congratulate everybody in this room, and we're going to have a few people speak, and I'd like to start off with our great Vice President Mike Pence. And, Mike, if you'd say a few words, and then we're going to go to a couple of other folks. Okay? Good. Thank you very much, Mike." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Mike, very much. Thank you. A man who's done a fantastic job, Secretary of the Interior, David, if you could come up and say a few words. And he really has. He has been he loves it. He loves the Interior. He's our biggest landlord in this country by a factor of about 200. But he's really some- it's really been very special having you working for our country. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you, David. I appreciate it very much and appreciate the job you're doing. And also, Sonny, I appreciate the job you're doing. Fantastic job. The farmers are very happy. They've gotten billions and billions of dollars, compliments of China. They were targeted by China and I got them every penny: $28 billion from China. And they're doing well." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I'd like to ask, if I might, Steve, could you come up? Senator Steve Daines. He's a fantastic man, a fantastic senator. He's done a wonderful job. He loves his state and he loves our country. And, without you, and the two of you, with Cory and you and Rob, and frankly, everybody in this room but you two guys were just unbelievable. You wouldn't stop, and look what happened, right? You got it done. I'm not even sure if you believed you could get it done. But you got it done and we appreciate it. The country appreciates it." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "That's a great job, Steve. Thank you, Steve. Great job. Thank you. And say hello to the people of Montana. They are they're very happy right now. You know there's a very terrible term. It's called deferred maintenance. Deferred maintenance. Doesn't sound good, but this is what it is. We haven't maintained our roads, our paths, our buildings any of it for many, many decades, actually. So now you're going to go to town and they're going to be beautiful. Right? They're going to be beautiful." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But this is really it's a it's deferred maintenance, and it should have taken place for many, many decades, but it hasn't, and now it will take place. And I think you'll see it take place very wisely too. I think so." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, Cory, I think you have to get up and you have to say a few words. Colorado is a tremendous state, and they are pushing for it, and they have been pushing for it. One of the biggest beneficiaries of all. And I think that you really deserve to get up and say a few words, because you and Steve and everybody but you and Steve were very special." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "That was a meeting that took place, and within about a minute, I was convinced. And I wasn't at all convinced before I walked in. But when we saw what was going on and what could go on and I know you'll spend the money very wisely everybody in the room, you'll spend it very wisely. Because if you spend it wisely, you'll be able to do five times more than you even think." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I'd like to ask Ivanka come up to say a few words because she was from a family standpoint, she was so behind this and pushing me. And Melania, who sends her absolute warmest regards it was so important to Melania. Please, honey, come up. Say a few words." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7035, + "raw_confidence": 0.7035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I think Theodore Roosevelt, who we see on this portrait behind, would be very proud to know that the first 100 years of conservation, that his legislation, in short, will be preserved for at least the next 100." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So thank you to all the senators, members of Congress who have worked so hard. Mr. Vice President, thank you for your championing this and your advocacy." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The natural beauty and majesty of our parks and public lands are more valuable now than ever, especially during the current pandemic when they offer respite for so many families and an ability to be outside safely and enjoy the great outdoors. So it's fitting that this moment comes to pass now. And and thank you again, Mr. President, for ushering in this historic act." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Great job. Great job, honey. Thank you. And, if I could, I'd like to ask Rob Portman to come up. And he was very special. I think you would both agree that he was really there behind the scenes and in front of the scenes helping us out." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Rob. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And I have to say that one of the things I said in the room was, I can't believe previous administrations didn't do this. And I viewed it as having really no choice. We had to do this. We had to do this. We couldn't have allowed this to deteriorate or go down further, and now it'll be better than ever before. That's what we want: better than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So congratulations to everybody. And now I will sign the Great American Outdoors Act, and it's going to be a real privilege. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "da52pDkvma8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bill-signing-national-park-maintenance-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And if we could have a few of you folks come on up. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I think so. The Democrats have to do it. We've been very generous \u00e2\u0080\u0093 overly \u00e2\u0080\u0093 and I want to take care of the people. Not only in Florida but the whole country. And you know we had record job numbers last month and the month after that, so we're headed in the right direction. And the democrats view this as a political thing." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They view it for November 3. And we don't do it that way. We're doing the right thing. So, we want to get the money out. It's a lot of money, and we want to get it done." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, the good news is I spoke to your governor. It's heading down. It's going to be heading down. And countries all over the world now, they're getting that second spike \u00e2\u0080\u0093 countries that we thought really did a good job. They did do a good job, but this is a very delicate subject. It's a subject that it's so contagious, so really terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Here's the good news. Very few people suffer the grave ills as others. We have to protect our elderly, our senior citizens, especially if they have like a heart problem or diabetes problem. But, you're on their way down. The curve is topped, and it looks like Florida is on the way down. Arizona steeply down." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Texas is down. So, it's all coming back, and it'll come back soon. And we're behind you 1,000%. We're also behind tonight, whether it's a hurricane or a storm. We've already approved what has to be approved to take care of Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, you're gonna be in good shape. I think you're gonna be in really great shape. And they have \u00e2\u0080\u0093 the governor's done some great areas \u00e2\u0080\u0093 great storm areas. And I think this won't be the kind of storm that you've seen over the last couple of years, where we worked very well together. But it's uh \u00e2\u0080\u0093 it's an incredible state, and we're taking care of it." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, we're not gonna be drilling, and I've already put out that order \u00e2\u0080\u0093 actually quite a while ago. But we can't do that. And the people of Florida just don't want it. You know, there are some states that don't mind it, but Florida does. And I live here too, and I vote here. And I will tell you that's not going to be happening." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I think the real deal is just like I said to the police. I just got the endorsement of every police group in the state \u00e2\u0080\u0093 I think every police group in the nation \u00e2\u0080\u0093 which tells you what's going on. You know, normally there would be like a 50/50 split or something. I have almost a hundred percent endorsement from police." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's law and order. We're doing great economically. We set so many different records already for the new. We created the greatest economy in the history of the world \u00e2\u0080\u0093 far better than China. China was going down. We were going up. And then we got hit with the China plague or the China virus, and now we're on the way back." + }, + { + "tid": "DGwuYX39rNI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-holly-gregory-bay-news-9-tampa-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we're gonna build it up. I think next year is gonna be actually better than the previous year, and I think the previous year was actually the best year we ever had. Until we got hit, Florida had the best year they've ever had. So, we're going to be back soon, Holly. I think we're going to be back very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Good morning. We have a lot of things going on. As you know, we're heading out to Texas right now." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "But Portland I'll give you a little report on Portland: We have the courthouse very well secured. Our people have done a fantastic job. You hear all sorts of reports about us leaving. We're not leaving until they've secured their city. We told the governor, we told the mayor: Secure your city. If they don't secure their city soon, we have no choice we're going to have to go in and clean it out. We'll do it very easily. We're all prepared to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3739, + "raw_confidence": 0.6261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So, in Portland, they either clean out their city and do the job and get rid of the anarchists and agitators, which is what they are. They're not protesters; they're anarchists and agitators. We have many in jail. Many of them have been put in jail. It's going to be a long sentence. They either clean out their city and do it right, or we're going to have to do it for them." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "On CARES, I think maybe, Steve, would you like to say something on that?" + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We want to work on the evictions so that people don't get evicted. We'll work on the payments for the people. And the rest of it, we're so far apart, we don't care. We really don't care. We want to take care of the people. The Democrats aren't taking care of the people. The payments aren't enough. The payments aren't enough. You understand that. They're not making the payments; they're not making them high enough. The Democrats are not taking care of the people. Nancy Pelosi takes care of herself, but she doesn't take care of anyone else." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2328, + "raw_confidence": 0.7672, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "If you look at what's going on with Schumer: So when Schumer and Pelosi can get together and take care of the people, we'll do something. In the meantime, we ought to stop evictions because that expires very soon. So we want to stop the evictions." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2065, + "raw_confidence": 0.7935, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I think she'd be a fine choice, Kamala Harris. She'd be a fine choice." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I don't hear a word you're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We're focused on those two things. We want to take care of them now. The rest, we can discuss later. They want big bailout money for Democrats that ran cities terribly. Their cities are going down the tubes. If you look at Portland, if you look at what's going in Seattle Democrat-run cities, whether you like it or not, they're terribly run, and they're always over-taxed. So they've taxed them too much and they run them poorly. And we don't like that." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And what the Democrats want are bailout funds, and what we want is we want to take care of people. And we should reward most of this country that's well run. You know, most of the country is very well run. You're watching a Portland and you're watching Seattle. You're watching New York, where they had a 400 percent increase in crime. Four hundred percent. My city that I love, that I left to do this job, and they had a 400 percent increase, and it's unacceptable." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "But most of the country is very well run, and Republican cities are very well run. And it's a shame to reward badly run, radical-left Democrats, with all of this money that they're looking for, for cities to throw it away on cities that are poorly run." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I don't I told you, I certainly read about it, and since then, I've talked about it. Colin Powell says it's not true. Colin Powell is not exactly somebody that I'm a big fan of. Colin Powell says it's not true. Other people say it's not true." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2147, + "raw_confidence": 0.7853, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "If it were true, I'd be very angry about it. But if you look at Russia, Russia became Russia from the Soviet Union because of Afghanistan. They lost a fortune and a lot of people a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So I don't know why they'd be doing it. But if you tell me they're doing it, I will certainly take that under consideration." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I would respond appropriately. Nobody has been tougher on Russia. Nobody has been tougher on China. Nobody has been tougher on Iran than me, and it's not even close. And everybody knows this. Nobody has been tougher on Russia, China, or anybody else than me, including our allies NATO, who I got to pay $140 billion more money $140 billion. You know what that is?" + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And you know why? That's to hold Russia in check, all right? I did Russia no favor. Nobody has been tougher on Russia than I am." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Well, Germany is delinquent. They haven't paid their fees. They haven't paid their NATO fees. And they're way off, and they've been off for years, and they have no intention of paying it. And the United States has been taken advantage of on trade and on military and on everything else for many years, and I'm here and I've been straightening it out." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2105, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "But Germany owes billions and billions of dollars to NATO. And why would we keep all of those troops there? And now Germany is saying it's bad for their economy. Well, it's good for our economy. Germany is delinquent. They're at 1 percent. They should be at 2 percent. And actually, everybody should be at 4 percent, not 2 percent, because 2 percent is too low. But they're at 1 percent, and they've take advantage of us for many years." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And you think that's bad? They take worse advantage on trade. And I was all set to fix that, and then we got hit with the China plague. But we'll be fixing it." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7761, + "raw_confidence": 0.7761, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And a guy like Biden this country wouldn't have a chance. With Biden, our country wouldn't have a chance." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "No, we'll see what happens. That's all right. We'll see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4653, + "raw_confidence": 0.5347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So the FBI building they've been trying to build a new building for many years many, many years. They were thinking about going very far away, but you have to be near the Justice Department. You don't want to be too far away, where they have to drive for an hour, hour and a half because they had a site way out in Virginia, way out in Maryland. And I said, The best place is right where it is. It's the best piece of property in Washington. I'm very good at real estate." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So I said, We'll build a new FBI building. Let's build a new FBI building either a renovation of the existing, or even better would be a new building. So we have that in the bill. It should stay. People have wanted a new FBI building now for 15 or 20 years." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Then Republicans should go back to school and learn. They need a new building. It's a bad building. It's a dangerous building. You have slabs falling off. It's not a good building from the inside, and it's a very expensive building. They need a new building, and we can do it very easily. To me, it would be very super . I would make sure you build a great building at a fraction of the cost, and they can have it done quickly. So the FBI building is not new; this is something they've been talking about for many, many years, for decades." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We're looking at TikTok. We're thinking about making a decision. We're going to be watching the hearings today very closely, because there is no question that what the big tech companies are doing is very bad." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2269, + "raw_confidence": 0.7731, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I was very impressed with her and other doctors that stood with her. I think she made sense, but I know nothing about her. I just saw her on you know, making a statement with very respected doctors. She was not alone. She was making a statement about hydroxychloroquine with other doctors that swear by it. They think it's great. So she was not alone." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2374, + "raw_confidence": 0.7626, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Fake news CNN made it like, Oh, I said this, I said that. She was with a whole group of people. And you ought to tell your network the reason their ratings are so bad is because the coverage is so false. If CNN would be honest and that goes for MSDNC also. But your network is so dishonest in its coverage on just about everything, and there's an example." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2197, + "raw_confidence": 0.7803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I was very impressed by her. Know nothing about her; I had never seen her before. But certainly you can put her up and let her have a voice. So what they did is they took down their voice. Now, they seem to never take down the other side. They only take down conservative voices. It's a shame." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And with hydroxy, all I want to do is save lives. I don't care if it's hydroxy or anything else. All I want to do is save lives. If we can save lives, that's great." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Now, one thing: We're doing very well on vaccines and very well on therapeutics. So that's very important. But I happen to be a believer in hydroxy. I used it. I had no problem. I happen to be a believer. Many, many people agree with me. A great test just came out from the Ford clinic in Michigan very respected. We'll see how it is." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm thinking about it, but we're picking a location. Fairly soon we'll let you know." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Might be. It's something we're thinking about." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "You're right. They're there to protect Europe; they're there to protect Germany. Right? And Germany is supposed to pay for it. Germany is not paying for it. So why should we leave them if they were not we don't want to be the suckers anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "The United States has been taken advantage of for 25 years, both on trade and on the military. We are protecting Germany. So we're reducing the force because they're not paying their bill. It's very simple: They're delinquent. Very simple. And there are other NATO countries also." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7984, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Right now, you have 8 out of the 28 countries that have paid up. I got them to pay $130 billion a year more, going up to $400 . Most of them will be up to date. It wasn't easy. But most of them will be up to date. The one that won't be up to date is Germany. And we spend a lot of money on Germany. They take advantage of us on trade, and they take advantage on the military, so we're reducing the force. Now, if they start paying their bills, I could rethink about I would think about it." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We talked to Putin about a lot of different things, mostly" + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "arms control. We're working on a vaccine. I think we'll have one. Oxford is doing very well. Pfizer is doing very well. We have a lot of good options." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "You're going to have to talk up. I can hear everybody but you." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah. There already are. We're we're in formal negotiations with Russia on arms control meaning, on nuclear arms control." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We'll talk about that later. We're going to work this first and we'll see. China right now is a much lesser nuclear power you understand that than Russia. Right now, we are the great nuclear power. We've upgraded our nuclear tremendously since. We have the most power. Russia is second and China is third. China is surging; they'll be there at some point. And, yeah, we would want to talk to China eventually. Yes. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We thought that we would do it first. I don't know if it's going to work out. But we would do it first and then we go to China together. Okay? Which, I think, works out probably better." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I did. I wished him well. I haven't seen him in a while" + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1913, + "raw_confidence": 0.8087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "but he went on vacation. He came back, he wasn't well. He tested positive. He's doing very, very well." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "He said he's doing very well. I spoke to him yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "No, I'm not I'm not concerned. Well, I'm a therapeutic person, too, you know, to be honest. I love the idea of therapeutics, where you go in, you give somebody a transfusion or a shot, and they get better. I am a big therapeutic person. But we're doing very well on vaccines and therapeutics. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2834, + "raw_confidence": 0.7166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And as far as Portland is concerned, we've taken a very strong stand. They are anarchists. They're radical, crazy people. And they're either going to straighten it out for themselves Portland, the police and maybe if the state gets involved; that means the governor and the mayor. But they're very weak people. They're very weak people. These radicals, these anarchists are controlling the governor and this mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5082, + "raw_confidence": 0.5082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "The mayor went into a rally it wasn't accurately reported by CNN, by NBC. The mayor went into a rally. He thought he'd be their buddy. They excoriated him. They excor- what they did to him was incredible. Lucky he had five bodyguards. But they excoriated him." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1921, + "raw_confidence": 0.8079, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "NBC I didn't see CNN because I don't watch CNN. NBC absolutely covered it like he was their big buddy. No, he was in great danger of dying. He would have been dead if he didn't have his bodyguards." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3356, + "raw_confidence": 0.6644, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "These are bad people. These are anarchists. They're agitators. And either they do something or we're going to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "In the meantime, our purpose there is only to protect our federal buildings, which we're doing with no problem. I mean, they're nasty and they're vicious people, but our people are very powerful people. Very powerful." + }, + { + "tid": "Dsxa_F9j-Nc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2066, + "raw_confidence": 0.7934, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And either they're going to clean up Portland soon or the federal government is going up and we're going to do it for them. So either they clean out Portland the governor and the mayor, who are weak either they clean out Portland or we're going in to do it for them." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, my fellow Americans. Apart from matters of war and peace, the nomination of a Supreme Court justice is the most important decision an American President can make. For this reason, candidates for President owe the American people a specific list of the individuals they consider for the United States Supreme Court." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3031, + "raw_confidence": 0.6969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Four years ago, I announced my first list of highly qualified candidates and promised to fill Justice Scalia's vacant seat from among from among those names." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Just days after my inauguration, I kept that promise when I nominated Judge Neil Gorsuch. And, as you know, he has been very spectacular. A year later, I nominated and the Senate confirmed another outstanding justice, Brett Kavanaugh." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7826, + "raw_confidence": 0.7826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "By the end of my first term, we will have confirmed a record number of federal judges over 300 all of whom will faithfully uphold our Constitution as written." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "What has always made America exceptional is our reverence for the impartial rule of law. People have come here from all over the world to pursue the American Dream based on this sacred principle." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.198, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Equality under the law is the bedrock of our society. It is the principle that inspired American heroes to abolish slavery and end segregation, secure civil rights, and build the most free and just nation in history." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4244, + "raw_confidence": 0.5756, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Unfortunately, there is a growing radical-left movement that rejects the principle of equal treatment under law. If this extreme movement is granted a majority on the Supreme Court, it will fundamentally transform America without a single vote of Congress." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2525, + "raw_confidence": 0.7475, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Radical justices will erase the Second Amendment, silence political speech, and require taxpayers to fund extreme late-term abortion. They will give unelected bureaucrats that power to destroy millions of American jobs. They will remove the words under God from the Pledge of Allegiance. They will unilaterally declare the death penalty unconstitutional, even for the most depraved mass murderers. They will erase national borders, cripple police departments, and grant new protections to anarchists, rioters, violent criminals, and terrorists." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6029, + "raw_confidence": 0.6029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "In the recent past, many of our most treasured freedoms, including religious liberty, free speech, and the right to keep and bear arms, have been saved by a single vote on the United States Supreme Court. Our cherished rights are at risk, including the right to life and our great Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1847, + "raw_confidence": 0.8153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Over the next four years, America's President will choose hundreds of federal judges, and, in all likelihood, one, two, three, and even four Supreme Court justices. The outcome of these decisions will determine whether we hold fast to our nation's founding principles or whether they are lost forever." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7992, + "raw_confidence": 0.7992, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden has refused to release his list, perhaps because he knows the names are so extremely far left that they could never withstand public scrutiny or receive acceptance." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2022, + "raw_confidence": 0.7978, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "He must release a list of justices for people to properly make a decision as to how they will vote. It is very important that he do so." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "My original list of potential justices include many of our nation's brightest legal minds, such as Bill Pryor, Amy Coney Barrett, and Thomas Hardiman. Outstanding people. Like those distinguished individuals, the 20 additions I am announcing today would be jurists in the mold of Justices Antonin Scalia, Clarence Thomas, and Samuel Alito." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Every one of these individuals will ensure equal justice, equal treatment, and equal rights for citizens of every race, color, religion, and creed. Together, we will defend our righteous heritage and preserve our magnificent American way of life." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Thank you. God Bless America. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Anybody? On the judges? Excuse me. Any questions? They're outstanding people. Very important decision." + }, + { + "tid": "DtxhdmQO9bc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4719, + "raw_confidence": 0.5281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-judicial-appointments-september-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-09", + "claim_text": "Very important that Joe Biden put up potential nominees. I think it's a very important thing for our country that he do that." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3429, + "raw_confidence": 0.6571, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Chris, that's because we have great testing, because we have the best testing in the world. If we didn't test, you wouldn't be able to show that chart. If we tested half as much, those numbers would be down." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No, no. But I don't say I say flames, we'll put out the flames. And we'll put out in some cases just burning embers. We also have burning embers. We have embers and we do have flames. Florida became more flame like, but it's it's going to be under control. And, you know, it's not just this country, it's many countries." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We don't talk about it in the news. They don't talk about Mexico and Brazil and still parts of Europe, which actually got hit sooner than us, so it's a little ahead of us in that sense. But you take a look, why don't they talk about Mexico? Which is not helping us. And all I can say is thank God I built most of the wall, because if I didn't have the wall up we would have a much bigger problem with Mexico." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Yeah. I think what we'll do well, we have them under travel ban too, Chris. I closed them off. If you remember, I was the one that did the European Union very early. But when you talk about mortality rates, I think it's the opposite. I think we have one of the lowest mortality rates in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Can you please get me the mortality rate?" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3808, + "raw_confidence": 0.6192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Kayleigh's right here. I heard we have one of the lowest, maybe the lowest mortality rate anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5692, + "raw_confidence": 0.5692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Do you have the numbers, please? Because I heard we had the best mortality rate." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I hope you show the scenario because it shows what fake news is all about. Ok, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7955, + "raw_confidence": 0.7955, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You said we had the worst mortality rate in the world" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Look, I take responsibility always for everything because it's ultimately my job, too. I have to get everybody in line. Some governors have done well, some governors have done poorly. They're supposed to have supplies they didn't have. I supplied everybody. Now we have somewhat of a surge in certain areas." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And other areas we're doing great. But we have a surge in certain areas. But you don't hear people complaining about ventilators. We've got all the ventilators we can use. We're supplying them to other countries. We go out into parking lots and everything, everybody gets a test. We find if we did half the testing with all of that being said, I'm glad we did it. This is the right way to do it. I'm glad we did what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7876, + "raw_confidence": 0.7876, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But we have more tests by far than any country in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2862, + "raw_confidence": 0.7138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Many of those cases are young people that would heal in a day. They have the sniffles and we put it down as a test. Many of them don't forget, I guess it's like 99.7 percent, people are going to get better and in many cases they're going to get better very quickly. We go out and we look and then on the news look if you go back to the news, all of your even your wonderful competitors, you'll see cases are up. Cases are up many of those cases shouldn't even be cases." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2974, + "raw_confidence": 0.7026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Cases are up because we have the best testing in the world and we have the most testing. No country has ever done what we've done in terms of testing. We are the envy of the world. They call and they say the most incredible job anybody's done is our job on testing, because we're going to very shortly be up to 50 million tests." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7857, + "raw_confidence": 0.7857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You look at other countries; they don't even do tests. They do tests if somebody walks into the hospital, they're sick, they're really sick, they test them then, or they'll test them in a doctor's office. But they don't go around have massive areas of testing and we do. And I'm glad we do, but it really skews the numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I don't play it I'm not playing no, this is very serious." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2025, + "raw_confidence": 0.7975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, the death chart is much more important." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Excuse me, it's all too much, it shouldn't be one case. It came from China. They should've never let it escape. They should've never let it out. But it is what it is. Take a look at Europe, take a look at the numbers in Europe. And by the way, they're having cases." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's possible that they don't test, that's what's possible. We find cases and many of those cases heal automatically. We're finding in a way, we're creating trouble. Certainly, we are creating trouble for the fake news to come along and say, Oh, we have more cases. Look, we do something that nobody's ever done." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4177, + "raw_confidence": 0.5823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Not only the ventilators, where we're supplying them all over the world. We did a testing program the likes of which nobody's ever done before." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I don't know and I don't think he knows. I don't think anybody knows with this. This is a very tricky deal. Everybody thought this summer it would go away and it would come back in the fall. Well, when the summer came, they used to say the heat the heat was good for it and it really knocks it out, remember?" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And then it might come back in the fall. So they got that one wrong. They they got a lot wrong. They got a lot wrong. The World Health got a tremendous amount wrong. They basically did whatever China wanted them to. And we'll save now almost $500 million a year, which is nice. But the World Health got a lot wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Because we're not. If one man from my administration doesn't like him because he made a few mistakes look, Dr. Fauci said, Don't wear a mask. Dr. Fauci told me not to ban China, it would be a big mistake. I did it over and above his recommendation. Dr. Fauci then said, You saved tens of thousands of lives more than that." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He said, You saved tens of thousands of lives. Dr. Fauci's made some mistakes. But I have a very good I spoke to him yesterday at length. I have a very good relationship with Dr. Fauci." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2495, + "raw_confidence": 0.7505, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know that he's a leaker ...." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2214, + "raw_confidence": 0.7786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He's a little bit of an alarmist. That's OK. A little bit of an alarmist." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "A little bit of an alarmist. Let's let me just say. Dr. Fauci at the beginning and again, I have a great relationship with him. I spoke with him at length yesterday. Dr. Fauci at the beginning said, This will pass. Don't worry about it. This will pass. He was wrong. Dr. Fauci said, Don't ban China." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7657, + "raw_confidence": 0.7657, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Don't ban China. I did. He then admitted that I was right." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3181, + "raw_confidence": 0.6819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It's going to be just fine." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2926, + "raw_confidence": 0.7074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "When you have 15 people. And the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that's a pretty good job we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2071, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I think we're gonna be very good with the coronavirus. I think that at some point that's going to sort of just disappear. I hope." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I'll be right eventually. I will be right eventually. You know I said, It's going to disappear. I'll say it again." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's going to disappear and I'll be right. I don't think so." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. I don't think so. You know why? Because I've been right probably more than anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No I want people to have a certain freedom, and I don't believe in that. No, and I don't agree with the statement that if everybody wear a mask everything disappears. Hey, Dr. Fauci said don't wear a mask. Our Surgeon General terrific guy said don't wear a mask. Everybody who is saying don't wear a mask all of sudden everybody's got to wear a mask, and as you know masks cause problems, too." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "With that being said, I'm a believer in masks. I think masks are good. But I leave it up to the governors. Many of the governors are changing. They're more mask into they like the concept of masks, but some of them don't agree. I do say this schools have to open. Young people have to go to school, and there's problems when you don't go to school, too." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3595, + "raw_confidence": 0.6405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And there's going to be a funding problem because we're not going to fund when they don't open their schools. We're not going to fund them. We're not going to give them money if they're not going to school. If they don't open." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Ten percent and you know what that's a lot of money." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Chris, let the schools open. Do you ever see the statistics on young people below the age of 18? The state of New Jersey had thousands of deaths. Of all of these thousands, one person below the age of 18 in the entire state one person and that was a person that had, I believe he said diabetes. One person below the age of 18 died in the state of New Jersey during all of this you know, they had a hard time." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And they're doing very well now, so that's it." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But a lot of Republicans like it, though." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to see. But we do need protections because businesses are going to get sued just because somebody walked in. You don't know where this virus comes from. They'll sit down at a restaurant. They'll sue the restaurant, the guy's out of business." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2403, + "raw_confidence": 0.7597, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "So we do need some kind of immunity. You do need it just like you need immunity for the police, OK, whether they like it or not. You need immunity for the police. But they do need a form of immunity. You don't know if they caught it. And nobody's ever going to be able to prove it one way or the other. You can't put these you know, the people that look, the Democrats don't want to do that because they're total they're totally captured by the lobby of lawyers." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8078, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The lawyers' lobby is probably the most powerful in the country." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I want to see it. I want to see it." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I'll have to see but, yeah, I would consider not signing it if we don't have a payroll tax cut, yes." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2872, + "raw_confidence": 0.7128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's hot. It's about, well, sort of almost record breaking stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But I wanted you to sweat a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2063, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I explain it very simply by saying that they're Democrat-run cities, they are liberally run. They are stupidly run. We have forced them in Seattle to end the CHOP because, you know, we were going in that following day. You probably have heard it. We were getting ready to go in. We were all set, and when they heard that we were going they set their police force." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7533, + "raw_confidence": 0.7533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They run them poorly, it was always bad but now it's gotten totally out of control and it's really because they want to defund the police. And Biden wants to defund the police." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Look. He signed a charter with Bernie Sanders; I will get that one just like I was right on the mortality rate. Did you read the charter that he agreed to with..." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Oh really? It says abolish, it says let's go. Get me the charter, please." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Chris, you've got to start studying for these." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1884, + "raw_confidence": 0.8116, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He says defund the police. They talk about abolishing the police. They talk about illegal aliens pouring ..." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Of course I do. Of course I do. Many whites are killed also. You have to say that." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2347, + "raw_confidence": 0.7653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I mean, many, many whites are killed. I hate the sad but this is going on for decades. This is going on for a long time, long before I got here. You know, if you look at what's gone on in Portland, those are anarchists and we've taken a very tough stand. If we didn't take a stand in Portland, you know we've arrested many of these leaders." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "If we didn't take that stand, right now you would have a problem like you, you they were going to lose Portland. So let's see..." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2164, + "raw_confidence": 0.7836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "...what this says here: Prosecutions, sanctuary cities, incentivize illegal aliens, expand asylum, abolish immigration detention" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No. I, I we'll find it." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.747, + "raw_confidence": 0.747, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "End prosecution of illegal border crossers. Support deathly and these are the worse things, sanctuary cities" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It depends on who you're talking about, when you're talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7527, + "raw_confidence": 0.7527, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "When people when people proudly have their Confederate flags, they're not talking about racism. They love their flag, it represents the south, they like the south. People right now like the south. I'd say it's freedom of, of, of many things, but it's freedom of speech." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm not offended either by Black Lives Matter. That's freedom of speech. And you know, the whole thing with cancel culture, we can't cancel our whole history. We can't forget that the north and the south fought. We have to remember that, otherwise we'll end up fighting again. You can't just cancel all..." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No, because they'll get their pay raise. Hey, look, don't tell me this. I got soldiers the biggest pay raises in the history of our military." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8015, + "raw_confidence": 0.8015, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I got soldiers brand new equipment, brand new jets, brand new rockets, brand new $2.5 trillion. I did more for the military than any president that's ever had this office." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2236, + "raw_confidence": 0.7764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Because I think that Fort Bragg, Fort Robert E. Lee, all of these forts that have been named that way for a long time, decades and decades..." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "...excuse me, excuse me. I don't care what the military says. I do I'm supposed to make the decision. Fort Bragg is a big deal. We won two World Wars, nobody even knows General Bragg. We won two World Wars. Go to that community where Fort Bragg is, in a great state, I love that state, go to the community, say how do you like the idea of renaming Fort Bragg, and then what are we going to name it We're going to name it after the Reverend Al Sharpton?" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2008, + "raw_confidence": 0.7992, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "What are you going to name it, Chris, tell me what you're going to name it? So there's a whole thing here. We won two World Wars, two World Wars, beautiful World Wars that were vicious and horrible, and we won them out of Fort Bragg, we won out of all of these forts that now they want to throw those names away." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And, no, I'm against that, and you know what, most other people are. And I even I don't believe in polls because I see the fakest polls I've ever seen, but that poll is a 64 percent thing, which actually surprised me. We won World Wars out of these military bases. No, I'm not going to go changing them, I'm not going to go changing them." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Our children are taught in school to hate their own country and to believe that the men and women who built it we're not heroes, but that were villains." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I just look at I look at school. I watch, I read, look at the stuff. Now they want to change 1492, Columbus discovered America. You know, we grew up, you grew up, we all did, that's what we learned. Now they want to make it the 1619 project. Where did that come from? What does it represent? I don't even know, so." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "That's what they're saying, but they don't even know. They just want to make a change. Cancel culture I hate the term, actually, but I use it" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Oh, I think so yeah, I think so. Look at the professors. Look at what's going on in the colleges. If a conservative goes on a college and look, we have as many as them. Excuse me, I think to the best of my knowledge, we're sitting at the White House and the Oval Office is right behind me. We have as many as them." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1572, + "raw_confidence": 0.8428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The liberal radical left, and I'm not talking all I think liberal, I could tell you I like a lot of liberal people. I like a lot of liberal governors and senators, but, but Chris, we have a radical left destructive ideology and it's being taught in our schools. And don't act like you're surprised to hear this there are books written about it, and we can't let that go on. We can't let them change the true meaning of what we're all about and that's what they're trying to do and I don't want it to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Not on my watch. It's not going to happen on my watch." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7111, + "raw_confidence": 0.7111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "First of all, I'm not losing, because those are fake polls. They were fake in 2016 and now they're even more fake. The polls were much worse in 2016. They interviewed 22 percent Republicans. Well, how do you do 22 percent Republican? You see what's going on. I have other polls that put me leading, and we have polls where I'm leading." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7879, + "raw_confidence": 0.7879, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I have a poll where we're leading in every swing state. And I don't believe that your first of all, the Fox polls, whoever does your Fox polls, they're among the worst. They got it all wrong in 2016. They've been wrong on every poll I've ever seen." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No, I'm just telling you. And let me ask you this, so on the economy so I've always led on the economy by a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2257, + "raw_confidence": 0.7743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Biden can't put two sentences together. They wheel him out. He goes up he repeats they ask him questions. He reads a teleprompter and then he goes back into his basement. You tell me the American people want to have that in an age where we're in trouble with other nations that are looking to do numbers on us." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I don't want to say that. I'd say he's not competent to be president. To be president, you have to be sharp and tough and so many other things. He doesn't even come out of his basement. They think, Oh this is a great campaign. So he goes in, I'll then make a speech, it'll be a great speech, and some young guy, starts writing, Vice President Biden said this, this, this, this. He didn't say it. Joe doesn't know he's alive, OK? He doesn't know he's alive." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1833, + "raw_confidence": 0.8167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Do the American people want that, number one. Number two, I built the greatest economy ever built anywhere in the world; not only of this country, anywhere in the world. Until we got hit with the China virus. We got hit with the virus, shouldn't have happened, and we had to close up, we saved millions of lives." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Now we've opened it up, got to go back to school. We're open. We've got to do things. We had the best job numbers we've ever had last month. We should have good ones coming up in two weeks. Look, I built the greatest economy in history, I'm now doing it again. You see the numbers; the numbers are through the roof." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7687, + "raw_confidence": 0.7687, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The Democrats are purposely keeping their schools closed, keeping their states closed. I called Michigan, I want to have a big rally in Michigan. Do you know we're not allowed to have a rally in Michigan? Do you know we're not allowed to have a rally in Minnesota? Do you know we're not allowed to have a rally in Nevada?" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But I would guarantee if everything was gone 100 percent, they still wouldn't allow it. They're not allowing me to do it. So they're not they're not allowing me to have rallies." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1784, + "raw_confidence": 0.8216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I'll tell you what, let's take a test. Let's take a test right now. Let's go down, Joe and I will take a test. Let him take the same test that I took." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's all misrepresentation. Because, yes, the first few questions are easy, but I'll bet you couldn't even answer the last five questions. I'll bet you couldn't, they get very hard, the last five questions." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "... you couldn't answer you couldn't answer many of the questions." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6861, + "raw_confidence": 0.6861, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I'll get you the test, I'd like to give it. I'll guarantee you that Joe Biden could not answer those questions." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "OK. And I answered all 35 questions correctly." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Because he's a great digital guy, we all like him a lot, but I have somebody that was involved you know they were all on the 2016 campaign. We have Corey and we have all the people. And actually, Steve Bannon's been much better not being involved. He says the greatest president ever. I mean, he's saying things that I said, Let's keep Steve out there, he's doing a good job. But they're all being they're all involved." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1833, + "raw_confidence": 0.8167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "If Joe Biden got in, first of all, he won't call the shots. The people the radical left people that's around him will call. Religion will be gone, OK? Life, you could forget about that, the whole question of life. Supreme Court..." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Absolutely. 100 percent. That whole question, which is a very you know, it's always been a 50-50 thing." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2096, + "raw_confidence": 0.7904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's actually trending a little bit more towards one side now." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, look at what they're doing to the churches. They won't let the churches even open if they want to stand in a field six feet apart. We've had churches that wanted to stand in fields six feet apart. There has never been an administration that's done so much as I have, from tax cuts to regulation cuts to rebuilding the military to getting choice for the vets." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8056, + "raw_confidence": 0.8056, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Nobody's done the things I've done. Nobody. In three and a half years no other president's been able to do what I've done." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7565, + "raw_confidence": 0.7565, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "There's no reason for California to be doing what they're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. I think the economy is expanding and growing beautifully. Now, the Democrats want to keep it closed as long as possible because they think that's good for elections. But I think the economy is doing very well. Now we're coming back and we're coming back at a level that nobody would have thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.217, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And we are and by the way, take a look at another, I mean, a gauge, whether you like it or not, the stock market. The stock market, NASDAQ hit its all-time high two weeks ago and has beaten it 14 different times, ok? The stock market, Dow, et cetera, is a thousand points away from its all-time high, meaning very close." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.786, + "raw_confidence": 0.786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We're gonna have a stock market perhaps on November 3rd that's the highest in history." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7703, + "raw_confidence": 0.7703, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "First of all, we got rid of the individual mandate." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8059, + "raw_confidence": 0.8059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Pre-existing conditions will always be taken care of by me and Republicans, 100 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well, we haven't had. Excuse me. You heard me yesterday. We're signing a health care plan within two weeks, a full and complete health care plan that the Supreme Court decision on DACA gave me the right to do. So we're going to solve we're going to sign an immigration plan, a health care plan, and various other plans." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And nobody will have done what I'm doing in the next four weeks. The Supreme Court gave the president of the United States powers that nobody thought the president had, by approving, by doing what they did their decision on DACA. And DACA's going to be taken care of also. But we're getting rid of it because we're going to replace it with something much better." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "What we got rid of already, which was most of Obamacare, the individual mandate. And that I've already won on. And we won also on the Supreme Court. But the decision by the Supreme Court on DACA allows me to do things on immigration, on health care, on other things that we've never done before. And you're going to find it to be a very exciting two weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7157, + "raw_confidence": 0.7157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "My father liked to win. My father was a very good man. He was a strong man. It's disgraceful that she said that. She was not exactly a family favorite. We didn't have a lot of respect or like for her. I would've never said that except she writes a book that's so stupid and so vicious and it's a lie. My father was a great, wonderful man." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.751, + "raw_confidence": 0.751, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "This is not a person that I spent very much time with, very little time, and now I'm glad." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.343, + "raw_confidence": 0.657, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It hurts me more about attacking my father, not being kind to my mother. I have a mother who was like a saint. She was incredible. She was an incredible woman. And she was nasty even to my mother. She's a very scarred person. She was not much of a family person. But look, let me just tell you, my father was I think he was the most solid person I've ever met." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And he was a very good person. He was a very, very good person. He was strong but he was good. For her to say the kind of things, a psychopath, that he was a psychopath, anybody that knew Fred Trump would call him a psychopath? And you know what, if he was I would tell you. And I would say, you know Chris, I was with my father and it was imposs\u00e2\u0080\u0093 my father was he was tough, he was tough on me, he was tough on all of the kids." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But tough in a in a solid sense, in a really good sense. For her to say I think the word she used was psychopath what a disgrace. She ought to be ashamed of herself. That book is a lie." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I'm not a big fan of Fox, I'll be honest with you. They've changed a lot since Roger Ailes. And I watch people like Swalwell, who I don't even know, he goes on the show, he got less than 1 percent, all of a sudden he's on being interviewed for endless hours" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I would just say that look, I know you very well, I respect you a lot, I respect your father a lot. I thought he was one of the most talented journalists there are. And you likewise are a very talented person. I do think this, I think you are a very I think you are toward the Democrat side, which is OK. I mean" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It just seems to me that you are very prone to be nice to the Democrats and maybe I'm wrong about that, Chris, but it's an honor to be with you it's fine, I love it. I love that it's close to 100 degrees out today" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I don't think I'm going to lose at all." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "First of all, let me just tell you something, I know everyone wants to know that because they'd love to see me lose, finally." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7852, + "raw_confidence": 0.7852, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You know how many times I have been written off? Do you know how many times I've been written off?" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2064, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And you know why I won't lose, because the country in the end, they're not going to have a man who who's shot. He's shot, he's mentally shot. Let him come out of his basement, go around, I'll make four or five speeches a day, I'll be interviewed by you, I'll be interviewed by the worst killers that hate my my guts." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They hate my guts. There's nothing they can ask me that I won't give them a proper answer to. Some people will like it, some people won't like it." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 166, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2017, + "raw_confidence": 0.7983, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Let Biden sit through an interview like this, he'll be on the ground crying for mommy. He'll say mommy, mommy, please take me home." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He can't do an interview. He's incompetent. There's a number you don't mention. It's called the enthusiasm number. The enthusiasm for Trump is through the roof even higher" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2084, + "raw_confidence": 0.7916, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "\u00e2\u0080\u0093 even higher than last time. The enthusiasm for Biden is nonexistent. Everyone knows he's shot." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 169, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Well that's OK. That's his only shot." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 170, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And that's his only shot. I agree. And those people know I'm doing a good job, but there's something in my personality that they don't like because look, nobody's done what I've done. Biden wants to come in and ruin our country, triple your taxes. He wants to do things he wants to add regulations that I've all cut." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 171, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And we still have regulation a lot of regulation, but I've cut it down to a level that nobody's nobody ever thought possible. He will destroy this country, but it won't be him. It will be the radical left. The same type ideology that took over Venezuela, one of the richest countries in the world. They now have no water, they have no food, and they have no medicine." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 174, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2167, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I'm not a good loser. I don't like to lose. I don't lose too often. I don't like to lose." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 175, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You don't know until you see. It depends. I think mail-in voting is going to rig the election. I really do." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 176, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No. I have to see. Look, Hillary Clinton asked me the same thing." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 177, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "What I'm saying is that I will tell you at the time. I'll keep you in suspense. OK?" + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 178, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And you know what? She's the one that never accepted it." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 179, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4505, + "raw_confidence": 0.5495, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "She never accepted her loss and she looks like a fool." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 180, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I have to see. Look, you I have to see. No, I'm not going to just say yes. I'm not going to say no, and I didn't last time either." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 181, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7967, + "raw_confidence": 0.7967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I think I was very unfairly treated. From before I even won I was under investigation by a bunch of thieves, crooks. It was an illegal investigation." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 183, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1847, + "raw_confidence": 0.8153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No, no. I want to go this. I have done more than any president in history in the first three and a half years, and I've done it suffering through investigations where people have been General Flynn, where people have been so unfairly treated. The Russia hoax, it was all a hoax. The Mueller scam, it was all scam." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 184, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It was all false. I made a bad decision on one bad decision. Jeff Sessions, and now I feel good because he lost overwhelmingly in the great state of Alabama. Here's the bottom line. I've been very unfairly treated, and I don't say that as paranoid. I've been very everybody says it. It's going to be interesting to see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 185, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3471, + "raw_confidence": 0.6529, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But there was tremendous evidence right now as to how unfairly treated I was. President Obama and Biden spied on my campaign. It's never happened in history. If it were the other way around, the people would be in jail for 50 years right now. That would be Comey, that would be Brennan, that would be all of this the two lovers, Strzok and Page, they would be in jail now for many, many years." + }, + { + "tid": "DvR7ljqjD9c", + "sid": 186, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7807, + "raw_confidence": 0.7807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-chris-wallace-fox-news-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They would be in jail, it would've started two years ago and they'd be there for 50 years. The fact is, they illegally spied on my campaign. Let's see what happens. Despite that, I did more than any president in history in the first three and a half years." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, Bill and good luck tomorrow. It's going to be a great day for this country. You're going to win and it's going to be great. I just want to thank and say hello to the people of Tennessee. You've been tremendous supporters and I'm a tremendous supporter of you. We had the best year that Tennessee's ever had last year in so many ways, but in every economic way and just about every other way." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So it's good to be on the call with you. You know, it's interesting that yesterday the TVA, Tennessee Valley Authority, I did a big thing about jobs. I didn't know I was even making this call and I didn't do it for this call, but TVA, you have a man being paid $8 million a year, put there, not by me but by boards, it's sort of a semi-public deal." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we're looking at making sure that the people in the TVA are treated properly. So this turned out to be a big thing and it's really working out very well. But I want to thank all of the people of Tennessee. I'm thrilled to be talking to you on the eve of this critical election. Tomorrow I need you to vote for my friend, Bill Hagerty for U.S. Senator." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Bill was one of my strongest supporters in 2016. He was right in there and he was the head of the whole group in Tennessee. And I couldn't have asked for better. Really, I went to Bill, I said, Bill, we need your help. I want you to be on our transition team. I appointed him as ambassador to Japan and he was truly one of our best." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "He was an incredible ambassador to Japan. They still talk about Bill. He became legendary over there. And that's why we're doing this next step. As your next Senator, Bill will be a stalwart defender of our conservative values. He's proudly pro-life and pro-family and pro gun. He's going to be defending that second amendment all the way and I have better than anybody has ever." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We haven't done anything with it despite tremendous pressure to do something. It's tremendous pressure to take away your guns by the radical left. And nothing happened. We have it totally defended. But I need Bill. Bill would be a great help. While the radical left tries to defund our police, Bill will strongly defend our police." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3771, + "raw_confidence": 0.6229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "He is very much against Antifa and everything Antifa stands for. They're a nightmare. They're a disaster. Just look at what they're doing in Portland and look what they did in Seattle. We got them out and we got them out too off Portland. We've sent a small group in there. We'll shut it down completely if we have to. And we did a great job also in Minneapolis, where it was being taken over and we sent in the national guard and straightened that out fast." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "In one hour it was all over. But Bill will help us shut down the illegal immigration, ban sanctuary cities and finish the wall. The wall is at 277 miles. We have a tremendous wall, it's stopping everything. It's going to be just about completed by the end of the year. We'll be over 500 miles of wall in the most important areas." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And it's had a tremendous impact, even the 277 or so miles that have been built. Bill was a very successful businessman. He knows what it takes to get an economy running. And if you've seen the kind of numbers that are coming out recently, you know it's really running again. We're going to have a really good third quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3635, + "raw_confidence": 0.6365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're going to have a phenomenal next year, comparable to the best year you've ever had, which was last year. And Bill's going to make sure that China is held accountable with me, held accountable for the lies and the deceit that unleashed the China virus upon the world. So unfair what happened to not only our country, but every country, but we now have it in very good shape." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We've learned a lot about it. We want to open up our schools. A lot of your Democrat governors and mayors don't want to have the schools open but on November 4th... November 3rd is the big day. That's the day of the election. On November 4th, you watch what happens. They'll come out and they'll say, Oh, let's open up. They're doing it for elections and not doing it for what's right." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But we want to open up our schools and our businesses. And that's basically what's going to be happening. But as ambassador, Bill worked to strengthen our defensive partnership with Japan. He helped to reach new trade deals that are fantastic deals. And we've really done a job together. He's really been a tremendous help." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1985, + "raw_confidence": 0.8015, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Bill will be in the Senate. He'll help us confirm judges. You know, at the end of the term, my first term, we'll be up to over, I think, it'll be over 300 new judges and two great Supreme Court justices. And that's a record. That's a record that's going to be very tough to beat. But Bill will help me with that because that's so important for the Senate." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And Bill will be leading the fight. I know him very well. He's a Trump conservative. He's a friend of mine. He's a great guy. Tennessee is one of my favorite places. I really appreciate all of your support. Your support has been absolutely fantastic. And you've always been there for me and I'm always going to be for Tennessee." + }, + { + "tid": "e3zTmRnwT_o", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-bill-hagerty-senate-tennessee-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's a special place, there is a real love affair going on there. And I'm at the head of it. I think it's just a great, great state. I want to thank everybody for being on. We have a lot of people on this call. Go out and vote for Bill Hagerty. He's going to do an exceptional job. Go tomorrow, go early if you can and put it away. He will do a great, great job. Thank you everybody. And thank you to Tennessee." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Hello. Hello everybody. Hi. Can you hear me? Can you hear me over there? So I want to thank you very much. You've been incredible. The state has been incredible. That's one of the reasons, you know, you have a governor that shut it down. You're in a shutdown, right? But I want to just thank this is some little gathering." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "This is just from the heart. This is from the heart. So you know we worked out a program where all of the food that was being wasted goes to people, and helping people during the pandemic, and you people produce the food like nobody produces the food. So we took care of it. Then we're actually doing today a $1 billion program that's going to help everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's going to be great, and you know, we're hitting new records in the stock market. We just hit new employment records for the last three months. Nine million people jobs. We reduce taxes. We reduce regulations. I's all coming back so fast that you'll see it, and the pandemic goes away. The vaccines are going to be, I believe, announced very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7151, + "raw_confidence": 0.7151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Yesterday night, we did it last evening we announced a very, very big therapeutic, and the therapeutic, it's something that really has been an incredible thing. This would have taken, I wouldn't say years, maybe not many years, but it would would have taken a long time to have gotten it approved. We got the FDA to do it very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So now we have another therapeutic, and it's really been effective. So I just want to thank convalescent plasma, but you know that, convalescent plasma, and hopefully you won't need i. But we have it and Remdesivir, and so many others. So many others are coming out now. The job they've done, the job our country has done, has been amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We'll be talking about it on Thursday evening. Is anybody going to be watching television on Thursday evening, right? So we'll be talking, because really the job that we've done is incredible. It's incredible, and none of us get any credit for it, and that's okay. As long as we have the end result, and the end result is we have to make people safe." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We have to make our country safe. We have to build up our military, and now it's at a level that it's never been at before. We've rebuilt our entire military. The wall, the wall, as you know, will soon be finished, and our border is secure, and I heard somebody on the other side, we want to tear down the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Do you believe this? Tear down the wall? They want people, they'll say it, let the people come in illegally. Let them come through. We can't do that. We have a great country, we've never done we are going to be in a position, as you know, prior to the plague coming in from China, we did numbers the likes of which have never been seen." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Our employment numbers, every every number stock market. Now you look at it today, the stock market is just about set to break the all-time record. Your 401(k)s, all of the things that we're doing, and that's a leading to me, that's like a leading indicator. Everything's follows. The economy is going to come back." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Next year, we're going to have one of the best years economically, and in other ways, that we've ever had before. So watch on Thursday night. We just accepted the votes, and I guess the official acceptance is on Thursday, but we just got a great delegate count, Mark Meadows, is that right? Mark Meadows, from a wonderful state known as North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Mark Meadows, and he's got to have a great young man taking his place. We think he's going to be do a fantastic job. But Mark has been great, our chief of staff. So I just want to thank everybody. This has been a real love fest between North Carolina and Trump, right? It's been incredible. We've had a tremendous success here, and you've had so last year you had the most successful year you ever had, and you're going to break that record again next year." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4551, + "raw_confidence": 0.5449, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're going to have an incredible third quarter. The numbers coming in are just been they've been fantastic, and again, you're going to have a great third quarter, but you're going to have the best year, I think, you're going to break your record from last year. So we will put this horrible incident coming from China behind us, and we will have the vaccines very soon, but it's going to be fading, and it is starting to fade." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Florida is getting much better. California is getting much better. You look at all of the different states that have been through it, and you look at our rate, and we're going to be comparing that you're going to look at the tremendous success we've had compared to other places. So, I just want to thank all of the people from North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7547, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You know, as you know, because of the shutdown, we wanted to have our convention here, and you have a governor that basically didn't want to play ball. He didn't want to do it, . And by the way, Dan Forest is running, and he's great he's great. So and I think he's going to do very well." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But he's really a terrific guy, and he'd be a terrific governor, and I hope you going to do it. So I felt really an obligation to come here today to say hello to the people of North Carolina, and we appreciate your love and I love you right back. Thank you all very much. Thank you very much. Take care of yourselves." + }, + { + "tid": "Eaxw5VLJMvU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-asheville-regional-airport-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you everybody. Thank you. Thank you. Good luck. We love you all. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. We had a very important call this morning at eight o'clock with Lebanon and with many leaders from different countries. And I think it was first of all, it's one of the most horrific things I've ever seen. But it was a very important call. It was a really led with France and President Macron, who is very close, as you know, to Lebanon. And we had it a lot of things were worked out." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1902, + "raw_confidence": 0.8098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "We're going to do a lot of help. We've got to help them. A lot of countries are going to be helping; I think 150. But it's probably the number of lost could be astronomical. They say at least 5,000 were injured, and that means many hundreds of people were killed. That is a horrible situation." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "So, the United States is working very diligently. We have three planes going over, loaded up with medical supplies, food, and water. We'll be sending additional planes. That took place this morning. It was a teleconference call with various leaders from and ." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "I haven't given a number, but it'll be substantial. On a humanitarian basis, we have to do it. We have to do it. It's you'd almost say, How does a country survive such a tragedy? It was at a level I have people over there; they said this is at a level that we've never seen before the blast. They've never seen anything like it. So, we'll be helping them and substantially." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6643, + "raw_confidence": 0.6643, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "We've had three major planes already over with a lot of medical mostly medical equipment. It's various things to help. We have some excellent military that do this, and they reported back that they've never seen anything like this before. So, it's a horrific situation, but we'll help." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "So, the Democrats were just unwilling to do anything, and all they wanted to think about was how to steal an election. We discussed it yesterday, Jeff, where they wanted all sorts of things having to do with mail-in voting. They wanted no signature verification. They were asking for things that just had nothing to do with what we're talking about. And we've been going through this routine for a long time a number of weeks and it was time to act." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "And actually, we've been largely praised. We have to get money out to the people. It was China's fault. They did this horrific thing. It was China's fault. We have to get money out to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2887, + "raw_confidence": 0.7113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "So, I would say I mean, you may say that, you know, you've heard some negatives, but I've heard mostly positives. Mostly positives, even from people that you would least think would be very positive." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "I hear that's what the Democrats want to do now. They want look, they were not interested in doing what they had to do. Their big point of discussion was bailouts. They wanted to bail out poorly run, Democrat states, like you know, I could name them. I could give them to you right now. But why do it? Because you know the same states as I do and cities. And we don't we're not going to do that. We'll help, but we're not going to do numbers. They talked about a number of a trillion dollars. We can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "We can make a decision on that on individual states with an application." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Well, I've been involved personally, and you know, through my representatives, who are wonderful. And we have additional people, too. But I'm involved very you know, look, I've been on the phone a lot over the last three or four days. And I think it actually works better if we do it the way we're doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2489, + "raw_confidence": 0.7511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "We've gotten much of what we wanted without having to give up anything, and that's very good. You can't beat that. You can't beat the deal we've made. We've gotten much of what we wanted, and they didn't get what they wanted. And they would have and I guess they still could, in all fairness. I mean, I hear that Nancy Pelosi wants to call and she wants to see if she can do something. But they're much more inclined to make a deal now than they would've been two days ago." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2451, + "raw_confidence": 0.7549, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Well, I didn't speak to the Postmaster General in the Post Office. I know this: He's a very good businessman. He's very successful. And I know he wants to make the Post Office at least somewhat lose a lot less money than they've lost so much money over the decade. Nobody has ever nothing loses money like the Post Office. And he wants to make it successful. He wants to make it so it can operate, so that you don't have to give it $25 billion a year to sustain itself." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "So, you'd really have to ask him those questions, but he wants to make it self-sustaining and successful. He's a very, very smart guy. He's a great businessman. So let's see what he can do." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Well, I have confidence that they're going to make it into something. But, as you know, it's been losing massive amounts of money over the last number of decades. Massive amounts of money. This is not something new. This is something that's been taking place for a long time. It loses a tremendous amount of money." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6403, + "raw_confidence": 0.6403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Well, in light of the stories that are coming out about all of the problems with mail-in voting, whether it's the congressional race Carolyn Maloney, in New York, where they called it and they don't even have the ballots. The whole thing is crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "There's one that just came across my desk, and I'm going to look into it, but I hear it's a catastrophe on mail-in voting. We just can't have that. It's a you got to have an honest election. And if it's not going to be an honest election, you have to call them out." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "And he's a great man. He was a great person. He was a very early supporter. He just thought he was a very successful real estate man. I knew him in New York. One of the most successful. And he was really one of my early supporters. He said, Trump is going to win. He was so he said, You don't understand... Right from the day I came down the escalator with our First Lady our future First Lady he said, You don't understand: Trump is going to win." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "And he said that to the smartest people in New York, and he said it to richest people, and he said it the poorest people. He said, You don't understand Trump. He's going to win. And he was right. And he was very much involved. But he was diagnosed, you know, a number of weeks ago. He went to the hospital. And unfortunately, he didn't make it." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "And he was just a fantastic person. One of the most charitable people you'll ever meet. He helped a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2361, + "raw_confidence": 0.7639, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "It may be permanent. We're looking into it. Right now, we have it cut. It's going to a certain time, as you know. And we'll take it out until the end of the year, and then I'm going to make a decision as to, number one, an extension; and, number two, making it permanent and no reimbursement." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2273, + "raw_confidence": 0.7727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Well, what we're doing is we reimburse through the general fund, not through Social Security. This will have no impact on Social Security. We're going to impact we're going to, through the general funds, reimburse. This will have zero impact on Social Security." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6743, + "raw_confidence": 0.6743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "And I've been at Social Sec- we protect Social Security." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Because, you know, it's a beautiful thing what's happening. You look at our markets, how well they're doing that, in a pandemic, we're going to hit we're very close to hitting new stock market highs. And, in some instances as an example, NASDAQ we've hit the highest it's ever been. I think 14 or 15 days have set records. So, that's a great achievement." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7922, + "raw_confidence": 0.7922, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "We're going to have tremendous growth, and a lot of good things are happening. But that's going to come out of the general fund, not out of Social Security." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "We'll be able to do it as long as we deem it necessary. And I will say this: The Democrats have called. They'd like to get together. And we say: If it's not a waste of time, we'll do it. But if it is a waste of time, it doesn't make sense." + }, + { + "tid": "EgCk6L5CtoE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-9-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-09", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Have a good flight. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much, everybody. That's really great. Thank you. Thank you for being here. It's a good crowd. I thought I was just going to be seeing some very proud sheriffs and great law enforcement people, but and it's beautiful. This weather is so beautiful. The heat. I love the heat." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I'm thrilled to be back in my home state, Florida. Florida. Today, I'm honored to receive the endorsement of dozens of incredible Florida sheriff's and we just received sheriffs will be happy to hear, we just received the endorsement of many, many police organizations all over the United States. I can't imagine they are endorsing the other side." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I would say the way things are going. I would think that's a tough endorsement, wouldn't you think? This morning, I was also deeply grateful to meet so many other great, great law enforcement. They came to the Oval Office. They came to the White House. And there's a big love affair between us and law enforcement and it's especially great in Florida, the state of Florida, and I appreciate it. I know I know the gentlemen behind me and they are they have been doing a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "As long as I'm president, I will never defund your police. That I promise you. We make increase your police, but were not defunding. Instead, we'll defend our police, we'll give our law enforcement heroes the resources, equipment, and support and respect that they so richly deserve. We are delighted to be joined today by a very good friend of mine, a man who is a great governor and is a great senator, Rick Scott." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1874, + "raw_confidence": 0.8126, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Wherever Rick is. Rick. Rick, thank you. Alex Azar, the the me and that's really heading our COVID you know, they're starting to give us very good marks. Did you notice that? We're getting very high marks on this China virus. Should have never come here. Should have never come here. They should have never allowed it to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Where is Rick and where is Alex? Where are they all standing? They're someplace here. Here they are. Hi, fellas. And good job, Alex. And proud sheriffs, police chiefs, all from across this incredible state. We appreciate your being here. Later today, Governor DeSantis, Senator Scott and I will participate in a briefing on Florida's battle against the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "My administration is also closely monitoring the hurricane, approaching the Florida coast. In fact, I've got to get out of here. It's right behind me. I'm leaving. It's not far off. I will tell you. You know, is not too good luck. Have a have a great evening. Have a great evening, fellas." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But will do whatever is necessary to help Florida and this storm. I guess it's going to be a pretty rough storm, but I know one thing, after having done this for three and half years, you've seen worse. You've seen some beauties. And as soon as those storms came in, I signed those emergency rations before Rick would even ask for it and before Ron would even ask for it. And they asked very quickly, both of them." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I can tell you. I've got complete confidence in your governor. He's doing a fantastic job. I have As you know. Oh, that's good. I'm going to tell him. And I have complete confidence in the strength and resilience of this incredible state and the incredible people, my friends in this state. Thank you. In recent months, our nation has witnessed an appalling assault on America's law enforcement and law enforcement officers." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Incredible people and it's been very unfair and they are not given the backup that they have to get from elected officials. In many cases, I don't call it leadership. I don't think it's leadership. They just happen to be elected. But they're not leadership. Radical left agitators and anarchists in Portland have burned city streets and attacked law enforcement with bricks, cinderblocks, fireworks, and explosives and they say water." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Water. That's just water. Oh really? Frozen water in frozen bottles that they through. And food. You know, they bring food. Canned soup. They say, you know, there are pros. There are pros. A lot of them are professionals and their professional anarchists. Canned soup. You say oh, that's nice. Isn't that nice?" + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2076, + "raw_confidence": 0.7924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I wonder what kind of soup it is. But it's meant to throw. And when they get caught, they say no, no this is just super for my family. Isn't that nice? But they use it to throw. You guys understand that. I don't think you see down here too much but you see it in Portland. If you saw it down here, it wouldn't be throwing it long." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It wouldn't be long. It wouldn't be long. They wouldn't be throwing soup at these guys. In Jacksonville, Florida, manikin dressed in a police uniform was hung in effigy recently from a highway overpass. You saw that. Not going to happen. Meanwhile, Democrat politicians across the nation have embraced the dangerous campaign to defund, defame, and even abolish our police." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6905, + "raw_confidence": 0.6905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We are not abolishing our police. I can tell you that. Just days ago, crazy Nancy Pelosi referred to federal law enforcement officers as stormtroopers. That's like storm you know what the stormtroopers are, right? Who must be stopped. They must be stopped. Your police you say it must be stopped. The people that are anarchists and the people that are terrorists and all of these they don't have to be stopped but she wants our police officers to be stopped." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2183, + "raw_confidence": 0.7817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's not happening. Even worse, Joe Biden has viciously slandered our police, if he actually knew what he was talking about, which I don't think don't take it personally because he has no idea what he's talking about. Just says reads whatever they put. They put their and reads it. Sometimes he reads it, sometimes he doesn't. Pretty soon he won't be able to do that either." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And said that window well-armed officers do their job, enforce the law, they become the enemy. Oh, I see. I see. They become the enemy when they enforce the law. That's nice. When asked recently if he supports cutting police budgets, Biden looked at them and said yes. Yes, absolutely. But again, I don't think he knew what exactly what the question meant." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Too complicated. In Bidens unity platform developed with socialist Bernie Sanders, crazy Bernie. You know Bernie. Everybody hear Bernie? He's the only guy I've ever seen that loses and he goes like there's nothing happened. I never saw a better loser than Bernie. They took the election away from him twice." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7461, + "raw_confidence": 0.7461, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "If Pocahontas wouldn't have run, you know that, he would have one Super Tuesday. She stayed in Super Tuesday, left right after Super Tuesday. If she stayed and if she would have left the race just a few days before, the day before, Bernie would have gotten a thing and then he gets out and he's friends with everybody like never nothing happened." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I don't know. I don't know if he's got another run in him. Does he have another run? I don't think so. Not looking he's not looking too good but he is a great loser. And I have to say, you know, Bernie's people, we've got to think 15 percent of our vote of the vote was burning people rooting for us. You know why question mark because they love Trump on trade because I stop in trade." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7962, + "raw_confidence": 0.7962, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Look at what we did with China. We took in tens of billions of dollars. And before the plague came in, we were doing so great. We were doing better than any country has ever done. We were beating China at every level. They were they were in a year 67 years ago, it's the worst they've ever done. 67 years they were having the worst year and we were having the best year we ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Our economy, our jobs whether it's African-American of employment, Asian-American employment, women, Hispanic employment was the best ever in history. Hispanic employment. Who's Hispanic? Any Hispanics in the crowd? Yes. Raise your hand. Yeah. And you've done great and your homeownership and every every aspect." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2408, + "raw_confidence": 0.7592, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You know, you look at people without a diploma, high school, people with a diploma in high school, people went to college, finished college, didn't finish they have more groups than you've ever heard. Every single group is doing the best they've ever done. The stock market was the highest it ever was, although I must tell you is getting very close right now." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2054, + "raw_confidence": 0.7946, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "NASDAQ actually is higher. It's actually higher. And we had the best job numbers just recently, but we had the best of everything. The good news, we rebuild our military 2.5 trillion. $2.5 trillion. Think of that. We totally rebuilt our military. When I took it over, it was depleted, it was we had jets fighter jets that were 52 years old." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1902, + "raw_confidence": 0.8098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I wouldn't want to be in a fighter jet. I don't care who the enemy is. It's 52 years old. It's got to be better, right? But we have now all brand-new fighter jets, lots of F-35s, the super jet. We have new missiles and new rockets, new everything, new tanks. We have a brand-new military. Most of the equipment's delivered." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1555, + "raw_confidence": 0.8445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "A lot of it's actually coming but it's coming very soon, all built in the USA, made in the USA. It's very important. So, we have people like Bernie, want to reimagine public safety. They want to reimagine it. That's what they talk about. We're going to reimagine we'll reimagine them. I don't know I don't know much about what they do. I can tell you one thing." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I support them, and the reason I support them is they're nobody better in the world. You don't have to reimagine. They know exactly what they're doing. Every day they get up and they go to work. They know what they're doing. And, you know, nationwide our crime now, this is hard with Chicago and all these places run by the radical left, which is what they're run by. But our numbers nationwide, you know, the best they've ever been." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We have very good crime numbers nationwide. That's pretty amazing when you add a couple of places like Portland and Seattle and Chicago. But that's the way it is. But you have people, radicals like Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that's a beauty. That's a real beauty, AOC. I call it AOC plus 3, Ilhan Omar, who doesn't love our country, doesn't love our country." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You're going to get me in trouble. I won't say what you said. Last time that happened, they said they made the exact same don't worry. They made the exact same statement as you and they criticized me for not getting angry at the people in the audience. Do you remember that? So, we won't say it, but they they know what I mean." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And Rashida Tlaib, that's another one. That's great. And they all mean to defund and disband police departments. That's what they want to do, defund and disband the police, Biden and Bernie's manifesto. So, you know, they agreed to a man I call it a manifesto. They don't call it that. It is a manifesto, but it's sort of strange because, you know, we thought it would go right." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's further left than Bernie ever was if you look, open borders, don't go after criminals, immediate education for illegal aliens, healthcare for illegal aliens when our own people don't necessarily get it. It's crazy. But it's further left than Bernie ever was and it's a disaster, and ban fracking. Forget about energy." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You'll energy costs here will go way up. Two days ago, I was in Texas. I said, you know, Bernie wants to ban fracking and ban oil. They said, oh, we didn't know that. I think we'll vote for Trump. I think winning Texas and being against oil and gas is not good, do you agree? Typically oh, he's also they're also against guns." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2658, + "raw_confidence": 0.7342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's where Florida kicks in. They want to get rid of your Second Amendment. They will if something happens here, one of the unexpected things that can happen, but they would immediately go for the Second Amendment. And I'm protecting your Second Amendment, totally protecting it. Biden supports lethal sanctuary cities, which release dangerous criminal aliens onto the streets." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3651, + "raw_confidence": 0.6349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They protect aliens much more so than people that aren't aliens. They protect criminals. And Biden opposes the death penalty even for cop killers and child murders. I see in Boston where you have the animal that killed so many people during the Boston Marathon. They just sent his conviction for the death penalty back to the lower court, so they'll argue about that for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's ridiculous. Think of that. It's ridiculous. Under the last administration, funding for local police was cut by hundreds of millions of dollars, and now they're talking about a much larger cut. 80 percent of the state and local enforcement surveyed reported a drop in federal funding, and MS-13 was allowed to go wild in our cities during the last administration." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.234, + "raw_confidence": 0.766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We've taken thousands and thousands of MS-13 the hell out of our country and we brought them back. And now with the wall up to 267 miles, we've built a 267 miles. They don't talk about it. You ever hear you never hear about the wall anymore, used to be the biggest subject. Now I want the fake news media to talk about the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2054, + "raw_confidence": 0.7946, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They don't want to talk about it. But it's had a great impact on the border. Mexico is had a great impact. They've been really nice to us. They have 27,000 soldiers on our southern border protecting us from people coming in from lots of places, some places that aren't working out so good, but from Mexico coming illegally into our country and Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So, we have the strongest border we've ever had. And as the wall gets up, nothing gets through that wall. That wall was built to last and last a long time. You know, when we were building the wall, I went to Border Patrol. Border Patrol, ICE, these are incredible people. And I went to them and I said what kind of wall do you want?" + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3457, + "raw_confidence": 0.6543, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Do you want a nice a solid concrete wall that I can throw up real quick? This is no, sir, we need to have some see-through ability, right? And they want to see-through. And ideally we want steel, sir, but we also want concrete. So, we'd like steel on the outside, concrete in the inside, and then, sir, if you could put heavy strength rebar." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I said well, this is getting to be a little bit much. But we gave them everything they want. And the plate on top, that's an anti-climb plate, for those that are interested. That makes it very tough to climb. First I said I don't like the plate on top. They say, sir, that's for anti-climb, makes it much tougher to climb." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4971, + "raw_confidence": 0.5029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I figured I could save a few bucks. We didn't save the the money, but we got it for the right price. So we're at over almost 270 miles. By the end of this year it'll be just about finished, maybe early next year, just about. And we actually are doing more wall and we stated we were going to do. We're going to be over 500 miles." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's a lot of wall. It's a lot of wall. And it's having a tremendous impact. Wherever the wall is built, people aren't coming through. They can't get through. So, the victims of the radical anti-police policies are millions of innocent Americans of every race, color, and background, including countless amazing Hispanic Americans who follow our laws, love our country, uplift our communities, and one safety for themselves and for the families." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1888, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And I'll tell you what, the Hispanic Americans understand the border better than anybody, even me. I think I've become an expert. But they understand and they want great people coming into the country. And they don't want the people taking their jobs and they don't want people taking their houses and taking their prosperity." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But we've had a tremendous relationship. In fact, I was given by the way, the Cubans. Do we have any Cubans here? I was given last time the Bay of Pigs award, Bay of Pigs award. They gave me the Bay of Pigs were, so that was a big thing. We do great with Venezuelans. We're taking care of Venezuela and we're taking care of Cuba." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7103, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden in the radical left's outrageous campaign against law enforcement is the major recent violent crime is surging in Democrat-run cities all across the nation. Were you have a Democrat-run city, you have a city with problems. If Joe Biden is elected president, the chaos and bloodshed will spread to every community in our land." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1895, + "raw_confidence": 0.8105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You'll have a Portland everywhere. Look at Portland. It's like from from 100 years ago. But I will tell you, Homeland Security has been incredible. A number of days ago we sent them to protect the courthouse, if you can believe this. We actually sent them in and they've done a great job. They protected it. These rallies or these riots are terrorists, anarchists." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5939, + "raw_confidence": 0.5939, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They been going on now for 64 days. So, seven days ago we sent them in. They protected the courthouse. And now we gave them a very short period of time, like days. They actually started yesterday to clean up their city and get rid of this let's say these people, because I'll misused a bad term and I would have been in trouble with all of those people up there, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's the news. See the there they are, a couple of good ones, mostly bad ones. But we would've been in big trouble. But we cleaned it up and they emptied out the park last night. You know, they're supposed to invite us in but we invited ourselves. But if they don't clean it up we'll be sending in we'll be sending in people and we'll take care of it in about two hours." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It'll take it'll go very quickly. But they know that. They know that. But I want to thank Homeland Security because they protected the courthouse. By the time I got there, the graffiti was all over the place. But they were looking to blow it up and tear down. In Joe Biden's America, you and your family will never be safe." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2122, + "raw_confidence": 0.7878, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Rioters and criminals will be totally protected. Law-abiding citizens will be totally disarmed and American families will be at the mercy of the violent left-wing mob that you've been watching on television. There will be no safety, no security, no peace, no justice, no one to protect you and no one to defend the American way of life." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "People like standing behind me will not be considered primetime. With me, they are considered primetime. They're the best we have. They are the best we have. I mean that. I mean it. Under my administration, we take a different approach. As president I will always stand with the incredible men and women of law enforcement and by the way that means you're unbelievable first responders, your unbelievable firemen and women, your unbelievable groups of people that work the ambulances and the doctors and the nurses that are so brave and we are with all of them." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2003, + "raw_confidence": 0.7997, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Upon taking office, I ended the last administrations a year crusade to cripple our sheriffs, our police officers, and law enforcement heroes all over our country. I made available $716 million worth of surplus military equipment to protect police in the line of duty. Did all of you get some of that? Pretty much, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.788, + "raw_confidence": 0.788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We are sending hundreds of federal law enforcement officers into places like Chicago and other cities to help them, and if they don't get their act straightened out in Chicago over the last few weeks you had hundreds of people shot and far too many people I want to give you the knee number it's a disgrace, far too many killed including young children who were supposedly by accident, probably were by accident stray bullets and they will either get their act straightened out, cleaned up, or we are going to clean it up for them, and they know that." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They are brave, they are strong and frankly, I know they are well-paid, they are not well paid enough as far as I'm concerned. And I will work with the Republican Congress where we have great support and great support for law enforcement to confront the far-left local prosecutors and Democratic-run cities who are refusing to prosecute crimes even murder and when they do they let people out almost instantly." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's incredible not even you wouldn't even believe it could be happening. They have murderers in Philadelphia take a look at your prosecutor, your chief prosecutor in Philadelphia, what is happening in that city where people that killed, people that murder get out automatically and quickly or don't even go to jail at all, killers." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We will drive out the fanatical anti-police ideology of the radical socialist Marxists and archivists and agitators, and I will fight to ensure that criminals who murder our police officers are immediately and quickly with a fair trial, but quickly receive the death penalty. Together we will keep American families safe, we will make every American communities secure, and we will make America great again." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You've heard that before. That is what is happening. And we were there until the virus came upon us and we will soon be there again, we will soon be there again and China we have not forgotten, we have not forgot and. I would like now to ask Brevard County Sheriff Wayne Ivey to say a few words, followed by Pascoe County Sheriff Chris Nocco, who is to fantastic people." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Maybe you will say a couple of words. Please, Sheriff?" + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Thanks, Chris. So Chris and Wayne, thank you very much. It's incredible. These people, you know, I really I shouldn't say this, but I will. I wanted to come down the stairs on that beautiful plane. I wanted to shake their hands and I wanted to hug them and kiss them, but I won't be able to do that for about maybe 90 days or so. We'll be back." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We'll be back. But we want to thank you all. These are incredible people behind me. Law enforcement all over the country. They're working. Some are allowed to do their job. Many are not allowed to do their job anymore. Those are the places with trouble, but we're turning that around. Returning around very, very strongly." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1909, + "raw_confidence": 0.8091, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I will always be with these great people. I will always be with them. I will never let them down and I will always be with the people of Florida. You're a special a state. Very important to me. And we're going to go on. You've seen what's going on. Those polls are going up, up, up. We had an easy campaign and then we got hit by the China virus and China couldn't have been happier because they said well, maybe we can get rid of that guy." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That would be good. We don't want him to as president. We like the other one very much. They would own this country. Let me tell you, if they dealt with Biden, they would own this country. It would be very quick too, it wouldn't be very long. But it didn't happen that way with me. They gone the opposite way." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We were going one way up and they were not doing well. So I just want to thank everybody here. Be careful a little bit tonight. It's a pretty big storm. I don't know if it's going to be a hurricane or not, but it's a storm. It's significant. And you know how to handle those storms and hurricanes better than anybody probably in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "egr4Pv3W_sc", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-sheriffs-endorsement-tampa-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So I'm not overly worried. But we'll be here for you. The declarations ready to be signed already before you even get hit. And I just want to thank, again, Florida and I want to thank law enforcement. Incredible people. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1958, + "raw_confidence": 0.8042, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's a disaster because, that's right, in Pennsylvania they do it a certain way, and that would lead to many weeks after November 3rd before they're even accounted for, if they're even accounted. This is a terrible thing happening to our country where Democrat governors in, I think, virtually every case, they're trying to create a system of mail in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7525, + "raw_confidence": 0.7525, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "If you look at what's happened there in over the last little while, just over the last, uh, few weeks, elections have come in, small ones, very easy ones, and they've come in and they've been a disaster. They've been a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4473, + "raw_confidence": 0.5527, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I think it's a terrible thing what's happening. People can get out and vote or you can do, what I call, a solicited ballot, okay? A solicited, where you request it because you can't be there for some reason. And you know, it's interesting, we voted in World War I, we voted in World War II, and here they don't wanna do it that way." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This is a terrible thing for our country, and they know it. The Democrats know this is going to be very bad. They know it. All you have to do is look at New York where the congressional district, a disaster. Look at Paterson, New Jersey. Look at Virginia. Look at many different that happened recently. Every one of them was just absolute... It was fraud all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7895, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Missing ballots, crumbled ballots, signatures that weren't there... It was a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Well, no. We're gonna hopefully accept the results, and hopefully the results are gonna be results... I think we're gonna win Pennsylvania by a lot. You see the crowd. It was a incredible crowd, a thousand standing outside. Um, I think we're going to win big. I hope we're going to win big, but you know, you never know when you have a a press that's as dishonest... Not you, by the way, but it's so dishonest." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's so corrupt. We have a corrupt press, and people are starting to find that out. So, I think we're gonna win. I hope it's gonna be in the evening of the 3rd, of November 3rd, and you know, the mail in ballots, in this case of Nevada, they don't even have to have their ballot in until seven days after the election, and I'm saying, What is going on over here? So, um, we're just not standing for it." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7791, + "raw_confidence": 0.7791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We have two cases in Pennsylvania as you know, very big cases, and I think the judges will determine what's going to happen. They're very important cases. It's a terrible thing for our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I understand what they're saying. I'm all for peaceful protests, but when you have anarchists and agitators and rioters and looters and everything else, that's different. But, you're right, Pittsburgh has had some peaceful protests. I'm all for that, but a lot of times the politicians cause, they say peaceful, and then you look behind or over the shoulder of a reporter like your, like you, and you see the city burning." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's crazy, and you know, we can solve the problem if they'd call us. We'd bring in the National Guard. We would have, as an example, a radical left governor and mayor in Portland, we could fix that job, that whole city, in less than a half an hour. All we have to do is be asked. We have to be asked. You look at what we did in Wisconsin." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1933, + "raw_confidence": 0.8067, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It was amazing. Very quickly, it's fine. You look at what we did in Minneapolis. Take a look at Minneapolis. As soon as the guard came in, it was fine. They should've called it two weeks earlier, that was the only thing. So, we have to wait for their call. As soon as they call it, we fix the situation very easily." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I didn't see. I don't know much about The Atlantic. I don't read The Atlantic, uh, as a magazine but, uh, I can tell you there's nobody that respects soldiers more than I do. I respect them with my life. I've taken care of them like nobody's taken care of them. We've had three pay increases. We've rebuilt our entire military, and I know the incident when it was pouring rain and I was asked not to go by Secret Service because I couldn't take a helicopter, and I sent somebody else instead." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2105, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It was somebody that actually was a terrible chief of staff. He was way over his head, Kelly, but I know the exact circumstance, and it was pouring and I wanted to drive it, and the Secret Service said, You can't do that because of the roads, because it was a helicopter that was canceled. So, that's the facts there." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7396, + "raw_confidence": 0.7396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Nobody loves the military more than I do." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7597, + "raw_confidence": 0.7597, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Your governor has to open up. He has to say, Pennsylvania, you're open. North Carolina, too. All Democrat governors, and I think what they're doing is politics. They want to keep it closed 'til after the election, and then they'll all open up, but that's a long time, two and a half months. It's too long, it's too long." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1578, + "raw_confidence": 0.8422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's not fair. Restaurants are, you know, it's a wonderful business, but it's a tough business. They have to open up. The stores have to open up. The the... I have so many friends from Pennsylvania, they're devastated. Their governor won't open up. Gotta open up, you gotta open up the state, but there are other states too." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7441, + "raw_confidence": 0.7441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Michigan, it's a Democrat. Uh, you take a look at North Carolina, it's a Democrat. These governors don't wanna open up, and they have to. The commonwealth of Pennsylvania is great. It's gotta be opened up. It's gotta be opened up now." + }, + { + "tid": "ELdrgaOCmmY", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2243, + "raw_confidence": 0.7757, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-aaron-martin-wpxi-pittsburgh-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They can open up slowly, but they have to start. They have to start. It's very unfair to people, and it's very unfair to the employees who are gonna lose their jobs. It's very, very unfair. They have to open up." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1864, + "raw_confidence": 0.8136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I came to thank the law enforcement, the police. They're incredible. And the National Guard has been truly amazing. They all got together. They coalesced. The minute they got here, it was over." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And I'd like to ask you to say exactly what you told me, because I think it's really very interesting. You can take that off. You take it off, and I'll just stay a little further away. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And the whole state of Wisconsin. It's been an incredible coming together of a lot of great people, especially law enforcement and the Guard." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Senator Ron Johnson, maybe you could say something, please." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And whether it's Portland, Oregon, we could have that done so quickly, so easily, your head would spin. It would end immediately. Last night, they attacked the mayor's house. It's ridiculous." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "All they have to do is ask, and we'll be there within literally within minutes. We're set. We're all set to go in. We already have a big force; they're protecting the courthouse and it's totally protected. We have 300 people; they're Homeland Security. It's totally protected." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Congressman, maybe you could say a few words? You called me originally, and we appreciate it. Please" + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But ultimately, he called, he said okay, and we sent in the group and they had a lot of great people here to start with, I have to say." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Would you like to say something please?" + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So the federal government, like it was in Wisconsin, the federal government is waiting; we just wait for a call. In Oregon, we have Portland, which is just every night 93 nights. And every day we call: Do you want us? Do you want us? And last night, they attacked very viciously the mayor's house, and we were ready to go in, just in case, if it got any worse. But it was bad. And this man just stands here and says, No, we have a democracy. It's... You don't have a democracy when that happens, actually; you have the opposite of a democracy." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank you all thank all of you for being here. But this is in really great shape, and we're looking at a couple of other locations. Now, we can do them all at one time. We're very well equipped. Our National Guard is great, and our military is beyond any military in the world. It's totally restocked and in great shape. We won't have to use military. I don't think we'd have to use military, but we're ready to go with whatever power we need to use." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1988, + "raw_confidence": 0.8012, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "In Washington, D.C., we have a radical, liberal mayor, a Democrat, and she's I guess she just doesn't get it. But she's trying to work with the White House and the Secret Service, but it would be so easy to solve that. So we may have to do something there. It'll take approximately 15 minutes." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7973, + "raw_confidence": 0.7973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You don't see people ripping down statues anymore because I signed, essentially, a law. I signed a statute that: If you knock down a statue, you knock down a monument, it's 10 years in prison. And, amazingly, it stopped. You haven't had any problems since then, right? So, it stopped." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank everybody. You have done a fantastic job. Ron, thank you very much. Congressman, great job. Really great job. Thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, we have the pastor here, who's tremendous. He's a tremendous gentleman. I'm going to meet him in a little while. He represents the family. And I think it's probably better off if that's handled locally right now. It's under investigation, as you know. So I think it's much better. I actually suggested we handle it locally." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.19, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I was going to speak to the mother yesterday. I hear she's a very fine woman. I was going to speak to her. But then I heard there were a lot of lawyers on the phone. I said, I have enough lawyers in my life. I don't need to get involved with that. I spoke with the pastor. The pastor is going to see me in a little while. He is really a terrific guy, if you know him. He's a terrific guy. So, I look forward to that." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But we're going to this is going to heal very quickly. We're going to help them from an economic standpoint, and we're going to make a contribution to your law and to what we call law and order. Some people think those are two terrible words: law and order. And they're not terrible at all. They're beautiful. They have to be used judiciously. They have to be used properly." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But I wish somebody would have called. When I called the governor, I wish he would have accepted night one, instead of night three. Because night one, those stores would still be up. But he's better than many. He accepted. In all fairness to the governor, he accepted. And when he accepted, it all ended." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank the governor, and I want to thank everybody, but, in particular, I want to thank your police and your great people from law enforcement. They've done a fantastic job. I want to thank you all. You've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Great job. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "EOfWknQCvRc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-operations-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Yeah, thank you very much, everybody. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. It's an honor to be with the governor of a fabulous state, Arizona. It's Doug Ducey, and we know him well. And we've had a tremendous relationship. He had a tremendous, big, very big election victory. And he has done an incredible job on COVID, or COVID-19, or about 19 other names we can call it. It's got probably more names than anything else you can think of. And he was hit very hard, and he's and he hit back even harder." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And I'd like to have Doug explain it a little bit. And you perhaps you both want to explain it, but you've done a fantastic job. We're very proud of you. We love the people of Arizona, and they are very proud of the job you've done also, Doug." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So maybe you can and this is some of the things that we've provided, which is a lot. When Doug would call, I'd take his call, and he was always asking for a lot for Arizona, and that's the way a good governor should be." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And what are you down because the percentage down is incredible. What how much did you go down, percentage-wise?" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Deborah, you said something really great about Arizona before. What would it be?" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So you're proud of the governor, you said before." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And you had a great representative over here, and you taught us a lot. You really came up with some" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Would you like to say something in front of all of these wonderful people?" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.217, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "How is that working, the remdesivir? How is it going?" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That's fantastic. Huh? Wow. Proud of you. That's a great that's a great success." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Yeah, more to do, but that's a really" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.194, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Fantas- really, a fantastic job in Arizona. We appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Does anybody have any question for the governor? And we're going to have a news conference at 5:30, so you can ask a little bit there." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, I haven't discussed it with the Governor. I can tell you: In Florida, they've done a very good job with it. In Nevada, it would be a disaster. In New York, it's been a disaster. In many other places, it's been a total catastrophe." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7826, + "raw_confidence": 0.7826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You know what's going on in New York with the Carolyn Maloney. I think they have to have a new election. They've you have no idea. That fraud, all sorts of many ballots. Paterson, New Jersey, I guess it's 25 percent or 20 percent of the vote is tainted." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You can't have that. You can't have that. So it's okay absentee voting: Great. But this mail-in voting where they mail, indiscriminately, millions and millions of ballots to people, you're never going to know who won the election. You can't have that." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And Nevada is a big state. It's an important state. It's a very political state, and the governor happens to be a Democrat. And I don't believe the Post Office can be set up. They were given no notice. I mean, you're talking about millions of votes. No, it'll be a it's a catastrophe waiting to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1908, + "raw_confidence": 0.8092, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Again, all you have to do is look at the vote that took place on a simple congressional district, in an area that should be able to do it very easily, in Manhattan. It's a total it's a total what's happened, it's a nightmare. Nobody has ever seen anything like it." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Look at Paterson, New Jersey, and look at other locations. We can't have that. You'll never know who the winner is, but the winner is going to be me." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So we'll see you at 5:30, and we can talk about it a little bit more." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I just want to finish by saying: We're very proud of the Governor and we are very proud of Arizona, because, in addition, the people had to help you, and they did. They're really great people." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4289, + "raw_confidence": 0.5711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And don't forget, if you look at what they're doing in Nevada: no signature. You take a look at the signature, and there's no verification of signature allowed. I don't know if you do that" + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3512, + "raw_confidence": 0.6488, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "but there's no verification of signatures. So they don't even know who's going to sign this. They have literally a clause that you don't have to verify the signatures that they don't have to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2501, + "raw_confidence": 0.7499, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So right there, it's no good; it's defective. Two two votes in an envelope in a single envelope. It this is a thing that will be a disaster like never before. So we'll see what the court has to say about it." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1976, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Arizona has been doing this for a long time, and it's been refined. Even if if Nevada wanted to do it well, they wouldn't have enough time. I'm sure the Post Office doesn't have enough time. Millions of ballots, all of a sudden, coming out of nowhere. You know, voting starts in a very short period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2043, + "raw_confidence": 0.7957, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, in Florida, they've done a good job. In Arizona, they've done a good job, but they've been doing this thing and refining it for years. This is something that's put in but think of this: no verification of the signature. Well, who's going to sign it? They don't even verify who's going to sign it." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So it's I'm sure the courts will treat it very fairly. Let's see what happens. Thank you all very much. I'll see you in a little while." + }, + { + "tid": "FayXWZ6zmgI", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-doug-ducey-governor-arizona-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I'll see you later. I'll be talking 5:30. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Great to have you here. Nice group. Some familiar faces. So thank you all very much for being at the White House. Very special house. Very special place. I'm grateful to be joined by citizens whose lives have been saved by law enforcement heroes. And that's what they are: They're heroes. And they're being very unfairly treated over the last long period of time, but over the last few years. It's terrible what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "We're also joined by two amazing officers: South Carolina Deputy Sheriff William Kimbro. Where's William? William? William? What happened to William? Okay." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And Palm Beach County Deputy Sheriff Corey Reece. Hi, Corey. Good." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "In recent weeks, our country's police officers have been really under siege. I want to thank first of all, I do want to thank Vice President Pence for all the work he's done on this and, in particular, Attorney General Bill Barr, because the job he's done has been amazing. It's been it's been 24 hours a day. I guess I could say 28 hours a day. Right? It never ends, but it's been a great job that you've both done. We appreciate it. Mike, we appreciate it very much." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2354, + "raw_confidence": 0.7646, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But our officers have been under vicious assault, and hundreds of police have been injured and several murdered. You've been reading about it just like I've been seeing it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.787, + "raw_confidence": 0.787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Reckless politicians have defamed our law enforcement heroes as the enemy. They call them the enemy. They actually go and say they're the enemy, and even call them an invading army." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7457, + "raw_confidence": 0.7457, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "These radical politicians want to defund and abolish the police from our nation. At first when I first heard it, I said, Well, that's just something that they're saying. That doesn't... But they actually are trying to do it. You look at what's going on in Minneapolis, you look at what's going in many, many Democrat-run areas. But they want to defund and they want to abolish." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7927, + "raw_confidence": 0.7927, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "In one recent week in New York City this is hard to believe shootings were up 358 percent, and yet they spend all their time they want to do Black Lives latter Matter signs outside of Trump Tower. They ought to spend their time doing something else, because I'll tell you what: 358 percent increase in shootings in New York." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Last month, over 300 people were shot. NYPD retirements have quadrupled, and they're going up even further. And New York City is out of control, unfortunately. My place, I love it, but it's out of control. It was doing so well." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8062, + "raw_confidence": 0.8062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Rudy Giuliani whether you like Rudy or not, he did a great job. He was the greatest mayor in the history of New York." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6569, + "raw_confidence": 0.6569, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Murders in Atlanta are up 133 percent compared to the same period last year. And one of the victims was an 8-year-old girl, and we've had younger than that in Chicago last weekend." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "In the last two weeks, 105 Americans were shot in Philadelphia. In Minneapolis, the city voted to disband the police department and cut it way down, but disband it ultimately. The radical politicians are waging war on innocent Americans. That's what you're doing when you play with the police." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5617, + "raw_confidence": 0.5617, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "My administration is pro-safety, pro-police, and anti-crime. And I will say I just see a new number came in from Chicago this weekend was a scourge. This weekend was I guess 20 people killed in many, many shootings many, many shootings. Far worse than the last week." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So things are happening that nobody has ever seen happening, happen in cities that are liberally run. I call them radical lib. And yet, they'll go and march on areas and rip everything down in front of them." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "If that's what you want for a country, you probably have to vote for Sleepy Joe Biden, because he doesn't know what's happening. But you're not going to have it with me. So we've been very strong on law enforcement. We'll be doing things that you'll be, I think, very impressed with. Numbers are going to be coming down even if we have to go in and take over cities, because we can't let that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7898, + "raw_confidence": 0.7898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "When you have 20 people killed, 22 people killed in one weekend in Chicago, and you have 88 shootings it's not even conceivable. That's worse than Afghanistan. I hate to say it: That's worse than any war zone that we're in, by a lot. It makes them look like tame places by comparison. So we're not going to let it go on." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "We're not supposed to you're supposed to wait for them to call, but they don't call. We've asked Chicago, Would you like us to go in and help? And they don't want to say anything. And we've called many of the cities, Would you like us to go and help?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.78, + "raw_confidence": 0.78, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "We've done a great job in Portland. Portland was totally out of control, and they went in and, I guess, we have many people right now in jail. And we very much quelled it. And if it starts again, we'll quell it again very easily. It's not hard to do if you know what you're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank everybody for being here. I'd maybe ask Vice President Pence to say a couple of words and then I'd like Bill Barr to say something, and we'll go around the room. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Bill. I appreciate it. Maybe what we'll do is we'll go around the room, and maybe you could introduce yourself and explain exactly what's going on. You have an incredible story. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Wow. You don't hear those stories. That's why I think it's important to have a meeting like this, a little different than it's it's the meeting that we should have about 100 times out of almost 100. This is the one because the police do such a great job. And there's an example that's fantastic. That's fantastic. And did you know the gentleman on your left? Huh?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Come on. Let's go. Let's let's tell that story, please." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Now, did you you know? Do you want to go ahead? Please. Yes, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, that's what I meant when I kiddingly said that's what I meant when I kiddingly said, you know the gentleman on your left, because you really know him because" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "That's what I meant. And great job you've done. Thank you very much, on behalf of all of us. And, Kemira, congratulations. That's great." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "That's great. So, again, the police did a great job, and the group did a great job. And so Spencer has no sense of danger? So you would say, basically, he's very brave. Okay? View it view it that way. Good." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much for being here. We appreciate it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And how you doing now then? So that's been that's a lot of times that you had difficulty." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "That's a fantastic job. Thank you very much. That's a that's an equally incredible statement. You understand what you're doing now, so that's great. Six years almost six years. That's fantastic. Good luck. We'll see you in let's say, celebrate in 10. Okay? We'll see you in 10." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So we'll see you in another four years, all right? That's fantastic news. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, that's great. Thank you very much. It's an incredible story." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So how seriously how long did it take to recover? How bad was it?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Okay. That's a great job. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, that's a great story. I thought you were going to tell me that they wanted to arrest you for giving them a couple of bucks. And they deserve it very much. But, you know, I've I've heard the other end of those stories also. You're not allowed to do anything. And you're right about it: They've been, what what the police have been going through over the last number of years, in all fairness it's been starting and but it's never been like this, has it? It's never been like this. It's it's crazy. It's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And they'll find out it'll go the opposite direction, unfortunately, at some point. It'll go absolutely opposite when they see and you're going to have some defunding and abolishing, and you'll see numbers like nobody would ever believe. And they're going to say, Let's get our police back as soon as we can. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, that's great what you just that's a fantastic thing." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1575, + "raw_confidence": 0.8425, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "That's a lot. That's good job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "That's great. Great stories. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Two in the morning? Why did he that's a strange time. So you found him to be okay? Even though he came at two in the morning?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Appreciate it. Beautiful." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great story. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you very much. You're doing a great job too." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I appreciate it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "It's called natural instinct right? more than anything else. Thank you very much. Great job. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, you've said it all. So that's a case that's still going now? It's still going?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Oh, well, good luck with it. Good luck. Beautiful guy, too." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Okay, that's just a few stories of the thousands and thousands of stories that we could tell. And we'll probably be doing this again. But the police they do a great job. They do a fantastic job, and they don't get the kind of I will say this: The people of this country appreciate the police; they appreciate all they've done. You don't see that if you watch the news, for the most part. You don't see things like this, but they've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Everybody here is a witness to that, and we see it a lot. The Attorney General sees it every day. But we see it a lot, and I just want to thank the various police departments, law enforcement. They've done an incredible job in this country. Where they're allowed to do their work, they really do a job." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So thank you all very much for being here. Good luck with your case." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And really terrific job, everybody. Terrific job. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Would anybody from the media like to ask anybody a question here? Steve, go ahead, please." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4718, + "raw_confidence": 0.5282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, I have a very good relationship with Dr. Fauci; I've had for a long time, right from the beginning. I find him to be a very nice person. I don't always agree with him. I closed the border, as you know, to China. I closed I did the ban on China, heavily infected. And we saved tens of thousands of lives. And Dr. Fauci will admit that it was a good decision. It was very early. That was in January, long before it was thought of as the right thing to do." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7766, + "raw_confidence": 0.7766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "I also closed the borders to Europe when Italy and a couple of other countries over there France, certainly; Spain, they were having a lot of problems. I closed the borders very early, shortly after I did with China. So we saved a lot of lives. So we've made a lot of good decisions." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But, no, I get along with him very well. I like him, personally." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1806, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So he's, right now meaning, his lawyers and him are embroiled in hopefully the final stages of what should have never happened. They treated him very unfairly, as they have many people on this side." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2039, + "raw_confidence": 0.7961, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, you know that we have one of the lowest mortality rates anywhere. If you know, Biden and Obama stopped their testing; they just stopped it. You probably know that. I'm sure you don't want to report it. But they stopped testing. Right in the middle, they just went, No more testing, and on a much lesser problem than the problem that we have, obviously with respect to this is the worst thing that's happened since probably 1917. This is a very bad all over the world. It's 188 countries right now." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1887, + "raw_confidence": 0.8113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But, no, we are we test more than anybody, by far. And when you test, you create cases. So we've created cases. I can tell you some countries, they test when somebody walks into a hospital sick or walks into maybe a doctor's office, but usually a hospital. That's the testing they do, so they don't have cases, whereas we do we have all of these cases. So, you know, it's a double-edged sword." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we have the lowest mortality or just about the lowest mortality in the world. We're doing a great job. We're doing very well with vaccines, and we're doing very, very well with therapeutics. And I think we're going to have some very good information coming out soon." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5227, + "raw_confidence": 0.5227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But we have the best, and certainly the biggest by far, the biggest testing program anywhere in the world. If you tested China or Russia or any of the larger countries, if you just tested India, as an example, the way we test, you'd see numbers that would be very surprising. Brazil, too. You know, Brazil is going through a big problem, but they don't do testing like we do." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3445, + "raw_confidence": 0.6555, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So we do the testing, and by doing the testing, we have tremendous numbers of cases. If we didn't do the as an example, we've done 45 million tests. If we did half that number, you'd have half the cases, probably around that number. If we did if we did another half of that, you'd have half the numbers. Everyone would be saying, Oh, we're doing so well on cases." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3179, + "raw_confidence": 0.6821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But when I see it reported in the night you can check me out on this I mean, they always talk about they're always talking about cases, the number of cases. Well, it is a big factor that we do we have a lot of cases because we have a lot of testing, far more than any other country in the world. And it's also the best testing." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, I think what I'm going to do is be answered by our Attorney General. Do you mind, Bill?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, I've I've looked at it very strongly, and in this particular case, I'm dealing with Bill and all of the people at Justice. And it's always tough. You're talking about the death penalty. But when you talk about people that did what this particular person did, that's tough also. So we're going to see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Right now, they have a stay, I believe, right? They have a stay. And we'll let the courts determine the final outcome. And that's what's going to happen. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, if you look back on it, this was an investigation that should have never taken place. You have guys like Comey, you have McCabe, you have Strzok, you have his lover, Lisa Page. You have all of these people running around. You have Brennan and Clapper, who lied to Congress. You have many, many people. You have people that changed documents going into the FISA courts. And it's a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7548, + "raw_confidence": 0.7548, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And this is an investigation that they said should have ended before it started; it should have started. And if it did, it should have ended immediately, because they found, as you know as well as I do, they found nothing initially, but it went on for two years or longer." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2172, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And no, I did I'm getting rave reviews for what I did for Roger Stone. And he, frankly, is going to go and now appeal his case. He had a jury forewoman who hated Roger Stone and who hated, probably, me. But she went on a false pretense. And he wasn't given a fair trial. He wasn't it's not a fair trial. He wasn't given another trial. He should have been given another trial." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "I won't say more. I won't talk about the judge. I'm not going to why would I ever talk about a judge? But this was a judge that gave, I believe, solitary confinement to Paul Manafort. Al Capone didn't have solitary confinement." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So these are things that happened. And if you look at President Bush, President Clinton, President Obama take a look at what they did. Frankly, it's very unfair. Roger stone was treated very unfairly, in my opinion, and so were many others on this side." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4688, + "raw_confidence": 0.5312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "In the meantime, you have the other ones who are admitted lying before they admitted. They lied before Congress. They leaked. They leaked classified information, which is something you just can't do. And what are they doing? So we'll see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But, no, we're getting rave reviews for what I did. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to see. It built up a little bit, but we're going to do something that will be great." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7535, + "raw_confidence": 0.7535, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "We think we're doing very well. We had some poll numbers a little while ago that are great. You know, it's the same story: It's suppression polls that we had in 2016. Phony polls. Fake news, phony polls. Same thing." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And we're doing very well. We're doing well in Georgia, we're doing well in Texas. I read where I was one point up in Texas. I'm not one point up in Texas; we're many points up. I saved their oil industry. Two months ago, I saved the oil industry. There would have been I created it; we became number one. We have millions of jobs. And we saved it, so Texas is not going to have to let go of millions and millions of people. Oklahoma, North Dakota many states." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1969, + "raw_confidence": 0.8031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "We have we're at $40 a barrel, and yet, you can buy gasoline for under $2. Nobody has ever seen it like this. So we have the biggest energy in the world. We're number one in oil, as you know oil and gas by far. We're now number one in the world. And we would have had millions of people out of work. I saved it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And then they say I'm leading by one point in Texas. They said it last time too. They said Texas is too close to call. This was, like, three months before the election. And then I won Texas in a blowout. They called it the minute the polls closed. They said that about Utah. They said that about Georgia, they said the same thing, that Georgia is, Oh, we can't it's too close. They'll never be able to determine. We'll have to wait until Election Night. On Election Night, two seconds after the polls closed, they called Georgia." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2097, + "raw_confidence": 0.7903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So, you know, it's the same thing. We have the same thing. They're phony polls. They're suppression polls." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1939, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But to think that after saving the oil and gas business, and millions and millions of jobs I'm leading Texas by one point? I don't think so. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "It's intact. It's intact. But I'm I think what China has done to the world with what took place the China plague you can call it the China virus; you can call it whatever you want to call it. It's about 20 different names. What they did to the world should not be forgotten. But it's intact; they're buying. Whether they buy or not, that's up to them. They're buying." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Schools should be opened. Schools should be opened. There's kids who want to go to school. You're losing a lot of lives by keeping things closed. We did the right thing. We saved millions of lives. We saved millions of lives when we did the initial closure. Had we not done what we did, we would've had two to Mike and I were talking about it before two to three million lives lost." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But we did that. So we're at about 135,000, and we'll be at somewhat higher than that by the time it ends. And again, the vaccines are happening and the therapeutics are happening, but I'm not even talking about that." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So we'll be at a somewhat higher. But we would've lost two million, three million lives had we not done it. Now we understand it also. We understand there are certain vulnerabilities young children." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7952, + "raw_confidence": 0.7952, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "I was with talking to Governor Murphy, and they have thousands of lives I won't even say how many; just thousands of lives, hard to believe in New Jersey. And he said there was only one life that was 18 or younger. One person died and that was a person a young man that had some medical difficulty." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3241, + "raw_confidence": 0.6759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So when you think of that with thousands of lives, and you have one person that was under 18 that's something. That tells you, for some reason, I guess, the immune system is much stronger with young people than it is for others." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So we have to watch the group that does have the difficulty, does have the problem. We all know what that is, we all know who they are, especially if they have a medical problem. If they have a medical problem diabetes or heart or anything it's a it's a big problem. But we're being very careful." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But we have to open the schools. Would you agree with that? Do you agree? Yeah. We have to open the schools. We have to get them open. And I think there's a lot of politics going along. I think they think they'll do better if they can keep the schools closed in the election. I don't think it's going to help them, frankly, but I think they feel that by keeping schools closed, that's a bad thing for the country and, therefore, that's a good thing for them." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "But they're the ones whose city is burning. I mean, can you imagine if the country was run like Chicago and like New York and like some of these other Democrat, super radical-left cities are run? You wouldn't have a country for very long, and the economy would crash." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2919, + "raw_confidence": 0.7081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "So we just set a brand-new record today on NASDAQ again. This is now, I think, the 18th time since and this is since after the problem. So we have a new stock market high for NASDAQ, and the other ones are getting very close." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7759, + "raw_confidence": 0.7759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "When I came here, the stock market was up almost 500 points. Today, the economy is rebuilding, jobs are being produced at a record pace. We've never had a pace like this." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.333, + "raw_confidence": 0.667, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you, if Biden got in, this economy would be destroyed. You know, he was in he was in office for 48 years, and what he did was not great. Almost every decision was a wrong decision. And now he's going to come in and try and help us." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2315, + "raw_confidence": 0.7685, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "We didn't need any help. We built the greatest economy in history greatest economy we've ever had; the greatest economy the world has ever seen. And then the plague came in from China and we started we did the right thing. We had to close it down; now we're opening it up. He can't do it. He doesn't have the capability to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "fu6oXOQZ4fc", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-roundtable-law-enforcement-positive-impact-july-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. I appreciate it. Thank you. Good luck with everything. Thank you. Thank you. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "So, thank you very much everybody. Alice Johnson has been just incredible. She's gotten out; she's recommended people to us. She knows many, many people that have put been put in prison, and whether they should have been or not. She knows that they were put in for too long." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "And for something that, today, a lot of people wouldn't even be going to jail for. And it was it was horrible. And we found out about it. And we gave a commutation; that means we were able to get Alice out. And she has been just so outstanding, and I'm so proud of you." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "And we're giving Alice a full pardon. I just told her. We didn't even discuss it. We just you were out there; I saw you in the audience last night. And I asked the folks if you could bring Alice over, and we're going to give a full pardon. We're going to do it right now." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "That means you have been fully pardoned. That's the ultimate thing that can happen. That means you can do you whatever you want in life. And just keep doing the great job you're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.192, + "raw_confidence": 0.808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Alice had done an incredible job since she's been out, and recommending other people. We said, How many people are they like you? There's only one Alice, as far as I'm concerned. But how many people are like you or your circumstance, where they were given this massive sentence? And they're good people, great people. And she said, So many. They're in jail. So many." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "And she's looking for those people, and she's recommending those people, and we've already done some that you know that you know are good people. And they've done really well since they've been out." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "So we're taking Alice from a commutation to a full pardon, and I'm going to sign it right now. And we're very proud of Alice and the job you've done" + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "And Pastor Robert Jeffress unrelated, but he was here. And we thought maybe I'll sign this, and then maybe you'll like to say a prayer." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "And maybe you could include the media because they need it probably more than we do. They definitely need it more than Alice. That I can tell you. Okay, thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "So, Alice, it's a full pardon. It's been signed. You might want to keep that one. And here it is." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Robert. That was really" + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Alice, thank you very much, and congratulations. It's a real honor." + }, + { + "tid": "fVlyEfKUqus", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-pardon-alice-johnson-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Thank you, everybody. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Hello, North Carolina, one of my favorite places. I'm thrilled to be talking to you today. We have a lot of people on the phone. A lot of people they tell me. You're going to make a very important decision on November 3rd and it's a path toward a successful country or a not successful country. It's pretty simple when you get right down to it." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "There's never been a greater difference between two candidates, and this election is a choice between patriots who want to build our country up or radical extremist Democrats who want to tear it down. And that's exactly what they're doing. And now sleepy Joe Biden goes out and picks Kamala Harris who is considered the most liberal senator in the United States Senate maybe by far." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She's against your Second Amendment, she's against no fracking energy. She wants to cut spending on the military and cut spending very drastically on the great job we've done for our vets with Veterans Choice and Accountability which everyone thought wouldn't happen. And just a terrible choice in terms of... I can tell you, I know North Carolina very well and a terrible choice." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2172, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I have a granddaughter who was just named Carolina, as you know, and I know it very well and that's not what they're looking for with the Second Amendment and energy and all of the other things. Negative to farming also, and negative to a lot of different things that you represent. The far-left Democrats really almost show a scorn for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They hate the truth and they hate the tremendous success that we've been having. Hard work. They want our flag put in a position that it should never be in. We have to stand proudly for our flag and our national anthem. If Joe Biden and the radical Democrats get into power, they will destroy our country, our stock market will crash." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Sure as you're sitting, standing, or at least listening, our stock market will crash. Your 401ks will go way down to very little. They're going to raise your taxes. They're going to take your taxes and raise them up to the sky and they're going to raise regulations. And it's something that North Carolina doesn't want and our nation can't stand." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're fighting to save our nation. We'll never surrender or retreat to the radical left socialists or wherever they may take it. And with your help, we're going to win a tremendous election in November, to be exact November 3rd. In North Carolina, you can request absentee ballots right now. Absentee ballots are great because you have to go and request them." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4395, + "raw_confidence": 0.5605, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They want to flood the market with ballots and that's a disgrace, but absentee ballots are great. So make sure and watch that other people aren't cheating because that's what they're looking to do. Absentee voting is a secure process. It's initiated by the voter. You request it. And every voter is verified.,Every vote is verified." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6329, + "raw_confidence": 0.6329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's the exact opposite of Democrats voter fraud scheme. They want to mail ballots to every eligible voter all over the state. They have no idea where they're going, although they probably do have a pretty good idea when you get right down to it. And they want zero verification, not even a signature. You know what that spells, it spells trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I want to thank some of your great Republicans who are fighting right by my side. They're on the phone tonight. Senator Thom Tillis who's a great guy who's in there really with us, very strong, very hard, and he's not let me down. He's a great gentleman and he loves your state. Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest who fought for the convention." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7185, + "raw_confidence": 0.7185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The governor, your governor was so horribly strict that we just had to do it out of respect for your state, but he really didn't want to have our convention in North Carolina and made it very, very difficult all the way, which is a shame because tremendous economic development money and tremendous other things, but the best way you can solve that problem is vote for Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He's fantastic. And I mean, you're in a complete lockdown. If they look at what they're doing with North Carolina, it's locked down. You got to get your schools open, you got to get your state open. You got to get your businesses going. This governor has gone way, way too far, and it's not going to help." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And your fantastic members of Congress. You have Patrick McHenry, a friend of mine, one of the great names in politics, McHenry. Can't do better. Patrick McHenry. Virginia Foxx, who never stops and she never gives up. Richard Hudson, great guy. David Rouzer, great guy. Ted Budd, Dan Bishop. Dan Bishop is so terrific, and Greg Murphy, they came in together." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We gave a tremendous rally. We had a big, beautiful rally. And Ted Budd has been there with us right from the beginning. So we just have great people and you're going to have somebody that's going to be their equal. We know it. Madison Cawthorn, a terrific young man. He'll be just about the youngest ever in the history because he just made the date." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And he is an inspiration to everybody, including me. He's going to be one of the greats. He's going to go on to have an incredible career representing North Carolina and representing our country. Madison Cawthorn. Another great gentlemen, chief of staff, Mark Meadows. He comes right out of North Carolina and I chose him and he's been fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're fighting now Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer. Cryin' Chuck we call him, and Crazy Nancy. And there's a lot of truth to both of them. We're fighting them very hard and very strongly on getting money to the people during the pandemic. And we're doing a lot of things. We're stopping evictions, we're stopping really some very important items that they want." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They want to do things that are very unfair with mail-in ballots and they want to make sure that they're covered because it just is going to create a rigged election in my opinion. And it has nothing to do with the coronavirus, if you call it that. The China virus, the coronavirus, many names. So I just want to thank Mark Meadows." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2545, + "raw_confidence": 0.7455, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He's done a fantastic job. He's a great Congressman and now he's a great chief of staff. He'll go down as one of the best ever. But no administration has ever done so much in the first three and a half years as the Trump administration. We achieved record low unemployment for African Americans, Hispanic Americans, Asian Americans, women, young people, young people without diplomas, with diplomas, with college education, without, and all levels of education." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2679, + "raw_confidence": 0.7321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "North Carolina, unemployment was the lowest in many, many decades. And you had last year the best year in the history of North Carolina. And it's a long and wonderful history, but you had your best employment and unemployment numbers in the history of your state. When the China virus invaded our country, we had no choice but to shut down our economy." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2039, + "raw_confidence": 0.7961, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We saved millions of lives by doing it, but we had to shut it down. And as we reopened, we've already gained nine million jobs. It's a new record. Never been a record, a number of jobs like that. And you look at it, it is turning out I was right, it is turning out to be a V. A V-shaped recovery. That's straight up." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Wages have increased nearly 5% and retail sales have gone to a record level. And this is during hopefully the more ending moments of the pandemic. So we have tremendous numbers and that's why Wall Street's going through the roof. We're setting records on Wall Street already. NASDAQ has set the record. And if you look at the stock market and hence your 401ks, you take a look at what's going on, it's been incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1959, + "raw_confidence": 0.8041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're ready to break every record, including records from previous to the pandemic. Congressional Democrats are blocking additional China virus relief and making absurd demands for blue state ballots, a ban on voter ID, which we want very much. We want voter ID. They don't want voter ID, and that can only be for bad reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Stimulus payments and work permits for illegal aliens. They want to have permits for illegal aliens. They want to have free lawyers for illegal aliens. They want to have open borders. They want to do things that are absolutely unthinkable. We're building the wall. We're up to 200 and almost 80 miles, 280 miles." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And it's had a tremendous impact on illegal people coming into our country or people coming in illegally. And we're letting farmers get the folks that they've been dealing with for many years, we're making sure that that comes out and comes through so the farmers and tobacco growers and everybody else don't have problems." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So we're taking very, very good care of that, but we don't want criminals coming into our country. We don't want illegals coming into our country. You have to come into our country legally. And we want people to come in through merit, the merit system. We've done fantastically well on the border. The border is like a different place because of the large amount of wall." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We'll have the wall completed by the end of the year. We may expand it a little bit after that, but it will be largely completed by the end of the year. It's had a tremendous impact. But I refuse to let the Democrats hold America hostage, which is what they're trying to do. And that's why I took executive action to freeze evictions, provide an extra $400 per week in additional unemployment benefits, suspend payments and interest on student loans and create a payroll tax holiday, which is a big thing." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Payroll tax holiday, that's a big, and what we're doing is sometime after the election, if we win, we're going to make that permanent, the payroll tax holiday. The payroll tax will be rescinded. So we have a tremendous amount of things that we're doing and can do. Under my administration, China will be held fully accountable for all of its lies and deceit." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "America is winning the war against the virus. Three vaccine candidates are in the final phases of clinical trials. That's taking place right now, which is years ahead of schedule. If you went back to the last administration or frankly, any administration, you would be years away from where we are. We're very close to getting approvals, and that has to do also with therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So we expect to have all of this done very soon, and we expect to have it brought around through our military, logistically through our great military that you know. Just about better than any state, you have a big military presence. And again, Kamala wants military cut way down and doesn't believe in the vets." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1532, + "raw_confidence": 0.8468, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's rather incredible. Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we provided more than 12 billion dollars to over 125,000 small businesses in your state saving 1.3 million North Carolina jobs. 1.3 million jobs we saved. We've also delivered more than $8 billion in economic impact payments straight to North Carolina families." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And now we're just approving, I just approved more. And the Democrats, what they want is something much different than that. They want to be able to bail out badly run Democrat cities and states like the ones you watch on television every night, Chicago and Portland and other places that are doing so poorly and are just poorly run, just poorly run." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're restoring law and order to Democrat run cities that allowed rioters to go wild. We're surging federal law enforcement to stop violent crime. The FBI is up in 300 domestic terror investigations, and we're defending our national monuments. Anyone who defaces our statues or monuments will get 10 years in prison." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6469, + "raw_confidence": 0.6469, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And once we did that, I signed it two and a half months ago, nobody plays with our statues, nobody plays with our monuments. It's amazing the way that works. 10 years in prison if they do. We're providing 400 million dollars to hire hundreds of new police officers around the country. And we will never defund the police." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7722, + "raw_confidence": 0.7722, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We will help the police, and we have almost unanimous, getting very close to unanimous support from law enforcement, which frankly, with what Joe Biden thinks and the philosophy on the radical left, you can understand why we'd have that kind of support. And by contrast, Biden would flood our neighborhoods with dangerous criminals." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That's what will happen by abolishing cash bail. He'll also support sanctuary cities. Last year, sanctuary cities of North Carolina released more than 500 criminal aliens thanks to your governor, charged or convicted of heinous crimes, including rape and murder. Think of it, in North Carolina, think of it, it's not even believable." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2132, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Under Biden, your state would be crawling with thousands of vile, illegal alien predators, and we're not going to let it happen. Never happen under us. It'll go just the opposite. We're protecting North Carolina farmers and manufacturers from unfair trade. When China targeted our farmers, we provided 28 billion dollars in relief." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We got it from China with tariffs on China and they paid for it. We didn't pay for it. They paid for it. We officially replaced a disaster known as NAFTA with a brand new USMCA opening incredible new opportunities for North Carolina aircraft and medicines and pork and all incredible work for the farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5378, + "raw_confidence": 0.5378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Our farmers are thrilled and our farmers because of the 12 million and then 16 each year, 12 billion, and then 16 billion dollars, our farmers are in great shape. If I didn't do that with the target that China put on our farmers, we wouldn't have any farmers. And now they're doing great. Business is booming." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3871, + "raw_confidence": 0.6129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And frankly, we had the largest corn order last week in the history of corn orders that came from China because they want to make sure that we're happy. But you can never be thrilled, you can never be happy. It's not acceptable at all, not acceptable with what happened with the virus. So I view the deal differently." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The USMCA deal was incredible however. We're bringing vital medical supply chains back to American soil. I recently signed an executive order requiring government agencies to purchase essential medicines from American sources. And I'm bringing down the price of prescription drugs at a level that nobody's ever seen." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4471, + "raw_confidence": 0.5529, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "When you see a commercial where drug companies are taking commercials against your President, President Trump, that's me, the only reason they're fighting me is because I instituted very strong reforms. Just now I just signed them two weeks ago where you have a favorite nations clause. So of other nations, which as you know, everybody knows they get much lower prices on drugs than we do, much, so that other nations, we will get the same price." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2536, + "raw_confidence": 0.7464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "If Germany's paying 10 cents a pill made in the same factory, same box, same everything, and we're paying $2 or $2 and 50 cents a pill, as an example, we would get it for the same price as them. And the drug companies are spending millions of dollars taking ads about me. And just remember, every time you see an ad about drugs and drug companies paying for it, that means one thing, it means that your drug prices are coming down at a level that nobody ever thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7354, + "raw_confidence": 0.7354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And last year drug prices came down, first time in 51 years that they came down, but now we're bringing them down at a level that nobody thought possible. And including getting a rebate, which is going to go to the people and going to the price reduction, which nobody again, would have ever even asked for." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So I'm the first President if you remember to lower the drug prices in 51 years. We've invested more than 2.5 trillion dollars in our great military, which goes to a large extent to the people in North Carolina, because that's a big military state and a great state and a great military state. Defense spending in North Carolina soared by more than one billion dollars per year." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we're taking care of our military. And yet you look at Biden and you look at his new partner, Kamala Harris, and they want to bring spending for the military way down, bring veteran spending way down, and so many other things, and bring law enforcement way down. We now have over 70, 200, and I guess we'll be at very close to over 280 miles to be exact." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I'll get back to you with the exact number, but we're approaching that 300. And our military has helped, the Army Corps of Engineers has helped us build that great wall that I was talking about. We passed Veterans Choice and Veterans Accountability and we fired more than 8,000 employees who are not giving our vets the care they deserve." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That was under Accountability. They've been trying to get it passed for 50 years. And if they don't treat our great vets proper, and you have many, they don't treat them properly. And you have many cases where that took place but they couldn't do anything about it. Now they can. The VA has just gotten 91% approval rating from the veterans." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So they have Veterans Choice where if they don't get good service, they go out, they get a private doctor, we pay the bill and they get taken care of. And actually, as hard as it is to even conceive, it's not only great for the veterans, it cost us. We saved money. We end up saving money, but more importantly, we take care of our veterans." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're working with governors to safely reopen our schools in the fall. We have to do that. We also want to reopen, we want to get our football teams going. You know that. I'm also fighting for school choice. Every parent should be able to send their child to the public, private, charter, religious or independent school of their choice." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2636, + "raw_confidence": 0.7364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We passed the largest package of tax cuts and regulation cuts in American history. We're saving the average family of four over $5,000 per year just in what we've done. If you look at the Obama administration and go before that, the Bush administration, it was literal nothing, literally nothing compared to what we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3983, + "raw_confidence": 0.6017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We've ended the war on American energy and we're now a net exporter of energy. And the average price of gasoline is $2 and even a little bit below $2 a gallon. Something you have never thought possible. And yet we have a vibrant energy sector, vibrant like you haven't seen. And we actually saved that a second time a few months ago when I got on the call with President Putin of Russia, the king of Saudi Arabia and got them to cut oil production substantially, which saved our energy industry and saved theirs also." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So I was able to get that done, and I'm very, very proud of that. We've been given great marks on being able to do that. So we have a great and vibrant energy industry and you have low, very low gasoline prices. And it's been stable ever since I've been President. If I thought they were going up, I'd call Saudi Arabia, I'd call whoever I have to call and say, You got to produce more. And we've done a job." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7919, + "raw_confidence": 0.7919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Biden is a train wreck in the sense, in so many senses, but that he signed a joint manifesto with... And that's what it is. It's a manifesto with Bernie Sanders, which means that Biden is now running as the most extreme left-wing candidate in the history of our country. He's been totally taken over by the left." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I don't even think he knows it. Biden's vowed to defund the police and take away your guns. In Biden's America, you and your family will not be safe, and you know that. Biden believes that all black Americans think alike. He said, Unlike the African American community and other communities, he said, Are incredibly diverse. He'd said, Other communities are incredibly diverse. One of the worst nastiest statements." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I don't know if he apologized, I don't know if he'd know how to apologize. It's a terrible thing with incredibly different attitudes about different things he said. So Joe is not even worthy of the vote. Biden supported every globalist attack on American workers, NAFTA, TPP, South Korea, the horrible and a horrible trade deal, and China's terrible entry into the World Trade Organization." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That's probably the worst trade deal of them all. That's what built China. That's how China got to be where they are, other than the fact that the trade deals they made before I came along were so bad. So bad, embarrassingly bad. Hundreds of billions of dollars a year they took out of the United States. America lost nearly 10,000 factories while Biden was Vice President." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2759, + "raw_confidence": 0.7241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He voted for the war in Iraq, which was a disaster. And he voted for a mass amnesty. And now Joe Biden wants to raise your taxes by three times and even four times, pack the courts with radical far-left judges, destroy your stock market, destroy your 401ks, indoctrinate your children with the horrible things they're learning in school, wants to open borders." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And he wants to actually rip down the wall which is saving us tremendous, tremendous problems. Some of the key elements in the manifesto very openly stated, Abolish borders. He wants to abolish borders. Think of that. Stop all deportations and prosecution of illegal border crosses, support sanctuary cities, incentivize illegal alien child smuggling, provide tax payer funded lawyers for illegal alien." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So you come in illegally and they give you a taxpayer funded lawyer. That sounds nice. Provide government healthcare for illegal aliens, free community college for illegal aliens, free college. They don't give that to people that have been citizens of our country much of this stuff. And all travel bands including from jihadist regions, and all travel bans." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3461, + "raw_confidence": 0.6539, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I got a travel ban so that the right people would be allowed into our country. We want people to come into our country legally, not illegally. But he wants to end all travel bans, including from jihadist regions, grant amnesty, mass amnesty. End cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals onto the street. Increase refugee admissions by, listen to this, 700%. Incentivize prison closures." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He wants prisons closed, and provide free federal housing for former inmates. This is all Bernie Sanders but more than Bernie Sanders was ever asking for. They want to mandate net-zero carbon emissions for homes and offices. All new buildings and power plants, electric bills would skyrocket while China would keep polluting the air and doing things for a lot less money than we would because of the tremendous cost associated with that." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2044, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They want to end school choice and abolish charter school, all charter schools. And they want to eliminate single family zoning. They want to put low income housing in the suburbs, and that would essentially abolish, that would ruin the suburbs. But it's already started. This has been going on for years." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And now Biden wants to put Cory Booker, of all people, Cory Booker in charge. So I've terminated the program entirely. People couldn't believe I did it, but I did it, because the suburbs are the American dream. And by the way, we have many minorities living in the suburbs. They don't want it to happen either." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2148, + "raw_confidence": 0.7852, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Many minorities, they live in the suburbs. They don't want it to happen. And I was very honored to do it but nobody else would have done it. This is where you have a fantastic, wonderful area, beautiful neighborhood, and they come along and demand that low income housing be built right in the middle of it." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And just terrible things happen, from lower prices for your home to just incredible crime statistics. You take a look. With your help, we'll defeat Biden and the radical Democrats. We'll fight every day to pass an ambitious agenda that always puts America first. We'll unleash the full power of the American economy." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That's already happening. You see it happening again. We did the right thing. We saved millions of lives. Now we're opening and we're doing great. They want to keep it closed as long as possible. You look at the blue states, like yours, where you have sort of a blue state governor. They gives us a red state, you want to know the truth, but you do have a Democrat governor, and they want to keep it closed." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They want to keep it closed. Probably on November 4th, the day after the election they'll announce they're opening it. They want the economy to look as bad as it could possibly look, but it's not working for them because we're setting records anyway. We created an unprecedented economic miracle once and now we're doing that again." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We'll shut down illegal immigration. We're going to finish the wall, told you by the end of the year. We'll be tough on China. We'll be bringing medical manufacturing and critical supply chains back to America. Much of it will go to North Carolina and it will put us in a position where we don't have to be dependent on foreign producers." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We'll root out anti-American bias in our public schools and colleges. We will end big tax assault on free speech. We'll defend our God-given right to bear arms. We want the right to a Second Amendment that's a great Second Amendment. I protected it now for three and a half years unyieldingly, but they want to either end it or amend it to a level that you wouldn't recognize it." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We will support the heroes of law enforcement. We will defund sanctuary cities. We don't want sanctuary cities. We will create an immigration system based on merit, and that will be based on merit, where people come in that help our country. We'll bring our troops home from Afghanistan and all of these other places." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7837, + "raw_confidence": 0.7837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "As you know, we took out Soleimani and we took out al-Baghdadi and I gained 100% of the ISIS caliphate in Syria. But we're bringing our troops back home. We've already brought most of them back home. We're down to very small numbers in the Middle East. But we've had great victories against ISIS. A hundred percent of the ISIS caliphate, when we took it over, it was a disaster all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We'll drain the Washington swamp and we'll make America greater than ever before. So I just want to thank the people of North Carolina. You're a fantastic people. I want to thank everybody on the phone. And it is, as I said, very large numbers. And I want you to remember, get out and vote on November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You have to get out and vote. This election is critical. It's a difference between our country going in a direction that will destroy our country or our country being greater than it's ever been. And it will be in fact, greater than it's ever been. It's going to have an incredible next year. So, thank you all very much for being on the phone." + }, + { + "tid": "gaOMuaNh5wQ", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's a great honor to talk to my friends from North Carolina. We will never let you down. Thank you very much. Goodbye." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you very much. And thank you to our great Admiral Faller. Thank you also to all of the exceptional leaders and talents that we have in this room. U.S. Southern Command is just an outstanding group of people. Thank you very much very much, Admiral." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're here today to discuss our vital effort to keep deadly drugs out of our country and away from our children. And, wow, are we making progress in a short period of time, thanks to you. It's amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And I have come to personally thank you. I wanted to make this trip personally. We were going to do a phoner, and I said, A phoner is not quite the same thing, is it? So I came to personally thank you for your valiant fight to defend our borders and take our vile traffickers these vile traffickers out of business, knock them out of business: the smugglers, the criminal cartels. We want to knock them out." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "You're on the frontlines every day saving countless American lives and delivering the righteous thunder of American justice. No adversary can match the awesome power of the United States Army, Navy, Air Force, Coast Guard, Marines, and, I must tell you, very soon we're going to have a thing called Space Force. You know about that, right? Space Force. That's a big deal. One of the many things we've done in this administration. And that's going to be one of the most important, I predict." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Let us also show our deep appreciation for your law enforcement partners at the Department of Homeland Security and Department of Justice. Thank you very much for being here. Thank you very much. We'll always stand with the incredible men and women of law enforcement. We will never, ever defund our police. Okay? That, I can tell you. We're not defunding police." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "What's going on here Admiral, when you hear defund the police, you're probably saying, That's a foreign language. Right? So, just a terrible thing, but it's I assume this is going to be a fad. We'll call it a fad. But it's not something that will work very well that, I can tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're pleased to be joined by Secretary of Defense Mark Esper. Thank you very much, Mark. Thank you. Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Chad Wolf. I think we're keeping him pretty busy. Right? He's been a busy man. Coast Guard Commandant, Admiral Karl Schultz. Admiral, thank you very much. And a great warrior he's a warrior; he's a strong guy, a great guy: Congressman Mario D\u00c3\u00adaz-Balart. Thank you very much, Mario." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "On the first of this year, I announced that the United States Armed Forces would begin a surge of military assets in the Western Hemisphere, unlike anything seen in recent history. And that is a fact. And one of the reasons is we now have better equipment than we've ever had. We have new, beautiful equipment that comes along with $2.5 trillion in spending, all made in the USA." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Over the last three months, American service members, joined by partner nations, have patrolled regional waters from the Caribbean Sea to the east Pacific. The United States deployed a vast arsenal of Coast Guard cutters, naval combat ships, specially armed Coast Guard helicopters and they are real weapons; they are powerful weapons high-tech maritime patrol aircraft, as well as roughly 1,300 additional personnel. These forces represent a 65 percent increase in ships and a 75 percent increase in surveillance aircraft from last year alone." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3211, + "raw_confidence": 0.6789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're taking the fight directly to the sinister criminal cartels, and we're showing them no mercy. We are doing numbers like nobody thought possible. Even the Admiral, he would say that he would have never thought this was going to happen to the extent that it's happened." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Our message is clear: You will not threaten our citizens, you will not poison our children, and you will not infiltrate our borders. We will find you, we will stop you, and we will put everybody that we find behind bars, if you're lucky." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4794, + "raw_confidence": 0.5206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The results of this historic international campaign have been absolutely phenomenal. This joint operation has resulted in the interdiction of more than 120 metric tons does anyone know how much that is? of illicit narcotics. That is a massive billions and billions. And the arrest of more than 1,000 drug traffickers. These actions have denied the cartel of billions of various cartels of billions and billions of dollars in cash, and prevented the loss of untold American lives, and we've seen the results in the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1819, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "In a single four-day period in May, our courageous Coast Guard men and women stopped three narco submarines packed with poisonous drugs, keeping thousands of pounds of lethal narcotics off of our streets and off of our city areas. We got rid of it; we got it. We have it, and I don't know what you do with it. What do you do with it, by the way? You get all that stuff. Do you dump it? What do you do with it, Admiral? I want to hear." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I want to hear. What do you do with that?" + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "You blow it up, or just dump it someplace?" + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "They burn it. All right. That sounds like a good way of doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "On behalf of millions of American moms and dads, I want to express our country's pride and gratitude for your lifesaving actions." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1907, + "raw_confidence": 0.8093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "My administration is committed to ensuring you have the tools, the resources, equipment, and support you need and the support that you deserve. And you've always deserved it. And you used to run short. You don't run short anymore. You have the best equipment in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2218, + "raw_confidence": 0.7782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "After years of painful budget cuts, I ended last year's disastrous defense sequester, and secured almost the 2.5 billion that I mentioned to rebuild our entire United States military. We're giving you the finest airplanes and ships, submarines, tanks, missiles, and weapons of every single kind even new uniforms, in some cases, for the Army, as an example and again, all made in the USA. I love that sound: Made in the USA." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Our enemies are on notice because the United States military is much more powerful, much more lethal, and much more prepared than ever before. We're in a position that we'd never been in, equipment-wise. And we have the greatest people on Earth." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're also supporting the courageous men and women of CBP, ICE, Border Patrol, and DEA, and FBI and all of the heroes of law enforcement. Great people." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "As long as I am President, I will never allow your sacred mission to be undermined or attacked in any way. I will not have open borders, we will not abolish the police, and we will not slash the budgets for our military, and we will not allow our country to be swamped with deadly drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7589, + "raw_confidence": 0.7589, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We have stopped numbers that we've never stopped before, or even close. And we have done it in a way that our enemy understands. And they're getting a little bit concerned because they've never had losses like this. They've never had submarines taken from them. They actually build submarines because smaller versions of what we have, to put it mildly. Like, much smaller. But they're submarines nevertheless. Very expensive things. And they've never seen anything like what's happened to them in the last year and a half." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We will defend our country. We will defend our borders, our children, our heroes, and our great American flag. We'll always defend our American flag. We're very proud of our flag." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We will protect, preserve, and promote the American way of life. And we will always stand strong for God, country, family, and freedom." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I just want to thank everybody for being here. This is a very special moment. I think especially so because you've done so much over the last short period of time to bring life and safety to the United States of America and other parts of the world, by the way, but to the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "GgHXWUpgOxE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-us-southern-command-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank you. God bless you all. Thank you very much. Admiral, thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much everybody for being here. We took a really incredible tour, and law enforcement has just done such a great job working with the National Guard and working with a lot of people. But we're here to show our support for Kenosha and Wisconsin. The state of Wisconsin has been very good to me. I love the people. We've done a lot for the state, and we will continue to do a lot for the state. We're all in this together, and this was an example of what can happen when you do it right." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I'm pleased to be joined today by Attorney General Bill Barr, who is doing a really a fantastic job. And, Bill, thank you very much for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Ron Johnson. Senator Ron Johnson, who's outstanding, I have to tell you. So respected within the beautiful halls of Congress, and I appreciate the great job you do, Ron. And I hope the people of Wisconsin appreciate how good a senator he is. Do they have any idea? Do they know how good he is? I think they do. You're never going to get not elected, Ron, or I'll be very unhappy. One of the best." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And also, a young congressman that's been a warrior true warrior. He's been a fighter not only for some other very good causes, but for this cause. Because he was the first one to call me and say, We have a problem. And, Bryan, I want to thank you. Bryan Steil, Congressman. And you have your first reelection, and I think you're going to win it big. I hope you do. You deserve to." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Also, my former Chief of Staff where's Reince? Reince. Where is my Reince? Reince Priebus. Which shows that I definitely like this state, because you are a very proud citizen of right here. You're still here. You never left did you, huh? You never would leave. You've done a great job. Thank you very much, Reince." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Kenosha has been ravaged by anti-police and anti-American riots. They have been hit so hard, and we were able to get involved. David Beth and Daniel Miskinis, who I've been watching a lot on television now, today, I got to know them both very well, and they have done an incredible job. And you're going to say a few words in a couple of minutes, and we would appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1868, + "raw_confidence": 0.8132, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Also Zach Rodriguez, Supervisor, Kenosha County. Zach, thank you very much, Zach. Good job. You had a rough three days, but then it got well brought into back in, where you wanted it. Just where you wanted it." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Erin Decker, Supervisor for Kenosha. Erin. Thank you, Erin. Good job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Don Kapla, President, Wisconsin Fraternal Order of Police. Don, thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2168, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Jerry Johnson, National Trustee of the Wisconsin Fraternal Order of Police. Jerry, thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "People have done a fantastic job. Really, you have to be proud of them." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "James and Sharon Ward, pastors. Where is well, it was great speaking to you yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And you're really a very respected man, and I really enjoyed our conversation. Thank you both very much for being here. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We also have a Major General Paul Knapp, who is around here someplace, but he was really right on the right on the thank you very much, Paul. Thank you. He has been fantastic. Paul." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And Scott and Linda Carpenter, owners of B&L Office Furniture. Scott, you're back there someplace? Thank you. Thank you very much. You got hit pretty hard, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2454, + "raw_confidence": 0.7546, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You got hit pretty hard. That's all right. It's going to get rebuilt." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2065, + "raw_confidence": 0.7935, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Kimberly Warner, owner of the Authentique Gifts and RePour'd Candle Factory. That's a very fancy name you have there: RePour'd. That's a fancy name. But I'll bet it was beautiful. Is it are you going to rebuild? Will you be rebuilding?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll be giving you some help, okay? We'll be giving you some help." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "John Rode, III, owner of Rode's Camera Shop. Now I was there, and that was 109 years, and you want to say a couple of a couple of words? Would you like to? It's a" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Oh, okay. Good. John, stand up, please. A hundred and nine years?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And we're going to help you. That's a very very complete rebuild we're talking about down there. That's incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "If they would've responded to the first call, it would've been it would've been a little different story. But they did respond, which is better than some governors, frankly. And once they responded and once we took, you know, control of it, things went really well. You just met some very talented people outside, and I think you're going to have clear sailing. But we're going to try giving you hand." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2994, + "raw_confidence": 0.7006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Your insurance company you're insured, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And so they're helping, and they're being responsible?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You'll let me know. You got to let me know at the end." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2359, + "raw_confidence": 0.7641, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And Riki Tagliapietra Tagliapietra. That's a beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "That's a good one. Go ahead, please." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "All right. We'll be talking to you. We're going to be helping you with law enforcement, and we're going to be helping you with some economic development. Get get it back in shape. Get Kenosha back in shape, and we'll get it back in, I think, very quickly. I really think so." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And we'll be helped by John Morrissey, city administrator of Kenosha. John, thank you very much. John, you have your work cut out for the next little while, but you'll be fine." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You're going to be in great shape." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And Samantha Kerkman, state representative, District 61. Thank you very much. Congratulations on doing a really great job." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Great job you're doing. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2261, + "raw_confidence": 0.7739, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And Van Wanggaard, state senator, District 21 a highly respected, actually. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you. And your reputation is a great one, so thank you very much. And also, this area is a special area. We can't let that happen to this area. So we got here quickly and did the job." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7248, + "raw_confidence": 0.7248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Violent mobs demolished or damaged at least 25 businesses, burned down public buildings, and threw bricks at police officers which your police officers won't stand for, and they didn't stand for it. These are not acts of peaceful protest, but really domestic terror." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "My administration coordinated with the state and local authorities to very, very swiftly deploy the National Guard, surge federal law enforcement to Kenosha, and stop the violence. And I strongly support the use of the National Guard in other cities, and the same thing would be happening if we did that, you'd have the same thing happen in Portland, and it would happen very quickly. It would all be over very, very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And I just want to thank the two of you for acting so strongly and so bravely and getting it done, and the coordination has been fantastic. You still need that coordination, no matter how many people you send in." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7889, + "raw_confidence": 0.7889, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I just came from a visit of one of the businesses that was burned down B&L furniture, and the great 109-year-old camera shop, which I really respect, because that was a had a reputation far beyond the state even. And it's terrible to see. Several other business owners, they're joining us, and we have some in the back also." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "To stop the political violence, we must also confront the radical ideology that includes this violence. Reckless, far-left politicians continue to push the destructive message that our nation and our law enforcement are oppressive or racist. They'll throw out any word that comes to them." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Actually, we must give far greater support to our law enforcement. It's all about giving them additional support. These are great people. These are great, great people. These are brave people. They're fighting to save people that they never met before, in many cases. And they're incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We must really be thankful that we have them, and we have to help them do their jobs. We can't be threatening them with their pensions are going to be taken away, their job is going to be taken away, everything is going to be taken away they're going to be living a bad life if they utter an incorrect word. You can't do it. We have to have our law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We cherish our law enforcement. We wouldn't be here without our law enforcement. Even me, I'm here today I feel so safe. And you went through hell, just a few days ago. But I feel so safe. I better be safe, right? I better be safe. But we're all safe, and we're safe because of law enforcement. And we honor you. And I will say this: We have to condemn the dangerous, anti-police rhetoric. It's getting more and more. It's very unfair." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6387, + "raw_confidence": 0.6387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You have some bad apples. We all know that. And those will be taken care of through the system. And nobody is going to be easy on them either." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6847, + "raw_confidence": 0.6847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And you have people that choke. They're under tremendous I said it yesterday, I said it last night: They're under tremendous pressure. And they may be there for 15 years and have a spotless record. And all of a sudden, they're faced with a decision. They have a quarter of a second quarter of a second to make a decision. And if they make a wrong decision, one way or the other, they're either dead or they're in big trouble. And people have to understand that. They choke sometimes." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And it's a very tough situation, right? It's a very tough then people call them bad and horrible. And they made a bad decision. But if you think of it, when they have and I know you practice this all the time, where you give people literally a quarter of second to make a decision, and a lot of them can't make that right decision. It's a very tough thing to do." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1867, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The vast and overwhelming majority of police officers are honorable, courageous, and devoted public servants. They're incredible. Yet, many politicians ignore their sacrifice and ignore the African American and Hispanic American victims." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7448, + "raw_confidence": 0.7448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We have people there was love on the streets, I can tell you, of Wisconsin when we were coming in. There was love on the streets. And so many African Americans, Hispanic Americans, I can see waving. Pastor, it was so beautiful to see. They want to have they want to have safety. They want to have safety." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3628, + "raw_confidence": 0.6372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You look at I'm not a huge believer in polls obviously, but you look at polls where there's 87 percent want to have great police. They want to have strong police. They want to have safety. They're the ones that are most affected by tragedies like you'll see going around." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2021, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "When these allegations of police wrongdoing and when you see that they have made allegations, they must be fully and fairly investigated, and that's what we're doing. Bill Barr has done a fantastic job in that respect. And we fully understand that because you do you do have problems the other way, but they're very few." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2418, + "raw_confidence": 0.7582, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You know, the sad thing is you can do 10,000 great jobs as a policeman or a policewoman. You can do an incredible job for years, and then you have one bad apple or something happens that's bad. And that's the nightly news for three weeks. That's all they talk about. They don't talk about the thousands and thousands of good jobs. The lives that you save, they never talk about." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I'm committed to helping Kenosha rebuild. We all are. We will provide $1 million to the Kenosha law enforcement so that you have some extra money to go out and do what you have to do. You took a rough it was a rough week, to put it mildly. And you've done it incredibly well." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "My administration is restoring public safety. We're hiring more police, surging tough-on-crime federal prosecutors, increasing penalties for assaulting law enforcement and for dismantling Antifa. It doesn't they don't want to mention the word Antifa. Nobody mentions that. This is a bad group of people. Very, very bad, very dangerous people. And we are doing a big number on Antifa. They're bad." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, we announced Operation LeGend to surge federal law enforcement to high-crime neighborhoods. It is a thing that has really worked out amazingly well, Bill. But it's really under sort of, really, understated in a sense. We've already conducted more than 1,000 arrests in our first month in Chicago. We went to Chicago very recently. Obviously, that's been a disaster Chicago total disaster with, again, radical-left Democrat. And we just have to straight- it's all Democrat. Everything is Democrat." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3492, + "raw_confidence": 0.6508, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "All of these problems are Democrat cities. We don't want to say it, but it is. The top 10 are Democrat. Then you go into the top 25, and take a look at that: It's the same thing." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7324, + "raw_confidence": 0.7324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We cut the number of murders in Chicago last month in half. It's still way too many, but they Operation LeGend was very, very, very successful. Now it's just really getting going, but they cut it in half and just at its very early stage." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2742, + "raw_confidence": 0.7258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "This is in sharp contrast to those who want to slash police funding, oppose using the National Guard, and want to hire radical judges and prosecutors who will release rioters, looters, and criminals. We have that in Portland, where the prosecutors don't want to do anything. You can catch somebody doing the worst crime, and they don't want to do anything. So we're very, very upset about that." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5026, + "raw_confidence": 0.5026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So they want to end cash bail; incentivize prison closures - they want to close the prisons so it can't hold anybody; reimagine public safety; end immigration enforcement; resume catch-and-release at the border." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6829, + "raw_confidence": 0.6829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "As Chad will tell you, we've had tremendous success on the border. We're up to over 300 miles of border wall, and we're having the best years we've ever had in the border. People are coming in, but they only come in legally, or they for the most part, they only come in legally. The wall will be finished very shortly. It's had a tremendous impact." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And the other thing: We want to appoint Supreme Court justices and judges. We'll be up to almost 300 judges by the end of the term, and two Supreme Court justices." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And so we have a lot of things to do. We have a lot of great things to do. But it's an honor to be in your neighborhood. It's an honor to be in your great state, Wisconsin. And we're here for you all the way." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Some people thought it would be a good thing for me to come, a bad thing. I just wanted to come I really came today to thank law enforcement and to just really what they've what you've done has been incredible. It's been really inspiring, because you see it happening all over, and it just never seems to end. And it never seems to end because it's almost as though they don't want it to end, because you ended it really fast." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And, Congressman, I want to thank you for the job you did. You were the first call, and I want to thank you very much, Bryan. Great really great job." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "With that, I'd like to introduce Bill Barr, Attorney General of the United States. Say a few words. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. You're doing a great job, Bill. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2568, + "raw_confidence": 0.7432, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Senator Ron Johnson, from your wonderful state. And he is one of the great senators, I can tell you that, in the U.S. Senate. He's one of the best." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Ron. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Sheriff. I'll tell you, you've done a great job. And, you know, just if they're watching a Portland or a Chicago or New York or any one of other cities that we're talking about but Portland, probably, would be so easy; maybe that would be the first one because I see it. Every night, it's on the news; it's burning. And they're always playing games. And, I don't know then he gets up and says, We're trying to work together. And the whole thing is then they wanted to burn down his house last night the mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But we're ready, willing, and able to send in, you know, a massive group of people that are really highly trained. You saw that" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "in your experience, right? And we could solve that problem in less than an hour in Portland. So I hope they call. Eventually, they'll call." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And at some point, Bill, we'll just have to do it ourselves. We're going to have to do something that's that I think the people will be extremely happy with. Maybe the mayor won't and maybe the governor won't, but I don't know if they know what they're doing. It's just so sad to watch it happen." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But, here, you acted and acted appropriately." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Daniel. Great job you did. Thank you. And you two work together beautifully. It's really good. Really good job." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Pastors, would you like to say a prayer?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I'd love to have that because you are so highly thought of in the area." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Sharon, would you like to say something?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So you know what I think? I think you're an incredible couple. I really do." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And thank you very much for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1589, + "raw_confidence": 0.8411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "No, it's not. It's just that we're tired of watching every night with Portland. They're on night 104 now. And we're tired of watching it, because it could be solved in an hour. And we're tired of watching a mayor that has no clue what's going on." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And people are calling our office and people are calling Washington that live in Portland and live in the state, and they're saying, Please, please send help. And the governor we call the governor often, and they say, No, we don't need your help. But I say, Your community is burning down. They don't need our help." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I don't know if that's political. I don't know what is going on certainly not common sense but we could solve it. Just like here, we all worked together. We came in the federal government, the state government, the city government everybody worked together. The senator, the congressmen it was like a beautiful thing. It just came it just worked, and it was done almost instantly. People were amazed." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And, as you probably will have to report maybe people are surprised there's been zero problem in terms of your safety, our safety. I feel so safe. Four four or five days ago, James, we couldn't have done this. The law enforcement has been so great. And we could do this in Portland so quickly, so easily it would it would be incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3245, + "raw_confidence": 0.6755, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We would have done it in Seattle. We were all set to go into Seattle, as you know, the following day. And they heard that, and they sent the police in, and the police did a good job. But they the people gave up. They were exhausted. They were there for a long time. And they gave up. They were exhausted." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So we're there. I mean, we'd love to help Oregon. We'd love to help really love to help Portland because we could solve their problem so easily. We have the people; they're ready. They could be there in less than an hour less than an hour and it would all end." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And they got a glimpse of that in this great state. They got a really good glimpse of it. It happened very quickly. And now, I mean, I see it. They're already rebuilding. You're already rebuilding your stores. You'll be rebuilding your store soon. Your camera shop." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So, we don't want to do that, but at some point, we're going to have to do it. We're going to have to do it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, I feel terribly for anybody that goes through that. That's why I was so honored to meet the pastors. I feel terribly for anybody that goes through that." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "As you know, it's under investigation. It's a big thing happening right now. I guess it's under a local investigation. And I know, Bill, you're also participating. But it's under your local investigation group unit, and I hope they come up with the right answer. It's a complicated subject, to be honest with you. But I feel terribly for anybody that has to go through" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1864, + "raw_confidence": 0.8136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And I didn't get to speak to the mother. I hear she's a fine woman. I've heard that from the pastor a really fine woman. But you can see, when I spoke to the pastors, I see exactly what it is. And they understand where I am. And if we can help, we're going to help." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But it is a question. It's under investigation. A lot of things happened with that and other things, frankly, that we're looking at very, very closely. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "A body cam? Well, that's very interesting. Let me ask Bill to answer that question. Go ahead, Bill." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.784, + "raw_confidence": 0.784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "It's a very tough you know, it's a very the whole thing with the body cam: You read it, and you read two sides of the story." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "How do you feel about it, Daniel?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You're going to have to speak up, please." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I don't believe that. No, I don't believe that. I think the police do an incredible job, and I think you do have some bad apples. I think you'd agree, every once in a while you'll see something. And you do have the other situation too, where they're under this tremendous pressure, and they don't handle it well. They call it choking, and it happens." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And no, but I don't believe that at all. I think they're I've met so many police. I have the endorsement of, like, so many maybe everybody. And, frankly, I think they're incredible people. They want to do the right thing. It's a tough job. It's a tough job. It's a dangerous job." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But I have to say this to the police: The people of our country love you. You don't hear that. You don't hear it from them. But the people of our country love you, and they respect you, and they and you know it; you feel it in your heart, or you wouldn't be doing it or you wouldn't be doing it. But there's a great love. And when they see what goes on, and when they see a case like this, where it solves so quickly, they respect the police a lot. Really, a lot. So you should hear it at least." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, you just keep getting back to the opposite subject. We should talk about the kind of violence that we've seen in Portland, and here, and other places. It's tremendous violence. You always get to the other side: Well, what do you think about this or that?" + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7478, + "raw_confidence": 0.7478, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The fact is that we've seen tremendous violence, and we will put it out very, very quickly, if given the chance, and that's what this is all about." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I keep hearing about peaceful protests. I hear it about everything, and then I come into an area like this, and I see the town is burned down. I mean, you look at Minneapolis: They should have acted much quicker. When we got the National Guard in there, it took, literally, a half an hour. You saw the scene. They formed. They walked. It was over. And they haven't had a problem of any consequence since." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6887, + "raw_confidence": 0.6887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Their police weren't allowed to do the job that they could do. They have a very good police department, but they weren't allowed. Now they want to break it up. They want to end it. They don't want to have a police department. They want to not only defund, they want to get rid of it. It's ridiculous." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2426, + "raw_confidence": 0.7574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I just say this: that the kind of violence that I saw, you may have protesters, but you have some really bad people too. You have anarchists, and you have the looters, and you have the rioters. You have all types. You have agitators." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And that's what you should be focusing on with your question. I keep hearing about peaceful protests. It's become really, I think it's hurt the media very badly. Because you'll have somebody standing on one of the networks I won't say which one, but there are more than one; many of them saying how it's a peaceful protest, and over the shoulder, you see the whole place is burning down. It's become a pretty common sight." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I don't view the peaceful protest. I think peaceful protesting is fantastic. I think it's great. But, by and large, this is not peaceful protest when you walk into an area and you see buildings that are burned down. And, fortunately, here, we stopped it early, and so the damage is relatively minimal." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But when you look at some of these areas that they just don't ask for the help, they refuse to allow us to go in and help them. And by the time you get there, the place is disintegrated. And then they say it was a peaceful protest. It's not a peaceful protest, and you shouldn't call it a peaceful protest." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You're going to have to speak up, sir." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, I think people are calling for structural change, and then you could take the people of Kenosha that aren't here and that you won't see and that aren't protesting, but they want change also. They want to see law and order. That's the change they want. They want law and order. They want the police to be police. They want the police to do what they do better than anybody else in the world, and that's what they want too." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2035, + "raw_confidence": 0.7965, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You don't see them marching, and you don't see them on the streets, but what they want is: They want great police force. They want people that are going to keep them safe, where their houses aren't broken into, where they're not raped and murdered. That's what they want. And they're protesters too, but they don't walk down the street up and down the street. So, you know, just the way it is. Just the way it is." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank you all, and I'll see you back at the plane. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "GKxnyKV1ezo", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-roundtable-policing-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Great job. Fantastic job. Thank you, everybody. Thank you very much. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Nice to be with you all. Good evening." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Before providing today's update on the China virus, I want to address the violence, looting, and rioting taking place in the Democrat-controlled cities of New York, Portland, Chicago, and Seattle. The mayors and governors of these states and cities have an absolute duty to use all resources necessary to end the violence and all of the injury and death." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1824, + "raw_confidence": 0.8176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "New York City has an army of great police. I know them very well. And the law enforcement and the New York's Finest are as good as it gets, and they should be allowed to do their job. If they do their job, if they're allowed to do their job, the New York City problem will be solved and be solved quickly. They do it well." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2227, + "raw_confidence": 0.7773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The mayor, Bill de Blasio, should immediately hire back all of the police who were fired without justification. They were fired. I guess that's part of Defund the Police by the Democrats. They should hire New York City's Finest back. You have some incredible policemen doing specific jobs that nobody else can do, actually, when it comes to terrorism and other things." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Together, the city of Chicago and the state of Illinois have 25,000 police officers, sheriffs, and Guardsmen available to quell any violence. They can do it very quickly, very easily if allowed to do their jobs again, if allowed to do their jobs. Our police, our law enforcement is incredible, but they have to be allowed to do their jobs. The Democrats or the radical-left Democrats or both, because they're becoming one and the same, if you look at election results the Democrats are being taken over by the radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But I'm offering all available federal support requested to stop the violence and arrest the criminals. We have to be asked by the governors or the mayors, and we'll be there very rapidly. It's ready, willing, and able. We're all ready, willing, and able to go to these jurisdictions and take care of them. We'll do them very quickly. You saw what happened in Minneapolis; they ripped the city apart. When the National Guard went in, it ended immediately. It was immediate and lasted." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "These acts of destruction are not isolated incidents, but demonstrate the pattern of violent, leftwing extremism that you get to see if you're watching the right news program. Under any rational definition, the arson attack on the police precinct in Portland would be considered an act of leftwing domestic terrorism. They really are anarchists. These are leftwing anarchists. They are anarchists. And I'm directing the Department of Justice to stop these anarchists immediately, to stop them and to work with the city and the state to get the job done." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Local authorities have to investigate and prosecute all of these crimes immediately. We'll work with you. And the local authorities know who they are. They know where they come from. They know a lot about them. They ought to get their act together and get it done, and we're ready to help. If you need that help you shouldn't need that help, actually. You should be able to do it yourselves and get it done very well. Again, you have excellent police and law enforcement, but you have to let them do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "On the vaccine front, some very good news. Today, I met with the leaders of Operation Warp Speed, our historic undertaking to produce a safe and effective vaccine in record time." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2297, + "raw_confidence": 0.7703, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We heard an update from the top scientists and the government and the leaders of pharmaceutical companies, which, right now, aren't too thrilled with me. They're taking millions of dollars' worth of ads because I've created a favored-nation status for drugs, which is going to reduce drug prices by 40, 50, 60, and maybe even 70 percent in some cases numbers that have never been heard or thought of. So when you see those ads, remember: That means your drug prices are coming down. When you see ads attacking your President, it's very simple that means drug prices are going to be falling very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2265, + "raw_confidence": 0.7735, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "This evening, I'm pleased to announce that we have reached an agreement with Moderna to manufacture and deliver 100 million doses of their coronavirus vaccine candidate. The federal government will own these vaccine doses; we're buying them." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1942, + "raw_confidence": 0.8058, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Recently, we also secured partnerships with Johnson & Johnson, as well as Sanofi and to support the large-scale manufacturing of their vaccines. Doing very well on those vaccines tremendous promise in every single one of them, and we have many of them. And they're years ahead of schedule. This would have been if it were in the previous administration or any of the previous administrations, where we are now would have taken years." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Three vaccine candidates are now in phase three trials already the final stage of clinical trials. This is the final stage. We are investing in the development and manufacture of the top six vaccine candidates to ensure rapid delivery. The military is ready to go. They're ready to deliver a vaccine to Americans as soon as one is fully approved by the FDA, and we're moving very close to that approval." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're on track to rapidly produce 100 million doses, as soon as the vaccine is approved, and up to 500 million shortly thereafter. So we'll have 600 million doses. Operation Warp Speed is the largest and most advanced operation of its kind anywhere in the world and anywhere in history." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4712, + "raw_confidence": 0.5288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We've treated more than 86,000 Americans with convalescent plasma. A recent Mayo Clinic study found that this treatment may produce results which are incredible. We look to a reduction and reduced mortality rate by 50 percent, and possibly even more than 50 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7885, + "raw_confidence": 0.7885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I urge Americans who have recovered from the virus to go to Coronavirus.gov and sign up and donate. We would really appreciate that because it's been very successful unbelievably successful and we would love you to go and donate." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "As we continue to confront the global pandemic, the United States economy is rebounding with strength like nobody thought possible. You've seen the numbers. You see what's going on yesterday, today and tomorrow, in my opinion. We're very poised for a great third quarter and very poised for some great stock market numbers and 401(k) numbers and everything else." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6105, + "raw_confidence": 0.6105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Today, the Dow Jones passed 28,000 points for the first time, more than a 50 percent surge since just March. So we've increased by 50 percent more than since just March. It has gained approximately 9,500 points that same period March and has recovered nearly all of its value since the virus struck our nation think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "America's economy is incredible, and its economic recovery is outpacing our peer nations. Last quarter, the European Union's GDP decline was nearly 40 percent worse than the United States. So it's 40 percent worse than the United States. We've built such a strong base that we're able to do things and sustain better than anybody in the world, by far." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7053, + "raw_confidence": 0.7053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "France's GDP decline was nearly 80 percent worse than ours. And Spain experienced an economic contraction twice as severe as the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Nationwide, we continue to see improvements in our fight against the pandemic very substantial improvements. Since last week, 87 percent of the counties in the United States report declining cases. Think of that: 87 percent of the counties in the United States, they reported declining cases." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1541, + "raw_confidence": 0.8459, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Mortality has declined by 7 percent, and hospitalizations are declining rapidly. States that were primary hotspots, such as Florida, Texas, and Arizona have reduced cases by nearly 25 percent. But all Americans must remain vigilant, practice good hygiene, socially distance, wear a mask whenever possible. Whenever you are getting too close to people, wear a mask. And protect the elderly always protect the elderly." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7393, + "raw_confidence": 0.7393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Since the end of July, the seven-day average for cases in the United States has fallen by nearly 20 percent, but the virus continues to increase in nations across the globe." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Even though America is the largest at-risk population including 1.5 million residents of nursing homes, about five times that of other European countries Europe has experienced a nearly 40 percent higher excess mortality rate than the United States. We also have fewer deaths per capita, excluding the disastrous deaths from the New York tri-state area which had a very, very hard time and did better than our peer nations of Western Europe, thanks to our excellent and highly advanced medical care and skill something that the news doesn't tell you. They don't tell you that. They don't like to tell you that." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7332, + "raw_confidence": 0.7332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The United States has now conducted more than 66 million tests, far more than any other nation in the world. India, which has a population of 1.5 billion people, has done 24 million. So we're at 66 million. And think of it: India is at 24 million, and India is second." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7962, + "raw_confidence": 0.7962, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The entire region of Latin America, comprising 33 countries, has conducted 25 million tests. Yet, Latin America has more confirmed cases, by far, than the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, college football, get out there and play football. People want to see it. And stand for your American flag, stand for your national anthem because people are not happy when that doesn't happen." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7581, + "raw_confidence": 0.7581, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You look at the NBA and what's happening with the NBA and their poor ratings. I don't know; can't imagine why. But they didn't stand, they didn't show respect to our flag. They didn't show respect to our anth- our National Anthem. And maybe that's having an impact, but just not good." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The NFL had its problems, two years ago, when that happened. They went way down in their ratings and their fans, and they struggled back. And now, all of a sudden, they're putting themselves in the same position. So stand for your flag and stand for the National Anthem, and I think you're going to do fantastically well. Because a lot of people aren't going to watch if you don't; I'm one of them." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That's why our strategy and attention are focused on preventing the cases that are most likely to require discussing the opening of schools, hospitalization, or produce any death. We have to maintain vigilance over our elderly population. We've learned that, I think, more than any single event, Scott. We have to be very vigilant all over, but we have to really protect our elderly population, and especially our elderly population that has problems with heart, lung, any form of sickness diabetes, in particular." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7685, + "raw_confidence": 0.7685, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we are, at the same time, in very good shape with respect to hospital room and hospital overcrowding. We're in great shape." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "On the nursing-home front, protecting our nursing home residents is a critical focus of our strategy. HHS recently announced that they will use the Provider Relief Fund to deliver an additional $5 billion to further protect nursing homes and long-term care facilities as they continue to combat the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2409, + "raw_confidence": 0.7591, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We've delivered over 1,800 rapid point-of-care testing devices to nursing homes. And we're in the process of delivering these vice- devices to all 15,000 Medicare- and Medicaid-certified nursing homes by the end of September. So they're going to have very, very rapid tests. They won't have to wait around two or three days or four days." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4276, + "raw_confidence": 0.5724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And that number has come down very substantially, compared to what it was. When you send it to the labs, you get very accurate tests, but it takes a period of time to send it, to check it, and then to send it back. But we are now at a position where we're sending very, very rapid tests 5 minutes to 15 minutes." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We will care for America's seniors as we develop the vaccine and therapeutics. And therapeutics are coming along very, very well. We think we have some great answers on therapeutics, and you'll be hearing that about them in the very near future. I'm very much into the world of therapeutics, where you go into the hospital, and you give a shot, or you do what you have to do with a, perhaps, transfusion. There's combinations of what you can do, and people get better. I like that very much. I like that very, very much." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And that could even precede and it's successful in getting it that will, I think, probably, even precede vaccines. But therapeutically, we're doing very, very well. A lot of people are going to be very happy when they see some of the numbers that we're that I'm seeing, and some of the results." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2037, + "raw_confidence": 0.7963, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So, tremendous things are happening on the vaccine front and the therapeutic front, and our country should be very proud of itself. We're going to get it delivered very rapidly, as soon as it comes out." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "No, we are we are not allowing that to happen. We're stopping evictions. We are stopping evictions. We're not going to let that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2238, + "raw_confidence": 0.7762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're not going to evict people. We're not going to let people the Democrats, maybe they don't care, but I care. And we signed an executive offer you know, executive order. You know that, right? And we are not letting people be evicted." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, she lied. I mean, she said things that were untrue. She is a person that's told many, many stories that weren't true. She's very big into raising taxes. She wants to slash funds for our military at a level that nobody has can even believe." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7731, + "raw_confidence": 0.7731, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She is against fracking. Fracking is she's against petroleum products. I mean, how do you do that and go into Pennsylvania or Ohio or Oklahoma or the great state of Texas? She is against fracking; fracking is a big deal." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7103, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She is in favor of socialized medicine, where you're going to lose your doctors, you're going to lose your plans. She wants to take your healthcare plans away from 180 million Americans 180 million Americans that are very happy with their health insurance. And she wants to take that away." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2033, + "raw_confidence": 0.7967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So she was my number-one pick. I mean, she was as they would say, because hopefully you'll start college football she was my number-one draft pick. And we'll see how she works out." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2846, + "raw_confidence": 0.7154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She did very, very poorly in the primaries, as you know. She was expected to do well, and she was she ended up at right around 2 percent, and spent a lot of money. She had a lot of things happening. And so I was a little surprised that he picked her. I've been watching her for a long time, and I was a little surprised." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7903, + "raw_confidence": 0.7903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "She was extraordinarily nasty to Kavanaugh Judge Kavanaugh, then; now Justice Kavanaugh. She was nasty to a level that was just a horrible thing. The way she was the way she treated now-Justice Kavanaugh. And I won't forget that soon." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So she did very poorly in the primaries, and now she's chosen. So let's see how that all works out." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I can't tell you what she's voting for. I don't think she knows what I think Joe knows even less than she does. But I was only surprised at the pick. A lot of people were saying, That might be the pick. I was more surprised than anything else, because she did so poorly. Many people did much better than her in the primary. She did very poorly in the primaries. And that's like a poll. You know, that's like a poll." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7588, + "raw_confidence": 0.7588, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So as far FISA abuse is concerned, there was tremendous FISA abuse. It's amazing that it's taken this long. And everyone knows that it's been proven very substantially. Not only FISA abuse changing documents and putting documents in front of the FISA court and courts that are disgraceful that they could have done it." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7734, + "raw_confidence": 0.7734, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And the fact is we caught Joe Biden, President Obama, the whole group. You can look at Brennan and Comey and Clapper and the whole group. We caught them spying on our campaign. This was an illegal act like no other illegal act. This was treason. This was at the highest level of treason. And Obama and Biden got caught spying on my campaign, using intelligence agencies of the United States government to do it, both before and after the election. So before the election and then after I won, they continued. It's totally illegal activity, and now we just have to see what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "OAN, please. Please. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.522, + "raw_confidence": 0.522, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I think that Seattle, in spite of all that they've been through, with the embarrassment of having a radical left group Antifa and others take over a big portion of the city of Seattle we're talking about a big city, a major city. That they allowed that to happen is incredible. That it took so long to fix is incredible. And the only reason they went in is because they knew we were going in the following day, and so they preceded us. They didn't want that to happen. They don't want to be embarrassed." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5372, + "raw_confidence": 0.5372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And the people just gave up. They weren't they were exhausted from having taken over a city for so long." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.335, + "raw_confidence": 0.665, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The police commissioner seems like a very good woman. They were going to slash her salary by 40 or 50 percent. And they cut a tremendous amount off the police department really, where people are saying it's not sustainable as a good police department. And, again, those police are good also, but they're not allowed to do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So I think it's a shame. I hate to see her go, because she did, in her own way, a very good job, but she wasn't effective in convincing the mayor and the city council to give the funds that were needed or just leave the funds the way they are." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They've done a big a big defund, a big part of it. And it'll probably get worse before people realize this is a tragic error, before people start dying and getting hurt very badly. So I think Seattle has made a tragic mistake. I think Portland has no clue as to what they're doing. They have no clue. And hopefully, there'll be asking for help because we can solve their problem very, very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I like Vice President Mike Pence much better. He is solid as a rock. He's been a fantastic Vice President. He's done everything you can do. He's respected by every religious group. Whether it's evangelical, whether it's any other group, they respect Mike Pence." + }, + { + "tid": "gvQxaV06bXE", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6034, + "raw_confidence": 0.6034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He's been a great Vice President, and I will take him over Kamala and the horrible way she, again, treated Justice Kavanaugh. That was a horrible event. I thought it was terrible for her. I thought it was terrible for our nation. I thought she was the meanest, the most horrible, most disrespectful of anybody in the U.S. Senate." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Wow. You're really fantastic, and I want to thank you very much. You really are. Thank you very much and thank you, Bill. And thank you to the Council for National Policy." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "My brother, Robert, would have wanted me to be here today. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Together, we're committed to protecting the American people, preserving American values, defending America's heritage, and keeping America safe, strong, prosperous, and free." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1851, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I want to thank Bob McEwen, Kelly Shackelford, and Jenny Beth Martin for your tremendous leadership of the CNP. You've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We're also joined by Acting Secretary of Homeland Security, who's done incredibly: Chad Wolf. Where is Chad? Thank you very much, Chad. You're right in the heart of it, and you've got some big things coming. Very big things. Good job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Also, Lieutenant Governor, a friend of mine, Dan Patrick of Texas. Dan? Dan? Wherever you may be. What a great guy. Great family. Great son doing a tremendous job as U.S. Attorney." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1784, + "raw_confidence": 0.8216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And many other state and local officials: I want to thank you all for being here. We have a lot of a lot of horsepower here. A lot of firepower, you might want to say." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2253, + "raw_confidence": 0.7747, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But over the last week, the Democrats held the darkest and angriest and gloomiest convention in American history. They spent four straight days attacking America as racist and a horrible country that must be redeemed." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1953, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden grimly declared a season of American darkness. And yet, look at what we've accomplished. Until the plague came in, look at what we've accomplished. And now we're doing it again." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2774, + "raw_confidence": 0.7226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It was the most successful period of time in the history of our country, from every standard. Look what we've accomplished. And now this plague comes in, and look at the way they talk. But look at what's happening and look at how we're shooting up. We call it a super V. It's no longer a V; it's a super V. And they didn't think that could happen, and they're probably not happy about it." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "They want to punish American citizens instead of holding them high. Where Joe Biden sees American darkness, I see American greatness. We've seen heroic doctors and nurses racing into action to save lives. We've seen first responders helping strangers in need. We've seen the passage of historic legislation to save 50 million American jobs. We've mobilized American industry like never before." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2179, + "raw_confidence": 0.7821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We've built military hospitals from scratch, produced lifesaving therapies, and we're on track to develop the most incredible, from a standpoint of time record time vaccines. We have vaccines. You'll be reading about them very soon. Way, way ahead of schedule. Years ahead of schedule. This would have been, where we are now, phase three trials, clinical trials. You wouldn't have been there in two or three years, if you went back to another administration." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3532, + "raw_confidence": 0.6468, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It's time to reject the anger and the hate of the Democrat Party. We have the biggest election coming up, of our lifetime." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "No party can lead America that spends so much time tearing down America. But the biggest part of last night's speech was what Joe Biden didn't talk about. He didn't talk about law enforcement. He didn't talk about bringing safety to Democrat-run cities that are totally out of control and they have no clue. China was never mentioned in any way, shape, or form. China will own our country, if he gets elected. They will own our country. And we're not going to let that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7593, + "raw_confidence": 0.7593, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And you've seen the intelligence reports: China very much wants Joe Biden to win. That would be very insulting if they wanted me to win. I don't think so. I don't think so." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7974, + "raw_confidence": 0.7974, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We've taken in billions and billions of dollars from China. We've given it to our farmers. We've given it to a lot. They had the worst year they've had in 67 years; we had the best year we ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We've demonstrated over the last four years the extraordinary gains that are possible while we stand strong for our beliefs, when we trust the wisdom of our Founders, and when we embrace America's destiny. It's a great destiny." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "With your help, we carried out the largest tax and regulation cuts, by far, in American history. And and they now want to quadruple tax us, and they want to quadruple, and beyond, the regulation cuts. And when we say tax and we say regulation and you say, Oh, tax cuts. That's so wonderful, but the people in this room that are the heads of industry you have some very powerful people in this room they know that the regulation cuts may have been even more important than the biggest tax cuts we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7549, + "raw_confidence": 0.7549, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "To build a highway in this country, it could take, in certain places, 18, 19, 20, even 21 years to get approved. This is not even thinkable. And we've got it now down to two, and we'll have it down to probably one. And it may get rejected for safety reasons or for environmental reasons. That's okay; it may happen. But we have it down we will soon have it down to one year from as much as 21 years. We have cases that have just been disastrous." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So I just wanted you to know some of the little details. But that's what we're working on. We'll have it down to one year to build a highway. You can do it all in one year. It doesn't have to take 21 years and cost 100 times more. Literally, I've seen 100 times more." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7881, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We eliminated Obamacare's unfair individual mandate penalty, which is really the elimination of Obamacare." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2176, + "raw_confidence": 0.7824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And to give to critically ill patients access to life-saving drugs, we passed a thing called and hopefully nobody in this room will need it, but if you do, it's Right to Try. We have the greatest medicines, the greatest doctors and labs in the world. And we have things that won't be approved by the FDA for a little while, although I've cut that time now down in half. It used to be 12 years. Now we've cut it down in more than half. And you see that with the vaccines. You see it with the therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2248, + "raw_confidence": 0.7752, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "These are things that nobody talks about but it's they've been trying to get that approved, by the way. Not as easy as it sounds. It's complicated because you have the insurance companies and the doctors and the hospitals, and the country itself doesn't want to get sued. And so not not very easy. But they've been trying to get it approved by for 41 years, they've been trying to get that. That's just one of many, many things that we've done. For 41 years." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7858, + "raw_confidence": 0.7858, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "To provide our amazing veterans the care they deserve, we passed VA Accountability and VA Choice. Many, many decades, they've been trying to get that. Choice, meaning you wait on line and you can't see a doctor, and they would wait in line for a week or two weeks or five weeks. Sometimes they'd be ill, and they'd end up being terminally ill by the time they saw the doctor. And we're letting them go out, get a private doctor immediately, and we pay the bill." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8043, + "raw_confidence": 0.8043, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And we just got a 91 percent approval rating in the VA the highest we've ever had by many points. Ninety-one percent." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7553, + "raw_confidence": 0.7553, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And VA Accountability sounds simple, but it's not. You couldn't let anybody go, no matter how they disrespected our great vets, no matter what they said to them, no matter how badly they treated them. I mean, we had sadists and we had thieves; we had a lot of bad people. You couldn't fire them under any circumstances. Under any circumstance, you couldn't fire them. And now we say, You: You're fired." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7453, + "raw_confidence": 0.7453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Both VA Accountability. And they've wanted to have that they've wanted to have that actually, they've let go of 9,000 people; replaced them with people that love our vets, want to take care of our vets. And great people. And we had a terrible thing going. You couldn't get them fired because, you know, civil service and unions and different things, you couldn't fire them. Now you can fire them, and you can fire them quickly if they're not doing the job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2706, + "raw_confidence": 0.7294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It's a big deal. And we don't talk about it a lot, nobody talks about it, but they've been trying to get those two things approved for more than four decades. And now they're done and they're approved." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2649, + "raw_confidence": 0.7351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We ended the Obama-Biden administration's war on American energy. And the United States is now the leading producer of oil and natural gas anywhere in the world. It's a big thing." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2983, + "raw_confidence": 0.7017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And remember this: If you look at what they're doing Biden he wants to end fracking, end petroleum products end petroleum. No natural gas, no nothing. End everything. And that's it. How does that work in Texas? How does that work in Pennsylvania?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7388, + "raw_confidence": 0.7388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I was in Pennsylvania yesterday, a place that he said he was born in, which is true, but he left when he was like nine years old. So he left a long time ago. Left he left seven decades ago. And he still calls it his home. And his real home is a place he never leaves anymore. He just never leaves. He never leaves the outskirts of that state. You'd think you'd go a little bit, you know. It's not that far. Never leaves. We'll figure it out pretty soon." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But they want to end fracking. They want to end drilling. They want to end everything. They want to end all of that. So I said think of it: They want to end oil. They want to end and this is the way it is guns. They want to take away Second Amendment, right? How about that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "That alone should win you the election. Right? That alone. And" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2088, + "raw_confidence": 0.7912, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And I protected your Second Amendment. Did you think that was easy for the last four years? Everyone is, Oh, look, he's wilting. He's wilting. And no, we're not wilting. And we've had people that were in tragedies, and they lost a son in a school and they lost a daughter, beautiful Meadow. And that gentleman has been a friend of mine he knows exactly who I'm talking about. Beautiful Meadow. They're totally in favor. They've actually gotten hardline on Second Amendment. It's not one way. It's an incredible thing to see, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But we held totally strong, and it's always going to be with us. But if they get in, they will absolutely either obliterate it to a point of no return or actually terminate it. And I have no doubt about it. I have absolutely no doubt about it. It's something we can't let happen such a big part of our security and our safety and your entertainment and all, but I say security and safety probably first, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1928, + "raw_confidence": 0.8072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And God it's an attack on God. It's an attack on religion. Did you see the man that got up and sang a very, very special phrase from a very, very special thing? And he left the word God out and I was watching, and I said, Oh, he must have made a mistake. I didn't think that he left it out. I thought maybe he you know, that can happen. Maybe he made a mistake. He didn't make a mistake. That's where they're coming from. He left the word God out. And that's where they're coming from." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7949, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And what we did in Minnesota with the iron ore: People came up to me and they said, You gave us back our life. Obama wrote it out. Iron ore the best in the world he wrote it out. We gave it back to them." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I said, What happened? They said, He took away our took away our everything. I said, How does this area compare to other areas? He said, First of all, it takes a long time to get to the other areas, this is so big. But second of all, this is the best there is in the world, and he doesn't let us use it. And I said, And yet, you vote Democrat. And so I ." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It's like Israel. Look what I did for Israel. Thank you. But it's amazing to me because nobody has been worse to Israel than President Obama and Biden. Nobody. Nobody has been worse. Look at the Iran deal. It's the worst thing that ever happened to Israel. And they never moved the embassy to Jerusalem, thereby making Jerusalem the capital of Israel, which I did, and neither did any other president, and I understand why. They campaign on it, campaign. Every President said they were going to do; no President did it until I came along." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Then so what I did is I called some of the leaders the following week. Hi. How you doing? What's up. Oh, we wanted to talk to you about Israel, but you already did it. I said, Oh, I wish I got to you a little bit sooner. But that's easier that's easier than having somebody asking you over and over, Please don't do it. But I could see there was a lot of pressure. I'd never understood why it wasn't done." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7126, + "raw_confidence": 0.7126, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It wasn't done because there's tremendous pressure put on the President of the United States by many other countries, much more than you would think and different countries than you would even think. Countries that you wouldn't think even cared about it were calling, asking not to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So we did it, and it's been really quite historic, I guess. And I could run in Israel, and I think they set up probably a 98 percent approval rating in Israel. So it's been it's been good." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And you know who appreciates it the most are the evangelical Christians. They appreciate it the most. So it's been it's been quite a interest- that was that has been, just by itself that's one thing out of many, many things, but that's been quite an interesting journey." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.218, + "raw_confidence": 0.782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But we also took historic action to stand up to China's trade cheating and plundering. You know that. We had the best year we ever had, and they've had the worst year they've had in 67 years. I wonder why. And I don't want them to have bad years, but there has been nobody that has ripped off the United States like China for so many years. How Presidents before me allow that to happen, and especially the one just before me." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And Joe Biden, with his son walking out with $1.5 billion to manage meaning, many millions of dollars a year in fees is a disgrace, okay? He's a disgrace. And then the vast sums of money he was paid by Ukrainian a Ukrainian company that didn't have the highest standing, to put it mildly, but the vast sums of money if that ever happened to a Republican, they would have been in jail a long time ago. It's such a double standard I can't tell you. This whole thing with all of the things that happened." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "The deep state you can believe it; you don't have to believe it but it's very unfair. And I will say that if a Republican ever did what Joe Biden did, with calling off the prosecutors or you're not going to get a billion dollars. And he's on tape; it's not like, Oh, gee. I mean, he's on tape. We wouldn't have had a chance. It's a disgrace. The double standard is a disgrace. And hopefully it'll be brought back to fairness." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3203, + "raw_confidence": 0.6797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And remember this: They spied on my campaign and they got caught. They can say what they want. This FBI agent has just now first one admitted. That's the beginning, hopefully, of the falling castle. But he's admitted that he forged documents. He changed documents, reversing them. And he admitted it." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So let's see what's going to happen over the next, hopefully, short period of time, because it's been unfair that we've had to wait so long; that was so obvious for a long time. And it should never be allowed to happen to another President again that, I can tell you. And that's for the good of the country, not for me. For the good of the country." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7731, + "raw_confidence": 0.7731, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Within three years, we replaced NAFTA which everybody said was impossible to do with the brand-new and really pro-America USMCA. It's a whole different ballgame, and we don't want to lose our companies to Mexico and Canada. And this puts a tremendous price tag on doing that if they want to do that. They won't be doing that." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "In everything we do, my administration is fighting for the American people and delivering one victory after another. We have appointed more than 230 federal judges. We expect to be perhaps over 300 federal judges by the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And there's I can tell you, it's driving them crazy. Don't forget, President Obama they say he was a great President. Well, you can't be a great President when much of what he's done we've undone. And you can't be a great President when you leave 142 empty judgeships. You know, I don't think any President has left any. You don't leave these are very, very important things for a party. Different policies, different everything. You understand it better than anybody, the people in this room. Left us 142." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2997, + "raw_confidence": 0.7003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "First day in office, I said, How many judges do I have to appoint? Sir, you have 142. I said, You have to be kidding. One hundred and forty so I had a big head start. But we have 142, but now we will have, I think, in excess by the time we finish in excess of 300, including Court of Appeals. And, of course, two very exceptional Supreme Court justices. So it's really great." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7756, + "raw_confidence": 0.7756, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And remember this, in terms of, Get Out the Vote the next President, I think, could have anywhere from two to four, to maybe even five just based on statistics; statistically Supreme Court justices to pick. Think of that: I've had two. Some some Presidents have had none because you, generally, pick them young, and they last a long time, right? They can last a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3102, + "raw_confidence": 0.6898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But you see some of these polls where they interview many more Democrats than Republicans, and they have to, I guess, by law, put it in you know, they interviewed but many more. And they don't go likely. Why don't they do likely voters? Because I think they'd be very upset. I think they know they'd be very upset." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Bottom line: We're doing very well. We have the biggest crowds. I think there's more enthusiasm now, for this election, than there was even it's record enthusiasm, by the way. Record-setting enthusiasm, right now. It's more now than we had even four years ago. Does that make sense?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3444, + "raw_confidence": 0.6556, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And we had the same we had the same thing, four years ago, where they'd say but now we've done so much. You know, this is easier, in many ways. We were sailing by the way, without the plague from China, this thing was over. This was over. We were sailing. But that came in, and then you have to prove yourself again. So now I have to prove myself again." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But we're doing that. We're building up the economy. And we're way ahead, by every poll even the fake polls we're way ahead on the economy, which is very important. But we are. I mean, think of it: You prove yourself. You're in this, and now you have to do it again. But that's what we're doing. We have the V. We have the super V we can talk about." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.184, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But with the help of countless faith leaders many of you are in the room; we appreciate it we passed historic criminal justice reform. And nobody has done more for the black community or the Hispanic community than we have. Nobody. Nobody. I guess, maybe Lincoln. Questionable. Abraham Lincoln. But nobody has I don't think anybody, with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln. But nobody has done more. If you look at Opportunity Zones, you look at all of the things we've done nobody has done more." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2759, + "raw_confidence": 0.7241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "After years of neglect by both parties, my administration understands that a strong nation must have strong borders. By next week, we will have gone up to over, as I say, 300 miles. That's hard to believe. And that was tough. They didn't want it. Do you notice now that we're building it, you don't hear about it anymore? It's ." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We've ended catch-and-release, one of the great scams of all time. Catch-and-release. We'd catch them and release them. They should say catch and release into our country because you catch them, and then you release them, and you weren't allowed to bring them. Now we bring them back. We absolutely bring them back." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2534, + "raw_confidence": 0.7466, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We've removed 20,000 gang members, including 4,500 MS-13 members, and we brought them back to their countries. And their countries, under the Obama administration, didn't want to take people. You know that, right? They didn't want to take them. They'd say, No, don't bring them back here. We're not taking them. Guatemala, El Salvador right? Honduras. They wouldn't want to they wouldn't take people back. Now they take them back. They say, Oh, thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.356, + "raw_confidence": 0.644, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "The last administration left us with a Middle East in chaos. This was a Middle East in chaos. Iran was empowered and exporting terror. They don't have too much money now. They're not spending billions of dollars, giving it to al Qaeda, Hezbollah, some of these wonderful groups that are totally vicious, crazed lunatics." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6318, + "raw_confidence": 0.6318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But more importantly, we gave them $1.8 billion in cash. Think of that: Cash. Cash. We flew it in, in Boeing 757s loaded from floor to ceiling with cash. What were these people thinking? And had I kept that deal we terminated that deal had I kept that deal, we could never have started this incredible thing that's happening with UAE, Israel. And everybody is saying, Why haven't you invited us? Okay, we're... many countries now want to come in." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So that delayed him about two months. They said, He just got hurt in a bicycle accident. What? It's not a good accident when you're so I promised I wouldn't do that. I might get hurt, but I'm not getting hurt riding a bicycle." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7473, + "raw_confidence": 0.7473, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But if you look at the Obama administration, ISIS was rampaging all over. I've defeated 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate in Iraq and Syria." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6328, + "raw_confidence": 0.6328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And I said, Which is more important: Golan Heights or Jerusalem capital? And he said, Neither. I said, What you mean 'neither'? He said, The most important is when you withdrew from that horrible and very dangerous Iran nuclear deal. That was the greatest thing you did for Israel. It's very interesting. And I said, I agree. I actually said I said, I agree." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2566, + "raw_confidence": 0.7434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We imposed the toughest-ever U.S. sanctions on Iran, and this week we invoked the snapback provisions to restore virtually all of the previously suspended U.N. sanctions. We snapped back it's a good term." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4646, + "raw_confidence": 0.5354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "The founder and leader of ISIS, al-Baghdadi, is dead. We killed him. And the world's top terrorist probably over 50 years, the top terrorist Qasem Soleimani is dead. He's dead. He's gone." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2347, + "raw_confidence": 0.7653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And I remember there was a big march on Washington. They were coming in to knock a lot of statues down. And they had a they even had Thomas Jefferson planned. That was in their planning. No, thanks. George Washington. They were even thinking about Lincoln. You know, Lincoln did sort of a pretty good job, right? But they were talking about anybody. I don't even know if they knew what they were doing. They were just wild and out of control." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7787, + "raw_confidence": 0.7787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But I signed this 10 years in prison if you knock down a statue. We have people right now in jail that are going to trial, by the way. And that was from previous to signing." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2281, + "raw_confidence": 0.7719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But, if you remember, that was a big thing two and a half months ago. You know when I signed it? Two and a half months ago. Two and a half months ago, I signed it. We haven't had a problem since. They say, You know, we want to knock down that statue, but, you know, 10 years let's see. Ten years. That's a lot of time. That's a lot of time. Which tells you that, you know, laws, if properly utilized, can stop all of this madness. And that's why we have to give our great police back their dignity and their power." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2106, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I've been endorsed by almost every police organization in the country. We just got, the other day Pat Lynch, the head of New York City Police, endorsed me. First endorsement he said, to the best of his knowledge, which is a lot of knowledge, the first time they've ever endorsed a candidate for President. That's good. They don't endorse. The first time ever." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "All the sheriffs in Florida. Dan can tell you: all of the law enforcement in Texas, right? All of the law enforcement in Texas, Dan. So, it's good. And just about everywhere, we have tremendous support." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5885, + "raw_confidence": 0.5885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And you're always going to have bad apples, by the way. You've got some bad apples. And you're going to have it probably, in this room, we might have one or two. But you have bad apples." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But these are great people that do a phenomenal job, that actually are appreciated by the public. By the public, they're appreciated, and they're loved and they're respected. And the public doesn't want to happen what's happening to our police. They took away their dignity, they took away their right to do the job that they want to do, and they're doing the job now. And, for me, they do the job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2289, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And you look at most cities in our country you know, crime is actually down. You look at Chicago, and you say, How is that possible? You look at New York, what's happened just in a short period of time. But we're with them, and they're with us, and they've done a fantastic job. All right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So the future of our country, and indeed our civilization, is at stake on November 3rd. Earlier this summer, murders rose by 29 percent in New York City, 33 percent in Philadelphia, 53 percent in Chicago, 133 percent in Minneapolis. These are all Democrat-run places. These are Democrat-run I might say radical-left Democrat, in some cases." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But these are people that don't have any clue what they're doing. They have no idea. I don't even think they know that it's bad, what's going on. You know, you'd almost say they're trying to defend it. It's incredible to hear them. But that's why I launched Operation LeGend, which has led to the arrest of 1,500 criminals since July." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And the radical left spent four years trying to illegally overturn the last election; they're still trying to overturn. Hillary Clinton remember the Hillary Clinton: Will you honor the election? Right? The results of the election. That was Hillary Clinton. And she should have asked that question to herself. She's like a crazed lunatic. She's a lunatic. She is something, I'll tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But somebody said, What's the difference between Clinton and Biden? Should I say? Should I tell you? Well, Clinton is much smarter, but not a likable person. Joe is not nearly as smart, but he's more likable." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So, you know, I don't know, maybe I'd rather have the smarter person. Who cares about personality, right? But that's the difference. Very simple, isn't it? Huh? It's a very simple thing." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But that's why we have to win. We have to win." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So now the Democrats are planning to permanently alter our political system so their control is never threatened again. They want to pack the court with radical-left justices; abolish the filibuster, which, frankly, I wish we did it because I said, They're going to do it, so we might as well get there first. But I couldn't get a couple of people to go along with me. But, you know, my attitude was, Schumer is going to do it. And they all said, No, he'll never do that. He'll never do that. Guess what? They're doing it. They're doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And as much as we've done we've done more than anybody has ever done in three and a half years. But you know what? As much as we've done we would have done more had we done that, because getting those extra 10 votes was almost impossible with these people. Almost impossible. So I wish we had done it. I wanted to do it, but we had some obstacle and obstacles." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7818, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Will grant they want to grant mass amnesty for millions of people. And citizenship, they want to give too many million illegal aliens probably about 11 million, at least and abolish they want to abolish voter ID. They want to abolish voter ID." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7859, + "raw_confidence": 0.7859, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "To get into the DNC convention last night, you needed an ID with your picture on it. Now, what does that tell you about no, to get in last night, a friend of mine was saying a friend of mine who happened to be there. I said, Why were you there? And no, a very political person. But he shows me he said, Here's the ID. It's got my picture. It's like the most incredible... It's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7871, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "There's only one reason they don't want voter ID, and that's because they want to cheat. That's all. It cannot be anything else." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I mean, you have it on everything. You have it on driver's licenses. You have it on everything, just about. And the only thing the only one they don't want it on is a vote, which is your most important the most important thing you have is your vote. And they don't want it." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2426, + "raw_confidence": 0.7574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We have it in some states Indiana. You know, we have some great, really, voter ID. They want to abolish it where it is and never allow it to happen again. And that's only a bad that's only a bad thing. That's only a bad thing." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "To everyone in this room, your organization was formed at a time when conservatives led the fight to turn back the tide of communism abroad, communism here. It's a very important organization." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Now Americans must rally to turn back the radical-left socialists and Marxists right here at home. And you see that when you see these people rioting in Portland, where you see the anger, the craziness. These people are crazy. They're crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And we won't let it go on much longer, by the way, because you know, they're supposed to police their own town, but we're not going to let it go on much longer. Because at some point, we have to say, Okay, you've had enough time to police your town. And, by the way, they have good police. They have good Portland has good police, but they're not again, they're not allowed to do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "If our opponents prevail, no one will be safe in our country, and no one will be spared. No one will be spared, including the people that help fund. They think they're going to be best pals; they're not going to be best pals. They'll be terminated, just like many others." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I'm the only thing standing between the American Dream and total anarchy, madness, and chaos. And that's what it is. I'm representing you. I'm just here. And I'm not sure it's an enviable position, but that's what it is. That's what it is." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "You know, when I made that statement, I was a little embarrassed by it because it sounds so egotistical. It's like an egotistical statement. And I was a little embarrassed: I'm the only one. But there was no other way to say it. We have to win the election. I'm the one. If we win, all of these things that we talked about: pro-life, by the way. By the way. Second Amendment, by the way." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And the radical left will bring him along so quickly. I don't know if you saw the congresswoman the other day, where she said, He will do whatever I tell him to do. He's perfect. He will do whatever I tell him to do. This is a congresswoman." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And Bernie Sanders was saying the same thing. Bernie Sanders was saying, Look, we'll just let him be in there, and then we'll when he gets in, we'll take it over. That's what's going to happen, because that's where their party is. It's it's become a sick ideology. And we have to win. We will solve the problem very quickly, very easily. We have to win." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7872, + "raw_confidence": 0.7872, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I don't like this mail-in ballot deal. They're going to send out 51 million mail-in ballots to people that haven't requested them. Well, where are they going? Look at what happened in New York with Carolyn Maloney, a cong- a small race. And they declared her the winner. They don't even have the ballots. It's so mixed up, so fraudulent. And the only reason they declared her a winner is because I was right up I said, Wait, what's going on? Six weeks and they couldn't count the votes. That's one little race." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2784, + "raw_confidence": 0.7216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "What's going to happen when you have 150 million votes? And you have 51 million 51 million votes think of it: They're going to send out 51 million. It could be higher than that. Fifty-one million votes no signature verification on many of them. In Nevada, no signature verification. In New Jersey, no signature verification." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "In New Jersey, the governor passed it and didn't even have the legislature approve it. He did it with an executive order, which is interesting. I mean, how do you do this? But think of it, just from you don't have to know anything about politics. You don't have to know anything. Just common sense, right? And a lot of you are great businesspeople." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2228, + "raw_confidence": 0.7772, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Fifty-one million it's not an absentee ballot where you request it, they send it, you send it back. It's it's good, like in Florida. This is 51 million people are going to get ballots to send in. So if it's them, let's say, that are doing it and it's mostly Democrat states that want it and the Democrat governors they're going to send them to certain areas, I guess. Right? I guess. So, people are going to be getting them and say, Oh, all right. That's fine. And they'll send it back." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.673, + "raw_confidence": 0.673, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "In some of them, harvesting is allowed that's where you harvest them all together. In Nevada, harvesting is allowed. So they'll go all over the world and they'll get people to sign them. Hey, you used to be here. They go all over the world to get and they'll harvest them, and they'll drop thousands of them on a table, just before the election." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5806, + "raw_confidence": 0.5806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "The other thing is, if you do this, you'll never have an election count on November 3rd. You know the way we enjoyed well, we enjoyed; I'm not sure they did. They didn't enjoy it. But, you know, the greatest evening ever was four years ago, right? And that night that night, four years ago that was an extraordinary night. But we knew that night in fact, we knew it before we really knew before nine o'clock, even though it took, like, two o'clock to call it. They refused to call Pennsylvania, which we had." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "If we lost every single vote right? Remember: There was two points two left. And two points left. And if we lost every vote, we won Pennsylvania. They refused to call it. But they called Wisconsin, they called Michigan, they called places that haven't done, really, very well for Republicans." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2102, + "raw_confidence": 0.7898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But, you know, if you look at Michigan now, we're building many car plants. They hadn't built car plants in 42 years. We're expanding and building car plants. I mean, a lot of good things are going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But you're not going to be able to know the end of this election, in my opinion, for weeks, months maybe never. It may be years, but maybe never. Because once you go past the first week, you're never going to know. What's going to happen? They're going to be taking them and hiding them. You saw what happened in Broward County, in Florida, where they were, every day, 10,000 gone 10,000." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2475, + "raw_confidence": 0.7525, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Rick Scott it was great the way he did that, and we helped them a lot. And Governor DeSantis, right? Ten thousand. Ten thousand. Ten if we would've waited a couple of days, you wouldn't have had the same governor and you wouldn't have had the same senator. We took very strong action, because it was obvious what was going on." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So now you're going to have 51 million ballots, Tom. Where is Tom? Hi, Tom. Where is he? Stand up, Tom. Where are you, Tom Fitton? I don't know. Does he does that's Judicial Watch. They do a fantas- I don't know if everyone agrees, but I do. They do a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It could happen the other way, too. I mean, it could happen the other way, too. I don't think it will happen the other way. I don't think it will." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But I think this is a very disgraceful situation. I really don't think that you're going to know anything on the evening anything meaningful or anything real on the evening of November 3rd. I don't think you're going to know anything. You're not going to know what happened. I don't think you'll know two weeks later. I don't think you'll know four weeks later. And I don't know what's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2202, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "You know, there's a theory that if you don't have it by the end of the year, Crazy Nancy Pelosi would become President. You know that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "No, no, think of that. Think of that. There's that mad theory, too. You you have heard that theory. No, I don't know if it's a theory or a fact, but I said, That's not good. That's not good. No, no, there is a theory that if you don't have it and that's that's part of their whole act; that if you don't have a choice, that the Speaker of the House becomes President. And that, I think, goes into effect either on the 20th or the 1st. And put that in the hopper. Add that to everything else. It's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2656, + "raw_confidence": 0.7344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "They know it's filthy, dirty. Paterson, New Jersey; Virginia; New York. Many, many cases all over the country just recent I'm talking about recently. And it's not even the Post Office, although the mailmen become very popular people, I have to tell you that. That's happened too. That's happened too even mailmen. But think about what they're doing to our country when they do this. We voted in World War One. We voted in World War Two. And now we can't vote anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "And, you know, that's still a long time away. The pandemic is if you look at Florida, if you look at Arizona, you look at California, those numbers are going down very rapidly. Many, many states have very little problem. You know, you look at a map now, it's it's largely, really, in good shape. I mean, I'm going to talk about it in my speech on Thursday. We're we've done a great job. We have not been recognized for what we've done. We've done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So in two and a half months from now, we'll be in, you know, good shape, and we're going to be in, really I think, potentially, really good shape. And we we can't let this happen to our country. It's called universal mail-ins, okay? Universal they like the word universal because it explains it. I don't know why. I personally don't like the name. I just call it mail-in. But we want to distinguish it from absentee voting, which is okay, which has gone on for a long time. And we're prepared for that, but we're not prepared for those 51 million ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.202, + "raw_confidence": 0.798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "It will be a tremendous embarrassment to our country. It'll go on forever, and you'll never know who won. So I say that for you, I say it for the cameras, because I assume that goes out. But I will tell you that this is a very serious problem for a great democracy. This is a very, very serious problem, and something has to be done about it. And they're being sent almost as we speak." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7807, + "raw_confidence": 0.7807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "People are going to get ballots that had no intention of voting; that maybe shouldn't be voting; that maybe aren't and they say the computers will pick it up. The computers are going to pick up nothing. They're going to pick up nothing. You'll have double voting, where they send in a ballot and then they'll go and vote. That's going to be a big problem. They'll send in their ballot, and they'll vote too. They'll send in the ballot, and then they'll vote." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "What are the chances that some states so efficiently run Oh, gee, you can't vote. We just got your ballot last night at seven o'clock. I mean, think of how ridiculous it is, right? Common sense." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I say this for the media: This will be the greatest catastrophe one of the greatest catastrophes in the history of our country. That's how serious it is. And they also think I'm trying to steal an election. Just the opposite: I want the fair results of an election." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So the damage that they inflict will not just last a year or an election cycle; it will echo for generations. And we may never be able to escape, no matter how great our future leaders. We may never, ever escape from the damage that will be inflicted if the radical left takes over the presidency. We may never be able to remember the Supreme Court but we may never be able to do it; it'll be too late. The country will go down so far that you'll never, ever I don't care who you are be able to bring it back." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3943, + "raw_confidence": 0.6057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "There's now a major American political party that supports decriminalizing illegal border crossings, abolishing cash bail. If you kill somebody, no bail. They want to close all prisons, outlaw American energy, confiscate your guns, force taxpayers to finance late-term abortion. They want to ban charter schools, abolish school choice, destroy our beautiful suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3241, + "raw_confidence": 0.6759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "They want to destroy I have done more for suburbia. When they talk about the suburban woman, will she vote for Trump? If she doesn't I mean, what is she doing? They want to force low-income housing into suburbia. And now the one that wants to do it is Cory Booker. Cory Booker is a disaster. You saw him running for President. He eventually quit when he started getting below 1 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "How about all these people? How about Kamala? Kamala runs. She's sort of one of the favorites. And she goes from 15 to 13 to 12 to 9 to 7, 5, 4. About 1, she got out. She didn't even get to Iowa. She never got there. She didn't want to take a vote. That's how bad she was. Don't you want to pick a person that's gone in the opposite direction? I mean, seriously. That's like a free poll." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "But there's something that that's not good going on there. I don't think it was a good choice. It was my number- one draft pick; I did say that. They said, How do you like the choice? I said, That was my number-one draft pick. That's but I meant from my standpoint. But think of it: She was one of the favorites, and she went down like a rock. So it's one of those things." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I believe it's one of the worst things going on now is the abolition of police or even the partial abolition of police. So we have to expose this dangerous left-wing movement. We must defeat it. And with an optimistic vision for America's future, we can be greater than ever before. We will be greater than ever before. With your help, that's exactly what we're going to do." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We'll, once again, build the greatest economy in history. We had it. We had to let it go to save millions of lives, and now we're building it again. We'll fully restore America's manufacturing independence, bring home our critical supply chains, and permanently end our reliance on China." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7698, + "raw_confidence": 0.7698, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We're going to lower drug prices. We're going to lower drug prices at a level that's never been lowered before. You know, I'm the only President, in 51 years, that lowered last year, drug prices went down a little bit. Not much, but a little bit. But under Obama and Biden, they went up 52 percent. Fifty-two percent." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We'll create a healthcare system that protects vulnerable patients, lowers costs. We have transparency. It's already done; it's approved. It kicks into effect in January. This is going to lower your hospital stays, your doctor bills, gives you more choice and controls. And we're going to deliver the highest-quality care that our great American patients and people and seniors deserve." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We'll provide school choice to every parent in America. We'll appoint more conservative judges and justices. We will protect religious liberty, defend the lives of the unborn uphold free speech, and safeguard the Second Amendment and your right to keep and bear arms. So important, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We'll restore patriotic education to our schools. I mean, what they're teaching students today is incredible. They come home; it's like a different world. What is it 1619 now? All of a sudden, they change. Now they're thinking about making another change because they don't like that. I don't know." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3969, + "raw_confidence": 0.6031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So, I guess, 1492 Columbus discovered America. Fourteen- you know, and that's what we all 1492, Columbus discovered America, right? That's what it was, right? Now they want to sort of get that and poor Columbus. They're ripping those poor Christopher." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Except in one tough, Italian neighborhood in New York, they didn't get away with it. Did you see that? Did you see it? The anarchist said, Let's get the hell out of here. This is dangerous. This is... The anarchists left. No, that was one very tough, great area. We love we love that area. I know it very well. They started surrounding it. They were all set. They had the ropes going, the whole deal. And all of a sudden, they said, Let's get out of here. Great. Christopher Columbus. Can you believe it? Christopher Columbus." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "We will restore patriotic education to our schools and teach our children to love their country, honor our history, and respect our great American flag." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "So this is the vision we believe in. And with your help, your talent and you have incredible talent in this room and your devotion, this is the bright future, not the dark future that you saw last night and for the last four days. This is a bright future that we will deliver for all Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "I promise you this: As long as I am the President of the United States, I will fight with every ounce of energy and strength, and I have no doubt that our country will be greater than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "hFqnayzcb28", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-council-national-policy-arlington-august-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-21", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. I appreciate it. It's a great honor. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I'm pleased to welcome the leaders and friends of mine, in many cases, of the National Association of Police Organizations. We have some of the great, great police representatives in the country here. Maybe the best, I would say, Pat. What do you think?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2574, + "raw_confidence": 0.7426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Representing more than 240,000 of our nation's courageous police officers." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1927, + "raw_confidence": 0.8073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I want to thank the Association president, a friend of mine, Mick McHale" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Mick McHale, who was has been tremendous, who I call on occasionally to say, What the hell is happening in a certain location. And he gives me the advice. And I was very honored to receive the endorsement. That was a great endorsement, and we very much appreciate it, Mick." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The entire leadership team is here today representing large portions. What would you say the percentage of police in the country are represented in this room? A big portion?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We have a big a very big portion. And I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Also, I want to thank our Vice President, Mike Pence. He's been very involved in a lot of issues. But this issue is one of his very important ones, I think we can say, Mike. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1874, + "raw_confidence": 0.8126, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're here to discuss the unwavering support of our nation's courageous police officers and our determination to defend the safety of all Americans. I just spoke on Portland. I just spoke with Chad Wolf, who's doing a fantastic job at Homeland. And the courthouse is totally secure; it has been, ever since we've been there. We had to move in about a week and a half ago because they were going to take down the federal courthouse. This is not even believable. You know, you tell these stories, and it's not even believable." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Homeland Security moved a team of very talented people strong, tough people. And the courthouse has been in very good shape. They're not an offensive team; they're a defensive team. They're not allowed to be offensive, unfortunately. And you had radical anarchists. You had horrible people. You had agitators. They weren't protesters. They might have been protesters, but the ones that were the problem were absolute anarchists and, in many cases, professionals." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So a lot of people have been arrested, and we've told we've told the mayor and the we told the governor, You better get in there and do your thing. And they finally, after they should have done this 60 days ago. A lot of people have been hurt. A lot of law enforcement people have been hurt. And they should've done this 60 days ago. So now they freed up the park, cleaned out the park, and they're moving their way. And if they have any other problems, we're going to take very strong offensive force." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.679, + "raw_confidence": 0.679, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Nothing started because the federal government was there. In fact, if we weren't there, you would not have a courthouse right now. You know, they the media, some of the media not all of it, but some of it, they are saying that because the federal government walked in, they became worse. No, because the federal government walked in, we saved the U.S. courthouse, the federal courthouse, which is a was a magnificent it will be shortly, but, you know, there's graffiti all over it and everything else. That's why we moved in, because the local police were not protecting federal property." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2019, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So Homeland Security has done a fantastic job. I appreciate it. Chad Wolf and the entire team have been fantastic. And it seems to be cleaning up. And if it doesn't clean up, we're going to do something very, very powerful, because we have no choice. Not that I want to do it; I don't want to do it. But we have no choice." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1954, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "In recent weeks, law enforcement has become the target of a dangerous assault by the radical left. The leftwing extremists have spread mayhem throughout the streets of different cities, in particular, Portland. If you look, Portland is one. Seattle, really, would be another." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2396, + "raw_confidence": 0.7604, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we were getting ready to go into Seattle. We would have solved that problem very quickly. When they heard that we were going in, they went in. And by that time, the anarchists were exhausted and they just raised their hand. They were exhausted and tired, and they had a lot of drugs and a lot of alcohol, and they just gave up. They just raised their hands. They were sleeping there long enough. They took over, actually, a piece of Seattle, if you can believe that Seattle being a major city. And they took over a piece." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7162, + "raw_confidence": 0.7162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So we were ready to go into Seattle; everyone knows that. We were going to go in with force, and we didn't have to because, the day before, we were going in and we let them know. The day before we were going in, this is what happens: They went in, and the anarchists and agitators gave up, and they gave it back." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden has pledged to cut police funding and you do know about that, Mick, I assume. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3251, + "raw_confidence": 0.6749, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "This guy has been dragged so far left. Biden has been taken further left than Bernie ever was. Bernie was never this. I mean, totally open borders, and the sanctuary city stuff that he's approving things that Bernie never thought of. It was supposed to be, they were going to take him right. They took Biden way left of where Bernie was because they have the manifesto. I don't know, have you seen the manifesto they've got?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6868, + "raw_confidence": 0.6868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Now I understand they can't get any police in Milwaukee because you're not allowed to use pepper spray or tear gas because if you have crowds. But I don't think there's any other way other than obvious way, which would be horrible. And that's shooting itself, which would be horrible. But I don't know how you can control a crowd if the crowd if if that crowd is anything like what you have at Portland, there's no way you could possibly do it without tear gas and pepper spray." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Pat, would you say that's a correct statement?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's pretty amazing, right? So you have no police that want to go to Portland because they know they can't do their job. You have to give them the equipment to do their job. It's incredible. They're not going to go to Milwaukee." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So what's going to happen in Milwaukee, Mick? What do you think?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Mick. No, that was very controversial, and the previous administration didn't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7655, + "raw_confidence": 0.7655, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We had hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of equipment really good military equipment, good stuff. And a lot of it was protective. It was defensive equipment, where like, vehicles that are very strong in terms of defense capability, where you wouldn't get hurt; where the windows are, you know, shatterproof, et cetera, and bulletproof." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4289, + "raw_confidence": 0.5711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we gave that out to our police departments. It was sitting there gaining dust. That was the only thing it was gaining, was dust. And we gave that out to all of our police departments all over the country. And you have no idea: Every place every time I go someplace, the police thank me for that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1881, + "raw_confidence": 0.8119, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "This is stuff that was just getting less and less valuable. Much of it was brand new, but getting less and less valuable, sitting in warehouses. Probably the government was paying a lot of rent to the warehouses. And, yeah, it's it's been a great it's been a great thing." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2143, + "raw_confidence": 0.7857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So as a result of the outrageous attacks on law enforcement, violent crime has surged in certain Democrat-run cities. Many of them. I mean, you look at New York: It's up 348 percent. Who ever heard of a number like that? Because you have a radical-left mayor who doesn't know what he's doing. He doesn't know what he's doing. I don't understand even how the police could allow it to happen. That's the only thing. We talk about that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3965, + "raw_confidence": 0.6035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But you look at Chicago: In Chicago, more than 2,200 people have been shot. Okay? Think of that: shot. Now, that's far worse than Afghanistan. We are leaving Afghanistan fairly shortly. But we see things that in Chicago and other places that you don't see in Afghanistan. It's unbelievable." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Forty percent increase from 2019. And the hard thing is that crime is down nationwide. So I'm taking all of these Democrat-run cities and we're putting them in with the well-run cities and Republican largely Republican-run cities and states. And with all of this shooting that you see in Chicago and New York and well, Minneapolis had a bad period, but we sent in the National Guard. The National Guard did a fantastic job, and they stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1865, + "raw_confidence": 0.8135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That place would've burned down. Minneapolis would've burned down if I didn't force the National Guard into that. And you saw them form, right? It's a beautiful thing. All of a sudden, you see a line of people. They walked through it like a knife through butter. And that was the end of the problem in Minneapolis. So, you know, we have to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But in New York City, nearly 300 people have been shot in the last month alone. Murders are up 32 percent in Philadelphia and 80 percent in Minneapolis, compared to last year. Minneapolis, great place too. And Philadelphia, think of it I went to school in Philadelphia. Look at if you look at these numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7863, + "raw_confidence": 0.7863, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "In cities across the nation, we've also seen police officers assaulted with bricks, rocks, bats, Molotov cocktails, frozen bottles of water. Somebody said last night, one of the protesters I saw it he said, It's only water. How can water hurt you? Yeah, they don't say it's frozen, in a bottle the size of a football. And they throw it at the police. It's unbelievable. It's water." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And then they have cans of soup. Soup. And they throw the cans of soup. That's better than a brick because you can't throw a brick; it's too heavy. But a can of soup, you can really put some power into that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And then, when they get caught, they say, No, this is soup for my family. They're so innocent. This is soup for my family. It's incredible. And you have people coming over with bags of soup big bags of soup. And they lay it on the ground, and the anarchists take it and they start throwing it at our cops, at our police. And if it hits you, that's worse than a brick because that's got force. It's the perfect size. It's, like, made perfect." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And when they get caught, they say, No, this is just soup for my family. And then the media says, This is just soup. These people are very, very innocent. They're innocent people. These are just protesters. Isn't it wonderful to allow protesting? No, there's and, by the way, the media knows it better than we do. They know what's going on. I don't know what's wrong with them. They're doing our country a tremendous disservice I'll say that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But in cities all across our nation, we've seen our police officers so badly assaulted. In Portland and the other cities, my administration is vigorously defending federal property from anarchists and criminals. We've also launched Operation LeGend, surging federal law enforcement to communities plagued by violent crime." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we're willing to help Chicago. We're willing to help New York. We're willing to help Philadelphia. Any any city you want. But, by law, unless we go a special route which we have the right to do, but it's very rarely done we have to be asked by the local government, by the mayors and by the governors. And they don't want to do it, I think, for two reasons. Number one, they're embarrassed to do it. And number two, I actually think they're afraid of these people, if you want to know the truth. I actually think these are radical-left maniacs." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So it's an honor to have the associations here. We have been with them. I've had endorsements from so many so many police. And I don't even say thank you anymore. I say, What's your choice? Your choice is me or somebody that has no clue what they're doing. And I say that kiddingly, but I sort of mean it. Right? I sort of mean it." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7806, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "When you see the things that we've seen in St. Louis and, by the way, if you look at the last administration, with Ferguson and all of the problems they've had I mean, they had some problems that are doozies. You know, people said, Oh, the last administration... They had that's what started a lot of this. If you look at some of the things that they had, I could name 10 of them right now." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But we have to strengthen up because you're being told to do things that you know can't happen. In Seattle, they're being they're reducing the force by massive numbers. In Portland, they're reducing their force. Can you imagine that? In Portland, they're reducing their force by massive numbers. But then the governor, like in Oregon the governor said things that are just unbelievable. She doesn't want it to get better. The mayor of Seattle, the things that she said: We're going to have a summer of love. There's something going on that is crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Remember this, though: Most of our cities are doing really, really well. And despite the pandemic and we're doing a good job on that. We have vaccines that are really getting close. We have therapeutics that are really getting close. But despite all of that, these cities are doing very well. And law enforcement is at an all-time good. So most of it is good. We only talk about the bad, but most of it is good." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Pat, would you like to say something in representing our New York's Finest? And we'll go around the room a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So if a mayor tells you you can't do that, you cannot your job is to keep people safe, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So is that a higher calling than listening to a mayor?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2468, + "raw_confidence": 0.7532, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Never been anything like it. Hey, look, I lived in New York, and we never had a problem in New York. New York was once Rudy Rudy did a great job as a mayor, in all fairness, because before that but I think this is worse than the Dinkins era now." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "How do you compare this to the Dinkins era?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And with Dinkins, if you go back to that period, everybody respected the police, and the police were allowed to do their job, in all fairness. It was never like we're going to cut our police force. It was always, We're going to get more police, in all fairness. And then Rudy came in and did a great job. So, you know, it's one of those things." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I think you have to do what you have to do. I mean, you have to keep people safe. You have to keep people safe." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And you could be sued individually or as a force?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So are they taking immunity away from you?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Yeah, that's the next move. You know, they want to take immunity away from police so that if you do what you have to do, and you do it right, you can get sued. I mean, the whole thing is just crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So you're having a hard time in Massachusetts?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You guys have to stick together. You got to do what you're doing. I mean, you can't let it happen. You know exactly for instance, when you have a problem in Massachusetts, are you allowed to use pepper spray?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You are. Do you think they're going to end that? Are they thinking about that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4941, + "raw_confidence": 0.5059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "How are the K-9s? Very effective, I would imagine." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Right. And they're going to stop with the K-9s?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So what does that mean? That means you you can't put two on one? You can't put three on one? What does that all mean? You mean, you have to have you have to give the criminal a chance? Is that what that means?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's on that's one I've never even heard of." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Have you heard of that one, John? That's one" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You know, what people don't understand is that the people, the voters, are with you guys 100 percent. I'll bet you if you looked, it would be really I don't want to say a number, because then they'll say, Oh, he was wrong on the number. The number is, you know, two points lower. It would be tremendously it's a tremendous number. The people of our country love you guys. The people of our country want protection and they want safety. And what they're doing is they're just stripping. This radical-left movement is stripping you of everything. And we're not going to let that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "No, for speeding, I haven't got one of them recently. I'd get pulled over and I'd look at those guys, I'd say, That guy, I'm not going to mess with that guy." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But who do you think is what area is treated the worst, meaning they've taken their power away?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, you have really the public support, but it's sort of" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But it's not a silent majority, it's a massive majority. It's not anything about" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6306, + "raw_confidence": 0.6306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The word majority is not a good enough word. You have tremendous public support. And these people feel they have to do this the politicians in order to stay relevant in this far-left movement." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "John, what would you say about that? What who would you say is treated the worst in terms of areas?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1896, + "raw_confidence": 0.8104, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "One of one of the worst, Pat. It can't be much more than that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1954, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And you could solve that rather quickly if they gave you your power back, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Yeah, no, it's easy. It's a very it's very I mean, for you guys that's what you want to do." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "This is hard; what you're doing now is hard." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4176, + "raw_confidence": 0.5824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But I remember two years ago, three years ago, when the police didn't respect the mayor that never changed, in all fairness but they would literally turn their back on the mayor. And he was really working hard to get them on his side. And now it's almost though as though it's just the opposite. And why is that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And do you see it turning around? Do you see it going back where" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "the politicians are going to get smart, because" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1963, + "raw_confidence": 0.8037, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But the communities like the police. The communities want protection." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.771, + "raw_confidence": 0.771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I think the cops in New York have to get tough again." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They got to get tough. They got a big voice. You know, you got a lot people. A lot of it's a great force. And they have to get tough again." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They're going to have to take it and just they're going to have to you just said, they have to protect you're sworn to protect the people. You know, there's a point at which you have to that's also an order coming down: Protect the people." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And I think Florida is going to be in great shape with your governor and everything else, but you got to always watch it, John." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2125, + "raw_confidence": 0.7875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We train them in New York, they leave after 20 years" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "and they become police. They have a good they have a good life. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I am covering you. But what do you do when you have a radical-left, crazy mayor, and they're giving you orders that you know will lead to tremendous death and crime? Are you allowed to do your job or are you going to have to listen to this crazy man that got appointed? Is there something you can do? Because I'll tell you, if you don't do your job, you going to have certain cities in this country that are going to end up like Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7783, + "raw_confidence": 0.7783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The mayor goes into the crowd the other night and I watched very carefully, and I saw exactly what happened. He was excoriated. He was they went after him. It was incredible, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And shouting at him, Resign. Get out of here. We don't want you. Horrible." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And yet I watched on NBC News, Lester Holt on your news, Peter if you watch that news, that newscast, it was no it was a big, beautiful thing that he went in with the people. They didn't show the shouting and the Get out of here. And they were rough. They would have ripped them apart. Peter, he had five bodyguards. Five bodyguards. If he didn't have those bodyguards, you'd be talking about a funeral right now, because they were looking to do a bad thing on him. And he got out with his life." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And yet, I watched NBC I was watching, for some reason, NBC Nightly News not even MSDNC. I'm watching NBC Nightly News, and if you watched that, it looked like he was a man of the people the mayor. They would've ripped him apart. It just shows you, you know, you need some help from the media. You need a little fair help." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.522, + "raw_confidence": 0.522, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And yet they go after General Flynn, who did nothing wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7365, + "raw_confidence": 0.7365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They go after General Flynn I know. I was going to say, you look like his brother. Maybe a little bit different. Slightly different, John. But they'll go after General Flynn and these people that did nothing wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's a good point. It's true. It's true. They can do whatever they want. You do one blue line and they make it like it's a mortal sin. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's terrible. You ever think you'd see that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5792, + "raw_confidence": 0.5792, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And this has been happening now for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And you could stop it instantaneously if you had the orders, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Instantaneously. I saw that jumping on top, hitting them with sledgehammers. And" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And they want to stop it. Yeah. Oh, they'd stop very easily." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, you're in pretty good shape in Texas, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "A couple of places are a little shaky, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2134, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Who's going to want to take a job where you don't have the backing of of the people running the city, the the elected people running the city? It's becoming a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7673, + "raw_confidence": 0.7673, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Yeah, in New York, they fired some of the best policemen in the world your crime fighters and they let them go. How many was that? What group?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And the bad ones knew it too." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Because they know the guys and they say, Hey, we're not going to mess around with these guys. And now, all of a sudden, they heard they were fired. Oh, boy, we have a free rein. That's what happened, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So simple to understand. It's so simple. If the media would be the media is part of the problem, because they don't report the news the way it is. They don't report it. They make it look like these are wonderful people. I watched New York. I watched them burning storefronts and going crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6643, + "raw_confidence": 0.6643, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I watched in Minneapolis, we have this guy from CNN with his camera. The the city was burning behind him. And he's talking about, What a lovely group of protesters. It's it's really it's really disgraceful. It's the media is a big I call it the opposition party. The media is a big part of the problem. They're really, the fake news. It's a big part. They don't report it. Because it's common sense. It's so simple to understand." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Hopefully, Texas will be in great shape. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "How about how about you, down here? How are you?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Okay, so I'll ask you the same question:" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So where are you having the worst time?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5493, + "raw_confidence": 0.5493, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "What about Wisconsin, where they take the pepper spray and the tear gas away? What what about that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "No, no, they want to disband the whole" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So yeah, they want to they want to dismantle. Right? Dismantle the whole police department." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3681, + "raw_confidence": 0.6319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So when you guys hear the term abolish they use the word abolish the police, abolish the departments, some of these people are actually serious about that." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.611, + "raw_confidence": 0.611, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And defunding, they're already doing. I mean, defunding they've started. They've started. New York took off a billion dollars, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So defund and abolish. And that's that's their favorite of all phrases: Defund and" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Who's gone the furthest of the cities?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's just and yet, the leaders have armed police around their house, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So surprised to hear about New Jersey" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "because I know the trooper so well. I know the whole group so well." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But those numbers will go up. Those numbers will change" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "with time, if they do what you're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That example is something that happens, too." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Yeah. No, I've said it. And I've learned I I thought it was fake before I got here, but not as bad as it is." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's really a it's a tragedy what they what they're able to report or not report. You know, what they don't report is, in many ways, even worse." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we're working on additional support, because you need that. We're the opposite of defund." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6173, + "raw_confidence": 0.6173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And you're talking about peanuts, by comparison, to what they do and the damage they do and the lives that they destroy. You're talking about a very small amount of money." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So we're with you all the way, 1,000 percent. And I want to thank you all for being here. I really appreciate your support. We'll never let you down. I'm for you I mean, just by nature, by it's natural. Its common sense. And you know what? If I thought you were doing a bad job, I'd let you know. You know that, Mick." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 165, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You know that, Pat. I'd let you know." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 166, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But you're not allowed to do your job; that's the problem. You're not allowed, and you're dying to do your job. You could've stopped that New York stuff the first night." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4226, + "raw_confidence": 0.5774, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "In 10 minutes, you could have stopped it, and you would have saved a lot of lives and a lot of anger and a lot of hardship and a lot of COVID, by the way." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You would have stopped it. Because I saw them marching on top of each other. You would have saved a lot. And you wanted to do it, and they wouldn't let you do it. I saw that. You they wouldn't let you do it. They they were going actually the opposite way. Turn your back, and then people start getting hurt that had nothing to do with it. They were getting hurt. They just don't let you do your job." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 169, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "All right, well, I want to thank Jennifer, go ahead. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 171, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6099, + "raw_confidence": 0.6099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I think the Democrats don't care about the people of our country. I really don't. I tell my people: The Democrats do not care about the people of our country. They don't want to do what you should be doing for the people of our country, whether it's unemployment or anything else." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 172, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And all they care about is the election, and they're going to lose the election. You see what's going on with the polls right now. Guess we just got one over 50 percent; Rasmussen just came out. You see what's going on." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 173, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2028, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Because the people get it: The Democrats are playing for November 3rd, and we're playing for the good of the people. It is a disgrace that they're not negotiating. But they're only looking to play a political game. I happen to think it's a bad political game. I think it hurts them." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 174, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They know what I want. And what I want is I want our people to be able to live and live well, because it wasn't their fault that China brought in this pandemic, that China brought in this plague. It's China's fault. You want to know the truth? China should be paying for it, and maybe they will. Maybe they will. You'll watch. You'll watch. What else?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 175, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Peter, you know nothing about my energy. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 176, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2307, + "raw_confidence": 0.7693, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You know nothing about what I'm doing." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 177, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1814, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Listen, you know nothing about what I do." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 178, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4414, + "raw_confidence": 0.5586, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So, on NBC I just told you about the false report that NBC put out the other night about the mayor of Portland. And this is the kind of stuff you get." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 179, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You'll see what happens. And it's common sense. Everyone knows mail-in ballots are a disaster. You just have to take a look at the last recent take a look at New York City. Look at New York, they're still counting your ballots, Pat." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 183, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3622, + "raw_confidence": 0.6378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Absentee ballots are great, because absentee ballots you have to go through a process to get them and it's it's actually a great thing. Absentee ballots. I'm going to be voting absentee. An absentee ballot is one thing. A universal mail-in ballot is a disaster. These governors are going to send out millions of ballots. They don't even know where they're sending them. I already have friends that got ballots for a son who died seven years ago. When they get you don't even want to talk about it." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 184, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But the media knows this. Actually, the Washington Post wrote a great article of all groups. A week ago, the Washington Post wrote a great article that this is a disaster. This is going to be the greatest election disaster in history." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 185, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2076, + "raw_confidence": 0.7924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, you guys like to talk about Russia and China and other places? They'll be able to forge ballots. They'll forge them. They'll do whatever they have to do. People should go and they should vote or do an absentee ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 188, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You didn't understand me. I said absentee ballots are actually a very good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 189, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1976, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Absentee ballots are secure, and they're very good. But universal mail-in are a disaster. You're going to see an election that and we're going to do very well in the election. Nobody wants that date more than me. I wish we would move it up. Okay? Move it up. But you're not prepared for what they're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 190, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And they're using COVID. You know, they're using the China virus. China must be very happy about it, because they hit us with a virus, and now they screw up an election like you you will never see. You watch what happens. I don't think you'll ever give me any statement, I guess Trump was right. But the people know I'm right. Watch what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 191, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7017, + "raw_confidence": 0.7017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "New York City has a little election we just talked you go see. Do you know how far they're going to they're never going to have the result in that election. Never the correct result. They'll probably announce something at some point. But when did that take place like five, six weeks ago." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 192, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2359, + "raw_confidence": 0.7641, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Absentee ballots: great. Going to the polls: great. If you do universal mail-ins with millions and millions of ballots, you're never going to know what the real the real result of an election is. It's going to be a very, very sad day for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 194, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Oh, we're doing we're putting in all the resources you can. But as a couple of the radical-left people said, you know who actually agree with me they said, No matter what you do, we're not prepared for this. They're not prepared for an onslaught of millions of ballots pouring in. They're not prepared. They're not prepared." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 195, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You watch. They're not going to announce anything on November 3rd. They're not going to announce it on the 4th or the 5th or the 6th. It'll go on forever." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 196, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7548, + "raw_confidence": 0.7548, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "People should go you know, they voted, Mick, during World War One. They voted during World War Two. They went to the polls; they voted. They went to their booth, and they voted proudly. But now, with COVID, they don't want to vote." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 197, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's not they don't want to vote, it this will be catastrophic for our nation. And you'll see it. I'm always right about things like this. I guess I must be or I wouldn't be sitting here." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 198, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But yes, Jennifer, go ahead. You want something? Jennifer, did you want" + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 200, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I want to I want to right now focus on this election. I'll have a statement about that soon. I heard that, that they did the delay in Hong Kong. And we'll have a statement about that, but I want to focus on this." + }, + { + "tid": "hK53oCYAclU", + "sid": 201, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-national-association-police-associations-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much everybody. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you, Cody. Good job you did, Cody. He was wealthier four months ago, but he'll be up there very soon. He's doing good. Come on. Sit down, please. Let's have some fun." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And I really am I'm thrilled to be here in Midland, Texas, with the extraordinary men and women of Double Eagle Energy. And what a nice welcome. And thank you very much. There's a lot of big, beautiful rigs behind me." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Thanks to the hardworking citizens like you, the United States of America is now the number one energy superpower anywhere in the world. So, congratulations. That was it was not that easy, but now it's getting easier." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We're here today to celebrate your incredible achievements. We're also here to send a clear message to the zealots, radicals, and extremists trying to shut down your industry and to make America subservient to foreign producers. That won't happen to this nation again." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "It took a long time to be independent. And as long as I'm your President, we will never let anyone put American energy out of business, which is what they'd like to do." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We will never again be reliant on hostile foreign suppliers. We will defend your jobs, and we will defend the Lone Star State. I love this state. And we will defend America's newfound energy independence." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Before going any further, I want to provide you with a brief update on our battle against the China virus. Our hearts are with the people of Texas. We love our people. We love our country. Statewide, the percent of patients testing positive has stabilized, and the number of new cases has begun to substantially decline, but Texans must remain vigilant." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1858, + "raw_confidence": 0.8142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "To protect our seniors, my administration has deployed personal protective equipment and rapid point-of-care testing systems to every Medicare- and Medicaid-certified nursing home in your state. No matter where you go, they have it." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7774, + "raw_confidence": 0.7774, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "This week, Texas hospitals are receiving 500 cases of antiviral treatment, remdesivir it's been very, very successful enough to treat 3,200 patients." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5265, + "raw_confidence": 0.5265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Under my administration's Operation Warp Speed, we're developing vaccines in record time. Earlier this week, a promising vaccine entered the final stage of clinical trials, long ahead of schedule, with more following very quickly behind. We have some of the greatest companies, labs in the world doing this. This is the fastest a vaccine has ever been developed." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Together, we will end the plague from China. We will defeat the virus. I want to thank everyone at Double Eagle Energy for hosting us today, including the co-founders two great, young, smart people: Cody Campbell and John Sellers. Thank you, Cody. Thank you, John. Thank you, fellas. Good job." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Thanks also to Interior Secretary David Bernhardt. David, thank you. Energy Secretary Dan Brouillette. Texas has keep - really kept him very busy. Where's Dan? You've been very busy. Very busy." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "A great senator and a great friend of mine, Senator Ted Cruz. Ted, thank you. He's out there fighting for you, I want to tell you. Thank you, Ted." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Representatives and these are friends of mine and they're warriors Jodey Arrington and Mike Conaway. Thank you, fellas. Thank you. Thank you. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "A very, very special man and a very special talent in Governor Greg Abbott. Thank you. Thank you, Greg. Great job you're doing. And he's working hard, and you're doing a fantastic job. Our people are working together and you're getting everything you need. So, good. Thank you for doing such a good job." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And thank also Dan Patrick, your lieutenant governor my friend. Thank you very much, Dan. Great help. It's a great team. No better team in the country. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Midland County Judge Terry Johnson. Thank you, Terry. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1949, + "raw_confidence": 0.8051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Your former governor a great man, a friend of mine Secretary of Energy Rick Perry. Nobody did a better job than my Rick. Thank you, Rick." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And we have so many other distinguished guests and local leaders, and we just want to thank you all for being here. Thank you all very much. Great honor. Thank you very much for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Under the last administration, America's energy industry was under relentless and unceasing attack. You know that. But the day I took the Oath of Office, we ended the war on American energy and we stopped the far-left assault on American energy workers. Now the sault the assault you've seen what's going on; it could come again. But I have a very strong feeling you're not going to have to worry about it. If you do, you're in big, big trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8003, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I withdrew from the one-sided, energy-destroying Paris Climate Accord. It was a disaster. It cost us billions of dollars, and it would have made us a noncompetitive nation." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7744, + "raw_confidence": 0.7744, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We cancelled the Obama administration's job-crushing Clean Power Plan. You know all about that." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7882, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I approved the Keystone XL and the Dakota Access pipelines immediately upon assuming office." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We opened up ANWR in Alaska to energy exploration, ended the moratorium on coal leasing on federal lands, and reopened public lands and offshore areas to oil and gas exploration. That's where David Bernhardt has done such a great job. Thanks, David." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We unlocked the full energy potential of Texas and New Mexico. And New Mexico we're proud that we've been here. We're proud to help. You have been fantastic. A lot of jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2605, + "raw_confidence": 0.7395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And since my election, oil and gas production in the Permian Basin has more than doubled. Under the Trump administration, the United States has increased oil production by 3.1 million barrels per day. That's some number. Never been anything like that number." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.785, + "raw_confidence": 0.785, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "For the first time in nearly 70 years, we have become a net energy exporter. And the United States is now the number one producer of oil and natural gas on the face of the Earth." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "To ensure we maintain this dominant position long into the future we will never lose this position my administration is announcing today that export authorizations for American liquefied natural gas can now be extended through the year 2050. Mr. Governor, is that long enough? Okay, 2050 that seems like a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we're strongly protecting our environment. Air pollution is down significantly since I took office. While other countries are polluting the world's air and oceans, we will never cease to be a leader in protecting our natural environment. And that's what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "People don't know that about us. We love our environment." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8045, + "raw_confidence": 0.8045, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, the United States will continue to have among the cleanest air and cleanest water anywhere on Earth, and that's what we have." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2322, + "raw_confidence": 0.7678, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Thanks to our pro-American energy policies, we're also taking jobs and factories away from countries with poor environmental standards, such as China, and bringing jobs back to America where they belong." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Before the invisible enemy struck our shores, we created 800,000 new energy jobs a third of them in Texas. That was just the new jobs; add on to that millions of other jobs. After the China virus struck, we implemented historic economic relief. When oil crashed, I got Saudi Arabia, Russia, and others to cut nearly 10 million barrels a day, and got OPEC Plus and Mexico to agree to the deal. And hence, we're okay now. We're back. We're back." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1863, + "raw_confidence": 0.8137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you and I can tell you that I spoke with Dan and Greg, and I spoke with Senator Ted Cruz I spoke with a lot of people and we were very close to losing a very powerful, great industry. And we did a job. We did a great job all together, working together a job like I think nobody could have done. And now we're back, and now we're just going to keep expanding. It's going to see you will see. It's happening. But we really did we did a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank, frankly, Saudi Arabia. I want to thank Russia. I want to thank Mexico. And I want to thank OPEC, as they call it, Plus. It's called OPEC Plus. That's OPEC plus a lot of other countries. But they all came together and they did a job on the industry, and we we appreciate everybody's help." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "This action stabilized world oil prices that had been in a freefall, and saved millions of energy jobs, and frankly, it saved your industry. Four months ago, people were very, very concerned about that industry. And now it's just going to be a question of how fast will you put people on." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we provided over $1 billion in emergency aid to keep Texas energy workers on the payroll. We kept them all on the payroll. We opened up 30 million barrels of space in Strategic Petroleum Reserve, allowing American companies to store surplus oil to be sold at a later time. And we filled up our 75 million barrels in the Strategic Reserve. And, Dan, you've done a fantastic job on that. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I only wish he bought it when the oil was selling for zero, and they paid you $37 in addition. You get a barrel, plus 37. I said, Dan, why didn't you make that deal? I would have loved that. But you did well. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We're joined today by some of the incredible patriots of the Texas oil and gas industry who are benefitting from America's energy boom. Josh Guinn was born and raised right here in Odessa and Midland. Where's Josh? Thank you, Josh." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1556, + "raw_confidence": 0.8444, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "After spending a few years away at school, Josh came back home to West Texas. Josh's dad worked on the oil rigs. Josh worked on the oil rigs. And he hopes his three children will work one day doing the same kind of incredible work and looking for the wonderful opportunities in American energy. Josh, thank you very much. Congratulate your family. You're going to have a great future. Thank you. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Brian Welch spent five years in the Army, supporting our victory in the Gulf War. Then he became hello, Brian. Thank you, Brian. Then he became an energy worker. Did you make the right move, Brian? I think so. Right? Better believe it." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "With over 25 years of experience, Brian is senior pumper with Double Eagle Energy. Do they treat you well? They better. They better, or I'm going to come back and see those two guys." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Just like thousands of other veterans who work in this industry, Brian has made America safer with his service, and now he's helping keep us secure by maintaining American energy independence, which we have. Thank you very much, Brian. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "To Brian and every veteran who works in the American energy sector, we salute your noble service and we thank you very much. We thank you very much. Everybody, thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2051, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "While my administration is fighting for workers like you, the radical left have you ever heard of the radical left, Brian? You don't want to hear about them. You don't want to know about them is fighting to abolish American energy, destroy the oil and gas industries, and wipe out your jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7221, + "raw_confidence": 0.7221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Washington Democrats have embraced Representative Ocasio- Cortez's nearly $100 trillion Green New Deal disaster I've added the fourth word; it's a disaster which would ban oil and gas leasing on all federal lands. And, by the way, there'd be no fracking." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1858, + "raw_confidence": 0.8142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So let me ask you, Mr. Governor, how do you think that works in Texas? No fracking, no drilling, no oil. Is that okay? Good. I don't think Biden is going to do too well in Texas. He's already written it off. It's gone. No fracking. That's part of his platform." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4359, + "raw_confidence": 0.5641, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "If these far-left politicians ever get into power, they will demolish not only your industry, but the entire U.S. economy. Their stated agenda includes rejoining the Paris Climate Accord, spending billions and billions of dollars in order to make us non-competitive and seeking an even higher level of restrictions; mandating net-zero carbon emissions which, frankly, is impossible for all new homes, offices, and buildings by . Not possible to do. And if you ever did it, it would cost so much that your home would be valueless." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2699, + "raw_confidence": 0.7301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "This would cause the cost of construction to skyrocket and effectively end the use of natural gas in homes because it would be an impossible situation. They're asking for things, just so you understand, that are impossible." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7101, + "raw_confidence": 0.7101, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I don't know I haven't checked recently: What have they done with cows? Remember, there were going to be no more cows and no more cattle. I think they might have left that one off the manifesto, but it'll be back." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7829, + "raw_confidence": 0.7829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Their platform calls for mandating zero-carbon emissions from power plants by 2035. In other words, no drilling, no fracking, no coal, no shale, no gas, no oil; otherwise, they've been very good to the industry, I think." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "You got to be careful. You know, people don't take it seriously. If they got in, you will have no more energy coming out of the great state of Texas, out of New Mexico, out of anywhere Oklahoma, North Dakota. Name them. Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania does a lot. People don't realize that. A lot. It would throw Pennsylvania, Ohio so many other places. You don't realize how big it is. They want to have no fracking, no nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6759, + "raw_confidence": 0.6759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "The U.S. energy industry would grind to a halt, and every single energy-producing state would be plunged into a depression. Two million jobs would vanish overnight in just the state of Texas alone. And I think the number is probably, Greg, a lot higher than 2 million. Millions more would disappear in New Mexico and Ohio and Colorado and Pennsylvania." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "The radical left wants to tear down everything in its way. And in its place, they want power for themselves. They want power. Hard to believe power. They want to uproot and demolish every American value. They want to wipe away every trace of religion from national life. They want to indoctrinate our children, defund our police, abolish the suburbs, incite riots, and leave every city at the mercy of the radical left. That's not going to happen. That's not going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, I just ended the rule on suburbs. You know, the suburbs people fight all of their lives to get into the suburbs and have a beautiful home. There will be no more low-income housing forced into the suburbs. I abandoned and took away and just rescinded the rule. It's been going on for years. I've seen conflict for years. It's been hell for suburbia. We rescinded the rule three days ago, so enjoy your life, ladies and gentlemen. Enjoy your life." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1543, + "raw_confidence": 0.8457, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "The proud people of Texas will never bow, kneel, or surrender to the left-wing mob. You will always stand tall and strong for America. Everyone here today carries the legacy of some of the toughest, fiercest, and most determined people ever to walk the face of the Earth your ancestors. You know that. You know that." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1574, + "raw_confidence": 0.8426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Generations of Texas oil workers before you gave every last bit of sweat and heart and grit that they had to build up this country. They loved our country. They loved our country so much, they couldn't breathe. Their pride and devotion helped raise up America's cities, power our factories, propel our industries, sustain our families, supply our military, and fuel America's rise into the strongest, wealthiest, and greatest nation the world has ever known. We are now at the strongest point, militarily, we've ever been due to I'll tell you. Ted? Where is Ted? He was a big leader in this. Stand up again, Ted." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4324, + "raw_confidence": 0.5676, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Ted Cruz, John Cornyn, and our Senate, and our House approved $2.5 trillion to rebuild entirely the United States military. It's now at a point that it's the strongest it's ever been. A lot of the equipment is still coming in brand-new planes and missiles and everything you can think of." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank you, Ted. You were one of the real leaders, and John, too. The two of you. I appreciate it very much. You were well represented." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7727, + "raw_confidence": 0.7727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "We have the greatest equipment on Earth. We have equipment that I can't even tell you about. You don't want to know about it, frankly, and hopefully we never have to use it." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "Now it's your turn to help lead our nation to even greater heights. Today, we give thanks for each and every one of you, and we are telling the Washington politicians trying to abolish American energy: Don't mess with Texas." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "And I just want to finish by saying that I've had a great relationship with your leaders, with your politicians, with all the people in Texas. We've had great success. We had a great victory." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1917, + "raw_confidence": 0.8083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "They said, Oh, I don't know if he'll win, and we won not only did we win, we won quickly and easily. And now we're leading what we had even four years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "I will never let you down. I will never let Texas down. And your governor and your lieutenant governor and your senators, they know that very well. So thank you. And thank you very much. Greg, Dan, thank you very much. Ted, thank you. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "God bless you and the great state of Texas. God bless you. God bless you." + }, + { + "tid": "huSrZBj4tbQ", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-energy-production-permian-basin-texas-july-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-29", + "claim_text": "So on behalf of every American energy worker, I will now sign these very important permits that your governor and your senators have been after me for a long time to sign. And they've been after a lot of other presidents to sign them, but they never were able to get it done. But we got it done, and we got it done for a great state called Texas. Thank you very much, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, Minnesota. There was supposed to only have like a hundred people. You know, we're supposed to have these tiny little crowds. You can't have any more than that. It's very heavily restricted. That's a lot of people showed up. I want to thank you. We'd love to have those rallies, but I guess you just can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And you're not allowed to do that now. So we don't do that, but we do the little airport hops and people like them and a lot of people come back. But unfortunately we had to hold off a lot of people in the back, which I feel badly about. In 78 days, we're going to be. 78 days. We're going to win this state." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're going to take back the White House and we're going to have an election that's all about the survival, our nation. This is a very important, in my opinion, I used to say 2016. And I must tell you, I think this is going to be the most important election in the history of our country. This is a very, very big deal going on." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6345, + "raw_confidence": 0.6345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden is the puppet of left wing extremists, trying to erase our borders, eliminate our police, indoctrinate our children, vilify our heroes, take away our energy. You know all about that. Take away our energy. If you can believe it. No fossil fuel. Destroy our second amendment, attack the right to life and replace American freedom with left wing fascism." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1551, + "raw_confidence": 0.8449, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Left wing. We're going to left wing all the way. Fascists. They are fascists. Some of them, not all of them, but some of them, but they're getting closer and closer. We have to win this election, but the proud people of Minnesota will not let this happen. You will deliver a historic victory for our values, our citizens and our treasured way of life." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2214, + "raw_confidence": 0.7786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We'll save our cities in our suburbs from the future of crime and chaos, corruption, and economic collapse that puppet Joe Biden would unleash on America. This is a puppet. He won't do it intentionally. He just says, Well, whatever they want. Because he has no clue. He has no clue. I ended low income housing being built in the suburbs and destroying people's American dream." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know that. If Biden and Harris get into power, they've pledged to raise your taxes by $4 trillion, which put in very simple terms, mean many of you will have to pay double and triple the taxes that you're paying right now. This includes attacks of over $3,000 on a typical family of four. Biden Harris also pledged to eliminate fracking, natural gas, oil, and coal production." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.157, + "raw_confidence": 0.843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Forcing us to beg for energy from foreign suppliers. On my watch, America will proudly remain energy independent. First time, energy independent. We've met a lot of progress on energy. I want to thank your terrific representatives in Congress, Tom Emmer. Where's Tom? Tom, Tom, Tom." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "There he is, what a man. These are warriors. Jim Hagedorn. Pete Stauber. And this is a very important one, fellows. This is very important. Your next senator from Minnesota. Fantastic man. I just see that he's even in the poll. Normally that doesn't mean much, but that's a big step and he's fantastic. Jason Lewis, he's going to be a fantastic senator." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's big, Jason. That's ahead of schedule. And I hear we're doing very well in the poll too. We win Minnesota, it is over. It is over, right? We win Minnesota. But our great Republican candidates for Congress, Michelle Fischbach. Where's Michelle? Michelle? I hear so many great things about you. I have heard so many great things." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Go out and do it. You're going to do it. We're going to be out there working with you. Tyler Kistner. Tyler. Tyler. Tyler. Good luck, Tyler. It's a great group. And man whose name I love, Lacy Johnson. Great job. I've been following you, Lacy. You're doing good. You're doing good. Thank you, Lacy very much." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1524, + "raw_confidence": 0.8476, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We really have to get them. They're warriors, all of them, all of them. We have to get them in because we have to stop this craziness that's going on. No law enforcement, no anything. They don't know what they're doing. They'll lose the country. You know, there's somebody said the other day and I say it very strongly, Sir, you're the only one between that and the greatness of the American dream. And there's truth to it." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We don't stop. We don't keep this position. We're going to win the House. I feel confident we're going to win the House. We are going to win the House. I'm very much involved in every single race and with the Senate, we're working very hard. I think we're going to be in great shape in the Senate. And I think we're a great, did you see that CNN, they raised us 10 points in one poll that took place over a short period of time?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And it's still not good enough. It's still not good enough. You mean they're getting more honest because I'll tell you what, there's never been enthusiasm like we have. There's never been. Right, Tom? Including in 2016, we've never had. We had more enthusiasm than anyone's seen maybe ever in a presidential campaign and it pales in comparison to what's going on right now." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It does. Even this, we wanted to restrict the crowd. We didn't tell anybody and look at what happens. But look at Voters for Trump. Look at Bikers for Trump. They have highways with thousands of people, thousands of people, right? You know, bikers going, I don't know if I'm driving along and I get passed by 2,000 bikers, I don't know what I'm going to do." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And then they have, they set Guinness book, I hear, the world record yesterday for boats. But no matter where you In Florida, no matter where you go, a river, a lake, an ocean, there're boats up there by the thousands on the wicker. The weekend is unbelievable. Minnesota Senate majority leader, Paul Gazelka." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Paul. Thank you, Paul. Good job, Paul. Are we doing good? We're doing good. Right? I think we are too. And Minnesota House Republican leader. Another great one. Kurt Daudt. Kurt, thank you very much. Thank you, Kurt, very much. I'm having a lot of fun today because it's so windy. You can't see these teleprompters at all." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So I'm sort of making it up as I go along and that's okay. I've had to do that plenty. Now these suckers are blowing, like I'm saying What that hell? Fortunately, I know these people. If I didn't know these people, you would have been in big trouble. I will tell you that. Another one I know very well, he's the single greatest ad buyer in the history of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And he also happens to make a very good product. His pillow. I use it. When I sleep well, I'm using his pillow and these suckers are about to fall down, but that's okay because I know him very well. Mike Lindell. Mike, thank you. And he's the chairman of our campaign. If I don't win Minnesota with you as the chairman of our campaign, I would say that would be very bad for me because if this guy can do anything, thank you, Mike." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's an honor and we appreciate it very much. Thank you. You do a great job. Thank you. And it's all made in Minnesota, right? All made in Minnesota. Thank you very much. Before the China virus invaded our shores, we built the greatest economy in history. There was nothing like it. We were beating everybody, including China." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.236, + "raw_confidence": 0.764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They had the worst year in 67 years. We were taking in billions and billions and billions of dollars in tariffs. Beautiful thing tariffs, when used properly, especially when you're being taken advantage of by every nation of the world. We achieved record low unemployment for African American, Hispanic American, Asian American, young people, people with diplomas, people without diplomas, college students, crummy students, great students, horrible students, dumb people, liberal people, conservative people." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1879, + "raw_confidence": 0.8121, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Everybody was doing the best they've ever done. PhDs from MIT. PhDs from crummy colleges. Everybody was doing the greatest, the best they've ever done. Median household income soared to the highest level ever recorded. Numbers were unbelievable to open new opportunities for Minnesota farmers and factory workers." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2238, + "raw_confidence": 0.7762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We replaced the disaster known as NAFTA with a brand new USMCA, which has been a big hit. Dairy exports to Canada are now expected to surge by at least 50%. I know how good the deal is. Don't tell Canada I said this because they were not happy about it. They had pickets. When they have pickets about a deal, that makes you feel good." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But they've been taking advantage. You know, Canada. Oh, Canada. Wonderful song. Right? Oh, Canada. Nice, nice song. Only one problem. They took advantage of us like crazy with your dairy tariffs, 297% tariff on your dairy products, right? I learned that when I came up here, they had specialty milk, a little thing, specialty milk." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I met a farmer and he said what had happened with specialty milk. And that got me over the edge. And I said, We got to change this, because you were taken, Tom. You were taken advantage of by Canada very badly and by Mexico and by China and by Japan and by friends and foe. And in many cases, friends who are worse than the foe." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7775, + "raw_confidence": 0.7775, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "For years, you watched as politicians like Sleepy Joe Biden who's been in office for 47 years, allowed foreign nations to crush Minnesota's mining. Look at your mining industry, it was crushed by dumping tons and tons of cheap iron and steel into our country. I saw what was happening. I did something about it." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I did something about it. I will tell you, China wants me to lose so badly. They all do. They all do. And yet I get along with all of them. Although China I don't speak to them. After the plague came in, you know, we made a great deal with China. They announced last week that China ordered the largest amount of corn in history and the largest amount of soybeans in history and big cattle purchases." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "One of the biggest anybody has seen. And I said, See how smart they are? If they weren't smart, they would've stopped and we would've said let's decouple. But by ordering so much, the farmers come to me, Sir, we like this deal a lot. Please don't do anything irrational. How smart is China? Right? The biggest corn order." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2154, + "raw_confidence": 0.7846, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Think. They said the biggest corn order in history. So I have to say, Ah. But I tell you, my view has changed a lot. We've made a great deal with China, but my view has changed a lot. USMCA is the biggest deal ever made. And that one is working out great between Canada and Mexico. And remember this, Minnesota, under the last administration, the last administration, Minnesota iron range was wiped out." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Seven plants were idled and more than 2,000 workers were laid off. Obama and Biden closed it down. Do you remember that? The finest iron ore in the world, they say, I don't know, what do I know? To me it all looks the same, but they say it's the finest iron ore in the world. That's good enough for me. And what did I do?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2327, + "raw_confidence": 0.7673, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Almost immediately after getting into office, I heard about this disaster, just like Keystone Pipeline, just like so much else, Jason. And you'll be working on that with me and in the beautiful halls of the Senate. And he's going to stay with us. He's not going to be one of those that gets elected. He's not going to be one of them that get elected and then he walks into those gorgeous buildings when they had those big, beautiful dollar bills and they built marble columns." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And it's so beautiful. And so rich, he's not going to say, Darling, we finally arrived. Now we can go with majority. He's going to do what's right. He's going to do what's right. I know Jason, you need Jason, get Jason elected please. But they closed it up. And I was here and a worker. I was making speeches before you had to stand 200 feet away from everybody, before you had to stand like two football fields away." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7381, + "raw_confidence": 0.7381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And a worker came up to me with a group of his friends and they were all crying and they were tough. They never cried before in their life. Maybe when they were babies but I doubt it. They were all crying. He said, Sir, you gave us back our life. He said that. I had that just recently in Maine, they took away 5,000 square miles." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2436, + "raw_confidence": 0.7564, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Think of a square mile and then multiply it times 5,000. Took away 5,000 square miles. That was, O-Biden. As I call them, O-Biden. That was Obama and Biden short. I like that term. O-Biden, because you save a lot of time, but that was Obama and Biden in Maine took away 5,000, Mike, square miles. You know what that is?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's like I said, Let me see what it looks like on a map. They basically took away the Atlantic ocean from Maine. And Maine is the greatest in the world for lobster and the greatest in the world, just about, for fishing. I said, Why did he take this area? They didn't know, except that was the great fishing area." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I gave it back to them. I redid it. I took it off. I wiped it out. I gave an executive order that wiped it out immediately. Then we wiped out the tariffs that they were being charged by China. And by, as you know, the United Kingdom was charging tariffs. They were all charging tariffs to our fishermen, but we don't charge tariffs to them." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So I made it. I made it fair. European Union was a disaster charging tariffs. They were charging big tariffs. We wouldn't. So here's what was happening. So Canada, they would sell the fish and lobster to Canada for nothing, for peanuts and Canada would then sell it to China and also to the European Union, because Canada had a deal where they didn't have to pay the tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "This was before my time, how this could've happened is a They didn't have to pay the tariffs. This was before my time. How this could have happened is incredible. So I said, Listen, if you don't change your tariffs, I'm going to put your tariffs on your car. It was amazing. They said, We'll change them immediately. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That took about two minutes. So I did a lot for Maine. We're going to see whether or not they remember but I think Maine's going to remember but I did similar for you when I opened up your great iron ore and I put tariffs, I put tariffs on foreign steel and the Iron Range came roaring back to life. You know that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Right? These guys came up to me, You've given us back our life. I've never forgotten that, You've given us back our life. They didn't say thanks, they didn't say thanks for the job, they said that's what they've done all their life and Obama just came in and closed it up. I don't say Biden because I don't think he knows what the hell is happening." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I think if you mention IF you mention, You shouldn't have done that to Minnesota, he'll say, Where's Minnesota? I don't know what Minnesota is. Where is that please? How many times by the way has he been up at a speech where he'll say the wrong state, right? He'll get up, It's great to be in the wonderful state of Ohio. Sir, sir, you're in Florida. That's the bad one, when you see palm trees." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Wonderful to be in Ohio. Or, I love being with the people from Iowa. Sir, you're in Idaho. He always gets New Hampshire mixed up with Vermont. But all the time he does that. I haven't done it yet. If I do I'm just leaving because there's no way you can save it. There's no way you can save it. We recently issued a directive protecting workers on the Iron Range from unfair job-killing regulation and frivolous litigation in addition to everything else." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3353, + "raw_confidence": 0.6647, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We started construction on the new soo lock, right? Soo lock, big deal. That's been deteriorating for many years. Just about gone and we're redoing it now, rebuilding it. That's a big deal for your state and for others so that the iron ore can quickly get to market. Soo lock. Our miners are back on the job and wages have increased by as much as 50% and they're doing great even during the China plague, they're doing great and the China plague will fade but we will not forget." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "If Biden wins, the Iron Range will be shut down forever. You know that. He'll shut it down very early on forever. I took a lot of heat by doing that. I took a lot of heat from the so-called environmentalists. I'm an environmentalist too in a big sense. We just signed something the every day. Cory Gardner, Steve Daines, senators, great senators, and we signed a bill that's going to really be something incredible from an environmental standpoint, the biggest we've ever signed they say, other than Teddy Roosevelt." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It goes back to Teddy Roosevelt. I said, Why is that? Because we also did something tremendous for Utah, you know that. Thousands and thousands of acres, we opened it up. I said, Why isn't it bigger than Teddy Roosevelt? I want bigger. Otherwise I'm not signing, they said, Sir, he did the Grand Canyon and a few other things. I said, All right." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's pretty big. Grand Canyon is big. Do we agree? Even from Mike Lindell, the Grand Canyon. Even Mike would admit the Grand Canyon's tough to beat, right? So anyway, but we did. We signed it and it's one of the biggest acts. They say the biggest thing environmentally done since Teddy Roosevelt. That's a long time ago." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We achieved together and what we're doing together is nothing short of an economic miracle and now we're doing it again. We did it, we built the greatest economy in the history of the world and now I have to do it again. You know what that is? That's right, that's God testing me. He said, You know, you did it once, and I said, Did I do a great job, God?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'm the only one that could do it? He said, That you shouldn't say. Now we're going to have you do it again. I said, Okay, I agree. You got me. But I did it once and now I'm doing it again and you see the kind of numbers that we're putting up, they're unbelievable. Best job numbers ever, three months, more jobs in the last three months than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2502, + "raw_confidence": 0.7498, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Best retail sales in history. Best car sales, did you see where the car sales are actually above what they were? Did you see the manufacturing, remember you're not going to have manufacturing back. You needed a magic wand for manufacturing, well we got the magic wand because the manufacturing numbers are through the roof and your state, last year had the best year it ever had, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Best year it ever had and now you're going to have something that's even better. So I just want to tell you, we are going to do it again. By the way, third quarter numbers come out and interestingly they will come out just before November 1 and we're going to see how I did but I think you're going to have a great third quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1982, + "raw_confidence": 0.8018, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "People are now starting to predict it much to their chagrin, right? Much to their chagrin. just like CNN said, He's up 10 points. They all said, 10 points? 10 points? First of all, the first poll was rigged and wrong. It was a rigged poll, just like they want to try and rig the election with all these mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7045, + "raw_confidence": 0.7045, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Let's send out 62 million ballots. Let's send Well, some people say, Gee, you shouldn't talk. I got to talk about it because absentee ballots are good. You send for the ballot, you're not going to be in your state and you get it back and you do something and you send it back in and it's a process. You have to work for it a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1858, + "raw_confidence": 0.8142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But these ballots, they want to send them out in some states, they want to send them out and they want to just have millions of ballots, they say, Oh, we drop them in a lockbox. I just saw, the great thing about Air Force One, there's no lack of television. You have televisions on the ceilings, in the closets, on the floors." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2344, + "raw_confidence": 0.7656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No matter where you go, there's a television. You open the closet, there's a television. I say, No, too much Trump. I can't watch it anymore. I try and get away, you put yourself in a closet. But they have a lot of stuff and they showed this person getting on FOX, you know FOX now puts on more Democrats just about than they do Republicans." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They have certainly changed a lot. FOX has changed a lot. They're probably turning off right now as I speak but I don't See I don't care. I tell the truth. It's ridiculous. One of the biggest differences between this year and four years ago is FOX. FOX is like from a different planet, and too bad. And you know what's going to happen?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1941, + "raw_confidence": 0.8059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "If we don't win, they're going to go down the tubes along with every other media outlet, they'll all be bust, they'll all be gone, I can tell you that. Nobody's going to want to cover Sleepy Joe. We'll end up with one very boring socialist country that will go to hell, but when you look at it and when you look at what's happening, that's why we have to win this election, and if we don't win this election, every one of you, me, all of us, it will never be the country I don't think the country can ever come back to it." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I used to use Venezuela a lot. I don't know if I even really fully believed it but I'd say, Venezuela, we would indeed become. When I look at these maniacs in Portland, these anarchists in Portland, when I look at these people, that's what they want for the rest of the country. They want to defund their police, they want to terminate their police." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know something about that. You've had your little stance where they want to Did they actually do the, they actually are terminating the police department, right? They are actually doing it. They're not even talking about it, they're terminating the police department. These people are crazy, and by the way, when I sent in the National Guard, that's when it all stopped and I kept calling." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I kept calling and saying, Send in the National Guard. Send in the National Guard. They should have done it a lot sooner. That was a beautiful I just said, I just stopped some place else and I said, To me it was a beautiful sight. They were rioting all over, full of venom, vigor. They thought nobody was going to stop them." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The police department is very good but they were told you can't do anything. They have to be able to do what they do very well. So they were told they couldn't do anything and the city was ablaze. It was ablaze. I'll never forget the CNN reporter, he's standing there with his very nice shaved head. Right now I wish I had a shaved head, it would be a good in the wind, but you know what?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2044, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He's standing there, Velshi, right? Ali Velshi, and he's standing there, Things seem quite calm right now, and behind him, they have the entire city looks like it's burning down for blocks. He's standing there talking because the fake news doesn't report the truth and they don't talk about how serious it is and how bad it is." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But remember this, it's only a small part of our country. It's not a big part, very small but they don't report the facts because they don't want to report those facts because those facts are very bad for Joe Biden and for the radical left and they want them to win. For whatever reason I don't know because they'll all lose their networks, they'll all lose their wealth, everything will be gone but they'll figure it out someday but we're not going to let them have that chance." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "As much as in many ways they should not be rewarded, they're going to be rewarded if I win because our country is only going up in one direction so that's the way it is. To fight the China virus, we've enacted the largest financial relief package in American history, through the Paycheck Protection Program we saved one million Minnesota jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7542, + "raw_confidence": 0.7542, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We've also delivered nearly five billion dollars in economic relief straight to Minnesota families, you know that, we've kept it all going, and we'd like to do it again, except the Democrats, all they want is one trillion dollars, one trillion. They're not interested in the people, they're not interested in the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's all a ruse, it's all a con. They're only interested in getting a trillion dollars, you guys know that, getting a trillion dollars for states that are badly run blue states, very badly run by governors and mayors like New York, Illinois, California, I won't name any more because to be honest, he's going, Minnesota, I don't know. I don't like to be so personal but you do have some issues, I will say that." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Of all places I would be very surprised, I was very surprised. Unlike Sleepy Joe Biden our approach to the pandemic is based on science, not left-wing ideology. Slow Joe opposed the travel ban on China that I instituted. Remember he came out, Oh it's xenophobic. I said, What does that mean Joe? Tell me Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2301, + "raw_confidence": 0.7699, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The governors were not prepared. We made a lot of governors look good by supplying massive amounts of equipment. Massive. Not one person in this country, we didn't have very many ventilators at all. Way under-supplied. Not one person in this country that needed a ventilator didn't get the ventilators so every single person that needed one got one which is pretty amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.758, + "raw_confidence": 0.758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have a big country with a lot of diversity, a lot of different states, and now we're supplying, we're making thousands of ventilators a month and we're supplying them to the rest of the word because they're not equipped to make a ventilator. It's very complex, very expensive. We're making thousands a month, we have all we can use." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They beat it, they beat it. It was like front page, they beat it because they wanted to show me something. The problem is, big surge in New Zealand. So you know, it's terrible. We don't want that but this is an invisible enemy that should have never been let to come to this country, to Europe or the rest of the world by China." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Just remember it. Just remember it. The fatality rate for Americans over 70 has declined by 85% since April. We've learned, we know, we have some great things now too. Europe by contrast has experienced a 40% higher rate of excess mortality than the United States. Think about that, you don't hear those stories, they don't tell you that Tom, do they?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1911, + "raw_confidence": 0.8089, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You don't hear that in Congress, right? We launched the largest mobilization of American goods since the World War II. Think of it, since World War II. This is the largest mobilization since World War II, creating the most advanced testing system in the world, producing thousands of ventilators and launching Operation Warp Speed to deliver and distribute a vaccine before the end of the year in record time." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2086, + "raw_confidence": 0.7914, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're at a very, very close point to the vaccine and to therapeutics and therapeutics to me are more important right now. You go into the hospital, whether it's a transfusion or whether it's a shot and you feel better two days later or a day later or three days later but now would be a great thing and we're very close, we have great, great companies working on it." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6913, + "raw_confidence": 0.6913, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Because we will defeat the China virus, we're going to be stronger than we ever were. Next year is going to be record setting numbers and you see that when you look at the V. The V is turning out to be true. I was saying a V and everybody was saying a V is impossible but the V, it's beyond a V, it's a super V based on the numbers that we have now." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So we'll see what happens and we would like to give additional money to people. We would like to It wasn't their fault that they got hit by China but you know what? We want to give them additional money and we'll take care of Again, the Post Office has been a disaster for many, many decades. We want to strengthen the Post Office, make it good." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7508, + "raw_confidence": 0.7508, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It lost $78 billion over a relatively short number of years. $78 billion, I want to strengthen the Post Office and we can do it so that if you look, Amazon and all these companies that now do, it's a whole new business, they just drop a lot of it right into the Post Office and we lose two and three \u00e2\u0080\u0093 just drop a lot of it right into the post office, and we lose two and $3 every time we deliver a package." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "What's that all about? And he gets richer, and they get richer. How smart is that? For every package they deliver, it's two and $3 a package. So why aren't they raising the prices to Amazon and to these companies that are making all this money? Instead, we pay for it, and they always seem to open their distribution facilities right next to a post office." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2016, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So they take a lot of the goods that they can't distribute, because the post office is massive, much bigger than those companies, believe it or not, you wouldn't think it, but much, much bigger. And they go to areas of Minnesota, and other states that you can't reach, you'll never reach, and they just dump thousands of packages into the post office and they say, Good luck." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Here's your $2. Here's your $1. Here's your 52 cents. Now we got to do that. So that's my opinion. What do I know about delivery? What do I know? That's my opinion. That's a new business, but we're being taken advantage of by all of those companies, and they should pay, not the people. My administration also understands that economic health is vital to public health." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Over the past three months, we've gained nine million jobs nationwide, which is a new record. Retail spending is fully recovered and is now at an all-time high. We have more retail spending now than we did before the plague came in from China. Auto-production surge, 28%. Joe Biden would crush this unprecedented economic recovery." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4864, + "raw_confidence": 0.5136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "During his 47 years in Washington, think of that, 47 years, Joe Biden. And it's really amazing, for 47 years, he did nothing, now he's telling everybody how he's going to make it wonderful, right? It doesn't work that way, and he's not exactly prime time now either, by the way. Joe Biden supported every globalist attack on the American worker, NAFTA, which was a disaster, TPP, which I didn't allow to happen, the horrible Korea deal." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "South China's entry into the World Trade Organization might've been the worst of them all, it created China. Now Biden is running on the most extreme far-left agenda ever put forward by a major party. Biden's joint manifesto, we call it a manifesto, with Bernie Sanders, crazy Bernie, would raise taxes and increase regulations at an unprecedented rate." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He will kill the stock market, he will kill everything that we're talking about today. He'd also abolish immigration enforcement, abolish bail, abolish the suburbs, abolish effective policing, abolish American energy, and abolish the American way of life, otherwise, he'd do quite a good job, I think. He raised his hand and pledged to give free healthcare to illegal aliens, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1863, + "raw_confidence": 0.8137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "A lot of you people, you don't get free healthcare, but he wants to give it. He wants to give lawyers, free legal assistance to people that come into our country illegally, and his Vice Presidential candidate, Biden picked Kamala, Kamala Harris. She's she's a beauty, who co-sponsored a $32 trillion socialist takeover of healthcare and our country, because our country would be ruined, destroyed." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2032, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And think of this, you have 33 in healthcare and $93 trillion on the socialist Green New Deal, which doesn't work. It's like written by a child. It's written by a child, a foolish child. It's written by a foolish child. I have a very different vision for America's future, you got to see it before the plague, but you're seeing it again right now, even more so." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It starts with creating 10 million jobs in the next 10 months, and that's what's happening. Over the next four years, we will cut even more taxes, substantially, and regulations. That's why people are pouring into our country to open up factories, they're bringing them back to Minnesota and every place else." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "In Michigan, we have auto plants opening up left and right, and expanding. They haven't seen that in 42 years. We will end our reliance on China. We will make our critical drugs and supplies right here in the United States. And when you see the drug companies, they're very rich, very sophisticated, when you see them taking the ads against Donald Trump, those ads are for one reason, because I'm bringing your drug prices way down, I instituted a favored nations clause." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3049, + "raw_confidence": 0.6951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So if Germany, or any place, anywhere in the world is getting their drugs for less, which they do, a tiny fraction of what we pay, they have to meet those prices. Somebody should've done this. Obama, Biden, other presidents should've done this. Our drug prices are many times higher than other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2153, + "raw_confidence": 0.7847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Many, many times. In Canada, the price is half and better than that, and I gave Florida, Ron DeSantis, a great governor, gave him the right to buy his drugs directly from Canada. He's going to save half. So right now you can't do that. I gave him and I gave another state, Colorado, the authority to, if they want, they could go buy, prior to the favored nations kicking in." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But the favored nations clause could reduce drugs by 50, 60, 70, even 80%. Think of that one. And I'm the only President in 51 years, that had a year, last year, where drug prices came down, but that was peanut stuff compared to what I'm talking about. So when you see those ads, if you don't mind, and you see the drug companies hitting me, you'll say, Thank you, President Trump for reducing drug prices. I guarantee you, if they were going up, they wouldn't be taking ads." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It makes sense, I guess, right? I hope people understand that, because they are spending a lot of money. They don't like me. I did something that was unthinkable. Check out the words, favored nation, check out the word rebate, because now I take the rebate for the people and I take the rebate to reduce the prices." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2266, + "raw_confidence": 0.7734, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They took the rebate, went to a middleman. The middleman, I never heard the term middlewoman, but I guess probably that too. But the middleman got all this money, I don't know who they are, nobody knows who they are. The middlemen, you always hear it, they made more money than the drug companies. At least the drug companies made a product, but the middleman is not liking Donald Trump too much." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I probably have a lot of friends that are middlemen. I don't even know if they have beautiful homes. I say, I wonder where they made their money? They're very wealthy, but they're not so wealthy anymore. We are getting the rebates. We're keeping the money for our people. We will create tax credits for companies that bring jobs from China back to America, and we'll impose tariffs on companies that leave America to produce jobs overseas." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4001, + "raw_confidence": 0.5999, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "One of the things in the USMCA that was very important, I don't want our companies going to Mexico, going to Canada anymore. I watched that. I was man of the year, 11 years ago in Michigan. I don't know why, but they picked me. That was long before I thought in terms of running. Are we glad I ran? I think so." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I think so. What do you think? Yes? I think so. But that was long before I thought about this, Mike, and I was in Michigan, very nice, man of the year, that was great, and I said, They're taking your car companies and moving them all to Mexico. Anyway, 32% of our cars are made in Mexico. How crazy? But it's that way, that's the way it happened." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3488, + "raw_confidence": 0.6512, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But I said, the most important deal in the USMCA, I don't want anybody moving to Mexico, firing their people, moving there, making a car, selling it in for no tax. I don't want that anymore, can't happen, and that's not going to happen. There is such a huge economic disincentive to do that. So we'll strip federal contracts from companies that outsource critical industries, we're going to strip it." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "With the help of Minnesota workers, we will be the premier medical and pharmaceutical manufacturer anywhere in the world, and you see it already. The drug companies are starting to give up. Now, I'll tell you, if for some reason, the other side happens to have a victory on November 3rd, forget everything I said." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.155, + "raw_confidence": 0.845, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It'll all be made in China Plus, it'll all be made in other countries like Vietnam, and other places. And you can just forget everything I said, because they're typical politicians, but radical left wing. They will go right back to it, but even more so. To protect our families and workers during the China pandemic, I sealed our border against illegal immigration, and suspended the entry of foreign workers who threatened American jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And yet, if you're a farmer, a factory owner and you had people coming in from years, we made it easier for those people to keep coming in. I can't shut them off, you'd have to close up your businesses. Joe Biden, on the other hand, has pledged to allow virtually unlimited immigration during a global pandemic, spreading the virus, overwhelming our healthcare system, and displacing millions of American job seekers." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7979, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The Biden plan would institute catch and release, I got rid of it, along the entire Southwest border. This is where you catch perhaps a murderer, perhaps a rapist. You catch somebody, you take their number and you release them. You say, Please show up to court in three years, nobody shows up. 1% show up." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We will give you troops. We have 27,000 Mexican soldiers on our Southern border. Nobody's coming through unless we want them to. We have to come in legally into our country on the Southern border and elsewhere. We have 27,000 troops. You didn't even know that, Tom, 27,000. Furthermore, Joe Biden has pledged to increase refugee resettlement by not a bad number, 700%. You read that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's in the manifesto. He would overwhelm Minnesota with refugees, from terror hotspots, depleting public services, burdening schools, and straining city budgets. You already know about the hotspots, don't you? You know about it. You're having plenty of problems in Minnesota. And I'm going to be so politically correct, I'm not going to say a thing, but I know all about your hotspots, you got some hotspots." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Very unfair to Minnesota, I will tell you that. And I'll tell you, if I don't win Minnesota, I'm never going to do it if I run for a third or fourth term, okay? I'll never be back if I run, I've given up. I almost won last time. One more speech, Mike? almost won. I went to Michigan, I had a choice. I shouldn't tell you this, but we won Michigan." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2151, + "raw_confidence": 0.7849, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "One more speech, I would've won. I was so close, but if I don't win it this time, I'm not coming back, never. Not for term three, four, five, or six. Under my administration, we've dramatically reduced refugee resettlement and we've suspended refugee resettlement during the pandemic, you know that we've totally suspended it, nobody comes in." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7381, + "raw_confidence": 0.7381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Lucky we have the wall, we're up to 300 miles almost. If we didn't have that wall, we would be inundated with people and unfortunately, and we're helping them, we sent them a lot of ventilators and other equipment, but Mexico is being overrun with the pandemic and we would really have a problem. We've completely reformed refugee policy." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.201, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We've instituted rigorous national security checks. We protected religious minorities, and we've shifted refugee admissions away from terror afflicted nations, like Syria, and Somalia. And remember, they say we don't have it, we do have it. They understand that, they just don't want to say it. We have a ban, you know that." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4515, + "raw_confidence": 0.5485, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have a ban on people coming into our country illegally, we have a ban on countries, because we want people to come into our country who love our country, who can love our country, who respect our country, and who are going to come in on merit, merit, merit, which is the exact opposite of what was happening." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1974, + "raw_confidence": 0.8026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Many of them hated our country and they didn't come in on merit. All they do is complain. Do you know anybody like that? They just complain. Does anybody know anybody like that? Do you know anybody? One of your colleagues? You call her a colleague? All she does is complain. I won't mention the name, because you'll never guess, complains, complains, complains." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I don't like that. I don't like it. All she does is complain, Not good enough! Oh really? Tell us about it. To protect our security, my administration instituted a travel ban on the world's most dangerous regions. Biden has pledged to immediately end this travel ban and allow unlimited migration from terror zones, including Syria, Somalia, Libya, Iran, and Yemen." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Trouble, trouble. I also kept the promise I made to Minnesota four years ago. I signed an executive order requiring state and local consent before any refugees are admitted. Biden would immediately shred that executive order, overriding local communities like yours, you know that. Did you know I signed that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You have to give approval now. Little different than the old days, isn't it, huh? A little bit different. The old days was a lot different, and I signed that approval. They have to go through a process now, and you have to approve it. Why should we send everybody up to Minnesota or any place else? In recent weeks, Democrat-controlled cities have shown the Democrats' plan and what they plan for America." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7418, + "raw_confidence": 0.7418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "In Minneapolis, 700 buildings were burned, damaged, or destroyed, costing more than $1 billion. I just left, incredible people. We were on a runway like this, and I introduced them. Their businesses were burned down, gone, and they don't know what they're going to do, but we're going to try helping them to get them rebuilt." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But five groups of people that were just incredible people, successful, wonderful people, their stores and businesses were burned down, destroyed. Dozens of business owners have announced they are considering moving hundreds of jobs out of Democrat run Minneapolis, you know that. You know that. Criminals are terrorizing civilians in- You know that, criminals are terrorizing civilians in Chicago, Portland, and now New York City." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7901, + "raw_confidence": 0.7901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "This radical left Mayor de Blasio has let our beautiful diamond, I loved it, I left it four years ago. I could see there were the seeds of problems. He was there, but I left and it was wonderful. Four years ago I left it, and over the last year, especially over the last six months, crime has gone up hundreds of percentage points, hundreds. 273 points, 368 points." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Numbers that you wouldn't believe. And we're talking about shootings, murders, you saw what happened this weekend. You saw that, Jason. Terrible. My city, I love that city, but it has great potential and we're going to do something. We're going to do something strong. They just let it go to hell and I don't know is it because they're bad people or they have no common sense, or they just don't know what they're doing?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But our beautiful diamond, of this country, has been let go to hell. Top Democrats have demanded the defunding of police departments. Biden even referred to the police at the enemy. And that's what it is. He's not going to control look, he's not going to control the situation. He's dealing with how about the Congresswoman that I watched over weekend, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Saying, I have total control over Biden. He'll do anything I say. I have total control. What she's saying is, I have total control over this jerk. He'll do whatever the hell I want. That's putting it in more common language. But she said just as mean as that. You know who I'm talking about, right? You saw that?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7252, + "raw_confidence": 0.7252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "What a horrible statement to make and frankly Kamala, nobody treated Joe Biden worse than Kamala. I mean, nobody. He was called a racist and just about everything else under the book. Then all of a sudden she saying, He's such a fine man. Look nobody treated him, including Pocahontas, nobody on the debate stage, nobody treated Joe Biden worse than Kamala Harris and she's got some big issues." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Congresswoman Ilhan Omar I mean I hear the boos. How the hell did she win the primary? How did she win the Lacey], what the hell happened Lacey? Huh? It's Jason's fault. How the hell did she win? This woman is crazy. She's a horrible woman who hates our country. Yeah, mail in vote, you might be right." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We'll have to check it. Let's check the mail in vote. No, seriously how does a woman who hates our country, who says nothing but bad things about our country and Israel and other of our allies, how does this woman win? Where are the people that would vote for her? Omar called the Minneapolis police the cancer and said they were rotten to the root, but Joe Biden did not condemn the comments." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He didn't want to talk about it. He didn't disavow her endorsement. He displays it proudly on his website. This is what's going to be running the country. This is the biggest change between what happened between now and Crooked Hillary. Crooked Hillary was bad news, right? Remember she said, Will you accept the results of the election?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Will you accept the results of this election? And I sort of said, Yeah, maybe. But she didn't accept them, right? I remember that question. That was probably the toughest question I had out of all of them. But she hasn't been exactly a gracious loser. She's a loser, but not a gracious one. If Joe Biden and the radical Dems take power, they will pass legislation gutting every single police department in America." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's going to happen. The Biden Bernie manifesto calls for appointing far left prosecutors, judges, and justices of the United States Supreme Court. Look, we have a big thing with the court. The next President has a chance to do three, four, could even be five. You will change this country around. It will be irreversible." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It will be irreversible and they'll coddle criminals and punish law abiding citizens, these judges will. They'll take away your guns while letting criminal gangs like MS-13 roam free. Your Second Amendment will look it was under siege, but not really, because they had never right fellows? They played the game with they had no chance." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2367, + "raw_confidence": 0.7633, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "When I'm here, they have no chance. Your Second Amendment is cherished. You need your Second Amendment. They will either take it away, or obliterate it into meaningless nothing. In Joe Biden's America, the protections of American citizenship will be stripped away and your community will be left at the mercy of the mob." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I mean I'm saying these things, but I mean them. When I look at what happened in Minneapolis, when you look at what's going on in different cities that are just unbelievable cities. Remember this though, most of the country is very safe. In fact, crime stats, outside of Chicago, New York, a couple of the crime stats are a record low." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2157, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Our country's even during the pandemic we're doing well, but where they're run by the Liberal Democrats, we're not doing well. And we have to get in. They have to ask us. We had to be asked here. They have to ask us unless we take a very severe action which ideally you don't want to take. But every time we go in, we solve the problem and we solve it very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7573, + "raw_confidence": 0.7573, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Seattle, look at what's going on with Seattle. I mean this is a city. This is a real city and they took over a large portion of that city and they knew we were going in the following day. They knew it. So they sent their police in and it was like nobody ever gave up so easily as those characters. But they're radical left anarchists." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Whether you're registered as a Democrat, Independent, or Republican, I'm asking for the vote of every American who believes that police officers are not enemies, but heroes who keep us safe. I also want to send our special thanks to the members of the Minnesota National Guard who did such an incredible job stopping the rioting, violence, mayhem in Minneapolis." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They were great. They were great. I love them. I love that. It's just a beautiful thing. It's the way it's supposed to work. They cause problems, you have to do it. And the sooner you do it the easier it is to do. My administration had made clear to every mayor and governor in the country that the federal government is ready to send the National Guard and federal reinforcements." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We will wipe out the problem within minutes. You saw it happening right here. You wouldn't have a city if we didn't demand that that take place. You wouldn't have a city. All you have to do is say the word. Every voter should ask themselves a simple question, do you want the radical left policies of Chicago, Minneapolis, San Francisco imposed on the entire country?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7555, + "raw_confidence": 0.7555, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Look at Nancy Pelosi. San Francisco's going to hell and she's in Congress saying what we should be doing. Look at the homeless problem in San Francisco. Look at what's happening in San Francisco and then she's telling us about the post office. She has no clue and I must tell you this, does she love our country?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Does she love our country? I don't think so, to be honest with you. What she's done is a disgrace to our country. What she's done, and Schumer Crying Chuck. Crying Chuck. He cries whenever its important to cry. You want the failed policies of Mayor Bill de Blasio? Or Mayor Lori Lightfoot in Chicago? Or Mayor Jacob Frey? Brought to every city and town in this nation?" + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.724, + "raw_confidence": 0.724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "If left wing Democrats can't run a city, why on earth would you let them run your country? We have such incredibly run cities. Such incredibly run cities. The problems with have are the radical left and now she wants one trillion dollars and she's holding it up using a phony excuse of the post office because she wants a trillion dollars to go and you guys all know this, she wants one trillion dollars to go to these badly run democrat cities and states." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's what she wants and she's using the post office. We want to fix the post office and make it better. Should have been fixed 30 years ago. Over the next four years, we're going to implement an aggressive strategy to fight violent crime. It's already been implemented and we'll expand the surge of federal law enforcement into crime plagued cities and we can do that at will." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We just have to hear from your governor. Just call up, let us know, we'll be there. We are ready, willing, and able. American child is safe on our streets. In which every American family is secure in their homes, and in which all of the American people are confident in our destiny. But to achieve this vision, we must finish the job and drain the Washington swamp once and for all." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And get Jason in there please, Jason Lewis, get him in. Jason, you got to win. Get Jason Lewis. Jason Lewis. Got to win Jason. You're certainly against a weak opponent. You got to win. For years left wing politicians like Joe Biden talked about supporting American workers. Then they got elected and gave away your jobs, shipped away your factories, and they sold off your dreams, your beautiful, beautiful American dreams." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They sold them off to the highest bidder. But under this administration, those days are over. Now you have a President who is fighting for you. Over the next four years, we will fully restore America's manufacturing independence. We will again rebuild the greatest economy in history. It's happening very fast." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You're going to see it very soon. I'd lift it to even more incredible heights than what we had last year. You had the greatest year in the history of your state last year. We will revitalize police departments and reclaim our cities for law abiding Americans. We will protect religious liberty, defend the lives of our beautiful unborn children, appoint conservative judges, uphold free speech on college campuses, and safeguard the Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The right to keep and bear arms. We will ensure American dominance in space and in military and pave the way to becoming the first nation to plant its flag on Mars. We're working on that, we're doing very well. By the way when I took over NASA, it was dead. It was gone, right? It was gone. There was nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "There was grass growing on the runways grass, through the crevices on the runway. It was terrible and now it's the most vital space program anywhere in the world. Not only the jobs, but the importance of it and the psychology of it, and by the way, for military defense. And we created Space Force. Think of that, we created another one of many, many things." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "First time in 78 years. Last one was the Air Force, right? Space Force, that's a big deal. By itself. If a President did that, they would have achieved something. We did that and we did hundreds of other things. We will teach our children to love our country, to honor our history, and to respect our great American flag." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We will never waiver in defense of our families, our values, our faith, our jobs, our borders, our rights, or our freedoms. Together we will unite citizens of every race, color, religion, and creed as one people, one family, and one glorious nation under God. I want to thank you, you are incredible people, Minnesota." + }, + { + "tid": "hYuOPAiuZpU", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-mankato-minnesota-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I'll be back. November 3rd, we have to win. God bless you, God bless the great state of Minnesota and God bless America. Thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Hello, Pennsylvania, I'm thrilled to be with you today and talk to you today about the critical decision Americans will be making on November 3rd. That's a big date, November 3rd. There's never been two people in two parties that have been more different than what you have coming up. This election's about the very survival of our nation as far as I'm concerned and as far as a lot of people are concerned." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1874, + "raw_confidence": 0.8126, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We thought that the 2016 election was the biggest, but there was more sanity there with Hillary, as bad as she was, there was more sanity there than there is today. This radical-left group is looking to destroy our country. America's future will either be defined by patriots who love our country and want to build it and make it bigger and better and go back to what we had just a few months ago, where we built the strongest economy ever in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5336, + "raw_confidence": 0.5336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "In the history of the world, or it will be defined by radical-left Democrats who truly you have to say, hate our country and want to tear it down. That's what they try and do in places like Seattle and Portland. And Joe Biden and the radical Democrats are against fracking, they're against guns, and they're against the Bible." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2308, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Essentially they're against God if you look at what they're doing with religion. But think of it, fracking is a big factor in Pennsylvania and your history, and the greatest year you ever had. Fracking is a big, big factor in Pennsylvania for your jobs and your success, and your low taxes and guns. They want to take away your Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They'd obliterate, the Pennsylvania Energy industry, destroy Pennsylvania's economy, endanger Pennsylvania's families, and demolish the American way of life, as we all know it and love it. It's the best in the world. The anarchists and agitators that have brought mayhem to the streets of places like Portland and Seattle are now driving the agenda of the Democrat Party." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They want to spread chaos to every city. They want everything to be like a Portland. They'd be very happy, or even a Seattle. They'd be very, very happy with that. They'd like every town and city in America to be like that, but we've stopped him cold and we always will. It's very easy to do. We have the greatest people in the world who are protecting our citizens, who are defending our federal buildings, which we had to do. We had to go to Portland after watching that for 57 days." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We went to Portland and we told the Mayor and the Governor, get it fixed or we're going in. And it looks like they're in the process of listening, finally. And we're bringing rioters and thugs to justice. In fact, I signed an executive order just recently declaring that anyone who defaces our statues or monuments will face up to 10 years in jail and that's stopped everybody cold." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2233, + "raw_confidence": 0.7767, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "You stopped all the things that you were seeing in Washington for a long time where they were ripping down statues and monuments. It stopped them cold, ten years in jail. I want to thank some of your great Republicans, who are fighting right by your side, Congressman GT Thompson, John Joyce, Guy Reschenthaler, Fred Keller." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They're incredible people, they're warriors. I tell you what, they're warriors, as well as, David Ervin, a friend of mine, a great guy, and my Pennsylvania campaign Chair, Bernie Comfort, who's been incredible. Republican Party of Pennsylvania, Chairman Lawrence Tabas, who has been a friend of mine for a long time, and his family has been a great friend of mine." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2453, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "And our great candidate for Congress, Sean Parnell, who's truly a hero. He's a military hero. He's running against the person that actually lied to you. He was totally against Trump and Make America Great Again, America First, voted for impeachment as soon as Nancy Pelosi told him to. Remember, he was going to be on our side." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1957, + "raw_confidence": 0.8043, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "He was going to be a Democrat on our side. He turned out to be a puppet of Nancy Pelosi and Schumer, and that's Conor Lamb. He's a disaster. He was weak. He's a weak, ineffective guy. Sean Parnell really can do he'll be so great. He's going to be one of our greats. But no administration has ever done as much as this administration in the first three and a half years, and the press, the fake news doesn't even challenge us on that." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1941, + "raw_confidence": 0.8059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We built the greatest economy in history. We achieved record-low unemployment for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans and Asian-Americans, and women and young people and workers at all levels of education, including young people without a high school diploma, young people with a high school diploma diploma." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "And if you look at colleges and any form of education, everybody had the best year, the greatest year. We have we had 160 million people working. First time in the history of our country, never even came close to that. We brought Pennsylvania unemployment down to the lowest rate in Pennsylvania history and we're going to do it again." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2493, + "raw_confidence": 0.7507, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Already, the numbers are really looking good. But Pennsylvania, prior to the China plague coming in, which was something we'll never forget, we had the best economy ever in the history of Pennsylvania. We had the best year ever in Pennsylvania history because of what we did with trade and all other things." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1914, + "raw_confidence": 0.8086, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "When the China virus invaded our country, we had no choice but to close down his best car best economy ever. And by doing so, we saved millions of lives, but now we're go getting it open. We're reopening. We've already gained a record 7.5 million jobs. It's a new record, despite the fact that the Democrats and Biden want to keep it closed for as long as possible and we're not going to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2049, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They want to do it for political reasons. After November 3rd, the big day, you have to remember is November 3rd, that's Election Day. But after that, you'll find everything gets opened, but they want to keep it open. They want to keep everything as much as they can closed down because the only thing they have in mind is November 3rd, and you don't want Joe Biden as your President." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "That I can tell you. Who does want him is China, Iran, Russia. Everybody wants him because they will have a field day with our country. It'll be the end of our country. We now have 275 miles of wall completed and we'll have almost everything completed 500 miles by the end of the year or shortly thereafter." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5586, + "raw_confidence": 0.5586, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "It's had a tremendous impact on people coming into our country illegally. We have record, record stoppage right now, which is really good. Who would have known? It was also good because Mexico has a tremendous problem with the coronavirus or the China virus, call it whatever you want. But they have a tremendous one of the most highly unfortunately, infected countries and wherever you have the wall, nobody comes in. So we're up to about 275 miles of wall and it's amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3242, + "raw_confidence": 0.6758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "The press doesn't talk about the wall anymore. They used to talk about nothing but the wall when they thought it would be impossible to get built. But I got it built and it's now going to be finished very soon. While sanctuary cities like Philadelphia can you believe that Philadelphia is a sanctuary city?" + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5317, + "raw_confidence": 0.5317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Defies ICE and releases illegal aliens charged with heinous crimes like rape and murder. My administration is surging federal law enforcement into our cities, including Philadelphia to get dangerous MS-13 gang members and others predators all off the streets, and we're taking MS-13 as an example, out by the thousands." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2422, + "raw_confidence": 0.7578, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Last month, I signed four groundbreaking Executive Orders to bring down the cost of prescription drugs. Drug prices had skyrocketed by 35% and much more than that under the last administration. I'm the first President to lower drug prices in 51 years and the prices will soon drop by 50% or more. Because for decades, America was forced to pay much higher drug prices than other nations." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "You know that very well. A lot of people would go up to Canada to buy their drugs because the prices were for the exact same drug were much, much less, 50%, 60% much less and people would go there. Other countries have it even better than Canada, where they're a fraction of the cost. So we were subsidizing socialist countries all over the world and funding research and development for the entire planet." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6609, + "raw_confidence": 0.6609, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Now the global freeloading is over. My order, which I just signed, which nobody thought would be even possible to get signed, requires Medicare to purchase drugs at the exact same price as the lowest price that other countries have. It's called a favored nation . So when Germany or somebody else has a phenomenal price for a pill or for drugs of any kind, prescription, then, we have favored nations." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3593, + "raw_confidence": 0.6407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Whatever they pay, we pay. You'll see 50%, 60%, 70% lower on prescription drugs and it'll start happening soon and don't believe the commercials. The drug companies are running massive commercials. They have nothing but money against me. When you see commercials talking about drugs against me, that means that drug prices are coming down." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "It's very simple. It's very, very simple. Those are phony commercials, but they're spending a lot of money because they never thought this could happen. They're the largest funder the largest funder of anybody for political contributions. I believe they're No. 1 or No. 2, after the lawyers, maybe. And they're spending a lot of money, a lot of people, a lot of politicians are unhappy, but I'm doing the right thing." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2442, + "raw_confidence": 0.7558, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So you're going to see massive reduction in drug prices and we're allowing the importation of low-cost prescription drugs, high quality, very, very safe from Canada and other nations so that we will buy. We're not going to need to do that very long with favored nations, but we'll be buying drugs from other countries where they sell them for 40%, 50% less than we're allowed to buy them in our country." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So you're going to see numbers on drug prices over the next few months. That will be never heard of before. To defend our farmers and workers, we officially replaced the disaster known as NAFTA, probably the worst trade deal in history with a brand new USMCA, that's Mexico and Canada. Pennsylvania lost one out of three manufacturing jobs under NAFTA." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "It was a total disaster. You know better than anybody, factories just fled. The workers, jobs were gone. The companies fled to Mexico and other countries. The USMCA will create over 176,000 new American jobs that will be a huge win for Energy and for the Steel industries in Pennsylvania. And remember, Biden doesn't want steel, meaning, what he's doing is going to destroy the Steel industry, which is a big deal in Pennsylvania." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2313, + "raw_confidence": 0.7687, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "It's going to destroy fracking. It's going to destroy Energy. It will be where it really be bad, it'll destroy the stock market and your 401ks, which, by the way, are just about if you haven't sold, you're just about even to where you were. It's getting very, very close to where it was at the high." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "In fact, NASDAQ, the market, NASDAQ is higher than it's ever been before. Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we provided nearly $21 billion, over 165,000 small businesses in Pennsylvania, saving 1.4 million jobs in the State of Pennsylvania alone. And now, what we're doing and working very hard with the Democrats, who would rather not do anything, is we're working similar kinds of things." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So that people can really, really sustain, uh themselves and their families because it wasn't their fault what happened. It was China's fault. That I stood up to China with historic tariffs, defending our farmers and factories against China's plunder and theft, and you know it, and I took care of our farmers, our ranchers, a lot of our businesses." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3065, + "raw_confidence": 0.6935, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We enacted tariffs of tens of billions of dollars on China and a lot of that money was distributed to our farmers and a lot of our manufacturers. We gave to the farmers over a two-year period for which they were targeted by China, $28 billion. Under my administration, China will also be held fully accountable for its lies and desli deceit unleashed by the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2229, + "raw_confidence": 0.7771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "I mean, it's terrible what happened. The China virus should have been stopped. It could have been stopped in China, they stopped it going to China, but they didn't stop it going out to the world. They didn't stop it going to the U.S and Europe, and now, 188 countries have it and it's flaring up in many countries." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4914, + "raw_confidence": 0.5086, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Many of the countries that we thought were models of fighting the virus are now experiencing rising caseloads, including Germany, Australia, Japan, Israel, France. It proves that blanket shutdowns. I mean, we're going to get our country open and it's starting to work out really well. One of the things that are happening and you're reading about every day is we have many vaccine candidates are in the final phase of clinical trials and we expect to have a vaccine available very, very early, before the end of the year, far ahead of schedule." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3154, + "raw_confidence": 0.6846, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "There's never been a schedule. The FDA has been great at my instruction and they're doing it in literally a tiny fraction of the time. This could have taken years and literally, we're in months and we're very close to having that finalized, and then, we're using our military to distribute the vaccine, all of it, logistically." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3396, + "raw_confidence": 0.6604, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We've also cut mountains of red tape to speed the development of hundreds of new therapeutics and treatments, and that's coming along very well. Remdesivir is already out. It's been very successful and many other things are happening therapeutically, which is going to be frankly, as far as I'm concerned, in many respects, more important than the vaccine because you can have people get a shot or have a transfusion and they leave the hospital, they get better." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7836, + "raw_confidence": 0.7836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We passed Veterans Choice and Veterans, Accountability at the VA, which people said could never happen. Accountability, we're able to fire over 8,000 thousand employees that didn't like our vets, who treated our vets badly. They were sadists, they were thieves, they treated our vets badly. Nobody thought you could get either of these Accountability or Veterans Choice approved, and I got Congress to approve them." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7681, + "raw_confidence": 0.7681, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "I signed the bill a year ago. Now the VA has a 91% approval rating by the veterans and from the veterans. It's the highest approval rating ever in the history of the VA, 91% and our people are doing a fantastic job. And by the way, for people out there we got right to try. Another one that they worked on for 39 or 40 years trying to get." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7511, + "raw_confidence": 0.7511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We have the greatest we have the greatest doctors and laboratories in the world. And if you were sick, if you were terminally il,l, you couldn't use the the medicines that they were making because they weren't approved yet by the FDA and they might not be approved for a number of years. And yet, people were terminally ill, they were going to die and they weren't allowed to use." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1984, + "raw_confidence": 0.8016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They traveled to Asia. They had money to travel to Europe. They travel all over the world trying to find a cure. And if they didn't have money, they'd very much go home and they'd have no choice, they'd go home and they die. Now, they sign a document, a quick document, an easy document, really a liability or no liability for the country document, and it's had an incredible it's the right to try incredible new drugs prior to their release." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.303, + "raw_confidence": 0.697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "The impact that it's had is incredible. And for the vets, by the way, with respect to Choice, they now go out, they get a doctor. If they have to wait in line for one week, two weeks, five weeks, 10 weeks, you wouldn't believe the waiting times. Even a couple of days, they go out, they get a doctor, locally, somebody who's good." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We pay the price and they get all taken cared of. That's one of the reasons we're at a 91% approval record. It's the best ever by far, by many, many, many, many points in the VA. All of your lives, you've heard nothing but bad things about the VA, publicity-wise. You haven't heard anything. And I shouldn't say that because I'm sure there are a lot of reporters listening and they'll go out to look for somebody that's unhappy, but that's the fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We're working with the Governors to safely reopen our schools in the fall. The Republican Governors want them open, the Democrat Governors don't. You have a Governor that probably doesn't. As a Democrat, they're making it as hard as possible, but people want them open. I'm also fighting for school choice." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "I believe every parent in America should be empowered to send their child to public, private, charter, religious, or independent schools of their choice. We passed the largest package this is a big thing because nobody else has been able to do it. We have an all-time record. We passed the largest package of tax cuts in tech and regulations." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So we have regulation cuts, one of the reasons we broke every record in terms of jobs and the largest tax cut ever in the history of our country, saving the average family at least $5,000 per year. We ended the war in American Energy, we're now a net exporter of energy and the average gas price nationwide is down to less than $2 a gallon." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Nobody thought that was possible either, and yet, we saved the Energy industry, and we are Energy independent. We don't need all these foreign nations that we're willing to go to war with. We have totally energy we're the largest energy producer by far in the world. After years of devastating budget cuts, we're rebuilding the awesome power of our military." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7756, + "raw_confidence": 0.7756, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "We've invested more than $2 trillion in new tanks, planes, ships, missiles, rockets, and well-deserved pay raises for our troops. We gave our troops three pay raises. Our military was totally depleted when I took over, totally depleted, old planes, old everything. And now, we have all brand new and most of it's been much of it's been delivered." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "The rest is coming soon, F-35 fighter jets, everything. We have a great brand new, beautiful military. Again, nobody else thought that was possible. We'll have appointed close to 300 federal judges by the end of my first term, including two great Supreme Court justices. The next President could choose up to four more Supreme Court justices." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So that will have a big impact on the Second Amendment and life and many other things. So whoever the next President is, you could have from one, two, three, or even four Supreme Court justices and they'll be there for a long time. They get appointed young and they can be there for 40 or 50 years, and I will tell you, that's going to be probably the most important thing." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "That's going to be happening with the next next President. So it's very important that we don't get radical-left people put in there by super radical-left because Biden is not running anything. Biden's record can be summed up as four decades of betrayal, calamity, failure. Biden signed a joint manifesto with Bernie Sanders." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.217, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "He has an agreement with Bernie Sanders, which means Biden is now running as the most extreme-left candidate in history. This manifesto, as I call it, this is far left of where Bernie was. So it was supposed to be going to the right and it's far left. When asked whether he would defend and defund our police, Biden said, we're going to defund them." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "He wants to defund them. He's going to defund the police. He's going cut it way down, cut it way back just like in New York. They've already cut it by $1 billion and crime is soaring in New York. Crime is soaring in Chicago. They're cutting back on their police. We are doing just the opposite. Yesterday, I was in Florida and I got the entire law enforcement group, including all the sheriffs in Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They endorsed Donald Trump for President, very strong endorsement. Biden will take away your guns. He'll take away your Second Amendment. Biden will ban fracking, killing over 600,000 Pennsylvania jobs, and Biden will side with the anarchists and the agitators. The mob that you've been watching in Portland And Seattle, they want all cities to be like that." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1837, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Biden supported every globalist attack on Pennsylvania and Pennsylvania workers who really like Trump. Remember, we won Pennsylvania the last first time in many years for a Republican. And everything I said I was going to do for Pennsylvania, I've done but much more so. And again, you had the greatest year you've ever had and until the virus came in. And now, we're bringing it back again and bringing it back fast." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "But I supported and did things that nobody thought was possible in Pennsylvania, including many companies and factories and plants moving back. NAFTA, TPP, Korea, and China's entry into the World Trade Organization was supported by Biden. They were all a disaster. He voted for the war in Iraq, which was a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "And we're getting out, we're very close to getting out of that in Afghanistan and many other of these endless wars. They fought them for 20 years. They just keep their policemen more than they are fighting as soldiers and he voted for mass amnesty. Bob Gates, Chairman of Pres President Obama's Secretary of Defense, you know, Bob Gates, respected guy." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.737, + "raw_confidence": 0.737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "His Secretary of Defense said that Joe Biden never made a correct foreign policy decision in his life. And I actually think they're friends it's pretty good friend to have but he said that uh that's exactly what he said. He said he never made a correct foreign policy decision in his life, and now, Biden supports raising your taxes." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2558, + "raw_confidence": 0.7442, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They want to raise your taxes three, four, or even five times and on businesses they want to put all your businesses, which is basically from a lot of standpoint, your jobs out of out of business. He wants to pack the court with a radical far-left judges, indoctrinate your children with what they're teaching in schools, which we're ending and we've ended, and they want to have open borders, sanctuary cities, but open borders." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7581, + "raw_confidence": 0.7581, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They want to rip down your wall. Think of this, wants to rip down your wall. We're spending billions of dollars building one of the most incredible structures you've ever seen. It's one of the largest developments ever in the history of this country. Think of that, the wall. It's, you know, hundreds of miles long, over 500 miles." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2167, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They want to rip down your wall. It's what kept a lot of very, very sick people out of our country, and now, it's keeping bad people out of our country, people that we don't want. People are coming into our country legally and the biggest supporters I have one that are the Hispanic supporters because they know exactly what's happening better than almost anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7863, + "raw_confidence": 0.7863, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They want to abolish Biden wants to abolish borders. And when I say Biden, it's Biden but he's really controlled by the far left. So they want to abolish borders, stop all deportations, end the prosecution of illegal border crossers. Think of it, somebody comes in illegally, bad people, murderers, whatever they may be, and they want to end prosecution for those illegal border crossers." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.777, + "raw_confidence": 0.777, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "He wants to totally support sanctuary cities, which is a sanctuary for a lot of very bad people, incentivize illegal alien child smuggling. And also, if you look at what's happening with women, where they smuggle women, it is a horrible thing, but this crazy plan that they did will make it almost incentivize illegal alien child smuggling and it's just incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6925, + "raw_confidence": 0.6925, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "And you have to add women into that because if you look at what's happening worldwide because of the Internet, it's tremendous what's what's happening. It's called trafficking and they're trafficking women and they're trafficking children. Actually, mostly in women and all because of the Internet. It sounds like something that would be ancient and ancient crime it's not." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2002, + "raw_confidence": 0.7998, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "All over the world, it's at the highest level because of the Internet. They want to provide taxpayer-funded lawyers for illegal aliens. Think of that. You come across illegally, you get yourself a nice lawyer, Perry Mason, maybe. Provide government healthcare for illegal aliens, free community college for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So they get college, isn't that nice? They don't give that to our people. End all travel bans, including from jihadist regions, grant mass amnesty. So mass amnesty for everybody, that's tens of millions of people potentially. End cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals, including murderers onto the streets." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1843, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Look at what's happening in Philadelphia with your prosecutor, your head prosecutor. People are getting out so easily for creating crimes that nobody can even believe, including murder. They want to increase refugee admissions by 700%. By the way, this is the agreement that Biden has with the radical left and Bernie Sanders, which is far worse than what Bernie Sanders ever was." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7837, + "raw_confidence": 0.7837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "He went further to the left by a lot, destroying our country, incentivize prison closures. They don't want to have prisons, that's nice. Free federal housing for former inmates. They want to have federal housing, free. If you go to jail, you're an inmate, you get free federal housing. What's that all about?" + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Mandate net-zero carbon emissions for homes, offices, and all new buildings. Mandate zero-carbon emissions from power plants so that your electric bills will skyrocket while allowing China continue to continue polluting and also to have much lower-cost factories. They want to end school choice and abolish charter schools, and they want to ruin the suburbs by allowing people, low-income people to go into the suburbs, and have low-income housing built in the suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "This is something that's been going on for a long time. When Obama came in, he made it much stronger, and now, they want to put Cory Booker. He's another beauty. They want to put Cory Booker of New Jersey in charge 'cause he's got some great ideas and those ideas will destroy Suburbia. It'll destroy housing values and it's already it is where it is, is just a terrible situation." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2284, + "raw_confidence": 0.7716, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Communities have been destroyed with it. Build low-income housing in your suburbs. You fight all your life to get a great house in the suburbs, and then, they announce, hello, we're going to build a nice low-income job right next to your house. You can imagine what that does to the value of your house. And by the way, large portions of people in the suburbs, living in the suburbs are minorities." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3326, + "raw_confidence": 0.6674, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They're Hispanic, they're African-American, they're Asian. So we're not talking about what immediately people would think, large numbers, it could be 30% and 35% I'm hearing are people that have fought to get to the suburbs and their large numbers are in minority communities, a large number of African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans and Asian-Americans and they're very happy about this." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "They've been trying to do this for years. Nobody did it but me. So we ended the rule and the suburbs are now protected. I just want to want to thank the people of Pennsylvania. As you know, you supported me in the primaries, and then, you supported me in the General Election. I love Pennsylvania. I went to school in Pennsylvania, I went to the Wharton School of Finance at University of Pennsylvania and I loved it, I loved it. And you know, Joe Biden likes to say he's from Pennsylvania, but he's not, his family abandoned Pennsylvania." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7483, + "raw_confidence": 0.7483, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "Guess he was about 10 years old, maybe, and they moved to Delaware. He's not from Pennsylvania. He left Pennsylvania. You know, when he comes around he only goes to Delaware to make speeches. He goes back to the basement, but he goes to Delaware to make speeches. But you know, it's crazy. He's uh he's saying he's from Pennsylvania and it's wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3537, + "raw_confidence": 0.6463, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "His family left Pennsylvania many years ago when he was, I believe, 10 years old and they moved to Delaware. So it's not only isn't he from Pennsylvania, but he left Pennsylvania and I'll never let Pennsylvania down. I've done things that nobody thought were possible with your plants, your factories, your steel, steel was a dead business, and now, they're expanding steel." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "And by the way, we'll catch up to where we left off very soon because the China virus, obviously, it set us back a little bit, but we're going to be next year will be a better year. I believe next year will be a better year than last year because things are looking that way. Once we get our country open there's tremendous enthusiasm and you see that in the job numbers, the retail sale numbers, and every other number." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So I just hope you can get out and vote on November 3rd. It's been a great honor to speak to you, especially because it happens to be Pennsylvania. We're doing a real job. I've never let you down. We've done much more than I said I was going to do, and now, we're going to do it again. We said, make America great and we're making it again, and now, we're doing it a second time." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank you. We're putting America first, we're putting America above all these nations that have ripped us off for years, stolen our jobs, they've taken our plants, our factories, they make our product, we sell it, they sell it back to us, no taxes, no nothing, and they made it impossible." + }, + { + "tid": "iDMkwSPv4hE", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-pennsylvania-august-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-02", + "claim_text": "All of that's changed and you see it's changed at a level that nobody has ever so possible, including the biggest job numbers we've ever had in our country. So Pennsylvania, November 3rd, and it's an honor to speak to you, and have a good rest of the day. I will see you soon. I'll be there soon and we'll be talking again before the big event, November 3rd. Thank you all very much. Great honor." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Jose. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I'm not. I'm not at all. I'm taking care of DACA. I had a deal with the Democrats, and they broke the deal. DACA could have been taken care of two years ago, but the Democrats broke the deal, all of a sudden, they just broke it for no reason. Actually, they had a court case that slightly went their way and they said, Oh, let's not talk about the deal anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "You remember that? You we talked about it. The deal was done. DACA is going to be just fine. We're putting it in, but it's going to be just fine, and I'm going to be over the next few weeks, signing an immigration bill that a lot of people don't know about it. You have breaking news, but I'm signing a big immigration bill." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2299, + "raw_confidence": 0.7701, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I'm going to do a big executive order. I have the power to do it as president, and I'm going to make DACA a part of it. But, we put it in, and we'll probably going to then be taking it out. We're working out the legal complexities right now, but I'm going to be signing a very major immigration bill as an executive order, which the Supreme Court now, because of the DACA decision, has given me the power to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, what I'm going to do is that they're going to part of a much bigger bill on immigration. It's going to be a very big bill, a very good bill, and merit-based bill, and it will include DACA, and I think people are going to be very happy. In the meantime, we'll put it in, we'll take it out... I think people are going to be very happy with it, but one of the aspects of the bill, which, frankly, nobody knows about until right now, because I told no another reporter, so you have breaking news." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Congratulations. But one of the aspects of the bill is going to be DACA. We're going to have a road to citizenship." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7976, + "raw_confidence": 0.7976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "If you look at the Supreme Court ruling, they gave the president tremendous powers when they said that you could take in, in this case, 700,000 or so people." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So they gave powers. Based on the powers that they gave, I'm going to be doing an immigration bill. One of the aspects of the bill that you will be very happy with, and that a lot of people will be, including me and a lot of Republicans, by the way, will be DACA. It will give them a road to citizenship." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I would say over the next four weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "No, it's not difficult at all. In fact, I'll be going to Walter Reed, I believe tomorrow, and I think when you're in a hospital, you should definitely wear a mask. No, it wouldn't be difficult at all for me." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I've had 'em on. Yeah if, you'd like to." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I mean, I think hopefully I look good in a mask. But I've, I've had masks on, and I think you have pictures of me with masks no, I think in certain settings, like a hospital, I'm going in to see some of our troops. I'm going in to see some of our COVID workers, people that have done an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I'm going tomorrow night sometime, and I'll be wearing a mask." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1809, + "raw_confidence": 0.8191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "No, we're winning the war, and we have areas that flamed up and they're going to be fine over a period of time. But unfortunately, we had this plague sent in from China, and it's a disgrace that they didn't stop it in China. They should've stopped it. I put the ban up. If I didn't put the ban, it would have been much worse." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7024, + "raw_confidence": 0.7024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "If we didn't do a closure, we would have had millions of deaths instead of where we are right now. But it's far too many. One is far too many. But our testing is far superior to anybody. So we've now tested almost 45 million people, and that's helping greatly, but it flared up in areas where they thought it was ending, and that would be Florida, Texas, a couple of other places, and they're going to have it under control very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I wouldn't say they're a great friend right now, because I really believe they could have stopped this. Was it done on purpose? I don't want to answer that question, but was it" + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.204, + "raw_confidence": 0.796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Could it probably not. It was probably incompetence, or a mistake. A mistake was made. It got out. It affected one person, two people and then 10 people, and all of a sudden it was all over Wuhan, but they stopped it largely they stopped it from leaving Wuhan, except when it came to the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7852, + "raw_confidence": 0.7852, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So you have 188 countries right now that are going through hell because of this, and it was a tragic mistake, let's say, or maybe it wasn't a mistake, but whatever it was, it caused a lot of damage, and it was caused by China." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "It could be a lot of things. If you look at COVID, the ones that really are affected are people that have diabetes. If they have bad heart, if they have obesity, if they suffer from any malady, they are really they're in trouble if they get hit, if especially if they're a certain age. Latinos are being hit hard." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1829, + "raw_confidence": 0.8171, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I mean, honestly, everybody's being hit hard. A lot of people are being hit very hard. Everybody is being hit hard. It's a terrible, it's a terrible thing all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I have, yes. Yes, I have. That's right. It was sad. Very sad." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2001, + "raw_confidence": 0.7999, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to look at that very , I saw that on the news the other day, and I thought it was terrible, and I gave specifically orders. I want to know everything about it. They're going to be reporting to me on Monday about it, and I'll be able to release something to you at that time. I thought it was horrible." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1549, + "raw_confidence": 0.8451, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Isn't it really? But he's a fabulous man. He's like a friend of mine. He became a friend almost from the beginning. Less of a good relationship with his predecessor. Didn't get along, although in theory, we should have gotten along better. But the president and I had a tremendous day yesterday, two days ago and and we are we are doing a lot of good things for our country that mutually good things for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, it's true. What I said is true. I'm not changing that, but we've made a lot of progress. We've signed a new USMCA. That's the deal with Mexico, Canada, United States. We got rid of the horrible NAFTA deal, which was a disaster for the United States. We now have Mexico supplying 27,000 soldiers on our border, and we have very few people coming in. We've built a wall up to 250 miles, that's now continuing." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're building approximately seven miles a week, and we'll have almost 500 miles very shortly, and the wall has had a huge impact on the border. So the border is a much different place. Very few people are getting through. We've changed rules, regulations, and even laws on the border, and you'll be seeing in the immigration bill that I just talked about some very interesting things happen." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2025, + "raw_confidence": 0.7975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I was more or less happy with the decision because when you read the decision, they're going to have to go through a lot. It can't be a witch hunt, which it is. It's a political witch hunt and it's a I've been going through it for approximately four years longer than I've been president. It started before." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7513, + "raw_confidence": 0.7513, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We caught President Obama, we caught Vice President Biden spying on my campaign. We caught Comey lying. We caught Brennan and Clapper lying. We caught a lot of things are happening and a lot of action is going on with respect ." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7828, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "President Obama knew. Vice President Biden knew. They were spying on my campaign. Everybody knows. You know, one when I had mentioned this as a distinct possibility years ago, everybody laughed and smiled and they thought it was funny. Now, there's no doubt about it, and that's a very serious charge. The President, the Vice President totally knew they were spying on my campaign." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8042, + "raw_confidence": 0.8042, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Comey lied, you know that. Clapper lied. Brennan lied." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, no, it's a very serious thing, when you're not allowed to do that, They're spying using intelligence to spy on the opposing party's campaign. A thing like this has never happened before, but that's a very, very serious thing, and they got caught. They caught now, let's see what happens, but they got caught, but that's a big deal and what's happened and we've been going through this for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So let's see how it all works out. It'll be very interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "It's freedom for their people. It's freedom. Venezuela was a rich country 15 years ago, and it's been destroyed by two people. But a system, a horrible system. Call it anything you want, but it's a horrible system, and something will happen with Venezuela. That's all I can tell you. Something will be happening with Venezuela." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1947, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The United States will be very much involved." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I support whoever it is that's elected, and right now he seems to be the person that's elected. But the system is very bad over there. He seems to be losing a certain power. We want somebody that has the support of the people. I support the person that has the support of the people. Venezuela has been treated very, very badly." + }, + { + "tid": "Ifx8jrdmf7U", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1942, + "raw_confidence": 0.8058, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-diaz-balart-telemundo-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I've been very strong on Venezuela. This is an area that I know very well. You understand why. I know this area very well. Little Venezuela they call it in Florida, little Venezuela. The greatest people there are. Fantastic people. We're going to take care of the people of Venezuela." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. It's very hot. It's very hot." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "So we're going to Walter Reed Hospital, and we're going to be seeing soldiers our great heroes, our wounded, and some badly wounded. And they're incredibly brave and great people. And we're going to see also the warriors on the frontline of COVID, and quite a few of them. And we're going to spend some good time with them, and I look forward to doing it. And it'll be my honor to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I'll probably have a mask, if you must know. I mean, I'll probably have a mask. I think when you're in a hospital, especially in that particular setting, where you're talking to a lot of soldiers and people that, in some cases, just got off the operating tables, I think it's a great thing to wear a mask. I've never been against masks, but I do believe they have a time and a place." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1918, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "Well, he didn't say that. No, the Attorney General, about a week or two ago, had made a statement, but that was long before anybody knew what I was going to do." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7832, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "Roger Stone was treated horribly. Roger Stone was treated very unfairly. Roger Stone was brought into this witch hunt, this whole political witch hunt and the Mueller scam it's a scam, because it's been proven false. And he was treated very unfairly, just like General Flynn was treated unfairly; just like Papadopoulos was treated unfairly. They've all been treated unfairly." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7511, + "raw_confidence": 0.7511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "What I did I will tell you this: People are extremely happy because, in this country, they want justice. And Roger Stone was not treated properly." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "So I'm very happy with what I did. He I commuted his sentence, and by commuting, he now has the right to go and hey, look, he had a forewoman" + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6319, + "raw_confidence": 0.6319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "He had a forewoman he had a forewoman who was horrendous. She should have never been on the jury. The judge should've so ruled. The judge didn't do that. Take a look at the record. The judge didn't do that. Take a look at the forewoman. He should've had another trial. Roger Stone was treated very badly." + }, + { + "tid": "IHDREeBCY0s", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3096, + "raw_confidence": 0.6904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-11", + "claim_text": "Now, take a look at Comey, take a look at McCabe, take a look at the two lovers, Strzok and Page. Take a look at all these people that are walking around and they lied to Congress, and they leaked and they did everything else a lot of other things. Take a look at Biden, Sleepy Joe. Take a look at Obama. And they spied on Donald Trump's campaign. Those are the people let me just tell you something: Those are the people that should be in trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Happy Labor Day. That was, really, a very special time I had speaking to some of the labor union heads and other people. They're very happy with the way things are going. As you probably see, the numbers are terrific." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So we called some people, wished them a very happy Labor Day, and they told us how they're doing, and we really celebrate the American worker. We are in the midst of the fastest economic recovery in U.S. history. So we have a lot to be thankful for, including this really beautiful day. It's why I thought we'd do this outside as opposed to in your more normal place." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6211, + "raw_confidence": 0.6211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The United States experienced the smallest contraction of any major Western nation. You probably know that. You look around and see how we're doing compared to every other nation, and our rise is spectacular. And we're rebounding much more quickly from the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The U.S. economy added 1.4 million jobs last month, and we've have added a record-setting 10.6 million jobs since May. 10.6 million jobs since May. That's a record that is not even close. Second place is a long ways away." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3424, + "raw_confidence": 0.6576, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "In July, the Congressional Budget Office was projecting unemployment over 10.5 percent through the end of 2020. So they thought 2020, and maybe it would be a lot longer than that. Some projections, where you'd go through the entire year, and that includes a lot of months in the following year, 2021. And instead, the unemployment rate plunged, really, to the surprise of many, all the way down to 8.4 percent in August. And that's the second-largest single month decline on record. And we have the first; we have both of them. So we have the two number-one declines decline meaning positive, not negative." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2637, + "raw_confidence": 0.7363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "We're currently witnessing the fastest labor market recovery from an economic crisis in history world history. By contrast, Biden presided over the worst, the weakest, and slowest economic recovery since the Great Depression. It was a long, slow slog, and it was a very small very small on growth and very small on every other factor that you need. It was the weakest recovery." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1857, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Under my leadership, next year will be the greatest economic year in the history of our country, I project. And some people are starting to agree. We have a V shape. It's probably a super V. And you see what's going on with the stock market, where it's, in certain cases, already setting records. NASDAQ has set 17 records already, and this is as we're, hopefully, rounding the final turn in the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "First, we'll end the pandemic. Under Operation Warp Speed, we've pioneered groundbreaking therapies, reducing the fatality rate 85 percent since April. You don't hear that from the press very often. They don't like to talk about that. So the fatality rate, 85 percent think of that since April." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The United States has experienced among the lowest case fatality rates of any major country in the world. And we are an absolute leader in every way. Under my leadership, we'll produce a vaccine in record time. Biden and his very liberal running mate the most liberal person in Congress, by the way, who's not a competent person, in my opinion; would destroy this country and would destroy this economy should immediately apologize for the reckless anti-vaccine rhetoric that they are talking right now, talking about endangering lives. And it undermines science." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And what's happening is, all of a sudden, you'll have this incredible vaccine, and because of that fake rhetoric it's a politic rhetoric; that's all it is. Just for politics. Because now they see we've done an incredible job, and in speed like nobody has ever seen before. This could've taken two or three years, and instead it's going to be it's going to be done in a very short of period of time. Could even have it during the month of October." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So, contrary to all of the lies, the vaccine that they're they politicalize. They'll say anything. And it's so dangerous for our country, what they say. But the vaccine will be very safe and very effective, and it will be delivered very soon. You could you could have a very big surprise coming up. I'm sure you'll be very happy. But the people will be happy. The people of the world will be happy." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Next, we'll return to unprecedented prosperity through our pro-American policies. We'll pass new tax cuts to boost take-home pay. We're going to be cutting taxes very substantially. We get it back through growth. We had tremendous growth until we got hit with the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "We'll continue our historic regulatory reduction campaign. We've as you know, in three and a half years, we've cut more regulations than any other administration, no matter how long, no matter what period of time you're talking about. We'll enact fair trade deals, and we're working on seven major fair trade deals right now. And when I say fair, fair to our country because our country was ripped off by every nation. Friend, foe, didn't matter: Every nation was ripping us off at a level that it's just unbelievable, to be honest." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "We're going to be expanding Opportunity Zones, and we will keep that going. It's been a tremendous a tremendous program. I want to thank Senator Scott, South Carolina, for coming up with that whole concept, because he came up, and I liked it right away, and it was it's really turned out to be a tremendous thing, especially for African Americans, Hispanic Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6417, + "raw_confidence": 0.6417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "We'll continue to unleash American energy. We're number one in the world. And we're totally energy independent right now. And in 2021, we'll create 10 million jobs, at least, in the first 10 months." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7977, + "raw_confidence": 0.7977, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden and the radical, socialist Democrats would immediately collapse the economy. If they got in, they would collapse it. You'll have a crash the likes of which you've never seen before. Your stocks, your 401(k)s remember, it's the people that own these massive, listed companies. A lot of people: rich people and not so rich people and middle-income people. And those stocks will crash like you've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7981, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The Biden plan begins with a 4-trillion-dollar tax hike. And that will end everything, including growth. There won't be growth. There'll be total contraction." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5597, + "raw_confidence": 0.5597, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Biden has also pledged to demolish the U.S. energy industry and implement the same policies causing blackouts in California. He wants to have things lit up with wind. He'll have to talk to China, Russia, India, and lots of other countries, because they're not doing that. And if they're not doing it, it puts us at a tremendous economic disadvantage, and it doesn't work." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7951, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "You take a look at the blackouts in California; it's really rather amazing what's going on there. They've tried to go, and that's just with a small portion going that route. That doesn't work, and it can't fire up our big plants. We're going to have this great industry that we've created. Can't fire up our big plants." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7806, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Biden's plan for the China virus is to shut down the entire U.S. economy. He's going to totally rely on somebody to walk up, Yes, sir, it's time to shut it down. He'd be laying off tens of millions of workers and causing countless deaths from suicide, substance abuse, depression, heart disease, and other very serious illnesses." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So we're setting records in jobs. We're setting records in numbers. And you're going to see some very big numbers. Third-quarter numbers are coming out right before a very special day, November 3rd. So you have the numbers coming out, and they're, I think, going to be fantastic. You know, I think they're going to be fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1884, + "raw_confidence": 0.8116, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The best numbers of all, if somebody doesn't come along and raise taxes double, triple, quadruple your taxes will be the numbers from next year. But you're going to have a good third-quarter number coming out. And I think it's going to be hard for even the media to disparage that number." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3277, + "raw_confidence": 0.6723, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Biden wants to surrender our country to the virus, he wants to surrender our families to the violent left-wing mob, and he wants to surrender our jobs to China our jobs and our economic wellbeing. I've taken in billions and billions of dollars from China. No other President has done what I've done. I've given much of it to the farmers. I've given it to farmers and manufacturers, but I've given most of it to the U.S. Treasury. Nobody has done that. We haven't taken in 10 cents from China ever." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4295, + "raw_confidence": 0.5705, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "They targeted our farmers, and I targeted them. And I gave $28 billion to our farmers. Our farmers wouldn't be existent right now. Right now, they're very happy. In fact, they're setting records on purchases. China is purchasing more corn than they've ever done. Record purchase of corn and soybeans, beef because they know I'm not happy with them. They know I'm not happy at all." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "We're way ahead on the nuclear front. We've upgraded our nuclear. Hope to God we never have to use it. But we would be in a position that we are not in right now. But China is spending the money we give them to build up their military. So when you mention the world decouple, it's an interesting word. So we lose billions of dollars, and if we didn't do business with them, we wouldn't lose billions of dollars. It's called decoupling. So you'll start thinking about it. You'll start thinking." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "They take our money, and they spend it on building airplanes and building ships and building rockets and missiles. And Biden has been just a pawn for them. He's been so easy. They dream about Biden. There was a report today that they hope that Joe Biden becomes President. If Joe Biden becomes President, China will own the United States, and every other country will be smiling also. They'll be smiling." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7387, + "raw_confidence": 0.7387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "When reports come out that certain countries don't really like me too much, that's not because of my personality, although it could be that also, frankly. It's because of the fact that I've been very tough on countries that have been ripping us off for so many years." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So they rip us off on the military and then they rip us off, with the European Union, on trade. And Biden doesn't have a clue. You know he doesn't have a clue. Everybody knows he doesn't have a clue. In primetime, he wasn't good. And now it's not primetime." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "He spent 47 years sending American jobs to China, to Mexico, and to other countries, while collecting millions of dollars in campaign and super PAC contributions from global corporations that got rich by making American workers poor." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6924, + "raw_confidence": 0.6924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "His son, Where is Hunter? Where is Hunter? I call him Where is Hunter? walked away with one and a half billion dollars to manage, even though he never did that before. He walked away with a fortune from Ukraine, from China, and from other countries. Between his son and his brother, you ought to read the statements. And the press doesn't pick that up. If I ever did that, it would be it would be hell, even worse than it's been. Okay? Even worse than it's been." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2089, + "raw_confidence": 0.7911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "What he's done is so incredible. I won't give them the billion dollars, he says. I won't give them, unless they get rid of that prosecutor. And then, voila, they got rid of the prosecutor. And the press doesn't even want to talk about it. You talk about quid pro quo. With me, there was none. With him, he's right on tape, and you don't want to cover it. You should be ashamed of yourselves. The press should be ashamed of themselves." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But Biden shipped away our jobs, threw open our borders, and sent our youth to fight in these crazy endless wars. And it's one of the reasons the military I'm not saying the military is in love with me; the soldiers are. The top people in the Pentagon probably aren't because they want to do nothing but fight wars so that all of those wonderful companies that make the bombs and make the planes and make everything else stay happy." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5744, + "raw_confidence": 0.5744, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Biden supported NAFTA. He supported China's entry into the World Trade Organization. Two disasters. The most disastrous trade deals in history, both of them. I can't tell you which was worse; they were both terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5146, + "raw_confidence": 0.5146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "If you look at Biden, he supported TPP, Trans-Pacific Partnership, which would have been a disaster; it would have destroyed our automobile business. By the way, many plants are being built right now auto plants in Michigan, just like I said. They're being built in Ohio; they're being built in South Carolina, North Carolina. They're being built all over and expanded at a level that we've never seen before, because I said to Japan and Germany and others: Sorry, you got to come here and build plants. Otherwise, we're going to have to make it very tough on you with tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7231, + "raw_confidence": 0.7231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And we got out of the horrible Paris Climate Accord that he'll go back into because, you know, it sounds wonderful. It's a disaster for this country. They've basically taken away your wealth, the Paris Climate Accord. And the other countries don't have to adhere to it. China doesn't kick in until 2030; they don't have to do anything until 2030. We had very high standards. We would have had to close, under some scenarios, 25 percent of our businesses in order to qualify under this ridiculous Paris Climate Accord. It sounds good. It was very bad, very expensive." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The New York Times has just published an entire story on Biden's China sell-outs, which is amazing for the New York Times. I appreciate that. In 2001, Biden said, The United States welcomes the emergence of a prosperous, integrated China on the global stage because we expect this is going to be a China that plays by the rules. They didn't play by the rules. They didn't play by the rules." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.573, + "raw_confidence": 0.573, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Biden cheered China's rise as a great power because great powers adhere to international norms in the areas of nonproliferation, human rights, and trade. Well, they didn't. They took advantage of stupid people. Stupid people. And Biden is a stupid person. You know that. You're not going to write it. But you know that." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2948, + "raw_confidence": 0.7052, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The cost of Biden's economic treachery was 60,000 shuttered American factories. And I heard this morning the real number is probably 70,000 70,000 shuttered American factories. And he's talking about how wonderful it is with China. No, China has been very bad, on top of which we had the China plague sent to us and other viruses nothing near this serious but the swine, and we had other viruses sent in over the years that came from China. I wonder why." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2132, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "If Biden wins, China wins, because China will own this country. If Biden wins, China will own this country, and hopefully you're not going to be able to find that out. It's the most important election in our history, right now. Most important election in our history." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, we will make America into the manufacturing superpower of the world, and we'll end our reliance on China once and for all. Whether it's decoupling or putting in massive tariffs like I've been doing already, we're going to end our reliance on China because we can't rely on China. And I don't want them building a military like they're building right now, and they're using our money to build it." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "We'll manufacture our critical medical supplies in the United States. We'll create Made in America tax credits and bring our jobs back from China to the United States. And we'll impose tariffs on companies that desert America to create jobs in China and other countries. If they can't do it here, then let them pay a big tax to build it someplace else and send it into our country. We'll prohibit federal contracts from companies that outsource to China. And we'll hold China accountable for allowing the virus to spread around the world." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Now you can understand why China would much rather see Sleepy Joe than Donald Trump. But as long as I'm President, we will never waver in our undying loyalty to the American worker and to our country as a whole." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So, Happy Labor Day, everybody. Yeah. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "You're going to have to take that off, please. Just you can take it off. Your health how many feet are you away?" + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Well, if you don't take it off, you're very muffled. So if you would take it off, it would be a lot easier." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "No, I don't understand it at all, no, because I've always been on the opposite side of John McCain. John McCain liked wars. I will be a better warrior than anybody, but when we fight a war, we're going to win them. And, frankly, I was never a fan of John McCain. You know that; that's been very obvious. I was but I had to approve his entire his funeral. I wanted him to get he deserved a first-class you know, and it all was approved by me. We sent Air Force One to pick up the casket a lot of things." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But, no, I was never a fan of John McCain because he wanted the endless wars, and I didn't. I thought that the way the vets were taken care of our great vets was not good, not appropriate. And, of course, he took the fake, dirty dossier and gave it over to the FBI. So this is not somebody am I supposed to say, What a wonderful guy?" + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So, you know what? I lived with him. He lived with me. But we had different philosophies. I think my philosophy is right. I think it's turned out to be right. But I wasn't a fan. But I respect people, and I respect a lot of people. That doesn't mean I necessarily have to agree with them, and I didn't agree with him on a lot of things." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7966, + "raw_confidence": 0.7966, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The story is a hoax, written by a guy who has got a tremendously bad history. The magazine itself which I don't read, but I hear it's just totally anti-Trump; he's a big Obama person, he's a big Clinton person. And he made up the story. It's a totally made-up story." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5172, + "raw_confidence": 0.5172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "In fact, I was very happy to see Zach Fuentes came out and said now he's that's I think that's number 15 and these are people that were there. That's the 15th person. General Kellogg, everybody that was there knew what happened. And so I was happy to see that Zach came out and said it's not true. He just came out." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And it's a disgrace. Who would say a thing like that? Only an animal would say a thing like that. There is nobody that has more respect for not only our military, but for people that gave their lives in the military. There's nobody and I think John Kelly knows that. I think he would know that. I think he knows that from me." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1883, + "raw_confidence": 0.8117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But Zach Fuentes, as you know, worked for John. And I think they both know that. But Zach came out, as you know, today or yesterday, last night, and said very strongly that he didn't hear anything like that. Even John Bolton came out and said that was untrue." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Now, what was true is that we had the worst weather. I think it was as bad a rain as I've just about ever seen. And it was a fog you you literally couldn't see. I walked out, and I didn't have I didn't need somebody to tell me. I walked out and I said, There's no way we can take helicopters in this. I understand helicopters very well. And they said, No, sir, that's been cancelled." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6651, + "raw_confidence": 0.6651, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "They would have had to go Secret Service, I have the whole list they would have had through a very, very busy section, during the day, of Paris. They would have had to go through the city. The Paris police were asking us, Please don't do it, because they're not ready. When you do that, you need a lot of time. They take days and days and days to prepare for that." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2217, + "raw_confidence": 0.7783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I wanted to do it very badly. I was willing to sit in the car for two hours, three hours, four hours. I didn't care. It didn't matter. And I had nothing else to do. I went there for that; I had nothing else to do. It was ended because of the terrible weather, and nobody was prepared to go through, in terms of Paris, the police, the military, and the Secret Service. And they came out very strongly and said, Sir, we can't allow you to make this trip. If I wanted to: Sir, we can't allow you, from a safety standpoint." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5935, + "raw_confidence": 0.5935, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "It was a phony story, just like the dirty dossier the fake, dirty dossier; just like the Russia collusion; just like all of the other phony stories. And there'll be more phony stories." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But I do appreciate Zach coming out. But Zach now is the 15th person that's denied it. Zach now, I think, also talked about the weather aspect of it. And he's probably the 14th or 15th person that blamed it on weather. So that's enough of that." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Well, I think what's happened is the the toughness. These are Democrat-run cities, all. And there's no there's no retribution. There's no they stand there, they throw things at the people that are supposed to be protecting something, and nothing happens. They throw rocks. They throw cans of soup. They throw lots of hard objects. And rarely does anything happen." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7423, + "raw_confidence": 0.7423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I watch so often, when I watch some of the areas that we're talking about now we have Rochester that's, again, Democrat governor, Democrat mayor. All Democrats, every one of them, and it always will be." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7227, + "raw_confidence": 0.7227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I was with the governor in Texas; he looked at me and said, I can't imagine how they allow this to happen. And, you know, it's different. It's different. I could talk about other governors saying the same thing." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2338, + "raw_confidence": 0.7662, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So we have now over 1,000 people federal in jail. We're prosecuting many people. A big thing was when I signed the law putting people in jail, if you knock down monuments. That was three months ago. There hasn't been a federal monument knocked down in three months, or even thought about. I don't think they've even thought about it. So that's had a very big impact a very big impact." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2436, + "raw_confidence": 0.7564, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But right after that, I signed a an order saying you go to prison for 10 years. And as soon as I signed that order, that was the end of the statues coming down. But they have other ideas. They've they've got plenty of ideas. They're not at want for ideas." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1945, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Don't say there's no hope. Why do you say there's no hope?" + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And let me just tell you: I know my customers; that's what I do. I know Pelosi, I know Schumer very well. They don't want to make a deal because they think it's good for politics if they don't make a deal. This has nothing to do with anything other than you have to know who you're dealing with. I do. These are people that I don't have a lot of respect. I don't think they have a lot of respect for the American people. And I know who I'm dealing with." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And I don't need to meet with them to be turned down. They don't want to make a deal because they know that's good for the economy. And if they make a deal that's good for the economy, and therefore it's good for me for the election in November November 3rd, and therefore they're not going to make a deal." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7417, + "raw_confidence": 0.7417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Now, if we gave the store away, if we bailed out all of their Democrat-run cities where we give them a trillion dollars, which is the kind of money they want they want a trillion dollars to bail out badly run, Democrat cities and states. Whether it's New York or Illinois or others, they want to bail them out. And we're saying, Well, we're not going to pay that kind of a price in order to bail the cities out. We'll do something to help cities, but that's going to have to rest on its own." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And why didn't you do this at the beginning? Because they could have done it at the beginning. So I know who I'm dealing with." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And I'm on the phone with Mnuchin and with Meadows and with all of these people constantly, you know, while they're there. But I also know when it's time to meet with people. I've done very well with deals, okay? That's what I do. And I know when it's time to meet. But I don't have to meet them in order to be turned down and in order for them to walk out to the sticks which is the microphones and give you people a false report of what just took place in the Oval Office." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So they don't want to make a deal because they think that if the country does as badly as possible, even though a lot of people are being hurt, that's good for the Democrats. But, David, that's a bad thing." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2033, + "raw_confidence": 0.7967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I am taking the high road. I'm taking the high road by not seeing them. That's the high road." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And if I thought it made a difference or would make a difference, I'd do it in a minute." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7369, + "raw_confidence": 0.7369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "They spied on my campaign. That's right." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7871, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "They spied on my campaign. And if they were Democrats, they would have been in jail two years ago. They would have been in jail literally, if this side were the Democrat side, they would have been in jail two years ago for 50-year terms for treason and other things." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I'm not going to say that. I have to see the report. I haven't seen I purposely I don't know if that was a good thing, smart thing. I don't know. But nobody can complain about it. I have every right to have been very much involved, and maybe someday I'll get involved in it." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7903, + "raw_confidence": 0.7903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "They spied on my campaign, and that includes Biden and Obama. They spied on my campaign trying to defeat me. They wrote up a fake dossier that has proven to be totally fake written by Christopher Steele, paid for by Hillary Clinton and the Democrats and they used that illegally in the FISA courts." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7784, + "raw_confidence": 0.7784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "If we did what they did, you would have many people in jail all right right now. And you have, other than the one agent that admitted his guilt that he forged documents we don't have that yet, but the report hasn't been issued yet. Let's see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.226, + "raw_confidence": 0.774, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But let me just let me just tell you something: President Obama and Biden Sleepy Joe, he knew everything that was happening. They were spying on my campaign, and they got caught. Now let's see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.198, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So far, I haven't seen anybody have a problem. But the report hasn't been issued yet. Let's see what happens with the Durham report." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.216, + "raw_confidence": 0.784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But this started at Obama, and some people would say and some people, Well, but he was President, like, Let's leave him alone. If it were me, they wouldn't be leaving me alone, I can tell you. It's a totally double standard, and it's a it's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And if I were a Republican senator and if I were a Republican congressman and we have some great ones, but we have a lot of them that don't fight the way that the other side fights. We have much better policy. We have much better things going for us, like borders and walls and immigration and no sanctuary cities. And a lot they have a lot of bad stuff going, but they're dirty fighters." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7008, + "raw_confidence": 0.7008, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And the dirtiest fight of all is the issuance of 80 million ballots, unrequested. They're not requested; they're just sending 80 million ballots all over the country. Eighty million ballots, non-requested. I call them unsolicited ballots. That's going to be the dirtiest fight of all. People are going to get ballots; they're going to say, What am I doing? And then they're going to harvest. They're going to do all the things." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7175, + "raw_confidence": 0.7175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And if you look at the last period of six months take a look at the races where they've sent ballots out. Take a look at Carolyn Maloney, whose race should be redone because she won that race totally unfairly to her opponent. Her opponent did very well against her. That race should be rerun, but they declared her the winner because they heard I found out about it. But take a look at what's happened in New Jersey and in Virginia, in different places. It's a disgrace. That'll be a beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I don't know too much about it. I read something this morning, but I don't other than that, I'd have to see it. He's a very respected man. He was approved very much by both parties, I guess. It was sort of a an approval that took place by both parties. I don't know exactly what the story is. I'll certainly know within a short period of time. I just read it for the first time I read it this morning, just like you did." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I think let the investigations go. But but he's a very respected man. Again, it was a bipartisan commission. Postmaster general is appointed by a bipartisan commission. And we'll see how that goes. But, no, I think he's a very honest guy, but we'll see." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Yeah. If something can be proven that he did something, always. You know?" + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2703, + "raw_confidence": 0.7297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Always. They've been looking at me for four years; they found nothing. Four years. Think of it: For four years from the day I came down the escalator, I've been under investigation by sleaze, and they found nothing. They found nothing. A friend of mine said, You have to be the most innocent, honorable man ever to hold the Office of President." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Think of it: They spent just Mueller alone, he spent I guess the real number turned out to be $48 million, but whatever it was many, many millions of dollars. They had 18 angry Democrats looking. They had FBI agents all over the place. They had every and they have no collusion. Friends of mine have said sophisticated friends have said, You've got to be the most innocent guy ever to hold this office. And there's a lot of truth to that." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Sure. Well, I've been support- I've been supportive of that. I was the first one that brought it up. You never heard of Nord Stream 2 until Trump came along." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2023, + "raw_confidence": 0.7977, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And I said, Why is Germany making a deal to give billions of dollars to Russia, and then we're protecting Germany from Russia? How does that work? And then, on top of it, Germany is delinquent because they're only paying a little more than 1 percent and they're supposed to be paying 2 percent, and even the 2 percent is low. But just remember: Trump me I got the countries of NATO to spend one point $130 billion, going to $400 billion a year. Think of it: $400 billion a year more for NATO." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2041, + "raw_confidence": 0.7959, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "And the purpose of NATO primarily is Europe protection against Russia. Now, they can use it for other, I guess and they have a little bit in the Middle East, et cetera, et cetera." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But I'm the one that did that. So but nobody talks about that. Nobody talks about Nord Stream 2." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "The answer is: Absolutely, if they feel that something happens. But I don't know that Germany is in a position right now, because Germany is in a very weakened position, energy wise. They're closing all their plants. They're closing their nuclear. They're closing their coal. They're closing a lot of plants. And they are they have put themselves in a very bad position, frankly. Very, very bad position." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "No, I have nothing against John. I have nothing against anybody. No." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7772, + "raw_confidence": 0.7772, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I was very heartened to see that a friend of his because I know Zach is a friend of his and worked for him I was very heartened to see that Zach Fuentes came out with the statement that he did I guess, late last night that it was not true." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to do a report. Yeah, I fired those people; they're all gone. And it was a disgrace, frankly. And we're going to give you a big report that's going to make you very happy." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "No, they say worse; they say negative. They say negative. They're going to make the vaccine into a negative so that when we have it and I spoke to the head of Pfizer, I spoke to the head of Johnson & Johnson, I spoke to the head of the greatest medical companies in the world. We're doing great. We're going to have it soon." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Wait a minute. So now what they're saying is, Oh, wow, this is bad news. President Trump is getting this vaccine in record time. By the way, if this were the Obama administration, you wouldn't have that vaccine for three years, and you probably wouldn't have it all." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So we're going to have a vaccine very soon, maybe even before a very special date. You know what date I'm talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But let me just tell you wait. And what they're doing, because they think it is going fast. And if you talk to a lot of your sources if you have sources if you talk to your sources in the FDA, you'll see it's going very, very well. The numbers are looking unbelievably strong, unbelievably good." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So now they're saying, Wow, Trump has pulled this off. Okay, let's disparage the vaccine. That's so bad for this country. That's so bad for the world to even say that. And that's what they're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But I watched Kamala's poll numbers drop from 15 to almost zero, and then drop out even before she ran in Iowa because people didn't like her, and I understand why. She will never be President although I have to be careful, because Obama used to say that about me. So I have to be a little bit careful." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But you have to look at her a little bit more closely, because obviously Joe is not doing too well. So you're going to have to look at her a little bit too closely." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But she's talking about disparaging a vaccine so that people don't think the achievement was a great achievement. I don't want the achievement for myself, I want something that's going to make people better, that people aren't going to get sick with. That includes therapeutics, where we're doing equally as well. Therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "No, I didn't say I didn't say they will. I said, By the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "No, but you're not quoting me accurately." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7689, + "raw_confidence": 0.7689, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I said that vaccines will be on the market before the end of year, but they may even be on the market they may even be developed and fully developed, tested, and everything else." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7896, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "You know, we have 30,000 people, in just one vaccine right now, under test in very, very highly infected areas. So we're going to be able to get a good result, one way or the other, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "So I didn't say what you said. What I said is by the end of the year. But I think it could even be sooner than that. It could be during the month of October, actually. Could be before November." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "No, I'm saying that because we want to save a lot of lives. The fast with me, it's: The faster, the better. With somebody else, maybe they would say it politically, but I'm saying it in terms of this is what we need. We have to have if get the vaccine early, that's a great thing, whether it's politics or not." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Now, do benefits inure if you're able to get something years ahead of schedule? I guess, maybe they do. But the most important thing to me is saving lives; it's the most important thing." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2841, + "raw_confidence": 0.7159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "You sound so clear as opposed to everybody else, where they refuse." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Yeah, so no, I want everybody to know everything they can about our history. I'm not a believer in cancel culture, the good or the bad. If you don't study the bad, it could happen again. So I do want that subject studied very, very carefully and very accurately." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1877, + "raw_confidence": 0.8123, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "But we grew up with a certain history, and now they're trying to change our history revisionist history. That's why they want to take down our monuments. That's why they want to take down our statues." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7612, + "raw_confidence": 0.7612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "I saw something the other day, which was absolutely horrendous: Washington Monument, they want to rename it the D.C. committee, but the D.C. committee is all Democrats. Abraham Lincoln, Thomas Jefferson I mean, we're talking about this is the big stuff now. This is the big stuff. And they want to rename it. They want to re-designate it. They want to take some down. No, we don't do that. Never going to happen with me, I guarantee you that." + }, + { + "tid": "InoW_D6_thQ", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1843, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-07", + "claim_text": "Well, I want to thank you all, and I just want to wish you a very happy Labor Day. And we're having tremendous success, whether it's on the vaccines, whether it's on the pandemic the plague that came in from China, that China should have never let happen because I will never feel the same about China. And I just want to again wish you a happy Labor Day." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We have six incredible people who were held hostage by various countries, and I'm very pleased to let everybody know that we brought back over 50 hostages from 22 different countries. We work very hard on it, Ambassador O'Brien and others. I will tell you, we're very proud of the job we did, but I'd like to ask maybe Pastor Brunson to say a few words or we can go through and just give us a little history of what happened and how is life treating you?" + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2047, + "raw_confidence": 0.7953, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Could have been there for 28 years, right? They had you scheduled for a long time, Andrew. We had to get you back. I have to say that to me, President Erdogan was very good. I know that had you scheduled for a long time and you were a very innocent person and ultimately, after we had a few conversations, he agreed." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So we appreciate that and we appreciate the people of Turkey and you still appreciate the people of Turkey. I understand. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's great to have you back, Andrew. Thank you. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We got you all back and we have some more that we're working on right now to get back that we better do. Please, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2177, + "raw_confidence": 0.7823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, the great people of Utah really wanted me to do something about the two of you. We were able to do it and a little bit of a miracle, I think, frankly." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Because that was a very hostile period, and we appreciate everybody working so hard with us, but we were able to get you both back. Are you living in Utah now, I hope?" + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That's good. Well, say hello to the folks in Utah because they are great people. Thank you very much. Congratulations." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, India responded very well to my request. So we appreciate that." + }, + { + "tid": "IPzMSyPRS94", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-meeting-former-hostages-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you all for being with us. We have a few more people we want to get back and we will get them back and they'll be back very soon. Thank you very much. Appreciate it. Great stories." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Today my administration has taken a momentous step toward achieving American pharmaceutical independence a very, very big, big step a focus of our campaign to bring America's critical supply chains and medical manufacturing back to the USA. We've been working on this for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3646, + "raw_confidence": 0.6354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "This is a core of our strategy to protect our people from the horrible China virus. It should have never happened. It should have never been here. They should have stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7873, + "raw_confidence": 0.7873, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "In the decades before I took office, foreign nations were allowed to freely plunder our factories and loot our industries, take our business out of the United States. Millions of jobs were vacuumed out just taken out so easily. Our politicians let that happen. And our communities were stripped and shipped, in many cases, to China and all over the world countries all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Nearly four years ago, we launched a bold effort to revitalize American manufacturing, enact fair trade deals, and bring our industries back home where they belong. When the China virus landed on our shores, it became clearer than ever before that restoring American manufacturing is a core matter of national security. We must never be reliant on a foreign nation for America's medical or other needs, and that includes many other needs." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.757, + "raw_confidence": 0.757, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I just want to say that Pfizer just announced, a little while ago, that they're combining phase two and phase three trials, and the vaccine looks like it's really heading in a very rapid direction, in a very positive direction. First time that's happened. And they're many months ahead of any other trial. There's never been anything like it. So it's the fastest ever, and to me, it's very exciting." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Today, I'm proud to announce one of the most important deals in the history of U.S. pharmaceutical industries. My administration has reached a historic agreement with a great American company you remember this company; it's called from the good, old camera age, the old days to begin producing critical pharmaceutical ingredients. It's called Kodak. And it's going to be right here in America." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "So I want to congratulate the people in Kodak. They've been working very hard. Members of my administration are present in Rochester right now Rochester, New York a good place. And they're trying to finalize this groundbreaking deal, and they will be announcing this deal." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1865, + "raw_confidence": 0.8135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I want to thank Governor Andrew Cuomo and his representatives. We've worked really well together on this deal. It's a big deal. It's going to be a great deal and a great deal for New York and a great deal for Kodak." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6716, + "raw_confidence": 0.6716, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Ninety percent of all prescriptions written in the United States are for generic drugs. We have approved more generic drugs than any other administration, by far. Generic drugs can be just as good as the brand names, but cost much less." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Yet, in less than 10 percent of the active pharmaceutical ingredients needed to make these drugs they're currently manufactured in America more than 50 percent, however, are made in India and China. And you'll be seeing a lot of things have happened. It's been happening, but it's happening at a more rapid pace right now." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.767, + "raw_confidence": 0.767, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Under this contract, our 33rd use of the Defense Production Act remember when you were saying I didn't use it enough, I didn't use it enough? And now you heard it's the 33rd use. We don't talk about it all the time; we used it, and we used it as a little bit of a threat, frankly, with certain companies that weren't doing as we were asking them to do, and it came through as both a threat and a usage. But this is our 33rd use of the Defense Production Act." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Kodak will now produce generic active pharmaceutical ingredients, which is a big deal. Using advanced manufacturing techniques, Kodak will also make the key starting materials that are the building blocks for many drugs in a manner that is both cost-competitive and environmentally safe. We'll be competitive with almost all countries, and soon with all countries." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7351, + "raw_confidence": 0.7351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Once this new division is fully operational, in addition to all of the other plants that we've opened with other companies throughout the United States recently, it will produce as much as 25 percent of all active ingredients needed to make generic drugs in the USA. That's a big number: 25 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "This agreement will directly create 360 new jobs at Kodak's factory in Rochester; that's just in the initial phase. And in Minneapolis, a place I have gotten to know very well and it's a great place and I'm very happy that we're able to help them with the problems that they've had recently. And the National Guard I want to thank the National Guard, both state and beyond. I want to thank them for the incredible job. They went in and they did some beautiful job. They cleaned it up. You didn't hear about the problems anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "And indirectly, I want to create we created thousands more jobs all across our pharmaceutical supply chains. We have now been building a very big pharmaceutical supply chain not only coming out of China, coming out of other countries also. I want to thank Peter Navarro, Adam Boehler, and Admiral Polowczyk for their tremendous work to make this deal possible." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Today's action is our latest step to build the greatest medical arsenal in history. We'll be able to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Through the Defense Production Act and other authorities, we have invested more than $3 billion in our nation's industrial base. We've contracted with companies such as Ford, General Motors, Philips, and General Electric to produce more than 200,000 ventilators by the end of this year nearly seven times more than we would ever do in a typical year." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7257, + "raw_confidence": 0.7257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We've contracted with Honeywell, 3M, O&M, Halyard, Moldex, and Lidl to increase U.S. production of N95 masks. And we've brought it from less than 40 million a month to over 100 million a month by August, and we'll have 160 million in a very short while 160 million a month. That's many times what we used to do. If you go back two years ago, it's many, many times." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6844, + "raw_confidence": 0.6844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're increasing domestic production of gloves by 1,000 percent. It's 1,000 percent. We will be manufacturing 450 million gloves annually by next year." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.191, + "raw_confidence": 0.809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're finalizing contracts with our textile industry to make gowns in America with American fabric, which makes a lot of our businesses happy that produce the fabric. We have 13 million reusable gowns in the Stockpile, and we'll continue to grow that number to 72 million this fall, which is a rapid escalation indeed." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7389, + "raw_confidence": 0.7389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We made major investments in new rapid point-of-care tests. So we have there's nothing like the rapid point, where you get your answer in 5 minutes to 15 minutes to maybe 20, 25 minutes at the max. And we're already at about a 50 percent level, and we're bringing it up very substantially from there." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7005, + "raw_confidence": 0.7005, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're growing domestic production from less than 250,000 test kits per month in May to 8 million test kits per month. There is nothing like this that has ever taken place anywhere in the world or close." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7032, + "raw_confidence": 0.7032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Through our partnership with Puritan Manufacturing and the state of Maine a great state we've increased production of test swabs from 30 million per month in June to 56 million per month now. As you remember, I went to Maine; I went to the plant where they do this. It was incredible. It was a great experience. And we'll produce over 100 million swabs per month by January." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We've dramatically ramped up production of materials needed for a vaccine and are on track to rapidly produce 100 million doses as soon as a vaccine is approved, which could be very, very soon, and 500 million doses shortly thereafter. So we'll have 500 million doses. And, logistically, we're using our military, our great military a group of people; their whole life is based around logistics and bringing things to and from locations and they'll be able to take care of this locationally and bringing it where it has to go very, very quickly. They're all mobilized. It's been fully set up." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "A very, very talented general is in charge. And when we have that vaccine, it will be discharged and taken care of. It'll be a very a very rapid process all over the country. And perhaps we'll be supplying a lot of the vaccine to other parts of the world, like we do with ventilators and other things that we, all of a sudden, have become very good at making." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "When the China virus struck our nation, we mobilized the entire government and the private sector to acquire, source, and deliver lifesaving supplies. HHS, FEMA, and the private sector combined have coordinated the delivery of more than 196 million N95 respirators, 815 million surgical masks, 20 million gloves, 34 million face shields, and 354 million gowns. That's a lot of gowns." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2004, + "raw_confidence": 0.7996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Last week, FEMA completed a second shipment of personal protective equipment to over 15,000 nursing homes in the United States. Our big focus has been on nursing homes and senior citizens. As you know, that's where we want to take care we have to take care of the most vulnerable, especially if they have a medical difficulty, a medical problem in particular, heart or diabetes. Which provided a total of 1.2 million pairs of protective eyewear, 14 million mask masks, 66 million pairs of gloves, and 13 million gowns." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7576, + "raw_confidence": 0.7576, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We have replenished the long-neglected National Stockpile. In January, the Stockpile had 17.9 million N95 masks. Today, the stockpile has over 50 million N95 masks, and we'll be doubling that in a very short period of time and then doubling that number." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2654, + "raw_confidence": 0.7346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We've shipped more than 14,000 ventilators to areas of need across the country, and we have more than 75,000 available to deploy. Not a single American who has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator. And if you remember, early on when we were first hit with the virus, ventilators were very hard to come by, and now we're the largest maker anywhere in the world, by far. And not only are we fully supplied and stocked, but we're helping other nations, because ventilators are hard to build and hard to get." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "This is just the beginning. In the coming months, we will continue the largest onshoring campaign in American history. We will bring back our jobs, and we will make America the world's premier medical manufacturer and supplier. That's what's happening already. It's been happening now for quite some time." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2559, + "raw_confidence": 0.7441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're seeing improvements across the major metro areas and most hotspots. You can look at large portions of our country; it's it's corona-free. But we are watching very carefully California, Arizona, Texas, and most of Florida. It's starting to head down in the right direction, and I think you'll see it rapidly head down very soon. But if you look, California, Arizona, Texas, and, for the most part, most of Florida, it's starting to head down." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3379, + "raw_confidence": 0.6621, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "In the wake of the recent mass gatherings Americans have witnessed in the streets of Portland and Seattle, we are also tracking a significant rise in cases in both metropolitan areas because of what's been going on." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7644, + "raw_confidence": 0.7644, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "And we, as you know, have done a excellent job of watching over Portland and watching our courthouse where they wanted to burn it down. They're anarchists. Nothing short of anarchists, agitators. And we have protected it very powerfully. And if we didn't go there, I will tell you, you wouldn't have a courthouse. You'd have a you'd have a billion-dollar burned-out building." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're also working aggressively to combat the virus and Native American and Alaska Native communities. Under the CARES Act, we provided $8 billion to address the coronavirus in tribal communities, and we've worked very hard with tribal communities. They're very vulnerable to this horrible plague. It's the largest investment in Indian Country in U.S. history. There's never been an investment that big in Indian Country." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We need every American to help protect our fellow citizens and prevent the spread of the disease. It's critical that younger Americans remember that even though they are at lower risk and, in fact, some are in some age groups are at an extraordinary low risk themselves they can unknowingly spread the virus to others who are at higher risk." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I ask all Americans, regardless of background or age, to practice social distancing which people have gotten very used to, but we have to keep doing it; remain vigilant about hygiene; avoid indoor gatherings and large gatherings, but especially indoor, especially where you have crowded bars; and that you wear a mask whenever appropriate." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Through the genius of our scientists, the devotion of our doctors, the skill of our workers, and the dedication of our people, we will achieve victory over the virus and emerge stronger than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're looking at a very powerful year next year, economically. The job numbers are looking outstanding, to put it mildly; set records. The numbers on retail retail sales came in two weeks ago at the highest number in the history of our country. So we look like we're heading to some very, very good economic times; that means jobs, that means stock market." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "The stock market is already doing very well. It's getting to a point very close to where it was when we had this when we were hit with the the plague. So I just want to thank everybody for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We'll be doing a speech on Thursday the main speech, the primary speech. Charlotte they will be doing nominating on Monday. That's a different that's a different period, a different thing happening, but they'll be doing nominations on Monday. I speak on Thursday. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We'll go we'll be announcing it soon. We'll be announcing it soon." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Anybody have any ideas? We'll be announcing it very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Yeah, there are actually, and we'll be talking about it. There are, you know, also things that I very much support, but we'll be negotiating. It's sort of semi-irrelevant because the Democrats come with their needs and asks, and the Republicans go with theirs. So we'll be discussing it with Mitch and all of the other people involved. Kevin has been very active, as you know all of the people involved. Steve Mnuchin has done a great job, keeps everybody together, both Democrat and Republican." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "And we'll see. We want to do what's best for the people. I want to do what's best for the people. I want to do what's best for the economy because that means jobs and lots of good things. All right?" + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Well, that was I wasn't making claims. The it's recommendations of many other peoples and people, including doctors. Many doctors think it is extremely successful the hydroxychloroquine coupled with the zinc and perhaps the azithromycin. But many doctors think it's extremely good, and some people don't. Some people I think it's become very political." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I happen to believe in it. I would take it. As you know, I took it for a 14-day period, and I'm here. Right? I'm here. I happen to think it's it works in the early stages. I think frontline medical people believe that too some, many. And so we'll take a look at it." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.563, + "raw_confidence": 0.563, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "But the one thing we know: It's been out for a long time, that particular formula, and that's what essentially, what it is, the pill. And it's been for malaria, lupus, and other things." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2068, + "raw_confidence": 0.7932, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "It it's safe. It doesn't cause problems. I had no problem. I had absolutely no problem, felt no different. Didn't feel good, bad, or indifferent. I and I tested, as you know. It didn't it didn't get me, and it's not going to hopefully hurt anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "There was a a woman who was spectacular in her statements about it, that she's had tremendous success with it. And they took her" + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3579, + "raw_confidence": 0.6421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "they took her voice off. I don't know why they took her off, but they took her off. Maybe they had a good reason, maybe they didn't. I don't know." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I can only say that, from my standpoint, and based on a lot of reading and a lot of knowledge about it, I think it could have a very positive impact in the early stages. And I don't think you lose anything by doing it other than, politically, it doesn't seem to be too popular. You know why? Because I recommend it. When I recommend something, they like to say, Don't use it." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "No, not at all. I think I don't even know what his stance is on it. I I was just you know, he was at the he was at the task force meeting a little while ago." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "So you know, it's interesting: He's got a very good approval rating, and I like that. It's good. Because remember, he's working for this administration. He's working with us, John. We could have gotten other people. We could have gotten somebody else. It didn't have to be Dr. Fauci. He's working with our administration. And, for the most part, we've done pretty much what he and others Dr. Birx and others, who are terrific recommended." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "So it sort of is curious: A man works for us with us, very closely, Dr. Fauci, and Dr. Birx also highly thought of. And yet, they're highly thought of, but nobody likes me. It can only be my personality. That's all." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1946, + "raw_confidence": 0.8054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're going to work with a lot of people on DACA, and we're also working on an immigration bill, a merit-based system, which is what I've wanted for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1891, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "That decision was an interesting decision because it gave the President, as a President, more power than many people thought the President had. So the President is now, which happens to be me, in a position where I can do an immigration bill and a healthcare bill and some other bills. And you've seen some of them come along." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7453, + "raw_confidence": 0.7453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We're going to do tremendous we just signed it three days ago we're doing tremendous prescription drug price reductions. Tremendous. It could be over 50 percent whether it's favored nations clauses or anything else. I mean, it's tremendous numbers we're talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7755, + "raw_confidence": 0.7755, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "You know, you go to some countries and they'll sell, like, a pill for 10 cents, and in the United States, it costs two dollars. And it's the same basic factory. It's the same everything. The United States bears the cost of all of these low prices that you see all over the world where people go to Canada to buy a prescription drug from the United States. Not going to happen with me. It's not going to happen with me." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "So, John, I think one of the exciting things got very little coverage, and that's okay, but the people understand it I think we will be reducing prescription drug prices by massive amounts, numbers that have never been done before." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7527, + "raw_confidence": 0.7527, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Other thing: In 51 years, we got as you know, last year, drug prices came down. First time in 51 years that they came down. Now, with what I signed last week, I think that drug prices can come down by numbers like 50 percent and even greater, in certain instances." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6956, + "raw_confidence": 0.6956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We are going to make DACA happy and the DACA people and representatives happy, and we're also going to end up with a fantastic merit-based immigration system." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I didn't know a meeting was cancel- oh, a meeting with the drug" + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Well, I said there would be a meeting yeah, a meeting sometime this week. Yeah. They want to meet. I mean, I don't know that it was cancelled. They want to meet. I thought the meeting was actually scheduled for tomorrow." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I thought I thought the meeting was scheduled tomorrow. Sorry about the dates. But, you know, I see how upset you are by it." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Bloomberg. Mr. Bloomberg. You look like Mr. Bloomberg. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I think you look much better, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "We'll do something. We're going to take care of the people. Yeah. It's a good question. We're going to take care of the people." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Well, maybe it's a saying, maybe it's not." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "But I can I can tell you this: She was on air, along with many other doctors. They were big fans of hydroxychloroquine, and I thought she was very impressive in the sense that, from where she came" + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1902, + "raw_confidence": 0.8098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "I don't know which country she comes from, but she said that she's had tremendous success with hundreds of different patients. And I thought her voice was an important voice, but I know nothing about her." + }, + { + "tid": "iypgunQf1bI", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-28", + "claim_text": "Okay. Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So I just watched a clip. And Joe Biden, this morning, totally disparaged and insulted the black community. What he said is incredible. And I don't know what's going on with him, but it was a very insulting statement he made. And I guess you'll figure that out. You'll see it in a little while. But it was a great insult to the black community." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We're going to Ohio. We have great things happening in Ohio. We have a lot of wonderful things happening for the country. I'll probably be talking to you a little bit later about the coronavirus. We're going to try and keep that at about the same time. We have a lot of good information, some new information." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Vaccines are doing very, very well. We had some good talks this morning on vaccines and on therapeutics. A lot of good things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I am. I'm optimist that it'll be probably around that date. I believe we'll have the vaccine before the end of the year certainly, but around that date, yes. I think so." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "It wouldn't hurt. It wouldn't hurt. But I'm not doing the I'm doing it, not for the election. I want it fast because I want to save a lot of lives." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, you look at the statement I made right after that, because if you look at it" + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Yeah, and I said something after that too." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2085, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So so the message that I have is very simple: Nobody can do what I've done in terms of all of the things that we're doing to combat this horrible disease that never should have been sent to us, that was sent it came from China; should never have been allowed to leave China. They could have easily done something. They stopped it from coming into China, but they didn't stop it from coming into the U.S. and Europe and the rest of the world. And China should have done something about it. And, frankly, it's a disgrace that they didn't." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We'll be talking to Governor Cuomo. They're looking to do a project the Second Avenue subway, as you know. And we're talking about that. We're also talking about the tram from the airport to a certain location. So we'll be talking to him. Yes." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think they have something scheduled, maybe in Bedminster. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6379, + "raw_confidence": 0.6379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "All you have to do is read the newspapers or read the read the medical reports." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to see. What China did is a terrible thing. Whether it was incompetence or on purpose, it was a terrible thing that they did to the world not only to the United States, but to the world. A terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I just heard about that. That's a very terrible thing that just happened. I think the NRA should move to Texas and lead a very good and beautiful life, and I've told them that for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "iYUhsg5eKU8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2036, + "raw_confidence": 0.7964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think they should move to Texas Texas would be a great place or to another state of their choosing. But I would say that Texas would be a great place and an appropriate place for the NRA. This has been going on for a long time. They've been absolutely decimated by the cost of that lawsuit, and it's very sad. But I would suggest that that's what they should be doing." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1899, + "raw_confidence": 0.8101, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So, we're going to Michigan, where we have tremendous economic activity. The governor should open up the state, open up the schools, play Big 10 football; we want them to do that. Big 10 is looking very strongly at opening up their season, but we're not getting any cooperation from the governor of Michigan." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2381, + "raw_confidence": 0.7619, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We have we need some cooperation also from North Carolina, the governor of North Carolina. Tremendous economic activity; auto plants opening up, auto plants being expanded. Michigan is doing really well. They had the best year in their history last year. And when the plague came in, we had to shut it down and then open it up. But the problem with a few states is governors Democrat governors all are not opening up, and they have to open up." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So we look forward to a good time. I hear we have a big crowd, like we had in Pennsylvania, frankly, and North Carolina and everywhere we go New Hampshire. We're having very big crowds. And we're going to have a big crowd. I understand a very big one in Michigan when we land; we're doing it at the hangars in the airport. So we'll see you there." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No, I haven't seen it. Is that another fake whistleblower, like the one we had? I mean, we had one a whistleblower who wrote a totally different report than my conversation. So, you know, it sounds like a Schiff. Who's the whistleblower? Schiff?" + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I can't imagine that, but you'll have to ask the Secretary. I will say this: If it's anything like the last whistleblower report, which was a joke, which was a fake, and frankly, how he gets away how he even got away with it is disgusting, if he actually did get away with it. We'll find out about that." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But these are fake reports. I will tell you, I'm not referring to a new one. You're just telling me that for the first time. The whistleblower report that we had was totally different than the conversation that it covered. It was a fake report. So this is politics, and it's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But ask Chad Wolf. He's the one that would know something about it." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2593, + "raw_confidence": 0.7407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yeah, TikTok is moving along. We'll see what happens. It'll either be closed up or they'll sell it. So we'll either close up TikTok in this country for security reasons, or it'll be sold." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1996, + "raw_confidence": 0.8004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I'm not extending deadlines, no. It's September 15th. There'll be no extension of the TikTok deadline." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No, we have great, great weaponry. No, I'm not talking about classified; I'm talking about what we build. We're building great weaponry. Our military is stronger now than it's ever been. We spent $2.5 trillion on our military over the last three, three and a half years. And we now have new rockets and missiles. And, frankly, our nuclear we have to hope to God we never have to use it but our nuclear now is in the best shape it's been in decades." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6224, + "raw_confidence": 0.6224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "There are systems that nobody knows about, including you, and we have some systems that nobody knows about. And, frankly, I think I'm better off keeping it that way. We have some incredible systems." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Oh, I don't know. You'll have to figure that out yourself." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7719, + "raw_confidence": 0.7719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Right now, the Democrats don't want to pass it. They don't want to help, really, the workers of our country. They didn't deserve this. This was given to us by China." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But Nancy Pelosi and Schumer don't want to pass a stimulus bill because they think that helps me in the election. I don't think it helps me at all. We are prepared to pass stimulus for people that need it. Again, it wasn't their fault; it was China's fault. So we're prepared to do it, but I have a feeling the Democrats won't do it." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7497, + "raw_confidence": 0.7497, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "In the meantime, our economy is very good. We're in a super V. We're doing numbers that were are much better than anybody ever thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We had the best four months of hiring that we've ever had I guess it was 10.4 million people in the history of our country. Our retail numbers, as you saw, came out. They're record-setting retail numbers. Our country is doing really well. We're going to have a great third quarter. And next year will be one of the best economic years we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "j7Wp2YZQsGo", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And again, I'm going to Michigan, where we have car plants, where we have expansion of plants. They're going to have a fantastic year, next year. The one problem with Michigan: the governor has to open up the state. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, we may do some clips each night, but the big night is going to be Thursday night, but we'll be doing some clips with the hostages that we brought home, many hostages, over 50. We brought them home and I'm so happy about it. One of the one of the many things I'm actually happy about. And so we have some clips, but we'll be doing in and out, but not too much. The big night is really Thursday night." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, that's a big role, I will say. On that one, I'm involved very much, and hopefully you'll like it. I gave a little bit of a speech today, when we accepted very very nice numbers. You saw the numbers coming in. So I did something this morning which covered a lot of territory, actually. But we look forward to it. Thursday night, it's going to be exciting." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, we are. As the pandemic moves its way up, because if you look at Florida and the different places, Arizona, it's really doing, you know, on the way down, and as it moves out, the farmers are doing better and better. But we've opened programs, like this program, and it's from the farmers to the people that want to eat, that have to eat." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And it was so obvious. And I looked at it. I said: You have hungry people here. You have farmers here that had too much, in terms of their product, and we moved it over to here. Everybody got helped. The farmers did well, and the people are eating great, great, beautiful, clean food. So it really worked out very well, and the farmers were just telling us how incredible a program it's been, but also for the people that were hungry. So we're very proud of it." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm concerned there's just confusion. I'm concerned that it's just not a fair situation, because they're mailing out forget about absentee, and absentee we like, but forget about absentee, when you look at the fact that they're going to be mailing out 80 million ballots to people that haven't even asked for them, and people are going to get ballots they don't even know number one, are they the right people?" + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2023, + "raw_confidence": 0.7977, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Is it a Republican area, a Democrat area? Who's getting the ballots? And if you look at five, six, seven different occasions over the last month, it's fraught with with error and fraud and problems. And now they're talking about 80 million ballots. It's a crazy thing. They are it's not It's not going to work out well." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2271, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, if you look at the just take a look at the numbers, take a look at New York, Carolyn Maloney. It was a disaster. They mailed out ballots and it was a disaster. They don't know what they're going to do. They're so many of them are bad. Look at Patterson, New Jersey. I think 21% of the ballots are no good." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They have no idea how to count them. Virginia, the same thing, and now, many other places. Now, you're talking about on a whole nation, the whole nation is going to be getting I discussed it really at great detail this morning in North Carolina, in Charlotte. But, if you look at what's happening, it's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's a disaster. It it can't work out well because there's so many areas even when you have a very small number of votes in a small area, they're all being challenged. I mean, look, absentee is good. The best thing is go to the voter booth and vote." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, I think there's some evidence and I think it's a big gut feeling, a nd in the meantime, we got what we wanted last night with the convalescent plasma, and that was approved and that has a tremendous impact on people, positive impact on people. And we have Remdesivir and I think we're going to have vaccines very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2149, + "raw_confidence": 0.7851, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's going to be very soon. We're way ahead of, years ahead of what some other administration would have done. Years ahead. I think we'll have the vaccines very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "jdYX8f1QbBU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tim-boyum-spectrum-news-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Okay. Thank you. Great job. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. Thank you very much. Let me begin by sending America's deepest sympathies to the people of Lebanon, where reports indicate that many, many people were killed, hundreds more were very badly wounded in a large explosion in Beirut. Our prayers go out to all the victims and their families. The United States stands ready to assist Lebanon. I have a very good relationship with the people of Lebanon, and we will be there to help. It looks like a terrible attack." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I also want to provide the latest on Tropical Storm Isaias. Approximately 600,000 are without power along the East Coast, and utility companies are working around the clock to restore service as quickly as possible. I spoke to Governor Cooper, I spoke to Governor DeSantis, and I spoke to all of the people at FEMA, and they're working very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Coastal areas in the storm's path can expect to see the storm surge and rip currents, while inland areas could see flooding and very, very high winds. FEMA is responding to states that have requested the assistance. We have a list of those states; we can give them to you in a little while. And my administration is monitoring the situation very closely." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We have the military on guard, but we have FEMA is there, in all cases. The Corps of Engineers is ready if needed the Army Corps of Engineers. Very talented people. I urge everyone in the storm's path to remain alert and to follow the guidance of your state and local authorities." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I now want to update you on the path forward, having to do with the China virus. Before I do that, I want to give you some numbers, which are rather spectacular, that just came out. The manufacturing index of the Institute for Supply Management that's ISM; most of you know it by ISM increased for the third month in a row, rising nearly 2 points in July to 54.2 that's fantastic the highest reading since March of 2019." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "This is remarkable, considering the survey was conducted throughout July and showed significant improvement despite the Southwest, in particular, virus hotspots. The ISM measures and it's a very strong measure of new orders. It rose 5 points in July, to 61.5, in its highest rating, that would be, since September of 2018. That's a big number." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7692, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Since the April low, new orders are up over 34 points, which is the largest increase in the history of the ISM, dating back all the way to 1948. So, 34 points that's the largest since 1948." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5813, + "raw_confidence": 0.5813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Similarly, the ISM's measure of production is up 35 points from its April low to a reading of 62.1, which is the largest 3-month gain in over 70 years. That's some some number." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "These were somewhat surprising, but I've been saying we're doing well, and those numbers are really spectacular." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.676, + "raw_confidence": 0.676, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Automobile sales, likewise, are a key factor in the resurgence of manufacturing since the March low of 8.8 million units with sales and all of the numbers that are going up, stunningly. It's a 65 percent increase since then, to 14.5 million units, which is a a massive number." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6805, + "raw_confidence": 0.6805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The great strength and great news is really for states like in particular, Michigan; and Ohio; South Carolina; Pennsylvania, very good; Florida, little bit. These are great numbers. Record-setting numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The strength in new car sales is also evident in the used car market, where soaring demand literally, soaring demand is putting upward pressure on the used car prices. This is a leading indicator of the motor vehicle industry. The need to restock depleted shelves will further galvanize the factory sector and, we think, very substantially, based on the numbers. We're very, very happy with these numbers. And I think most people are anywhere from surprised to shocked by these numbers, in a very positive way." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7725, + "raw_confidence": 0.7725, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Economy-wide inventories crashed at a near $320 billion annualized rate last quarter. A crash, in that case, means a good thing, not a bad thing. That's the largest drop ever on record ever." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2473, + "raw_confidence": 0.7527, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Homebuilder sentiment, likewise, is soaring, as our home sales sentiment is now higher than last year. And new homes recently made a 13-year high. So we have a 13-year high in new home new home construction." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "New business applications are very strong. That just came out. The widely followed Atlanta Fed GDP and it's something that they have just come out with now forecasts the new data point and incorporates it into quarterly estimates. It looks like it's showing a 20 percent annualized growth in the current quarter. So 20 percent in the current quarter; we'll take that all day long. I let's see if that's right. That's a projection. So we'll see if that's right. The Atlanta Fed very respected." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The virus back to that we are continuing to monitor and monitor, in particular, hotspots across the South, Southwest, and the West. And we're seeing indications that our strong mitigation efforts are working very well, actually, especially to protect those who are most at risk, which has really been our primary focus for ever since we've gotten to understand this horrible, horrible plague that's been unleashed on our country by China." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6099, + "raw_confidence": 0.6099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "As of yesterday, cases are declining in 70 percent of the jurisdictions, compared to 36 percent last Monday. That's a big, big number. Eleven out of thirteen states with the positive rate above 10 percent have seen a decline in daily cases since mid-July. In other states, the data suggests that the need for continuing vigilance always is strong, even though the numbers are getting very good states that have a test positivity rate between 5 and 10 percent. And in the states with the lowest positivity rates, we also see slight increases in daily cases in a couple of them." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We must ensure that these states do not become new flare-ups, so we're watching them very, very closely. Fortunately, thanks to substantial improvements in treatment and the knowledge we have gained about the disease itself, the recent rise in cases has not been accompanied by a significant increase in deaths." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7748, + "raw_confidence": 0.7748, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Fatalities nationwide are at roughly half the level of the April peak. So the death the number of deaths or fatalities are at half the level. One is too much one death because this should have never happened to us. It should have been stopped at very easily, by China, in Wuhan." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5887, + "raw_confidence": 0.5887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thanks to our major advances in treatment, we've seen vast improvements in recovery rates across all age groups. Compared to April, mortality rates are 85 percent lower among individuals aged 18 to 69, and 70 percent lower among individuals over 70 years old." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3055, + "raw_confidence": 0.6945, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We've also made significant strides in sheltering those at highest risk, especially the elderly. Approximately 85 percent of all current cases are individuals under the age of 65 just getting some very accurate numbers on this. And these are people who are generally at a much lower risk of complications." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Since the pandemic began, nearly half of all fatalities have been at nursing homes or assisted-living centers. That's an incredible statistic, when you hear that number. This data, underscores that the best path forward is an aggressive strategy focused on protecting Americans at highest risk." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "As we race toward the development of a vaccine, we must continue to take extraordinary precautions to shield the elderly, and we're doing that. We're doing that at a level that we've never even dreamt possible, both with testing and with common sense. And those with underlining conditions, especially the elderly with the underlining whether it's heart or diabetes they seem to be the two most predominant conditions that cause tremendous problems. While allowing those at lowest risk to carefully return to work and to school." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Where embers flare up, we must engage immediately, and that's what we're doing. This is the science-based approach, and it's good with us. Working very hard on that. An extended lockdown would fail to target resources at the highest-risk populations, while inflicting massive economic pain, long-lasting damage on society and public health as a whole." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So there won't be lockdowns, but we watch specific areas. We're very careful and we're putting out embers. We're putting out flames. When you look at what's happening with Miami, and it's going the numbers are going down. But Florida is going down very significantly. Texas and California are going down rather significantly." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "On telemedicine, as we discussed the last time, as and as I said numerous times during this day, it's an incredible thing that's happening. A central part of our effort to protect the elderly is to greatly expand access to telehealth, so seniors can be treated from the safety of their homes. And that's what's happening. The number of Medicare beneficiaries using telehealth increased from roughly 14,000 a week to nearly 1.7 million so from 14,000 to 1.7 million per week. In total, 10 million Medicare beneficiaries have accessed telehealth services since the pandemic began. That's a tremendous thing that's happened with telehealth." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "As we shelter those at high risk, we are also pouring every resource at our disposal into the development of therapies and vaccines. Two vaccine candidates are currently in the final stage of clinical trials, with several more vaccine candidates entering phase three in the coming weeks. And you've read and seen what's happened today. Today's news was very exciting." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2294, + "raw_confidence": 0.7706, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Through Operation Warp Speed, we're also mass producing all of the most promising vaccine candidates, and we're determined to have a vaccine very quickly. We think we're going to have something very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2482, + "raw_confidence": 0.7518, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We have great companies. These are the among the greatest companies in the world. But right now, they don't like me so much because I'm forcing them to drop drug prices prescription drug prices very massively. Some of these companies are involved in that; some of them aren't. We're having a tremendous you'll see a tremendous drop in price. We're using favored nations we're using the rebates. We're using everything." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7497, + "raw_confidence": 0.7497, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "For so long, I've heard about how wealthy the middlemen are. They call them the middlemen. And they are very wealthy. Nobody even knows who they are, but they're very wealthy people." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we're doing the rebates. We're doing purchases from other countries like Canada, which buys drugs for much less money than the United States is allowed to, under a very bad system. I don't call it archaic; I call it bad because it's meant, really, for drug companies to get higher prices." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6454, + "raw_confidence": 0.6454, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But under under the system of matching that we have, if Germany has a pill for 10 cents and ours is $2, we're allowed to say we want favored nations, and we want the pill for the same the same as the lowest country in the world. If they sell to one country lower than anybody else, that's the price we're going to get. Drug companies aren't too happy about that big pharma." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We've also dramatically accelerated the availability of plasma therapies, steroid treatments, antivirals, and other therapies to treat the illness. Today, the NIH we're very exciting announced that they're beginning the trial of two new antibody treatments, which will take place in 40 cities across the country. We're going to move move very quickly. Results look very good already. Incredible results." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2016, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "More than 230 clinical trials for potential treatments are underway, and we've secured 500,000 courses of treatment for remdesivir of remdesivir. We're really doing a job with it, and it's helping a lot of people. That's why you see the fatalities and mortality numbers looking very good relatively speaking, that is. But that's for American hospitals through the month of September. So we have remdesivir at a very high level for hospitals through the month of September. That's big news." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6631, + "raw_confidence": 0.6631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The United States also has far and away the most robust testing capacity in the world. Testing has been incredible, what we've been able to do. Nobody is even close. Since March 12th, we've increased daily testing by 32,000 percent. How's that? Thirty-two thousand percent. Somebody would say, That must be a typo. It's not a typo. Thirty-two thousand percent." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We now have conducted over 61 million tests nationwide, averaging over 820,000 tests per day and nearly 5 million tests per week. And now that we're understanding the virus, we're understanding very much what we're doing with respect to who it affects, who it's destroying, and who gets away with it like young people, very young people. We'll be having some interesting statements having to do a testing and focus testing. I call it focus testing." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2552, + "raw_confidence": 0.7448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Over the last several weeks, HHS has opened surging testing sites in Baton Rouge; New Orleans; Phoenix; Miami; Jacksonville, Florida; McAllen, Texas; Bakersfield, California. And this week, we're opening new surge sites in Houston, Texas; Atlanta. To date, more than 130,000 tests have been conducted at these sites." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3925, + "raw_confidence": 0.6075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Last week, the FDA also authorized the first two tests that display an estimated quantity of antibodies present in the individual's blood, which is a big deal, allowing us to learn more about the immune response." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6416, + "raw_confidence": 0.6416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "FEMA and HHS has worked with the private sector to deliver more than we have new numbers more than 200 million N95 masks, 855 million surgical masks, 36 million goggles and face shields, 364 million gowns and coveralls, and 21 billion gloves billion. Can you believe that? Billion gloves." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we distribute that to the governors, different states. And when we get on the phone with them, they're very happy, that I can tell you. No no complaints from any of them. They're very, very happy. What they say to you separately maybe will change for political reasons, but they are very happy with the job we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.195, + "raw_confidence": 0.805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "In our National Stockpile, we've tripled the number of N95 masks on hand to more than 40 million; tripled the number of gowns to 15 million; and quadrupled the number of ventilators to nearly 70,000. These numbers are growing every day, and we're now making thousands of ventilators many thousands of ventilators a month. And we're getting them to other countries who are desperately in need of ventilators. They're very hard to produce. They're very complicated machines. So we're we're fully stocked here, and we've made sure that every state is fully stocked, but we're getting them to a lot of countries that need help." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We'll continue to work with the governors and local authorities to help them ensure significant hospital capacity, protective equipment, supplies, and medicine. I'm more confident than ever that we will get a vaccine very soon and we will defeat the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank you all for being here. We'll take a few questions." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know. I wasn't involved in the deal. The concept of the deal is good, but I'll let you know. We'll we'll do a little study on that, and we'll find out." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.728, + "raw_confidence": 0.728, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "If there's if there is any problem, we'll let you know about it very quickly, but I wasn't involved in it." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "It's a big deal. It's a way of bringing back a great area, too, in addition to the pharmaceuticals. Kodak has been a great name, but obviously pretty much in a different business. And so we'll see what that's all about, but we'll we'll let you know very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, it would seem like it, based on the explosion. I've met with some of our great generals, and they just seem to feel that it was. This was not a some kind of a manufacturing explosion type of event. This was a seems to be, according to them they would know better than I would, but they seem to think it was a attack. It was a bomb of some kind. Yes." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think, actually, the numbers are lower than others. I'll get back to you on that. But we, proportionately, are lower than almost all countries. We're at the bottom of the list." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1943, + "raw_confidence": 0.8057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we're relative to cases, also, we're at the bottom of the list, which is a good thing, being at the bottom of the list. But I can get back to you. We have about four or five different lists on that. And we're, generally speaking, at the very bottom of the list. So, I'll get back to you." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2105, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, a lot of our numbers were based on the New York had a very tough time, as you know. New York, New Jersey that area. And when you take them out just as an example, take a look at Florida, relative to New York." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5856, + "raw_confidence": 0.5856, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "That's not to say anything wrong with New York. It was just a very tough place. People are close together. It's crowded. It's it's not easy." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But when you take that out, our numbers are among the lowest. And even with it in I will get back to you, but we have among the lowest numbers. They've done a fantastic job on it." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We are looking at it. We're also looking at various other things that I'm allowed to do under the system, and such as the payroll tax suspension. And so we're allowed to do things." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We're talking with the Democrats. They seem to be much more interested in solving the problems of some of the Democrat-run states and cities that have suffered greatly through bad management. I mean, really bad management. So, that seems to be where they they're looking for a trillion dollars to help out with cities that are run by Democrats in some cases, radical-left Democrats that have not done a good job." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2191, + "raw_confidence": 0.7809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I appreciate today, the Wall Street Journal said very good things that we did a great job in Portland by having our people go in. Homeland Security, Chad Wolf, and the folks we went into Portland, and we've done a great job. And they had that in an editorial, that we that we really won that situation." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But we want the whole we did save the courthouse. The courthouse was going to be burned down or knocked down. It was in tremendous danger. We went in. We took care of it. And we appreciated what the Wall Street Journal said." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "As far as the various things that I may or may not sign: I may not have to sign. I mean, progress is being made, as you know very well, on the Hill. We'll see what happens. But I have the right including the payroll tax suspension. We may do some things." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7171, + "raw_confidence": 0.7171, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We want to take care of the eviction problem. People are being evicted very unfairly. It's not their fault. It's China's fault; it's not their fault. And people are being evicted, and we can do that with an executive order. So if we don't get and we want to do it relatively quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7882, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I mean, even from the standpoint of COVID, people get evicted, and then they go into shelters, and there are thousands of people in the shelters. And this is not a time you never want to be in a shelter, but this is not a time to be in a shelter with the COVID. They catch it, they get it, and it's no good." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2375, + "raw_confidence": 0.7625, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, I may have to do something on evictions, too, because the Democrats, amazingly, don't want to do it. We offered them short-term deals, and we offered them lots of alternatives. But so far, the only thing they really want to do is bail out states that have been poorly managed by Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1575, + "raw_confidence": 0.8425, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Did you say, That's impressive? Did you actually use that term?" + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Oh, unpre- well, it's almost the same thing. Not quite. I like im- I like impressive. I like impressive much better. Not quite, but close." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, TikTok TikTok is very successful. It does tremendous business in the United States. People are riveted by it. I mean, I have many friends when they saw that announcement, they're calling. And I think their kids love it; they don't. Because they don't get to see their kids anymore, but they are it's an amazing thing, whatever it may be." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2461, + "raw_confidence": 0.7539, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And I told Microsoft and, frankly, others if they want to do it, if they make a deal for TikTok whether it's the 30 percent in the United States or the whole company, I say, It's okay. But if you do that, we're really making it possible because we're letting you operate here." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So the United States Treasury would have to benefit also, not just the not just the sellers. And I said, Inform..." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Very simple. I mean we have we have all the cards because, without us, you can't come into the United States. It's like if you're a landlord, and you have a tenant. The tenant's business needs a rent; it needs a lease. And so what I said to them is, Whatever the price is, a very big proportion of that price would have to go to the Treasury of the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And they understood that. And actually, they agreed with me. I mean, I think they agreed with me very much." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So that deal may or may not happen. We've give- given them until September 15th or so, and we'll see." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "If we can have it and there can be great security meaning, the obvious security Microsoft would be a company that would be good in that respect. They're approved in that respect at many levels, including working with the Department of Defense. And, you know, they're very high-level approvals. So it would be good, but there are other companies also." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "No, we've had other companies call us, and Microsoft called me directly. And we've had other companies call. I don't know where they are. It sounds like Microsoft is along the way of doing something. I don't blame them. It'd be you know, it's great company. It's really a great company." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But we cannot take the security risks of any of those companies including Huawei, which as you know, we put a halt to. But we can't take the security risk." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I think our attitude on China has changed greatly since the China virus hit us. I think it changed greatly. It hit the world, and it shouldn't have. They should have been able to stop it. So, we feel differently. I just don't know. When you lose" + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4168, + "raw_confidence": 0.5832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "when you lose so many thousands of people, and you know, ultimately, it'll be millions of people around the world. It's a terrible thing that happened to the United States and Europe and the entire world. Really a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, we do more testing than anybody in the world, as I explained and I don't mean just a little bit. If you look at India, they're at about 11 million, and we're at 61 million. And there comes a point when you just you want to focus your testing in a different way. And we'll be announcing some what we've done is incredible with the testing. Not only the testing" + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "not only the number of tests, but also, very importantly, the quality of the test and the machinery itself to do the testing." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1917, + "raw_confidence": 0.8083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Nobody thought it would be possible to get a 5-minute and a 15-minute result that's a very accurate result, and we do, with Abbott. Abbott Laboratories has done a great job. Many of these companies have done an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So we're looking at that very strongly. And we're looking at doing something that if we do if we do it look, right now, what the testing is doing is helpful, but we're spending massive amounts of money, and we want to have it we want to have it channeled very accurately. We want to be able to help the most people we can." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4831, + "raw_confidence": 0.5169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But we are testing at a level that no country in the world and I've spoken to the leaders of the world, and they'll ask me about it no country in the world thought it would be it's even believable that we're able to test so much. Sixty-one million versus you know, most countries don't even test. You know when they test? When somebody is feeling badly. If somebody is feeling badly, they're symptomatic, that's when they test. And that's a big difference." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "With us, we go around and looking, because if we find we find spots. We find hotspots. One problem is, from the standpoint of the media, we end up with far more cases than we would normally show. So it's you know, as I called it the other day in a statement, I said it's called media gold. You know, for the media, it's gold." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4367, + "raw_confidence": 0.5633, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But the truth is, it's we've done an incredible job on testing. Nobody in the world has done the job. Other leaders have told me the same thing, they can't believe we're able to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And and we will continue, but we want to really be able to test, very specifically, the people that are in most danger, most in need." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2164, + "raw_confidence": 0.7836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So Florida has got a great Republican governor, and it had a great Republican governor. It's got Ron DeSantis, Rick Scott two great governors. And over a long period of time, they've been able to get the absentee ballots done extremely professionally. Florida is different from other states." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7347, + "raw_confidence": 0.7347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I mean, in Nevada, where you have a governor he said, Let's just send out millions of ballots, and the Post Office cannot be prepared; I haven't spoken to the Post Office about it, but I don't know how they could possibly be prepared." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.711, + "raw_confidence": 0.711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Florida has been working on this for years. And they have a very good system of mail-in and that would be absentee or even beyond absentee. So, in the case of Florida, there aren't too many people that would qualify." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "They're so well-run. Florida is a very well-run state: low taxes, low everything. They've done a great job, really a great job. And the two governors, between the both of them, they've really got a great system of absentee ballots and even the even in the case of mail-in ballots, the postal services have built up their you know, it takes a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7236, + "raw_confidence": 0.7236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "When you look at the Carolyn Maloney election, I think they and I'll give you the story: I think you have to do that election over. That election is no good. You have to take a look." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7957, + "raw_confidence": 0.7957, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "In New York, they have thousands of ballots. They don't know what happened to them. Is there fraud? Is there it's a disaster. And that's only for a relatively small number of ballots. But I think they have to do the election in New York over." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6406, + "raw_confidence": 0.6406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The Times wrote a big story about it yesterday. Front page story. It's a disaster. It's a mess. And they have to do that I think they have to do that election over. Nobody can know what the election result is." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4105, + "raw_confidence": 0.5895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, in the case of Florida, they've done a great job and they've had tremendous success with it. But they've been doing this over many years, and they've made it really terrific." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.191, + "raw_confidence": 0.809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So, for Florida, you can mail in your ballots. You don't have to go. In maybe a couple of other states, they've worked out a system, but this took years to do. This doesn't take weeks or months." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7333, + "raw_confidence": 0.7333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "In the case of Nevada, they're going to be voting in a matter of weeks. And you can't do that. I can't imagine the Post Office could do it. All of sudden, they're supposed to be dealing in millions of ballots?" + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2172, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But Florida has done a great job, and we have total confidence that if you mail in your ballot in Florida, it's going to matter." + }, + { + "tid": "jHb_HIG3F7U", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, I think there really is. A lot of states are doing really well. The South as you know and Florida and Texas on the West, and California broke out, but they're starting to come down. And I'll tell you, Florida, Arizona, Texas, they're starting to head down. I think soon, rapidly. So we're doing very well there." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1809, + "raw_confidence": 0.8191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "But what we're really here to tell you the truth are vaccines and therapeutics. Therapeutically, if we can solve a problem which is sort of like let's get better and we are having tremendous success. That's why we're in North Carolina today because this is a great a great plant and great scientists, and they're very close to having the vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "And when that happens, we're going to distribute it in record time. You probably heard what I just said, it'll be record time. And if we can do that that'll be a great achievement. So we'll have the vaccine, but I we're going to have a vaccine very soon. By the end of the year, maybe even a little sooner than that." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "And that will be a great achievement. That would have been years ahead of schedule." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, the virus is a very tough thing. Every country is suffering. Today, Spain now is reared up again. You probably heard and a couple of others in Europe are rearing up. It's a very delicate, very contagious thing. I think the thing I'm happiest about is that I banned China very early when nobody said I should and we kept China out infected heavily infected and we we put the ban on China." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2016, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Then, we put the ban on Europe. But it's just this process, it takes a long time. We have to come up with a vaccine. We have to come up with a cure and in a sense, a cure. And that's what we're doing. Therapeutically, I think you're going to be very impressed over the next couple of weeks. And by the end of the year, we'll have the vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2448, + "raw_confidence": 0.7552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "The states have been doing a really good job. Many of them is in particular, many of them and we've had great relationships with the Governors. What we have done is we've been able to supply masses of massive amounts of whether it's ventilators or swabs or whatever it is. Ultimately, they're needed because the coverage were bare when we took over." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2788, + "raw_confidence": 0.7212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "And now, the coverage are full. So we're sending things down to Florida and various places that need whatever they need, but most of the states are loaded up." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, we're just going to be announcing that probably by the end of this week. But all I know is I'll be in North Carolina and that's a very big deal because we have a lot of the delegates there, and that'll be a nomination process. And that's essentially where the nomination where it's formalized. And I'm really honored to do it in North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We won the state. We've had great relationships, whether it's on tobacco or anything else that we're doing. Here we are today. This was a big contract that we gave to a great company in North Carolina. So, we've had really great relationships with this state. And so, I'm very happy to be back. I'll be back on the Monday just prior to." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Probably by the end of the week or early next week, yes." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I think so. The relationships we have in North Carolina are incredible. I mean, my granddaughter was named Carolina and that's pretty good. That's a good step. As you know, my daughter in law, Laura is from the state, and we've we did very well in 2016. And they say that we're going to do even better this time." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2195, + "raw_confidence": 0.7805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We've done a lot for the state. We've helped the state, whether it be through national emergencies where you had some pretty big problems, as you know, over the course of four years, or the tobacco growers we're very close to. We work with them. We work with everybody in this state. It's been a great relationship." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "No, never. I'd never thought a thing like this could happen. We won a great race and now it turned out we were spied on by President Obama and Biden and we were spied on 100%. They caught him in the act. They caught a lot of people call me. The whole group was caught. And we'll see what happens with that." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1937, + "raw_confidence": 0.8063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "But if you would have thought and then, they do the Russia, Russia, Russia, phony stuff that turned out to be a fraud. The the Mueller thing was a total disgraceful situation. They say it should have ended on the first day and it took two two and a half years. They spent $45 million and they found absolutely nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2687, + "raw_confidence": 0.7313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "If you would have told me it would have been this unpleasant in that way, but very pleasant, in the fact that nobody's accomplished more in the first three and a half years than I have. And then at the end, after we built the greatest economy in history, we get hit by the plague, the plague from China, and we shut it down and we saved millions of lives." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7915, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Now we're opening up and we're going to have a tremendous next year, and we're going to have a great third quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, really just finishing off what we've started. We've done a lot of it, whether it's Space Force or many other things as you know. But solidifying that, also, we're going to get drug prices way, way down. They're coming way down. We're doing tremendous things on healthcare, including transparency which is going to lower the costs tremendously." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "So I would say, some of those things we're going to continue on with much of what we've done. We've rebuilt the military. We've taken care of the VA. The VA now is doing incredible. We have Veterans Choice passed and Accountability which is a big deal as you know. Veterans Accountability where people don't treat our vets right." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We can do things about it now. Before, you couldn't do anything. But Veterans Choice is very big, where they don't get immediate care or immediate service, they go out, get a doctor. We pay the bill. They get themselves fixed up. So it's been a it's been a great three and a half years, but it's been very unfair." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3299, + "raw_confidence": 0.6701, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "It's been very unfair. A lot of phony witch hunts and it's it's made it less fun. But I'm not sure I could have done anymore because we've really done a lot. We've done I think more than any administration has ever done in the first three and a half years, and nobody even challenges that." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Success is going to bring us together. It was doing it before. We had the best unemployment rates we've ever had and employment rates with 160 million people almost working. That's far more than we ever had before, whether it be Black unemployment, African-American any anything you look at. Hispanic-American, Asian-American, the unemployment rates were the best in our nation's history." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2007, + "raw_confidence": 0.7993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Everything the stock market, finances, homes, home values, home equity, every single metric was at the top. Women were in the best shape we've ever been in from the employment standpoint and from a weight standpoint. With all of that, things were really starting to come together. Then, we got hit with the virus and we had to close it to save millions of lives." + }, + { + "tid": "JJW8Dfbt_n0", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-david-crabtree-wral-tv-raleigh-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "We opened it tell your daughter we have a tremendous future. I think that next year we're going to have the best year we've ever had. And that's it's heading in that direction. Especially, if we come up with therapeutics and a vaccine which we're doing. That's why I'm in North Carolina today." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much today my administration reached a historic agreement with Pfizer to produce and deliver 100 million doses of their vaccine immediately following its approval. Hopefully, the approval process will go very quickly and we think we have a winner there. We also think we have other companies right behind that are doing very well in the vaccines, long ahead of schedule as part of Operation Warp Speed." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "This agreement will also ensure that we receive an additional 500 million doses shortly thereafter. This is another crucial step in our effort to develop, manufacture and distribute a vaccine in record breaking time, really a very small fraction of the time based on previous schedules. I want to thank the FDA." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I want to thank everybody involved. It's been an incredible process as discussed yesterday. The China virus poses the greatest threat to our senior citizens. As we all know, the median age for those who died from the virus is 78 years old and nearly half of the deaths have occurred among those living in nursing homes or long term care facilities." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "That's really something. In other words, approximately half of the fatalities have occurred among less than 1 percent of the U.S population, so think of that less than 1 percent half of the fatalities. So we know what to look for from the beginning. We have made it our top priority to shelter our seniors." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "In early March, we announced guidelines suspending all medically unnecessary visits to nursing homes and prioritized resources for those facilities, and we gave it a very strong priority. Fema has sent shipments to many different locations of protective equipment and it's going directly to fifteen thousand four hundred Medicaid and Medicare certified nursing homes throughout the country." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Today, I'd like to provide an update on the additional actions we've been able to take and they've been very constructive. First we're requiring increased testing of the nursing home personnel in states where you had the worst outbreaks, all personnel will be tested at the highest level. We're distributing 15000 rapid point of care diagnostic devices to support this effort." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "These are the tests where it takes five minutes or 15 minutes are very accurate, they're very good and we're sending them all over the country and over six hundred devices will be also shipped this week to additional facilities. Second, HHS will be distributing an additional five billion dollars from the provider Relief Fund to all nursing homes, nursing homes and higher risk areas we'll be receiving more funding." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "This money can be used to address critical needs, including the hiring of additional staff, increasing testing and providing technology support. So residents can connect their families and they can connect to their families. They are having a tremendous time. They want to be with their loved ones. They can't do it, so what we're doing is we're working it so that we can connect, have them connect with their families if they're not able to visit." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Third, we've been identifying especially high risk nursing homes and sharing that information with the governors, so that the governors and their staffs can take appropriate action. We're able to find because of the testing programs and other means we're able to find certain areas that are very high risk." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "The governors can then take action. Additionally, CNS CDC and the U.S public Health Service are providing enhanced technical assistance and support, including visits to the highest risk, nursing homes and that's their priority right now. Nursing homes but the highest risk, nursing homes, CNS and CDC, are implementing a national training program focused on infection control for those nursing homes that need it most and we have them surveyed and we have them mostly pinpointed." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2038, + "raw_confidence": 0.7962, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Over the past few months, we've created a surveillance system to detect outbreaks and currently ninety nine percent of all nursing homes are reporting directly to it. So we have great data when a nursing home has three or more cases. We alert this state and make sure that it responds very quickly we check on it make sure they respond very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I want to send a message of support and hope to every senior citizen who has been dealing with the struggle of isolation in what should be the golden years of your life. We will get to the other end of that tunnel very quickly. We hope the light is starting to shine. We will get there very quickly, but we send our love." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We send a message of love, very important, we're with you all the way. As far as the outbreak in the Sunbelt I said yesterday, we continue to vigorously combat the rise of cases in the south and southwest in the West, we're closely monitoring and aggressively acting to control the infection in Texas, Arizona, California, Florida Arizona is starting to come down On a very good job, they're all doing a good job, the very talented people there are likely a number of causes for the spike in infections." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Cases started to rise among young Americans shortly after demonstrations, which you know very well about which presumably triggered a broader relaxation of mitigation efforts. Nationwide and a substantial increase in travel also was a cause. Increased gathering on holidays such as Memorial Day as well as young people, closely congregating at bars and probably other places, maybe beaches, four or five different listed places." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4949, + "raw_confidence": 0.5051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We have 12 that are listed on the guide, likely also contributed we're also sharing a 2000 mile border with Mexico, as we know very well, and cases are surging in Mexico, unfortunately, is with the president and it's a big problem for Mexico, but cases are surging very Sharply and all across the rest of the Western Hemisphere, two hundred and fifty seven miles of newly constructed wall along the southern border has had a great positive impact on people coming in and we have record low numbers of people coming in illegally." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "That's helped greatly. It was really meant for a different purpose, but it worked out very well for what we're doing right down for the pandemic nationwide beyond the outbreak in several states, cases remain low and very stable. 19 states have positive test rates of less than 5 percent. Eight states have positive test rates of less than 2 percent or nationwide positive test rate is beginning to decline and is currently at eight point, eight percent compared to over 16 percent at its peak in April." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "It's coming down it's coming down fairly rapidly. Today we surpassed first time we surpassed 50 million tests, that's far more than any country in the world. India is second, we believe we think it's one point: four billion people it's about twelve million test. We have 50 million tests, we're working with every state to ensure the supply of remedies severe for early case intervention and steroid treatment and various other treatments for those that are seriously ill." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We're working very closely with hospitals, doctors, nursing homes, everybody, the death, severe, has proven to be a terrific case. Fatality rate continues to decline and we want to push this rate even lower. The therapeutic research continues daily or new and very promising treatments, including antibody treatments and the use of blood, thinners and steroids." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1941, + "raw_confidence": 0.8059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "A lot of different things are happening, and a lot of things are coming out that we wouldn't have known number of months ago, we're doing tremendously. Well, on therapeutic research and tremendously well into vaccines and, frankly, therapeutically or maybe a word even beyond that word is cure would be the best of all and we'll see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But that would be great if we could go into the hospital and just cure people and we're at a position where we're actually able to to a certain extent with what we have right now. And we think that a very short period of time we'll be able to do that. Our strategy is to shelter the highest risk Americans, while allowing younger and healthier citizens to return to work or school, while being careful and very vigilant, wear a mask socially distance and repeatedly wash your hands practice very, very good sanitary means." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You have to do this. You have to just do it, you have to look at it differently, wash your hands. Often I'm finding more and more people are saying wash your hands so wash your hands. We want young Americans to avoid packed bars and other crowded into a gatherings and we're all in this together and as Americans we're going to get this complete we're going to do it properly." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We've been doing it properly. Sections of the country come up that we didn't anticipate, for instance, Florida, Texas, et cetera, but we're working with very talented people, very brilliant people, and it's all going to work out and it is working out so with that I'll. Take a few questions. Please. Yes, please." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Yeah these cities, unfortunately that are in trouble, are all run by Democrats. You have radical left Democrats, running cities like Chicago and so many others that we just had a news conference and unfortunately, that's the way it is. I mean that's the facts when you look at Chicago and you look at the job Mayor, Lightfoot sent me a letter yesterday and I think in their own way." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "They want us to go and there'll be a time when they're going to want us to go in full blast, but right now we're sending extra people to help we're arresting a lot of people that have been very bad as far as the corona virus. As you say, I think we've done some amazing things and I think you'll probably see that if you compare our statistics to other countries and if you look at death rates et cetera you're going to see an especially into the future with what's happening, you're going to See some very, very impressive numbers for the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I am comfortable with that and we do have a national strategy but, as you know, ultimately it's up to the governors of the states, I think most governors, many governors, want these schools open. I would like to see the schools open, especially when you see statistics like this. We have great statistics and on young people and on safety, so we would like to see schools open." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We want to see the economy open. We just had a report literally as I walk in, that we set an all time record on housing price increases up. I think they said 21 percent, which is a record. That's never happened before that's a great sign. We have an economy, that's going to be booming. It's going to be a lot of jobs are being produced, the job numbers will be coming out shortly, meaning over the next week or so, and I think it'll be a continuation of the last two months." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "The last two months have been incredible, so I think we're gon na have a great economy. You can have a fantastic next year. I think you're gon na have a very good third quarter, actually w here. The third quarter numbers come out. Interestingly they'll be announced just before the election they'll be announced around November 1st, so yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.636, + "raw_confidence": 0.636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I would like to see the schools open, open, 100 percent and we'll do it safely. We'll do it carefully. But when you look at the statistics, the statistics I just read having to do with children and and safety they're, very impressive." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2476, + "raw_confidence": 0.7524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "So they say that they don't transmit very easily and a lot of people are saying they don't transmit and we're looking at that we're studying John, very hard that particular subject that they don't bring it home with them. Now they don't catch it easily. They don't bring it home easily and if they do catch it, they get better fast." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We'll look into that fact. That is a factor and we're looking at that very strongly. We'll be reporting about that over the next week, plus" + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1864, + "raw_confidence": 0.8136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, a lot of the governors have different requirements. Some of the governors are very strong and mask others. Aren't I think it's really going to ultimately be up to them we've, given them the facts, we've given them everything. We know they have their own facts. Some are strong and masks and, as you know, some aren't in the same ballpark, but I think well, I think, all is suggesting." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7131, + "raw_confidence": 0.7131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "If you want to wear a mask, you wear it, I bring one. I have one I've worn it and I think when I'm in certain settings like hospitals and various or when I'm close, when you know when you can't socially distance, I believe in it. Let's see do I do. I have it and if, if you don't win certain in certain instances, I think you really, I think you want to travel with a mask." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "There are instances where you really can use it. I would believe it would be a good thing. You have a question." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We're going to we're going to make a decision over the next 24 hours, we'll let you know what that decision is. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "No, I said Democrat politicians, and these are the cities where you have the problem. If you look at Chicago, if you look at Detroit, if you look, I mean look around any of these cities where we have the problems and we're sending them help, but we're really waiting for them to call for the big help for the big numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "For the large numbers of people that we have ready, willing and able you look at Chicago where 14 people were shot yesterday, where over the weekend, many people died and many people were shot and over the last month, setting record numbers. We are waiting for the mayor. Respectfully and other mayors and governors to call us we are ready, willing and able to go in there with great force." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1881, + "raw_confidence": 0.8119, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Now we also have people that are going in and arresting drug dealers arresting some of the shooters that are doing the shooting. We know who they are we're working with police forces and even though, in some cases, they're told don't work with the federal government. The police forces have great re spect for the federal government, what we do, but we're ready, willing and able to go into these cities that are just being decimated with shooting and we're going to help police." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2583, + "raw_confidence": 0.7417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Because they're briefing me I'm meeting them, I just spoke to Dr Fauci. Dr Birx is right outside and they're giving me all of everything they know. As of as of this point in time, and I'm giving the information to you and I think it's probably a very concise way of doing it, it seems to be working out very well, but they're very much they're very much involved, they're very much." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "What the relationships are all very good, all very good. The relationships that we have with the doctors with everybody working on the virus has been, I think, extraordinary, Kayleigh's here, and I think you would say the same thing you work with them all the time. You go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1944, + "raw_confidence": 0.8056, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Chicago is a disaster. The mayor is saying, don't come in the mayor is telling us not to come in at some point. We can avoid that if we have to, but we and we may have to it's sad because it's out of control. I assume she's saying that, for political reasons, I think it's negative political reasons: she's a she's, a Democrat, I'm gonna be now she's a Democrat she's, making a big mistake." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "People are dying in Chicago and other cities and we can solve the problem. They have to ask us, but we can solve the problem. President Obama's" + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4603, + "raw_confidence": 0.5397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "President Obama could have gone into Chicago, he could have solved the problem and he didn't in our case. They don't want us and we can solve the problem very easily, we're equipped with the best equipment. The best people and you see what we're doing I mean Portland was coming down. It was busting at the seams and we went in to protect it all the federal buildings." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4276, + "raw_confidence": 0.5724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Those federal buildings are totally protected, but, and we had to do that in Portland's, a very different place than Chicago, but Chicago should be calling us and so should Philadelphia and Detroit and others to go in and really help them, because, when you're losing many people a Weekend many many people, you see the same numbers as I do when you're losing these people." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "They should call us and they should say, come on in and it's incredible to me, but they're not doing it at some point. They will at some point we may have no other choice but to go and Jeff please. Mr president, are you looking at closing further Chinese embassies in the United States?" + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7786, + "raw_confidence": 0.7786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And did you ask Ambassador Woody Johnson to bring the British Open to your Turnberry or Turnberry property in Scotland?" + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2114, + "raw_confidence": 0.7886, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "No, I never spoke to Woody Johnson about that about Turnberry Turnberry is a highly respected course, as you know, one of the best in the world and I read it I read a story about it today and I had never. I never spoke to Woody Johnson about doing that. No, as far as closing additional embassies, it's always possible." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You see. What's going on, we thought there was a fire in the one that we did close and everybody said. There's a fire there's a fire and I guess they were burning. Documents are burning papers and I wonder what that's all about. Okay? How about one or two more. Please? Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, you know it's interesting because we did criminal justice reform. We've passed criminal justice reform, something that Obama and Biden were unable to do. We did opportunity cities, we did the greatest. If you look at what we've done with Opportunity Zones nobody's ever even thought of a plan like that prior to the China plague coming in floating in coming into our country and really doing terrible things all over the world doing terrible things." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We had the best African-American Hispanic American Asian-American. Almost every group was the best for unemployment. The unemployment numbers were the best you look at so you look at employment. You look at opportunity zones and maybe, most importantly, when you look at criminal justice reform, you look at prison reform." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1916, + "raw_confidence": 0.8084, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I've done things that nobody else and I've said this and I say it openly and not a lot of people dispute it. I've done more for black Americans than anybody with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln. Nobody has even been close. Thank you very much everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "So we expect to have something over a period of time over the appropriate period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I didn't say I that. I didn't say who supported" + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "No. I said Democrat politicians, and these are the cities where you have the problem. If you look at Chicago, if you look at Detroit, if you look I mean, look around any of these cities where we have the problems." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And we're sending them help, but we're really waiting for them to call for the big help, for the big numbers, for the large numbers of people that we have ready, willing, and able." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7667, + "raw_confidence": 0.7667, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You look at Chicago, where 14 people were shot yesterday; where, over the weekend, many people died and many people were shot; and, over the last month, they're setting record numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We are waiting for the mayor, respectfully, and other mayors and governors to call us. We are ready, willing, and able to go in there with great force." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1958, + "raw_confidence": 0.8042, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Now, we also have people that are going in and arresting drug dealers, arresting some of the shooters that are doing the shooting. We know who they are. We're working with police forces. And even though, in some cases, they're told, Don't work with the federal government, the police forces have great respect for the federal government what we do." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But we're ready, willing, and able to go into these cities that are just being decimated with shooting. And we're going to help." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Because they are briefing me. I'm meeting them. I just spoke to Dr. Fauci. Dr. Birx is right outside. And they giving me all of everything they know, as of as of this point in time. And I'm giving the information to you, and I think it's probably a very concise way of doing it. It seems to be working out very well." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But they're very much they're very much involved. They're very much the relationships are all very good. All very good. The relationships that we have with the doctors, with everybody working on the virus has been, I think, extraordinary." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Kayleigh is here, and I think you would say the same thing. You work with them all the time." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7552, + "raw_confidence": 0.7552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Chicago is a disaster. The mayor is saying, Don't come in. The mayor is telling us not to come in. At some point, we can void that if we have to, but we and we may have to, at some because it's out of control. I assume she's saying that for political reasons. I think it's negative political reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "She's a she's a Democrat. I'm going to be nice. She's a Democrat. She's making a big mistake. People are dying in Chicago and other cities, and we can solve the problem. They have to ask us, but" + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Because President Obama was invited in, and he did a poor job. President Obama could have gone into Chicago. He could have solved the problem, and he didn't. In our case, they don't want us in. We can solve the problem very easily. We're equipped with the best equipment, the best people." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2925, + "raw_confidence": 0.7075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And you see what we're doing. I mean, Portland was coming down; it was busting at the seams. And we went in and protected all the federal buildings. Those federal buildings are totally protected. But and we had to do that. And Portland is a very different place than Chicago." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But Chicago should be calling us and so should Philadelphia and Detroit and others to go in and really help them. Because when you're losing many people a weekend many, many people; you see the same numbers as I do when you're losing these people, they should call us, and they should say, Come on in. And it's incredible to me, but they're not doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "At some point, they will. At some point, we may have no other choice but to go in." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3734, + "raw_confidence": 0.6266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "No, I never spoke to Woody Johnson about that, about Turnberry. Turnberry is a highly respected course, as you know one of the best in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And I read I read a story about it today. And I had never I never spoke to Woody Johnson about doing that. No." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7225, + "raw_confidence": 0.7225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "As far as closing additional embassies, it's always possible. You see what's going on. We thought there was a fire in the one that we did close. And everybody said, There's a fire. There's a fire. And I guess they were burning documents or burning papers, and I wonder what that's all about." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Okay, how about one or two more? Please." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, it's interesting because we did criminal justice reform. We passed criminal justice reform, something that Obama and Biden were unable to do. We did opportunity cities. We did the greatest if you look at what we've done with Opportunity Zones, nobody has ever even thought of a plan like that." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7911, + "raw_confidence": 0.7911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Prior to the China plague coming in, floating in, coming into our country, and really doing terrible things all over the world doing terrible things we had the best African American, Hispanic American, Asian American almost every group was the best for unemployment. The unemployment numbers were the best." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You look at so you look at employment; you look at Opportunity Zones; and maybe most importantly of all, you look at criminal justice reform; you look at prison reform. I've done things that nobody else and I've said this, and I say it openly, and not a lot of people dispute it: I've done more for black Americans than anybody, with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln. Nobody has even been close." + }, + { + "tid": "jTtAcwXNI-s", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "They are, Marc. They are going really well. I watch you all the time. And I watch you're almost like my guide to this, because, frankly, you really have a good take on it. You know how important it is. The vaccines are doing well and therapeutics. I mean, you tell me, but I almost would prefer the therapeutics even first." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You go into the hospital, you make people better. But we are doing very well with Remdesivir and other things. The steroids are turning out to be great. Plasma is turning out to be really good. We have made tremendous progress. And I think that's why you see the death numbers it's a horrible thing to say, but that's why you see the death numbers really looking much better." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, you know the way it works. If I'm the first one, they will say, he's so selfish, he wanted to get the vaccine first. And then other people would say, hey, that's a very brave thing to do. I would absolutely if they wanted me to, if they thought it was right, I would take it first or I would take it last, Marc, because you know that if I take it first, I will be either way, I lose on that one, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "If I take it first, and if I take it if I don't take it, they will say, he doesn't believe in the program. But whatever I think is best, whatever we all agree is best, I would certainly do that." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You know, you can almost see it on television. I have watched some of these guys. I watched well, I won't say, because it's not somebody I have a lot of liking or respect for, but a certain comedian that's been locked in his house for a long period of time, and he's, like, withered away. He's lost the whole deal." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "He's lost the wit. He's lost so much. I almost would like to use him as an example. But you can use more than just him. It's hurting people. These lockdowns are hurting people. We did the right thing, Marc. I don't know if you agree, but I think you do. We closed it down. We understood the disease. We didn't know anything about this." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "This came in. This was new. We understood the disease. We banned China from coming in, which was a big move. In fact, Dr. Fauci actually said that I saved tens of thousands of lives. And if you remember, I was the only one that wanted to do it. Nobody we had an office of 21 people. Everyone said no. But I said, you've got to do it, because you could see the infection in China." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2073, + "raw_confidence": 0.7927, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We banned. Then we banned Europe from coming in, which was good, with Italy and all the problems. But we did it right. We closed it up. And now we're opening. And we have learned. For instance, we have learned that the elderly especially, obviously you can say this better than anybody the elderly who have diabetes or have heart problems, have a problem, they are really susceptible." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.217, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And you know, when people like to compare it to the flu, it is interesting, because I see the flu numbers, and they are very bad. But when I look at flu numbers, and I look, I never lost anybody to the flu. I never had somebody over my life, I have heard many people had the flu. They had the flu. How you doing?" + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6729, + "raw_confidence": 0.6729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I have the flu. Nobody died. I never remember anybody saying, like, you know, he had the flu, he died. I have lost five people, probably six, actually, as of this moment, I think, pretty soon. But I have lost five friends that went in. One of them tested, great guy, Stanley Chera, one of the top real estate people in New York, very successful man, good man, too, never into politics until I ran." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "He was he became like a political wild man. He loved it, but a great guy with great spirit. He said: I tested positive. And I said: Well, that's too bad, but you will be OK. Oh, I will be OK. He went to the hospital. Two days later, he's in a coma. I say, how is Stanley doing? He is in a coma. And, two days later, he died." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And you know, that's happened on numerous occasions. Probably happened to you with people, too. I never remember anything like that. It didn't I mean, I never remember this happening with the flu. So, this is a very serious thing. But we have learned people Stanley was an older guy. He perhaps could have lost a couple of pounds." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Actually, I always thought of him as healthy, but other people that are healthy. The age is such a big factor. When you look in New Jersey, I happen to like he's liberal, but I get along with him very well, your governor of New Jersey, right, Governor Murphy. He said they had with the thousands of deaths, they had one death under the age of 18. And I believe that young person had diabetes, but one death out of thousands of people, one death." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And that's an amazing statistic. So, we wouldn't have known that at the beginning. In all fairness, you didn't know the elderly would be so badly hurt. So, we're really taking care of the elderly population right now, at a level that has never happened before." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "We're going to beat it, yes. We're going to beat it. And with time, you're going to be it, time. You know, I say, it's going to disappear. And they say, oh, that's terrible. He said well, it's true. I mean, it's going to disappear. Before it disappears, I think we can knock it out before it disappears." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1887, + "raw_confidence": 0.8113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "That's what I want. And if I had my choice of vaccines or therapeutics, give me therapeutics every time, because I'd love to walk into a hospital and give everybody something, and they start walking out in two days. That's what I'd like. Vaccine is very good longer term, but give me therapeutics. And we're doing really good work therapeutically." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we have to be in good health. I'll tell you what. This is a very a very important job, to put it mildly. There's nothing like it. And I will also say and I think I have had to work harder than others, because I have been attacked from fronts that nobody ever got attacked on, you know, with fake investigations, fake Russia, Russia, Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2007, + "raw_confidence": 0.7993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I mean, nobody's gone through and yet I have done more than any president in the first three years in history. There's no president that has done what we have done with rebuilding the military, the judges, the we will up to almost 300 judges, including two great Supreme Court judges, at the end of this term." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "So, it's really something that's been great. But you need stamina, you need physical health, and you need mental health. And because you have so much fake news, every once in a while, you would say, first, they'd say, he wants to take over the world. He's going to take over the world. He's a dictator. The next day, they will say, he's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2278, + "raw_confidence": 0.7722, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "The next day, they will say, oh, he's incompetent. The next day, they will say something else. So, the last time I was at the hospital, well, probably a year ago, a little less than a year ago, I asked the doctor. I said: Is there some kind of a cognitive test that I could take? Because I have been hearing about it, because I want to shut these people up. They're they're fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "They make up stories. I mean, like, I will do an interview with you. You I didn't say you can ask me about this, you can't I say, ask me anything. I did one with Chris Wallace. He was nice enough to say. He said, I just want to tell the audience there was no question that's off bounds, OK? And he's a tough cookie." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And it was a good interview. I liked it. I enjoyed it. And it was good. But I didn't say, you can only ask this. You can only we have to be sharp. If you're in the office of the presidency, we have to be sharp. So, they were saying all these different things. It was going all over, whichever stuck. None of it stuck, fortunately." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.188, + "raw_confidence": 0.812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But one of the reasons it didn't is that I took a test. I said to the doctor it was Dr. Ronny Jackson I said: Is there some kind of a test, an acuity test? And he said: There actually is. And he named it, whatever it might be. And it was 30 or 35 questions. The first questions are very easy. The last questions are much more difficult, like a memory question." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "It's like, you will go person, woman, man, camera, TV. So, they say, could you repeat that? So, I said, yes. So, it's person, woman, man, camera, TV. OK, that's very good. If you get it in order, you get extra points. If you OK, now he's asking you other questions, other questions. And then 10 minutes, 15, 20 minutes later, they say, remember the first question, not the first, but the 10th question?" + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Give us that again. Can you do that again? And you go, person, woman, man, camera TV. If you get it in order, you get extra points. They said, nobody gets it in order. It's actually not that easy. But, for me, it was easy. And that's not an easy question. In other words, they ask you to they give you five names, and you have to repeat them." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And that's OK. If you repeat them out of order, it's OK, but you know, it's not as good. But then, when you go back, about 20, 25 minutes later, and they say, go back to that question they don't tell you this. Go back to that question, and repeat them. Can you do it? And you go, person, woman, man, camera, TV. They say: That's amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "How did you do that? I do it because I have, like, a good memory, because I'm cognitively there. Now, Joe should take that test, because something's going on. And I say this with respect. I mean, it's going to probably happen to all of us, right? You know, it's going to happen. But we can't take a chance of it happening." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7871, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "When you're dealing with Russia, when you're and there's nobody been tougher to Russia than me, nobody been tougher to China than me. I can tell you right now, they would love to see Joe Biden, instead of Trump. We have taken in billions and billions, tens of billions of dollars from China, which they never gave us anything." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "They had the worst year. Before the plague came in, they had the worst year in their just about in their history, 67 years. It was the worst year they had in 67 years, before the plague. And we were doing great. We had the best economy. But we have to have somebody that is sharp. If this person isn't sharp because, I can tell you, President Xi is sharp." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6833, + "raw_confidence": 0.6833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "President Putin is sharp. Erdogan is sharp. You don't have any non-sharp people that you're dealing with. And we can't have somebody that's not 100 percent. So, what I did is, when they announced when you know, it's a public test. And he said: You know, if you take this test, we may have to reveal that." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I said: It's all right. I mean, is it tough? Tell me about it. I never heard of it. And I got a perfect mark. And the doctors were they said: Very few people can do that. Very few people get that. You understand." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "It's not that easy. There were other questions tougher than what I just did. But it's not that easy. But, as soon as they announced my score and that test, all the stuff went away about me. Is he competent? Remember, they're talking about 25th Amendment and nonsense. And they said, wow. And even the enemies, they don't say that anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But they do say it about Joe Biden. And, honestly, he should take the test. In a way, he has an obligation to, because you have to be able to show this country that the person that we're picking as leader is sharp, because we're dealing with people that want to do very bad things to us, if they had the chance." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And you have to be sharper than them. So, in a certain way, Joe Biden has an obligation to take a test like that one or something else." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2046, + "raw_confidence": 0.7954, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm going with the experts. I happen to think we're doing more testing than anybody in the world, by far. I think second is India with 12 million. We're going to be at over 50 million tests this weekend. And, to me, it every time you test, you find a case, and you know, it gets reported in the news we found more cases." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "If, instead of 50, we did 25, we would have half the number of cases. So, I personally think it's overrated. But I am totally willing to keep doing it. You know, we have so many more tests than any other country, by far. And I the president of Mexico came to see me. I said: What do you do? And Mexico's got some very big problems." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I mean, they test when somebody goes into a hospital. They might test a little area, but it's very limited testing. And this is true with most countries. We're spending a lot of money on massive testing. And I'm OK with it. The experts are saying it's a good thing to do. But we have done 50 million tests." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2215, + "raw_confidence": 0.7785, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And India, a pretty big country, 1.4 billion people, they have done one-third of the number of tests that we have done, one-fourth of the number of tests that we have done. So, I'm OK with it, if they want to do it. But I again, it makes us look bad, but they say it's good. I don't mind looking bad, if it's a good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1837, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But think of it. If, instead of 50 million, we did 25 million, we have half the number of cases. The cases would be down. Here would be the normal headline. Not for me, it wouldn't be, but for anybody else, they'd say, cases cut in half, OK? But they wouldn't report it that way." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3392, + "raw_confidence": 0.6608, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "I'd like to see them open. And, again, the children, whether it's immune system, I guess it's I was watching you one night. You said immune system. Whatever it is, they're a lot stronger than we are, because it just doesn't have an impact, doesn't have any almost any impact. It's a tiny percentage of one percent." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1567, + "raw_confidence": 0.8433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "It's like meaning much, much less than one percent. I'd like to see the schools open. The country has to open. You know, we did the right thing. We closed it down. We saved millions of lives. Now we're opening it up. And I think the Democrats are actually doing it largely for political reasons. They think the economy won't be as strong, because we're doing very well with jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4215, + "raw_confidence": 0.5785, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "You saw we broke the record two months in a row with job numbers. A lot I really believe the Democrats are doing this for a political reason. If you close down California you know, it's a big state you close down some of these places, it's not going to show. Watch. On November 4, everything will open up." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2028, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, on the masks, my attitude is that, when I was at the hospital, I felt very comfortable wearing the mask. I was seeing young people that were hurt very badly in military situations. And I felt for them, not for me, I felt for them my wearing a mask was a good thing. I felt extremely comfortable. I don't feel comfortable in other settings." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "When I'm all by myself on a stage and everybody's way far away, I don't think it's something that you have to do or should do. But everyone around me is tested. So, I'm not the perfect person to talk about it. But I believe that you should wear it, even if there's a one percent chance it helps. You know, when you look at Dr. Fauci and others and this isn't a knock, because this is just the way it if you look, early on, they were all saying, don't wear a mask." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Don't wear a mask. That didn't make total sense to me, but don't wear a mask. Now they're all saying, wear a mask. My attitude is, it probably helps. Give it a shot, because we have to win this thing. So, it's not a question of pride. It's not a question of anything. We have to win this. So, when you're in a certain situation, I think you should wear a mask." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Well, he did. And he was hit so hard that he stopped doing that. He was trying to say that he listened to a guideline, because, really, it was common sense. We gave them a tremendous facility that they really didn't use. We built a hospital with 2,800 beds. They could have used that. That was clean, 100 percent clean." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "And, unfortunately, they made and it was a mistake. And it was a sad mistake. But he's worked very hard. I mean, in all fairness to Governor Cuomo, he's worked very hard. We have gotten along very well. I think, overall, he's actually said we have done an outstanding job. He actually said, he's done a phenomenal job, from the federal government standpoint." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "So, we moved the ship in. We had a lot of room there. It wasn't utilized like it could have been. And we had the Javits Convention Center, where we had 2,800 beds built. And that wasn't used, or very certainly not very much. It would have been great, in retrospect, if they would have used that for some of these patients." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3095, + "raw_confidence": 0.6905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "Moving infected people back in certainly was not the answer. And we're very, very careful all over the country. I mean, you wouldn't even have to be. Every governor watched that. And they're all I think nursing homes right now are very heavily protected. They have to be. But they're very heavily protected." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "So, I think she's one of the finest people I have ever met in the world of medicine, medical. You know, she is responsible for all of the incredible work that's taken place on AIDS in Africa. Millions of people are alive right now because of her. She's an unbelievable woman, a woman of tremendous substance and style, frankly." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "She has an amazing style. She walks into the room, and she can take a scarf and do 15 things with it. And she is really somebody that and that's the least important thing. She is a brilliant woman. She's a great woman. She gets some very unfair treatment, in my opinion. I read one story in The New York Times, which is fake news, largely." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "But they want to knock her. I think they knock her because she probably is on my side. But she's a fantastic woman who's done a fantastic job. Long before this came up, she was she was involved in things. You have to look at her background. Her background is incredible. She's a brilliant woman who's a fine, fine person." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "It's highly political. And the Democrats are using it for political reasons and political purposes. And it shouldn't be. This should be a team effort. But, regardless, to a certain extent, it is what it is. It's going to burn out. But we're going to have vaccines. We're going have therapeutics. Some of the therapeutics that we already have are really working well, the Remdesivir." + }, + { + "tid": "JZGPpFr_2Nc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-marc-siegel-fox-news-july-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-22", + "claim_text": "The hard part is getting so much of it. The steroids work. And I mean, I must tell you, you know some of the things that are happening are incredible. They're saving a lot of lives. But we're going to have in a short period of time, we're going to have some really good therapeutics. We're also going to have some really good vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much and good afternoon today. I want to provide an update on our response to the China virus and what my administration is doing to get the outbreak in the Sunbelt under control seems largely in Sunbelt but could be spreading. My team is also working night and day with Capitol Hill to advance the next economic relief package, we're working very hard on it, we're making a lot of progress." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I also know that both sides want to get it done, we'll call it phase four. I think we're going to get it done, we'll protect our workers, our schools and our families and protect them very strongly. As one family we mourn every precious life, that's been lost, I pledge in their honor that we will develop a vaccine and we will defeat the virus we're doing very well with vaccine development and therapeutic development." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "But I want to thank our brave doctors and nurses and frontline responders the job they do is incredible and they are truly brave. My administration will stop at nothing to save lives and shield. The vulnerable which is so important. We've learned so much about this disease and we know who the vulnerable are and we are going to indeed kill them and again the vaccines are coming and they're coming a lot sooner than anyone thought possible by years." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "If you look at the old system and look at the new system, I think by years the China virus is a vicious and dangerous illness, but we've learned a great deal about it and who are targets. We are in the process of developing a strategy. That's going to be very, very powerful. We've developed as we go along some areas of our country are doing very well, others are doing less well." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "It will probably, unfortunately, get worse before it gets better, something I don't like saying about things, but that's the way. It is it's the way it's what we have. You look over the world, it's all over the world, and it tends to do that. The governors are working very very hard and we are supporting them 100 percent everything they need they get and we are taking good care." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1846, + "raw_confidence": 0.8154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We h ave, tremendous supplies and a great supply chain, whether it's ventilators or gowns, or just about anything they need. So that's a big difference from inheriting very, very empty cupboards. The median age of those who used to come to the China virus is 78 years old. Roughly half of all deaths have been individuals in nursing homes or long term care in one study." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7475, + "raw_confidence": 0.7475, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "90 percent of those hospitalized had underlying medical conditions, whether it's heart or diabetes, but usually it's some kind of a condition. It seems that people have that and if they do it's a problem, no question about it. Younger adults may often have mild or even no symptoms. They won't even know they're sick." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "They won't have any idea that they have a virus. They won't have any idea at all. America's youth will act responsibly and we're asking everybody that when you are not able to socially distance wear a mask get a mask whether you like the mask or not, they have an impact, they'll have an effect and we need everything we can get." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Data shows children have the lowest fatality risk. Ninety nine point: nine six percent of all virus fatalities are in adults. Think of that. So that's much much much less than 1 percen t for children, young people by understanding these risk profiles and learning how to treat the disease we've been able to greatly reduce mortality in the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "In fact, we'll show you a chart and how well we do compared to the rest of the world. We've have several treatments already available that significantly reduce the severity and duration of the disease, including REM disappear, which has been very successful and a widely available steroid treatment, and we have many more happening in coming out." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "But the doctors have become incredibly and nurses and helpers have become incredibly good at the use of a ventilator, which is actually a very complicated procedure and allocating room disappeared to hospitals based on new admissions, since it works best early in hospitalization. And that's something that they've really started they're using it much earlier fatalities nationwide have fallen 75 percent since mid-April that's a great number, as cases and fatalities rise in certain hard hit states which you're looking at right now we're surging personnel supplies and therapeutics." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We again have tremendous amounts of supplies. We are in very good shape and we can move them quickly. Our case fatality rate has continued to decline and is lower than the European Union and almost everywhere else in the world. If you watch American television, you think that the United States was the only country involved with and suffering from the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, the world is suffering very badly, but the fact is that many countries are suffering very, very, very badly and they've been suffering from this virus for a long time, we've done much better than most and with the fatality rate at a lower rate than most. It's something that we can talk about, but we're working again with them, because we're helping a lot of countries that people don't even know about." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2305, + "raw_confidence": 0.7695, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Today, the average age is significantly younger. Hospital lengths of stay are almost half of what they were in April, so the stays are about. Half the rate of cases requiring hospitalization has been reduced and mortality among those admitted to the hospital is nearly one half of what it was in April, we've learned a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We've learned a lot about this disease how to handle it. The doctors have learned a lot not only in the use of the ventilators, but in many other things, and things are happening too, like the deaths of Erin and other elements, steroids, etc. But these trends could change without our continued and relentless focus and that's what we have." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We have a relentless focus and it's been that way from the beginning, but we've learned so much. As you know, in recent weeks, we've seen a concern ing rise in the cases in many parts of our south. You look at south southwest and west. This growth in cases first began to appear in mid-June, primarily among 18 to 35 year olds, many of whom were asymptomatic." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2294, + "raw_confidence": 0.7706, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We're also facing the challenge of a significant spice and virus cases across the rest of the Western Hemisphere, including Mexico, Mexico's been hit very, very, very hard. As you know, the President, a great gentleman was here two weeks ago and they have really been hit hard, because we've achieved a nearly fourfold increase in testing capacity in two months." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2318, + "raw_confidence": 0.7682, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We're successfully identifying more a symptomatic and mild cases, some cases so mild that you really don't even treat them some cases with children where they don't even know that they're ill and I guess, they're not very ill because they recover almost immediately per capita. The U.S is conducting 50 percent more tests than Europe, and we've conducted nearly three times as many Tests as all of the other countries in the Western Hemisphere combined be over 50 million tests." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "This allows us to isolate those who are infected even those without symptoms. So we know exactly where it's going and when it's going to be there we're also working to reduce turnaround time. My administration has been aggressively responding to case growth in the Sunbelt and we continue to do so working very close with all governors, but right now in particular those governors we're coordinating closely with hospitals and governors." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2091, + "raw_confidence": 0.7909, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "In the last three weeks, I've sent senior officials into nine states to meet with governors and provide recommendations to the various leaders of the state, including hospital administrators, etc. My administration currently has zero unfilled requests for unfulfilled requests for equipment or anything else that they need from the governors." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "No governor needs anything right now and we think we'll have it that way till the end, because, frankly, we are stocked up and ready to go wherever we have to go: we've nearly 7000 National Guard and military medical personnel in Texas, California, Florida and Arizona. That's helping us greatly. I want to thank them very much." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "The military has been fantastic, we're closely monitoring hospital capacity in these states. Hospitals are open for elective surgeries and other procedures, so hospitals are open for elective surgeries. We want Americans to get the medical treatment. They need all of the governors, we've spoken with, say they have enough bed capacity." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "That's a great thing. Our initial shut down was to prevent the overflow of our hospitals and to allow us to meet the demands caused by this global pandemic, including the ventilators and a permanent shut down was really never an option in terms of what we're doing right now. This would be completely unsustainable, produce debilitating economic fallback and lead to catastrophic public health consequences." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.245, + "raw_confidence": 0.755, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "There are consequences to shutdowns and we've saved, potentially millions of lives by doing the initial shut down, but now we're very aware of this disease. We understand the disease to a large extent nobody's going to maybe ever fully understand it, but we'll end up with a cure. We'll end up with therapeutics will end up with a vaccine very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "All three we're instead asking Americans to use, masks socially distance and employee. Vigorous hygiene wash your hands every chance you get while sheltering high risk populations, we are imploring young Americans to avoid packed bars and other crowded into our gatherings, be safe and be smart, we're surging testing capacity to identify and isolate cases." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6363, + "raw_confidence": 0.6363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "This includes a newly approved testing platform to nursing homes across the south, we're being very, very vigilant with respect to nursing homes, because you know all of the problems that we've had with so many people. So sadly, they were infected so that all of the staff and residents can be routinely tested and isolated to ensure our elderly are even more strongly protected than anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "That's really, the high risk people, the high risk, wonderful people, once this current surge in cases declines, the same testing platform will enable people to visit their loved ones after taking a test which is a big difference. Ultimately, our goal is not merely to manage the pandemic, but to end it we want to get rid of it as soon as we can." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6055, + "raw_confidence": 0.6055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "That is why getting a vaccine remains. A top priority to vaccine candidates are entering the final stage of clinical trials this month. This was achieved in record time. It used to be years before you were in a position like we are right now, for other vaccines will led to finer trials in the following weeks and were mass producing all of the top candidates so that the first approved vaccine will be available immediately and logistically." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7461, + "raw_confidence": 0.7461, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "It's a nasty horrible disease that should have never been allowed to escape China, but it did and it infected the world and the world is suffering but we're going to get it taken care of and we're helping lots of other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know about more than one. I do today, probably on average a test every two days three days and I don't know of any time I've taken two tests in one day, but I could see that happening." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "That I prefer and as we go as an example, there are thousands and thousands of five minute test, so we'll be able to get those numbers down. Those numbers are similar in other places. They're also doing massive numbers numbers like nobody thought possible, but those numbers will be coming down. I agree. I think it's a good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, they're going to make a presentation to me tonight and tomorrow on that and again we're leading the world. I think the second country at 12 million, where it would be over 50 million tests. Second country is India with 12 million, then you have 7 million, 6 million and 4 million. I think that we are doing tremendous amount of testing, but if, if if the doctors and the professionals feel that, even though we're at a level that nobody ever dreamt possible that they would like to do more, I'm OK with it." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, Dr. Birx is right outside. Yes, please." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "This, among other things, I think the American people will judge so on this, but they'll judge us on the economy that I created and that already we're creating we're setting record job numbers. As you know, I think we're going to have a very strong year next year. I think we can have a very strong third quarter of a very good fourth quarter, but I think next year is going to be a record year and I think they're going to judge me on that." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5513, + "raw_confidence": 0.5513, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I think they're going to judge me on the tax cutting and the rental the V.A on the V.A. We've got veterans choice. Nobody thought that would be possible. That's been many decades. They've been trying to get veterans, choice, it's school choice where they can go. Get a doctor if they have to wait on line for two weeks or five weeks or two days and frankly, that's been a great thing: veterans, Accountability." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1864, + "raw_confidence": 0.8136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I think they'll judge me on that. They'll judge me in all of the things we've done. I don't think and I think we can say this with surety and that's never been even challenged in three and a half years, the first three and a half years, the first years of a presidency. I don't think any administration, any President has accomplished so much as we've accomplished from energy to health." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.368, + "raw_confidence": 0.632, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "To so many other things, and then this came in and the plague I call it. The plague the plague came in terrible thing should have been stopped, wasn't stop. It came in, we had to shut things down to save, potentially millions of lives. We did that and now we've started them up and I think we've really started it up very successfully." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, the virus will disappear, it will disappear. I think that I always like to say, as you know, either way when you look at it, the governors are working with me. I'm working with a governor, we're working hand in hand. I think we're all responsible. I view it as a team, very good relationships with the governors very, very good relationships." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7494, + "raw_confidence": 0.7494, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I could say I'm fully responsible, but you know one day we had a virus come in and I closed the borders did a lot of things that were very good. In fact, Dr. Fauci said we saved tens of thousands of lives when I close the border and nobody wanted to do it. I wanted to do it. We closed the border to China." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2467, + "raw_confidence": 0.7533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We put on the ban. We didn't want people coming in from heavily infected China. Foot on the ban, we didn't want people coming in from heavily infected China fairly shortly thereafter. I closed the borders from Europe coming in from Europe. Those were tremendous moves we would have if, as one person it's too much but we're let's say one hundred and forty thousand, we could have double triple quadruple that number." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "If we didn't so we did a lot of things right. We did a lot of things right, including with equipment, so it's a shame that it happened. It shouldn't have happened. China should have stopped it. I think America has gone ahead. Yes." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.46, + "raw_confidence": 0.54, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We're trying to do that great question, we're trying very much to do that so, rather than sending your tests in and you know it goes through the Met ending your tests in and you know it goes through the mail one day comes back another day, no matter How they send him it's a day and a day, so that's two days already wasted and then, if it spends by the time you get it back it's three or four days if they do an efficient job, we're trying to get the testing on site." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I don't know I haven't really been following it too much. I just wish her well. Frankly, I've met her numerous times over the years, especially since I lived in Palm Beach and I guess they lived in Palm Beach, but I wish her well whatever it is. I don't know the situation with Prince Andrew, I just don't know not aware of it. Go." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, the economy's getting stronger and I think we have a chance to have a very strong economy, especially if some of the things that I just spoke about were me, especially if some of the things that I just spoke about were we want to have people go Back and want to go back to work as opposed to be sort of forced into a position where they're making more money than they expected to make and the employees are having a hard time getting them back to work." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "So that was a decision that was made. I was against that original decision, but they did that it's still worked out well because it gave people a lifeline, a real lifeline. Now we're doing it again, they're thinking about doing 70 percent of the amount the amount would be the same, but doing it in a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Smaller initial amounts so that people are going to want to go back to work as opposed to making so much money that they really don't have to, but we were very generous with them. I think that it's been a tremendously successful program. The whole thing has been successful. If you look, I mean we have we're in a pandemic and yet we're producing tremendous number of jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "That was something that nobody thought possible. Okay." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I want to protect them. Also, I put on a mask. I will have, I have no problem with the masks. I view it this way, anything that puts the masks. I view it this way, anything that potentially can help, and that certainly can potentially help is a good thing. I have no problem, I carry it, I wear it, you saw me wearing it a number of times and I'll continue." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know the hotel. I was pretty far away from people, but I would say this: I've explained it, I think very well. If you're close together, I would put on the mask and if you're not well, if you're close together, I would put on the mask and if you're not. I would say that if you're, for instance, I'll see like here you've been all tested, I've been tested, oftentimes I'll, be with people that are fully tested." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7032, + "raw_confidence": 0.7032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I've been tested in theory, you don't need the mask, I'm getting used to the mask and the reason is, I think, about patriotism. Maybe it is, it helps it helps. Now we have experts that have said in the recent past that masks aren't necessarily good to wear. You know that, but now they've changed their mind if they change their mind, that's good enough for me, so I wear it when appropriate." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, I've always agreed with that. I mean I've, never fought either one but certainly social distancing. I want to that's common sense. Security for me is common sense, I'd like to say, maybe make it a little bit further." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We have we have embers and fires and we have big fires and, unfortunately, now Florida is in a little tough or in a big tough position. You have a great governor there. You have a great governor in Texas, you have people that are very, very skilled people and I think they're going to handle it very well." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7465, + "raw_confidence": 0.7465, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Their hospital capacities are holding up, but Texas is a big state and it's very well-run and so is Florida, and I think they'll do a very good job." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Yeah, we're willing to work with anybody. That's gon na get us a good result, we're very close to the vaccine. I think we're going to have some very good results were already in testing. Nobody thought that would be possible under the old system. It would be a year to two years before you could even think about using the word testing." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "So I think we've had a lot of and the reason we're testing that they've had good results. So now we have to see in the testing also for safety, because I have to make sure it's safe and I think you're going to see something over the next fairly short period of time, maybe very short period of time having to do with therapeutics and vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "That are very good, so we'll be doing these quite often we're going to keep you abreast of this and we'll also talk about some of the other topics like our economy, which is doing well. The stock market had another good day. I think they have a good day because they see a lot of positive things happening on this front too." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, I do. I actually do it when I need. I mean, I carry the mask when I have to go I went into Walter Reed Hospital the other day. I have the mask right here, and I carry it. And I will use it gladly. No problem with it. And I've said that." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2074, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "And I say: If you can, use the mask. When you can, use the mask. If you're close to each other, if you're in a group, I would put it on. When I'm in a group if I'm in an elevator and there are other people with me, including, like, security people, it's not their fault. They have to be in the elevator; I want to protect them also. I put on a mask." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1846, + "raw_confidence": 0.8154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "I will have I have no problem with the masks. I view it this way: Anything that potentially can help and that certainly can potentially help is a good thing. I have no problem. I carry it. I wear it. You saw me wearing it a number of times, and I'll continue." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know. The hotel I was pretty far away from people, but I would say this: I've explained it, I think, very well. If you're close together, I would put on the mask, and if you're not I would say that if you're for instance, I'll see like, here, you've been all tested; I've been tested. Oftentimes, I'll be with people that are fully tested; I've been tested. In theory, you don't need the mask. I'm getting used to the mask, and the reason is think about patriotism. Maybe it is. It helps. It helps." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6735, + "raw_confidence": 0.6735, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Now, we have experts that have said, in the recent past, that masks aren't necessarily good to wear. You know that. But now they've changed their mind. If they change their mind, that's good enough for me. So I wear it when appropriate." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Well, I've always agreed with that. I mean, I've never fought either one. But certainly, social distancing, I want to it's that's common sense." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Six feet, to me, is common sense. I'd like to say maybe make it a little bit further." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "We have them too. No, we have embers and fires, and we have big fires. And, unfortunately, now Florida is in a little, tough or in a big, tough position. You have a great governor there. You have a great governor in Texas. You have people that are very, very skilled people, and I think they're going to handle it very well." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7502, + "raw_confidence": 0.7502, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Their hospital capacities are holding up, but Texas is a big state and it's very well run, and so is Florida, and I think they'll do a very good job." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "Yeah, we're willing to work with anybody that's going to get us a good result. We're very close to the vaccine. I think we're going to have some very good results. We're already in testing; nobody thought that would be possible. Under the old system, it would be a year to two years before you can even think about using the word testing." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "So I think we've had a lot of and the reason we're testing: They've had good results. So now we have to see and the testing also for safety because they have to make sure it's safe. And I think you're going to see something over the next fairly short period of time, maybe very short period of time, having to do with therapeutics and vaccines that are very good." + }, + { + "tid": "K-z6Jn3tous", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "So we'll be doing these quite often. We're going to keep you abreast of this, and we'll also talk about some of the other topics like our economy, which is doing well. The stock market had another good day. I think they have a good day because they see a lot of positive things happening on this front too." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. It's a great honor to be in North Carolina. We had great great luck and great people backing in us in North Carolina and I'm thrilled to be in Winston-Salem with thousands of loyal, hard working American patriots who are great people great. I don't know how many people here, but there's a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1552, + "raw_confidence": 0.8448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We said: let's keep it down, they didn't do too good a job, but that's good right. That's good. Now, these crowds, I tell you it's beyond what we had in terms of enthusiasm beyond what we had. Four years ago, in 2016 and that was a record enthusiasm we are breaking that record by a lot. This is the most important election. 56 days from now we're going to win North Carolina and we're going to win four more years in the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "This is a choice and I must say this is a choice for many many decades. I don't think you have a bigger difference and maybe you've never had a bigger difference. This is the American dream and the other. I don't want to say it because I'll get myself in trouble with the fake news back there, but the other is a basic disaster for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5341, + "raw_confidence": 0.5341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden devoted his career to offshoring you jobs, throwing open your borders, dragging us into endless foreign wars, along with some of his other friends and surrendering our children's future to countries like China. Remember this very simple to remember: if Biden wins, China wins it's as simple as that, so you have a situation where we build the greatest economy in the history of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5222, + "raw_confidence": 0.5222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We were forced to close it because of the China plague that came in and now we've opened it and by the way your state should be open. Your state should be your to vote for DanForest, any governor. That does that, and even if you look statistically it's you it's base again, it's a couple of others. They're closed new York look look what they're doing in New York what they're doing to our beautiful New York." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7652, + "raw_confidence": 0.7652, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Our economy is doing phenomenally well and it's not only is it a V? It's a super V. You see what's happened, we just had a jobs number come out. 1.4 million. It's down to 8.4%. Nobody thought that 8.4. So we had the greatest economy, we closed it up and now we're opening it up in your state to go with it, we're opening it up and we will have a great third quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's going to be announced by the way just before the election, but we're going to have a great third quarter. We have unbelievable retail numbers, unbelievable numbers all over, and this is that super V. But next year is going to be one of the greatest years in the history of our country economically, unless the wrong person gets in and quadruples everybody's taxes, in which case you will see a depression, the likes of which you haven't seen and remember this: if Biden Wins the violent mobs." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7711, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You see these mobs all over the place. There Biden people there Biden, states and cities that Democrat states if they win the mobs. When you see these guys, they go around saying yeah. I want you a meal. Give me that food give me a woman sitting there. She wants to eat and they come. They grab her food. They grab a drink, nobody's ever seen." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Stuff like this. This is all that ideology we're not going to. Let it happen, we're not going to let it and you know in Portland, you see what happened last night. They arrested over 50 people, the first time we said either. Do it or we're going in we're going to have to go in and do it? Let us go in we're saying I spoke to the governor of Oregon the other day." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2032, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Let us go, and I said let us go in we'll straighten it out in less than a half an hour. Now the U.S marshals did go in to take care of that. One guy who killed somebody: you saw that he killed a young man in the middle of the street violently he had other charges against him and I put out when is he going to be arrested and they went in about 15 minutes later and I'll?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Tell you what our federal government is so ready to go. All they have to do is call us it'll all be solved very quickly. They have to call, but all of these places are Democrat run places. Radical left run places they don't know what the hell they're doing, if Biden wins the rioters, arsonists and anarchists when he said the other day." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, you know if I win, that doesn't mean that's going to stop, he does and he will never stop if they win. It's not going to happen hopefully, but if the cause, this is not like a second place crowd, let's face it and are you seeing? Are you seeing the are you seeing all the polls numbers are coming out?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's why he left. Finally, he left his basement is that we got problems. I don't think he knows that, but the people that manage him know it. They understand it. He does it so I'm running for re-election, to keep jobs at home, to put violent criminals behind bars and to ensure the future belongs to America, not to China and other countries, because if we win America wins, you know that you've seen that you've seen over the Last three and a half years we've secured America's borders, fix our broken trade deals and they were broken like you've, never seen they weren't even broken." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4008, + "raw_confidence": 0.5992, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They were bad, they were bad from day. One rebuild the awesome power of the United States military obliterated, the ISIS caliphate, one hundred percent fact I got it down to 98 percent. Remember a year and a half ago got it down to 98 and they all said. No, no, it's going to be a hundred. I said somebody else could finish: we want to get all they said." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "No, you got to finish it. So we took another two months. We finished it and we're bringing them home, we're bringing them home his great great warrior, but people don't like it when I say that secure American energy independence and built the greatest economy in the history of the world, and now we are very simply we're doing it Again and we're on track to have, as I said the best year we've ever had next year, you just had the best you just had the best year in the history of your state." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2334, + "raw_confidence": 0.7666, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Last year, we've created a record breaking 10.6 million jobs in the last four months next year will be the single greatest economic year in the history of our country and probably in the history of your state. If your governor ever opens up, but hopefully you're going to have DanForest, you know going up to a sleepy." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4439, + "raw_confidence": 0.5561, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden takes power, the economy will collapse, he won't even know the difference. How's the economy, not good, so we're in a depression, or we are what's that joe Biden who spent 47 years shipping North Carolina jobs to China and other countries. You know that, and I've spent the last four years bringing jobs back to our country." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We never had so many jobs we're up to one hundred and sixty million jobs. We would never anywhere close. We got up to 160 million and we would never anywhere close to that here. In North Carolina voting is already underway. On November 3rd Americans will decide whether we will quickly return to record prosperity or whether we allow the same left wing extremists that have no idea what they're doing to burn down buildings or take control of government set fire to a whole country." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.786, + "raw_confidence": 0.786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know when they started knocking down the monuments and statues. A few months ago right, I signed a very strong executive order. You want to knock them down, that's fine, but you go to jail for 10 years. It was the most. It was amazing how that stopped, and then they said well we'll do it easily we'll do it through the process, because you know they don't want to spend 10 years." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know they'd, look at it. They'd say not worth it. Ten years is too much, but the D.C committee did you see about that? They want to change the name of the Washington Monument they want to get rid of the Lincoln Monument Jefferson monument. Now we're talking the big stuff they finally hit. The big time took them a while to get there, but they said that was going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Don't worry about it. You don't have a thing to worry about. If our foreign adversaries were devising a scheme to cripple America, they could hardly do better than the Biden Kamala Harris Kamala, remember, Kamala. She started at 15. She was supposed to win problem. Was she went from 15 to 14 to twelve to 10 to seven to force?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Like a free fall, you know why people don't like her. Nobody likes her. She could never be the first woman President. She could do that would be an insult to our country. Biden wants to impose a $4 trillion tax hike. A ban on American energy eliminate America's borders confiscate your guns. He wants to get rid of your second amendment, appoint we're going to be appointing very pro crime judges, but they want to destroy your suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He wanted. You know the you know the rule, the regulation that I just terminated. They want to build low income projects in the suburbs, they've been doing it, they've been destroying suburbs, we're not doing it anymore. Somebody said suburban women. How is Trump doing, but do remember last time too, they said women don't like Trump." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1873, + "raw_confidence": 0.8127, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I said I think they do. I think they do. They say women don't, and then we did great with women who remember that great was that one of the greatest evenings ever four years ago. That was one of the greatest, but one of the things they did. First of all, we did much better now we're doing really well african-American vote, much better hispanic vote much better." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He did better with African-Americans than we thought he did better with Hispanics than we thought he did better with Asians than we thought he did really well with women. What's this all about, you know, ladies and gentlemen, and they said Donald Trump is projected the winner of 2016. Remember that it was at the house." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That was the craziest thing and they thought I think they didn't think it. But I'll tell you what anything we had. Then we have much more now, they don't understand, they do understand it, they do right, they understand it clear that beautiful dress and she wears that dress right through the middle of Hollywood, and everyone says thank you very much, but they want to indoctrinate your children and Implement a ruinous shutdown of the United States economy, again Biden said the other day." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, if the experts Toby we're not shutting it down again, we don't have to we learned about the disease. We did the right thing. We saved millions of lives, people don't realize we saved millions of lives and hundreds of thousands of lives by not letting China we put a ban on China heavily infected and Biden was against it." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Three months later, he said he did the right thing. I have to admit it's clear why both China and the flag burning rioters want Biden to win. They know his policies will be the downfall of America and they know my policies will lift America to new heights of national greatness, like we've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's what's happening, that's what's happening, never forget they're. Coming after me, because I'm fighting for you there's a lot of truth in that and they do come after me. They do come after me. They have more things to say about me every day and something they said. You don't see the plane where it is." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Sir, would you like to take the car? I say why I'm saying what well I heard you had a limp. I do I don't know about that. I don't hey someday, I'm going to have a limp I'll, let you know when you'll see it. No, they make this stuff up, they make it up, they make stuff, it's called disinformation, they give a phony deal out." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They did it two days ago with the military. There's nobody loves the military more than me, so they may they may you know. I was very lucky that I had 15 incredible American patriots that came by and they said he never said that we were there. They were there, but they make up stories. Horrible stories. Many many hey look look at last time." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7926, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The fake dirty dossier was all made up and frankly, if the shoe was on the other foot right, if it was on the other foot, you'd have many people 20 25 people right now in jail for two years and they'd, be there for 50 years because they Got caught spying on our campaign and it's treason or whatever else you want to call it, and it's a disgrace that it's taken this long." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6662, + "raw_confidence": 0.6662, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's a disgrace that it's taken this long and let me just tell you a little secret obama got caught and so did sleepy Joe Biden. Remember Biden was sitting in the room, saying why don't you use the Logan Act on General Flynn? Look at General Flynn. What he's going through few years, if that, wherever reversed, I'm telling you you'd, have many people in jail for many many years that it would have started two years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's a disgrace, but let's see what happens Biden's. A globalist sellout who's spent his career, laying waste to American communities, and you know he talks about like well he's got to do this, he's got it. He doesn't have any idea his notebook he's going to do. This he's been there for 47 years and you know he just really left." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know he left three and a half four years ago right, so he just left, but he's been there for 47 years. I'm going to do this. You know after 47 years he's had a change of heart. This is the craziest election. This is the correct look. Somebody said: What's the difference between Crooked Hillary Clinton and slow Joe, so the difference is the following: she's meaner, probably not as nice." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I don't know you can't get any worse than her. Well you, but the big difference is she's smarter than he is. Ok he's a nicer person, but he's not smart. He never was not in primetime, and certainly not now. The Washington vultures ripped apart our towns in exchange for his party's nomination Biden, is now formed an unholy alliance with the most extreme and dangerous elements of the radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7403, + "raw_confidence": 0.7403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know that with Crazy Bernie and everyone, and by the way you know, he's further left than Crazy, Bernie Kamala Kamala model. You remember, she left the race sort of interesting that they picked her because in theory they should be able to win. California, I don't know. Maybe we'll make a play for that one to pick somebody from California." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I don't. I don't quite get it, but you always pick somebody, that's hot. That's going up in the polls right going up. Frankly, I'm not sure I don't think I've ever said this, but probably Hillary should have picked Bernie Sanders to be her running mate right, because you know as crazy as it sounds. He was hot." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The other ones had to become super left. One is competent, the other one is only half competent now and heading south he's, half half competent and heading south rapidly, but the globalists and the lefties make natural parties, because they're united by their contempt for the American middle class in the truest sense." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's why powerful corporations and far left politicians have both sided with radical demonstrated over you. Look at that. It's over the law, abiding areas that we have you know, Republican cities and towns are doing great, we're doing great and we don't have crime and we don't have this violence chicago." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2563, + "raw_confidence": 0.7437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Over the weekend. Many people killed many people shot shot. They were actually shot and killed. New York, the same thing: New York's gone through the roof, they're up 300 percent in certain categories and you say what's happening and we want to send him in so badly joe Biden and his party spent the entire summer." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7981, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Cheering on the rioters rampaging through Democrat run cities falsely labeling them as peaceful protesters, and you know we call you peaceful protesters. You know why, because they have rules in these Democrat run states that if you're campaigning you can't have more than five people, they did that for me." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7636, + "raw_confidence": 0.7636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "If you're going to church, you can't go to church anymore, you can't go to church. You can't go to church, you can't do anything. You have to stay in your house, but if you're willing to riot running down Main Street, if you're willing to riot and stand on top of each other's face and do whatever the hell you want to do, you're allowed to do that because you're considered a peaceful Protest so we decided to call all our rallies peaceful protest instead of standing up to the far left." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Rioters Biden condemns law enforcement and condemns America didn't even mention the words that wE LOVE aND RESPECT law and Order. You know they're all time, even my people, my very brilliant consultants, who I don't listen to too much. Maybe I should sir, please don't say, law and order. That's too tough." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3844, + "raw_confidence": 0.6156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Now, in the meantime, you look at these streets, people crazy, they say say, law and Order, but with safety and whiskey I said: look people get it, it's just law and order. Is that OK look, we want law and order, they say law and Order and Safety. Sir, could you add the word safety, because it's sir, I said I don't want it." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's sort of obvious right. We want law, we want order. Biden is fueling the violence with his relentless attacks on police and his constant slander that America is racist by the way. I've gotten the support of almost every police group in the country sheriffs in Florida, Ohio, Texas, North Carolina all over the country, but did you notice he's starting to talk a little bit tougher now?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Did you notice that he sees what's going on his polls are dropping like a rock and he sees what's going on now he's starting to say no, we need a law and order. No, he didn't say that kid can never get to say that can't say that because then it lose the whole left and let me take the left, is running that party." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You take a look. You don't want to be dealing with the left. These people are stone. Cold, crazy, you don't want to be dealing meanwhile Biden. He doesn't say a word about the thousands of African-Americans who are murdered each year as a result of violent crime in Democrat, controlled cities, they're murdered by the thousands and they'd never ever mention it." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "My heart is with the hardworking patriots of all backgrounds who build up our communities, not the violent criminals and extremists and agitators and anarchy who burned them down. Next time you see video of screaming far left maniacs shouting wildly at peaceful Americans. Remember this. These are Biden. Supporters and if he wins, they will be in charge of your government as sure as you're sitting there you'll be taking your monuments down, you'll, be taking your statues down, I'm not kidding you'll be taking him down." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5122, + "raw_confidence": 0.5122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You have to look at the D.C report. I'm just telling you go get it. You wouldn't even believe it it's too crazy to even talk about, but we're never going to get my chance to do it. We're never giving him a chance. We're going to win we'r e, going to win big, there's a very important state by the way and by the way when they send out their millions and millions of unsolicited ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7793, + "raw_confidence": 0.7793, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "When you get a ballot I say well, I wanted to go and vote darling. I wanted to go and vote. Why are they sending me? Those ballots is something really the only way we lose North Carolina and a couple of others like Nevada, we're doing great there. Now the governor decides we're doing so. Well, that they're going to send out unsolicited you have solicited and unsolicited they're going to send out millions of ballots to you, people that never really thought in terms of it now sometimes you'll ask for a ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's solicited ballot. So, OK, you have to go through a process. You have to sign a form you get it sending out millions of unsolicited ballots, make sure you send the ballot in and then go to your polling place and make sure it counts, make sure it gets because the only way they can win is by doing very Bad things, that's the only way I look at this." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7389, + "raw_confidence": 0.7389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know if Joe Biden came here and made a cry that this is not the most convenient place. You know it's an airport, Hi fellas. They did a good job, guiding the plane, they're great they're great. No, this is an airport. If he were. I honestly, I really if he had 200 people, I think, would be a lot. I really mean you ever see the gyms with the circles." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3666, + "raw_confidence": 0.6334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's his crowd. If he had 200 people, I was told we have 15000 thousand people here tonight. As far as the eye can see, but they'll correct, it they'll say he's wrong. It was fourteen thousand five hundred he's misrepresented he's misrepresenting. Now I was told we have fifteen thousand and we're in the middle of an airport someplace, it's a wonderful thing and you know I actually think I don't know if you agree." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1819, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So we go to the arenas but because of China. The arenas aren't working out too well right. You can't really do that anymore for a while, but we are rounding the turn. I will tell you we're rounding the turn on that, but because of that, so we said well, because we have the same press. I think we have bigger crowds." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7464, + "raw_confidence": 0.7464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Potentially we were in New Hampshire, the other night. We had to turn away. Eight thousand people at an airport we're doing all mostly hangar things, because we're outside outside is very much different than being inside according to the great doctors right. But they say it's very much different. So we're doing these and we're doing the outdoors we're doing the hangars." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7572, + "raw_confidence": 0.7572, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "But I really believe that these crowds are bigger than they were four years ago for we started off in New Hampshire. We said, look, let's have a thousand people and they had like five or six show up, and they had thousands more that you know we're trying to be nice, but then, eventually we landed. Two weeks ago we landed in New Hampshire and the entire runway was lit up with thousands and thousands of people as the plane was landing, and I mean it's really amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "What's going on all over the country, it's amazing, so it's a great deal more support than we had four years ago, because you know four years ago I said I was going to do this. I was going to cut your taxes. I was going to cut regulations. I was going to get right to try. I was going to take care of your vets." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6987, + "raw_confidence": 0.6987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I was going to rebuild your military. I was gon na. Do all these things, and you said you said I don't know that's a lot of. You know what I've actually done more than I promised to build a war, the war I've done more. For instance, you never heard me say you never heard me say you, a lot of you were at various rallies." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6396, + "raw_confidence": 0.6396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You never heard me talking about space force. We built a new think of it: a new branch of the United States military United States Armed Forces called Space Force. I never talked about that. That's something we never talked about. I only figured that one out after I became President because I saw what Russia was doing on what China was doing." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I said we have to do the same thing and if you think that was easy, that was not easy. That was not easy. It was very hard, but what we've done you know the wall now is past 300 miles. It's exactly the wall that our great Border Patrol wanted. I was hoping a nice concrete plank for the builders in here boom boom." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You put it sara. We have to be able to see through, I said, All right. Let's go much more expensive and I said: let's go so we're over 300 miles now and we will be finished with it very soon and we have among the safest borders that we've ever had by far and it's a good time to have a and you know, Mexico is paying for the wall just so you understand they don't say that they never say it, but we're going to charge a small fee at the border." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7877, + "raw_confidence": 0.7877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know the tollbooths. We have us said that it's the biggest border in the world in terms of people going across and in terms of industry, believe it or not the southern border, we're putting a small toll on and maybe we're going to do, something with remittance. That's where people come here make money and they send it back." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So we'll do something and we're going to get all the money that we spent in the mall. Well, we'll be coming back. So remember, I used to say who's going to pay for it. They'd say Mexico right, that's right and what happens if they find us remember that answer it's going to get 10 feet higher. Remember what happens if they fight us on the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7394, + "raw_confidence": 0.7394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The wall going to get 10 feet higher, but now Mexico and I get along great. In fact they have 27000 soldiers along our southern border, protecting us from people coming into our country. Can you imagine that seven thousand and I did that so that we don't put tariffs on their products coming into? Who is very simple?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5762, + "raw_confidence": 0.5762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I said you've got to do it and the President has been great he's. A friend of mine he's doing a very good job, not easy, Mexico's, not easy, but he's doing a very good job, but the wall is almost completed and it's a tremendous wall. It's everything that the border patrol people want. I get it give me everything." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I said what else do you want and it's wired for every single thing you could have remember the Democrats. We don't want to what we want drones flying or that helps us a lot drones. So you can watch everybody pour into our country. Right Biden supports cutting police funding and he has pledged to end cash bail." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2646, + "raw_confidence": 0.7354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Just last week, sleepy Joe proudly accepted the endorsement of the pro criminal anti police Portland district attorney, who has a policy of releasing rioters vandals criminals and violent extremists without charge. Now, last night, though, they arrested more than they've ever done because we said you have to." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We said you have to and we told them about, we will federalize them, we'll do whatever you need, and I spoke to the governor. It looks like they're. Finally, after one hundred and seven days like they're, finally doing what they're supposed to be doing but we'll, let you know very soon, otherwise, we're going in the Biden Birdy manifesto pledges to implement these same policies." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4479, + "raw_confidence": 0.5521, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Nationwide now you've got to understand Bernie's a radical lefty, but not as bad as her, but a radical left and I got a lot of Bernie voters. I think 15 percent last time because they agree with me on trade. They understand that many of these countries, including our so-called allies, are ripping us off they're, ripping us off on trade." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I agree with him on that. The difference is, I know how to do something about it. They don't they don't have a clue. They just know. They're being ripped off and a lot of Bernie people feel that that's a big point and they came over and they voted for me instead of crooked Hillary, which was a very nice thing, we appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2187, + "raw_confidence": 0.7813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We hope it always is we're really implemented things. You know: we've taken billions and billions and billions of dollars for China from China and China's never given us 10 cents. It's a one way street with China they haven't. Given us, we signed a great trade deal, but the ink wasn't dry when the plague came in." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1953, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So I view that trade deal as much differently than I did before much differently. It's a great deal they just last week. They ordered the biggest order of corn in history. The biggest order of soybeans in history and I say just shows you, though, this smart, very smart instead of saying you know, he's not talking very nicely about us and we're not going to order anymore we're not going to do business no." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Instead, they do the opposite. They give us the biggest orders. We've had our farmers are very happy. Our farmers have figured out order of corn biggest slaughter of beef biggest order of soybeans, and I gave the farmers $28 billion. Because that's what you were targeted for by China and I gave you twenty eight out of the terrorists and we had tens of billions of dollars, leftover which went into the U.S treasury, but nobody's ever done this before nobody's ever done this before with Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2419, + "raw_confidence": 0.7581, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's the reverse. His son goes sits down for 10 minutes with the father and whoever the hell they sat down with walks out with one and a half billion dollars to manage you'll make millions of dollars a year, and he has no experience at all. Never happened before Biden's plan is to appease the domestic cars." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "My plan is to arrest them so on November 3rd America faces a very simple choice: do what you want vote for the candidate backed by violent left wing rioters? If you have to or do what you want to vote for the candidate, backed by the selfless heroes of law enforcement and just about everybody else, where do you see the numbers?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7908, + "raw_confidence": 0.7908, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "When you see you know there was a poll that just came out, it was, I think it was Gallup, and it was a weird kind of a poll because it said 62 percent of the people that were polled are lying. I said, that's a big number right. I think it was 62 percent couple of weeks ago. It came out and their only line if it's just because they don't want to be bothered, in other words, they're not lying about sleepy Joe Klein about us, and I don't know if I'm supposed to love that or hate it." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I don't know if it's an insult or not, but I will take it. We don't give a damn, but if that's the case we have a virtual landslide going. We have a virtual tie and this would look like we're joined tonight by some really great friends of mine representatives, senators, just some incredible people, people that have really helped me and we have to get them in office." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Let's start off with Senator Thom Tillis. Thank you. He's been by my side. Thank you, Tom, very much representatives, gREG MURPHY, Virginia Fox, Mark Walker, dan, Bishop and Ted, but what a group one at water group thank you fellows. They are warriors boy I'll, tell you those House guys they were in there." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6809, + "raw_confidence": 0.6809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They were fighting for us. We won 96 to nothing right when crazy, Nancy impeached us right. They impeach me for making a phone call. That was perfect. It was a perfect call, I'll go down as the only President in history that got impeached for making they absolutely perfect phone call. Thank goodness I had the call because they totally misrepresented what was on the call." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4634, + "raw_confidence": 0.5366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "If you ever heard the shifty shift get up in Congress and say what I said if I ever said that it would have been terrible, but you know what. Fortunately, we had really talented people taking down everything word for word. We had to call perfectly and if I didn't have it somehow with these people, I guess I'd still be here." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1888, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "If you want to know the truth, but it was a lot easier, but we were 1 96 to nothing. The Republicans stuck together and Kevin McCarthy has done a fantastic job. He really, with the exception of a half a vote from Mitt Romney. You can have him he's not too popular. I want to tell you he's not a very popular guy in Utah he's not too popular, so he's fifty two and a half to a half he's he's a beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5612, + "raw_confidence": 0.5612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you that guy he couldn't get elected dogcatcher in Utah right, remember, Utah. They said it's too close to call this was before the election and then they announce Utah. The polls are closed. Donald Trump has won the state of Utah. Do you remember that, like immediately, I won by a lot and there was some guy running McMuffin McMuffin McMuffin." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He was supposed to be. Second, even Hillary beat him why I grew up. Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest. Dan, get out and vote to get out and vote for. Ok, he'll be a great governor. He loves your state he'll be a great governor. Tom is gon na, be a great great senator for another six years. We need a both and I hope you going to do well, dan." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I know you're really getting up there. It's getting very close I'll, be honest. If this governor that you have, I known you know we had to take our convention away, he said you're allowed to have 10 people in the arena 10 because it said one room 10 you're not supposed to have political rallies. I said you know the money that you state is going to be losing, but if this guy doesn't open up your state because almost all of them are open now, if he doesn't open up your state, you have no choice." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You didn't vote for him anyway, but Dan, you'll be so darned far as go and vote. The Republican nominee for North Carolina Attorney General Jim O'Neill Jim where's Jim. Thank you Jim. Thank you very much. Good luck got to be careful with those ballots watch those ballots. I don't like it, you know you have a Democrat governor." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You have all these Democrats watching that stuff. I don't like it. I look at these crowds and if they're going to cheat crowds are meaningless. Really, if they're going to cheat these big beautiful crowds, you can have fifteen thousand, you can have fifty thousand. These crowds are meaningless. Watch it be poll watchers when you go there watch all the thieving and stealing and robbing they do." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "This is important. We went North Carolina and we went we're going to win Florida. I just love Florida we're going to win and North Carolina Republican Party chairman, Michael Whatley. Great. Thank you Michael thank you great job and a very good friend of mine, a great guy Mick Mulvaney was big. Oh I didn't know." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Mick was here, look at him. What a good guy. Thank you Mick. Well, we have a lot of big big shots over there. I see, but what do you think about a guy named Mark Meadows, chief of staff? We love Mark, doing a great job. He's done a great job, robert O'brien robert, how many? How many hostages have you and I negotiated to get back not giving anything, but we have a record of what Robert. 50 50. You know we're 50, you know, hostages, we got him back." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We got hostages back from countries that you never even heard of, and it's been pretty amazing Robert. Thank you very much and thank you all for being here. Mick, it's good to see you oh wait. A minute. Wait, it's a very, very outstanding, senator. Oh I'm lucky. I got to see that does everybody? Do we love South Carolina right, come in lindsey, Graham everybody, lindsey, Graham Lindsey and Tim Scott, two great ones, two great ones they may be from a different state, but they love you Lindsey, that's good and Tim is another one." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So we have just incredible people in the party we've achieved more in four years than anyone ever thought possible. That's driving them crazy. We passed massive tax cuts, like nobody ever thought was possible for hardworking families and we eliminated a record number of job killing regulations. More than any President in history, whether it was four years eight years or in one case, more regulations and to keep family farms in the family, we eliminated the unfair estate tax, also known as the death tax on your small farms and business." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.797, + "raw_confidence": 0.797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Remember I was a terrible thing: people were fighting for that your family lost the farm lost their small business because they had to go and pay this ridiculous estate tax or death tax as they call it, and now you don't have to worry about it. If you love your children, you leave it to them. If you don't leave love your children, then it doesn't matter what I did don't leave it all." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Give it to charity. Give it this help. If they're, not good TV, you know, but does anybody here not love their children? Please raise your hand you nobody good. I love that. That's look at that when you're going to love that one I guarantee you, I guarantee you're going to love that one. That's a keeper, that's a keeper right." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1965, + "raw_confidence": 0.8035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's great you'll love that one someday in a long time from now that beautiful child does not have to worry about estate taxes. Enlisted Democrats do something in between, but we know now that it was a terrible thing. You'd pass away and your kids would get the farm they'd go out, borrow a lot of money cause the estate tax was massive they'd put big mortgages on the farm, they'd lose the farm." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They'd lose the business. You don't have that anymore. Save the U.S auto industry by withdrawing from the last administration's job killing catastrophe. The Trans-Pacific Partnership was a disaster for half a century. Joe Biden shook hands with blue collar workers, and then he turned around and immediately stab them in the back Biden supported NAFTA." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5367, + "raw_confidence": 0.5367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "China's entry into the World Trade Organization TPP to South Korea, disaster deal and mass amnesty for illegal aliens. Think of it. But but the big deal is he's changed he's changed after 47 years. I've changed, I swear to you, I've changed. Did you see him in the debates? He was not too good, but that's OK." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2182, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He was better against Bernie something's going on there. I don't know what I'm talking about, but he was better against Bernie, but in the other debates he was giving them everything. He wants. Everything they want free health care for people that come into the country illegally college is everything now the New Deal under the new deal." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They get lawyers if they come in to our country illegally. We supply them with legal advice, you believe it lawyers. This is what we need is more lawyers, this state laws, forty three percent of all manufacturing jobs after the twin disasters of NAFTA and China's entrance into the World Trade Organization, that's courtesy of Biden and his friends." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7914, + "raw_confidence": 0.7914, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year I kept my promise to North Carolina when we ended the NAFTA nightmare and we signed the brand new U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement into law. Everyone said impossible, they all said it was impossible to get done. We got it done and it's a great deal and it prevents people it prevents companies from fleeing your state opening up in Mexico or Canada, making a product selling it to us with it's such a disincentive to do that now." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That was the thing that was most important to me. I used to hate what I see all these companies leaving our country going to Mexico in particular, but Canada also a lot of them going to Canada and they'd make a product everybody gets fired in our country. They close their business and they make the same product in a different country." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1898, + "raw_confidence": 0.8102, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They send it back to us no tax at the border, no tariff, no, nothing. It doesn't work that way anymore. I took the toughest ever action to stand up to China's pillaging plundering, ransacking and rampant theft of North Carolina jobs and U.S jobs. Joe Biden's agenda is made in China. My agenda is made in the USA." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "In the face of China's economic aggression. We provided a historic $28 billion in relief to our amazing farmers. I will always stand with American agriculture. These are the greatest people, the finest people and we're not going to let others take advantage of them. You know for 20 years, for 20 years you look at a chart." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3283, + "raw_confidence": 0.6717, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's just been this way for 20 years. Now it's going back up. I mean it helped that I gave you $28 billion in all. That's right. If I didn't do that and I took it off from China was very easy if I didn't do that I think you wouldn't have any farmers right. There really was a difference between having farmers that are doing well and having no farmers 28 billion over two years." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6156, + "raw_confidence": 0.6156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They got hit one year, 16 billion one year 12 billion. I said to Sonny Perdue Secretary of Agriculture, great guy next former governor of Georgia. For eight years great guy, I said Sonny. How much are they being targeted, for he said Sir. 12 $12 billion for the year before and last year, Sir, it was 16. So I said 28. Ok, that's fine." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7891, + "raw_confidence": 0.7891, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I said we will give them 28 billion. They were unfairly targeted, and that was in order to get me and by the way China wants Joe Biden so badly. All they want. You know who else would like them very badly. Iran would like them very badly, because I ended that Iran catastrophe that we paid 150 billion and 1.8 billion in cash." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And you know it's going to happen. They're just waiting for the election because the country is going down the tubes, their GDP went down 24 percent. Nobody ever heard of that before their country is in trouble. I don't want them to be in trouble, but they're going to wait till after the election. When I win the election they're going to come to us and make a deal so fast watch how fast it'll be they're dying to make a deal, but they do want away." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Let's wait two months: maybe we'll get lucky, maybe we're going to get lucky and slow Joe gets in, and we're gon na make a great deal now. They'll be they'll, be in immediately after the election and they'll make a deal will make a fair deal with them, but what Obama did and Biden did with that horrible Iran deal?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I ended. Last administration's war on American energy Biden has pledged to end production of American oil shale, clean coal, no fracking, wiping out millions of jobs and forcing us to buy energy from foreign polluters. We don't want to buy energy. We've done that for a long time for decades and decades, we don't want to do that anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I like being energy independent, don't you and I'm sure that most of you notice, when you go to fill up your tank of gas in your car oftentimes it's below two dollars. You said How the hell did this ever happen. Thank you, President Ford. Thank you. President Trump and look at your electric bills, everything else these guys, your electric, would go up four or five six times the Green New Deal." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's called the Green New Nightmare. While I'm President america will remain the number one producer of oil and natural gas on Earth and we will remain energy independent, it should be for many many years to come, because the fact is, we don't have to be in the Middle East other than we want To protect Israel, we've been very good to Israel, but other than that we don't have to be in the middle." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We don't need. You know. There was a time we needed desperately or we don't need that anymore. We have more than they do in that nice. After years of rebuilding other countries, we are finally building our country, America, first, it's America first to bring hope to our inner cities that created opportunity zones." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I worked with Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina what a great guy he has passed. Criminal justice reform, prison reform delivered permanent funding for historically black colleges and universities that Obama never did or couldn't do and Biden. I call it oh Biden, Oh Biden's too long to say, Obama and but just call it a and before the China virus we achieved the lowest African-American Hispanic American Asian American unemployment rate ever recorded and we're heading back to that level." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7997, + "raw_confidence": 0.7997, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Rapidly Biden spent the last forty seven years, betraying African-American voters. He betrayed them. Look at nineteen. Ninety four take a look at that. He betrayed them what he did to them. He closed the factories in Baltimore and sent them to Beijing. They were all sent to Beijing. So many people went there, they went to all parts of the world, but a lot went to Beijing." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6248, + "raw_confidence": 0.6248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He shuttered the plants in Chicago and sent them to Shanghai. Unlike the previous administration, under my administration, we put America first and actually, if we weren't interrupted with constant investigations that went nowhere and nobody has been through what I've been through as President of the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7931, + "raw_confidence": 0.7931, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Nobody, you know they used to say Abraham Lincoln got the worst press. I said: there's no way he got worse than me, but Lincoln was very, very badly treated by the factors. Maybe in his case to Israel. I can tell you, in my case it's fake. It's totally fake but nobody's been, and it should never be allowed to happen again." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2634, + "raw_confidence": 0.7366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Let's see what happens, we caught him cold, let's see what happens, but if we didn't have this, you know that takes time and energy and all of the things that time that we spent on this impeachment a hoax Nancy Pelosi with her hair, dryer and the whole Thing everybody has to wear a mask. You must keep all beauty, parlors closed, she's in a beauty, parlor with a mask, and then she said that the biggest the biggest fear she could have said." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3506, + "raw_confidence": 0.6494, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Ok, she said you got me, but you said I got set up by the beauty parlor owner, who happens to be a Trump person by the way I like the beauty, parlor first, she said I got set up by the owner of the beauty parlor. She set me up, I said: How are you going to do with Putin, Kim Jong un and President Xi of China?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2022, + "raw_confidence": 0.7978, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Now it's terrible she's, always preaching about the mask. You've got to wear the mask at all times indoor outdoor, when you go to bed at night. Put the mask on I've spent the last four years, keeping my promises and delivering for the African-American community and when I'm re-elected the best is yet to come." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1979, + "raw_confidence": 0.8021, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you perhaps nowhere have our opponents more thoroughly betrayed working families of all backgrounds than on the subject of immigration. Under my administration, we've achieved the most secure border in American history. Now I have to tell you that 300 miles of wall helped a lot remember. They said walls are old fashioned, they don't work really, I always say, and I've said it four or five times I'll say it again." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7696, + "raw_confidence": 0.7696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "If you'd like me to do things, if you come back in a thousand years, two thousand years or three thousand years, if you're lucky enough, assuming you have something with with the world, is a crazy places. But if you come back in a thousand years, there are two things with all the computers and all the everything changes." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Every day you invent a new cell, you invent a new laptop. Everything is obsolete, like about two weeks after you invented right, two things that will never get obsolete the wall and the wheel right away in a war. Maybe I'm wrong. Who knows, but I would say, walls and wheels have a great future. We ended catch and release stopped asylum fraud and we've deported twenty thousand gang members, including the radical MS-13. We invested $2.5 trillion in the United States military all made in the USA." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2848, + "raw_confidence": 0.7152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "By the way we have the newest finest military we've ever had and gave our great warriors their largest pay raises. In many many decades we passed V.A choice and V.A accountability, which everybody s, aid could not happen and veteran satisfaction with the V.A has just reached ninety one percent, the highest satisfaction level in history." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I went through from the last administration's disastrous Iran nuclear deal. As I said, and I kept my promise and recognized the true capital of Israel and opened the United States embassy and jurist, and then I recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights and we achieved the first breakthrough in the Middle East peace for many many decades decades." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2154, + "raw_confidence": 0.7846, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Even the New York Times said that was an amazing achievement. You believe that I said, Let me see that one now we did something that nobody thought was possible man, it's Israel, as you see and as you've read Israel and you a highly respected leader, Mohammed highly highly respected, and now we have other countries in the Middle East they all want to come in." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2036, + "raw_confidence": 0.7964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "It's gon na, be a beautiful picture, going to be a beautiful. We kill the vicious founder and leader of ISIS al-Baghdadi. We call him why didn't Biden get him. You know they were after him for eight years and never got him. I got him the world's number one terrorist and the mass murder of American troops Qasem Soleimani." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He we got him to solomon. Al Baghdadi and Solomon are the two worst terrorists in the world. For many many years many decades we kept America out of new wars and we're bringing our troops back home, we're bringing them back home from all these faraway places. We've spent hundreds of billions of dollars, and what do we get out of it?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3132, + "raw_confidence": 0.6868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Biden voted for the Iraq war. He supported the defense sequester that gutted our military. He opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden. He opposed the killing of Solomon. He oversaw the rise of ISIS and for eight years he couldn't find or kill al Baghdadi. The founder of ISIS couldn't find them, they looked, they couldn't find them." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I found them and we hit him good. We let him go and you saw the Mueller family on television. You saw that at the convention, what al Baghdadi did with their beautiful daughter and credible? How our troops handle that you should see it. It was incredible. Biden also cheered the rise of China as a positive development, positive development for America and for the world how we doing with China we just have the plague." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1964, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We've had other plagues sent by them. I wonder if they did it on purpose. What do you think I got to tell you? I was sailing to an easy election. This was gon na, be so easy. I probably would have not been here tonight. What is it we don't have to bother? This is gon na, be it now. We have to work against a guy that doesn't know where he is." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7868, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I can't believe when I ban travel from China Biden, called it hysterical and xenophobic. Do you remember that I banned it? Everybody told me No, no, no. You don't have to do that, but I said we have to because war on it's very infected and they're coming here, so I banned it later on. It was said to be a great move." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6886, + "raw_confidence": 0.6886, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "If we had listened to Joe hundreds of thousands, more Americans would have died if Biden wins China alone, America and it won't take long with his son Hunter walking out with all of that money with no experience whatsoever. No investment, except he didn't even have a job. Joe Biden is weak and will always cave to China, who is strong when the virus arrived." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We launched the largest national mobilization since World War, 2 we're delivering lifesaving therapies, and we have achieved some of the great numbers, the case fatality rates. We have the lowest of any major country in the world. People don't know that because the fake news doesn't want to write about it under Operation warp speed, we're producing a vaccine in record time, there's a vaccine that we're gon na have very soon very very soon by the end of the year, but much sooner than that." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Perhaps and this is something that's incredible this would have taken two or three years by the last administration and in all fairness by most other administrations. We have upped it to a level that nobody even believes is possible and totally safe, joe Biden and Kamala Harris rated. The most liberal, or undermining science and risking countless lives with their reckless anti vaccine rhetoric." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's what they're talking about so now. They know we have it. It's only a question of weeks or a small amount of time. So, instead of saying that's a great thing: we're going to save lives they're trying to disparage it they're trying to make it politics they're trying to do so and now what's going to happen is we'll have it and people won't want to take it." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2375, + "raw_confidence": 0.7625, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I've been to many states and not in shutdowns and they're, doing better they're doing better. Somebody has got to speak to this man dan. Maybe you got to talk to him Dango in a little early and say you don't know what the hell are. You doing you don't know what you're doing you're hurting and hurting our people." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1849, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "North Carolina has to open up. By contrast, my administration is following the science protecting those at highest risk, while allowing those at lower risk to safely return to work and to school go back to school. Go back to school. You ever see the statistics on young people. I don't know they just they have a great immune system." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1917, + "raw_confidence": 0.8083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Let's get some of that immune system, but they're amazing. I mean thousands and thousands of people and they're not even affected very little, meaning it's a small percentage of one percent. It's an incredible thing. Nobody knew that when it first came here, nobody assumed a thing like that was possible, but young people are very strong against this horrible disease." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2218, + "raw_confidence": 0.7782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Through our historic China virus relief programs, we've saved more than one point: three million jobs for North Carolina workers that worked out great. We provided $380 million in relief for North Carolina farmers and made $10 million in PPP loans to save your state's tobacco growers. We saved your tobacco growers." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We have them very much in our sights. We want to help them. The Biden agenda would crush this comeback and put our families in grave danger. Biden is promising to reimpose job destroying regulations. We got rid of more regulations, he wants to put those regulations back plus 50 percent. You couldn't build a road." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3249, + "raw_confidence": 0.6751, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We took roads from 18, 19 and even 20 years approval down to two and we'll have it down to one. And you may get rejected for a highway or for a road, but you didn't know in the period of 12 months to 24 months, you're not going to spend an entire lifetime and then have them raise their head. I know all about it from the real estate business. We brought her all the way down. He wants to give illegal aliens, government health care and taxpayer funded lawyers establish a national sanctuary city policy for illegal aliens with criminal records." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You wouldn't believe I mean this stuff. Is not even really believable, but it is what it is. He wants to surge refugee admissions by seven hundred percent into our country. Flooding your towns with poorly vetted migrants, including many from jihadist regions of the world biden, opposed school choice. He opposes North Carolina opportunity scholarships and he has stated that if he is elected charter, schools are gone." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We are going to bring our companies back home where they should be, and I've been doing a lot of it, but we are going to do it at a level that nobody ever thought possible. We will rapidly return to full employment, soaring wages and record prosperity. We will hire more police, increased penalties for assaults on law enforcement, surged federal prosecutors into high crime communities and banned all sanctuary cities." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7915, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We will protect government benefits for American citizens, not for illegal aliens. What you're doing when you have all of these advantages, when you're, giving them free healthcare and free lawyers and free college and free everything they all come? They didn't think of coming, but they see this, they talk and they talk to their friends and they all come in." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They want to come to America, you just bringing people in and we don't want to do that. We want people to come to our country, but they have to come in through merit and they have to come in legally. We will appoint prosecutors, judges and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We will ensure equal justice for citizens of every race, color, religion and creed. We will defend the dignity of work and the sanctity of life. We will uphold religious liberty, free speech and the right to keep and bear arms. We will strike down terrorists who threaten our citizens and we will keep America out of endless ridiculous foreign wars or build up our military like it's never been built up before." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3941, + "raw_confidence": 0.6059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We need our military. For other reasons, we will have the strongest we have now when I took over our military was depleted. We have a lot of military people here. Our military was depleted. Our planes were 50 years old. Now you have brand new beautiful, left. Thirty fives. We have brand new rockets and missiles, and hopefully we never have to use them." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I will say that, but the best way of not having to use them is to have them. If you have, we learned that in the schoolyards right we learned that in the school yard the best way is to have them. We have the strongest military we've ever had. By far end surprise, medical billing require price transparency which I've already signed into law which, by the way, kicks in on January 1st, you better elect to be North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3544, + "raw_confidence": 0.6456, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I did price transparency and I've cut. The price drugs are going to start going down at levels. Nobody's ever seen favorite nations, so he did price transparency kicks in January 1st, could you imagine this guy's President and your prices that go way down? Hospitalization doctors? You can choose your own doctor, unlike with Obama, right prices going way down January 1st I said: could you start it sooner, but statutorily that's when it had a start?" + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.209, + "raw_confidence": 0.791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Could you imagine this goes in prices start dropping like a rock and they'll say What a great President he is. He would have never done it and your drug prices prescription drug, I'm instituting favorite nation's laws, and so we're going to pay what other nations pay at the lowest and you're going to get back rebates that we were given to middlemen, who have to be the richest People in the world we'll protect Medicare and Social Security and we will protect your Social Security and we will always protect patients with preexisting conditions." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1511, + "raw_confidence": 0.8489, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Always always america will land. The first woman on the moon in the United States will be the first nation to land an astronaut on Mars, very exciting. You know we reopen NASA. That place was gone. They had grass growing out of the runways. You got to see it now. It's the number one space center in the world by far by far you see, what's going on you see, what's going on, we will restore patriotic education to our schools." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Oh you know what I'm talking about. Look at you. This is a very sophisticated group Tom. You know what I'm talking about patriotic education. Well, the first thing they do is they want to take your history away? That's a great group behind their activists now, but you know what you know what it means they want to take away your history." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4211, + "raw_confidence": 0.5789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "That's why the monuments and the statues they want to knock them down. The first thing they do is take away your guns. You know it's guts, they take away your guts, they take away your statues, you take away your heroes, they take away your great generals. They take away your past and I said it was going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I said you know what they started off with generals and colonels and others that nobody ever heard of, and I thought that was bad and then they went up a little bit and said. You know someday it's going to be Robert E. Lee someday it's going to be Washington, someday it's going to be Lincoln. Someday, it's going to be Jefferson." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Someday is going to be Benjamin Franklin, it's all of them. It's all of them. They take away your past. They never take it away our past. They never. If that's the way they do it. You study it that's the way they go. They take away your guts and we'll teach our children to love our country, honor our history and always respect our great American flag, and we will live by the timeless words of our national motto In God." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We Trust this is better than the Iranians. I have to say, especially when you have a crowd like this, but they're like this. They have such spirit in this country. People love our country. So much I went to Texas, I went to Ohio went to Florida. It's always it's always like this. They love they love our country and we're not going to disappoint anybody." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We're not disappointed that. For years you had a President who apologized for American, so he had a President who apologized for America. Now you have a President who is standing up for America and standing up for the people of North Carolina. This is the most important election in the history of our country and I wouldn't say that lightly and frankly I thought the last one was and I said it, but they've gone to a level that nobody even thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7477, + "raw_confidence": 0.7477, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "These people have gone stone, cold, crazy, and you know what, after we get in we're going to have tremendous success and it was building. We were at a point. We were so successful before the plague came in from China. We were so successful that we were starting to get together. People forget, we were starting." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1901, + "raw_confidence": 0.8099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Success brings people together, it was so good. Our jobs numbers were so good and whether whether it was the black community, the Hispanic community, the Asian community, our jobs were so good. Our numbers were so good, there was no, we were getting together and then the plague came in and we had to stop." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We had to close it up. We had to open it and start all over again, and you know if you would've told me that we have one of the highest stock markets. Some of the stock markets have already broken every record. You look at Nasdaq, you look at some. We have we're far ahead of what I had planned, we're far ahead of schedule, but we did it once we have to do it again, because this was an unforeseen event, a terrible event, a horrible event." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So many people died. Nobody should have died, not one person. So many people died, but if we didn't do it right, we would have been a lot. We would have lost millions of people, millions of people and just did a terrible thing, but oftentimes I say bring people together and then I realize, if you look at that last few months we were starting to come together." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 165, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We stand on the shoulders of American heroes who cross the oceans blazed. The trails settled a continent tamed the wilderness dug out the Panama Canal laid down. The railroads revolutionized industry won two World Wars, defeated fascism and communism and made America the single greatest nation in the history of the world, and we are making it greater than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 166, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Proud and great citizens like you, helped build this country and together we are taking back our country. We are returning power to you, the American people. With your help, your devotion and your drive, we are going to keep on working, we are going to keep on fighting and we are going to keep on winning winning winning." + }, + { + "tid": "k3Vo_Ng3UKs", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-winston-salem-north-carolina-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We are one movement, one people, one family and one glorious nation. Under God, and together with the incredible people of North Carolina, we will make America wealthy again. We will make America strong again. We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again and we will make America great again. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Come on. Let's go walk and do this real fast. That's more like it. This is the Resolute desk, the desk. Many Presidents have sat behind this desk. Good stuff, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I'm just saying, all right, nothing like the White House. You know the whole it's a whole deal, right? How are you?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "OK. I'm over here. Great. Take a seat." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "He's a big fan of you. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, you're doing pretty well on that if I may say so." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah, we are. We did. We had good numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And then, were you were you involved with that show at some point?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But you're right. I was the only one. All these guys" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I said, hey, this guy's a total fraud and I left. And then I found out" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2512, + "raw_confidence": 0.7488, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You're the only one that's ever given me credit for that." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I like this interview. No matter what he does I like this interview now, Mariana. That's right. I said, what the what's going on with this guy? And I just felt it was a phony deal. And he said" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And he said he was from British Broadcasting Corporation. They called up with everything, beautiful the voice. This is British Broadcast, and then, this guy shows up. I said this is uh but within a very short like immediately. And thank you very much you gave me" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Because I never get credit for anything, Dave." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, I mean, you can always say you run for office, right? You become successful. You could run for a lower office, you can do things. But there are ways you get groups together and they can be very friendly ways of doing it, very successful. I mean, you're going to have rebounds negative rebounds, if it keeps up the way it is. Like as an example, Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "This is crazy. Fifty-one days, you know, we send in very powerful, not military but very strong people. The police are good, but they were told not to do anything, you know, by the radical-left Mayor. No, you have to go out and you have to say and speak your mind is good. I think speaking your mind is good but you have to do it fairly." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2385, + "raw_confidence": 0.7615, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We are for justice, but we're for law and order. It's got to be law and order and there is law and order. I put something out when they were starting to rip down statues. I went out. I found an old law, an no bill. You couldn't get it passed today. You get 10 years in jail, 10 years, and no games, and we have a lot of people in jail right now." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7975, + "raw_confidence": 0.7975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "If you rip down a statue, a federal statue because the states have to take care of their own, unfortunately, because I do that, too." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1935, + "raw_confidence": 0.8065, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But you rip down a federal statue, you get 10 years in jail, 10 years. No you know, three months and nothing's happened since then. It was amazing. I signed it. I had a news conference. I said if you do it and we were supposed to have thousands of people march on Washington that day. Nobody showed up." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Sometimes for a purpose. I mean, you know but" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2005, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I think it was happening, and then, we got hit by the China virus, OK? I think it was happening, success. Our country never did better. The highest the best employment numbers in the history of our country. Best unemployment numbers, African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American, everybody. Best unemployment numbers in history." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6212, + "raw_confidence": 0.6212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Best stock market we've ever had. Although I must tell you, as you know, probably very well the stock market's almost at the same level right now which is a great tribute." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "OK. But the stock market has been absolutely great." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2173, + "raw_confidence": 0.7827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "A lot of things are happening. Great housing numbers the other day, great unemployment great everything. We're doing really well. We're trying to get rid of the rest of this pandemic, but success does it, and we were ready to do it. Because if you look at when you say, Hispanic, or when you say, African-American, Asian-American, they were all working." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3621, + "raw_confidence": 0.6379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Everybody was making a lot of money. Everybody was doing good and it was coming together. And then, China sent us this horrible bad present, a real bad present. They could have stopped it. They should have stopped it. And we made a deal, you know, we made a trade deal with China." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2407, + "raw_confidence": 0.7593, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And it was a great deal, but it means much less to me now than it did then because I'm not happy with what they've done to the world. They stopped it going into China from Wuhan, but they didn't stop it going into Europe, the United States, and the rest of the world. So but we were ready to do it and the word is success." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And I think we're going to have that. I think, we're going to have a great next year. We're going to have I mean, you'll be able to see the results before the election which is interesting because at the very beginning of November, the election's November 3rd. At the beginning of November, the numbers are going to come out for the third quarter and I predict those numbers are going to be really great." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Despite the fact that Democrats want to keep their areas closed because they want the numbers to be" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You know, I know how you feel about that." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And part of the reason, I think, a big part of the reason they do it is for politics." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah. I don't like the kneeling. I must be honest with you." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I don't like the kneeling. I didn't like it for the NFL. I don't I think there are many ways of showing you're unhappy because when the NFL saw what was happening" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I know exactly. I know that. I've heard that actually, but and I don't know why he did in the middle of the summer. All of a sudden sitting in a T-shirt in his basement he came out with this thing about that nobody was even thinking about." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I don't understand. He's talking in the middle of the summer. He comes out and he's sitting there and he looked, you know, nice, but I wouldn't say, like Mariana. He looked nice in his T-shirt, OK. I don't know if I'd look much worse than that to be honest with you. I wouldn't wear a T-shirt. I think, he would have looked better in a suit." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "No, no, he would have looked better in a suit and tie. If I have if I had any advice. Number one, he could've waited until at least the fall, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But more importantly, I would have worn a suit." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Or a tie or even an open shirt that's loose not tight." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "OK? So he came out with this thing, Dave, and everyone say, where did those come from now?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And the whole big thing started and he's made a mistake." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, he wanted no part of you." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "No, but I think, he did a good it was a wise move." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Look, he's working hard on everything but it's" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, he makes a lot of money." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So before COVID, right now, I guess you know pretty much" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You know, he's the one. The only one I've shaken hands within a long time, you. 'Cause you stuck your hand out and I'm saying, what are we doing? But I shook your hand." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "That'll end the interview. Did you notice that? He stuck his hand out and I say, what do I do here? Rather than insult him, I said fine." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7843, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I immediately ran, wash hands. No, but but no, but in the days from like four months ago." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I just, you know, I people don't know that I get along really great with the world leaders. I'm tougher with the world leaders than any President's been. I've been tougher on Russia by far with a pipeline, with our military, with the oil. You know, we're now the No. 1 energy in the world, energy producer in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And there's nobody even close. I've been very tough with Russia. I've been very tough with I mean, China. Nobody's been tough like me with China and that's got to be tough. That's because for years, they've taken advantage of so many countries, not those two only. The whole world, our allies, NATO, the whole world has taken advantage of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But despite that, I have a very good relationship with leaders. I mean, there's" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I'll shake on it. I mean, shake their hand. I hug them. I this" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "No, I have a lot of great you know, Abi of Japan. You know, look, they've been ripping us off for years and years. They send the cars in, there's no tax. We send a car to them, they say, we don't take your cars you know. This is the kind of thing that we've put up with. We defend these countries, we get nothing for it. And you know, I've ended a lot of the craziness that's gone on." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "There are times when I love it." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Where's Dan? We have I think, we have" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "To Dan, how many, what's our number now total?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, it's mine, it's mine. I don't know if I'll ever use it again but it certainly was good. It's a platform. Look, we have fake news you don't know about that but we have fake news right there." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And then, you know, Dave, that we we have a we have a voice. We have a very big voice. When you have the kind of numbers that we have you're able to get the word out and an honest word, and that's important. So, it's been very important for me." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5573, + "raw_confidence": 0.5573, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You know, it used to be in the old days before this, you'd write a letter and you'd say, this letter is really bad. You put it on your desk and then you go back tomorrow and you say, oh, I'm glad I didn't send it, right? But we don't do that with Twitter, right? We we put it out instantaneously, we feel great." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1941, + "raw_confidence": 0.8059, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And then, you start getting phone calls. Did you really say this? I say, what's wrong with that? And you find a lot of things. You know what I find? It's not the tweets, it's the retweets that get you in trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1891, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, you see something that looks good and you don't investigate it, and you don't look at what's on the helmet, exactly, right, which is in miniature." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3006, + "raw_confidence": 0.6994, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And you don't blow it up and sometimes, it's but I I have found almost almost always, it's the retweets that get you in trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, they say he was a good basketball player and he has a very nice quality." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Not well, he's not tall but he was a fast little guard. And they say" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "No, they say, he was a good basketball player and he's actually a very nice guy. We don't always agree on everything." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You know, he would like to do things that I don't like to do. But ultimately, I make the decision but we make a all a group of people. And he's been here for like 45 years for many, many years and he's a nice man actually." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah. No, he'd like to see it close up for a couple of years, but that's OK because I'm President. So I say, well, I appreciate your opinion. Now, give me another opinion somebody, please." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Now, when you have to. Now we're open and we're doing well and I just had a press conference about opening the schools. You got to open the schools. They have a stronger immune system even than you have or I have." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The kids oh, that's not saying much?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1572, + "raw_confidence": 0.8428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But they do. They have it. It's amazing. You look at the percentage, it's a tiny percentage of 1%. And in that one case, I mean, I looked at a couple of cases. If you have diabetes, if you have, you know, problems with something, but the kids are in great shape. So we want to open the schools and we're opening the country, and we had great numbers announced the other day." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2596, + "raw_confidence": 0.7404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And two weeks ago, we had the best, the biggest number of jobs we've ever had, and the month before that, we had the same thing. A lot of good things are happening and I think it looks like a V. We have a lot of people that would like to see their states close. I have a feeling on November 4th they'll open them up. I think they want to do it for political reasons, but we're doing well." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1952, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The polls are starting to really shape up. You know, Dave, we were doing great. We were sailing. George Washington would have had a hard time beating us. And then, when the China virus came in, all of a sudden you know, it's a dampener." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, it's a downer though, and you know, psychologically and it went down. And now, we're really starting to do well. We're looking really good at a lot of different places." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4317, + "raw_confidence": 0.5683, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I was in so many rap songs." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Like 79 or something. I was in every rap this is before I did this, right. It's a very interesting thing that you say because the best day in my life in terms of business and life and everything was the day before I announced that I'm running for President. Everything was good. The company was good. I was I had finished up a lot of jobs that were very successful." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "It was and then, I said I want to do this. Now, I'm really glad I did. But I was treated very unfairly with fake Russia. You know, Russia Russia, Russia, and Ukraine, Ukraine, all fake stuff. It's it's a very vicious business. Somebody said who's the toughest in the world to deal with? Is it Russia?" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Is it China? Could it be North Korea? I said, no. The toughest is the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "It's the toughest to deal with. When you look at what I have to do. I have to focus on the big picture, but I also have to focus. I have so many people on the left or call them Democrats, call them whatever you want. And then, you look at what they're doing with cities. Every city is run by a Liberal Democrat and they're going to hell and we have to do something." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3305, + "raw_confidence": 0.6695, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We just sent people into Chicago. We sent people into Portland as we said. We're sending people into New York to help out. It's incredible but I love doing it. But there was this, you know, phony deal that I was devastated that when I won because I couldn't have my life, I had a great life, I did. One thing that happened, I was going into a thing called the Robin Hood Foundation." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I'll never forget it. It was just about the night I announced or whatever and my wife looked at me she said, you know, I hear people booing, and she was with me for a long time. We've been together a long time. She said some people are booing. I said, yeah, but some people were also clapping wildly. I said, no. She said you know what, I've been with you a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6502, + "raw_confidence": 0.6502, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "This was right after I started being a politician. And it meant something because I said, you know, it's the first time in my life I was ever booed. I you know the story." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I'd go to Yankee Stadium people would go" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I had a very it was close to a who's 100%? But it was pretty close. And now, I would say this, I have more fervor on the one side and I have far more animosity on the other side." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I mean, I don't know if such a person exists." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And I should say, yes, absolutely, I would, OK? So let me say it that way." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1561, + "raw_confidence": 0.8439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "That's a much more politically correct. Absolutely" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Because it just doesn't, unfortunately. But I really believe success. We were there. Everybody was working. Everybody was just nobody's probably you I don't know how you're doing now, but you were probably doing better four months ago." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "OK, well, you got in and you got it in at the right time." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But a lot of people that 401ks" + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I mean, they're doing phenomenally, but a lot of people sold stock. And now, they're saying I missed it. And I said to people don't sell, don't sell, just don't sell because the foundation is so strong, don't sell. But the people that really lost in terms of economics are the people that got out. The people that stayed in, they stayed with me, they're doing great, and we're almost at record highs." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Go ahead. You can do it quickly, right? Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And you have a very talented son. Good guy." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You have an honest you have an honest father." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I'm going to put a lot of pressure on him. He'll call you today in a little while." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great to meet you." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "That was really good. I was really worried about him." + }, + { + "tid": "KdkvrbokFtM", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-dave-portnoy-barstool-sports-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "A great honor, a great honor. A great" + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you. Thank you. Great honor. Please. Thank you. Sit down, please." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "It's great to be with you. Great company and wonderful location. Quick flight. It's in and out, but we have some big things to say." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1843, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Carol, I want to thank you also for doing such an incredible job at this company. I look at your numbers and I'm very jealous. A lot of people are very jealous." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But I'm delighted to be back in Atlanta, Georgia a special place. The hometown of one of the most amazing companies on Earth, UPS. They never fail. The dedicated men and women of UPS are an inspiration to us all." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Together we will defeat this virus and emerge stronger than ever before. We're here today to celebrate a historic breakthrough that will transform the lives of workers and families all across our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7655, + "raw_confidence": 0.7655, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "For decades, the single biggest obstacle to building a modern transportation system has been the mountains and mountains of bureaucratic red tape in Washington, D.C. Before I took office, reviews for highways ballooned to an average of nearly 750 pages in length. And they were the good ones; they were the short ones." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And I know because I was in business for a long time, and I had to go through a process that was so ridiculous. It was so ridiculous. We went through a process for building buildings, usually. It would take forever. By the time you'd start building, the market changed. You said, You know, the market was good when we started; now the market is lousy. So you'd say, The hell with it. We won't build. Sometimes you'd start building and you'd say, That was a mistake." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2064, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But we went through years and years of litigation and tumult, and it was just not good. But you go through it to an even greater extent." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7848, + "raw_confidence": 0.7848, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The maze-like approval process represented lobbyists that were very rich; they were making a lot of money. I remember I'd go up to Albany, New York, and I'd see my lobbyists up there. I said, What are you doing here? I knew what they were doing. They were trying to make it more difficult. So you had to hire them for more and more work, spend millions and millions of dollars for nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But too often, they caused massive delays, on top of everything else. And that way, they got their fees over a longer period of time. It's one of the reasons why, for example, the average Atlanta driver spends an incredible 77 hours in traffic during a short period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But all of that ends today. We're doing something very dramatic. We just completed an unprecedented and I don't want to say it's absolutely unprecedented top-to- bottom overhaul should have been done years ago of the infrastructure approval process; this approval process that has cost trillions of dollars over the years for our country and delays like you wouldn't believe." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "This is a truly historic breakthrough, which means better roads, bridges, tunnels, and highways for every UPS driver and every citizen all across our land. Together, we're reclaiming America's proud heritage as a nation of builders and a nation that can get things done, because with these horrible roadblocks that were put in front of us, you couldn't get it done. No matter how good you were, you couldn't get it done. You'd wait and wait. You'd go to the next step. You'd say, You can't start the next step until you finish the first." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Joining us for the special occasion are: Council of Environmental Quality Chairman Mary Neumayr. Where's Mary? Mary. Thank you, Mary. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, Mary. Good." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2026, + "raw_confidence": 0.7974, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Secretary of Transportation a very special woman, a great woman; somebody that has done an incredible job: Elaine Chao. Elaine. And she was very much instrumental in getting this done. And when Elaine speaks, we all listen. But she was very much instrumental." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1931, + "raw_confidence": 0.8069, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Secretary of Agriculture, a man who's done a fantastic job for our farmers and ranchers: Sonny Perdue. Sonny. And I learned more about farming from Sonny Perdue than all of these consultants that came in. I learned more in a half an hour from that man right there. We had a great call today with the farmers too. A great call. They're doing very well. A lot of good things have happened. Right, Sonny? A lot of things have happened. They were targeted by China. They were targeted by others." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7911, + "raw_confidence": 0.7911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We just signed the USMCA, which is phenomenal for our country and our farmers. Got rid of one of the worst trade deals in history, NAFTA. One of the worst trade deals ever. How anybody could have signed it, but worse, how anybody could have let it run for 25 years or whatever it was. They just took advantage of us. We had 60,000 empty plants and factories in our country by the time that mess got finished. So we just signed a great deal, USMCA. It's the largest trade deal ever made Mexico, Canada. The largest ever made." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2041, + "raw_confidence": 0.7959, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I know Sonny would like me to thank the UPS, all of the drivers and workers, for all of the help in delivering nearly 30 million meals to rural children throughout the country through our Meals-to-You program. Meals-to-You. You know what that is? Meals-to-You. You do, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We're also pleased to be joined by a great senator, somebody that's done a phenomenal job. And I can tell you look, he's a friend of mine, so I'm a little prejudiced, but he's a man that's respected by everybody on both sides of the U.S. Senate. He works hard. He loves your state. And I always say, Does David get the kind of recognition that he deserves? Because he is a very, very special man. David Perdue. Where's David? David. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And a woman who has come in and done a great job, and she's been so supportive of me and the agenda and a good person, a good woman with a husband who's a terrific man, Senator Kelly Loeffler. Thank you very much. Thank you, Kelly. Great job, Kelly." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1935, + "raw_confidence": 0.8065, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And warriors. These are warriors. These people fought for us through thick and thin, through very, very unfair territory. We were treated terribly, and they came in and they turned out to be tougher than the other side, by a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And I just want to introduce Representatives Rick Allen Rick. Thanks, Rick. The great Buddy Carter. Buddy. An incredible spokesman, an incredible man and friend, Doug Collins. Doug. Thank you, Doug. Great job, Doug. Drew Ferguson. Drew. Thank you very much, Drew. Jody Hice. Jody. Thank you, Jody. Great job, Jody. And Barry Loudermilk. Larry, thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And also, two people, friends of mine they'll be there soon, in my opinion, because they have to be because we need all the help we can get in Washington: Karen Handel. Karen. Thank you very much, Karen. Thank you, Karen. And Rich McCormick. Rich. Thank you. They'll be there soon, I hope. I hope. We need them. We need them. Get them in there." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Perhaps more important than Brian, however right? far more important is Georgia First Lady, Marty Kemp. Thank you very much, Marty." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And watch, please, those mail-in ballots. You're going to watch that for me because, you know, they have a lot of problems all over the country. They just had Paterson, New Jersey, where massive percentages of the vote was a fraud. Mail-in ballots. Be careful. Be careful. They would understand, because they deliver. In fact, I'm going to have to be very nice to UPS. UPS I love you, Carol. Wherever you are, Carol. I love you, Carol." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "No, it's very bad what's going on with mail-in ballots okay? as differentiated from absentee ballots, where you have to go and you go through a process because you can't be there for some reason. But the mail-in ballots is going to be they're going to be rigged. They're going to be a terrible situation. And you have to be careful in Georgia, but you have to be careful everywhere where they're doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7448, + "raw_confidence": 0.7448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "You know, we went through a First World War and a Second World War and people went to vote. Now they're saying, Let's use this as a chance not to vote. And there's been tremendous corruption tremendous corruption on mail-in ballots. So absentee ballot: Great. Mail-in ballot: Absolutely no good. It makes no sense. A governor sends out millions of ballots all over the place; they don't know where they're going. They're going to wherever." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.249, + "raw_confidence": 0.751, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I have a friend who got one for his daughter, another one for his daughter, and then a second one for the first daughter. They didn't know what to do with them. I had another friend a really wonderful guy who lost his son seven years ago: Robert. His son Robert. And his son was sent a mail-in ballot. He called me. He said, What do I do? I just got a mail-in ballot for Robert. Robert died seven years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So it's it's a terrible situation if they decide to use it. And we'll see what happens. There's a lot of litigation. A lot of court cases right now. And it makes sense. Just think of it: millions of ballots. In California, they're sending out millions of ballots. They don't even know who. Maybe they know too well who they're sending them to, and maybe it's the people that don't get it. Maybe it's an area of Republicans or Democrats that don't happen to get any ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We've had a lot of problems. Just take a look at what's gone on over the last month, and take a look at Paterson, New Jersey, a small city in New Jersey. I think they said something like 20 percent of the ballots were corrupted or something happened with them. Twenty percent." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And even in the 2016 election, 1 percent are in question. But I don't want to talk about that one because I won, so I don't want anyone going back and looking. All right? I'm not going to talk about 2016. That was the greatest election. And now we have to do something very important. We have to keep it going, or this country will be in big, big trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Today's action is part of my administration's fierce commitment to slashing the web of needless bureaucracy that is holding back our citizens. I've been wanting to do this from day one. And we started it on day one literally, on day one but it takes a long time. You have statutory requirements; you have a lot of different roadblocks even to changing it. But the change you'll be hearing about in a minute. And it's one of the biggest things we can be doing for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1881, + "raw_confidence": 0.8119, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The last administration increased the Federal Register by 16,000 pages of job-killing regulations. Under my administration, we have cut the Federal Register by nearly 25,000 pages, more than any President in history, whether it's four years, eight years, or in one case, more. And we, frankly this, I would think, is maybe the biggest of all. We did the U.S. Waters you saw that. The U.S. Waters Act. That was a big one. That was a big one." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3092, + "raw_confidence": 0.6908, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I thought I was going to take a lot of heat when I did that, and instead it was just the opposite. People came up grown men that had never cried, even when they were a baby they were standing behind me when I signed that bill at the White House, and they were crying. They were crying because we gave their life back to them. That took their life away. It took their livelihood away. It was a big, big moment." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But this is a big moment today too probably, possibly equally as big. Today's action completely modernizes the environmental review process under the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969. We are cutting the federal permitting timeline from a staggering 10 years, 15 years, 18 years, 21 years you know the story; you've seen it projects that start out. A young guy heads the project. By the time it gets approved or disapproved in many cases, disapproved; usually disapproved he's getting ready to retire." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So what did you do for your life? I worked on one project. We didn't get it through in the end. No, we won't get certain projects through for environmental reasons; they have to be environmentally sound. But you know what? We're going to know in a year. We're going to know in a year and a half. We're not going to know in 20 years." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So we're cutting the federal permitting timeline for a major project from up to 20 years or more hard to believe down to two years or less. So we have it down to about two years right now, Elaine, and I think two years or less. And our goal is one year. And you may get disapproved. It may they may vote, at the end, they didn't like something environmentally or safety-wise, and I'm all for that, but you're not going to devote a lifetime to doing a project that doesn't get approved or that gets approved." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.75, + "raw_confidence": 0.75, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Under the last administration, a mere 7 percent of reviews for federal highways were processed within two years. Now what we're doing is the two years won't be the exception; it'll be the rule. So what we're doing is, we're going to have that coming down at a much steeper rate. This will reduce approval times for highways alone by at least 70 percent. But the 70 percent is a very unambitious number because the number is going to be actually much lower than that." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "At the heart of the reforms is the One Federal Decision policy. It really spells it out when you hear that name: One Federal Decision. Before, applicants for infrastructure permits were forced to spend years and years navigating a labyrinth of federal agencies, and every single one had a power to stop a project. Anytime you went to an agency, they had a power to stop it. And it would stop the project not only stop it; but right in its tracks it would stop it." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "With our reforms, there will be one quick and fair decision. We're going to give every project a clear answer: Yes or no. Yes or no. The two-year process, where just to submit is two years, is not acceptable. It's going to be a very quick yes or no, after study, but the studies are going to go quickly and they're going to go simultaneously." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6116, + "raw_confidence": 0.6116, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We have up here, by the way that's a chart of the old system and the new system. And I think the new system is better. I think it's better not only in time; I think it's better in terms of the process, and I think it's better in terms of the importance from an environmental and a safety standpoint." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But take a look at that. This is what you had to go through. In fact, it was much more dramatic when I first came up with this about a year ago. We took that and we rolled it out. It was so dramatic. And it just kept going and going. So the difference is that. And many of those steps, you had to wait before you could even think about going to the next one, and you had to get full approvals." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2082, + "raw_confidence": 0.7918, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Any one of those colors, where there was a problem or a rejection, meant it was dead. And now you go through this very simple, but very comprehensive solution. And it's a beautiful thing, especially if you understand construction and building, and other things beyond building, like I do." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1589, + "raw_confidence": 0.8411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So I always like so I say, probably. They're talking about 35, 40 years something like that. If it's any different from that, media, we will look at all those people back there. Any different than that, we will report to you. We will make an amendment. We will we'll never make a correction, because I don't like doing that." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2476, + "raw_confidence": 0.7524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "One of the first projects accelerated by these reforms will be the planned expansion of I-75 right here in Georgia. That's in honor of your wife, in honor of Marty. Okay? That's in honor of Marty. They've been looking to do that for many years. Right? But the Governor is going to get it done. This expansion will add 77 new lane miles commercial vehicles, like those driven by UPS, saving drivers countless hundreds of hours a year." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "With us today is Julian Paulk, a Teamster I know the Teamsters very well at UPS, who drives this route often. Julian, please come up and tell your story, please. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Fantastic job. Fantastic job. Thank you, Julian. But, Julian, it looks like you're attributing a lot of your success to your wife. Is that a correct statement?" + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Would you please stand up? So lovely. Thank you. That's great. Great job. You're proud of the job he just did, I think, huh? Pretty good. He'll be running for office next week. Watch. Great job, Julian. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I'd like to invite UPS's Vice President of Corporate Transportation Bill Taylor up to say a few words. Please, Bill. Thank you, Bill. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Bill, and good luck. Carol, I don't think I'd let him retire. He looks he's got about 30 years left in him at UPS. Can't believe you're retiring. That's terrible. Do you want to retire or do you want to stay? Because they'll renew you for 25 more years? You've got it. You've done a fantastic job. Thank you very much. Thank you, Bill. Really great job." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Here as well is the Commissioner of Georgia Department of Transportation, Russell McMurry. Russell, please come up and say a few words. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And Russell said that so well because there have been many steps that we've made over the course of the last three years that allowed us to get to this big giant step. This is a big deal. And this is front page all over this country. And, frankly, nobody realizes what it means other than the people that are in this room and others that do what you do." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But the fact is this is something that nobody thought was possible. But it was all those little steps, Russell, that allowed us to get to this step bureaucratically and in every other way. So thank you very much. And you've done a great job. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We're also joined by Janelle King, a small-business owner here in Atlanta. Janelle, please come up and say a few words, please. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great job. Good job. And look how proud your husband is of you. He had that camera up. That camera wasn't moving down. I'll tell you. He captured every word. That's great. Beautiful family. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1823, + "raw_confidence": 0.8177, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "One of the things I'll tell you that the Governor and I are working on a couple of projects that are going to be big surprises for you big ones, big projects that you've been talking about for 20 years, I guess, in one case. So we'll get them done. I'm sure we'll get them done." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank you all. Great presentations. Thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "My administration is also moving full speed ahead on improving the Port of Savannah, which is now the largest agriculture exporting port in the entire United States. Largest in the country. As many of you know, this project faced 20 years of unnecessary delays. This has been going on for years. And when they came to me, and the Governor said, Can you help us with this? I said, We'll help you with it. What's the story?" + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "It's been going on for years and years. They've been talking about it; nothing ever happened. It was also eight years of additional bureaucratic reviews. Just reviews. This isn't like, Oh, gee, let's start digging. This is paperwork. People made a lot of money. It's a terrible thing. It just gets caught up like so many other places. But it's all ending now." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Bureaucratic reviews under the Obama-Biden administration have been a disaster, and they got worse. But I'm proud to report that for three straight years under my administration, we've delivered full funding for the Port of Savannah. And we're on track to complete the project in a very short period of time. It's going to be completed, right? okay? in honor of the governor. In honor the governor and Marty. Good. Congratulations. That was a great job. They've been fighting for that one for a long time. You got it done." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We want a governor that gets it done. Even though he calls me all the time, Can we get it done? Can we... I wish you wouldn't call so much. But, you know, that's the sign of a good governor, right? When you think, right? Stand up, please. That's a sign of a governor." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I like the ones that don't call, Brian, where they just leave me alone. But their project never happens. Great job you do. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1929, + "raw_confidence": 0.8071, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We want the United States to compete and win in the 21st century. And that means we will not allow our nation to be hamstrung by wasteful Washington regulations." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7374, + "raw_confidence": 0.7374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We're the nation that built the Golden Gate Bridge in four years, the Hoover Dam in five years, and a lot of people don't understand this, but it's so true: We built the Empire State Building in less than a year. Can you imagine that?" + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4124, + "raw_confidence": 0.5876, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The Biden administration, our past Vice President, opposes think of this all of our permitting reforms, and wants to increase the length of the permitting process. Think of this. This is in his Bernie Sanders deal." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.592, + "raw_confidence": 0.592, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Biden is happy to tie up projects in red tape, and we want to get things built. But they want to increase the length. So they want to increase it from that to much longer. Unbelievable." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And Biden wants to hold hostage billions in federal Surface Transportation Grants for states and localities, unless the states and local suburban communities abolish single-family zoning rules. So they want low-income housing to be built in communities that, frankly, they don't want it. They don't want it. Hasn't worked out. And we're terminating that, as you know. I announced it two weeks ago. We're going to be eliminating that rule. It's a crazy rule and it's very unfair to a lot of people. A lot of people are very unhappy." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "It should not take 10 years or more just to get approval for a simple stretch of road. Special interests in Washington will never begin they will never begin to let you breathe. They will never that's not their business. Their business is the opposite. And we will do vetoes wherever necessary in order to make sure everything happens, and happens quickly. We're not giving a veto for one thing: America's future. There will never be a veto for America's future." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So my goal, my mission, and my commitment to each of you is very simple: America's infrastructure will be the envy of the entire world, as it was many, many years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7743, + "raw_confidence": 0.7743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We built the Interstate Highway System during the Eisenhower administration a long time ago. And since then, it's gotten worse and worse and worse, and more bureaucratic and more bureaucratic. And now we're freeing up and we're going back probably to around 1952. We're going back to a long time ago." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And again, you have to get permits. We want safety. We want to be totally involved with the environment. We want our environment to be better than it would be the other way the long way. But you're going to get your answers quickly. One way or the other, you're going to get those answers very quickly. And if the answer is a big, beautiful yes, you're going to start construction immediately. You're not going to wait around for 10, 12, and 20 years." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Our bridges, tunnels, freeways, and airports will no longer be the sight of shame, but they'll be a source of pride. From coast to coast, town to town, we're constructing new roads, railways, runways, and waterways." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7273, + "raw_confidence": 0.7273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "You know, we had a in many cases where they'll get federal funding to build a highway, then it'll take them forever to get the approval. And by the time they have it approved, they need 10 times more money. They come back to the federal government, and the government would usually turn them down. They'd say, That wasn't the deal. But sometimes they'd just pay 10 times more. We're not going to do that anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8043, + "raw_confidence": 0.8043, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We're linking our cities with gleaming highways and blazing-fast . And if you think, when you look at the farmers of this country, what they've gone through with the broadband broadband is so bad in the middle section that beautiful middle section of our country. Our farmers, our ranchers are hurt very badly." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So we're getting fast broadband networks, and we're carving them out and towering beautiful new monuments to American greatness. And that's what they will be. But our farmers have to be thought of also. Nobody thought of our farmers. Our farmers are incredible, and they're doing an incredible job. Doing an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7547, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So for the farmers out there: Broadband, here we come. Broadband they've been trying to get it for a long time. Many years." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Together, we're building our incredible future with American hands, American heart, and American steel. As your President, I am more determined than ever that America's infrastructure will be second to none." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And in Georgia, you're going to have an infrastructure and you're going to have some projects announced that almost all of the people in this room do not know about. Most people have given up on them, Brian, I think. They've given up. They gave up with the rest of them. But we have some things planned in Georgia that'll be really incredible. And everybody is going to want it, both Democrat, by the way, and Republican." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The problem is nobody was able to get it done. We get it done. One thing I know: I know how to get things done. Because under this administration and under this administration, we will always put America first. We were putting other countries first; now we're putting America first." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank everybody for being here. I want to thank and congratulate UPS on having a great run many years, but a great run recently. You've done a fantastic job, whether it's the SkyBridge or anything else that we've done with you. You've been fantastic. I want to apprec- I really appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But especially, I appreciate a state called Georgia. It's a special place. It's a great place. And it's an honor to be with you, and it's an honor this is where I'm announcing. This is good for the whole country, not only Georgia. This is for the whole country. But I'm announcing it in Georgia because we have some great things planned for you. You are special people." + }, + { + "tid": "Kvy1JN6LSHQ", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-infrastructure-ups-hapeville-atlanta-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Mr. Governor, thank you very much. Marty, thank you very much. Everybody, thank you. Thank you, everybody. Thank you very much, everybody. Have a good time. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And it's my honor. It's always fun." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We'll catch it. We'll catch it. That's an easy record. Look at the stock market today. It's up 323 points after a big day yesterday. And we are up to 28,000. 28,000, just hit 28,000 for one second. Now it's 27,997." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Wow, that's a tough one. It's always tougher, you know, when you have friend. It's always tougher. Look, I would say this. It'll be very interesting. It's going to be very interesting to watch. But I won't watch, I won't watch if people don't stand for the National Anthem. If they kneel, I don't watch, including the Super Bowl." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "With that being said, we're helping the NFL greatly on getting going, etc., etc. But I won't care and I won't watch if they don't stand for the National Anthem, and that's what's happened to basketball. I don't know if you've seen what's going on with basketball. Their ratings are" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I would say this. You've got, if you ask me coach on coach, I like that as a better question. You always have to hit me with these very tough questions. I think they're both going to do great. They're both friends of mine. I'll tell you, Belichick is an incredible coach, and I think he's going to do really well." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "This guy just knows how to win. And he's a very good friend of mine. He's a winner. You know, if I ever had a military battle, I'd call up Belichick and say what do you think? What do you think? Give me a couple of ideas." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And he'd be as good as any general out there. And I think Tom, you know, Tom picked a team where they have a very good offensive line and supposedly great receivers, great receivers. And he did that on purpose. He didn't pick a team just for the dollars. He picked a team that really supposedly has some real talent that hasn't quite gotten there, and in a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So I think Tom's going to be an interesting person to watch." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You mean if something happened like now?" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Absolutely, I'd do it. Sure. It depends" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You know, I don't know what you're talking about, time, but if you're talking about if something would happen now, no, I would move quickly. Why not? I mean, they would. The Democrats would if they were in this position. But you know, I'll be interested" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2859, + "raw_confidence": 0.7141, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Oh, at the end of my term, I'll be up to about 300, could be even a little bit more, 300 federal judges, including Court of Appeals, Appellate divisions. We'll be at 300, think of that, 300 judges, probably a little bit more, and two Supreme Court judges. Think of that. It's not happened" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.221, + "raw_confidence": 0.779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And they're solid, and the Appeals Court judges are, you know, I'm getting rave reviews that even some of the, those on the left are saying well, we don't agree with them, but they are very powerful picks. So we're getting rave reviews on judges. I will say that. But you know, who's had so many? Now I was given a gift, because I had 142 when I first came in." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2448, + "raw_confidence": 0.7552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I said you know, I've always heard, and you've always said, and I've always heard the mot important thing you can do are Supreme Court justices and judges, you know, a combination, really, both. And I said how many do I have my first day? Sir, you have 142. I said you've got to be kidding. So I started off with 142. Most presidents start off with none." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I would say very rarely do you have one. I had 142, got them filled with really talented, very, very great people, very highly-respected people. And from there, I've gone on to continue to fill a lot of judgeships. A lot of people have retired because they got to a certain age and they retired. We didn't discourage that." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2192, + "raw_confidence": 0.7808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And we, we're up to, we'll be over 300. And it's hard to believe, but we'll be over 300" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I do. I have somebody that I think would be excellent. I do." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "No, I can't, I can't name who, but I have somebody that I think would be really well-received, would be excellent, highly-respected. I mean, that's subject to change, but somebody that really would be, I think, I think great." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "No, I'm not. No, it wasn't, you know, anything like that. It wasn't, it was just something we were talking about COVID. They've done well. We've done well also. We get no credit for it. You know, we do so much testing, so we end up with, when you do testing, you have cases. You know, we tested more than, I guess, about 65 million tests." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3426, + "raw_confidence": 0.6574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "India's at 11, Germany's at 3, and we're at 65. When you test, you have cases. But we've done very well, and that was really a visit on COVID, or as I call it, the China plague or the China virus, which is what it is." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm not going to suggest anything, but I will tell you it causes problems. And it's a big point of discussion for us over the next two months. I will tell you that. It's going to be a big, a very big point of discussion." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I don't like it. I don't like it. Not at all. And my relationship is much, I had a very good relationship with President Xi. But once it turned to, once we got hit with the virus that they didn't get hit, you know, they contained it in China. Now they've had outbreaks like everyone else, but they contained it essentially in China." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But they didn't contain it from the U.S. and Europe and the rest of the world. 188 countries, Hugh, 188 countries. And it's frustrating." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2119, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's never an easy call. It's always a, you know, you're talking about human life. One way or the other, you don't know where it leads, it's turned out. And al-Baghdadi, don't forget, took out the founder and leader of ISIS who was trying to build it again. When I took over, ISIS was prevalent. It was all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2635, + "raw_confidence": 0.7365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I wiped out ISIS in Syria and Iraq, 100% of the caliphate. And we found that al-Baghdadi, now he's the one that was stood, I always say, the one with the fan. He always had the fan. You know, it was the old picture, but he always had the fan behind him. And I said why can't you find him? And I was looking for him from the beginning, and we knocked out him, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2196, + "raw_confidence": 0.7804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "That was big, and then we did Soleimani. And there are those that say that the Soleimani was the biggest move made in the Middle East of anything. And I don't even view it that way. What he did to our soldiers, what he did to people, he was the king of the roadside bomb. He loved the roadside bomb. He loved blowing people's brains out, loved blowing people's legs off and arms." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I see them in the hospital. I go over to Walter Reed where I think you have the greatest doctors in the world, by the way, because I see what they can do. It's incredible. But I go over and visit these soldiers a lot, and they are badly, you know, just bad, the military, they are badly, badly injured." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.236, + "raw_confidence": 0.764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And that was really a Soleimani thing." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8008, + "raw_confidence": 0.8008, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "A large, large percentage of those bombs were even directly or indirectly put there by Soleimani." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Sure. Not only ISIS, was spying on my campaign. We caught them spying on my campaign, Hugh. And I used to watch you on all those liberal lefty shows with Sleepy Eyes Chuck Todd and" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I said you know, just doesn't, he just doesn't fit into that group. But somehow, he, Hugh, you wanted to be honest, and you have to be honest. I know you very well, very well. It's always interesting. They name you. I know you very well, Hugh. But I will tell you that you've been terrific. But I watch you on those shows with a few of our friends like Sleepy Eyes, and it was a very interesting, it was a very interesting group." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I don't think you felt too comfortable." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "100%. Look, not only, I mean literally not only that, we're talking about unmasking, yes. That was a big deal. Horrible deal where they unmasked him so many times. I think he's got to have the record for unmasking. Maybe I do, you know, because we're still looking how many times did they unmask me. Let's find that out, too, because look, they were spying on our campaign." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They were using him and others, and they were spying on my campaign. So was I unmasked? So far, they haven't said, but let's see what happens. I think you're going to have a very interesting report coming out with Durham. Not report, I hope it's not going to be a report. The last thing I want is another report." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7843, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We've had enough reports. We had the report on Comey, which told you he was a dirty cop. What a report that was by Horowitz." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1837, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I, you know, we have a great Attorney General. I leave him to his thing. I will ask him every once in a while when is it coming, when? I can only say this. I believe it's bigger and far more, far reaching and far more powerful than anyone ever thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's into every community. This thing was prevalent. It was all over the place, and it was a disgrace. They spied on our campaign. They tried to take me down both before and after the election. They wrote a fake dossier with hookers and all of the disgusting things, and it was a total work of fiction, and that's been proven now many times." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It's been, and they wanted to use that. And the only thing they couldn't do, for whatever reason, I'll tell you, probably the only time I've respected the media in the last ten years is they were unable to get the fake dossier printed in mainstream media or at all. Nobody would take it, because they all knew it was phony." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7073, + "raw_confidence": 0.7073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They all knew it was fake. Today, they'd take it, because they've gotten worse, far worse than they were four years ago. They couldn't get it printed, because they wanted to get it printed before the election. And after the election, it didn't mean so much. But they wanted to get this fake document printed before the election, and they couldn't do it." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And by the way, and John McCain tried, and they all tried. John McCain, you know, I'm supposed to think wonderful things about John McCain. But they brought it to John McCain. They all tried. And they couldn't get it done. And for that, I respect the media." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Probably. I mean, probably. I think it's another reason we should win. And we're doing very well. I don't know if you've seen, the polls have been going up like a rocket ship. Hey, I was, George Washington would have had a hard time beating me before the plague came in, before the China plague. And then, you know, like every other nation, like other countries, when you get hit, it affects you, and we went down a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And then we went down a little bit more, and now we're coming up at a level that we haven't seen. I just got back from Texas, Ohio and Florida. We've got all law enforcement awards, everything. We got the endorsement from all of them. But I just got back, and they're the largest crowds on the highway I've ever seen." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7145, + "raw_confidence": 0.7145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I'd love to do the rallies. We can't because of the COVID. You know, you can't have people sitting next to each other." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I don't think Joe knows he's, what he's doing right now. I think Joe's trying to get out of the basement. I'm not sure that he knows. If you'd ask him that question, I don't think he'd be able to answer it. I think you should play football. These are young, strong athletes. As you know, this disease has very little impact on young people, the immune system, and plus, they're in great health." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "They're in very good health. And I think you should play football. They want to play football. I spoke about it a little bit yesterday, but they want to play football, and they should play football. And they should stand for our National Anthem, and they should stand for our flag and respect our flag. Basketball didn't do that, and they're down to tubes." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7696, + "raw_confidence": 0.7696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Their ratings are terrible, like terrible. People are angry about it." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7638, + "raw_confidence": 0.7638, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The NFL, I hope the NFL learned from their last little go-round two years ago when they got, when they were losing 25-30% of their fans. I hope they learned. I don't think they did, but they will, because the people are angry about it if they don't stand for the flag." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2078, + "raw_confidence": 0.7922, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He's a liar, and he's just a sick person. You know, I put him there. Everyone said don't, because he's a nut job. I did it, and frankly, I used him, because every time I walked into a room with this guy, didn't have too much conversation, didn't know him very well. He was there for not a long while, but every time I walked in, I'd win a negotiation, because everyone thought I wanted to go to war." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4586, + "raw_confidence": 0.5414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You know, when this guy walks into a room, he was a nut job. Now I understand why we got into the Middle East, because he was involved in that, too." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.524, + "raw_confidence": 0.524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Which is the worst mistake in the history of our country, getting into the Middle East, okay, you know, going into the Middle East was" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Who would ever say a thing like that? He made it up. He made up everything. John Bolton is a sick person. And John, and he's not a smart person. And he actually worked for me, because, frankly, I didn't talk to him much. There wasn't much to say. You're not going to learn much from the guy. He's just, you know, hardline to a point of stupidity." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And having him in a room, you automatically had a hardline position. But no, John is not somebody that people respect very much." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "By a factor of 50, me, okay? Number one, he sent pillows, and I said send them the tank busters, okay? Number two, I got NATO to pay $400 billion a year more to protect themselves against Russia. Obama got nothing except it went down, down, down. Those things. I revealed the pipeline, the pipeline, Nordstream II." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Nobody even talked about it. Germany's getting their energy from Russia. I said what kind of a deal is this? You're paying Russia billions of dollars, we're protecting you from Russia? What's this all about? I built our military $2.5 trillion dollars. Our military is the strongest it's ever been right now." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7445, + "raw_confidence": 0.7445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I spent $2.5 trillion dollars. Obama, our military was depleted. I also took care of our vets, and I took care of lots of other things, and we have Space Force. And we became the biggest energy in the world. We're now the biggest energy, by far, in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7899, + "raw_confidence": 0.7899, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I had a very good relationship with President Xi. I would even say better than good. I would say we had a great relationship. He's a great gentleman. But my relationship is no longer very good with him because of what they did with the China virus. If you ask me that now, I would have said great, I had a great relationship with him." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6732, + "raw_confidence": 0.6732, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I made a great trade deal. They're buying billions and billions of dollars' worth of products. You notice you don't hear the farmers complaining, do you? They just had, they just gave the largest corn order in history last week, the largest ever. You know why? Because he's smart, because rather than saying we're not going to do business with them, they say let's get the biggest orders we've ever gave, because they know how I feel." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I'll tell you this. With Iran, and with China, and with everybody, Russia, we're dealing with Russia right now on a nuclear arms pact, because, and they want to do it. They want to do it badly. I don't think they'll wait. I think they want to do it. And it's a great thing. This is the biggest problem in the world today." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2105, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're dealing with Russia right now on that. But I'll tell you this. With China, but with Iran and North Korea, look what North Korea, everyone thought we were going to be, if Hillary Clinton got in, you would be, maybe the world would be over by now. But millions of people would have died. You would have had a war with North Korea." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5897, + "raw_confidence": 0.5897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I think what Secretary Kerry did, if there was ever a reason for the Logan Act, I thought what Secretary Kerry did was horrible, because he made it, we could have had a deal with Iran. And frankly, he broke it up. Kerry's lucky that we have a very fine Attorney General that treats people well, because if there was ever a case for the Logan Act, it certainly wasn't Flynn." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2309, + "raw_confidence": 0.7691, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "It was Kerry. Kerry was dealing behind our back telling them not to make a deal, okay? That's different. Telling them not to make a deal, and he's a disgrace. Kerry, that whole administration was a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2288, + "raw_confidence": 0.7712, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The Obama administration, Hugh, the Obama administration got caught spying on my campaign. It's treason. It's whatever you want to call it. It's never happened before. And working on it both before and after the election, and that has to do with, you know, Strzok and his lover, Page" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3327, + "raw_confidence": 0.6673, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "When they did the insurance policy, just in case she loses, we have an insurance policy. Obama got caught, and he knew everything. Obama knew everything. And Biden knew everything." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7843, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Because they'll own the United State if he wins, and with me, they were having the worst year in 67 years because I tariffed the hell out of them. We took in billions and billions of dollars. I gave some of it to the farmers because they were targeted, and I put the rest in the Treasury of the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7926, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We've taken in tens of billions of dollars from China, and it was having a huge impact on China, negative impact on China." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5553, + "raw_confidence": 0.5553, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And China will own, just like when his son walked out with $1.5 billion dollars from China to manage, where he'll make millions of dollars a year. Look, China will own the United States if this election is lost by Donald Trump. If I don't win the election, China will own the United States. You're going to have to learn to speak Chinese, you want to know the truth." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And you'll have to learn it fast. They will own the United States. And I'll tell you another thing that'll happen. The market's up 350 points today. It was up 350 points yesterday. It's ready to break new records. NASDAQ has already broken a record. We're doing very well in everything including Corona, as you call it." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2059, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But let me just tell you, we're getting to an end. We're getting to, and the vaccines are ready to rock. We're going to be very close to a vaccine. We're ready to distribute, and we're there for the therapeutics, which to me is even more important, frankly. It makes you better. It's more important than the vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But I will tell you this. If Biden wins, you're going to have a radical left. You'll have every city looking like Portland, but you'll have a radical left, and you're going to have a stock market crash the equivalent of 1928 and 1929." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4691, + "raw_confidence": 0.5309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "You will have the stock market crash the equivalent of what we had in 1929. And just mark my words, someday we'll talk about it. I hope we don't have to ever bother, because I hope it doesn't happen. But your 401K's will drop down to numbers that's not even possible. Right now, everybody with their 401K's, you know, we're literally a few points off the greatest market in our history." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7323, + "raw_confidence": 0.7323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I used to talk about the greatest market six, seven months ago. We had the greatest market in history. And I was sailing. I mean, we were going, we were going very good, Hugh. It was really looking good, and then we got hit by the plague. And now, people are respecting the way we've handled that. But I think more importantly, they're respecting the jobs numbers and the economy." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2122, + "raw_confidence": 0.7878, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The economy is coming back on a very steep V-curve which I said it would. And it's come up" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7807, + "raw_confidence": 0.7807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We're almost, we're almost going to be hitting new records maybe soon, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I think he's subject to it. I'm not, I don't like doing it, but it's, look, he walked away with a billion and a half dollars. You go to Steve Schwarzman of Blackstone and ask him, because I did, is that possible. And he said no, it's not possible. Not possible. He walked away in ten minutes with $1.5 billion dollars." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7811, + "raw_confidence": 0.7811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And Ukraine, he got $83,000 a month. I think they made an up front payment of $3 million dollars. This is a guy didn't have a job. His father became vice president, and all of a sudden, his kid is getting rich. And he didn't have a job. He had no experience in energy, and he got $3 million dollars and $83,000 dollars a month, which is the wrong number, because the real number is $160-something thousand a month." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So I'll stand there, and then his father stands here and says I'm not going to give you the billion dollars unless you get rid of the prosecutor and they got rid of the prosecutor and it's all on tape? And the media doesn't want to pick it up? Could you imagine if I said that?" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I have not, but I think it's great if wants his voice heard." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Oh, yeah, I think so. I think a lot. Well, you saw there was a poll yesterday, a Rasmussen poll that had me in the 30s, okay? Did you see that?" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Yeah, a Rasmussen poll. I think it was Rasmussen. But it had me in a very, very, very high position. But we, look, I've done criminal justice reform. I've done opportunity zones. I saved the black colleges and universities, historically black. We, with numbers that they didn't even think they were going to get, I saved them." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2152, + "raw_confidence": 0.7848, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I saved them. They couldn't get money. And I saved them. Nobody else would have done it. Nobody else could have done it. Nobody else could have gotten criminal justice reform. And Obama didn't think he could get it. He never even tried." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm not lowering expectations. Everyone else is. I'm not. I don't do that. Look, whoever shows up, I watched him with Bernie Sanders, and he did okay. I wouldn't say he was Winston Churchill." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "But he got through. But you know the way it is, the fake news. If he stands up, and if he is able to breathe, and if he's able to walk off the platform, they'll say it was one of the greatest debate performances in history. These, the fake news is corrupt, and it's a disgrace. And it's now rated lower than Congress." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "At least in my mind, it's rated lower than anything. But I've seen things from the fake news that someday I'll tell you some things you wouldn't even believe. These are corrupt people. So if he goes and debates, if he said yes, I had a wonderful breakfast, thank you for asking the question, they'll give him, they'll say it was one of the greatest answers in history." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So you know, I know what I'm up against, and I had a smaller dose of it with Hillary. But Hillary was smart. Joe was never smart. Joe wasn't smart in prime time. I've had a certain highly-respected senator years ago, I said, who I got along with very well which people would be shocked at, I said who's the smartest person in the Senate?" + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He gave me a name. Then he said who's the dumbest, and he said Joe. And I said who's Joe? Joe. I said who is he? Who is he? He said Joe. You don't know Joe? And we go along, and I said you're talking about Biden? Yeah, I'm talking about Joe Biden. I said why, he's the dumbest in the Senate? He's by far." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2106, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "He's a glad hand. He called him a glad hand, and he was a friend. He was a friend of the guy. But he said Joe Biden's the dumbest in the Senate. Now that was in prime time. That question was asked 20 years ago, probably. You know, I've been involved in this stuff for a long time, even though not on this side that I'm on now." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I was on sort of the other side, like helping people get elected. Now, I'm really helping people get elected. Look at Bill Hagerty." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1949, + "raw_confidence": 0.8051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Look at Hagerty in Tennessee. That was great. Look what happened, a great, really a great decision, two very good people, but a very easy win now in Kansas, because Roger's going to be fantastic. He's going to do a great job. We have a lot of, we have a lot of success going. We're doing very well with the Republican Party." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3451, + "raw_confidence": 0.6549, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And you know, the endorsement, when I endorse, if you look, it's, I don't even want to give you the numbers, but hundreds to one or two or three." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Well I'm glad that never changed. Hopefully, it won't." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "If you see it change, let me know it's time to get out of politics." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2304, + "raw_confidence": 0.7696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "I delivered on the wall, and I delivered for the vets. And I delivered for tax cuts, and I delivered for regulation cuts, the biggest regulation and tax cuts in history, in history. I delivered on everything. And now, I have some other things to deliver on. And they don't knock down statues anymore, because they do to jail for 10 years." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2061, + "raw_confidence": 0.7939, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And I'm waiting for the people in Oregon to call me, and the people in Illinois to call me so we can send in the National Guard and take care of their problems. But they don't want to call me." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4656, + "raw_confidence": 0.5344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "Pride or stupidity, they don't want to call." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1969, + "raw_confidence": 0.8031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "We can solve that problem in one hour, just like we did in Minneapolis. They were ripping the place apart, and I was calling them and saying you'd better get the Guard out. Get the Guard out. We're ready. Get the Guard. Soon as they Guard came out, it was over in an hour. You saw the scene, the black uniforms walking down the street, boom, boom, boom, they didn't miss a step." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7968, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "The whole thing was over. They could have done that a week earlier, and you wouldn't have had a city that was ripped apart." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6535, + "raw_confidence": 0.6535, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And the only reason Seattle settled was they knew I was going in the next day." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "And my guys were going in the next day. That's the only reason that happened." + }, + { + "tid": "KXptS2Vjlmw", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hugh-hewitt-august-11-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-11", + "claim_text": "So a lot of positive things are happening, and you're a great guy. And a lot of fun, and we'll do it again. We have to keep our streak going." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1932, + "raw_confidence": 0.8068, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well hello Oshkosh. Wow! I don't know what happened. Something happened. This was supposed to be just a quick little small gathering. This is what's happening and we call it a peaceful protest. We're supposed to have 50 people, right? So we have a little more and they turned away a lot of people outside." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So we'll call it a peaceful protest. That way we could do whatever we want. You know that's what they call it in New York and these different places Portland, when they're rioting all over the streets they say it was a peaceful protest. So you can have thousands of people doing it we'll do the same thing." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'm truly thrilled to be here with you. The hardworking patriots of Wisconsin. Thank you. Thank you. It's a big group of people. This is like a rally I said it's not supposed to be a rally. We're not supposed to have a rally. I hereby grant to you a pardon. Thank you. Thank you very much. Well, I want to thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Thank you. In the months ahead we will need every ounce of your strength and drive and patriotism. We're in a fight for the survival of our nation and civilization itself. We are really in a fight. This is the most important election we've ever had in my opinion. And I used to say it and I'd say it with great conviction, 2016 but you know what?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That wasn't crazy people we were dealing. They were on the edge, crooked Hillary was on the edge. She was on the verge. She became crazy later on when she lost. That's what she became. But these are people that are seriously radical left. Joe Biden is nothing but their puppet. He has no clue what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And then baking speeches that are taped, who wants to listen to Michelle Obama do a tape speech? No, you got to have her get up there. But we're doing a real speech on Thursday next Thursday, she'll be listening. Doing it live from the white house, live from the white house. So we have plenty to say. So Joe Biden and the Democrats have pledged to oppose $4 trillion of new taxes." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So this is a group of people that think it's good to raise everybody's taxes. In the old days a politician would lower taxes, right? The great Scott Walker is here, your governor. Scott would lower taxes, but now the whole thing I guess it's changed. It's gotten inside out. Now everybody says we're going to raise your taxes, but Republicans are lowering your taxes." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We gave you the biggest tax decrease of the history of our country and we're going lower. But they're going to massively increase your regulations. In addition to your taxes, they're going to confiscate the guns of law abiding Americans. They're going to take away your second amendment. They're going to make America a sanctuary for criminal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They're going to keep those sanctuary cities. They love sanctuary cities. They're going to protect the criminals, abolish American energy and make us reliant on foreign nations and force taxpayers to fund extreme late term abortion. That's what they're doing. They also want to abolish the suburbs by allowing far left Washington bureaucrats to force the construction of low income housing projects in every neighborhood in America." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's what they want to do, that's their goal. And we're going to let you preserve your American dream in the suburbs. Okay? We ended the program. We ended the program. The voters of Wisconsin are very, very spectacular people. We are going to take care of you at every level. We are going to fight for you." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We are going to fight for every single aspect that you have going. We are never going to forget you. You didn't forget me in the last election so I want to thank you very much. Thank you everybody. Thank you. I want to thank you very much. It's great. So we issued a regulation and we ended that regulation because when we talk about suburbs and we talk about other things we have taken care of about 84% of Obama regulations, executive orders." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's amazing. We knocked out a big portion of what he did, including the wonderful mandate, right? The individual mandated Obamacare, which totally by the way, by far the worst of all of Obamacare. We took it out, essentially that ended Obamacare. And then you say so we knocked out 84% of what he did and then they say he was a wonderful President." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Why was he a wonderful President if we knocked out in a very popular way knocked out 84%? The voters of Wisconsin face a simple choice. Do you want to be ruled by the radical left mob or do you want to stand tall as free men and women in the greatest country on earth and keep it that way? Do you want to crush our economy under the crazy socialist policies of sleepy Joe Biden and his boss Kamala Harris?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And his other boss Nancy Pelosi, she's a beauty. And his ruler Bernie Sanders, crazy Bernie. Or do you want to quickly rebuild the strongest economy in the history of the world? Which we did. We're going to have to do it again. We're going to have to do it again and we're in the process of doing it. We've built the greatest economy on earth and now we're doing it again." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You look at all the numbers, we're going to go over them. Do you want to fund and defame and dismantle the police? I don't think so. Do you want to support the incredible heroes of law enforcement? Yes, right? Do you want your friends and family to be persecuted by the far left wing? It's called cancel culture, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Cancel culture. Or do you want to defend our history, our heroes, our faith, our values and our treasured American way of life, which is what we have? Now don't believe the lies you're going to hear on tape. Most of it is going to be tape. I wonder is Joe Biden taping his speech too because if he is, I think I'll tape mine." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "How do you watch a tape? They talk about a convention. How do you watch a tape speech? I would imagine Joe is going to do everything he can to tape it. I saw them asking him questions today. It was a news conference and he read them off a teleprompter. I don't get it. I don't get it. Something going on up there." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We can't afford it. I can tell you this look, from doing this now we've built the greatest economy in the world, we rebuilt our military, we gave you the greatest tax cuts in history, we gave you the greatest regulation cuts. We became energy independent. We've done things that nobody thought possible, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Nobody thought possible. We've done things that nobody ever thought you had the greatest year in the history of your state last year, greatest year. And when you look at the numbers, you're going to have an even greater year next year, unless somebody comes in and quadruples your taxes. In which case it's called the depression folks." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1556, + "raw_confidence": 0.8444, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's called it depression. It's not going to happen because we're going to win. Biden is just a Trojan horse for socialism. He's a Trojan horse. He has no clue, but the people around him are tough and they're smart. But we disagree with them very, very strongly. They're mean and they're angry like her. By the way, nobody treated Joe Biden worse than Kamala, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3672, + "raw_confidence": 0.6328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "She was worse than Pocahontas, She was worse than anybody on stage. Nobody treated him worse or with less respect. She had no respect. All of a sudden she's now saying he's the wonderful. She didn't feel that way a little while ago. Let's talk about her for a second. She left in shame. She started at 14 she left at two." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "She went in the wrong direction. So if a poll is any indication, that's what we want, speak in the polls. Fake news, CNN. They probably have their cameras going thank you very much. No, no, no. Frankly, their pollster's much better than Fox because Fox has never gotten it right. Fox pollster I don't know who he is, but he hasn't had a clue for about seven years." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2045, + "raw_confidence": 0.7955, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Let me just tell you that CNN gave us an increase of 10 or 11 points in just a short period of time that we went up and now they call it margin of error. Don't believe it. We're way beyond the margin of error don't believe it. I just got back from Texas and Florida and Ohio. We were all over the place. We went to great states and every roadway and highway, we had thousands, tens of thousands." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I would say at least on each one a hundred thousand people from the plane, because that's why this isn't a rally. This is again, friendly protest. We were not allowed to do rallies, right? Because of rules and regulations which we want to adhere to. But from the plane to an oil well, from the plane to getting law enforcement, all of the sheriffs in Florida gave us their full endorsement And in Ohio we went to a plant Whirlpool." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2262, + "raw_confidence": 0.7738, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They were out of business, they were going out of business and now they're a thriving company because they were dumping washing machines and dryers into our country and I stopped it. And I said, You want to do that? We're putting a massive tariff. And all of a sudden Whirlpool and thousands of people that work in Ohio and other places it became a really terrific company again." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we went there. But if you look at the kind of enthusiasm we have, we have never had the enthusiasm that we have right now and that includes 2016. And I hate to say it and I don't want to be rude because I would never be rude. But let me just tell you Joe Biden has no enthusiasm. No enthusiasm and you don't win without enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "People aren't saying we got to get him in. The only reason they want him in is they want to stop our great agenda. That's the only reason, that's the only thing he has going. And nobody wins when you're not on the side of enthusiasm. So we have more than we ever had in 2016. And in 2016 nobody has ever seen a campaign with that kind of enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we have much more now. But the socialists will not stop until they've ransacked America and laid waste to our cities. Your eyes don't lie look at Portland. It's been turned into a war zone and we want to go in and solve it. We saved the courthouse, do you believe it? We had to send in Homeland security." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They were great. They easily saved it after it was pounded. Portland was supposed to be watching it, but they weren't. So we sent them in and we will send in the national guard just like we did in Minnesota. You saw what happened there, Minneapolis. The national guard went in within 15 minutes the whole thing was over." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They should have called them in a week earlier. My beautiful, beautiful fifth Avenue in New York has been looted in pillage. It was allowed to happen by an incompetent mayor that doesn't have a clue. Look at what's happened to our diamond. New York was a diamond for the country. Look how far it's gone down." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1953, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And Chicago, the mayor literally raised up the drawbridges to prevent hordes of rioters from ransacking the city. Can you believe it? Can you believe it? 17 officers were injured in Chicago. They had a week. A little while ago during a weekend spree where 78 people were shot During a weekend spree where 78 people were shot and 18 died." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's worse than Afghanistan, which we're getting out of. That's worse than Iraq, which we're almost out of. That's worse than Syria, which we're out of, except we kept the oil, but that's okay. We don't have to talk about that. But this is the future that Joe Biden plans to bring to every city, town, and suburb in our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And you know, for those suburbs, I keep hearing about suburban women. I made the Oh. Well, in one speech recently, I called you suburban housewives and they all loved it, but what I got, they said, Sir, I don't know if that's politically correct. I said, Don't worry about it. They'll get over it. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But we saved the suburbs. The suburbs, and you know what I'm talking about. And they said about the rule, it's a rule. Very strong. It's like a law. They said, Sir, we can amend it. I said, No, I don't want it amended. No, we can really amend it. Bring it down. No, I don't want it. I want it terminated. And we terminated it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's gone. And it'll be re-instituted if Joe Biden comes in. Not by him, because he has no idea what the law says or what it means, but by the people that will be running our country. It will not be him. It will not be him running our country. They will turn every city into a Portland and they wouldn't mind." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No one will be safe in a Biden run America. But while I'm President, the United States will use every tool and we've done it. By the way, our country is doing great. We have the pandemic should have never been allowed to happen by China. Should've never been allowed to happen. They released it. They didn't release it in China, but it came to the United States and Europe. 188 all over the world. 188 countries all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're not going to forget it. We're not going to forget it, but we're doing great coming back. We're coming back and our numbers are better than almost all countries. I will tell you that. Despite what you hear. Look at all of them up there. Scott, look at all of that fake news. It's unbelievable. Unfortunately, Fox has become fake news too." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I don't know what happens to these people, right? Do you agree? At least the other side, you know where they're coming from. But I'll use every tool at my disposal to arrest those violators of federal law and put them behind bars. And that's what we're doing. When they were ripping down the statues, our great statues, they were ripping them down." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7833, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I passed and signed something that's beautiful. It says 10 years in prison if you knock down a statue. Amazing. What happened? What happened, Scott? I don't see it anymore. Now they go up and they look at his statue and they say, I don't know. 10 years is a long time. They say, Let's get out of here. But did you notice that three months ago, I signed it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6505, + "raw_confidence": 0.6505, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They will get to have thousands of people march on Washington to rip down statues. And these people are sick. They're anarchists. They were going to knock down Thomas Jefferson, George Washington, Abraham Lincoln. He was fair game. Abraham Lincoln. So I said, These people are sick. They are troubled individuals." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They're anarchists and agitators. They're not just protestors. They call them peaceful protestors. You're peaceful protestors on the record. You're peaceful protestors. And by the way, you're a lot Look at this guy over here. Look at the size of that guy. You're a lot tougher than they are. Just so you understand that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Look at the size of that guy. But Biden and Harris are pro-crime and anti- cop. There's no other way to say it. And we're anti-crime, we are pro-cop all the way. I've gotten the endorsement. I got the endorsement. Pat Lynch, New York City police. They gave us an endorsement first time, I think. He said I think it's the first time they've ever done it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That means it's been a long time. They don't do that kind of thing. They endorsed me. All the sheriffs in Florida endorsed me. What you have all of the law enforcement in Texas endorsed me. We're getting endorsement from We haven't found anybody that won't endorse in law enforcement. We haven't found anybody, and if we do, I think they'd probably be in big trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I really do. I think they'd be in big trouble because nobody could figure it out. We are getting the endorsement of law and these are great people. These are great Americans. These are people that want our people to be safe. So, we're thrilled today to be joined by county sheriffs from across the state, and I am deeply honored to receive the endorsement of more than three dozen Wisconsin sheriffs." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Where are you? Yeah. Yeah. Wow. Thank you, fellas. They're good looking people. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. I like that mask. MAGA. I wonder if he supports Trump? He's got MAGA this big. I wonder if he's a Trump Hey, thank you, sheriffs. We appreciate it. Good looking guys. Good looking guys. And I'll never let you down, sheriffs." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'll never let you down. You know that. We gave you all of the surplus equipment. We had millions and millions of dollars of surplus equipment and Obama and Biden didn't want to give it. They didn't want to give it. They thought it looked too militaristic, meaning it was A lot of it was really defensive equipment so that we can keep our law enforcement safe." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I distributed it. All of hundreds of millions of dollars. It was sitting there drawing dust and warehouses that we were probably paying a fortune for all over the country, and you got it. We all got it. Everybody got it. And everybody's happy. As President and as your President, I will always stand with law enforcement, and that's something that I can't even imagine anybody saying anything differently, but this other side does." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They say it differently. I mean, nobody can even understand it. This November, the voters of Wisconsin will not surrender their beloved state to the left wing mob, and that's what would happen. In 78 days, we're going to stop the radical left. We're going to win the state of Wisconsin and we are going to win four more years. And then after that, we'll go for another four years because you know what?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7819, + "raw_confidence": 0.7819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They spied on my campaign. We should get a redo of four years. We caught them spying on the Can you believe it? Did you see the FBI agent? He agreed. He's pleading that he forged documents. Oh, that's that's good. No no. Wait until you see. It's going to be incredible, but they spied on my campaign. They spied on our campaign." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Nobody has ever seen anything like it. You can call it whatever you want. I use the word treason. They got caught. They got caught. The same people doing speeches on tape tonight. They got caught. So it's too bad. So, we have some great friends with us tonight. I want to thank representative Glenn Grothman." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Glenn, thank you very much. And Jim Sensenbrenner is around here someplace. Thank you, Jim. Thanks, Jim. These guys are warriors. Also, a woman who did so great, she was so great in Michigan. She headed up Michigan. And a Republican hadn't won Michigan in many, many years. And we got a lot of car companies building right now in Michigan." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Don't we? Ronna McDaniel, Ronna McDaniel. We won Michigan. I said, Get me the woman that kept calling me in Michigan. You have to come one more time, sir. I said, This is it. Then I'd leave and she'd call the next day. One more time. But you know, she did a great job. Thank you very much. Ronna's fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Head of the RNC. And the head of the Wisconsin Republican party, Chairman Andrew Hit. Andrew, wait, how are we doing, Andrew? Looking good. Beautiful kids, Andrew. Good. Good. I'm going to blame you, Andrew, if they don't do it. Okay. I'll fire you so fast Andrew. Andrew's done a great job. Thank you. I think we are looking great here." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7924, + "raw_confidence": 0.7924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We won it last time and you remember what a big shockwave because the Republican hadn't won it for a long time and they were waiting for Pennsylvania and we won Pennsylvania and we had lost every vote. We would have won, but they didn't want to call it. It got later and later and later, then Wisconsin came in and then Michigan came in and then Pennsylvania came in." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6053, + "raw_confidence": 0.6053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "By that time, we already had North Carolina. It's hard for Republicans. You have to run the whole board, because they started off that we're going to play for New York. With all of the crime in New York, I got to play for New York, because we did well in New York. We did well in New York, but we're going to play for New York." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're going to play, I don't know, guess we'll do a little bit of a tiny shot maybe in California. They like me. And we'll do a tiny little shot in Illinois. The other one we're going to do, we're going to go after New Jersey, we're going to go after Virginia. We have a crazy governor of Virginia. He doesn't want you to have guns and he doesn't mind not only abortion, he doesn't mind execution, because after birth, we'll decide what to do with the baby, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, no. After. You hear this guy? First time I had heard of it. Scott, after birth, we will decide and we will discuss with the mother. And that's the first time I've heard of it. This is the guy that likes to pretend he's Michael Jackson, right? With the dancing. His wife saved a great embarrassment. We have another great friend of mine." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1994, + "raw_confidence": 0.8006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "A great, great politician, but really, he's much more than a politician. He's an exceptional human being. He is tough. I had to go against him of those Presidential primaries and I want to tell you, there's nobody tougher, but he basically loves this state. I mean, he loves this state and he should be your governor right now." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He should be. He's an exceptional man. Scott Walker, governor Scott Walker. Thank you. I'll tell you one thing. He's one of the most respected men. He goes into Washington, everybody stands up. They really do respect him a lot. And it's really something. The next time you run, please don't put marijuana on the ballot at the same time you're running." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You brought out like a million people that nobody ever knew were coming out, right? Because there was no way, but you can do whatever you want. You know that. You're going to be successful, whatever you want to do. Thank you very much God for being here. So, before the virus came in from China, unemployment in Wisconsin had reached the lowest rate ever recorded." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Ever recorded. That was part of Scott's thing too. I have to give him a little credit there, right? I have to do that. But we created 15,000 Wisconsin manufacturing jobs. Everybody said that would be impossible. 121,000 Wisconsinites were lifted out of poverty and 100,000 were lifted off of food stamps because they had good jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2184, + "raw_confidence": 0.7816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we had created the single greatest economy in the history of the world. Our national economy was better than any economy that had ever happened before it. And China was having the worst year they had in 67 years. Not that I want that, but we took in billions of dollars. Nobody ever judged China for doing anything." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3912, + "raw_confidence": 0.6088, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "What the money they took out of our country for so many years and the Presidents that preceded me should be ashamed of themselves for allowing it to happen. And that includes sleepy Joe is part of that too. But then we were hit by the virus and I had to close it up. I took the greatest economy and I closed it up and we saved millions of lives, as many lives." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It shouldn't have been one, but what you see today, you could multiply it times 10 or 15 or maybe even 20. It would have been a horrible It would not have been sustainable, and now we're bringing it back and we'll bring it back so strongly. I took unprecedented action to save the U.S. economy and support Wisconsin families." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Under our Paycheck Protection Program, we helped save over 1 million Wisconsin jobs. Earlier this month, I issued a directive granting emergency payroll tax relief to every worker making under $100,000 per year. And this temporary relief will help tens of millions of American workers. That is something that people really I'll tell you, the great economists, that's what they wanted." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1552, + "raw_confidence": 0.8448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The payroll tax cut more than any other thing and it really applies. Number one, they open their business. It's great for them, but really great for you, and it's a big saving. It's a lot of money in your pocket. If Republicans win in November, we will forgive these payments in full. Thanks to my administration's policies, we're now witnessing the fastest And you've seen this, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The fastest economic recovery in the history of our country. Over the past three months, we have already gained much more than nine million jobs nationwide. That's a record. That's not even close by the way. Nationwide, that's a record. That's not even close by the way. And you heard about the V, the V, the famous V and they said, Well, maybe not a V. It's got to be an M. It's got to be an S. It's got to be, they have no clue." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's turned out to be a super V because the numbers are much better. When you see the numbers coming, retail spending has fully recovered and is now at an all time high. And auto production has surged 28%. And in leaving the great plane right behind me and we have a lot of televisions, we have televisions in closets." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2341, + "raw_confidence": 0.7659, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I was saying to another group, we have televisions on floors and ceilings. You can't escape it. If you want to get away from Trump, you can't be in that plane because the fake news and Trump, they're going to go out of business. When I do leave, in let's say 16, 20 years, something like that. No, when we leave, they're all out of business." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I wouldn't say that sleepy Joe would be very exciting to cover. I don't think a lot of, Let's turn on the television, let's watch what Biden's saying today darling. But I just noticed on television that NASDAQ, that's a big deal. NASDAQ hit an all time record today. The highest price ever, and the others are right behind it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2866, + "raw_confidence": 0.7134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I mean, who would think, we have a pandemic. I think we're way on the other side of the pandemic, we're doing great with vaccines and therapeutics and everything else, but regardless, we're doing great with it, but who would think that we hit a record with NASDAQ and the others are right there. If you would have said we're at 28,000 on the Dow, or just about and if you would have said NASDAQ hit a new record high, that's great for your 401k's. Look, you get the wrong person in here, your 401k's, wave goodbye to them." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "There'll be worthless. There'll be worthless. 401ks, that's one of the things. A lot of people are bragging. About four months ago, they were very depressed. I said, Don't sell, don't sell. Don't worry about, don't sell, forget about this. And most people held and they're very, very good. But husbands come up to me and wives come up to me." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4863, + "raw_confidence": 0.5137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And one wife was saying, Sir, I always thought my husband was a financial loser, a total loser. He was this big good-looking policemen actually. And she said, He's never been good with money, but over the years, over the last few years, I think he was up 89%. I said, That's not as good as most people. She said, No, no." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5184, + "raw_confidence": 0.5184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "My husband is a financial genius. And this good looking policeman looked at me and said, Thank you, sir, because I was abused for a long time about the way I invested money. And your 401ks are great. And your stocks are great. Then you see these big companies going up, that's everybody, the stock market." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's everybody. That's just an indication. And they're smart people. They know where it's going. They have an instinct that's better than most people. And they see what's happening. Now with all of that, we have a headwind and the headwind is if for any reason we didn't win, that stock market is going to go down like a rock goes through water." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I hate to tell you folks, so good looking. If we didn't have that headwind, your stocks would be even higher right now, even higher. So on election night, expect your 401k's and your stocks to go very, very high. And I do believe we're going to have a tremendous success. I do believe. Again, the most enthusiasm that anybody has ever seen in any election is this one." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The most enthusiasm. So we got to get out and vote. You got to be careful with your ballots. Be careful, your absentee ballots great. Your others, you got to be very careful or go to vote. Just go to vote. Go to vote. We have a little problem here. You have a Democrat governor who is will do anything to turn things around." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "How's Tom Tiffany doing, by the way? Another win, we just had a nice win, right? Tom is around here someplace. Tom Tiffany just had a great win. We're winning a lot. We've won a lot of House seats. We're going to definitely, we're going to take back the House. We're going to take back the House. As part of our great rebuilding the U.S. military we also signed a $5.5 billion contract to build combat ships in Marinette, Wisconsin, supporting thousands of jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We've totally rebuilt our military. We've spent $2.5 trillion, all made in the USA, all made in the USA. We have new fighter jets. We have new rockets. We've upgraded our nuclear, hope to God we never have to use it, but nobody's even close. It was getting very tired. What we've done with our military is incredible with tanks." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7918, + "raw_confidence": 0.7918, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Speaking of tanks, we left our great tank, I was supposed to close down, we have a tank factory in Lima. Lima, Ohio, and it was scheduled to close. And I went to see it. And I said, No way, we're closing it because there's no way we could ever reproduce that incredible, and you know what happened? We didn't close it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we are buildings tanks like you wouldn't believe. But what we've done with our military has been incredible. And Biden has promised to slash our defense budget, destroying critical jobs. But more importantly, if we don't have defense, everything we talk about is meaningless. We have to have defense. Defense of our country, especially when you look at what's happening outside of our borders." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3764, + "raw_confidence": 0.6236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So we have the greatest, right now when I took it over was totally depleted. It was gone. Right now, we have the greatest military we've ever had, the greatest equipment by far we've ever had. If Kamala and Biden are ever elected, this recovery will come to a total shutdown to use their word permanently." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3826, + "raw_confidence": 0.6174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "For no scientific reason. Biden wants to inflict dramatic harm on millions of Americans with his basement strategy, locking everyone in their homes. You look at what's happening with some of And you got a dose of it right here, I hate to say, with some of these Democrat governors, they just don't want to open it up." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "By the way, on November 4th, they'll announce, Well, we've decided to open. November four. You got to get out to those polls. I'm serious. This is the most dangerous election we've ever had. The most dangerous, because I don't think we can ever bring it back if they get in. I don't think there's anything called the comeback." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It'll be another Venezuela. I used to say that lightly. I now say it very strongly because it's a similar ideology. This will be a large scale, very large scale, Venezuela if they win. We're going to win. My administration by contrast is following the science, applying common sense, mitigation, sheltering, you know this, we got a shelter." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We got to take care. But what do we really have to do? We have to take care of our elderly people, our elderly people with heart problems, with diabetes, and we're launching Operation Warp Speed to deliver effective treatments and ultimately a vaccine and therapeutics. More than 270 therapies are in clinical trials." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Can you believe it? 270. And you're going to be hearing some very good news very, very soon. Now, we're dealing with the deep state. So I'm watching it very closely. I don't need to have them announce on November 4th, Ladies and gentlemen, we've found the vaccine, it's perfect. I don't need that. And hopefully everyone's looking to do the right thing." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1938, + "raw_confidence": 0.8062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We want to get it out quickly, but we're very close, both on therapy and on therapeutics and on vaccines. Advances in treatment have reduced the fatality rate in adults by 85% since April. Think of that. Three vaccines are in the final stage of clinical trials and we're mass producing doses already of that vaccine because we think it works and we're going to have it out very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2449, + "raw_confidence": 0.7551, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We will defeat the China virus. We will have the greatest economy that we've ever had next year, unless somebody wants to quadruple your taxes and the crazy things that they're talking about, we will have next year, the single greatest economy we've ever had. So Biden's been there for 47 years and he's personally supported every globalist sellout of the last half century." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3483, + "raw_confidence": 0.6517, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He voted for NAFTA. One of the worst trade deals in history. For the China entry into the World Trade Organization, a total catastrophe. For Korea, the Korean deal was horrible. We renegotiated it. Now it's a really great deal for us. One in four U.S. manufacturing jobs disappeared almost overnight. Biden was strongly in favor of the Trans-Pacific Partnership." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7084, + "raw_confidence": 0.7084, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Would have destroyed our automobile manufacturing business. It would have been a disaster for our country. I ended it, but I approved the Dakota Access Pipeline immediately. The Keystone Pipeline, 48,000 jobs. One of the great rip offs. It was done in my opinion, to hurt our country because we have so much energy." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7537, + "raw_confidence": 0.7537, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're now energy independent was I got out of this horrible Paris Climate Accord, which was a rip off on our country. It would have shipped millions of American jobs to China while allowing China to pollute with impunity. And they don't even enter the agreement until 2030. So, it would have been a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.155, + "raw_confidence": 0.845, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So many things are stacked against us. Even in the World Trade Organization, China is considered a developing nation. Therefore, they get tremendous, guess what? We don't accept it. We've informed them, we don't accept it. And we're not approving any of those judges until such time as that ends. So time and again, sleepy Joe Biden put China first and America last, even to a point where his son who had absolutely Where's Hunter, has anyone seen Hunter?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7665, + "raw_confidence": 0.7665, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He's had absolutely no experience, walked away with one and a half billion dollars to manage, that's millions of dollars a year. And if you go to the pros of Wall Street, they'll tell you it's an impossibility. It was a 10 minute meeting. He walked away with one and a half billion from China. How do you think he's going to do negotiating, Biden against China?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.562, + "raw_confidence": 0.562, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Nobody's done what I've done to China, to Russia. By the way, remember, we were going to be in a war with North Korea. What happened to the war? We're getting along Kim Jong Un. We get along. Let's see what happens. And meantime, it's almost four years. Remember we were going to be in a war. Look at all those people back, that's a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's a lot of people. Look at all the fake news. Isn't that incredible. That's a lot of fake news back there, Scott. At the end of Joe Biden's eight years as Vice President, nearly 2 million Americans of prime working age had dropped out of the workforce. Our factories were stolen. Our country was doing lousy." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He lost nearly 200,000 manufacturing jobs. He was, by the way, a disaster on swine flu. He got a horrible rating in Gallup. Look at the Gallup poll. So they call it H1N1 right? You remember? H1 swine flu, H1N1. He calls it N1H1, but I don't hold them in that one. That's one of the small mistake. The bigger mistakes is what he says He's at a different state when he's speaking. Great to be in the great state of Ohio, but no, no, no, we're not in Ohio." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1851, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know what you know what you do when that happens? You just walk off because there's nothing you can do to recover. It's happened to him like what, six times? Almost every time. That's why he doesn't talk. He's shot, he's shot. We got to say, look, one thing I've learned Putin, President Xi of China, Kim Jong Un, Erdogan of Turkey." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They are world-class chess players. We can't have a guy who's shot and in his best years wasn't very good. He wasn't very good. We can't have, these guys are world-class chess players. They're all dreaming of Joe Biden. I'll tell you who's dreaming about them is Iran. If we win, and when we win, we are going to have a deal with Iran immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They're just waiting, hoping that Biden gets in. Hoping John Kerry is saying, Oh, he should have He, by the way, if anybody violated the Logan Act, it was John Kerry. John Kerry, not General Flynn. John Kerry. The cost of health insurance for American families had skyrocketed under Obama and Biden by $4,800 and nearly 11 million more Americans were on food stamps." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6842, + "raw_confidence": 0.6842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So Biden's abysmal record, but you do have to check swine flu because that was peanuts compared to this monster. This monster is the worst thing that's happened in this world since 1917. Where it could have been a hundred million people died. Swine flu though, look at his ratings in Gallup, check them out." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3433, + "raw_confidence": 0.6567, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They gave them really bad ratings, Joe Biden. Not that that matters, but that does matter. When a guy is critical and we've done an incredible job, including among the best numbers in the world, Joe Biden's abysmal record Among the best numbers in the world, Joe Biden's abysmal record of failure and betrayal ended the day I took the oath of office." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We got our people back working. We made real deals with foreign countries. I told Japan prime minister, Robbie, great guy, but I said, Prime minister, you have to build places in Michigan. You have to build your places in other areas of our country. It's not fair. We have a big deficit. Go to Wisconsin, go to Ohio, go to these places. He said he's going to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Many, many Japanese plants now are being built all over our country. Somebody had to ask him to do it. Somebody had to tell them to do it. It's not fair. And it was all happening. Then it came in, now it's going out, watch what's going to happen. Watch how good the third quarter is. The third quarter is coming up right before the election." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Watch how good Scott Walker even you will be impressed by those numbers, even Scott. But we passed massive tax cuts. We passed massive regulation cuts, and you know what? You might not feel this, maybe the most important thing I did for making the economy great wasn't just the tax cuts, it was the regulation cuts because the regulation cuts allowed companies to go out and build projects that they couldn't get approved for 15 years and 20 years." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1536, + "raw_confidence": 0.8464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Big deal. We replaced probably the worst trade deal ever NAFTA with the brand new USMCA, which puts us right at the top. And now Canada and Mexico are doing what's right for our country. It's been a great deal. And when the Wisconsin timber industry was being threatened by administration, took immediate action." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.548, + "raw_confidence": 0.548, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We imposed tariffs on dumped foreign goods and subsidized products, saving countless timber jobs all across your state, and you know exactly what I'm talking about. You were taken advantage of by stupid US policy. Canada was taking advantage of this country. Not anymore. If Biden and the crew get in, the radical left will bring timber production to a total halt." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1915, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I stood up to China's decades of trading abuses. And when China targeted our farmers, we provided $28 billion in relief, we gave our farmers. I said to Secretary Perdue, secretary of agriculture, Sonny, how much they've targeted our farmers. How much have they been targeted for? Sir, two years ago it was 12 billion, last year it was 16 billion, 28 billion total. I said, Guess what?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7368, + "raw_confidence": 0.7368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're charging tariffs of $28 billion to China. We charged so much more and we gave 12 billion, and 16 and 28. We gave any farmers in here, any farmers? Did I do a good job for you, please? I don't hear any farmers complaining. Am I right? We did a good job. I'll tell you what, with a more typical President I want to be nice, more typical, every farmer would be out of business right now, but we gave 28 billion to the farmers think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And the farmers are doing well. And then we signed a deal with China. And I was very excited because I had a very good relationship with President Xi. We signed a great deal. And under the deal, they would buy $240 billion, 50 billion of farm product and then manufacturing. Once the China flu came in, once the China stuff came in, I was not really, I wasn't, I couldn't, it was different." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7697, + "raw_confidence": 0.7697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But I have to tell you, four days ago, the corn order was the largest corn order in the history of ordering corn. It was the biggest China ordered two days. The biggest order in the history of corn. Then they did, if you look at soybeans, it was the largest soybean order in history, in history, and also beef cattle, et cetera." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So it just shows you how smart China is. We sign a deal and the plague comes in. It might've been a mistake. It might've been on purpose. Who knows what happened? We'll figure it out. But whatever it was, it was no good. They could have stopped it. But they know my attitude, I don't like it. I don't like it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So a normal country that's not so smart in that position, Scott would have said, Oh, we don't like the way he's talking about us. Let's immediately shut down. He didn't do that. They said, Let's order more from the farmers than we've ever ordered. Biggest corn, biggest soybean, biggest cattle. And now I'm getting my farmers saying, Sir, we're starting to like China. I said, You know what?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We got to be very careful. Do you understand that? So what they've done is they've gone out, they've made massive orders. So think how smart that is. 99% of people in that position would say, Well, we're not going to order anymore. They say, Let's order so much that they become almost reliant on us. Very smart, very, very smart." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "America has spent nearly four years cleaning up the mess we inherited from Joe Biden's 47 year worth of disaster. It's incredible. He's in there for 47 years, he does nothing. Now all of a sudden, he's going to do all these things. He's going to get tough on China. Sure. China will own the United States if we don't make this deal and we were going up if we don't get elected, China will own the mark by word." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, I hope you're not going to be able to test it out. China will own the United States. Iran will insist on an even better deal than they made with Obama. They got $150 billion, 1.8 billion in cash, green cash for nothing. We got nothing out of that deal. And I terminated that deal. I terminated that deal." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we moved the capital of Israel to Jerusalem. That's for the evangelicals. It's amazing with that. The evangelicals are more excited about that than Jewish people. It's incredible. But we did, we did that. And Golan Heights, don't forget Golan Heights. We did Golan Heights. So we've done a lot. In February, Biden said, If you elect me your taxes are going to be raised." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They're not going to be cut. Now that's a quote how the hell do you do this? That will be only in this state can we get away with it, but you happen to be right. You happen to be right. So I just want to say this. This has been an incredible experience for me getting to know you. I've been here a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But unless you were up here a lot like I was, you'd never find that out. And I worked with Scott and I worked with others and we solved all of these problems. We solved all of them, Scott, right? This is the most important election we ever had. We've got to stop these radical left maniacs. We've got to win this election." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have many things to do. We want to finish it up. It's no different. You plant a tree, it takes a little time to grab on. In addition, we have other things we're going to do. More regulation cutting, even more tax cutting. We're going to be doing very substantial tax cuts because that's an incentive toward growth and we're going to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we prove to be right. We prove to be 100% right. We're not letting them raise your taxes on you and destroy everything that we've done. So I just want to thank the incredible people of Wisconsin. You really are. You really are. You're a state that despite everything, everything that they were saying, Well, Wisconsin, can't be one. Guess what?" + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I think we're way far ahead. I do believe we're way far ahead. Where we were, if you look back four years, I think we have much more spirit. You see, this as easier in a sense. Now, the virus made it a little bit more difficult, maybe a lot more difficult because all of a sudden, something happened that nobody ever even thought about, but we handled it." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We handled it and we handled it well. And we're now helping other countries with the ventilators and other things. But the easier part is, I used to come up as a businessman. I was very successful. And I'd say, We're going to do this. We're going to do tax cuts. We're going to Even Space Force, I never even talked about Space Force, but we did more somebody said we actually did more than we promised." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2343, + "raw_confidence": 0.7657, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's never happened with a politician before. We did actually more, but I never talked about Space Force. And then I got into office. I said, We need that. Because you look at what China's doing, what Russia's doing, what others are looking at. So we have Space Force first time in 78 years since the air force that that's happened, full scale, so it's great, and you're a big beneficiary of that as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So we have to win the election. We can't play games. Get out and vote. Do those a beautiful absentee ballots or just make sure your vote gets counted. Make sure because the only way we're going to lose this election is if the election is rigged, remember that. It's the only way we're going to lose this election." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So we have to be very careful. Look, we have more than this election, that's a big statement. The only way they're going to win is that way. And we can't let that happen. And our post office, we're going to make our post office great. It's been a disaster for many years. We're going to take care of the men and women in the post office and we're going to make it great." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Right now it's a laughingstock. Amazon and these companies come and they drop all of their packages into the post office. And the post office loses just hundreds of billions of dollars delivering these packages. Let them deliver it or let them pay the right price. So that's it. But we're going to make our post office strong." + }, + { + "tid": "L4qFpvDhcHw", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-oshkosh-wisconsin-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're going to make our post office really strong and really great. We're going to be proud of it again. It lost $78 billion in a short period of time over the last 12 or 13 years, $78 billion. We want to make our post office strong. We want to be proud of it. I want to thank you very much. You've been my friends, my true friends. We will win and we will make America great again. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Thank you, everybody. Please. Thank you very much. It's a great honor to be here. And thank you, Dan. I'm thrilled to be in the great state of Ohio. You were very good to me, but I've been very good to you. I've been very good to you. We've been good to each other. With the incredible men and women of Whirlpool, the largest washing machine factory anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7295, + "raw_confidence": 0.7295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Every day, 20,000 gleaming new machines coming rolling off that beautiful assembly line I just got to see it and every single one is proudly inscribed with that glorious phrase, Made in the USA. Remember? Made in the USA." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2049, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "When I was campaigning, I said, Let's go. 'Made in the USA.' Put it on your machines. Put it on everything we make. I'm grateful to everyone at Whirlpool for welcoming us today, including Marc Bitzer thank you Jim Keppler and Sarah Bovim. Thank you very much. Sarah? Where's Sarah? Thank you. Thank you very much. Sarah Bovim." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Also with us today is Secretary of Labor Gene Scalia and a warrior I'm sure you never heard of him; he's a warrior, a great, great wrestling champion and a great guy: Jim Jordan. Jim. He is a warrior. Thanks, Jim. And he's tough. I'm not going to wrestle him ever. I promise. And another warrior a great fellow who has been right at our side. He works with Jim and I so much and so hard: Bob Latta. Bob. Thank you very much. Thank you, Bob." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Also, Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted. Thank you, Jon. Thank you, Jon. Thank you. State Senate President Larry Obhof. Larry, thank you very much. Thank you, Larry. Thank you, Larry. Clyde Mayor Scott Black and many other distinguished guests. Great people. Great representatives. Thank you, fellas. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The duty of a President is to put this nation's own citizens first. That's why my administration swears by two simple but crucial rules: Buy American and Hire American." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And no one knows better than the workers of Whirlpool the high cost of past administrations' economic blunders and surrender. On the question of foreign trade, previous leaders were guided by a shameful policy of capitulation, submission, and retreat. For decades, you watched as politicians let foreign nations steal our jobs, loot our factories, and plunder the crown jewels of the U.S. economy. And the word plunder is capitalized." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2891, + "raw_confidence": 0.7109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Washington stood idly by as other countries engaged in unfair trade practices, such as massive subsidies, currency manipulation, and in the case of your industry and your company, the wholesale dumping of foreign-made products sold below cost for the sole purpose of driving you out of business so they could give us product at double, triple, and quadruple the price. But we didn't let that happen, did we?" + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7357, + "raw_confidence": 0.7357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "For eight years, Whirlpool begged the Obama-Biden administration, who did nothing, to protect American workers from the flagrant dumping of foreign washers, dryers into America. But your cries for help fell on deaf ears. You didn't see any action. They didn't act. They didn't care, and they never will." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2933, + "raw_confidence": 0.7067, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "For eight long years under Obama-Biden administration, American factory workers received nothing but broken promises and brazen sellouts and lost jobs. The last administration tied America up in one globalist debacle after another. They catered to the special interests while allowing foreign nations to siphon off our wealth, our dignity, our dreams, our money. The suffering of our workers was met with nothing but cruel betrayal and callous indifference." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7726, + "raw_confidence": 0.7726, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "In 2013, the U.S. International Trade Commission found your competitors from Korea and other countries guilty of dumping washers into the U.S. market and ordered them to pay anti-dumping duties as high as 79 percent. But rather than pay these very high tariffs, LG and Samsung relocated production to another country a country called China. Have you ever heard of it? And the last administration did nothing as they kept on dumping washers into the U.S. market with impunity." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2637, + "raw_confidence": 0.7363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The Obama-Biden administration was laughed at. They were a joke. And they were perfectly happy to let China win, your jobs disappear, and your factory to close. And you know what it was like. I came through today, and everybody was out there. Tremendous crowds, waving and cheering. I said, I must have done it right, because you had people that were really really something. Because four or five years ago, this place was a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "In 2017, Whirlpool won relief from the ITC once again. Once more, your foreign competitors moved their factories to prevent a level playing field and to avoid liability, shifting production to Th-ailand and to Vietnam Thailand and Vietnam, two places that I like their leaders very much. They're very nice to us. Do they take advantage of the United States? Not so much anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But this time, there was one big difference: Instead of an administration that sold out American workers and sold your company out and couldn't have cared less for you, you finally had a president who stood up for the American worker. On January 23rd, 2018, at my desk in the Oval Office, I proudly signed the order to impose a 50 percent tariff on all foreign-made washing machines." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "As a result, Whirlpool's nine factories across the United States were soon thriving like never before, investing in new products, new infrastructure, and hundreds of new American jobs. And I just took a tour, and I actually wanted a couple of those machines for myself but I just didn't know it was going to be appropriate to ask. But they are beautiful. That includes thousands of new jobs across the Ohio supply chain, from right here in Clyde to Findlay, Ottawa, Greenville, and Marion. All over." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Your company became a shining example. From, really, a company that was down and out, it became a shining example of what tough trade policies and smart tariffs can bring to jobs and prosperity to communities like this one all over Ohio Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and plenty of other states." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5381, + "raw_confidence": 0.5381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They're all doing well. They were doing great. Then the plague came in, and now they're doing great again. We closed it up; we saved millions of lives. But now we're opening, and it looks like I was right about the V, because you're seeing the kind of numbers that are coming in, and they're coming in strong. They're coming in strong. Should have never happened. Should have never happened. China should have never let it happen." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1868, + "raw_confidence": 0.8132, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "In defending your jobs here at Whirlpool, I was doing exactly what I promised in June 2016. As a candidate for President, I stood before an audience of hardworking patriots at a metals processing facility outside of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, to outline my plan for a new America First trade policy. And it was even a better job than I told you. I'm one politician that says I'm going to do this, and then we do better. We produced more than I promised." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, the wall is being built. It's going to be finished very soon. In my speech, I warned that our politicians have aggressively pursued a policy of globalization moving our jobs, our wealth, and our factories overseas. I explained that globalization these are the globalists. I'm not liking globalists too much, but they don't like me too much either. Globalization has made the financial elites, who donate to politicians, very wealthy, but it's left millions and millions of our workers with nothing but poverty and heartache, and our towns and cities with empty factories and plants." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2223, + "raw_confidence": 0.7777, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "For years later, we've made extraordinary progress in reversing the dangerous tide of globalism; over a period of four to five years, this took place. Think of it: four to five years. What we've done is a miracle, and now it's getting even better because we've taken additional steps." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And, you know, when you do these steps, you have to go through statutory procedures. It's not like, Boom, I'm going to just sign it. It has to go out for 90 days of review, then 120 days of review, then more. And we did it as quick as we can. We're doing it right now, with the FDA; we're getting vaccines approved in days that nobody thought possible. It would take years and years, and we're doing it in months, and we're doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, we're fighting for Main Street, not Wall Street. We have rejected globalism and embraced patriotism. In my speech in Pittsburgh, in June of 2016, I made seven big promises to American workers." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7834, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Many politicians before me promised change on the campaign trail, only to back down in the face of corporate and international pressure. Like Jerusalem. They all promised Jerusalem didn't they? for years and years. I did it; they didn't do it. They didn't do it. I did it. Moved the embassy to Jerusalem, making Jerusalem the capital of Israel. They all talked about it. They talked and talked and talked, and then they got into office, and they didn't do it." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I understand why: The pressure was enormous. On me, too. I just didn't take the phone calls. That's true. Leaders would call up from other countries. I'd say, I know what they're calling about. I'll call them back in a few days. Then I just signed all the papers, got it done, and then I called them back. And they said, I was calling about Israel and Jerusalem, but you've already done it. I said, That's right. And they said, Oh, okay. I said, Hey, I wish you got me a little bit earlier." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1879, + "raw_confidence": 0.8121, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I didn't back down from my promises, and I've kept every single one. First, I promised to withdraw the United States from the last administration's disastrous assault on U.S. workers: the Trans-Pacific Partnership. It would have been a disaster. It would have been a disaster, especially for the automobile industry. It would have put it out of business. My first week in office, I kept that promise and canceled that job-killing catastrophe." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Second, I pledged to appoint the toughest and smartest trade negotiators to defend American jobs, and I did with Bob Lighthizer and all of his people. They've been fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Third, I said I would use every legal tool at my disposal to fight back against unfair trade, and I did. And I found some that nobody even knew about. Some of them were very old. They had a lot of dust on them. Hadn't been used for decades and decades. But I found them things you could never get passed today." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6471, + "raw_confidence": 0.6471, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Fourth, I promised to label China a currency manipulator, and I did." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Fifth, I said we would bring trade cases against China to crack down on its economic aggression." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Sixth, I committed to impose tariffs on goods to protect American jobs and stop China and many other countries' abuses under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7887, + "raw_confidence": 0.7887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "As your President, I have kept every single one of these pledges to the American people and to the American worker, without exception. Every one has been done." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Seventh, one of my biggest promises in that speech was to replace the disaster known as NAFTA one of the worst trade deals ever made by any country, let alone ours. Ohio lost almost 40 percent of its manufacturing jobs after NAFTA was signed. Half of all of the automaking jobs across the state were wiped out." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7519, + "raw_confidence": 0.7519, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, I finally ended the NAFTA nightmare and signed the brand-new USMCA agreement. That's United States and Mexico and Canada. And all of those bad things that you had to suffer with, you're not suffering anymore, because now people and companies have an incentive to stay. They're not going to be leaving so fast." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "That was the biggest point I made. I want to make sure that these companies aren't leaving. And the managers walk up, and they say, I'm sorry, our company is leaving and going to Mexico or Canada but going, primarily, in that case, to Mexico. Canada takes advantage of us with dairy unbelievable advantage but not anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But Mexico took a lot of jobs. And I said, I don't want companies moving. And if they do move... Remember? You've heard it. If they do move when they make that product, they got to pay a big price to sell it back into our country. So they have no more incentive to move." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7968, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The USMCA contains powerful new protections for American manufacturers, automakers, farmers, dairy producers, and workers all across Ohio and all of our states." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4036, + "raw_confidence": 0.5964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Those were key promises I made to American workers in 2016; I kept every single one of them. The fake news media back there, they hate to report this. They hate it. Why do they hate it? Because they're fake." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Today, to define our path forward, I'm making our incredible workers six more promises that I will keep over the next four years, and I'm very proud to make them at your plant and in the state of Ohio." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "First and foremost, we will defeat the China virus. We're working very, very hard. We call it the China virus. We call it the invisible enemy. We call it many different names. It's got many different names, but it's bad. And we've made tremendous strides." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We're attacking the virus from every angle. And through this aggressive strategy, we will win the war, and it will happen sooner than people think." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.516, + "raw_confidence": 0.516, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We're developing a bounty of therapies such as remdesivir, dexamethasone, antibody treatments the antibody treatments are really working out well, really well and many more that have allowed us to reduce mortality by 85 percent since April." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Our strategy shelters those at highest risk while allowing those at lower risk to get safely back to work and to school. Instead of a never-ending blanket lockdown causing severe, long-term public health consequences, we've targeted and looked at data-driven approaches, and that's what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Again, when you close down and we had to do it initially because it came and hit us big, hard, and nobody knew what it was, and we saved millions of lives. But today, you just pinpoint it. We know what to do and we know who to protect. As an example, very young children are incredibly powerful. They're much stronger than all of us when it comes to the immune system; it's an incredible thing to see. But we know who to protect, and we know what to do." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7206, + "raw_confidence": 0.7206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And let me tell you: Lockdowns have big consequences in terms of drugs, in terms of family, in terms of depression and suicide, in terms of so many other problems that are caused and not good for the kids. And they don't learn the same at a computer as they do when they're in a classroom. So there are big, big problems with lockdowns." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But we cannot defeat the virus by fighting against each other. Just can't. And there are a lot of different theories and a lot of different ways, but if you look at some of the results, you'll see some of these states, governor-run some of the states that are open and run very smart are doing very well, and, in fact, better than strong lockdown states." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Now is the time to come together as Americans and to unite against the plague inflicted upon us by China. Together, we will prevail." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1868, + "raw_confidence": 0.8132, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "One of the key lessons we've learned in this battle against the China virus is that the mighty American economy has a fantastic ability to adapt and repurpose its factories." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Today, using the Defense Production Act, which we've used often remember they'd always say, Oh, use the Defense Production Act. We've used it a lot more than some companies would like to know. We're engaged in the most rapid industrial mobilization, by far, since World War Two." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7444, + "raw_confidence": 0.7444, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Over the last six months, we've witnessed one manufacturing miracle after another. We've seen General Motors repurpose an auto parts facility in Kokomo, Indiana a great state and thereby stand up a ventilator we have a ventilator factory, literally in a matter of days. And we're now producing thousands and thousands of ventilators a week. General Motors has now built and delivered more than 20,000 ventilators." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2236, + "raw_confidence": 0.7764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "By next week, our Strategic National Stockpile will be equipped to deploy more than 100,000 ventilators. They're very expensive to build. They're very complex. Very, very complex machines. And they're big. And I said that we are now supplying ventilators to many countries of the world. Everybody in our country has it. Not one person and we had no ventilators who knew about ventilators? We had very few. But not one person who needed a ventilator think of this who needed a ventilator didn't get it. Every person that needed a ventilator got it. Who would have thought that was possible?" + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7932, + "raw_confidence": 0.7932, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And you remember, at the very beginning, when you first heard about this whole horrible situation with the China virus, ventilators they weren't around. And now we make them by the thousands." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7708, + "raw_confidence": 0.7708, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Working with GM and almost a dozen other companies great companies my administration has turned America into the ventilator king of the world. The ventilator king. Make them good. And we make them great. They're very good. Highest quality." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4787, + "raw_confidence": 0.5213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We're now exporting ventilators to friends and allies, and they're really thankful. They're calling, Can I have ventilators for our country, sir? How many do you need? Could you send 1,000? I said, That's a lot. The answer is yes. What we're doing is incredible. We're helping other we're doing more good well will with ventilators because other things, you can make. Gowns and swabs and things, you can make. We're making them, too. But ventilators are tough. Ventilators are just one part of our historic manufacturing ramp-up." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2037, + "raw_confidence": 0.7963, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Within seven days of New York City officials asking for assistance last spring, we helped ship a million yards of fabric from North Carolina to New York City for masks and gowns. We're making them all over the place. A great company, Honeywell, has opened up N95 respirator factories in Rhode Island and Arizona in record time, and they're now churning out tens of millions of masks for our Strategic National Stockpile." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "These include manufacturing achievements and these are incredible. They'll be the foundation of an even brighter future for American industry. What we've been able to do in a short period of time is, frankly, incredible. I'm not talking about me; I'm talking about the people out there. What they've done is incredible, including the military and some of the generals and admirals the job they've done." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1906, + "raw_confidence": 0.8094, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "My third promise is to build on these gains to turn America into the premier medical manufacturer, pharmacy, and drugstore of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "As we've seen in this pandemic, the United States must produce essential equipment, supplies, and pharmaceuticals for ourselves. We cannot rely on China and other nations across the globe that could one day deny us products in a time of need. We can't do it. We can't do it. We have to be smart." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.239, + "raw_confidence": 0.761, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And speaking of pharmaceuticals, we instituted four moves rebates, favored nations, and other things buying from other nations where they have the product the same exact pill, identical; made in the same factory for a fraction just a small fraction of the cost. We buy from other countries, as opposed to buying through this ridiculous quagmire of political scam that we've been going through for many years." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7594, + "raw_confidence": 0.7594, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And what I've done, in terms of favored nations, if as an example, Germany has a pill for 10 cents and we have a pill for $2. We institute favored nations on the drug company. We get the pill for the same amount as the lowest pill anywhere in the world. Anywhere in the world. And that could drop your price of pharmaceuticals, of drugs prescription drugs it could drop your price 50, 60, 70 percent, maybe more than that." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I have been called everything in the book. And I say I said, the other day, Whenever you see a drug company advertising that Donald Trump is a bad guy, remember: Your drug prices must be coming down very big. Very big. So please remember that." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Please remember that, because I don't want to get all those negative votes, and then Biden wins, and they try the first month, he'll say, I dropped drug prices 78 percent. And he won't even know what the hell he's saying. I don't want to be watching that from some beautiful resort someplace in the world. I could have oh, I had had such a beautiful life before I did this. But that's okay because we're doing a great job and it makes me very happy to see people being properly representative represented for a change." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But during the course of the next four years, we will bring our pharmaceutical and medical supply chains home. We're going to bring them home where they belong. And we'll end reliance on China, just like we did with the washers and dryers, just like we did with many other things. We'll be making our product here safely, beautifully, and inexpensively." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We're reasserting American economic independence. And I've been doing that from the first day I came into office. To this end, a short time ago, I signed the new executive order to ensure that when it comes to essential medicines, we buy American." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The executive order will require that U.S. government agencies purchase all essential medicines that we need from American sources. The executive order will also sweep away unnecessary regulatory barriers to domestic pharmaceutical production and support advanced manufacturing processes that will keep our drug prices low and allow American companies to compete on the world stage. We'll be able to compete on the world stage, but we're now going to have the lowest prices, as opposed to, by far, the highest prices." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7798, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I have people that I know that go to Canada they go to Canada to buy drugs. To buy prescription drugs, they go there because the price is so much lower than the United States. And yet, it's made by the same company, often in the same plant. It's a disgrace. And the politicians allowed this to happen for many, many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1885, + "raw_confidence": 0.8115, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So I have a lot of enemies out there. This may be the last time you'll see me for a while. A lot of very, very rich enemies, but they are not happy with what I'm doing. But I figure we have one chance to do it, and no other President is going to do what I do. No other President would do a favored nations, a rebate, a buy from other nations at much less cost. Nobody. And there are a lot of unhappy people, and they're very rich people, and they're very unhappy." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Here's my fourth promise to American workers: Beyond our medical supply chains, over the next four years, we will onshore millions of new manufacturing jobs across many other critical sectors that are vital to our national security and prosperity from electronics to machine tools, to shipping, aerospace, autos, and, of course, to iron and to steel. And we'll never forget your washers and dryers. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "During eight years of the last administration and, by the way, I have to just tell you this little story. A couple of little stories if you don't mind. Do you mind?" + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Okay, because that's better than the other stuff, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I was with somebody and they said, You know, for a dishwasher, we don't have enough water, sir. I think the a lot of people in the audience would understand what I'm saying. They don't have enough water because they put restrictors on, so you don't have any water. And I said, What is that? What is that?" + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7431, + "raw_confidence": 0.7431, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "In most states I mean, outside of desert areas we have so much water we don't know what to do with it, right? A lot of states. Your state does pretty well with the water, right? So they have plenty of water." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So I passed a regulation. I signed a regulation that give the dishwashers much more water. And I was asking today and that, by the way, includes your washers. You don't need too much water in your dryers, but it includes your washers." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I was just saying to your brilliant people that are doing such a good job running your company, I said, How much impact has that had? They said, Unbelievable. It's been unbelievable." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4018, + "raw_confidence": 0.5982, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Because I had people saying they'd wash their dishes and they would press the button five times. So in the end, they're probably wasting more water than if they did it once." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2162, + "raw_confidence": 0.7838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So do you notice the people that make the machines, you know what I'm talking about. We now have the water that you need instead of stupid, where you have much less water than you need, and you just keep going over and over again. I had people say they'd press the button five times. They didn't have enough water." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7741, + "raw_confidence": 0.7741, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And the same thing with sinks, toilets, and showers. You go into a new home, you turn on the faucet; no water comes out. You turn on the shower if you're like me, you can't wash your beautiful hair properly. . You waste 20 minutes longer. Please come out. The water it drips, right? You know what I'm talking they put restrictors on. I got rid of that. I signed it out. That's common sense." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.479, + "raw_confidence": 0.521, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So now, when you actually go into a new home and pay a lot of money, you turn on the faucet, and water actually comes out. Isn't that nice? That was a regulation that was put in by a lot of people that don't understand life. Because you end up using the same amount of water; you just let it run three times longer. It's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5016, + "raw_confidence": 0.5016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And, you know, the new one is considered hazardous waste. When you lose it, you're supposed to take it down to a a dump, a specified dump. How many people are going to do that with a lightbulb? Hey, you know, we lost this lightbulb. Let's travel 28 miles outside of the city to get rid of it. It's hazardous waste." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So I put the old bulb back in. And you can use the new one; you can use anything. I guess it's competition. But I particularly like it because I don't look so orange, so it's very nice. Very nice. I don't want to look I don't like that look. Never liked it. But it's a tremendous thing, and it's having tremendous success." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So they'll, you know, scoff and say, Oh, who cares about that. Very big stuff. You know, these are big things. A lot of people have come up, Thank you, sir. They had sinks that didn't give water. They had showers that didn't give water. The whole thing. And and it's been a great thing. It's been very popular. And we might as well tell you about it, because people don't talk about it. But these are things that no other President would be doing. No other President, frankly, would be even thinking about it." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7904, + "raw_confidence": 0.7904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "During eight years of the last administration, America lost 10,000 factories and nearly 200,000 manufacturing jobs think of that. In contrast, my administration added over a half a million manufacturing jobs. It was up to actually 701,000 jobs before the plague came in." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7408, + "raw_confidence": 0.7408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And if you remember, President Obama: You need a magic wand. No, you don't. We need manufacturing jobs. He said, You won't have any more manufacturing jobs. You need a magic wand. He was wrong about that also." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "My fifth promise to American workers is to bring back American jobs in factories using every tool at my disposal, including tariffs I love properly-put-on tariffs, because they bring unfair competitors from foreign countries to do whatever you want them to do countervailing duties, and new trade deals based on the principle of fairness and reciprocity." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I'll be signing something very important. Watch over the next week. I think you'll be very proud of your President. I'm going to be signing something that's very important over the next, probably, week. And it'll have a tremendous impact on fairness and trade." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "As part of this commitment, earlier today I signed a proclamation that defends American industry by re-imposing aluminum tariffs on Canada. Canada was taking advantage of us, as usual, and I signed it, and it imposes because the aluminum business was being decimated by Canada. Very unfair to our jobs and our great aluminum workers." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2126, + "raw_confidence": 0.7874, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Several months ago, my administration agreed to lift those tariffs in return for a promise from the Canadian government that its aluminum industry would not flood our country with exports and kill all our aluminum jobs, which is exactly what they did. Canadian aluminum producers have broken that commitment, and the U.S. Trade Representative, Robert Lighthizer, has advised me that this step to re-impose tariffs is absolutely necessary to defend our aluminum industry." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "To be a strong nation, America must be a manufacturing nation and not be led by a bunch of fools. That means protecting our national industrial base. We have to protect our great companies and our great workers." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "My sixth and final promise today is to forever uphold the commitment I made from the beginning: I will always put American workers first. Always. They'll always be put first." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2411, + "raw_confidence": 0.7589, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I don't know if you're union or nonunion it doesn't matter to me but I did one hell of a good job for the unions. You know, all the union heads are against me, but all the workers are for me, so something is right. The workers are for me. They usually the union heads they're wined and dined in Washington pretty good by the Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But the Tennessee Valley Authority pays $8 million a year to the head. And after the Authority laid off 20 percent of its American technology workforce and forced them to train their foreign replacements this week, I told the chairman of the board, You're fired. And the firings will continue unless the layoffs are reversed and the American workers are rehired." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, as I was leaving for the great state of Ohio did you ever watch Biden, where he's always saying the wrong state? It's great to be in Florida. Florida. No, it's Ohio. I've never seen a guy I haven't done that one yet; that's a disaster. I always say Jim Jordan if you do that, it's over, right? You can be Winston Churchill. The speeches is over; you just walk off the stage." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But he does it all the time. Nobody calls him for it. I love the state of Iowa. Sir, sir, it's Idaho. It's Idaho. And the worst is when he's in, like, Indiana, and he says, It's great to be with the people of Florida, and you have palm trees all over the place. But he does it all the time. There's something going on." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But over the last four years, we've made extraordinary strides, and over the next four years together, we will turn the United States into the unrivaled manufacturing superpower of the world. We've been through a lot together." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3201, + "raw_confidence": 0.6799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And Accountability we have people that are so were so scornful, they had hatred for our vets. They were treating our vets badly. Our vets have to be treated great. But you couldn't fire them. They could be sadistic, they could be thieves, they could be you couldn't fire them because of civil service unions, et cetera. You know. Couldn't fire them." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7216, + "raw_confidence": 0.7216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I got the Accountability VA Accountability. Now you look at them, they don't do a good job for our vets, you say, Jim, you're fired. Boom. Get out. That's the story. We actually terminated over 8,000 people that were not treating our vets well, and they were there for a long time. And it sounds a little bit cold, but the truth is they got to treat our vets well, right? So they have to do it. But we got Accountability and we got VA Choice." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But to achieve the vision that we've been talking about for so long, we must finish the job and drain the Washington swamp once and for all. And we're doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.349, + "raw_confidence": 0.651, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "For years, left-wing politicians smiled and looked at American workers right in the eye and took advantage of them and lied to them. They took your endorsements, they took your money, and they took your votes, and they did nothing. Then they turned around and inflicted one corrupt betrayal of the American middle class after another, whether it was NAFTA, TPP, the horrible Korea deal, the ridiculous Paris Climate Accord how's it working out for Paris? Not so good. And China's entry into the World Trade Organization, which is probably the worst of all the deals, if you want to know the truth." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "That was where China signed that and they went up like a rocket ship. And they violated the rules like nobody has ever violated them before. In fact, they're considered a developing nation. And because they're a developing nation, they have advantages. Well, we didn't accept that. But for years, they accepted that. And, by the way, Joe Biden supported every single one of those horrible, disastrous sellouts." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2132, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Under this administration, those days have been over, and we're not going back. We're respected again as a country. You know, we're respected again. You may not feel it, although I think you do. You may not see it. You don't read about it from the fake news, but this country is respected again. We don't let people take advantage of us, including our allies, who took tremendous advantage of us. Tremendous." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7778, + "raw_confidence": 0.7778, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Our allies took tremendous advantage of us both militarily, where they don't pay their bills. We protect them, they don't pay like Germany, we're reducing the force. They don't pay. They're delinquent. I say it all the time. They're delinquent. They got to pay." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2062, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "You know, we protect Germany from Russia, and yet, Germany is paying billions of dollars a year billions and billions to Russia for energy. So I say, What's that all about? So we protect, and they pay money, and we protect. So we don't stand for things like that, but we have many other things. I could stand up here all day long and tell you things that you wouldn't even believe." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "To fully restore American prosperity, we must stop the radical left-wing movement that would destroy our country. They want to impose $3 trillion of new taxes on American families. They want to ban fracking, which will demolish your state. It will demolish Ohio oil and gas jobs. They want to rejoin the disastrous Paris Climate Accord, where you'll pay billions and billions of dollars for the privilege of getting ripped off by other countries; and inflict a socialist takeover of the U.S. economy, known as the horrendous Green New Deal. It was conceived by a young woman, AOC AOC plus three, I say." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2345, + "raw_confidence": 0.7655, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "AOC that's a real beauty isn't it? She knows as much about the environment do we have any young children here? as that young child over there. I think he knows more. And she certainly knows nothing about the economy. And if they ever had their chance, you would find that out, and it wouldn't take very long." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7698, + "raw_confidence": 0.7698, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "You know, Venezuela was a very wealthy country 20 years ago one of the wealthiest per capita, one of the wealthiest. Tremendous oil reserves, everything. Now they don't have food. They don't have water. They don't have medicine, they don't have anything. Same thing could happen, same or similar ideology." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.208, + "raw_confidence": 0.792, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They also want to throw open American borders, give free taxpayer-funded healthcare to illegal aliens, defund police, abolish ICE, abolish borders no more borders and abolish basically the American Dream. This is Joe Biden. And does anybody really think he's strong enough to stand up to these ruthless, vicious people? You look at you look at Portland, you look at what's going on in Seattle, these are the people that you're dealing with. If I didn't send in the troops, if I didn't send in the great people from Homeland Security, you'd have courthouses and post offices and everything else burned down, blown up." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And we may send in something else because you know what? They've been riding now for 70 days and the mayor thinks it's just wonderful, and the governor has no idea what she's doing. I've never seen people like this." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7547, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Remember, in Seattle, where they took over a big chunk of the city? Seattle. And the mayor said, It's going to be a Summer of Love. And I said, She's just kidding, right? Isn't she? She wasn't kidding. But we were all set to send in the troops, send in the people that we were going to send in. And what happened is amazing. We told them, and all of a sudden, the police went out and they cleaned it up. But that place would still be occupied if we didn't get involved." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6065, + "raw_confidence": 0.6065, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Same thing with Minneapolis. Minneapolis was a disaster. After five or six days, they were going to lose that whole city. We sent in the National Guard. They took care of things in about one hour. Remember the scene of them walking down the street, firing the tear gas? Now you're not even allowed if you're looking at the other side, you're not allowed to use tear gas or pepper spray. You can't use any of that stuff. They can use Molotov cocktails and horrible things on you, but you're not allowed to do anything." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2592, + "raw_confidence": 0.7408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So the police didn't want to have anything to do with the convention in a great state, Wisconsin Milwaukee for the Democrats. You couldn't use tear gas. You couldn't use pepper spray. You couldn't use anything. Think of how ridiculous this is. And you won't be able to use your guns because they're going to end your Second Amendment, as sure as you're sitting there. But the proud people of Ohio will not let that happen. Together, we will preserve, protect, and defend our American way of life." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "As long as I am President thank you. Thank you. As long as I am President of the United States, I will fight for you with every ounce of energy and strength that I have. I will be your voice. I will defend your jobs. I will stand up to the foreign trade cheaters and violators that hate our country. I will never let you down. I will have your back, 100 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Now I'd like to take just a moment to introduce a few of the Whirlpool men and women whose jobs I had the honor of taking decisive action to protect and to save." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Keri Wallace is an operations analyst whose family has 100 years of history at this very plant. Keri, please come forward and say a few words. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you, Keri. Wow. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Marco Ontiveros is a first-generation American who started at this plant to support his family 17 years ago. Marco rose through leadership to become a production lead. Marco, please come up and say a few words, please." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you both. And, you know, Marco had a beautiful speech written, and he never looked down. You never even looked down at that speech. I'm I'm impressed. With both of you, I'm impressed." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "To every worker here at Whirlpool, thank you once again for welcoming us. It's an honor to be here. And thank you for your commitment to American manufacturing. You're a great company with great, great people." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Together, we will bring back our jobs, we will bring back our factories, and we will bring back our American Dream. God bless you, and God bless America." + }, + { + "tid": "l83sbXD0nuY", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-whirlpool-plant-clyde-ohio-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I appreciate that. Yeah, he's a good guy." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, we had it. It was done. And then the virus came in. We were very successful. The division was ending. We had the highest unemployment rates in a positive way. But we had the best employment numbers that we've ever had. And it was done. Success was bringing us together. And then the China virus came and now we have to do it again." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6199, + "raw_confidence": 0.6199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're already doing it. The level of employment, the retail sales, the manufacturing numbers are higher than they were even before. So we're doing it again." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2531, + "raw_confidence": 0.7469, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "The problem areas that you're talking about, in every case they're Democrat run, weak run areas, whether it's Portland or Chicago or New York. And those are areas, Republican areas don't have any problem. If they don't straighten it out, I'll straighten it out. But we need law and order. But if they don't straighten it out, we're going to straighten it out ourselves." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, that means we'll go in and straighten it out because we have no choice. Portland's been going on for almost 90 days. Last night I saw what they did to that young man, that was terrible, and a couple of women. These are thugs. These are anarchists. If they don't straighten it out, it's Democrat governor, Democrat mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "If they don't straighten it out, we'll straighten it out." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7223, + "raw_confidence": 0.7223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I think that when you look at schools, it's a very unique situation. Young children, frankly, the younger they are, but they have a strong immune system, and they just don't have the problems. If you look at numbers just statistically, you take 1%, and then it's a tiny fraction of 1%. These are the ones that have big problems." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's very, very little. We have to get our country back. Don't forget this shutdown stuff... And I had to shut the country down because nobody knew what was happening. We saved millions of lives. It wouldn't be the 170,000. It would be millions and millions of lives. And we've done everything right. We've done it." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We've done ventilators, we've gotten the equipment, we've stopped the whole country and everything. But we've learned about the disease. We have to open our schools. Hopefully we're going to be playing football. Now they're talking about the football stuff in colleges, et cetera. But we did the right thing." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2701, + "raw_confidence": 0.7299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We've done it right, and we have to open our schools." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4236, + "raw_confidence": 0.5764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Yeah. What I've done is I put the ban on China from coming in. And if I didn't do that... That was in January. That was a long time ago. And if I didn't do that, we would have, even Dr. Fauci said, We would have had hundreds of thousands of more deaths. I put a ban. And nobody agreed with me at the time, but now they all agree with me." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7712, + "raw_confidence": 0.7712, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Biden was totally against it. He was going, You're racist, xenophobic. And then he apologized because I was right." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Pelosi, the same thing months later. So we did the right thing. We've done a lot of really good, smart things. But, I heard about New Zealand, how well it was doing. They just had a big surge. I heard about all these places. We are doing well. Florida is down now. California is down. Arizona's way down." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He's done a... He's here now, the governor. They've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You mean that children are up? Yeah. I mean, I've heard that it's such a small number. We have to open our schools. Look, when you shut down, you have other problems. You have depression, you have alcohol, you have drugs, you have a family squabbles, to put it nicely. You have a lot of bad things happen." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So it's not like, oh, let's do a shutdown. Shutdowns cause, I think probably, or possibly, much bigger problems than even the virus itself. Especially at this stage." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I understand that. I hope so. Schumer is not a popular guy. Bad. As an example, Arizona wants very badly, they want the wall. So do other States that are along the border. They want the wall. They said, they're going to take it down. Biden, Schumer, they want to take the wall down. This is the wall. The wall is incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2, + "raw_confidence": 0.8, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It works. Nobody gets through. Nobody. And I mean, it's so high. This is just a small version of it. It goes way up, over 30 feet. And they want to take it down. It's worked so great. We put a lot of it right here. And already, wherever we put it up, the numbers go down to practically nothing. They want to take it down." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And I know the problems they've had in Yuma, but I've known the problems they have Arizona. And this has been a great thing for Arizona. And they want to take it down." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They also don't want things like fracking. They don't want oil. They don't want guns. They want to knock out the Second Amendment. How can they have this platform? How can it work? And they're very weak on religion. I have to say. So religion, guns, oil. Go to Texas, try it. Go right here and try it. It doesn't work well." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2021, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "The answer is yes, but the ballots, it's a bad thing. Absentee ballots are great. You request them, they send them. It's been happening for a long time. Florida, other states, that works. But just to send millions of ballots in the mail, who knows who's getting them. They pick up a stack of them, who knows who's getting them." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.431, + "raw_confidence": 0.569, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's ripe for fraud. It will be fraud. It'll be a bad thing." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4367, + "raw_confidence": 0.5633, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "As far as the post office is concerned, for years they've wanted to cut the post office. I don't want to cut the post office. What I want is I want Amazon and other companies like that, that dump all their packages into our postal system, where we lose $2.50-$3 per package, I want Amazon to pay. And I don't want to fire people that work in the post office." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3691, + "raw_confidence": 0.6309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I don't want them also charging people for that. Amazon, they make a lot of money because they drop all their packages into the... Not all of them, but a big portion of them... They drop them into the post office. And the post office loses money every time they have a package, they bring you a package. They lose $2.5-$3. Even sometimes, I guess, more than that, depending on the package." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1915, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Now Amazon has to pay and I don't want people fired in the post office. It's very simple." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Using that as a soundbite. Look, we're going to do very well. I hope we're going to do very well in Arizona. You had the best year you've ever had last year. And you're going to have the best year you ever had this year. And Martha McSally, we need her. She's really good. I don't know how she's doing. I'm not sure." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I can tell you though, that as a worker and as a voice in Washington, she's really, really good. And we need her in Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And you're right. If Schumer ever got in with Pelosi, they would take down the wall. They'd open up the borders. They'd have sanctuary cities all over the place. They'd raise your taxes. They want to raise taxes. They want to quadruple your taxes. And I want to... I've already given you the largest tax cut in history." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We want to go further because it's going to be growth. We're going to have tremendous growth." + }, + { + "tid": "LoBSTPFnba8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-andy-mehalshich-wbre-wilkes-barre-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Hopefully celebrating. Hopefully celebrating. And I appreciate you. Very nice." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.207, + "raw_confidence": 0.793, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody and I'll tell you we're landing and there are thousands of people along the as well, and I say I said: why are they here, sir? We couldn't let Why not, let's let him and these people and then they put in a floor. This is from Manchester, as you know, about flooring. They put in a floor." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "That's like an ice skating rink, so we're going to tiptoe around. How are you everybody? We love great people Manchester. We had some good memories in Manchester in 2016, But this is going to be. We are right now in the most important election in our history, but I'm thrilled to be back in the Granite State with the true, hardworking American patriots." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.22, + "raw_confidence": 0.78, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Last night It was my great honor to accept the Republican nomination for President of the United States. We're going to win. Does anybody have any doubt? You know it's very interesting. Last night we had an incredible time, and I don't know if you know it's: it's driving the fake news, crazy they're back, but the poll numbers have swung." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "He said in 10 days. That's a long 10 days 10 Days. That's like an eternity and Trump Bill. Ten days I have you. I have you 10 days is like a OK, So he decided he's coming out and he's going to be out in 10 days. That's a long time. That's a big percentage of the remaining time. That's all right, he's much better off where he is." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I think he's Hit us, we love bologna. We do she did a great job. She did a great job. She went up on Tuesday night did an incredible job. Last night was exciting, wasn't it and how about those stories from friends of mine right? How about this, or was it just compelling an incredible television, but really that was exciting, a really good quality convention, so many people so many Well, you saw some tragic situations, some really great endorsements." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You saw everything if you, How about the endorsement of Herschel Walker When you watch that that was from, I Was from the heart, Dana White today I just saw today because last night I was looking at the speech a little bit. You know we had a wonderful turnout last night, What I didn't like it when you saw this right when it was over." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7934, + "raw_confidence": 0.7934, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You saw when it was over the thugs outside because the Democratic mayor of Washington D.C it's another Democrat, that's not believing in law and order, and you know we give Washington D.C a lot of money to run it, but they don't do a good job of running It The mayor, she doesn't run anything and they these incredible people from all over the country, all over the world that were there last night, they walked out to a bunch of thugs, and that was it remember the That was it friendly protesters." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4509, + "raw_confidence": 0.5491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They were thugs, they were thugs and the D, the D.C police are good, but the mayor gave bad instructions last night. That should have never been allowed to happen when a Senator, like Rand paul walks out and thank God, we had some good police around him and they took a tremendous tremendous abuse And Rand Paul was in big trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Last night he's a good guy he's a friend of mine and that shouldn't happen to anybody, but he is a U.S senator walking outside and those four policemen should be brought over to the White House and we had to give him a medal of some kind. We're going to, I told that Duran And the mayor should be ashamed of herself for that kind of a display of incompetence, because that's what's happening in Portland and that's what's happening all over." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7402, + "raw_confidence": 0.7402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We have Democrat run cities just take a look and we're looking at the whole situation in D.C., and tonight they have a lot of people gathering. Let's see how that works out, they have to be able to manage their affairs. They get a lot of money. She's always looking for money, could we have more money? What are you going to waste it on?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I mean spend it all. What are you going to waste it on Mayor and then our people walk out, and these are people from all over the world. They walk including Congress by the way they walk out and they get accosted. They get abuse, they get spit on. It's a disgrace and our country is going to Change. We're not going to allow that to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You know we're not supposed to be we're not supposed to be involved unless we're invited in by the people that run. These are all Democrat cities just so you understand, including D.C., so we're not supposed to go in unless we call it an insurrection. But that's a big statement. It's a big statement, no reason for it, but you know what we're going to do." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We're going to have to look at it. Mark Meadows is here we're going to have to look at it because we're not going to let that happen to people that go to the White House to celebrate our country And a weak guy named Joe Biden that he's weak he's weak as hell a weak guy. Like Joe Biden didn't even bring law and order up as a subject for discussion in the entire Democrat National Convention, now they're all of a sudden." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Now they realize, because they've gone down like a rock in water, they've gone down in the polls and now all of a sudden they're talking all well. We have to talk about Trump number one. They have no look at what happened to New York. Look at. What's going on in Chicago all Democrats, all radical left Democrats look at what's going on in the great state of Wisconsin." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7899, + "raw_confidence": 0.7899, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Now I will tell you two days ago we sent in the National Guard. That was the end of that problem. Look at Portland! We want to send in the national We send in homeland security just to protect our couple of our buildings, including a courthouse. Can you believe it we send in because they can't protect it, so we sent they did a very effective job." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7922, + "raw_confidence": 0.7922, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We could take care of Portland in 45 minutes 45 minutes if that Governor. If that mayor would call and say, please send in the National Guard just like wait, hey we did it in Minneapolis. Remember that the place was going to burn down another few days. We send in the National Guard, it was over within an hour and they ought to get smart and that's what they ought to do so now they're talking about well, you know we want to." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They would talk, what do they call it? A friendly protest. Remember the idiot from CNN He's standing there. This is a friendly protest and behind him over his shoulders. The entire city is burning down 60 Seven days from now we're going to win the great state of New Hampshire we have to and we're going to win." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2132, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Four more years in the White House, within my first term in office, we've secured America's borders brought back our manufacturing jobs rebuilt the United States military. It was a mess, it was a depleted mess wiped out. The ISIS caliphate killed our terrorist enemies, kept America out of foolish stupid ridicuLous foreign wars Achieved American energy independence and you see the price of your gasoline when you go fill it up." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Oh boy. That's a nice surprise, it's half what it was and we built the single greatest economy in the history of the world, and that includes China, which was having a very very bad year, and then the plague came in from China. We had to close it up. We saved millions of lives and now we're opening it and we're setting records we're setting records." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7612, + "raw_confidence": 0.7612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Where do you see the numbers just before the election they'll be released, and this is despite the fact that the Democrats are holding back? Is she again North Carolina? You take a look Pennsylvania. They want to keep him by the way on November, 4th, regardless he'll be opening them up November 4th because they think that hurts the economy and that'll hurt me, but our numbers are going to be great." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We can have a great third quarter, we're going to have an unbelievable next year unless somebody stupid, gets elected and raises your taxes. This November, Each of you will vote in truly the most important election in the history of our country. I used to say it about 2 016. This is now at a new level. Joe Biden is the puppet of the Radical Left movement that seeks to obliterate and destroy everything that you hold dear, including your An amendment which will have no chance." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2245, + "raw_confidence": 0.7755, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Your vote will decide whether we save the American Dream or whether we allow Biden to eliminate your jobs a better way. It's not Biden, it's not Biden, it's his masters, his. They tell him what to do his Masters. They want to erase your borders confiscate your guns. Appoint radical left judges and prosecutors tear down our history, demolish your suburbs, your soul." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I did. I ended the rule you're not going to have low income housing built in your suburbs anymore, but nobody writes that because the fake news doesn't want to write that. But everyone knows Children to fund the police and try everything in the book to turn our cities so that they look more like portland Oregon than what we're used to looking at." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Never forget they are coming after me because I am fighting for you it's true. Today's Democrat Party is filled with hate, just look at Joe Biden, supporters on the streets screaming and shouting at bystanders with unhinged manic rage. You see it, it's crazy. It's crazy! You had to see last night in Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "It was a disgrace. It was a disgrace that these people are representing the United States of America. It was a disgrace protesters. You know they say protest protesters, your ass. That said, no complain about the rioters and the vandals marauding through our cities or mass unruly demonstrations, but they don't believe law abiding citizens can go to a church." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2504, + "raw_confidence": 0.7496, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Together, you can't go to church anymore. He led many churches are closed in this country. Because of the Democrats, you can go out and you can have thousands of people marauding through the streets threatening other people beyond threatening kicking them in the face, doing what they've done You've seen it and they would have done that to Senator Rand Paul last night." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2141, + "raw_confidence": 0.7859, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "He'd need to be in very bad shape or dead, and that would include his wife if those policemen didn't happen to be there and they took some big beating and the reason they didn't fight back too much. They don't want to lose their pension. They don't want to lose their job because we've become so politically correct, everybody's afraid." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "To do it. I will have lost to a low IQ individual. I don't want, I don't want it sleepy Joe. I don't want it, but the agitators will go from rioting in the streets to running the halls of government. Can you believe it the levers that caught the levers of government, the top 10 most dangerous cities in America are run by Democrats and have been for decades?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Now they're trying to impose those policies across the entire country, No one will be safe in Biden's mirror. I can't even call it Biden's. America guy doesn't know he's alive, he's gon na be out in 10 days, he's gon na soar. Ten days. Ten days I mean I gave a big speech last We're not talking about it. That was great." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2128, + "raw_confidence": 0.7872, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "It was important. We've done more than any administration in its first three and a half years in the history of our country and that's despite phony witch hunts. Phony investigations of phony impeachment based on a phone call that was absolutely perfect. That's despite a pandemic that was probably sent in by China who the hell knows how it got here and all over the world, because China does not want to see me win." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I can tell you that we're not happy with China I'll tell you why Biden got in China would own the United States very quickly. They don't. If the Democrat Party wants to stand with anarchists criminals, rioters looters And flag burners, that's up to them. The Republican Party and you I can see you there, anybody in this place that enjoys burning the American flag." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Please quietly raise your hand, Be careful, could be very dangerous. The Republican Party will remain the voice of the patriotic heroes who keep america safe and our law enforcement. We are all that stand between the American people and the left wing mob. If you want to save democracy from the mob, then you must vote to defeat an extremely poor candidate." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2845, + "raw_confidence": 0.7155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Look. I believe I have the honor of Running against the worst candidate ever put up by the Democratic nominee. How do you get, I believe, he's the worst candidate? The slowest candidate and I mean in primetime he was the slowest candidate which was a long time ago. Primetime. You know what I don't like, though they say he's like 78. 79. 78. I Guess." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7778, + "raw_confidence": 0.7778, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I know people that are 85, that radiate 92 Bernie, Marcus Home Depot's 92 years old, he's the sharpest guy you'll ever meet. There's nothing. 78 is okay, But that's a bad 78, Not a good 78 78 okay, but he shouldn't say that you know they shouldn't say the press, they talk, they say he's too old He's not too all seven he's not too, But 78 is okay, But I do, I know people in their 90s that are 100 percent job and good physically." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Actually, good physically. You want debate. So do I i want debates. I want debates tonight we're honored to be joined by New Hampshire House Republican leader. Dick Hinch was there and I think your great governor is here Where's the governor where's, our governor hi, Dick good job. Do we like Dick, yes where's, our governor he's here?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2141, + "raw_confidence": 0.7859, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "He just met me, I told him go back, I stayed because you have a great governor and we don't have same day voting anymore. We don't have same day what a joke that was last. I remember buses poured up from Massachusetts with a lot of people that weren't going to vote for Trump And they poured up. Thousands and thousands of people came in on Election Day, and then you had a Senator running on the Republican Party, who wasn't exactly the greatest." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "For us but we have done so well here and we're going to have a big win and I'm hearing we're going to have a great win. So I want to thank you, Governor. Also with us, our state Representative, . You said where are you hi, Hi Al? I know these guys so well, hey I'll. Have I taken care of the vets better than you even thought this guy?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I met him, he's a big vet. He wanted to vets, he didn't care about anything else, but the vets honestly. He couldn't have cared less about anybody here, except vets, but I did a good job right. We did a good job for the vets. Very importantly, Very very U.S, senate candidate Corky Messner football guy here doing a Good job." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "To get him, we need Corky Messner. I hear you're doing well. Congressional candidate Matt Mowers. Thank you, Matt great people, a friend of mine, for a long time. He said right from the beginning: you're going to win this state, sir. We met him at the primaries chairman of New Hampshire Republican Party Steven Stepanek, Steven." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1873, + "raw_confidence": 0.8127, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I said great Steve, co-chairman of my New Hampshire campaign. Lou Gargiulo. Where's Lou Lou Gargiulo.. You know hi Lou, how am I doing? Are we winning Lou Lou? Are we winning? Thank you? You said yes, if he said No he's out of here and a friend of mine and a friend of the state. He loves his state and he is a smart cookie." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "So good I love him on television is no games, you know just looks he gives it. The answer, but he's done a fantastic job, The first person on my whole, you know you read about all these people. This is the first guy and he's a great guy he's. A friend of mine, Corey Lewandowski was great guy tremendous guy tremendous help." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Corey, are you having a good time, Corey who's going to win this year. Corey, yeah that I was a little bit slow that had come with the help of everyone here Today, we've accomplished more in the first three years. We've done so much, we've done so much! You can go over it taxes and you can go over what we've done with the military." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2386, + "raw_confidence": 0.7614, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We passed the biggest tax cuts ever ever in the history of our country. Now they want to raise taxes. Think of it all my life, I've watched politicians, don't forget I've. Only been doing this for four and a half years I haven't been to I've, had Senators come in, I've had Congressmen come in, sir I've been doing this for 25 years and in 25 years I've only lost three races." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I said, but I've only been doing it for four years and I only won one race, But now I have to win two one race. I won, but it was the President who was, he was the President. Well, we did the largest tax cut in the history of our country and we eliminated the most. Please I want to get his wife on the list." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2192, + "raw_confidence": 0.7808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "It's called right to try right work, he's been a friend of mine, god come on he's been here for a long time he's been he's been a good guy. For a long time. We got to go how's your wife how's. She doing she couldn't get off before me. Well, we had that with Mueller. You saw that with the Mueller's last night." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You saw that right was that sad. Were there incredible daughter what happened? You said if Trump was President that wouldn't have happened and they're right? That would not have happened. We took out al-Baghdadi. I wish I were President the you would have had a different solution. Go ahead. How about you yeah, we'll talk to you later right to Try." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7612, + "raw_confidence": 0.7612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You have no idea so many people they used to travel all over the world to get a cure, and now we can sign a quick, simple document. You know it sounds easier. Was it, but it was easy for me. I understood it and now you signed a document, we give you the greatest medicines, even if they haven't been approved And if somebody is terminally ill, like in the case of your wife, if somebody is terminally ill." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "At least you have hope, but it's beyond that, because people have gone home, you have to see some of the results have been incredible and you saw one of the people the other day right that wonderful young lady. That was so incredible and spoke so well and she's a special person. She really is a special person." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Thank you we'll talk to you. Thank you very much and to bring opportunities to our inner cities. I signed the groundbreaking criminal justice reform, prison reform, opportunity zones, permanent funding for historically black colleges and universities through and before the China virus came in. Before that China virus came in, we had the best job numbers ever recorded, the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1566, + "raw_confidence": 0.8434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We had almost 160 million Americans working. We had never had numbers like that. The Republican Party is the party of Abraham Lincoln. Remember the we stand for so much, including Martin Luther King's dream of a nation where our children are judged not by the color of their skin, but by the content of their Character." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5354, + "raw_confidence": 0.5354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You know the the radical left's effort to divide everyone by race tears us apart. There's so much racial hatred and it's put there by CNN by MSNBC, they stoke the flames and they know it. The good news is their ratings. Aren't great. So that's, okay, they don't have great ratings, but they stoke the flames." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Cnn just turned off their camera again. They always turn off their camera. Why do I keep doing them here every time I do it, they turn off their camera. They did it. Last time I mentioned CNN, they scream and turn the camera off. Our movement is about a brighter future for all Americans of every race, religion, color and creed." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6147, + "raw_confidence": 0.6147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden spent the last 47 years betraying the African-American community. I've spent the last four years delivering for the African-American community, like nobody with the exception possibly of Abraham Lincoln. I celebrated for my first week in office. I withdrew the United States from the last administration's Horrible stupid insane." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2291, + "raw_confidence": 0.7709, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Trans-Pacific Partnership would have destroyed the U.S, auto industry and many other industries. New Hampshire lost one in four and I think much more than that. Manufacturing jobs following twin disasters of NAFTA and China Entrance into the WTO. It was more than one in four. That statistic is wrong: please have it changed that statistic is wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Far more than one in four earlier this year I kept my promise and replaced the NAFTA nightmare with the brand new U.S. Mexico, Canada. They said that couldn't be done. I also took the toughest ever action to stand up to China's pillaging and plundering of American jobs. Joe Biden's agenda is made in China." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "My agenda is made in America after years of building up other nations. We are Finally building up our nation and our jobs and we're taking care of our people. You know last night, I got great reviews of this speech and all but some of the fakers back there they said. Well, it was a little long. He shouldn't use the White House, so really tell me, but they said it was little more than one person." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3076, + "raw_confidence": 0.6924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I think it was Chris Wallace, nice guy he's actually a nice guy. He said that he didn't have the same energy in the speech that he usually has. Well, that's it different part of his speech tonight, I'm in New Hampshire and we can wing it. You see actually actually Chris, who has always wanted to be his father." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1565, + "raw_confidence": 0.8435, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "It never worked out because of a lack of talent. Actually, though, actually Chris has it wrong. If I did last night's speech here by now, you would have all been walking down and if I did tonight's speech there would have been criticized by being slightly radical but we're having a good time doing it. This way right because we are finally putting America first under my administration, America's borders are more secure than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.763, + "raw_confidence": 0.763, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We ended the catch and release, stop the asylum fraud and we have deported 20 000 gang members and 500 000 criminal we've already built 300 miles of border wall and we're adding 10 Miles. Every single and the war will soon be completed and our numbers on the border are the best they've ever been and by the way you know, Mexico is paying for the war." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7199, + "raw_confidence": 0.7199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Just in case you didn't know they're paying for the war. You ever noticed on the wall, everything was war war, they didn't think I was going to get it done because you know look, you have one major party controlling Congress and they don't want to give me well. So you know they're going crazy war, the war's not getting done, then I get it done, get it from the military, get it from everything." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.193, + "raw_confidence": 0.807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You know, I'm a developer. I know how to get money. Is what developers understand and now that the wall is almost complete. It'll be soon complete and it's that wall that border security He wanted so badly. This is the one, but now that he's met you never hear about the world. They don't talk about it anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They don't talk about it anymore, it's incredible, but the world will soon be complete. We've invested 2.5 trillion dollars in the US military and launched the first new branch of the US armed forces in nearly 75 years, the Space Force, And now in honor of you, we have passed V.A choice and V.A accountability." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3098, + "raw_confidence": 0.6902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Guy has been bugging me for years. Now. Has been bugging me Watson that had let me say, let me stop it he's been bugging me for years. Did you ever think we'd get v.A choice, V.A accountability? Do you ever really believe it? Thank you. I withdrew from the last administration's Disastrous Iran nuclear deal." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7517, + "raw_confidence": 0.7517, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "A disaster one hundred and fifty billion dollars, we paid Iran for a basically short term deal and we gave them one. What's more impressive, we also gave him one point: $8 billion in cash cash, many plane loads. You know that took many many plane loads. One point: 8 billion. I said bad, That's when I realized how powerful a President is in the United States when a President has the right which, by the way, I don't believe he did have that right." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Okay, When a President has the right to go into the banks and take out one point $8 billion and hand it to people that hate our guts. That's power, that's power! I don't believe it. I don't believe he had the right to do it. I kept my promise, recognize the true capital of Israel And open the U.S embassy in Jerusalem and I recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights and we achieved the first breakthrough in the Middle East in 25 years." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You saw that just last week, uAE highly respected Mohammed, highly respected UAE and Israel, and now they're all going to be coming in Now. They're all saying how come you didn't tell us about this: you'll have peace in the Middle East and yet we're moving our troops out. It's pretty amazing, actually we'll get no credit for it, but that's over remember that Caitlyn cover that properly Caitlyn we like Caitlyn together." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7546, + "raw_confidence": 0.7546, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We've spent the last four years: cleaning up 47 years of Biden disasters. Joe Biden has spent his entire career on the wrong side of history. He supported NAFTA. China's entry He's done so many things this man. If you look at what he's done, we went into a deal the career. You know about the Korea deal. Hillary Clinton's deal along with Biden, they promised 250 000 jobs right 250, 000 jobs and they were right, except all those jobs went to South Korea." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They didn't come to us, he wants mass amnesty, he wants illegal aliens to be taken care of health care and every other way, And he wants to raise your taxes. Six look: your taxes are going to go through the roof, he's going to destroy your health care. He's going to have socialized medicine, remember what Obama said 28 times you can keep your doctor, you can keep your plan turned out to be a lie." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7076, + "raw_confidence": 0.7076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Now you're going to lose your doctor again and we're going to lose 185 million people who have private Health insurance. Who has private health insurance here and you love it right. You love it. It's a luxury, it's good! It's beautiful and you have the greatest. You can lose it hate to tell you, under his plan, you're going to lose your private health care." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. They said that last time too remember. They said it last time you know for them to call it early. You have to be real, so I heard from for a year, texas is going to be very close. Gon na be everybody believe that, except for the people that lived in Texas, so at eight o'clock, the poll the polls closed, and they said Donald Trump has won the state of Texas simultaneously with the closing." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You have the highest energy prices States by far. Thank you New York. Thank you. Thank you. Governor Cuomo Biden voted for the Iraq war. I was against the Iraq war. He opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden. He opposed the killing of Soleimani. You remember that one he oversaw the rise of ISIS and he cheered the rise of China as a positive development for America and for the world." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2322, + "raw_confidence": 0.7678, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "That's not a positive development. You know before they went into the WTO. China was flat lined for years and years and decades flatlined, and then they got into the WTO and a lot of bad things happen. First, China stole our jobs, plundered our intellectual property and unleashed a virus, and now China is trying to just hug and kiss Joe Biden they want him So badly." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7931, + "raw_confidence": 0.7931, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Look if you like China, you should vote for Biden that I can tell how about his son. You think the son, maybe there's a conflict, how about his son where's Hunter, whereas Hunter, whereas Hunter? Does anybody know Where's Hunter he's in another country right now, probably ripping off another country now, as soon as Biden became Vice President bad things happened with respect to Hunter." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.303, + "raw_confidence": 0.697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "If that happened with respect to my family, I wouldn't be standing. I guarantee you that I guarantee you that what a disgrace, what a disgrace, Ukraine and such as Ukraine and it's not just China, but he goes into China takes out one point $5 billion to manage and he knows nothing and he wasn't even employed." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2, + "raw_confidence": 0.8, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "He got thrown out of the armed services, so give me a break. It's a disgrace. What's happening, there's a double There's a Thing happening with the media like nobody's ever seen before these people right here, because if that happened to a Republican in particular, if any of that stuff happened to me, it would be brutal, but it happened to him." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2216, + "raw_confidence": 0.7784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They don't want to talk about it and how about the questions asked by Anderson Cooper yesterday, Anderson Cooper he's interviewed me a lot over the years and I always got along with him, but they were tough interviews. Did you hear the questions and Biden kept looking down? I think he was reading the answers off a teleprompter right." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I think he was reading the answers off a teleprompter and that's happened before and how about David Muir of ABC he's a nice guy right? How soft were those questions? How soft with us? They don't ask me questions like that They got fire pouring out of their eyes. No, Mr vice President, what do you think of this?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "How was your breakfast, sir? Did you enjoy it? When I banned travel from China. Biden called it hysterical and xenophobic, he even used somewhere along the line. The word racist. He always figures. They always want to get that word. If we had listened to Joe hundreds of thousands of more Americans would have died, but instead my decision saying saved thousands and thousands of lives, and then we band europe very early, because I saw what was going on it really in Italy and Spain and France, when The virus arrived, We launched the largest national mobilization since World War II." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6828, + "raw_confidence": 0.6828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Mike Pence did a great job. We produced more than 100 000 ventilators within weeks, and not a single American who has needed. A ventilator has been denied a ventilator, not one. You heard all about and now we're producing, ventilators hard to produce expensive, complex, we're producing them now for the rest of the world. 100 and eighty eight countries were affected by this." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We pioneered advances in treatment that have reduced the monthly rate, and you look at this. The mortality rate has been reduced by 85 percent since April. Think of the 85 percent since the under Operation warp speed. Three different vaccines are right now in final stage trials. If you go back three years, that would have been something that would have been impossible to even discuss it would have taken years." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We will produce a vaccine this year and together we will defeat the virus, That's already getting defeated and by the way. Another big Democrat hopes another big hug. I want football back, I'm the one that's been saying. Is that a correct statement? I want football back. These are young, strong, guys, they're not going to be affected by the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1846, + "raw_confidence": 0.8154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "If you look at it, it's generally older people, older people that have heart conditions and have diabetes that have problems. These are big strong, guys, they'll be just fine, but I want football back. I've been calling for football to be back, including Big, Ten Big, Ten get with it open up your season, Big, Ten and the Dems, don't want it back for political reasons, but now their new line." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1965, + "raw_confidence": 0.8035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "This is like Russia, Russia, Russia. You Know all this crap they come up with now. Their new line is, they are trying to blame me and keep football shut down. They want to keep it shut down and they're, saying that President Trump Shut it down, I'm the one that wants it open. So they're reversing it they're playing a big con game, it's just a con game and that's what we're dealing with and we have to defeat them on November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2741, + "raw_confidence": 0.7259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I want football back in Big Ten open and now the other day Joe Biden came up with a plan to impose a blanket shutdown. He'd be willing to do another blanket and we had to do it. We blanket we shut down. We saved millions of lives instead of the number we have today. 175 000. We could add 2 million today." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Instead, it would have been unacceptable, unsustainable, unsustainable. We did everything right, we did it right, we closed it down. We stopped China. We stopped Europe Now we're opening it up and we're opening it up to record numbers, despite the fact that the Democrats are keeping their states shut down and her People that live in those states shut down as long as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2328, + "raw_confidence": 0.7672, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "But now Biden wants to do another. Blanket shutdown, possibly that would decimate the economy and cause suicides, drug overdoses, alcohol abuse, heart attacks, joblessness, you'd, have jobs all of the problems that it causes, because it's not just a one sided equation. A shutdown causes big problems also, and at this point, when the economy is roaring back, we had record job numbers this last quarter over 9 million jobs, we're going to throw that all out." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5352, + "raw_confidence": 0.5352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We have a market. You know your stock market, who has for one case you here: 401 ks and your stocks, when you have stocks, would be obliterated And right now we have just two of your markets. As you know, s & P and NASDAQ New records and you're about to hit another new record. Think of it who would have thought the stock market and hopefully we're at the end of this horrible China virus came from China." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They should have stopped it and they did, but who would have thought just who would have thought that the stock market is at record levels right now record levels and everything else is going to follow before the virus. We created an economic miracle and now we're doing it again. We did the paycheck protection program where we saved more than two 100 000 jobs in New Hampshire alone, two 100 000 right over the past three months, we've gained so many different." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1926, + "raw_confidence": 0.8074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "If you look at Retail numbers, take a look at our retail numbers, they literally had records. Look at some of the numbers be announced by companies they're at records. Can you imagine giving that all up and starting again it's not acceptable? If I'm re-elected, we will create 10 million jobs over the next 10 months and we'll do that easily." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2184, + "raw_confidence": 0.7816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "The Biden agenda with big tax increases and big regulation increases would immediately kill everything. You will go into a depression and I'm very good at predicting this. You will go into a depression, the likes of which this country has not seen since 1929, And who knows maybe worse than that, they are playing a suicide mission If they want to raise your taxes they want to." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They want to raise your taxes by $4 trillion and that's going to be almost everybody said the same for the rich: no, not for the rich pay, Raising everybody's taxes. Almost joe Biden is running on the most extreme. Far left platform of any nominee in American history and of our foreign adversaries were devising a plan to destroy the United States from within." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6539, + "raw_confidence": 0.6539, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "All they have to look is at the Biden Harris How about her sheer beauty? What a beauty they pick a woman who starts off. She starts off sort of strong She's, one of the favorites within a period of a few months. She goes down down 15 12 8 5 3 2. Then she goes I'm going to leave because I've decided that I want to leave." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2128, + "raw_confidence": 0.7872, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I want leave she left because she wouldn't have gotten any votes. She was terrible and this would be your President. Possibly I don't Think so. I don't think you know. I want to see the first woman President also, but I don't want to see a woman President get into that position. The way she'd do it and she's not competent she's, not competent they're." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "All saying we want a bunker, I don't blame you. They want to eliminate America's borders in the middle of a pandemic, suspend all deportations, restore catch and release and expand horrible dangerous disgusting sanctions Cities they want to give illegal aliens, government, healthcare and taxpayer funded lawyers." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "That's what we need is more lawyers, let's get some. Let's get some more lawyers into the act, they want to end national security, travel bans from jihadist nations, very dangerous and increase refugee admissions by 700 percent. This is in the Bernie Sanders: Crazy Bernie. You know crazy bernie and a lot of his people are going to vote for me just like they did last time." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You know why, because of trade, because I agree with Bernie Sanders, but my trade policies are much tougher than his and I'm able to do it. All you have to do is how is China doing last year with my trade policy not too well, and we had the best year. We've ever had So we're going to get a lot of Bernie Sanders voters because they, like my attitude on trade." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1985, + "raw_confidence": 0.8015, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They really like it because they've been telling People for years. Our country is being ripped off by China and many other countries, including I hate to say it, our allies. Our allies have been ripping us big, and you heard me say: Last night, NATO I got 100 and $30 billion from them first time going up to $400 billion a year from NATO countries." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "By saying you got to do it, you got ta do and Secretary General Secretary Stoltenberg said it can't be done. He said he could not believe it he's. Actually my biggest fan and nobody ever calls him for a quote, call him sometime. They want to abolish cash. Bail and cut funding for law enforcement they want to end." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2442, + "raw_confidence": 0.7558, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We want to increase law enforcement, not cut By the way, Pat Lynch, a great guy New York, New York, really great New York's finest right they've, been their rights, have been taken away from literally that they're not allowed to do their job, but petulant, let's say say He said the first time in history that they know of New York's finest have endorsed a candidate." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6708, + "raw_confidence": 0.6708, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "The candidate is Donald Trump, first time, they've done and all over the country, the sheriffs of Florida, all of Texas, all over the country, Ohio law enforcements endorsing Trump. I cannot imagine them getting any law enforcement endorsements if they do. Please let me know and we'll have a little discussion, We'll ask: why did that happen?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "They want to end school choice and ban charter schools. They want to abolish American energy, including all of the things I said before and Add to that call and add to that shell. A vote for Republicans is a vote for Safe Communities, great jobs, a bright future, the American Dream for all Americans, and there is no limit to what we can achieve with four more years." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "So, in conclusion, I have to say this: over the next four years: we will make America into the manufacturing superpower of the world, That's happening already, and we will end our reliance on China once and for all. We'll do it here like we used to do in the good old days before we owed trillions of dollars, we will hire more police, increased penalties for assaults on law enforcement, surged federal Prosecutor Enters into high crime communities and neighborhoods and banned sanctuary cities." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We will kill our terrorist enemies as we've been doing while keeping America out of the endless foreign wars. I go to Dover and I greet these incredible families of soldiers that have been so sadly killed, so sadly killed. It's such a shame. I go to the hospital. I go to Walter Reed Medical Center. It's incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "The doctors are so talented. I see what they could do, but soldiers so badly hurt and they're really acting as police they're acting as police, now we're very low in Afghanistan. Now, in terms of numbers of troops, we're getting out we'll be getting out soon, we're very low in Iraq, we're very low, Except we kept the oil we left some behind for the oil." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2777, + "raw_confidence": 0.7223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "If you don't mind, we kept the oil, we should have kept. The oil in Iraq, like I've, been saying, will Appoint prosecutors, judges and justices, who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda, which is what we have in many cases right And the next President will be, in my opinion, responsible for 234, and maybe maybe Even 5 U.S supreme Court justices you better vote for me." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You better vote for me, you're, going to have the greatest depression. You've ever seen. We will uphold religious liberty, free speech and the right to keep. There are second and more. We will end surprise. Medical building requires already done. I signed it, nobody can believe I did it price transparency." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2594, + "raw_confidence": 0.7406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You know that, is you how big that is, where you're able to actually negotiate with hospitals, see their prices. Compare it. You know Who likes it: good, hospitals and good doctors. Other people don't like it, It's the biggest thing and nobody even talks about it, but I've already put it into effect. The bad news is, it goes into effect." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "On January 1st, you better make sure you elect me, so I get credit for it. Otherwise, could you imagine if sleepy Joe got in America will land the first woman on the moon and the United States will be the first nation to plant its beautiful American flag? Do we love our American flag or, Above all, we will teach our children to love our country to honor our history and be inspired by the words of the New Hampshire state motto?" + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Have you ever heard of these words live Free or Die Vote for those people, and you do you have a great Governor. Vote for your people vote for your Governor. You have a great governor from Portsmouth to Dixville from Concord to Keene. I know a friend from Keene great guy, I had a friend from Keene, a longtime Keene, New Hampshire and Merrimack to Manchester." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We will fight for every job, every family and every neighborhood, and we will fight for every vote we have to win. We have no choice. Can I be honest with you we're working hard, we're all working? I don't have to do this. I could get off that beautiful plane. It used to be black and white with a red stripe." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "That was my That's Air Force One. You know I get off that beautiful plane. I could come up and say, ladies and gentlemen, of New Hampshire. You have no choice. You have to vote for me because if you don't you'll be put in radical lefties you'll have a depression. Your socks will be worthless. You're, for one case we'll be gone: There'll be crime loveliest streets, so I'm not going to work at all I'm leaving now, but you have to vote for me because you have no choice right." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I could see right right. We stand on the shoulders of American heroes who cross the oceans blazed the trail settle the continent tame the wilderness laid down, the railroads won two World Wars, defeated fascism and communism and made America the greatest nation in the history of the world, And we are making A greater Will be greater than ever before, incredible citizens like you, the people of New Hampshire, helped build this country, and together we are taking back our country." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We are not going to let the radical Left, Socialists or Communists. Take our country we're not going to let it where returning power to you, the American people. With your help, your devotion and your drive, we are going to keep on working, We are going to keep on fighting and we are going to keep on Country be destroyed by a bunch of nut jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7919, + "raw_confidence": 0.7919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "America will soon be thriving like never before and together with the people of New Hampshire, that had meant so much to me and I brought down opioid and I brought down drug problems for you by 19 percent and nobody even talks about it. 19. I talk about New Hampshire, a lot because you had one of the proportionally worst problems of any country of any of any state in this incredible country." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6249, + "raw_confidence": 0.6249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You had one of the worst problems of any of the states, and I talk about you a lot. It was incredible and you still have, but we brought it down. 19 percent and people are absolutely shocked and have a word For the China plague. The number would be 25 or 30 percent. That really hurt us, because people sort of went back to some old ways because they don't want to be shut down any longer joe." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Don't you understand that they don't want to be shut down, so I worked very hard on that for this state and for other states, but this was a state that was so severely impacted with the drug problem and that wall is stopping them and it's stopping them. Like never before, What's stopping them like never before, I want to thank New Hampshire for all you've done." + }, + { + "tid": "Md8tIz-oblQ", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-manchester-nh-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "For me, I want to thank New Hampshire. You were my first victory as I said, but you are going to lead a nation to the most important victory and the most important election that we've ever had. We will make America wealthy again. We will Make America stronger again. We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again and we will make America great again." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. And it's a great honor to have everybody here. And I know the press was not quite expecting this, so I appreciate your being able to attend. We have a terrific number of things, and some very positive things to tell you tonight." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "I want to begin by giving an update on the economy. Economic health is vital to public health. That's why our strategy to kill the China virus has focused on protecting those at greatest risk while allowing younger and healthy Americans to safely return to work and safely return to school. Very important." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We added 1.8 million new jobs in July, exceeding predictions for the third month in a row, and adding a total of over 9.3 million jobs since May. And I will say that the job growth that we've seen over the last three months 9.3 million is the single greatest three-month period of job creation in American history. That's big stuff. That's big news and great news." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2536, + "raw_confidence": 0.7464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Over the past three months, the United States has surpassed market expectations by a total of 12 million new jobs. Over the last three months, the United States has added 623,000 manufacturing jobs. Remember You'd need a magic wand to get manufacturing jobs? And we're getting them even in a pandemic which is disappearing; it's going to disappear." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And 639,000 brand-new construction jobs. Over half of the new jobs are fulltime jobs, and wages are up by 4.8 percent, which is terrific. Unemployment has fallen by nearly 30 percent since April. Think of that: 30 percent since April." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2048, + "raw_confidence": 0.7952, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Hispanic American unemployment has decreased by nearly 32 percent. Jobs held by African Americans, which were hit especially hard by the shutdowns incredibly hard increased by nearly 1 million over the past three months, and that's also a record. That's a job record: African American, 1 million. It's job record." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We must ensure that the progress continues. My administration has enacted over $3 trillion in historic relief since China allowed the virus to infect the world. So we've contributed $3 trillion." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2074, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "My administration continues to work in good faith to reach an agreement with Democrats in Congress that will extend unemployment benefits; provide protections against evictions the terrible thing happens with evictions. Not fair. It wasn't their fault that we were infected with this disease from China. And get relief to American families." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6427, + "raw_confidence": 0.6427, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Yet, tragically, Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer continue to insist on radical leftwing policies that have nothing to do with the China virus. Nothing to do with it at all. So you have a virus that comes in, and you have people in Congress that don't want to help our people." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4972, + "raw_confidence": 0.5028, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We're going to enhance unemployment benefits through the end of the year. So unemployment benefits will be that's a big one will be brought out to the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7934, + "raw_confidence": 0.7934, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And defer student loan payments and forgive interest until further notice so students who are paying student loans and, in many cases, they're not even allowed to go back into their colleges." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.725, + "raw_confidence": 0.725, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Extend the eviction moratorium we will be extending that so people aren't evicted. Not their fault." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2051, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We had a lengthy discussion this morning with President Macron of France, concerning numerus subjects, but in particular, the catastrophic event which took place in Beirut, Lebanon. Horrible, horrible event." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "At 3 p.m. this afternoon, I spoke with President Aoun of Lebanon to inform him that three large aircraft on the are on the way, and they're fully loaded fully loaded with medical supplies, food, water, and many other things, lots of emergency equipment. Also first responders, technicians, doctors, and nurses are on their way. This was an event like the world has not seen for a long time. A horrible event." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We'll be having a conference call on Sunday with President Macron, leaders of Lebanon, and leaders from various parts of the world. Everyone wants to help. We spoke to a lot of people; they all want to help." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The United States is with authorities on the ground right now in Lebanon to identify further health and humanitarian needs, and we will provide further assistance in the period to come. We're working very closely with their government and with their leaders." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And on behalf of the United States, I want to extend our condolences to all of the families a much larger number of families than anybody would have thought and than anybody at first thought but all of those families who lost loved ones, relatives, friends in this horrible tragedy. We stand firmly with the people of Lebanon and will continue to offer our full support through this very difficult time. We have not seen anything like this in a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "As you know, earlier this week I met with American workers at the Tennessee Valley Authority who have been laid off by the leadership at the Tennessee Valley Authority. As you know, this is a form of utility. It's been around for a long time, since FDR." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2182, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And the head person not controlled by government, but it's sort of semi-public, in a sense gets paid the highest salary in the world of government. He gets $8 million a year. That's not a bad amount of money. It's $8 million a year. And we are not accepting that. Even though we're not the ones that appoint him or her but, in this case, him we're not accepting somebody getting paid $8 million a year. This has been going on for many years. And we will do something about that, and we're already in negotiations right now, including possible termination." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "This was a grave injustice. I fired the chairman of the board in response. On Friday, I fired the chairman of the board, along with one other board member. That's the one thing we have; we have the right to fire board members. And I made it clear that if they did not swiftly reverse course, I would continue with these firings of the board members. And we just were informed that they have agreed to change course, totally." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.241, + "raw_confidence": 0.759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And today, I'm proud to announce that a major victory for the workers of Tennessee and Kentucky and other areas that are covered great states, great states that the leadership of the TVA has canceled all of the layoffs and given hundreds of American workers their jobs back. They're being rehired as we speak." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "In this administration, we live by two rules: Buy American and hire American. You can't do that; you can't fire all our workers and hire people back from other faraway parts of the world at lower prices, especially when they have to train the people. And they can never train them as good as what you have, because they've been there for many years. They've done a fantastic job, and they love the TVA." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5406, + "raw_confidence": 0.5406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We had a lot of people in the office the other day a lot of the media was covering it. They love the Tennessee Valley Authority. So and they're so proud to work for it. But this happened and it was a terrible thing, so now they're going to get their jobs back they're all going to be getting their jobs back." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1865, + "raw_confidence": 0.8135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Nearly every nation on Earth continues to combat the virus. A number of countries are seeing a surge in new cases, including Japan, the Philippines, major parts of Europe. Cases continue to surge in Latin America. That's, right now, the most infected place anywhere in the world. They have more than doubled in recent days. Latin America is doing very little testing. They're not really equipped to do that. It's tough." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "In the United States, more than 80 percent of jurisdictions report decline in cases. We're doing very well. You don't hear that too often from the media, but we're doing very well. We have a very large country a very complex country, in a sense. More than half of America's counties report fewer than 20 cases last week. So, if you look at that, more than half of America's counties report fewer than 20 cases last week. But we have to remain vigilant. We're doing very well, but we have to remain vigilant." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2174, + "raw_confidence": 0.7826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Nationally, the percentage of emergency room visits with the coronavirus symptoms is down to almost half what it was in July. The southern states that were very strong hotspots not long ago Arizona, Texas, Florida continue to show significant improvement, including increased availability of hos- hospital beds." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7026, + "raw_confidence": 0.7026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Arizona now has the smallest number of coronavirus in-patients. Since mid-June, it's gone the governor was up, and we had a great meeting Governor Ducey. And the meeting was terrific. But since mid-June so they're doing well, and it's going down heading down very rapidly, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7963, + "raw_confidence": 0.7963, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Texas is stabilizing and improving rapidly with some progress in the Rio Grande Valley, and other communities along the border with Mexico that had shown the biggest increases in hospitalizations and deaths." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Florida is also stabilizing, and statewide positive test rate continues to decrease from 13 percent on July 23rd, to 8 percent this week. Florida has done very well. It's going down; it's heading down, actually, quite rapidly. And even Miami, which was the hottest spot in Florida, is heading downward. But Florida has done very well." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7001, + "raw_confidence": 0.7001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Texas has done very well, and rapidly. And Arizona has done incredibly well. So it Arizona has really been a very rapid drop." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Throughout this crisis, my administration has provided extraordinary support of people, equipment, medical supplies to the people of New Jersey, the people of New York, and to the people of every state all of our states." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6316, + "raw_confidence": 0.6316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We're carefully monitoring California's Central Valley, as well as San Diego, Los Angeles, Sacramento, and San Francisco, which are starting to stabilize and go down." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We're carefully watching regions from increasing cases, including Boston and Chicago, as well as the Midwest. We're watching them all very carefully. It's vital that all Americans work together to protect the vulnerable." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "For this reason, we've delivered vast amounts of protective equipment and testing supplies to nursing homes all across America. We're focused very much on the elderly, especially the elderly where they have heart problems or diabetes problems. Diabetes is a big problem. Approximately half of all deaths have occurred in nursing homes and long-term care facilities. That's an incredible number, when you hear half of the deaths have been in nursing homes and long-term care facilities." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1823, + "raw_confidence": 0.8177, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you that I met with owners and representatives of nursing homes, and they are very, very vigilant. They're doing a very good job now. They've really done something that I think is special. They're doing very well, in terms of the virus. They're working very hard. And a lot of things happen a lot of forces came together and hit the nursing homes very hard. But the representatives of nursing homes in some cases, the ownership of nursing homes they're working very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The federal government and the private sector have delivered more than 9 million N95 masks, 27 million surgical masks, 3 million face shields, 20 million gowns, and 668 million gloves to New Jersey alone. Think of that. We provided $3.4 billion to the state of New Jersey in emergency relief funding. So we happen to be in New Jersey right now, so those are great numbers. The governor is working very hard; Governor Murphy is doing a good job. We're working very closely with him. We've also provided nearly $5 billion to New Jersey hospitals and healthcare facilities." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7542, + "raw_confidence": 0.7542, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And through the Paycheck Protection Program that you all know so well, we provided $23 billion to support more than 250,000 New Jersey small businesses. A lot of the small businesses that you see that are opening now and going to do well, they're there because of what we did with Paycheck Protection." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1874, + "raw_confidence": 0.8126, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "On therapeutics and vaccine updates: Three vaccine candidates have now moved into phase three trials. This would be years ahead of schedule. We have done wonders with the FDA. I want to thank the FDA and all of the great people there and Dr. Hahn. But we have phase three trials already going on, which is, most people would have said, impossible to even think about." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7431, + "raw_confidence": 0.7431, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Today, Pfizer announced that it will manufacture Gilead's drug, remdesivir where we've had tremendous success." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3071, + "raw_confidence": 0.6929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Last week alone, my administration procured and distributed over 120,000 vials of remdesivir, enough to treat more than 19,000 patients. Plasma treatments continue to show incredibly encouraging results, really incredible what's going on. And if you can go to a blood bank if you've had this disease and and beat it and there are a lot of people that have if you could go to a blood bank and donate, that would be a tremendous help." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2328, + "raw_confidence": 0.7672, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The United States is only 5 percent of the world's population, but we have conducted over 25 percent of the world's testing. Think of that: 5 percent and we've given 25 percent of the world's testing. Any proper global analysis of confirmed cases must really take this into account, because we're constantly showing cases cases, cases, cases are up. Well, the reason cases are up, because we're doing one of the reasons we're doing a lot of testing." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7079, + "raw_confidence": 0.7079, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We're doing much more testing than anyone else. Close to 65 million tests, where other countries have done very little testing. They'll test people if they get sick. They'll test people if they go into the hospital. They'll test certain people. We're doing tremendous testing. And we're especially doing big testing at the nursing homes." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1953, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Over the next two weeks, I'll be pursuing a major executive order requiring health insurance companies to cover all pre-existing conditions for all customers. That's a big thing. I've always been very strongly in favor we have to cover pre-existing conditions. So we will be pursuing a major executive order, requiring health insurance companies to cover all pre-existing conditions for all of its customers." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2348, + "raw_confidence": 0.7652, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "This has never been done before, but it's time the people of our country are properly represented and properly taken care of." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2106, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "This follows a series of executive orders to lower drug prices and lower prescription drug prices and significantly. We had the only year, which was last year, where drug prices went down in 51 years. But we're talking about going down at a level that nobody has even thought possible now, even though the drug companies are running very big ads on me, but that's usually a reason they're not happy. They can't be too thrilled. But they've made a lot of money over the years, and prices just go up. Not fair." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2937, + "raw_confidence": 0.7063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "This includes a landmark executive order requiring drug companies to change Americans and charge Americans no more than they charge to foreign countries. So they have to charge Americans no more than they charge to foreign countries. That means our country can't be charged more." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you that big pharma is not happy. For too long, we've been forced to subsidize cheaper drug prices in foreign countries. We've subsidized them to a level that nobody can believe. Nobody talked about it. Everybody wondered, How come every President that runs for office says they're going to lower drug prices, and they never do? They go through the right roof. Over the last administration they went up, like, skyrocketing skyrocketing. That's Biden. Biden is not going to be able to be able to do it. He has no clue." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2436, + "raw_confidence": 0.7564, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "I also signed an executive order stopping middlemen from taking advantage of Medicare patients by charging higher prices to them and pocketing the discounts for themselves. These are some of the richest people in the world. Everyone talked about middlemen. I've heard about them for years, on prescription drug prices middlemen. I guess you'd have to say to be politically correct, middlemen and women. But you never heard the middlewomen before; you heard middlemen. That's the term." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1961, + "raw_confidence": 0.8039, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And, you know, say what you want about the drug companies, but at least the drug companies produce a product. They produce the pill. They produce the medicine the medication. But these people make billions and billions of dollars. I don't know who they are, but they're very rich. But they won't be so rich anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6888, + "raw_confidence": 0.6888, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "This executive order requires these $30 billion in discounts to go straight to the American patients. So the middleman is going to be knocked out, and I'm going to lose a lot of friends, even though I have no idea who these people are." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3162, + "raw_confidence": 0.6838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "On opioids, I'm pleased to announce that my administration invested an additional $100 million to fight the opioid crisis in rural America. In the midst of the China virus pandemic, we also keep fighting to end the opioid epidemic. And we've done very well. We've done it was prior to the virus - we were down 18, 19, and 20 percent. But when you think about it, that means that you have 80 percent, and that's not acceptable." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7875, + "raw_confidence": 0.7875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The wall is going up. We have 276 miles of wall. It's having a tremendous impact on drugs coming into our country already. It'll be finished toward the end of the year. And it's had a very, very big impact." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "On Portland: Finally, I'd like to address that situation. Portland is a disaster. It's been a disaster for many, many years. Brave federal law enforcement officers singlehandedly the officers, they singlehandedly saved the federal courthouse in Portland from lawless rioters and agitators and anarchists and that's what they are. You know, when you find Molotov cocktails in somebody's knapsack, and they say, No, I'm just here to have a good time. These are really sick, disturbed people." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2429, + "raw_confidence": 0.7571, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The disgraced mayor of the city has ordered the police to stand down in the face of rioters, leaving his citizens at the mercy of this mob. He was at the mercy of the mob, too. If you saw him go out there the other day, it was terrible. He went out there and they wanted to rip him apart. But, fortunately, he had five people with him called security." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Mayor Wheeler has abdicated his duty and surrendered his city to the mob. As a result, the mob descended upon a police precinct and tried to burn it down, tear it down, rip it down an act of attempted murder. Leftwing, violent extremism poses an increasing threat to our country, and we stop it. You have no idea how much we stop, but it's an ideology we have to stop." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6651, + "raw_confidence": 0.6651, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "When you commit arson... this is a quote from the mayor; he's come a long way. He just made this quote. When you commit arson with an accelerant in attempt to burn down a building that is occupied by people who... have intentionally trapped inside, you are not a demonstrator or you're not demonstrating, said, Mayor 2722, You are attempting to commit murder. That's come a long way; he's come a long way when he made that statement." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4099, + "raw_confidence": 0.5901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "What you're seeing in Portland is the radical left's agenda in action. Portland is their roadmap for America. If the radical left gets in and they treat Joe Biden as a puppet; he's merely a puppet. But if the radical left gets in, they look at Portland as a thing that they want. That's what they want. Why? Who knows? Doesn't matter. It's a different thinking, but it's a mess." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3096, + "raw_confidence": 0.6904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank Homeland Security. They've done a fantastic job. We had our people go in. They stopped any intrusion into the courthouse, and the courthouse was saved, and other federal buildings were saved. And we would like to be asked by the mayor and the governor we will go in and stop the problems in Portland in 24 hours, just like we did in Minneapolis after they really hurt that city. But the National Guard went in, did a phenomenal job." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "It was over in three hours. After watching six days of horror, it ended in three hours. You all saw the scene of them walking right down the street, just to it was actually an unfortunate view, but an incredible view of how to do things." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So we would be able to solve the Portland situation immediately, but we are supposed to be asked. If we're not asked and if it continues, we'll have to make a decision. But it's a very easy thing for us to do. We could stop it very quickly. It's been going on now for 76 days. But our buildings are very secure." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7592, + "raw_confidence": 0.7592, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "If the Democrats controlled in Washington the Democrats' control of Washington they'd pass with all of the things they do legislation gutting every single police department in America. They truly do; many of these people want to defund the police department. At a minimum, they're to stop money from going to the police department, but in many cases they actually wanted to defund, completely, the police department." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "No city, no town, and no suburb would be safe. Your suburbs would be a disaster. Your cities, your towns would be a disaster. They want every city to be a Portland or to be a Chicago, which is totally out of control, and we're waiting for the mayor. We've sent people in to help them from an intelligence standpoint, but we're waiting for them to call the governor, the mayor. We could do a very good job in Chicago. Nobody's ever seen anything like that this country." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And yet, nationwide numbers are good, despite the Chicagos and the Portlands and, frankly, the New Yorks, when you look at what's happened in New York. Three hundred and forty-eight percent increase in the last number of months. Nobody has seen anything like that. It's so sad. To me, it's so sad because I love New York. And it's so sad. And it all it is, is horrible, horrible incompetent management by politicians that truly don't know what they're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1937, + "raw_confidence": 0.8063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So just like we saved the courthouse, we will save the United States of America. And a vast majority of people agree with me. A vast majority. Most people. They don't speak up as much as they could, but we know they're there, and everybody else knows they're there, too." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So, with that, I'll take a few questions from the media. They've been here for a long time, and they've been waiting outside for a long time. And they wait for these moments. So it was a lot of fun." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Yeah, it could be by the end of the week. They're being drawn by the lawyers right now. They work very nicely. It would be nice to be able to do it with the Democrats, but they're really just interested in one thing, and that's protecting people that have not done a good job in managing cities and states. And nothing to do with COVID, nothing to do with or little to do. They want to be able to make up for many, many years in some cases, decades of bad management. We can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So that's what they want. They want to do that, and we don't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2041, + "raw_confidence": 0.7959, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "No. If somebody well, you always get sued. I mean, everything you do you get sued. I was sued on the travel ban, and we won. I was sued on a lot of things, and we won. So we'll see. Yeah, probably we get sued, but people feel that we can do it." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "It could be. I mean, it could be very much. I think that the last person Russia wants to see in office is Donald Trump because nobody has been tougher on Russia than I have, ever." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't care what anybody says. Nobody nobody with any common sense would say, do look at what we've done with our military. Look at what we've done in exposing the pipeline with billions of dollars going to Russia. Look at all of the things we've done with NATO, where I've raised $130 billion a year from countries that were delinquent, and now they're paying all of this money. And the 130, by the way $130 billion not million, billion goes to $400 billion over a few years. And that's all money to protect against Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6629, + "raw_confidence": 0.6629, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "China would love us to have an election where Donald Trump lost to Sleepy Joe Biden. They would dream they would own our country. If Joe Biden was President, China would own our country. And you said another country? What was the third country?" + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "No, no. You didn't you didn't say then the report. The report said Iran, also. But you didn't say that." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1963, + "raw_confidence": 0.8037, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Iran would love to see me Iran would love to see me not be President. And I'll make the statement: If and when we win, we will make deals with Iran very quickly. We'll make deals with North Korea very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4467, + "raw_confidence": 0.5533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And whatever happened to the word North Korea? You haven't seen that, have you? If I didn't win the election in 2016, our country would now be maybe it would be over by now, but in war with North Korea. Everybody said, Oh, Trump will get us in war. No, just the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.786, + "raw_confidence": 0.786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And we actually have a relationship with North Korea, which is something that it was never established by the previous administration. You would have been in war with North Korea, and it would have been a very bad war." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2348, + "raw_confidence": 0.7652, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So North Korea whether you look at Iran every one of them will make a deal with us very quickly. Iran is dying to make a deal, but they want to see because they'd much rather make a deal with Biden. Because if they make a deal with the United States, if China makes a deal with the United States with Biden in charge, they would own our country." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.771, + "raw_confidence": 0.771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Look what I've done. I've taken billions tens of billions of dollars from China. China was having the worst year they've had in 67 years, and we were having the best year we've ever had with big tax cuts, with big regulation cuts. We've rebuilt our military. We became independent, in terms of energy. We're the energy leader of the world. We were having the best year we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2916, + "raw_confidence": 0.7084, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "By the way, African American, Asian American, Hispanic American unemployment numbers the best in the history of our country. All things and many other groups, too including women; including high school diploma, no high school diploma, college diploma. Everybody was doing better." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7956, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The last thing that Russia wants and China wants and Iran wants would be for Donald Trump to win." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to look at it very closely. You're telling me that this came out a little while ago, and I've heard that it came out. It came out just a little while ago, and we're going to look at that very closely." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Why don't you start off with China? Do you think China is may be a bigger threat? I mean, I think maybe it is. I mean, you'll have to figure it out. But we're going to watch all of them. We have to be very careful." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7802, + "raw_confidence": 0.7802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "The biggest risk that we have is mail-in ballots because with the mail-in ballots it's called universal mail-in ballots it's much it is a much easier thing for a foreign power, whether it's Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, many others, people countries you wouldn't expect it's much easier for them to forge ballots and send them in. It's much easier for them to cheat with universal mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So I think one of the things we'll have to look at is exactly that, but that's a big problem. That's a big problem. You saw, in New York, they called a winner, but they have no idea what the vote is." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "No, I'm totally involved. No, I they call me all the time. They they tell me how they're doing with Nancy and Chuck. But in my opinion, they're just using it as an excuse to try and you know, Chuck Schumer came out with a strong statement today that you have to get back into school because it's good for the economy, but he has he doesn't do it. He doesn't practice what he preaches." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "No, my people Steve Mnuchin and our wonderful Chief of Staff, Mark Meadows they're constantly on the phone with me. I'm totally involved with it. And we are going to do it in a way that's just much easier. We gave them their chance, but they view it as an election enhancement." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "You know, you talk about foreign countries cheating on the election. Well, the Democrats are cheating on the election because that's exactly what they're doing. If you look at what they're doing, even with these negotiations, that's an influence and an unfair influence on an election. But we're going to win anyway." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll see. We'll see what happens, but right now they're not ready. And they're not ready because, frankly, I don't think they care about people. I think they care about their politicians that have done a terrible job running the cities and states Democrat cities and states that are bleeding money, that have been so badly run." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7858, + "raw_confidence": 0.7858, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "You take a look at Baltimore and you take a look at so many different cities, including the ones I've already mentioned. Take a look at what's going on. And they want lots of money to keep keep it going. For many years, they've been bad." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So all I'm doing is we're having it out. We're finally having it out." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Yeah, we have the money. We have the money. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "I won't say that yet. You'll see that when it happens, but we have the money." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "We have it, Justin. We have plenty of money." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "No, they don't have to. This is a political activity." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Yeah. You're wrong on that because it's a political activity. They have exceptions. Political activity." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "So when you have an and as you know" + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.331, + "raw_confidence": 0.669, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "It's a peaceful protest. They asked if they could be here." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "You know, they a number of and, to me, they look like they all have pretty much all have masks on. But, you know, you have an exclusion in the law. It says peaceful protest or political activity, right? In fact, specifically yeah. It says exactly political activity or peaceful protests." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1901, + "raw_confidence": 0.8099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "And you can call it political activity, but I'd I'd call it peaceful protests because they heard you were coming up. And they know the news is fake." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "They asked whether or not they asked whether or not they could be here. Like the question about Russia. He doesn't mention Iran was in the report. He doesn't mention or he mentions very late that China was in the report" + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "because that's the way they are. They're not" + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7468, + "raw_confidence": 0.7468, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "If the press in this country were honest, if it wasn't corrupt, if it wasn't fake, our country would be so much further ahead. But we're doing really great." + }, + { + "tid": "mnBaGM6SHOY", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-7-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-07", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "MNKKJMCEP4o", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-kayleigh-mcenany-press-conference-briefing-july-21-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-21", + "claim_text": "The President wore a mask in May. The president wore a mask at Walter Reed, out of an abundance of caution. But as I've made clear from this podium, the President is the most tested man in America. He's tested more than anyone, multiple times a day. And we believe that he's acting appropriately." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Hello, Florida, a very, very special place. I'm thrilled to talk to you today about the critical decision Americans will make on November 3rd. There is no important, no more important election than what we're having on November 3rd and the path forward for our country. This election is about the very survival of our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's a choice between the safety and patriotism and prosperity offered by our movement and the anarchy, and that's exactly what it is. When you look at Portland and you look at what goes on in Democrat-run cities and states, chaos, crime, and socialism promised by a puppet like Joe Biden, that has no clue." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "There's nothing that they can't get that radical left and they can't get him to do, and you see that loud and clear. It's happening right before your eyes. This week the Democrats are holding their convention. Yesterday a Democrat speaker said, I quote, we're talking about abolishing the police. We're talking about abolishing ice." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.199, + "raw_confidence": 0.801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're talking about abolishing prisons and so many other things. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, it's another real beauty, want to defund the police. They want to abolish school choice which you have to have, raise your taxes by $4 trillion, an unsustainable amount, including middle-class taxes, give free healthcare to illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7068, + "raw_confidence": 0.7068, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They want to obliterate or terminate your Second Amendment. They want to take away your gun, take away your take away your safety and security. Socialism is the mainstream of the Biden campaign. It's not the mainstream of America, as you've heard me say many times, America, this country, this great United States that we know and love will never be a socialist country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "On November 3rd, the people of Florida will help us defeat high taxes, bad healthcare, socialism, and a nation that is, if you look at it, would be just absolutely destroyed by socialism like so many others have, and will win another historic victory of freedom and we will keep our American dream. We love our American dream." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That's what we want is the American dream. That's what makes people work and save and spend and do everything they can do. It's the American dream. I want to thank some of our great Republicans who are fighting right by our side. These are tremendous people, your Governor Ron DeSantis, who's turned out to be just incredible and the coronavirus you see is going down rapidly, and he's been doing a great job and working very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1895, + "raw_confidence": 0.8105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "A Senator, great friend of mine, Marco Rubio. I've gotten to know him better and better with time and he's a terrific guy. He's a terrific guy with a terrific future. And another great friend of mine, Rick Scott, we worked very hard when he was Governor. He was a successful, great Governor, but we worked hard on the hurricanes." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7394, + "raw_confidence": 0.7394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "No administration has ever done so much in the first three and a half years as the Trump administration. We achieved record-low unemployment for African-Americans, Hispanic-Americans, Asians, women, young people, old people. I mean everybody, students that never got a degree in high school, students that did get their high school degree, colleges, PhDs, everything, record-low unemployment." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6595, + "raw_confidence": 0.6595, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We employed more than 160 million people prior to the plague coming in from China and now we're bringing it back again very, very quickly. I protected very, very powerfully your Second Amendment, no changes. Your Second Amendment is strong and powerful. If they ever get in, they'll obliterate it. It will be ended." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7794, + "raw_confidence": 0.7794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We continue to combat the China virus very successfully. It's a tough one. It's the invisible enemy. Should have never happened. They should have never let it come in, came in here, came in Europe, came all over the world, 188 countries. They should have never let it happen. They stopped it from going into China." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We won't forget. Yesterday, the stock market broke all-time record. Nobody can believe it so quickly. It broke our record. It's incredible. It's going up a lot higher. Homebuilder optimism is at a record high, housing permits have surged 40% since April. Leading indicators are looking incredible for future economic growth and it looks like a V shape, a super V, I would call it because you see the numbers as well as I do." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3846, + "raw_confidence": 0.6154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "On top of that, three vaccine candidates are in the final phase of clinical trials. They're really looking good, great companies, and we have many under consideration. We'll have a vaccine very shortly and we'll have therapeutics very, very shortly, and we will have them distributed very quickly, but the numbers are going down rapidly throughout the country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2426, + "raw_confidence": 0.7574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And through the Paycheck Protection Program, we provided nearly $32 billion, over 418,000 small businesses in your state, your great state, saving 3.2 million Florida jobs and we've delivered more than $18 billion in economic impact payments straight to Florida, families. And that's why you're seeing things happen and I guess, things are going to happen again." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The Democrats want to talk because they're holding back stimulus money from families and they want to talk. Just heard about that, and as you know, I signed Executive Orders, giving a lot of additional aid and that'll be coming to you very soon. We're working with Governors to safely reopen our schools in the fall." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We want to get football going. We want to get the schools open. We want to get colleges open. I'm also fighting for school choice, every parent should be able to send their child to the public, private, charter, religious, or independent school of their choice. The other side, Biden and that group, they don't want that at all." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1588, + "raw_confidence": 0.8412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They're totally controlled by groups of people that won't allow that to happen, but you need school choice for greatness. We're bringing vital medical supply chains back to American soil and I'm the first President to lower drug prices in 51 years. I recently signed four groundbreaking Executive Orders to bring prices down 50%, 60%, maybe 70%. Under the last administration, drug prices skyrocketed more than 50%. They literally skyrocketed." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Biden didn't do a thing. He was helpless and he would be helpless here. He won't be running anything. For decades, America was charged much higher prices than other nations. We funded R&D, we funded everything for the world that we paid much more than any other nation, but I stopped it. We now have Favored Nations Clauses you see you will see it's going to be coming down, the drug prices very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7728, + "raw_confidence": 0.7728, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And if you think it was easy to do Favored Nations with all of the opposition from big pharma, the No. 1 contributor to the world of politicians, you would be you would be surprised at how hard it was but I got it done and I got the rebates done, too. So now money comes directly to you, as opposed to going to what they call middlemen, some of the wealthiest people in the country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2077, + "raw_confidence": 0.7923, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're finally allowing the importation of prescription drugs from other countries at a much, much lower price. These are name brand drugs, but they pay much less because of the horrible formulas devised by some people long ago, but I ended it all. We're protecting Florida workers from unfair trade. We're replacing the disaster known as NAFTA, just got terminated." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3179, + "raw_confidence": 0.6821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We have the USMCA which is phenomenal. It supports more than 750,000 Florida jobs. Mexico and Canada took advantage of us under NAFTA, like you wouldn't believe. One of the worst trade deals, probably the worst trade deal ever signed. We lost tens of thousands of businesses. We passed the largest package of tax cuts and regulation cuts by far in American history, saving the average family of four over $5,000, and with the energy savings, because you notice you're paying very little at the pump, you're talking about over $10,000 per year." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We ended the war on American energy. We are now an energy-independent country. I've approved historic levels of funding for Everglades Restoration. Some of you are very, very much into that and it was important to me. Florida's my home, too. Lake Okeechobee, Okeechobee is a beautiful place. I've been there many times, Lake Okeechobee." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I've been there many, many times and we're building a lot of different structures. The Army Corps of Engineers, in order to save it, make it even better. They'll be almost they'll be finished very soon. A lot of money went into into the area and it's really done something that is terrific. The transit in Miami and the St." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Petersburg areas have been incredibly upgraded, tremendous funds, highways, roadways, bridges, everything. And the Port of Tampa Bay has been incredibly improved and they've been trying to get it done for 35 years. I got it done. I've approved record levels of disaster relief funding for your hurricanes that you got hit with a lot and you can ask Governor DeSantis or you could ask Governor Scott." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2157, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We gave it to you immediately and the fastest time ever. You got it immediately and you got it full. To defend the United States Constitution, we will have appointed nearly 300 federal judges by the end of my first term. It'll be a record, including two great Supreme Court justices and you now see how important that is because they'll be talking about the Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They'll be talking about life. They'll be talking about some very important issues to you and the next President could have anywhere from two to three to maybe even four additional choices. So important, judges. I've always heard judges and Supreme Court justices, the most important thing a President can do." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, we will have set a record, could even be more by the end of the first term, could even be more than 300 federal judges, including Court of Appeals judges. We passed Veterans Choice and Veterans Accountability. Accountability gives us the privilege of getting rid of people that don't take care and don't love our vets and we had that." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3274, + "raw_confidence": 0.6726, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But you couldn't do anything about it because of a lot of rules, regulations, civil service, unions, and now we can. And we want people that are going to cherish and love our vets and take care of them and Veterans Choice gives us the right to have our vets go out and get a private doctor. We pay the bill instead of waiting in line for two weeks, three weeks, four weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's been an amazing change. We've invested more than $2.5 trillion in our great military. Our military now is in better shape than it's ever been. We've upgraded the jets. We had old jet fighters, old everything. Everything was old and tired and depleted and it's all been changed. That's all been changed." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We now have the best ever, all built in the USA, and it's been an incredible difference. People are talking about it. People can't even believe it, $2.5 trillion invested in our military. I recognized Israel's capital and move the American embassy to Jerusalem. Other Presidents talked about it, many, many Presidents talked about it, but they never got it done." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And don't forgot don't forget what I did for Golan Heights and recognizing Golan Heights as a part of Israel, a big thing. And of course, I also terminated that horrible, one-sided ridiculous deal, the Iran deal. And now, they want to negotiate, they will be back in the United States. If we win, they are dreaming." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.78, + "raw_confidence": 0.78, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They are dreaming of Joe Biden to negotiate with. Look at the disaster that we had, $150 billion given to them for nothing, $1.8 billion in cash. They'd like to be able to deal with that group again, but that won't happen. They'll be in with us negotiating within the first month and we'll make a real deal, not that horrible short-term deal that was made by the Obama administration." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2263, + "raw_confidence": 0.7737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Last week, we finalized a historic peace agreement between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, highly respected leader of the Emirates, and I will tell you, it is a it's a deal that even people that aren't big fans of Donald Trump say, that deal's amazing and now other countries from the Middle East will be coming in." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You'll end up with peace in the Middle East. I'm fighting against socialism at home and abroad. We imposed historic sanctions on the Maduro regime and I was the first leader to recognize Venezuela's legitimate President and we want elections. We want to take care of people from Venezuela. We want them to be able to travel to Venezuela, but this just shows what a socialist regime or worse can do to a country, 20 years ago it's a rich country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.155, + "raw_confidence": 0.845, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Now, they don't have water, they don't have food, they don't have medicine, but we help them a lot you know that. And I ended the horrible Obama-Biden sell-out to the Castro regime because that deal with Cuba was horrible. I stand with the people of Cuba. I stand with the people of Venezuela, Nicaragua in their righteous struggle for freedom and you watch." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It'll be fantastic when it happens, but Obama totally sold out the great people living in our country and living in Cuba, the people of Cuba. It's all going to come together. It'll come together very fast after the election, but they want to take a shot at getting anybody but Trump. They don't like negotiating with with us." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're restoring law and order to Democrat-run cities that allowed rioters to run wild. We're surging federal law enforcement to stop violent crime. The FBI has opened 300 domestic terror investigations. We put many people in jail just over the short little while and we want them to ask us for help and when they do, we can end their violence in their cities." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2063, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "If you take a look at Portland, where you have anarchists and agitators, and frankly, people that hate our country. We could end that in a matter of hours. We're defending our national monuments. Anyone who faces our statues or monuments will face 10 years in prison and it'll happen quickly. And as soon as I signed that two and a half months ago, you haven't seen anybody doing anything to our monuments or our statues." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You notice how quickly that happened. All over the country, they were doing bad things to some very meaningful statues and monuments, and we ended it immediately. You get 10 years in jail. They said, well, I guess this is too much now and they stopped. We haven't seen it happen. We're providing $400 million to hire hundreds of new police officers around the country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We will never defund our police, we will always defend our police. This is just crazy. They want to defund. If you look at Seattle, they want to, literally, they're in the process of terminating, abolishing the police force. Recently, I was honored and received the endorsement of Florida's Sheriffs. Florida Sheriffs Association, all over Florida law enforcement has supported your President and I'm very honored by it, but the same thing in Texas, the same thing in Ohio, the same thing in many, many states." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I just got the approval and just got the endorsement from New York's finest. We got the endorsement from New York Police, all of them. So I don't I can't imagine anybody ever supporting the other side because they don't want to have safety and law and order and all of the things that come with it. Our police have been great." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1819, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I want to just thank because I know we have a lot of the Sheriffs on the district from all of the Florida Sheriffs. They're on the phone now along with many, many people. I don't even want to tell you how many because it's a lot. But I just want to thank all of those great Sheriffs and all of the law enforcement all over Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6072, + "raw_confidence": 0.6072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We secured America's borders, completed by two weeks from now over 300 miles of border wall. That is not penetrable. It is a it is the Border Police do a great job, by the way, and ICE do a great job. But this is the one they wanted and we said to them, what's the best? And they said this is the best so we built it." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So we'll be over 300 miles within two weeks and it has had a huge impact. The numbers on the border people only come in if they come in legally and we want them to come in through merit. We ended catch and release which was a disaster, where we'd catch criminals and we'd have to release them by law. We don't do that anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We stripped federal grant funding from the deadly sanctuary cities, which are a disaster. Instituted a National Security travel ban on the world's most dangerous regions, some of them jihadist regions that are very, very dangerous, and very bad. We removed 20,000 gang members, including 4,500 members from MS-13, one of the worst gangs, probably the worst gang anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4776, + "raw_confidence": 0.5224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're removing them and sending them back to their countries, back where they came from and they can't come back in. Border Patrol and ICE have seized over 2 million pounds of deadly narcotics, entered into historic agreements with Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala to end the abuse of the asylum system. And now, when we catch people that are coming into our country, the Obama administration, they wouldn't take them back." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1567, + "raw_confidence": 0.8433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They take them back very quickly with us. They have no choice. The Biden-Harris immigration plan, if you can even believe Kamala Harris. If you can even believe that, a lot of people think that that's a very important choice because she was selected and you see what's going on with Joe. But it's not going to make any difference, hopefully, because on November 3rd we're going to have an election and I believe it's going to be the most important election, even more so than 2016. I believe it's going to be the most important election this country's ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7783, + "raw_confidence": 0.7783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But the Biden-Harris immigration plan would abolish borders, stop all deportations, restore and expand catch and release, if you can believe that, free illegal aliens from federal detention and close detention facilities all over our country, immediately suspend all removals, other words, can't send them back." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Stay here, no matter who they are, no matter how bad they are. End prosecution of illegal border crossers. So we can no longer prosecute people that come into our country illegally, which means everyone's going to come in. Terminate all protections that we've enacted against asylum fraud. Incentivize illegal alien child smuggling and also women trafficking." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3753, + "raw_confidence": 0.6247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They're trafficking women. We've we've brought it down to a level that hasn't been reached in a long time, but it's such a serious problem. It's an it sounds ancient, but the Internet has made it into a very big deal worldwide, but the wall has helped tremendously. Provide taxpayer-funded lawyers for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "This is what they do. They want to give you a taxpayer-funded lawyer if you come into our country illegally. They want to provide government healthcare for illegal aliens. Well, we don't do that for our people, in most cases. You take a look at what's happening with healthcare and the great job we've done in healthcare and we'll always protect people with pre-existing conditions, always." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3584, + "raw_confidence": 0.6416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We will always do that, but the healthcare that Obama did, we got rid of the individual mandate. Making it good which effectively ended Obamacare and we're now working on different methods. We've really created something very special with regard to healthcare, but they want to provide government healthcare for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They want a free community college for illegal aliens. They want to give community college. They want to give, essentially, college for illegal aliens. Everybody come on in, go to college. We'll take care of your healthcare. We'll take care of everything. They want to end all travel bans, including from the ji jihadist regions that I mentioned." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6897, + "raw_confidence": 0.6897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Grant mass amnesty for everyone. They want mass amnesty. They want to end cash bail, which have you seen. They did that in New York and it's a disaster. Everybody goes in, they come right out, no matter what they did. Increase refugee admissions by 700%, in other words, 700% more. Provide government healthcare to illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2362, + "raw_confidence": 0.7638, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "They want to provide massive healthcare to illegals coming in. Perhaps the most dangerous plank in the Biden-Harris agenda is their avid support of these sanctuary cities. They want sanctuary cities to be expanded. Something that would be a total disaster and I will say, they want to incentivize and you've seen this, prison closure and also provide for so many different forms of of health." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1564, + "raw_confidence": 0.8436, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Everybody's going to want to come in and it's not going to be acceptable. We're looking at a very different program. We're talking about a massive cut in taxes. We're going to have tremendous growth and saving your Second Amendment. We're going to unleash the full power of the American economy. We created an unprecedented economic miracle once and now already you can see, it's happening again." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1964, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Largest quarter, last three months, largest in the history of our country for jobs, most jobs, more than 9 million jobs. It's coming back much faster than anybody would have thought even possible and it'll continue to come back unless people start raising your taxes like what they want to do and also raising up on regulations." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We'll shut down illegal immigration and we'll finish up the wall, which will be finished by the end of the year. In any event, we'll be very tough on China. We made a great trade deal with China, as you know, but I feel differently about China than I did before the plague came in and they are now being watched very carefully on accountability, but they're buying a lot from our farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Two days ago, they made the largest purchase of corn in history, but I still view that as differently than I would have before the plague. We'll bring medical manufacturing and critical supply chains back to America so we never have to be dependent on foreign producers. We'll root out anti-American bias in our schools and colleges, where your children and people are being taught horrible, horrible things that aren't even true." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We'll end big text assault on free space speech and that's what they're doing. It's an assault on free speech. We will defend your God-given rights to bear arms, Second Amendment. We'll support the heroes of law enforcement. We will totally defund sanctuary cities, that's part of it. We will create an immigration system that's going to be based on many wonderful things and it'll be a very fair system." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You have to come into our country legally, but it's a system based on merit and love. People have to love our country, not hate our country when they come in. We'll bring our troops home from Afghanistan, we're very close to finalizing that, and we're going to end the endless wars. We're mostly out of Syria, mostly out of Iraq, and we're very low now in Afghanistan." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1978, + "raw_confidence": 0.8022, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're ending these endless wars, where they go in not even to win wars just to police countries, spending tens of billions of dollars a year and having soldiers come home, in some cases, in very, very bad shape. These are great heroes and we take care of them better than ever before. Our VA has done a great job, 91% approval rating, the Veterans Administration." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're going to drain the Washington swamp. We will continue to and that's one of the reasons that I want to just thank some of these incredible people for being on the phone. We have Congressman Matt Gaetz, Neal Dunn, John Rutherford, Michael Waltz, Bill Posey, Daniel Webster, Gus Bilirakis, Vern Buchanan, Greb Greg Steube, Brian Mast, Mario Diaz-Balart, and we had a big, big day yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We had some incredible races and some incredible people winning; Anna Paulina Luna, Byron Donalds, Carlos Gimenez, Maria Salazar, Kat Cammack, and Laura Loomer. We had some incredible races. They're all on the phone listening I think and we had some just great success. But I just want to close by saying, November 3rd most important election in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "It's an election that, not only cements everything we've done in the last four years with all of the great trade deals that we've made, renegotiate, and made brand new, with all of the tremendous economic success success, but it allows us to go forward. We have to cement everything that we've done and we have to create much more." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1847, + "raw_confidence": 0.8153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We'll be doing tremendous regulation cuts, tremendous additional tax cuts, always protecting. Remember this, your Second Amendment 'cause your Second Amendment to this side wins, your Second Amendment will be taken away from you. You will not have that right any longer. You see the people he put in charge of it." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "These are people that don't want the Second Amendment. So I just want to thank everybody from the great State of Florida. It's a special state. It's a state I love and I will see you again, and we'll probably do another one of these calls. But you've got to get out, November 3rd, most important election in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "mTdNpHld7M4", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-florida-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We will never be a socialist country. Thank you very much. Good night." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So we're making a trip. You know where we're going, and it won't be long. We'll back here pretty early. Discussing a lot of very interesting topics." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The markets are very good. The country is doing well. Jobs are growing fast. We want schools to be open, and they will be open. And they'll be open, I think, relatively on time. Hopefully, perfectly on time, most places." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And do you have any question? Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2116, + "raw_confidence": 0.7884, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I'm very happy that Tommy Tuberville won the race. I think he's going to be a great senator. We don't have a good senator in there right now. And Jones, he's not doing the job. He should be doing a much better job. Certainly he doesn't represent the views of the people of Alabama that's for sure. So we're not happy about him at all." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I don't think the people of Alabama are happy with their representation in the Senate. And Tommy Tuberville is going to be a great senator. He was a great coach. I spoke to another coach last night unrelated and he said, Tommy Tuberville was a great coach and he's a great guy. Someday I'll tell you who said that, but he's somebody respected." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So it was a great it was a tremendous win for Tommy Tuberville last night. I'm very happy about it." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1892, + "raw_confidence": 0.8108, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And also a tremendous win for Ronny Jackson, and it looks like it could be a tremendous win for a gentleman named Gonzales. You know about that too. That race is still a little bit going on. By the time I got involved, a lot of the votes were already cast. But I got involved, really, at the last moment. We think he can easily win that area. So and two very good candidates. Reyes is a great candidate and so is Gonzales." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1914, + "raw_confidence": 0.8086, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But when I got involved, a lot of the votes early votes were cast, and it was a big comeback. It was a big comeback. So that's going to be a very interesting race." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The other thing very, very amazing somebody you all know is Ronny Jackson. Admiral Ronny and Doc Ronny. We call him a lot of different things. But everybody agrees: They respect Ronny Jackson a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "It could happen. It could happen. Antifa is no good. They're bad. They're bad people, and it could very well happen." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3007, + "raw_confidence": 0.6993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Didn't change for me. I look, they're all on the same team. We're all on the same team, including Dr. Fauci. I have a very good relationship with Dr. Fauci. And we're all on the same team. We want to get rid of this mess that China sent us." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So everybody is working on the same line, and we're doing very well. We're doing well in a lot of ways, and our country is coming back very strong. When you look at those job numbers we've never had job numbers like we have right now. So it's coming back very strongly." + }, + { + "tid": "mXqv6M6mQ5w", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Well, he made a statement representing himself. He shouldn't be doing that. No, I I have a very good relationship with Anthony." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Did you see the crowd outside? I don't know if they report it. I don't think they do. You know who they are, right? The fake news. No, I don't know that they report it. That is an unbelievable thousands and thousands of people lined up so far." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5911, + "raw_confidence": 0.5911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And it was very important for me to come to North Carolina because we wanted to be here, but your governor didn't allow it because he's in a shutdown mode" + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "along with a lot of other Democrat governors. And it's it's too bad." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But I want to thank Kirby and the incredible people I just met: farmers and wonderful business people and, really, humanitarians. They're incredible people." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7972, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I'm thrilled to be at the Flavor First Growers and Packers facility here in the great state of North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.24, + "raw_confidence": 0.76, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And, you know, Joe Biden was supposed to be in Wisconsin, but he never showed up. I showed up. In fact, we did our count our vote we did here in North Carolina. We did it in Charlotte a little while ago. I was there. It was a great, exciting moment, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2027, + "raw_confidence": 0.7973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Today we're here to celebrate the incredible work of the farmers and faith leaders and amazing volunteers who are caring for their community through our highly successful Farmers to Families Food Box program. I just looked at a couple of those boxes, and I said, I want to have something right now. But they thought it would be inappropriate because I was coming up to speak, but beautiful-looking stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're grateful to be joined by Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue, and somebody that you know, Ivanka Trump. And Ivanka has been a big supporter of this project and this whole program. And it's been it's made people that were looking for food happy and it's made the farmers happy." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "With all of us we're just thrilled to be here. You have a representative named Ted Budd. Where's Ted Budd? Where is Ted? Ted? Thank you very much. What a great warrior you've been. Ted Budd, congressman. Thank you, Ted, very much. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And where is Madison? Where is Madison? Is he here? What" + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Ah, if I had a face like that I would have been President 20 years ago. If I looked like him, I would have been President 20 years ago, Kirby. Madison Cawthorn and a real star. You're going to be a star of the party. Thank you very much. What a great guy. Great guy." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "He was in the Oval Office; I didn't want my picture with him because he looks too good. Great. Proud of you, too. And I hear you're doing really well over there. Thank you very much, Madison." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Also, I want to thank Mitch Gaither and Brian Rose of Flavor First Growers. We appreciate you guys. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And executive director of Baptists on Mission Richard Brunson and many local leaders are here. Where is Richard? Richard?" + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Which is hi, Richard. Thank you very much. Great job. That's fantastic. Thank you, Richard." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "That's why we launched the Farmers to Families Food Box program. Through this program, the Department of Agriculture is purchasing food from farmers, then local distributors pack and deliver the boxes. And families in need get it, and they get to eat very well. We're tremendously grateful for the 185 employees here at this facility who have packed roughly 7,000 boxes a week. That's not bad, Kirby, right? Seven thousand boxes a week is a lot of boxes." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thanks, as well, to the incredible volunteers at Baptists on Mission who ship boxes to over 200 pickup locations all across your great state. With your help, in just three months, we've delivered over 1 billion pounds of food, providing more than 100 million meals to Americans most in need." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And this is a program that just got started and they're already as soon as I saw it I saw one line that was hungry and one line that had so much food they had to dispose of it the farmers. I said, Let's put them together. And with Sonny and with all of the people that worked on it and Ivanka's backing strong backing we got it done in literally a week. Right? We got it done in, I think, it might even been it might even been less than a week. That's not bad." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2205, + "raw_confidence": 0.7795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Today, I'm proud to announce that we will provide an additional $1 billion to fund the Farmers to Families Food Box program. It's worked out so well. It's worked out so well." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "In our fight against the China virus, we've launched the greatest industrial mobilization. This is the greatest industrial mobilization. All of the things that we've done to take on this horrible, horrible scourge that has come in. To take on this horrible, terrible plague, I call it sometimes. And we didn't deserve this. We didn't deserve this. And they could have stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2469, + "raw_confidence": 0.7531, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And we had just signed an incredible trade deal with China in fact, last week, Sonny was telling me the largest order of corn in the history of our country, twice. Largest order of soybeans in history. But, you know, I feel so differently because the ink wasn't even dry on that trade deal when we got hit with the China virus. I feel very differently about it." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4334, + "raw_confidence": 0.5666, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "In our fight against the virus, we've launched this mobilization, and it's the biggest since World War Two. Biggest and most successful, too. You'll be hearing that on Thursday night; I'm going to be talking about it because what we've done is incredible. We would have saved millions we would have you would have had a situation, if you looked at the lives saved if we didn't close down and now reopen, and we reopened." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The problem is your governor doesn't want to reopen. He wants to keep it shut down, and you can't do that because there's a lot of bad statistics on the other side. Shutdowns cause problems too with suicide and depression and loss of jobs and loss of a lot of other things. So we have to get your state open. We have to get numerous states open that are run by Democrats, because I really believe I really believe, on November 4th, they're all going to be open. It's going to be a miracle." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We got to get Pennsylvania open. Now we have Pennsylvania, we have here, we have others. And, well, Wisconsin is another one. Right? All Democrats. They want to keep it closed as long as possible, right up until the election. Then they're going to open it. But you know what? The numbers are so good anyway that they are having a hard time. They're having a little hard time with this whole situation." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2168, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But yesterday I announced that the FDA had issued an emergency use authorization for convalescent plasma you probably saw that which has proven to be an incredible reducer. It's going to reduce mortality by at least 35 percent; it could be much more than that. We'll see the final numbers, but it could be even higher than that. And we did remdesivir and lots of other things." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2216, + "raw_confidence": 0.7784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We're going to be talking about it on Thursday night, so I hope you're all going to be listening. Because the job that the FDA has done and the approval process has gone far faster than it would have ever gone under any other administration. I'm talking about the saving of years the saving of years." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7541, + "raw_confidence": 0.7541, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Through Operation Warp Speed, three vaccine candidates are in the final phase of clinical tests. Normally, that would take two years to get there, maybe longer. And we expect to have a vaccine available before the end of the year and maybe a lot sooner than that." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1561, + "raw_confidence": 0.8439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "To care for hardworking Americans, we continue to deliver unprecedented financial support. We passed the largest relief package in history. Altogether, we've delivered over $3 trillion in economic assistance to the American people, and the American farmer has done very well. I never hear any complaints from the American farmer. You know, I got $28 billion from China. They targeted. I said, You targeted you targeted our farmers in Iowa, in North Carolina all over the country Nebraska. You targeted our farmers. You can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4685, + "raw_confidence": 0.5315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So I put big tariffs on goods coming in from China, and out of the many, many tens of billions of dollars that we took in never happened to China before. They had the worst year they've had last year, before the plague. They had the worst year they've had in 67 years. So this never happened to them. I don't want them to ha- I don't want them to have a bad year, but nobody has ripped off our country more than them over the last 25 or 30 years." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And we gave that money to directly to the farmers, through Sonny, Department of Agriculture. We gave a total of $28 billion to farmers, and they're not complaining. I'll tell you, they're not complaining. Nobody else I can tell to the farmers, I'll tell to the country; I'm very proud of it nobody else, no other President would have done that. Even Sonny was surprised when I called him. I said, Let's do this. Sonny said, That's never been done before. But Sonny was okay with it, I will tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you, darling. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.798, + "raw_confidence": 0.798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we've saved 5 million small businesses and 50 million jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "This includes nearly 130,000 small businesses and 1.2 million jobs right here in North Carolina. And you're ready to open up. You got to tell and you're ready to play football. Got to play football. You got to play football." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2302, + "raw_confidence": 0.7698, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "We've delivered over $8 billion in economic impact payments directly to 5 million North Carolina families. And we provided a total of $19 billion to cover farmers' losses due to the pandemic. And then we added another we got it up to a total the total was 28, and I guess we're now up to 34 or close to 34. Nobody has ever seen numbers like this, and it was really by putting tariffs on a place that treated us very, very badly." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1938, + "raw_confidence": 0.8062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So it was $19 billion. It was $12 billion. It was started off at 12, went to 19, went to 28, and I think it's going to go probably up to about $34 billion. So our farmers will never be tormented again." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But we've slashed regulations; cut the death tax, estate tax got rid of it for the small farms and businesses; provided direct assistance to farmers unfairly targeted by China; and secured fair and reciprocal trade deals to boost American agricultural import and exports." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2732, + "raw_confidence": 0.7268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "You know, we have a very unfair situation going because some of our allies some of our allies are much tougher than our enemies, if you want to know the truth. They put big tariffs on so you can't get your product in. You can't get it in. And I said, That's okay. You can put the tariffs in, but we're going to put the same tariff on you. And it's amazing how quickly those tariffs come off. It's really, actually, incredible to watch it." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7902, + "raw_confidence": 0.7902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Already, the Great American Comeback is very much underway." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1883, + "raw_confidence": 0.8117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Wages are up nearly 5 percent. Retail spending is fully recovered and is at an all-time high. Can you imagine that? Retail spending is now at a higher level than it was prior to the plague coming in. Can you believe that? I mean, who would think that?" + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And homebuilder optimism is at a record high. And prices are going up, and homes are being built, and it's an incredible thing that's happening. And when we get rid of this this virus, which will happen, and it will happen sooner than people think and that's with the vaccines, but even without the vaccines. It's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "During this time of trial, we've seen once and again that the strength of our nation lies in patriotic citizens, like everyone here today. I've met so many of you. Each time you deliver a food box to a family, you show them that, in this country, no one is forgotten." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2709, + "raw_confidence": 0.7291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Remember I used to talk about the forgotten men and women of our country? And I still talk about them. You'll be hearing about them on Thursday night. They're no longer forgotten. You've become a very, very important voice. Very important voice. They used to say, Who are these people? I said, They're the forgotten people. They work hard. They work so hard, and they're the forgotten people. Not any longer, they're not. The Democrats are trying to find them, but they're not being too good to the Democrats, I will say that." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "But together, we'll overcome the virus and America will come back bigger and better and more united than ever before. We'll be stronger. Our military is more powerful now than it ever was. We rebuilt entirely our military $2.5 trillion." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I'll introduce Sonny Perdue, Secretary of Agriculture. Thank you all very much. It's a great honor. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Kirby, thank you for hosting us at this top-of-the-line facility and showing us what you do and and your hundreds of employees how they feed America." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "To Baptists on a Mission and all of the incredible volunteers who join us here today, including executive director Richard Brunson, thank you so much." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So, Richard and I and many of you volunteers have actually met one time before in the wake of Hurricane Florence. I came here to North Carolina, and I got to see firsthand the unbelievable work being done to take care of people in a time of need, which is not dissimilar to what this program was designed and intends to do and has been doing." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7891, + "raw_confidence": 0.7891, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "The President mentioned the enormous success: 70 million box of fresh produce, milk, dairy delivered from our local family farms to those who are vulnerable across the country, while, at the exact same time, saving countless jobs in terms of the distribution network, the distributors like this great facility that was having to lay people off because the supply chain was severed." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "So this is truly a win-win-win program. And in government, you can't say that about a lot of government programs, especially one of this scale that was mobilized so quickly. So, just an enormous success." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3761, + "raw_confidence": 0.6239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "I was recently in Pittsburgh, and I was talking with a gentleman at the Church of God and Christ. And he's a distributor, his name was Zach, and he was sharing with me the fact that, to his business, this program was a miracle because, as I said, it works for everyone. He had saved his whole payroll because he got one of the grants for Farmers to Family Food Box." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Incorporating American farmers and ranchers, empowering our workforce, and serving families in need is is about as good as it gets." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "This is a historic investment. USDA has never done anything like this, so this is a brand-new program. And with this $1 billion addition, we're going to keep it going. And we're going to keep feeding those in need until this pandemic has passes." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "There was a Virginia farmer who, when we first launched this program just weeks ago, was at the White House and said to you, Mr. President, and I quote, This country relies on these farmers and ranchers to do every day to do what they do every day. So I want to personally thank you, Mr. President, and all of you who have worked so hard to make sure these farm families stay whole and that the American people never have to worry about running out of food. That's what this program does." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Thank you all. And now, for our final speaker, I'd like to turn it over to Richard Brunson, the executive director of Baptists on Mission, who will thank his volunteers." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I'd like to also give a shout-out to Chief Sneed of the Eastern Band of Cherokee, who's here. Hi, Chief, thank you for being here. Thank you for all that you do as well." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Well, I want to also thank Mark Meadows and Deb for being incredible. You have somebody very capable going to be helping you out. But Mark has been a fantastic Chief. We call him Chief of Staff; we call him Chief. And he's done a great job, and I appreciate it. And he loves he loves your state. He loves your state. Comes from your state and he loves your state." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3616, + "raw_confidence": 0.6384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "Again, we will never take the word God out of our Pledge of Allegiance as you saw recently happen during the DNC caucus twice at least twice. And that'll never happen." + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I just want to again thank all of the people of North Carolina very much. You're very special people. We've had" + }, + { + "tid": "n1MjW2dEHqo", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-flavor-first-growers-mills-river-north-carolina-august-24-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-24", + "claim_text": "And I will be seeing you very soon November 3rd. I think it's the most important election this country has ever had. November 3rd, get out and vote. Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "So thank you, Pennsylvania, very much. I am thrilled to be in Latrobe, the home of the late great, my friend, Arnold Palmer. What a great guy he was. What a great guy. Thank you very much. 61 days from now, we are going to win the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. And we are going to win four more years in the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7938, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden wants to surrender your jobs to China, you know that. His son walked out with a lot of money for doing nothing. He wants to surrender your nation to the radical left-wing mob. He is trying to change now. You know I say that's not working because we are going up and he's dropping like a rock in water." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1987, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And before the China virus, this election was over now I had to go back to work, and we have done a great job on it. We don't get the credit. We don't get the credit. We made a lot of governors look very good, but I will keep your jobs in America, and I will bring rioters, looters, violent extremists, anarchists, we will bring them to justice." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1589, + "raw_confidence": 0.8411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That is what we're doing right now. We have over 400 right now under arrest. These are bad people. Over the last 3 and a half years, we have secured America's borders, fixed our broken trade deals, rebuilt the United States military, obliterated the ISIS caliphate 100 percent. Secured American energy independence and built the single greatest economy in the history of the world, and now we are going to do it again." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Have to do it again. Got to do it again. And it is happening. You see what's happening, job numbers, retail sale numbers are all at records. It is happening, it is happening very fast, it is actually happening in a super V, not a V, it's a super V and you will see that and big numbers are coming out and have come out and just watch your set or watch your newspaper, read your newspaper." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2366, + "raw_confidence": 0.7634, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You are seeing numbers that we haven't seen those numbers ever before actually. We have never seen them, and by the way, we have record stock markets, we have record everything. We are going to have You are going to have an incredible economic year next year. Your stocks are going up, your 401(k)s are through the roof." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1906, + "raw_confidence": 0.8094, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Had a little pause today, people wanted to take some profits, and probably somebody said something stupid along the way but the stock market's at record levels. Think of it. You be hopefully rounding the turn on the pandemic; we are rounding that turn, and vaccines are coming along great. You know that the job that they have done the doctors everybody else we are years ahead of schedule." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Anybody else asPresident you wouldn't be talking about vaccines for two or three years from now I will tell you right now. That I can tell you. Biden will never be able to protect your jobs or your family. He is a puppet of the socialist, Marxist and the cop-hating extremist, and they are cop-hating. And we love our law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We love them. And by the way, we have I don't know if you saw this if there's any way if you're seeing it we have thousands of people behind this hanger, thousands and we are trying to get them in, and I would love to get them in. I mean it's an airport, let them go to the runways, okay? Let them in. I mean we have I mean literally we landed, I actually thought that was the crowd." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know were doing the hanger thing now because the arenas can't do it because of the pandemic for a while, a little while, but in certain ways, I like this better I don't have to travel I get off the plane, I make a speech I get the hell out of here. Right? No, these are great. Do you remember the last days before the campaign I would do a lot of them a day, get off the plane." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2606, + "raw_confidence": 0.7394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It was a little different plane it was black and white instead of the blue and white, but we had some time, and that was an important that was an important day, and that was an important year 2016, but I will tell you the election that we have coming up is the single most important election in the history of this country." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2331, + "raw_confidence": 0.7669, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "The fake you know they are called suppression polls. They are meant to make you depressed. Are you depressed? You don't look depressed. The real numbers and we have the real numbers, we are leading everywhere, we are leading everywhere. I will tell you I think I think we are way ahead of what we were four years ago, and there's far more enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2969, + "raw_confidence": 0.7031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Our base is bigger, it is stronger, and we have done the greatest job again if we didn't get hit with the plague from China this thing we wouldn't have even between us I would have canceled Mr. Congressman most of the rallies I wouldn't have needed a rally. That's a little bit unfair, but that's okay, that is what China has done to our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6994, + "raw_confidence": 0.6994, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They have screwed us for a long time on a lot of different ways. Never has anybody ripped off our nation like China, and I have taken in billions and billions of dollars. We never we never took in 10 cents from China and I gave $28 billion right, $28 billion to the farmers because they were targeted unfairly by China and our farmers are very unhappy." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1895, + "raw_confidence": 0.8105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I don't think we have too many farmers in this wonderful Pennsylvania town. I know we have a lot of boilermakers over there. We have got a lot of boilermakers. I will be talking about them. Look at those guys. Nobody going to mess with them, I will tell you. We are going to be talking about them in a minute, but for the entire summer, Biden was silent as far-left rioters viciously attacked law enforcement in Democrat-run cities all, burned down businesses, terrorize civilians, and just recently marched through the streets chanting death to America." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This is what we have. Death to America. And by the way, we could end it like immediately. You so what we did in Wisconsin. It ended. Took a while for the governor. You know they have to ask us in it's like otherwise, we have to do something much bigger, and it is totally unnecessary. The National Guard is fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4538, + "raw_confidence": 0.5462, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I went to see them two days ago. Biden went there today. There was nobody there. There was nobody there. He was a little late. I was going to say hey, listen, we ended that problem, but we could ended in Portland, wise guys in Portland, anarchist. They are agitators. They are looters. I will tell you we could end it in Portland in half an hour." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2178, + "raw_confidence": 0.7822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We did it in Seattle. We told him we are coming in you either end it or we are coming in. Congressman, we were going in the next day we're all set. I was actually disappointed to be honest. They ended it in Seattle. They took over 20 percent of the city. Do you believe this and the mayor said no, it's going to be a summer of love." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But I took out an old ordinance I gave a new executive order says 10 years in prison and amazingly amazingly that was like 3 1/2 months ago and they were having a big march on Washington march elsewhere and amazingly that was the end of the statues coming down. No statues. We are actually prosecuting people for having done it." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We made it retroactive to the beginning. Terrible. And by the way, the state statues, and monuments they have to do the same thing. It's really easy. But the rioters that want Biden to win, the what to win because their agenda is an agenda it's what they want, it's the craziest thing I've ever seen. They both want to cut funding for police." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They want to end that cash bail. They want to hire far-left prosecutors and judges and let the criminals run wild. The radical-left district attorney in Portland, Mike Schmidt, his name is has released hundreds of rioters and announced that anyone arrested for interfering with police officers, disorderly conduct, criminal trespass, rioting, and other offenses will not be prosecuted under any circumstances. Oh, it's worse." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's worse. You have somebody in Philadelphia whose worse, right? Worse. In his manifesto with Bernie Sanders, that's what it is Biden agreed to all of these things. You know you notice now no, no, I never said about fracking, I never said if you don't do fracking in Pennsylvania 900,000 jobs and your energy bills will triple." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Other than that, I don't think you should have it, okay? No, but he said in the manifesto plus he said many times you know we put on the clip yesterday no fracking, no this, know that, no guns. How about guns? No guns, no Second Amendment. Biden has pledged to appoint prosecutors who extend these insane far-left policies nationwide." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That is what he has done. That is called the manifesto. He agreed to all of this stuff. The craziest thing you know you are supposed to bring it to the right he actually brought it further left. Bernie never dreamt that this was possible. Presumably, you know crazy Bernie? You know I had a lot of his voters come to me four years ago a big percentage." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2094, + "raw_confidence": 0.7906, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know why? Because I agree with him and he agrees with me on one thing trade, the trade because he knew that other countries are ripping us off, and so did I nobody else got it, especially Biden, never got it. He never got it, still doesn't get it. Now he really gets nothing I am telling you. He didn't get it in prime time now he really doesn't get it." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But it's okay for them to make every city look just like Portland, which is a disaster and again we could clean it up we just go right through it 5,000, 10,000, right through it. These guys are tough, they are smart, and they love our country, they love our country. We will clean it up in one half an hour, it will be over." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6545, + "raw_confidence": 0.6545, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You see this radical-left mayor Wheeler his name is the radical-left mayor they chased him Mike, they chased him out of his home last night, and all he does is be nice to them because they don't understand nice. They only understand one thing, strength. That is the only thing they they don't understand nice." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They chased him out of his home. Unbelievable. Biden's plan is to appease the domestic terrorists and my plan is to arrest them and prosecute them. And I will always defend law-abiding citizens, that is why the rioters are voting for Biden and the law enforcement people. You know we have it from everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We just got the sheriffs in Florida all of them, all of them, we got Ohio, we got Texas, we got to Carolina, we got South Carolina, we got everybody. I don't know if there's anybody. I see Rick Perry right there. Rick Perry, what are you doing here, Rick? Rick Perry one of the greats. But they are all voting for me." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This election is about safety, and this election is about jobs. Today I am delighted to accept a very, very special endorsement from people I like, sort of grew up with these people. I don't know what it is the relationship we have with all of us, with all of us, but I am endorsing, I am getting an endorsement tonight from some very, very special people." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They work hard, they do great. We really put them to back to work because the state was in trouble and last year you had the single greatest year economic year in the history of your whole operation, right? Your whole operation, you never had anything like that. This has been your greatest this has been prior to the plague coming in it has been the commonwealth's greatest can we have a commonwealth a state?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You got two places, you always have to say well, wait a minute is this one a commonwealth, two places. Do you know what the other place is? Name it. That's right. How did you know that congressman? But this commonwealth it's a great commonwealth, it's a great place and the boilermakers' local union Local 154 of the boilermakers they chartered in Pittsburgh 125 years ago none you were around to see you, and it now represents members in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia, and I want to thank John Hughes and the boilermakers here today." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It is a great honor to have you. Let me who's John? Where the hell is John? Stand up, John. John, we appreciate it. We appreciate it. You know why John is the head? You know why? Because look he's got the worst location. I say where's John? I'm looking in the front row he's put up your hand, John. Look at that guy, he's good." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You have got my vote, John. Boilermakers, thank you. What a job you do, you are the heart of this country. You really are. Thank you very much. That's a great endorsement. That's a great endorsement. Joe Biden spent the last 47 years shipping Pennsylvania jobs to China and foreign nations, and I have spent the last four years bringing them back home, and we are bringing them back home, bringing a lot of things back home." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7696, + "raw_confidence": 0.7696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I ended the last administration's eight-year pure war on Pennsylvania oil and coal and fracking and national if you look at the natural gas what they have done to the state where they were doing to this state. It was sort of easy. I just opened it up, and I said do it, and the investment put into Pennsylvania the investment put into the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania has been record-setting, but again you have the greatest year you have ever had last year prior to the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You are going to be set now with what we are doing. I believe that this next quarter which will be announced interestingly just prior to the election, so I'm putting myself on the line, but I know it's going to happen; the numbers are going to be graded next year is going to be one of the greatest years not only for Pennsylvania but for the entire country." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "So, Joe hiding, we have a new one, Joe hiding we call him Joe hiding I have all of them what you like better, what you like better? We've got a number. Let's do a little pole. Can we do a poll I save myself so much money. You know I save myself so much money we do these polls with thousands, and those people are coming in from the back, are they not?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Yes? They are coming in. I am telling you you wouldn't have believed it I'm landing I wasn't waving at you I was waving at them there's more. But I do these polls, right, and it's like a perfect poll. You know did you receive the companies you give them $1 million and they do a poll like 78 people were polled you've got thousands of people." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "So tell me what's your feeling first of all on the name? What's you like MAGA, make America great again? Yes? You are the one; you are a man I made you famous today. You said the nicest things about me. Thank you. Did you see him on television today? I think you're great. I think you are great. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1976, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's a disaster, a death sentence. It's a death sentence for your energy jobs. I took it out. I withdrew from that calamity. Biden pledged to reinstate it. It's going to cost you billions and billions of dollars. You know what it really is? It's a way of really taking advantage of the United States, that's what it is." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.27, + "raw_confidence": 0.73, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Last year I visited the Shell petrochemical plant in Beaver County. Anybody ever hear of Beaver County? The largest investment in your state's history all made possible by our pro-energy policies. Biden would wipe out the entire industry killing the jobs of more than 600,000 Pennsylvania workers, it's probably 940,000, they say." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1574, + "raw_confidence": 0.8426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Think of that, also prices and everything else. You know Biden today came out and said no, no fracking is okay, it's okay. Did you see that? Fracking is okay because he was getting killed, and now he came out in favor of law enforcement. Look at all of these handsome cops here. And a beautiful cop. But how can anybody believe it?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He is totally against it. At his speech and at the DNC where we got much higher numbers than they did, but you know they put out that they did. They will say anything. We got much higher by millions and millions of people. We had a great did we have a great convention? There's my guy. Good job, you did." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But we had a great convention, and it's been really terrific. You know I made a speech in Mount Rushmore, and since that speech, our numbers have been up, up like a rocket, like a beautiful rocket. The Mount Rushmore speech, I said you know we are getting hit by this pandemic very unfairly in the sense that we've done such a good job with the ventilators all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2833, + "raw_confidence": 0.7167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know you've heard it 1000 times, and we have to get back, and I made a speech at really a great place, South Dakota. But it was Mount Rushmore. You know they want to blow it up, you know they want to take off Mount Rushmore. If you would see how beautiful if you would see how beautiful this is it was like this perfect evening, the sun was setting the faces of these great, great majestic heroes of our country, right, heroes of our country And they want to blow up Mount Rushmore." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But how about this one? The Democrats yesterday came out with a plan. Did you see it? Now they are the DC Democrats, they want to change the name of the Washington Monument, perhaps take it down. Thomas Jefferson. Pretty good, Thomas Jefferson, right? You can forget about ever hearing the name again." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2572, + "raw_confidence": 0.7428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Abraham Lincoln, you can forget about it. They want to take down all statues, all monuments in Washington. We have some of your greatest people right here. Let me not even talk to the congressman, the heck with the congressman, the boilermakers. How do you like that? How do you like the idea of taking down our statues to our great George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln, Andrew Jackson, all of them?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4978, + "raw_confidence": 0.5022, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I don't think the boilermakers you'll ring you'll do a ring around Washington, right, along with Christopher Columbus he's in big trouble, I will tell you. There was one there was a group of great Italians in New York they tried to take down they tried to take down Christopher Columbus statue in New York." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You saw what happened, right? These Italians formed a little circle, and they said come on. The agitators decided to leave, let's get out of here, darling. They protected Christopher Columbus, the Italians no, the Italians aren't big on taking down Christopher Columbus. You take down those statues, you can forget about the Italian boat, do we agree?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They protected it. When asked if there would be any place for fossil fuels including coal, fracking and natural gas and so many things that really fire up these big plants where many of you work and they produced you know just millions and millions of jobs throughout our country Biden said no we would absolutely not allow anything like that." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We would make sure it's totally eliminated. That is what he said. He said we would make sure it's totally eliminated or eliminated. Now he's coming and saying this isn't working too well, this isn't working. You know I made a speech a week ago in Texas. We had crowds that were unbelievable on the highways you can't get in but the highways it's like incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You could sell your ticket tonight for a lot of money, go to eBay even as a used ticket you could probably sell it. But you go down the highways you see it, and I was thinking in Texas I'm making a speech in front of obviously people that like oil, they like God and you know what else they like? They like their second amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2503, + "raw_confidence": 0.7497, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Think about it, so whether it's Pennsylvania or Texas or Oklahoma or North Dakota any place take a look at this, right and no oil, no guns, no God. I don't think George Washington running with Abraham Lincoln as his VP, you know, pick Abraham Lincoln as VP is going to win in Texas or in Pennsylvania or any place else with those three things eliminated." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1574, + "raw_confidence": 0.8426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That is what they want to do. They want to take away your Second Amendment. If I weren'tPresident, you would either have an obliterated second amendment or it would be gone entirely. I am standing between them and your Second Amendment, and that's it. He put Beto in charge of guns, Beto is in charge he wants to get rid of everything, Beto, that's a beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6875, + "raw_confidence": 0.6875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Remember, he said I was born for this? Anybody that says they are born for this remember Beto he was on the cover of a magazine I won't mention the magazine they are back there is a total phony magazine, but he was on the cover of a magazine and he said I was born to run forPresident. He was born for it." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2695, + "raw_confidence": 0.7305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I was born anybody that gets that carried away that was when he was doing well. Since then he has cratered. Ever since he made that statement, he has looked very bad but he is take a look at what he says about guns and he got put in charge of guns so I guess Biden pretty soon is going to be coming out saying no, I never said that." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2898, + "raw_confidence": 0.7102, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Check out all of the statement he has made on everything, and now he's going the opposite way, but he has agreed to the manifesto entirely so maybe he will do that and then he figures later on he will go but everything he said because he has no control over what is happening. The radical-left has captured the party." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5439, + "raw_confidence": 0.5439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They even elected a person that nobody ever heard of a senator been a wild against a young, good-looking Kennedy by 10 points in Massachusetts. Did you know Kennedy lost in Massachusetts? You know why? Because he wasn't a radical-left. He was like a semi-normal person, just slightly left. But think of it this is what has happened and this is really what has happened if you are not a radical-lefty, meaning guns, meaning fossil fuels they want wind, wind." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7823, + "raw_confidence": 0.7823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know to make the windmill which are made mostly in China and in Germany, by the way, to make it so much emission is let out that it's more than you can ever say it's just the craziest thing. Also I'm a big I am truly an environmentalist, but you have to understand when we do things, and they don't and we clean and it's very expensive to do that and they don't and we have this massive planet in China, India, Russia, Germany all of these places it's fuming up and we are doing our job beautiful." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "No, they have to do it also otherwise, it just doesn't work the way it's supposed to. They want to ban straws. Has anybody ever tried those papers straws? They're not working too good, right? They want to ban straws. I said well, I have had a couple of meals at McDonald's, etc. over the years, right? Wendy's, a friend of mine owns Wendy's I'll give it a plug." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Right? Burger King. So they want to ban straws. I said really, what about the carton, what about the plate, what about the knives and the spoons that are plastic? They are okay, but the straws we have got to ban. Has anybody ever tried seriously it's made out of paper, right? It disintegrates as you are drinking if you have a nice tie like this tie this would have no chance." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "By the time you get finished, the straw is totally disintegrated. Does anybody walk around with a plastic straw because it's not bad you know you whip it out boom, boom. You never had to do that. But asked whether he would be willing to destroy the jobs of hundreds of thousands of blue-collar workers to push his anti-energy agenda, you know what the answer is, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's the Green New Deal, right? This Green New Deal, this was made by This was made up this was made up by people that don't get it either that or people that just don't like our country very much. But Biden replied yes, he will get rid of those jobs, and he famously told a voter I want you to look in my eyes when he's not wearing the mask because I've never seen a man that like the mask more." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Look, I'm all for it. We have a big weekend distance on the weekend and all of that stuff and wear are your mask when you were close together in particular and wash your hands all of those things. We have Labor Day weekend coming up but did you ever see a man that likes a mask as much as him? And then he makes a speech and he always has it not always but a lot of times he has it hanging down because you know what, it gives him a feeling of security." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "If I were a psychiatrist Right? No, I would say I would say this guy has got some big issues. Hanging down. Congressman, give me your mask I want to have hanging from my I don't want to touch your damn mask. Mike, I will never touch your mask. No, but the new one is you know I went for a physical the doctor said to me, sir would you like to go over to Walter Reed?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's incredible? By the way, the job they do people that have been just really hurt our heroes and the job they do is incredible, but sir, would you like to go over and do a physical? You have some time. You know why I had time some deal it was China I decided not to see China because I didn't like the way they were doing business, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Does that make sense? So the doctor, White House doctor highly respected Sean, Sean Conley. Sir, would you like to go over and do your physical, do a piece of it or finish it or whatever it was but do a physical? I said I don't know, I'm not in love with the idea. Well, if you do it when you don't have to do it, so okay, let's go." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Come on. So we went. We went, and we are driving. Now you have to understand that there are like you know 100 cars, you see what happens here it's like the plane times 50, so the cars are driving all over it's about a 20-minute drive, and we get to the hospital I get out I was there probably for an hour and a half, two hours, and then yesterday I read that I had strokes." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "CNN, fake news CNN right there. No, it's true. Mini-strokes, they call them. I don't know what a mini-stroke is, but it's not good, and there could be a day, and I will admit I said hey, it happens to all of us, right? Except these young ones, it's never going to happen to them; they are not looking at that, but you know what happens but nothing happened so I went in, I did that part of the physical, the end result was he's very healthy." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They were very unhappy when they heard that result. And what you don't remember is when this took place was a long time ago they just started out because we wanted they want to try and get me to be in Biden's physical level. You know they view me as being somebody that's you know like all-around hey, last week this week Texas, North Carolina, Florida, South Carolina back to Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Let's go here, let's go there, let's go everywhere, meetings all of the time. I think I have answered more questions from these maniacs than anyPresident in history. And mean questions. You know I watched Biden yesterday. So he hasn't answered questions in what two months or something and yesterday he took a couple and they were setups like I've never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "One young woman who I think is there one young woman is smiling. Hi, hi. Hi. Hi. I would just like to ask you I am sorry to bother you with this question; it's the most incredible. So the doctor wrote a letter saying no, this rumor is wrong, and I don't like you know rumors like that and by the way, if it were a fact it's fine, it should I think it's an important thing, but if it's not true my wife was like she came to me, she said I think I would have known that." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I said yeah, I think I would have known it too because they drove back with me. You know the press follows me, they have a special deal, a van. They followed me, and then we go in, we go out, but if you remember last time I go in, I spend a little time physical like we all have hopefully you have them good thing to have, I guess as long as they give you a good answer if they give you a bad answer don't bother possibly too late." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But I go in; I come out a couple of hours later I guess whatever it is a short time later, I get into the car the press sees me get into the car on my way home, I get a call from my wife the first lady who is very popular. Do we like our first lady? Very popular a great person, a great woman. She said darling, are you okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I go, why do you ask? She said they are reporting that you had a heart attack. Now you have to understand I am driving in a car which is about what, six cars in front of the press because they have a big car there are a lot of them, and we try and give them as little room as possible make it uncomfortable but they are right behind me so they know I got in and CNN reported that I had a heart attack." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That was the same visit, and that didn't work. No, it is unbelievable. CNN reported I had a heart attack, so my wife was concerned. I said no, not that I know of, and if I did, I think I would be back there. No, I'm I will be home in 15 minutes, darling. Thank you for caring; it's always nice." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6066, + "raw_confidence": 0.6066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I don't want to get into a situation like where Biden used record player. Remember that? You go home; you turn on your record player. But the anesthesia and I said, how could that be so remember this is the same visit, same visit they said heart attack all of the sudden out of this book, and he said suffered mini-strokes." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6832, + "raw_confidence": 0.6832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Now they get a letter from the White House doctor that said it's totally false, totally false, but they still go with it. They go with it, and they know I'm in the group with them coming back, and I don't know much about a mini-stroke, but I assume Mr. Congressman, if you have a mini-stroke, you are not heading back to the White House, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "At least you will spend a couple of nights at that great hospital, right? So anyway, these are really dangerous people. They are so bad for our country. If we had an honest press, it would be so great for the USA. It would be so great. They are just a bunch of phony people, not all of them you have some very good ones, like about 10 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "No, you have some very good ones, you have some great journalists but it's really they know it's phony stuff they are doing anything they can to get this sleepy guy into the White House, and I just don't think the public is going to fall for it. I don't think the public is going to fall for it. You know, in his best days 25, 30 years ago he was weak, he was weak as a senator." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He was weak he was not known as being one of the smart ones, and now it's not exactly prime time, I can tell you that. I just want to announce tonight because we are joined with some very, very special warriors and Dan Meuser, Dan thank you very much great job you are doing, Dan, Congressman. He's a congressman who has really been warriors for me." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Really have been. Thank you very much, Dan. Fred Keller. Fred, thank you. Great job, Fred. Great John Joyce. Great. Thank you, John. Guy Reschenthaler. Do you know him? Guy Reschenthaler. What are you doing over there? What happened, you don't get along with these guys? Oh, okay. That's good. Now I understand, that's good." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Glenn Thompson. Great job. Great job. Really great. And a real good friend of mine right from the beginning right, Mike, you know we were in Pennsylvania and a friend of ours, a congressman long-term right from Kentucky no, from actually Tennessee came up to us I was getting ready to make a speech and Tennessee has very early voting." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3901, + "raw_confidence": 0.6099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Remember what he said? This was four years ago. He said I don't know what's happening in Pennsylvania I don't know what's happening in the rest of the country but if what's going on in the rest of the country is like what's going on in Tennessee, he said they are coming from the hills, the roadsides, the rivers." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He said they are coming people that never really cared to vote; they are great Americans, but they never wanted to vote for the people that they would see; he said they are miles long, they have got Trump gear, Trump pins, Trump pens, right? Tennessee. Congressman Duncan, right? Remember that, Mike? That was the first time I mean they said they've never seen anything like it." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Tennessee has been incredible, by the way, but so Mike and I listened, and we said, I wonder what that's all about. But it is true people that were really political people they are coming in, and you know the deal here like the Miss Universe good old Ms. Universe, right? Like this, they came with hats, they came with pins, they are loaded with pins." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "One person had hundreds of pins. They never have had a pin in their life, but they love the job that we have done, and we are going to do it even better in the next four years. Another great friend of mine who is a tough cookie and a great congressman but he, unfortunately, he is a former because he's just I know he's just a special guy and really has a big beautiful heart, Lou Barletta." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1887, + "raw_confidence": 0.8113, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Lou? You look good, Lou. Why don't you run again, Lou? And a man who is stuff you know there's this guy you ever hear a guy Conor Lamb he's like a lamb? So we heard you know because he's in sort of a Trump-y area right and we heard that he's going to be for Trump, but he's going to be fighting for Trump, and you know I sort of I saw some of his commercials I thought he was a Republican, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7932, + "raw_confidence": 0.7932, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Except when he got to Washington, he voted with Pelosi 100 percent of the time. Crazy Nancy. He voted with Crazy Nancy, and so we thought this Conor Lamb guy he even voted to impeach yourPresident over nothing. Zero, zero. And that's very personal. When they do that, that's personal, so and I have to say congressman 196 nothing they stuck with us and so did the senator other than Romney." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.782, + "raw_confidence": 0.782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You can have Romney, I will tell you. Romney couldn't be all elected dog catcher in Utah right now. Although he gave me half a vote. It was 52.5-0.5 that was Romney. What a beaut . Remember he was walking with the black lives matters saying yes, I'm a member of black lives matter. Everyone saying that's nice, wonderful." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He had a lot of masks, I will tell you that. But we did a great job. We had it was an amazing thing but this Conor lamb was out there fighting it and he shouldn't have done that, and we have somebody that blows them away, he is more of a hero He suffered, a stronger, he's smarter, he's better looking not that that matters." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2298, + "raw_confidence": 0.7702, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know under the me too generation I don't talk about looks anymore, looks don't matter. It doesn't make any difference I don't talk about looks, me too. Me too generation, but I will tell you this man is something special he's a real hero, a real tough guy and he will never let you down, Sean Parnell." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Because remember that Conor Lamb and I remember because he's like a lamb he's like a little lamb weak, got a lot of weak people we like strong people, don't we? We need strong people right now. We have somebody else in the audience who served as my Secretary of Energy, and he was incredible; he was the governor of Texas for what, 12 years, I think, Rick, right? 12? Tell me, 14? 14 years he was, and he was an incredible governor, and he was an incredible Secretary, and he has been an incredible friend." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1918, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Rick Perry, everybody. There was nobody that got into the race tougher than Rick. What he said about me I will never repeat again even my own family didn't like me when he got finished and when he decided that I would be the one he got out and there's nobody that said better things about me, but you are great, Rick, and you did a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Every place you have been, you have been great. Thank you very much. Rick Perry. Hey Rick, how are we doing in Texas? We had a poll today in Georgia. You know they say Georgia is going to be close. Well, this was a poll that hates Trump, and we are up seven. That was the same thing happened last time, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2406, + "raw_confidence": 0.7594, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know they used the words in play Georgia is in play they say, Georgia is in play. But we are up seven and this is a poll that truly hates us, okay? But they did the last time didn't they say last time that Texas was in play and then it was 8 o'clock the polls closed and they only announce if you are way ahead win, so they say the polls have closed in the great state of Texas." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7331, + "raw_confidence": 0.7331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Donald Trump has won the great state of Texas. I kept hearing it was in play. They said Utah, the home of our senator they said Utah was in play, that is Mitt Romney. Mike Lee is doing excellent. I didn't want to get them confused by the way, but they say Utah same thing remember that four years ago? We had the guy with the shaved head." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "What was his name, Rick? What what a loser that was. You know who I'm talking about. That's right, McMuffin I think something. And he was going to win Utah, and I wanted by many, many, many points. It was called immediately, so these are people that are just not good. In fact, Hillary even beat this guy. Hillary." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.156, + "raw_confidence": 0.844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Hillary came in second in Utah. In less than four years, we have achieved more than anyone thought possible. We passed massive tax cuts for hard-working families, and we eliminated more regulations than any administration in the history of our country. I saved the U.S. auto industry by withdrawing from the last administration's job-killing catastrophe known as the transpacific partnership." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It would have been a catastrophe not only for autos, by the way for everything else, too. To protect our workers, I imposed stiff tariffs on foreign aluminum and foreign steel that kept you guys very busy. They were dumping all over the place. Is that right? They were dumping? And it was bad steel, too. It was dirt steel." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This week my administration reached a breakthrough agreement to stop additional steel imports from Brazil and from Mexico for the rest of the year despite the U.S. MCA sometimes they get a little carried away, and we have to do a little tariff action on them and we stopped that. We are reversing decades of the Biden betrayals that decimated Pennsylvania jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2098, + "raw_confidence": 0.7902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know that. This state lost listen to this one in three manufacturing jobs after the twin disasters of NAFTA and China's entrance into the World Trade Organization. One of the worst things that happened when China came in you know they were flatlined for many years, and then they came into this crazy deal." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2118, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They are considered a developing nation. You see I have been sort of protesting that like but they are considering China as a developing nation you get all sorts of things that you would never get, advantages over the United States, but we have very strongly protested that. They are not a developing nation; they are a very powerful developed n ation, and you know what, they have got to pay what everyone else has to pay." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2895, + "raw_confidence": 0.7105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, I kept my promise to the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania when we ended the NAFTA nightmare and signed the brand-new U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement into law, which is in effect now and really doing well. Everyone said it will never happen, but I had great help from these gentlemen right here." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I took the toughest-ever action to stand up to China's pillaging from during and rampant theft of Pennsylvania and many other places jobs. That is all throughout the world, by the way but our states have been just pillaged by China and others. Joe Biden's agenda is made in China. My agenda is made in America. After years and years of rebuilding other countries, we are finally rebuilding our country." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's called America first. America first. It's enough, and we are bringing our soldiers back home, you see what is going on. After 19 years in Afghanistan, far away places. To bring hope to our inner cities I created opportunity zones. Tim Scott, great senator from South Carolina, worked on it with me." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7658, + "raw_confidence": 0.7658, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Passed criminal justice reform, delivered permanent funding for historically black colleges and universities that Obama would never do, and before the China virus we achieve the lowest African American, Hispanic American, Asian American unemployment rates ever recorded by far. And they are now heading back in that direction quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We are coming. Democrat politicians have failed the black community for decades. They failed the Asian community, the Hispanic community they failed women. The numbers on women's unemployment were the best in 61 years. Biden spent the last 47 years betraying the American people. He was always for things that you wouldn't want, and now he is changing no, I never said." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I never said that. I have spent the last four years keeping my promises and delivering for the African American community and for all communities, and the best is yet to come. Perhaps in no area have our opponents more thoroughly betrayed working families of all backgrounds than on the subject of immigration." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know we have been fighting for that. Under my administration, we achieved the most secure border in American history. We ended catch and release, stopped asylum fraud, and we have deported 20,000 gang members, and we get them out and we get them out fast. Thank you ICE. ICE and Border Patrol, ICE and Border Patrol." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They don't like ICE because ICE is they are tough. You have got to be tough in that job by the way, anybody up here like to work at ICE I don't think so. You could probably be okay, but you would rather do what you are doing, right? I agree with you. These are tough guys; they have to be tough. These are bad, bad gang members." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I mean you look at MS-13, you look at what has happened with MS-13, you look at we get them the hell out. Sometimes we have to put them in prison because we don't even want to take a chance they can come back in after what they have done. We have built 300 miles of border wall, and we are adding 10 new miles every single every week." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1996, + "raw_confidence": 0.8004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And the wall will be finished very soon, and by the way, they keep saying but Mexico will be paying for the wall and I say it respectfully to Mexico, but they will be paying for the wall. They understand that they just don't want to write it, and that's okay because Mexico is treated very well. ThePresident of Mexico right now they have 27,000 Mexican soldiers on our border guarding us from people coming in illegally to our country." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And accountability keep people accountable for the way they treat our veterans, and if they don't treat them well, we say sorry, you are fired, get out. No, we couldn't fire anybody we had sadists, we had thieves, we had some very bad people at the VA, and they are all gone. Thank you. I love you too. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Such friendly voices beautiful. Only in Pennsylvania, right? I withdrew from the last administration's disastrous Iran nuclear deal. Think of this, Obama paid $150 million for short-term deal, he gave $1.8 billion in cash ever see $1 million like in a casino floor or something you know in $100 bills it's a lot it's like the size of this, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Now think $1.8 billion. How did you guys allow that to happen? They said we all voted against it. I kept my promise recognized the true capital of Israel. You never know nowadays, and I opened the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem. I recognized Israeli's sovereignty over the Golan Heights. They have been trying to get that done for 52 years." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2495, + "raw_confidence": 0.7505, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I got it done immediately, and by the way, as far as the capital of Israel, Jerusalem they have been talking about many, manyPresidents. They all promised it. Nobody did it I did it we get things done. And we just did something that is incredible even the New York Times gave it good reviews I cannot good reviews, beyond good reviews." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2064, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Tom Friedman gave it phenomenal reviews do you believe that, and that is, we achieved the first breakthrough in Middle East peace in decades. A deal with Israel and the UAE. The deal with Israel and the UAE, and that is going to lead and I will tell you we have representatives over right now, and other people are saying wait, we want to get in that deal, you'll have peace in the Middle East, but we want to get the hell out let's get them all back, let's get them all back." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2173, + "raw_confidence": 0.7827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Let's get them all back, don't forget we are energy independent. There used to be a reason now we do have a reason it's called Israel but and we have some very good partnerships over there in all fairness, we have some countries that have treated us very well, and we are going to take care of those countries, but we are energy independent for the first time, and that is a very good feeling." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And our military has never been stronger than it is now. It's new, and it's beautiful. And I told you we took over 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate in Iraq and Syria, and we killed the founder and leader of ISIS al-Baghdadi. And separately, we killed the world's number one terrorist number one terrorist for decades and decades, Qassem Soleimani." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1961, + "raw_confidence": 0.8039, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We killed Soleimani. A big step for the Middle East, we kept America out of wars. Remember that was said this Trump he's radical, he's really I mean he's he's too radical he will get us in wars. I kept you out of wars. What happened with North Korea? Look, I get along with Kim Jong-un. They said that's terrible he gets along no, it's good if I get along." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2261, + "raw_confidence": 0.7739, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "If I get along with Russia, is that a good thing or a bad thing? I think it's a good thing.. These maniacs there was talk about Russia they never talk about China. You know it's very interesting, it is always Russia. I heard it is starting again. They said somebody spoke to Russia two years ago Russia, Russia, Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This total maniac Shifty Schiff he's a total maniac, so no Did you ever notice I can even listen anymore when I hear Russia I just turn it off. It's crazy. But you know, getting along with countries is actually a good thing. Can we explain that? It's a good thing, not a bad thing. It's a very good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's a very good thing. Remember I was the one that was going to be leading you into war, in the first week, he'll be in war, he's a radical kind of a personality. I'm really not, I like to have peace, but if we ever do get into war, we will knock the hell out of them, whoever it may be. These guys only fight to tie, they don't fight to win, we fight to win." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But you look at what's happening where they're all coming back home. I even reduced in Germany because Germany, they're an ally, but you know, they took advantage of us very badly on trade and very badly with our military. So we removed a lot of soldiers out of Germany. They're not happy, they said this is going to hurt our economy." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Well, it's good for our economy, okay? They thought it was going to hurt the German economy. Well, they don't treat us right, they don't pay their bills, they're delinquent. You know what delinquent is? They're delinquent. They don't pay their bills. We protect them; they don't pay their bills. We got to do something, and they treat us horribly on trade through the European Union, which basically they run." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Together we've been rapidly fixing a half a century of disasters and Biden was there for every one of them. Joe Biden supported NAFTA, China's entry into the World Trade. He supported the Korean deal, the Korean deal was so bad, it was so bad. This was a deal that was going to produce to South Korea done by crooked Hillary Clinton, this was a deal that was going to produce 250,000 jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "She said this will be 250,000, and she was right, for South Korea. It produced 250,000 jobs. For us, we got nothing. We got losses, we got nothing. It was a terrible deal, I renegotiated, now it's a good deal. They also gave and want to give mass amnesty for illegal aliens. Biden supported cutting Social Security." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He voted for the Iraq War, he opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden. He opposed the killing of Soleimani; when I did that, he said that's a terrible thing. That's a terrible thing. Everybody in the Middle East, they couldn't believe it. They celebrated, some of them quite quietly, I must add. He oversaw the rise of ISIS, and he cheered the rise of China as a positive development for America and the entire world." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Remember that? Now he's trying to say, well I can be tough on China too. No he can't. China owns him. China owns sleepy Joe. He's not going to be tough on China and he said all these wonderful things and then all of a sudden his poll numbers started going down. How about law enforcement? He's like so bad." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7866, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "In his entire convention, they didn't even mention, and by the way, something else they did that I think is terrible, really terrible. The words under God, right? Right? Right? Called the Pledge of Allegiance. Under God, he left those two words out twice at their caucus, which is part of their convention." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But that's where they're coming from. He's trying this, oh well we didn't do this, and then we gave it to him and he sort of shut up but then two days later he's saying it didn't happen. They lie, and these mail-in ballots? These mail-in ballots are a disgrace, and they know it. Sign your mail-in ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4651, + "raw_confidence": 0.5349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You sign it and send it in, and then you have to follow it and if on Election Day or early voting, that is not tabulated and counted, you go vote, and then if for some reason after that, it shouldn't take that long, it comes in, they're not going to be able to tabulate it because you will have voted. But you have to make sure your vote counts because the only way they're going to beat us is by doing that kind of stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.226, + "raw_confidence": 0.774, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I'm trying to be nice. I'm trying to be nice. They want to send out, congressmen, 80 million ballots. Now there have been many races over the last year where they've done this, and they've been a disaster. You look at New York; they had a congressional race, not a very good congresswoman, very untalented, I know her well, I lived in New York." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2771, + "raw_confidence": 0.7229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "She's not got much going. They have no idea what the vote is, I think 20 percent of the ballots were missing, and then they declared her the winner and the other guy is saying what about me? He's not too happy, her opponent. You look at what happened in Paterson, New Jersey; you look at what happened in Virginia, you look at what happened there's not a race, and these are small, these are easy to control." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7834, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Now they want to send out 80 million unsolicited, I like it much better, they used to say universal, they used to say live ballots, I like the word unsolicited, and solicited. Solicited is okay because that's when you're asking and you want it and you send in the necessary paperwork and documentation, and you get the ballot and you fill it out, that's okay." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But you can't, this whole thing with the unsolicited, unsolicited means you're sitting there. We have a big enthusiasm edge, but when they throw these things in your face and the lists are inaccurate, and people are dead and dogs have gotten ballots, they have. Dogs have gotten ballots, and they know I'm right, and everybody knows I'm right and they say I'm right behind the closed doors, and it's a disgrace, what they do to our country. 80 million unsolicited ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "People that had no idea. People that weren't going to vote in all fairness. It's really unfair because our people have enthusiasm, they're going out to vote. They're all going out to vot e. Everybody here going to vote? Everybody? But they have no enthusiasm. So I said so that's unfair. That guy walks, and then they'll have somebody knock on the door say listen, would like your ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I don't want to vote. I don't care about Biden. I'm a Democrat. I don't care about this guy. Well look, where is it? Here take it, blah blah blah. They even have a provision where you don't have to verify signatures. What is going on? And they have another provision in some states where you can harvest, that's where you grab them all together and drop them." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7119, + "raw_confidence": 0.7119, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "In Nevada, they actually have a provision where they don't have to be counted until seven days after the election. So that means if we have a close election, could be close; I hope it's not, I hope we have a landslide like you've never seen. But if we have a close election that means Nevada has the right to, and I love Nevada, I think we're going to win Nevada, except where they're sending all these hundreds of thousands, millions of unsolicited ballots to people in Nevada and people that probably left a long time ago." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's very unfair, it's very unfair, but think of it. They have seven days after the election. Did you know that, Mike? Seven days, what does that mean? I want to see the results of the election on November 3. By the way, if it's anything like these other events, it could go on forever. I mean the congressional race which they just gave up and they declared her a winner which they should not have done, they should make that a do-over and I think in Paterson they have a do-over." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2712, + "raw_confidence": 0.7288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I think they're going to do it over because it was just ripe with fraud, theft. People were selling ballots, and people were selling ballots, and you know they talk about Russia. They're so worried about Russia. What about sending out 80 million ballots? That's your real problem, and if Russia or China or these other countries want to cheat, all they have to do is forge ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's much easier than the way they have to go about it, right? So we have to put pressure on these people. Now the good news is we have a lot of court cases we have one in Pennsylvania, you know that, right? We have two judges; we have a state judge, we have a federal judge. I think both highly qualified judges from what I understand, I hear that they're not too happy about what they're seeing." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "So we'll see what happens. We're going to see what happens. The lawyers feel very confident, but we have to win those cases but what you have to do is send in your early ballot and then go and make sure that ballot is tabulated or counted, and if it's not counted, vote, and then they have the job, if it comes in late, and if it's not too late, they have the job of making sure that they don't count it." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But follow that ballot because these people, they'll be lost, they'll be gone, the numbers are incredible where they're 25 and 30 percent off, 20 percent off. Follow your ballot. When I banned travel from China, Biden called it hysterical and xenophobic. If we had listened to sleepy Joe, hundreds of thousands of more Americans would have died." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know that. You know he always gets up today, COVID-19, COVID-19. I said Joe, look. We got a country, and I agree with that, and we've done a hell of a job. We've done a hell of a job. If you look at some of our numbers. You got to start talking about the economy and you got to start talking, your place, I mean this is when you look at Pennsylvania, you're in a shutdown." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2741, + "raw_confidence": 0.7259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You have a governor that has you shut down. That's right. I didn't even think I didn't even think about it. You have a governor that has you shut down. That's right and almost all states are open and frankly their numbers are very good. You at Florida is down, way down. Arizona which had a spike, way down." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7885, + "raw_confidence": 0.7885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "California, Texas is going way down. They are all way down. You haven't even opened up you haven't even opened up the great commonwealth. You have the same thing in North Carolina and you have the same thing in Michigan, what she's doing to Michigan is sad. And you know you have death with a shutdown." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You have depression, you have drugs and alcohol, you have sickness. You have loss of jobs and people you have suicides, don't even think about it, but you have suicides. You have a tremendous actually, at this stage we did the right thing. We closed the country down, we studied it, we learned about it, we know the susceptible are old people, senior citizens, nursing homes." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "People that are old, especially if they have heart problems or if they have diabetes. We know that, we learned it, and we opened it up. But the problem these shutdowns are causing much bigger problems. You remember my original statement, right? The cure can't be greater. It was an original statement that a lot of people picked up, but it's so true." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Why aren't you using it? He could have put those people in the convention center in the hospital ship. What a shame. But you look at New York; the restaurants are all closed. It's so sad for me. I love New York. I grew up in New York, I love New York, I did well in New York, and it's so sad when I look at what's happening with New York." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's all politics. If you kill somebody, they don't prosecute you, but they go after political enemies. What's happening in New York is a terrible thing, and the place is dead. No restaurants how long can you do this for? Restaurant, poor guys. You can't, how long can you do this for? The people are going to lose their jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1527, + "raw_confidence": 0.8473, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They're never going to open again. It's not like the restaurants is the greatest business in the world. It's a hard business. New York is closed. You're closed. North Carolina's closed. Michigan's all Democrats. Let me tell you, what's going to happen on November 4th. They're going to announce their opening." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They're doing this for political reasons. They are. Right, John? They're doing it for political reasons because they want our numbers to look as bad as possible, going into November 3rd, election day. Then as soon as the election's over with, win, lose or draw for them, they're going to open it. They got nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You know what? It's a shame what they're doing. For political reasons, they'll be open. You'll be open on November 4th, but you know what? From your standpoint, it's very close to the election. It's very far if you have a restaurant, and you can't open your restaurant. You can't open your store. It's a disgrace, and they ought to get together." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They ought to do it. These are Democrat governors in all instances and Democrat mayors. When the China virus arrived, we launched the largest national mobilization since World War II. Thanks to the life- saving therapies that we pioneered, the mortality rate has been reduced by 85 percent since April. Think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6632, + "raw_confidence": 0.6632, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And we've achieved among the lowest case fatality rates of any major country, anywhere in the world. You never hear that from the fake news. They don't want to talk to you about it. This is a big country. This is a tougher country to do that with. The European Union's case fatality rate is nearly three times higher than ours." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3304, + "raw_confidence": 0.6696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "If you look now, Spain is having a big blow up. France is having a big blow up. No, we've done a great job; we haven't been given credit for it. He always starts off, COVID-19. That's all he knows. COVID-19. I said what about the economy? What about jobs? What about all the other things we have to do? All he does, he thinks it's a weak spot, and actually in theory, if we're getting a fair shake from those people back there, it's actually what the job we've done is actually a strong spot." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 165, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And that includes you people, with the ventilators that nobody had. Nobody that needed a ventilator, didn't get a ventilator. Now we're supplying them all over the world. Altogether, the nations of Europe have experienced a 30 percent greater increase in excess mortality than the United States. Think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 166, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You don't hear these numbers. Cases in the U.S. have declined by 28 percent nationwide over the last month, and hospitalizations and deaths have declined radically over the last week. Three vaccines are in final stage of clinical trials. Would have taken two years for anotherPresident. I was going to say a normalPresident, but they'll hit me with a little truth to that too." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1886, + "raw_confidence": 0.8114, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "No, but for anotherPresident, especially, in the last administration, they had the H1N1 pandemic. It was called Swine flu. You know, Joe always calls it the N1H1. He gets it mixed up. No, it's the H1N1, Joe. Not that it matters, I guess. No. Do you ever notice, he's always calling it the other. He calls it the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6739, + "raw_confidence": 0.6739, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He has no clue where he is, but he keeps saying, oh, if he was . Well he didn't want the ban China, and we saved hundreds of thousands of lives by banning China. I was the only one that wanted to do it, actually. Then we banned Europe because I saw what was happening in Italy and Spain and France. We banned Europe." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 169, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7916, + "raw_confidence": 0.7916, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We saved hundreds of thousands. If I didn't do the closing and the opening, so we're at 175,000, far too look, one is too much because this was given to us by China, and it's a disgrace. It's a disgrace. They could have stopped it. They stopped it from going into China, but not going to the rest of the world, including our country." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 170, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's a disgrace. But think of it. Joe Biden got the worst marks you've ever seen for his handling of the H1NI Swine Flu. They said it was incompetent, and the head guy, who now he's trying to retract. It's a little tough. That's one great thing about the tape. He said it was horrible. He said, we did a horrible job." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 171, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1823, + "raw_confidence": 0.8177, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "He said they got lucky. It's not contagious like this. We got this is a tough one. I can look at that guy, and he'll catch it. Right there, and he's very far away from me. It's a tough one, because it's so contagious. But the Swine Flu is a different thing, but also, nothing's easy about that, pandemics or epidemics and his marks take a look at the job they did." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 172, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2027, + "raw_confidence": 0.7973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It was so bad that their top person criticized it, and they went after him. They said don't ever say that again, but it's a little late. He said it was one of the worst jobs, and we actually had a Gallup poll where we got very high marks for the job we did. They had a poll where it was so low, it wasn't recordable." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 173, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Then he's coming along and telling us how to solve this very difficult problem. We've done a great job, and I don't want the credit, but I want the people, Mike Pence I tell you what, our vicePresident, Mike Pence, and the task force, headed up by Mike and working along with a lot of great people, they've done a fantastic job and they just get no credit." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 174, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3272, + "raw_confidence": 0.6728, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "If I was a Democrat, a differentPresident, and they did the same job, they'd say it was one of the greatest jobs they've ever seen. But take a look at what they say about the way they handled the Swine flu. It was a disaster. It was incompetent. They called themselves incompetent. They called, and now they're coming in like, well, we would have done this and Biden by the way, was against, you remember, xenophobic, racist, because I closed down China." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 175, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2466, + "raw_confidence": 0.7534, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And then two months later, two and a half, three, and Nancy Pelosi was having dances in Chinatown, right? A month later. No, no problem. I was way ahead. Then Biden comes out, and he actually said that I was right, but they said don't say that, try doing it a little softer than that. So he did it a little bit softer, but we were right." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 176, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They were wrong. They handled it so badly. Just take a look, because we, I said to my people we've got to fight this a little bit differently because we're getting a lot of fake news, a lot of bad people saying things, And you look at the stats, and you look at how we've done compared to really much easier and much smaller countries, it's amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 177, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7673, + "raw_confidence": 0.7673, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And if you took New York out of it, which was a disaster by Cuomo, if you took New York out of those numbers, we would have numbers that would be even better than they are. I could read numbers that would be even much better, because a big percentage of the people that died in this country died because New York was incompetently run by Mayor de Blasio and Governor Cuomo." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 178, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2071, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "By the way, just today, there's another credible thing happening. Pfizer, great company, announced that it expects to have the results of its vaccine trials in a matter of weeks, very shortly. Incredible. Under Operation Warp Speed, we remain on track to produce a safe and effective vaccine, in that record time that we talked about." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 179, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This would have been years later. It'll be delivered before, in my opinion, before the end of the year, but it really might even be delivered before the end of October. How do you like that? Wouldn't that be nice? That would be nice. You know why? Not because of the election. It'll be nice because we want to save people." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 180, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That's why it'll be nice. That's the important thing. Together, we will defeat the virus. The job we're doing is, the job that all of the people working on it, our generals, our admirals, the distribution, we bought billions and billions of dollars of things, and now we make gowns, and we make masks, and we make shields and we make ventilators." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 181, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1566, + "raw_confidence": 0.8434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Very tough. The ventilator's very complicated, very big, very expensive. It's like, I made the statement, it's like building a car, but more sophisticated. They said no, it's not. They said, they took a ventilator. They took it apart. These people are the worst, the worst. Over the next four years, we'll make America into the manufacturing superpower of the world, and we will end our reliance on China once and for all." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 182, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That's what we'll do. Let me just tell you something. If they didn't waste a year and a half of my life on a ridiculous impeachment, based on a phone call that was perfect, this stuff would have all been done. Would have all been done, truly. It would have all been done. Yet, with all of this stuff, the fake Russia witch hunt, the fake Ukraine." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 183, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1923, + "raw_confidence": 0.8077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "How about that? Did anybody read the transcript of that call? It was a perfect call. Hey, congratulations. Good luck. It was like a perfect call. Now they'll take it back and they'll say well, I don't know. This was a per in history, there's never been anything like this. It was a totally lopsided, 100 percent political witch hunt, and it goes on and on." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 184, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "These are bad people. I really believe they don't love our country. I watched Nancy Pelosi. You must wear your mask. You have to wear your mask, and we're going to keep every beauty salon closed in California and all over the country. Then I see a picture. I say Nancy Pelosi. Well, where's the mask? I'll tell you what." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 185, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7857, + "raw_confidence": 0.7857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "She must have treated that beauty salon owner pretty badly. She uses the salon, and the salon turned her in? The salon turned her in. I don't think I would have turned her in. I would've said, well, you know, she's a customer. I got to take care of my customers, right? But she made them open, and the salon turned her in, and the salon did business with her." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 186, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.787, + "raw_confidence": 0.787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "How much do they hate Nancy Pelosi? Then she made a terrible mistake because you want people that can't be set up. She said I was set up. I was set up by the salon owner. I was set up. I said tell me she didn't say that, please. So I just put out, that if she was set up, then she shouldn't be leading the House of Representatives." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 187, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7554, + "raw_confidence": 0.7554, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I want the salon owner to lead the House of Representatives, because she set up think of it. She set up the Speaker of the House. That was a big mistake. As soon as I heard, she said, well, she set me up. Nancy, you're not supposed to get set up. You're representing our country. You know what she should have done honestly?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 188, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "She should have said I made a mistake, sorry, and nobody would be talking about, this is like the biggest story. This is the big, crazy Nancy, highly overrated person. Let me just say she is a highly overrated person. They give her such good play. She is a highly overrated person. Look, they just turned off a camera because they don't want me saying that. Just in closing, we will rapidly return to full employment, soaring wages, and record prosperity." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 189, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We will hire more police, increase penalties for assault on law enforcement. Surge federal prosecutors into high-crime communities and ban sanctuary cities. We will appoint prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda. We will uphold religious liberty, free speech, and the right to keep and bear arms." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 190, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We will strike down terrorists who threaten our citizens. We will not let them threaten our citizens, and we will keep America out of endless foreign wars. We will end surprise medical billing. We don't want surprise medical billing. You know what happens? It's terrible, but we have ended it. Also, we've signed something that's incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 191, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "You're going to see. Some people say it's bigger than healthcare, and I signed it. Unfortunately, it takes place on January 1st. You better elect me. You better elect me. It's called price transparency. I said to my people at the end of the day, what is price transparency?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 192, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This is going to lower your prices by 50 percent. You'll be able to negotiate. You'll be able to do things you're not even allowed to do now, with hospitals, with doctors. You get better doctors, you get lower prices. I said when does it start? It's a complicated oh, did I get, I was fought. You have no idea." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 193, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Right fellows? You have fought too. But they fought me on this price transparency. It's bigger than healthcare, could be bigger than healthcare. But I said when does it start? They said sir, we have it all set. When? January 1. I said, I'd better win this election, because you're going to see some unbelievable price reductions." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 194, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That includes on drugs, because we're reducing health insurance premiums massively, and the cost of prescription drugs went down the first time in 51 years, last year. But now it's going to go down very big, because we did a favorite nation's clause. I see the drug companies are, they're killing me with ads." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 195, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "They have nothing but cash. They have nothing but money. They're spending because they can't believe you know, Germany and other countries pay much less than we do. We want to have, what we have to have, is we have to have a comparison of prices. That's what it is called, favored nation clause. I instituted a favor so we're paying $2.50 for a pill, and some nation is paying 10 cents for the same exact pill from the same factory, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 196, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We get the 10-cent price. So, what's going to happen that'll go up. Ours will come way down. They can't believe it. The drug companies can't believe, and I will tell you, Mark Meadows is here, our chief of staff. Where's Mark? They want to negotiate. They called. We signed it. It's all done. They want to negotiate, and they are negotiating, so let's see what happens, but we're going to get you cuts on prescription drugs, the likes of which you've never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 197, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1971, + "raw_confidence": 0.8029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We'll protect Medicare and Social Security. They will not be able to protect it. It will always protect patients with preexisting conditions, always. America will land the first woman on the moon, and the United States will be the first nation to land an astronaut on Mars. When I took over, NASA was dead." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 198, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1559, + "raw_confidence": 0.8441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Now it's the most vibrant space center in the world, by far. We will restore patriotic education to our schools, and we'll teach our children to love our country, honor our history, and always respect our great American flag. And we will live by the timeless words of our national motto, In God, We Trust." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 199, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "For years, you had aPresident who apologized for America. Now you have aPresident who is standing up for America and standing up for the great people of Pennsylvania. From Pittsburgh to Harrisburg, from Erie to Easton, and from Bethlehem to right here in Arnold Palmer's beloved Latrobe. I love Arnold Palmer." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 200, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Arnold, where are you? We love Arnold. There was only one Arnold. We stand on the shoulders of Pennsylvania patriots who gave their blood, sweat, and tears for this beloved nation. Pennsylvania is the state where our founding fathers declared American independence, right? Declared American independence. Add the word commonwealth in there." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 201, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This way, they won't us. It's where the Army weathered its brutal winter at Valley Forge, and where General George Washington, who, by the way, they want all of the name Washington removed from everything. I haven't been keeping up with it. What did he do? George Washington, they want the name off." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 202, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Congressman, are we okay, Sean? I don't think you liked that idea too much. George Washington. They want his name off everything, but we'll keep it. I promise you this. As long as you cancel culture, you better have a strongPresident. Cancel culture. George Washington, can you believe it? But he led his men on a daring mission across the Delaware." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 203, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "This is the commonwealth where our Union was saved by the heroes of Gettysburg and where generations of tough, strong Pennsylvania workers, mined the coal, worked the railroads, forged the steel that made America into the greatest and most powerful nation in the history of world. That's in the history of the world, and we are making it greater than it's ever been before." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 204, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "That's what's going to happen. Proud citizens like you helped build this country, and together we are taking back our country from these very, very deranged people. We are returning power to you, the American people. With your help and your devotion and your drive, we are going to keep on working. We are going to keep on fighting, and we are going to keep on winning, winning, winning." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 205, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "We are one movement, one people, one family, and one glorious nation under God. America will soon be thriving like never before. Next year will be the greatest economic year in the history of our country, and together we will work very hard. The people of Pennsylvania, the great, great people of Pennsylvania, where I went to college." + }, + { + "tid": "NbSfJ5DfoB8", + "sid": 206, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-latrobe-pa-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It's a place I know very well. But, we will make America wealthy again. We will make America strong again. We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again, and we will make America great again. Thank you. Thank you, Pennsylvania." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much everybody. Thank you, and good afternoon. My administration has been working around the clock in good faith to reach an agreement with Democrats on additional China virus relief." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Already, my administration has enacted over $3 trillion in historic relief, saving many tens of millions of dollars and jobs. And you see how fast the economy is coming back. It does look like it's going to be a very sharp V. We have tremendous enthusiasm, tremendous spirit, and tremendous job growth. We set a record on number of jobs in the last three months. It's the most jobs ever created in a three-month period during a three-month period. That's great." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The first expands the eligibility for vets with blindness in both eyes. So we have an expansion of benefits, an expansion of various elements of being and working with the VA for vets with blindness and in particular, blindness in both eyes. And we have a lot of problems with blindness in the VA, and we're doing something about it. They've been talking about this for many years. So that is expanding eligibility for vets with blindness in both eyes. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Second is requires the VA to establish a treatment court program for vets who need treatment rather than punishment for certain nonviolent crimes. And you know what that all means, and it's really something that they've been trying to get done for a long time. The second requires the VA to establish a treatment court. So this is a treatment court program for vets who need treatment rather than punishment for certain nonviolent crimes. Okay? I think it's self-explanatory." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We've wanted this for a long time, they've been trying to get it for a long time, and now we have it. And I want to thank everybody for helping us get that done. We had a lot of support from a lot of great people, including people in the VA." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "In the current negotiations, we have repeatedly stated our willingness to immediately sign legislation providing expanded unemployment benefits, protecting Americans from eviction, and providing additional relief payments to families. Democrats have refused these offers; they want to negotiate. What they really want is bailout money for states that are run by Democrat governors and mayors, and that have been run very badly for many, many years and many decades, in fact. You know the states; everybody knows who we're talking about and what we're talking about. I don't think we have to go over it." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3428, + "raw_confidence": 0.6572, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "But what the Democrats primarily want is bailout money. It has nothing to do with the China virus. It has nothing to do with anything that we've been talking about over the last period of time. They want to bailout states that have been badly managed by Democrats, badly run by Democrats for many years and, in fact, in all cases, many decades. And we're not willing to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2021, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer have chosen to hold this vital assistance hostage on behalf of very extreme partisan demands and the radical-left Democrats, and we just can't do that. So, hopefully, we can do something with them at a later date, but we're going to be signing some bills in a little while that are going to be very important, and will take care of, pretty much, this entire situation." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3806, + "raw_confidence": 0.6194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "As we know it and as you have been covering it in some cases actually covering it accurately many of the far-left policies they're pushing have nothing to do, again, with what we have been working on so hard namely, the corona. You can call it so many different names. What a horrible thing China released upon the world." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "One third of their bill the HEROES Act is spending completely unrelated money to the virus. Here are just a few of the policies in their extreme-left bill. And, again, this is a bill supported by Biden, and Biden is totally controlled now by the Bernie Sanders left wing of the party. And, in fact, he's gone further left than Bernie Sanders ever dreamt of going. So, obviously, other than Bernie have brought him left. If you look at the manifesto that they've agreed to, it's far further left than I've ever heard anything about Bernie Sanders." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The massive taxpayer bailout of badly run blue states we talked about that's one of the things they're looking to do. Measures designed to increase voter fraud. Banning voter ID; they want to ban voter ID. We should have voter ID in every state. Every state should have voter ID. You have ID on everything you do, practically, yet every- everybody has voter ID. Everybody has ID except for voters. When you vote, you don't want ID; they don't want" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We have some states with it; it works out great. And if you want to stop fraud in elections, have voter ID. They want measures designed to increase voter fraud, which is banning voter ID in all states and banning requirements for signature verification in federal elections." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6103, + "raw_confidence": 0.6103, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Now, why would they want, in this bill which really has nothing to do with what we're talking about: stimulus something banning voter ID? In every single state, they want to ban it, including states where we already have it, because we have some states where we have it Indiana and others that do very well." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3545, + "raw_confidence": 0.6455, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Why would they want to ban voter ID in all states? And why would they want to ban requirements for signature verification in federal election? Who would want a bill banning signature verification? What's that all about?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.737, + "raw_confidence": 0.737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "You know what it's about? Fraud. That's what they want: fraud. They want to try and steal this election because, frankly, it's the only way they can win the election." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2523, + "raw_confidence": 0.7477, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The bill also requires all states to do universal mail-in balloting which nobody is nobody is prepared for regardless of whether or not they have the infrastructure. They want to steal an election. That's all this is all about: They want to steal the election." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7175, + "raw_confidence": 0.7175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "As you know, we brought suit last week, and we'll see how that all works out. I think we're going to win it. But, basically, what they're trying to do with all of these requirements, including no signature verification: They're trying to steal an election." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2202, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And I was in Ohio, I was in Texas, I was in Florida over the last four or five days. And if you would see the crowds along the highways and the roadways, people have said they've never seen anything like it, and they haven't seen anything like it. And the press doesn't report it because they're fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7735, + "raw_confidence": 0.7735, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "They even want to force states to implement the controversial practice known as ballot harvesting a very dangerous practice meaning they would allow Democrat Party operatives to deposit thousands and thousands of completed ballots at the post office without any verification of who filled them out, including a verification of signatures on the ballots. So you're not even going to have a verified signature. Anybody I could sign it. You could sign it. Anybody in this room could sign it. And that's going to count as a vote. How can you do a thing like this?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So this is what they're asking for. This is what Nancy Pelosi and Crying Chuck Schumer are asking for." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Okay? It's ridiculous. It's horrible. It's a horrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The Democrat bill includes stimulus checks for illegal aliens. So if you were able to get into our country illegally and our border is, as you know, doing very well right now. We have a very strong border, and the wall is up to 276 miles. And we'll be completed with it around the end of the year. We're going to do some extra mileage in certain areas that people didn't realize were so bad, so we'll be completed with it. Right after, we're going to do the additional mileage. We'll do it probably a little bit after the year." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7653, + "raw_confidence": 0.7653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "I think, from what I've heard, Joe Biden Sleepy Joe wants to rip the wall down. He wants people to pour into our country. They want to have open borders. We don't want to have open borders." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So the Democrat bill includes stimulus checks for illegal aliens. They require the mass release of illegal aliens from detention. They also compel the mass release of inmates, including serious felons. How do you like that one? And this is in the bill that we're talking about? What does this have to do with stimulus, the economy? What does this have to do with the coronavirus? Another name. What does this have to do with this?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3199, + "raw_confidence": 0.6801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So, think of that: They required the mass release of illegal aliens from detention. What does this have to do with what we're trying to do? They want to put this and this is a radical-left policy, so they can go to Portland and try and rip the place apart that they've been doing for many years and they've been doing for years and years." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6459, + "raw_confidence": 0.6459, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "They also compel the mass release of inmates. What does this have to do with what we're talking about? This is Nancy Pelosi Crazy Nancy and Chuck Schumer. They want to compel you to do this stuff, and this has nothing to do with what we're talking about, and it includes serious felons. They want to have these people released on a mass basis, including serious felons." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "That's page 1,689; page 1,762. Think of it: 1,762. And that's nowhere near the end of their bill. They have things in there that nobody has even at the time to look at or read. These people I don't I honestly don't believe they love our country, you want to know the truth." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "In addition to demanding these extreme partisan provisions, Democrats are actively blocking the following measures: support for K-12 schools to help them safely open, additional funding for the Paycheck Protection Program to help millions of workers on the payroll. This is a great program. Very successful. Kept a lot of businesses open. That's why we're doing so well in reopening our country. Additional money for hospitals. Testing and vaccines. Direct payments of $3,400 for a family of four." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Now, remember, this is what the extreme partisans this we got we have to this is what we're talking about. Democrats are actively blocking the things that we want. And what we want is good for people. Those these are things that they're blocking: support for K-12 schools, so they can open. Think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.721, + "raw_confidence": 0.721, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Also, direct payments of the $3,400 for a family of four-plus, then funding for childcare and mental health care. And you need that, especially when you have so much of a lockdown. You need that: mental health care." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1938, + "raw_confidence": 0.8062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Funding for broadband, airports, and agriculture, rental assistance, and support for community banks and credit unions to help them provide $100 billion in loans to the hardest-hit communities, including rural communities and farmers. They don't want anybody to get that. Democrats are obstructing all of it." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Therefore, I'm taking executive action. We've had it. And we're going to save American jobs and provide relief to the American workers, and I'll be signing these bills in a very short period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "First one is on providing a payroll tax holiday to Americans earning less than $100,000 per year. In a few moments, I will sign a directive, instructing the Treasury Department to allow employers to defer payment of the employee portion of certain payroll taxes from September 1st. And we're actually going to be making that; we just got the word. We're just getting some word from a lot of people. We didn't think we'd have to do this because we thought the Democrats would be reasonable, but they've been not only unreasonable, they've been ridiculous." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So we're going to make that August 1st, most likely. It'll be August 1st. We'll let you know the exact date, but we're looking like August 1st. So it'd be August 1st through the end of 2020. This will mean bigger paychecks for working families, as we race to produce a vaccine and eradicate the China virus once and for all." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And we're doing very good with the numbers. You see it's going down in Arizona very, very substantially and rapidly. Going down in California. Going down in Texas. Going down in Florida. Other areas are propping up a little bit, but we're watching them very closely. We understand the disease, and we're watching them very closely, especially our senior citizens and our senior citizens' residences." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "If I'm victorious on November 3rd, I plan to forgive these taxes and make permanent cuts to the payroll tax. So I'm going to make them all permanent." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2079, + "raw_confidence": 0.7921, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Now, Joe Biden and the Democrats may not want that. They don't want that because they're adding $3 trillion in taxes. So they'll have the option of raising everybody's taxes and taking this away." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "But if I win, I may extend and terminate. In other words, I'll extend it beyond the end of the year and terminate the tax. And so, we'll see what happens. Biden probably won't be doing that; you'll have to ask him. I don't think he knows what he's doing." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2566, + "raw_confidence": 0.7434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So I'm protecting people from eviction. Yet you've been hearing a lot about eviction, and the Democrats don't want to do anything having to do with protecting people from eviction. I said, Let's do that separately. That can be a totally separate thing from passing along money so people can live. And they didn't even want to protect people from eviction." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Second, I'm signing an executive order directing the Department of Housing and Urban Development, HHS, and CDC to make sure renters and homeowners can stay in their homes." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So, they would get evicted it's not their fault that this virus came into our country; it's China's fault. And came into the world by the way, a lot of the people, a lot of the states that were doing the best are having some problems. A lot of the states that we weren't thinking were doing the best are doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3347, + "raw_confidence": 0.6653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "You look at some of the countries involved. Some of the countries that were really standing out as examples are now exploding. But they'll get it down; they understand it. We're dealing with them. We're dealing with a lot of countries." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7238, + "raw_confidence": 0.7238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We're providing thousands and thousands of ventilators all over the world right now. We make a lot of ventilators. We started off with very little, and we're making a lot. And we have thousands in our stockpile, but we're making thousands a month. And we're providing many of them thousands and thousands to other countries that would never be able to get them." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The Department of Housing and Urban Development will also provide financial assistance to struggling renters and homeowners, and work with landlords and lenders to keep Americans safely in their homes. So we don't want people being evicted. And the bill the act that I'm signing will solve that problem, largely hopefully, completely." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The third action I'm taking today will also provide additional support for Americans who are unemployed due to the China virus. Under the CARES Act, I proudly signed expanded unemployment benefits into law. Congressional Democrats have stonewalled our efforts to extend this relief. They even oppose measures that would give bonuses to workers returning to the job. They were totally opposed to that." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "For this reason, I'm taking action to provide an additional or an extra $400 per week in expanded benefits: $400. Okay? So, that's generous, but we want to take care of our people. Again, it wasn't their fault; it was China's fault." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7763, + "raw_confidence": 0.7763, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "States will be asked to cover 25 percent of the cost using existing funding, such as the tens of billions of dollars available to them through the Coronavirus Relief Fund. Under this plan, states will be able to offer greater benefits if they so choose, and the federal government will cover 75 percent of the cost. So we're all set up. It's $400 per week." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1921, + "raw_confidence": 0.8079, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And we're doing that without the Democrats. We should have been able to do it very easily with them, but they want all of these additional things that have nothing to do with helping people." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Fourth, I am signing a directive providing relief to student loan borrowers. Earlier this year, we slashed student loan interest rates to zero. I don't know if people know that because the press doesn't ever report it, but maybe they're watching now." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7893, + "raw_confidence": 0.7893, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "The press doesn't report a lot of good things that are good for the people and good for the country." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3114, + "raw_confidence": 0.6886, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, we slashed student loans' interest rates to zero percent and suspended student loan payments, and Congress extended that policy through September 30th. Today, I'm extending this policy through the end of the year, and we'll extend it further than that most likely, right after December 1st. So we look like we're going to be extending that. They're paying zero interest. And again, not their fault that their colleges are closed down and not their fault that they're unable to get what they bargained for." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Through these four actions, my administration will provide immediate and vital relief to Americans struggling in this difficult time. And the beautiful thing about this difficult time is we're now coming back and setting records." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We'll also ensure that our economic comeback continues full speed ahead. And with the $400 and all of the other measures that we're talking about and will be signing in a little while, that will happen." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We're further looking at additional tax cuts, including income tax relief, income tax cuts, and capital gains tax cuts. So we're going to be looking at that capital gains for the purpose of creating jobs, and income tax is self-explanatory. And it'll be income tax for middle-income and lower-income people, but middle-income people because they pay a lot of income tax and you do have tax inequality. I'm saying that as a Republican, and you do have tax inequality." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So we're going to be looking at income tax, and we're going to be looking at capital gains tax cuts on both, and maybe substantial. And we'll be reporting back fairly shortly on that. That's big news. That's big news, but very important. We want to have our jobs flourish. We want to have our companies do great. We want to have the 401(k)s, which are now at a level if you look at the stock market, it's great." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7526, + "raw_confidence": 0.7526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "If you have stocks in NASDAQ, you're higher than you ever were, including even this is still during the pandemic. The stock market because they see such incredible things are happening, smart people the stock market is that almost an all-time high. We're just short of it. And NASDAQ is higher than it ever was. It's broken the record 14 times in the last couple of months." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So, 401(k)s are doing fantastically. I hope you kept your stocks. I hope you didn't sell. I hope you had confidence in your President and confidence that the President was going to be reelected." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3747, + "raw_confidence": 0.6253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "You know, and don't forget: These big companies you have stocks in these companies. You know, you own stocks. And they have millions and millions of shareholders. And whether it's pension funds or anybody else, you all have stocks. So there are big companies, but a lot of people own that stock, and we want to keep it going." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2678, + "raw_confidence": 0.7322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "But we do have, I guess you could say, not a tailwind; it's a headwind I guess would be a better description. But it is; it's a headwind. And when you think of it, that's in my opinion, it would be much higher." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "But you look at what they want to do. They want to raise everybody's taxes everybody. And they want to do the Green New Deal, which will decimate our country and decimate it's ridiculous, too. It's childish. I actually say the Green New Deal is childish. It's for children. It's not for adults." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Anybody that believes in that is I don't know, maybe it's politics. I don't even think it's good politics. They seem to think so. We'll see how they do. But I don't think it's good politics, and it'll decimate our economy." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We've learned a great deal about this virus and how to treat it. Our strategy is to aggressively shield those at the greatest risk while allowing younger and healthier citizens to safely resume work and school." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7075, + "raw_confidence": 0.7075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "I noticed that some of the Democrats that I would say are very strongly on the left are now coming out and saying we really have to open our schools for the good of the economy. I was shocked to see a couple of them you know they are." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We urge all Americans to socially distance and avoid large crowds and all of the things that we talk about all the time. We have to we have to go and make sure that everything is in good shape. We really are we're coming back very, very strong. We're doing very well with the virus because all of those states that everybody thought would be in a bad position for a long time, they're all coming down. Governors have done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Don't forget, we're dealing with governors. Some have done a fantastic job. All have worked hard. Some have done a much better job than others. And someday, if you'd like to know, I'll give you the good ones and the bad ones. We'll give you some good ones and some bad ones." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "But, by contrast, the never-ending lockdown being proposed by some, mostly I guess you could almost say almost all in the Democrat Party, would inflict unimaginable harm to our people and to our health for decades to come. It'll hurt our economy, and they view that as a good thing. They actually view that as a good thing because they're interested in one date: November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And I actually think it's bad politics, and I think they're starting to come along because I'm seeing more and more people want to open up. And you see the devastating results of lockdowns, too. You know, you have depression and suicide and drugs and alcohol and bad marriages. Marriages that were very good turned out to be very bad." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3737, + "raw_confidence": 0.6263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "It's an amazing thing, and it's who would think it? But people get along for 20 years; I guess they didn't know each other very well, and now they're not getting along." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And you had the opposite, also. You've had people to get along better. They like each other more than they thought. That's okay, too." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "That, we like. But the other situation is very, very very, very bad." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We'll develop a vaccine. We're going to have it very soon, and we're ready to distribute it. And we're we've got the military ready. Logistics, it's called. And we'll end this pandemic, and we will rebuild the greatest economy in the history of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2312, + "raw_confidence": 0.7688, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "You know, we created the greatest economy in the history of the world the highest stock market ever. And we're very close to getting that back. That, I have to say, is way ahead of schedule. Highest stock market ever. Best employment numbers for African Americans, Asian Americans, Hispanic Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, Hispanic Americans just set a record for new jobs. African Americans just set a record for new jobs just now during the pandemic, the last month. And Asian Americans just set a record for new jobs. So we're very proud of what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And I will now sign the executive action. And then, if you want, we can ask a few questions." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Okay, Kelly. Yeah, let me do this first, and then you can do some questions. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Okay, so this is for the authorization of other needs assistance program, major disasters declaration related to the coronavirus disease." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Okay? So this authority invested in me this is the payment relief during the COVID-19 pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4021, + "raw_confidence": 0.5979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "This is fighting the spread of the COVID-19 by providing assistance to renters and homeowners. We're doing assistance." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1836, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And this is deferral payroll tax obligations. So this is your payroll tax obligations, which we're going to end up terminating eventually, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "How many how many pictures can you take over there?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "I mean, you're taking hundreds of pictures. What are you doing?" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So, that's the story. Would anybody like a pen? Would anybody like a pen? Would anybody" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Why do we hand these we'll hand these out to you in the back. Okay, fine." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Well, if they don't, they don't. That's up to them. But if they don't, they don't. That's going to be their problem. I don't think their people will be too happy. They have the money. So I don't think their people will be too happy. But if they don't, they don't." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1849, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "But again, the states have the money. It's sitting there." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Well, no, it's not a hardship. This is the money that they need, this is the money they want, and this gives them a great incentive to go back to work." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1906, + "raw_confidence": 0.8094, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "So, this was much more than was originally agreed. The 600 was a number that was there. And as you know, they were diff- there was difficulty with the 600 number because it really was a disincentive." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Okay. It helps people greatly. It helps our country get back. And anybody that would say anything different, I think, is very foolish. Everybody wanted it. By the way, the Democrats want it. The Republicans want it. They just couldn't get it they just couldn't come to an agreement, but everybody wants it." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "And the very important thing is the people want it, and the people need it, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Well, the answer is yes, but we have money to do other things, and we have a lot of money that was unspent, and we'll be able to do things with the money that was unspent. We have significant money that was unspent, and we will be able to use that for different purposes." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "We think it's going to be very rapid. We want it to be very rapid. It's going to be distributed in a way that whichever the fastest way. There are various methods, and it will be rapidly distributed." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "I didn't say that. No, no. I didn't say that." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "I I said I what I said is people can do whatever they want. I guess maybe they'll bring legal actions; maybe they won't, but they won't win. They won't win." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm not saying they're not going to come back and negotiate. They might very well come back and negotiate." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Very soon. They're going to see it very soon. Look, it's" + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Excuse me. Excuse me. There it is, right there." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "I think this is going to go very rapidly through the courts." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "This will go very if if we get sued. Maybe we won't get sued. If we get sued, it's somebody that doesn't want people to get money. Okay? And that's not going to be a very popular thing." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7085, + "raw_confidence": 0.7085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "They've obstructed. Congress has obstructed. The Democrats have obstructed people from getting desperately needed money." + }, + { + "tid": "NdbFp2_5VdI", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-08", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much everybody. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you very much. Great job numbers. You see what's happening with respect to the economy. A vaccine is looking very good for pretty soon. We'll talking about that a little bit later on." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6813, + "raw_confidence": 0.6813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We're going to Florida. We're going to North Carolina. We're doing a double stop. We'll be doing some triples along the way, but right now we're, sort of, in the earlier stages." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The poll numbers you saw were very good. They're really getting good despite all of the disinformation campaigns that the Democrats run. Pure disinformation. So we're doing very well. We'll have a good trip today, and I'll see you during the trip." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Yeah, if I have to, I would. But we're doing very well. We needed to spend more money up front because of the pandemic and the statements being made by Democrats, which were, again, disinformation. We've done a great job with COVID. We've done a great job with the China virus a great job. Whether it's ventilators or whether it's vaccines, which you'll be seeing very soon, or therapeutics, we've done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Whatever it takes. We have to win. This is the most important election in the history of our country. We have a radical-left group going around. These people there is something wrong with them. There really is. There is something wrong with them. And Joe doesn't have the strength. He doesn't have the mental capability to control these people." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And you take a look at what's going on and I looked at Pittsburgh, I looked at Rochester, I looked at LA last night. I looked at these Democrat-run cities. You look at Portland every night. They don't have the strength. They don't have the I don't think the Democrats have the courage to control these people. They're afraid to even talk about law and order. They can't issue the words law and order. All we want is law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2104, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And I just put out something: The suburbs are coming big to us because the suburbs are next. If you elected this guy, the suburbs would be overwhelmed with violence and crime. So that's where we are. This is the most important election in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "nJaLIMoLUPM", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So that's it. We'll see you in Florida. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, if you look at our economy compared to the economy of many other nations, some which were held up as having done a great job, we're doing better... Mortality rates, so many different things, we're doing better than most other countries. And in terms of manufacturing equipment and bringing it back, when you look at our numbers, you saw the numbers with retail sales or with auto manufacturing and all sorts of things." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3809, + "raw_confidence": 0.6191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're at the top of the world right now, we're doing better than any other nation, so I think we've done a very good job. There's a big price to keeping everybody locked up and keeping them shut down. There's a tremendous price to pay. Whether it's depression, suicide, drugs, alcohol it's a tremendous price to say, we're going to keep everything shut." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2574, + "raw_confidence": 0.7426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And interestingly, if you look at some of the states in this country that were the strictest, they're not doing as well as some of the governors who did it in an easier manner. Look, it's an invisible enemy, I think we've done an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No. Look, we want absentee ballots. That's good. Somebody sends for the ballot and it comes in and they sign it and they send it. And that's very safe, like in Florida and other places. What they want to do is send millions of ballots out, just indiscriminately, all over. They want to sell millions and millions of ballots out and you can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You can't do that. If you look at New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and many other places, they don't even know what the vote is. They have no idea what's going on. It's a total catastrophe. You will have an election. They won't know the winner of the election for two years. They'll never know the winner of the election." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7693, + "raw_confidence": 0.7693, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "As far as the post office is concerned, it lost $78 billion in a relatively short number of years, relatively. And you can't do that. This is long before I got here. The post office has always been a problem from that standpoint. We want to make the post office strong and really we want to make it great again." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And that's what we're doing. This has nothing to do with ballots. This has to do with making the post office good. Also, we can't continue to allow the taxpayers to pay this massive amount of loss. We can make the post office very strong and make it better." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's a punishment for being foolish, for being stupid, because they could have stopped that if they let the police do what they're trained to do. You have a good police department, they wouldn't let the police act. Whether it was the mayor, the governor or both, you wouldn't let the police act. We sent in the National Guard, it solved all the problem." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6446, + "raw_confidence": 0.6446, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You wouldn't have had a problem in Minneapolis if they allowed the police to do their job. I'm going to look into that when I get back, but I will tell you that they're being almost rewarded for allowing this horrible situation to take place. But it's Minnesota, it's a great place, it's a great state, I love it." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2051, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We almost won it. We're just... One more speech we would've won it. We'll win it this time, because people want law and order, but think of it. They're asking for money to do something, to fix something that should have never happened because they should have either brought in the National Guard immediately or let the police do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'm going to let them take a look at that. I'm going to let them study it and solve the problem. Maybe there are things I don't know about. Certainly it was a tragic situation. I hated seeing it. I've seen it like everyone else, a lot. You see it on television all the time. You see it, you read about it, but we'll let them make that decision." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, I think Minnesota would be tremendous if we won it. I'd appreciate... I've done a lot for Minnesota, I've been good to Minnesota, I love the state. I know so many people. I have so many friends up here. You have great congressmen up here. You have a really good race. I think Jason is going to win for the Senate." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He's really smart and tough and strong. And he's going to really be... He's a great candidate, far better than what the Democrats have. I think I would win, look at the crowd we have today. Just on a quick little meeting, a quick little stop. Look at the kind of crowd. We had to hold a lot of people back." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I think we're going to win Minnesota. We just missed it last time. One more stop and we would have won, but we won Michigan by doing that extra stop. I think we're going... We're going to focus very hard on Minnesota. We've done so much for Minnesota. I think we're going to win it." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I think so. I mean, we're pretty much socially distancing. They get a little excited, but frankly they're socially distanced and they're safe. Yes. And we're outside." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Oh sure, absolutely. I think she hates our country. She does nothing but complain about our country. It's hard to believe she can win a primary. That tells you how far left and how far sick the Democrats have become when somebody like that can win a primary in a great state like this, that's a very, very bad, dangerous thing for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Yeah. I believe she hates our country and she does nothing but bad mouth our country, and I don't like it." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4923, + "raw_confidence": 0.5077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'll be back in November. I'll be back here a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "O-irUfPQnrE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tom-hauser-kstp-saint-paul-minnesota-abc-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Yeah. We expect to make a lot of stops. We think we're going to win this state." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We've had a tremendous week uniting the country in our fight against the China virus. I have reminded people of the importance of masks when you can't socially distance, in particular. A strong message has been sent out to young people to stop going to crowded bars and other crowded places." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, we made the amazing announcement for our plans to protect nursing home residents. We're working very hard on that. We're doing very well all over the country. And also about contracting with Pfizer we made a big, big, beautiful contract with Pfizer. We think they're very close but we have a lot of companies that are very close to produce a vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1858, + "raw_confidence": 0.8142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But I looked at my team, and I said, The timing for this event is not right. It's just not right with what's happened recently the flare up in Florida to have a big convention. It's not the right time." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "It's really something that, for me I have to protect the American people. That's what I've always done. That's what I always will do. That's what I'm about." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "They said, Sir, we can make this work very easily. We have great enthusiasm. Incredible enthusiasm. Even the polls say about the most enthusiasm they've seen. We can do this safely, and we can do it responsibly." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I've spoken to Governor DeSantis and informed other political leaders. I want to thank the Jacksonville community, and its great mayor. He's a great great guy. Really great guy. They wanted it so badly. And all of the other political representatives in Jacksonville and in Florida. And just very special people a very special group. And they were there for us, 100 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Today, I want to provide an update on the actions we're taking to support the safe reopening of America's schools. Parents around the world who have had their children home for the last few months have a greater appreciation for the fact that teachers are essential workers, that they're essential to our children's future. Our goal is to protect our teachers and students from the China virus while ensuring that families with high-risk factors can continue to participate from home. Very important." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The American Academy of Pediatrics has released guidance recommending that schools reopen. It said, quote:" + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Lengthy time away from school and associated interruption of supportive services often results in social isolation, making it difficult for schools to identify and address important learning deficits as well as child and adolescent physical sexual abuse, substance use, depression, and suicidal ideation. This, in turn, places children and adolescents at considerable risk of morbidity and, in some cases, mortality. Beyond the educational impact and social impact of school closures, there has been substantial impact on food security and physical activity for children and families." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So, that's very important, and there's a highway it goes both ways." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2101, + "raw_confidence": 0.7899, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The National Education Association recently stated, Despite the momentous efforts of educators during the pandemic, online learning has never been an effective replacement for in-person learning and support. Being at the school, being on the campus is very, very important." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2518, + "raw_confidence": 0.7482, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "One study estimates that, due to school closures last spring, the average student will begin the school year roughly 35 percent behind in reading compared to the typical year, and more than 50 percent behind in math. That's a big statement." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6989, + "raw_confidence": 0.6989, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "According to McKinsey & Company, learning loss will probably be greatest among low-income black and Hispanic students. They're the ones that are hit the hardest. We don't want that happening." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4596, + "raw_confidence": 0.5404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Fortunately, the data shows that children are lower risk from the China virus, very substantially. When children do contact the virus, they often have only very mild symptoms or none at all, and medical complications are exceedingly rare. Those that do face complications often have underlying medical conditions. Ninety-nine percent of all China virus hospitalizations are adults. And 99.96 percent of all fatalities are adults. That means that children are a tiny percentage less than 1 percent, and even a small percentage of 1 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7905, + "raw_confidence": 0.7905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "In a typical year, the flu results in more deaths of those under 18 in the United States than have been lost thus far to the coronavirus. Many different names. Many, many different names." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The life of every child is sacred and must be protected. Our sole focus is the health and wellbeing of America's children." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I have a very, very special person who loves children, who is who is, I think, one of the greatest athletes of all time. A lot of people say the greatest pitcher of all time. Known as a relief pitcher who could have been whatever he wanted. Some people he is the greatest reliever of all time, by far. Substantially more saves than anybody else. In fact, he got the Presidential Medal of Freedom recently." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2262, + "raw_confidence": 0.7738, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And he I'm reading off these stats. I knew he was the best. I knew he was great, but I didn't know it was almost double anybody else. But he's a man who loves children has children, loves children, works hard with children. We're going to go outside and be with some little leaguers. Mariano Rivera you know, he's the Sandman, right? My wife said, Darling, why do they call him the 'Sandman'? I said, You know, they play the song. He just puts the batters to sleep. And that's exactly what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So, having Mariano here is a great honor. Thank you very much. He was talking about children in schools. And there's nobody that's done more than you have. Thank you very much, Mariano. Fantastic man." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Given these considerations, we believe many school districts can now reopen safely, provided they implement mitigation measures and health protocols to protect families, protect teachers, and to protect students. And we do have to protect the teachers and the families also; we have to remember that." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1806, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "All families should be empowered to make the decision that is right for their own circumstance. This is especially important if a child has underlying health conditions or lives with a parent or grandparent who is at high risk." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2153, + "raw_confidence": 0.7847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "In cities or states that are current hotspots and you'll see that in the map behind me districts may need to delay reopening for a few weeks, and that's possible. That'll be up to governors. The decision should be made based on the data and the facts on the grounds in each community, but every district should be actively making preparations to open." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Again, the children obviously have a very strong immune system, maybe even as strong as yours. They seem to be able to fight it off and not have a problem. So, it's pretty amazing actually. Great, great credit." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Our strategy to safely reopen schools mirrors our approach nationwide. As we race toward the completion of a vaccine and therapeutics, the responsible path is to shelter those at highest risk, while allowing those at lower risk much lower, in the case of young children to resume work and school and as long as everyone practices vigilant hygiene and social distancing. We want that." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7926, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "A permanent shutdown was never the strategy, which would ultimately lead to greater mortality and irreversible harms. We don't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we have to get our economy going. We had tremendous numbers issued yesterday. Housing prices pricing of housing up 21 percent. It's the highest in history. It's the highest number in history. Real estate housing went up 21 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Today, the CDC will provide additional guidance for how schools can reopen safely. I hope that local leaders put the full health and wellbeing of their students first and make the right decision for children, parents, teachers, and not make political decisions. This isn't about politics; it's about something very, very important. This is not about politics. I even think it's bad politics if you do the wrong decision. Very bad politics." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.19, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We're asking Congress to provide $105 billion to schools as part of the next coronavirus relief bill. This funding will support mitigation measures, such as smaller class sizes, more teachers and teacher aides, repurposing spaces to practice social distancing, and crucially, mask-wearing. This money is in addition to the $30 billion we secured for schools and universities earlier this year. That money we have; some is distributed, and some is not distributed." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2518, + "raw_confidence": 0.7482, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "If schools do not reopen, the funding should go to parents to send their child to public, private, charter, religious, or homeschool of their choice. The key word being choice. If the school is closed, the money should follow the student so the parents and families are in control of their own decisions. So we'd like the money to go to the parents of the student. This way, they can make the decision that's best for them." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We cannot indefinitely stop 50 million American children from going to school harming their mental, physical, and emotional development. Reopening our schools is also critical to ensuring that parents can go to work and provide for their families." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3789, + "raw_confidence": 0.6211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The Council of Economic Advisers estimates that 5.6 million parents will be unable to return to work if schools do not reopen this year. That's a tremendous problem. It's a tremendous problem. Schools have to open safely, but they have to open." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "More than a dozen European countries as well as South Korea, Taiwan, and many others have already reopened schools, and cases have not risen. We can achieve the same goal if we unite together, follow the best medical practices, and apply common sense." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We'll continue to support states and cities in the current hotspots in the South, Southwest, and West. The governors I know them all. They're all very, very capable. They're doing a very good job. They're working so hard. You wouldn't even believe it." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We have nearly 30,000 federal personnel deployed in the states that need assistance. We're helping with doctors and nurses medical personnel of all kinds. As a PPE update, we're in close communication with governors and states." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1982, + "raw_confidence": 0.8018, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We have supplies everything they could possibly need. We're very strong on supplies. Remember I used to say the cupboards were bare? Well, now the cupboards are the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5956, + "raw_confidence": 0.5956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Due to our historic efforts to increase both the National Stockpile and the state stockpiles, the vast majority of the states have 60 days' worth of supplies on hand. And most importantly, they have ventilators - because the ventilators are very, very hard to come by, at least in the past. Now we're making thousands of ventilators a month and supplying them, in many cases, to other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "For states that are making requests, we're rapidly delivering. In the last 24 hours, FEMA has deployed more than 1.5 million masks upon request, 1.7 million gowns, and 600,000 well, let me change that. We've created about 600,000 different supplies. We have 600 ventilators to Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Idaho, and Washington. I think the number is 600. We'll go check that, and we'll give it you in a little while. But we've we've got a stockpile of thousands of ventilators. I think we've sent out about 600 just recently." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.787, + "raw_confidence": 0.787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The United States has now conducted more than 51 million tests, which is more than any other country in the world, by far. Roughly half of the tests are either the rapid, point-of- care tests, which, frankly, solves a lot of problem in delay 5 to 15 minutes, instead of waiting for service both ways, in both directions, and then at the lab. But roughly half of them now, which is a tremendous increase, are 5- to 15-minute tests or tests done in a hospital where you get the results back in less than a day in some cases, immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4014, + "raw_confidence": 0.5986, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We're continuing to surge testing to current ho- hotspots, such as Miami and Phoenix, to detect those with the virus and take steps to stop from spreading it further." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "This is a copy of the map, and this is a you have it right behind me. That's really very much indicating where the problems are. You see from from that, it's in great shape lots of it. The Northeast has become very clean. The country is in very good shape, other than if you look South and West some problems. That will all work out." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "On therapies: We've worked with Florida to ensure that over 40,000 vials of remdesivir are arriving this week. That's a lot. That's a really that's a lot. They're working around the clock to make it. It's had a tremendous impact. We've also shipped thousands of vials to Arizona, California, and Texas over the past two weeks. Arizona is doing very well; it's heading down. The numbers are heading down, I think, very quickly. The governor has done a great job. They've all done a great job. They've all done a great job. Working hard." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We'll continue to monitor the areas rising and with respect to cases. And we ask all Americans to exercise vigilance, practice social distancing, wear a mask, do whatever is necessary so we get rid of this horrible situation this horrible disease that was sent to us by China." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "It should not have been sent. They should have stopped it. They could have stopped it. They didn't. And the entire world has gotten infected, and a lot of countries are going through a lot right now." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2192, + "raw_confidence": 0.7808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "This morning, I spoke with President Putin of Russia, and they're going through a very hard time with this in Moscow, in particular. I spoke to the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia. They're doing well, but they're going through a lot. Everybody is going through a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3629, + "raw_confidence": 0.6371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, I spoke to the heads of four different countries. All four are going through a lot. They're going through a hard time." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2182, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "This could have been stopped. It could have been stopped quickly and easily. But for some reason, it wasn't, and we'll figure out what that reason was." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So, with that, if you have any questions please." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2221, + "raw_confidence": 0.7779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I just felt it was wrong, Steve, to have people going to what turned out to be a hotspot. You know, when we chose it, it was not at all hot; it was free. And all of a sudden, it happened quickly. It happens quickly. And it goes away, and it goes away quickly. The key is, we want it to go away without a lot of death, without a lot of problems." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we're learning so much about the disease. That's why we're we're very cognizant of nursing homes we're watching them very carefully and people over a certain age, and especially people over a certain age with diabetes or or heart disease, in particular but with a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So, we didn't want to take any chances. So we had a lot of people. We have the delegates want to be there. We're going to do a fairly reasonably quick meeting in North Carolina. The nomination will be produced. And then we'll announce what we're doing, how we're doing it, whether it's something that's done online; I guess you could call it online. So, there can nothing there can be nothing like our last convention, unfortunately. That was a great convention and in a great place, as you know. We had a we had a great time a great time in Cleveland." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But it's a different world, and it will be for a little while. We want to get the world back to what it was, and I think we'll have that, including great job numbers, including so many things that are happening so positive." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7236, + "raw_confidence": 0.7236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I have to say, the stock market is close to records. For Nasdaq, it is a record. It's already exceeded its highest numbers. But we want to get our country back to what it was." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We haven't set that yet, Steve. We'll have that we'll probably announce that over the next few days." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2258, + "raw_confidence": 0.7742, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Look, we've done a great job. We built the greatest economy in the world. Nobody close not China, not anybody. We had to close it, we saved millions of lives, then we opened it. But we had the best numbers in history for African Americans, Hispanic Americans, Asian Americans, every group you want to name young people without a diploma; young people with a high school diploma, with a college diploma. Anything you want to name, we had the best numbers. Women doing incredibly. Never never been a time like that." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2076, + "raw_confidence": 0.7924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we had to turn it off because of what China did. We had to turn it off. And then, all of the sudden now we turn it back on, and we're doing very well. But it was very bad." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7819, + "raw_confidence": 0.7819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "China speaking about China, the trade deal means less to me now than it did when I made it. When I made it, it was a great deal. But they're they're setting records. Yesterday was a record corn day. They purchased more corn than any order ever, and that went on for two or three days. And soy beans and all. But it just means much less to me. Can you understand that? It just means much less to me." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "No, they didn't. We're dealing with them, but they didn't. I would just say safety. Just safety. I just you know, I could see the media saying, Oh this is very unsafe. This is... I don't want to be in that position. It's safety not because of the media, but that's what they would say." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we'll have a very nice something; we'll figure it out. It'll be it'll be online, in some form. Maybe it'll be something even a little bit different. We have time. You know, we're talking about the end of August. But I think it'll be something that will be exciting, but there can be nothing like having 25,000 people." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7716, + "raw_confidence": 0.7716, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We had a tremendous thing planned in and a tremendous convention planned in North Carolina. And it would have been very good, but a much smaller version in Florida. But then, we saw what was happening. Pretty quickly, we saw that that the virus was coming up that coast." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "No, I think it's going to come and go. It will. I mean, you take a look at some of these locations were heavily infected. I mean, to a point where Deborah and I were talking that you know, when you look at what happened in New York and what happened in New Jersey and other places. And now you're looking, and it's gone. I hope it stays gone. I think we I think it will. But we had to be we had to be we have to be vigilant. We have to be careful." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we also have to set an example. I think setting the example is very important. It's hard for us to say we're going to have a lot of people packed in a room, and then other people shouldn't do it." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I think so. I mean, I a lot of people feel differently about testing. We talk about it a lot. When we have 50 million tests-plus, and you know, we bra- we broke the 50 million-test mark." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5184, + "raw_confidence": 0.5184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Second in the world is India, which has 1.4 billion people, and they had 12 million tests. And other countries that are very big had 2 million tests. And some countries essentially only test if you're sick and walk into a hospital or walk into a doctor's office or you're literally really sick. They essentially don't do tests unless you're sick, and I understand that, too." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So, yeah, if they feel that that's what they want, it's that would be fine." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2672, + "raw_confidence": 0.7328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I would if they want. Again, we've done 50 million tests. There's nobody even close in the whole world. You look at our mortality rate. You look at our death rate. You look at different statistics. We're doing very well. But one death is too many. This should never have happened. This should never have been allowed to happen from China." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I'd like to see a payroll tax cut. I think it's great for the workers. The Democrats would never have gone for it. They don't want it. They're not big into the workers, I guess. And based on that, I told them last night I told the Republicans, who have been working very hard on this, I'll tell you and they want what's right for the country, and hopefully the Democrats ultimately will." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But I said, I think a payroll tax will be good, but you're not going to get it from the Democrats. We need their votes, as you know. It's not like you know, we have a majority, but it's not enough that we that's why I guess we have an election coming up. So you still need Democrat votes, and we're not going to get the Democratic votes on that." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So I'd like to see it. I think it would be very good for the workers. But if we're not going to get their votes, I guess we have to go on to the next thing. A payroll tax cut would have been very good. And maybe maybe something happens." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1934, + "raw_confidence": 0.8066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, baseball, as an example we were discussing it a little while ago you're going to be at an empty stadium. I've agreed Randy Levine is a great friend of mine from the Yankees, and he asked me to throw out the first pitch, and I think I'm doing that on August 15th at Yankee Stadium. And I say, How's the crowd going to be? And, you know, it's like you don't have a crowd; there is no such thing." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "It's going to be interesting, Mariano. He's not used to that. I've been at many games. He walks in; the place goes crazy. I think it'd be just as good without the crowd. You were just born with it, you know. Some people are born with it." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I don't know if this is only for the baseball players, but I've never seen a pitcher throw a ball where so many bats were broken as Mariano. He's got the all-time record. I said, How do you do that? He said, Parents. Great parents, when you get right down to it. Right? How do you do that? It's called parents." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I just just to finish, I think I think that we have to all set examples. I think Major League Baseball is setting the example by, you know, playing to empty stadiums, and so are other sports. You see that. Now, then they'll allow a certain number in. I see golf is now soon will be allowing people to come in, in percentages. And all of a sudden, we want to get back to normal." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "The key is to get back to normal, because nobody wants to see this. But I think it's really good that baseball is opening. It looks like football is opening. It looks like sports are opening. We we have it's a tremendous thing, psychologically, for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we're all we're all, whether we're se- we're going to see right now some beautiful, young Little Leaguers outside with a great future ahead of them. They're already practicing on the front lawn of the White House, and we're going to go out and say hello to them, and it'll be really great." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Okay, how about one more? Yeah, please. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2569, + "raw_confidence": 0.7431, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I don't know that they're putting it in this bill, but I know they want to have a new FBI building. This one is very old, and it's really it was never built to a very high standard, as you probably have heard. And it's got a lot of danger involved and panels falling off the outside and pieces of concrete falling off the building." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And they want to build it at the site that they have it. They had options very far away from Washington. And I said to him, Frankly, you have to be near the Justice Department. There's nothing better than the site. The site they have now is better. But they were looking in sites in Maryland and Virginia, in different places, but they would've been too far away." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So I am I've been encouraging them to build it. And if you're going to you have a choice: You can renovate the existing building but it's not a good building or you could take it down and build a great building for the FBI for 100 years and have it be incredible. Even with tracks on top, they're talking about you know, we have because FBI people like to work out a lot. And you could have, literally, quarter-mile tracks on top. It's a very big site, a very wide site." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So I think the idea the best idea would be to build a new building. And that way, you have it for a long time. Renovation can never be as good as a new building, in that case. I know they're talking about it, whether or not they put it in this bill or someplace else. But the FBI needs a new building, and we'll get it done." + }, + { + "tid": "o0SB7CVUORg", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Good, thank you very much. Good morning." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, she's radical left, now she tries to pretend she's not, but she is the most liberal person in the U.S. Senate, acknowledged to be. She's done things that are terrible in terms of the police, in terms of the Second Amendment, in terms of everything else. And she is a big taxer, as Joe is a big taxer." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They want to tax $4 trillion, going to be the biggest tax increase in history by far. It will triple up records, and they're big taxers. It's just something that won't work. We'll have you will see a depression, the likes of which you have never seen. You'll have to go back to 1929, I guess it doesn't get too much worse than that, and you'll just see that." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And frankly, you know, we've had a tremendous a tremendous market, you and I have talked about that, the stock market. Think of it, we're almost back to where we were and we're still in the pandemic, which will be going away, as I say, it will be going away. And they scream, how you can you say that?" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I said, because it's going to be going away. But, you know, we're in the middle of a pandemic and yet we're going to be hitting records. I guess Nasdaq already has many times, like 14 times. And the Dow is you take a look at the numbers, I see for the first time today it's actually it's actually down a few points, I'm shocked, almost shocked to see that, but we've been going up." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7858, + "raw_confidence": 0.7858, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I think we're up 9,000 points, 54 percent since March. So, somebody made a lot of money, and I hope those 401(k) people didn't do anything when it got down, when it dipped, because they'll be very unhappy right now. But, if they stayed with Trump, they're they're very rich." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, I think it depends on who wins. I think if he wins you're going to end up with a disaster to be honest. I see his plans. The New Green Deal is something that the likes of which nobody can even comprehend, it's like drawn by children. It's drawn by children. It's so ridiculous. OK? You go over point over point and they're actually serious about it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1946, + "raw_confidence": 0.8054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I used to think they were playing games. It was politics. I don't even think it's good politics it's so ridiculous. But they're talking about no fossil fuels which means basically no energy, you'd have to close down half of the businesses of the country. You have to rebuild cities because too much light gets through the window, so let's make the windows nice and small." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3541, + "raw_confidence": 0.6459, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Let's rip down the Empire State Building and replace it with no windows. I mean the whole thing is so preposterous, it's so crazy. And I guess you're talking about $100 trillion, right, to do it, assuming you did it which will never happen by the way. But I will tell you" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2308, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Maria, it's no airplanes, let's not get more than one car. I'm sure the car business would love that. Let's everyone get a car and live by it. The cows I don't know if they actually put the cows in. They're getting hit very hard by the animal rights groups but they don't want to have cows, they don't want to have any form of animals." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "These people are crazy, OK? And this is a this is what we're getting. And it's amazing the way Sleepy Joe buys into it. He buys into it like, oh, great. He doesn't know what he's doing. And now you have a sort of a mad woman I call her because she was so angry and so such hatred with Justice Kavanaugh." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I mean I've never seen anything like it. She was the angriest of the group and they were all angry. They're all radical left angry people, and they're angry because I beat them." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They still haven't forgotten. These are seriously ill people. But if you look at if you look at her record is a terrible record. And I'll tell you a good poll because the real poll we're doing very well on the polls, and they love the suppression polls. This is almost like a replay of four years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7165, + "raw_confidence": 0.7165, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They said I was going to lose every swing state the day before. He will lose every swing state. It will be a very short evening." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3618, + "raw_confidence": 0.6382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Except I won every swing state, every single one of them and most of them pretty easily. I mean you take a look at some of these swing states, I won them easy. And I got 306. Remember they said the night before the election there is no way he gets to 270. I didn't, I got to 306 in the Electoral College" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I mean it's crazy. These people are crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, they really don't though, because nobody's buying it. Look, we got hit by the China plague and we're not going to forget it. We got hit by the China plague. I built the greatest economy in history, greatest job numbers, greatest stock market numbers, greatest economic numbers. Nobody's ever seen it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7508, + "raw_confidence": 0.7508, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I was cruising to election. They weren't even going to be a factor. George Washington would've had a hard time winning, you know that. It was we were cruising. You had to see the numbers. And it wasn't even going to be a factor. And the market was going to go through the roof because he is an overhang." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7883, + "raw_confidence": 0.7883, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Having Joe Biden is a big overhang, even on the numbers that you put up every day that are so good, there's an overhang because if he got in the numbers would go down thousands of points if he ever won the election. So, it's an overhang because certainly there's a chance that could happen and that's holding back." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "That's a headwind. That's holding back the market. As believe it or not as good as the market's been, it's up 50 percent since March, as I guess 9,000 I think it's yes, like 9,000 points. You never saw anything like it. I'm talking about the new ones going up faster, so I'm doing it twice." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I'll be doing it Maria, I'll be doing it twice. I will have rebuilt it twice. But nobody blames me, even the radical left crazies out there. This is the first time I've heard this attack. Nobody's blaming me for the fact that the call it whatever you want, the China virus, as you know there's 20 names for it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "You have your pick of names, right? I call it" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3316, + "raw_confidence": 0.6684, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "generally the China virus. Came out of China, should have never been allowed to happen, but the fact is this plague came in and I closed it up, saved millions of lives, now we're re-opening. And I don't know if you saw yesterday, but I put up charts that were incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5307, + "raw_confidence": 0.5307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The you talk about a \"V,\" that's like a super \"V\". And we're coming back and coming back strong and my biggest headwind is Biden because everyone knows that if Biden gets in, this market's going to crash. He's going to build regulations and his taxes, he's going to tax people $4 trillion, $4 trillion." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "That will destroy this economy, the likes of which nobody's ever seen before, $4 trillion in taxes. So, I don't think, you know the old days" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I was just going to say, Maria, in the old days when you were going to build" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "you talked about tax cuts, you didn't talk about tax increases. I've never heard of a politician that got elected, we are going to increase your taxes. This guy's going around and I'm not saying, you know, I'm not trying to I've never seen it before. He got on television two days ago, says no we're going with tax increases." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I'm looking around, I'm going, maybe we're from a different school. He is going to give, not tax increases, massive tax increases to pay for AOC's plan. AOC was a poor student I mean, I won't say where she went to school, it doesn't matter. This is not even a smart person, other than she's got a good line of stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I mean she goes out and she yaps. These guys and they're all afraid of her because if you notice all of these progressives are beating the regular Democrats. You know you look at Eliot Engel, poor Eliot Engel, he's still going what happened? What happened? Has anybody seen what happened, what are the results?" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "He got whipped out. So these people are scaring and Schumer's going to get beaten. Yes, and Schumer's going to get beaten by her, she's going to run against Schumer. And he knows that and he's going to get beaten by her unless he can talk her out of doing it, he has no chance." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3661, + "raw_confidence": 0.6339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Chuck Schumer will be, in my opinion, AOC will run against Chuck Schumer for the Senate, yes. I mean, and I think she'll win." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1847, + "raw_confidence": 0.8153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Of course she's done so many bad things who knows whether or not she'll get there." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Who knows whether or not she'll get there." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well they're right, and it's their fault. They want $3.5 billion for something that will turn out to be fraudulent, that's election money basically. They want 3.5 trillion billion dollars for the mail-in votes, OK, universal mail-in ballots, 3.5 trillion. They want $25 billion, billion, for the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2143, + "raw_confidence": 0.7857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Now they need that money in order to have the post office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots. Now, in the meantime, they aren't getting there. By the way, those are just two items. But if they don't get those two items, that means you can't have universal mail-in voting because they're not equipped to have it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7737, + "raw_confidence": 0.7737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And you see how bad it's been with this Carolyn Maloney scam, she scammed her way into an election. She probably lost, but they said mail-in ballots, it's all mixed up. Patterson, New Jersey, same thing. Yesterday Virginia, 500,000 applications for ballots, got sent to everybody, nobody even knows. Got sent to dogs, got sent to dead people, nobody has no idea what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They said, oh, we made a mistake, I'm sorry. Five hundred thousand ballots sent in Virginia. How do you feel about Virginia going in there and you have 500,000 phony ballot applications?" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And if this is all over then I can give you" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, no, no, that's only one aspect of it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "That's one of them, that's right. How would you like to have, Maria, how would you like to have $3.5 billion, billion, for mail-in voting, billion? So, if you didn't have it do you know how much money that is? Nobody has any idea, you know people, oh, $3.5 billion. They want $25 billion for the Post Office because the Post Office is going to have to go to town to get these great ridiculous ballots in." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2835, + "raw_confidence": 0.7165, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "You know, there's nothing wrong with getting out and voting, you get out and vote. They voted during World War I and World War II, and they should have voter ID, because the Democrats scammed the system. But, two of the items are the Post Office and the $3.5 billion for mail-in voting. Now, if we don't make a deal, that means they don't get the money." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "That means they can't have universal mail-in voting, they just can't have it. So, you know, sort of a crazy thing. Very interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Those are two of the items, but there are many more items." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2012, + "raw_confidence": 0.7988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, your California where they're sending out tens of millions of ballots, they have no idea where they're going or maybe they do, maybe they'll go to everybody but Republicans. But, they have California, they have many states where you're going to have now I will say it, we're challenging in court we're challenging in court." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3105, + "raw_confidence": 0.6895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, it's being challenged by at many different levels, we have many lawsuits out there. This will be the greatest fraud in history. This will be the most fraudulent this will be almost as fraudulent as Obama spying on my campaign, but not quite. This will be the greatest fraud in history." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7922, + "raw_confidence": 0.7922, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It's called vote ID, it's the greatest thing there is. Everybody knows it. Some states, like Indiana, some very well run states have it, but many don't. And the Democrats are fighting it tooth and nail because they cheat. There's only one reason to fight it, they cheat. If you don't cheat you want to have voter ID, but many people vote." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7958, + "raw_confidence": 0.7958, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "If you look at California, we found over a million votes in Los Angeles, over a million. Judicial watched it, they were fantastic job they did, Tom Fitton and that group. They did a fantastic job. Found over a million votes where people were over 100 years old and they were voting. They had people, I think, 124-years-old." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, it's ridiculous. It's a terrible it's a terrible thing that's happened and the Democrats don't want to fix it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2039, + "raw_confidence": 0.7961, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, we won that in a lawsuit because they cheated. The European Union is almost as bad as China. You know, everybody doesn't like it when I say that, they say they're our allies, well they take advantage of us tremendously on NATO, you know, they don't pay their dues. Germany is delinquent for billions and billions and billions of dollars and we're supposed to protect them, and they they pay a lot of money to Russia for oil and gas, the pipeline, they pay money to Russia, billions and billions of dollars, and then we're supposed to protect them from Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And on top of everything else, they're very delinquent, they're paying one percent, they're supposed to pay two and the real number should be four or five. So, we get it from every different corner. Now, I you know I caught it, I'm wise to it and you have a lot of stupid people out there that say, oh, I'm not treating Germany right, I'm not being nice to France, and you know, they take it and I'm by the way, I'm very friendly with all the people and they know, they smile at me when I look at them." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2195, + "raw_confidence": 0.7805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They said nobody's ever nobody's ever talked to us like you do. You know, I got NATO to pay $400 billion more a year, my biggest fan in the world is Secretary General Stoltenberg of NATO. He says, I can't believe it, because we were going down every year for 20 years, it was going down, down, down, what they were paying for protection, and I came in and it looks like a rocket ship up." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2678, + "raw_confidence": 0.7322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But still, Germany's not paying anywhere near what they're supposed to. I use the word delinquent, they're delinquent, they don't pay." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, we lose for many years, $400, $500, $300, $200 billion a year, billion, with China, dealing with China. First of all before we even get into security, it's been a rip off the likes of which the world have never seen, and I charge massive tariffs and they pay us 100. They paid us just tens of billions of dollars in tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7929, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "As you know, they targeted our farmers and I gave them I gave our farmers all the money that they got targeted for, which was $28 billion over a three year period, so I gave the money to the farmers. That's why the farmers love Trump because I took care of them as opposed to other administrations that forget about the farmers, but I took good care of them." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2775, + "raw_confidence": 0.7225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But I took it out of China. Now we're getting right now, under the trade deal, people don't know. They said like Schumer had no idea he was taking we don't get tariffs anymore. He didn't like tariffs. They wanted to charge him, all of a sudden he thought it was great because so much money comes into us, but then he when I made the deal, I left the tariffs on, which nobody still understands." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "How did I make the deal and still leave the tariffs on, and they're buying a lot of corn, you know, et cetera, et cetera. But with all of that, my mindset has changed on China since they allowed the plague to come in and have such a devastating effect on the world us and the world, which is terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But no I view China differently than I did. It's before plague and after plague. Right now, I view China differently than I did before plague." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Look, they're running their country and we're running our country, and we have other countries that treat us very badly. They treat us like children because we had foolish leadership. I'm being nice when I use the word foolish, but we've had very foolish leadership at the top at the presidential level." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2947, + "raw_confidence": 0.7053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And all of these countries, from China, to Vietnam, to all the Asian countries and others many others have taken advantage of us. We straightened it out with Mexico and with Canada we have the new USMCA. We were in the process of straightening it out with China, then the plague came, but even before that I had a complete deal with China and four days before it was going to be signed they broke it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So why should I give this to China? Hong Kong can never succeed without those incentives, and Hong Kong can never succeed having China as opposed to the thousands of geniuses that ran it having China run it. So what does it mean for the United States at a very practical sense? It means that our markets are going to make a lot more money." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2838, + "raw_confidence": 0.7162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They're going to use the New York Stock Exchange. They're going to use Nasdaq. They're going to use our markets, and the Hong Kong markets will go to Hell. Nobody is going to do business very few people are going to do business in Hong Kong anymore. So we've taken it back and we are going to make billions and billions of dollars more because we've taken away all of these very expensive incentives." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We gave that to them, and I fully understood it, and I still understand it. I was OK with it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2315, + "raw_confidence": 0.7685, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But once China got aggressive and took it over I took everything back. Everything is back now and it will fail." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So first of all the first thing, we have got those people, and they're being prosecuted under this administration. They're being prosecuted, number one. Number two" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5055, + "raw_confidence": 0.5055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "TikTok, I broke the deal. I said you can't do business in the United States. I also said to Huawei you can't do business in the United States. And I told our so-called allies, that are all over the world, all of which, you know, for the most take advantage of us. We have good allies. We have some very good allies, but some are you know, they take advantage of us because for so many years they were allowed to just absolutely rip us off." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But, I've told them, I said if you go with Huawei that's OK, but we're not going to be communicating having to do with intelligence because the intelligence goes right into Beijing, OK, and we don't want that. And, you know, we know that, and we have better scientists than they do. We have better engineers than they do." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We know exactly what happens. So, we explained that to Europe and others, and for the most part they're not buying Huawei, and if they do we'll have to cut off intelligence because the intelligence we can't have that go into Beijing. So, we have there's been nobody tougher to China or to Russia or to anybody else than I have." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6589, + "raw_confidence": 0.6589, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Despite a media that's bought out by China, much more so than Russia. Do you ever notice they always say Russia, Russia, Russia. They don't mention China, China, China because most of these people like you look at the NBA. They're bought off by China and China is, you know, the big pot of gold, so they say, oh, let's go let's use Russia instead of China." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But China's a big problem, and I've made it a much smaller problem. The fact is that with Hong Kong we're saving a massive amounts of billions of dollars and it's not going to work. It can't work. It's all based on the dollar. I've made the dollar stronger" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I've made the dollar stronger to a point that there is almost no secondary currency. The dollar is stronger now than it's ever been, and it will be even stronger in my second term, and I don't mean just from a price standpoint. I'm talking about the pedigree of the dollar. Unless a Biden gets in with his stupid taxes, he wants to tax he'll tax this country into a depression-like in 1929. If you do what he wants to do, his plan" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2174, + "raw_confidence": 0.7826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "and I've been pretty good, you have to say, Maria, at predicting things I've been pretty good, including saying I was going to win the election and I'm going to win it a second time by the way because you know one of the reasons I'm going to win a second time is people have made a fortune with me and they don't want their 401(k)s going down by 75, 80 percent or more, and that's what's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Regulations and taxes. He's going to regulate everything, put everything back times two. I cut more regulations than any president" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1909, + "raw_confidence": 0.8091, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "in history by far. We're going to continue cutting regulations" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "OK. Well I've done the payroll tax cut temporary you know, this is a temporary payroll tax cut, but this is a very substantial, positive jolt to the economy. I'm going to do a capital gains tax cut to 15 percent in second term. We're going to get it down to 15 percent. It's at 21. We'll get that down to 15 percent and I'll get that done easily." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2199, + "raw_confidence": 0.7801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We're going to take the House. I believe we're going to take back the House because Nancy Pelosi is stone cold crazy, and I think we're going to take the House. And that's upon you know, I don't make a statement like that very easily, but we're going to take otherwise, I'll look very bad, but we're going to take back the House." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We're going to hold the presidency, and we're fighting very hard in the Senate. I'll be honest. The Senate is tough. We have a couple of people that aren't as supportive of Trump as they should be and those people are going to lose their elections. If they don't support Trump, they lose their elections." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It's a very simple element. Look at Hagerty in Tennessee. He was a Trump guy, and he just became or he will become very shortly the Senator. He won the primaries the other day. You look at all of the things that have happened, but the ones that don't support and I'm just talking take a look. The ones that don't support, and you have a few people that want to be cute, and I think they're going to lose their elections and that's a problem for the Senate." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Yes. Well the unions own Biden. He doesn't even know it. Joe doesn't even know he's alive, but the unions own Biden. They own the radical left. They own Pelosi and Schumer. And they will do anything for the unions, including destroy the future of our children. And by the way, the union workers, I love them." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They're going to have to work in schools. There's nothing more valuable than good teachers. Teachers are the whole basis for everything. I mean, we need teachers. That's a very important thing." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4247, + "raw_confidence": 0.5753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Look, he totally controls Nancy Pelosi. In fact, when we did the USMCA, he had to sign off on it for her. She wouldn't do it unless he signed off. And he's a good guy, but he's a union guy, you know, he's good but he's a union guy. He does what he can do. But if you look at really what was happening before, we were actually coming this country was coming together before China sent over the plague." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "This country was coming together because of success. Somebody said what's going to bring how can the country heal? I said one word. Success. And it was happening. You know that. It was happening. We were getting closer. People were calling me that I'm talking about Democrats that were calling me and talking in a way that was very different from what it had been because we had the best employment numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6609, + "raw_confidence": 0.6609, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We had the best employment numbers we've ever had. We had the best numbers we ever had. We had the best stock market numbers we've ever had, which now looks like they're going to be supplanted by what we have now, if you can even believe that. But we have the best success we've ever had and this country was coming together." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8265, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Then the plague hit us from China, a gift from China, and now we're rebuilding it and it's going up like a \"V\", like a rocket and you look at those numbers on automobiles, on employment." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "By the way, when they say abuse of power on impeachment, that was a phony it was a phony fake impeachment. It was a disgrace on a phone call that was an absolutely perfect phone call." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2358, + "raw_confidence": 0.7642, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I'm the only one to get impeached on a perfect phone call, like a perfect phone call. And I got impeached because of the level of hatred. But when they say abuse of power, the abuse of power is that I get everything done. I'm going to have over 300 judges by the end of the first term. Nobody's ever seen that before." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2247, + "raw_confidence": 0.7753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I'm going to have two Supreme Court judges, justices, and we'll have literally over 300 judges including court of appeals. We've done things that nobody's ever done. The tax cuts, the regulation cuts, ANWR. Look at ANWR, they couldn't get ANWR done, Ronald Reagan couldn't get it done, Bushes, nobody could get it done." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7463, + "raw_confidence": 0.7463, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I got ANWR done. Everybody that's true." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I hope he's doing a great job. And I hope they're not going to be politically correct and I hope they do what because the fact this was President Obama knew everything, Vice President Biden, as dumb as he may be, he knew everything and everybody else knew everything, Maria, and you know it. And Comey and Brennan and Clapper, they all were terrible, and they lied to Congress and they put Flynn they want to put Flynn in jail." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.74, + "raw_confidence": 0.74, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And he didn't lie because the FBI said he didn't lie and we just found that out, you know, it was only Mueller that said he lied. And they said he didn't lie and they're putting they're trying to destroy that man's life, and other people that got in trouble that did nothing by comparison and many cases nothing or nothing in comparison." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2257, + "raw_confidence": 0.7743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They spied on my campaign, which is treason. They spied both before and after I won. Think of that. Using the intelligence apparatus of the United States" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7558, + "raw_confidence": 0.7558, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "to take down a president, a legally elected president, a duly elected president of the United States. It's the single biggest" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1975, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "political crime in the history of our country. And I hope they're doing a job, I hope they're not going to be politically correct and say, well you know, we want to go, just get let's get the lower guys that forged the documents going into FISA. Let's just get a couple of the lower guys. I hope they're not going to be Bill Barr can go down as the greatest Attorney General in the history of our country, or he can go down as just an average guy." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It depends on what's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They'll probably cancel it out almost definitely." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They'll probably cancel it out almost definitely, and it's a shame. It's a shame. But, we caught them, look, we caught them. Carter Page, they just used him to spy on the campaign, others they used to spy on the campaign, it's a disgrace. And it could either be unbelievable they don't need s special counsel." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "First of all, they have a special counsel working and they have Durham working, so they don't need another special counsel. We've had enough special counsels. And frankly, everybody knows, if you didn't have one bit of evidence from what you already know from reading the newspapers, they're all guilty as hell." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7972, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The insurance policy where in case she loses we've got an insurance policy, we're going to go and take him out, you know that, that's what that meant. That was with Strzok and Page, the two lovers, the two great lovers that got caught. I hope everybody enjoyed that." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7695, + "raw_confidence": 0.7695, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Because they were only interested anything having to do with Trump, even though they knew all of this stuff, Strzok and Page, their text message were all deleted by Mueller. Mueller went in himself, and he lied to Congress, because he said he didn't apply for a job to head the FBI and he did, we have absolute proof of that." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7075, + "raw_confidence": 0.7075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "He came in looking to run the FBI early on. The following day he was given the job as the special prosecutor, I call it prosecutor, because it's not a counsel. They say special counsel, it's really a prosecutor. So, he was given the just I want to be more accurate and with all of that he that they did, think of it, they spent $48 million plus, you don't even know what they spent, looked at everything, they looked at my taxes, I'm sure, they looked at everything." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7885, + "raw_confidence": 0.7885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "With all of that, no collusion. I have a friend who is a very sophisticated man, one of the most successful people, you know him very well, he said, you have to be the most honest person in the world to escape the greatest witch hunt ever perpetrated in the history of our country. To go over every document, every phone call, everything you've ever done, and they say no collusion, I did nothing wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They said, I never knew you were that honest. He said, you must be the most honest man in the world. And so, then they take it down and they send it to New York." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well listen, we couldn't find anything. Let's send it in to New York, into the Democrat lion's den. So, they play games there for years, it's a disgrace. What's going on in this country we've got to stop it, we've got to stop it and we're getting close." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3477, + "raw_confidence": 0.6523, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, Christopher Wray was put there, we have an election coming up, I wish he was more forthcoming. He certainly hasn't been. There are documents that they want to get and that we have said we want to get. We're going to find out if he's going to give those documents, but certainly he's been very, very protective." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "He was put there for a good reason. He was chosen by a certain person and I said, go ahead, put whoever you want. I'm so honest that I said you could put anybody you want. Let's see how Wray turns out. He's going to either turn out one way or the other." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.304, + "raw_confidence": 0.696, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "and Durham have a chance to be Bill Barr has a chance to be the greatest of all time, but if he wants to be politically correct he'll be just another guy because he knows all the answers." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.741, + "raw_confidence": 0.741, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "He knows what they have, and it goes right to Obama and it goes right to Biden. They had the meetings, and that was one meeting they caught him." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6798, + "raw_confidence": 0.6798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I would say the only problem with the debates is we should have one debate, move it forward, have an extra one. I don't care. Three debates is fine or make it four, but we should have one before the ballots start going out, these phony ballots, you know? They go out, and we should have a debate before the ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2341, + "raw_confidence": 0.7659, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We have a debate a month after the ballots start going out, so people are voting without seeing the debate, so I think they should move one debate forward or have an extra one put in, but I want to do the debates and they are trying to get out of the debates. There's no question about that. You know, I have people that are very good at this stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you, they want to they would love to get out of the debates unfortunately." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7349, + "raw_confidence": 0.7349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I want to get the schools open." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2327, + "raw_confidence": 0.7673, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I want to get the schools open. They should be open. The children, if you look, statistically it's incredible how strong they are. Their immune systems, they're incredible. We have to get our schools open. We have to get our country, and a lot of the reason it's not happening is because blue state governors, if you take a look at some of the Democrat governors, they don't want their state open because they think that hurts me on November 3rd, and I think people are wise to it." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1963, + "raw_confidence": 0.8037, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Our country is going to be stronger than it's ever been next year. We're going to have one of the best years, maybe as good as last year. It's incredible what's happening, and when you look at the numbers on cars, on everything, retail sales, you look at the employment numbers, we set a record. We're going up despite the Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "This is like I built the wall despite the Democrats. Now nobody wants to talk about it anymore, but despite the Democrats, they don't talk about the wall anymore. Do you notice? They used to talk about it. Now they don't because" + }, + { + "tid": "OL08DwwU0sk", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2566, + "raw_confidence": 0.7434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-business-maria-bartiromo-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "it's all it's going to be completed very soon. But despite the Democrats, we have a \"V\" going like nobody thought even possible. They're impossible they're very difficult people. I sometimes think they don't love the country but they're doing the wrong thing. But in the meantime, I do love your show" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. And I'm thrilled to be back at the historic Jupiter Inlet. I know it very well. Don't live very far away, as you know. The lighthouse. It's my home state; it's called the state of Florida, and it's a great state. Hello, Ed." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Sit down. Do you have seats? Yeah, you do. Sit down, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The Sunshine State is truly one of the most beautiful places on Earth. I love it. And together we will preserve its breathtaking natural splendor for generations to come." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We're here today to celebrate our incredible record of natural conservation and environmental protection. Over the last four years, I've been working with your both governors, your last governors, your current governor; he's fantastic, by the way. And we've been working very, very hard. We've been working very hard together to make sure everything is perfect and to recommit ourselves to preserving the awesome majesty of God's great creation." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Joining us in the wonderful support effort of that mission is Secretary of the Interior, a man who has worked so hard on this: David Bernhardt. Thank you very much, David. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And EPA Administrator, a very powerful man. When he says you can do it, you do it. When he says you can't, it's over with; you don't have a chance. Andrew Wheeler. Thank you, Andrew. Thank you. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And, of course, your governor, Ron DeSantis, who's run not only did he run a great campaign; he's a great governor. Thanks, Ron. What a great job. What a great job he did. Of course, we'll let you know on November 3rd. I'll let you know if he did a good job, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Also, I want to introduce Lieutenant Governor Jeanette N\u00fa\u00f1ez, who's been such a fantastic friend and supporter. Thank you very much, Jeanette." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And one of the great attorney generals anywhere in the country, Ashley Moody. Ashley, thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1873, + "raw_confidence": 0.8127, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Florida CFO, Jimmy Patronis. Jimmy. Thank you, Jimmy. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "A man who everybody loves; he's highly respected in Washington; he's a great senator: Lindsey Graham, South Carolina. Thank you, Lindsey. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Representatives Gus Bilirakis. Where's Gus? Gus. How are you, Gus? Thank you very much. Great job you're doing. We have a lot of good ones here. We have warriors. I call them my warriors. That's what they are. And, Gus, the job you've done." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And Matt Gaetz. Where's Matt? Where is Matt? Where is Matt? That's not a very good location for you, Matt. That's I'm used to having you sitting right up here. What's going on? That's good. Matt Gaetz." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Brian Mast. Brian? Fantastic guy. Thank you, Brian." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "They are our warriors. You see what they do? They have to fight Pelosi, Schumer. They have to fight all these characters, and they do very well in the fights. We want them on our side." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Greg Steube. Greg, thank you very much. Great job. Great job this morning. I watched." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Bill Posey. Bill. Bill Posey. Thank you, Bill." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And Ted Yoho. They've actually become my friends, actually. Ted, thank you very much. Great. Great. Where is Ted? Great, Ted. Thank you very much. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1857, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And from South Carolina, State Representative Nancy Mace, who's got a very important race where I think you're doing very well. I think you're doing very well, from what I hear, right? You got to win that one. That's an important one. We're behind you a thousand percent. You know that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "As well as mayor of Miami-Dade County, Carlos Gimenez. Where is Carlos? Carlos, great." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "I want to thank you all for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "My administration is proving every day that we can improve our environment while creating millions of high-paying jobs. This is a really sharp contrast to the extreme, radical left that you've had to deal with. And what you're doing right now is a lot better than anything you've ever been accustomed to, I will tell you that." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7642, + "raw_confidence": 0.7642, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's plan would destroy America's middle class while giving a free pass to the world's worst foreign polluters like China, Russia, India, and many others. They don't have to clean up their lands, but we have to clean up ours." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The left's agenda isn't about protecting the environment, it's about punishing America, and that's true. Instead of focusing on radical ideology, my administration is focused on delivering real results, and that's what we have. And we right now have the cleanest air we've ever had in this country, let's say over the last 40 years because I assume 200 years ago is probably better. What do you think? I would say that. What do you think, fellas?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So I do want to preface that because the fake news is back there. When I say the cleanest air we've ever had, over a 40- year period, Lindsey. Is that okay? A couple of hundred years ago, I would imagine it was pretty good, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "He'd walk into my office and say, Sir, just one more. How much is it going to cost? How about an extra billion?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2392, + "raw_confidence": 0.7608, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Yeah, my staff wasn't too thrilled. That's right. We hadto override the staff a couple of times." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3795, + "raw_confidence": 0.6205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We've directed over a half a billion dollars to fix the Herbert Hoover Dike and Lake Okeechobee. Lake Okeechobee. We fixed it up good, Mr. Mayor. We did a good job. Did a good job." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We will now compete with this project. And we're way ahead. You know, we are way ahead about three years, I think, ahead of schedule from what the original time of completion was going to be. And I'm, in particular, happy with what we've done on Lake Okeechobee. I know it well. I know it well." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3686, + "raw_confidence": 0.6314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Everyone said that one couldn't be done, Ron. You know that, right? They said it would never happen. You'll never get it funded. It's a big deal, and it's all gotten done, including the tide is gone; it will be gone, finally, from all the problems that we've had with it." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We've expanded funding for the Everglades restoration by over 55 percent compared to four years ago. And I also want to thank the Army Corps of Engineers for their vital work on the C-44 Reservoir and the help they are unbelievable. One thing, when they build it I said, You know, you could you could do it a little bit less expensive than that. The walls don't have to be seven feet thick; they could be like two feet thick. But, you know, when the Army Corps of Engineers do it, they do it right. That's one thing I can tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7721, + "raw_confidence": 0.7721, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We're building the wall the wall along Mexico, between Mexico and the United States. We're over 300 miles now of wall, and that's a serious wall. That's a wall that's meant to last and meant to work." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "But that'll help revitalize the wetlands in the St. Lucie River estuary and the Indian River Lagoon. Whoa, that's pretty good. We hit home with that one, huh?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "But today I have a very important announcement. I don't know if it's bigger than the things we just announced or the things that we've already done or we're in the process of completing." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "In a few moments, I will sign a presidential order extending the moratorium on offshore drilling on Florida's Gulf Coast and expanding it to Florida's Atlantic Coast, as well as the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much. I guess you like that one the best of all." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "This action follows close consultation with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis he's been unbelievable; Florida Senators Marco Rubio and Rick Scott they've worked so hard; as well as South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham and Tim Scott. Lindsey, thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Lindsey liked the idea right from the beginning. I said, What do you think? It took you how long? about two seconds to say, I like it." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5522, + "raw_confidence": 0.5522, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The governor of South Carolina a great man and a really great governor Henry McMaster." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1814, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And I also want to thank the governor of Georgia, Brian Kemp, who's doing a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2291, + "raw_confidence": 0.7709, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And a senator who, from the day one from day one, he's been with me, Senator David Perdue. Georgia." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And Senator Kelly Loeffler and Congressman Doug Collins and South Carolina State Representative Nancy Mace. Again, I want to thank you all. Incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2511, + "raw_confidence": 0.7489, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Thanks to my administration's pro-American energy policies, we can take this step and the next step while remaining the number-one producer of oil and natural gas anywhere in the world. We're the largest producer now in the world, by far. We're number one in the world, and we are energy independent, which is a nice sound." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "With fracking, the shale revolution, and the tremendous surge in American energy production, we're showing that we can create jobs, safeguard the environment, and keep energy prices low for America and low for our citizens. And you see that. And you also see it when you pump the gas into your car and you're paying sometimes a lot less than 2 dollars lately, right? So we're doing well." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2542, + "raw_confidence": 0.7458, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And we have so much of it. I don't know we got more than everybody anybody ever thought possible, right? It's really incredible what's happened." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2178, + "raw_confidence": 0.7822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The approach of Joe Biden and the radical left is exactly the opposite. Their policies will destroy jobs; cause energy prices to double and triple and quadruple, to skyrocket beyond belief; and the environment will be badly hurt. If you go by that, badly, badly hurt. It'll be injured and permanently injured. And very importantly, they'll take away our energy independence, and they'll do it quickly, and they won't even know what happened to them. We're dealing with some smart customers; they know exactly what to do. And they don't like it when we're energy independent. They don't like it at all." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2343, + "raw_confidence": 0.7657, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So it's been a really amazing thing for Florida, from the environmental standpoint and, I have to tell you, from the energy standpoint and from a very important level of cost. You're at a level of costs now with your electric and with so many other things caused and created by energy and fuel, the likes of which you haven't seen in 30 years." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "As President, I'll defend our environment. I'll defend our workers and our cherished way of life. Last month, I signed the Great American Outdoors Act, the most significant investment in our national parks in over a century since Teddy Roosevelt. Teddy Roosevelt." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "You know, they came to my office a lot of the senators that I just introduced, and Ron, and everybody they came to my office. They said that This will make us and make you the number one environmental President since Teddy Roosevelt. I said, Huh, that sounds good. Because I wasn't going to do it. I figured, You know, let's not do it. But when they said that, that was like a challenge." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So I said, Well, why does it only have to go back to Teddy Roosevelt, which is over 100 years? Why can't we say from George Washington, right from the beginning? They said, Well, we're not quite there yet. But one other bill like this, we'll will be there, Lindsey. You know that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "But it's true: number one since Teddy Roosevelt. Who would have thought Trump is the great environmentalist? Do you hear that, Ed? Do you hear that? That's good. And I am. I am. I believe strongly in it." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2182, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Through this legislation, we're providing nearly $10 billion for long-delayed maintenance projects in our national parks. And Florida has helped as much as anybody and maybe more." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8051, + "raw_confidence": 0.8051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "My administration has fully or partially cleaned up 61 EPA Superfund pollution sites that were rotting all over our country far more than Obama and Biden no matter how far you go back, more than any administration." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7951, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Since my inauguration, we've recovered more endangered or threatened species than any other administration has accomplished in its first term." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2481, + "raw_confidence": 0.7519, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, I announced that the United States would join the One Trillion Trees Initiative. We already have 1 billion trees pledged to be planted, and it's moving very rapidly." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2776, + "raw_confidence": 0.7224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We've opened land and expanded access to over 4 million acres of public lands for hunting and fishing, including over 200,000 acres in Florida. My sons will be very happy to hear that." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2601, + "raw_confidence": 0.7399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "As the last administration pursued its globalist agenda abroad they were all over the place. They were everywhere but here, in our country. They were taking care of other lands. You countries that you never heard of, they were taking care of, and they didn't do a good job there either. They neglected the fundamentals of public health right here in the United States, right here in our home." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2762, + "raw_confidence": 0.7238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "My administration is focused on ensuring crystal clean air and water. Under my administration, we've seen a significant drop in air pollution since 2017 a very significant drop, for the first time in nearly 30 years." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2408, + "raw_confidence": 0.7592, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We are strengthening standards to prevent vulnerable children from being exposed to lead and copper in drinking water, including in our schools. They were exposed to lead and copper in drinking water. We've done some job with that; that was an important one." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And we've invested over $38 billion in drinking water infrastructure to care for our children. I'm committed to ensuring the United States has the cleanest air and cleanest water on Earth." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2092, + "raw_confidence": 0.7908, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "The contrast between our vision and the radical left has never been more clear. They talk a big game and they do nothing. That's really what it is, too: They talk and talk. The environment they talk and talk, nothing happens. It's all talk. It's all words and no action. You ever hear that?" + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2059, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "To our political opponents, environmental policy is just an excuse to advance a socialist platform that will impose trillions and trillions of dollars in new taxes, and send our jobs overseas, making it impossible to open up new companies and to live less expensively." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.783, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Your energy costs would be four, five sometimes even under scenarios, 10 times more expensive. And really, you wouldn't even have energy." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "To my administration, environmental protection is a sacred obligation, and so it is our duty to fight for the dreams and livelihoods of the citizens we serve and to the citizens of Florida that I know so well and that I love. This is my home. This is my home." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We're rapidly restoring the greatest economy in history. We created the greatest economy in the history of our country. And then we had to close it up when the China plague came in. We closed it up. We saved millions of lives. We banned highly-infected China from coming in. It was highly infected. The people were highly infected Wuhan province. We banned them. Nobody said, Do it. Everybody said I shouldn't do it. Biden said, Don't do it. Three months later, he admitted I was right." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3669, + "raw_confidence": 0.6331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "But we banned people; we would have lost hundreds of thousands more. But we would have lost millions if we didn't close it up. And now we open it up, and we're setting records at every single level." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So we're maintaining that pristine resource of beautiful, clean environment at every single community in Florida and all over the country. We'll always defend the Everglades, and we will always safeguard the magnificent Florida coastline. We'll expand access for fishermen and sportsmen, we'll uphold your right to hunt, and we will protect your right to keep and bear arms your Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7418, + "raw_confidence": 0.7418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And I can tell you this: If Joe Biden gets in, he'll have no nothing to say about it. He's not let's face it, Joe is shot. If Joe Biden gets in, your Second Amendment is gone. It's gone either obliterated to a point of being gone or gone itself. Okay? It you will not have a Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2996, + "raw_confidence": 0.7004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And the pressure put on me in the last four years to make massive changes to the Second Amendment, which would have really rendered it worthless Ron knows. Ron knows. The pressure put on me very few people would have been able to withstand that pressure. They would have made big, big cuts and big changes. Your Second Amendment will remain powerful, will remain strong, will remain with you." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.377, + "raw_confidence": 0.623, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "We will re-shore our critical supply chains, and we will bring back jobs and factories from China and other foreign polluters." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "In everything we do, we'll be guided by our love of this state, its people, and its priceless, natural treasures. It's a great state. From its breathtaking beaches to its shimmering bays; from its vast marshes all those beautiful marshes and marshlands; to its wild forests, there is truly no place on Earth like the great state of Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And I I can tell you, I am so happy to have helped. Because when I was first elected, you had things that were in such bad shape, and now they're fixed or being fixed at a cost of a lot of money. But they're either fixed or being fixed, and soon they'll be in better condition than they were the day they were built, which was many, many decades ago. We have things that were built a long time ago that were in a state of disrepair that you wouldn't believe." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "And I will now sign this order. It's an order that does so much for the state of Florida. It's an order that I'm so proud to sign. I've been talking about this with Ron and with all of the people I've mentioned for a long time. And I said, We want to get it done. And this protects your beautiful gulf and your beautiful ocean, and it will for a long time to come." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "So congratulations to Florida and Georgia and South Carolina and, frankly, North Carolina. But I want to just thank everybody for being here, and this is a true honor for me to sign this order. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "oz7o3HRebu0", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-environment-jupiter-florida-september-8-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-08", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I'd like to begin by saying we've just closed out another month of stock market. We had the best stock market Dow in 36 years. That's very impressive. So people are very happy with their 401(k)s and with the stocks that they have. And that's a tremendous achievement: best in 36 years." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Let me begin with a brief update on the China virus. Over the last month, our new cases in the United States have declined by 38 percent. Last week, we announced a breakthrough in testing that will allow us to have over 150 million rapid, point-of-care tests. These tests return results in less than 15 minutes, and many will be deployed to nursing homes. We're being focusing we're focusing very strongly on nursing homes, assisted living facilities, and other locations that serve high-risk populations. So we're going to have the 15-minute, and less, tests, and we will have 150 million rapid point-of-care tests. That's something." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "This evening, I am pleased to announce that AstraZeneca vaccine has reached phase three clinical trials. So that's joining another group of vaccines that are very close to the end and, hopefully, approval. In the United States, we're doing things that nobody thought would have been even possible. This is a process that would have taken, in some cases, years, and we did it in a matter of months." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7788, + "raw_confidence": 0.7788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Thanks to the efforts of Operation Warp Speed, we remain on track to deliver a vaccine very rapidly, in record time." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5536, + "raw_confidence": 0.5536, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We'd like to have the consent, as an example, in Portland. We could solve that problem in approximately one hour, but the mayor refuses, perhaps for political reasons. I don't know why it's good for him to have a city that's falling apart and that's under siege now for 94 days. But, really, it's been under siege for years, if you know Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So, to the mayor, I say: Whenever you're ready, let us know. We'll solve your problem of violence. We'll solve your problem of crime. We'll arrest those criminals very rapidly, and you'll be able to have some nice evenings in Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The Department of Homeland Security and the Department of Justice are announcing a joint operation center to investigate the violent, left-wing civil unrest. And again, in Portland alone, the federal government has already taken care of and arrested 100 rioters, just in that one city. The wave of violence and destruction that we've seen in recent weeks and months has occurred in cities exclusively controlled and dominated by the Biden Joe Biden party. If you take a look, the top 10 in the country are Democrats; it's Democrat-run cities, and it's a shame, and it can be solved so easy. It can be solved very easily." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2396, + "raw_confidence": 0.7604, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The violence is fueled by dangerous rhetoric from far-left politicians that demonize our nation and demonize our police. We have to allow our police to do what they're very good at doing. We've taken that power away. They're afraid to lose their pension, their job, their everything. They're afraid to be destroyed." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4112, + "raw_confidence": 0.5888, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "You saw this when left-wing extremists attacked law-abiding citizens attending the Republic the Republican National Convention at the White House, including Senator Rand Paul and his wonderful wife Kelly. What they went through, but other people went through it too. And that was done very systematically. That was done on purpose. They knew we were having the convention, and they wanted to do everything they could to disrupt it. And the good news is the public is very wise to it. They see what's happening, and they're wise to it, and I think they are probably acting accordingly." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.211, + "raw_confidence": 0.789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Left-wing rioters are repeating the same false narrative about America that you hear about, the really, you hear this from people what they're saying, how they're saying it the violence, it's terrible. And again, it's Democrat politicians. I don't know that they're spurring it on or they're afraid to stop it. But in any event, we're there to help. We're there to get things under control." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But it was a terrible, terrible thing to witness. But other people went through similar not to the extent, in terms of taping. We don't have to the tapes as strong, but some people went through from what I heard as bad, or worse." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The violent rioters share Biden's same talking points, and they share his same agenda for our nation. And even his strange speech today that he made in Pittsburgh, he didn't mention the fact, and he didn't mention the far left. He didn't mention the far left, or, from what I saw, I don't believe he mentioned the word Antifa. Antifa is a criminal organization, and he didn't mention Antifa thugs, but mostly seemed to blame the police and law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "He went on point after point after point. He even talked about those on the right, but he didn't talk about those on the left. And those on the left are the problem, and Antifa is the problem. The rioters and Joe Biden have a side: They're both on the side of the radical left, and that is so obvious." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And until that neutralizes, you're never going to have safe areas in those Democrat-run areas. For months, Joe Biden has given moral aid and comfort to the vandals repeating the monstrous lie that these were peaceful protests. They're not peaceful protests. That's anarchy. That's you look at the agitators, you look at the looters, you look at the rioters that's not a peaceful protest." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They keep using the term it's so nice peaceful protest. And behind the reporter, the cities are burning. We could solve it very quickly if they ask us to come in, like we did in Minneapolis and like we just did in Wisconsin, where I'll be going tomorrow. And at least the governor asked me if I could, we would I said, You got to get the National Guard. And he finally agreed to even a small number, but they were able to take care of things, and that was about five days ago, six days ago. And ever since, it's been very good." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6636, + "raw_confidence": 0.6636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Thirteen members of Biden's campaign staff donated to bail and rioters they're getting them out of jail. Looters they got them out of jail. And his running mate, Kamala, urged their supporters to do the same thing. It's outrageous that they're now seeking to shift the blame for the mayhem." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And they really want to put it on the on the backs of the police. I see it. The police are there's just a war on law enforcement in this country. And without law enforcement, we wouldn't have a country. We have very talented people; they're not allowed to do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.77, + "raw_confidence": 0.77, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "If you give the radical-left power, what you're seeing in the Democrat-run cities will be brought to every city in this country. If they have that power, every city in this country could be potentially another Portland or another Chicago, where they've had such problems." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "To defeat them, we must jail lawbreakers, and we must defeat their hateful ideology about this country, about America. We must teach our children that America is an exceptional, free, and just nation worth defending, preserving, and protecting. And that's what we want to do." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7429, + "raw_confidence": 0.7429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They want to destroy our country. They're going to destroy our suburbs. But I think I've gone a long way from allowing that to happen. The suburbs are protected, especially with the rule changes that I made. I took them out of the Obama administration; they were going to be made much worse." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2153, + "raw_confidence": 0.7847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "What we're witnessing today is a result of left-wing indoctrination in our nation's schools and universities. Many young Americans have been fed lies about America being a wicked nation plagued by racism." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2118, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Indeed, Joe Biden and his party spent their entire convention spreading this hateful and destructive message while refusing to say one word about the violence. They didn't even discuss law enforcement, the police. Those words weren't mentioned." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7342, + "raw_confidence": 0.7342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Two words that were taken out were the words under God under God two very important words in the Pledge of Allegiance. In their caucus, I guess they did it twice. They took it out of their Pledge of Allegiance. I heard it the one time, and I said That's strange. What's that's a big... I tell you, I figured they maybe made a mistake, something happened. No, they didn't make a mistake. Then they did it later on." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5322, + "raw_confidence": 0.5322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So they took the word essentially, took the word God out of the Pledge of Allegiance. We're not taking the word God out of anything. We're not taking it out of our Pledge of Allegiance, and we're not taking the great word God out of anything." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "At our convention, we highlighted law enforcement heroes and repeatedly emphasized that violence has no place in American political discourse. The left's war on police, faith, history, and American values is tearing our country apart, which is what they want. They think it's good, but it's gotten out of control. They're unable to control this radical-left, crazy movement, but we can control it very quickly very, very, quickly indeed." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The only path to unity is to rebuild a shared national identity focused on common American values and virtues, of which we have plenty. This includes restoring patriotic education in our nation's schools, where they're trying to change everything that we've learned. What we've learned in fact, what most of you have learned, they want to change it. They want to change it for whatever reason cancel culture whatever you want to call it." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we must strictly and fully enforce our law and have no tolerance for anarchy and no tolerance zero for violence. Anyone who breaks the law should be arrested, prosecuted, and punished. This includes targeting law enforcement efforts to focus on Antifa, the left-wing domestic terror organization. The mission of Antifa is to spread terror in the U.S. population with a goal of getting Americans to give up to their agenda. This is how terrorist organizations have always operated." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7526, + "raw_confidence": 0.7526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Biden won't even say the name Antifa. I don't believe he said it today. He made a speech, and he didn't mention that. He mentioned others, but he didn't mention Antifa. He mentioned law enforcement, he mentioned the police, and but he didn't mention Antifa. I wonder why. And if he cannot name the problem, there's no way that he'll solve the problem. You don't name it, you don't solve it." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "In fact, Biden would give Antifa exactly what it wants: the far-left policy agenda it's asking for. And if that happened, we don't have much of a country left. If you give violent extremists what they want, the violence doesn't go away; they gain new power to spread the terror nationwide." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2025, + "raw_confidence": 0.7975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Biden's strategy is to surrender to the left-wing mob, which is exactly what he's doing I don't think he even knows what he's doing and give them control over every lever of power in the United States government. But when you surrender to the mob, you don't get freedom; you get fascism. That's what happens in all cases. You take a look at Venezuela. Look what look what's going on there and other places." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7878, + "raw_confidence": 0.7878, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Biden is using Biden is using mafia talking points: The mob will leave you alone if you give them what you want. That's what it is. The mob will leave you alone. Give them what you want. But it doesn't work that way, because once you give them, they keep taking, taking, taking." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "What happens is you give and give and give, and you take, and they no longer respect you. And that's what's happened with the Democrats, because I actually think they've lost control of these radical-left maniacs. I think they've lost control, because I don't think they feel that's helping them when New York and Chicago and Portland, and you look at Oakland, and you look at Baltimore, and you look at so many different places and what's going on there. The top 10 are all run by Democrats, and you can go a lot further down the list than 10." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1901, + "raw_confidence": 0.8099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "In America, we will never surrender to mob rule because if the mob rules, democracy is indeed dead. The reason we're continuing to see violence in left-wing cities today is that liberal politicians, mayors, prosecutors, and judges are refusing to enforce the law and put the rioters in jail. These are rioters. These are dangerous people. These are killers. They kill a lot of people, and they don't even think about it. They wake up the next morning; they don't even think about it." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3095, + "raw_confidence": 0.6905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "This is the extreme left's agenda for America: They want to appoint radical prosecutors, judges, and federal officials who will set criminals free. Their stated plan is to cut police funding, abolish cash bail, close down prisons, reeducate our children, preach left-wing social justice, establish a national sanctuary for criminal illegal aliens, and abolish the death penalty, even for cop killers." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2206, + "raw_confidence": 0.7794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "No one will be safe. And, in fact, they want very much to let people in prison like, as an example, the Boston bomber they want to let everybody vote. If you're in prison, if you're the Boston bomber, they want you to have a vote. I don't know, I don't think that sells too well." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "My administration is a very different approach. We want states to work with us to deploy the National Guard to quell the unrest. All they have to do is call us. We will have the National Guard. We're prepared. We're ready to go no matter where they may call from. Any part of the country East Coast, West Coast, doesn't matter we're ready to move immediately, as we did in Minneapolis, as we did we are ready to move as quickly as you can imagine." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1931, + "raw_confidence": 0.8069, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Tomorrow, I'm going to a place where we moved very quickly you know that in Wisconsin. And we moved very, very quickly. And as soon as we moved, that was the end of that. It was very well behaved." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I'll appoint more tough-on-crime prosecutors, support stiffer penalties and longer jail terms for rioters, and support effective policing methods that are proven to be great crime reducers. When you enforce the law, order follows. And we need order. We need we need order. You can't have cities run like these cities are run." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "They gave a little, then they gave a little, then they gave a little more. And all of a sudden, they've lost these cities, but I'll get them back very quickly. All they have to do is say, Please come in. As you know, they have to ask unless we go a much tougher route, which we could, but you don't like to do that they have to ask you to come in. When they ask me to come in, we'll be there within a matter of minutes." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7746, + "raw_confidence": 0.7746, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "When I signed the executive order outlining 10-year prison sentences, as an example, for destroying monuments and statues, it immediately stopped. That was three months ago or so. I signed an order, and it said, Ten years in prison. Ten years if you knock down a statue. It immediately stopped. I mean, to the best of my knowledge, I haven't seen it happening for about that time. They were going to have a big march on Washington. They cancelled that march. They said 10 years is too long." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.791, + "raw_confidence": 0.791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Before the outbreak of left-wing extremism, our strategy produced a historic reduction in violent crime. In the last two years of the Obama administration, murder increased 30 percent in major American cities, and we witnessed the largest two-year nationwide increase in murder in over a half a century." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "In the first two years of my presidency, the number of murders went down significantly. Earlier this year, we announced that Operation LeGend, surging federal law enforcement to cities plagued by violent crime. And we did a lot of it. We did a lot of it very quietly, but we did a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6466, + "raw_confidence": 0.6466, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Since the beginning of Operation LeGend, we have conducted more than 1,000 arrests and reduced the murder rate in Kansas City, which is one of the cities we targeted, by one third; got it down 33 percent. In the last month alone, we cut the murder rate in Chicago in half. People don't know that, but we sent them into Chicago without fanfare at all. But we cut it down in half; it's still far too high. And if they'd ask for full help, as opposed to just sending in some very talented people, we'd be able to cut it down to a very low number." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "While I am President, we will defend the rights of law-abiding citizens. We will honor the heroes who keep America safe. And we do we honor our police; we honor our law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7901, + "raw_confidence": 0.7901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I have the privilege of having gotten, I guess, most most every law enforcement group in the country that I can think of the sheriffs in Florida all of them; law enforcement in Ohio; in Texas; North Carolina. I mean, almost no matter where you look, I think I've gotten all of it. We'll have to do a little study so I'm totally accurate, but I would say all of it. And the ones who didn't, I think we have to look at them where do they come from." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So we we've done a real job. We're ready, willing, and able to help these Democrat-run cities that are doing poorly. They have to call and ask. All they have to do is call. They don't even have to put it in writing. We'll put it in writing later. We'll get them in there, and we'll straighten out the city very quickly whichever city we may be talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "So those governors that are responsible for a state that has a city that's got a lot of problems: Call me or the mayor can call me, and we'll be there very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2158, + "raw_confidence": 0.7842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Tomorrow, we're making that trip to Wisconsin. I think a lot of you are going to be going, and it should be very interesting. It should be very interesting. But we're proud of it because, in six days, it's been like a different world. And it took place immediately. As soon as we surged, as soon as we went in, it took place immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "No, because Kenosha was something we did a good job on. The governor didn't want us there. He didn't want the National Guard, as you know. He was very reluctant. But I give him credit because, ultimately, he said yes. And as soon as he said yes, the problem ended." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But I have to see the people that did such a good job for me. And we're meeting with numerous people. And we have tremendous support in the state of Wisconsin. So I promised them, when it all gets taken care of, we'll go." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, it could also increase enthusiasm and it could increase love and respect for our country. And that's why I'm going, because they did a fantastic job. As soon as I called and told them, Let's go, the whole problem stopped. That was what? six days ago." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2282, + "raw_confidence": 0.7718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I spoke with the pastor. A wonderful man the family's pastor. And I thought it would be better not to do anything where there are lawyers involved. They wanted me to speak, but they wanted to have lawyers involved, and I thought that was inappropriate, so I didn't do that. But I did speak with the pastor of the family, who is a fine man, a wonderful man. And I think we had a great talk." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And I may, at some point, you know, do that. But they they did have a lawyer that wanted to be on the phone, and I said, No, that's inappropriate, but I just gave my best regards. But, again, I spoke with the pastor." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2094, + "raw_confidence": 0.7906, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I understand they had large numbers of people that were supporters, but that was a peaceful protest. And paint is not and paint is a defensive mechanism; paint is not bullets." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1935, + "raw_confidence": 0.8065, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Your supporters your supporters and they are your supporters, indeed shot a young gentleman who and killed him not with paint, but with a bullet. And I think it's disgraceful." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "These people, they protested peacefully. They went in very peacefully. And I'll tell you what they're protesting: They're protesting, when they turn on television, or read whatever they may be reading, and they see a city like Chicago, where 78 people were shot and 13 died; or a city like New York, where the crime rate has gone through the roof; or a city like Portland, where the entire city is ablaze all the time, and a mayor says, We don't want any help from the federal government." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2415, + "raw_confidence": 0.7585, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "When these people turn that on and they see that, they say, This is not our country. This is not our country. That was a peaceful protest, totally." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1876, + "raw_confidence": 0.8124, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "We're looking at all of it. And that was an interesting situation. You saw the same tape as I saw. And he was trying to get away from them, I guess; it looks like. And he fell, and then they very violently attacked him. And it was something that we're looking at right now and it's under investigation." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1911, + "raw_confidence": 0.8089, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But I guess he was in very big trouble. He would have been I he probably would have been killed." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "I'd like to see law enforcement take care of everything. I think everything should be taken care of law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But again, we have to give our cops back, our police back their dignity, their respect. They're very talented people. They're strong. They're tough. They can do the job, but we've taken it away. We don't want to have when somebody makes a mistake, he chokes, or in some cases, you have bad cops, and we have to take care of that." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1927, + "raw_confidence": 0.8073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "In other cases, they choke. They're under they have a quarter of a second a quarter of a second to make a decision, and sometimes they make the wrong decision. If they make the wrong decision you know, if they make the wrong decision in the other direction, they're probably dead. So they choke sometimes, and that goes on the evening news for weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And the thousands and tens of thousands of great things they do, nobody covers that. Nobody writes about that. But if they make a mistake" + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "And again, the bad cops everybody agrees they have to be very tough on bad cops. But sometimes you have a cop or a police person who is a good a good police person, right? Good. But they choke. You know, the timing and they go through this, and they study this, and they work on it all the time. They literally have a quarter of a second to make some of these decisions. And they make a wrong decision, and it's very devastating." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "But I will say this: I honor law enforcement. We wouldn't be here right now if it wasn't for law enforcement. We have to stop this horrible, left-wing ideology that seems to be permeating our country. And basically, it's weakness. It's weakness on behalf of Democrat politicians." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "The Republicans, we don't have problems. You take a look at our cities; our cities are doing very well. They're safe. They're secure. I spent a lot of time in Texas, as you know, just a couple of days ago. And I was with the Governor of Texas, Greg Abbott. He was explaining they wouldn't put up with it for a minute. They just don't have the kind of problems that other people have." + }, + { + "tid": "P-CfbBy9yHI", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2677, + "raw_confidence": 0.7323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "Hello, Wisconsin, I'm really thrilled to be with you tonight. We have a COVID problem, COVID-19 problem. As you know, I call it the China virus. It shouldn't have happened but it did. They could have stopped it, but I wanted to be with you, and this is really replacing our rallies that we all love so much. We had great rallies in Wisconsin and all over the country, and unfortunately until this gets solved and we're doing really well with the therapeutics and vaccines. But until that gets solved, it's going to be tough to have those big massive rallies." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "So I'm doing a telephonic rallies and we'll call them the 12th, the the Trump rallies, but we'll do it by telephone and we have a lot of people on the line and I appreciate it. I love this state. It's been great to me and I think I've been really great to it. The election, as you know, is coming up very soon, big day November 3rd. And it's a choice between our real movement of what we've done with American patriots and what we're doing with our country." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "They don't have a diploma. Their numbers were the best. You have a diploma or if you have a diploma from college, the numbers were the best. We've built the greatest economy in the history of the world, not just within our borders. China, on the other hand, was had the worst year. They had in 67 years. We took in billions of dollars of tariffs from China, never happened to China before. We gave them some of them to our great farmers and ranchers." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "Congressman Jim Sensenbrenner, terrific guy and Republican Party of Wisconsin, Chairman Andrew Hitt and they've just all been so great. We've had tremendous support from Wisconsin and just like tremendous things are happening. Since my inauguration, I've been fighting for the hardworking patriots of Wisconsin like never before. Nobody's ever devoted that time to your state like I have as President to defend Wisconsin dairy farmers and agricultural producers." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4209, + "raw_confidence": 0.5791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "We have we're very strong on travel bans, especially from jihadist regions. I won that. They said I didn't win it and they were right from the standpoint that at the lower court and at the appellate division I lost. And then, I had the whatever it takes to carry forward and that's what I do, and we won at The Supreme Court. And so, we have travel bans on some countries where we just can have the people coming in certain areas. And not only jihadists, just countries that have high crime, etc., etc." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5915, + "raw_confidence": 0.5915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "Increased refugee admissions by 700%, grant mass amnesty, these are all things end bail and end cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals onto our streets. He wants to appoint Social Justice prosecutors to free violent criminals, incentivized prison closures so that we close our prisons and just let everybody free in your community, he wants to free federal housing. He wants free federal housing for former inmates. It's just incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2344, + "raw_confidence": 0.7656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "I saw this two days ago for the first time. He wants to end school choice, no school choice, and abolish charter schools, and he wants to do something that affects Wisconsin. He wants to abolish the suburbs if you think. He wants to hurt the suburbs by putting low-income far-left bureaucrats and the bureaucrats are going to put people into the suburbs. They're going to bring people, eliminate single-family zoning. They want to eliminate single-family zoning bringing who knows into the suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "They don't want to help now in New York. Crime, run by all Democrats, radical-left Democrats. Every city that's run by these people is being destroyed and we can't let that happen with our country. We can be Venezuela, just like Venezuela. It's the richest country per capita, just about in the whole oil they have everything. Now, they don't have medicine, food, water, nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "pO3416Pihlk", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "So if I might ask, I'd like to just ask those of you that support myself, our agenda, we're all in this together, we want to save our country. If you can press hashtag one right now and we'll be able to get back to you, and we want to make this an incredible success. We have to win the State of Wisconsin, has to be done, and we don't win Wisconsin we could have problems. Won it last time and Wisconsin was the biggest winner because I've done more for Wisconsin, probably, than any other President." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, and you've come a long way Leo. I have to tell you, I have been watching you and I've always respected you, even on the other side. I said, there's a tough guy. But that's that great, Leo. I appreciate it. I do. I will do that. Thanks Leo. Really great." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, it's really the China virus. Call it COVID. Call it any one of a lot of different names. But we're setting an example. We don't want to have people so close together. We have had such enthusiasm. Everybody wanted to go there. We went to North Carolina. We wanted to do it there. It was all set. We were going to build a beautiful facility." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And it got hit hard. And the governor then, really, he could have treated us better, Democrat governor. But we are actually opening up there. And then we will make we will make our ways. It won't be your typical convention. I can say that, but it's going to be very safe. And I thought I had an obligation not to have large numbers, massive numbers of people crowded into a room." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, we have some ideas, but it'll have to be different than your typical convention. We have just great enthusiasm in the party. I don't think we have ever had it, even more so than 2016. And you see what's going on with the polls. Since it's funny. Since I did a I made a speech at Mount Rushmore." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2156, + "raw_confidence": 0.7844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And since that time, it's been really something. There's been I mean, before that, really. You have all of these fake, these suppression polls, and just like 2016, when they put out these phony polls, the media. But I will tell you what. It's that the enthusiasm this party has and that they have for their president, because we're keeping our cities safe." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We want to go in. We can't understand. I heard you talking with the group. Really, that's a group of a great group of three people. But I heard you talking about the cities and the safeties of the cities. I have offered them all, every one of them and there's 10 of them. We're offering all of them, let us go in. We will clean it up. We will clean it up. Now, in Portland, we had to do it because that was that's they're anarchists." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1934, + "raw_confidence": 0.8066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "That's even that's a level that people haven't seen, but they're anarchists. And they were going wild for 51 days. And we went in. And they have done a great job. They were going to rip down the courthouse, a big federal courthouse, gorgeous federal courthouse. So, we went in. And we have been very, very strong." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2636, + "raw_confidence": 0.7364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we have this Mayor Whalen, who I think is also he's also the police commissioner, as I understand it, in Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Mayor Wheeler. And he's he made a fool out of himself last he wanted to be among the people. So, he went into the crowd. And they knocked the hell out of him. That was the end of him. So, it was pretty, pretty pathetic. But we want to go in and help the cities. We want to help Chicago. We want to help all of them." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2423, + "raw_confidence": 0.7577, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Detroit's having problems. A very good police chief in Detroit, but they have problems. We will go into all of the cities, any of the cities. We're ready. We will put in 50,000, 60,000 people that really know what they're doing. And they're strong. They're tough. And we could solve these problems so fast." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But, as you know, we have to be invited in." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "At some point, we're going to have to do something that's much stronger than being invited in. But we have to be invited in. Go ahead, Sean." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, you're right. They're run by very liberal people, you could say radical left in some cases, in some cases, just liberal Democrats. And they're not taking care of their police. They're not respecting the police. The police do an incredible job. It's a very tough job. It's a very dangerous job. And these mayors and, by the way, governors and senators and congressmen, Democrat congressmen, they want to pass stuff to make the police they want to take all of their power away." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And you will have a bad situation, where you will have a bad cop, a very bad cop. And they have no idea the problem they cause. But you have 99 percent great people that work hard and get paid not nearly enough. And the job they do is incredible. And these people are just taking all of their respect. They're taking their guts out." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And it's a shame. It's a shame. And the police, they could do the job. In Seattle, they could. They knew that we were coming in. And they went in just before we got there. So, we were all set to move. But if we weren't going to go in, if they thought that we weren't coming in, it would still be bad. But those police can do the job." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But the mayor and everybody tells them not to do it. The governor, they say not to do it. And it's a philosophy. And let me tell you, if Joe Biden ever got in, the whole country would be like that. We have a lot of great cities. We have a lot of very safe cities, great places, great states that don't have any problems." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And they look at the things that they see in Chicago, and they look at what they're witnessing in Portland and all of these different places, and they can't believe what's going on. But we have we have great places. But we have some instances that nobody's ever seen. I spoke with the mayor of Chicago, Mayor Lightfoot, and had a great talk." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2664, + "raw_confidence": 0.7336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But within minutes after that talk you just reported it tonight a couple of more people were shot. Young, very young children were shot." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And it's a shame. It's a shame. And we could solve it. If they invited us in, we'd go in with 50,000, 75,000 people. We would be able to solve it, like you wouldn't believe, and quick. But they just don't want to ask, maybe for political reasons. But they don't want to ask. It's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, it's all true. But one of the things you mentioned and he mentioned was the surplus military equipment. And when I came in, as soon as I came in, I distributed to all of the police departments all over the nation. We had hundreds of millions of dollars of sometimes new, but it was never going to be used." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7867, + "raw_confidence": 0.7867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "It was sitting in warehouses all over the U.S. And I delivered it all to police, free of charge, all to police. It was just growing dust. It was just just sitting there, just, I guess, paying rent or whatever they were doing in all these massive warehouses. And I got it all out to the police. And they were so thankful." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1918, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And, you know, a lot of it was protective equipment. And they didn't want to do it, because they thought the police looked too strong, that it was sending a wrong signal to the police. But it was really protecting the police. And there was offensive capability, but there was a lot of protective capability." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And it was really amazing to me, what that they wouldn't deliver it, they wouldn't they wouldn't do it. And I and I have gotten notes. I have gotten so many notes from the heads of the police departments, and even from the cops, just the guys on the beat, thanking me for all of the equipment that we send out." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we were never going to use it. It was growing old and growing dusty. So, that's a whole different way of thinking, but and when he when you talk about the Bernie Sanders thing, I think what Joe Biden and I don't think it was him. I think it was radical left people that are totally controlling him, like a puppet." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I don't think it's him. I don't think he knows even what we're talking about. But when we talk about Biden, he's got a manifesto that he agreed to I call it a manifesto with Bernie Sanders for open borders and things that you wouldn't even believe. I mean, these are left-wing at a level that I don't think Bernie ever talked about to the same extent." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4315, + "raw_confidence": 0.5685, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You would think there's a negotiation, that Bernie would be brought to the right a little bit. I think Bernie went further left, and Biden agreed to all of this stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Because I think he's afraid of the people on his left. I think that, when these are very radicalized people. I mean, he's gone so far. He's given Bernie everything. Bernie can't even believe it. I heard Bernie's going around saying, I can't believe what we got. And this was a negotiation that was done very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3284, + "raw_confidence": 0.6716, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And, today, I saw President Obama with him. And remember this. I wouldn't be there if it weren't for those two. If they did a good job, I wouldn't you know, I ran. I ran against what they did. And I won. If they did a good job, I wouldn't you know, I ran. I ran against what they did. And I won. And nobody campaigned harder than President Obama." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2166, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Somebody said, oh, Obama's coming, and I said, that's OK, we beat him the last time. I think he campaigned harder than Hillary Clinton did, if you want to know the truth. Remember I would always talk about here comes Air Force One? Obama was all over the place. But the fact is, Biden and Obama, I'm here, I'm in the White House because of them." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "If they did a good job people forget, but if they did a good job, and except for the China virus that came in, we were setting every record you could set for unemployment, for the stock market, every single record you could imagine. And then what we did, we rebuilt the military. We got rid of regulations at a level that no administration even in eight years or in one case, more than that, no administration has come close." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7128, + "raw_confidence": 0.7128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we've appointed you know, we will have almost, it could even be more, but almost 300 federal judges appointed by the end of my first term. That's a record. Nobody's ever done anything like that. And two Supreme Court judges, great ones." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, in all fairness, I know people that are 90, 91, 92 that are sharp as a tack. Bernie Marcus, as an example, Home Depot, and others I know, numerous. But you know, I just it's hard to comment on somebody. He is an opponent. You have to be very sharp. I'm dealing with the heads of these countries. And every one of them is a world-class chess player." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1843, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And if you are not 100 percent on your game, if you are not 100 percent sharp-plus, you've got a problem. I looked I looked at what we have in this country. I came in and I guessed it from before, but after I saw what was going on with horrible trade deals, horrible military deals, money being spent, it was being sent out like water." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5547, + "raw_confidence": 0.5547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You see what I have done with NATO, $140 billion, but really much more than that. It increases every year where countries are now paying for what we are doing. It was so unfair. So many different things, I could go and you don't have enough time. I could go all night with it. But you have to be on your game." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You have to be sharp. And you have to be tough. And if you are not, these guys are going to take you to the cleaner. And they will take you to the cleaners like you have never seen before. It is so easy. And he wasn't he wasn't the best in his heyday. Let's not kid ourselves. Everybody knows that. Everybody knows that." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.213, + "raw_confidence": 0.787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Senators will tell you that in his best he wasn't. But I see the statements he is making now. And I don't think he has much of a clue." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2063, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, at the beginning, many people, many very respected people, I won't mention names, but many respected people were saying don't wear a mask, that they're bad. You touch your face too much, and you get your hands near your eyes and your nose and they are bad. And then all of a sudden, it was a big thing to get masks because I'm all for it. Look, whatever is going to help, if it was a five percent chance, a two percent chance, wear it. And I will wear it. I wore it at Walter Reed Hospital the other day." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I went to the hospital. I visited soldiers that have been so badly injured in Iraq. And it is terrible, in Afghanistan I saw one that was so badly injured in Afghanistan. And, you know, we are largely we're down to a very small force in both places. We were serving as policemen over there. And we can police our own country, especially when you look at Chicago and you look at what is happening around our country." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And, you know, we have done a lot. We have done a lot. But you have to we have to do we have to get our country back. We have to get rid of this horrible plague that hit us and it hit us hard. But it didn't just hit us. It hit the whole world, Sean. The whole world was hit. China allowed it to escape to Europe and to the whole world, including us. And they are suffering." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "There's tremendous you know, you don't see that too much in the news, but you have countries that are going through relatively what we are doing plus-plus-plus. It is horrible. And we make ventilators because we have become we have become the best in the world for the ventilators. We're making thousands a month." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We are sending supplies all over. And we are in we are in great shape from the standpoint. But we have this thing that is very, very contagious. Nobody has ever seen anything like it. Very, very highly contagious. But if you take a look at a map, we have large sections of the country that are in great shape." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And we are going to win. And we are going to win sooner rather than later. I will say this on the vaccines, we are doing well. We have the greatest companies in the world, including we are dealing with other nations. We are working very closely. And therapeutically, therapeutics are, I think, going to be fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Frankly, I would like to have that first because you could go into the hospitals, give somebody a shot or do whatever you have to do, and they would get better right away. But we are doing very well therapeutically. And we are doing very, very well with vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2378, + "raw_confidence": 0.7622, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I would like to see everybody, if they can't spread, if they can't have be socially distant, then I think they should probably put it on. And even if it's let's say it's a 50 percent chance or 25, because, again, people these same experts were saying, don't wear it, at one point. Now they're saying wear it. So let's go with them." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "What difference does it make? So let's say they're right and let's say there's a 50 percent chance or 25 percent chance, you're not going to lose with it. You're not going to lose with it. So do it. But, again, as I said, I really think you're going to have some answers very, very soon on therapeutics and also on vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "These companies, I'm dealing with them directly, I'm getting reports directly. They are very far advanced. They've already started testing. And what I have done is through the FDA, Dr. Hahn, and some great people, we have ramped it up to a level that nobody has ever seen speed like this. We could be two or three years out before we are doing what we are doing." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We are already testing. We are actually doing the testing for vaccines and for therapeutics. That would have happened in a normal administration, I will say that that would have happened in two and three years from now. So we are way, way advanced. And I think you are going to have some very good answers very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "They're going to come up with the answer." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "So it's all going to be about America first. We always put other countries before us, which is so foolish and so horrible. And it has been so destructive for us. It's about America first. We will help other countries, but we want to take care of ourselves. We are going to be building factories. We are going to be bringing in shops like you've never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2054, + "raw_confidence": 0.7946, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We were all set to do it until we got hit with the virus. Our troops will be home. The endless wars are already ending. Down to very few soldiers in as you know, in Afghanistan. Very few in Iraq. Syria is largely out except we kept the oil. We have oil there that we kept. I didn't want to leave the oil, we kept it. We took it over." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We are going to be about jobs like you haven't seen. We are going to be respected. And we are now by other countries. They're respecting us more than they have in many, many decades. I will tell you that. We are going to have a wall that is complete. We're up to 257 miles on the new wall. And by the way, if we didn't have that wall in right now, you would have numbers in Texas and in California, in New Mexico like you wouldn't believe." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But we built 257 miles of it's 450 but we are going to do about 537 miles altogether. And it will give a complete, beautiful wall on our southern border that has really helped. And the other thing is, we are going to start making our product. And I have been pushing this from before this happened. We are going to make things here." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "We will make them here. Right now China and many other countries are doing what we are supposed to be doing. They went, they became globalists, these great geniuses became globalists. And they really hurt our country. We are going to start making it here. As with Elon Musk, I said, Elon, build a factory in Texas." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3937, + "raw_confidence": 0.6063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "He just announced today they're building one of the biggest plants in the world, auto plant for Tesla, and it's going to be in Texas. And, you know, it's great. He called me up just a little while ago to say, I got it done. So that meeting, he got it done. But I was pushing that job very hard from Elon, because we work with him and we do a lot for him." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And I said, it's time. And he was great. He's doing a good job. But the other thing we have done is Space Force. You know, we put it in, it's the first time in 76 years we have a new force. We have so important, the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines, Coast Guard, and now we have the Air Force. It's so great." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And it's so important. It's going to end up being one of at first, I didn't even talk about that on the campaign. This was after I got in office. I realized we need it. Because China and Russia were going to dominate space. And we can't let that and now we're going to be dominating space. They're not too happy about what we did with Air Force." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But we have it. And with Space Force. So we have now Space Force, so important, and so many other things, Sean, regulation cuts, tax cuts, the biggest tax cuts in history, biggest regulation cuts in history. And we are going to continue that foreword. There are still many things we can do. But the bottom line is we are putting America first and we are making America better than it has ever been." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "You will see that. We are going to have a great year next year. We're going to have a great third quarter. And the nice thing about the third quarter is the results are going to come out before the election." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yes, no, I have thrown out first pitches. I have agreed to do it for the Yankees on I think they are playing the Boston Red Sox. That is a great rivalry. And I will do it. It's great that baseball is back, and other sports are back. I hope everyone is standing. I hope they are not going to be kneeling when the flag is raised." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I don't like to see that. That would hurt a lot of people in our country. They don't want to see that with the NFL or baseball or basketball or anything else. We want to there are plenty of places you can protest. You don't have to protest on the raising of our flag. So a lot of great things happening for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2292, + "raw_confidence": 0.7708, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "One other thing I want to say is, we have made incredible trade deals. And we are going to continue that along. Because we got taken to the cleaners by every country. Ally or non-ally, we were taken to the cleaners. And we will keep that going." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Both before and after victory. Both before and after. Never been done before. It is so bad. If it were the other side, they would have been in jail for two years, and it would have been a 50-year term. But Obama and Biden knew everything, and they spied on the campaign of the opposing party, using intelligence." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "That was just one meeting. There were many meetings. There was no way I understand the system very well, I understand being president very well, there was no way this could have gone out without gone down without President Obama knowing every single thing. And even Biden brought up the Logan Act with respect to General Flynn, a great gentleman who has been treated so horribly and still is. A lot of a lot of things have been learned." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2463, + "raw_confidence": 0.7537, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "And what happened is a disgrace. Again, should never, ever happen to another president." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I've looked at a lot of different people, they have been treated extremely unfairly, and I think I probably would, yes." + }, + { + "tid": "pW0DW5Y3Oy4", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-hannity-fox-news-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Sean. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I think we're going to see something that is going to be very uplifting and positive, that's what I'd like it to be. I think you have to defend yourself by talking about some of the lies like when he says Social Security. I don't think he knows too much about Social Security. When he \u00e2\u0080\u0093 I mean, basically he said he's not going to give the, the big tax reduction that we \u00e2\u0080\u0093 that we're giving to people \u00e2\u0080\u0093 which is a lot of money and you have to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "You need some stimulus during this period of time. The economy is roaring back \u00e2\u0080\u0093 it's coming back. We're going to be talking about the academy. We're going to be talking about the military and what we've done and where we're going because we need strong military. They don't want to have a strong military." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I believe it's positive I think the overall is going to be a very positive as opposed to a dark, a very, very positive message. And positive on the economy we're going to have a great year next year. You know, people find it hard to believe. You've seen the numbers that they all said we're not gonna have a V. Well, the way we're going, we're gonna have a super V. And we haven't even gotten the additional stimulus that the Democrats should have approved and they probably will because I think they have a lot of political pressure." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "But, no, I think it's going to be a very, very positive message." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I'd love to see school choice education-wise, it takes care of itself. It's the ultimate thing. I believe you're a fan of school choice" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "well, the parents are. The parents and so school choice is one thing. Education it's very simple, school choice. And let the parents go and decide. And, also, for instance, if they're gonna close these schools I just left Pennsylvania, the whole state is closed up. North Carolina, they have it all closed up." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2044, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "By the way, their numbers aren't any better than other states, some are. In many cases they're worse. But, yes they'll probably up open up everything on November 4th. Anything they can to make the economy as bad as possible. But they're having a hard time with it because the numbers are so good." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3617, + "raw_confidence": 0.6383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, one of the things I did which nobody ever talks about, is I saved the historically black colleges and universities. They were in big trouble and I said to them nobody wants to talk about that. President Obama did not do it and Biden didn't do it. And people didn't do it. So I think that's an important thing at least I can say it." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1548, + "raw_confidence": 0.8452, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Because we get no credit and we should have gotten a little credit doing certain things. We are working with every educational group in the country. We are working on our schools. We want very, very strong and you know I've been very, very strong on choice and we've got a lot of choice going. But this is where we can get students to instead of failing horrible schools where you see some of the statistics in New York where I mean, people can barely read after they get out of high school." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "They can't pass the simplest of tests. So education's a big factor. It's going to be a big factor for me." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6816, + "raw_confidence": 0.6816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "OK, well, look back through the last three-and-a-half years, I'm the only one who ever took on China. And you saw the intelligence reports where they say China is working hard to get Joe Biden elected. If he gets elected, China will own our country. I've taken billions and billions, tens of billions of dollars on taxes out of China." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7037, + "raw_confidence": 0.7037, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I gave them to our farmers because they targeted, wrongly, our farmers. They thought that would put pressure on me. They could get whatever they wanted. So they target us and it's no good. So if you look at what we've done with China, nobody's ever done to China what I have." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "So, look. I don't wanna set the world on fire right now and your wonderful show, which I watch all the time, OK? But I made a deal with China, you see that they're buying billions and billions of dollars of manufacturing goods but also our farmers, more than they've ever done. But with all of that being said, it's no longer the same to me, it's no longer the same." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7853, + "raw_confidence": 0.7853, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "There's been no country that's ripped us off more than China and by the way, the European Union is no beauty either, OK, they treat us terribly too. But there's been no country that has ripped us off like China for many, many years, for decades where we'd lose anywhere from a few hundred billion to $500 billion with a b billion dollars a year." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7802, + "raw_confidence": 0.7802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We rebuilt China. I give them all the credit, because they were smarter than out presidents and smarter than our representatives. But I've stopped it. They've had the worst year they've had in 67 years. This was the worst year. Prior to the plague coming in they had the worst year, and we had the best." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "But you're asking an even more interesting question. Would you decouple? OK, that's what you're really asking. Would you decouple? That's a very interesting question. Because so far, we've got nothing out of China." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We've got nothing. All we do is lose money." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4585, + "raw_confidence": 0.5415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I said the easiest money, I said, if you want to make money decouple from China, $500 billion. We lost billions \u00e2\u0080\u0093 We lose hundreds of billions of dollars. We get nothing from China. Yes, we get some goods that we could produce ourselves." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well I have been doing that. That's why I put tariffs on China. When I put 25 percent tariffs on China, we got a lot of business back. When I put the 25 that's a lot, 25 percent tariff is a lot. When I put the tariffs on China, that why we got so much of our business back. We took a lot of \u00e2\u0080\u0093 We were doing phenomenal." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We were doing better than we've ever done with China, and I was all set to rock and roll and then we got hit with this damn situation. But you know, you're asking a question because you were asking two questions, where would you be tougher this or that. But then you were asking a second question, would you ever just decouple?" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.156, + "raw_confidence": 0.844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Not do business with China? Because you know, we don't have to..." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well it's something that if they don't treat us right I would certainly, I would certainly do that." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.777, + "raw_confidence": 0.777, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, China owns Joe Biden. His son got $1.5 billion his son with no experience, no brain power, no anything, never did it, not only Ukraine, He's got hundreds of thousands of dollars a month from Ukraine and a $3 million upfront payment. And then with China, he walks up with $1.5 billion to manage that means millions of dollars a year in fees." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "It's ridiculous. By the way, they own Joe Biden. They owned him. And they want me to lose so badly. Probably only Iran would be the case where they'd rather have me lose even more than China. And by the way, with Iran, I will have a deal done with Iran within the first three" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "All they do We're just waiting, they're desperate to make a deal. But they want to wait. And I even said wait, they want to see what happens. But if Biden won wins they'll do another deal like they did with John Kerry who's incompetent, and Barack Obama, who frankly as a deal maker is incompetent." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7715, + "raw_confidence": 0.7715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Look at the Middle East, look at the deal I just made with UAE and Israel. And now all the other countries want to be a part of it. You can end up with peace in the Middle East, nobody thought we'd be in a position like this." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I think it's an inappropriate place to talk about it, but China knows what I'm going to do, China knows. I think this is an inappropriate way to talk about I don't want to say yeah I'm going to do this or I'm not going to do this. It's just an inappropriate place to talk about it; it's a very big subject." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "It's a very powerful subject, but I think China understands what I'm going to be doing." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I was. It's what he didn't say, and he got through the speech and I thought he got through with it in a very decent manner. It was the shortest speech they say ever made of its kind, so it was short. Didn't talk about law enforcement, didn't talk about what's happening in all these Democrat run cities like Chicago, New York, Portland, and many others." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I thought that would have been a big big factor. Didn't talk about increasing everyone's taxes, didn't talk about they're be more fracking, there'll be no oil, there'll be no fossil fuels because he signed onto a deal, which I call The Manifesto, with Bernie and the radical left" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And under that deal you're \u00e2\u0080\u0093 we're not going to have fossil fuels. You're not going to have things that \u00e2\u0080\u0093 who we are \u00e2\u0080\u0093 we need for jobs and we need to fuel our plants and these massive plants are not going to work on wind. And he didn't talk about any of that, so I think if he's going to go with it he's got to make a case for it, and I don't think you can make a case so he didn't discuss it." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2193, + "raw_confidence": 0.7807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "But a very good thing was he didn't talk about police." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5649, + "raw_confidence": 0.5649, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "The way they're treated, how badly they've been treated, and he didn't talk about law enforcement and those cities that have been so badly ruined." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well I'll tell you, the truth is we were doing so good. We had never \u00e2\u0080\u0093 we had the greatest economy ever in the world, not just here. This was our greatest economy prior to the China virus coming in. We had the greatest economy, Steve, as you know better than anybody, because I watch your show all the time and you talk about it." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3282, + "raw_confidence": 0.6718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And then it took a turn, whether it was me or anybody else \u00e2\u0080\u0093 the whole world \u00e2\u0080\u0093 188 countries got infected and we did great and we get zero credit, you know, what we're trying to do is make it all \u00e2\u0080\u0093 we did We did great." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "No. We were far better than Europe. I mean far better. We were far better than most other places, and if you take out New York, which was a disaster and one or two other locations, I don't want to insult anybody by saying them because it is their governor run... And we ended up making ventilators \u00e2\u0080\u0093 in fact, not one person that needed a ventilator didn't get it when you think of it, but you're right." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2555, + "raw_confidence": 0.7445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "He said the worst \u00e2\u0080\u0093 and you take out New York and a couple of other places practically, we just take out New York, we had the best numbers of anybody who is exactly the opposite. That really was a stone-cold lie." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well I'm basing it on mortality. I'm basing it on just a lot of different statistics that I'm saying. And you \u00e2\u0080\u0093 New York was a disaster. It was very poorly done. The nursing home \u00e2\u0080\u0093 they lost the nursing homes lost \u00e2\u0080\u0093 now it comes out at least 11,000 people \u00e2\u0080\u0093 that's Governor Cuomo. I don't know what he was doing, what he was thinking." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Yes, he's writing a book He's writing a book. But no, it's \u00e2\u0080\u0093 it was really an outright lie." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, terrible. It was a terrible statement. First of all, we're taking it out of the general fund and replacing it through the general fund. Nothing to do with Social Security, and the payroll tax cut..." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3335, + "raw_confidence": 0.6665, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "It's not true. It was a lie." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "It will have no impact on Social Security. We're taking out of the general fund. It comes out of the general fund. If anything happens, we would replace it immediately. Look, I've been the one for since the campaign, they were saying, oh, Social Security. You know they like to talk about Medicare, Social Security, things that are good, and war." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "They said I'd be in a war within the first week. Well guess what? We're out of our wars. We're coming \u00e2\u0080\u0093 we're almost out of Afghanistan. We're almost out Iraq. We're bringing people back home. We have very, very few people left in those and we call them, and you do, too, the endless wars. But they like to say that." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "They also like to say Social Security, and I'm the one that's protecting Social Security because that made our economy strong. But when you talk about darkness, we had the greatest economy ever. We were doing incredibly well. There was very little strife, and actually Democrats and Republicans were actually coming together and then we got hit with the China virus and we had to go into a different mode." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2599, + "raw_confidence": 0.7401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, first of all, what we did with Obamacare is incredible. We got rid of the individual mandate, which was a horror show for people. It was horrible, it was killing them. Pre-existing conditions, we keep 100 percent, and we have done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "That's another thing. I think they said it last night again. They know that we will. In fact, we signed a commitment to keep it, and I've already signed the commitment. I would never approve anything unless it's got pre-existing conditions. They know that, think people are protected with pre-existing conditions." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "They know that, they continuously say. The Democrats, for some reason, they're willing to lie about everything. They lie so much. In that speech and the things you didn't talk about, that's a lie too because you have to talk about police and law and order. Somebody said don't use the words law and order because it's too tough." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I said no, no, it's about law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "The police can solve it. If you look at New York, they have the greatest police they have totally been decapitated as to what they can do. They're not allowed to practice their profession properly. It's horrible, crime up 368 percent in New York. Nobody ever thought they'd see numbers like this. So with healthcare, we've done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "One of the other things I did, I hate" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "the future is good, transparency. I improved transparency. Let's think about healthcare. The people I have working on the one of them is I think is the all-time expert on transparency, a highly respected doctor. He said sir, if you get this approved, this is bigger than healthcare, transparency. Where you can go negotiate and pick the best options" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Because people will be able to negotiate their prices, which right now they can't. People will be able to get better doctors. You know what's good for good hospitals. By the way, hospitals are against it because it makes it good. Good hospitals and good doctors. It's good for good hospitals. It's the biggest thing, maybe, in healthcare of anything I'm doing, other than drug prices because I did a favored nations clause the other day." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7949, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "So if Germany's buying a pill for 10 cents and ours cost $2.50, which is by far the highest in the world because we are foolish. And because we pay middle-men billions and billions of dollars, I did a favorite nations clause and a rebate clause. What do I get out of it, I get millions of dollars' worth of advertising from the drug companies against me. 'You must stop Trump,' you know what that means, prices could go down 60, 70, 80 percent for prescription drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Nobody has ever seen anything like that, and you know what it's called" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.246, + "raw_confidence": 0.754, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "It's already done. I 've done it. I just did it two weeks ago." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, the consequences for me were tremendous because every time I turn on a television the drug companies are advertising" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "about how bad I am. But the fact is somebody should've done it a long time ago. Why is Canada getting 50 percent? Why \u00e2\u0080\u0093 of what we do. Why is Germany and why are so many other countries paying a fraction? So now if they paid low, we get the lowest price it's called favored nations. Very important also rebates, we're getting massive rebates." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Now the rebates go to the drug price and it goes to the people. Nobody ever thought this would be possible. It's all done. And the other thing that's done, very importantly done well, to me very importantly, you take a look at transparency. Transparency, I don't know, when I say it nobody you know I say it." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2242, + "raw_confidence": 0.7758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Nobody picks it up. Transparency may be the biggest thing ever done having to do with costs and healthcare." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1975, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I see it's very important, and you mentioned Ivanka . Her whole it's what she likes the best. I said, darling, you're it's like she happens to be a very talented person. OK, she's amazingly smart and talented. I said would you like to do something else or have this or have that? No, dad. I want to get people to work and I want to teach them and I want to get companies to try that because when you go she's gotten the biggest companies." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2132, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "She's created 15 million jobs. 15 million. Now, that was before the" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "That's right. No, but she went to companies that never even thought of it, and she got that biggest Walmart. She went to these big companies. She had a goal of 500,000 and within about a week she surpassed that goal, but she went to the biggest companies and got them to do training programs. And they would commit to taking in a half a million people, a million." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I think Walmart, somebody did a million people. She's done a fantastic job, yes, but it's called training. Now, they can train much better than we can. I think you would agree, and these companies are training, and it's been a great program. Again, it got somewhat stymied by what happened with the" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Oh it's going to be. They're working on it. In fact I've had a meeting on it yesterday. It was a tremendous success. We created tremendous numbers of jobs. One other thing, though, last quarter. The numbers just came out. Over nine million people got jobs. That's the most in the history of our country in one quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And one of the reasons is working is because we have a very strong foundation." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2062, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "- If we were weak and we didn't have that strong foundation" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We built a very strong if we were weak, if we had that happen and we didn't have that foundation, we would be" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2911, + "raw_confidence": 0.7089, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "we'd be 15, 20 years like the Great Depression which lasted for 18 years if you think about it, by the time they got it back you would have had that. Our foundation was so strong. That's why they hired more than nine million people in the last three months." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7822, + "raw_confidence": 0.7822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "First of all, I think I've done more for the black community than any other president other president other than perhaps Abraham Lincoln. I think it's true with criminal justice reform and opportunity zones and all of the things I've done, prison reform. I mean, what I've done is more than anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7784, + "raw_confidence": 0.7784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I don't know if it's being recognized at all but I've done more than anybody" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5047, + "raw_confidence": 0.5047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And I say maybe Abraham Lincoln because to be honest with you, I don't even know about that. If you go back into the whole as to why did we get into the war et cetera." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1539, + "raw_confidence": 0.8461, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I got it. We were there. We were getting tremendous kudos because the economy was good. We had the lowest African-American unemployment ever, Hispanics too and Asian and women and everything, I mean it was everybody. But we were there. We were get actually becoming a unified country. Even Democrats that couldn't stand me were just getting along." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7136, + "raw_confidence": 0.7136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "It was happening and then we got hit with the virus and we're building it again. We had to close it down. We saved millions of lives by doing it. We're not doing any shutdowns, by the way. But we had to close it down, saved millions of lives. We would've had two and a half million instead of the number we have right now and one is too many." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "But we would've had two and a half million or in that vicinity if we didn't do what we did and by the way and if I didn't put the ban on China coming and if I didn't put the ban on Europe coming in. So we did things, but we were ready to rock and roll. And we were seeing unity I was seeing unity that we have never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7515, + "raw_confidence": 0.7515, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "People were calling me that would not call me and I'm talking about Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5152, + "raw_confidence": 0.5152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And then we got hit and we had to go back to work." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, let me say that we had a great reform bill and working with law enforcement" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "doing it with because these are great people." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And if they have a bad apple, I mean, everybody does. Even in your) wonderful industry. We have bad apples, but we had a wonderful and Tim Scott, who's a fantastic senator from South Carolina, had a bill in that was backed by everybody except the Democrats who wouldn't let him pass it, and they didn't let him pass it for political reasons because they like the issue." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2219, + "raw_confidence": 0.7781, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "That bill went a long way to answering your questions, and the Democrats just wouldn't let it get through." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Yeah I'd do that. Tim is a fantastic guy. The bill is there. We bring it up all the time. Approve the bill. They know it's the right thing to do but politically" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "it looks like they're not going to do that. I say this, though. Had the China virus not come in, I think the whole thing would have been much different." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8041, + "raw_confidence": 0.8041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "The George Floyd would have been a bad this would have been a bad guy doing a bad thing to a person, to a man . A horrible thing and I don't think you would have seen the same results." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "So I started as a non-politician. I was in Washington 17 times in my entire life, and now I've been in Washington and I know the right people and the wrong people. You have to know the people. I have unbelievable people that I would be appointing to certain very important positions that you would consider very important." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And I think that and I have great people now. I have some really great people nobody talks about the great ones but what we've done, the military. As an example, we rebuilt our military. We've done things that nobody could $2.5 trillion into our own military was so depleted. But I will strengthen what we've done and I will do new things." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I've done more I think I have an interesting distinction, that actually sort of a bad person in terms of doesn't like Republicans or me, said Trump is, whether you like him or not, he's done more than \u00e2\u0080\u0093 going to do like I never mentioned Space Force in my campaign. We did Space Force. I never mentioned a lot of these \u00e2\u0080\u0093 the wall is almost complete by the end of the year it'll be just about complete." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8048, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Having tremendous, our numbers on the border are phenomenal." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2043, + "raw_confidence": 0.7957, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "First of all, I understand that 100 percent, but I haven't been treated fairly." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7937, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I was investigated by a phony deal on Russia. It was a phony deal. I had nothing to do with Russia. No phone calls, no nothing. I had nothing to do with and we had to fight that. Then they had a phone call of congratulations to Ukraine. I got impeached. I had to fight that. I have to fight back. If I don't fight back strong, I wouldn't be sitting here right now talking to you." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "So it's not like gee I'd like it to be calm too, but one thing, I wouldn't have gotten all of these things. I can give you a list that's four pages long. Right to try. All of the medical things that we've done Even the vaccines. We're almost going to have a vaccine. Somebody else would have taken years to get it." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3025, + "raw_confidence": 0.6975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "If I had a different attitude, that list would be one tenth as long as it is." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8014, + "raw_confidence": 0.8014, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Nobody has done what we've done in the first three and a half years." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2641, + "raw_confidence": 0.7359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I think I's like to be nice and say gee, if he could do it. I mean if I change my attitude I wouldn't get nearly as many things done . it's one of those things some people like it some people don't. what can I say?" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I have not. Are they good or bad?" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well if they're positive then I'd like to" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "then I'll have to check it out" + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Our country has unbelievable potential. We're going to have the strongest economy we've ever had next year. We're going to do additional tax cuts as opposed to massive tax increase which is going to lead us into a depression is what they want to do. What they want to do is lead us into a depression. 401k, stocks, everything is going to go right down the tubes." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We are doing additional tax cuts. We are going to have one of the best economies next year, within 2 years well have the greatest economy we've ever had better than even prior to the china virus coming in. We have tremendous potential in this country. And the beauty is we've now rebuilt our military. We've done so much so many things that I don't have to do that, I just have to maintain." + }, + { + "tid": "qcdxAeSmQ80", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7225, + "raw_confidence": 0.7225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-steve-hilton-fox-news-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "But we are going to have the strongest economy that we've ever had and that includes what we just left. Which was the best to this point in in our history." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I appreciate that. Yeah, he's a good guy." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, we had it. It was done. And then the virus came in. We were very successful. The division was ending. We had the highest unemployment rates in a positive way. But we had the best employment numbers that we've ever had. And it was done. Success was bringing us together. And then the China virus came and now we have to do it again." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6199, + "raw_confidence": 0.6199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We're already doing it. The level of employment, the retail sales, the manufacturing numbers are higher than they were even before. So we're doing it again." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2531, + "raw_confidence": 0.7469, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "The problem areas that you're talking about, in every case they're Democrat run, weak run areas, whether it's Portland or Chicago or New York. And those are areas, Republican areas don't have any problem. If they don't straighten it out, I'll straighten it out. But we need law and order. But if they don't straighten it out, we're going to straighten it out ourselves." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, that means we'll go in and straighten it out because we have no choice. Portland's been going on for almost 90 days. Last night I saw what they did to that young man, that was terrible, and a couple of women. These are thugs. These are anarchists. If they don't straighten it out, it's Democrat governor, Democrat mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "If they don't straighten it out, we'll straighten it out." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7223, + "raw_confidence": 0.7223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I think that when you look at schools, it's a very unique situation. Young children, frankly, the younger they are, but they have a strong immune system, and they just don't have the problems. If you look at numbers just statistically, you take 1%, and then it's a tiny fraction of 1%. These are the ones that have big problems." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's very, very little. We have to get our country back. Don't forget this shutdown stuff... And I had to shut the country down because nobody knew what was happening. We saved millions of lives. It wouldn't be the 170,000. It would be millions and millions of lives. And we've done everything right. We've done it." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We've done ventilators, we've gotten the equipment, we've stopped the whole country and everything. But we've learned about the disease. We have to open our schools. Hopefully we're going to be playing football. Now they're talking about the football stuff in colleges, et cetera. But we did the right thing." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2701, + "raw_confidence": 0.7299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We've done it right, and we have to open our schools." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4236, + "raw_confidence": 0.5764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yeah. What I've done is I put the ban on China from coming in. And if I didn't do that... That was in January. That was a long time ago. And if I didn't do that, we would have, even Dr. Fauci said, We would have had hundreds of thousands of more deaths. I put a ban. And nobody agreed with me at the time, but now they all agree with me." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7712, + "raw_confidence": 0.7712, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Biden was totally against it. He was going, You're racist, xenophobic. And then he apologized because I was right." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Pelosi, the same thing months later. So we did the right thing. We've done a lot of really good, smart things. But, I heard about New Zealand, how well it was doing. They just had a big surge. I heard about all these places. We are doing well. Florida is down now. California is down. Arizona's way down." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "He's done a... He's here now, the governor. They've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You mean that children are up? Yeah. I mean, I've heard that it's such a small number. We have to open our schools. Look, when you shut down, you have other problems. You have depression, you have alcohol, you have drugs, you have a family squabbles, to put it nicely. You have a lot of bad things happen." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So it's not like, oh, let's do a shutdown. Shutdowns cause, I think probably, or possibly, much bigger problems than even the virus itself. Especially at this stage." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I understand that. I hope so. Schumer is not a popular guy. Bad. As an example, Arizona wants very badly, they want the wall. So do other States that are along the border. They want the wall. They said, they're going to take it down. Biden, Schumer, they want to take the wall down. This is the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7911, + "raw_confidence": 0.7911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "The wall is incredible. It works. Nobody gets through. Nobody. And I mean, it's so high. This is just a small version of it. It goes way up, over 30 feet. And they want to take it down. It's worked so great. We put a lot of it right here. And already, wherever we put it up, the numbers go down to practically nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They want to take it down. And I know the problems they've had in Yuma, but I've known the problems they have Arizona. And this has been a great thing for Arizona. And they want to take it down." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They also don't want things like fracking. They don't want oil. They don't want guns. They want to knock out the Second Amendment. How can they have this platform? How can it work? And they're very weak on religion. I have to say. So religion, guns, oil. Go to Texas, try it. Go right here and try it. It doesn't work well." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2021, + "raw_confidence": 0.7979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "The answer is yes, but the ballots, it's a bad thing. Absentee ballots are great. You request them, they send them. It's been happening for a long time. Florida, other states, that works. But just to send millions of ballots in the mail, who knows who's getting them. They pick up a stack of them, who knows who's getting them." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.431, + "raw_confidence": 0.569, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's ripe for fraud. It will be fraud. It'll be a bad thing." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.375, + "raw_confidence": 0.625, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "As far as the post office is concerned, for years they've wanted to cut the post office. I don't want to cut the post office. What I want is I want Amazon and other companies like that, that dump all their packages into our postal system, where we lose $2.50 - $3.00 per package, I want Amazon to pay. And I don't want to fire people that work in the post office." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3002, + "raw_confidence": 0.6998, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't want them also charging people for that. Amazon, they make a lot of money because they drop all their packages into the... Not all of them, but a big portion of them... They drop them into the post office. And the post office loses money every time they have a package, they bring you a package. They lose $2.50 - $3.00. Even sometimes, I guess, more than that, depending on the package." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1915, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Now Amazon has to pay and I don't want people fired in the post office. It's very simple." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Using that as a soundbite. Look, we're going to do very well. I hope we're going to do very well in Arizona. You had the best year you've ever had last year. And you're going to have the best year you ever had this year. And Martha McSally, we need her. She's really good. I don't know how she's doing. I'm not sure." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I can tell you though, that as a worker and as a voice in Washington, she's really, really good. And we need her in Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you're right. If Schumer ever got in with Pelosi, they would take down the wall. They'd open up the borders. They'd have sanctuary cities all over the place. They'd raise your taxes. They want to raise taxes. They want to quadruple your taxes. And I want to... I've already given you the largest tax cut in history." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We want to go further because it's going to be growth. We're going to have tremendous growth." + }, + { + "tid": "qPHCWPnctLw", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-kaley-okelley-abc-15-phoenix-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Hopefully celebrating. Hopefully celebrating. And I appreciate you. Very nice." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you, everybody, very much. Thank you. So, as we begin Labor Day Weekend, America's unprecedented economic recovery continues. You see what's going on. It's been pretty amazing. The United States economy added today announced this morning 1.4 million jobs last month, bringing the total to over 10.6 million jobs created in just four months. That's a record, by far." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "In August, we added 249,000 retail jobs; 174,000 leisure and hospitality jobs; and 29,000 new manufacturing jobs. The unemployment rate plummeted to 8.4 percent, the second-largest, single-month drop ever recorded, surpassed only by our big decline in June." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2188, + "raw_confidence": 0.7812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Last month, we saw large declines in the unemployment rate for African Americans, Hispanic Americans, and Asian Americans very big declines. We're witnessing the fastest labor market recovery from any economic crisis in history, by far." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7827, + "raw_confidence": 0.7827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "By contrast, the last administration had the slowest, weakest, and worst recovery in American history. That was well documented, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7849, + "raw_confidence": 0.7849, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "This year, the United States has seen the smallest economic contraction of any major Western nation, and we are recovering at a much faster rate than any other nation." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7881, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Business confidence is higher today in America than in any other G7 or EU country that covers a lot of territory. So we have the business confidence is higher than many than any of those countries." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1952, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "In July, retail sales not only recovered, but reached a new all-time high. So think of that: retail sales. That's a very basic statistic, and it's a big statistic. It not only recovered, but reached the highest level ever. Auto sales have surged to an incredible 74 percent since their April low and are nearly back to their pre-virus levels. And that's been a tremendous thing. Used cars and new cars have been both doing incredibly well." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Mortgage applications were 27 percent higher in August than during the same period last year. Homebuilder sentiment reached the highest level on record, indicating that more high-paying construction jobs are on the way. Homebuilding has been great and lending has been really incredible. U.S. manufacturing activity reached a 19-month high in August." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2665, + "raw_confidence": 0.7335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "While my administration has fought every day to restore prosperity, however, Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats in Congress are holding additional China virus relief hostage to to reasons that nobody understands. I guess I do; I think I understand. It's called politics." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2254, + "raw_confidence": 0.7746, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And speaking of politics, I think North Carolina, I think that Michigan and Pennsylvania and other states, they should open. The governors the Democrat governors should open their states. They'll open them on November 4th. But they should open them now. It's very unfair to the people to have those shutdowns continuing at the level that they're continuing." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7866, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Democrats are insisting on a massive taxpayer bailout of badly run blue states, stimulus checks for illegal aliens, and the mass release of inmates from jail. They want to release a lot of inmates, some of them for very serious reasons. They want to release them from jail. They want that part as part of a stimulus package, can you believe it?" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.198, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's time for the Democrats in Congress to start working across the aisle and put the American people first." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7875, + "raw_confidence": 0.7875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Now, we have $300 billion in a an account that we didn't use $300 billion. And we are willing to use that. I would be willing to release it, subject to Congress, and use that as stimulus money, and it would go right to the American people. So we have $300 billion sitting in an account that we didn't need because things are going so well with the economy." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2077, + "raw_confidence": 0.7923, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But it would be a very appropriate thing to release that to the American people, and I am willing to do it; all we need as a signoff. But that doesn't mean that we're going to release prisoners. Some prisoners some very vicious people, actually. We're not going to put them on the streets like the Democrats want us to, and we're not going to give stimulus checks to illegal aliens. They came into the country illegally, and now we give them a check? We want to give the checks to the American people." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.784, + "raw_confidence": 0.784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So, remember, we have $300 ; it's there. We don't need the money. We don't need anything. Just let that money get released to the American people." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "As our economy rebounds, there's only one thing that could stop the extraordinary economic comeback and wipe out the future of American workers and that's what the Democrats want to do with a $4 trillion tax hike implementing things that will be really bad for our country. And this will just absolutely cripple what we're doing on regulations and so many other elements of success." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7658, + "raw_confidence": 0.7658, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We had the greatest economy in history, prior to the China virus coming in. Now they want to stop regulations. They want to bring up regulations to a level stop the things that we're doing, which are at a much smaller level, and bring up regulations at a level that nobody has ever seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "They want to do things that will make it impossible for any economy to grow. They want to ban fracking. And as you saw ban, ban, ban. And all of a sudden, he sees his polls going down, and now he says, Well, I was only talking about not maybe banning fracking, but he wants to ban fracking." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And it doesn't matter what he wants to ban; the people that control him want to ban fracking. And whether it's Pennsylvania, Texas, Oklahoma, North Dakota so many other states you can't ban fracking. That would be a disaster Ohio. They want to abolish American energy I mean, that's what's going to happen; adopt disastrous trade deals; and inflict a devastating shutdown." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "As you know, he said we want to shut it down: We would be willing to shut it down. And you don't shut down when we're setting records. And, by the way, we're rounding the corner. We're rounding the corner on the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7521, + "raw_confidence": 0.7521, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's blanket shutdown would collapse our economy. It would cause countless deaths from suicide, drug, alcohol abuse, heart disease, and more. You know, shutdowns cause a lot of problems a lot of very serious problems more so than the virus itself. Biden's plan is not a solution; it's a virtual surrender." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And our country is doing so well. We're starting to do so well. I think we're going to have a great third quarter. I mean, you're going to see for yourself because the numbers will be announced sometime prior to the election on November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And as you know, Joe spent his entire career sending American jobs to China and other faraway countries. For 47 years, people were pillaging our country taking our jobs, taking our companies. And that's never going to change with that mindset and with that group. Biden is not going to be standing up to these foreign countries. He's not going to be standing up maybe more importantly to the people that run the Democrat Party. He doesn't have the strength to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He refuses even to condemn Antifa a bad group, a far-left domestic terrorist organization. He doesn't want to say anything bad about it. His plan to appease to the domestic terrorists is the exact opposite of what I'm doing now. I think you saw that last night." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2151, + "raw_confidence": 0.7849, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, the U.S. Marshals we sent them in. U.S. Marshals. We were waiting for local government to take care of it, but they didn't do that, so the U.S. Marshals went in law enforcement. They took down the Antifa member who murdered a man in the middle of a street in Portland. The suspect was killed after drawing a weapon, when officers attempted to take him into custody. They wanted to take him in the U.S. Marshals, incredible people." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank them for their strength, their bravery. And I really do wish that the mayor of Portland and the governor of Oregon would get going and stop the crime in that city. It'd be so easy to do." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "While we're focused on creating good-paying jobs, the radical left is focused on unleashing vi- really violent mobs. And you see that. Whether you're conservative or liberal; Republican, Democrat, or independent, we must all agree the need for peace and order and safety." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, law enforcement is conducting arrests nationwide of rioters, looters, and domestic terrorists. The reason we didn't put Chicago into our list where we're holding back funds from some of these states and cities that are doing such a poor job, such an incompetent job a job that nobody can even imagine how bad. And we're holding it back until they get their act together." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2159, + "raw_confidence": 0.7841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And we are having a lot of people in Chicago right now, and you notice that their numbers are going down rapidly. But we have we've deployed a lot of federal law enforcement inside of Chicago, and they're taking out quite a few people. And they're being arrested; they're being put in jail. And that's why you see those numbers going down. That's why you see that, with respect to the mayor, we did not hold back funds in Chicago." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6491, + "raw_confidence": 0.6491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But New York is experiencing a tremendous crime wave; in some cases, up over 300 percent. And they have to do something quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We just spoke to Mayor Bowser, and she's willing to do whatever is necessary. We had a very good talk with her. That's in D.C." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And the other places, they speak for themselves." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2572, + "raw_confidence": 0.7428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We're working with the state and local authorities to comb through hours of video tape, identifying arrest suspects; and prosecute lawbreakers. We've already got over 300 in jail, and we have tremendous evidence." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2028, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank the media for helping us out because they're taking different angles we have it from every different angle. You can't probably have any better than what we've got. We see it from the sky and the ground, and from the right and from the left. So when they say they didn't do it, we say, Well, what's this? So we get that from the media, free of charge." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1987, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Under Operation LeGend, we've surged federal law enforcement to cities plagued by violent crime. The initiative has already resulted in tremendous success. And nationwide, we have over 2,000 arrests. We don't talk about it too much, but now we might as well. So we've arrested over 2,000 criminals. They're criminals. And in a single month, murder rate in Chicago as you know, and as I said it was cut in half, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So, on the China virus front, the nations of Europe have experienced a 38 percent greater excess mortality than the United States 38 percent more greater excess mortality than the United States. A lot of you don't want to report that. And if we took New York out of the equation, there's nobody even close. The job we've done is incredible. And we don't get any credit for it, but we've done an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Through Operation Warp Speed, we have three vaccines in the final stage of clinical trials. Yesterday, Pfizer announced I just spoke to the head of Pfizer, great guy. They announced that it expects to have the results of its trial very, very shortly next month but very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We remain on track to deliver a vaccine before the end of the year and maybe even before November 1st. We think we can probably have it sometime during the month of October. And Pfizer is among the leaders, as you know, and it's a great company. Johnson & Johnson also doing very well. Moderna. We have some really great companies. They're all doing very well. They're all in final stages, and I think you're going to see results that are shockingly good." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Finally, I want to provide you with a brief update of the virus. Cases in the United States have declined 28 percent nationwide over the last month, and hospitalizations and deaths have continued to decline over the past week very substantially decline." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.202, + "raw_confidence": 0.798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Thanks to America's medical genius, the mortality rate has been reduced by 85 percent in April. Mortality rate reduced by 85 percent. Hospital lengths of stay are one third of their average length in April. So the hospitalization is down. The length of stay is way down." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "In order to keep making progress against the virus, we ask all Americans to remain vigilant, especially over Labors Da- Labor Day. You know, you have the Labor Day Weekend coming upon us immediately I guess we can say pretty immediately. And we need everybody to be careful, to apply common sense, and do all of the things that we've told you to do as quickly as much as you can social distancing, wearing a mask whenever the distancing is not possible, and staying like staying with a group that you know." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Let's just try and get through this one weekend, and I think we have a chance of doing that. Just social distance, wash your hands all of the hygiene things that we speak about. And we're really rounding the turn." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3212, + "raw_confidence": 0.6788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And the vaccines are coming. The therapeutics have already come, but they continue to come. The convalescent plasma has had a tremendous impact already; you see what's happening there. And remdesivir has been incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2082, + "raw_confidence": 0.7918, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So we have a lot of things happening. We have a lot of therapeutics coming out. I think from the standpoint of common sense, I guess, therapeutics, to me right now, you go into a hospital, you give somebody a shot or or a transfusion. It might be a transfusion; probably more than 50 percent are actually transfusions. And they'll leave the hospital shortly thereafter. I mean, to me, that's more important, in a certain sense, than the vaccine. But the vaccines will be great over the long term; the therapeutics over the short term." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And also knowing you have the therapeutics, I think, is great from the standpoint of mind from the standpoint of the mind. That's great." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank everybody for being here. I'm going to ask Larry Kudlow to give a couple of examples of how strong our economy is recovering, how strongly it's recovering. And it's setting records at every level, and we're doing better than every other country. And we're very proud of all of the people for doing such an incredible job. This is a V. It's a super V." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.229, + "raw_confidence": 0.771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Again, we have $300 billion ready to go. All Congress has to do is say, Use it. If they say, Use it I'd like to use it without their permission, but I guess I'm not allowed to do that. I did ask that question. So Congress has to just say, Use it. All they have to do is say, Use it; $300 billion gets immediately put into our system, and will really help the American people. There's nothing else to do just a very quick statement." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Not only coaches though people in sports and people in life and even great political people, recommending Lou for the Presidential Medal of Freedom. And we've analyzed it very closely. We've looked at all of those recommendations. We've looked at Lou's life and his career and what he's done for charity. And the football is obvious he was a great coach but what he's done, beyond even coaching." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So Lou will be getting the Presidential Medal of Freedom. And a date is being picked; it won't be in the too-distant future. Lou was married to a great woman. Right, Lou? A great woman. And she just passed away a few months ago. This is an incredible woman. She was stronger I knew her; I knew her well she was stronger than Lou. I think she was stronger than you, Lou, I hate to tell you. You're strong, too. But she was special, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I just want to congratulate Coach Lou Holtz on soon to receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom. And we look forward to that, Lou. Thank you very much. And you can stay around and listen to Larry for a couple of seconds or" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "You probably know half of the people in the room. I'll bet they treat you better than they treat me. They treat him good. I wish you'd treat me that way." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I am. You know, there's a theory that I can do it without the approval, but I'd rather get the approval so that we have it. But there's a theory I could take the $300 billion. It's money that we have money that we built up and money that we haven't spent, and I would love to give it to the American people as a very powerful stimulus. So, yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I think there is a theory that I could do it without having to go back, but I think it would be appropriate to go back, and I would ask Congress to approve it. It's a very simple approval. It's literally, it's a one-sentence approval, and the Democrats should do that. The Republicans will do that. They would be glad to do that. So, we'll see whether or not they do it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm honored that Delaware because I don't see Biden anywhere but Delaware. He's and I like Delaware, too. But to have the law enforcement in Delaware give their endorsement to me is really a great honor. It's really it just shows you how how pathetic the Democrats are when it comes to crime, when it comes to law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So, would you please extend my very great thanks? That's a great honor to get it from Delaware law enforcement. We've gotten it from almost all law enforcement, but that's that's a because every time I see Biden speak, it says, Delaware, Delaware, Delaware. He never leaves. I'm all over the country; I'm all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Yeah, please. Go ahead. Did you have? Yeah, go ahead, Jeff." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we have to look at it very seriously if that's the case, and I think we will. There's nobody been tougher on Russia than I have. We get along. I get along with almost all countries." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7009, + "raw_confidence": 0.7009, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I get along with North Korea. Remember? We were supposed to be going to war with North Korea. If Hillary got elected, you'd be at war right now with North Korea. That would be a very messy war, a very bad war. Many millions of people would be killed. In the meantime, we've gotten along with them. We didn't get to war. Everyone said that if I was elected, I'd be at war in one week; it's been just the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So, we're doing a lot of things. I think that I was the one that alerted the United States and the world: Nord Stream 2. I said, Why is Germany spending billions and billions of dollars to Russia to get their energy from Russia, and then we're supposed to protect Germany from Russia? What's that all about? And the sanctions and everything else." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "At the same time, with Russia, we're right now negotiating a nuclear nonproliferation treaty, which is very important. It's a very important thing. To me, it's the most important thing. Some people say global warming; I don't. I say this is far more important. And we are the biggest; they are the second biggest, nuclear-wise. China is third. They're actually a distant third, but they're building pretty rapidly. And at some point, we'll include China into those talks, but we're doing very well with Russia on nuclear nonproliferation." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I don't know exactly what happened. I think it's it's tragic. It's terrible. It shouldn't happen. We haven't had any proof yet, but I will take a look." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7502, + "raw_confidence": 0.7502, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It is interesting that everybody is always mentioning Russia. And I don't mind you mentioning Russia, but I think probably China, at this point, is a nation that you should be talking about much more so than Russia because the things that China is doing are far worse, if you take a look at what's happening with the world." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7736, + "raw_confidence": 0.7736, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Look at what happened with the China virus. Look at what they did by not keeping that within the confines of China. They should have kept it in the confines of China. Look what they've done to 188 countries all over the world. But you never ask about China; you're always asking about Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I would be very angry if that's the case, and we'll take a look at the at the numbers and the documents, because we're going to be sent a lot of documents over the next few days." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I I didn't understand everything you said. I know India, and I understood those young people that you mentioned. They're very good, young people. And I know their relationship to India is very good, and so is mine." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7926, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And Prime Minister Modi is a friend of mine, and he's doing a very good job. Nothing easy nothing easy, but he's doing a very good job." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We're talking I mean, while we're at it, we're talking about China and India. They're pretty going at a pretty good on the border, as you know. It's been very nasty. It's been a very nasty situation, and we stand ready to help, with respect to China and India. If we can do anything, we would love to get involved and help, and we are talking to both countries about that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But I appreciate your nice sentiments. They think a lot of India, and so do I. And I think a lot of your prime minister. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I do. We had a an event in Houston, as you know, and it was a fantastic event. I was invited by Prime Minister Modi. And this was a massive this was at the where they play football the Houston football team. And it was it was it was incredible. It was actually incredible. And the Prime Minister could not have been more generous." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2762, + "raw_confidence": 0.7238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We have great support from India. We have great support from Prime Minister Modi. And I would think that the people Indian people would be voting for Trump. I also, as you know, went to India, just prior to the pandemic setting in, because India has been hit very hard. Left, really, about a week before that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And we had an incredible time. What what we saw the people are so incredible. It's really an incredible place, an incredible country, and it's definitely big. It's definitely big." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But you've got a great leader, and he's he's a great great person." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I hope not. I hope not, but they're certainly going at it. They're going at it much more strongly than a lot of people even understand." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "No, I don't. I mean, I don't. I I hear Germany has made a was it definitive, or almost definitive? But we have not seen it ourselves, no. But we have not seen it ourselves." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But I would certainly be okay with that. They want to do something. They want to take action. Shouldn't happen. Shouldn't happen." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But again, we are working very closely with a lot of countries on a lot of different things. We've taken stronger action against Russia than any other country in the world, as you know. I'll tell you, President Putin would tell you that right now." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But the fact that I the fact that I get along with Russia and that I get along, frankly, with everybody right now, I'm I'm not getting along with China, but that's my choice. I don't like what happened with respect to the pandemic, with respect to the China virus. I don't like it at all. What they've done to this world and this country and Europe and everyplace else is terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2085, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But I do get along with with President Putin. But I've been tougher on Russia than anybody else, by far." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7942, + "raw_confidence": 0.7942, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "If you look at the Obama administration, they were weak. Look at the land they gave up. Look at what happened with respect to look at what happened with respect to Ukraine. Such a big part of Ukraine given up during the Obama administration. And I don't think they would have done that with me. I don't think they would have done that with me at all." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8015, + "raw_confidence": 0.8015, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We gave tank busters, and they gave pillows; do you ever hear that expression? They sent pillows, and we sent tank busters to Ukraine." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So but with that being said, if we can do a nuclear nonproliferation agreement, that would be a great thing. No, but I would not be at all happy if that were the case. And it looks like it might very well be the case. I mean, based on what Germany" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7161, + "raw_confidence": 0.7161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "based on what Germany is saying, that seems to be the case." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I look, I I say what I say. And I never got along with John McCain. I disagreed with John McCain. You know that better than anybody, frankly. I wasn't a fan. I disagreed with many of his views. I disagreed with his views on these ridiculous, endless wars. I disagreed with the way he handled the vets, the VA. The VA is running much better now and we did with the MISSION Act, and the Accountability, and all the things we've done for the VA. He he was not able to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2894, + "raw_confidence": 0.7106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But I disagreed with John McCain on a lot of things. That doesn't mean I don't respect him. I respected him, but I really disagreed with him on a lot of things. And I think I was right; I think time has proven me right, to a large extent." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7909, + "raw_confidence": 0.7909, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "If I didn't close up our country; if I didn't stop, China highly infected from coming in; if I didn't stop Europe from coming in far sooner than anybody else, including Dr. Fauci and others, wanted to and Dr. Fauci was very nice; he said, President Trump made a great decision we would have far more than that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3392, + "raw_confidence": 0.6608, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But maybe even more importantly, if I didn't close up, we would have instead of the number that you mentioned or whatever it may be it were about 180 we would have perhaps one and a half or two million deaths right now if I went a different direction, which some people wanted me to do. And I decided not to do it. We'd have 2 million deaths." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7535, + "raw_confidence": 0.7535, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Now, a lot of countries don't report their deaths. Obviously, China is not reporting because they had far more than we did. China had far more deaths than we did, in my opinion. It's just my opinion. But they don't report their deaths or they don't report them accurately. And I could I don't want to embarrass other countries, but I can tell you, there are other countries where the death toll is far higher than the United States, but they don't report to us. We report it to a level that nobody reports it." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5892, + "raw_confidence": 0.5892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We also do testing in cases I I watch your broadcasts and your I read your information your media outlet's very, very carefully. And I look at the word cases. And the reason, you know, it's I say it 100 times; nobody wants to pick it up. But we do testing at a level that nobody ever dreamed possible. We have the best test, and we have, by far, the most tests." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7887, + "raw_confidence": 0.7887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Actually, India, as per your question before India is number two, and they've done a good job. But they're about 40 million tests behind us, and they're a country of 1.5 billion people." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6915, + "raw_confidence": 0.6915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Now, because of all these tests, we have far more cases. If we cut our cases in half, if we if we cut our testing in half, we'd probably have about half the number of cases. If we cut it down to levels there are some countries that don't test. They test when somebody walks into a hospital; that's the test you get. They walk into a hospital, they're sick that's your test." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7827, + "raw_confidence": 0.7827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We have tested more and and better. And you just see where we now have millions of tests coming in from a certain company that's done a fantastic job, and it's going to be anywhere from 5 minutes to 15 minutes on the spot very accurate test." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But if we had much less testing, no testing, we would have you wouldn't be reporting cases. But you saw the s- I don't want to go over the statistics. You all wrote it down. But you see how we're doing compared to the rest of the world, and you see" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2955, + "raw_confidence": 0.7045, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And if you took out New York, which has been a tragic situation with the amount of people that died in New York" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "If you took - sure. I'm just saying: New York has been, in particular, run whether it's badly, incompetently; whether it's unfortunate and I appreciated Governor Cuomo saying that I've done a phenomenal job, and he said very good things. He said bad things too, you know, later on, when he had no real other choice. But if you took out New York from those numbers, you can multiply our tremendous success by a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But look, the bottom line is that the job we've done on COVID-19 or the China virus, the China plague call it whatever you want; got a lot of different names but it's been incredible. And we've also helped a lot of other countries, especially with ventilators, because we are now you know, we built ventilators at a level that nobody ever thought possible. So" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "No, look. Look. Yeah, but you didn't hear me. If we didn't do what I said, we would be at 2 million deaths right now." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So it's been amazing. But we made some moves at the beginning: China, big; Europe, big. But the biggest of all was closing it down, understanding the disease. And we did, and now we know it's the elderly. It's especially elderly if they have heart, diabetes if they have problems. And we're watching it, and we're watching it very closely. And, by the way, we're doing super testing with respect to that. Super testing." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3154, + "raw_confidence": 0.6846, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But if we did it a different way, instead of the number that you said but basically, the number that we're at now is approximately 180,000 we'd be at 2 million people right now. Could be higher than that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7321, + "raw_confidence": 0.7321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I don't know anything about the Russia vaccine. I'm not sure. We have our vaccine, and our vaccine is I think, it's going to be the standard. It's going to be great. And these companies are incredible. They've come up with the great vaccines over the years, and that's the vaccine that probably most of the people in this room are going to want to take. All right?" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7949, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's sitting in an account; has not been spent, but we're willing to spend it." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "No, we're willing to spend it. I'd like to get approval from Congress. There's a theory that I don't have to do that, but I'd rather be up front, and I'd like to get approval from Congress. Let it go directly to the people. It would be a great stimulus. It's actually more stimulus than we're asking for, in terms of pure stimulus. This would be pure stimulus." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7798, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I wouldn't have to let prisoners go some very evil prisoners go. Like, think of it: The Democrats, in order to get what they want and in order to give us what we they're talking about allowing prisoners to be released; prisoners that we don't want to be released. So in order that we get money to the American people, they want to say release prisoners and other things like that that are very bad. And we just can't do that. We don't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1797, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, no, we have 11 people. I was just told I was just told we have 11 people. There is nobody that feels more strongly about our soldiers, our wounded warriors, our soldiers that died in war, than I do. It's a hoax, just like the fake dossier was a hoax, just like the Russia, Russia, Russia was a hoax. It was a total hoax. No collusion. Just like so many other things. It's a hoax." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And you'll hear more of these things, totally unrelated, as we get closer and closer to election. The magazine is a failing magazine, and nobody called me nobody called me from the magazine and said, Do you have a comment about it? No, they just write whatever they want to write because they figure you can't get sued. You can't get sued, but it's very it's a very hard bringing lawsuits." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7212, + "raw_confidence": 0.7212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But we have many witnesses, and it's a total it's a total it's just a continuation of the witch hunt, so that it can hopefully effect the election." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But the American people are too smart. So whether it's the fake dossier that turned out to be a total fraud or so many other things so many other things have turned out. I've been under investigation from before I even get elected. These people have gone after me more than any president in the United States in history in the history of the United States. And it's a shame. It's a shame." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.293, + "raw_confidence": 0.707, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And despite that, we've done more in the first three and a half years than any administration. There's been no administration that's done more. When you add it all up, there's been no despite all of the horrible political games that have been played." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3285, + "raw_confidence": 0.6715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But there's nobody that's been that's been able to do what I've done, and that includes the great MISSION Act, because what Obama passed was a joke. It was a joke. And we took it to a level that nobody thought possible, and that includes Accountability." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2035, + "raw_confidence": 0.7965, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So it's a disgrace that somebody is allowed to write things like that. It could have been you know, a lot of times, the sources aren't sources; they don't exist. And sometimes the sources are just people that are disgruntled, former so-called employees." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1898, + "raw_confidence": 0.8102, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Now, there are people that are jealous. There are people that are upset that they're not here anymore. There are people that we've done an incredible job. The virus came in, and now we're doing an incredible job again. And we're going to build it up bigger than it was before the virus came in." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But I don't know that it was him. I haven't seen that. I mean, I see Anonymous, but it could have been a guy like a John Kelly because he was" + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Just so you understand, he was a very if you look at some of his news conferences, what happened to him: He got eaten alive. He was unable to handle the pressure of this job. This job was a tough job. Mark Meadows is doing a great job, but Kelly was unable to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2625, + "raw_confidence": 0.7375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "The Paris police said, Please, you can't do this. They'd have to shut down various parts of Paris, and it just was not a possible situation. The helicopter would have been very quick. They had the helicopter all set, but the helicopter could never fly in that kind of weather. So and that turned out and that's all documented, by the way. We have all of the information from and probably will release that information." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But I think it's a shame when a second-rate magazine I don't read it; I know very little about this magazine. But when a second-rate magazine can write things like that about somebody that's done so much for the military, can write things like that and get away with it, where you actually ask questions on it, it's a disgrace, and you ought to be ashamed of yourself." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7838, + "raw_confidence": 0.7838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And let me just tell you, I watched the interview with Sleepy Joe Biden, and he didn't ask questions. You didn't ask questions like that. Read the questions you asked. They were, like, meant for a child. Those questions were meant for a child. Smiles on faces of reporters not like you and you. There were smiles on the reporters. What do you think? Take a look at those questions that they ask him. They were not meant for a grown-up; they were meant for a child." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2448, + "raw_confidence": 0.7552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I just want to just tell you I just want to tell you it's a disgrace, because if you look at what I've done for the United States military, I love those people. I've gotten them pay raises when they didn't get anything near what I've been able to do. And I've rebuilt $2.5 trillion. I've rebuilt the United States military. Now we're including Space Force. Nobody has done more for them." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And then, when I have to have a report read like that from a third-rate magazine that's not going to be in business much longer, I look at that and I think it's a disgrace. And then when I watch Biden getting asked questions that are really meant for a child to answer anybody could answer and I look at the level of question that you people ask, I mean, honestly, it's disgraceful." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So I want to thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We appreciate it. And we're doing very well. We're very, very proud of what's happened with respect to the economy. And I think that before the election, you're going to see a third quarter announced. The third quarter will be at a level that our country has never seen before. Next year, we're going to have a year that was better than last year. And I feel very certain it'll be better than last year. It'll be the greatest year we've had." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And the whole reason this is working out this way is because we set a foundation for this country like we've never had before. So next year is going to be a fantastic year." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4507, + "raw_confidence": 0.5493, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But remember this: The third quarter is going to be announced sometime prior to the election by a few days, actually and I think it's going to be record-setting-type numbers on GDP and other things." + }, + { + "tid": "qRdVSzM4NlU", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Okay. Thank you very much, everybody. So we have some very interesting news. Kevin Clinesmith, a corrupt FBI attorney who falsified FISA warrants in James Comey's very corrupt FBI, is expected to plead guilty. You probably heard that. It just came out. So that's just the beginning, I would imagine, because what happened should never happen again. So, he is pleading guilty. Terrible thing. Terrible thing. The fact is they spied on my campaign and they got caught. And you'll be hearing more." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Today, the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy released a new report on how my administration has harnessed the full power of the Defense Production Act to achieve the greatest industrial mobilization since World War Two, in our fight against the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "New factories, businesses, and laboratories are being built all over America to match our nation's demand for personal protective equipment, pharmaceuticals, drugs, testing supplies, therapeutics, and vaccines. It's been incredible what we've been able to do in a very short period of time. We're helping other countries also because we've been really we've been doing it at a level that nobody has ever seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "It was just announced, a little while ago, industrial production rose for the third straight month. It's a big thing. Factory output was up 3.4 percent this month after a 5.7 increase last month. Those are getting to be record numbers. And manufacturing capacity utilization is now up to almost 70 percent. So we're coming back very strong. We should have a very good third quarter. We should have an unbelievably good next year. Next year, if we don't mess it up with somebody that has no idea what they're doing, could be a fantastic year." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3655, + "raw_confidence": 0.6345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "My administration has exercised the authority under the Defense Production Act to a number and related authorities at a 78 times, dispersing over $3.5 billion to speed the development and manufacturing of essential materials. So, put it a little bit differently: The administration has exercised the authority under the Defense Production Act and related authorities 78 times. That's a lot, Peter, right? It's a big number: 78 times. It came in very handy. A lot of times we just mentioned it and they did what we asked them to do. Dispersing over $3.5 billion to speed the development and manufacturing of essential materials." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5557, + "raw_confidence": 0.5557, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I've used the DPA more comprehensively than any President in history. There was a time when the media would say, Why aren't you using it? Why aren't you using it? Well, we have used it a lot, where necessary. Only where necessary. For the most part, we've had tremendous cooperation." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3101, + "raw_confidence": 0.6899, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "By invoking the DPA, we mobilized the extraordinary productive might of General Motors to manufacture ventilators. GM repurposed the Kokomo, Indiana, plant in just 17 days an all-time record and has now produced over 21,000 ventilators." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2019, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We're also working with Ford Motor Company and General Electric to produce over 30,000 ventilators a month in Michigan. They've done a great job. Our nation is now the king of ventilators. I say that: the king of ventilators. We're sending them all over the world and helping a lot of countries that could never have ventilators. And it's really, I guess we're looking to produce over 200,000 ventilators by the end of the year. Those are some numbers. So we're helping a lot of countries." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2002, + "raw_confidence": 0.7998, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "In April, I directed 3M to increase its manufacturing of N95 masks. By May, they had increased production by over a million masks a day. Think of that: They increased production of masks by over one million a day. 3M is now manufacturing an additional 39 million masks a month. We also worked with Honeywell to open factories in Arizona and Rhode Island. They're now producing over 20 million masks a month." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7834, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "By the end of the year, domestic U.S. manufacturing will have produced over 1 billion N95 respirators, and all of them are made right here in the USA. That's a big difference from the past." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6437, + "raw_confidence": 0.6437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Overall, we've increased N95 mask production by 400 million masks a year. Now, the media might say, Why not 500? Why not 600? Nobody has seen numbers like this ever." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7853, + "raw_confidence": 0.7853, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We delivered more than $75 million in support to Puritan Medical in Maine. I was up there. I was as you remember, we had a tremendous visit and tremendous throngs of people along the roads on the way to Puritan Medical. Puritan has a doubled their production of testing swabs from 20 million to 40 million per month. They're doing a fantastic job, and so is Maine." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7443, + "raw_confidence": 0.7443, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I've also used the DPA to fight price gouging and hoarding. My administration located and seized over half a million pieces of hoarded personal protective equipment, including 299,000 pairs of medical-grade gloves, 192,000 N95 respirators, and 130,000 surgical masks. That's hoarding." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3825, + "raw_confidence": 0.6175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "My administration's decisive actions have yielded truly incredible results. People have done an incredible job. We've replenished the Strategic National Stockpile that was very badly depleted when we took office and totally neglected in the last administration." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7744, + "raw_confidence": 0.7744, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Since the start of the pandemic, we have tripled the number of N95 masks on hand to over 40 million, tripled the number of gowns to over 15 million, and quadrupled the number of ventilators to 69,000." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7054, + "raw_confidence": 0.7054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "By September, the Strategic National Stockpile inventory is on track to contain over 300,000 excuse me, 300 million N95 respirators and surgical masks, over 4.5 billion gloves, and over 190,000 ventilators. That's far more than we've done before. It's not even close." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "As we talk about the economy, we continue to restore America's industrial might. We're bringing jobs to the USA. We understand that the economic health is critical very critical to public health. We'll be discussing next week some of the outstanding numbers we have, compared to any other country. There is no country even close when you look at what we've done compared to them on the stand- from the standpoint of the economy and also during even during the period of the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "In the last three months, we've added an average of 100,000 jobs every single day. We've also added over 620,000 manufacturing jobs in the past three months. That's despite people saying, You can't do manufacturing jobs anymore. You'd need a magic wand, they said, but they were wrong. Weekly jobless claims just fell below 1 million for the first time in a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I'm pleased to announce that as part of Operation Warp Speed, the federal government will be partnering with McKesson Corporation great company, which is a major medical supplier to rapidly distribute a China-virus vaccine as soon as one is approved fully approved. They're in stage three trials. We have many of them going along different passes. Also many different companies doing them very, very incredible companies." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We currently have three candidates in phase three clinical trials and are on pace to have more than 100 million doses of a vaccine ready before the end of the year and 500 million doses very shortly thereafter. And we're ready, logistically, to distribute them. Our military is ready. We have a great general who's in charge. That's what he does, is he distributes things usually it's people and weapons, tanks but in this case, it's a vaccine or a therapeutic, as it may be." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We continue to actively monitor the virus, executing our strategy to protect the vulnerable and prevent hospital overcrowding. As of today, hospitalizations continue to be very stable, and we will be watching always very carefully. Remain vigilant." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We ask every citizen to practice good hygiene, socially distance, wear a mask when distancing is not possible, and to protect the elderly. Always protect the elderly." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "So now we'll take a few questions if you'd like." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Sure, if they give us what we want. And it's not what I want, it's what the American people want." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3792, + "raw_confidence": 0.6208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "So we're talking about those are two things directly involved and, really, victim of the China virus. We're ready to send; Democrats are holding up. I'm ready to send rental assistance payments to hardworking Americans that have been hurt by the China virus. All of these things are in a list. Democrats are holding this up." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3286, + "raw_confidence": 0.6714, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I'm ready to send $105 billion to the states to help open schools safely, with additional PPP E. And Democrats are holding this up. So that's $105 billion to the states to help open schools safely, with additional PPE. Democrats are holding that up. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And I'm ready to send more money to states and local governments to save jobs of our great police, our firefighters, our first responders and teachers. It's all ready to go. Democrats are holding it up. So they're holding, John, all of that up." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Yeah, but they're not giving it to me; they're giving it to the American people. I mean, giving it" + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I would I would certainly do that. Sure, I would do that. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I'm waiting for the Democrats to approve it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Well, she did very well in the election. She won by a lot. She was very popular. She comes from a great state. And she had a tremendous victory, so absolutely, I did congratulate her." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Yeah. I have a wonderful brother. We've had a great relationship for a long time, for from day one. It's a long time ago. And he's in the hospital right now, and hopefully he'll be all right. But he's he's pretty he's having a hard time." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I haven't been told of it yet. I heard there's something, but I haven't been told of it yet." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I will rely on the doctors to tell me that. I would say probably the elderly. I would say nursing homes. A lot of people said, Would you take it? I said, I'll take it if they want, or I'll go first or last. I'll do whatever they want me to do. But I would think that the elderly, the people that are most vulnerable to the disease. And we're actually making those lists right now mostly nursing homes and retirement centers. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We don't know much about it. We hope it works we do. We hope it works. They cut off certain trials, and we just feel it's important to go through the the process. We have numerous different vaccines that we think are going to work, but we want to go through a system of trials. We're very advanced. We're very we'll be announcing something in the not-too-distant future, also with therapeutics, which I think are very, very important." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2159, + "raw_confidence": 0.7841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I do what's good in terms of the security of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4885, + "raw_confidence": 0.5115, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We've been we've been very badly let down by China. What's your next question?" + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We'll be announcing. We have four tankers. They going to Houston, and they're there. We they're not supposed to be doing that. Iran is not supposed to be doing that. And so we did we seized the tankers, and we're moving them, and moved, to Houston." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "No, I haven't been blunt. I said, She treated Joe Biden worse than anybody else. I watched those debates. They were very boring, but they were debates nevertheless. And I watched, you know, pretty good parts of them, and she treated Biden worse than anybody else, by far. There was nobody including Pocahontas nobody treated Biden so badly as Kamala." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "As you as you know, none whatsoever. No, not at all." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Because they want $1 trillion to go to their friends doing a bad job running certain cities and states that are doing very badly. You know, most of our country is running very well. Even in terms of crime, most of our country is setting records in terms of low. But when you look at Chicago, when you look at what's going on in Illinois and New York and other places, both economically and in other ways, it's horrible. It's horrible." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4231, + "raw_confidence": 0.5769, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Look at Oregon. Look what's going on in Oregon. They have I don't think they have a clue. We could stop that if they would request it, we would stop that problem in one hour, like we did in Minneapolis. We would stop it in one hour. It would be over. It's so easy to do." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "All right, please, go ahead. In the back, please." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I heard that. That was a beauty. That's right." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We announced the deal. And I appreciate even the New York Times gave it great coverage and editorials today. Wall Street Journal, Washington Post everybody was saying great. And this is something we've been working very hard on." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And I saw where Sleepy Joe tried to claim credit for it, and I'm trying to figure out how that one works. No, what he did is they made a terrible deal with Iran. And the deal was a horror show, and I ended it. They gave them $150 billion for nothing. They gave them $1.8 billion in cash for nothing. They got nothing from that deal except trouble. They did nothing. They just like they've been weak on China, they've been weak on Russia. They've been weak on everyone. And they were the weakest of all on Iran." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "No, that was a great deal made by very talented people that work with me. And it's been praised all over the world. And what you'll see now is other countries will come into that deal, and you'll have peace in the Middle East. And Biden doesn't even know he doesn't even know the name of the countries I'm talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "qZd2BBz-ZOQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. We'll see you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2059, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I don't think he's competent and he's not ready to lead. He's lost that. I don't think he was ever ready to lead. If you look at his record, he made every mistake you could make, and this is over years. And no, I don't believe he's competent." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3374, + "raw_confidence": 0.6626, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Well, New Hampshire, number one is doing very, very well in terms of the, as I call it, the China virus. You have a great governor. He's doing an incredible job. Your numbers are very, very low and young children just don't have very much of a problem. I mean, it's a tiny percentage of 1%. and you have to open up your state." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You have to open up your country and that's what we're doing and we're doing it to record numbers. So, no, I think you absolutely have to open up your schools, have football and all of those things. But in New Hampshire in particular, your numbers are so low. The governor's done a great job and other representatives." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't want to have anybody have any risk, and these are incredible people. We have a very big venue. It's outdoor or essentially outdoor, which I think is good. That's why we're doing it here instead of one of the arenas. You have some pretty good arenas in New Hampshire. We're doing it here for that reason." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "But no, we don't want any risks. We have thousands of people lined up and down the runways. I just said, why couldn't we have them come over? And the reason they didn't want to have the crowd be too tight. So you have a lot of distancing in there. But the great thing is New Hampshire has done so well. Your numbers are very, very low." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm looking into it very strongly. I'll be getting reports and I'll certainly let you know pretty soon. But it was not a good site. I didn't like the site of it, certainly, and I think most people would agree with that. But we'll be getting reports in very soon and we'll report back then." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2397, + "raw_confidence": 0.7603, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Well, the problem is that if you have one bad policemen or if you have a policemen that frankly chokes, they make a mistake, they choke, they could be in the force for a long time, but there were never under that pressure. For that one second or less than a second, they have to make a decision. And if they make a bad decision, it's all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "What you don't see is the thousands and thousands of great decisions that are made when people are saved. So we have to understand that. I mean, people can make a mistake. That doesn't make them bad, they choked. Bad things happen and it can happen. And we have to protect our police." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "We have to allow our police to have the respect that they used to have. And if you look at these Democrat run cities, it's a disaster what's going on. The top 10 cities in terms of crime and violence are Democrat run cities, and including Washington DC, by the way. You take a look at that. We have a mayor that doesn't know what she's doing." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2239, + "raw_confidence": 0.7761, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "In New York you have a mayor that doesn't know what he's doing. In Chicago you have a mayor that's having a hard time. These are all Democrats. And in some cases, radical left Democrats. Take a look at Portland. That's another one. So look, the Republicans have done a great job. We have great cities that we have very low crime rates." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "Well, I do, but absentee voting is much different than other states are talking about. They're talking about unsolicited where thousands and even millions of ballots are sent to people. Absentee voting is a much different thing. I like absentee voting because you have to request and get it. That's good." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "You have to go through a process. But unsolicited voting where they send millions of ballots out to people that they have no idea who the people are, what's going on, they have very little idea. If you take a look at what's happened, it's terrible. But with New Hampshire, I have great confidence in your governor." + }, + { + "tid": "R094wveDwjI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3319, + "raw_confidence": 0.6681, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-wmur-manchester-nh-adam-sexton-august-28-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-28", + "claim_text": "I think your governor is doing a great job and I have great.... And I do like... Absentee is good. But, if you're just going to take ballots that are sent in a sense, indiscriminately to millions of people, nobody could be in favor of that, and it hasn't worked out well at all. But what you're doing in New Hampshire is absentee voting and that's a good thing. That's okay." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much everybody. It's good to be with you. I'd like to begin by providing an update on my administration's actions to protect American workers as we battle the China virus since the virus escaped China. My administration has enacted $3 trillion in economic relief. It's been very, very successful and you saw that by the numbers that were issued yesterday and the day before as to used car sales and auto production." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They've been incredible numbers, actually. Shockingly incredible. We've been negotiating in good faith with Democrat leaders in the house to extend relief payments. We're negotiating right now as we speak and we'll see how that works out. But if Democrat leaders put partisan demands aside, we would reach an agreement very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It would happen very quickly. In the meantime, my administration's exploring executive actions to provide protections against eviction. Eviction is a big problem, very unfair to a lot of people. It wasn't their fault that this virus came from a far away land. As well as additional relief to those who are unemployed as a result of the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Very importantly, I'm also looking at a term limited suspension of the payroll tax. Something that has great support from many, many sides, especially some of our top economists and some people that we have great respect for. So we're looking at a suspension of the payroll tax. The Democrats are primarily interested in a $1 trillion bailout of the poorly run states." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We have some states in cities, you know them all. We don't have to go through names. But they've been very poorly run over the years and we can't go along with the bailout money. We're not going to go along with that, especially since it's not COVID related. Earlier today, I met with a great governor. Arizona governor, Doug Ducey, has really done a fantastic job beyond even the COVID situation, which you've been reading about as it pertains to Arizona." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "A state that is a model for applying a science-based approach to the decreasing cases and hospitalizations without implementing a punishing lockdown. Arizona's record in reducing the spread of the virus while maintaining hospital capacity and allowing society to continue functioning and functioning very nicely, very successfully is an example that shows how our path forward can work in other states." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Arizona has a record and a record really to be proud of. It's reduced the number of daily new cases by over 75%, cut the positivity rate in half and reduced ER visits by two thirds, all the while keeping the economy functioning and functioning really well. When cases surged in June, the vice president and Dr. Burke visited Arizona to consult with Governor Ducey." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They had long consultations with Governor Ducey and his staff, and the vice president has been in constant contact ever since. My administration is also collaborating with the state and local officials across the South and Midwest to provide similar guidance. We had a great relationship with the representatives in Arizona, and it's been such a successful endeavor." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6599, + "raw_confidence": 0.6599, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The federal government has supplied or delivered more than 400 million pieces of personal protective equipment to Arizona, along with nearly 70,000 vials of Remdesivir. We've provided over $18 billion in economic support to Arizona, including more than $8.6 million to support over 80,000 small businesses." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So we really have been helping Arizona and it's gotten tremendous results. Our goal is to protect the most vulnerable, increase recovery rates, you know that. It's something so important, and prevent hospital overcrowding all the while avoiding the kind of stringent lockdowns that would inflict substantial suffering." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "In the phase and this phase of the battle, we have the tools, resources and knowledge to implement a targeted approach, as we race to deliver a vaccine. And we are really working very hard on the vaccine and I think they're doing a fantastic job. I've been meeting with officials of some of the greatest companies in the world and meeting with scientists." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And they're getting very close. If not there, they're getting very close. They're testing. Any proper analysis of infection control measures must take into account the short term and long term public health harms, including deaths caused by a far reaching shutdown. When you shut down, you have many, many things that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2818, + "raw_confidence": 0.7182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "From suicides, to depression, to drinking, alcohol problems, to drug problems, to problems with marriages. Problems with marriages. You have people confined to their house, their apartment for long periods of time, you cause a lot of problems with that also. Instead, Arizona's adopted the following measures." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The governor advised residents to aggressively social distance when possible and maintain strict hygiene. The state encourage mask use in crowded public places, especially when social distancing is not possible. The governor also exercised his discretion to restrict capacity at indoor locations to limit the possibility of super spreading." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's a big thing. My administration has urged treatments. We got them a lot of treatments and therapies to the state, including nearly 70,000 vials of Remdesivir, enough to treat over 11,000 patients. And it's been very successful, I might add. My administration also delivered PPE and point-of-care testing to over 100 Arizona nursing homes." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "In total, the federal government has provided massive amounts of masks and equipments and gowns, and you know some of those numbers. But Arizona was a very big beneficiary and they very much really appreciated. More than 1000 national guard and medical personnel have also been deployed in Arizona and they've really helped." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They've been terrific and I want to thank them. They have been brave and brilliant, combination of both. We also supported our tribal communities. The tribal communities were hit very, very hard. Governor Ducey and I personally delivered rapid testing systems to the Navajo Nation, which has been really, really in originally bad shape and now getting better and very, very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5231, + "raw_confidence": 0.5231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The Navajo Nation now has one of the highest levels of testing per capita, anywhere in the world. We really worked very hard on the tribal areas and in particular, in this case, the Navajo Nation. They've done incredibly well. Overall, Arizona has conducted over 1.1 million tests, more than the entire nations of Japan, Mexico, and Switzerland." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Arizona's per capita testing is higher than Germany, South Korea, France, and Canada, and tribal governments in Arizona have received nearly $1.3 billion for the coronavirus relief fund. Meanwhile, outdoor dining, limited indoor dining and most of the other businesses in Arizona have remained open and very vibrant." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They're doing incredibly well. This is an approach and it's an approach that's been incredibly successful. Arizona's been able to protect high risk population Really successful. Arizona's been able to protect high risk populations and quickly bring its outbreak under control without the need to impose overly punitive measures." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Thanks to advances in treating the virus, the fatality rate across all age groups in Arizona is very low. Arizona's scientific and data-driven strategy also preserved hospital capacity, ensuring that those who need care were able to receive it and receive it immediately, very quickly. At the peak, approximately 15% of beds remained available statewide." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3919, + "raw_confidence": 0.6081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That was at that peak, with roughly 20% of all occupied beds going to patients hospitalized for the virus. They kept other things going. They kept other forms of operations going. They kept elective surgery going, did a really amazing job. Today, only 6% of the current hospitalizations in the state are related to the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Arizona's also demonstrated success in protecting the state's African American population. Only 5% of patients hospitalized were African American, and African Americans represent just 2% of all deaths from the virus. As it has worked to contain its outbreak, Arizona has also been formulating a plan to get children safely back to school as soon as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We want our schools open all over the country. We want our schools open. Arizona has worked very hard on this and they're doing very well. The Department of Education is providing Arizona schools with $625 million. They're working very hard, and that's in conjunction with CARES funding. My administration is actively working with other States in the same way we worked with Arizona." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "In recent weeks, members of the coronavirus taskforce have visited over 15 states to encourage them to follow our path forward, including Tennessee, Kentucky, Virginia, Indiana, and Ohio. And I'll be going to Ohio tomorrow. I look forward to it very much. It's a great place and a great state with an excellent governor." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we look forward to being there tomorrow. Next week, Dr. Birx will be visiting Iowa, Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. And also, I believe they're trying to get in West Virginia. A great place, a great state. And I'm sure that will happen because we'd like it to happen. They'd like to see her." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So we're going to try very hard to get the doctor to West Virginia in addition to those states to deliver aggressive, tailored and targeted guidance. The strategy we're taking to these states will protect those at highest risk, while allowing others at a lower risk to safely resume work and school. If we do this successfully, it can be really something incredible because we're talking about a lot of states." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2024, + "raw_confidence": 0.7976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're talking about many, many states. It's really great to see also that Florida, we're coming down, it's coming down, and pretty substantially in many locations. And even Miami is starting to come down. Miami was hit very hard. California, likewise, and Texas, likewise, coming down and really starting to be a substantial amount of reduction." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5416, + "raw_confidence": 0.5416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It recognizes that prolonged lockdowns imposed a wide range of serious public health threats, including higher levels of suicide, drug overdoses, and other significant health harms resulting from the depression that we talked about. Social isolation, economic hardship, it's been very tough for those people that are put in a lockdown position for too long." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It really has been a very tough and harmful situation for many people. The fact is that these harms are not measured daily here or abroad. It makes them, really, a very serious threat because people don't know exactly what they are and how bad they are. But I think they're very bad. Going forward, we must continue to remain vigilant in shielding of the elderly and those with underlying conditions." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1574, + "raw_confidence": 0.8426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Approximately half of all deaths have occurred in nursing homes and longterm care facilities, which is an incredible number and statistic if you think about it. I also urge Americans to help us stop the spread of the virus. Practice good hygiene, socially distance, avoid large crowds, and wear a mask where distancing is not possible." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's a patriotic thing to do. If you are sick, isolate yourself, especially from high risk family members and friends. So important, isolate yourself from high risk family members and friends if you're not feeling well. Together, we will defeat the virus and emerge from this safer and stronger than ever." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Thanks to the robust federal action in partnership with state and local leaders, new cases of the virus are declining in 80% of the jurisdictions, which is an incredible number. And the overall test positivity rate has declined by 8% since last week. Zero states have seen outbreaks get worse since yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So zero states. We're also continuing to make progress in the development of a vaccine. This is something so important. Also, therapeutics are on the front burner. We're having tremendous I think. We'll let you know very soon. I think long before the end of the year. We're having tremendous success on therapeutics and tremendous success on vaccines, and we're ready to deliver them literally as soon as they are okayed." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.198, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "This morning, my administration approved $1 billion for Johnson & Johnson, who's been working very hard in the have something very special, to manufacture and distribute 100 million doses of a China virus vaccine as soon as one is available. And again, we think that's going to be soon and we think we're going to have the vaccines before the end of the year, maybe long before the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2005, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Finally, today, I'm pleased to announce that the Department of Justice has issued $35 million in grants to 73 organizations nationwide, providing assistance to human trafficking victims. A terrible thing. You think of human trafficking as being an ancient form of crime. It's not because of the internet. It's a very modern crime all over the world." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3953, + "raw_confidence": 0.6047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Not just here, all over the world, human trafficking. It's usually in women or women and children. But it's, again, because of the internet. It's a terrible situation. Never been like this. And also, survivors who have faced heightened dangers during the pandemic, it's actually increased during the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7656, + "raw_confidence": 0.7656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I guess some reasons are obvious and some reasons are less obvious, but human trafficking, we're working very, very strongly. The wall is up to 277 miles right now. And it's going up. By the end of the year, it'll be largely finished shortly after the end of the year. And it's had a tremendous impact, a very positive impact on human trafficking." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Unbelievable impact actually. My administration will never rest in our fight against the human trafficking . It's one of the most horrific of crimes, and we worked very hard on that. With that, we'll take some questions. Please?" + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4671, + "raw_confidence": 0.5329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, if you read, even The Washington Post had a terrible story on a mail-in, and The New York Times, and many newspapers have had terrible stories. You see them all over the internet. They've had some just horrible stories on mail-in ballots. You look at Arizona, you don't even have - mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7779, + "raw_confidence": 0.7779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You look at Arizona, you don't even have to have as you know, they have a provision where they don't have to check signatures. You sign it, and you could have a totally different signature. It's okay. It won't be approved. They have the right to go seven days after the election for approval, so you're not even going to know who won the state of Nevada." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Okay, but that's not what they said when they approved it. They said they're not going to check signatures. They're not going to be able to. And their machinery, which is old, doesn't allow them to. It's going to be physically impossible for them to do that, especially in a short period of time. In addition, you have the November 3rd election, and they're allowed to count votes until seven days after the election." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "What does that mean? If Nevada, which is a big state and a great state a state I like very much, and I think we're going to do very well there. Are we going to wait a week after November 3rd if it comes down to Nevada, which it could very well? I don't think so. I don't think it's appropriate. With all of the bundling that you're going to have, with the harvesting you're going to have, with people being sent ballots all over that have maybe nothing to do with the state anymore, it's a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7894, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "In New York, they had the Carolyn Maloney situation, and I criticized it badly over the last two years and two days. I mean, I gave it some very, very strong criticism. And all of a sudden like a miracle, they just approved the winner. Well, what happened? Did the person that was second concede the race, even though it was very close and all mixed up? They have a terrible situation in New York with the ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You know that. And as soon as I said, Well, I think you should have a new election, because the election obviously, they're not going to know what to do. I think you should have a new election. They all of a sudden announced a winner. I assume it was her, but they announced a winner. Well, I don't agree with it. Did somebody speak to the person on the other side, the opponent?" + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.234, + "raw_confidence": 0.766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Did they do something for the opponent on the other side? Take a look at Patterson, New Jersey. Take a look at many things. It's all over newspapers what's going on with the mail-in ballots. They send out millions of ballots. Millions of ballots. They're totally unprepared to do it, and then they come back in the millions." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's going to be a disaster. I'm doing our country a big favor by bringing it up. And from a common stance or even common sense standpoint, if you look at it just out of common sense and pure, basic, beautiful intelligence, you know it can't work. Now, Florida's worked very hard for years and years in developing a system, and I'm sure they probably have problems also." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2055, + "raw_confidence": 0.7945, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But absentee ballots are different than mail-in ballots. What you call universal mail-in ballots. So much different. You have to apply for it. You have to do different things, and it's a much better system, and it's a system that can be reasonably accurate. But there's no system like going to the poll and voting." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1992, + "raw_confidence": 0.8008, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I would like to find out why all of a sudden out of nowhere in the midst of all of this grief, why is it that they approve the New York race Why you asked that question?" + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Oh, really? Well, then you're reading a different newspaper than me. Go ahead, please. Go ahead, please. Go." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's going away now. It'll go away. Things go away. Absolutely. No question in my mind. It will go away. Please. Go ahead. Hopefully sooner rather than later." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, I'd like to see the schools open. I think many of the schools most of the schools will be open. I can say that Republican areas want to see them open, and the Democrats probably want to keep them closed until after November 3rd, because they think it's good for them politically. I actually don't think it's good for them politically." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.353, + "raw_confidence": 0.647, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Parents want the schools open. We want them open. We want them open safely. We're going to practice very strong hygiene, and all of the other things that I've enumerated many times. But we want to see the schools open." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "No, not his model. I just think he's done a very good job. I mean, he's really done a great job. You look at the numbers, you look at how it's dropped, and very rapidly he's done a great job. He's a great governor. Please" + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7661, + "raw_confidence": 0.7661, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I'm talking about from getting very sick. If you look at children, I mean, they're able to throw it off very easily. It's an amazing thing. Because some flus, they don't. They get very sick, and they have problems with flus and they have problems with other things. But for whatever reason, the China virus, children handle it very well." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And they may get it, but they get it and it doesn't have much of an impact on them. If you look at the numbers, the numbers in terms of mortality fatality, the numbers for children under a certain age meaning young, their immune systems are very, very strong. They're very powerful. They seem to be able to handle it very well, and that's according to every statistic." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7692, + "raw_confidence": 0.7692, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Kanye West ? I don't know that. Who said that?" + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I mean, I like him. He's always been very nice to me." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "No. Not at all. No, not at all. Other than I get along with him very well I like him. I like his wife. His wife recommended certain people as you know, including Alice Johnson as a fantastic woman. But his wife recommended certain people to get out of prison. They were in prison for a long time. A long, long time." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It should have never happened. I took what she said very strong Kim. Kim Kardashian. She's got a good heart. Very good heart. I like Kanye very much. No, I have nothing to do with him getting on the ballot. We'll have to see what happens. We'll see he gets on there, but I'm not involved." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, if they need it. Certainly, that's a business Some businesses are doing better than they would normally. Obviously, we know what those businesses are. Obviously, the airline business is not doing very well. You have shutdowns all over the world, and you have airlines that are essentially shut down." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Some airlines are doing modest best they're doing is modest. I think it's very important that we keep the airlines going. They'll be very good times very soon, I hope. We don't want to lose our airlines. If they're looking at that, whether they're Republican or Democrat, I'd be certainly in favor. We can't lose our transportation system." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1914, + "raw_confidence": 0.8086, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They don't really know what it was. I can tell you, whatever happened, it's terrible, but they don't really know what it is. Nobody knows yet. At this moment, they're looking. It could have I mean, how can you say accident? Somebody left some terrible explosive-type devices and things around, perhaps?" + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Perhaps it was that. Perhaps it was an attack. I don't think anybody can say right now. We're looking into it very strongly. Right now, you have some people think it was an attack, and you have some people that think it wasn't. In any event, it was a terrible event. A lot of people were killed and a tremendous number of people were badly wounded, injured." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're standing with that country. We have a very good relationship with that country, but it's a country under a lot of turmoil, a lot of problems, but we stand with them." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.198, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "John Thune did. Right? The Republican John Thune? Oh. Okay. Well, it is legal. There is no Hatch Act because it doesn't pertain to the president. If I use the White House, we save tremendous amounts of money for the government in terms of security, traveling. If we go to another state or some other location, the amount of money is very enormous." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That's something to consider also. I think it would be a very convenient location that would be by far the least expensive location. There would be very little in terms of that tremendous traveling, security with airplanes and everybody flying all over the place. I think it would be a very convenient idea, it's something that we threw out." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It would be very cost conscious by comparison to any other location. Yeah, please." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, I'd listen to both sides. I don't know of the argument yet, but I would certainly listen to both sides. My son has some very strong opinions. He is very much of an environmentalist and he was very impressed with what we did yesterday because that's one of the great environmental bills, and beyond that, ever signed since, well, I guess over a hundred years." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "If you think about it, it's been a long time. I will look at both sides of it. I had heard about it. I understand they're going to be doing a briefing sometime over the next 48 hours. It's going to go very quickly. I've done a lot for Alaska. I love Alaska. It's a special place. ANWR was one thing. The highway, curved highway or whatever the new name is, whatever the old name is. We're getting approvals for a tremendous highway that's been sought for." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "40 years, they've been trying to get it approved, and I'm getting it approved. We've done a lot for Alaska. It's a special place. I'll take a look at that. It's interesting. Yeah, please. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I just heard of it for the first time. The ambulance people have done an incredible job, as have the doctors, the nurses, the frontline workers. Law enforcement has been incredible. The military, FEMA, I could name almost every group. I can't tell you of a group that's done poorly, but the ambulance people have done a It's a tough job too." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1857, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Very dangerous job, very tough job. I will certainly look in. You're telling me something, that, for the first time. Nobody is complaining about not getting paid too much, but we'll take a look at the ambulance drivers." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "If that's what he heard I've heard it both ways too. I've heard accident, I've heard explosives. Obviously, it must've been some form of explosives. Whether it was a bomb intentionally set off it ended up being a bomb. No, I've heard it both ways. It could have been an accident, and it could have also been something that was very offensive." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I wouldn't be very happy with that." + }, + { + "tid": "r5RHqiuvnAU", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're working very closely with the government, and we're working very closely with many different agencies including the military, and we'll be able to figure it out. We already, probably, have figured it out. Thank you very much everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much, everybody. And I'm here to support the great people of Louisiana. It's been a tremendous state for me. I love the people. We've had a good relationship right from the beginning. It's very important that I was here. And already met some people that have been absolutely devastated." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3238, + "raw_confidence": 0.6762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "This was a tremendously powerful storm. In fact, when it came in, it was actually much bigger than Katrina, I would say Katrina being somewhat of a landmark, I think, in terms of devastation, but this had more power. This was almost coming in at a five. It was a five a little bit out offshore, and it came in as a four. But 150 mile-an-hour. It was up to 185 at one point. I don't know that we've ever seen that." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "But we're joined by Governor John Bel Edwards and Senator John Kennedy, two friends of mine. They've done a fantastic job representing the state. And Acting Secretary of Homeland Security, who's no longer really acting, in my mind, because he just got a promotion. And if John Kennedy can push him with Bill, that would be terrific, because he deserves it. He's been he's been doing a great job. There's the man. Don't talk to me anymore. I've done it for you. Right there is the man." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "But thank you very much, Chad. And FEMA Administrator Pete Gaynor. Pete, great job. He's all over the country right now doing different things. And we have a lot of different elements happening, but we have to take care of Louisiana; we have to take care of Texas. Texas got a little bit lucky." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Thanks also to the members of Congress that are here. I have a little list; that's a lot of members. I don't know where are you folks back there? I love those guys. First of all, Louisiana Attorney General where's Jeff? Jeff Landry. Jeff. I could use you, Jeff. You're so good. He is so tough and so good. And I agree with so much of what you do, almost all of it. I'm not sure that I've seen anything I don't agree with. Great job. Jeff Landry, everybody. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Congressman Steve Scalise. Steve, the most he's probably the bravest man in the room, but he's done good. And I actually think he's better looking today than he was three years ago, if you want to know the truth. He went through hell. And we found out that his family loves him, that's for sure, because they were they were with you all the way. That was a rough time in that hospital that night, right? That was a rough time, Steve. We're glad to have you. People love you. People love you." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Congressman Clay Higgins. And, Clay thank you very much, Clay, being here. Congressman Garrett Graves. Garrett, nice to see you. What are you doing sitting back there? I can't believe it. That's not like you and Mike. I can't believe you guys. They're being low key today for a change, right? And Mike Johnson, my friend. And he's been supportive. They're all warriors. These people are warriors. These people are warriors. They fight for us and they fight for the people that they represent, and they're incredible warriors. Thank you, Mike. I appreciate it very much." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And State Senator Mark Abraham. And, Mark, thank you. Good job you're doing. I hear a great job. James Waskom, Director of Louisiana Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness. Good. You've got plenty to prepare for. Now, do you have other storms, James, coming in? Is that what I'm hearing?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You got to be kidding, James. Don't let that happen." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6998, + "raw_confidence": 0.6998, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So you had some tremendously bad storms 50, 60, 70 years ago. You and I were talking about dates. What's the difference now, would you say, in terms of storms coming in now, compared to many years ago?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So that, really, the fact that they finally did get out they saw it building. It built so fast, didn't it? Because it looked like it was going to be the lesser between Marco and this. And Marco" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1864, + "raw_confidence": 0.8136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "It disintegrated, and this just came in roaring. It's unbelievable." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Nick Hunter. Nick, thank you. Great job, Nick. Great job you're doing. We appreciate it. Mayor of Lake Charles. You got you got hit hard. Were you the hardest hit, would you say, Nick?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2133, + "raw_confidence": 0.7867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So, when people get used to air conditioning and this is very hot when people get used to air conditioning and all of a sudden they don't have it, that's a very traumatic situation, isn't it?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Wow. You have a great reputation. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Oh. Hi, Michael. How are you doing, Michael?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "That's the mayor of Sulphur. Are you hit, would you say, like this one? Pretty much like this one?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2023, + "raw_confidence": 0.7977, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And the mayor of Westlake, Bob Hardey." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, you'll all get it going. One thing I know about this state: they rebuild it fast. There's no problem. And we'll supply what we have to supply and you know what a lot of that is a thing called, green, right? And we'll take care of you. I'll be speaking with you and John." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And I just want to recognize Bill Cassidy and Congressman Ralph Abraham, two great people. And Bill is going through a problem, and I hope Ralph is fine. Right? Ralph is fine. And Bill is going through a problem, but I spoke to him the other day, and it sounds like he's doing well. And he's been, along with John, a terrific senator." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6463, + "raw_confidence": 0.6463, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So Hurricane Laura was a category four storm and it was actually, for a little while, a five. It was up to 175, almost 180 miles an hour few people have ever even heard of that with winds currently when it came in, it was at 150 miles per hour at landfall, damaging thousands of homes and causing hundreds of road blockages and major power outages." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.795, + "raw_confidence": 0.795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And I heard I think this is correct that it was the most powerful storm coming in and hitting your land in 150 years" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah, you don't know. How did they do it? They put their finger up, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2056, + "raw_confidence": 0.7944, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "I just visited the Cajun Navy and the Relief Center. They're fantastic. I want to thank the pastors. And we had a great pastor, just gave us a little prayer, and he he didn't choke. He gave a great prayer, I'll tell you. He got up there and he just gave it. I've seen some, didn't quite get it out as nicely. But he did a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank all of the pastors across the state, people of faith across the state who have been helping families and communities recover." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2438, + "raw_confidence": 0.7562, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Before the storm struck, I approved an emergency declaration under the auspices of John and John Bel. We had we had a very quick one. I would say you got that almost immediately, wouldn't you say, John? Like, before it I think before the storm got here, you had your emergency. We knew what was coming." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Thank you, John. But we got it very quickly, and we're going to be discussing some other things in a little while." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, I approved a major disaster declaration that helps individuals and business owners, which is a little bit different, but it goes right to the individual. And I've signed that already, and so you're all set to go on that." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "FEMA has delivered 2.6 million liters of water and 1.4 million meals. And that's a lot of meals. So, you're pretty busy, I guess, Pete, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "That's incredible. Great job. Your people are incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You know, I haven't had and Pete has done this now for a long time but I haven't had one complaint, with all of the storms we've had in Texas and here, I haven't had one complaint. So you've done you've done a hell of a job, Pete. Thank you. Pete Gaynor, everybody. Don't hire him away, please. You know private enterprise is looking and they say, Hey, let's go let's go take him away. Don't let him leave, John, please, all right? Is that all right?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "We're also assisting state and local officials to restore water to roughly 180,000 residents and to protect energy infrastructure." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "I want to thank the men and women of FEMA and the first responders and the law enforcement, which we love and we cherish and are doing a fantastic job and don't get the kind of recognition that they they should get, but actually, they do, because the people love them, right? The people love them. And we appreciate our law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Our hearts go out to the families who have lost loved ones. How many what is the number, would you say, John, right now?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Amazing. Well, it's a tremendous number, but you were thinking it could be it could have been a lot worse." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So, 15 years ago this week, Louisiana was devastated by Hurricane Katrina. That seems to be Katrina seems to be the standard. It seems to be the one that's our 15 is it actually today? Fifteen years ago today." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.228, + "raw_confidence": 0.772, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And whether you come from Louisiana or Fifth Avenue in New York City, you know all about Katrina, right? That was a bad, bad deal. And devastation. And, now, the devastation was far greater, even though the storm probably wasn't as powerful." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Are your levees now in good shape?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So you came together and you rebuilt, America helped. And here we are today, and you're going to have this situation taken care of very, very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "I'd like to ask Governor John Bel Edwards to say a few words, and then, John, if you would say a few words. And we'll take a few questions from the press, if you'd like. We'll talk about primarily the storm. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Are you in need of water too?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Right. There's one outside. I said, That's some tower to come down." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you. You know, when you think of it, Louisiana has been through a lot with the COVID and with this, a couple of other things. And you have all done a very good job." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Is that right? You've done a great job. You've done a great job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And, Nick, I'm going to come back and find out at the end of three weeks how popular you are." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Or they would have been in a basement. So" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So, you know, if anybody would like to make a statement Steve, would you like to make a statement?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And we do, Steve. And we do have their back." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Mike Johnson, would you want to say something?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "All right. I always will. I always will." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So, Clay, 1960. You're a young guy. I didn't know you were so young. He's a young guy." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "That was the water more than anything else, right? That was a bad one. Thank you very much. I appreciate it. Great job you're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "That's great. Thank you, Garret, very much. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And, Pete, let me ask you: You're bringing the big generators down? Are they here yet?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Any questions of any of the folks?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Can you take could you possibly take that off? Because I can't hear you." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, they're doing a very good job down here with respect to that and even pre-storm. But I'll ask John Bel to say a few words about that, John." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Chad, do you want to answer that question?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Well, that was the question I asked these folks: Are the storms more frequent? Are they bigger? In all fairness, you probably had your biggest storms. I think you said your biggest one was in the 1800s, but who knows? Who knows? It might have been a very small storm, by comparison, right? There's no way of really understanding that or knowing that." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "But, look, the area has been a storm area. There are tremendous advantages to being here. People love it. That's why they would never leave. They wouldn't even think about leaving." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2263, + "raw_confidence": 0.7737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "One thing I have I've met a lot of people; not one person would even think about it. I think if they ever even suggested it, that would be the end of them, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "So this is home. This is home." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "John, would you like to answer that question? They're talking about the storms and frequency. Do you see a difference?" + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2412, + "raw_confidence": 0.7588, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "And I have heard that if the path was different we got lucky, in a sense; maybe not for the people in the way, but frankly, we got a little bit lucky. If the path were over a little bit more one way or the other, this could have been, by far, the worst storm the worst hurricane you've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "You got a little bit lucky. That's what I've heard from some people." + }, + { + "tid": "r7OlADxpar8", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-briefing-lake-charles-louisiana-august-29-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-29", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. We'll be making another stop soon. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. What a nice group of people. They're not treating you right, but we're going to treat you right. They're not. They're not treating you right, but we're going to change that around quickly. Pat, I've been a fan of yours for a long time. I've known you for a long time. You do one hell of a job, and you're pretty popular with these people I see. . Thank you, Pat." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Well, maybe I'll say a few words. It's appropriate in light of everything that's going on. When you look at all of the statistics, all of the numbers, New York's finest, I love, and you're the finest, they just don't let you do the job. They won't let you do your job, that's all it is. So it's my great honor to proudly accept something that Pat's going to give me in a little while, so I'll hold off on the word endorsement, but he's going to give me an endorsement, I understand." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And I have deeply and profoundly admired the brave men and women, as you know, of New York City's finest, and I've admired you my whole life. My whole life I've watched you do a job like nobody else. Nobody else has done it. And truly, you're the best of the best and I'm grateful. And I'm very happy that you're here, and we'll have a little fun for a little while, but first we're going to talk a little business." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We have to talk business because we have to straighten out our city. Our city's a mess. Every day, the courageous offices of NYPD put your lives on the line to protect the innocent and to put violent criminals behind bars. You protect people you've never met before. You know, I've heard that expression a long time ago, and it always means something to me." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "You're protecting people with your lives, people that you've never met before, and you've done an incredible job. And the world will never forget the New York police offices who ran into the smoke and flames of 9/11, I was there, many never to return. We salute the heroes of NYPD and we salute our law enforcement heroes all across the nation." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7647, + "raw_confidence": 0.7647, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I was responsible, along with a couple of people that were right in this audience, for getting you some very good and large payments so that we can take care of some of the people that were hurt so badly. Longterm hurt they call it, right? Longterm hurt, but we got it done and we got it signed. We got it signed and we're taking of a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And we want to thank our great firefighters also, right alongside of you, right? Our great firefighters. As we gather today, our country is suffering from a radical far left movement. It's not even to be believed when you see this, what they're thinking. Where did these people come from? Where do they come from?" + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "That is trying to defame, demoralize, defund, dismantle, and dissolve our great police departments. It's a left wing war on cops. If Sleepy Joe Biden were to become precedent, he would immediately pass legislation to gut every single police department in America. You know that. And probably, she's a step worse." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3096, + "raw_confidence": 0.6904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "She's a step worse, Kamala. I was sort of hoping he was going to pick Pocahontas, but that . You know, honestly, we don't have a choice. We have to win. This country will go to hell. The stock markets will crash. Your 401ks are going to be worthless. You'll see. You'll see what would happen, crime all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I mean, you take a look at Portland. You take a look at Chicago, and I can name plenty of other cities, but I don't want to embarrass anybody. My agenda is anti-crime and pro-cop all the way and that's what it's got to be. So in recent months, New York City has witnessed the horrors that result from putting extreme left politicians into power." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3227, + "raw_confidence": 0.6773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "De Blasio has launched a crusade against, and he really has, he has launched a real crusade against the police like I don't think anybody's ever really seen, but there are cases that are just as bad. There are some cases, radical left, that may be even are worse. The mobs have scrawled disgusting slogans such as cops must die." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Think of this, cops must die and kill all cops. Okay? Who would even have thought 10 years ago that was possible? On the side of buildings, they put those terms. And they vandalized St. Patrick's Cathedral, the beautiful St. Patrick's Cathedral, with horrible, horrible statements, horrible phrases. And then of course that disgusting chant, Pigs in a blanket, fry them like bacon, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Remember that? And now, all of a sudden, it becomes mainstream. It becomes, Oh, isn't this wonderful? They were talking about you. You know that, right? We just can't forget it because we have to bring law and order back to our cities, back to our country, and we're doing it. Wherever we go, we do it." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "But when you have the radical left running it, no good. Rioters have rampaged through Manhattan and looted Fifth Avenue and an NYPD Sargent was left, as you know very well, in critical condition after being rundown with a car. A Molotov cocktail was thrown into a police vehicle in Brooklyn. And NYPD's highest ranking uniform chief and other offices were beaten in broad daylight on the Brooklyn Bridge." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And they're not allowed to fight back. You're not allowed to fight back. You fight back, you lose your pension, you lose your life. They put you in jail you fight back. No, you got to be able to fight back. I mean, to me, one of the saddest, and I don't want to embarrass anybody, but one of the saddest things, Rudy, that I've ever seen, Pat, was when they were dumping water on the heads of two of your fellow officers." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And I wish they fought back. I promise nothing would have happened to them. Because who even knew that was water? It could have been plenty of other things. It probably was actually. But it could have been some very dangerous material, not water. And they didn't fight back. The first time I've ever seen that." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I wish they did. I wish they did. I wish I could have talked to them. I said, Fight back. I swear you'll be protected. This is the left's vision for the future of the United States of America. If they win this election, November 3rd, got to get out, got to get everybody you know. You know, the Democrats have an advantage because they have certain people that automatically vote." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8053, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And we're going from New York. We're going for New York . Because we did well last time. You know, New York is not supposed to be Republican territory. It was Ronald Reagan. But a lot of the people left. A lot of the people that voted for Ronald Reagan left. That was the last time. And they voted for Ronald Reagan, but they left." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They went on to other places. They got tired of being abused and high taxes and all of the other problems. And we're going to go and run and we're going to run on law and order, and we're going to run our lower taxes, and we're going to run on doing something with salt. You know what the salt is? Remember Schumer?" + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Schumer said, I try and bring home things to my people in New York. You know what he brought home? Salt. For those of you that don't know, look it up. It's not good. But if they win this election, every city in America will be under siege. You know that. Because the police are good in Seattle and they're good in all of these different places I talked about." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1514, + "raw_confidence": 0.8486, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They're not being let do their job. Can't do their job. Their pro-crime agenda, the Biden-Harris group will also crush our economy because there is no prosperity in cities that are ruled by fear. And I even think the politicians are afraid. If you look at Portland, the Mayor is trying to say, Oh, these are my friends. And then he goes in there, they want to beat the hell out of him." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And then the fake news doesn't report that. They'll show him standing there with the sound down so you don't hear what they're saying to the Mayor. Fortunately, he had five body guards when he went in, right? But it was very dangerous for him. And I don't know if he's doing this at a stupidity or out of fear." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Because I think they're afraid actually. Yeah. It sounds like one my friends. My administration has made clear that the Department of Justice will partner arm-in-arm with our police heroes. And we're with you all the way and we'll prosecute all federal violations to the fullest extent of the law. But you know, we have to be invited in, unless we do something very drastic, which is a big statement, but we have to be invited in." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "But you don't need help. You guys don't need help. You have the greatest police force in the world. You have the greatest in the world. All they have to do is tell your top people to do your job and you're going to do it properly. You're not going to do something in excess to what , but they want to tell you to do your job and you're not going to have any crime in New York." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1945, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "It's going to go down like it did with Rudy Giuliani. It's going to go down so fast. That happened quickly, Rudy. That didn't take too long." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "That didn't take too long. You, he looks good enough. Let's draft Rudy. You better be careful, he'd win it. He'd win very easily. Because people want that back. They want it back. That's why I think, I really am, I'm putting it into play. Most people would say, Oh, spend your time in other places, but I'm going to put it." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We did very well. We did incredibly upstate, Long Island, all of the various, Staten Island was- Incredibly upstate, Long Island, all of the various Staten Island was great, right? Staten Island was great. By the way, Joe Rose is a disaster. I will tell you that. I hope they get him out of there. He's a total lightweight in many ways." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1859, + "raw_confidence": 0.8141, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Joe Rose, get him out. He turns out he's another beauty. My administration will so increase funding for police so that we can hire more police offices nationwide. We're increasing funding very substantially. And in many cases, they don't want it. They want to put into a different group." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1557, + "raw_confidence": 0.8443, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I said, What's that group all about? And it's called socialism, and it doesn't work. Never will work. By contrast, New York City voted to defund the police by $1 billion, if you can believe it, even after experiencing the bloodiest June in nearly 25 years. It's dismantled an elite team of crime fighters, that crime fighting unit that your friends, there were incredible people." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They were making us all safe. Nationwide, they were making us safe and we got to get them back. We got to bring them back. Hopefully, they don't get a job for too much money. Tell them not to look too hard because we're going to bring them back. We'll get them back. They're the best. Rudy started that. They're the best." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden and Kamala, they always say Kamala, Kamala, Harris have a plan to spread this mayhem to every community in America. Now, in all fairness to Joe, he doesn't really know what's happening. They say, Joe, we're going to spread it around. Oh, okay. Okay. This guy doesn't answer any questions. He gets up today." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "He made a statement. I just did an incredible deal with UAE. You saw that, right? Everyone's shocked. Even the New York Times said it was incredible deal. Can you believe? The New York Times? I can't even believe it. Thomas Friedman, they wrote an incredible editorial. It was a great deal. So we did this deal." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2446, + "raw_confidence": 0.7554, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Nobody else did it. In fact, we were at a huge deficit because of the horrible deal that Obama made with Iran. Gave them $150 billion, billion, not million. 150 million's a lot. That would be too much also. 150 billion then gave them 1.8 billion in cash. I broke the deal. I terminated the deal, but we made a deal, UAE and Israel." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And sleepy Joe got up and said he made the deal. I said, Whoa. Did anybody hear that? He actually took credit for making that deal. For a change, I'm being praised all over the world for making that deal, and that's just the beginning. I think they just said, Say this Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Say that you made it. It's like it was Obama's economy right? Before the plague, we had the greatest economy in history. Greatest economy anywhere in the world, let alone ours. And now we're building it back up very rapidly. You see the numbers. But they were taking credit. They said, Oh, this was Obama." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Obama. He said manufacturing would never come back. That was Obama. Manufacturing has come back big. In fact, even two days ago, they announced incredible numbers. When asked recently if he favors cutting police budget, Biden replied. Yes, absolutely. But I'm not sure honestly he knew what he was replying to so we're not Yes, absolutely." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "What did I say? What was I referring to? You could use that clip for a million different things right? Yes, absolutely. You never say that as a politician. You always finish out. Biden has been described by police as and he described the police, you saw that, as the enemy. He said it's the enemy. Kamala Harris applauded LA's recent decision to slash its police budget, and LA really went to town on it, you saw that." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1536, + "raw_confidence": 0.8464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Millions and millions of dollars off their budget. After the riots in Minneapolis, Kamala encouraged Americans to donate money to the so-called Minnesota Freedom Fund, which bailed out rapists, assaulters and murderers. They bailed them right out of jail. Biden's staff donated to the same fund. We can't lose this election." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Okay? We can't lose. We're building a big wall. We're building the wall. It's up to almost Look at her. She's all excited about that. That's Yeah, we're building. It's up to 280 miles. Will be up That'll be completed You're right." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I like her. No, you're right. And you know who like the wall? The Southern border, you know who like at the most? Hispanics, because they know the area. They know what comes in and they want to be safe. They want to keep their good jobs. They want to keep their beautiful houses. They've done well, but they know the area the best." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We're doing great with the Hispanics. As San Francisco district attorney, she chose not to seek the death penalty against a gang member who killed a San Francisco police officer going against the wishes of the officer's wife, going against the wishes of the police. In his unity manifesto written with socialist Bernie Sanders is another beauty, Bernie." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Crazy Bernie. We've got names for all of them no? What's better? Sleepy Joe or slow Joe? Tell me. What is better? I go back and forth. I go back and Okay, let's do it. Who likes Slow Joe? Who likes Sleepy Joe? That's what I thought. I got all these guys telling me, Oh, you ought to do." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2496, + "raw_confidence": 0.7504, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We don't like sleepy because it's rude. They said it's rude. I said, We're talking about the president of the United States. I can tell you one thing. Putin and Kim Jong-un and President Xi of China, they're not sleepy. We're never going to say sleepy or slow, and we can't have slow, sleepy people dealing with them either because we were doing very well against all of them." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "All of them. And we're have a good relationship now. Remember North Korea? We were going to go to war with North Korea. Obama would have been in a war. Millions of people could have been killed in that war. Where's the war? Everybody said, Trump will be in war in the first week. Where's the war? In fact, we're bringing people out of the endless Wars." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2298, + "raw_confidence": 0.7702, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "The Wars that where their doing your job. They're policemen and that's great, but they want to fight. They want to win. We didn't let people win. Bring them back. We shouldn't have been there in the first place. So we bring them back, and what we're doing is bringing them back with great dignity. It's incredible what's happened." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.747, + "raw_confidence": 0.747, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We've totally rebuilt our armed forces, $2.5 trillion. We've given you hundreds of millions of dollars worth of equipment. Pat, you know that. Hundreds of millions of dollars worth of equipment came out of It was collecting dust, right? It was army surplus stuff and all the different It was beautiful stuff and Obama didn't want you to have it." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They said it made you look too strong, too tough. You look too military. So they said, Let them get shot. Much of it was protective equipment. You know that. I released it all. I gave it to all the police departments all across the country and I have had more thank yous for that. And someday, they're going to have to explain why they didn't want to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And this was sitting there. It was not going to be used. A lot of it was new, but it wasn't going to be used. And I said, Give it to our great police all over the country. And we did and it's been great. And just to finish up, I call it the manifesto because Bernie Sanders, he was going to make an agreement and they were going to go a little bit further right." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They didn't. They went further left than Bernie was. So in the manifesto, Biden pledges to abolish cash bail. How about that? No cash bail. No bail, meaning that violent and dangerous criminals would simply be released after arrest. New York tried this insane policy and crime surged nearly 25% in New York City and now it's up much, much higher than that." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "This is an old statistic. It's up much higher than that. So nationwide, the Biden plan to abolish bail would release over 400,000 criminals on our streets. So all I'm saying is this. We have the greatest police departments. We have great police. We have great forces. They have to be allowed to do their job." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And I've seen Pat and I've seen you. You're going to have a bad apple. You're going to have somebody who makes a horrible mistake. You're going to have somebody has a bad moment, but it may be just a bad apple. We've seen it. But that doesn't mean we're going to close up our police departments. And like in Minneapolis, tell them to run." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Leave, leave. Did you ever see anything like that? Where they left? Where they left? We can't ever let that happen. We sent in the National Guard five or six days later. We waited, we waited, we waited. Within one hour, the whole thing was You never heard of anything. On these monuments and statues, you saw that?" + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1898, + "raw_confidence": 0.8102, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They were trying to rip them down. They ripped some down. I immediately signed an order that if you get caught ripping down a monument or a statue, you get 10 years in jail. 10 years. And I don't know about you, I haven't seen too many statues being ripped down lately. They were going to have a march on Washington, Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7824, + "raw_confidence": 0.7824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They wanted to rip down statues. I said, So wait a minute. You're going to rip down statues, you're going to go to jail for 10 years. I signed it publicly. Very public. You got to let them know or otherwise, it's not fair. They get 10 years, they didn't know about it right? Wise guys. So we let them know you get 10 years in jail." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1919, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I took an old law because they don't do those laws today. Today, get that through the house. Tell Nancy Pelosi we're going to give somebody 10 years. She's terrible. Look at what's happened to San Francisco. Look at the tents. Look at the homeless. That's Nancy. She ought to go home and clean up her own city, but take a look." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.217, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "But it's 10 years in jail. They were going to have a big march on Washington. They were going to come down and knock down. They had them earmarked. And as soon as they announced that, nobody showed up. It was amazing. Big march, nobody showed up. They said, No, we're going to do it the following That was a Thursday night. We're going to do it the next night, Friday. Nobody showed up except four people." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "They all got arrested because they were the four people that the media had on top of the statue of Andrew Jackson doing damage. Almost got it down. And I'll say something. The Washington, the D.C. police were great because they had the ropes. You saw the ropes. They were ready to pull it down. They were all set and our guys said, Stop it. And those guys ran in and that thing was over." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Those Washington, those D.C. police did a job. That wasn't like you know. They did a job. So we're going to give you back your stature. We're going to give you back your status. I hate to say it, but it's been taken away. We're going to give you back the right to be New York's finest, the finest of all time, the greatest of all time, and we're going to win on November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And the people that didn't love Trump, never Trumpers, a lot of them are saying, I'm starting to like Trump a lot, because they see what's happening. And we're going to give New York a real shot and I think we have one hell of a shot at doing it. I just said this morning, the New York Post, which has been great." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1979, + "raw_confidence": 0.8021, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "The New York post had a cover story about that. They came and interviewed me at the Oval Office and they talked about law and order in the city. And I said, I did very well, Republican wise. I did very well. We did great, and I really believe that that solid core of people has to be real. First of all, they're leaving." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "A lot of them are leaving, but they have to be discuss- I mean first of all they are leaving a lot of them are leaving, but they have to be disgusted with what's going on. So I said then and there and I said it today. I put it out today strongly, we're going to go and give New York a real shot. I think we have a real chance of winning New York, but we're going to give you so much of what you're looking for." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Because I know exactly it's so easy you need leadership, you need money, you can't defund. It has to go the other way. You need equipment. But what do you need more than anything else is your dignity and respect. You need respect, you need your dignity back and this guy has taken your dignity away and your respect away." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And I am telling you on November 3rd you're going to be getting it back like you haven't gotten it back before. Because this is really a referendum. So I want to thank you very much. And Pat, thank you very much. Fellas thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "How does the Oval Office for that sound? Okay? Good?" + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Well, I just want to thank you that was incredible. I assumed it was given out because I see a lot of things given out and they shouldn't be given out. But a special man, you are just really special people. You really are. You're very brave people. I will say this, you read a lot of negatives. They have a lot of fake media, fake news, false news, call it whatever you want, corrupt news." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2029, + "raw_confidence": 0.7971, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "But you have no idea how much the people of this country love our police departments, our police, our law enforcement, our border patrols, our ICE people. ICE they go into the toughest situations. They take out MS13 by the thousands and then they get abused. But they're not really abused, they're loved by the people of this country." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.34, + "raw_confidence": 0.66, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "And New York's great police force is something that I grew up with. I used to go with my father in Brooklyn to a little, I shouldn't tell you this, a little hamburger place for lunch. And we'd see these big cops come in and they were great. And everybody stood at attention when they walked in and we're going to get that back." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "You're respected just the same, but they don't allow it to happen. We're going to allow it to happen. You are great, great people. And remember this, you are loved by our country, loved by our country and respected by our country. And all we have to do is let you do your job, right? Just let you do your job." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Pat, I think it might be appropriate. So we really do. We have New York city's greatest mayor of all time. He took over a city that I don't know, was worse. Maybe better. I don't know what I'm going to ask Rudy what's the difference between that city and the city of today? Certainly it caught up very quickly for a long while it was a lot better, but when Rudy ran it, it was incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7282, + "raw_confidence": 0.7282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "The crime statistics, the murder. I hate to use that word, murder. I don't know if this place has ever heard that word murder. It's not into the word of murder. But when you look at the stats, I looked at them the other day it was incredible what he was able to do in a short period of time with only New York's finest." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Without New York's finest he couldn't have done it. He let them do the job and he had three very great commissioners. He keeps telling me three great commissioners. I always say, Who is the best? He doesn't want to tell me maybe he'll tell you. But I've asked him many times, Who is the best Rudy I want to know who?" + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Who is the best? He'll never tell me, but there's always the best, right? There's always somebody. But I just want to thank you. I want to thank Pat. I'd love to ask Rudy to say a few words. But I just want to thank you. I want to thank Pat. I'd love to ask Rudy to say a few words and we love you all. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Does anyone else want to speak. Does anyone else want to So again, it's an honor that you came. I just want to pay my respects to a really good guy that I love. It's my brother, he's very ill and he would not have I mean, he just said, Don't even think about it. I really appreciate what he said." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "He's having a very tough time, but I really appreciate being with you today. He respected you as much as I do. He respected you, like everybody. We all respect you and we're going to let you do your job. We're going to let you do your job. That's all we have to do. Again, thank you very much. It's such an honor to be with you, to get the endorsement pad of this group of incredible men and women is mind-blowing." + }, + { + "tid": "r8CDAr7NJRE", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-police-union-endorsement-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Really it is. Thank you, very much. Mind blowing and just, I'm going to leave you with this very simple phrase. I will never, ever let you down. I will never let you down. Okay? Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "RaF3PCInGbY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-naturalization-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "That's really great, thank you, and I want to thank Acting Secretary Wolf doing a phenomenal job in so many ways. Today America rejoices as we welcome five absolutely incredible new members into our great American family. You're now fellow citizens of the greatest nation on the face of God's earth. Congratulations. Great going." + }, + { + "tid": "RaF3PCInGbY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-naturalization-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Robert. Hi, Robert. He and his wife are raising three beautiful children. In 2017, Robert achieved the dream of starting his own business, a construction company that now employs five workers. Robert says, I love this country. I want to respect the law. America has helped me so much in life. Robert, thank you very much for your devotion." + }, + { + "tid": "RaF3PCInGbY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-naturalization-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Thank you, and good luck with that company. Soon you'll have hundreds of employees, I think. Right? Robert Martin Ramirez Alcazar" + }, + { + "tid": "RaF3PCInGbY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-naturalization-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Could happen. It will. Remi Gideon is from Lebanon and is the proud mother of three children. Remi speaks English, Arabic and French and earned a degree in psychology. In other words, she could figure me out. She now works as a daycare teacher in Virginia. Remi says I feel blessed to be a loyal citizen of the greatest country in the world, a country that has given me the opportunity of a lifetime to realize my potential and my dreams. Remi congratulations. That's really great. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "RaF3PCInGbY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-naturalization-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "That's very good. Thank you very much, I appreciate it. Sudha Sundari Narayanan, is a phenomenal success. Born in India, came to the United States 13 years ago. Sudha is a talented software developer. She and her husband are raising two beautiful, wonderful children. The apples of your life. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "RaF3PCInGbY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-naturalization-pre-recorded-rnc-august-25-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-25", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much and congratulations. Fantastic job. Thank you. Named Abdul , is from Sudan and that's a beautiful name, and has been a lawful permanent resident since 2012. She is the married mother of three beautiful children, earned a master's degree and Ph.D. in Animal Nutrition from the University of Wyoming. Great place, great state. And she is a trained veterinarian. She's also worked as a substitute teacher for the Alexandria Public Schools since 2004. That's fantastic. Well, Named, thank you very much and congratulations. It's my honor to be with you." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. We are making our rounds in Florida. We are setting records from stop to stop and it's great and they are my friends and it is a place I know very well. We had great victories here and I am very grateful and very grateful also to be back in South Florida with Americans from Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua, and many other great places that we cherish and we take care of. I want to thank Pastor Frank Lopez. Thank you very much, Frank." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Appreciate it. Where is Frank? Thank you, Frank. That is not like you, Frank, not being in the spotlight. I can't believe it. That's great. We appreciate it very much, Frank. Beautiful job you do. And my friend Mario Diaz-Balart, great congressman, and a great warrior. He has been a warrior and for this area in particular but thank you very much, great job." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And he recovered successfully. He was positive, he tested positive. I heard about it and I wasn't thrilled but he pointed out somebody said his immune system must have been good. It wasn't perfect you still with very little bit, right? But you did a great job thank you very much. Well, my administration as you know it stands with every citizen of Venezuela and Cuba and Nicaragua." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "It stands with the righteous struggle for freedom. The Patriots here today fled socialism, defined freedom and socialism and other things as you know and a step beyond socialism in many cases and now Joe Biden and the radical left are trying to impose the same system, socialism plus, in America. Biden is a puppet of Bernie Sanders, AOC, the militant left, the people that want to rip down statues and monuments to George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin, and Jesus." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Okay? Jesus. They want to rip down statues to Jesus. So we are dealing with a group of people that they will not win, they will not win at all at this election coming up is a very important one. I use to say 2016 the most important and maybe I will still say that but this is equal to that. This is equal because we need that extra time to have it seed like a tree, you move it, it has to grab on and that is why I appreciate you all being you were great leaders and I appreciate you being here." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4445, + "raw_confidence": 0.5555, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Nobody will be safe in a Biden America but Biden doesn't know what a Biden America is if you ask him to find that he wouldn't even know what it is but other people do and he will have radical people running that, he will be choosing a vice president who we will see what that ends up being that he will be choosing somebody but even that person won't have as much to do with running the country as you would believe." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Biden wants to defund the police, he wants to call the cops the enemy which he did the other day leaving every so the sun at the mercy of a socialist mob or a mob far worse than socialism was ever meant to be. I am fighting against this horrible situation. I'm fighting and I am fighting hard and I want the Republicans to get strong and tough and I want people that agree with me on the Democrat side of which there are many I think we are going to have a tremendous Democrat surge." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3064, + "raw_confidence": 0.6936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We are actually doing in the real polls we are doing very well. We reviewed polls this morning with different states. We are doing very well by the way you will be happy to know in the State of Florida. We are doing great. You see the voters out there are thousands and thousands of votes every weekend and we appreciate it but nobody has seen anything like it ever and we have that in many other states with voters and bikers and everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "There is a spirit that nobody has ever seen. I don't think we had anything like this even in the 2016 race because they see what happened. We built the greatest economy in the history of our world, greater than anything we have had a greater than anything the world has ever seen. China was not doing well, China went down to the worst it was the worst year they had in 67 years." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7644, + "raw_confidence": 0.7644, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "This is before the plague came in, the China virus came in and the worst economy they had in 67 years. They were doing not well with the tariffs and all of the other. We are taking billions of dollars from China, I was giving it to farmers and giving it to people that we targeted and we were doing great and then the plague came in. I said oh, there's the plague." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7947, + "raw_confidence": 0.7947, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The plague is coming in and we closed our borders to China, very heavily infected and we did the ban and if we didn't do that we would have had hundreds of thousands of more people dead and then we did the band to year it because we saw what was happening with Italy and Spain and some others, many others and we were ahead but we are still fighting it and we are going to do very well." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2828, + "raw_confidence": 0.7172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We are testing at a level that nobody has ever tested before. We are making ventilators for the world. We literally had no ventilators and now we are making thousands of ventilators a month, thousands, thousands and thousands and we are helping other countries. We are giving as an example to Mexico we have given 600 ventilators and they are desperately needed them." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1943, + "raw_confidence": 0.8057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The president of Mexico was a at the White House two days ago and he is a great he is a great guy the president and we had a tremendous day and evening, we had dinner with a lot of the real leadership of Mexico and it was a fantastic thing and a lot of people didn't think we would get along and it was just the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1913, + "raw_confidence": 0.8087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We were joking about it a little bit people thought maybe we are very different type people but we are not really. We got along great so the relationship with Mexico and the United States is very strong. We just signed the USMCA which is tremendous. We had a horrible, horrible situation with NAFTA. It was the worst trade deal I think probably ever made and now we have a great trade deal for the United States and also it is very fair to Canada and to Mexico so that is good." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We imposed historic sanctions on the Maduro regime. We indicted Maduro for narco terrorism as you know everybody here knows. We are standing with the righteous and rightful leaders of Venezuela. This time it is Juan Guaido. We impose sanctions on Nicaragua for human rights violations. They have been violating a lot of human rights, a lot of very bad things are happening in Nicaragua and I ended the Obama Biden sellout to the Castro regime in Cuba." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2099, + "raw_confidence": 0.7901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We have been very strong on Cuba. Cuba is not doing so well. Joe Biden has pledged to reinstate the procommunist policies of the Obama Biden administration. They were procommunist policies, the deal he made with Cuba is ridiculous. It is ridiculous. What he did for Cuba and what they did for Cuba is ridiculous and I guess it is why the Cubans gave me the bay of pigs award just before the last election if you remember, got the bay of pigs award which was a great honor." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.208, + "raw_confidence": 0.792, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We were all set to move and then they heard that we were and the police came out and they did what they should have done weeks before so we got that done. Minneapolis, same thing. We said you've got to send in the national guard after four days of real Aquila snow law enforcement. We were we demanded that the National Guard be sent in. The minute it was sent and it all ended." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "They walk through those streets like a knife goes through butter. It was pretty amazing. Now what we are doing is in Portland. We have a very radicalized group and we have it so under control, we have it under control. The local police have not done the job. I think they were told not to do a job but we have it very much under control." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We are taking very strong measures and we are looking at other places too. When you see what is going on in some of these Democrat run cities, all Democrat run cities in every case and they go into hell and we are doing a lot of things to get that changed and we are going to get it changed very quickly. So I would like to ask our great congressman to say a few words if he would." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "He understands the situation. He loves this area very much. He will constantly call me and if I can't get back to him and he immediately he will call me again because he wants money coming here and he wants a lot of other things coming here and that is the way a good congressman is supposed to be, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And he's not a good congressman, he's a great congressman so if you would please Mario." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Very much, Mario; appreciate it. Great job you do, too. How about we go down the line? Please?" + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "That's very nice. I appreciate it; beautifully said. And it is a catastrophe when you think of what happened to Venezuela. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I want to get that speech. Do you mind giving me that speech? I could use it. How good was this? Who's your speech writer? You wrote that yourself? Want to work for me as a speech writer?" + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "He's too he's too big. He works for me anyway in a different way. But, you've done a great job. That's a beautiful speech. I want to thank you very much" + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I want it. You think I'm kidding too, don't you? He thinks I'm kidding. It's true. The Republican Party has grown incredibly from where it was, and we have a whole different group of people in the Republican Party. Like people don't remember. Nobody ever heard of it until I came along. Nobody remembered it for a long time, or they didn't use it at least." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I use it all the time. Abraham Lincoln was a Republican. You know, you said that. People say, I didn't know that. But, he was a Republican. So, we're doing a great job. But, that was a beautiful job. I appreciate it very much. Thank you. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great job. Thank you. Please ." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. And he became one of the most successful men in Florida so he did that is the only thing he didn't say but he did and he is a great gentleman. Thank you very much. That was very nice that you've cut everyone else down to about 1 minute, we appreciate that." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Okay. Thank you very much; appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Beautifully stated. Thank you very much. We are working very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you so much, pastor. Very nice, beautiful. Thank you. Thank you. Please?" + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Well, I want to thank everybody. I will not forget what I heard today. It it's very moving. It's a very tough situation. And we've made a lot of progress, as you probably have seen and you know. And I have a feeling you won't be disappointed. And by the way, 2020 is very important, very important." + }, + { + "tid": "RBpoWSYnhSM", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-roundtable-venezuela-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So, good luck to everybody. Thank you. Really a good job, beautiful job I won't forget. And you have a great representative right here. So, Mario we'll be speaking, okay? Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. Friends, delegates and distinguished guests, please, I stand before you tonight honored by your support, proud of the extraordinary progress we have made together over the last four incredible years and brimming with confidence in the bright future we will build for America over the next four years." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We begin this evening, our thoughts are with the wonderful people who have just come through the wrath of Hurricane Laura. We are working closely with state and local officials in Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, sparing no effort to save lives. While the hurricane was fierce, one of the strongest to make landfall in 150 years, the casualties and damage were far less than thought possible, only 24 hours ago." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And this is due to the great work of FEMA, law enforcement, and the individual states. I will be going this weekend. And congratulations, thank you for that great job out there. We really appreciate it. We are one national family. And we will always protect, love and care for each other. Here tonight are the people who have made my journey possible and filled my life with so much joy." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "For her incredible service to our nation and its children, I want to thank our magnificent First Lady. I also want to thank my amazing daughter, Ivanka, for that introduction and to all of my wonderful children Ivanka, please stand up. And to all of my children and grandchildren, I love you more than words can express." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "I know my brother Robert is looking down on us right now from heaven. He was a great brother and was very proud of the job we are all doing. Thank you. We love you, Robert. Let us also take a moment to show our profound appreciation for a man who has always fought by our side and stood up for our values, a man of deep faith and steadfast conviction, our Vice President Mike Pence." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And Mike is joined by his beloved wife, a teacher and military mom, Karen Pence. Thank you, Karen. My fellow Americans, tonight with a heart full of gratitude and boundless optimism, I profoundly accept this nomination for President of the United States. The Republican Party, the party of Abraham Lincoln, goes forward united, determined and ready to welcome millions of Democrats, Independents and anyone who believes in," + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In a new term as president, we will again build the greatest economy in history, quickly returning to full employment, soaring incomes and record prosperity. We will defend America against all threats and protect America against all dangers. We will lead America into new frontiers of ambition and discovery and we will reach for new heights of national achievement." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will rekindle new faith in our values, new pride in our history and a new spirit of unity that can only be realized through love for our great country. Because we understand that America is not a land cloaked in darkness. America is the torch that enlightens the entire world. Gathered here at our beautiful and majestic White House, known all over the world as the People's House, we cannot help but marvel at the miracle that is our great American story." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This has been the home of larger-than-life figures like Teddy Roosevelt and Andrew Jackson, who rallied Americans to bold visions of a bigger and brighter future. Within these walls lived tenacious generals, like President Grant and Eisenhower, who led our soldiers in the cause of freedom. From these grounds, Thomas Jefferson sent Lewis and Clark on a daring expedition to cross a wild and unchartered continent." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In the depths of a bloody civil war, President Abraham Lincoln looked out these very windows upon a half-completed Washington Monument, and asked God, in his providence to save our nation. Two weeks after Pearl Harbor, Franklin Delano Roosevelt welcomed Winston Churchill. And just inside they set our people on a course to victory in the Second World War." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In recent months, our nation and the entire planet has been struck by a new and powerful invisible enemy. Like those brave Americans before us, we are meeting this challenge. We are delivering life-saving therapies and will produce a vaccine before the end of the year, or maybe even sooner. We will defeat the virus and the pandemic and emerge stronger than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "What united generations past was an unshakeable confidence in America's destiny and an unbreakable faith in the American people. They knew that our country's blessed by God and has a special purpose in this world. It is that conviction that inspired the formation of our union, our westward expansion, the abolition of slavery, the passage of civil rights, the space program, and the overthrow of fascism, tyranny and communism." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This towering American spirit has prevailed over every challenge, and lifted us to the summit of human endeavor. And yet despite all of our greatness as a nation, everything we have achieved is now in danger. This is the most important election in the history of our country. Thank you. At no time before have voters faced a clearer choice between the parties, two visions, two philosophies or two agendas." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2133, + "raw_confidence": 0.7867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This election will decide whether we save the American dream or whether we allow a socialist agenda to demolish our cherished destiny. It will decide whether we rapidly create millions of high-paying jobs or whether we crush our industries and send millions of these jobs overseas as has foolishly been done for many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Your vote will decide whether we protect law-abiding Americans or whether we give free rein to violent anarchists and agitators and criminals who threaten our citizens. And this election will decide whether we will defend the American way of life or whether we will allow a radical movement to completely dismantle and destroy it. That won't happen." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "At the Democrat National Convention, Joe Biden and his party repeatedly assailed America as a land of racial, economic and social injustice. So tonight I ask you a simple question: How can the Democrat Party ask to lead our country when it spends so much time tearing down our country? In the Left's backward view, they do not see America as the most free, just and exceptional nation on earth." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Instead, they see a wicked nation that must be punished for its sins. Our opponents say that redemption for you can only come from giving power to them. This is a tired anthem spoken by every repressive movement throughout history. But in this country, we don't look to career politicians for salvation. In America, we don't turn to government to restore our souls; we put our faith in almighty God. Joe Biden is not a savior of America's soul; he is the destroyer of America's jobs, and if given the chance he will be the destroyer of American greatness." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "For 47 years, Joe Biden took the donations of blue-collar workers, gave them hugs and even kisses and told them he felt their pain. And then he flew back to Washington and voted to ship our jobs to China and many other distant lands. Joe Biden spent his entire career outsourcing their dreams and the dreams of American workers, offshoring their jobs, opening their borders and sending their sons and daughters to fight in endless foreign wars, wars that never ended." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6237, + "raw_confidence": 0.6237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Four years ago I ran for president because I could not watch this betrayal of our country any longer. I could not sit by as career politicians let other countries take advantage of us on trade, borders, foreign policy and national defense. Our NATO partners, as an example, were very far behind in their defense payments." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But at my strong urging, they agreed to pay $130 billion more a year the first time in over 20 years that they upped their payments. And this $130 billion will ultimately go to $400 billion a year. And Secretary General Stoltenberg who heads NATO was amazed after watching for so many years, and said that President Trump did what no one else was able to do." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you. From the moment I left my former life behind and it was a good life I have done nothing but fight for you. I did what our political establishment never expected and could never forgive. Breaking the cardinal rule of Washington politics: I kept my promise. Together we have ended the rule of the failed political class, and they are desperate to get their power back by any means necessary." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "You've seen that. They are angry at me because, instead of putting them first, I very simply said America first. Thank you. Days after taking office, we shocked the Washington establishment and withdrew from the last administration's job-killing Trans Pacific Partnership. I then immediately approved the Keystone XL and Dakota Access Pipelines." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Ended the unfair and very costly Paris Climate Accord. And secured for the first time American energy independence. We passed record-setting tax and regulation cuts at a rate nobody had ever seen before. Within three short years, we built the strongest economy in the history of the world. Washington insiders asked me not to stand up to China." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They pleaded with me to let China continue stealing our jobs, ripping us off, and robbing our country blind. But I kept my word to the American people. We took the toughest, boldest, strongest and hardest-hitting action against China in American history by far. They said that it would be impossible to terminate and replace NAFTA." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1548, + "raw_confidence": 0.8452, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But again, they were wrong. Earlier this year, I ended the NAFTA nightmare and signed the brand-new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement into law. And right now, auto companies and others are building their plants and factories in America, not firing their employees, and not deserting us for other countries. And perhaps no area did the Washington special interests try harder to stop us than on my policy of pro-American immigration. But I refused to back down, and today America's borders are more secure than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you. We ended catch-and-release, stopped asylum fraud. Took down human traffickers who prey on women and children. And we have deported 20,000 gang members and 500,000 criminal aliens. We have already built 300 miles of border wall, and we are adding 10 new miles every single week. The wall will soon be complete. And it is working beyond our wildest expectations." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We are joined this evening by members of the Border Patrol Union representing our country's courageous border agents. Thank you very much for being here. Thank you. Brave, brave people. You see, this country loves our law enforcement. They do. They do. They really do. Love and respect." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6867, + "raw_confidence": 0.6867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "When I learned that the Tennessee Valley Authority laid off hundreds of American workers and forced them to train their lower paid foreign replacement, I promptly removed the chairman of the board and now those talented American workers have been rehired and are back providing power to Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina and Virginia." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They have their old jobs back, and some are here with us this evening. Please stand. You went through a lot. Please stand. Thank you. Thank you very much. You've been through a lot. Thank you very much. Last month, I took on Big Pharma. You think that's easy? It's not. And signed orders that will massively lower the cost of your prescription drugs and give critically ill patients access to life-saving cures." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We passed the decades-long awaited right-to-try. Right-to-try. We also passed VA Accountability and VA Choice. Our great veterans, we're taking care of our veterans. 91 percent approval rating this month, the VA, given by our veterans. First time anything like that's ever happened. By the end of my first term, we will have approved more than 300 federal judges, including two great, new Supreme Court justices." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And to bring prosperity to our forgotten inner cities, we worked hard to pass historic criminal justice reform, prison reform, opportunity zones and long-term funding of Historically Black Colleges and Universities and before the China virus came in, produced the best unemployment numbers for African-Americans, Hispanic Americans and Asian Americans ever recorded. And I say very modestly that I have done more for the African-American community than any president since Abraham Lincoln, our first Republican president." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And I have done more in three years for the Black community than Joe Biden has done in 47 years. And when I'm re-elected, the best is yet to come. Thank you very much. When I took office, the Middle East was in total chaos. ISIS was rampaging. Iran was on the rise. And the war in Afghanistan had no end in sight." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1936, + "raw_confidence": 0.8064, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "I withdrew from the terrible one-sided Iran nuclear deal. Unlike many presidents before me, I kept my promise, recognized Israel's true capital and moved our embassy to Jerusalem. But not only did we talk about it as a future site, we got it built. Rather than spending $1 billion on a new building as planned, we took an already-owned existing building in a better location, real estate deal, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.156, + "raw_confidence": 0.844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And opened it at a cost of less than $500,000. Many things like that that government is doing right now. We also recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. And this month we achieved the first Middle East peace deal in 25 years. Thank you to UAE. Thank you to Israel. In addition, we obliterated 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate and killed its founder and leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Then in a separate operation, we eliminated the world's number one terrorist by far, Qasem Soleimani. Unlike previous administrations I have kept America out of new wars, and our troops are coming home. We have spent nearly $2.5 trillion on completely rebuilding our military, which was very badly depleted when I took office, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This includes three separate pay raises for our great warriors. We also launched the Space Force, the first new branch of the United States military since the Air Force was created almost 75 years ago. We have spent the last four years reversing the damage Joe Biden inflicted over the last 47 years. Biden's record is a shameful roll call of the most catastrophic betrayals and blunders in our lifetime." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He has spent his entire career on the wrong side of history. Biden voted for the NAFTA disaster, the single-worst trade deal ever enacted. He supported China's entry into the World Trade Organization, one of the greatest economic disasters of all time. After those Biden calamities the United States lost one in four manufacturing jobs. We laid off workers in Michigan, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and many other states." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They didn't want to hear Biden's hollow words of empathy. They wanted their jobs back. As vice president, he supported the Trans Pacific Partnership which would have been a death sentence for the U.S. auto industry. He backed the horrendous South Korea trade deal, which took many jobs from our country, and which I've reversed and made a great deal for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He repeatedly supported mass amnesty for illegal immigrants. He voted for the Iraq War. He opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden. He opposed killing Soleimani. He oversaw the rise of ISIS and cheered the rise of China as a positive development for America and the world. Some positive development." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1823, + "raw_confidence": 0.8177, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "That's why China supports Joe Biden and desperately wants him to win. I can tell you that, upon very good information. China would own our country if Joe Biden got elected. Unlike Biden, I will hold them fully accountable for the tragedy that they caused, all over the world, they caused. In recent months, our nation and the world has been hit by the once in a century pandemic that China allowed to spread around the globe." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They could have stopped it but they allowed it to come out. We are grateful to be joined tonight by several of our incredible nurses and first responders. Please stand and accept our profound thanks and gratitude. Many Americans, including me, have sadly lost friends and cherished loved ones to this horrible disease." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "As one nation, we mourn, we grieve, and we hold in our hearts forever the memories of all of those lives that have been so tragically taken. So unnecessary. In their honor we will unite, in their memory we will overcome. And when the China virus hit, we launched the largest national mobilization since World War II, invoking the Defense Production Act." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We produced the world's largest supply of ventilators. Not a single American who has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator, which is a miracle. Good job heading the task force by our great vice president. Thank you very much, Mike, please stand up. Please. We shipped hundreds of millions of masks, gloves and gowns to our front-line healthcare workers." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "To protect our nation's seniors we rushed supplies, testing kits and personal to nursing homes, we gave everything you can possibly give and we're still giving it because we're taking care of our senior citizens. The Army Corps of Engineers built field hospitals. And the Navy deployed our great hospital ships." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6241, + "raw_confidence": 0.6241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We developed from scratch the largest and most advanced testing system anywhere in the world. America has tested more than every country in Europe put together, and more than every nation in the Western Hemisphere combined. Think of that. We have conducted 40 million more tests than the next closest nation, which is India." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1895, + "raw_confidence": 0.8105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We developed a wide array of effective treatments including a powerful antibody treatment known as convalescent plasma. You saw that on Sunday night when we announced it. That will save thousands and thousands of lives. Thanks to advances, we have pioneered the fatality rate and you look at it, and you look at the numbers, it has been reduced by 80 percent since April. 80 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7329, + "raw_confidence": 0.7329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "The United States has among the lowest case fatality rates of any major country anywhere in the world. The European Union's case fatality rate is nearly three times higher than ours, but you don't hear that. They don't write about that. They don't want to write about that. They don't want you to know those things." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "All together, the nations of Europe have experienced a 30 percent greater increase in excess mortality than the United States. Think of that. We enacted the largest package of financial relief in American history. Thanks to our Paycheck Protection Program, we have saved or supported more than 50 million American jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "That's one of the reasons that we're advancing so rapidly with our economy. Great job. As a result, we have seen the smallest economic contraction of any major Western nation. And we are recovering at a much faster rate than anybody. Over the past three months, we have gained over 9 million jobs, and that's a record in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Unfortunately, from the beginning our opponents have shown themselves capable of nothing but a partisan ability to criticize. When I took bold action to issue a travel ban on China, very early indeed, Joe Biden called it hysterical and xenophobic. And then I introduced a ban on Europe very early again. If we had listened to Joe, hundreds of thousands more Americans would have died." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3437, + "raw_confidence": 0.6563, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Instead of following the science, Joe Biden wants to inflict a painful shutdown on the entire country. His shutdown would inflict unthinkable and lasting harm on our nation's children's, families and citizens of all backgrounds. The cost of the Biden shutdown would be measured in increased drug overdoses, depression, alcohol addiction, suicides, heart attacks, economic devastation, job loss and much more." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's plan is not a solution to the virus, but, rather, it's a surrender to the virus. My administration has a very different approach. To save as many lives as possible, we are focusing on the science, the facts and the data. We are aggressively sheltering those at highest risk, especially the elderly, while allowing lower risk Americans to safely return to work and to school and we want to see so many of those great states be opened by Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We want them to be open. They have to be open. They have to get back to work. They have to get back to work, and they have to get back to school. Most importantly, we are marshalling America's scientific genius to produce a vaccine in record time. Under Operation Warp Speed, we have three different vaccines in the final stage of trials, right now, years ahead of what has been achieved before." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Nobody thought it could ever be done this fast. Normally it would be years and we did it in a matter of a few months. We're producing them in advance so that hundreds of millions of doses will be quickly available. We will have a safe and effective vaccine this year. And together we will crush the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8076, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "At the Democrat convention, you barely heard a word about their agenda. But that's not because they don't have one; it's because their agenda is the most extreme set of proposals ever put forward by a major party nominee. Joe Biden may claim he is an 'ally of the light,' but when it comes to his agenda, Biden wants to keep us completely in the dark." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He doesn't have a clue. He has pledged a $4 trillion tax hike on almost all American families, which will totally collapse our rapidly improving economy. And once again, record stock markets that we have right now will also collapse. That means your 401(k)s, that means all of the stocks you have. On the other hand, just as I did in my first term, I will cut taxes even further for hard-working moms and dads." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "I will not raise taxes. I will cut them, and very substantially. And we will also provide tax credits to bring jobs out of China back to America, and we will impose tariffs on any company that leaves America to produce jobs overseas. We will make sure our companies and jobs stay in our country as I've already been doing for quite some time, if you've noticed." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7464, + "raw_confidence": 0.7464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's agenda is Made in China. My agenda is Made in the USA. Biden has promised to abolish the production of American oil, coal, shale and natural gas, laying waste to the economies of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Colorado, and New Mexico, destroying those states." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Absolutely destroying those states, and others. Millions of jobs will be lost. And energy prices will soar. These same policies led to crippling power outages in California just last week, everybody saw that. Tremendous power outage. Nobody has seen anything like it. But we saw that last week in California." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "How can Joe Biden claim to be an ally of the light, when his own party can't even keep the lights on. Joe Biden's campaign has even published a 110 page policy platform, you can't get away from this. Coauthored with far left senator, crazy Bernie Sanders. The Biden Bernie Manifesto calls for suspending all removals of illegal aliens, implementing nationwide catch and release and providing illegal aliens with free, taxpayer-funded lawyers." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Everybody gets a lawyer. Come on over to our country, everybody has a lawyer, we have a lawyer for you. That's what we need is more lawyers. Joe Biden recently raised his hand on the debate stage and promised, here give away he was going to give it away, your healthcare dollars to illegal immigrants, which is going to bring health massive number of immigrants into our country." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Massive numbers will pour into our country in order to get all of the goodies that they want to get, education, healthcare, everything. He also supports deadly sanctuary cities that protect criminal aliens. He promised to end national security travel bans from Jihadist nations, and he pledged to increase refugee admissions by 700 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This is in the manifesto. The Biden plan would eliminate America's borders in the middle of a global pandemic. And he's even talking about taking the wall down. How about that? Biden also vowed to oppose school choice and close all charter schools, ripping away the ladder of opportunity for Black and Hispanic children." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In a second term I will expand charter schools and provide school choice to every family in America. And we will always treat our teachers with the tremendous respect that they deserve. Great people. Great, great people. Joe Biden claims he has empathy for the vulnerable. Yet the party he leads supports the extreme late-term abortion of defenseless babies right up until the moment of birth. Democrat leaders talk about moral decency, but they have no problem with stopping a baby's beating heart in the ninth month of pregnancy." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Democrat politicians refuse to protect innocent life and then they lecture us about morality and saving America's soul. Tonight we proudly declare that all children born and unborn have a God-given right to life. During the Democrat Convention, the words under God were removed from the Pledge of Allegiance, not once, but twice." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will never do that. But the fact is, this is where they're coming from. Like it or not. This is where they're coming from. If the left gains power they will demolish the suburbs, confiscate your guns and appoint justices who will wipe away your Second Amendment and other constitutional freedoms. Biden is a trojan horse for socialism." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "If Joe Biden doesn't have the strength to stand up to wild-eyed Marxists like Bernie Sanders and his fellow radicals, and there are many, there are many, many, we see them all the time, it's incredible, actually, then how is he ever going to stand up for you? He's not. The most dangerous aspect of the Biden platform is the attack on public safety." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "The Biden-Bernie manifesto calls for abolishing cash bail, immediately releasing 400,000 criminals onto the streets and into your neighborhoods. When asked if he supports cutting police funding, Joe Biden replied, Yes, absolutely. When Congresswoman Ilhan Omar called the Minneapolis Police Department a cancer that is rotten to the root, Biden wouldn't disavow her support and reject her endorsement." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He proudly displayed it shortly later on his website. Displayed it in big letters. Make no mistake, if you give power to Joe Biden, the radical left will defund police departments all across America. They will pass federal legislation to reduce law enforcement nationwide. They will make every city look like Democrat-run Portland, Oregon." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "No one will be safe in Biden's America. My administration will always stand with the men and women of law enforcement. Every day police officers risk their lives to keep us safe. And every year many sacrifice their lives in the line of duty. One of these incredible Americans was Detective Miosotis Familia." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "She was part of a team of American Heroes called the NYPD, or New York's finest, who I was very, very proud to get their endorsement just the other day. Great people. Great, great people. If they were allowed to do their job. You'd have no crime in New York. Rudy Giuliani knows that better than anybody. Thank you, Rudy." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Three years ago on the 4th of July weekend, Detective Familia was on duty in her vehicle when she was ambushed just after midnight and murdered by a monster who hated her purely for wearing the badge. Detective Familia was a single mom. She recently asked for the night shift so she could spend more time with her kids." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Two years ago, I stood in front of the U.S. capitol alongside those beautiful children and held their grandmother's hand as they mourned their terrible loss. And we honored detective Familia's extraordinary life. It was extraordinary. Detective Familia's three children are with us this evening, Genesis, Peter, Delilah, we are so grateful to have you here tonight." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I promise you that we will treasure your mom in our memories forever. We must remember that the overwhelming majority of police officers in this country, and that's the overwhelming majority, are noble, courageous and honorable. We have to give law enforcement, our police, back their power." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They are afraid to act. They are afraid to lose their pension. They are afraid to lose their jobs. And by being afraid, they are not able to do the job that they so desperately want to do for you. And those who suffer most are the great people who they protect and who they want to protect at an even higher level." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "When there is police misconduct, the justice system must hold wrongdoers fully and completely accountable, and it will. But we can never have a situation where things are going on as they are today, we must never allow mob rule. We can never allow mob rule. In the strongest possible terms the Republican party condemns the rioting, looting, arson and violence we have seen in Democrat-run cities all, like Kenosha, Minneapolis, Portland, Chicago and New York, many others, Democrat-run." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "There's violence and danger in the streets of many Democrat-run cities throughout America. This problem could easily be fixed if they wanted to. Just call, we're ready to go in. We'll take care of your problem in a matter of hours. Just call. We have to wait for the call. It's too bad we have to, but we have to wait for the call." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We must always have law and order. All federal crimes are being investigated, prosecuted and punished to the fullest extent of the law. When the anarchists started ripping down our statues and monuments, right outside, I signed an order immediately. 10 years in prison, and it was a miracle, it all stopped." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6382, + "raw_confidence": 0.6382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "No more statues. They said, that's just too long, as they looked at a statue. I think we'll rip it down. Then they said 10 years in prison I think that's too long, let's go home." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5905, + "raw_confidence": 0.5905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "During their convention Joe Biden and his supporters remained completely silent about the rioters and criminals spreading mayhem in Democrat-run cities. They never even mentioned it during their entire convention. Never once mentioned. Now they're starting to mention it because their poll numbers are going down like a rock in water. It's too late, Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In the face of left-wing anarchy and mayhem in Minneapolis, Chicago and other cities, Joe Biden's campaign did not condemn it. They donated to it. At least 13 members of Joe Biden's campaign staff donated to a fund to bail out vandals, arsonists, anarchists, looters and rioters from jail. Here tonight is the grieving family of retired police captain David Dorn, a 38-year veteran of the St. Louis Police Department, a great man and a highly respected man by all." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In June, Captain Dorn was shot and killed as he tried to protect a store from rioters and looters, or as the Democrats would call them, peaceful protesters. They call them peaceful protesters. We're honored to be joined tonight by his wonderful wife Ann and beloved family members Brian and Kielen.To each of you, we will never forget the heroic legacy of Captain David Dorn." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much for being here. Thank you. Thank you very much. Great man. Great man. As long as I am president, we will defend the absolute right of every American citizen to live in security, dignity and peace. If the Democrat Party wants to stand with anarchists, agitators, rioters, looters and flag burners, that is up to them." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But I, as your president, will not be a part of it. The Republican Party will remain the voice of the patriotic heroes who keep America safe and salute the American flag. Last year over 1,000 African-Americans were murdered as a result of violent crime in just four Democrat-run cities. The top 10 most dangerous cities in the country are run by Democrats and have been for many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thousands more African-Americans are victim and victims of violent crime in these communities. Joe Biden and the Left ignore these American victims. I never will. If the Radical Left takes power, they will apply their disastrous policies to every city, town and suburb in America. Just imagine if the so-called peaceful demonstrators in the streets were in charge of every lever of power in the U.S. government, just think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Liberal politicians claim to be concerned about the strength of American institutions. But who exactly is attacking them? Who is hiring the radical professors, judges and prosecutors? Who is trying to abolish immigration enforcement and establish speech codes designed to muzzle dissent. In every case attacks on American institutions are being waged by radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Always remember they're coming after me because I am fighting for you. That's what's happening. And it's been going on from before I even got elected. And remember this, they spied on my campaign and they got caught. Let's see now what happens. We must reclaim our independence from the Left's repressive mandates." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Americans are exhausted trying to keep up with the latest lists of approved words and phrases. And the ever-more restrictive political decrees. Many things have a different name now. And the rules are constantly changing. The goal of cancel culture is to make decent Americans live in fear of being fired, expelled, shamed, humiliated and driven from society as we know it." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "The far Left wants to coerce you into saying what you know to be false and scare you out of saying what you know to be true. Very sad. But on November 3rd, you can send them a very thundering message they will never forget. Thank you. Thank you very much. Joe Biden is weak." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He takes his marching orders from liberal hypocrites who drive their cities into the ground while fleeing far from the scene of the wreckage. These same liberals want to eliminate school choice while they enroll their children in the finest private schools in the land." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1549, + "raw_confidence": 0.8451, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They want to open our borders while living in walled-off compounds in communities in the best neighborhoods in the world. They want to defund the police while they have armed guards for themselves. This November we must turn the page forever on this failed political class. The fact is I'm here what's the name of that building?" + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But I'll say it differently. The fact is we're here and they're not. To me one of the most beautiful buildings anywhere in the world, it's not a building, it's a home, as far as I'm concerned. It's not even a house, it's a home. It's a wonderful place, with an incredible history. But it's all because of you." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Together we will write the next chapter of the great American story. Over the next four years we will make America into the manufacturing superpower of the world. We will expand opportunity zones. Thank you, Tim Scott. Bring home our medical supply chains, and we will end our resilience for bad things, we will go right after China." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will not rely on them one bit. We're taking our business out of China. We are bringing it home. We want our business to come home. We will continue to reduce taxes and regulations at levels not seen before. We will create 10 million jobs in the next ten months, and it will be higher than that. We will hire more police, increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement, and surge federal prosecutors into high-crime communities." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will ban deadly sanctuary cities and ensure that federal healthcare is protected for American citizens, not for illegal aliens. We will have strong borders. And I've said for years, without borders we don't have a country. Don't have a country. Strike down terrorists who threaten our people, and keep America out of endless and costly foreign wars." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will appoint prosecutors, judges, justices who believe in enforcing the law, not enforcing their own political agenda which is illegal. We'll ensure equal justice for citizens of every race, religion, color and creed. We will uphold your religious liberty and defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And if we don't win, your Second Amendment doesn't have a chance. I can tell you that. I have totally protected it. We will protect Medicare and Social Security. We will always and very strongly protect patients with pre-existing conditions. And that is a pledge from the entire Republican Party. Thank you, Kevin." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will end surprise medical billing; require price transparency, and further reduce the costs of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums. They're coming way down. We will greatly expand energy development, continuing to remain the number one in the world and keep America energy-independent. And for those of you that still drive a car, look how low your gasoline bill is." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "You haven't seen that in a long time. We will win the race to 5G and build the world's best cyber and missile defense, already under construction. We will fully restore patriotic education to our schools and always protect we will always, always protect free speech on college campuses. And we put a very big penalty in if they do anything having to do with your free speech, colleges have to pay a tremendous, tremendous financial penalty." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And again it's amazing how open they've been lately. We will launch a new age of American ambition in space. America will land the first woman on the moon, and the United States will be the first nation to plant its beautiful flag on Mars. This is the unifying national agenda that will bring our country together." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "So tonight I say to all Americans, this is the most important election in the history of our country. There has never been such a difference between two parties or two individuals in ideology, philosophy or vision than there is right now. Our opponents believe that America is a depraved nation. We want our sons and daughters to know the truth." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "America is the greatest and most exceptional nation in the history of the world. Our country wasn't built by cancel culture, speech codes and soul-crushing conformity. We are not a nation of timid spirits. We are a nation of fierce, proud and independent American patriots. We're a nation of pilgrims, pioneers, adventurers, explorers and trailblazers who refuse to be tied down, held back, or in any way reigned in." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And we have steel in our spines and grit in their souls and fire in their hearts. There is no one like us on earth. I want every child in America to know that you are part of the most exciting and incredible adventure in human history. No matter where your family comes from, no matter your background in America, anyone can rise, with hard work, devotion and drive, you can reach any goal and achieve every ambition." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Our American ancestors sailed across the perilous ocean to build a new life on a new continent. They braved the freezing winters, crossed the raging rivers, scaled the rocky peaks, trekked the dangerous forests, and worked from dawn until dusk. These pioneers didn't have money. They didn't have fame. But they had each other." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They loved their families. They loved their country, and they loved their God. When opportunity beckoned they picked up their bibles, packed up their belongings, climbed into their covered wagons and set out west for the next adventure. Ranchers and miners, cowboys and sheriffs, farmers and settlers, they pressed on past the Mississippi to stake a claim in the wild frontier." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Legends were born. Wyatt Earp, Annie Oakley, Davy Crocket and Buffalo Bill. Americans built their beautiful homesteads on the open range. Soon they had churches and communities. Then towns. And with time, great centers of industry and commerce." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7882, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "That is who they were. Americans build their future. We don\u2019t tear down our past. We are the nation that won a revolution, toppled tyranny and fascism, and delivered millions into freedom. We laid down the railroads, built the great ships, raised up the skyscrapers, revolutionized industry and sparked a new age of scientific discovery." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We set the trends in art and music, radio and film, sport and literature. And we did it all with style and confidence and flair because that is who we are. Whenever our way of life was threatened, our heroes answered the call. From Yorktown to Gettysburg, from Normandy to Iwo Jima, American patriots raced into cannon blasts, bullets and bayonets to rescue American liberty." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.788, + "raw_confidence": 0.788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They had no fear, but America didn\u2019t stop there. We looked into the sky and kept pressing onward. We built a 6 million pound rocket and launched it thousands of miles into space. We did it so that two brave patriots could stand tall and salute our wondrous American flag, planted on the face of the moon. For America, nothing is impossible." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Over the next four years, we will prove worthy of this magnificent legacy. We will reach stunning new heights. And we will show that the world, for America, there is a dream. And it is not beyond your reach. Together we are unstoppable. Together, we are unbeatable, because together we are the proud citizens of the United States of America." + }, + { + "tid": "RrvWEpOz0l8", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7728, + "raw_confidence": 0.7728, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And on November 3rd, we will make America safer. We will make America stronger. We will make America prouder. And we will make America greater than ever before. I\u2019m very, very proud to be the nominee of the Republican Party. I love you all. God bless you and God bless America. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "No, absentee is OK, because you have to go through a process, Brian, and you go through a process, and you make a request and they send it to you and you get it and you fill it out. And it's a process, and it's a smaller number. What they're going to do is blanket the state, anybody that ever walked, frankly, will get one." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And you know, the governor's a clubhouse politician, he's somebody that, frankly, was shocking and shocking what he did. More shocking what he did, without town halls, without meetings, without the public, they went out and they just approved this ridiculous system. And the Post Office will never be equipped to handle it. And you see it in New York in a much smaller scale, we have a congressional race, Carolyn Maloney, Congresswoman, it's been six and a half weeks now, they have no idea what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2145, + "raw_confidence": 0.7855, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They're thousands of votes off. They're missing votes. There are fraudulent votes. They have to do the election over. There's no way that she can take that election because I mean, it's between two Democrats, but I guess he's probably, as the expression goes, more progressive. But she's she's in trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And frankly, they have to do the election over, there's" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2337, + "raw_confidence": 0.7663, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I'm suing I'm suing no, but it's the same thing, it's mail-in voting. Patterson, New Jersey, 20 percent of the votes were either fixed or messed up or missing or fraudulent and people are in big trouble. The town council, the mailmen, a lot of people are in big trouble. That's Patterson, that's 20 percent of the votes." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3959, + "raw_confidence": 0.6041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's going to be months or years. They will never be able to tabulate their votes because they're not set up for it." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well first of all, you know, remember the famous question when she asked me whether or not I would accept the results of the election? You know, she felt pretty confident until the end of that debate and frankly she was very strong. Do would you accept the results of the election? Well, she didn't accept the results." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1846, + "raw_confidence": 0.8154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "She still hasn't. She's living in a cocoon, and I guess people don't like her or somebody doesn't like her, but she was she didn't do the job. She didn't do the job that she was supposed to do, and she should accept that. Now she continues to go on and she's talking now about the Postal Service. Well, as you know, the postal service for 40 years has had big problems, and they're not equipped to handle a governor where they say millions of ballots, by the way, will be posted in a couple of weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Gear up. You can't do that. It doesn't work that way. It's a very complex process. So Nevada, we're in court. We'll see how it works out, but if it doesn't work out you're not going to know the November 3rd election results. I'm talking for the country. It could be for months and months. I mean, actually it could be for years because you'll never they sent and they plan to send these ballots to everybody that's ever walked in the state of Nevada." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, they're trying to get out. I mean, my people are telling me that they're playing very cute. They're trying to get out. There's no question about that, but, you know, we should have the debates. The one problem I have, the debate's very late. It's at the end of September and a lot of ballots will already be cast by that time." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.346, + "raw_confidence": 0.654, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They want to make the debates as late as possible. And you know, this commission, they've already apologized to me for what they did. They were oscillating my mic during one debate. They've actually apologized. If you can believe it, I have it in writing that they were doing it, what they do, and this is a commission that's a very left-leaning commission." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1863, + "raw_confidence": 0.8137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I frankly wouldn't have even used it, and I could have done that, except it's been used for years, but this is a Clinton-Obama type commission and, you know, they call it it's a beautiful name, but I'm not happy with it. But why are they putting the first debate so late? The first debate should be before the first at least before the first ballots go out, and the have it a month later almost a month later." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But regardless of what it is, I'm ready to debate. I don't care. He really wants to get out, but he has in all fairness to him, he has not said that." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I wouldn't mind more. What's more important to me is the first debate be moved up, so that when people are putting in their first ballot they're going to know. I mean, there's a vast difference. There's never been two candidates or two philosophies, let's say, that are more different than what we have. I mean, we want law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We want strong police. We're not defunding the police. We're probably, could say, we're doing the opposite of defunding the police. You look at Portland. That's all that's all radical left Democrat. They want every city to be like a Portland. If we didn't go out to Portland they've done a great job" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "just a very small group. If we didn't go out to Portland, they would have knocked down and burned down the Post Office, which is a $500 million the federal building, the courthouse, which is and the Post Office and anything else federal. You know, we didn't go just for the courthouse. We went for every federal building there because they weren't protecting it. They were unable to protect it, but we got it to a point where it's reasonable, and if we have to do something more we'll do more." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We have to straighten out that city." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.802, + "raw_confidence": 0.802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's been it's been a mess for years, run by radical liberal Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Brian, all of those things and more, but all of those things. And remember, November 3rd is a long way, that's a long way. The numbers are coming down very rapidly in Florida, they're coming down in California, they're coming down in Texas, they're coming down. Those three places shot up and those numbers are coming down." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, by the time we get there we'll probably be in very good shape. But all of those things, cleanliness, they'll wear the mask, they'll do whatever they have to do, but they want to vote. We have people that really want to get out and vote. It's going to be very safe, but by November 3rd, that's you know, time wise that's eternity, frankly, as far as I'm concerned." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "For Trump that's eternity, and November 3rd is a long ways off. A lot of things are going to happen" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "and I think it's going to be very positive." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You could have a second wave, other countries have had a second wave. You know what nobody talks about is some of these countries that were being held up as the greatest examples, they're having massive second waves now, and look at what's happening with Australia. And you look at what's happening to France." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7558, + "raw_confidence": 0.7558, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You look at Spain, is it a big, big second wave. Italy's got a wave going." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2369, + "raw_confidence": 0.7631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "A lot of countries are having a but nobody ever talks about that. We have done an incredible job in this country, an incredible job. And our testing is the best ever, the best in the world. And everybody talks about it, other than some of the fake news, they don't like talking about it." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2013, + "raw_confidence": 0.7987, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's whatever they tell him to be. And I think it's good that a wife is I would expect a wife to say that. That's the appropriate thing to say. But, Joe is being taken so far left. Look at the manifesto that he and Bernie agreed to. That's further left than Bernie ever was. No borders. You know, think of it, open open up the walls, let's open up the walls, let everybody you know, we're up to 276 miles of wall now." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4271, + "raw_confidence": 0.5729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Thank goodness we have it, because Mexico is heavily infected, and we'd have a surge. I mean, Mexico's having tremendous COVID problems, we built we will have the wall completed, almost completed by the end of the year, shortly thereafter it will be completed, 537 miles of beautiful, very, very powerful wall." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And wherever we put it, nobody's getting through, nobody's getting through. But the fact is that Joe has has agreed already, so how can they say he's a moderate? He's agreed to all these things. You take a look what he wants to do police forces, in Florida, Texas, they just gave me all of the law enforcement gave me their endorsement." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But they have no choice, it's not I told them when we were together. I say, I'm very happy to have it, but you have no choice, because you take a look at what they're doing with the funding, whether it's defund or reducing the funds very substantially. But Joe's is is totally involved with every one of those horrible things, whether it's sanctuary cities and and the whole concept of open borders is so bad." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And then they're going to raise your taxes by two, three, four times. People are going to hey look, our stock market is very close to hitting a new record. Nasdaq has already hit a new record. Joe will drive the market into a depression, and the biggest thing holding back our stock market is the possibility that Biden gets elected, because if he gets elected, our stock market will crash." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1969, + "raw_confidence": 0.8031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "If we didn't have an election right now, two things would happen. Number one, our stock market would be even higher, and it's already setting some records. And the other thing is Iran, China, everybody will be at the table the first day within 24 hours wanting to make a deal, including North Korea. By the way, if Hillary Clinton got in you would have been in a war right now with a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2194, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Maybe it would be over, maybe it wouldn't, but you'd be in a war with North Korea. North Korea, we're doing fine. We're doing fine with everything. They're all waiting now to see, and they don't want Trump. China the last person I've taken in tens of billions of dollars from China. Nobody took in ten cents from China." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5981, + "raw_confidence": 0.5981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "China was having the worst year they've had, Brian, in 67 years. Pete, you and I talked about it once before. The worst year they've had in 67 years, we had the greatest year we've ever had, last year, and now we're going to do it again. Next year's going to be a very strong year very, very strong. Maybe competitive what we just had prior to the China virus coming in, prior to the plague coming in. So we're set up to phenomenal numbers, and you saw the numbers coming out yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1578, + "raw_confidence": 0.8422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They were incredible, having to do with automobile production, having to do with manufacturing. I mean, we're the numbers that are coming out are shocking and startling to people. The biggest hang in the market is the possibility that if Biden gets in and raises everybody's taxes, including on corporations, but he wants to raise individual taxes by doubling and tripling, and that's their agenda." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3247, + "raw_confidence": 0.6753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And then they want to go with the crazy Green New Deal which will put everybody out of business." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, I may do it myself. We're negotiating right now. I have the right to suspend it, and I may do it myself. I have the absolute right to suspend the payroll you know, to do the payroll tax and we call it a payroll tax suspension. That's an incentive for people and small businesses and businesses generally to hire back their workers." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we're doing very well in that regard. But I will tell you this, the blue states, the Democrat states, they don't want to open up anything. They don't want their schools open. They don't want their businesses open. They want to keep it shut, and you can't do that. You're hurting people by doing that. You know, there's a cost." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.349, + "raw_confidence": 0.651, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We did the right thing. We closed, and then we opened. If we didn't close at that time where that terrible virus that should have never been here, China should have stopped it, if we didn't close" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "we would have had millions of people dead. We've done it right. Now it looks like a very strong V based on all of the numbers we're getting, and you'll have a big number on Friday. I don't know what it's going to be, but you have another jobs numbers. You know, the last two months we've set a record on the job numbers, and now we're going to have" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "another big job number on Friday, so it'll be interesting to see what that is. But we're heading definitely a V, but the Democrats are standing in our way. They don't want their states open. Even if the state is in good shape because, you know, much of the country's in really good shape. We see the red spots and we have them in red, you know, the COVID areas, but the country's in very good shape." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we're set to rock and roll, but the big problem we have is Democrats don't want to open their schools. They don't want to because they think it's going to hurt the election" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "for the Republicans and they shouldn't play that game. They should put the people first." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That's what they're doing, Brian. Brian, we're at" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're at 50 percent on the test the Abbott test or its equivalent where it's a five-minute test and goes up to 15 minutes. It's a great test. By the way, that test didn't even exist until we came up with that test." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6969, + "raw_confidence": 0.6969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They're Brian, we have right now 50 percent 50 percent of the country is short-term testing. We're going to more, but you have to remember, we did 61 million tests. The next country is like Germany is at three. India with 1.5 billion people is at 11. We're at 61. Nobody's even close to us in testing, and you know, it's just another talking point." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1945, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And by the way, when you do a lot of testing you have more cases, so they say we have more cases. Well that's because we test, and we find people that need help, and we take care of them. This country has done a great job on the corona and I will say, has not the people that have worked on it have been amazing what we've done, from ventilators, where we had nothing, to making them now for the world." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You know, we're supplying the world now with ventilators. And you go back four months, we didn't have any. And it's a complicated piece of machinery, it's big, it's expensive. The job we've done has been an amazing job, when you say that 18 states but what you don't say, Brian, is that many states, most states, are coming down, way down." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3639, + "raw_confidence": 0.6361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And now Florida, Texas, as I said, California and others are coming down. But most states are coming down. You look at a map and white means good. Most of the most of the map is in the white color. The red color is the corona or potential, and it's a very relatively small portion, but it's coming down." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1954, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Some states are going up a little bit, but they will very shortly they're under control, they'll be coming down. This is a terrible thing that China sent us, this is not easy. This is a terrible thing. And all you have to do is look at every other country in the world, 188 countries are suffering with this plague." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2423, + "raw_confidence": 0.7577, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "My view is the schools should open. This thing's going away. It will go away like things go away and my view is that schools should be open. If you look at children, children are almost and I would almost say definitely, but almost immune from this disease, so few. They've got stronger, hard to believe, and I don't know how you feel about it, but they have much stronger immune systems than we do somehow for this." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2395, + "raw_confidence": 0.7605, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And they do it they don't have a problem, they just don't have a problem. I mean literally in New Jersey where you had thousands, many thousands of deaths the governor, Phil Murphy told me, good guy, too, by the way, but he told me thousands and thousands of deaths, it was hard hit, there was only one person under the age of 18 who died of this, and I think that person also had diabetes, a young person." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It doesn't and especially when you get younger than that, it doesn't have an impact on them. And I've have watched some doctors say they're totally immune, I don't know why, I hate to use the word totally because the news will say, oh, he made the word totally, and he shouldn't have used that word. But the fact is that they are virtually immune from this problem." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we have to open our schools. Remember this, and I think you believe this, Pete, it's very bad for our country to be locked into a house, an apartment, what's going on with suicide, what's going on with drugs, what's going on with depression, what's going on with so many other things. People lose their jobs, they never get it back, they have a great job, all of a sudden that little business or that big business is forced to close." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we have to be very, very careful and vigilant with them and we are." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I think the teachers are a different story. And if a teacher is in a certain age group, I think they shouldn't be going in and probably they're going to have to wait until the thing goes by. They'll have to wait. It will go by. By the way, vaccines and therapeutics are coming along incredibly well. I've streamlined the process." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "This would have taken three, four years to be where we are right now and we're going to have one I believe long before the end of the year. And we have many that are already in stage two and stage three trials, which is ending the lap and it's been incredible. Nobody can believe what the FDA has been able to do. This would have been a process of two years, three years or four years, and we're ready just about we think we're I mean, we have such such great candidates." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7503, + "raw_confidence": 0.7503, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Candidates meaning vaccines and therapeutics, where you walk in, a transfusion or a shot and the people get better. That's the one I really like" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Yes, it's a big thing. In fact, I had the meeting the other day at the Red Cross building, you probably saw that, it was a big meeting on it was mostly on plasma. And it was also a meeting for people that have recovered. People that have recovered, if they would go to their blood bank, give the Red Cross or wherever they can find and give give a donation, because I'll tell you what, that would be a tremendous thing." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Scott is 100 percent right. It's it's a tremendous thing, what we've done with the plasma. And it makes better you know makes people better. It's fought them off once, and it will fight them off again. But, that's a new thing that's another that's another way of doing it, and it's something that we have very, very much we're taking tremendous amounts of blood, we are getting tremendous donations from from people." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "These are people that have had the disease, the COVID, and they've recovered. Their blood, their it the plasma, so valuable, so important to us. So, they're doing it, we'd like to have a lot more. And you're right, it is a fantastic answer. It's not the whole answer, but it's a fantastic part of the puzzle." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, that's what the Democrats want to do, they wanted to do that. But, I have to say this, what they really want is bail-out money for their states that have done very poorly, for years of bad managing. Not because of COVID, well you can add COVID to it, but basically for years of bad management. They want bail-out money." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2478, + "raw_confidence": 0.7522, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They want a trillion dollars to bail out states that and you know the states, I don't have to go over them, I'm not going to embarrass anybody, but there are states that have done very, very poorly. And they want bail-out, they want to use COVID to get them bailed out. And we can't do that. With all of that being said, we want to get funds to people so they can live, but we don't want to disincentivize people from going back to work." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7961, + "raw_confidence": 0.7961, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I want to take where we left, we had the greatest economy in the history of the world, we were better than any other country, we were better than we were ever we we never had anything like it in this country, 160 million people working. We've never had that before, we've never even come close to that." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2172, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Best employment numbers, best unemployment numbers, for African-American, Asian-American, women, Hispanic, everybody. The best numbers we've ever had, the best stock market we've ever had, although we're coming very close right now. In fact, Nasdaq is already higher than that number, so a lot of good things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That needs to be jobs. What I want to do is take it from that point and then build it even better. We we are becoming a great manufacturer again. I'm taking business and I'm taking trade back from these other countries that have ripped us off for years, our allies also, have been ripping us off for years." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3207, + "raw_confidence": 0.6793, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They don't pay their bills, they're delinquent. They're our allies, right? Everybody says they're wonderful allies. I said yes, but they've got to pay their bills. We protect them militarily and then they take advantage of us on trade and the military, because they don't pay their bills on military in some cases." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4584, + "raw_confidence": 0.5416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I mean, Germany was very delinquent, they they owed us billions of dollars billions of dollars to NATO. They should be paying their bills, they are a rich country, they should be paying their bills. Why should we defend countries and not be reimbursed?" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I mean, if somebody thinks differently, they can do whatever they want, but Germany was totally delinquent. You know, it's very interesting, we're supposed to protect Germany from Russia, that's fine, but Germany is paying Russia billions of dollars for energy. So, we're protecting Germany from Russia, Germany's paying Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.203, + "raw_confidence": 0.797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "What's that all about? So, there is a whole thing that for years and years I don't know why presidents didn't solve these problems, but they are problems that are that I'm getting done. I'm getting done like nobody has ever gotten them done before." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But they will be paying and we I told them. I said, are you going to be paying \u00e2\u0080\u0093 they're going to be paying. Brian, I've raised at NATO when I went in nobody was it was a disaster. I think it was seven countries were paying what they were supposed to be paying. Twenty-eight out of twenty-eight, seven were paying." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2302, + "raw_confidence": 0.7698, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Now I've raised and Secretary General Stoltenberg who's the head of NATO, is Trump's biggest fan. He goes around, said I can't believe it. President Obama would go make a speech and nobody would pay. But he wouldn't even talk about it. I went and said, you got to pay. I like you all very much but you got to pay." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7833, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're protecting you, we're spending a lot of money. The United States was paying for everybody. I said you got to pay. Bottom line after one meeting we got $130 billion a year more going to $400 billion and then it makes sense. And by the way, when they say about Russia, that money is largely to protect Europe from Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3489, + "raw_confidence": 0.6511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So when they say Trump and Russia, Russia, believe me, they'd love to see me lose this election. That I can tell you. $130 billion more paid by those countries that were delinquent. They were all delinquent and it's going to $400 billion but Germany has to pay. Germany is a wealthy country, and they have to pay." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6552, + "raw_confidence": 0.6552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And we're not going to have 52,000 troops in Germany, where they make a fortune off the troops. You know, they built cities around our troops. We'll let ourselves get rich first. So, Germany took advantage and that's what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We get nothing back. They take advantage of us on trade. We get nothing back. And then on top of it, they make it impossible to do business. They put barriers up, they charge us tariffs. And all of that stuff is coming down. They are dreaming about Joe Biden. They dream about it every night. They go to bed, they say please Joe, let Joe win, we will so be rich." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2104, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And all I'm doing is bringing fairness back because it's \u00e2\u0080\u0093 it got out of control long time ago. Long before Obama, Obama did nothing and Biden did absolutely nothing, made it worse, but it was long before them, in all fairness." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, we're thinking about it. It would be the easiest from the standpoint of security. You know, they move with a lot of people, it's very expensive operation militarily and law enforcement wise. The Secret Service is fantastic, but you know, it's a big deal, and we are thinking about doing it from the White House because there's no movement." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's easy, and I think it's a beautiful setting and we are thinking about that. It's certainly one of the alternatives. It's the easiest alternative; I think it's a beautiful alternative. I love the building. I'm there right now. I spend a lot of time here. A lot of people didn't spend as much time. I spend a lot of time here, and I like it, and I think it's a great place and greatly representative of our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2037, + "raw_confidence": 0.7963, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So it would be by far the least expensive from the country's standpoint, because it really is, it's a big deal when you get up and move all of this apparatus." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, we are going to have we're going to have the very first night we'll be in Charlotte. But that's locked down, that state the governor just locked them down, I don't know what he's doing. They just locked North Carolina down. We were dying we were really wanting to go to North Carolina, and so what we are doing is we are doing one night there." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And it'll be a nomination night and it'll go very well. We're going to let the press go in and watch it, but socially distanced and lots of things are happening. The state is in a lockdown. States are we had no choice. We went to Jacksonville, a place that we're very good, but after we announced, all of a sudden Florida got hit, and now Florida's recovering." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But what we're going to do is we're going to do virtual and we're going to do some live speeches from different locations, and I'm going to do mine on Thursday night, and that'll be a lot the First Lady's making a speech. Numerous people are making speeches, senators, a lot of very, very terrific people." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "really a terrific speakers list. Some of the warrior congressmen that you've watched, Jim Jordan and so many others, Matt Gaetz. We have these guys were warriors fighting against just a horrible force that hopefully will get their act together." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We'll have some great, great people making speeches." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.211, + "raw_confidence": 0.789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I'll probably do mine live from the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5932, + "raw_confidence": 0.5932, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "If for some reason somebody had difficulty with it, I could go someplace else. The easiest, least expensive, and I think very beautiful would be live from the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I thought it was a terrible speech. It was an angry speech. It showed this anger there that people don't see. He lost control, and he's been really hit very hard by both sides for that speech. That speech was ridiculous. I think the answer is they both are just at a state they you know, it's just one of those things." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7818, + "raw_confidence": 0.7818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We've redone 82 percent or something of the Obama things, whether you look at the environment and our air is our air and water now is cleaner than it's ever been, but we're producing. You go back just prior to the plague coming in and by the way we're going to have those numbers plus next year. You'll watch but you look at the numbers we were doing and despite that our air and water, our environmental numbers are better than they ever were." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But no, I thought that speech was totally inappropriate, very bad. He fought very hard. A lot of people don't realize that I think, and I said it the other day, he fought just as hard or harder than Hillary so that Hillary won. He was he was somebody I didn't know him, but he was somebody that wanted me not to win." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "to keep this whole thing going, but he's like a moderate now." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2105, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, you know, I was at that dinner and the Washington a lot of people say I ran because of that dinner. That's absolutely not true. Actually he joked, but it's supposed to be joking, and he joked. And I actually thought he did a very good job at that dinner. I thought that dinner was actually a very good job." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2455, + "raw_confidence": 0.7545, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I thought his speech the other day at the funeral was a terrible, terrible representation of what our country's all about. I thought it was absolutely terrible. But he fought very hard for Hillary Clinton. He fought I think he fought harder than she did. You remember I used to complain all the time, look at all this." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "He's going all over the place. And you know, it actually inspired our voters, and we have more enthusiasm right now with our voters, Brian, than they ever had, than we ever had in 2016, and we had greater nobody ever saw enthusiasm like 2016. They came from the lakes, the rivers. They came from everywhere." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They came from places that the Democrats never heard about, and they voted. And they lined up, and I don't know if it was ballots or not. Not too many ballots. They just loved standing there waiting to vote. They came days early. They've never seen anything like it. We have more today. I just got back from Texas and Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3201, + "raw_confidence": 0.6799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We had lines miles long along the highways and along the roadways with the flag and the American flag and the Trump flag. And the one thing I notice is that whenever you have an opposition group in line, they never have the American flag. They never fly the American flag. I can always tell our crowds, but there was virtually no I didn't see anybody literally thousands tens of thousands of people, they were all for Trump and Trump-Pence." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You have the sign. Mike Pence has done a great job by the way. Great. He's been a solid, incredible vice president. He's done a fantastic job. People love him, but they had the Trump-Pence signs all up and down the highway, and it was an incredible thing to see in Texas. And I got the full endorsement of law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And you know, I told them you don't have a choice. In all fairness, what's the choice? You know, you don't have a choice, in all fairness, what's the choice, but I have full endorsement of law enforcement almost everywhere." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, Senator Cruz is right, and you know, look, this isn't being naive. This is being untruthful. These are lying people. These are untruthful people. They know it exists. They are ANTIFA's a horrible group. It's a far left group and they used to try and blame the right on all this stuff; and now finally at least they're not doing that so much anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I don't see very much of that at all almost never. ANTIFA is a far left group of radical anarchists and agitators is a nice word, but they're really anarchists." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7365, + "raw_confidence": 0.7365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The Democrats the Democrats know they exist. You have Democrats funding them. They say Soros, and they say other people. Who knows, but they're funded. You see them standing there with weapons that are expensive, that that with signs that were made I mean literally, they have signs. Some of their little marches they have signs that were made in a high class printing shop." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I like the signs that are made in a basement. They mean a lot more. But that ANTIFA is very well known by the Democrats, and when they say gee, we don't know who they are. Who could they be? They are a bad group. When I signed my bill the other day, the Act that and it was very important 10 years in jail for ripping down monuments or statues." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6407, + "raw_confidence": 0.6407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It stopped. That was two months ago. It totally stopped at least on a federal basis even on a state basis because when they heard they go to jail for 10 years and that's 10 years, that's a real I took an old law, and I reinstituted it, which everyone said, oh, it's too tough. Well, let me tell you, it's 10 years for ripping down a statue or ripping down a monument, and they were going to march on Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They were going to rip down the march totally stopped once I signed that bill. I gave a news conference. I signed the bill. I said you can come, but anybody, and we now have hundreds of people in court that are being prosecuted all over the country, so it's a hey, we've done a good job. The problem \u00e2\u0080\u0093 we've done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1925, + "raw_confidence": 0.8075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The fact is Seattle would be burned down now if we didn't threaten to go in. We were going in and when they heard that we were going in, they sent the cops and this and by the way, the ANTIFA the radical left they gave up immediately because basically they're cowards. Basically they're cowards. They just keep pushing as far as they can." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6424, + "raw_confidence": 0.6424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "When I watch police standing there, and these radical anarchists are spitting on the police and doing much worse than that. They're throwing things that you don't want to know about, and the police aren't allowed to defend themselves, they have to stand there. It's a disgrace, but we've done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7869, + "raw_confidence": 0.7869, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We've saved Portland, and we can do it and we did it nice and soft, but we did a very good job in Portland. If we weren't in Portland right now, the federal courthouse would have been ripped down; it would have been burned down. It wouldn't exist, along with lots of other federal buildings and other buildings, too." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So it's one of those things that if you want the country" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "like that if the whole country is going to be another Portland that can happen. You just all you have to do is elect this radical group of people. And Joe Biden is totally taken in by them by the way totally taken in. He can't say I mean it's nice that his wife tries to defend him, says he's not a moderate." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8034, + "raw_confidence": 0.8034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Take a look at the manifesto that he agreed to with Bernie. It's further left than Bernie ever was." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2534, + "raw_confidence": 0.7466, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, China has done a big number on us for many, many years. I've taken in billions and billions of dollars from China. Nobody else has ever done it, and one of the things we've done is been very strong. We're not allowing Huawei, that's the big phone company, and we also got a lot of our allies. I said, if you do it that's OK, but we're not going to be able to share any information with you." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2426, + "raw_confidence": 0.7574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, we've literally talked to many of our allies that were ready to get a free phone system, or a very inexpensive you know a a 5G system, they were going to get that system. And it would have been a it would have been a disaster from a security standpoint. So, Italy and many other countries we've talked out of it. There are still some that are considering it. And if they do it, we're not going to be able to do any security business, because we we don't want it going back into the halls of Beijing." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.536, + "raw_confidence": 0.536, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, with and with if you look at TikTok, we said, it's OK if it's bought, if it's bought by a secure American company, they can buy the whole thing instead of 30 percent, which is the American component. But, if you buy it, the United States, which is making it possible to buy, because without us they can't do anything, should be compensated, properly compensated with a very big payment." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1849, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, that money would go into the Treasury of the United States. And by the way, Microsoft, which is looking at it, and others, they all agreed to that." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Absolutely. Well, they've been stealing for years. They've been stealing everything. We come up with new computers, all of a sudden they're being made we have a fighter jet, the F-22, one of the greatest planes in the world, they copied our planes. I saw it without their insignia. I said, let me ask you, what what's that all about, that's the F-22? China copied the F-22, one of the greatest fighter jets ever made." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well Brian, all of the things that you just said, with the U.K, they were all set to buy the Huawei system, Australia, all of those things that you just said, I've done. I had a big talk and a tough talk with Boris. I said, listen, if you do that system you can forget about Scotland Yard, frankly, because we can't do business with you." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And they were all set to do it, and they terminated. Italy was all set to sign the Huawei system, and they terminated. Australia's been great right from the beginning, I'll tell you what, they are a great ally." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "No, we're already together. We we are very unified. Let me tell you, these countries are almost as angry as I am at the plague being released into their country. China stopped the plague from going into China, but they didn't stop the plague from leaving China and going to Europe and the United States and all over the world, OK, 188 countries." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.783, + "raw_confidence": 0.783, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And those countries have suffered more than we have in many ways, hard to believe." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7719, + "raw_confidence": 0.7719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "and countries have been decimated, and they haven't forgotten that." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4714, + "raw_confidence": 0.5286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "OK, let me tell you about Hong Kong. So, Hong Kong, we're with them all the way, but, you know, it's part of you know it's attached. And with Hong Kong, they've taken tremendous amounts of business from us, just on a practical from a practical standard, the Hong Kong Stock exchange, they take massive amounts." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.772, + "raw_confidence": 0.772, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We gave them because of freedom, for freedom, we gave them tremendous incentives, and I wouldn't say it's wrong, but they took massive amounts of business away from the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, all of our exchanges. And that was OK, we did that for freedom. We've now taken that all back. Hong Kong will not be a successful exchange anymore, won't be. We gave them such incentives that they had to do well; it was easy to do well." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2404, + "raw_confidence": 0.7596, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're going to make a lot more money now, I will say that. China has grilled them down; they've sort of lost a lot of their fight, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But, from our standpoint, Brian, you have to understand that I've I've looked at it for years. I say, why are why is Hong Kong getting so much business? That's not good. We gave Hong Kong tremendous incentives to get business, that was business that would normally come into New York and business that would come to the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5568, + "raw_confidence": 0.5568, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The New York Stock Exchange, they're going to do very well, they're going to pick up a lot of business. Now, that's very cold to be saying that, right? That's very cold. But the fact is, Hong Kong is there and the and they didn't honor their agreement, there's 25 years to go with their agreement with U.K. They have an agreement, it should have been honored." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And U.K. has looked at it very strongly. But, we've taken everything back and we're doing a lot more business. We're going to be doing a lot more business. Hong Kong, unfortunately, their exchanges and all of that business will now dry up. It'll fail because they can't do it without the incentives that we gave." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7779, + "raw_confidence": 0.7779, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We gave them so much in order to be successful." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I think it's disgraceful. We work with them. We work with them very hard trying to get them open. I was pushing them to get open, and then I see everybody kneeling when the during the anthem. We're not it's not acceptable to me. When I see them kneeling, I don't I just turn off the game. I have no interest in the game." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And let me tell you, there's plenty of other people out there, too. And Black Lives Matter, nobody's done better for our black community than me. Nobody, and that is with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln it's true criminal justice reform, opportunity zones, best employment numbers in history, every single one I've done funding the black colleges and universities historically, they say historically black, but the colleges and universities funded it. For a long time they had no funding." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They had to keep coming back to Washington. I took care of them for long-term. They're all set. Nobody's done, for the black community, African-American community, what I've done, and I will tell you, they had Black Lives Matter. Where did it start? Marching down streets screaming pigs in a blanket, fry them like bacon." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4436, + "raw_confidence": 0.5564, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They were talking about policemen policemen and women. Pigs in a blanket, fry them like bacon. So all of a sudden this has taken on this air of great respectability. Well, how does it start there? It's a Marxist group it's a Marxist group that is not looking for good things for our country, and now I see these leagues all kneeling down." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "And again, nobody has done more for the black community by far. I would say nobody other than, I'll give the one exception, Abraham Lincoln, OK? But even that, I mean, to be honest with you, but nobody" + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "has done more than I have, but when I see people kneeling during the playing and disrespecting our flag and disrespecting our national anthem, what I do personally is turn off the game. And the ratings for the basketball are way down, if you know. And I hear some others are way down, too, including baseball because all of a sudden now baseball's in the act." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1888, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We got to stand up for our flag. We have to stand up for our country. We have to stand up for our anthem, and a lot of people agree with me. Hey, if I'm wrong, I'm going to lose an election, OK? And that's OK with me, but I will always stand for our country and for our flag. That's what we're all about. And our country is now respected again." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7889, + "raw_confidence": 0.7889, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Our country was disrespected, and now our country is respected, and other countries, including our allies I say sometimes our so-called allies because they've ripped us up more than the enemies but our but these allies are respecting us again." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1547, + "raw_confidence": 0.8453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Well, Condoleezza's 100 percent right. Look, we were really there. We were very close. Success it's called success. We had the highest employment, the best employment numbers ever ever for the Black community, for African-American. The best numbers. Hispanic, Asian, everybody, but we had the best numbers for everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We were there. I was seeing it. I was even seeing it, believe or not, with Congress. We were doing things. The election was a walk. The election was going to be a walk a walk in the park. Now, I'm working, but we're doing well. We have poll numbers now where I'm leading. And you know, we got hit like everybody else and everybody in the same position, all these other countries, but we got hit, but we're doing really well and we're building it again, and people see that we're building it again." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "But we were very close, Ainsley, to being there. We had this tremendous success going, and I could see things changing, and they were changing rapidly and then we got hit with the plague from China. Now, we are doing it again, the best answer, Ainsley, is great success great jobs, great income, homes." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The home ownership was at the highest rate. Now, we had great homeowners. As you saw, yesterday the home ownership numbers were just announced yesterday, and home sales are through the roof. I think it was one of the highest ever. So, we are doing it again but we got interrupted by the virus, by the plague and it was a terrible thing, but the answer just in a word is success." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Success will bring us together better than any other. There's no other word that can top it. It's going to bring people together, Ainsley." + }, + { + "tid": "RSElslMxoIg", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much, I love your show. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "rUH_KeIgp2w", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. The stock market is doing very well. The economy is doing very well. I think we're going to have some tremendous numbers over the next number of months. A lot of things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "rUH_KeIgp2w", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I just had a meeting on vaccines and therapeutics, and it was a great meeting. We had a lot of our wonderful doctors and researchers with me. I think the meeting went really well. We're doing well on vaccines. We're doing well on therapeutics. And now I'm heading to North Carolina to look exactly at that." + }, + { + "tid": "rUH_KeIgp2w", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "No, I haven't seen him lately. I heard he" + }, + { + "tid": "rUH_KeIgp2w", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "he tested. Yeah. I have not seen him. I'm calling him later." + }, + { + "tid": "rUH_KeIgp2w", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-27", + "claim_text": "I can't hear a word you're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Hello, North Carolina, a very special place. 60 days from now we're going to win the State of North Carolina and we're going to win four more years in the White House. Now, today's a big day because your ballots have been sent out and I guess you'll be getting them shortly. And as you know, I've been very suspicious of this whole, uh, situation." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I don't like it and a lot of people don't like it. So I want you to just maybe if you could listen to this and, uh, mark it down and, and do it, or however you feel comfortable. Based on the massive number of unsolicited and solicited ballots that will be sent to potential voters for the upcoming 2020 election." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6877, + "raw_confidence": 0.6877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And in order for you to make sure your vote counts and is counted, so important, make sure your vote counts, because they'll lose your vote, they'll lose your ballot. Who knows what's going to happen with these people? Sign and mail in your ballot as early as possible. So you sign your ballot and mail it in, just mail it." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.365, + "raw_confidence": 0.635, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "On election day or early voting, go to your polling place, even though you've mailed it in, go to your polling place to see whether or not your mailing vote has been tabulated or accounted. If it has, you will not be able to vote, 'cause it's going to be counted. You'll not be able to vote and the mailing system worked properly as it should, but there's a big chance that it won't work properly." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7694, + "raw_confidence": 0.7694, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "If it has not been counted, vote, which is every citizen's right to do, you go and vote, you press the lever and vote. So if it hasn't been counted, if it doesn't show up, go and vote. And then if your mailing ballot arrives after you vote, which it shouldn't, but possibly it could, perhaps. That ballot will not be used or counted in that your vote has already been cast and tabulated." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1945, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So this way you're guaranteed to have your vote count. So send it in and then see, and then vote, and let's see what happens. You're now assured though that your very precious and important vote has been counted and it hasn't been lost or thrown out or in any way destroyed. So, so important to do that because this is going to be the biggest election in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "This is going to be actually, you see what's going on with the people we're dealing with. You see it and, uh, you see it better than anybody. Uh, this is going to be the most important election in the history of our country, bigger even than 2016, our beautiful 2016. And nobody's done as much as we've done in three and a half years." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden wants to surrender your jobs to China, and he wants to surrender your nation to the Radical left-wing mob. And I'm going to keep jobs in America and I'll bring rioters, looters and violent extremists to justice. You saw that last night in Portland, the U.S. Marshals went in and they took out a man who shot somebody." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "A very, very innocent person. Shot somebody, killed him. And the U.S. Marshals, we had to send in the U.S Marshals to show justice. Over the last three and a half years, we've secured America's borders, fixed our broken trade deals, rebuilt the U.S. military, obliterated 100% of the ISIS caliphate, and killed the two worst terrorists in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Secured American energy independence, built the greatest economy in the history of our world. And now we're doing it again because the plague came in from China, and we're doing it again. And you see how good the numbers are. They're record setting. Biden will never be able to protect your jobs, your family." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He wants to raise your taxes. And he's a puppet of the socialists and Marxists and the cop hating extremists. For the entire summer Biden was silent as far-left rioters viciously attacked law enforcement in Democrat-run cities all. Burned down businesses, terrorized civilians, and just recently marched through the streets chanting, Death to America. These are people that are supporters of Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3009, + "raw_confidence": 0.6991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And by the way, the Delaware Police where Biden never leaves, he never leaves the devela the Delaware Police. Law enforcement just endorsed me, I was just told that at a press conference. Incredible. And I appreciate it very much. But he's there all the time, he never leaves, that's where he talks. Biden's spent months calling violent mobs peaceful protests." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He helped spark the riots through his reckless attacks on American law enforcement and American society. His dangerous rhetoric insights to left-wing rage and just look at the angry supporters screaming at Americans, peaceful Americans, people that don't want any trouble. Biden opposes sending the National Guard in to save American lives, he doesn't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "They don't want to fight, they don't want to fight. Just take a look at this crazy mayor of Portland. They forced him out of his home and he gives them nothing but everything. He gives him a hundred percent of what they want. He couldn't be nicer. He's a dream. But that's not good enough for them. When the left-wing rioters attacked Kenosha, Wisconsin, we sent in the National Guard and restored law and order quickly and the people were very thankful." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6454, + "raw_confidence": 0.6454, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "When I went there two days ago, they were thanking me so much, 'cause they wouldn't have a Kenosha. If Biden had been in charge, he would have let Kenosha burn to the ground. Biden is weak and he's not going to be able to handle his bosses, including Antifa, a terrorist organization. The rioters want Biden to win because his agenda is their agenda, they both want to cut funding for police and cash bail." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Can you imagine that? No bail. And hire Far-left prosecutors and judges to let criminals free, to let them run wild. The Radical left district attorney in Portland has released hundreds of rioters and announced that anyone arrested for interfering with police officers, disorderly can conduct even criminal trespass, rioting, and other offenses will not be prosecuted." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7623, + "raw_confidence": 0.7623, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "His manifesto, and that's what it is, with Bernie Sanders they agreed to this. He pledged to appoint prosecutors who will extend these insane Far-left policies nationwide. It's more left than Bernie Sanders was. It was supposed to be brought to the right. It was brought further Left than even Bernie Sanders ever dreamed." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And Bernie is he's got serious problems. They'll make every city look like frankly, a Portland, or you look at other Democrat-runs cities. Look at what's happened in New York, as high as 300% increase in crime. Chicago, Baltimore, take a look at Oakland. All Democrat-run top 10 cities in the country and long beyond that, all Democrat-run." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But my plan and my, what I've been doing is be very tough. We have 2000 people now under arrest that we've taken out of various cities. This week I signed an order to begin the process of cutting off federal funds to cities that allow anarchy to reign. And I've announced those cities and they're not happy about it, but we say we, You gotta get your, uh, act in order. I'll always defend law abiding citizens, Biden, won't. He's not going to defend you." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He doesn't even know what defend means. He's, he's gone. That's why rioters are voting for Biden and law enforcement is voting for me. That's why Delaware, where he comes from, that's why they are endorsing me. I came out of nowhere. I didn't speak to the people, but I have great respect for them. The election is about safety and this election is also about jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7245, + "raw_confidence": 0.7245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden spent 47 years shipping North Carolina jobs to China and foreign nations far away, foreign lands, as I always say. I've spent the last four years bringing your jobs back home and that's what we've been doing. I ended the last administration's eight-year war in American oil and coal and fracking and natural gas." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7905, + "raw_confidence": 0.7905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Biden supported the ridiculous and one-sided, very expensive for the United States, it would decimate us The Paris Climate Accord, which would be a death sentence for your energy jobs. I withdrew from this calamity and Biden said, I'm going to go back into it. Even though it's tremendously expensive both in jobs and money." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7541, + "raw_confidence": 0.7541, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "When asked in a debate if there would be any place for fossil fuels, including fracking, which is a big part of the economy. I mean, just a tremendous part. That's one of the reasons we have it. So I mean, the energy prices are so low. Biden replied, No, we would make sure it's totally eliminated. So fracking would be no good." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Tell that to the people of Texas, tell that to the people of Pennsylvania, and Ohio and, and North Dakota and so many other places, Oklahoma. Biden's running mate even sponsored the economy wrecking Green New Deal. It's a joke, The Green New Deal, it's for children. It's not possible. There's not enough money in the world to pay for it and even if you did it wouldn't work." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "While I'm president America will remain the number one producer of oil and natural gas on earth. And we are that now, and we're going to keep it there. I want North Carolina's great Republicans fighting by my side and we have some of them on the phone right now. And I want to tell you, this is sort of a big goal because you're getting those ballots and we have some great people." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5142, + "raw_confidence": 0.5142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Senator Thom Tillis who's been terrific, a terrific guy, a terrific Senator. When I've needed him he's always been there. He's running against a Democrat who wants to raise your taxes. They want to raise your taxes by the way,. Biden wants to raise your taxes like crazy. Open our borders and take away our Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2168, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He's a Schumer clone, a Schumer puppet named Cal Cunningham. He's, he'll do anything that Schumer tells him to do. And he's going to say, you're not going to have a Second Amendment or it's going to be obliterated. And very importantly, you are going to have the tax increase of your life. It'll be the biggest tax increase in history." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He's a, proposed it. I, I don't know, all my life I said, Cut taxes. And these guys want to run on raising taxes. I've never heard of it, but you know what? Maybe they know something that I don't know, but they're going to raise your taxes like never before. Also on the line is Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, who's running against your lockdown-loving Democrat, Governor Roy Cooper." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Your, your State is locked down. I mean, almost all the States are open now and you're locked down. And they'll, they're only doing it for political purposes. They'll open it up on November 4th you watch. And other States with much better numbers on the virus are open and long open. Representatives Richard Hudson, Patrick McHenry, uh, and I'll tell you, Patrick McHenry has been a friend of mine." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I always say he's got the greatest name in politics, but, uh, have been just terrific. All of these guys, Richard, Patrick, Virginia Fox, David Rouser, Ted Budd, Dan, uh, a man that I worked very hard with. Dan Bishop and another one, Greg Murphy, I was very proud of them the way they ran their race. I was a big part of it." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "They're terrific congressmen, they're warriors, all of them. So Richard Hudson, Patrick McHenry, Virginia Fox, David Rouser, Ted Budd, Dan Bishop, Greg Murphy, these are great, great warriors. You put that alongside of Thom Tillis, we have a team that's incredible, and good luck to Dan Forest because he deserves to be your governor." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Also congressional candidate, Madison Cawthorn, who is really something, he's a special person. I always say, I said, Madison, if I looked like you, look, if I had that face, I'd be, I would have been president 15 years ago Madison. He's a great guy. He's just, he's a really great guy. He's been through a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And, uh, he's just fantastic. I can't speak more highly. So I just want to thank Madison also for being on the line and I hope you get out and support him. He'll be replacing somebody that's fantastic, Mark Meadows, who's a, done a fantastic job as you know. Mark Meadows is now our chief of staff and he's really in there doing an incredible job and he loves the State, he loves your State of North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I also want to thank North Carolina GOP chairman, who has really been something. We've had a good, we've had a good winning streak going. Michael Whatley, and Michael, thank you very much. It's been a, you've been fantastic and we really appreciate it. Also, I just want to say that in four years we've achieved more than anyone thought even possible." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1996, + "raw_confidence": 0.8004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We passed massive tax cuts and, and eliminated more regulations than any administration in the history of our country, the tax cuts were the biggest tax cuts in history. I saved the U.S. auto industry for a lot of reasons, including regulations, but also by withdrawing it from the last administration's job killing catastrophe known as the Trans-Pacific Partnership." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We wouldn't have an auto industry, a lot of other industries either. And to protect our workers I imposed stiff tariffs on foreign aluminum and foreign steel and you know all about that. And we brought that back, we brought it all the way back and it's been incredible. Steel, aluminum, and so many different businesses and we wouldn't even have them." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2357, + "raw_confidence": 0.7643, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We're reversing decades of Biden betrayals that decimated North Carolina jobs. Your State lost 43% of all manufacturing jobs after NAFTA and China's entrance into the world trade, WTO, World Trade Organization. Earlier this year I kept my promise to North Carolina when we ended the NAFTA nightmare and signed the brand new U.S-Mexico-Canada Agreement into law." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7477, + "raw_confidence": 0.7477, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I took the toughest ever action to stand up to chi China's pillaging and plundering. Nobody's ripped us off like China, nobody, no other country, nobody. Period. And we've taken in billions of dollars and I've given a big chunk of it, $28 billion, to the farmers who were wrongly targeted by China. And we have a lot of money left over that goes right into our treasury." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7327, + "raw_confidence": 0.7327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Nobody took in 10 cents from China over the last 25 years. After years of rebuilding other countries, we're finally rebuilding our country, it's called America first. It's about time we put America first and that's what's happened. And these people would come in and they'd, they disrespect us, they disrespect our country and all of the things that we've done and they give it right back to all of these other faraway lands that have been ripping us off." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "To bring hope to our inner cities I created opportunity zones and I had a lot of help from Tim Scott from South Carolina. A great Senator, a great guy. Opportunity zones have had an incredible impact. Passed criminal justice reform, delivered permanent funding for historically Black colleges and universities." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2485, + "raw_confidence": 0.7515, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And before the China virus, we achieved the lowest African-American, Hispanic-American, and Asian-American unemployment rates ever recorded. And now, and you see that today, those numbers are coming right back up again. We're doing it again. We're doing it all over again. And Biden would be unable to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "You can't do it if you're going to quadruple people's taxes. Democrat politicians have failed the Black community for decades and they've failed every community frankly, if you look at what's happened. Perhaps in no area they'll have our opponents more thoroughly betrayed. Working families of all backgrounds and, on the subject of immigration. 'Cause immigration has been a big factor probably in my election and we have now one of the strongest, probably the strongest border we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6135, + "raw_confidence": 0.6135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We ended catch and released, the ridiculous catch and release situation where you catch them and then release them into our own country by law. Stopped asylum fraud, and we've deported 20,000 gang members. We've also built 300 miles of border wall and we're adding about 10 new miles every week and the wall will be finished very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's had a tremendous impact, strongest border we've ever had. We invested $2.5 trillion in the U.S. Military and launched the first new branch of the U.S. Armed Forces that's the first in 75 years, it's called The Space Force. You've all been hearing about it. Yours, your State will have something to do with it you watch." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1578, + "raw_confidence": 0.8422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We passed VA Choice and VA Accountability. So we passed Space Force, we passed VA Choice, we passed VA Accountability. I withdrew from last administration's disastrous Iran nuclear deal. They paid $150 billion for nothing. They paid 1.8 billion in cash to the Iranians. Cra cash, green. It's crazy. I kept my promise, recognized the true Capital of Israel." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Every president said, for many, many presidents said they were going to do it, they didn't do it. Because it wasn't easy. And opened the U.S embassy in Jerusalem. I recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. So the Golan Heights, they worked in that for 52 years they couldn't get it done, I got it done." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And we achieved the first breakthrough in middle East peace in 26 years. We just signed a deal between Israel and The UAE. Now other countries are going to be joining also. You'll have, you'll end up having peace in the middle East. Watch. We killed the founder and leader of ISIS, al-Baghdadi, we killed the world's number one, terrorist Qasem Soleimani." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Soleimani is dead. We kept America out of new wars and we're bringing our troops back home. Afghanistan, we're getting very close, we have it down to a very low number. Uh, Iraq, we're almost finished. Syria, we're almost finished except we kept the oil, we have some troops back guarding it. Together we've been rapidly fixing a half a century of Biden era disasters." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It was not only him, there was others, but they thought alike. Biden supported NAFTA, China's entry into the world trade, TPP. He supported the horrible South Korea Trade Deal, which was a disaster for our country. And mass amnesty for illegal aliens, he supported cutting social security, he voted for the Iraq war." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "He opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden, if you can believe that one. That was an easy one. He opposed killing Soleimani. He oversaw the rise of ISIS and he cheered the rise of China as a really positive development for the world. He thought it was a wonderful thing. Not so good. If Biden wins, China will own America." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "You Mark my words. Hopefully, we'll not have to think about it. When I banned travel from China Biden called it hysterical and xenophobic. I did that because China was heavily infected and we saved tens of thousands of lives by doing it, and then we banned Europe from coming in. And even the experts were against me, but they turned out and they all said, Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We did something very good, very right. And we've done a fantastic job on this China virus, the invisible enemy. Uh, I get no credit for it, our people, the vice president, Mike Pence, who loves your State by the way. But Mike Pence and the task force and all of that, the things that we've done. We've done a great job and you'll hear it because when the virus arrived, we launched the largest national mobilization since World War II." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2268, + "raw_confidence": 0.7732, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And thanks to the lifesaving therapies that we've pioneered and developed, they're out now you saw that. Uh, Ramdesivir and the plasma, you just saw that come out. He, uh, we have some incredible things coming out. The mortality rate has been reduced to 85% since, think of it, it's been reduced 85% since April." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.296, + "raw_confidence": 0.704, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And we've achieved among the lowest case fatality rates of any major country in the entire world. You don't hear that from the fake news. They don't tell you about that. The European Union's case fatality rate is nearly three times higher than ours. And altogether the nations of Europe have experienced a 30% greater increase in excess mortality than the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.157, + "raw_confidence": 0.843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "The news, the lame stream media doesn't tell you that. Cases in the U.S. have declined 28% nationwide over the last month. And hospitalizations and deaths have continued to decline rapidly over the past week. Three vaccines are in their final stage of clinical trials and Pfizer, a great company, just announced that it expects to have the result of its vaccines very soon and we're looking for great results." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.631, + "raw_confidence": 0.631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Under Operation Warp Speed, we remain on track to produce a safe and effective vaccine in record time. Another administration with another president would have taken two or three years to get to where we are right now and I don't think they'd even be as close. It'll be delivered, the vaccine, before the end of the year and frankly, maybe even during the month of October." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I think October is even more likely. To continue forward in this path we need everyone to be careful, apply common sense and all of the things that we talked about. You know, we have a big weekend coming up, Labor Day weekend. We're into it now. And be very careful, socially distance, all of the things that you have to do so that we can knock this thing out." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We're getting very close. We're very close. We're rounding the bend, I feel that very strongly. Joe Biden's plan to impose blanket shut downs. He wants to do a blanket shut down. Well, we did that. We did the right thing. We saved millions of lives, but now our economy is roaring back. If we did that you'd give it all back and there's no reason for it." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2242, + "raw_confidence": 0.7758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's time to open it up and it's time to open up your State. Time to open up your great State. North Carolina has to get back and the governor has to let it go. The Biden shut down would cripple our healthcare system and reduce life expectancy for millions. There's a big price to pay at a shut down on the other side." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "People are starting to realize that. Through the Paycheck Protection Program, we've saved more than 1.3 million jobs for North Carolina workers. We also provided over $380 million in relief for North Carolina farmers, including $10 million for the tobacco farmers. We've taken great care of our tobacco farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Other people wouldn't do that. The U.S. economy added 1.4 million jobs in August bringing in the total to 10.6 million jobs created in just the last four months. That's a record. Never happened before, never even close. That's because we had a very strong foundation to build on. That's why we're coming back so quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It'll be a V, but probably a super V. The Biden agenda would crush this comeback and put our families in great danger. Biden's promising to impose $4 trillion in new taxes, meaning you're going to get massive tax increases. Eliminate America's borders in the middle of a pandemic yet. He wants to tear down the wall, he actually suggested tearing down the wall that we fought so hard to get built." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3045, + "raw_confidence": 0.6955, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Nobody else could have gotten that wall built. And it's exactly what the border patrol wanted ev right down to their last specification. And he wants to take it down? Give illegal aliens government healthcare. He wants to do that. And taxpayer funded lawyers, that's what we need. Everybody that comes over illegally gets a taxpayer-funded lawyer." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2699, + "raw_confidence": 0.7301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Increase refugee admissions by 700%. And he wants to do things that are not even believable. He wants to allow people into our country that we don't want to have in our country. We have, believe it or not, with, you take out Chicago and New York, a couple of places, we have by far the best crime numbers we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1566, + "raw_confidence": 0.8434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Republican-run cities and States have been doing phenomenally well, despite the horrible China virus. And Joe Biden opposes School Choice. He opposes North Carolina Opportunity Scholarships. And he stated that if he is elected, charter schools are gone, they're all going to be gone. So in the second term we're pushing very hard for School Choice to every parent in America and a vote for a Republican is a vote for safe communities, great jobs, and a really bright future for all Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "To see the American dream, they want to go exactly, it's, I call them the American nightmare and you see what's happening. And there's never been more enthusiasm, even beyond 2016, more enthusiasm. Over the next four years, we'll make America into the manufacturing superpower of the world and we'll end our reliance on China once and for all." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.192, + "raw_confidence": 0.808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We'll rapidly return to full employment, soaring wages and record prosperity and that's what we're doing. We're creating records and by the way, even as we round the turn on the pandemic we're hitting a record stock market. Two days ago we hit a record and we continue to hit a record. And I think we're going to do numbers next year as I said, that'll be the best in our history." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We'll hire more police, they want to get rid of your police. Increased penalties for assaults and law enforcement, surge federal prosecutors into high-crime communities and ban sanctuary cities, which is something that you have to do. And you know all about sanctuary cities, 'cause you have a nice, dangerous one in your midst." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We'll appoint prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not in their own political agenda. We'll uphold religious liberty, free speech, and the right to keep and bear arms. Guns, they want to take away your guns. They're going to take away your guns. They will do it. It's one of... They put crazy Beto O'Rourke in charge and he is the one that is leading the charge." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1574, + "raw_confidence": 0.8426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "You will not have a Second Amendment or it'll be obliterated. We'll strike down terrorists who threaten our citizens as we've been doing. And we'll keep 'em, keep America out of these ridiculous, endless foreign wars, places that nobody ever even heard about. We'll end surprise medical billing, require price transparency, which is gonna be bigger than healthcare and I've already signed it." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "If you can believe it it kicks in on January 1st. So I'll be very upset with North Carolina if Biden gets the credit, he doesn't even know what it means. It's all signed, it's all sealed. It's done. Require price transparency and further reduce health insurance premiums and the cost of prescription drugs, they've gone down the first time in 51 years, but now I've done favored nations and rebates and they're going to be going down at a level that nobody's ever seen before. 50, 60, 70%. We'll protect Medicare and Social Security and we will always protect patients with preexisting conditions." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2071, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We're trying to get rid of the remnants of Obamacare, because what we've done is, by getting rid of the individual amendment we've gutted Obamacare. Now we want to get rid of the remnants, 'cause it's not good. And after that, we're going to have a health care that, uh, we should have always had. We've done very well with this and we've given you lots of alternatives to the so-called Obamacare." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But we will always protect patients with preexisting conditions. Any new legislation will totally protect preexisting conditions. And if you remember, they said, Keep your doctor, keep your plan. It was a lie. America will land the first woman on the moon and the United States will be the first nation to land an astronaut on Mars." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "As you know, we opened up NASA. It was closed, it was in sad shape with grass growing on the runways and now we have it opened. It's the greatest space center, again, anywhere in the world. We'll restore patriotic education to our schools and we'll teach our children to love our country and honor our history and always respect our great American flag." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2256, + "raw_confidence": 0.7744, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And we will live by the timeless words of our national motto, In God We Trust. We're not taking the word God out, as they tried to do in that caucus of the Democrat National Convention. They took the word God out of the Pledge of Allegiance. I mean, think of that, but that's where they're coming from. That's where it is." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And that's where we're, that's where we are fighting and we're fighting hard and it's not an easy fight, but it's a fight that we're winning. I'm sitting right now in The Oval Office of the White House. I'm talking to the great people of North Carolina and I just want to tell you, I will not let you down and I haven't. I protected you, I protected your farmers, I've prote tobe I've really protected people that have been under siege, and that's your tobacco farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And the only thing is if we didn't do that, we'd have a bad product coming in from other lands, a dirty product, a bad product. We protected North Carolina because you've been very good to me. We won North Carolina at every level we wanted but we won in the race against crooked Hillary Clinton and we got to win it again." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's a, it's a great State and it's a very important State. So important that my son and daughter-in-law, Lara, who was born in North Carolina, named their baby Carolina. And I said, I like that name. So I just want to thank very much the people of North Carolina. We have a lot of people on the phone they just gave me a number." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And I won't even say it because nobody would even believe it, it's a lot of people. But if you could vote for Thom and if you could vote for those great congressmen and, and women, we have a, you just have great people, great representatives and Dan forest, we wish Dan a lot of luck. He'll, he'd be a great governor." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Fantastic. He'll open up your State, get you out of that shut down. I want to thank the people of North Carolina. It's been an honor to be with you, uh, go out and vote, send those ballots in, but go out and make sure they, they are registered and they are tabulated. And if they're not, you just go and vote." + }, + { + "tid": "RuTFta61K1Q", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And take care of yourselves. We'll see you soon, we'll be there soon. I appreciate it very much. Goodnight." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. Friends, delegates and distinguished guests, please, I stand before you tonight honored by your support, proud of the extraordinary progress we have made together over the last four incredible years and brimming with confidence in the bright future we will build for America over the next four years." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We begin this evening, our thoughts are with the wonderful people who have just come through the wrath of Hurricane Laura. We are working closely with state and local officials in Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, sparing no effort to save lives. While the hurricane was fierce, one of the strongest to make landfall in 150 years, the casualties and damage were far less than thought possible, only 24 hours ago." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And this is due to the great work of FEMA, law enforcement, and the individual states. I will be going this weekend. And congratulations, thank you for that great job out there. We really appreciate it. We are one national family. And we will always protect, love and care for each other. Here tonight are the people who have made my journey possible and filled my life with so much joy." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "For her incredible service to our nation and its children, I want to thank our magnificent First Lady. I also want to thank my amazing daughter, Ivanka, for that introduction and to all of my wonderful children Ivanka, please stand up. And to all of my children and grandchildren, I love you more than words can express." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "I know my brother Robert is looking down on us right now from heaven. He was a great brother and was very proud of the job we are all doing. Thank you. We love you, Robert. Let us also take a moment to show our profound appreciation for a man who has always fought by our side and stood up for our values, a man of deep faith and steadfast conviction, our Vice President Mike Pence." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And Mike is joined by his beloved wife, a teacher and military mom, Karen Pence. Thank you, Karen. My fellow Americans, tonight with a heart full of gratitude and boundless optimism, I profoundly accept this nomination for President of the United States. The Republican Party, the party of Abraham Lincoln, goes forward united, determined and ready to welcome millions of Democrats, Independents and anyone who believes in," + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In a new term as president, we will again build the greatest economy in history, quickly returning to full employment, soaring incomes and record prosperity. We will defend America against all threats and protect America against all dangers. We will lead America into new frontiers of ambition and discovery and we will reach for new heights of national achievement." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will rekindle new faith in our values, new pride in our history and a new spirit of unity that can only be realized through love for our great country. Because we understand that America is not a land cloaked in darkness. America is the torch that enlightens the entire world. Gathered here at our beautiful and majestic White House, known all over the world as the People's House, we cannot help but marvel at the miracle that is our great American story." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This has been the home of larger-than-life figures like Teddy Roosevelt and Andrew Jackson, who rallied Americans to bold visions of a bigger and brighter future. Within these walls lived tenacious generals, like President Grant and Eisenhower, who led our soldiers in the cause of freedom. From these grounds, Thomas Jefferson sent Lewis and Clark on a daring expedition to cross a wild and unchartered continent." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In the depths of a bloody civil war, President Abraham Lincoln looked out these very windows upon a half-completed Washington Monument, and asked God, in his providence to save our nation. Two weeks after Pearl Harbor, Franklin Delano Roosevelt welcomed Winston Churchill. And just inside they set our people on a course to victory in the Second World War." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In recent months, our nation and the entire planet has been struck by a new and powerful invisible enemy. Like those brave Americans before us, we are meeting this challenge. We are delivering life-saving therapies and will produce a vaccine before the end of the year, or maybe even sooner. We will defeat the virus and the pandemic and emerge stronger than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "What united generations past was an unshakeable confidence in America's destiny and an unbreakable faith in the American people. They knew that our country's blessed by God and has a special purpose in this world. It is that conviction that inspired the formation of our union, our westward expansion, the abolition of slavery, the passage of civil rights, the space program, and the overthrow of fascism, tyranny and communism." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This towering American spirit has prevailed over every challenge, and lifted us to the summit of human endeavor. And yet despite all of our greatness as a nation, everything we have achieved is now in danger. This is the most important election in the history of our country. Thank you. At no time before have voters faced a clearer choice between the parties, two visions, two philosophies or two agendas." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2133, + "raw_confidence": 0.7867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This election will decide whether we save the American dream or whether we allow a socialist agenda to demolish our cherished destiny. It will decide whether we rapidly create millions of high-paying jobs or whether we crush our industries and send millions of these jobs overseas as has foolishly been done for many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Your vote will decide whether we protect law-abiding Americans or whether we give free rein to violent anarchists and agitators and criminals who threaten our citizens. And this election will decide whether we will defend the American way of life or whether we will allow a radical movement to completely dismantle and destroy it. That won't happen." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "At the Democrat National Convention, Joe Biden and his party repeatedly assailed America as a land of racial, economic and social injustice. So tonight I ask you a simple question: How can the Democrat Party ask to lead our country when it spends so much time tearing down our country? In the Left's backward view, they do not see America as the most free, just and exceptional nation on earth." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Instead, they see a wicked nation that must be punished for its sins. Our opponents say that redemption for you can only come from giving power to them. This is a tired anthem spoken by every repressive movement throughout history. But in this country, we don't look to career politicians for salvation. In America, we don't turn to government to restore our souls; we put our faith in almighty God. Joe Biden is not a savior of America's soul; he is the destroyer of America's jobs, and if given the chance he will be the destroyer of American greatness." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "For 47 years, Joe Biden took the donations of blue-collar workers, gave them hugs and even kisses and told them he felt their pain. And then he flew back to Washington and voted to ship our jobs to China and many other distant lands. Joe Biden spent his entire career outsourcing their dreams and the dreams of American workers, offshoring their jobs, opening their borders and sending their sons and daughters to fight in endless foreign wars, wars that never ended." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6237, + "raw_confidence": 0.6237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Four years ago I ran for president because I could not watch this betrayal of our country any longer. I could not sit by as career politicians let other countries take advantage of us on trade, borders, foreign policy and national defense. Our NATO partners, as an example, were very far behind in their defense payments." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But at my strong urging, they agreed to pay $130 billion more a year the first time in over 20 years that they upped their payments. And this $130 billion will ultimately go to $400 billion a year. And Secretary General Stoltenberg who heads NATO was amazed after watching for so many years, and said that President Trump did what no one else was able to do." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you. From the moment I left my former life behind and it was a good life I have done nothing but fight for you. I did what our political establishment never expected and could never forgive. Breaking the cardinal rule of Washington politics: I kept my promise. Together we have ended the rule of the failed political class, and they are desperate to get their power back by any means necessary." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "You've seen that. They are angry at me because, instead of putting them first, I very simply said America first. Thank you. Days after taking office, we shocked the Washington establishment and withdrew from the last administration's job-killing Trans Pacific Partnership. I then immediately approved the Keystone XL and Dakota Access Pipelines." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Ended the unfair and very costly Paris Climate Accord. And secured for the first time American energy independence. We passed record-setting tax and regulation cuts at a rate nobody had ever seen before. Within three short years, we built the strongest economy in the history of the world. Washington insiders asked me not to stand up to China." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They pleaded with me to let China continue stealing our jobs, ripping us off, and robbing our country blind. But I kept my word to the American people. We took the toughest, boldest, strongest and hardest-hitting action against China in American history by far. They said that it would be impossible to terminate and replace NAFTA." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1548, + "raw_confidence": 0.8452, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But again, they were wrong. Earlier this year, I ended the NAFTA nightmare and signed the brand-new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement into law. And right now, auto companies and others are building their plants and factories in America, not firing their employees, and not deserting us for other countries. And perhaps no area did the Washington special interests try harder to stop us than on my policy of pro-American immigration. But I refused to back down, and today America's borders are more secure than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you. We ended catch-and-release, stopped asylum fraud. Took down human traffickers who prey on women and children. And we have deported 20,000 gang members and 500,000 criminal aliens. We have already built 300 miles of border wall, and we are adding 10 new miles every single week. The wall will soon be complete. And it is working beyond our wildest expectations." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We are joined this evening by members of the Border Patrol Union representing our country's courageous border agents. Thank you very much for being here. Thank you. Brave, brave people. You see, this country loves our law enforcement. They do. They do. They really do. Love and respect." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6867, + "raw_confidence": 0.6867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "When I learned that the Tennessee Valley Authority laid off hundreds of American workers and forced them to train their lower paid foreign replacement, I promptly removed the chairman of the board and now those talented American workers have been rehired and are back providing power to Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina and Virginia." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They have their old jobs back, and some are here with us this evening. Please stand. You went through a lot. Please stand. Thank you. Thank you very much. You've been through a lot. Thank you very much. Last month, I took on Big Pharma. You think that's easy? It's not. And signed orders that will massively lower the cost of your prescription drugs and give critically ill patients access to life-saving cures." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We passed the decades-long awaited right-to-try. Right-to-try. We also passed VA Accountability and VA Choice. Our great veterans, we're taking care of our veterans. 91 percent approval rating this month, the VA, given by our veterans. First time anything like that's ever happened. By the end of my first term, we will have approved more than 300 federal judges, including two great, new Supreme Court justices." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And to bring prosperity to our forgotten inner cities, we worked hard to pass historic criminal justice reform, prison reform, opportunity zones and long-term funding of Historically Black Colleges and Universities and before the China virus came in, produced the best unemployment numbers for African-Americans, Hispanic Americans and Asian Americans ever recorded. And I say very modestly that I have done more for the African-American community than any president since Abraham Lincoln, our first Republican president." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And I have done more in three years for the Black community than Joe Biden has done in 47 years. And when I'm re-elected, the best is yet to come. Thank you very much. When I took office, the Middle East was in total chaos. ISIS was rampaging. Iran was on the rise. And the war in Afghanistan had no end in sight." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1936, + "raw_confidence": 0.8064, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "I withdrew from the terrible one-sided Iran nuclear deal. Unlike many presidents before me, I kept my promise, recognized Israel's true capital and moved our embassy to Jerusalem. But not only did we talk about it as a future site, we got it built. Rather than spending $1 billion on a new building as planned, we took an already-owned existing building in a better location, real estate deal, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.156, + "raw_confidence": 0.844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And opened it at a cost of less than $500,000. Many things like that that government is doing right now. We also recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. And this month we achieved the first Middle East peace deal in 25 years. Thank you to UAE. Thank you to Israel. In addition, we obliterated 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate and killed its founder and leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Then in a separate operation, we eliminated the world's number one terrorist by far, Qasem Soleimani. Unlike previous administrations I have kept America out of new wars, and our troops are coming home. We have spent nearly $2.5 trillion on completely rebuilding our military, which was very badly depleted when I took office, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This includes three separate pay raises for our great warriors. We also launched the Space Force, the first new branch of the United States military since the Air Force was created almost 75 years ago. We have spent the last four years reversing the damage Joe Biden inflicted over the last 47 years. Biden's record is a shameful roll call of the most catastrophic betrayals and blunders in our lifetime." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He has spent his entire career on the wrong side of history. Biden voted for the NAFTA disaster, the single-worst trade deal ever enacted. He supported China's entry into the World Trade Organization, one of the greatest economic disasters of all time. After those Biden calamities the United States lost one in four manufacturing jobs. We laid off workers in Michigan, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and many other states." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They didn't want to hear Biden's hollow words of empathy. They wanted their jobs back. As vice president, he supported the Trans Pacific Partnership which would have been a death sentence for the U.S. auto industry. He backed the horrendous South Korea trade deal, which took many jobs from our country, and which I've reversed and made a great deal for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He repeatedly supported mass amnesty for illegal immigrants. He voted for the Iraq War. He opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden. He opposed killing Soleimani. He oversaw the rise of ISIS and cheered the rise of China as a positive development for America and the world. Some positive development." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1823, + "raw_confidence": 0.8177, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "That's why China supports Joe Biden and desperately wants him to win. I can tell you that, upon very good information. China would own our country if Joe Biden got elected. Unlike Biden, I will hold them fully accountable for the tragedy that they caused, all over the world, they caused. In recent months, our nation and the world has been hit by the once in a century pandemic that China allowed to spread around the globe." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They could have stopped it but they allowed it to come out. We are grateful to be joined tonight by several of our incredible nurses and first responders. Please stand and accept our profound thanks and gratitude. Many Americans, including me, have sadly lost friends and cherished loved ones to this horrible disease." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "As one nation, we mourn, we grieve, and we hold in our hearts forever the memories of all of those lives that have been so tragically taken. So unnecessary. In their honor we will unite, in their memory we will overcome. And when the China virus hit, we launched the largest national mobilization since World War II, invoking the Defense Production Act." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We produced the world's largest supply of ventilators. Not a single American who has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator, which is a miracle. Good job heading the task force by our great vice president. Thank you very much, Mike, please stand up. Please. We shipped hundreds of millions of masks, gloves and gowns to our front-line healthcare workers." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "To protect our nation's seniors we rushed supplies, testing kits and personal to nursing homes, we gave everything you can possibly give and we're still giving it because we're taking care of our senior citizens. The Army Corps of Engineers built field hospitals. And the Navy deployed our great hospital ships." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6241, + "raw_confidence": 0.6241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We developed from scratch the largest and most advanced testing system anywhere in the world. America has tested more than every country in Europe put together, and more than every nation in the Western Hemisphere combined. Think of that. We have conducted 40 million more tests than the next closest nation, which is India." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1895, + "raw_confidence": 0.8105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We developed a wide array of effective treatments including a powerful antibody treatment known as convalescent plasma. You saw that on Sunday night when we announced it. That will save thousands and thousands of lives. Thanks to advances, we have pioneered the fatality rate and you look at it, and you look at the numbers, it has been reduced by 80 percent since April. 80 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7329, + "raw_confidence": 0.7329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "The United States has among the lowest case fatality rates of any major country anywhere in the world. The European Union's case fatality rate is nearly three times higher than ours, but you don't hear that. They don't write about that. They don't want to write about that. They don't want you to know those things." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "All together, the nations of Europe have experienced a 30 percent greater increase in excess mortality than the United States. Think of that. We enacted the largest package of financial relief in American history. Thanks to our Paycheck Protection Program, we have saved or supported more than 50 million American jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "That's one of the reasons that we're advancing so rapidly with our economy. Great job. As a result, we have seen the smallest economic contraction of any major Western nation. And we are recovering at a much faster rate than anybody. Over the past three months, we have gained over 9 million jobs, and that's a record in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Unfortunately, from the beginning our opponents have shown themselves capable of nothing but a partisan ability to criticize. When I took bold action to issue a travel ban on China, very early indeed, Joe Biden called it hysterical and xenophobic. And then I introduced a ban on Europe very early again. If we had listened to Joe, hundreds of thousands more Americans would have died." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3437, + "raw_confidence": 0.6563, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Instead of following the science, Joe Biden wants to inflict a painful shutdown on the entire country. His shutdown would inflict unthinkable and lasting harm on our nation's children's, families and citizens of all backgrounds. The cost of the Biden shutdown would be measured in increased drug overdoses, depression, alcohol addiction, suicides, heart attacks, economic devastation, job loss and much more." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's plan is not a solution to the virus, but, rather, it's a surrender to the virus. My administration has a very different approach. To save as many lives as possible, we are focusing on the science, the facts and the data. We are aggressively sheltering those at highest risk, especially the elderly, while allowing lower risk Americans to safely return to work and to school and we want to see so many of those great states be opened by Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We want them to be open. They have to be open. They have to get back to work. They have to get back to work, and they have to get back to school. Most importantly, we are marshalling America's scientific genius to produce a vaccine in record time. Under Operation Warp Speed, we have three different vaccines in the final stage of trials, right now, years ahead of what has been achieved before." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Nobody thought it could ever be done this fast. Normally it would be years and we did it in a matter of a few months. We're producing them in advance so that hundreds of millions of doses will be quickly available. We will have a safe and effective vaccine this year. And together we will crush the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8076, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "At the Democrat convention, you barely heard a word about their agenda. But that's not because they don't have one; it's because their agenda is the most extreme set of proposals ever put forward by a major party nominee. Joe Biden may claim he is an 'ally of the light,' but when it comes to his agenda, Biden wants to keep us completely in the dark." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He doesn't have a clue. He has pledged a $4 trillion tax hike on almost all American families, which will totally collapse our rapidly improving economy. And once again, record stock markets that we have right now will also collapse. That means your 401(k)s, that means all of the stocks you have. On the other hand, just as I did in my first term, I will cut taxes even further for hard-working moms and dads." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "I will not raise taxes. I will cut them, and very substantially. And we will also provide tax credits to bring jobs out of China back to America, and we will impose tariffs on any company that leaves America to produce jobs overseas. We will make sure our companies and jobs stay in our country as I've already been doing for quite some time, if you've noticed." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7464, + "raw_confidence": 0.7464, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's agenda is Made in China. My agenda is Made in the USA. Biden has promised to abolish the production of American oil, coal, shale and natural gas, laying waste to the economies of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Colorado, and New Mexico, destroying those states." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Absolutely destroying those states, and others. Millions of jobs will be lost. And energy prices will soar. These same policies led to crippling power outages in California just last week, everybody saw that. Tremendous power outage. Nobody has seen anything like it. But we saw that last week in California." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "How can Joe Biden claim to be an ally of the light, when his own party can't even keep the lights on. Joe Biden's campaign has even published a 110 page policy platform, you can't get away from this. Coauthored with far left senator, crazy Bernie Sanders. The Biden Bernie Manifesto calls for suspending all removals of illegal aliens, implementing nationwide catch and release and providing illegal aliens with free, taxpayer-funded lawyers." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Everybody gets a lawyer. Come on over to our country, everybody has a lawyer, we have a lawyer for you. That's what we need is more lawyers. Joe Biden recently raised his hand on the debate stage and promised, here give away he was going to give it away, your healthcare dollars to illegal immigrants, which is going to bring health massive number of immigrants into our country." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Massive numbers will pour into our country in order to get all of the goodies that they want to get, education, healthcare, everything. He also supports deadly sanctuary cities that protect criminal aliens. He promised to end national security travel bans from Jihadist nations, and he pledged to increase refugee admissions by 700 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "This is in the manifesto. The Biden plan would eliminate America's borders in the middle of a global pandemic. And he's even talking about taking the wall down. How about that? Biden also vowed to oppose school choice and close all charter schools, ripping away the ladder of opportunity for Black and Hispanic children." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In a second term I will expand charter schools and provide school choice to every family in America. And we will always treat our teachers with the tremendous respect that they deserve. Great people. Great, great people. Joe Biden claims he has empathy for the vulnerable. Yet the party he leads supports the extreme late-term abortion of defenseless babies right up until the moment of birth. Democrat leaders talk about moral decency, but they have no problem with stopping a baby's beating heart in the ninth month of pregnancy." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Democrat politicians refuse to protect innocent life and then they lecture us about morality and saving America's soul. Tonight we proudly declare that all children born and unborn have a God-given right to life. During the Democrat Convention, the words under God were removed from the Pledge of Allegiance, not once, but twice." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will never do that. But the fact is, this is where they're coming from. Like it or not. This is where they're coming from. If the left gains power they will demolish the suburbs, confiscate your guns and appoint justices who will wipe away your Second Amendment and other constitutional freedoms. Biden is a trojan horse for socialism." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "If Joe Biden doesn't have the strength to stand up to wild-eyed Marxists like Bernie Sanders and his fellow radicals, and there are many, there are many, many, we see them all the time, it's incredible, actually, then how is he ever going to stand up for you? He's not. The most dangerous aspect of the Biden platform is the attack on public safety." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "The Biden-Bernie manifesto calls for abolishing cash bail, immediately releasing 400,000 criminals onto the streets and into your neighborhoods. When asked if he supports cutting police funding, Joe Biden replied, Yes, absolutely. When Congresswoman Ilhan Omar called the Minneapolis Police Department a cancer that is rotten to the root, Biden wouldn't disavow her support and reject her endorsement." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He proudly displayed it shortly later on his website. Displayed it in big letters. Make no mistake, if you give power to Joe Biden, the radical left will defund police departments all across America. They will pass federal legislation to reduce law enforcement nationwide. They will make every city look like Democrat-run Portland, Oregon." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "No one will be safe in Biden's America. My administration will always stand with the men and women of law enforcement. Every day police officers risk their lives to keep us safe. And every year many sacrifice their lives in the line of duty. One of these incredible Americans was Detective Miosotis Familia." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "She was part of a team of American Heroes called the NYPD, or New York's finest, who I was very, very proud to get their endorsement just the other day. Great people. Great, great people. If they were allowed to do their job. You'd have no crime in New York. Rudy Giuliani knows that better than anybody. Thank you, Rudy." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Three years ago on the 4th of July weekend, Detective Familia was on duty in her vehicle when she was ambushed just after midnight and murdered by a monster who hated her purely for wearing the badge. Detective Familia was a single mom. She recently asked for the night shift so she could spend more time with her kids." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Two years ago, I stood in front of the U.S. capitol alongside those beautiful children and held their grandmother's hand as they mourned their terrible loss. And we honored detective Familia's extraordinary life. It was extraordinary. Detective Familia's three children are with us this evening, Genesis, Peter, Delilah, we are so grateful to have you here tonight." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I promise you that we will treasure your mom in our memories forever. We must remember that the overwhelming majority of police officers in this country, and that's the overwhelming majority, are noble, courageous and honorable. We have to give law enforcement, our police, back their power." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They are afraid to act. They are afraid to lose their pension. They are afraid to lose their jobs. And by being afraid, they are not able to do the job that they so desperately want to do for you. And those who suffer most are the great people who they protect and who they want to protect at an even higher level." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "When there is police misconduct, the justice system must hold wrongdoers fully and completely accountable, and it will. But we can never have a situation where things are going on as they are today, we must never allow mob rule. We can never allow mob rule. In the strongest possible terms the Republican party condemns the rioting, looting, arson and violence we have seen in Democrat-run cities all, like Kenosha, Minneapolis, Portland, Chicago and New York, many others, Democrat-run." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "There's violence and danger in the streets of many Democrat-run cities throughout America. This problem could easily be fixed if they wanted to. Just call, we're ready to go in. We'll take care of your problem in a matter of hours. Just call. We have to wait for the call. It's too bad we have to, but we have to wait for the call." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We must always have law and order. All federal crimes are being investigated, prosecuted and punished to the fullest extent of the law. When the anarchists started ripping down our statues and monuments, right outside, I signed an order immediately. 10 years in prison, and it was a miracle, it all stopped." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6382, + "raw_confidence": 0.6382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "No more statues. They said, that's just too long, as they looked at a statue. I think we'll rip it down. Then they said 10 years in prison I think that's too long, let's go home." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5905, + "raw_confidence": 0.5905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "During their convention Joe Biden and his supporters remained completely silent about the rioters and criminals spreading mayhem in Democrat-run cities. They never even mentioned it during their entire convention. Never once mentioned. Now they're starting to mention it because their poll numbers are going down like a rock in water. It's too late, Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In the face of left-wing anarchy and mayhem in Minneapolis, Chicago and other cities, Joe Biden's campaign did not condemn it. They donated to it. At least 13 members of Joe Biden's campaign staff donated to a fund to bail out vandals, arsonists, anarchists, looters and rioters from jail. Here tonight is the grieving family of retired police captain David Dorn, a 38-year veteran of the St. Louis Police Department, a great man and a highly respected man by all." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "In June, Captain Dorn was shot and killed as he tried to protect a store from rioters and looters, or as the Democrats would call them, peaceful protesters. They call them peaceful protesters. We're honored to be joined tonight by his wonderful wife Ann and beloved family members Brian and Kielen.To each of you, we will never forget the heroic legacy of Captain David Dorn." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much for being here. Thank you. Thank you very much. Great man. Great man. As long as I am president, we will defend the absolute right of every American citizen to live in security, dignity and peace. If the Democrat Party wants to stand with anarchists, agitators, rioters, looters and flag burners, that is up to them." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But I, as your president, will not be a part of it. The Republican Party will remain the voice of the patriotic heroes who keep America safe and salute the American flag. Last year over 1,000 African-Americans were murdered as a result of violent crime in just four Democrat-run cities. The top 10 most dangerous cities in the country are run by Democrats and have been for many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Thousands more African-Americans are victim and victims of violent crime in these communities. Joe Biden and the Left ignore these American victims. I never will. If the Radical Left takes power, they will apply their disastrous policies to every city, town and suburb in America. Just imagine if the so-called peaceful demonstrators in the streets were in charge of every lever of power in the U.S. government, just think of that." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Liberal politicians claim to be concerned about the strength of American institutions. But who exactly is attacking them? Who is hiring the radical professors, judges and prosecutors? Who is trying to abolish immigration enforcement and establish speech codes designed to muzzle dissent. In every case attacks on American institutions are being waged by radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Always remember they're coming after me because I am fighting for you. That's what's happening. And it's been going on from before I even got elected. And remember this, they spied on my campaign and they got caught. Let's see now what happens. We must reclaim our independence from the Left's repressive mandates." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Americans are exhausted trying to keep up with the latest lists of approved words and phrases. And the ever-more restrictive political decrees. Many things have a different name now. And the rules are constantly changing. The goal of cancel culture is to make decent Americans live in fear of being fired, expelled, shamed, humiliated and driven from society as we know it." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "The far Left wants to coerce you into saying what you know to be false and scare you out of saying what you know to be true. Very sad. But on November 3rd, you can send them a very thundering message they will never forget. Thank you. Thank you very much. Joe Biden is weak." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "He takes his marching orders from liberal hypocrites who drive their cities into the ground while fleeing far from the scene of the wreckage. These same liberals want to eliminate school choice while they enroll their children in the finest private schools in the land." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1549, + "raw_confidence": 0.8451, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They want to open our borders while living in walled-off compounds in communities in the best neighborhoods in the world. They want to defund the police while they have armed guards for themselves. This November we must turn the page forever on this failed political class. The fact is I'm here what's the name of that building?" + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "But I'll say it differently. The fact is we're here and they're not. To me one of the most beautiful buildings anywhere in the world, it's not a building, it's a home, as far as I'm concerned. It's not even a house, it's a home. It's a wonderful place, with an incredible history. But it's all because of you." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Together we will write the next chapter of the great American story. Over the next four years we will make America into the manufacturing superpower of the world. We will expand opportunity zones. Thank you, Tim Scott. Bring home our medical supply chains, and we will end our resilience for bad things, we will go right after China." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will not rely on them one bit. We're taking our business out of China. We are bringing it home. We want our business to come home. We will continue to reduce taxes and regulations at levels not seen before. We will create 10 million jobs in the next ten months, and it will be higher than that. We will hire more police, increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement, and surge federal prosecutors into high-crime communities." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will ban deadly sanctuary cities and ensure that federal healthcare is protected for American citizens, not for illegal aliens. We will have strong borders. And I've said for years, without borders we don't have a country. Don't have a country. Strike down terrorists who threaten our people, and keep America out of endless and costly foreign wars." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will appoint prosecutors, judges, justices who believe in enforcing the law, not enforcing their own political agenda which is illegal. We'll ensure equal justice for citizens of every race, religion, color and creed. We will uphold your religious liberty and defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And if we don't win, your Second Amendment doesn't have a chance. I can tell you that. I have totally protected it. We will protect Medicare and Social Security. We will always and very strongly protect patients with pre-existing conditions. And that is a pledge from the entire Republican Party. Thank you, Kevin." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We will end surprise medical billing; require price transparency, and further reduce the costs of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums. They're coming way down. We will greatly expand energy development, continuing to remain the number one in the world and keep America energy-independent. And for those of you that still drive a car, look how low your gasoline bill is." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "You haven't seen that in a long time. We will win the race to 5G and build the world's best cyber and missile defense, already under construction. We will fully restore patriotic education to our schools and always protect we will always, always protect free speech on college campuses. And we put a very big penalty in if they do anything having to do with your free speech, colleges have to pay a tremendous, tremendous financial penalty." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And again it's amazing how open they've been lately. We will launch a new age of American ambition in space. America will land the first woman on the moon, and the United States will be the first nation to plant its beautiful flag on Mars. This is the unifying national agenda that will bring our country together." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "So tonight I say to all Americans, this is the most important election in the history of our country. There has never been such a difference between two parties or two individuals in ideology, philosophy or vision than there is right now. Our opponents believe that America is a depraved nation. We want our sons and daughters to know the truth." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "America is the greatest and most exceptional nation in the history of the world. Our country wasn't built by cancel culture, speech codes and soul-crushing conformity. We are not a nation of timid spirits. We are a nation of fierce, proud and independent American patriots. We're a nation of pilgrims, pioneers, adventurers, explorers and trailblazers who refuse to be tied down, held back, or in any way reigned in." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And we have steel in our spines and grit in their souls and fire in their hearts. There is no one like us on earth. I want every child in America to know that you are part of the most exciting and incredible adventure in human history. No matter where your family comes from, no matter your background in America, anyone can rise, with hard work, devotion and drive, you can reach any goal and achieve every ambition." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Our American ancestors sailed across the perilous ocean to build a new life on a new continent. They braved the freezing winters, crossed the raging rivers, scaled the rocky peaks, trekked the dangerous forests, and worked from dawn until dusk. These pioneers didn't have money. They didn't have fame. But they had each other." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They loved their families. They loved their country, and they loved their God. When opportunity beckoned they picked up their bibles, packed up their belongings, climbed into their covered wagons and set out west for the next adventure. Ranchers and miners, cowboys and sheriffs, farmers and settlers, they pressed on past the Mississippi to stake a claim in the wild frontier." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Legends were born. Wyatt Earp, Annie Oakley, Davy Crocket and Buffalo Bill. Americans built their beautiful homesteads on the open range. Soon they had churches and communities. Then towns. And with time, great centers of industry and commerce." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7882, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "That is who they were. Americans build their future. We don\u2019t tear down our past. We are the nation that won a revolution, toppled tyranny and fascism, and delivered millions into freedom. We laid down the railroads, built the great ships, raised up the skyscrapers, revolutionized industry and sparked a new age of scientific discovery." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "We set the trends in art and music, radio and film, sport and literature. And we did it all with style and confidence and flair because that is who we are. Whenever our way of life was threatened, our heroes answered the call. From Yorktown to Gettysburg, from Normandy to Iwo Jima, American patriots raced into cannon blasts, bullets and bayonets to rescue American liberty." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.788, + "raw_confidence": 0.788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "They had no fear, but America didn\u2019t stop there. We looked into the sky and kept pressing onward. We built a 6 million pound rocket and launched it thousands of miles into space. We did it so that two brave patriots could stand tall and salute our wondrous American flag, planted on the face of the moon. For America, nothing is impossible." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "Over the next four years, we will prove worthy of this magnificent legacy. We will reach stunning new heights. And we will show that the world, for America, there is a dream. And it is not beyond your reach. Together we are unstoppable. Together, we are unbeatable, because together we are the proud citizens of the United States of America." + }, + { + "tid": "s80dBC9jQDo", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7728, + "raw_confidence": 0.7728, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-rnc-acceptance-white-house-august-27-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-27", + "claim_text": "And on November 3rd, we will make America safer. We will make America stronger. We will make America prouder. And we will make America greater than ever before. I\u2019m very, very proud to be the nominee of the Republican Party. I love you all. God bless you and God bless America. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, I saw this on one of the shows recently, and I was just looking, and it hit me very hard. I saw what happened to your daughter, Vanessa, who was a spectacular person, and respected and loved by everybody, including in the military. And I invited you to the White House. As you know, the FBI and the DOJ are now involved." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We got them involved. And the people at Ford Hood, where it took place, are very much involved. We didn't want to have this swept under the rug, which could happen. And so I'd like you maybe, just if you'd like for the media, to explain exactly what happened as we all understand it, but they don't perhaps." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Other people other than the one in question, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And nobody saw this? Nobody saw it?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So did she report anything at all?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2118, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Not to the fort, not to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Well, I want to thank you. It's a great explanation. Would you like to say something? Please." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5364, + "raw_confidence": 0.5364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "She was in love with the country is what you're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And now, as you know, the DOJ and the FBI are there and they're doing a very strong investigation, as is the Army. So they're doing a very strong investigation, as you know. We just started that. It's an incredible story. It's a terrible story. Would you like to say something?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So he took his life when? When after this horrible event? When did he take his life? When was it?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Oh, I see. So that was oh, I see. So they found out, et cetera." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Did they know right away? Did you know right away? Did everybody know it was him?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So we're going to look into it very powerfully, and we already have started, as you know. And we'll get to the bottom of it, and maybe things can come out that will help other people in a situation like Vanessa. We'll be we'll be in touch with you constantly. We'll be in touch with you too." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Natalie, thank you very much. That was great." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, you have our support, and we're working on it already, as you know, and we won't stop. And hopefully something very positive will come out in honor of your sister. Okay? And your daughter." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "When you say around the corner, you mean there is there has not been a funeral yet?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, they have to do that. I mean, it's" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "That's no good. We got to take care of that." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "You mean, you you haven't had a funeral? Because this is quite a while now." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Because I even saw it quite a while ago." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And because you don't have the body yet?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "No, it's a terrible thing. When would you like to have the funeral? When?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "As soon as possible. I agree. As soon as possible with the funeral. We'll make sure we'll make sure that happens. Okay, please? Where will you have the funeral? Do you know?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And if I can help you out with the funeral, I'll help I'll help you with that." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I'll help you out. Financially, I'll help you." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Good. They'll do a military. That's good. If you need help, I'll help you out." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Okay? If they need something, I'll we'll take care we'll make sure she is very respected." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Because I I've seen statements about her from other people, as you know, and you don't get better statements about a person. I see many statements about many people; I don't see statements like that. So she was very extraordinary. And thank you, Natalie. Very good job. You're doing good. So we'll coordinate." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "John, do you have any questions of the family, please? We're going to keep this to Vanessa, right now, if we could." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, we're doing that right now and we're working, and actually, we've been working on it since I heard about it originally. And we're going to see if we can do something, representing the family, but also helping other people that are in the same position because they're this is not you know, probably, sadly, it's probably not that unique." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3041, + "raw_confidence": 0.6959, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "There are other people in trouble too." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So we're going to look into that very strongly, John." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, it would seem to me what would you think about that? Is there a culture? Is this a culture in the military?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Certainly unusual. This was, Steve, a very horrific situation. Well, I don't know if you if you read about it or saw it, but it impacted me. I saw it and it was terrible. And so we're going to get to the bottom of it. And how could it have happened where nobody knew about it at all?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.227, + "raw_confidence": 0.773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But they remember, they ultimately got him, and that's when he he committed suicide, I guess. But they ultimately got him, so that was frankly, somebody did that. Who did that? Who was who was in charge? They didn't let him get away with it, is what I'm saying. And they probably wouldn't have." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, look, the good thing is that he's gone" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "okay? As far as I'm concerned. The good thing: He's gone. Now we're going to go in to see what happened. Also, can we have this go on to other people to help other people" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, let me ask you, do you know about that" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "What's what what about that case?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But are they putting that together? Because it's" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "With the same guy. He was there and then they find the other remains?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "It's an interesting question. That you'd even know that is very interesting. It's impressive, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Personally. I have to do it personally. I can't do it through government." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I have. I have, because some families need help. They need help. I don't even know if you need help. Maybe you don't need help, from a financial standpoint. I have no idea what I just think it's a horrific thing that happened. And if you did need help, I'm going to I'll be there to help you." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Are you using the military for the funeral though? Or is it is it going to be" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Okay? You let us know. That's fine." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Yeah, there is a lot of pain here. This is just a horrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "What what did your mother say?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So was this at Fort Hood also?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So we'll look into that too, Natalie. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We're going to look into that. I want to thank you all for being here. It's a lot of courage actually. It takes a lot of courage. And your daughter is very respected. And she's respected by me, and you're in the Oval Office. Your daughter would be very proud of you right now. She's looking down." + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "She'll be very proud of you. So and your sister. So we will get to the bottom of a lot of this, and maybe all of it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "SDWPEAbID7o", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-family-vanessa-guillen-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Justice. Yep. Absolutely. For Vanessa. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Let me begin by expressing our sadness at the passing of a wonderful man and a dear friend of mine, Herman Cain. He was a very special person. I got to know him very well. And unfortunately, he passed away from the thing called the China virus. And we send our prayers to Herman's great wife, Gloria. Wonderful family." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And I have to say, America grieves for all of the 150,000 Americans who had their lives taken by this horrible, invisible enemy. We mourn their loss, as a nation; we mourn their loss, as people as people that love one another. And we're working very hard to not only contain this horrible event, this horrible plague it's what it is, is a plague but also to come up with therapeutics and vaccines. And we're making a lot of strides." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.653, + "raw_confidence": 0.653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "All over the world, they're having tremendous problems. A resurgence has taken place in many countries that people thought were doing well. Despite a wide range of approaches to the pandemic between countries, this resurgence in cases is occurring throughout large portions of our planet in Japan, China, Australia, Belgium, Spain, France, Germany, Hong Kong places where they thought it was they had really done great. It came back. And in a couple of cases, it came back very strongly." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7825, + "raw_confidence": 0.7825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "The virus was said to be under control, but new cases have risen very significantly once again. So when you think somebody is doing well, sometimes you have to hold your decision on that; you have to hold your statement." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2227, + "raw_confidence": 0.7773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Since the beginning of June, daily new cases have increased by a factor of 14 times in Israel; 35 times that's 35 times in Japan; and nearly 30 times in Australia, just to name a few. These were countries that were doing incredibly well; leadership was being praised. Latin America now leads the world in confirmed infections. And with the scarcity of testing in Latin America, the true numbers you have no idea what they might be. And I can say scarcity of testing. Almost anywhere, except for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2358, + "raw_confidence": 0.7642, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "This disease is highly contagious and presents unique challenges to our border states. Meanwhile, states like California, Washington State, Maryland, Virginia, Nevada, Illinois, Oregon, and many others they were thought to be doing well, and they had a big resurgence and were hit very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2015, + "raw_confidence": 0.7985, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And governors that were extremely popular are not so popular anymore. They were held up as models to follow, and then they got hit and now, I'm not even saying this is their fault. It's probably not their fault. It's just the way it is. That's the way it is. Highly infectious one of the most infectious diseases that anybody has ever seen. Not since 1917, over 100 years ago, has anyone seen anything like what we're witnessing now." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But these states have also seen the virus substantially rebound. And, again, no one is immune. No one is immune. These facts illustrate the imposing determinant and it is a determinant that a blanket shutdown to achieve a temporary reduction in cases is certainly not a viable long-term strategy for any country. People are starting to understand the disease now. We certainly have understood a lot about the disease that we didn't have any idea. We didn't nobody ever saw anything like this." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2497, + "raw_confidence": 0.7503, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "The primary purpose of a shutdown was to flatten the curve, ensure sufficient hospital capacity, and develop effective treatments and therapies to reduce mortality. And we've done that. But it can come rearing back when you least suspect it." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7496, + "raw_confidence": 0.7496, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We did the right thing initially. We saved millions of lives, what we did. We did the right thing. But a permanent shutdown would no longer be the answer at all. A small shutdown of certain areas but we don't want to do that small shutdowns can be very helpful, but not for long periods of time." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We understand what we're dealing with now, but it's a very complex situation. And I can only say: Thank Heaven that we that we are so advanced in what we're doing, in terms of vaccines and therapies." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.194, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We now know a great deal about the virus and how to treat it and who it targets. Almost half of the deaths come from less than 1 percent of our population. Think of it: Half of the deaths really, a tremendous number half of the deaths come from less than 1 percent of our population, those living in nursing homes and assisted living facilities. The average age of those who die from the illness is 78." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We've announced very strong measures to protect those who are most vulnerable. The scientific path forward is to protect those at highest risk, while allowing those at lower risk to carefully return to work and to school with appropriate precautions." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I'm once again urging the American people to protect their dear family and friends and anybody who's elderly especially if somebody is elderly and they have heart problems, if they have certain illnesses. Diabetes is a very bad one, having to do with what we're discussing. But you want to protect the elderly and socially distance, wear a mask if you cannot socially distance, and practice vigorous hygiene." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Everyone, even healthy young people, should be taking extraordinary care to avoid infecting those at the highest risk from this terrible disease. The elderly and those with chronic health issues have to be protected." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.234, + "raw_confidence": 0.766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "In the current hotspots across the Sun Belt, the data is showing very encouraging signs. Arizona, in particular, has crossed an important threshold. For every person with the virus, we're now seeing an average of less than one additional person infected. And the numbers are coming down and coming down very substantially. They're starting to come down in Florida. Arizona is really leading the way." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.53, + "raw_confidence": 0.53, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I was in Texas yesterday, and they're starting to come down significantly, we believe, in Texas. Need another few days to figure that one out, but it looks like they're coming down very significantly." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.184, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Earlier today, I visited the Red Cross headquarters to discuss plasma therapy which is a tremendous a tremendous thing that they're looking at, and they have a lot of experience with it potentially lifesaving treatments that infuse sick patients with powerful antibodies donated by those who have recovered successfully from this disease." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4491, + "raw_confidence": 0.5509, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "More than 2 million Americans have recovered from the virus, and today we're asking them to visit Coronavirus.gov Coronavirus.gov and volunteer to donate plasma. We need plasma. It's something that's been very effective, and we need plasma from those that were infected and successfully recovered, as most people do. Most people do." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1994, + "raw_confidence": 0.8006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Plasma is one of the many promising treatments my administration is accelerating. We've secured over 90 percent of the world's supply of remdesivir which is terrific an encouraging antiviral drug that can effectively block replication of the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5631, + "raw_confidence": 0.5631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We've also approved the use of the widely-available steroid which has been very successful dexamethasone, which has shown success, even in patients at more advanced stages of the disease." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.187, + "raw_confidence": 0.813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "On July 17th, we announced a $450 million agreement with Regeneron to build manufacturing plants and hundreds of thousands of doses of its antibody treatment, which is currently in late-stage clinical trials moving along very rapidly. That's Regeneron." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3585, + "raw_confidence": 0.6415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "As a result of such significant strides in treatment, the mortality rate in those over the age of 18 is 85 percent lower than it was just in April. So in a very short period of time. Think of that: Just 18 85 percent lower than it was in April. It's a big statement." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Now I want to provide an update on our efforts to ensure a strong economic comeback, including our negotiations on Capitol Hill. Throughout this crisis, my administration has taken the most aggressive action in history to rescue American workers. We love our American workers. And we've set records on job creation records two months in a row." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2016, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We enacted a $3 trillion economic relief package. The Paycheck Protection Program alone saved over 50 million jobs. We delivered $300 billion to direct cash payments to Americans. We approved $500 billion for our hardest-hit industries $500 billion." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4061, + "raw_confidence": 0.5939, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We allowed struggling homeowners to reduce or defer their mortgage payments, and we put a nationwide moratorium on evictions from federally backed properties. It was a big thing, a very big thing." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7836, + "raw_confidence": 0.7836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We also suspended student loan payments for six months, and we're looking to do that additionally and for additional periods of time." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7833, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "As a result of these extraordinary steps by the administration, we added a record 7 million jobs in the two months past alone." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1946, + "raw_confidence": 0.8054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We can never, ever forget the people that have been lost, and we never will. We'll never forget them; never forget what happened. This could have been stopped in China. They should have stopped it, and they didn't." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But I'm asking Congress to pass additional legislation to support Americans in need. First, we want a temporary extension of expanded unemployment benefits. This will provide a critical bridge for Americans who lost their jobs to the pandemic through no fault of their own. This was not anybody's fault. From the standpoint of jobs, it happened a terrible thing happened. Could've been stopped. It happened." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2181, + "raw_confidence": 0.7819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I want to thank Senate Republicans for fighting to extend unemployment benefits today in the face of very strong Democrat obstruction, which I'm surprised at because this is great for our country and it's great for our workers, and it wasn't our workers' fault." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Second, we're asking Democrats to work with us to find a solution that will temporarily stop evictions. We do not want people who have lost their jobs due to the virus to be evicted from their homes or apartments. We don't want that to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Third, we need Democrats to join us to pass additional economic relief payments for American citizens, like the payments sent directly to 160 million Americans earlier this year, which was a tremendously successful program. This money will help millions of hardworking families get by." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2344, + "raw_confidence": 0.7656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "My administration is also asking Democrats to work with us to pass $105 billion to help schools safely reopen. Children are not at the lowest risk. If you look at what's going on: the younger, the better. Amazing the immune system. For children, the lower they are in age, the lower the risk, in terms of the age group itself." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7944, + "raw_confidence": 0.7944, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I tell the story that, in New Jersey, with thousands and thousands of people dying sadly, dying the governor was telling me that only one Phil Murphy only one died under the age of 18. That's incredible. Where thousands of people that died in the state of New Jersey, one made an impact; one died under the age of 18." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Children are at the lowest risk of any age group from the virus. Indefinite school closures will inflict lasting harm to our nation's children. We must follow the science and get students safely back to school, while protecting children, teachers, staff, and family. We have to remember that there's another side to this: Keeping them out of school and keeping work closed is causing death also. Economic harm, but it's causing death for different reasons. But death probably more death." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7427, + "raw_confidence": 0.7427, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "If governors do not want to open the public schools, the money should go to parents so they can send their children to the school of their choice. So we say if a school doesn't want to open or if a governor doesn't want to open maybe for a political reason and maybe not, but there is some of that going on the money should go to the parents so they can send their children to the school of their choice." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2987, + "raw_confidence": 0.7013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "If schools stay closed, the money should follow the students so families are in control of decisions about their sons and daughters about their children." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But to pass a bill, Democrats must reject the extreme, partisan voices in their party. They have tremendous voices. They're looking at November 3rd. And probably a day later, they'll say, Let's open up the country." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But the Democrats have to reject the extreme, partisan voices in their party so that we can get our country going even quicker than it's going right now. We have a lot opening, and we have a lot of states that you thought were doing pretty poorly, from the standpoint of the virus, and they're actually coming back very strong." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "This pandemic has underscored the importance of economic policies that put American families and workers first. I got elected on the fact that I put America first." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5795, + "raw_confidence": 0.5795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "For many, many decades, in my opinion, we put America last. If you look at the crazy, horrible, disgraceful trade deals that we've watched for many years destroy our country NAFTA, we terminated it. We have USMCA now, which is a great deal, and our farmers are doing really well despite the pandemic. But we put America first, America's families first, and America's workers first." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But that means bringing jobs and factories back to our shores, reducing unnecessary regulations, and creating new training opportunities for jobs and for the future. We've cut regulations at a level that no President has ever cut regulations. And we've cut taxes more than any President in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1851, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Americans always rise to the challenge, and we will emerge more resilient, more self-reliant, more independent, and more prosperous than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank you all. And if you'd like, we'll take a few questions." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, what I want to explain to people, but it doesn't need much explanation I mean, you look at article after article: New York's Mail-Vote Disaster, Tens of thousands of mail ballots have been tossed out in this year's primaries. What will happen in November? It's a mess. This is done by Washington Post. Can you believe it? The Washington Post, of all papers. Fake news, but in this case, it's not fake, it's true." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.203, + "raw_confidence": 0.797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "This is done by the Wall Street Journal. Here's another one, Vote-by-mail experiment reveals potential problems within postal voting system ahead November election. And you see what's happening with so many different places. They're doing even trial runs; they're a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7499, + "raw_confidence": 0.7499, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And I don't want to see an election you know, so many years, I've been watching elections. And they say the projected winner or the winner of the election I don't want to see that take place in a week after November 3rd or a month or, frankly, with litigation and everything else that can happen, years. Years. Or you never even know who won the election." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "You're sending out hundreds of millions of universal, mail-in ballots hundreds of millions. Where are they going? Who are they being sent to? It's common sense; you don't have to know anything about politics. And the Democrats know this. The Democrats know this, Steve." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So, I want to see I want an election and a result much, much more than you. I think we're doing very well. We have the same pho- fake polls, but we have real polls. We're doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3097, + "raw_confidence": 0.6903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I just left Texas. And Biden came out against fracking. Well, that means Texas is going to be one of the most unemployed states in our country. That means Oklahoma, North Dakota, New Mexico are going to be a disaster. Ohio, Pennsylvania disaster. No fracking." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1954, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I want to have the result of the election. I don't want to be waiting around for weeks and months. And, literally, potentially if you really did it right years, because you'll never know." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6602, + "raw_confidence": 0.6602, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "These ballots are missing. You saw Paterson, New Jersey. You saw many other instances. There's tremendous litigation on that right now." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2127, + "raw_confidence": 0.7873, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And that doesn't include absentee. Absentee is different. Absentee you have to work and you have to send in for applications. You have to go through a whole procedure." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1929, + "raw_confidence": 0.8071, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Like, for instance, I'm an absentee voter because I can't be in Florida because I'm in Washington; I'm at the White House. So, I'll be an absentee voter. We have a lot of absentee voters, and it works. So we're in favor of absentee, but it's much different than millions of people." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "In California, they're going to send out tens of millions of voting forms. Well, where are they going to go? You read where postmen are in big trouble now. You read where city councils are in big trouble now. Voter fraud, all over the the ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So, no, I want to get I want to be standing, hopefully, hand held high, big victory, because we're doing things with our country that I think nobody else could have done. Our country is despite this pandemic, which is devastating the rest of the world, by the way devastating." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "One of the articles that came out was, The World's Covid Resurgence. This is the Wall Street Journal editorial the main editorial yesterday in the Wall Street Journal. I don't always agree with them. But they have The World's Covid Resurgence. Countries hailed as models see... and then they go, the virus returns at a level it's never they haven't even seen." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7323, + "raw_confidence": 0.7323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We've been giving praise to certain countries, and the virus has now come to them like like the first time. But it's a very interesting and it talks about many countries where everybody was holding them up and saying what a great job they did. Well, it's just one of those things. Didn't work out so well." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2361, + "raw_confidence": 0.7639, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So we want to have an election. I'd love to see voter ID, but this is the opposite of voter ID. The Democrats love it; the Republicans hate it. We all agree that absentee voting is good. Mail-in ballots will lead to the greatest fraud." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5166, + "raw_confidence": 0.5166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "You know, we talk about Russia, Russia, Russia for two and a half years, and then they found nothing, and there was nothing. But they talk Russia, Russia, Russia. They talk China. They talk all of these countries. They say they get involved in our elections. This is easy. You can forge ballots. This is much easier for foreign countries." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "I I just feel I don't want a delay. I want to have the election. But I also don't want to have to wait for three months and then find out that the ballots are all missing and the election doesn't mean anything. That's what's going to happen, Steve. That's common sense, and everyone knows it. Smart people know it. Stupid people may not know it. And some people don't want to talk about it, but they know it." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And, no, we want to have an election where people actually go in and What's your name? My name is so-and-so. Boom, you sign the book, like I've been doing for years." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2202, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "It's very, very unfair to our country. If they do this, our country will be a laughingstock all over the world because everyone knows it doesn't work." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1908, + "raw_confidence": 0.8092, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "How many ballots is he sending in California, as an example? Twenty-eight million or some massive number? Other states are sending out millions and millions of ballots. Well, they've done it. They had experiments. They had news organizations experimenting." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4891, + "raw_confidence": 0.5109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And, look, read the story in the Washington Post about mail-in voting; it's a disaster. I'm very surprised to see that story, frankly, from them. The story is a disaster. So we're asking for a lot of trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And, no, do I want to see a date change? No. But I don't want to see a crooked election. This election will be the most rigged election in history." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7384, + "raw_confidence": 0.7384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, we have many court cases, John. We have one that's been filed for a while now in western Pennsylvania, as an example, on mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, John, we give tremendous examples numbers of examples of all the fraud and all of the things that have taken place with respect to mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, it's had an interesting impact. I didn't know it was going to be the impact it had. What people are now looking at is: Am I right? But not me. Are all these stories right about the fact that these elections will be fraudulent, they'll be fixed, they'll be rigged? And everyone is looking at it, and a lot of people are saying, You know. that probably will happen." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, it's a great question. I can't tell you, though, because that wouldn't be very smart from a negotiating standpoint. But we'll be putting certain things on the table." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2258, + "raw_confidence": 0.7742, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We want to get money to people. It wasn't their fault. And we want to get money to people, and it has to be substantial. It's not their fault what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2045, + "raw_confidence": 0.7955, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "The fact is, people don't like saying it they know it's true: It's China's fault. Okay? It's not their fault. It's not the worker who lost his job; it's China's fault. And that's the way it is." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3456, + "raw_confidence": 0.6544, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So our people have done Homeland Security have done a fantastic job. They went to Oregon a little more than a week ago. The place was a mess. The city, Portland, was just a disaster. You see it, and a lot of people weren't reporting it right. They tried to pretend it was a protest, as opposed to anarchists and agitators. You understand what I'm saying. It's a mess." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.768, + "raw_confidence": 0.768, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "They went there a short while ago, and they saved a federal courthouse that costs hundreds of millions of dollars. And they put a ring around the courthouse and they saved it. But the group that's there is basically meant to save buildings, and they were very strong, very powerful. And they didn't come out too often out of this cocoon that they built in order to save these very expensive, valuable, and psychologically important buildings right? like courthouses." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7134, + "raw_confidence": 0.7134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "The governor and the mayor, we've been dealing with them, and we think they don't know what they're doing, because this should not have been going on for 60 days. It's not our job unless, in case of emergency which I consider now to be an emergency it's not our job to go in and clean out the cities. That's supposed to be done by local law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5288, + "raw_confidence": 0.5288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, the governor worked a deal where they'll do it; we'll stand by, they'll do it and that's good. That was very good, but she didn't report it that way. What she reported was totally different. She said, I think Trump wants to take over the country. It's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.196, + "raw_confidence": 0.804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So they're working today and probably tomorrow to clean out this beehive of of terrorists. And if they do it, I'm going to be very happy. And then, slowly, we can start to leave the city. If they don't do it, we'll be sending in the National Guard." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "So, can you assure anybody of anything? I do say, again: Young people are almost immune to this disease. The younger, the better, I guess. They're stronger. They're stronger. They have a stronger immune system. It's an incredible thing. Nobody has ever seen this before. Various types of flu will hurt young people more than older people." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "But young people are almost immune. If you look at the percentage, it's a tiny percent of 1 percent. It's a tiny percent of 1 percent. So we have to have our schools open. We have to protect our teachers. We have to protect our elderly. But we do have to have our schools open." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "Well, I think you're seeing it, and I think you will see it. And one of the things that we've done that we're getting and it hasn't been utilized fully yet but we're all set to march when it comes to the vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5942, + "raw_confidence": 0.5942, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We have great therapeutics that are testing very well, and we have great vaccines from incredible companies Johnson & Johnson and Pfizer and Merck" + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "and all of these great companies, and they're doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "And the delivery system is all set, logistically. We have a general that that's all he does, is deliver things, whether it's soldiers or other items. And I think you're going to see something that's going to be spectacular." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "The FDA has approved things at a rate that's a tiny fraction of what it would cost what it would take during a another administration, let's say." + }, + { + "tid": "se6jIDBmwXk", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3147, + "raw_confidence": 0.6853, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-july-30-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-30", + "claim_text": "We are way ahead on vaccines, way ahead on therapeutics. And when we have it, we're all set up with our platforms to deliver them very, very quickly. The vaccines are doing well, the therapeutics are doing well, and we're all set to deliver them as soon as we have them, and that's going to be very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Hello, everyone. Thank you very much. It was just announced by Attorney General Barr that they've caught the killer of LeGend Taliferro horribly shot a young man, wonderful young man. And we have just this just came out two minutes ago. So, Attorney General Barr just announced." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1942, + "raw_confidence": 0.8058, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "As you know, we named Operation LeGend after LeGend Taliferro, where we're going to be helping out, and are in the process of helping out, cities throughout our country that have difficulty with crime in particular, certain types of crime. So that's really good news. They caught the killer of LeGend." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3548, + "raw_confidence": 0.6452, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Today, we saw Joe Biden continue to politicize a pandemic and to show his appalling lack of respect for the American people. That's what it is. At every turn, Biden has been wrong about the virus, ignoring the scientific evidence and putting left-wing politics before facts and evidence." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7876, + "raw_confidence": 0.7876, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Sleepy Joe opposed both the China and the Europe travel bans. You know that. He opposed the China travel ban that I instituted very early and the Europe travel ban that I instituted quite early." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2226, + "raw_confidence": 0.7774, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "If he had followed if we went after I listened to his advice, hundreds of thousands more people would have died. This is according to many people. I believe that Dr. Fauci agreed with that. He said that President Trump made a great decision when he put the ban on China." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7723, + "raw_confidence": 0.7723, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden wants to fling open American borders, allowing the pandemic to infiltrate every U.S. community based on his policies. He wants to have ridiculous open borders. I've been saying from the first day I started campaigning for this great office that if you have open borders, you don't have a country. You don't have a country, with open borders. So he wants open borders. The Democrats want open borders." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6166, + "raw_confidence": 0.6166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And if you take a look at our southern border, we would have criminals pouring through. The wall is getting close to 290 miles long, and it's having a huge impact. So we disagree with him on that. That's one of the many different many things that we disagree with." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6016, + "raw_confidence": 0.6016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But while Joe Biden would allow rioters and looters and criminals and millions of illegal aliens to roam free in our country, he wants the federal government to issue a sweeping new mandate to law-abiding citizens." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.712, + "raw_confidence": 0.712, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "He wants the President of the United States, with the mere stroke of a pen, to order over 300 million American citizens to wear a mask for a minimum of three straight months I guess this just happened; he thinks it's good politics, I guess no matter where they live and no matter their surroundings. Because different states are much different, both in terms of the atmosphere itself and also in terms of the corona problem." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "He does not identify what authority the President has to issue such a mandate or how federal law enforcement could possibly enforce it or why we would be stepping on governors throughout our country, many of whom have done a very good job and they know what is needed." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Also, many of our 50 states are doing the job at a level that frankly, people are really surprised, including foreign governments that are calling us constantly and asking for advice. So I want to just say our governors have worked very hard. They've worked with Vice President Pence and myself and everybody else that's been going." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We have Scott now involved. And so, Scott, congratulations. You'll be working with a lot of governors; you've already started. And Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2176, + "raw_confidence": 0.7824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "My administration has a different approach: We have urged Americans to wear masks. And I emphasized this is a patriotic thing to do. Maybe they're great and maybe they're just good. Maybe they're not so good. But frankly, what do you have to lose? You have nothing to lose. So we do, and we've been saying wear them when it's appropriate, especially in terms of social distancing, if you can't distance enough. And what do you have to lose?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But again, it's up to the governors. And we want to have a certain freedom. We want to have a certain freedom. That's what we're about." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we also understand that each state is different and is facing unique circumstances. You have very, very different states facing very unique differences and circumstances." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We've entrusted the governors of each state, elected by the people, to develop and enforce their own mask policies and other policies, following guidance from the federal government and CDC. We're working with each state to implement a plan based on the facts and science. We will continue to urge Americans to wear masks when they cannot socially distance, but we do not need to bring the full weight of the federal government down on law-abiding Americans to accomplish this goal." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Americans must have their freedoms. And I trust the American people and their governors very much. I trust the American people. And the governors want to do the right thing to make the smart decisions, and Joe doesn't. Joe doesn't. Joe doesn't know too much." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Unlike the Biden approach, our approach is guided by science. That's why we're focused on protecting the high-risk Americans. That is why we're delivering effective medical treatments to dramatically reduce the fatality rate. And that is why we're developing a vaccine and therapeutics in record time. You'll see that, I think, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7708, + "raw_confidence": 0.7708, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Sleepy Joe rejects the scientific approach in favor of locking all Americans in their basements for months on end, which I think is something that Scott would be very opposed to. I think I can speak for you. We've been dealing pretty strongly over the last number of weeks. But he wants them in the basement for months on end." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And you have governors that have been very, very strict on keeping people in their houses, keeping people in their wherever they may be apartments. And frankly, I don't think the results are necessarily better than other results. But he wants to shut down our economy, close our schools, and grind society to a halt. And he wants it done by a federal decree. This would lead to a crippling long long-lasting depression. This would be a crippling long-lasting depression." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And yesterday, I showed you the numbers about how well we're doing coming back with auto sales and auto manufacturing and used car sales and housing sales at numbers that nobody would have believed. And we're back and very strong. It's a very strong V. It's almost a straight-up V. We'll be discussing that over the next couple of days." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1806, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But the economy is coming back, and the employment numbers over the last three months are a record in history of our country. And we'll be back next year. I think we'll be maybe even stronger than the previous years, where we set every record in the book: unemployment and stock market." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.209, + "raw_confidence": 0.791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "By the way, our stock market numbers are very close to record. And NASDAQ is actually a record over the last 14 days. Fourteen for 14 times now, it's been record. And that's during what we hope will be the more final stages of the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2197, + "raw_confidence": 0.7803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So if we did what Biden wanted to do, it would shut down our healthcare system and lead to a massive increase in mortality, including suicide, overdose, heart disease, and countless other physical and mental harms. It is very, very bad on the other side of the equation, when you do something like that. Those shutdowns are very punitive. Very punitive. They hurt a lot of people in a lot of different ways through depression, through suicide, through so many other things alcohol, drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Biden's approach is regressive. It's anti-scientific and it's very defeatist. It would be very bad for our country. While Joe Biden has been playing politics from the sidelines he has no clue we've been solving problems and delivering tremendous results; the most advanced and robust testing system on the planet; the number one producer of ventilators in the world, by far; unprecedented industrial mobilization biggest since World War Two; Operation Warp Speed to deliver lifesaving treatments and, very soon, a vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So we'll defeat the virus, but not by hiding in our basements. He's got to come out of his basement. We'll defeat this virus through a commonsense mitigation effort, shielding those at highest risk, and unleashing America's medical and scientific genius, which is what it is. And we've already been doing it, and we're very close to having something that's going to be very, very special in the form of therapeutics and vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "To Joe, I would say: Stop playing politics with a virus. Too serious. Partisan politics has no place here. It's a shameful situation for anybody to try and score political points while we're working to save lives and defeat the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "In times of national challenge, America has and Americans and we are by the way, we are working with countries from all over the world, and they're trying to learn from us. And some of the countries that you spoke most well about are having a tremendous surge right now. But it'll work out. But Americans must unite together and they must put politics aside and have to really unite for a common good." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4861, + "raw_confidence": 0.5139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Three vaccines are in the final stage of clinical trials. They're doing really well. We're producing the most promising vaccine candidates in advance; as you know, part of the largest industrialization ever." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.609, + "raw_confidence": 0.609, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It's incredible, when I meet with heads of companies that are doing this that are the best companies anywhere in the world it's incredible where they are, how they're doing, and the speed with which they're doing it, and also the speed with which the FDA is approving things, because by any other standard, you would have been two or three years away from being at the point that we're at." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3337, + "raw_confidence": 0.6663, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "By the end of this week, we will have shipped 1,846 rapid point-of-care testing devices to nursing homes, which are a very important source, as you know, for people that are not handling the plague from China very well. This week alone, we're sending 992 testing devices and 450,000 tests to more than 950 nursing homes across the country. And these tests are incredible. These are tests that are all new, very modern." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And we're also getting on on the tests that are not done immediately, with the 5- to 15-minute timing, when they do send them to a lab, they're coming back now in three days. So it's a three-day process, which is about as good as you can do. You have one day of delivering, one day of receiving, and one day in the lab. We're also requiring all nursing homes to test all members of their staff at least weekly." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1882, + "raw_confidence": 0.8118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "By unleashing America's scientific genius, we have delivered effective treatments. The case fatality rate for Americans over 70 has declined by about 85 percent. That's a fantastic number. It's declined. That's case fatality. It's declined by 85 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3474, + "raw_confidence": 0.6526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Europe has seen 40 percent more excess mortality than the United States compared to a non-pandemic year. So you hear the numbers, and those numbers are very interesting, but that's the way it is." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We continue to urge all Americans to wash your hands, socially distance, wear a mask when necessary and when you cannot distance, and protect very importantly the vulnerable. Protect people that are older and especially people that have problems with heart or diabetes or some other problem." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Earlier today, very exciting news very big news all over the world; they're talking about it all over the world. It was amazing. We finalized a historic peace agreement between Israel and the United Arab Emirates. After half a century, Israel and the United Arab Emirates will fully normalize their diplomatic relations. Nobody thought this was something that could happen for a long time. This is the most important diplomatic breakthrough since the Egypt-Israel peace agreement; it was signed over 40 years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We have Ambassador to Israel David Friedman here. Thank you, David, for being here. We very much you would agree that this was a big day for Israel and a big day for the world?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Good. Thank you, David. You've been fantastic, too. Fantastic ambassador and representative of our country. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The deal that was reached today will enable Muslims to have far greater ability to visit many historic sites in Israel and to peacefully pray at the Al-Aqsa Mosque, which is very important to them, which they've wanted to have access to for many, many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "This is a monumental step to forging ties of cooperation in the Middle East. And I think you're going to have other countries come forward. I can tell you we already do, and they want to make a deal. They're going to have peace in the Middle East. It'll be fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Israel is also suspending settlements in the West Bank, which is a big deal a bold step toward achieving peace. Israel and the United Arab Emirates have also agreed to immediately expand and accelerate scientific collaboration to develop effective treatments and vaccines to defeat the China virus they've both been hit; virtually every country has been hit, 188 countries and to save lives in their region and in their world. So they are working very much on the vaccines, also with us. And, again, some very good news is going to take place with respect to that." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1939, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Our unprecedented diplomatic engagements laid the groundwork for this historic peace agreement, which was just announced a little while ago, today." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We will not rest as we continue to work toward a world of greater harmony and prosperity for all. I want to thank Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed of the United Arab Emirates two fantastic people for their vision and their leadership. And I look forward to hosting them at the White House very soon to formally sign the agreement. We'll probably be doing it over the next, I would say, three weeks. And they'll be coming to Washington." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So that was a tremendous day. That was a tremendous thing that happened. And it's a great sign. We have a lot of other interesting things going on with other nations, also having to do with peace agreements. And a lot of big news is coming over the next few weeks, and I'm sure you'll be very impressed. And more importantly, it's a great thing for our country, a great thing for the world. So thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5585, + "raw_confidence": 0.5585, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Some people say they don't want the Democrats don't want schools open, because that's where you have a lot of polling booths. And if you have a school close, you can't very easily have polling booths at the school. And that's becoming I think maybe we'll be able to show that as fact, but that's another thing that they're doing to try and keep people away from the polls. So we have to look into that, but it's you've been reading about it, I've been reading about it, and I don't like it." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1881, + "raw_confidence": 0.8119, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But we'd like to see the schools open. Then we don't have that problem." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, but they are supported largely by some of the countries that we're talking to and that have already signed you know, in the case of the one country. But others will be following. And I think the Palestinians will without saying it necessarily yet, I think they very much want to be a part of what we're doing. And I see, ultimately, the Palestinians I see peace between Israel and the Palestinians. I see that happening. I think as these very big, powerful, wealthy countries come in, I think the Palestinians will follow, quite naturally." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Say it again. Could you make it louder?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "What do you think about that, David? It's interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "What has happened is that's part of a big negotiation. That's a actually small part of a big negotiation to get more money to people that it wasn't their fault; it was China's fault. And Post Office is part of it. Another part of it is they want $3.5 billion just for the ballots themselves. Why it's so much, I don't know. But that's what the Democrats want." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But if the bill isn't going to get done, that would mean the Post Office isn't going to get funded, and that would also mean that the three and a half billion dollars isn't going to be taken care of. So I don't know how you can possibly use these ballots, these mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7793, + "raw_confidence": 0.7793, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Absentee ballots, by the way, are fine. But the universal mail-ins that are just sent all over the place, where people can grab them and grab stacks of them, and sign them and do whatever you want, that's the thing we're against." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2093, + "raw_confidence": 0.7907, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I can understand the Post Office. And if we could agree to a bill the overall bill, which is obviously a much bigger number than just the Post Office that would be fine. But they have the Post Office as one of their requests. It's their request." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2029, + "raw_confidence": 0.7971, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I'm only against what I'm against is I'm against doing anything where the people aren't taken care of, and the people aren't being taken care of properly. We have we want people to get money. It wasn't their fault that they got shut down. They got shut down by China." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2848, + "raw_confidence": 0.7152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So whether it's the Post Office or whether it's the three and a half billion dollars you know, they're asking for three and a half billion dollars just for the universal mail-in ballots, but they're not willing to make a deal. These are two points within a very big deal." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7244, + "raw_confidence": 0.7244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The thing they want more than anything else, Kaitlan and you know this is bailout money for the states and for the cities that are in trouble, which, for the most part, are Democrat-run states and cities. So New York has a problem, California has a problem, Illinois has a tremendous problem, and others. They want to be able to bail out these states, and we don't want to be doing that, or certainly don't want to do it to the extent. They're looking for $1 trillion; we don't want to be doing that." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, no. No, no. I said it will end up being fraudulent, because if you look at what's happened over the last few weeks just look at the few instances where this has happened it's turned out to be fraudulent." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7896, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, if you look at New York, it was fraudulent; if you look at Paterson, New Jersey, it was fraudulent." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Of course there is. The whole thing is a mess. In fact, Carolyn Maloney's opponent is he's gone crazed. He said they took the election away from him, and he may be right. I think they should redo that election." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And if you look at Virginia, it's terrible. Look at some of the things that have happened in California. Look at California, where they found a million non-eligible voters. That was done by Judicial Watch Tom Fitton and Judicial Watch." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We have to have an honest election. And if it's not going to be an honest election, I guess people have to sit down and think really long and hard about it. But if the Post Office" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6622, + "raw_confidence": 0.6622, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "if they're not going to approve a bill and the Post Office, therefore, won't have the money, and if they're not going to approve a big bill, a bigger bill, and they're not going to have the three and a half billion dollars for the universal mail-in votes, how can you have those votes?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7894, + "raw_confidence": 0.7894, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "What would mean is the people will have to go to the polls and vote, like the old days like two years ago, three years ago, four years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7664, + "raw_confidence": 0.7664, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "They have to go to the it doesn't say anybody is taking the vote away, but it means that the universal mail-ins don't work. Absentees do work. It's a very different thing an absentee where you make an application and you send it in, they send you a vote. It's different." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But so, Kaitlan, I'm not saying anything wrong with voting. I want them to vote. But that would mean that they'd have to go to a voting booth, like they used to, and vote." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, they're going to have to feel safe, and they will be safe, and we will make sure that they're safe. And we're not going to have to spend three and a half billion dollars to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7633, + "raw_confidence": 0.7633, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And when you go to a voting it would be wonderful if we had voting ID. And some states have that, and some states don't because they can't get it passed. Most states want it. But we want people to vote. We want people to vote so when they vote, it means one vote; it doesn't mean ballots all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7618, + "raw_confidence": 0.7618, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "You saw what would what was happening in Virginia, where piles of ballot applications are dropped all over the state. They had them named after dogs. They had them named after dead people. We want to have an accurate vote. I'm not doing this for any reason. Maybe the other turns out to be my advantage, I don't know. I can't tell you that." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But I do know this: I just want an accurate vote and it's a fair question, by the way and so does everybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It's a very big part of the overall negotiation. And as countries come in for instance, UAE has agreed very strongly to represent us; I think they will very well with respect to Christianity, because in the Middle East, it's not treated well. It's not treated well at all. It's treated horribly and very unfairly, and it's criminal what's happened and that's for many, many years." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I think it's a great question and very un- it's a very unfair situation." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, we have a deadline of September 15th. And whether it's Microsoft, I understand and others are negotiating we also said that, obviously, it's worthless if we don't allow them into the country, so we said that the United States Treasury is going to be getting something out of this deal something very substantial." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But what we want is total security, but we have a deadline of September 15th. So I know Microsoft and others are very interested in it, but that's our deadline. And it has to be proven to be totally secure. We don't want to have any information going into China with what we've been through." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7679, + "raw_confidence": 0.7679, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And I have to tell you you talk about the deal you mentioned the phase one deal. Well, the phase one deal, it's a very interesting situation because you've been hearing, the largest order of corn in history, the largest order of soybeans, the largest order of beef. They've done more than they've ever done." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So you're going to have to figure that one out. With where I'm coming from, I could have because they see my attitude. My attitude toward China is not friendly. But they have gone into orders that are extremely large, extremely large, and our farmers are very happy." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2853, + "raw_confidence": 0.7147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But with what they did with respect to the pandemic, the the plague that came in from China, it just is a different feeling. It's an incredible deal, but I have a very different feeling." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But they are giving they are giving the Midwest, our farmers, among the largest orders they've ever seen. Somebody told me today Bob Lighthizer said about 40 percent of the of what they're selling now is going to China. So maybe they're trying to make me change my mind a little bit, because you know my attitude on China, and it's not it hasn't been very good." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, we're not talking to them. No, we're talking to the companies. In theory, it's a company, but it's a company within China. That means China. And the deal will have to be substantially beneficial to the United States, and we need total security. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, not off the table. No. It's something they've discussed, but Israel has agreed not to do that. I mean, more than just off the table, they have agreed not to do it. And I think that was very important, and I think it was a great concession by Israel, and I think it was a very smart concession by Israel." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But, David, do you have anything further to add on that?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, right now, all I can say: It's off the table. So I can't talk about some time into the future; that's a big statement. But right now it's off the table. Is that a correct statement, Mr. Ambassador?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, I wouldn't do that at all. No, I want the Post Office to run properly. But which makes sense, they would need a lot more money if they're going to be taking in tens of millions of ballots that just come out of the sky from nowhere. And so they need additional financial help." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6976, + "raw_confidence": 0.6976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "It's a part of the bill that the Democrats don't want to make because they want a trillion much bigger part of the bill they want a trillion dollars to go to states that are run by governors, who happen to be Democrats, who have not done a good job for many, many years. And those are states that owe a lot of money and need a lot of money, and they're talking about $1 trillion." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7087, + "raw_confidence": 0.7087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, the Post Office and the three and a half billion dollars for the votes themselves, which sounds like a lot of money they're looking for three and a half billion dollars. Think of that: three and a half billion to have mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.757, + "raw_confidence": 0.757, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Again absentee, good; universal mail-in, very bad." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, they can do it very easily. All they have to do is make a deal. If they make a deal, the Postal Service is taken care of, the money they need for the mail-in ballots would be taken care of if we agree to it. That doesn't mean we're going to agree to it. But all they have to do is make a deal." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1558, + "raw_confidence": 0.8442, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But again, more important to them is not that. That's a lot of money, but a small time compared to the other. What they want to do and very very, very strongly what they want to do is bail out cities that are run by Democrats and have been for many years. And these cities and states have done very badly, and they desperately need money for that." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2058, + "raw_confidence": 0.7942, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "And we're open to something, but we're not open to the kind of money that they need." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2838, + "raw_confidence": 0.7162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, everyone talks about Russia, Russia, Russia. They talk about China, China. They talk about all of these different countries that come in and run our elections, which is false." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7513, + "raw_confidence": 0.7513, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But what they do what they don't talk about are things like very loose mail-in ballots, universal in nature, that, frankly, Russia, China, North Korea, Iran all of these countries that we are reading about, hearing about, and, in some cases, they're writing about, intelligence-wise these countries can grab those ballots or print forgeries of those ballots, and they would go out and they would have a field day." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2071, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "This is the easiest way for the mail-in ballots is the easiest way for a country like a China or Russia or a North Korea or Iran I hear Iran, too. You know, that was part of the report. This would be very easy for them. This is much easier than" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, we have been very strong. Now, if you remember, President Obama was informed about Russia by the FBI in September. The election was in November. President Obama decided to do absolutely nothing about it. People don't mention that very much anymore. That's a lost fact. But he was informed very powerfully that they're going to do and President Obama did nothing. We have done a lot, and we've really shored it up." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6796, + "raw_confidence": 0.6796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But what people can never prepare for are millions and millions of mail-in ballots. Because they can be forged. They can be captured. They can be taken." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, that's a very hard thing to do. We have to make sure that we can do that." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2122, + "raw_confidence": 0.7878, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The payroll tax is very important and a very big benefit to people; as you know, to companies, because we want the companies to be strong but now, directly to people. And it's a very big number. And we're taking care of it. And we this will go directly to the people, to workers within the company. It's a payroll tax. It's called a payroll tax cut. We're cutting the payroll tax. And it's a very large number, and that will go directly to the workers of the company." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The you mean later on? You mean later on, at a later date?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "The employers the employers will collect it and give it, most likely. The employers will collect it and give it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Can't can't understand a word you're saying." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "So, I just heard that. I heard it today that she doesn't meet the requirements. And, by the way, the lawyer that wrote that piece is a very highly qualified, very talented lawyer. I have no idea if that's right. I would've I would have assumed the Democrats would have checked that out before she gets chosen to run for Vice President." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But that's a very serious you're saying that they're saying that she doesn't qualify because she wasn't born in this country?" + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I don't know about it. I just heard about it. I'll take a look." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2032, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I'm thinking about going directly to the U.N. to do the speech. A lot of people will not, because of COVID will not be able to be there, as you know. But I'm thinking I think it's appropriate. If we can do it, I'll do it directly. And again, this will not be like in the past because some countries won't be able to escape the problems they're having. You know, countries are having a tremendous problem with the China virus. So, we'll see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "But I would prefer doing it. I can do it the other way. I can do it viral, as they say. I can do it in that form. But I'd rather be at the United Nations deliver it." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "I think it I think it better represents the country. Also, I feel, sort of, a at least a semi-obligation as the President of the United States to be at the United Nations to deliver what will be an important speech." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, the room won't be empty. The room will have different people there and representatives of countries. But I can understand how it's, you know it's very difficult for countries to be there. They won't be there only for that reason. They'd love to be there. I've already had people call. In fact, say a couple of them I'd love to be there. If you want, I'll be there. I said, Don't be there. You don't have to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "No, the room would be I think the room will not be although, there may be a spacing requirement like you have in this room. This room was always packed. This room would be packed again if we had the seats open. But you have a spacing requirement, so I understand that the United Nations, they may have that, too." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Well, I think it's a terrible thing. But one thing that we have done you know, we gave tremendous incentives to Hong Kong because of freedom. We want freedom. And we were giving tremendous economic incentives to Hong Kong. And we have now withdrawn all of those incentives, and it will be impossible for Hong Kong to compete with the United States with respect to that. It just won't be, because we've taken all of the incentives away." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7951, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "If you look at China with the World Trade Organization, as an example they're getting tremendous because they're considered a developing nation, which is ridiculous. Why should they be a developing nation, but we're not? And they get tremendous incentives." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2233, + "raw_confidence": 0.7767, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "We have by the way, I told them it's unacceptable, and we've been we've been doing that for a long time. They understand exactly how we feel, and big changes are being made. But with respect to Hong Kong, they get tremendous financial incentives so that they could do business and compete in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "sl8SqT1FfeY", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-13-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-13", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. We have a very important announcement, and we're going to state some facts and things that have happened recently that are very positive in terms of crime and crime prevention. This is about MS-13." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But we're here today to provide an update on my administration's all-out campaign to destroy MS-13, a vile and evil gang of people." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2263, + "raw_confidence": 0.7737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We've just concluded a historic operation, leading to the arrest and indictment of dozens of savage MS-13 members and leaders all across the country. So this is something that's taken place over the last few days." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1893, + "raw_confidence": 0.8107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I want to thank Attorney General Barr for doing a great job, in many ways many ways not just here; Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Wolf; and FBI Director Wray for joining us today. And we'll be discussing a little bit about what we did and where we're going. But MS-13 has been a problem for our country for a long time. We've taken them out by the thousands." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1882, + "raw_confidence": 0.8118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "While radical left-wing politicians have fought to open borders and welfare for illegal aliens, my administration has fought for safe streets. We want security for our people. We want the rule of law. We want law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7895, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "In the last three years, ICE has deported over 16,000 gang members and arrested over 2,000 members of MS-13. Think of those numbers: 16,000 and arrested over 2,000 members of MS-13. We've also deported a lot of the MS-13s out of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "This week's action by the Joint Task Force Vulcan is the most recent offense to we really this has been a big offensive in my administration's war on foreign gangs, of which we came into this administration and we said, What's going on? We had gangs from countries that you wouldn't believe. More than 20 of the criminals we indicted and arrested in the past seven days were illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, for the first time ever, the Eastern District of Virginia thank you very much indicted MS-13 leaders on charges of terrorism. So we have the MS-13 leader on charges of terrorism. And that's a first. Is that correct?" + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3115, + "raw_confidence": 0.6885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We're using terrorism, which gives us extra strength." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6631, + "raw_confidence": 0.6631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "In New York and Nevada, 21 MS-13 members and leaders have been indicted on charges, including murder, kidnapping, and drug trafficking." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7502, + "raw_confidence": 0.7502, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "The DOJ has also announced that it will seek the death penalty for a bloodthirsty MS-13 leader responsible for the despicable killing of seven Americans, including two teenage girls." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2072, + "raw_confidence": 0.7928, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Over the past few days, the DOJ and DHS have made several arrests at high, high levels in these cases, including several immigration arrests. And I want to thank Chad Wolf for working along with the FBI and with the Attorney General. They've worked very closely together at the border. And the border, as you know, is setting new records for allowing people in that are allowed to come in, allowing people in legally." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We believe the monsters who murder children should be put to death. We seem to have quite a good agreement on that. These people murder children and they do it as slowly and viciously as possible. We will not allow these animals to terrorize our communities. And my administration will not rest until every member of MS-13 is brought to justice." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7766, + "raw_confidence": 0.7766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "We've done a great job with MS-13, but now we're stepping it up even to a higher level. This has never happened before. There's never been any move like this before. Much of it's already taken place; otherwise we wouldn't be talking about it." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So when Biden and the radical left want to open borders for MS-13 and others, we want strong borders, we want as I've said, we want borders. Without borders, you don't have a country. And we have a great country, and it's coming back stronger than ever, from job numbers to every other number. It's coming back stronger than ever before. So we're going to have a great third quarter, we're going to have a great fourth quarter. And next year is going to be one of the strongest years economically we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So I'm going to ask AG Barr to say a few words about the MS-13 and what we've done and what we're doing and where we plan to go." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And next week, we're going to have, I think, a very exciting news conference because we're going to be talking about some of these cities that where the Democrats running them have just lost control of the cities. So that'll be very interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7803, + "raw_confidence": 0.7803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "In past administrations, El Salvador, Honduras, Guatemala did not cooperate with the United States at all. They wouldn't let us bring people back. And under this administration, a long time ago, almost my I would say my second or third day, I said, That's not going to work. They'd bring them back and they'd say, Get them out of here. We're not taking them. And they don't say that anymore. They don't even come close to saying that anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So the the operation is going to be very good. This is probably the meanest, worst gang anywhere in the world the MS-13 group. And a big dent has put in them. It took place over the last few days and and really over the last year. Heavy focus on MS-13." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "They're an evil group of people. They're sick, they're deranged, and we're taking care of it. And I want to just thank these great crime fighters that are with us today. Thank you, fellas. Really fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So it's central casting. We we forgot one last one." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Good luck, John. Good luck. That's really great. So important." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "It's like central casting. People are like central casting. And you're going to do a great job, and we appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "And we will be meeting you in a similar vein, but a little different subject next week, and that concerns our cities and, again, people that have lost control of some of our great cities. We're going to straighten things out." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7947, + "raw_confidence": 0.7947, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "In Portland Portland was very rough and they called us in, and we did a good job, to put it mildly. Many people in jail right now." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "But we have other cities that are out of control; they're like warzones. And if the cities are going to straighten it out, if local politicians, or in this case I don't say this for political reasons they're all Democrats. They're liberal, left-wing Democrats. And it's almost like they think this is going to be this way forever, where in Chicago, 68 people were shot and 18 died last week. We're not going to put up with that. We're not going to put up with that." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "So that's for our next discussion. Thank you all very much. I appreciate it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7805, + "raw_confidence": 0.7805, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "I get along very well with Dr. Fauci. I get along very well with Dr. Fauci. I have a very good relationship." + }, + { + "tid": "tcEhqWjWN7g", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2543, + "raw_confidence": 0.7457, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-law-enforcement-community-july-15-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-15", + "claim_text": "Well, that's Peter Navarro, but I have a very good relationship with Dr. Fauci." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7389, + "raw_confidence": 0.7389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So, this store was here 109 years. Just about the oldest in the nation, doing what you do." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And we're going to help them a lot. I think we're going to help them a lot. Would you like to say something?" + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "That's true. These gentlemen did a fantastic job working" + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2186, + "raw_confidence": 0.7814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "working with the federal government, and it was really great. And once we said, Let's go, that was the end of it." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7412, + "raw_confidence": 0.7412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Unfortunately, they had a few days when people wouldn't call us. They didn't want to have us come in. They just don't want us to come in, and then destruction is done. A day earlier, we would've saved your store." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1891, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So, the governors have to call, the mayors have to call. As soon as they call, the federal government will come in; it'll put it out." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4057, + "raw_confidence": 0.5943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You take the ultimate example is Portland. It's been terrible for a long time for many decades, actually. I read a story 50 years. But you take a look what's been happening for the last 94 days. We would put it out within one hour. It would take one hour, maybe less. And that's really what happened here." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2131, + "raw_confidence": 0.7869, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And it happened in Minneapolis also. Came in it went for nine days. And we came in; it ended almost from the minute we came in. But these governors don't want to call. The mayors don't want to call. And they have to call, and they have to ask." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I want to thank Bill Barr is here some place. Bill, thank you very much. And a man that just got a very strong promotion in a sense Chad is here." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So, we're going to have some meetings. We're going to meet with some of the owners, and then we're going to have a roundtable. I think you're going to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But we're going to work with you. We're going to help you. Okay? We'll help you rebuild. It's a great area. It's a great state. This should never happen. A thing like this should never happen. They have to call early." + }, + { + "tid": "ThmfBGOhQA8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-kenosha-wisconsin-tour-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you. I'll see you over there. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.687, + "raw_confidence": 0.687, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "My friend for a long time, right? Long time." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Ah, well, you've been a friend of mine for a long time, Geraldo. And I love the state that you happen to be in, I love Ohio, it's been a great state and we had a great" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Terrible. They've had many, many attempts to destroy it from people, just people coming along, they dump paint on it, people are very angry about it. The Fifth Avenue merchants who pay a lot of rent, they're very angry about it, very, very angry. No, it's a terrible thing, Geraldo, he's been a terrible mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The psychology of New York City was so good. I tell you what, when I left, the psychology of New York City was wonderful and now, it's a disaster. It's very sad. I haven't been back for a long time, but it's very sad to see what's happening" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "To watch it. So simple. It could be fixed up so easy, but they have got the wrong ideology, honestly." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6658, + "raw_confidence": 0.6658, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "If you look at the rest of the country, we're setting records, we're doing great. Republican-run cities and states are doing record... We're doing phenomenally. But you look at some of these states that we're talking about, look at New York, whether it's city or state, you look at what's going on. You look at... Illinois is a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2035, + "raw_confidence": 0.7965, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "It's a disaster, economic disaster, people are leaving, people are fleeing and it's a terrible thing to watch. Terrible. And Chicago, it speaks for itself. And it's hard to believe with all of the crime in Chicago, New York, some of these places, the numbers are very good nationwide. But nationwide, we have mostly great cities, that's the problem." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7064, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We have mostly well-run great cities and states, but you get into the few and incredibly, you don't read about it in the news, you don't see it on the evening shows, you don't see it in the newspapers. You see a little bit on the internet, but even the internet is not... The internet is totally controlled by a few people and they make it very difficult." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7129, + "raw_confidence": 0.7129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I mean, it's a miracle that I won, that people... It is a miracle because it's so fixed." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7827, + "raw_confidence": 0.7827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So I just say the internet, when you look at what's happening with Facebook and with Twitter, it's 100% possibly illegal." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The perfect statement. Yeah. You mean a statement about youth, right? The youth. They are just not targeted very much by this pandemic from China, it's an amazing thing. And then they take you off of that statement. Every doctor is saying what I'm saying. Not every doctor, I guess, there'll be some that won't, but can you imagine they took that statement off?" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.347, + "raw_confidence": 0.653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They didn't take me off, they took that statement off. We have a lot of followers." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.159, + "raw_confidence": 0.841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Oh, of course. But they're doing anybody on the right, anybody, any Republican, any conservative Republican is censored. And look at the horrible things they say on the left, they say things that are shocking. I mean, shocking, how horrible. And they're not censored, they're not talked about, they're able to go ahead and do whatever they want to do, say whatever they want." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But if you happen to be on the right, if you're a Republican or a conservative Republican, what they're doing to people is incredible. So, we'll see how that all turns out." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I'm going to. Yeah. I'm going to." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Soon, very soon. It's expiring tomorrow. But I will be doing it on evictions, I'll be doing it... Because the problem with the Pelosi, Schumer group is they've got all these cities that we're talking about, the same places and states, Illinois and New York, California and others that are run by radical left people, to put it nicely, that have already totally taken over Biden in this campaign." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I mean, this poor guy doesn't know what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, but I think he's a puppet for them. He doesn't know what to do. Look at the manifesto." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't want to get into it, but he doesn't seem too sharp, let's face it. Okay? Look at the manifesto, the agreement that he's got with Bernie Sanders and the radical left. That's further left than Bernie. Open borders, take... If they want to take down the wall, I don't think they say it in the manifesto, but look at what he wants to do." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They want to raise taxes through the roof, they're going to kill everybody. Want to raise taxes through the roof, put regulations back on so that jobs will disappear, stock market will crash if you do that. One of the biggest things I've done is regulations. I took the biggest number of regulations by far of any President, not even close, and that's one of the reasons that the economy was booming and is booming again." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I mean, it's starting to boom again. Wait till you see it, it's going to be very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1566, + "raw_confidence": 0.8434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, but it was a good report, very much below what they thought it would be. And tomorrow, the job numbers come out and for the last two months, the job numbers were records. And I have every reason to believe they should be good because look at what happened yesterday with cars, with used cars sales and manufacturing of cars, through the roof." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I do. And I think next year is going to be a very strong year and I think the third quarter's going to be good, and that's despite the fact that we're hurt by the blue states because they don't want to go back to school, they don't want to go back, even if they're in relatively good shape, because they want to hurt the election, they think it'll be bad for me in the election and I think people get it." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, you have to do it safely. I mean, you have a very good governor in Ohio and you have to do it safely, but people want to go back. There's danger to not going back too, people are... With the alcoholism and with the drugs and with the depression and the suicide and the fighting with somebody for 30 years." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4113, + "raw_confidence": 0.5887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "All of a sudden, you're mandated, you can't leave your house, you can't leave your apartment, you can't do... All of a sudden" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Hey, they realize they don't get along so well." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But you know it happens in reverse too, some people said they've fallen in love again. Okay? So" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I'll let you know on November 4th." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Unless you do too many of these ballot deals, in which case, you'll never know the end of the election, these crazy" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "He would like not to. I mean, I know that for a fact because we're dealing with everybody. He would like not to. I think it's very hard for him not to. I actually think we have a public service, I put it out this morning, I think it's a public service to debate. People have to see what's going on and where you're coming from, and I think they know me, I'm on every day doing something and I do those news conferences at 5:30 every day and they're very well watched." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2974, + "raw_confidence": 0.7026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I take the toughest questions from people that are truly terrible reporters, in many cases, terrible, absolutely terrible people." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, only because of a good ideology, like let's get people jobs, let's go to work, let's have good education, let's have a strong military, let's have low taxes and regulations. They seem to hate that ideology." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2476, + "raw_confidence": 0.7524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think she's fine. I mean, she did very poorly in the race, she was expected to be one of the winners and one of the potential stronger candidates and she ended up going out with nothing, so she was a thud. But I'm fine with any of them, frankly, I would've said she'll probably be the one. But she did very poorly." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No. Look, I just want to save lives. I mean, I'm rushing it, I am, I'm pushing everybody. If you had another president other than me, you wouldn't be talking vaccines for two years, you know that. What I did with FDA has been amazing, according to everybody. Literally, it's been amazing. And no, I'm pushing it very hard and I want to push it very hard, I will push it very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.185, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I'm not doing it for votes, I'm doing it because that's the right thing to do and I'm doing it to save lives, Geraldo." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, Fauci said don't wear masks, and so did a lot of other people, and then all of a sudden, they changed their mind, they said wear masks and we listen to doctors. But he said and other people said don't wear masks. So, I will say this. No, I don't. I think it's a referendum on everything. What I've done, nobody's done what I've done in the first three and half years, whether it's Space Force, rebuilding our military, building the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7984, + "raw_confidence": 0.7984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "The wall is going to be completed right toward the end of the year, 500 miles of wall, which is amazing. Nobody thought that would be possible." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, no, DACA's going to work out, Geraldo, it's going to work out" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2041, + "raw_confidence": 0.7959, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "It's going to work out, just tell people to relax, we're using it for other purposes and DACA's going to work out." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I don't want to promise anything. I mean, it's a negotiation, so I can't promise anything. But DACA's going to work out, I think it's going to work out very well. I think the people are going to be very happy and a lot of good things are happening, a lot of good things. And if I win, we'll have a deal with Iran very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2691, + "raw_confidence": 0.7309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They're dying to make a deal, but they want to wait to see because they'd rather negotiate with sleepy Joe than Trump. And China is just dying to have sleepy Joe back in there because they paid tens of billions of dollars in tariffs and taxes that they never paid before, and they were having a terrible year prior to the plague coming in, the China plague, and lot of things." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "That first week is going to be very good if I win" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, the first week after the victory" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "A lot of things will get done. Iran will make a deal, they're dying to make a deal. Iran is dying to make a deal." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1969, + "raw_confidence": 0.8031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, it should be brought up. Look, it's a crooked deal. If I ever did that, it would be the worst thing ever done. I mean, you see his father on television, you talk about quid pro quo, that's a quid... I had none. That's a quid pro quo. And with a billion dollars, you're not getting it, ba-ba-ba. I mean, they have tapes of the conversations, it's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1814, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Oh, she totally implicated him. She totally implicated him, but it got very little press coverage because the press is rigged, it's corrupt. We have a corrupt media, let's face it. You know that. We have a corrupt media." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Yeah, he's a dirty cop, I call it. I mean, I call him a dirty cop and that's exactly what he is and it's a shame. Look, we caught them spying on my campaign, we caught them doing very bad things, it's treasonous, it's everything, and we'll see what happens with Durham. Durham is coming back with a report, and more than a report, I guess, I think it's not a report." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I'm not interested in the report, I think everybody that reads the newspapers, they probably know what's happening. But Durham's coming back and I hope it's going to be soon, and I would imagine he's got plenty. All you have to do is read the newspapers to see what they have." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4988, + "raw_confidence": 0.5012, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "You have to read between the lines, or you could read certain newspapers that cover it very well. Lot of them cover it very well actually, but not the ones that you would think. Not the ones that get Pulitzer Prizes for covering stories badly." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1766, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I'm not worried about it because I did nothing wrong. It's a continuation of a witch hunt. This is just a continue... They tried in Washington, they failed. Mueller failed, everybody failed. This is a continuation of the same thing, it's a witch hunt. Mueller spent 45 million dollars, they went over everything." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3027, + "raw_confidence": 0.6973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And I win with Mueller, there's no collusion, no nothing, that was a big bust, then he testified before Congress, that was a big bust also. But Mueller looked at all the stuff, everybody looked at it, now we've won at every level, every level. And now I see they have New York people, and New York is purely politics, it's all Democrat politics, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So they failed in Washington, Mueller failed, the Russia, Russia, Russia, the Ukraine, Ukraine, it was all terrible, terrible what they did. I mean, terrible. Most people wouldn't be able to take it, to be honest with you. In fact, somebody put something" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1843, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll see what happens. I wish they'd rush it, to be honest with you, but we'll see what happens. But this was an attempted take down of a President of the United States, it was a coup attempt and it was also tried both before and after my election. And whether it's the insurance policy, where Strzok and his lover, Lisa Page going back and forth." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4891, + "raw_confidence": 0.5109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And she'll win, but just in case she doesn't, we have an insurance policy, essentially. That's what they said. And that's just so unbelievable." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7539, + "raw_confidence": 0.7539, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "That was a big moment when we found that little gem." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, a lot, it's a lot. Yesterday, I was at 51 in Rasmussen." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5431, + "raw_confidence": 0.5431, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And they got it most accurately the last time. By the way, these numbers are much better than last time." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. I mean, I went to Texas, I've never seen such enthusiasm. Just two days ago, I went to Florida, never saw such enthusiasm, got the support of law enforcement all over the state and all of the sheriffs in Florida, same thing in Texas. I mean, when you think of it, how about Texas? One of the polls said Trump is leading by one in Texas." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4813, + "raw_confidence": 0.5187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Okay, I'm in favor of oil and gas, I'm in favor of the bible, I'm in favor of Second Amendment, right? Biden's against all of those things. He's against oil, he's against the bible, essentially, against religion, but against the bible, and he's against the Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, okay, take a version of it. Well, the people that control him totally are. I mean, it may be a little harsh for him, but he's going to have no control. They're going to take him over." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5738, + "raw_confidence": 0.5738, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I don't know him. Really, I don't know him. I mean, I've known him a little bit over the years, but I can't tell you. I think what he did with his son was not very decent, I think that was theft, that was pure theft." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I do, yeah. I do. I really do. That's what he is, and everybody knows it. Everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, that came out. Didn't it come out 62% said? 62%. They did a poll that said 62% of the people, I think, about a week ago. And well, that's what happened last time. I had a poll last time that I was going to lose all seven swing states by a lot and I won all seven swing states, in some cases, by a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.285, + "raw_confidence": 0.715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I had a poll that I was going to lose every single swing state, Geraldo, and even I said, This might not be too pretty. And then the results came in and I won every single one of them." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2145, + "raw_confidence": 0.7855, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We have a tremendous group of people out there that" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6948, + "raw_confidence": 0.6948, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We call them the silent majority, we call them a lot and they don't want to talk about it, they just want to go out and do it. And they don't like these ballots, these ballots are rigged. You saw what happened with Carolyn Maloney, they declared her a winner and they don't even have the votes. They don't even know what the votes are." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I do. Well, I think in Nevada, we will. Yeah, I think we will, absolutely. I think so. And we have a good legal team and I think we're going to win that. We'll have to see. But everything's a fight." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, it is, it's a terrible thing. We were doing better than anybody, nobody could've beaten us, we were rocking, you know that. We were rocking, we had the greatest... But think of it, the stock market's almost back to where it was." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, but think of it. I mean, yeah, but how about that? Supposedly, the stock market was cut in half. The stock market did go down, but now it's coming back and it's coming back strong. I mean, Nasdaq's higher than it ever was and the others are very close. We're at numbers that we were almost at and that means 401Ks are good." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3433, + "raw_confidence": 0.6567, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "If Biden ever got in, you'd have a depression. The only reason the stock market isn't even higher is the possibility that Biden could win because that's called an overhang. There's an overhang because there is a possibility that he wins and if he wins, the stock market will crash. You watch." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I hope you don't have to watch." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, I didn't know him at all." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I never spoke to him, to the best of my knowledge. But I never spoke to him. I didn't know him at all. And no problem, but I didn't know him at all. He wasn't somebody that" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I know, but I do care very much. I've done more for African-Americans than any president, with a possible exception of Abraham Lincoln, and that's true. I've passed criminal justice reform, I funded the historically black colleges and universities, nobody else did it, I did it. I gave them long-term financing, they never had it, half of them were going out of business, they were having a hard time." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1585, + "raw_confidence": 0.8415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They came up to see me, I took care. Obama never did it, nobody ever did it, I did it. Opportunity zones, and the job numbers are the best in the history of this country for African-Americans, Hispanic-Americans" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I've done more... I've done more than" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3893, + "raw_confidence": 0.6107, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I've done more... That's real civil rights." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "That's going to be interesting, right? Well, I like Kanye and I've" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, he is, I think. Kanye is a different kind of a person. No, I think it's good that his voice gets out there. I actually think it's fine. I'm not" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I didn't speak to him about it." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I think it's going to hurt sports, just like it did... The NFL was going really down until they stopped, and I think this is going to hurt. I personally won't be watching much. I think when you have people kneeling, there are plenty of places you can protest, you don't have to protest when they're raising the flag and playing the national anthem." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5053, + "raw_confidence": 0.5053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And when they're kneeling during the national anthem, I'm not a watcher." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6134, + "raw_confidence": 0.6134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I feel good physically, I feel confident that we're going to have a victory and if we don't, I've done my best. We were sailing to a victory, greatest economy in the history of the world, actually. I've built the greatest economy in the history of the world. There's never been an economy... China was doing terribly and we were doing great, I was tariffing them and doing things that were unheard of before." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7847, + "raw_confidence": 0.7847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Before I came in, China was eating our lunch, they were ripping us off like nobody's ever ripped us off before. But I built the greatest economy in history, I did a tremendous for African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American, women, everybody was at the top. But we had the greatest economy in history and then we got hit by the China virus and now, we're... And we closed it up because we had to, we saved millions of lives and now we're opening it up and it's a V. Looks like it's a V." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I do think we have great Asian support and they understand exactly what it is that we're doing and saying and they understand how China has hurt our country very much. We've been ripped off by China for years, they've been taking money out and rebuilding their country and our presidents were either na\u00c3\u00afve or stupid to allow this to happen, but we've been giving China from 200 billion to 575 billion dollars a year for many, many years." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Ah, I wouldn't be surprised. I mean, I can't say that with certainty, but it's possible. We have a lot of vaccines under study, by the way, we look like we're going to be really good on vaccines and with therapeutics, so we have a lot" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Sooner than the end of the year. Could be much sooner." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2213, + "raw_confidence": 0.7787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think, in some cases, yeah, it's possible before, but right around that time. We have great companies, great, these are the greatest companies in the world. And the rest of the world is also doing vaccines, so let's see how they do. I'm all for them. Whoever comes up with it." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I mean, she's not happy about it, she thinks it's very unfair, but I said don't worry about it, just don't worry about it. I think I've got a good attitude. I think it's pretty good, it's pretty amazing. Somebody wrote yesterday, How does he take it? He's hit by" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Because I'm doing a great job... I'll tell you how I'm taking it, because I'm doing a great job for the country and the country knows it. And when I go to Texas and Florida and drive down the highways and you have 100,000 people on those highways, all the way from either 20, 25 minute drive and you have, I mean, tens and tens of thousands of people waving the Trump flag and the Trump/Pence flag and all of the things that they wave, it's... And I see no opposition, I see no Biden people." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7272, + "raw_confidence": 0.7272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I drove in Texas, we drove quite a distance from the airport and it was unbelievable, the crowd. I didn't see any opposition, and the same thing with Florida, I saw no opposition. And then you read an article written by the fake news that there were crowds, but they were equally dispersed between Biden and Trump." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7088, + "raw_confidence": 0.7088, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I don't think there was anybody and that's saying equally dispersed. I mean, we have a very corrupt media, it's corrupt. And I used to call it fake, I still do actually because it sort of works, but it's beyond fake. It's corrupt." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I'm thinking about the White House because it's the most convenient place" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, but it's the place that we're looking at now. It's the easiest, it's the least expensive" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, I could do that too. I mean" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Geraldo, any place I use, they will... No, no. Any place I use, they will find trouble with it. I could use my hotel right down the street" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1857, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "He used his hotel... Oh, forget it." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1809, + "raw_confidence": 0.8191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "They'll say, He used his hotel. I could use some other building, they'll say, He used some other building. Any place I could go, any place I picked, they will find a problem with it. So I think the White House is, by far, the least expensive because all of the security is here, you don't have to do anything, it's easiest and it's certainly a fitting, beautiful place, so that's what I'm thinking about doing." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think Biden's doing his speech virtually, I hear now, and he's not going to" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2447, + "raw_confidence": 0.7553, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Wisconsin, which I think is a slap to Wisconsin, frankly, a real slap. They worked hard to get that convention, I think it's a slap. But" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, no, the pandemic is a disaster, there's no question about it. All over the world, Geraldo. They don't talk about other countries and a lot of these countries that were doing so well, a lot of these countries , now they have big flare ups. Big flare ups in Italy and Spain right now, and France and" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Power A, it's the power of positive thinking, just think forward. Look, we've done a great job" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.679, + "raw_confidence": 0.679, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I've done a great job for the country. We got hit by a virus and we've done a great job on that, but we don't get the credit with the ventilators and with everything. And you look at our statistics, we're a bigger country. And you have to remember other countries don't report real numbers. Do you think China's reporting their numbers?" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Do you think India? Do you think all these... They're not reporting their numbers, but we see what's happening by satellite. I mean, they don't report. If you read China, they'll talk about a tiny number of people. I mean" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I thought it was a good interview. I don't know. Some people liked it, some people didn't." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "A lot of people liked that interview, I don't know how you felt about it, but a lot of people like... No, he hit with phony numbers and I responded. He's a nice guy. But some people thought it was an unfair interview, I thought it was fair enough. I didn't go in there saying, You can't ask me this. I could do that too, everybody wants" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I didn't. When I accepted your call, I did it because I've known you for a long time. I refuse to say how long." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I've known you for a long time, you've always been square with me, you're a good guy. And yeah, I mean, they want me on every show in the world, every show in the world" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, he should. He should take that test and... it's a vital way. They always show the first question, but they don't show the last questions and a lot of people wouldn't get those last questions right. He should take a test, I think. I think it would be good. I took it because people were saying... First they say, He's addicted, or wants to take over the world, he's a total genius, the next day, they say the opposite, right? He doesn't know what he's doing, he's stupid, he's this, he's that. They say the most horrible things to fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.207, + "raw_confidence": 0.793, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So when I did my physical, I asked the doctor, highly respected guy, do they have some kind of a test, a mental test, a mentality test, a cognitive test? They said yes, they do. I said, Should I take it? He said, Well, you can. But if you take it, we have to announce it because it's public stuff, pretty much. I said, I don't care. I said, How tough is it? He said, It's pretty tough." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2479, + "raw_confidence": 0.7521, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Toward the end, it gets pretty tough. So I took it and I got a perfect score on it, and it was given to me by a very respected doctor, who was also the doctor for Obama and Bush, a highly respected doctor and I did very well on it. And I think it's something that it would... Maybe it's a good standard." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Maybe presidents or potential presidents should take it. Maybe they should." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I did take it. I took it. And you know what's a very interesting thing, once I took that, all of the mentality stuff, the kind of nasty hits that they would give you, even though they know it's not true because" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No. Oh, yeah, it all disappeared. Now they say I'm a dictator and I'm fascist, I'm all these other things that are nasty. But all of the stuff having to do with brainpower, it just literally disappeared when I took it, it was announced and I took it. And I think it would be a good thing for Biden to take it actually." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But it did, it was an amazing thing, it was... It just stopped that, so it was worthwhile doing it. And I think Biden should do it, but that's up to him. I mean, that's got to be a choice of a person, you can't" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2005, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think that, first of all, the governors run their states, you understand that. That's the way it's set up. I mean, that's the way it's supposed to be. And whether you call it federalist or anything else, the governors run. We've had some great governors and we have some governors that didn't do as well." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But what I did with ventilators and what I did with getting people equipment because the governors were not stocked, nobody has ever done a better job. We've done a great job and we haven't been rewarded with" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.303, + "raw_confidence": 0.697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I guess you could say that people call things wrong, but it's understandable, nobody knew what this disease was. At the beginning, they said no masks and people still say that, some people, but some people don't. I say use them, but I wouldn't mandate it, but I'd say use them. But no, I think we've done an unbelievable job." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.729, + "raw_confidence": 0.729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And the biggest thing I did, and Fauci will say this, save tens of thousands of people by putting a ban on China very early in January when Nancy Pelosi and everyone else was saying it was a terrible thing, even in late February, that I put the ban on. Then I put the ban on Europe because I saw what was happening in Italy, and that was a great thing." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7877, + "raw_confidence": 0.7877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "You have to understand, we have a big country and our testing has been unbelievable, we tested 61 million people, but that's a double-edged sword. Because we tested so many people, we have more cases, so then they say, We have more cases. So because we have the tests, we give them cases. Other countries that don't do this testing, they don't have cases." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2175, + "raw_confidence": 0.7825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So it's a double-edge, it's PR gold, I used to say PR for the fake news, the testing." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Well, I am very vocal, it hurts me no end. I think it's a disgrace and I say it all the time, I say we shouldn't have lost one person. We shouldn't have lost one person, this should've been stopped by China. China did this to us, it should've been stopped by China. They stopped it from going into China and they didn't stop it from going into Europe and the US and the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "And Europe's plenty angry at them too, I can tell you. But it's one of those things that's just terrible and it should've never happened, they should've never allowed it to come out of China, but they did. They stopped it going into China, but they didn't stop it going to us and to the rest of the world and I am" + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I think... And that's a good word, back to normal. But I think that... A good grouping of words. See, if I don't say that, they'll say, He said word and it was words, so that's why I say a good grouping of words, Geraldo, you understand." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "But I will tell you, it is a good grouping of words. Back to normal is a great goal and then beyond where we were is another great goal and in a very short distance, we will be beyond where we were economically. Next year's going to be a great year economically. We're going to have vaccines very soon, we're going to have therapeutics very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "If that happened, I will tell you, you could forget about everything. Look, if Joe Biden got elected, I believe you would have a depression in this country. If I get elected, we're going to have the greatest economic comeback we've ever had and we're going to have the greatest economy we've ever had. That's a slight difference and there are many other differences too." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So, Geraldo, I have to go, but I thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "TjhHpbcPhUc", + "sid": 166, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-geraldo-rivera-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Oh, good, good, good. I love that. I hear those flotillas, they're incredible, I love them. That's the sign of what I'm talking about, that's the silent majority, I don't do anything about that, that's the silent and they're coming out to vote." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-gaggle-af1-20200806", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "So we're going to Ohio. We're going to have a very good couple of meetings, and we're going to be there for about six hours. Then we're coming back, and we'll be landing in New Jersey for some meetings. And we have a pretty busy schedule, to put it mildly." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-gaggle-af1-20200806", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, I think we're doing great in Ohio. It's a great state. They had the best year they've ever had last year, prior to the virus coming in, and now it's coming back very strong." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-gaggle-af1-20200806", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "No, Ohio is a great state for me. Any other questions?" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-gaggle-af1-20200806", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "Probably tomorrow afternoon. They're being drawn now. We'll see what happens. It's possible we'll make a deal, but it's also possible we won't. But I would say probably tomorrow afternoon or maybe the following morning." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-gaggle-af1-20200806", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "I have three or four choices. One is the White House. But we have three or four choices. We'll be announcing it over the next week or so." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-gaggle-af1-20200806", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-august-6-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-06", + "claim_text": "We have some very good choices. Okay? Thank you. Thank you, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2532, + "raw_confidence": 0.7468, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, I think when you're in a hospital setting and, in the case of, Walter Reed, I went to see the troops that have been very badly injured in some cases. One had just come out of an operation. And I think I really have that obligation to do that. I was still, you know, quite far away, but I don't want to be far away." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I want to hug 'em because they're really great heroes, amazing heroes. So I went, and then I also met with some of the people worked on, whether we want to call it COVID or the China virus, but they worked on it and very successfully, a lot of the doctors, and also. And I did put on a face mask. I have no, you know, I've had 'em on before, too." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7551, + "raw_confidence": 0.7551, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well you have to understand, I'm probably the most tested person in the world and I can guarantee the people that come see me are all tested. No matter who they are, they're all tested." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, I'd say listen to that instruction, listen to your governors, but I have to say the same people that say wear a mask are people that said, a long time ago, don't wear a mask, masks are bad. They said they're not good. So, you know, like Dr. Fauci, surgeon general, a lot of people a lot of people the surgeon general said that also." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, that's okay. That's okay. And I don't mind if people change their mind. I'm not holding it against Fauci or him or anybody else. I'm just saying that I've heard, you know, we started off with, Don't wear a mask. Then we come to, Wear a mask. Now, in my case, I come into contact with nobody. If I go up to, on a stage, like for instance, I watched Biden go up. He's got the largest mask I've ever seen." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And he goes up on a stage to speak and there's no one near him. There's nobody near him and you can't understand him anyway, so you know, so it doesn't matter that much. But he feels very comfortable having a mask. I think he'd leave it on full time." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1966, + "raw_confidence": 0.8034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Your thinking on masks has evolved. You've learned more about it. You feel that Not evolved. No, I'm okay from the beginning. I think if I'm in a hospital and if I see doctors and I see patients and I'm near patients, especially even from protecting a patient from me. I view it almost as important, maybe more important in a lot of ways." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "People don't think of it that way. They think, protect the, you know, the president. I really say protect these incredible soldiers who have just been through massive operations that you don't even want to think about. And I want to protect the soldiers." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I would have no problem with that, but what I really do is, I will say follow the guidelines because the guidelines say exactly that. The guidelines didn't used to say that. And by the way, governors didn't used to say that. You know, we're running a really amazing operation. If we would have not done what we did originally, we would have lost we would have been up to millions of lives already." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5234, + "raw_confidence": 0.5234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Lives lost. We've done it right, but now what happens is governors can take and the governors can you know, they can demand that because this is federalist. Governors can demand that. And some of the governors do." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, yeah, and they also, they also may go by guidelines and they can have their own guidelines, but they go by the CDC guidelines. And right now that's saying wear a mask, and that's okay with me. That's good. Those guidelines are good. I'm not stopping them from saying it. I do say this, originally people were saying don't wear a mask." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "People that we all respect were saying don't wear a mask because, look, you know, it's got certain drawbacks and they say don't wear a mask. Now they're saying wear a mask. I'm okay. And it does evolve. You know, I mean, the thought process evolves. So let's see what happens, but I think we've made tremendous progress." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "If it's necessary, I would urge them to wear a mask. And I would say follow the guidelines." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2031, + "raw_confidence": 0.7969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Working? We have 45 million tests as of, I think, today, approximately 45 million tests. No other country tests like us. In fact, I could say it's working too much. It's working too well. We're doing testing and we're finding thousands and thousands of cases. If it's a young guy who's got sniffles, who's you know 10 years old, gets tested, all of a sudden he's a case and he's gonna be better tomorrow because with young people" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4028, + "raw_confidence": 0.5972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But you don't say the fact that we've tested 45 million people, and no other country has tested even a tiny fraction of that. We're doing testing like nobody else has ever done it. And we have all types of tests. You have tests where you send it away and you have tests where they can do it right there. We have, at the White House and at other places, a five-minute test." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "It takes five minutes. We have many different tests." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5825, + "raw_confidence": 0.5825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "There are different kinds of tests. There are tests that are very good, very strong, where you send it to a laboratory. The laboratory does the test and they send it back. That's one test" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, we can. We can do that, but people understand when you take a test and it gets sent to a lab and then it gets sent back, and it comes back within seven days, it's going through a process. It goes through a mailing process which is, you know, it's one of those things. The best thing we can do is, we're doing more and more of 'em, is onsite testing." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4415, + "raw_confidence": 0.5585, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So you can wait a half an hour or you can wait in some cases, like in Abbott, you can wait five minutes for the test result." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I like it the best. I mean, I like it the best. It might not be as accurate, by the way, but I like it the best." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1909, + "raw_confidence": 0.8091, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, let me just tell you about the testing deal. So, we're doing more testing than anybody in the world. We have the best tests. We have the best scientists. We have the best tests of any country in the world. We have more tests than any country. If Germany, as an example, did what we were doing, if any country did what we were doing, the number of cases would be through the roof." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7101, + "raw_confidence": 0.7101, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So we do these testing, so we have thousands and thousands of cases. Other countries, you know when they do the test? When somebody walks into a hospital and they're sick. They walk into a hospital and they're sick." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, it is being fast-tracked. Many people, I mean, you're bringing up one example, but many people are saying, We can't believe how fast it's working. And again, no country in the entire world is doing what we're doing. We're going out to all areas of this country, in parking lots where cars line up to get tested." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6674, + "raw_confidence": 0.6674, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Nobody's doing that. They're getting tested at hospitals. They're getting tested at doctors' offices. They're getting tested if they don't feel good. If somebody doesn't feel good, they get, we're testing people that have no symptoms. They feel fine." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7471, + "raw_confidence": 0.7471, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We're doing testing I don't say too much because it can lead to a trend and you can find out where it's happening, so I don't say too much. But it's fodder for the fake news media to go after Trump, because we will always show many more cases than other countries that don't do testing. You have countries that don't do testing." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7918, + "raw_confidence": 0.7918, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Now, President Obama and Joe Biden, they stopped testing. They had a much lesser event. It was a much lesser problem than this, but they stopped. All of a sudden they went cold turkey and they stopped testing. You know why? Because cases were showing up." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1718, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, when I repost a tweet I'm just giving I didn't make a comment." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I did, I reposted a tweet that a lot of people feel, but all I'm doing is making a comment. I'm just putting somebody's voice out there. There are many voices. There are many people that think we shouldn't do this kind of testing because all we do it's a trap. I watched your network numerous times. I'm one of the few that watch it. But I watched your network numerous times over the last couple of weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7884, + "raw_confidence": 0.7884, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You keep talking about cases. You don't talk about death. We have one of the lowest mortality rates in the world. That means people dying. We have one of the lowest in the world. And it's down, as you know, tenfold. Nobody talks about that. You don't talk about it. Nobody does. All you talk about is cases." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, I like Dr. Fauci. To me, he's a really good guy and a nice guy, but he's made mistakes. He said very strongly very strongly Don't ban China from coming in. That was in January, very early. I did it. I went against his order" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Excuse me. You have to hear this." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5268, + "raw_confidence": 0.5268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So, Dr. Fauci, who again, is a good man, I like him. He said very strongly, No, no, no, you don't have to ban. Don't ban China. He said, Don't ban Europe. I banned China. I banned Europe. If I didn't and then he told me, and I hope he told other people, that hundreds of thousands of lives would have been lost had I not banned them." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7907, + "raw_confidence": 0.7907, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "If I didn't ban China, highly infected, from coming in we've lost 132,000 lives as of now" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Excuse me, wait a minute. Hundreds of thousands more lives if I didn't ban China. And by the way, I was the only one that wanted to do it. Months early. Nancy Pelosi, a month later, was talking about there's no problem. She was celebrating on the streets of Chinatown in San Francisco." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "So wait a minute. Dr. Fauci also came out strongly against masks. And then he wants a mask. So I'm not knocking him. I get along with him very well. But he's made some mistakes." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2386, + "raw_confidence": 0.7614, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I would tell parents and teachers that you should find yourself a new person, whoever's in charge of that decision, 'cause it's a terrible decision, because children and parents are dying from that trauma, too. They're dying because they can't do what they're doing. Mothers can't go to work because all of a sudden they have to stay home and watch their child, and fathers." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "What's happening, you know, there's a tremendous strain on that whole side of the equation also." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "It is a balancing act, but we have to open our schools. We have learned one thing very strongly. Young people are in great shape when it comes to the coronavirus or whatever you want to call it. Young people are very, very, very much in good shape. And without question, they should open their schools, keep 'em safe, practice distancing, wash your hands." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3436, + "raw_confidence": 0.6564, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Do masks if you feel it's necessary in between the children. You gotta do something. Protect the teachers. When it comes to a teacher that's over a certain age, whether it's 55 or 60, you make a determination, they shouldn't come in or they should be very strongly protected" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Of course. Of course, but the children should be you have to open your schools. It's having a devastating effect on other people. I also say a decision like that is politics because we're starting to do very well in the polls because I'm for law and order, I'm for strong business. Our jobs are coming back at a record level like never we've never seen anything like it. Record level." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.197, + "raw_confidence": 0.803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "We're heading up. It's turning out to be the V just like, I built it once before, the strongest economy ever. I'm doing it again. And they don't want that to happen because they think" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7491, + "raw_confidence": 0.7491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They is the Democrats. And the radical left, okay. The Democrats are controlled by the radical left and the media." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7877, + "raw_confidence": 0.7877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "The Democrats are controlled by the media and the radical left, okay? By you, by the media and the radical left. That's who controls them." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Okay, whatever. But the Democrats are controlled by the media and the radical left, okay? And anybody that says differently is a fool. And they don't want schools open because that's a good thing for our country. That's a good thing. And they figure if they can delay school openings till after November 3rd, they have an advantage in the polls." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I don't think so because Joe Biden has been a failure. Joe Biden, if you look at him, 47 years, all of a sudden today he comes out, he announces that he's a Greenie. That there'll be no petroleum products within a very short period of time. That means Texas is not gonna do oil anymore. That means we're gonna have to close most of our factories and plants." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8001, + "raw_confidence": 0.8001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "All of a sudden, after 47 years, Joe Biden became a Greenie, a member of the Green Party." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "No, but some guidelines were extremely tough. They wanted plastic in between every desk. They wanted, you know, plexiglass, which I know, being a builder, I said, That's gonna cost a fortune. And it's not a very nice setting. But they had plexiglass in between desks. Tremendously, I think it's a I just don't think it's acceptable." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I don't even know if it's doable if you look at it times millions and millions of students. So some things I think are just a step too far. But washing hands? Absolutely. Doing all of the things that we're talking about. But when you come to setting up and making dividers in between students out of plexiglass, it would be prohibitively expensive, number one." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And it would be I think a bad environment for students." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I don't know. I've done a great job. And now I have to do it again. I was sailing to a win. Sailing. We were sailing right into a win. We had the greatest economy ever for our country and for the world. China had the worst year they've had in 67 years because of what I did to them with tariffs and other things." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And we were sailing to an easy victory. And then all of a sudden, the plague came in from China. And now I'm doing it again. I have to do it all over again, unfortunately. I did the right thing. We closed it. We now understand what we're doing. We're gonna put out those flames in Miami and various places you have flames." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "In California, all of a sudden, it flamed out it flamed up. But here's the thing. I have to do it again. And we are doing it. Record job numbers. Stock market is almost as high now as it was when the plague came in. Think of that. The stock market, everyone thought the stock market was going down to zero." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Actually, Nasdaq is higher. Nasdaq, one of the components, Nasdaq is higher than it was. So when you look at it and when you say it's amazing. If Joe Biden ever took you know the biggest problem I have to have the stocks even higher is the possibility that Joe Biden gets elected. That's a huge downward pull on the stock market." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Oh, absolutely. The stock market would be much higher, except for the fact that if he got in, the stock market will crash. You will be in a depression You will be in a depression like in 1929 if Joe Biden gets in. He's gonna put back all the regulations. He's gonna triple everybody's taxes. You'll be in a depression the likes of which you've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3344, + "raw_confidence": 0.6656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "All I say is freedom of speech. It's very simple. My attitude is freedom of speech. Very strong views on the Confederate flag. With me, it's freedom of speech. Very simple. Like it, don't like it. It's freedom of speech." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You know, it depends on what your definition is. But I am comfortable with freedom of speech. It's very simple." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, people love it and I don't view, I know people that like the Confederate flag and they're not thinking about slavery. I look at NASCAR, you go to NASCAR, you had those flags all over the place. They stopped it. I just think it's freedom of speech, whether it's Confederate flags or Black Lives Matter or anything else you wanna talk about." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1845, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "And so are White people. So are White people. What a terrible question to ask. So are White people. More White people, by the way. More White people." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, I think what, the biggest thing I can do is success. And that was happening, because we were just about there. We had the best economy ever. We had the best job numbers, best African American numbers, Hispanic American, Asian American, women, everything. The best numbers we've ever had in the history of our country, before China hit us with a plague." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1969, + "raw_confidence": 0.8031, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I'm not interested right now in talking to China." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Look, we made a great trade deal. But as soon as the deal was done, the ink wasn't even dry, and they hit us with the plague, okay? So right now, I'm not interested in talking to China about another deal. I'm interested in doing other things with China." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You'll see. You'll see. It's not for you, it's for me." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You'll be watching. You'll be watching. And by the way, Biden, he doesn't have a clue. His son walked out with money to manage, where he makes hundreds of thousands of dollars a year. And you go to anybody on Wall Street, ask, Is that possible? They'll tell you the smartest people on Wall Street couldn't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Nobody could do that. His son walked out with $1.5 billion to manage and he didn't manage. He was unemployed. And then you look at what happened in Ukraine, where his son remember, where's Hunter? People forget all about that stuff. If that were ever me, if that were ever me, it would be the biggest scandal in history." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7943, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "With him, or the prosecutor, we're not giving you the $1 billion unless you do this or that. Basically, get his son out of trouble. If that were me, you'd see something." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2289, + "raw_confidence": 0.7711, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Free. Roger's free. Look, Roger Stone and you know this more than anybody, because when you were at Fox, you covered it fairly. Now, you don't cover it quite the same way, unfortunately. But that's okay. Roger Stone was treated terribly by a gang of people that did, in my opinion, a totally illegal act." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3571, + "raw_confidence": 0.6429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Russia, Russia, Russia. It was a phony deal. They shoulda known that on the first day. They did know it on the first day. Wait till you see what's coming out. You're gonna have to see. So he got caught with Mueller and all of his henchmen, where they spent $45 million trying to take down a president who was totally innocent." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, you'll have to ask that to Attorney General Barr. Let's see what's happening." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I'm not gonna say because I've totally taken myself out of it. Maybe I shouldn't have. I'm not, I don't have to. There's no legal reason. But I will tell you this. What Roger Stone was put through, and then they have a jury foreman who turned out to be a Roger Stone hater, and probably a Trump hater. And then they have a judge who did things that nobody's ever seen what a judge like this, what she did what she did take a look at what she's done to people." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.179, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "He was treated very, very unfairly, just like General Flynn was treated very unfairly. And now, he's been proven to be right, and they still don't the system still doesn't wanna release him. General Flynn is a good man. Roger Stone, what happened to him shouldn't ever be allowed to happen to anybody. And yet, you have Comey and you have McCabe, and you have Lisa Strzok and her lover, and you have all these people walking around free as a bird." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Well, let's see what happens. But they're the guilty ones. And let me just give you one final statement. They spied on my campaign. And the one who spied on my campaign was President Obama and sleepy Joe Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Obama spied on my campaign. And so did Biden. And if this were the other way around and you know this better than anybody. I know you've gone to the other side when you go to CBS" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You certainly have. You certainly have. But let me just tell you, Obama and Biden spied on my campaign using intelligence. They knew everything that was going on. They were in charge of it. And they got caught. Now, let's see if something happens. But they spied on my campaign. If that were the other way around, people would've been in jail for 50 years and it woulda started." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Their sentence woulda started two years ago. Thank you very much. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2612, + "raw_confidence": 0.7388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I don't think he's gonna need a pardon because he's been proven to be innocent. I don't think he's gonna need a pardon. Remember this, they keep saying he lied. He didn't lie. The FBI didn't think he was lying. It was only Mueller and his henchmen that said he was lying. And the Mueller thing, after years of going through it, they said, No collusion, about me. There was no collusion." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "But they knew that. And you know this. You won't report it anymore. In the old days, you would report" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7743, + "raw_confidence": 0.7743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "They knew this in the first week that there was no collusion. But they took me two years. And this should never happen to another president again." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2338, + "raw_confidence": 0.7662, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I would rather you have to understand. I was given information that he lied. But now, I see that he didn't lie because the FBI didn't think he lied. I was told that he lied because Sally Yates came over and she said I guess it was her, I don't know. But she said that he lied. And interestingly and the document she was basing this on, the next day and she didn't give us a copy of the document." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7439, + "raw_confidence": 0.7439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "The next day, they were given to The Washington Post or The New York Times. That would mean that she probably gave those documents." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "Okay. Sally Yates came over, said he was lying. And then all of a sudden, she must've given those documents to The Washington Post or The New York Times" + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "You don't know, you should find out. You should try finding out. Because she came over, she said he lied. But then we find out that the FBI disagreed with her. The FBI said he didn't lie. And he's gone through hell. He's been destroyed. But he'll make a comeback. He's gonna make a great comeback." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "I would. I think he's a great gentleman. He's a great he's been in the military for many, many decades, actually. Highly respected. What General Flynn went through is so unfair. And he's still going through it. If he were a Democrat, that would have never happened, number one. And number two, if it did happen, it would've been an immediate exoneration." + }, + { + "tid": "trump-interview-cbs-20200714", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4089, + "raw_confidence": 0.5911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-cbs-catherine-herridge-july-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-14", + "claim_text": "With us, it's always harder. But in the meantime, I'm here. And they're not." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Hello Wisconsin. It's great to be with you. There are a lot of people on this call tonight. I'm thrilled to talk with you today about the critical decision Americans will make on November 3rd and the path forward to our country and for our country and for victory. This election is about the very survival of our nation." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1837, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "This is the most important election. It's a choice between the safety and patriotism and prosperity offered by our movement and the anarchy, chaos, crime, socialism promised by Joe Biden and a group of people from the very, very radical left that have taken him along for the ride." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7646, + "raw_confidence": 0.7646, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, Joe announced that his advisors had chosen Kamala Harris, the most liberal senator in the senate and a member of the senate, not necessarily the one you'd want to have, but one that we'd like as an opponent, because she folded up very badly in the primaries." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "In the primaries, she was expected to do okay and she ended up not even going through the first state. She ended up leaving at almost zero vote. Her voting record was less than and considered further left than super socialist Bernie Sanders. She had the most socialist record. Harris supports defunding the police and she chaired LA's decision to viciously slash the police budget." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2854, + "raw_confidence": 0.7146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Kamala also said she opposes putting more police on the streets to protect community safety and reduce violent crime, and even suggested that suburban communities are safer because there are fewer police rather than the fact that they have fewer crimes. The fact is that they want to take the police out of suburbia." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They also want to approve low income housing for suburbia. I ended that. Harris is one of the first democrats to co-sponsor Bernie Sanders' single payer socialist takeover of healthcare. Would be a disaster, which would cost $32 trillion. That's more than our country makes. That's more than our country has on a gross basis." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3673, + "raw_confidence": 0.6327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Would cost more than we have... Bernie Sanders tried it with his own state and it never worked, never even came close to it, never even instituted it. And it would bankrupt our country. Medicare for seniors and all of the things that would be destroyed. You would lose Medicare for seniors. She said that she supports eliminating private health insurance, and 180 million people that are very happy with their health insurance would lose that." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They'd no longer have their doctor. You've heard this before. They'd no longer have their plan. Harris is a cosponsor of the insane $100 trillion Green New Deal, a socialist takeover of the entire economy that would eliminate oil, coal, natural gas, virtually everything. It would obliterate our country. It is the work of a child." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Along with Joe Biden, Harris raised her hand and pledged to give taxpayer funded healthcare to illegal aliens. She supports open borders, which is crazy. And as you know, we're building a wall and we're doing very well, among the best records ever in terms of stopping other than the people you need for helping you with your farms." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7087, + "raw_confidence": 0.7087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We stopped illegal aliens and very dangerous ones from coming in. We're up to almost 280 miles of border wall. It'll be completed around the end of the year. She raised her hand and supporting decriminalizing. She wants to decriminalize illegal border crossing. She voted no on the wall. She fought us like wild in the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6423, + "raw_confidence": 0.6423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Now you don't hear anybody talking about the wall because we won. And she said yes on deadly sanctuary city. She wants to release... Essentially what happens, they released violent criminal aliens into their custody and onto the streets. Kamala Harris embraced an unconstitutional religious test to prevent Catholics from serving as federal judges." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7857, + "raw_confidence": 0.7857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "She voted in favor of extreme late term abortion and supports taxpayer funding of abortion nationwide and she supports confiscating guns from law-abiding citizens. She will either obliterate, get rid of, or do something with your second amendment, probably try terminating it, if I don't win as president." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3044, + "raw_confidence": 0.6956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I have totally protected guns and your second amendment along with many other things. If Biden and Harris get into power, they will destroy America. We will never let it happen. Our stock market would crash. Our stocks, our 401ks, our jobs, everything would go down. It would be worse than 1929. With your help, we're going to win this historic victory." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We have no choice. As you know, Joe Biden refuses to come to Wisconsin next week for his own convention. He canceled it. He's not even going to pay... and now maybe after he hears about this call, he will, but he's not even going to pay the respect of at least making it a stop over. The Democrats are once again ignoring the incredible people of Wisconsin." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And that's something I never did, because you had the best year you've ever had last year, and you're looking like you're going to have it again this coming year, but they're going to ignore Wisconsin just like they did in 2016. They ignored. They never even went there. I love the Badger State. So many friends there." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1786, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I'll be there, as a matter of fact, on Monday and many times throughout the campaign and beyond. I want to thank some of the great republicans who are fighting right by our side, Senator Ron Johnson, who's a warrior. He's a champion. He's incredible what he's done. He's looking for the corruption and all of the horrible things that took place with regard to spying on the Trump campaign." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We caught them cold and Ron Johnson's a big part of catching them and he's working very hard and very smart. Great guy. Congressman Jim Sensenbrenner, Mike Gallagher, Brian Stile, Tom Tiffany, Glenn Grossman and GOP chairman Andrew Hitt. Great, great people. I also want to recognize two terrific candidates for congress who are going to do tremendously well, Derek van Orden and Scott Fitzgerald." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "These are all great people. They're warriors. They're all warriors, every one of them. They've been with me all the way. Hopefully you'll get them all back into office and we won't have any difficulty because we're going to take back the house. We are going to literally take back the house and that's looking like more and more it's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We'll have the house. We hopefully hold the senate and we're fighting hard for that. We have to fight very, very hard for that, but we'll hold the senate and we'll definitely hold the White House. We achieved record low unemployment for African Americans, Hispanic Americans, Asians, women, young people, every single group, people with a high school diploma, without a high school diploma, college students, high level PhDs." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Every single group was a record in Wisconsin. And as I said, it was the best year in the history of Wisconsin by far. When the China virus invaded our country, we had no choice but to shut down our economy. We saved millions and millions of lives and then we have to reopen. And now we're reopening and we're setting records in doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We gained nine million jobs and that's a record. Wages have increased nearly 5% and retail sales have risen again at a record pace. We're looking like we are going to be doing a very, very strong... if you call it anyway, call it an arrow straight upward. The numbers are phenomenal looking for this quarter." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "This current quarter, we're setting records, and we're going to have one of the best years ever, maybe comparable to what we had last year before the plague came in. Should have been stopped. They should've never let it happen. Congressional democrats are blocking additional China virus relief. They're demanding bailouts for badly run Blue States that's run by democrat governors and democrat mayors, and they want to ban voter ID and they want to ban stimulus payments." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They don't want you to get stimulus payments, and we're doing just the opposite with my executive orders. They want to release the dangerous criminal aliens and convicted felons onto the street. I refuse to let democrats hold America hostage. That's why I took the executive action signing executive orders to freeze the evictions." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7811, + "raw_confidence": 0.7811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're freezing evictions. It's not their fault that China let this happen. Provide an extra $400 per week in additional unemployment benefits, suspend payments on interest on student loans, so we're going to suspend payments on interest and student loans and create a very large payroll tax... complete payroll tax holiday." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2161, + "raw_confidence": 0.7839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, China would be helpfully accountable for its lies and deceit that unleashed the China virus upon the world. America is winning the war against the virus. Three vaccine candidates are in the final phase of clinical trials, and we expect to have a vaccine available before the end of the year, far ahead of schedule." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2331, + "raw_confidence": 0.7669, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And there's never been an administration would have been even years close to where we are. We've done in months what the previous administration or any administration would have taken years to do. And we'll be having a vaccine very soon. It's coming out really well and we're going to have therapeutics, which frankly, to me, even more important, you'd get transfusions in the hospital or you'd get a shot and you'd get better." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I think it's the most important thing and we're very close to having that final answer also. We're also speeding the development of the hundreds of new therapeutics and treatments that we have, and it will be delivered through our US military, the greatest in the world. They're going to be delivering it." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Everybody will have access to all of this new product very quickly. Through to the Paycheck Protection Program, we provided nearly $10 billion to over 87,000 small businesses in your state saving one million Wisconsin jobs. Wisconsin had your best year. You would have had a year that would have been horrible if we didn't do what we did." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've also delivered more than $5 billion in economic impact payments straight to Wisconsin families. And we're restoring law and order to democrat-run and badly run cities that allowed writers to run wild even this weekend. And we're not letting them go into other areas and in republican cities, we have no problems." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We don't have the problems. They have massive problems, whether it's New York or Portland or Chicago. You see television just like everybody else. The FBI has opened 300 domestic terror investigations. We stopped them from knocking down statues and monuments. I signed another executive order giving a 10 year prison sentence for anybody that knocks down a statue or a monument, and it's an incredible thing what happens, but all of a sudden it just stopped." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You're not surprised. I know Wisconsin. I know you're not surprised at all when you hear that. That's just . By contrast, Joe Biden would flood our neighborhoods with dangerous criminals by abolishing cash bail, if you can believe that one. He'd also totally, and he does totally support sanctuary cities, which are a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1829, + "raw_confidence": 0.8171, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Last year in the region, ICE arrested more than 6,000 criminal aliens. That's in your region, charged or convicted of heinous crimes, including rape and murder. Biden would set them all free. That's what they're looking to do. We're protecting Wisconsin farmers and manufacturers from unfair trade. When China targeted our farmers, we provided $28 billion in relief to the farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3842, + "raw_confidence": 0.6158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We replaced the disaster known as NAFTA with a brand new USMCA, which is already turning out to be a great deal. NAFTA was one of the worst ever, and dairy exports are expected to surge by at least 50% in a very short period of time. And you already see it happening. We're bringing vital medical supply chains back to American soil." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I recently signed an executive order requiring government agencies to purchase essential medicines from American sources. We're moving it back. And I got elected. That was one of the very major things. I got elected on that. I'm the first president to lower drug prices in 51 years. And I signed an order that will be making us, giving us favorite nation status so that we will be able to get for the same prices as the lowest country in the world charges." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Whether it's Germany or anybody else, we get the same prices. That'll lower prescription drug prices by 50, 60 or 70%. The bad news is that they're taking big ads about me and they're trying to do anything they can to defeat us along with China would like to defeat us and Russia would like to defeat us and everybody would like to... Iran would like to." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They would own our country if that happens. With Joe Biden, they'd own our country. If we get elected, which I think we will, based on what I'm seeing, but if we got elected, what we are doing is incredible. If Biden gets elected, China will own our country. The Iran deal will be a disaster. It will turn out to be a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And frankly, they're all waiting to see what happens on November 3rd. If we win, we'll have a new deal within months with Iran and anybody else, because they're just waiting. They would much rather negotiate with sleepy Joe Biden. We're requiring government agencies to hire American. The Tennessee Valley Authority... You heard all about this catastrophe... replaced 20% of its American technology workers with foreign workers, so I fired the board chairman." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Now the layoffs have been reversed and they just announced they're hiring all of the workers, the previous workers, the American workers back. We've invested more than $2.5 trillion in our military. And that is a record. And we had a depleted military, a military that was in sad shape. And now we have the newest, best military in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And all of that equipment is made in the USA, including 2.5... We invested... think of it... 2.5 trillion, but we had a big new contract with Marinette Marine and Wisconsin. They're going to be building new warships and they're building them really well. It's a great company. I was out there about two months ago." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "A great company. We now have over 280 miles of wall and that's what's made the difference in terms of our numbers on the border, which are fantastic now. We passed Veterans Choice and Veterans Accountability, and we've gotten rid of a lot of people because of accountability, which nobody thought could be passed." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Whether it's choice or accountability, we've gotten rid of a lot of people that didn't love our veterans. And now we have a 91% approval rating from the veterans, the highest number by far in history. We're working with governors to safely reopen our schools in the fall. And I'm also fighting for school choice." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "You have to have school choice. Every parent should be able to send their child to the public or private charter, religious or independent school of their choice. And we want to do that. And the democrats are totally opposed to it because they are totally in the pocket of the unions. We passed the largest package of tax cuts and regulation cuts in American history, saving the average family of four more than $5,000 per year." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We've ended the war on American energy, and we're now a net exporter of energy and the average gas price nationwide is roughly $2 a gallon and even less in many cases. We'll be appointing by the end of this year in excess of 300 federal judges and court of appeals judges. Think of that. 300. That's a record, federal judges and court of appeals judges, including two great new Supreme Court justices." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1698, + "raw_confidence": 0.8302, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "And it's been an incredible moment because people have said that the appointment of judges and Supreme Court justices is the most important thing a president can do. Frankly, I think maybe what I did with our military was even more so, but you could also go into the great trade deals we've made. We had the worst deals ever." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2121, + "raw_confidence": 0.7879, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We have now great deals. Biden has been an absolute train wreck on joining with Bernie Sanders with his manifesto. I call it the Sanders manifesto, which means that Joe, who's a puppet of the radical left, is now running as the most extreme left wing candidate in the history of our country with the most extreme running mate in history." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Biden has vowed to defund the police and take away your guns and Biden America, you and your family will never be safe. Hopefully you'll never get to experience that. Biden supported every globalist attack on the American worker from NAFTA to TPP to the horrible South Korea deal and China's entry into the World Trade Organization." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2178, + "raw_confidence": 0.7822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "America lost nearly 10,000 factories while Biden was vice president. He was a disaster. He voted for the war in Iraq. He voted for mass amnesty. Now Biden wants to raise your taxes by double and triple and quadruple in some cases, pack the courts with radical far left judges, destroy your 401ks, your stocks, and everything else, indoctrinate your children with some of the hate that you read coming out of the schools that we've ended, open your borders and rip down the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7851, + "raw_confidence": 0.7851, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "He wants to abolish borders. He wants to stop all deportations, end prosecutions of illegal border crossers, support sanctuary cities, incentivize illegal alien child smuggling, provide tax payer funded lawyers for illegal aliens, provide government healthcare for illegal aliens... think of that... government healthcare for illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Everybody is going to be incentivized to come to the United States. They get healthcare, they get college. He wants free community colleges. He wants to give free community college for illegal aliens, end all travel bans, including from jihadist regions. I instituted the travel ban on China when the virus was looked at and seen for the first time and I instituted travel bans and it was approved by the United States Supreme Court." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7854, + "raw_confidence": 0.7854, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Grant mass amnesty. He wants to end it. Wants to grant mass amnesty, end cash bail, releasing very dangerous criminals onto the street, increase refugee admissions by... listen to this... 700%, refugee admissions by 700%, incentivize prison closure and provide free federal housing for former prisoners, mandate net zero carbon emissions for homes and offices and all new buildings and power plants." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Your electric bills would skyrocket while China will still keep on polluting. He wants to end school choice and abolish charter schools, eliminate single family zoning, which would abolish the suburbs, would destroy the suburbs. And as you know, I ended low income housing going into the suburbs, which for men and women living in the suburbs, it's the greatest thing that ever could have happened." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.214, + "raw_confidence": 0.786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "If for any reason he wins, he's going to put Cory Booker of all people in charge and they're going to double up and triple up what they were doing. They were destroying large sections of our beautiful suburbs. With your help, we will defeat Joe Biden and the radical left democrats, because that's what they've turned out to be." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7802, + "raw_confidence": 0.7802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "Everyone's winning in congress in their primaries it seems to me. They beat Engel Eliot. Engel, he was a democrat, a liberal democrat, and they beat him with a radical left democrat. And they're knocking off a lot of the saner democrats and it's turning into a radical left party, but we're doing a lot about it." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We will unleash the full power of the American economy. We have to win on November 3rd. We created an unprecedented economic miracle, an unprecedented miracle, I will tell you, economically, and we'll do it again. We had the greatest we've ever had prior to the plague coming in from China. We'll shut down and illegal immigration and we'll finish up the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We'll be tough on China, demanding accountability and fair trade, which we've been doing. We're taking in billions and billions of dollars of tariffs. We never took in 10 cents from China. We'll bring medical manufacturing and critical supply chains back. We'll root out anti-American bias in our public schools and colleges." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We'll end big assault on free speech. We will defend your God-given rights to bear arms. We will protect your second amendment. We will protect your right to have guns. We will protect your God-given and defend strongly your God-given right to bear arms. We'll support the heroes of law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We'll defund sanctuary cities. We'll create an immigration system based on merit. They come in, they love our country based on merit so they can help us. We'll bring in our troops and we're going to bring them home from Afghanistan and all these far away lands. We're in the process of completing it all. We brought in thousands of thousands of troops." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We're bringing them back home and we're going to end the ridiculous, endless wars that we've been fighting for 20 years in parts of the world that most of you have never even heard of. We'll drain the Washington swamp. We'll continue to do it. Nobody's done it like I've done it. And it's not easy. You can see that." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7981, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "We got people that caught us in an illegal witch hunt. They were spying on the Trump campaign and they got caught. That includes President Obama. That includes Vice President Biden and all of their minions. They got caught spying. Never happened. Probably the worst political crime in the history of our country, but we're going to make America great again, greater than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.188, + "raw_confidence": 0.812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "I really appreciate the support from Wisconsin. We won it in '16. And I think we're going to win it again based on what I'm looking at and hearing. I want to thank everybody. If you can, get out and vote. So important. This is going to be the most important election in our country's history. There's never been anything like this with the radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "TT61UWM-jgU", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1573, + "raw_confidence": 0.8427, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-wisconsin-august-12-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-12", + "claim_text": "They have gone totally... and they're crazed. They have gone totally wild. You look at what they're doing in different places, but we'll stop them. We'll make our country greater than ever before. Thank you very much, and we appreciate it. And Wisconsin, I appreciate all of that support for so many years and I've reciprocated totally and I appreciate it very much. I'll be there very soon. Thank you very much, Wisconsin." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2859, + "raw_confidence": 0.7141, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Hello, North Carolina a very special place. We've had some great victories there and we're going to keep it going. You've had the best years you've ever had over the last three years. And we had to close it up for a little while our country to save millions of lives and we've done that. And now, we're coming back with record job numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You've seen that and it's really going to be great. We'll have a phenomenal year next year. It's all heading that way, but I'm thrilled to talk to you all today about the critical decision facing our country this November, November 3rd to be exact." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The election is about the very survival, our nation. It's about survival because you see what's going on. You take a look at Portland. This is the people that we're dealing with. And as you know, we sent in some very powerful law enforcement a few days ago and shook it up, and they're doing very well, very easy for them." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But somebody had to do it. And if they're not going to do it, we're going to have to do it and that play that includes other places as well because the radical-left Democrats, which is where our country would go if Biden got elected. Because it's not going to be him, it's going to be people that totally control him." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They're going radical left and that's going to be unbelievably bad for our stock markets and our jobs and everything else. It will be we'll be in a position just like Venezuela. Twenty years ago it was one of the wealthiest nations in the world and per capita one of the wealthiest. And now, it's they don't have water, they don't have medicine, they don't even have food." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2277, + "raw_confidence": 0.7723, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "So it's a choice between the law and order and patriotism and prosperity, safety offered by our movement, and the anarchy and chaos and crime and socialism. It's pure socialism and probably beyond socialism. I think it's even a step beyond socialism promised by the radical-left wing mob and their puppet." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.762, + "raw_confidence": 0.762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden is a puppet. You all know that. You see him. You watch, you watch his answers to questions." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He doesn't even know what's being asked. I love the great State of North Carolina. I was looking forward to having our Republican National Convention there. That was going to be incredible. But unfortunately, your Governor, Roy Cooper decided to give away potentially hundreds of millions of dollars, made it impossible for us to go. We're actually going to spend one day because I like the state so much." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2645, + "raw_confidence": 0.7355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We're going to our first day we're going there. That would be Monday and we're going to have a lot of our delegates there and we're going to do everything we can. But Roy Cooper said you can't have people meeting in a room. He actually told me the most you can have meeting we have a 19,000-seat center as you know, and he said the most you can have is 10 people because that's what the rules are, 10 people." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He actually said that. I don't know. I guess he meant it. He'd think he thought he could start negotiating from there but he didn't really want to negotiate. He wanted to give it up. So we're going to go there on a Monday and we're going to then go someplace else." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4523, + "raw_confidence": 0.5477, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "As you know, we're all signed up ready to go, ready to build the arena. It was going to be great and the coronavirus, in all fairness, that's the problem, but we could have made a deal to have the convention in North Carolina where we wanted it. And as a result, the State of North Carolina is going to lose all of those jobs and millions and millions of dollars." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And I would recommend strongly that you vote for Dan Bishop. He's a great gentleman. He's a great what Dan Bishop is a great guy and running for Congress and we want you to vote for Dan Bishop. We want you to vote for Greg Murphy. We want you to vote for all of these incredible people and we have a man." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I believe he's on the phone right now, Senator Thom Tillis. He's done a fantastic job. Your Lieutenant Governor who is running against against Cooper is Dan Forest and I hope you give him a real good look because he's fantastic. He's been he's been with us all the way, all the way. Dan Forest is your Lieutenant Governor." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "He's running for Governor. He wants to help us. He wants to do a fantastic job and he will do a fantastic job. But you Congressman from Dan Bishop to Greg Murphy and you remember the great victory that we had there. Patrick McHenry who's incredible, fantastic guy. Virginia Foxx, we all know Virginia. Richard Hudson, Congressman David Rouzer, Congressman Ted Budd to name a few and they are warriors." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I say it. And then, you had the Dan Bishop win and Greg Murphy win that same night. They're all warriors really. Thom Tillis has been fantastic. We had disagreements early on and after that it was it's been great. He's been a great Senator, a great help to me, and we really have you have a fantastic team there." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But you look at those Congressional candidate. You look at the Congressional, not candidates, some of them, most of them are in office now. Fortunately, with Bishop and with with Murphy, you had some some a night that was a night to remember. That was a night that was supposed to be either close or they were supposed to lose and they each won easily." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3373, + "raw_confidence": 0.6627, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They won by a lot and that was sort of the beginning of what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I also want to thank GOP Chairman, Michael Whatley. He was on the phone. He's been fantastic for North Carolina and he's been a friend of ours. He's doing an incredible job, but all of those people, they need your support. Since my inauguration, I've been fighting for the hardworking patriots of North Carolina like never before." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I owe a lot to the state. I think that the people are great. I know that people. I'm an investor in North Carolina and Lake Norman area. You know where that is and you know exactly what we've done. We've had a great success there, local success. But we want to defend North Carolina farmers and workers and tobacco growers." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You know, we're working to help your tobacco growers." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You do a fantastic job and everybody knows that Mark Meadows is his Chief of Staff, comes from wonderful North Carolina. He's doing an incredible job and he's always out making sure that, whether it's your farmers or your workers or your manufacturers, anything you want he's. always there. One of the things we do discuss is tobacco and we've got that where people are very happy with what's going on and what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.784, + "raw_confidence": 0.784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We officially replaced a disaster known as NAFTA with a brand new USMCA. The USMCA is expected to create over 176,000 new American jobs and add $68 billion to our economy. And we think the numbers are actually going to be much higher than that. But it's going to be fantastic for North Carolina, for our farmers, and for our manufacturers." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7214, + "raw_confidence": 0.7214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Through the Paycheck Protection Program that you know and we're right now working on a Phase 4." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2795, + "raw_confidence": 0.7205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We provided more than $12 billion so that 120,000 North Carolina small businesses could continue paying their workers and that's working out very well. As you know, we're negotiating to get other things, including extensions on that. But we're looking very much forward to it. We're looking to get that expanded and extended." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7421, + "raw_confidence": 0.7421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I stood up for you with respect to historic tariffs that I placed on China. They've never had it. Nobody has ripped off this country more than China. I've been talking about it for a long time. One of the reasons I ran for office, not only China it's many other countries, almost everybody. But we not only did a termination of NAFTA in the USMCA." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.796, + "raw_confidence": 0.796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We made a trade deal with China, but then, of course, the plague came in from China. They could have stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They should have stopped it. They had absolutely the ability to do it, they didn't. It went all over the world. And right now, it's all over the world. You know, if you watch the fake news, listen to the fake news, you think we're the only country. I just heard from another broadcast. It's all over the world and a lot of countries are suffering unbelievably, greatly." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4948, + "raw_confidence": 0.5052, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's a very sad, very bad what China did to us. So I looked at the trade deal. I we made a great deal. By the way, they're buying a lot. They're buying a lot of corn, a lot of soybeans, a lot of everything but I view it differently. I view the whole relationship a lot really much more differently than I did at one point because we were happy with the deal." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2555, + "raw_confidence": 0.7445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It was a great deal for us." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2074, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But when the plague came in, I viewed it a lot more differently, and that's the way it is. Under my administration, China will be held accountable for the lies and deceit that unleashed the China virus on our world, upon the world, the whole world. A hundred and eighty-eight countries are suffering with it and many are in the midst of it. Some are just starting it. Some are finishing it, but the whole world has suffered." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But we've marshaled every power at America's disposal to defeat the virus and through operation we call it Operation Warp Speed. We're rapidly developing therapies and vaccines. We have therapeutic. We have therapies that are are really coming online and vaccines that are looking very good. So good that we expect to have 100 million doses of a vaccine available before the end of the year and it could be very significantly before the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7938, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Tremendous progress has been made and you know all the things that we've done with ventilators. We took over. I always say the cupboards were bare when I took over." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6554, + "raw_confidence": 0.6554, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We the cupboards were bare, just like our military was in very bad shape when I took over. This was in very bad shape and a lot of the Governors and states didn't do what they were supposed to be doing. Some did a very good job working with us, others didn't. I'll let you know at the end who the good ones and the bad ones were." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2001, + "raw_confidence": 0.7999, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But we had some that did a good job and some and they run their states and some that didn't. But they needed help, they needed ventilators. They needed a lot of different things and we ended up with very few ventilators. We weren't in that world. We ended up going to town, not since the Second World War has anything been done like we've done on ventilators." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7734, + "raw_confidence": 0.7734, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And then you look at the testing. We have the strongest testing in the world. In fact, so strong that in some ways it maybe makes us look a little bad. Because because we test so much we're up to almost 50 million tests." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2129, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "No country in the world is even close and we have the best tests. But we find cases, other countries don't look for cases. They just test on people that have problems, people that have symptoms, people that aren't feeling well, but we're doing almost up to 50 million tests. Nobody has done that and I've been congratulated by a lot of the experts, but the media never congratulated congratulates us. It's literally a one-way street." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But we're all set on vaccines as soon as it happens, and we're doing really well as I said, and therapeutics. So it's going to be that would be fantastic and we're very and we believe we're very close. So close that we're ready to start moving and we hope that's going to be very soon, even long before the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "That'll be a great thing. So we're working very hard, working with our military, working with our great doctors and nurses, and all of the incredible and very brave medical people. We have a very low mortality rate compared to the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You've been seeing that and people don't talk about that too much, but we have one of the lowest mortality rates. Some people say we have the lowest mortality rate, fatality rate, sometimes they say, but mortality rate. After years of devastating budget cuts also, we're rebuilding the awesome power of our U.S. military, investing more than $2.5 trillion in new tanks and planes, ships, missiles, and well-deserved pay raises." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We gave more pay raises, I believe than anybody. We gave significant pay raises to our military. We're defending your military from the onslaught of your radical left that don't want to give anything to the military." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2937, + "raw_confidence": 0.7063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They view the military as a unfortunately, a an expense that they don't want to have go up. They want to have it come down, but I had to rebuild the military. We've just about completed that. The new equipment is coming in, the F-35s and all of the different equipment that we've been ordering is coming in. And frankly, it's been an incredible process." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4025, + "raw_confidence": 0.5975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We've rebuilt the military. We've taken care of our vets. Our vets were treated horribly. If you look and you see, the vets were treated so horribly over the years that never a day went by when you didn't read horror stories. And now, you don't hear about that anymore because we have Veterans Choice, very importantly, Veterans Choice." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7891, + "raw_confidence": 0.7891, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "And North Carolina is such a big state from the standpoint of our military." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5012, + "raw_confidence": 0.5012, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We also have Veterans Accountability where people do a bad job for our vets and they get fired. It's very simple, you're fired. And we actually terminated about 9,000 people and replaced them with some very good people. Some very good people with heart that love our vets. And we had sadists in there, we had thieves in there, and you couldn't do anything about it, whether it was for reasons of unions or civil service." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You couldn't do nobody thought it would be possible to get either of those things, Accountability, were very importantly, Choice. So now, rather than waiting on line for days or even weeks, our vets get treated quickly with good, talented doctors, and we have really good doctors at the vets. We had a 91% approval rating two weeks ago." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8062, + "raw_confidence": 0.8062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It came down 91%, the highest in the history of the VA." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2307, + "raw_confidence": 0.7693, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But instead of waiting on in line for a week, two weeks, five weeks, ten weeks, time limits, times that you wouldn't believe, our vets can now go out. If they have to wait, they'll get a good doctor. They take care of themselves and we pay the bill. We negotiated that. We pay the bill and it's been an incredible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5304, + "raw_confidence": 0.5304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's been really an incredible thing. Also, I think very important, that's been something by the way, almost 50 years for Accountability, almost 50 years for Choice and nobody thought it could be done, and we got it done. It's all done." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7398, + "raw_confidence": 0.7398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We've got other things done with it like the right to try where you can try new if somebody's terminally ill, you can try new medicines. We have the best labs in the world, the best doctors in the world, but a medicine that wasn't approved. If somebody's terminally ill, we can use that medicine even if it wasn't fully approved by the FDA, by all of the people that have to go through its approval process, which by the way, we cut in half." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The approval process is now down to a much lower number. We need the approval process, obviously, but it's now down to a much lower number. We've also, very importantly, a lot of people think it was the most important I would say, defense is the most and offense is the most important. But we will have appointed a record close to maybe above, I don't know, 300 federal judges to interpret the Constitution as written, including two great new Supreme Court justices, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2095, + "raw_confidence": 0.7905, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "So you have two great Supreme Court judges, justices and we have we should have about 300 federal judges by the end of the year. That's a number that's unthinkable, that's a record. And with everything that's going on with abortion, with everything that's going on with guns, if you take a look at the Second Amendment, all of the work that they're putting in to try and totally obliterate your Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2086, + "raw_confidence": 0.7914, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We're fighting for the Second Amendment. We're fighting hard and we haven't given up a step, but there's been tremendous pressure. And now, when you look at some of these radical things happening when you look at Chicago. When you look at what's going on in New York with a radical-left Mayor and Governor where they have no clue what crime is up 386% from just a short period of time ago." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2081, + "raw_confidence": 0.7919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You look at that, we want to protect our Second Amendment. A lot of important things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The next the next President could have as many as well, one, two, three, or even four Supreme Court justices to choose and that's going to be a very, very important very, very important step. Next we have school choice. They don't want school choice. They don't want it at all and we have to have school choice." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Everybody wants it. It's what is happening. We passed the largest tax cuts the largest tax cuts in the history of our country, larger than any ever passed. Saving the average family, if you add it with regulations and other things, almost $5,000 per year. If you add the tax cuts and the regulation cuts, we've cut more regulations than any President in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Regulation cuts. So, you take all of the regulation cuts, all of the tax cuts, you add energy to it. Because if you look, you're paying in for the most part, you're paying less than $2 for gasoline. That didn't happen by accident." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We know what we're doing, but we've saved all those energy jobs at the same time, and we've now become energy independent. But we're fighting for school choice and that's happening very well. Now, you have, on the other hand, Joe Biden and the radical Democrats. They destroy America's economy, America's security, and our American way of life." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6105, + "raw_confidence": 0.6105, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden's record can be summed up very easily. It's a betrayal. It's a calamity. It's a it's a failure. He's been in office for almost 50 years, 47, 48 years, almost 50 years. And now, he's going to tell us how to do things. Well, what he's doing is he's just being totally controlled by Bernie Sanders and the group." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Because if you look at it and if you see what he's looking to put up and put up, it's disgraceful. They've supported every globalist attack on the American worker, whether it's NAFTA, TPP, all of the horrible trade agreements. In particular, one with South Korea and China's entry into the WTO, that was supported by Joe Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "That's been a disaster as you know, China has been given all sorts of advantages over us, but we've stopped it and are stopping it, and again, China respects us. The last person they want to win this election is Trump. That I can tell you. That I ended the Iran deal. What I've done for Jerusalem, as you know, moving the embassy into Jerusalem and Israel." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6286, + "raw_confidence": 0.6286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "If you look at Golan Heights, you take a look at that. But also terminating the horrible deal, $150 billion was given, as you know, to Iran was given to Iran with $1.8 billion in cash for a horrible deal. I can say this, Iran and if you look China and others by the way, if we win the election, we'll have a deal within two months after the election and everything." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They're just waiting to see because they'd love to have Joe Biden win. There is nobody that they would rather have. Hunter Biden walks into China, walks out managing billion of money, of their money where you make hundreds of thousands, millions of dollars a year managing that, millions of dollars. China wants Biden to win." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4015, + "raw_confidence": 0.5985, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Iran wants Biden to win. When we win, very shortly the election, we'll have a very brand new deal with everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3362, + "raw_confidence": 0.6638, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You have a lot of them just hoping that one of these guys that have been giving away our country for many, many decades they've been giving it away. They've been hurting our country so badly. I mean, you take a look at a Biden where he appoints Beto O'Rourke, who's a gun-confiscating guy. He wants to take away your firearms, he'd let it be known." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I mean in Texas, they don't even want to look at him anymore and he wants to take them away from law-abiding citizens. He's going to be in charge of their gun policy. He's going to be in charge of their Second Amendment. Your Second Amendment will be either terminated or ripped to shreds. And you just have to remember all those things because November November 3rd is a very important day in the history of this country." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "There's never been two candidates, two parties, but two candidates who have been so different. One wants to do a real job and make America great again, and then keep America great, and that's what's happening because we're on a V. You know, they all said that couldn't happen. We close our country, we save millions of lives, were now open." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We want schools to open. We want our children to go back to school. We have to have it open and they'll open safely. But if you look at key elements of the Biden and Sanders Unity platform, Biden gave the ship away. I think it's worse than Sanders before he even had I don't know what kind of a negotiation Biden had, but just take a look." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7853, + "raw_confidence": 0.7853, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's open borders, tear down our great wall, they want to tear it down. So we're building a wall. You know, the wall will be finished toward the end of the year. We've already built 257 miles of wall and where we have that, we have some of the best numbers that we've ever had on the border. People can come into our country, but they have to come in legally, but they want to abolish borders." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.739, + "raw_confidence": 0.739, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We want to have strong borders in our country. Stop all deportations." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2234, + "raw_confidence": 0.7766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "This is Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, AOC. They want to stop all deportation even of criminals, criminals. They come in as murderers, as drug dealers, as traffickers, stop all deportation, end the prosecution of illegal border crossers. So we can't prosecute people that illegally came into our country, even if they're really bad people." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6572, + "raw_confidence": 0.6572, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to support sanctuary cities. We'll you have a sanctuary city in your great state, a very a city I happen to like a lot. Well, a lot of bad things have happened with that. You're protecting criminals and then a lot of bad things happen. They want to incentivize illegal alien, child smuggling, and what happens is human smuggling." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7631, + "raw_confidence": 0.7631, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "This is these people are the worst people maybe on the planet, incentivize illegal alien, child and women smuggling. This is what happens with their policy. You know, we have trafficking in people. It's never been so bad in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "This isn't just the United States. Because of the Internet, it's never been anywhere near like it is now and they are going to incentivize it with their dumb policy. Provide taxpayer-funded lawyers at a high level for illegal aliens. What's that all about? With we're now providing people come on into our country illegally and we're going to give you a lawyer so you can stay here." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7676, + "raw_confidence": 0.7676, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Provide government healthcare for illegal aliens. Well, we don't do that, in many cases, for our own citizens. They want to take federal student aid, and free community colleges. They want to give that to illegal aliens, give illegal aliens federal student aid and free community college. We don't do that for a lot of our people." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7823, + "raw_confidence": 0.7823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "End all travel bans, including from jihadist regions. So, I won the travel ban. It was a long legal fight, took two years but I ended up winning in the Supreme Court close decision, and we have a very strong travel ban. They want to end the travel ban, including people from jihadist countries that don't have necessarily good in mind." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4219, + "raw_confidence": 0.5781, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to expand asylum for illegal aliens so that we can't get them out. In other words, it's expanded. What this does is it forces people to come here, even if they don't want to come, they said, let's go and move to the United States. We get all this package of goods, just crazy. Increase refugee admissions by 700%. They want to grant mass amnesty, amnesty for everybody in the country, millions and millions of people, grant mass amnesty." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7445, + "raw_confidence": 0.7445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to end bail, end all bail, cash bail, releasing dangerous criminals into the streets and that's what they want to do, and they're doing that in their communities. And take a look at Chicago, take a look at New York, what they're doing there. They ended bail. Incentivize prison closings, says they want to get rid of prisons." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8003, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to close prisons. Free federal housing for former inmates." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to give you housing. If you go to jail, you're going to get free housing. Mandate net-zero carbon emissions for homes, offices, and all new buildings by 2030. They want to mandate zero-carbon emissions from power plants. Now, what this is going to do is raise your power, your electric costs, and other costs by 10 times, 12 times, 15 times." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1566, + "raw_confidence": 0.8434, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They don't even know how many times. It's the craziest thing I've ever seen. And this is out of their very long, very complex the Green New Deal they call. The Green New Deal is ridiculous, OK? It's ridiculous. Aside from the fact they want to get rid of second cars. They want to get rid of airplanes. They don't like it. It affects whatever." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6523, + "raw_confidence": 0.6523, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to get rid of cows. They want to get rid of cows. Let's get rid of all the cows, AOC and her I say, AOC plus three. It is crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It'll destroy our country. I can't even believe they're serious, but they seem to be. End school choice and they want to abolish charter schools. Well, people want choice and they want they want charter schools. And very important in the suburbs, they're going to destroy our suburbs. They've already gone out there and they've hurt but the far-left bureaucrats they want to eliminate single-family zoning." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5029, + "raw_confidence": 0.5029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They want to destroy our suburbs. And if you probably heard over the last few days, I'm going to eliminate AFFH and that's exactly what people have been fighting in the suburbs for a long time. They want their housing values to go up and they don't want crime, and we're going to give that to them. We're going to eliminate all this nonsense going." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7295, + "raw_confidence": 0.7295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "People work their lives to have a good house in the suburbs, and then, the government comes along and does a number on them like you wouldn't believe. And you all know exactly what I'm talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "It's been very, very bad. It's been a very bad situation. So we have to defeat Joe Biden in order to make America great again. We have to do it. It's not Joe Biden. He doesn't have a clue. He's being run by people that are so far left and these are radical left. I'm I said it at the beginning and I'll say it now, look at what's running the streets of Portland and look at your Democrat Liberal Senators, Governors, Mayors." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "Take a look at what they're saying, they think it's fine. Fifty days of horror and we went in four days ago and have done a great job. And we have no choice because we can't let that happen to our cities. Well, that would happen to our whole country. So I look forward to being in your great state very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1859, + "raw_confidence": 0.8141, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I'll be there. I've been campaigning a lot there prior to as you know, I was there many times prior to the pandemic. And now, it's much more difficult to go." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "We're not supposed to go. We want to have people be safe and all of those things and that's going to be happening. It's all coming together, including the therapeutics, including the vaccine. But which we'll have. I think you're going to be very surprised and very impressed. But we are going to get there soon and we're always going to be with you, and we're taking care of you and we're doing these calls and in lieu of being in your state." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But I look forward to in the not too distant future getting over to North Carolina and other places. Plenty of other places around our country. You know, if you look, the Democrat Governors are almost uniform. They don't want to have anything having to do with campaigns in their states. They don't want the rallies." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "They don't want anything having to do with any of that and that's the way it is. And we're making up for it with exactly what we're doing tonight." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "So I just appreciate you being on the line. I hear we have a tremendous number of people. We've done a couple of these yesterday and the day before. We had tremendous response, but we're going have a tremendous victory in November 3rd. It's so important that you get out and vote. You have to be careful with the mail-in ballots because it's tremendous crime, corruption." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.778, + "raw_confidence": 0.778, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "The mail-in ballots are very dangerous. The absentee ballots are great because with an absentee ballot you have to go out and you have to you have to do a little work for it. You have to tell them. You have to give them information." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1917, + "raw_confidence": 0.8083, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "You have to go get it. If you can't be if you're not able to vote. But when a Governor has the right to mail out millions of ballots, I mean, where is he mailing them to? Who is he mailing? Just take a look at what happened in Patterson, New Jersey just a few weeks ago, a little while ago. It was a terrifically, corrupt situation." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4838, + "raw_confidence": 0.5162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "I think they said up to 20% of the ballots were affected. They indicted a postman and unrelated to that, they've indicted people on city councils. This mail-in ballot thing is dangerous, and I think, it's going to lead to massive voter corruption." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.266, + "raw_confidence": 0.734, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "So for all of you that have stocks and various other things, bonds." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "But stocks, in particular, they are you've got to be very happy with President Trump. If Biden gets in, you can end up with a depression, the likes of which you've never seen. You'll be lucky if you end up with a country at all. So I want to thank everybody. Make America great again, November 3rd is very important and God bless America." + }, + { + "tid": "tToKV0V-Y7Q", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-north-carolina-july-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-19", + "claim_text": "God bless everybody on this line. God bless your great State of North Carolina. We will see you soon and we'll be working very hard for you. You're doing a lot of great things and it's only going to get better. Next year is going to be a phenomenal year. Thank you, everybody. It's been great to speak to you on a nice Sunday afternoon. Goodbye." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "Well, Bill, I want to thank you and I want to just congratulate you. I hear you're doing great in one of my very favorite places in the world. We've had a tremendous relationship. It's been something that has been very special, very important. We've had some of the best rallies ever. And as you know, because of COVID, as they call it, COVID-19. We can call it 100 different things." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "The China virus if you want. You can call it whatever you want, but they should have stopped it. They should have never allowed it to come here, but it did and they did and it's too bad, but because we we had some of the great rallies for Marsha Blackburn, who's been a phenomenal Senator. I have to tell you, and I'm so proud of her." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "She worked so hard and she loves the people of Tennessee so much, and I said now we've got to do it again, and I know I have plenty of choice, and Bill Hagerty is somebody that I know very well. He was my ambassador to Japan. He was a fantastic ambassador. I'll never forget, I went to Japan, he knew every person over there." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.184, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "He knew the businessmen. He could pronounce those names that I had a hard time with. I've had a very hard time with some of those names, and it was amazing. He was one of the truly great ambassadors that I've ever met, and I've met some good ones and I've met some very bad ones to be honest here. But Bill is so solid, so good, and they still miss him." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "I will tell you, they still miss him over there. So he said he wanted to run he wanted to run for the Senate from a state that he loves, so I'm calling to tell everybody in Tennessee to get out and vote early. You can get out there right now and vote for Ambassador Bill Hagerty for Senate. Early voting starts I guess it starts on August it starts immediately and it ends on August 1st, and it's something that's so important." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "You get a real primary here, and the other side is spending a lot of money, but Bill is somebody that will just never ever let you down. He'll go so far out. He'll never let you down. I've known Bill for a long time. He was one of my earliest supporters. He worked on my campaign in 2016 and my transition after we won." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "He's been so great in so many ways and we need to send, you know, we need to send great conservative voices out there. One of the things that you probably heard that I've done and gotten a lot of credit for are judges we've put in. By the end of the first term, we'll have almost 300 judges appointed, which I think is the record, got to be pretty close to a record." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2166, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "President Obama allowed us to have 142 because he was unable to get them approved or he did it too late, and so I ended up with a 142. Rarely you end up with any. Usually when you're President, you go and you get nothing. But we also have two great Supreme Court judges justices. And I will tell you, this is very important, because you see what's going on with the votes in the Supreme Court and it's very even right now, and the choice, the Supreme Court justice choice is going to be very important that I won't let you down." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1809, + "raw_confidence": 0.8191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "The next President, hopefully that's going to be us for another four years, because nobody's done what we've done. Nobody has done no other President has done as much and as good as we've done in the first four years of a term. And we've got possibly two, three, or even four Supreme Court justice picks starting this during this term." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1789, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "So we have to, you know, I want all the help I can get, Bill, and and senators have to get those justices approved, and Bill will be leading the pack. We want somebody that's tough on China, and that's going to be Bill. As you know, the wall is going to be close and and almost finish. You see the kind of record numbers we're doing at the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7154, + "raw_confidence": 0.7154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "We're letting nobody come through unless they come through legally, and we do allow it for the farmers out there and ranchers who are doing tremendously well because of what I've done with China. We've got $28 million, 16 million, and 12 million to the farmers and ranchers paid to by paid and given by by China, and it was in the form of tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7882, + "raw_confidence": 0.7882, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "They China, by the way, had the worst year they've had in 67 years, and we were having the best year we've ever had anywhere in the world. No no country has ever done what we were doing. And then I had to close it in order to save tremendous numbers of lives, and we saved literally millions of lives." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "And now we're open again. We're going to get our children back to school, by the way. We have to get them back to school. But Bill stands tall for law and order, and he'll protect and defend your Second Amendment, which is so important. And don't kid yourself, your Second Amendment is under siege. If I weren't here, I don't think you'd have a Second Amendment or you would certainly have a very weak one." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7331, + "raw_confidence": 0.7331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "So we have we are standing strong and tall for your Second Amendment. If you look at Pelosi and Schumer and AOC , and all of these people, they don't want you to have a Second Amendment. They don't want guns anywhere, they want to take them away, and you need them for lots of reasons, but you also need them for your own protection, and you wouldn't have that right." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "In my opinion, that would be one of the things they'd do very quickly is they would really decapitate your Second Amendment. I'm proud to give my good friend Bill Hagerty my complete and total endorsement. He will never ever do something that the people of Tennessee, the great people of Tennessee that I love, that I had a tremendous, not only a victory, we had a landslide victory." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "But he will never do anything except for great for his friends. He loves the people of Tennessee as I do. So if you could get out and vote early. Voting is now. You can vote early. And Bill will be so good. He will do such a good job. He'll be wi winning on November 3rd along with me. So, thank you very much, Tennessee, Bill and your family." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "Go out. Have a good time. Get everybody out and vote. He will never let us down. Thank you very much, Tennessee. I'll see you soon." + }, + { + "tid": "tTVWTl8TzsY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-town-hall-hagerty-july-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-17", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Bill, and thank you everybody. Go out and vote, and I'll see you soon. Thank you very much. Bye." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Wow. We have some big ones today, huh? This is a room loaded up. Wow. Paula Reid. Jonathan Karl. Phil Rucker. Hi, Phil. How are you? Kaitlan. We've got the all-stars. A lot of all-stars today. You too." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You too. That's good. Well, that's fine." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. In the past four months, we've added 10.6 million jobs, including 643 manufacturing jobs and 658,000 construction jobs. It's far beyond expectations." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7724, + "raw_confidence": 0.7724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We've experienced the smallest contraction of any Western nation, meaning we've been affected less than any other nation Western nation and probably, almost, I think you can put us in I just saw some numbers I think you can put us into just about any category anywhere. And the fastest recovery by far. And that's anywhere. Nobody has recovered like we're recovering." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1905, + "raw_confidence": 0.8095, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "If we follow Joe Biden's strategy, we'd shut down the entire country after just having set records on growth. And we also did have tremendous retail growth, as you probably noticed. We're witnessing the fastest labor market recovery from an economic crisis in our history." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8038, + "raw_confidence": 0.8038, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "By contrast, the Obama-Biden administration had the slowest, weakest, and worst recovery in American history, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1962, + "raw_confidence": 0.8038, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We continue to make progress in our fight against the China virus. New weekly cases have declined by 44 percent since July. Deaths declined by 20 percent compared to just last week. It's going down very rapidly. Really rapidly. This is in contrast to nations in the European Union, which have recently experienced a sharp increase in cases. They're having a very big spike over there. We're hopefully beyond our spike, and we'll see, but we're doing very well all over our country." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3421, + "raw_confidence": 0.6579, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "In the past five weeks, per capita cases doubled in France; surged to over 300 percent in Spain, which I've been hearing about and speaking to some of the leaders of Spain, and they are having a hard time; and increased more than 400 percent in Italy again. And as you remember, I stopped I put a ban on people coming in from Europe after the ban I imposed on China, Wuhan but because of Wuhan primarily, because that area was very infected. We we also put a ban on Europe. So Spain is being heavily impacted, France, and 400 percent in Italy." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1784, + "raw_confidence": 0.8216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, European nations experienced 50 percent more deaths than the United States. And you don't hear these things. You don't hear these statistics. But the United States has done really well. Very proud of everybody that worked on this. And I really do believe we're rounding the corner." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2132, + "raw_confidence": 0.7868, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And the vaccines are right there, but even not even discussing vaccines and not discussing therapeutics, we're rounding the corner. We already have therapeutics out there, by the way, which are having obviously a very big impact because you look at that, you look at the the way people are recovering, it's so much better than in the past before we knew about the disease and had anything to fight the disease." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1947, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "On schools, as part of our science-based approach, we want schools to safely open and stay open. Children are at extremely low risk of complications from the virus. Less than 0.2 percent 0.2 percent of the coronavirus deaths have occurred in those under the age of 25, and most had underlying conditions where there was a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "There is no substitute for in-person learning. According to a recent study, student progress in math decreased by half and using online education compared to in-person or campus education. So, online, we think of so many things online and how great it is; there's nothing like being in the classroom. That's what we've learned from this whole ordeal." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "According to the CDC, school closures disproportionately harm low-income and minority children, as well as those with disabilities. And I think you see some slides behind me that are very new, very current. It's also crucial for colleges and universities to stay open. And we hope that they do indeed stay open, and we want to see Big 10 football. We hope it's coming back. We have a lot of the colleges that we're talking about, they want to come back. We hope that Michigan agrees." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We hope that and I know the governor will have a lot to say about it. We hope she approves it. But we have a couple that Maryland is another one. We hope the governor puts a little pressure on so that we can have it, but I have a feeling they may do it. They may do it without having everybody, but I think they're going to have maybe Michigan, maybe Maryland. We have a couple of states that might not participate." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1945, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's much safer for students to live on campus. And low-risk young people would, rather than the alternative. It's the alternative is no good than going home spreading the virus to high-risk Americans. It's they want to be on campus. They want to go back to school. And the parents want them back in school, maybe more so than they want to be back in school. And they want them back safely and they want to go back safely, but they have to go back." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7881, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Based on the recent data from more than 20 colleges, not a single student who tested positive for the virus has been hospitalized. So that's a lot of people. That's a lot of students. Not one has been hospitalized." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "As we continue to follow the science-based approach to protect our people and vanquish the virus, Joe Biden continues to use the pandemic for political gain. Every time I see him, he starts talking about the pandemic. He's reading it off a teleprompter. I'm not allowed to use a teleprompter. Why is that, Phil? They ask questions and he starts reading the teleprompter. He says, Move the teleprompter a little bit closer, please. I don't know, I think if I did that, I'd be in big trouble. I think that would be that would be the story of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7804, + "raw_confidence": 0.7804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "When I took early action in January to ban the travel and all travel to and from China, the Democrats and Biden, in particular, called it xenophobic. You remember that? Joe was willing to sacrifice American lives to placate the radical-left open-border extremists. And we saved tens of thousands of lives, probably hundreds of thousands of lives. And we saved millions of lives by doing the closing and now the opening the way we did it." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6197, + "raw_confidence": 0.6197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Joe's decision to publicly attack the China ban proved he lacks the character or intelligence or instinct to do what is right." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Now Biden has launched a public campaign against the vaccine, which is so bad, because we have some vaccines coming that are incredible. Scott was telling me about some of the things that are happening and it's very exciting, Scott. Thank you for being here. But you don't want to have anything having to do with, for political purposes, being an anti-vaxxer. You don't want to be talking about the vaccines in a negative way, especially when you see the statistics that we're starting to see. They're incredible, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7949, + "raw_confidence": 0.7949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Biden is perfectly happy to endanger the lives of other people by doing something that he thinks is going to help him politically because his polls are getting very bad. They're getting very shaky." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4355, + "raw_confidence": 0.5645, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "This was an election that was going to be very easy, very quick, and then the China virus came in and I had to go back to work politically, unfortunately. I had to devote more time politically than to the other things we do, which are very important for our country. But I had to go back to work. And it looks like it looks like we're going up very rapidly. More rapidly than the media wants to admit." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And Biden has had to go out. He's gotten out of his basement and he's working. Let's see what happens. But we got to talk about how great these vaccines are if, in fact, they're great. And I think you're going to see numbers that are going to be very, very impressive." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7608, + "raw_confidence": 0.7608, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The approach to the virus is a very unscientific blanket lockdown by the Democrats that's what they're talking about which takes all of these incredible statistics, records, and it throws them out the window. Now, they did say it would be based on the recommendation of the experts, but, you know, whether expert or not, we're not doing any more shutdowns. We did the shutdown and now we're doing the opening, and there won't be any more shutdowns." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4777, + "raw_confidence": 0.5223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "There could be a little section, a small section, where you have a breakout, but we're not talking about shutdowns like they were talking about, depending on experts. We're not going to be doing that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7788, + "raw_confidence": 0.7788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The swine flu was a disaster, you remember, when not nearly as deadly, not not the same world. But when Joe Biden was Vice President, his failed approach to the swine flu was disastrous. He called it he called it N1H1; it's actually H1N1. You know, you remember the H comes before the N, so it's sort of easy to remember, right? But Joe Joe always calls it the opposite way, but it was call it the swine flu. It was disastrous." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2044, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And his own chief of staff said that when Biden helped manage the swine flu in 2009, they, quote, did everything possible wrong. And 60 million Americans got H1N1 in that period of time. This is a quote from his chief of staff. And it's just purely a fortuity that this isn't one of the great mass casualty events. It had nothing to do with us doing anything right because we did everything wrong. It was a disaster. It was a disaster. And now he's telling us how to manage he can't manage himself." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Two hundred and seventy thousand Americans were hospitalized during this attack. The outbreak was so rampant that the Obama administration told states to stop testing. We don't want any tests, because they don't want to show all of the things that tests show. By the way, we're setting a record on testing. Our testing is at a level that nobody has ever seen before. We're substantially greater than the second country which is India, by the way, which has 1.5 billion people. But we're 50 million tests ahead 50 million ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2012, + "raw_confidence": 0.7988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And they ordered the CDC to stop counting tests and stop counting cases, and then left us a depleted stockpile, which is what I inherited. I inherited a depleted a very badly depleted stockpile. In other words, Biden's record demonstrates that if he had been in charge of this very serious, highly, highly contagious epidemic or pandemic the China virus countless more Americans would have died." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And if we didn't do what we did and I say it all the time now because the media likes to belittle. What we've done has been incredible. Now you can look at Europe and you can look at other places, and you can start comparing." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2169, + "raw_confidence": 0.7831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Biden is weak on China. Yesterday, it was revealed that a fund partly owned by Joe Biden's son, Hunter facilitated the sale of a Michigan auto parts producer to a leading Chinese military defense contractor. You don't want to write about that, do you? Biden spent his entire career selling Michigan jobs to China. Now the Biden family is selling out our country directly to the Chinese military, which has to do with this company that Hunter here we go with Hunter again. He didn't have a job; now, all of a sudden, he's selling companies from Michigan to China." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2607, + "raw_confidence": 0.7393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "China's military got American manufacturing jobs, and the Biden family got paid a lot of money. And I said, If Joe Biden ever got elected, China will own America. They will they will own America." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Finally, I can announce with great pride that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will be departing this evening on a historic trip to Doha that's Qatar for the beginning of intra-Afghan peace negotiations. We've been negotiating with them for quite some time, getting along with them, moved a lot of soldiers out." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3938, + "raw_confidence": 0.6062, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I got a report this morning that there's been nobody killed in Afghanistan since early February. It's a long time. There's been no deaths, no problems. And a lot of progress is being made in Afghanistan. But we'll be down to 4,000 soldiers in a very short period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4258, + "raw_confidence": 0.5742, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Likewise, Iraq: We'll be down to about 2,000 soldiers in a very short period of time. And, in Syria, for the most part, we're out, other than we kept the oil. And so we have soldiers guarding the oil not too many; I think a small number but they're guarding the oil. And we're helping the Kurds, and we're making their lives much more pleasant because of the fact that we have the oil." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5254, + "raw_confidence": 0.5254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So we're pretty much out of Syria. We're pretty much out of Iraq. And we're down to the smallest force that we've had in we'll be very shortly down to that number in Afghanistan." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The negotiations are a result of a bold diplomatic effort on part of my administration in recent months and years. The United States will play an important role in bringing the parties together to end the decades-long war; it's been going on for almost 20 years, long before I got involved, I can tell you that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7651, + "raw_confidence": 0.7651, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And had they not been wasting our time with all of the phony witch hunts and all of the things, we probably could have done this even faster. But a lot of time had to be spent wasted like that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1825, + "raw_confidence": 0.8175, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But the parties are together right now, and we're negotiating, and we're really making tremendous progress." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.201, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Next week at the White House, we'll be having a signing between UAE and Israel, and we could have another country added into that. And I will tell you, countries are lining up that want to go into it." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1865, + "raw_confidence": 0.8135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "As you know, UA- UAE is headed by a very, very highly respected gentleman and respected by everybody. And he's a warrior too. He's a great warrior. And Mohammed is very excited about this. And you'll be hearing other countries coming in over a relatively short period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And you could have peace in the Middle East. I think what, ultimately, will happen is you're going to have quite a few countries come in. The big ones are going to be coming in. I spoke to the King of Saudi Arabia, so we're talking. We're starting a we just started the dialogue. And you'll have them come in." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And I think two things are going to happen: Iran will if we win the election, Iran will come and sign a deal with us very, very rapidly, within the first, I would say, week, but let's give ourselves a month because their GDP went down 25 percent, which is, like, an unheard of number, and they'd like to be able to get back to having a successful country again. So I think that'll happen." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2093, + "raw_confidence": 0.7907, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And I think, very importantly, the Palestinians will get back into the fold. And when they see all of these countries that, frankly, have been supporters of the Palestinians very big supporters and, certainly, financial supporters." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7796, + "raw_confidence": 0.7796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "As you know, we used to pay the Palestinians $750 million a year, and I ended that some time ago, on the basis that they didn't seem to want to make peace. And we'll think about it once we have a deal, but I've ended that quite a while ago. I'm frankly surprised they haven't been to the table earlier." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But this is the best way. This is a way that's going to be great. This can really bring the Middle East together." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And again, since February, we haven't had a death in Afghanistan, which is it's a record for many years. Not a death. And we're getting along very, very well with the Taliban and very well with Afghanistan and its representatives. And we'll see how it all goes. It's a negotiation." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6473, + "raw_confidence": 0.6473, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Our nuclear program has been put into gear like never before, and in particular, hopefully, we won't have to use that, because that's a whole new level of destruction. And we never want to just have to pray to God we never have to use that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Such a terrible question and the phraseology. I didn't lie. What I said is: We have to be calm; we can't be panicked. I knew that the tapes were there. These were a series of phone calls that we had mostly phone calls. And Bob Woodward is somebody that I respect, just from hearing the name for many, many years, not knowing too much about his work, not caring about his work." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But I thought it would be interesting to talk to him for a period of, you know, calls. So we did that. I don't know if it's good or bad. I don't even know if the book is good or bad, but, certainly, if he thought that was a bad statement, he would have reported it because he thinks that you know, you don't want to have anybody that is going to suffer medically because of some fact. And he didn't report it because he didn't think it was bad. Nobody thought it was bad." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Wait a minute. Wait a minute. And your question the way you phrased that is such a disgrace. It's a disgrace to ABC Television Network. It's a disgrace to your employer. And that's the answer. Are you ready? Because I" + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Of course I didn't. Of course I didn't." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2864, + "raw_confidence": 0.7136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Let me tell you something: We've had flu years" + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No. And five times, right? Five times. You ever hear the expression, five times? We've had flu years where we lost 100,000 people. The flu is a very serious problem for this country also. And we've been losing them Scott, what kind of a number have we lost over the years with flus? Into the hundreds of thousands?" + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4208, + "raw_confidence": 0.5792, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Flu is a very serious problem also." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "What I went out and said is very simple" + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Listen, what I went out and said is very simple: I want to show a level of confidence and I want a show strength as a leader, and I want to show that our country is going to be fine, one way or the other. Whether we lose one person we shouldn't lose any, because this shouldn't have happened. This is China's fault. This is nobody's fault but China. China should not have allowed it to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2611, + "raw_confidence": 0.7389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Whether you have a one person, 180,000 people, or two and a half or 3 million people, which it could have been very seriously if we didn't make the moves. And when you look at the opposition, where they said, Oh, why did he put the ban on? Doctor Fauci said we saved hundreds of thousands of lives by putting the ban on China and then, ultimately, putting the ban on Europe. There was no lie here." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2301, + "raw_confidence": 0.7699, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "What we're doing is we're leading, and we're leading in a proper way. And if, frankly, somebody else was leading it, they wouldn't have closed it." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1907, + "raw_confidence": 0.8093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "If you look at Nancy Pelosi, you look at Cuomo, you look at de Blasio, you look at Biden, months later, they said there's no problem they're talking about me. Months later. And before any statement was made you have to remember, I put the ban on China. So, obviously, outwardly I said it's a very serious problem. And it's always a serious problem. That doesn't mean I'm going to jump up and down in the air and start saying, People are going to die! People are going to die! No. No. I'm not going to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We're going to get through this. And we're, right now, I hope really think we're going to we're rounding the final turn. And a lot of good things are happening with vaccines and with therapeutics, but there's no lying. And the way you ask that question is very disgraceful." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I do think so. And I think we did a great job. I think we did a great job. And the people that did such our generals, our admirals, Mike Pence, all of the people that have worked so hard and now Dr. Atlas all of the Dr. Fauci, Dr. Birx they should be respected for the job they've done." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "All I'm doing is no, I don't want to jump up and down and start screaming Death! Death! because that's not what it's about. We have to lead a country. We're leading a great country, and we're doing a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And the people that have done such a good job should be given the kind of credit that they deserve. We possibly have done the best jobs when you start looking at what we're doing with the vaccines and therapeutics and ventilators. We had no ventilators, Jon. We make thousands of ventilators now a month, and we're supplying them to the whole world. The job we've done is the best job. And don't give me any credit; give the people that have done this the credit. They've done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know what what Angela is doing. But if you look at the European Union right now, they're having breakouts like you've never seen before. And, frankly, their numbers are at a level that are much worse than the numbers here." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3851, + "raw_confidence": 0.6149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We are we have done we have Phil, we have done much, much better than the European Union. I just read you numbers that are not good on their behalf; that are very good at ours. And we have rounded the final turn, and we have we're going to have vaccines very soon" + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "maybe much sooner than you think. Listen, maybe much sooner than you think." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4337, + "raw_confidence": 0.5663, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But we have done a phenomenal job, and the people that have done this job including the American public that's had to put up with a lot with the lockdowns and all of the things that they had to do they have to be given credit. They have to be given credit." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, let me ask you this: If Bob Woodward thought that was bad because this is stuff that everyone knew. There's a report that I have here someplace where China said it was airborne earlier than the statements I made. People knew it was airborne. This was nothing this was no big when I say it was airborne, everybody knew it was airborne. This was no big thing." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But read the reports. China came out with a statement that it was an airborne disease. I heard it was an airborne disease. I assumed it early on. The fact is, there has to be a calmness. You don't want me jumping up and down, screaming, There's going to be great death. There is going to... and really causing some very, very serious problems for the country." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7731, + "raw_confidence": 0.7731, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "If Bob Woodward thought what I said was bad, then he should've immediately, right after I said it, gone out to the authorities so they can prepare and let them know." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1783, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But he didn't think it was bad, and he said he didn't think it was bad. He actually said he didn't think it was bad." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7524, + "raw_confidence": 0.7524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The only one that said it was bad or thinks it was bad were the fake news media, because they take it and they try and put it a certain way." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7545, + "raw_confidence": 0.7545, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "If Bob Woodward thought it was bad, then he should've immediately gone out publicly, not wait four months. You know, he's had that statement for four months, maybe five months. He's had it for a long time. It was a series of taped interviews, mostly by telephone quick ones, not long ones. Quick ones. And it was I did it out of curiosity, because I do have respect, and I want to see I wonder whether or not somebody like that can write good. I don't think he can, but let's see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1564, + "raw_confidence": 0.8436, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I can't tell you that yet. I have to see. I'm not involved in it. I purposely stayed uninvolved. I'm, I guess, considered the chief law enforcement officer of the country. I could be involved if I wanted to. I thought it would be better if I wasn't. I think it's better if our great Attorney General handle it. He has Durham, who is a very, very respected man, and we're going to see what it is. I can't tell you that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4267, + "raw_confidence": 0.5733, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I can tell you this I can tell you this: They they lied, they cheated, they leaked, they got caught. They spied on my campaign. Never in history has there been anything like this. And I guarantee if the roles were reversed and I was on the Democrat side, people would have been in jail at the very highest level. People would have been in jail for two years already. Nothing like this has ever happened. And the term would be for many, many years, because it's treason and other words can be used also." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I think just on what I read in your wonderful papers, I think and and see what, you know, just looking at the media not even what I know. I think Comey is a disgrace to our country. I think Strzok who just wrote a book, which is a total fake is a disgrace. I think Page Lisa Page, his lover is a disgrace to our country." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.799, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I think that when you look at McCabe, where his wife got $700,000 in campaign contributions from Hillary Clinton right?" + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5596, + "raw_confidence": 0.5596, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And then Hillary Clinton is under investigation, and yet she paid the head of the FBI one of the top people, but actually the head, because he took over for for the other guy, who fortunately I fired. I made a good move when I fired. That was a smart move because they were looking to take down this administration, duly elected administration. So I fired him. That was a great move when I fired him. Because maybe, if I didn't, I wouldn't be here talking to you as President." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.727, + "raw_confidence": 0.727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But when McCabe's wife gets $700,000 in campaign contributions when she was running for whatever office she was running from from Virginia and yet he's in charge of the investigation of Hillary Clinton. Now, he says, Well, I wasn't really in charge. Of course, he was in charge. He was totally in charge. He knew exactly what was going on." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8047, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "These people got caught in the probably the biggest political scandal in the history of our country. They got caught." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Now, what the Durham report is going to say, I can't tell you. But if they say half as much as I already know just from seeing it. You know, you have people I watch some of the shows. I watch Liz McDonald; she's fantastic. I watched Fox Business. I watched Lou Dobbs last night, Sean Hannity last night, Tucker last night, Laura. I watched Fox and Friends in the morning. You watch these shows; you don't have to go too far into the details. They cover things that are it's really an amazing thing." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4999, + "raw_confidence": 0.5001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They got caught in the biggest political scandal in the history of our country. They were spying on their opponent's campaign. Not only spying; they were making up fake dossiers. You have the dirty dossier. They were making up the dirty and it was all made up. It was all fiction. It turned out to be fiction. And then they were using that in the FISA courts this revered court. Well, it's not so revered anymore because when you look at what they did and how they played it and they hurt a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2286, + "raw_confidence": 0.7714, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "General Flynn is still being hurt, and he's being hurt very badly. He's a wonderful person. I spoke to General Milley about General Flynn two weeks ago. I said, What do you think of General Flynn? He said, He's a great soldier, sir. He's a wonderful, wonderful human being. He's been destroyed. He's been destroyed." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No, I think that this without knowing anything about what Durham is going to release the Durham report, we'll call it, or maybe it's going to be more than a report. Maybe it's going to be much more than a report, I don't know. Maybe it's a report or maybe it's much more than that." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But when I look at the the things that everybody in this room knows, just from reading about it from yourselves back and forth, I think it's a disgrace to our country. And I think if people don't pay a very, very substantial price, it'll happen again. And this should never ever happen to another President." + }, + { + "tid": "u-qOCg4T0fs", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-white-house-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you, everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well I appreciate it. This was not a great weekend. It's very hard. You knew it was going to happen, but still when it happens it's a very tough thing. He was a great guy. He was a tremendous guy. He was my friend. I guess they say best friend, and that's true. And losing him, not easy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, we did interact and he was always there and he was \u00e2\u0080\u0093 you know, he wasn't a jealous person. He was a very smart guy, but he wasn't \u00e2\u0080\u0093 you know, he would be there and he'd be behind me. And if I'd be \u00e2\u0080\u0093 if I had the number one show, if I had a big success, and no matter what I did whether it was real estate deals or anything else he was right there." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2183, + "raw_confidence": 0.7817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "In many cases helped me very much with whatever I did. And then when I became president he was I think one of the most loyal people. There was no jealously. You know, a lot of times in families, I hate to say it, but here's jealously, especially among children and among children that are competitive children because he was very competitive." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2528, + "raw_confidence": 0.7472, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "There was not an ounce of jealously. He'd go around talking about how great this is for the country, and it's so incredible and he was my biggest fan. People would tell me all the time I spoke to your brother and your brother was so thrilled and so thrilled at what was happening and what was happening for the country." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He was so angry with China because of what happened where the plague came in and they shouldn't have allowed it to happen. They could have stopped it. He was so upset by that. It was \u00e2\u0080\u0093 he couldn't \u00e2\u0080\u0093 more than people would be upset. A lot of people have already forgotten and you can't forget, but he was a fantastic guy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well I'm going to Wisconsin. I can tell you that." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we'll be doing a lot of interviews and a lot of \u00e2\u0080\u0093 I guess I'm making a speech, and it's a great place. And we won it last time. I think we're going to win it this time. I was told every lawn has the Trump sign practically out there, and there are no Biden signs on anybody's. So anyway, so I don't know." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1939, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know, look, I see things. Although crazy CNN, as bad as they are, I guess there was a poll that I was 14 down, and I picked up 10 in the last month." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Ten points. So, that's the crazy thing. But, no, I I think I see much more spirit than we had even in, you know, 2016 was record breaking everything. I mean, it was probably the most exciting night in the history of politics, I mean according to most. And of course, I'm not sure about the other side, but according to most." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I think I see more spirit did you see down in Florida the boat parade yesterday?" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7896, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They broke the Guinness Book of World Records, and the boats just thousands of boats and that's all over the country. It's everywhere you have a lake or a river or an ocean, there's these massive number of boats, and Bikers for Trump, I think I'm at 99 percent and they're trying to figure out who the other one percent is." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1912, + "raw_confidence": 0.8088, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And law enforcement, I just got the New York City Police, according to every source you could look at, it was the first time they've ever given an endorsement. Pat Lynch is a fantastic guy who heads it up. He said, it's the first they've ever done it. And so, we just got the New York City Police endorsement." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2068, + "raw_confidence": 0.7932, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And that's called law and order, and I understand I'm getting some really big ones people that don't give endorsements, you know, generally speaking. Police groups don't give endorsements, but they're giving me the endorsement. They're tired of what's happening and we can stop that so easy. In fact, if Chicago and any of these places that are having such they would call us and we'd stop it in a matter of minutes like we did in Minneapolis." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7923, + "raw_confidence": 0.7923, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Minneapolis was out of control, then they finally brought in the National Guard and you saw the scene, they walked right through the streets like it was a knife cutting butter, it was over, it stopped. They should have called five or six days earlier, but they didn't do that because of pride or because of something, but we ended that in about an hour." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7072, + "raw_confidence": 0.7072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, he brings up Charlottesville, I wish he'd listen to Laura Ingraham, who is a very, very good and talented person, who covers Charlottesville and she said, what Trump did was absolutely there was nothing wrong, it was perfect. He got saddled you know they saddle you with things and when Cuomo says that and Cuomo that's why these people don't get you know, when they go to Washington, and they want to be friends and then they make statements like that and then we turn our back on them because they're just bad people." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know, they make up lies, they make up stories. Look at the job he did on the nursing home, and the press is trying to sweep it under the table. But, if he said a thing like that, he's just a bad guy. You know, what can you do? You have a different type in New Jersey, he's a he's a very liberal guy, but, you know, he's somebody that's paid a lot of respect for the job we've done on the coronavirus." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We had to stock up all these states, 50 states, none of them were prepared for this, none of them. And we ended making so many ventilators that we're giving them out to the rest of the world which desperately needs them, 188 countries and, you know, a lot of the governors, even if they're on the Democrat lean, they're Democrats, they're saying we did a we did an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7642, + "raw_confidence": 0.7642, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have a stockpile. We had no stockpile; we had nothing in this country. And now we have a stockpile, a tremendous stockpile that can handle anything. And when the when they governors called, they should do it themselves, they should be able to get this equipment themselves, but if they can't, we've got we've got equipment like nobody's ever seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1948, + "raw_confidence": 0.8052, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, you know, we're ready. But, we did this on the fly, we did this I always said, the cupboards were bare when we came in, which is true, we didn't have ventilators and neither did governors have ventilators, you know, for the most part they didn't have enough. And I don't blame a lot of people for that, because who would have ever thought a thing like this could happen, but it did happen." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we have we mobilized they say it's the biggest mobilization since World War II, and that's true. And we have generals doing it, generals and admirals." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well I know all those people very well. You remember I beat them all last time. I beat Clinton, I beat Obama. You know, everyone said, oh, Obama got into the campaign." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I said so what? I mean, Obama got in, so what? And he worked harder for Clinton than she worked for herself. Obama was all over the place. I kept saying, you know, this guy's campaigning harder than she is. And but we beat them and like in Georgia he was he spent a lot of time with Michelle and with Oprah in Georgia for their candidate, and I spent mine for Brian, as you know, Brian Kemp." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And Brian won the primary and he then won the state. But we've had many, many successes and the big one would be ours. Now, these are the same people I beat last time, and they're not going to unite because they can't unite. They don't know how to unite. And also Bernie's very unhappy but actually Biden went further left and Bernie wanted him to and Bernie's still unhappy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I mean he you'll never make this guy happy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I call him crazy I call him Crazy Bernie for a reason. You'll never make him happy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, I think according to most, the real people, not the fake news and this press that we're running against, because my biggest opponent isn't Biden, it's not the Democrats, it's the corrupt media. We have a corrupt media in this country, the likes of which nobody's ever seen before. And no matter what you do I will say, we made a deal with Israel and the UAE on Friday." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1934, + "raw_confidence": 0.8066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It was essentially signed and it was it got great press. I couldn't believe it. I was like I was shocked. First time in really 45 years, I guess they would say 25 but for a different reason it's much longer than that and now others are falling in line. We're doing peace in the Middle East. We're bringing our soldiers back home from Afghanistan." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We've got very few left. We're dealing on that. We're bringing them home from Syria. We're bringing them home from Iraq. These endless wars, they never stop. We end up acting as policemen not fighters. We destroyed ISIS, as you know. We got rid of al-Baghdadi. We got rid of I mean what we have done is and then of course Soleimani." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2006, + "raw_confidence": 0.7994, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And all of a sudden it started falling into place. The big thing, we broke that horrible deal that was made by Biden and Obama, the worst deal ever. $150 billion they paid and $1.8 billion in cash and they made a deal with Iran, the worst deal. I had to get out of that deal. This could have never happened." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2766, + "raw_confidence": 0.7234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You're going to end up with peace in the Middle East, real peace in the Middle East. And by the way UAE was the leader, and they signed the first one and now all of the countries almost all are calling, well, what about us? We want to sign, too." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1919, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And it's an incredible thing for Israel, it's incredible for the evangelicals, by the way, the evangelicals love Israel, love Israel. So, we're doing things that nobody else would do or could do." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, I have no choice because we have a fake media in this country, so I have to work. I don't have the time not to. And we have a guy that doesn't come out of his basement, and the media covers him. And look at me, I go and ask questions. When they ask me questions, I have these people there's fire out of their eyes coming." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They're asking me questions, and I see the fire is burning in their eyes and I'm looking at some of them, I said, boy, how could you have so much hatred? And we're having such success. If the virus didn't come, this would've been the most successful in history, and now on top of the virus, the stock market looks like it's going to be setting new records." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Nasdaq already did. And we're going to have an economy that we're going to have an economy when you see the numbers in the third quarter, which fortunately get announced prior to the election on November 3rd. The numbers are going to be astronomical" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "the numbers are going to be the great probably the greatest GDP numbers in history. And you see the retail sales numbers are the best in history. Think of it. The retail sales increases the best in history and most importantly, the unemployment numbers we're setting records on employing people." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1851, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And somebody like Biden, he doesn't know what to do. He doesn't come out because he can't. He doesn't take any questions from reporters. I keep saying to my people, you know, here I am getting bombs thrown at me every day by people that are totally, you know, frankly, dishonest reporters, but I'm getting they're espousing the view of the radical left." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2126, + "raw_confidence": 0.7874, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But here I am, bombs every day, every day, every day and do a good job in handling it. That's why my polls have gone up 10 or 12 points. I don't believe they were ever there, by the way. I think they are phony polls. I think they are suppression polls. You know, these suppression polls, they're supposed to suppress your enthusiasm, but they make our people angrier." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But this guy doesn't come out of his basement, and he hasn't taken one question. Somebody said yesterday, I don't know if this is so, but he hasn't answered one question in months, and you really say can he? Now look, if he were president, he's dealing against President Xi of China, President Putin of Russia, Kim Jong-un by the way, whatever happened?" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2278, + "raw_confidence": 0.7722, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We were to go into war according to Obama and Hillary Clinton with North Korea. There's no war. And I get along with him" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7681, + "raw_confidence": 0.7681, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "China has taken advantage of our country for 25 years like nobody else $400, $500, almost $600 billion a year we'd lose on a regular basis for many, many for decades with China. A one-way street. We didn't even have it wasn't that we had a bad deal. We never even had a deal. I made a great deal with them, in fact, last week, they ordered the largest order of corn in history." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They are living they are more than living up to it. Last week because they know I'm very angry at them, because this should have never happened. They made the largest order of corn, the largest order of soybeans in history. They made the largest beef order that they've done in a long time. They are going the opposite way because they know how I feel, because look, they can't make it without us." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7753, + "raw_confidence": 0.7753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Without us ordering if we ever decoupled from China, they would fail, OK? They would fail. We pay them so much money, our representatives, our president, you have to stop, our presidents and not only Obama, he got taken to the cleaners, him and Biden. But they all did. And China had the worst year in 67 years last year but then the plague came in, so we made a great trade deal." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3722, + "raw_confidence": 0.6278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You see that with the farmers, the farmers are happy. They're not even complaining. In fact, my biggest problem is they're so happy they want me to do nothing. I can't forget that they allowed this to happen to the United States and, by the way, Europe and the rest of the world. This happened to the world, not only us." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know, when they report they don't report what's going on because they have new flare-ups in Germany, they have new flare-ups in France, and Spain and Italy. They have flare-ups all over the place. They keep saying" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6824, + "raw_confidence": 0.6824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "we've done phenomenally on this thing and we're a very big country. You look at what's happening in Brazil, look what's happening in Sweden. Look at Sweden. They talk about do it the Swedish way, Sweden is having a very hard time." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "OK, so it's really something I can't forget, Brian, that I mean, what they've done to this world, and I just can't say gee, we made a great trade deal. So I'm having a very hard time. And China knows it and that's why they're ordering much more than we I mean, they're ordering more than we've ever done, which is very smart." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.206, + "raw_confidence": 0.794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Brian, a stupid country would say we don't want to do anything." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5658, + "raw_confidence": 0.5658, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "A smart country would do what they're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Yes, we don't want their equipment in the United States because they spy on us, and any country that uses it, we're not going to do anything in terms of sharing intelligence. Absolutely, Huawei is a disaster. They used to have free reign over our country. They know everything they knew everything we were doing." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.77, + "raw_confidence": 0.77, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Huawei is a way of is really I call it the spyway. What happens is Huawei comes out, and they spy on our country. This is very intricate stuff. You have microchips, you have things that you can't even see, the average person and beyond the average person, the people that do this can't even find it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2104, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, they spy. U.K., European and the European Union, but they were going to go, we said if you go we're not going to share intelligence with you, that's OK. And with U.K. we said we love Scotland Yard very much but we're not going to do business with you because if you use the Huawei system, that means they are spying on you, that would mean they're spying on us." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3452, + "raw_confidence": 0.6548, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I've gotten just about every country to drop it. It's look, China did a terrible thing to us. They could have stopped it. They stopped this disease. I call it the China virus. They stopped it and stopped it cold from going into China, but they decided not to stop it from going into the U.S. and the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I did something that Biden totally fought me on. He fought me. He didn't know what he was talking about. He just took a guess at it. But I put a ban on people on people coming in from China, and Dr. Fauci said Trump saved hundreds of thousands of lives because even he didn't want it. Most people almost nobody want it I wanted it and it was done in January." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "A month later, Pelosi and everybody are saying there's no problem with this disease. I put an early ban. If I didn't put that ban on" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3678, + "raw_confidence": 0.6322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "and frankly if I didn't close up the country, because frank we had the greatest economy in history. I closed up the country. We saved millions of lives. Instead of the numbers that you're looking at now, you could have multiplied them by 10, 15, or 20 times. It would have been not even sustainable to watch." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It would not have been sustainable or acceptable. I then and now we're opening up our country. We understand the disease. We're careful with our seniors. We're careful with our nursing homes because of seniors, older people, especially older people with a heart problem or a diabetes problem, with a problem, they are really susceptible to damage by this horrible I call it the plague." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's the plague from China the plague from China. So what happens is but the young children handle it very well. I want to open the schools. I hope Big Ten is going to do it. I tell you what, we got to play football. They put out false rumors. They say I wonder if people are angry that Trump closed up football." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'm the one that's fighting for it to open, and a lot of it is opened. I've got a call from Trevor Lawrence, the great quarterback from Clemson. He was fantastic, and" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "he called me out of the blue, and he said we want to play football. Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Yes. Well no, I'm just making it good. We have a very, very good business guy running it, and I want to make I jokingly say, but it's true. I want to make the Post Office great again, OK? The Post Office lost $78 billion over a very short period of time. Think of it, over the last 10, 12 years. Something like that. $78 billion, with a B, billion." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we're making it so it's going to be good, and we're going to take care of our postal workers above all. We're not firing people, but the way they ran that thing for many years. This isn't a Trump thing." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "There was a big editorial by you know who over the weekend. This isn't a Trump thing. This has been one of the disasters of the world the way it's been run. It's been run horribly, and we're going to make it good. Now, what am I supposed to do? Let it continue to run badly? So if you fix it they say, oh, he's tampering with the election." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, we're not tampering. First of all, absentee ballots like in Florida, those are great things. You send for it, you ask for it, they send it to you, you send it back with your vote. Those are great things. Universal ballots where they drop millions of ballots into a community, into a state like New Jersey is doing now, it's going to be a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6176, + "raw_confidence": 0.6176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Look at Nevada, what's going on over there, it's going to be a disaster. No signature verification. You can you can bundle up. You can they call it harvest. I mean, harvest is harvesting is illegal in most places, and they're letting you harvest. It's going to be a disaster. And just one thing." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8009, + "raw_confidence": 0.8009, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Take a look at what happened in New York. Disaster. Paterson, New Jersey, disaster. Virginia, disaster. It's a disaster what's going on. They can't count the ballots. They don't know where the ballots are being sent." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3018, + "raw_confidence": 0.6982, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's a Nancy Pelosi con game with, you know, her associate Schumer. It this is a con game by Pelosi and Schumer. Look, the Post Office, there's $25 billion sitting there, but they really want $1 trillion to bail out their badly run states, like New York State, which is horribly run, like if you take a look at California, they money they lose, Illinois is a disaster, just a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7789, + "raw_confidence": 0.7789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "This guy Pritzker has done a horrible job in Illinois, and it's run so badly, and they want to bail those primarily those three, plus some others, the Republican states are doing phenomenally well. Sure, they'll take money if they and one thing I can tell you, they'll always take it, but they're doing really, really well." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, instead of just accepting that, I fight for the nation and then they do the number you know the phony number about the Post Office. The Post Office, we want to make it run efficiently, run good, we want it to run for less money, much better, always taking care of our postal workers. And I'll tell you, the biggest problem, one of the biggest problems, maybe the biggest problem with the Post Office is Amazon." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.77, + "raw_confidence": 0.77, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Amazon and other companies like it, they come and they drop all their mail into a Post Office, not all of it, but a big percentage of it, and they say here, you deliver it you stupid people, you deliver it. And it costs us every time they drop a package, it costs us like $3 to deliver the package for them, $3 a package, we're losing a fortune." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1824, + "raw_confidence": 0.8176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I said, raise the price. This guy's supposed to be so wealthy, so raise the price, let him pay for it. Why is the Post Office paying for delivery for Amazon? And in all fairness, for other services like that." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, it's great from that standpoint, but they if they raise the prices to these" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2469, + "raw_confidence": 0.7531, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "companies, you could you'd fix it very quickly. I'd say right now they're losing a fortune on delivering for very wealthy people with very big companies. Let those companies pay, not the purchaser, let the companies pay." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.629, + "raw_confidence": 0.629, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, the first thing I think of is crooked Hillary Clinton, when during one of the debates she asked whether or not I would leave office, would I accept the results of the election. Do you remember? Would you accept the results? And I gave her a decent answer. And the problem is she didn't accept it, she went crazy, she's still going crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I mean, she's gone nuts and so so have they. I mean, they call it Trump derangement syndrome, I don't know if that's true or not, but it's certainly close. I go by the election. Now, with that being said, I have to tell you that if you go with this universal mail-in, where you send millions of votes in California tens of millions of ballots being sent to everybody and their dogs, OK?" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.795, + "raw_confidence": 0.795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Dogs are getting them, OK? People that have been dead for 25 years are getting them, you have to see what's happening, then you're never going to have a fair election." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3117, + "raw_confidence": 0.6883, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I say this, you're never going to have a fair election." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I would support all of that. That's what you want to do and people you know, we voted during World War I, we voted during World War II, we voted during many crises. I mean we voted like nobody would believe; we never had a problem, now we have problems. Look at Carolyn Maloney, the horrible thing" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "that took place in New York just now. They still don't know what and they're declaring her a winner and they have no idea where the ballots are, where the votes are. They should do that election over. But Paterson, New Jersey, take a look at what's going on, Brian. Every there's nothing" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Oh, no. I would I would be oh, I would be for opening more voting booths where people actually come in and they say, hey, here's where I live, and I live in the state not you're going to have people you're going to have mailmen, you're going to have people are in trouble like you wouldn't believe on small little elections." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7806, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "In Paterson, it's 20 percent of the vote is tainted. 20 percent" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7789, + "raw_confidence": 0.7789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They use the word fraud is the more accurate term but it's a terrible thing that's going on and they're going to get us into a mess that we'll be a laughing stock all over the world. You won't know who did this. Two years from now you're not going to know." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6509, + "raw_confidence": 0.6509, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, when you look outside, and you look at all of these tremendous events that are taking place, having nothing to do with us, the boats, thousands and thousands of boats that we talked about and the bikers riding up, thousands along the highways, Bikers for Trump. When you look at that, when you look at all of the things that are going on, when you see the level of enthusiasm." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2049, + "raw_confidence": 0.7951, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Don't forget, there was one poll that nobody talks about; it was a poll by a very respected company. It said 62 percent; remember, it was a couple of weeks ago 62 percent of the people polled have said they're not telling the truth" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "OK, about what they're doing. If that's the case, you're talking about a landslide because there aren't whether we like it or not, they're talking about from one side not the other side. And" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I don't know, I think there's a lot. I can only say this; we won every swing state, every one. We won states that we were that a Republican hadn't won in decades. When you talk about Wisconsin, you talk about Michigan and you talk about so many other places. But we won every swing state. We won Pennsylvania, which hadn't been won, is a great state." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Hey, they want to stop fracking. If you stop fracking then you can tell your energy cost in the whole country's going to go up by three, four or five times" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well but he always wanted to stop" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "because the people in Texas we're killing them in Texas. Can you imagine going to Texas, and say we don't like oil? They don't like oil, guns or religion. Other than that, they're wonderful. They don't like oil. They don't like guns and they don't like and then you're supposed to George Washington couldn't win Texas with that platform." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So now what they're doing is saying this isn't working out well in Texas, Pennsylvania, Ohio, all these places. It's not working out well. Let's change our mind, and after we get it you saw Bernie Sanders. He said look, we got to get Biden in, once we get he him we'll get him changed. You saw that horrible congresswoman, she was horrible, bragging about how she totally controls Biden, that he'll do whatever she wants and that was two days ago." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "She will do whatever he wants. That's what's going to happen. Joe is shot. Let's face it. Joe is shot. Now, maybe people are going to feel sorry for him and maybe it but our country is too important for that. You're dealing with people that are very sharp. You're dealing with world class chess players in the leaders of these countries." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I know them all. We do very well with all of them, Erdogan of Turkey, all of them. You can't have a guy that's shot. You can't have a guy that doesn't know where he is. You can't have a guy that's afraid to leave his basement because he can't speak any longer. And, by the way, on his best day, he wasn't good, you know that." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He was not the guy, but we're not talking about a bad time, and you can't do that. You can't feel sorry for him and vote for him and because if that means then that Kamala Harris-es are going to take over, and she's a disaster. Look at her positions on everything. She wants to take away everyone's gun." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.22, + "raw_confidence": 0.78, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "She wants to totally ban fossil fuels. She wants to literally, she has no idea how you're going to power up your factories and everything. I guess the best way is just cut them in half. You won't have any factories. And we are going to have the greatest quarter, and we are going to have next year will be the greatest year we ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7858, + "raw_confidence": 0.7858, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We're cutting taxes, our energy we're energy-independent now, we're winning wars, we're getting out look at the ISIS caliphate. A hundred percent. When I took it over it was all over the Mideast, it was all over Syria. I knocked it out, and I'm bringing everybody back home. Biden can't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, then I'll take them out, Brian, if they are reconstituting, I'll take them out. But we had we used to have at one point, more than 100,000 soldiers. That's ridiculous. And we're ready to do whatever we have to do. We're dealing with the Taliban. I said look, let me tell you something, and I've dealt with them directly." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "These are tough people. They're like you people. Maybe not that tough, but you know what? These are tough people. I said look, if you play games, we're going to come, and we're going to hit you harder than any country in the history of the world has ever been hit. And they understand that, but we've been there Brian, we've been there 19 years." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1964, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Now, nobody has been killed there in a long time. Do you notice in Afghanistan, you haven't nobody has been killed in Afghanistan in a long time. Nobody has been killed in Iraq in a long time. Iraq, we're down to 2,000 soldiers, and but it's an amazing thing what we've done, and get no credit for it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7613, + "raw_confidence": 0.7613, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Do you remember when I was people think that I'm this warrior, war-like person. They said oh, it's going to we're going to be in a war right away. Where's the war? I've gotten us out of wars. I don't want to be in wars. Now, I'm the best fighter if we have to go into a war, but we only go into wars to win the wars." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2392, + "raw_confidence": 0.7608, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I get along with a lot of these countries that, in theory, we could have war. They call me up, they need help with Turkey. The heads of countries last week, they called me up, could you call Erdogan? I said why? He's the you're the only one that he'll listen to. He doesn't listen to us. You're the only one." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I said, is that because of the United States, he says no, that's because of you. That's because of your personality. You're the only one that he will listen to." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And you know what? I don't like saying this publicly but it happens to be true. I get along with him and he listens, and, you know, we took the border. Remember? Between Syria and Turkey, I took our troops out. I said let them control their own border. We have enough borders to control. And, by the way, on that, on our southern border, the wall is going to be built very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7532, + "raw_confidence": 0.7532, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "It's almost built, it's moving very rapidly. We're up to about 280 miles. It'll be built right by the end of the year, a little bit after the end of the year, and that's with the party totally against me. You notice it's never mentioned anymore. Nobody ever mentions the wall anymore because I won." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But more importantly, I won for the nation" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, no. Then you shouldn't let her be in office because we would have right now the plague coming in like you you know, those 280 miles I built have stopped like hundreds of thousands of people. Mexico is heavy, heavy COVID territory. They are highly infected. I built the wall and that wall has stopped people from coming in." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2923, + "raw_confidence": 0.7077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "If she said that, and I know sleepy Joe said it, he said we should stop the wall, and I might even tear down the wall. He wants to tear down a wall that's the best border wall ever built, in terms of the success of it, in terms of the best-ever built, he wants to tear it down. A country needs borders or you don't have a country." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2145, + "raw_confidence": 0.7855, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "People were flowing in. Remember the caravans that had been coming in, thousands of people just pouring we stopped all of that. We have we have one of the strongest borders that we've ever had now at the southern border, and I got Mexico 27,000 troops. I said you guard the border. I want you to guard, otherwise, we're going to charge you tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1835, + "raw_confidence": 0.8165, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And they've been great. They've been great. They're guarding our border." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Oh, the mayor has no response. He doesn't know what he's doing. He's a fool. He's a socialist, communist maybe. He's a fool. He got rid of a thousand he got rid of some of the most talented policemen that there are in the world, and that includes looking for very bad things all beyond New York. Some of those people are gone, and that's no good." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, this is a fool. This is a fool. Look at the shootings. When I left New York four years ago, New York was I could see the seeds of this because he's been a bad mayor, but New York was good. It was OK. It all happened recently. It all came together. All of his neglect over a period of years as he's been mayor but about a year you saw it, and then six months ago, it's incredible what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7933, + "raw_confidence": 0.7933, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "When I left New York four years ago, we were doing great. I was doing good. Everybody was now but you could see the seeds were being sown. The seeds it was happening. Bad stuff was happening. You could see it. The squeegees were starting to come out. Tents were starting to be built on the sidewalks, you know." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And you say, well you want Rudy Giuliani was a great mayor. Rudy Giuliani did a great job between windows, you know, he'd fix broken windows because he said that's a sign and it leads you know, a lot of people wouldn't even understand that. It's very it's psychologically very important, but Rudy, he was a great mayor." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And he did catch he did stop and frisk. He did stop and frisk. He took guns away from bad people. Now if you take a gun away from a bad people, oh, you got to you know, they sue you. OK, they sue you. It's so crazy what they've allowed to happen. And if the Democrats got in you have to understand, you're only talking about a small, tiny" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "portion of our country. Most of the country is strong, law abiding, no games. I was in Texas. We had 100,000 people along the highway. I was in Texas. I was in Florida. I got the sheriffs' endorsement all over Florida, and you have to see, these people aren't playing games. They're not this is New York, Chicago." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7707, + "raw_confidence": 0.7707, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "These are Portland is just run by fools." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I mean, they're run by fools. Yes?" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, that happened last time with Hillary and also in the Republican primaries. I mean, they gave me much tougher questions than anybody else, and according to the polls, they do the polls after the debates, and I won every single poll on every single debate. And I never did it professionally before. You know, all these guys, they're politicians and that's what they do for a living." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I never did it. But according and you know what I mean. TIME Magazine poll and this and that, all these different polls that they had, I won every single poll of every single debate. And I think" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "By working very hard. You know what, by working very hard, not on debates but on running the country because it's like I see where everybody says, oh, we're working with Trump. Honestly what I'm doing is I'm doing my job. My job is telling me I mean, that's the best debate prep." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I've sort of been preparing all my life. That's what I do, but I guess I'll do some preparation, but I didn't do much last time because I understand what's happening. I mean, law and order. We need law and order. You don't have to prep for that. You can't have these stupid, stupid" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7734, + "raw_confidence": 0.7734, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "people from Portland where the mayor says where the mayor goes into the crowd and they want to tear him apart. I mean, the whole thing is crazy what's going on." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, no. I'm not using Chris. Chris is a friend of mine. That got out there. You know, everybody says, oh, I'm doing I'm helping Trump with this, I'm helping no, I'm not. I get along with Chris, he's good, and I may use him. I used him last time to play the role of Hillary Clinton, there were big differences there between those two, I will tell you, big differences." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But, Chris was good, he's tough and he was good." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Biden, look, Biden is is shot. I'm telling you, he's shot, there's something going on. Now, with that being said, I don't underestimate anybody, only a fool would do that. Because Joe was OK, he wasn't Winston Churchill, but he was OK against crazy Bernie. Now, Bernie was bad in that debate. You know, he was ranting and raving like a lunatic, OK." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, Joe sat there and watched, and he was able to get answers out. But Joe, you know I've but I've seen Joe in other debates where he is so bad. I never thought Joe would get there because if you go back into the many debates that they had, because I got to watch quite a few of them, as much as I could, that's called debate prep too, to be honest." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1847, + "raw_confidence": 0.8153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But, I watched Joe, he was so bad in some of those Democrat debates where you had a lot of people on stage, that I said, well, Joe is dead, has to be dead. And remember, if Elizabeth Warren got out, just got out, she didn't even have to endorse, Joe wouldn't be the guy, it would have been Bernie. Bernie got whacked twice unfairly by the party." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7509, + "raw_confidence": 0.7509, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He's the greatest loser I've ever seen, loser in a nice sense. In other words, he obviously likes losing, because they I want I want to use a different word that's more accurate, but they took advantage of him the first time, in '16, and they took tremendous advantage of him here. They piled up on him and they took and then she left right after Super Tuesday." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2559, + "raw_confidence": 0.7441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "If she would have stayed in if she would have stayed in the by staying in the race, she gave it Joe. If she would have gotten out, Bernie would have gotten all of those votes, all of those votes, or most of her votes. He would have won every state because Super Tuesday is when it ended. And the only reason is that she stayed in." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7634, + "raw_confidence": 0.7634, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Had and then she got out right after Super Tuesday, but by that time it was too late." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I have to tell you, it's amazing how nicely Bernie takes it. He takes it like" + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "it's you know he's a major loser." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Hey, Brian Ryan, so I have a big news, this will be breaking news today. If we debate we want to debate and we're all set, we've agreed, I'm they're making one mistake, they should have one of the debates before ballots start going out, as you know, the absentee ballots hopefully. You know, we have many court cases on this, so you're going a lot of things are going to happen over the next two weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.206, + "raw_confidence": 0.794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have a case in Pennsylvania, we have a a lot of cases, we have a case in Nevada. So, you know, a lot of things are going to happen with respect to the universal voting, which is going to be greatest scam of all time if it's allowed to go, but on absentee ballots. But, one of the debates should be early one of the debates should be early." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But, we you know Joe, I we can see that Joe doesn't want to debate. But here's here's the story, if Joe makes it through the debate, I think they're an hour and a half, and I said, only standing, you have to stand, but if Joe makes it through the debate, the news but, not you people, let's see, the three of you, yes, I'm pretty sure you can call it straight, but the news will say, it was the greatest performance in the history of debating." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.365, + "raw_confidence": 0.635, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "He was brilliant, he was unbelievable, Joe Biden. All he has to do is if he can make it off the stage and walk back unassisted, they will say it was the single greatest debate performance in history. You know that, and so do I." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, it's everything; you just don't have enough time left. You only have, you know, the short number of hours left. I mean, we could talk all day. But it's energy, it's fracking, it's stock market. Look what's going to happen with the stock market, it's it's it's going to set new records, and Joe will crash it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1826, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The market will crash if you if you don't it's it's healthcare, they want to do socialized medicine. Socialized medicine, now you're going to lose your doctor, just like Obama lied, you can keep your doctor, you can keep your plan. You remember, he said it 28 different times. It was a total lie." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But now you're going to lose your doctor. It's we got rid of the individual mandate for Obamacare, that was the most unpopular part. That actually killed Obamacare, by the way, that actually got rid of it, but that was the most unpopular thing in in in all of government, and I was able to get it voted out, which was amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1784, + "raw_confidence": 0.8216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They want to put it back. You just told me about the wall. They don't want security. They don't want open borders." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2498, + "raw_confidence": 0.7502, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Second Amendment, they want to they want to either obliterate it or get rid of it entirely. Look at Kamala and look at Biden. He put Beto, who turned out to be a total anti-gun guy, he put Beto in charge of guns." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4588, + "raw_confidence": 0.5412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Beto O'Rourke, who turned out to be a total disaster for the party, by the way, but they put Beto O'Rourke in charge of guns. They will take away your guns. NRA gave me the strongest endorsement they've ever given anybody, by the way, and if you look at the gun situation, it's horrible." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "One other thing real fast. I watched today, and you have drug companies advertising against me. That's because I'm going to reduce drug prices by 50, 60, 70 percent because I'm doing favored nations. Nobody's ever done that before. Germany pays a tiny fraction of us. U.K., Canada, all these countries they pay a fraction of what the United States pays, and I told them for a long time you're either going to make a deal or going to do favored nations." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 165, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Favored nations means we pay the same as these countries that are paying much, much less. Now, so what they're doing is going out and doing ads against me. Anytime you see a drug ad against Donald Trump, that means prices are coming down, but nobody's ever done that. Plus rebates, we're getting rebates and keeping them and giving them back to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, we're looking at different things. We may or not do it. We did do ANWR, as you know. ANWR is a big deal that Ronald Reagan couldn't get done, and nobody could get done. Everybody wanted it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.252, + "raw_confidence": 0.748, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Everybody said impossible. Well no, we are looking at it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 169, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "When you say planning to allow, we are looking at different things in Alaska. I've been very good to Alaska, very good to Alaska, and we are looking at things in Alaska. I got them a highway that's going to be built that they've been after for 44 years. We will take a look at that. I am very pro energy." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 170, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5547, + "raw_confidence": 0.5547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "At the same time, I'm very look at what we just signed with Cory Gardner and Steve Daines just two weeks ago. We signed the biggest probably the biggest environmental bill they said the biggest since Teddy Roosevelt and it could be bigger when you add what I did for Utah, so I'm very much I hate to say it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 171, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3166, + "raw_confidence": 0.6834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "In theory, I should go down as a great environmental president because if you take a look at that, add that on to what we did, also if you look at I opened up the mines, the iron ore mines. We have the best in the world, so I opened that. And I've reversed things also. Look at Maine. President Obama shut down 5,000 square miles." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 172, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6104, + "raw_confidence": 0.6104, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know what 5,000 square miles of fishing and lobster fishing in Maine. I opened it up for Maine. Then I got rid of the tariffs in Europe and China for them because they couldn't make do business because Europe and China had tariffs on them. As usual, they take advantage of the U.S. And I should win the state of Maine." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 173, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I mean, what I did for them was you know, I don't know that I will. I think I know I'll win half of it. I'll win Maine 2, but I should win the state. I've done things that no other president would be capable of doing. And you know, hate to brag but I have no choice because the press isn't going to say it." + }, + { + "tid": "UAFd-N0UVKI", + "sid": 174, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-fox-and-friends-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I really appreciate it. Thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm really honored by it. It's a tremendous thing, I think, for our country." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2583, + "raw_confidence": 0.7417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We're trying to help the Middle East. That is it's a very difficult place, as you know. It's been tremendous treasure has been spent there, but our greatest treasure of all are the lives and the lives of both sides and all sides because so many different countries have been involved there for so many years and so many, frankly, if you look for so many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So it's a great honor to be nominated, and you know, has tremendous significance. And we'll have other countries joining, too. We have tremendous interest from other countries joining, but UAE's highly respected. Mohammad is a great gentleman, a great man, and again, also individually highly respected. So it was a great honor to receive the nomination." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, I just think it's a great thing for our country. It shows that we're trying to make peace, not war all the time. We've had a lot of wars. We're pulling our soldiers, our great military people out of a lot of areas. We're way down in Iraq. We're way down in Afghanistan. We're working on a peace deal in Afghanistan, working directly with the Taliban, and that's going along pretty well." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And we'll probably know about that fairly soon. So we're looking to create a lot of peace around the world because the world has other problems that we have to focus on." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well I think sometimes you have to break up the eggs to make the omelet, and I'm not saying that he's necessarily wrong. That's a phase one. Sometimes you do have to go in and rough it up and mix it up, so to speak, and then all of a sudden you come out with something that could be very beautiful, but we never got there." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We never got we never had the people. We never had the talent to get there and to negotiate these deals. And I will tell you that other countries from the Middle East are dying to come in. They are they want to come in so badly. Why didn't you call us and we're going to start piecing it all together like a beautiful puzzle, and that's what it is." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's been a very complex puzzle for a lot of people, but I understood it and I do understand it. They want peace. They've been fighting for decades and decades and they've been fighting for centuries in some cases and they would like to see peace, and it's going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well when I ran, everybody thought that because of a certain type of personality, we'd be in war very quickly. And look what happened. North Korea, where three and a half years, we talk, we have a relation, no war. You would have been in a war had Hillary Clinton got in, you would have been in war with North Korea, and it would have been a nasty war." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Millions of people potentially would have been killed in that war. So many other places, they thought we'd be at war, instead, we're making peace and we're making deals and we're making trade deals which are wonderful, and we're building up our military and we're using it for the right things and we will only use it to win." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We only use it to win, but hopefully, we don't have to use it, because I see the destructive power of what we have and you have to pray to God that we never have to use it." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So it's an interesting question, it very could be a very long answer, but I'll make it as short as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7913, + "raw_confidence": 0.7913, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We've been taken advantage of with respect to NATO. Many of the countries, of the 28 countries, you had 20 of them are not paid and they're delinquent, frankly. They owe a lot of money. They don't pay their bills. And the United States made up the difference and we were taken advantage of. I got them to pay $130 billion more, going up to $400 billion more a year." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2639, + "raw_confidence": 0.7361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And Secretary General Stoltenberg is probably my biggest fan. He said I he never thought that could happen. But these are countries that weren't paying and now they're paying tremendous amounts and much more, it's good. So we're getting that straightened away. We are getting the trade straightened away, European Union took tremendous advantage of us." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6787, + "raw_confidence": 0.6787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "With China, we made a deal, but I have to tell you, the ink wasn't dry before the China plague came in and when it came in I was I felt a lot different much more differently about the deal the deal itself. Last week they ordered the largest amount of corn in the history of our country, they ordered the largest amount of soybeans." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "All of this stuff is good, but it pales in comparison to what they've done with the virus. We will be doing things in terms of trade which can make peace in terms of trade and in terms of other things that will bring the world together. I believe. At the same time, we had the most powerful and we will have the most powerful military by far." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You need it just in case, you never want to have to use it, but you have to have it. And frankly, it's a very good negotiating chip. We have and I've built because when I came in it was a totally depleted military, it was under siege, our people weren't treated properly, our great warriors weren't treated properly and it was very unfair to the people in the military." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "So, they've given pay raises and we've bought equipment, the likes of which we've never done before to this extent. So, we took a depleted military and made it great. What we have now, much of this equipment, all made in the USA, has been delivered. We will negotiate tremendous deals with many countries and hopefully, we're going to have a very peaceful four years." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.784, + "raw_confidence": 0.784, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, North Korea, I have a very good relationship with Kim Jong-Un and nothing's happened there, I think because of my relationship but nothing's happened there. And hopefully, that will continue and we'll see what it all leads to, but the relationship has been very strong. As you know, we had meetings and nobody else met." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "And we had meetings and they were very productive meetings. And remember, nothing's happened, we haven't done anything, sanctions are on, everything is just as it was. There's been no war. President Obama thought there was going to be a war, Hillary Clinton would have started the war and it would have been a long, it would've been millions of people, it would have been a very difficult one." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.656, + "raw_confidence": 0.656, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "As far as Iran is concerned, if I win the election, I believe they will be in to see me within virtually minutes after the election. They'd love to have Joe Biden because he is weak, he's a terrible negotiator. They already made this horrible deal that I terminated, the deal that Biden and Obama made was a horrible deal." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2044, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He gave $150 billion, they tried to buy peace by giving $150 billion, but it was a short-term deal, it meant nothing and they gave $1.8 billion in cash. Anyway, I believe that Iran is desperate to make a deal. Their GDP is down 24 percent, which nobody even heard of a number like that. And as soon as they find out the results of the election, they will be calling me, hopefully, they'll be calling me, because if they call Biden, they're going to end up owning our country." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They and China will end up I can say this with certainty, if Biden should win this election, China will end up owning the United States, owning it. And I have no doubt about it. I'll say one other thing, if that ever happened, you will have a stock market crash the likes of which you've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "UNuWpUM36IM", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3503, + "raw_confidence": 0.6497, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-decker-fox-news-radio-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He's going to raise taxes, he's going to put regulations back on, even bigger than we had before. It will be a crash the likes of which you've never seen before. People's 401(k)s and stocks will be I can't say worthless, but pretty close." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Okay, well, thank you very much. This is a truly historic day a very, very important day, especially in a beautiful part of the world. I'm pleased to announce a truly historic commitment: Serbia and Kosovo have each committed to economic normalization. Very expect very important term. They've been working on this for many, many years decades, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "After a violent and tragic history, and years of failed negotiations, my administration proposed a new way of bridging the divide. By focusing on job creation and economic growth, the two countries were able to reach a major breakthrough something that nobody thought was going to be possible. And I think it's going to work out very well. And we're going to be working with them on economic cooperation across a broad range of issue issues." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And I can say that Serbia and Kosovo have tremendous numbers of people in the United States. They're they love your country. They love your country so much. They love your country so much. And it's really good that we were able to get this done. I've had a lot of people here that that would like to see and would be very proud to see this happening. There's been tremendous death over a long period of time, and that all stops." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We've also made additional progress on reaching peace in the Middle East. I will say that Kosovo and Israel have agreed to normalization of ties and the establishment of diplomatic relations. The agreement we made with UAE has been" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "incredible, the what it's represented, what's it's meant. And we have other countries in the Middle East coming very much to us and saying, like, When do we go? When can we sign? I think we're going to have great peace in the Middle East. And nobody has been able to say that for a long time." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1943, + "raw_confidence": 0.8057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Serbia has committed to opening a commercial office in Jerusalem this month and to move its embassy to Jerusalem in July. That's fantastic. That's a big thing. That's a very big statement. And we appreciate that very much." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1904, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's taken tremendous bravery by the President of Serbia and the President of Kosovo who are with me today; two highly respected people to embark on these talks and to come to Washington to finalize these commitments. By doing so, they've made their countries, the Balkans, really, an incredible area of some of the most beautiful land in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I look forward to seeing Serbia and Kosovo prosper as we work together on economic cooperation in the region. Going forward I look forward to going to both countries someday in the not-too-distant future. We have a thing called a campaign going on right now. So I figure I think we better devote a little time to that. But we look forward to it." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But we're very proud of these two great leaders and for getting this done. And their people are very proud of them, maybe more importantly. And, truly, it is historic. So I want to thank you both. And if you'd like to sign, you could start. And we'll start the process." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I'm going to give you this one. This is for you, and this is for you. And that's for you." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Would anybody have any questions for these two great leaders? They are great leaders, too." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Would you like to respond? Or I could have somebody else. Robert, would you like to talk about that?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's going to really bring them together." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Ric. And speaking of job growth, I think it's important to say that our unemployment rate dropped all the way down to 8.4 percent. It was just announced an hour ago. And that is many, many months ahead of schedule. They said, You won't break 10 percent, at least until next year sometime. And we just did 8.4 percent, and we're going down rapidly. Plus, a lot of jobs were produced." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But very important, we just broke the 10 percent mark, and that wasn't going to happen until January, February, March maybe. And so we're at 8.4 percent, and that starts to sound much more normal. We're recovering from the China plague, and they are too, by the way. They got hit very hard. Every country did, almost. A hundred and eighty-eight countries got hit." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But 8.4 percent is an incredible number. Way ahead of schedule. Way ahead of schedule. So, again, any other questions for the two gentlemen?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I can tell you that it took decades because you didn't have anybody trying to get it done. We've been working on this for almost from the beginning of the administration. And you had some deep-seated feelings and long-term feelings, and there was a lot of fighting, and now there's a lot of love, and that's the way it's going to be. I think they're going to have a tremendous relationship. And the economic is going to bring them together. It's going to unify the two countries." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And it was just something that was so obvious to me, right from the beginning. And Ric Grenell, I think in particular, he just he would talk about it all the time. He didn't understand why this had to be. And he was right. And he brought them together with Robert and with Jared and Avi. So many people were involved." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But it just seemed to be such a natural fit. And I think you're going to see a tremendous really, tremendous things are going to happen. In addition, it's going to be great economically for both countries. Plus, it also opens up the United States much more easily to both countries. We don't have to worry about these two, sort of, warring nations, fighting nations. And I think they're going to have a fantastic relationship. Economics can bring people together, and that's what happening right here. But my people did a fantastic job. They really did a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Any other questions for the yes, please. I'd like you to say." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's going to be very successful. We have no doubt." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We have no doubt. It's too bad this couldn't have happened many years ago, but you needed somebody to" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "work it and bring it together. So, congratulations, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I'd like to have a really great Senator, Ron Johnson, Wisconsin and we have a lot of people from Serbia and Kosovo living in your state. And you were a big part of it. So thank you, Ron, very much. Would you like to say something?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And you have a very good tennis player playing right now in the U.S. Open, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3876, + "raw_confidence": 0.6124, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "They're all as tall as you are. Even a little bit taller, maybe." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Well, we want to thank you both. And this has been really terrific." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Would you have any other questions for the Prime Minister or the President?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2553, + "raw_confidence": 0.7447, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I think what's happening is you're going to see tremendous growth in the very near future." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1953, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We're rounding the curve. We're coming up with vaccines. I think the vaccines are going to be announced very soon, and I think you're going to see great companies announcing these vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1989, + "raw_confidence": 0.8011, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "I spoke with Pfizer today. I speak with the different companies. Johnson & Johnson, as you know, doing really well. Moderna." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "We have tremendous tremendous talent, tremendous scientists, and they're really right there, and I think you're going to hear some very good news." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And also, to me, maybe even better I think, when it comes to therapeutics, you're going to have some, Peter some incredible news coming out very soon. I say therapeutics because that's you walk into the hospital, and whether it's a transfusion or a shot, people get better. That's something that I think, right now, is really incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7706, + "raw_confidence": 0.7706, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "The numbers are way down, as you know. Florida is doing very well. Arizona has been actually a little bit of a miracle, how quickly it went down, because it went up and it went down very quickly. Two really great governors. Texas, great governor same thing. California, the numbers are way down. So we're really starting to see those areas that popped up are really going down." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7915, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "The mortality rates, you look at the percentages, what's happening and that's because of the convalescent plasma; it's because of the remdesivir; it's for a lot of different reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But we all you know, we do have we do have therapeutics that are really having an impact. And if you're looking at what's going on, I've seen numbers from 50 to 85 percent better. So that's really something." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So we're very proud of the job we're doing. And I think, in particular, not only the great companies, but the companies every one of them has said to me: If this was a more typical kind of presidency I'll be nice if this was a more typical kind of President, getting these approvals would take two or three years. And they'll have them I mean, as far as we're concerned, they're very close to announcing some very big news. So we're honored by that." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And I've had a team, whether it's Vice President Mike Pence, head of the task force, and all of the people on the task force and they've really done a great job. I don't think they've been recognized for the great job they've done." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2059, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And last night, I read out in Pennsylvania, Latrobe, the home of the great Arnold Palmer but I read out some statistics on how we're doing compared to other parts of the world, and we're doing phenomenally well." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5919, + "raw_confidence": 0.5919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And if you took New York because New York was just really, they made a lot of mistakes in New York. But if you took that out you know, a tremendous number of deaths in New York if you took that out, our numbers are just about as good as anybody in the world. And even without that, without taking it out, you see the kind of numbers we have." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1805, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So so we've done a good job. We've done a great job in helping governors. I think every governor is very happy. Not everybody expresses it to the media, but they do at the task force meetings. We've had task force meetings where they're laying praise on us, and then they'll go out and talk to the press and they won't be quite as generous. But that's okay." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2713, + "raw_confidence": 0.7287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But for the most part, I think we've helped in every case, we've helped every governor, and we've helped them a lot. And some of them, we've made look very good. And some have done a really great job, and others haven't." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "But as a country, we have really done a terrific job. And I want to thank Vice President Pence and but I won't thank too much right now because we'd like to get the job finished first. And the vaccines are going to come out soon, and the therapeutics are continuing, and that's why we're having the kind of numbers we have." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And I'll be doing a news conference today at 5 o'clock, so I'll see you there, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "No. It was fake story written by a magazine that was probably not going to be around much longer. But it was a totally fake story, and that was confirmed by many people who were actually there." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7973, + "raw_confidence": 0.7973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It was a terrible thing that somebody could say the kind of things and especially to me, because I've done more for the military than almost anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7843, + "raw_confidence": 0.7843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "You look at how the VA is doing, it's doing incredibly well. We got all sorts of things done, from Accountability to Veterans Choice to everything. And it's got right now and it's got, right now, the highest approval rating that it's ever had: 91 percent approval rating. It's never been anywhere close to that." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2305, + "raw_confidence": 0.7695, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "Nobody has done what I've done, and that includes salary increases, but it really includes the rebuilding of our military. Because, as you know, when I came here, our military was totally depleted, and we spent almost $2.5 trillion much more than you spent on your military, I can tell you that, right? Slightly more. $2.5 trillion, all made in the USA. You have F-35s, brand-new jets and rockets and missiles." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2552, + "raw_confidence": 0.7448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "And hope to God that we never have to use it, but our nuclear is now in extraordinary shape, including new weapons. I just hope we never have to use that because that's a level of power that you don't even want to talk about, you don't even want to hear about it." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2316, + "raw_confidence": 0.7684, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "So it's a fake story, and it's a disgrace that they're allowed to do it. And very interestingly I hate to bring up his book, but John Bolton, no friend of mine, I thought he was you know, didn't know too much about what he was doing. He was he was didn't do a good job, but he wrote a book. And if you read it, he talks about this incident and he doesn't mention it. And, frankly, a lot of reporters, even some pretty bad ones, they read that, and that was the end of the story." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "No, there's nobody that considers the military and especially people that have given their lives in the military to me, they're heroes. To me, they're heroes." + }, + { + "tid": "uW-X3r57Ycs", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-trilat-alexsandar-vucic-servia-avdullah-hoti-kosovo-september-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-04", + "claim_text": "It's it's even hard to believe how they could do it. And I say that it's so the level of bravery. And to me, they are absolute heroes. Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2801, + "raw_confidence": 0.7199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, he did a bad job for minorities. I did much more for minorities than he did. And if you look at our numbers prior to the plague coming in and those numbers will soon be back you'll see I did a much better job than Obama did, by far, for African Americans, for Asian Americans, for women, for any group you look at. Far better than Obama did." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, we don't want that to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Yeah, we don't want that to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.219, + "raw_confidence": 0.781, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But people have to come into our country legally. Right now, we have 267 miles of wall. We're doing very well on keeping the drugs out and keeping people out that aren't supposed to be here. But people have to come into our country legally." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're taking a look at it very strongly. We're working with representatives of DACA and we're also working on a big immigration bill which is merit-based and something that people are going to be very happy with. We're doing a very big immigration bill and we're doing a very big healthcare bill." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.442, + "raw_confidence": 0.558, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The other thing we're working on very strongly, and it's very important, is prescription drug prices. The drug companies are not exactly happy. In fact, I assume they'll be taking ads. But we're doing a drug prescription bill, in a sense we've already signed it, for the most part; one goes into effect very soon that's going to get us to be tied with or lower than the lowest drug prices anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8027, + "raw_confidence": 0.8027, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Right now, the United States, because of what has happened over years, we have the highest prescription drug prices in the world. We will soon have the lowest." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2085, + "raw_confidence": 0.7915, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're looking at TikTok. We may be banning TikTok. We may be doing some other things. There are a couple of options. But a lot of things are happening, so we'll see what happens. But we are looking at a lot alternatives with respect to TikTok." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're going to have a report for you tomorrow on that." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7333, + "raw_confidence": 0.7333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So we ended a rule that was a very horrible rule for people in suburbia in the suburbs. And that rule has been a very unfair rule for a long time and it was going to be made a lot worse by Biden and Cory Booker." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2148, + "raw_confidence": 0.7852, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's a rule that, basically, you build low-income housing and you build other forms of housing also having to do with zoning and destroy people that have lived in communities in suburbia. For years, they've lived there, and they want to destroy their lives and destroy what they have. And it's been going on for a long time. I ended the rule, so people living in the suburbs will no longer have that problem." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2034, + "raw_confidence": 0.7966, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Herman Cain was a great man. He did a fantastic job. He was respected by everybody. He was loved by everybody. And we will miss Herman Cain." + }, + { + "tid": "V5-_wzH6qH0", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-marine-one-departure-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "No, I don't think he did. No." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you. Well, thank you very much. Thank you very much. And considering that we caught President Obama and sleepy Joe Biden, spying on our campaign, treason, will probably be entitled to another four more years after that. I wanted to thank you, and Art and Brandon, you're incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I've known you now a long time. Right from the beginning, we had the chemistry, we had that good chemistry... Oh, sit down. It's 122 degrees in this place. And we have our great Governor. Governor, can we make it a little bit, just a little. This is like a test. You think Joe Biden could do this? I don't think so." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1899, + "raw_confidence": 0.8101, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So I'm thrilled to be in Yuma, Arizona To proudly accept the endorsement of the National Border Patrol Council, that's a big deal. And they are great friends of mine. And we're building the wall. Next week, we'll be up to 300 miles of incredible wall. And our numbers are the best. We are very tough at the border." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4201, + "raw_confidence": 0.5799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When people want to come in, for our farmers, et cetera, et cetera, we're not going to hurt our farmers, but we've never had better numbers than we have right now. And that's been helped because we're at a little bit over 280 miles right now, we have never been helped like this. Wall, there are two things, in a thousand years you can come back, two things will never, with technology it's obsolete before you even put it in the box, but two things never get old wheels and walls." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Wheels and wall. If you come back in a thousand years, you'll say, Well, we still have wheels in walls. And that's the only thing you'll recognize. The National Border Patrol Council is the official union representing the incredible heroes of the United States Border Patrol. They've been my friends from the beginning." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "To every border agent, and I just met some unbelievable people backstage, these are great people, and every family member here today, you have earned the everlasting gratitude of our nation. And I want to thank you very much. Thank you very much. As you know, better than anyone, the survival of our nation is at stake in this election." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you, I never thought I'd say it because we had a great election. We had a great election a little while ago. Four years ago, I never thought I'd say anything could compete with 2016. This election that we're going into is the most important election in the history of our country, because we had crooked Hillary, but this is something, these people are sick." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1572, + "raw_confidence": 0.8428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And we have to make sure that this radical left socialist and beyond, because this is beyond socialism, that it doesn't happen, or we will indeed have Venezuela on steroids. So we can't do it. Most important election, November 3rd, get out and vote. Joe Biden is the puppet of the radical left wing movement that seeks the complete elimination of America's borders and boundaries." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2873, + "raw_confidence": 0.7127, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They want to take the wall down, they don't want to have borders, they want to have sanctuary cities, lots of bad things they want. Following orders from his boss. I guess his new boss is Bernie Sanders. Can you believe that? Crazy Bernie. Joe Biden has pledged to abolish immigration enforcement, suspend all removals, provide free government healthcare, and they want to give it to illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You don't get it. Restore, catching and release. Shield violent criminal aliens. This is what they want to do. And give every illegal alien on the planet earth a free ticket to invent an asylum claim, and gain automatic admission into our country. We will have people coming into our country that never even thought of it before." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1829, + "raw_confidence": 0.8171, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You get free education, you get free healthcare, why wouldn't they come? Let's go to America. The Biden plan would unleash a flood of illegal immigration like the world has never seen. It's crazy. Biden's plan is the most radical, extreme, reckless, dangerous, and deadly immigration plan ever put forward by a major party candidate." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It must be defeated, and it will be defeated on November 3rd. It will be defeated. At last night's Democrat convention, which by the way, got very bad ratings, I have to tell you. Unity. They talk about unity. They want to bring unity. And then you listen to Michelle Obama's speech, which was obsolete by the time it got there." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2076, + "raw_confidence": 0.7924, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "She taped it. No, she taped the speech. It was obsolete. She must have taped it about three weeks before. I'm speaking next Thursday, maybe I'll tape it. But I don't think that goes. That's so much nicer, to tape it, you do it, nice air conditioned room. And she not only taped it, but tell me when you hear a divisive speech... They talk about me as being a divider." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I'm not a divider. I bring people together. We were bringing people together. We were bringing people together, like never before. Success was bringing everyone together, and then we got hit with the China virus, but we were bringing people together. But one of the opening speakers last night said that America will go to hell if we don't have open borders." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1533, + "raw_confidence": 0.8467, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Think of that. Go to hell. When a country doesn't have borders, you don't have a country. Today, a Democrat speaker at the convention said, We're talking about abolishing the police, we're talking about abolishing ICE, we're talking about abolishing prisons. Biden's campaign has turned into a cult for open border and others Zealots." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "By the way, they want to double and triple your taxes, they want to increase regulations, they want to spend very little money on our vets, after we took care of our vets better than anyone's. 91% approval rate. And they want to spend much less on our military, we've totally rebuilt. Two and a half trillion dollars, we've totally rebuilt our military." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2488, + "raw_confidence": 0.7512, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Bernie Sanders declared, in his speech, many of the ideas that just a few years ago were considered radical, are now mainstream. That's Bernie Sanders. Because Joe, he doesn't know where he is. But if he did, he's been brought so far left that our country will not be the country that we know. It will have problems, it will go down." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4074, + "raw_confidence": 0.5926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Your stocks will be gone, your 401ks will disappear. And right now, who has the 401k? And then the rest of you, many of you have stocks, and you do it a different way. That will go down 50, 60, 70%, 80%. And if you held on, like I said to do, we went down a little while we got hit with a virus. Now, NASDAQ just broke an all time record." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1579, + "raw_confidence": 0.8421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "SNP, just broke an all time record. Socialism is the mainstream of the Biden campaign and it's not the mainstream of America. Remember I said, we will never have a socialist country. On November 3rd. The people of Arizona, our great state, we love Arizona. I won it last time, by a lot. And I hear we're going to win it by even more this time." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Don't forget, last time I talked, I said we're going to give you a tax cuts, I gave you. I said, we're going to give you a massive regulation cuts. Give you your tax cuts, I gave them to you. I said we're going to give you massive regulation cuts, we're going to give you great everything. We even did Right to Try medicine." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know all about that. We did things that I didn't even talk about it, we did. We did a thing called the Space Force. You never heard me talking about. I'm the only candidate that gave you more than I promised in the campaign. It's true. I'm the only one ever, maybe ever. Or we'll head to the polls and together we'll stop the left and win four more years in the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4763, + "raw_confidence": 0.5237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We're joined today by some incredible people, friends of mine, great, great people. And I want to congratulate your governor because we had a spike and he knocked that spike out so fast. I don't know. Are you sure you even had a spike? Doug Ducey, a great governor, great man, and a somebody that won by about 16 or 17 points." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's not so bad. And I think you're more popular today. What a job you've done. Thank you very much, Doug. A friend of mine and somebody who's a great fighter pilot, and I had a lot of people tell me she could really wheel the Warthog, right? The Warthog. She said, I love that plane, but she was a great, great fighter pilot, one of the best they were telling me." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "This was a group and they knew a very well. A lot of friends you have. And specifically she said, Could you extend that plane? That's the best plane. It never breaks down. It just is a winner. But Martha McSally is an extraordinary person, and she's fighting for us, and she's helping us, and we have to bring her into the center." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Martha. And she's running against a gentlemen who is, when you read what he's done, when you read what he said about the second amendment and about all other things, you're not going to want to vote for. You're not going to want to have them play with your second amendment. I'll tell you what." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "If I weren't President, I don't believe, Doug, you'd have a second amendment right now. I don't think you'd have. The pressure that was put on to get rid of it, or to basically obliterate it, make it so it's meaningless. You will always have the right to bear arms. You will always have that. A few friends of mine who are warriors." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1913, + "raw_confidence": 0.8087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Paul Gosar. Paul. Where's Paul? Paul, stand up. Will you? Paul Gosar. Thank you, Paul. Appreciate. Great job you're doing. These are warriors. They really are. When they went and they tried to make a play at your President, they had to get through the House. What were we? 197 and nothing. That's never happened before." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Everybody came together. The Republicans came. Other than Mitt Romney, one half a vote. One half a brain. Another friend of mine and incredible fighter, and somebody that loves his state, and I'll tell you, the Freedom Caucus, right? And we have a man named Andy Biggs here. He's a fighter. He's a fighter." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And he loves our vets, and he loves our military, and you love our second amendment, right? And we're not going to do anything with it. They will destroy that second amendment. Just remember I said it, but you're not going to have to worry about it because it's not going to happen. A woman who really distinguished herself, she became a star." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1583, + "raw_confidence": 0.8417, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "She became a star overnight. There was nobody tougher. There was nobody smarter. There was nobody better than Debbie Lesko. Great job, Debbie. Thank you. We want her on our side. Right fellas? We got to have her on our side. Also, thanks to Arizona Republican party chairman, I knew this was going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I knew that she was going. She never stops. She never gives up. Kelly Ward. Kelly, thank you. Thank you, Kelly. Great job you're doing. Are we winning? Okay, good. I think we are. That's what they say. We better win. If we don't win, this country is in big trouble." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Big trouble. Also a great friend of all of ours, former State Treasurer of Arizona, Jeff DeWitt. Thank you Jeff. And a man who didn't choke under pressure. I don't even know if he's here. I think he might be here. He never choked. He kicked for 11 years. You know what that is? You ever see a golfer. They miss a three footer." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They miss a three footer. They can't take it back. They choke, choke, choke. Well, kickers are the same. Right? NFL kickers. This guy lasted 11 years. He's one of the best kickers ever. NFL kicker, Jay Feely. Where's Jay? Where is Jay? He's here someplace. Where is he? Jay? What happened? You couldn't get a good seat, Jay." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2189, + "raw_confidence": 0.7811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I remember the 61 yarder. That was a heartbreaker. Right? But the only thing is, I'll bet you this man would stand, only stand, for our National Anthem. That's one thing. That's one thing I can tell you. And if they don't stand for our flag, if they don't stand for our National Anthem, I turn off the game." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Other than that, I'd like to watch, but I turn off the game. And by the way, I thought they learned that lesson a little while ago. I thought they learned that lesson two years ago, but maybe not, but they will. They'll learn it again. This time it'll go even faster. For decades, Washington politicians like Biden allowed an endless supply of illegal foreign labor to decimate American jobs and wages." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3939, + "raw_confidence": 0.6061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Also, the crime was incredible what happened. They allowed criminal gangs to menace, maim and terrorize innocent citizens. They came in. They would maim and terrorize, and we have done something with our border patrol. And by the way, ICE, ICE is great. ICE has taken out thousands and thousands of MS-13, and you don't want the job." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1571, + "raw_confidence": 0.8429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "There's some tough people here. None of you want the job. It's a tough job, but they like it, and they're great Patriots, and they've done a fantastic job. They ceded control of the border to the most dangerous and ruthless cartels on earth. This is what would happen. They have ceded. And what we've done, did you ever notice the caravans?" + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "What happened? Debbie, there are no more caravans. What happened? What happened to the caravans? They don't come up anymore. The caravans don't come up. You know, we were paying hundreds of millions of dollars to Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador, hundreds of millions. And I said, Well, why are we doing that? And they wouldn't take." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7616, + "raw_confidence": 0.7616, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When we caught a murderer and we wanted to bring it back to one of those countries, they wouldn't take him. And they wouldn't take him under the Obama administration. So we got stuck with them because they'd fly in. They'd say, Don't land your plane. And I said something very simple. I said, That's okay." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1589, + "raw_confidence": 0.8411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We don't have to do that. We're not going to pay you anymore. We stopped payment. We stopped payment. It's amazing how that works, Doug. Right? We stopped payment and they called. They said, We'd love to take them. We'd be honored to take them. So we take them back by the thousands, by the thousands. They let lethal poisonous drugs pour freely into our schools and our communities, but no more." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's not happening anymore. The cruel and heartless portrayal of the American people ended the day I took the oath of office, and now that we have more than half of the wall built, and do you notice they don't talk about the wall anymore. They don't talk. Why don't you talk? I went, Look at all those people back there. That's called fake news, fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1568, + "raw_confidence": 0.8432, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Look at them. It's the fake news. They don't talk about the wall anymore. See, we won. We got the wall. It's going to be up to 300 next week and it's going to be finished very soon. And as soon as we want, all of a sudden, they never talk about it. But you know where I talk about it? Numbers. The numbers are so good." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1892, + "raw_confidence": 0.8108, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "The numbers are so low. We've never had numbers like this because that big portion of wall already built, you don't get through it. You can't get through it. You can climb Mount Everest, and you're going to have an awful hard time getting over that sucker. I stood up to the lobbyists. Everybody fought us, the Democrats, everyone." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2211, + "raw_confidence": 0.7789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I fought the special interests. I kept every single promise that I made, and now I'm doing it with the drug companies. I just created Favorite Nation. So if a nation buys it for less and they buy it for a fraction of what we pay, the drug companies have to sell it to us for the same price. And they're spending so much." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.271, + "raw_confidence": 0.729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They're spending millions of dollars on advertising. Anytime you see an ad from a drug company, and they're rich, the farmer, it's called Big Farmer, the number one lobbyist. They spend millions and millions, hundreds of millions of dollars online. Anytime you see, anytime at all, you see an ad by Big Farmer against me, you know your drug prices are coming down." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.156, + "raw_confidence": 0.844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's what it is. They're not happy. And we're giving the rebate that creates tremendous wealth for the middle man, the rebate. It's going to the people now. We're bringing the rebate and it's going to the people. They are not happy. I have a lot of people in that industry do not like me too much. But you are going to get 50. You are going to get, and the Democrats would never do it, Biden would never do it because he doesn't understand it, but they would never do it." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2052, + "raw_confidence": 0.7948, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They would in a million years, they wouldn't do it. It took a lot of guts to do it. I had a lot of people, a lot of good politicians go, Sir, I don't think you should do it. I wonder why you're saying that, but we did it. We're going to have drug prices reduced over a very short period of time, by not 2%, and last year they went down a little bit, first time in 51 years that drug prices went down but a little bit, we're going to have prices dropping 50, 60, and even 70%. Drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "About time. And I'm proud to say that they've achieved the most secure border, our border patrol, in the history of the United States of America. We now have the most secure border we've ever had and it's only going to get better. And we want people to come in, but we want them to come in through merit, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And we want people people to come in, but we want them to come in through merit, right? And we want people that are going to come in and are going to love for our country, not hate our country. Here in Yuma, Arizona, we've invested over $1.7 billion and poured 180,000 cubic yards, that's a lot of concrete, to build 108 miles of powerful border wall." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.177, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I know who's going to vote for me. I don't know though, I think I'm going to win Yuma. What do you think, Doug? I think, when I hear those numbers, when we hear those numbers, we're winning. We're going to win Yuma big. Now you see it and you see what's going up and it's an incredible structure, all capable, all wired up for cameras, for everything you can have." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3004, + "raw_confidence": 0.6996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Technology is incredible. In total, I've already completely planned for the final execution, we're going to have, by the end of the year, everything that we said is going to be built. We may actually build some more in some soft areas that we've noticed over the last two years. So we actually may put up some additional, but we will have it completed, everything we said, by the end of the year and nobody thought that was possible." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7443, + "raw_confidence": 0.7443, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And we've reduced illegal border crossings by 60% since this time last year. And if we keep going at the rate, it'll be about 85% in about two months. So it's a great honor. And you know what? Your community is much safer, you see the difference, it's a much safer place to be. But more important than these numbers is the fact that we've ended catch and release." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7877, + "raw_confidence": 0.7877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know what catch and release is? These great men and women catch somebody, maybe a murderer, maybe a rapist, maybe a trafficker, they catch somebody, take his name, take his number and they release them into our country. And they say, Come back in four years, you have a trial. No more. We take them out." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3141, + "raw_confidence": 0.6859, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We bring them out. And nobody said that was possible because I couldn't have gotten it through the Democrats because they don't like that. So we have people coming in to this country, some great people, some really bad people too. And I mean murders and I mean rapist, I mean really bad people and they don't get in and they don't get back." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When we bring them back to their country, could be Mexico also, they don't come back. Under the Obama Biden, I call it OBiden, Under the OBiden administration, our agents were ordered to ignore the law and release illegal aliens by the hundreds of thousands. And by the way, Mark Morgan, where's the great Mark Morgan?" + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2443, + "raw_confidence": 0.7557, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "He's around here someplace. Mark Morgan has been so incredible, one of our executives, he said, We never built the cages. Those cages were built in 2014 by Obama. We never the cages, they were built by Obama and the fake news is constantly saying that I built cages for children. I didn't build them. They were built in 2014. There was a headline in Time magazine about the cage and somebody called in that built it." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5338, + "raw_confidence": 0.5338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They said, He didn't build it, we built that for the Obama administration. But they don't stop, they keep calling it, they say I built the cages. You'll hear it in one of the debates. They'll say, You built cages president. I said, No, I didn't build cages. That was built by Obama. Under the Trump administration, if you cross our border illegally, you are quickly apprehended and swiftly returned back home." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We are proudly defending the job safety and security of the American people, which is what I promised to do. Nobody told me it was going to be this hard. Nobody told me I was going to have the Democrats go totally crazy. This was like a life and death war. You know why they don't talk about it anymore? Because they know it's bad politics, because they know having a wall, they can't win that one." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2966, + "raw_confidence": 0.7034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So they just say, Let's forget it ever happened.' Because we won and they say, Let's forget. They don't want to talk about it. That includes the millions of incredible Hispanic Americans who follow our laws, uplift our community and protect our nation, in uniform. Half of all border patrol agents are Hispanic Americans, I was just with them." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And today I salute each and every one of those true American heroes and that's what they are. And nobody understands the border better than Hispanics. They know what's good, what's bad. They don't want bad people coming into our country, taking their jobs, taking their homes, causing crime. Hispanic Americans are the people that are most in favor of what we're doing on the border because they understand it." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They understand it better than anybody. With the help of these patriots, we've stopped the rampant asylum fraud, shut down the human smugglers and we're finding the drug dealers, traffickers, predators, and we're throwing them to hell in jail or sending them back home. MS-13, for the first time that you've ever seen this, MS-13 is totally on the run." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2179, + "raw_confidence": 0.7821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Many of its leaders are right now behind bars and we're deporting its members in record numbers we've never reported. I can't believe how many there are. But if Biden wins, it will be a giant jail break for MS-13 and vicious criminal gangs. China wants him to win so badly. Iran wants him to win so badly." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When we win, I'll have a deal with the red within a month, watch, because they're dying to make a deal. But that last hope that Biden will win, they will own our country, China, they will own our country. We made such a great deal. Last week they had the largest order of corn in the history of our country, the largest single order." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Then they did it again. You know why they're doing that? Because they know I'm angry, because they know I don't care so much anymore. We made a great trade deal, but I don't care. But it shows you how smart they are, Doug. Another with normal brain power, they'd say, Well, I'm not going to buy any more corn. That's good." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1547, + "raw_confidence": 0.8453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And we'll just decouple, thank you very much. But they go the opposite. They buy so much, good record numbers, soybeans record numbers. Last week, biggest ever, 42% of our farmers crop is now China, over the last little while. You know why? Because they don't want bad things to happen, that's why. So they're very smart." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1545, + "raw_confidence": 0.8455, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When I have every farmer in the country calling and saying, Please don't do anything. They're very, very smart, but we can never forget what China did to this country and did to the world. The historic achievements that I've discussed today are only a slim fraction of the extraordinary accomplishment that we've all done together in the last four years." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1605, + "raw_confidence": 0.8395, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Here's just a short list of our landmarks. Really they are landmarks, true landmarks. We instituted a national security travel ban on the world's most dangerous regions, including jihadist regions, keeping terrorists and extremists out of our country. Everyone said, Oh, that's so bad. Remember when they said, Oh, that's so bad. I don't think it's so bad at all." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7967, + "raw_confidence": 0.7967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We won the travel ban. The fake news said we didn't because we lost in the lower court, we lost in the second court and we won in the Supreme court. So they said we lost. Can you believe it? They said we lost Debbie, because we lost the first two, but we won in the Supreme court, so they said, They lost. I guess, technically they're right, we lost when it didn't matter." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But we have it. We have a great travel ban now for countries that are not countries where we want the people coming in. Over the last three years, ICE officers have made over 380,000 arrests of aliens with criminal records, including those charged or convicted of over 145,000 assaults, 40,000 sex crimes and 5, 800 murders." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Over the last three years, border patrol and ICE have seized over two million pounds of fentanyl, heroin, meth, and other deadly narcotics. And you see it all the time. We stripped federal grant funding from deadly sanctuary cities. They want to have a sanctuary city, not going to be like the old days. We canceled the lawless policies of the previous administration and empowered border agents and ICE officers to do their jobs and proudly enforce the laws of the United States of America." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3543, + "raw_confidence": 0.6457, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We removed 20,000 gang members, including 4,500, MS-13. That's pretty good. Who would ever think there's that many? I entered into three landmark agreements with Honduras and El Salvador and Guatemala to end the abuse of the asylum system. We cut down that payment that I was talking about substantially and they're still very happy and they are working with us very well and that includes Mexico." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2124, + "raw_confidence": 0.7876, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Right now, Mexico has 27,000 of their soldiers on our Southern border, helping us to guard our Southern border. And we're giving you the tools to do the job that you signed up for. That's what we've done. I entered into a historic partnership with Mexico, known as the migrant protection protocols, to safely return asylum seekers to Mexico, while awaiting hearings in the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1838, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know about that. We had to have them in the United States and we captured them, we had to keep him here. I said, No, no, we don't want them here. We want them outside. We got sued all over the place that we won. So now they don't come into the United States, they can wait outside. For the first time ever, the United States is now exercising our full legal authority to expedited removal." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We don't have to go through years and years of litigation. You need Perry Mason to try and win. We ended the Obama Biden policy of giving work permits to newly arriving, illegal aliens. Think of that one. We established the national vetting center, the most advanced visa screening system, anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We know so much about the people coming in. We know the good and we know the bad. We've suspended refugee Good and we know the bad. We've suspended refugee resettlements from the world's most dangerous regions, because nothing is more important than keeping America safe. To me, that's number one. We've made historic progress to crack down on visa overstays." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know all about that. They overstay for years. They say, Maybe a night, maybe two nights. Well, five years later, you catch them. No, we ended it. We issued strict sanctions on countries that failed to take back their own criminals. We have many countries beyond the four that I mentioned, the three plus one, many countries." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They all take them back now. Before, they weren't taking them back at all. The last administration simply released these criminals. We're making sure they go home and we're making sure they stay home. We don't want them. We issued regulations to stop the horrible practice of birth tourism. You know what that is, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Anchor babies, you know that, right? Anchor babies. Have a baby in our country and you stay for the rest of your life. Congratulations. You're a citizen for 90 years. Then you bring in your family. You bring in your family, right? No. No good. I implemented a historic public charge regulation to finally and fully enforce the federal requirement that newcomers to our country must be financially self-sufficient, they cannot accept welfare for at least five years." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "To protect our country and our agents during the pandemic, my administration took immediate action to ensure the safe and rapid return of all illegal aliens. We brought them back. We have very few in our country now. We brought them back, can you believe it? To protect US workers, I suspended the entry of low wage workers that threatened all of your jobs, American jobs, and we're finalizing the new H-1B regulations to permanently end the displacement of US workers." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "In January after the China virus, after the outbreak, after the outbreak, the China virus outbreak, it came from Wuhan, right? I swiftly implemented a travel ban on China and I was criticized. Biden, opposed the ban. He said, I oppose the ban. He had no idea what the hell he was doing. Why do you oppose it, Joe?" + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't know. They told me to say that. If we had listened to Sleepy Joe Biden, hundreds of thousands of additional American lives would have been lost. We did a good thing. That was in January, I imposed it, very early. A month later, Pelosi and all these people said, Oh no, let people come in. We can't. We imposed it because China was heavily infected." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Then I imposed it in Europe also, heavily infected with Italy and France and Spain. Compare our achievements with the insane and lethal policies that Biden and Bernie Sanders want. The entire Biden... Harris. How about her? Is she a great one? Is she? By the way, you talk about guns. She wants no 2nd Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "She wants to raise your taxes to a level you'll be paying your government back for a long time. She is not the right pick, but she was my number one draft pick. They asked me that. Why do you think? I said, I'm very happy. They thought I was happy. They thought I was happy for him. No, I was happy for me." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7023, + "raw_confidence": 0.7023, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "The Biden-Harris plan is a step by step recipe for abolishing America's borders. In the Biden, Bernie manifesto, Joe Biden, promises to restore and expand catch and release across the entire US border. You believe that? We just got rid of it. Free all illegal aliens from federal detention and close detention facilities, this would make removing illegal aliens totally impossible, and you would have murderers, killers, rapists in your midst." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. Immediately suspend all removals, triggering a tidal wave of, really a flood, if you think, a flood all across our border. End prosecution of illegal border crosses ensuring that illegal aliens will repeatedly reenter the country over and over again and terminate all protections we have enacted against asylum fraud." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1839, + "raw_confidence": 0.8161, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They want to do things that nobody thought was even possible to contemplate. Now, this is all simple and I really respect because so far I've only seen about four or five people go down. Because it is hot in here. But I will tell you this... It's 120. You know what I said before? Think of yourself at a great spa, great sauna, where it's 120 degrees and we have to pay a lot of money to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1918, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You have to pay a lot of money. Getting off the border, getting off illegal protection, all of that, we are going to lower your taxes further. We gave you the biggest tax decrease in the history of... The biggest tax decrease in the history of our country. We decreased your taxes more than anybody has ever done and we're doing more because that's going to spell growth and that's what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Companies are moving in like nobody has seen before. So we're doing that. Massive additional regulation cuts. We've cut regulations more than any president in the history of our country, whether it's four years, eight years, or in one case, more. I told you already, our military is the best it's ever been." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5955, + "raw_confidence": 0.5955, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's got $2.5 trillion worth of new, beautiful jets and equipment and rockets and everything. Hopefully, we never have to use it. Our nuclear arsenal, and hopefully, hopefully we never have to even look at it, our nuclear arsenal is at a level that it's never ever been before, and we have to have it there, but we never want to use it." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So we have done things not only on the border, the border is one element, and to me it's very important. Something that they always say about a president, the most important thing a president can do is the appointment of federal judges and supreme court justices. So by the end of our, of not my, our first term, we will have appointed 300 federal judges and appeals court judges, and two supreme court justices." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7164, + "raw_confidence": 0.7164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "When it comes to 2nd Amendment, when it comes to life, when it comes to a lot of things that you people live for, if you don't have the supreme court and if you don't have the courts in your side, you can forget it. The next president, I think, will pick two, three, or even four justices of the supreme court." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They can be on the court for 40 to 50 years. You pick them young. They could be on there for 40 to 50 years. This is going to be the most consequential presidency. This is going to be the most important, and I never thought I'd say it because of what happened four years ago, this is going to be the most important election of your life." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So I just want to Thank you. I just want to say stay healthy, stay sharp, be careful. Be very careful. Go out and work like hell. We need every single vote that we can get because it's probably going to be close. I always assume it's going to be close. They have these suppression, the fakers back there, they have the suppression polls where they interview many more Democrats than they do Republicans." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2213, + "raw_confidence": 0.7787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Doug and I were talking about it and they take out registered voters. It's not registered. They say, Most likely to vote voters. That's what, most likely registered, they're dead, they're old, they're not going to go, they're not going to do anything. Be careful with your ballots, but get out there. November 3rd is the biggest date, one of the biggest dates in your life, in many cases, frankly, it's the most important date of your life." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5411, + "raw_confidence": 0.5411, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "One other thing we've done lot. We've gotten rid of a lot of nonsense from Obama, like the Paris Accord that costs us tens of billions of dollars and gave us nothing. We've gotten rid of so many different things that you have no idea, but you know what? If we don't win, they can put it back, and with the things that we did put in, which are many, many, many things, many things, our military, our vets, everything, with all of the things that we put in, it's like a tree, it takes a little while to grab on." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You transplant it. It's got to grab on. If we have four more years, there's nothing that they can do. Our country is sailing. our country is sailing. So Yuma, thank you very much. Arizona, thank you very much. Thank you for all your support. We love you. We will never ever let you down. We will never let you down." + }, + { + "tid": "V7t2beB6bEQ", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-yuma-arizona-border-security-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Governor, thank you. Martha, go out and win. Go out and win. Vote McSally. Thank you everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Thank you. And thank you very much everybody. We appreciate it. We appre-" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I love you, too. I love you, too. And we wanted to make this stop. We came a little bit out of our way, and I said we're going to come here and we're going to talk about that horrible scene that we witnessed not so long ago, where there was a lack of law and order, and people that have no clue what's happening. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But I've traveled to Minnesota to meet with small-business owners who were victims of the violence, mayhem, destruction on the streets of Minneapolis. And for these brave patriots right over here. These are four of these are a couple of groups of the main. We have a lot of them back there. We're going to see them the next time. They're all lined up. But we appreciate you being here very much, and you're going to say a few words and really, I say words of strength and words of encouragement. Because what they've been through is incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But for these brave patriots, all they wanted was to live the American Dream. That's all they wanted to start a business and a family, to give back to the community that they call home and that they love." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "The fact is, they love our country and our country loves them. And we want to show them about that, and that's why I came and that's why I stopped, and that's why we're here to see to see all of you, but to be represented, really, by these incredible people. So thank you for all you've gone through. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2034, + "raw_confidence": 0.7966, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "While the city's liberal mayor refused to defend its citizens, which was incredible, their lives were destroyed. While the leadership of the Democrat Party cheered, their dreams were burned to the ground. We all witnessed it. We all saw it very vividly on television or wherever." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1765, + "raw_confidence": 0.8235, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "This is the difference between us and Joe Biden, Mayor Jacob Frey" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.792, + "raw_confidence": 0.792, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Weakness is also the currency of your liberal senator, Tina Smith." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And, you know, she's now running against a great gentleman. So, Jason get out there and vote for him. Get out and vote for Jason. You know that. He's going to win. Do you see? The polls are about even, and that's a big step. He's a great candidate. He's going to do a fantastic job. Get out, and make sure he wins." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "If we can't win now, nobody can win because what you went through so stupidly, that they allowed that to happen. And this a Bikers for Trump. Thank you. I saw you do that. I saw you. He just turned around to show Bikers for Trump. They're all over the place. Thank you. Thank you, fellas. Appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "My message to Minnesota is clear: I'm here to help you. We will bring back law and order to your community. We will bring it back, and we'll bring it back immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3603, + "raw_confidence": 0.6397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And, you know, the words law and order are words that Democrats don't like to use. They don't think they're politically good. There's nothing wrong with law and order. There's law and order, and you shouldn't be ashamed of it. They're ashamed to use those words. It's incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "As President, my goal to restore safety to our streets and to help these innocent Americans rebuild their lives and rebuild their lives very quickly that's what I'm here for." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "By contrast, the Democrats are promising to elevate their leftwing war on and to bring it up to the White House in the form of Sleepy Joe Biden. I don't think that's going to work." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1933, + "raw_confidence": 0.8067, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "You know, I noticed, at their convention tonight, these are all taped speeches. Michelle Obama her speech is taped. Why don't they tell me that? I'll tape my speech. Next week, I'll tape it. It's a lot easier. I'll make sure it's perfecto. Every word will be perfect. If I don't do it, I'll give it five or six goes. I'll say, Pick the best one." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "What is this? They're taping their speeches. I just learned that her speech is taped and that most of them are taped. I don't know. We'll have to speak to Republican leadership and say, Let's tape those speeches. You want to go to a snooze? You know, when you hear a speech is taped, it's like there's nothing very exciting about it, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So I just heard that coming in. I expected to see you know, and Fox will broadcast them more than they broadcast us. You know that." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We've seen the blueprint here in Minneapolis. The city recently voted to abolish the police department. They actually did. They actually" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They actually went to that extent. These people fools. And to take away your Second Amendment they will be taking away your Second Amendment if they win. If Biden wins, as sure as you standing and he'll have nothing to do with it. He'll say, What is the Second Amendment? Would you explain that to me, please? That means they're going to take away your guns." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And as sure as you're standing here today, if they win and that's what that's what's going to happen. Remember this: I am the only thing standing in the way of your Second Amendment. It's going to be either taken away or obliterated. And, by the way, many other things like we lower taxes, and like we lower regulations, and like we build the strong strong military, and we take care of our vets. We have Veterans Choice and Veterans Accountability, and all things that nobody thought were going to be happening." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "After the riots in Minneapolis, Kamala Kamala Harris. You know her?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "She's the one who finished so badly that she was embarrassed. She ran out of town. And then they said, We're going to choose you for Vice President. I mean, she finished so badly. She started off strong day one. After that, everyone really understood her understood what she represents and who she represents, and she went down like a rock in water. And she left town before the first vote was taken, right? Didn't she leave and quit?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7823, + "raw_confidence": 0.7823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And also there was nobody that was meaner, than said horrible things about Vice President Biden than Kamala even worse than Pocahontas, right? She was nastier and meaner and more vicious than Pocahontas." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3365, + "raw_confidence": 0.6635, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, now you have Kamala, who is very strong anti-fracking. In other words, your energy bills are going to go through the roof. They're going to love her in Texas. They're going to love her in Ohio and Pennsylvania. We're against fracking. Well, that's the end of those." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6842, + "raw_confidence": 0.6842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I said before, George Washington could be running for office. If he's anti-fracking, anti-guns, and anti-religion, he's going to have a hard time. And he's going to have a hard time in your state, too, because you feel the same way we do." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But Kamala Harris encouraged Americans to donate to the so-called Minnesota Freedom Fund do you know that is? which bailed out the rioters, looters, assaulters, and anarchists from jail. And Biden's staff did the same thing; they donated a lot of their money to get them out of jail so that everyone was right back on the streets. Think of that: This is what is running for office. This is what we're competing against." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And the primary competitor, Joe, has he's in his basement. He just doesn't come out. They don't ask him questions. I said, I wish somebody... They asked him a couple about two months ago. It was like, Hey. Hi. Hi. Are you enjoying your run? Yes. Oh, okay, good. That was the question: Are you enjoying it? They don't ask me those questions. I have people they have fire coming out of their eyes." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But their sympathies lie with lawbreakers and with criminals. My heart is with law-abiding, hardworking Americans like these people. And my heart is also with the great men and women of law enforcement, who are treated very badly." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "KB Balla is a fighter firefighter with Brooklyn Center Fire Department, and a brave guy. And his people just love him. With his wife Twyana, they have four children. He devoted his lifesavings to building a sports bar, and fought so hard to get it built. He was so proud of it. It was up. It was successful. He was so proud." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "On May 27th, that dream was viciously demolished by rioters and vandals. KB and Twyana, please come up and say a few words, please." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, will you be rebuilding? Will you be rebuilding?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And do you have the financing to rebuild and everything?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "How much will it be? How much are you going to need?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Because you had a real success, right? You built a real success, I heard." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "All right. Well, maybe we can help you out a little bit with government, too. We'll try. We'll try to help. All right? We'll see what we can do." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's great. What a beautiful couple. Thank you. Thank you both very much." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Let's give it a shot. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Hey, KB, he wants to know the name of the bar. Go ahead. Because the bikers over there, they'll be there. Like even if it's ." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "KB, even if it's burned down, they'll be there tonight, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Okay? Okay, thank you. That's great. We'll work on that." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1924, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Jim Stage owns Lloyd's Pharmacy in St. Paul. A lot of people know Lloyd's, which has operated in the same building for more than 100 years, until it was set ablaze and burned by the anarchists. They're anarchists. Everyone says, Oh, don't use that term. Don't use that term. Radical left I'll go radical-left anarchists okay? if you don't mind." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2277, + "raw_confidence": 0.7723, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Until it was set ablaze it was burned down to the ground, viciously. I saw it on television, burning. I said, What a shame." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Jim, please come up and say a few words, please. Thank you, Jim." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, do you own the land? Are you rebuilding the store, the pharmacy?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So you're rebuilding it. Has it started already?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Is the city at all working with you? Are they helping?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "No, I hear they want you to pay your taxes before they remove the debris." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "All right. Whatever we can do, you know we're going to help too, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1791, + "raw_confidence": 0.8209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Gemechis Merga's auto repair shop was looted, burned, and completely destroyed. Then the City of Minneapolis told him he had to pay property taxes before they would clear away the rubble. Same thing, Jim, right? Same thing as you have." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Gemechis, if you could come up and say a few words as to what you're going to be doing, and we'll see if we can help, too. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much and good luck with it. Good luck. Do you feel confident about the future?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "That's great. Thank you. Great. And we'll be with you, too, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And I think we have one of our stars is that Kayleigh over there? Is that Kayleigh? Oh, Kayleigh, come here. Kayleigh. Hasn't she been a great spokesperson? We've had some and we've had some very good ones. Kayleigh maybe say a few words, Kayleigh." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Great job. Thank you very much, Kayleigh." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "John wolf owns the Chicago liquor store it's called Lake Liquor and he had a tremendous business, which has been on the same corner, John, I think since 1972. Right? 1972. His business was looted and set on fire, causing over $1 million in damage. John, please come up. Tell us what happened and what we're going to do about it. Thank you, John. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Good. Thank you very much. Would you like to say something? Go ahead. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I appreciate it. Thank you. So, Cathy, let me ask you: When you say long hours, he would be there long at night when the business was operating, he'd get home very late and leave very early? It was all work, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And then one day, he saw these what would you want to call them? Let's be nice. Let's be nice." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2452, + "raw_confidence": 0.7548, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Yeah, criminals. That's let's be nice: criminals. We'll call them criminals. That's a nice word." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But he saw you saw this, and you saw this on television happening, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, do you think you'll be able to rebuild on the existing site? Is it your land or how does that work?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, it's yours. You have the land, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3452, + "raw_confidence": 0.6548, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Do you have somebody good going to run for mayor and going to run for governor and you know? Because when we called out the National Guard, that stopped it." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Did you see that scene? But they should have called about you know, it's up to local to call them. But the National Guard came in. It was all quelled in like two minutes. Remember that?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7346, + "raw_confidence": 0.7346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They lined up, and they started and we weren't politically correct. It was tear gas and it was whatever. You know, now they don't want you to use tear gas or pepper spray or anything. They want the police and law enforcement to really get hurt, if you think." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1736, + "raw_confidence": 0.8264, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But they lined up, and from the minute you saw the first, the second, the third they came in on buses in a wave, and they were four deep, five deep. And they just walked like there was nothing to it like a knife cutting through butter. And it was all over. That was it. They should have done it. They should have called us a lot sooner. We wanted to go. You know, we have to get called by them, otherwise we have to do a very special act, and that's a big deal. But I wish they did." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So you're going to you still have faith the community?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Well, there was no better scene than watching the National Guard on that street and that was the street loaded up with bad people, and they just started moving forward, and they never moved an inch backward, did they? They" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I'll never forget that scene. I said, Why didn't they do that five days sooner? Because they could have. We were calling. Call up the National Guard. We don't need them. Really? Your police just ran down on the street." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3801, + "raw_confidence": 0.6199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And by the way, you have very good police, but they're told not to do anything. It's not the police. Your police are great. But it's that they weren't allowed to do what they're supposed to be doing." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So we'll give you a hand, okay? We're going to we're going to see what we can do. And great job. You did a much better job than he did. Great job. Thank you, John. Thank you, Cathy." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2134, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "I also want to thank a couple of groups I see here the Bikers for Trump. And these guys are amazing. They ride those big bikes, and they're on the highways all over the all over the country. They have helicopter shots of you guys riding along, thousands and thousands of them down the highway. I wonder what happens, where the guy is innocently driving down a highway, and then he sees guys like you driving a little bit faster, a little bit faster, and he's looking and they don't stop. They just keep coming by the hundreds, hundreds, hundreds." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, I want to thank Bikers for Trump. You guys are fantastic. Yeah. You guys are fantastic. I got a lot of friends. They come over to the White House." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And they just broke the record, supposedly, in the Guinness Book of Records for the most boats. We'll call that a friendly protest, right? Because when you call it a friendly protest, you can do anything. You know that, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "They do that. You can't go to church. You can't do anything. But if you're protesting, that's okay. So we call it everything should be a protest. Maybe the churches should call themselves protesting. If they protest, they can open up their churches. That's the the governors on the left. That's the Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And remember: Get out there and vote. You have a great Republican, Jason great Republican Senate candidate and he's going to do a fantastic job representing you. That's what you need. You need representatives, whether it's a mayor or governor or a senator. You got to get the right people. You'll have no problems whatsoever." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "Your names were given to my people, and we're going to see what we can do for you. We'll help you out a little bit, and you might be very surprised. We'll get you going. But thank you all." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7844, + "raw_confidence": 0.7844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "We have a lot of good news way down in Florida now; way down in California; way, way down in Arizona. Those the governors have done great all over the country. I mean, for the most part, the governors have really done well. And they've they've helped. But they needed a lot of help because they weren't stockpiled, and we now stockpile them." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And you'll see it's a lot of good things are happening. It's going away, but we're also going to have vaccines very soon. And very soon, we're going to have therapeutics, which, to me, is even more important. You go in, and you give somebody a shot or you give them a transfusion, and they walk away very shortly thereafter, and they say, I'm feeling good. To me, that's what I really want. And that's going to happen probably faster anyway." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "But I just want to thank everybody for being here. While I'm President, I will fight for a future for every American city and, again, most of these are really incredible, safe, beautifully well-run cities. We want every American family to be secure. And every child we want them to be able to achieve the American Dream, just like these incredible people. They will again achieve the American Dream. We took it away from them. With no law and order, we took it away. It could've been easily kept. But they will achieve again, a second time, the American Dream." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank you for being here. This was a very quick stop. I said, Let's stop. They said, Well, you know, I don't know. We don't have time. I said, I have time, I don't know about you. But I said, I have time." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And just really and very strongly: God bless you all. God bless our law enforcement, our police. God bless our fire department. Our fire department was really very brave. They are all over the country, they're incredible. So I want to thank them also." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "And we will see you. And remember: November 3rd that is going to be the most important election in the history of our country. That is going to be an election like no other. Even 2016, as important as that was, it was different because they weren't crazed at that time. They weren't so far radical left. They didn't want to destroy our country. But now they're looking at people that have very bad intentions, in my opinion." + }, + { + "tid": "v9j6_AyJw7I", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-minneapolis-airport-august-17-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-17", + "claim_text": "So, remember: November 3rd, get out and vote. You have to get out and vote. Thank you all. Good luck. Got to win this state. Thank you. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "I don't think so. It's pretty sad, but no, they're not big fans. I'm not big fans of theirs either." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "It's been very dark. And they're not talking about law and order, they're not talking about police, they don't want to get into it. When they look at Portland or when they look at New York or Chicago and where they look at what's happening with these Democrat-run cities and states, they're disgraceful, and they don't even talk about it." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6598, + "raw_confidence": 0.6598, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "When you saw the young man just get obliterated the other night in Portland, they don't talk about that. And in theory, they have to ask us to come in, or unless it gets so bad, in which case we can do it ourselves. We're thinking about doing it, because what's happening in Chicago and New York, but what's happening in Portland, they're anarchists and agitators, and they say they're peaceful protestors." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7871, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They burned down the stores, they're ripping down buildings, I've never seen anything like it. Run by Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1933, + "raw_confidence": 0.8067, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Well, except for Obama and Biden, I wouldn't be president. I was never even thinking about it. You know that, I've known you a long time. I was never thinking about it. And then, all of a sudden, they do so bad. And then I have to listen to what a wonderful job they did. They did a terrible job. They didn't bring the economy back." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.471, + "raw_confidence": 0.529, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "The economy was the slowest. It was the slowest recovery since 1929. It was going forever, it would've never happened. And we had the greatest economy in history until the plague came in from China, and China will pay for that, but until the plague came in from China and really hurt the world, not just us, hurt the whole world." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "But I watched these people and I say, Are they living in the world of the make-believe? And I watch Obama talking and it's like, I wouldn't be president except for you. Because if he did a good job, I wouldn't have won, nobody would've won. But he did a horrible job." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7976, + "raw_confidence": 0.7976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Hottest ever in the history of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "So, it's really interesting Mike. Because instead of the comeback that we're having, which is one of the great comebacks ever, we'll have it good. Next year is going to be a great year economically. Now, in all fairness, you can never forget the people, all of the people that died, we'll never ever forget them." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "That can never be compensated for. But, if I didn't do what I did, we shut it out, we closed out China, we closed out Europe. And I did this long before Dr. Fauci and everybody else asked me to do it. We would've lost millions of people more. I mean, think of it, 10, 15 times more. We've done it all right, but it's a vicious disease." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "It's a vicious problem that came in. So we took over a basically limping along economy and made it the hottest economy in the world. At the same time, we took massive amounts, hundreds of billions of dollars from China in tariffs. They went to the worst year they've had in 67 years, as you know. They had a horrible, horrible economy because of me." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6837, + "raw_confidence": 0.6837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And I don't want them to have a horrible economy, but you know what? They've been ripping us off for 25 years. And they never had a better time than during the Obama/Biden years. I mean, Biden walks in and he gets his son a billion and a half dollars that he gets management fees on, which is millions of dollars a year." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And the guy didn't even have a job. Between that and Ukraine and others, we're now finding out. So, I mean, it's a disgrace, it's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Well, you believe in Federalist, you believe in whatever you believe, but we have 50 states and I let the 50 governors run their states. They weren't equipped, most of them weren't equipped. They had empty cupboards cause nobody ever... I don't even blame them necessarily, because nobody thought a thing like this could happen." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2149, + "raw_confidence": 0.7851, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And it almost seemed like ancient times, it would happen in ancient times. Who thought something like this could happen? 1917 was the big one, and that was, they think, close to 100 million people. From 50 to 100, at least. And that was terrible. That was the plague. That was the big flu of... It was so bad, it ended the first World War, they say, because all the soldiers were sick." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.247, + "raw_confidence": 0.753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They were so sick they couldn't fight. But now we have something that what we've done is incredible. Frankly, putting the ban on, that was something we did that nobody wanted me to do. Putting the ban on people, very heavily infected people coming in from China, long before it would have been fashionable." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "That was a big move. We made a lot of good moves, and if you look at what's happening now, the numbers are way down." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6669, + "raw_confidence": 0.6669, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "He called me racist. He called me xenophobic. He called me everything. Two months later, he was saying, He did the right thing. And he actually, in a forum, apologized, okay? But maybe there was just a weak moment. Maybe he didn't know what he was saying. Could that be possible? But he actually did. He sort of apologized." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2123, + "raw_confidence": 0.7877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "But look, it's a terrible thing. But as you said, we created the hottest economy, not just of our country, best ever. Best stock market, best employment numbers, best... We had 160 million people working. We were never even close to that. We just about hit 160 million people working. Never happened before, never even close." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.541, + "raw_confidence": 0.541, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "We're the greatest economy we've ever had. African American, Asian American, Hispanic American, everybody was working. Women, people without a high school degree, with a high school degree, great scholars, everybody was working. And you know what? The country was coming together, because people, they ask, How do you get the country together? Success, the country was coming together." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7429, + "raw_confidence": 0.7429, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And then we got hit by this plague from China. And now what we're doing, we did the right thing, we had to close it up, and now we're rebuilding it. And we're beyond a V. They were saying, Oh, you'll never get a V. Well, we're at a super V, if you look at the numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "No, and frankly, if you would've told me that, I would've said, Maybe next year. But that just shows you the optimism that very smart people have. And don't forget, stock market is a lot of people. That's 401ks, that's people that have stock. These are massive companies, but they're owned by sort of everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2737, + "raw_confidence": 0.7263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And the stock market's doing great. The farmers are doing great, because we got them $28 billion from China. Because China targeted the farmers, and I said to my people, How bad was it? About $28 billion. I tariff China and I gave them $28 million right from China. And now China's buying more than they've ever bought from the American farmer." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "But I feel differently about China, so differently. I mean, normally I'd be jumping up and down with that news. They gave the largest corn order in history last week, and that's good. But you know what? It can never compensate for what we went through with this whole thing. It's a terrible thing that happened, Mike." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2296, + "raw_confidence": 0.7704, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And preexisting conditions like nobody ever did. And-" + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Oh I know, it's terrible. Preexisting conditions, I'm the king of taking care of people with preexisting conditions. If you look at the mandate, the individual mandate, that was the worst part of Obamacare. I got rid of it. That really means you got rid of Obamacare. The truest sense, we did terminate Obamacare, because we got rid of the individual mandate, which is a terrible thing for people." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "It was so unfair to people. So we got rid of the worst part of Obamacare. And without it, you don't have Obamacare, but we've run the carcass of Obamacare very well, and that the people are doing better than they would have done. I had a choice to make, do I run it badly and blame Obama, or do I run it as well as it could be run?" + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "It's no good, but do I run it as well as it could? And we've done that. They've done a great job and they've made it as good as it can be." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They didn't see that coming. And when I moved the embassy right? To Jerusalem, that was a big, big deal. And then Golan Heights, throw that on, and then terminating the Iran deal. A friend of mine, I said, Which is the biggest, Golan Heights or moving the embassy, creating the capital Jerusalem, or, what do you think? He said, Neither. I said, What do you mean neither? He said, The biggest thing you did for Israel is breaking the Iran nuclear deal. And I said, I happen to agree with you. But nobody's done as much for Israel as I have, nobody." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1559, + "raw_confidence": 0.8441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Well, I didn't want to even mention it until tonight, because if they see your show before, they get a snippet of us talking, they'll put it in there and that'll hurt what we're saying, right? They don't even mention it. They don't mention police. They don't mention law and order. They don't mention the fact that they're going to take away your guns, because right now people want the Second Amendment more than they've ever wanted." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They don't mention that, Mike. The second amendment is so big. Life is so big. Supreme court is so big. We're going to announce very soon a list of 25 judges that we are going to propose as potential people to go into the Supreme Court. I want them to announce their list, because you can imagine. And they said they're not going to do it, but they're going to put on radical left judges." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And you can forget about pro-life, you can forget about your Second Amendment, you can forget about everything. Because the next president, I think, is going to have anywhere from two, three, maybe four justices. That will be really a very dominant court." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Well, I've seen it. And I've seen it with a friend of mine, where they were going to go the abortion route and they didn't do it. And they have one of the finest young people I've ever met. And they can't even think about it now. I mean, they were very close to doing that, but I've seen that a number of times, I've seen it." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2008, + "raw_confidence": 0.7992, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And especially since I'm president, so many people have told me they were going to go the other route and they didn't do it. And now they have a young person getting ready to graduate from college and doing so well in life. No, it's a beautiful thing and nobody's done what I've done. Nobody's done what I've done on that issue." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5095, + "raw_confidence": 0.5095, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And that issue can change radically, drastically, if you put in just one more judge that's on the radical left. Because it's a tie court right now. I mean, when you look at it, it's a tie court. And if you put in just one more radical left judge, you're going to have probably three and you could even have four judges to pick, meaning will become justices of the United States Supreme Court." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1982, + "raw_confidence": 0.8018, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "And when you pick them, you pick them young and they're there for 40 years. They could be there for 40 or 50 years, depending on the age. And that's a very big... This is going to be the most important election in the history of our country, that's what I think. Because we have far left, radical, crazy people." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They're maniacs. Nobody's ever seen anything like this. When you look at the Portland stuff and the New York stuff, and you look at what's coming out of the mouths of people that you know are more or less moderate. And all of a sudden they've ended up going far left because otherwise they're not going to get elected, or they're not going to be taken seriously by their party." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They're so afraid of these radical left monsters. So the Democrat party has gone so far left. They don't care about law and order. Life is just the opposite, okay? I mean, it's the exact opposite, and they're going to obliterate your Second Amendment, they're going to get rid of it." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Well, there's never been a bigger difference." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1992, + "raw_confidence": 0.8008, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "They want to raise your taxes through the roof, quadruple. They want to raise your taxes. They want to give you socialized medicine. So you're not going to have your doctors, you're not going to have your plans. And Obama said 28 times, you could keep your doctor, you keep your plan. It was a lie, the guy lied." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7419, + "raw_confidence": 0.7419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "Just like he spied on my campaign, he lied horribly. And then you watch him last night, so sanctimonious. He's up there talking about Trump, Trump. The guy spied on my campaign, viciously, and we caught him. And he lied so much about healthcare, and then he said 28 times, you keep your doctor, you keep your... It was all a lie." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "So I think I can be very diplomatic, as diplomatic as anybody. We're all smart people and all. But sometimes I feel I'm in this fight alone, or I'm in this fight with a few Republicans. And I always say the Republicans have to get tougher. So I have to speak quickly and strongly in order to win, because we have to win." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7604, + "raw_confidence": 0.7604, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "You look at pro-life, you look at what I've done on the Second Amendment, they haven't gotten anything on this. I'm telling you, a normal person, just a regular person, you wouldn't have a Second Amendment now. It would be gone or it would be meaningless, one or the other. As far as Twitter is concerned, it's really, I call it social media." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "If I didn't have that, you probably wouldn't be interviewing me right now unless you did maybe as a businessman or something. I wouldn't be here right now being interviewed. It's a way of... The press is so corrupt. It's so fake, the news. People have no idea and now they're learning, but it is such a fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7819, + "raw_confidence": 0.7819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "When you look at it, you look at the networks, you look at CNN, MSDNC, you look at The New York Times, Washington Post, it's so fake that if I wasn't able to put out my thoughts in social media, through Twitter or whatever, but put out my thoughts, honestly, I wouldn't be here, Mike, I wouldn't be here." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "So I'm glad for that reason alone." + }, + { + "tid": "VjExqMPZIKU", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mike-huckabee-tbn-august-22-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-22", + "claim_text": "That's a great honor, thank you. You're doing a great job too. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "VOSit6lBuMI", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2505, + "raw_confidence": 0.7495, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-richard-elliot-wsb-atlanta-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "It can be years and years, and you're getting nothing done. And you can't because of the bureaucratic morass. And now, what we're doing is cutting it back. It could be from 20, 21 years to two years, and actually one year, I think, ultimately, we'll have. And that may mean you get rejected, but it's going to be a quick rejection." + }, + { + "tid": "VOSit6lBuMI", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-richard-elliot-wsb-atlanta-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "But mostly, it will be accepted, highways and roadways, and dams, bridges, everything. Any federal project would take many, many decades in many cases to get approved. And we're going to bring it down to about one year. It's already down to two. So, it's a big difference." + }, + { + "tid": "VOSit6lBuMI", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-richard-elliot-wsb-atlanta-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Well, we're working with your Governor, Brian. We're working with him very much and we're going to be helping Georgia a lot as we have been. It's a special place, great people. And they've done really well, really well with the virus and with every other thing. They've really done an incredible job. So, we're working closely with them on the virus and funding and that'll be forthcoming." + }, + { + "tid": "VOSit6lBuMI", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-richard-elliot-wsb-atlanta-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Well, I think for Georgia has been great because, you know, you've kept it down and you've reopened. And you're just, you know, you're getting close to having 100% open and you've really kept the virus to level down, which is an incredible tribute to a lot of good, talented people. In other cases, they thought they had it down and they've had flare-ups, and that'll work out, too." + }, + { + "tid": "VOSit6lBuMI", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-richard-elliot-wsb-atlanta-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Well, they want centralized in terms of information. They want to be able to talk about it. They want to be able to give wise information to other parts of the country. But I think it's a combination. It is central, but in a place like Georgia where they've done it so well, they also learn a lot and they tell themselves what they're learning." + }, + { + "tid": "VOSit6lBuMI", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-richard-elliot-wsb-atlanta-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "You know, in a lot of ways it's great detail, but in other ways, it's common sense. So, Georgia's learned a lot about the disease through itself and they're also getting information from CDC. It's been a good effort together." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I want to start by providing information on our response to Tropical Storm Isaias. It's a very interesting name. last week, the storm hit Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, and I've issued emergency declarations to support a response in both of those areas. So that's Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6409, + "raw_confidence": 0.6409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This week, the storm passed just east of Florida. Got a little bit lucky. Didn't hit Florida too hard. Working with the governor, working with everybody. But it did not hit directly as a lot of people thought it might." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's currently off the coast of South Carolina, heading northward to North Carolina. It's expected to make landfall sometime this evening as a category 1 hurricane. Very serious. A lot of water. A lot of water coming from that storm." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7703, + "raw_confidence": 0.7703, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I've already issued emergency declarations for Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina. And FEMA'S personnel and they are great; they're doing a job they're already on the ground in all areas. Every single area that we mentioned is covered." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Over the next several days, there's expected to be heavy wind and rain in the coastal areas of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey. We're working with each of those states, and in particular, as it relates to FEMA, the military, law enforcement all of the different groups that are involved. Storm surge and inland flooding are possible, and everyone needs to remain vigilant until it passes." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I encourage everyone to follow the guidelines of the state and local authorities. We're working with them. And I think the guidelines have been very accurate so far. So stay safe." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.197, + "raw_confidence": 0.803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Next, let me provide an update on the path forward for our country as we continue our war to defeat the China virus. We're beginning to see evidence of significant progress. Nationwide, the number of positive cases has declined by nearly 6 percent from the week before, and the positive test rate has also dropped from 8.7 to 8 percent over that same period of time, an encouraging sign very encouraging, I have to add that the virus is receding." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2564, + "raw_confidence": 0.7436, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In hotspots across the South and West, we've seen slow improvements. From their recent weekly peaks, Arizona's weekly case counts have dropped 37 percent. That's a tremendous drop. And the governor and the state have done a fantastic job. Down 37 percent. Texas down 18.7 percent. I was there a couple of days ago. And Florida, 21.2 percent drop. So that's a tremendous job that they're all doing." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3458, + "raw_confidence": 0.6542, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "As we begin to contain the virus in these states, we must focus on new flare-ups in the states where the case numbers have risen, including Georgia, Mississippi, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Missouri. And I think you'll find that they're soon going to be very much under control." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7772, + "raw_confidence": 0.7772, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Meanwhile, 18 states continue to have very low case numbers and low test positivity rates. Under 5 percent: Alaska, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, West Virginia, and Wyoming. It's under five." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2778, + "raw_confidence": 0.7222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Even in these states, however, where the virus is under control and at a very low number, Americans should continue to be vigilant, be careful, in order to prevent the new hotspots from opening up or any new hotspots from opening up in those states." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "To that end, I urge all Americans to continue to socially distance; wash your hands, wear a mask when you cannot avoid crowded places; and to protect the elderly. Very, very important protect the elderly. It's much different. Young children have very strong immune systems. We've learned how strong they are. But protect the elderly. The average age of those who succumb to the virus is 78 years old. That's the average age." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2351, + "raw_confidence": 0.7649, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's important for all Americans to recognize that a permanent lockdown is not a viable path toward producing the result that you want, or certainly not a viable path forward, and would ultimately inflict more harm than it would prevent." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7715, + "raw_confidence": 0.7715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Countries where there have been very significant flare-ups over the last short period of time are Spain, Germany, France, Australia, Japan. And also, as you probably heard, in Hong Kong, they've had some very serious flare-ups. Japan has gone yeah, a lot a lot of six-fold six-fold flare-up. That's a lot. But they'll get it under control." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In our current phase, we must focus on protecting those at highest risk while allowing younger and healthier Americans to resume work and school, with careful precautions. Ideally, we want to open those schools. We want to open them." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1793, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we're placing an emphasis on continuing to drive down the mortality rate with improved care, treatment, and medical interventions, building a bridge to the introduction of a vaccine. The vaccines are coming along incredibly well." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Today I'd like to also provide an update on the actions of my administration and the work that we've done. We're taking really taking an increased interest, and we're seeing numbers that nobody can even believe, in terms of percentage increase. It's telehealth for American patients. The the percentage increase is being worked on right now, but it's very, very significant; numbers that you would not even think possible." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2515, + "raw_confidence": 0.7485, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This has been a priority from the beginning of my administration when we launched an initiative to allow veterans to connect remotely with their VA healthcare team. And it worked out really well. We have a 91 percent approval rating in the VA in terms of the job we're doing. This is the first it's the highest ever recorded." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1853, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now telehealth is a critical part of our path forward in the VA, and it's becoming a critical path, especially with our senior citizens. You don't have to go to the doctor's office; you don't have to go to hospitals." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "When the invisible enemy struck our shores, I took immediate action to eliminate regulatory barriers to telehealth, making it easier for patients to consult with doctors from safety and convenience. And really, they have great safety and great convenience right from their homes." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Today I'm taking action to ensure telehealth is here to stay. Moments ago in the Oval Office, I signed an executive order to make many of our regulatory reforms permanent. We've done some regulatory reforms that have had a tremendous impact on what we're doing on medicine and medical and what we're doing. They can do things that you wouldn't believe, that even a year ago, two years ago would not have been doable." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We're enshrining the right of American patients to meet with their medical providers in a way that is best for them and very, very convenient. And very talented people on the other side of the line, I have to tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The order builds upon a series of actions we've all taken to make telehealth available to all. We ensured that Medicare covers telehealth visits at no additional cost. That's no additional cost. And co-payments can be waived for telehealth services." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1972, + "raw_confidence": 0.8028, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We are working very hard also on prescription drug prices. And I will tell you that the favored nations clause that I've signed into existence nobody thought anybody would ever do that has a massive impact on prescription drug prices, in addition to the three other elements of reduction of drugs, in particular prescription drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But the favored nations clause is massive. For instance, if Germany buys a pill for 10 cents a pill, as an example just as an example and the United States pays 2 dollars for the same pill, we get the same privilege, the same right as they do. We never had that before. We paid all of the expenses, all of the research and development. So the the numbers are astronomical. And as you probably noticed, big ads are taken against me by big pharma. Very big ads. Very massive buy." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But in the meantime, they're calling. They want to know if they can make a deal. And I say to people, The only reason these ads are being taken is because prices are coming down for you. And they understand that. I think our people understand that." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1999, + "raw_confidence": 0.8001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But, in particular, when you look at the matching you could call it matching or you could call it favored nations call it whatever you like it's a tremendous it's going to have a tremendous and I'm talking about 50, 60 percent, 70 percent. That doesn't mean it goes to 10 cents, as an example, but theirs comes up and ours goes down. And you have many, many countries where their numbers the numbers are so low. I mean, so low. And by that, I mean, much lower than the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3683, + "raw_confidence": 0.6317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Another thing I'm doing is if a certain country, like Canada Canada buys for very much less than the United States has bought. How they allowed this to happen representatives of our country standing at these podiums or in the Oval Office how they allowed this to happen is just, to me, incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We've been working on this for a long time. I've been talking about it with Kayleigh for a long time, right? So now a governor like Ron DeSantis of Florida who is doing a great job or our great governor of Ohio or a great governor of any state can call up and buy the drugs directly from Canada at sometimes 50 percent less. So we'll be buying from Canada." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now, what the drug companies are going to do maybe they'll raise them, maybe they'll lower them, or maybe they'll just give up and sell them to us directly much cheaper. So a lot of things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7337, + "raw_confidence": 0.7337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Also, the rebate we have people that are very wealthy that nobody ever heard of them. Nobody knows who they are. I guess, in some cases, they can be pharmacies; in some cases, they're individuals. We're doing a rebate, and the rebate goes to the people. It lowers the price of drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So we have a series of four things that we signed. And you will see, over a period a fairly short period drug prices are going to be tumbling down at numbers that nobody would have ever believed possible." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1978, + "raw_confidence": 0.8022, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We have in 51 years, the only time prices came down was during this administration. It was last year. Fifty-one years it went up. But that was just a small decline. This is a massive decline. This is a decline that nobody can believe. I was called by senators, I was called by congressmen: Please don't do this. But big pharma doesn't mean anything to me other than we want them to do a great job. We want them to get their vaccines. We want them to do what has to be done." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So I think you're going to see drug price reductions over the next four or five or six months it'll probably take a little while to kick in that are going to be at numbers that you wouldn't believe. But in the meantime they called on Friday afternoon they want to meet and see if they do something else. They don't like favored nations clauses. I understand that." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2318, + "raw_confidence": 0.7682, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We vastly expanded coverage, allowing Medicare to cover more than 135 new services through telehealth, by the way including physical therapy, emergency department visits, home visits, mental health counseling, substance abuse treatment, which is a very big priority. We brought the substance abuse at least prior to the China plague, or whatever you want to call it we brought it down very substantially. Pediatric critical care and much more." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Thanks to our actions, an estimated $2 billion of additional funding will support Medicare patients receiving telehealth services. So a very, very big priority on telehealth. As part of the CARES Act, we secured $200 million to help healthcare providers and hospitals expand their telehealth. And they're all doing it. They're doing it gladly." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We worked with the leaders of major health insurance companies to ensure coverage for the telehealth visits related to coronavirus. We cut red tape to allow many services to be conducted by phone, rather than video, which is much simpler, providing a much easier option for many seniors in particular. Thirty-five percent of the Medicare beneficiaries who received telehealth services, or over 3.6 million seniors, did so over the phone. So you're talking about 6-point 3.6 million seniors. That's something. 10.1 million Medicare beneficiaries have accessed care through telehealth since the beginning of the pandemic. So you're talking there 10.1 million people." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In April, over 43 percent of all Medicare primary care visits were done via telehealth and compared to less than 0.1 percent in February. Those are part of the numbers that I think I'll have you get them. So this part, you don't have to; you'll get the other the other section. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2102, + "raw_confidence": 0.7898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So think of that: compared to less than 0.1 percent 0.1 percent. That's an incredible number. So over 43 percent of all Medicare primary care visits were done via telehealth compared to so you went from 0.1 percent to 43 percent. That's an incredible that's an incredible number." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The executive order I signed today will also expand healthcare access in rural America. We take care of rural America. It directs agencies to deploy strategic investments in our rural communications infrastructure. And we're working very hard with all of the people in government that are involved with the communications infrastructure so that the telehealth gets very quick and easy access." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Additionally, revenue for rural providers vary significantly from month to month, making it difficult for many to stay in business. Many, many are having a very difficult time. To help fix this problem, my order will create a voluntary Medicare payment system that will give rural hospitals flexibility really, great flexibility and a more consistent income stream to better serve their patients." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Furthermore, I'm directing the Department of Agriculture and Department of Health and Human Services and the Federal Communications Commission we were just with the heads of each one in the Oval Office, just before I came up to the podium to form a task force that will break down barriers to expanding rural healthcare. This order continues my administration's focus on rural healthcare." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We allocated nearly $165 million through the CARES Act to support nearly 1,800 small rural hospitals who have done an incredible job, as well as $11.5 million to expand technical assistance for rural and underserved areas. We allocated another $10 billion to 2,000 rural hospitals, and more than 2,400 rural health clinics. We waived burdensome licensing certification and registration requirements, which took tremendous amounts of time and these are people that had great reputations and great track records for practitioners that serve on the frontlines in rural areas, allowing more medical personnel to serve their wonderful patients." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We're also, in terms of PPE, ensuring that the state and local areas have the supplies they need. We've been supplying hospitals and cities and states, governors helping governors at a number that nobody has ever heard of before. Fifteen thousand four hundred and forty nursing homes have received a second shipment of personal protective equipment. They're very much stocked up; they're in great shape. They all have the ventilators all the ventilators they need. They have, actually, more than they need. And their equipment medical equipment is in very, very good shape. They're full." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "My administration has worked with the private sector to deliver over 100 million N95 respirators, 85 million gloves, and nearly 250 million face coverings nationwide. We continue to make the extraordinary progress that we've been talking about together on vaccines and treatments." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.679, + "raw_confidence": 0.679, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Under Operation Warp Speed, which is very exciting most exciting last week, we distributed 2,979 cases of remdesivir, which is proving to be extremely powerful and good, enough to treat more than 19,000 patients. Had great results. This includes 500 cases for Florida, 500 for Texas, 300 for California, 200 for Ohio, and 150 for Arizona and Georgia. And those numbers will be going up rapidly as we move along." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Hospitals are reporting an adequate supply of steroids, such as dexamethasone, that are used successfully in late-stage illness. They've been very good. We're also very encouraged about the prospects for plasma therapies, and that, we're working on. And that's a brilliant art. It's really an art. And we launched a national plasma drive last week I was at the Red Cross building with the American Red Cross and 13 other healthcare organizations." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7812, + "raw_confidence": 0.7812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "As a result of improvements we've made in treatment, for Americans over the age of 18, the mortality rate has declined 85 percent from its April peak. Eighty-five percent decline." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "On vaccines, last week, we announced a $2.1 billion partnership with Sanofi and to purchase and produce 100 million doses of their coronavirus vaccine. One hundred million doses. This is the sixth vaccine candidate we are proactively supporting. We're supporting numerous companies that are doing very well, who are having wonderful results, and they're in final stages of testing." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "There are now two vaccines in the in that final stage of clinical trials in America, with a third vaccine likely to begin phase three almost immediately. And we have additional clinical trials scheduled over the next few weeks for a couple of the other companies. These are great companies. These are companies that are not only well known, they're well respected, most importantly." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "By unleashing America's technical and scientific brilliance, we will end this pandemic and we will hopefully end it very quickly. The therapeutics are very exciting to me where you can go into a hospital, and whether it's through a shot or a transfusion, you take care of somebody and they get better. That's something, to me, that's very important. And we're doing really well on therapeutics and really well on vaccines." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1681, + "raw_confidence": 0.8319, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So thank you all very much for being here. We'll take a couple of questions." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They're actually briefing me in a little while. We we have it scheduled for a little while." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Oh it's terrible. No, it's terrible, and we'll be in contact with the families. A thing like that is terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I just heard about it. This is just a continuation of the witch hunt. It's Democrat stuff. They failed with Mueller. They failed with everything. They failed with Congress. They failed at every stage of the game." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7834, + "raw_confidence": 0.7834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This has been going on for three and a half, four years. Even before I got in, this was starting with the Mueller deal. Mueller started a little bit after, but it started with some of the people that you know very well, the names Strzok and Page and all of the different people Comey." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5117, + "raw_confidence": 0.5117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This has been going on. This is a continuation of the worst witch hunt in American history, and there's nothing that I know even about it. You know, they had I had seen that today just a little while ago. And I said, What's this all about? I know nothing about it. But it's just a continuation of the witch hunt. It didn't work out for Congress, didn't work out for Mueller, didn't work out for anybody. So what they're doing is they send them around to all over the country, I guess, maybe." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But it's it's a terrible thing that they do. It's really a terrible thing. The the witch hunt has gone on long enough. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's possible that I get involved. But, no, it won't have anything to do with we want to make people better. We want to send them to the areas that most need it. And I think we're going to have something very soon. It's going good" + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we're doing very well, and I think that we have done as well as any nation. If you really look if you take a look at what's going on, especially now with all these flare-ups in nations that they were talking about and don't forget: We're much bigger, other than India and China. China is having a massive flare-up right now. India has a tremendous problem. Other countries have problems." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And I notice that in the news, in the evening news, I never read about that. In any of the news, I don't read about the other countries. You're starting to see that other countries are having very big flare-ups, countries that thought they were over it. Like, we thought we might be over it in Florida, and then all of a sudden, it comes back. They do come back." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But I think we're doing very well. I told Dr. Birx I think we're doing very well. She was in my office a little while ago. She's a person I have a lot of respect for. I think Nancy Pelosi has treated her very badly very, very badly, very nasty." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3357, + "raw_confidence": 0.6643, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And I'm just referring to the fact that I thought that, really, they should say the job we've done, whether it's on ventilators or testing we've tested now over 60 million people. No other country is even close to that. We've tested 60 million people with great in many cases, about 50 percent now rapid fire, meaning 5- to 15- to 20-minute test, where you get the result almost immediately. Nobody has anything like that. Nobody. And I think we're just doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Either way. Whether it's Microsoft or somebody else, or if it was the Chinese, what the price is," + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1932, + "raw_confidence": 0.8068, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "the United States could should get a very large percentage of that price because we're making it possible. Without us you know, I use the expression, It's like the landlord and the tenant. And without the lease, the tenant doesn't have the value. Well, we're sort of, in a certain way, the lease. We make it possible to have this great success. TikTok is a tremendous success, but a big portion of it is in this country." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It would come from the sale, yeah. Whatever the number is would it would come from the sale" + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "which nobody else would be thinking about but me. But that's the way I think. And I think it's a I think it's very fair." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But we want no security problems with China. It's got to be an American company. It's got to be American security. It's got to be owned here. We don't want to have any problems with security, et cetera. And something could come out. I I will tell you, there's a lot of excitement not only by Microsoft, but by other companies, in terms of buying it." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So we'll see what happens. But we want and we think we deserve to have a big percentage of that price coming to America, coming to the Treasury." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I could do that if I want, and I want to do that. I don't want people to be evicted. And, you know, when they're evicted, when they're thrown out of there, whatever the place may be, in many cases, they go to big shelters. And if you talk about pandemic, this is a pandemic, and they go to shelters. Number one, they're thrown out viciously. It's not their fault, it's China's fault. It's not anybody's fault, it's China's fault." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2194, + "raw_confidence": 0.7806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But number two, and if they are thrown out, they oftentimes will go to a shelter with tremendous numbers of other people. And the the virus will spread, and we don't want that." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I can do that also through an executive order. So we'll be talking about that." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1867, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But we're having a very good discussion with Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer. The problem is they want to do bailouts of their various Democrat-run states and cities, and they want a lot of money. They want a trillion dollars for that. And so they want to do much more than COVID-related. They want to do they want to bail out cities and states that have been in trouble for years of bad management in all cases, Democrat-run cities and we don't think that's fair. You understand that. You've heard it before." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah. It's not a mass send, but it's sending very talented people to help them with the drugs and the shootings and the guns and the things that are happening. It's not like sending in the National Guard and stopping it cold which, as an example, a lot of progress has been made in Portland. But, you know, frankly, sending in the National Guard like we did in Minneapolis, it stopped it cold. From the time we sent that National Guard, they walked down the street, it was over in Minneapolis. Now it may be starting up again." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2119, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This is these are Democrat-run cities and states, and it hasn't been a pretty picture to watch. We will help Chicago. We'll help New York, if they request. They have to request the help, but we want to stop the drugs. We want to stop the guns. A lot of the Chicago is guns and but what it is, is drug-related, gang-related. Largely gang-related." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7893, + "raw_confidence": 0.7893, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "With ICE, we send out thousands of MS-13 thousands and thousands of MS-13. We send them back, or in some cases, have to put them in prison. They're too violent. They're truly violent." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So we're helping out. When you look at what's happening in Chicago and some other cities with the shootings and the killings, they need help. And we haven't met with resistance, I have to be honest with you. I think it's good that we haven't. But we're only looking to help them. We're only looking to help." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, there's never been a push like this for mail-in ballots. And if you look at the New York congressional race, which is a disaster Carolyn it's been a total disaster. They have they're six weeks into it now. They have no clue what's going on. And, I mean, I think I can say right here and now, I think you have to rerun that race because it's a mess." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4883, + "raw_confidence": 0.5117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Nobody knows what's happening with the ballots and the lost ballots and the fraudulent ballots, I guess. I think you'd probably have to take the Carolyn Maloney race and run it over again. How can you do this? And this is a small race with literally thousands of people small thousands and it's all messed up." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7895, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "If you look at Paterson, New Jersey, it's all messed up. Almost every one of these and these are small, easy to control. They should be able to do this easy." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7602, + "raw_confidence": 0.7602, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now you're talking about, like, Nevada, where last two nights ago, they they went out and in the darkness of night without people, without having any meetings of the public, without having anything, they approved a ridiculous you don't have to look at signatures. You don't have to approve anything. You can have double mailings. You can have all sorts of things. Nobody has ever seen anything like it. It's a disgrace. I mean, honestly, it's a disgrace." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8025, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They've lost ballots. There's fraudulent ballots. It's how are you going to do that for an entire nation? They're using COVID to try and get the mail-in ballots." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7757, + "raw_confidence": 0.7757, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now, absentee ballots are great. Absentee ballots, they have to request them. They go through a process. They get them. But the universal mail-in ballots have turned out to be a disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6902, + "raw_confidence": 0.6902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And what Nevada has been doing if you look, over the last few days, you have to look at what they've done. You can have two ballots, you can harvest it's harvesting, so you can take thousands of ballots, put them together and just dump them down on somebody's desk after a certain period of time." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7257, + "raw_confidence": 0.7257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They have something where, if you vote, the vote can count up to seven days later. Well, if the vote is going to count seven days later, that means you you know, if it depends on the one state like Nevada, that would mean simply that you can't have supposing it's down to that one state it could be it's a great state. But supposing it's down to that one state, that means you have to wait seven days." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But they won't have it there. This is something that's so messed up. And, by the way, I have to say, the Post Office, for many, many years, has been, you know, run in a fashion that hasn't been great. Great workers and everything, but they have old equipment very old equipment. And I don't think the Post Office is prepared for a thing like this. You'll have to ask the people at the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2435, + "raw_confidence": 0.7565, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But how can the Post Office be expected to handle? They have regular mailing, and then now, on top of that, they have the Internet, where you have Amazon and these companies doing, you know, all the buying instead of going to a department store, they go buy through mail. So you have massive numbers of purchases now going through the Post Office, purchases of items and gifts, and that's a tremendous strain on the Post Office. The Post Office loses a fortune, and it has been for many, many years, for decades." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2241, + "raw_confidence": 0.7759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So now, on top of it, it has this, and the Amazons of the world and the others, they pay very, very little money. They lose money on every the Post Office loses money, which is ridiculous, on every package it delivers. But now, on top of that and I'm not just referring to Amazon, I'm talking about all of the competitors, if there is such a thing, to Amazon. There will be. But if there is such a thing." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But now, on top of that, you'll have somebody like the governor of Nevada come out with this massive plan, out of nowhere, to take millions of ballots and send them all over the place. You'll never know who won that state. It'll get messed up just like New York and just like Paterson, New Jersey, and just like many other places." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7833, + "raw_confidence": 0.7833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In West Virginia, they indicted a postman for doing something very bad you know that. And but there are many cases all over the country. If you look, you'll be able to find there's a list of them all over the country. And that has to do with universal mail-in." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2474, + "raw_confidence": 0.7526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Again, absentee is great. It works. Like in Florida, they'll do absentee. It really works. But universal mail-in ballots is going to be a great embarrassment to our country." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I have the right to do it. We haven't gotten there yet, but we'll see what happens. We will be suing in Nevada, and that's already been taken care of. We'll probably file something tomorrow." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2524, + "raw_confidence": 0.7476, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I do want to say that we're going to be introducing a tremendous healthcare plan sometime prior hopefully, prior to the end of the month. It's just completed now." + }, + { + "tid": "VUJIMdlgBz8", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In addition, next month, we'll be doing the immigration plan. So we'll be doing that in September. We'll be doing, sometime during this month, the healthcare plan. And I think that'll be before the end of the month. And I think it'll be very impressive to a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. And it's good to see you all. Hope you had a great weekend at your convention. And we're going to have a great convention coming up, and I look forward to it." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "But before I discuss a very historic breakthrough in our fight against the China virus, I'd like to provide an update on the recent wildfires in California and the storms in the Gulf of Mexico." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1852, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, I approved a major disaster declaration for California. I spoke to Governor Newsom as they battle two of the worst wildfires in the history of their state. That continues. The federal government has already deployed over 26,000 first responders and personnel to battle the wildfires. We're working very closely with the governor and very closely with a lot of great state representatives and local representatives, and we'll take care of the situation. But we have 26,000 first responders already." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Both storms have the potential of gathering strength before they make landfall and could cause significant damage across the Gulf Coast and also in Puerto Rico. We have everybody stationed and ready to go in Puerto Rico and the Gulf Coast, and we have tremendous tremendous people." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We have FEMA is lined up. We have the Coast Guard ready. The Coast Guard has has done a fantastic job. They do so many they do such good work, and we want to thank our great Coast Guard." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I'm asking all Americans in the storm's path to follow the instructions of your state and local governments very closely. And I've approved emergency declarations for Puerto Rico and for Louisiana. FEMA is mobilized on the ground and is ready to help. They will be in there very quickly very, very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And I spoke to Governor John Bel Edwards also, of Louisiana, and I've informed him. And at his request, also, a major disaster declaration is signed and ready to go. We have everybody ready in Puerto Rico, the Gulf Coast, Louisiana, and also on the forest fires in California. So we have a great team. Unfortunately, we have some very, very powerful natural disasters." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "On the therapeutics front, this is what I've been looking to do for a long time. This is a great thing. Today, I'm pleased to make a truly historic announcement in our battle against the China virus that will save countless lives. The FDA has issued an emergency use authorization and that's such a powerful term: emergency use authorization for a treatment known as convalescent plasma. This is a powerful therapy that transfuses very, very strong antibodies from the blood of recovered patients to help treat patients battling a current infection. It's had an incredible rate of success." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Today's action will dramatically expand access to this treatment. And I want to thank Dr. Hahn and Secretary Azar. I want to thank the FDA all of the people that have been working very hard on this. It showed tremendous potential." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2201, + "raw_confidence": 0.7799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "This is the only possible and it's only made possible because of Operation Warp Speed that has everybody working together. We're years ahead of approvals. We would be if we went by the speed levels of past administration, we'd be two years, three years behind where we are today, and that includes in vaccines that you'll be hearing about very soon, very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "To deliver treatments and vaccine to save lives, we're removing unnecessary barriers and delays not by cutting corners, but by marshaling the full power of the federal government." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3348, + "raw_confidence": 0.6652, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "We've provided $48 million to fund the Mayo Clinic study that tested the efficacy of convalescent plasma for patients with the virus. Through this study, over 100,000 Americans have already enrolled to receive this treatment, and it has proven to reduce mortality by 35 percent. It's a tremendous number." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7854, + "raw_confidence": 0.7854, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "The FDA, MIT, Harvard, and Mount Sinai hospital have also found convalescent plasma to be a very effective method of fighting this horrible disease." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Based on the science and the data, the FDA has made the independent determination that the treatment is safe and very effective. Recently, we provided up to $270 million to the American Red Cross and America's Blood Centers to support the collection of up to 360,000 units of plasma." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2402, + "raw_confidence": 0.7598, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "In late July, we launched a nationwide campaign to ask patients to have who have recovered and these are patients that have been incredible, the way they've donated but these are people recovering from the virus to donate plasma. Since then, weekly plasma donations have doubled." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And today, I once again urge all Americans who have recovered from the virus to go to Coronavirus.gov and sign up and donate plasma today please. It's been really an incredible just incredible people. The country has united so strongly behind this." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3064, + "raw_confidence": 0.6936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And I'll go over the numbers, but if you look at what's happened and the success that we've had that people don't talk about the United States has experienced the lowest case-fatality rate of any major country in the world. You don't hear that." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7447, + "raw_confidence": 0.7447, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "The European Union's case-fatality rate is estimated to be three times higher than that in the United States. Europe has seen 33 percent more fatalities, compared to a typical non-pandemic year than the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And I just want to ask two of our people that have done such a fantastic job, Alex Azar and Stephen Hahn, to say a few words. And, Stephen, I want to thank you because the FDA really stepped up and especially over the last few days in getting this done. The results have been incredible, and I think you'll see the results even go up very substantially. So we appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "And maybe I'll ask Alex to go first, and then Stephen. Thank you very much, Alex." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Stephen. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Okay, any questions, please? Please, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "You know, it's a great question. And I'm not sure a lot of people have been thinking about Right to Try. We're all waiting for the final answer. And maybe I could ask Stephen, but I would say that Right to Try is exactly if somebody is virtually terminal in other words, they're not going to make it and if we have these incredible therapies and drugs that are happening, Alex, I think it's a very interesting question." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I congratulate you for that question because I think" + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "we're all waiting for that exact final endpoint." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "What about that, Stephen? We have all of these great seemingly great answers that are ready to come out, but because of the process, it takes can we use some of this early, under Right to Try? Please." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "I think it was something we have to really consider very strongly." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2105, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, I think that there might have been a holdup, but we broke the logjam over the last week, to be honest. I think that there are people in the FDA and actually in your larger department that can see things being held up and wouldn't mind so much. That's my opinion a very strong opinion. And that's for political reasons. This has nothing to do with politics; this has to do with life and death." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "So we are being very strong, and we are being very forthright, and we have got some incredible answers. And we're not going to let them be held up because every day is lives. And we're not going to let that happen. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Well, I think I'll let Dr. Hahn answer that question." + }, + { + "tid": "W_dtPrJJTR0", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-23", + "claim_text": "Okay? This is a very big day. It's a day we've been looking forward to. Thank you very much. Great question. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I don't know yet. We'll see. We'll be making that determination. I don't know yet." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2513, + "raw_confidence": 0.7487, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But this was a firsthand account of a plane going from Washington to wherever. And I'll see if I can get that information for you. Maybe they'll speak to you and maybe they won't." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6152, + "raw_confidence": 0.6152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I think a lot of people are looking at what's happening to these Democrat-run cities, and they're disgusting. They see what's going on, and they can't believe this is taking place in our country. I can't believe it either." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2364, + "raw_confidence": 0.7636, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "One of the reasons I'm making the trip today and going to Wisconsin is we've had such a big success in shutting down what would be, right now, a city that would've been Kenosha a city that would've been burnt to the ground by now. And we're going to really say hello to law enforcement and the National Guard. And it all stopped immediately upon the National Guard's arrival." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So, you know, it'd be easy to stop. I saw last night where these radical anarchists were trying to get into the mayor's house, and lots of bad things were happening to this poor, foolish, very stupid mayor. I mean, how he could be mayor, I have no idea. But all he has to do is call and, within 10 minutes, their problem will be over." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I think it's helping because I'm about law and order. And if you look at the black community, they want the police to help them stop crime. The Hispanic community, they want police. Eighty-two percent, eighty-four percent numbers that you haven't even seen they don't want crime. They don't want to be mugged. They don't want to have any problems. And it's just a shame." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7605, + "raw_confidence": 0.7605, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "When I watched that scene last night, with all of those really horrible people outside of the mayor's house, I also saw the way they shot the young gentleman in the street. He was targeted. They targeted him. They shot him in the street, and then they were so happy, and he died. You don't mention that. You mention somebody spray-painted somebody from the other side. They shot a man in the street. They executed a man in the street a religious man, in the street. And you don't mention it. It's not even a story. You talk about other things." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2464, + "raw_confidence": 0.7536, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The press should be ashamed of themselves. I think the press is actually the media is what's fueling this, more so than even Biden, because Biden doesn't know he's alive. The press is really fueling this, and they're fueling it horribly. And you're doing a great disservice to your country." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I may. No, I may. I'm also going to be speaking with a pastor who was talking to as per your question previously a very well involved and respected man. I look forward to that. I spoke to him yesterday, by the way the pastor of the family, as you know. And I spoke to him yesterday. I had a great conversation. I think he's going to be there." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2277, + "raw_confidence": 0.7723, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But I'm speaking really, today I'm there for law enforcement and for the National Guard because they've done a great job in Kenosha. They put out the flame immediately. As soon as they came in, boom, the flame was gone. Now maybe it'll start up again, in which case, they'll put it out very powerfully." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, I told them that they have until September 15th to make a deal. After that, we close it up in this country. And I said that the United States has to be compensated well compensated because we are the ones that are making it possible, and so we should be compensated. So the Treasury has to be well compensated." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll be helping the airlines. Yeah, we'll be helping the airlines. You have to help the airlines. It's a tough business always is. Airlines are a tough business in good times, and we're about ready to get back to good times." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3717, + "raw_confidence": 0.6283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "If you look at the numbers this morning, some of the numbers coming out are incredible. We have now the all-time highest stock market, if you take the average. We're at a number that nobody would even believe. We're doing well." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We have tremendous I tell you, we have tremendous what would you say is the best word? The enthusiasm for the country, the enthusiasm for the comeback the V. You look at the V. Now I think it's a Super V." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1892, + "raw_confidence": 0.8108, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And Morgan Stanley, of course, which is one of the most respected on Wall Street, would you say? And they just made a big prediction. You know what the prediction was, right? That President Trump is going to remain President." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So we'll have to see. We'll have to see. But I don't I cannot imagine anything else. Because if somebody else got in namely, my opponent your stock markets, instead of being records right now, they will crash. Your 401(k)s will be down to nothing. Your stocks will be down to nothing. And we will have a depression like you've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.729, + "raw_confidence": 0.729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We're going to have an incredible economy. Next year is going to be one of the best years that we've ever had. And everybody is getting a big tax cut." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3587, + "raw_confidence": 0.6413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We're working with the drug companies on substantially lowering drug prices. I've put out a favored nations clause; I've signed it. That means we get the lowest prices anywhere in the world. We match whoever gets the lowest. And the drug company is having a real problem with that. So they're coming in to see me, and we expect to get a very substantial price reduction in prescription drugs, which has never been done before." + }, + { + "tid": "w_wj-smpGtE", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-departure-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They're coming. Yeah. They're coming this week." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. Before I provide an update on our continued progress against the China virus, I'd like to discuss our latest actions against the Iranian regime." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Today, I'm directing the Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, to notify the U.N. Security Council that the United States intends to restore virtually all of the previously suspended United Nations sanctions on Iran. It's a snapback; it's not uncommon." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1891, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And I won't say anything, because I don't like saying it, but Iran doesn't have so much money to give to the world anymore to the terrorists, to give to al Qaeda and various other groups of people that they were funding. They have to keep their own regime together, and it's not easy for them." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2579, + "raw_confidence": 0.7421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And if and when I win the election, within the first month, Iran will come to us and they are going to be asking for a deal so quickly because they are doing very poorly." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4709, + "raw_confidence": 0.5291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But that deal was a disaster: 150 billion dollars; 1.8 billion dollars in cash. And we got nothing, except a short-term, little deal. A short-term, expiring. It's starting to expire already. It's terminated, but it would have, if we didn't terminate it, start to expire very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7684, + "raw_confidence": 0.7684, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "A good deal was the deal we made with UAE and Israel. And, by the way, other countries, I will tell you now, want to come into that deal. Countries that you wouldn't even believe want to come into that deal. And, all of a sudden, you're going to have peace in the Middle East, and you couldn't have done it with this ridiculous Iran nuclear deal, as they call it, that President Obama made along with Sleepy Joe Biden." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7762, + "raw_confidence": 0.7762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "I imposed the toughest-ever sanctions on Iran, and this has caused great difficulty for them giving money to terrorist organizations. And if they do, they'll have hell to pay." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2525, + "raw_confidence": 0.7475, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Earlier this year, I ordered the strike that took out the world's number one terrorist, Qasem Soleimani, in addition to previously terminating leader and founder of ISIS, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the two leading terrorists by far in the world. The founder of ISIS. Nobody even talks about that. And we also defeated we now have 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate in Syria. When I took over, it was a mess. It was a total mess. It was they were all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "My administration will not allow this Iran nuclear situation to go on. They will never have a nuclear weapon. Iran will never have mark it down. Mark it down: Iran will never have a nuclear weapon. When the United States entered into the Iran deal, it was clear that the United States would always have the right to restore the U.N. sanctions that will prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. We paid a fortune for a failed concept and a failed policy a policy that would have made it impossible to have peace in the Middle East." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1901, + "raw_confidence": 0.8099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Here at home, through Operation LeGend, we are confronting the wave of crime in Democrat-run American cities. It's absolutely shocking. When you look at Portland or New York, San Francisco, Seattle, Chicago, sometimes Los Angeles Democrat-run cities they're a mess because they don't get it. Either they don't get it or there's something that nobody else understands." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We've deployed more than 1,000 additional federal agents to help these Democrat-run disasters. We just have done this. We have to give them a hand. And we can stop it immediately, like a Portland would be so easy to stop. We'd stop it immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7929, + "raw_confidence": 0.7929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We only sent in some Homeland people who are great, by the way to save the courthouse, because it would have been blown up or burned down, and they did that very easily. But if we were called upon, we would send in, whether it's Homeland, whether it's FBI, whether it's just law enforcement and we'd send them in quickly. We would eradicate it, just like happened in Minneapolis. As soon as they were called in they should have been called in a lot sooner; you would've had far less damage." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1889, + "raw_confidence": 0.8111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Today, we announced that Operation LeGend has successfully resulted in nearly 1,500 arrests already. Bad ones. Bad ones. Really bad people. Prosecutions and prison sentences will follow. And they'll be a very long time in prison for what they've done to these cities. Most cities are well run; most of the nation is well run. And the areas that we're talking about are all in all cases, run by Democrats, usually radi- radical-left-leaning Democrats, like in New York or in Portland." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7643, + "raw_confidence": 0.7643, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We've made arrests in Kansas City, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Milwaukee, St. Louis, Memphis, and Albuquerque for many violent crimes, including gun crimes, arson, and 91 murders." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4016, + "raw_confidence": 0.5984, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We're also using the full power of the federal government to defeat, as you know, the China virus. New cases have declined in 80 percent of the jurisdictions in the past week. Eighty percent. New Zealand, by the way, had a big outbreak. And other countries that were held up to try and make us look not as good as we should look because we've done an incredible job but they're having a lot of outbreaks, but they'll be able to put them out and we put them out." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7228, + "raw_confidence": 0.7228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "The hospitalization rate has fallen in our country 54 percent since its peak in April. Fifty-four percent. Older Americans are still the most vulnerable to the virus: 92 percent of deaths have occurred among those 55 and older. Only 2.7 percent of deaths have occurred among those 44 years think of that 44 years and younger. So 44 years old and younger: only 2.7 percent of deaths have occurred. And many of those people had preexisting conditions, they had problems heart, diabetes, and other problems, but many of those. So, think of that: only 2.7 percent under 44 years of age." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Excess mortality in Europe this year is 33 percent higher than the United States evidence that the tragic cost of this virus is higher in other Western nations. South Korea you've been reading about South Korea doing well. Well, they just had a very big breakout, but they'll be able to solve the problem." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We must all remain vigilant and continue to exercise extreme caution around those at highest risk, as we know. Multiple colleges and universities announced that they would suspend in-person teaching. We have learned one thing: There's nothing like campus, there's nothing like being with the teacher as opposed to being on a computer board. It's been proven a lot better. It's a lot better. The iPads are wonderful, but you're not going to learn the same way you do by being there. So, nevertheless, certain colleges and universities have announced that they would suspend the in-person teaching." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6752, + "raw_confidence": 0.6752, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "For older people and individuals with underlying conditions, the China virus is very dangerous, but for university students, the likelihood of severe illness is less than or equal to the risk of a seasonal few a seasonal flu. And the seasonal flu happens and comes and it goes, and it can be very bad, but people don't talk about it in the same way, and they shouldn't. But if you look at that, the odds are less than or equal to." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3262, + "raw_confidence": 0.6738, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Instead of saving lives, the decision to close universities could cost lives. It is significantly safer for students to live with other young people than to go home and spread the virus to older Americans. Makes sense." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And the shutdown thing is causing tremendous depression for those places that are still shut down. You look at certain areas that in all cases, Democrat-run still shut down, and the numbers there aren't even good. But causing tremendous depression, suicide, drugs, alcohol abuse. A lot of problems are being caused probably far more, I would say, Scott, than is caused by the virus itself, now that we understand the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Colleges should take reasonable precautions. Students who feel sick should not attend class and should limit social interaction, as they would for any other illness. And universities should implement measures to protect the high-risk students or professors and teachers." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "The ultimate goal of testing is to prevent transmission in high-risk settings and to prevent transmission, period but especially in nursing homes; and to care for the vulnerable and our elderly, which really fit into that definition of who is vulnerable." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7393, + "raw_confidence": 0.7393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We have tremendous unused testing capacity in our country. We have a tremendous unused testing capacity. It's something that a lot of other nations are very impressed with, they tell us." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "In our path forward, we will continue to follow a science-based approach to protecting the high risk while enabling healthy Americans to safely go back to work and school. Our country will be open. Our country is getting open quickly. Our stock markets are almost back to where they were, prior to the China virus disaster coming in." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank you all for being here, and we'll take some questions." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I don't know much about the movement, other than I understand they like me very much, which I appreciate, but I don't know much about the movement. I have heard that it is gaining in popularity. And from what I hear, it's these are people that, when they watch the streets of Portland, when they watch what happened in New York City in just the last six or seven months but this was starting even four years ago when I came here. Almost four years; can you believe it?" + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2007, + "raw_confidence": 0.7993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "These are people that don't like seeing what's going on in places like Portland and places like Chicago and New York and other cities and states. And I've heard these are people that love our country, and they just don't like seeing it." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "So I don't know, really, anything about it other than they do, supposedly, like me. And they also would like to see problems in these areas like, especially the areas that we're talking about go away. Because there's no reason the Democrats can't run a city. And if they can't, we will send in all of the federal whether it's troops or law enforcement, whatever they'd like we'll send them in. We'll straighten out their problem in 24 hours or less." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I haven't I haven't heard that. But is that supposed to be a bad thing or a good thing? I mean, you know, if I can help save the world from problems, I'm willing to do it. I'm willing to put myself out there." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And we are, actually. We're saving the world from a radical-left philosophy that will destroy this country. And when this country is gone, the rest of the world would follow. The rest of the world would follow. That's the importance of this country." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7724, + "raw_confidence": 0.7724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And when you look at some of the things that these people are saying, with Defund the Police and no borders, open borders everybody just pour right into our country; no testing, no nothing. You know, you talk about testing no testing. Mexico, as you know, has a very high rate of infection." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7812, + "raw_confidence": 0.7812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "The wall is now going to be, next week, 300 miles long. Our numbers are extraordinary on the border. Had that and this is through luck, perhaps, more than talent, although the talent is getting built when one party refuses to allow it. You don't hear talk about the wall anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But I will say this: We need strength in our country, not weakness. Too much weakness." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I hear great things about it, John. That's all I can tell you. And it could be a political decision, because you have a lot of people over there that don't want to rush things because they want to they want to do it after November 3rd. And you've heard that one before." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But I've heard fantastic things about convalescent plasma. And I've heard numbers way over 50 percent success. And people are dying, and we should have it approved if it's good. And I'm hearing it's good. I heard from people at the FDA that it's good. So we'll see. I'm going to check that right after this conference." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, if the numbers are as good as I'm hearing I mean, I'm hearing over 50 percent, and that's very good. And we've approved certain things are at 31 percent, and that's okay, too; that's not bad. And it's really had a tremendous impact." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But, no, I have you're telling me something right now that surprises me, but we'll check it out right after this." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1846, + "raw_confidence": 0.8154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "I don't want delays. I don't want people dying. I don't want people dying." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I'm not happy with Goodyear because what they're doing is playing politics. And the funny thing is the people that work for a Goodyear I can guarantee you I poll very well with all of those great workers in Goodyear." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7478, + "raw_confidence": 0.7478, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And when they say that you can't have Blue Lives Matter, you can't show a blue line, you can't wear a MAGA hat, but you can have other things that are Marxist in nature, there's something wrong with the top of Goodyear." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1918, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And what the radical left does is they make it impossible for people to do business if they're Republican or if they're conservative. They put out all sorts of effort: Don't shop there. They do vicious things, not so different than what you saw on the streets of Portland two nights ago." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Oh, I don't know. That's up to people. But I wouldn't recommend it. If they if they want to hold political speech, if they want to let you not do what everybody is doing; if they want to wear a MAGA hat or if they want to wear a Blue Lives... You know what Blue Lives Matter, right? That's policemen and women. That's a terrible thing. That's a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "So they're using their power over these people, and these people want to wear whatever it is that we're talking about. You know that. And so I would be very much in favor if people don't want to buy there. And you know what? They'll be able to get a good job because we set a jobs record over the last quarter, as you know. The most jobs ever in the history of our country. You'll be able to get another good jobs. I think it's disgraceful that they did this." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Well, I send him best wishes. I hear he's a wonderful gentleman. He's certainly a brave man. And I send him best wishes." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7388, + "raw_confidence": 0.7388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "With that being said, because of that and obviously what happened in Hong Kong, we've taken all of the vast amounts of money that we used to subsidize Hong Kong. We essentially subsidized Hong Kong by giving them all sorts of incentives. And that's what made Hong Kong the exchange and business in Hong Kong successful. I've taken it all back. That means that the United States is going to do a lot more business. You know, we we we really gave them tremendous incentive and subsidy in order that they be successful for freedom." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2099, + "raw_confidence": 0.7901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But now that the freedom obviously seems to have been taken away, we will keep all of the incentives that we were giving them, which is billions and billions of dollars. And all of that business will come into our country, including the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ. And it'll all come here." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But I feel badly for him because I hear he's a good person. I don't know him, but I hear he's a good person; obviously, a very brave person." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1595, + "raw_confidence": 0.8405, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Did you have something? Go ahead, please." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.417, + "raw_confidence": 0.583, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We're doing very well in our negotiations with Afghanistan. We're getting out. We're down to a much smaller number of people left there. And, you know, I greet men and women coming home, and coming home after they've been hit. I've also greeted many, many at Dover greeted many bodies coming back in." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7087, + "raw_confidence": 0.7087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And we've been there 19 years, and we're basically policemen. We're acting as police, as opposed to soldiers. And they're going to have to police their own states, and they've been doing that for thousands of years. But it's time, after 19 years, that our soldiers come home." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1981, + "raw_confidence": 0.8019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "They've done an incredible job, but, you know, they don't they're not allowed to fight to win. And and maybe they shouldn't be, because a lot of the people it's not their fault. But with the Taliban and with going to Iraq again, we're down in Afghanistan; very low numbers. And that'll be taking place." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And I let them know, Do anything, and you'll be hit like you've never hit been hit before. So we're we're doing very well. Syria, the same thing. Remember when I took all of the soldiers off of the border between Syria and Turkey. Right? And everybody said, Oh, this is that was two years ago. It was a long time ago. They said, Oh, this is terrible, terrible, terrible. We're going to leave." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2642, + "raw_confidence": 0.7358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Why do we have our soldiers between Syria and Turkey? Turkey can definitely take care of itself. I have a very good relationship with President Erdo\u00c4\u009fan. And Syria has been fighting forever. And I say, Why are we guarding their border? And I brought our soldiers back home. I got them out. And guess what? Nothing has happened. They've been fighting like they have been for a thousand years. Okay? Nothing has happened. And nobody mentions that." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Everybody said, This is going to be a disaster. There's no disaster; nothing has happened. And so we're getting out of the endless wars. And we are building a military, the likes of which the world has never seen. Two and a half trillion dollars we have spent. And we hopefully don't ever have to use it. But we want to focus on a much bigger picture because we have a much bigger picture." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "It's when you look at what China is doing, when you look at what Russia is doing, when you look at what some other countries are doing, we want to be ready just in case there is a catastrophe. We don't want to see that; we don't want to ever use it. We've rebuilt our military new missiles, new rockets, and new tanks, and new everything. New everything two and a half trillion dollars all made in the USA." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And we've upgraded incredibly our nuclear capability. And some of our nuclear needed nourishment. It needed new strength. And we've we've upgraded it very, very significantly I mean, to a level that nobody would even believe. And hopefully we don't you pray to God we never have to use it. Okay? But we've never been in a position where we've been this strong." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2234, + "raw_confidence": 0.7766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Having to do with UAE and Israel." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "No, I think they'll I think look, they've definitely got the money to pay for it. You know, it's nice because usually what we a lot of times, we make deals; they don't have 10 cents, these countries we deal with. We give it to them like, How about paying this back later? But they never pay because they don't have the money." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "No, they have the money, and they all they would like to order quite a few F-35s; it's the greatest fighter jet in the world, as you know, by far. Stealth. Totally stealth. You can't see it. Makes it very difficult. I was asking a pilot, What do you think is better: This one? This one? That one? Talking about Russian planes, Chinese planes. He said, Well, the advantage we have is you can't see it. So when we're fighting, they can't see us. I say, That sounds like a really big advantage to me. To these guys" + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "You know, they look by the way, I said to these pilots that I meet they look better than Tom Cruise, and they're definitely tougher. And he's a nice guy. But these these people are amazing. And I speak to them a lot about it What do you think? you know, as I go around to the various places. I saved the big one in Florida, as an example. That was a big one. Knocked down, pretty much, by the hurricane." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "So I spent a lot of time on that. And it's the greatest plane in the world. One thing about that kind of thing technology high-technology the greatest plane doesn't last long. Somebody comes up with something else, but we're always the one to come up with something else." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "So, yeah, they'd like to buy F-35s; we'll see what happens. It's under review, but they made a great a great advance in peace in the Middle East. Even the New York Times thought it was an incredible deal. Can you imagine that? Tom Friedman had a very nice thing to say about it. I spoke to him about it. He thought it was terrific. And and it is terrific." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2783, + "raw_confidence": 0.7217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "I see a lot of countries coming in fairly quickly. And when you have them all in, ultimately, Iran will come in too. There'll be peace in the Middle East. That'll be a nice. Iran will be very much neutralized. They never thought this could have happened." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7866, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And with the horrendously stupid Iran deal signed by Obama, this could have never happened." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Yeah, I would do that. I would I would swap them out, based on what I heard. We'll see what happens. Hey, look, you're going to have a lot of people not wanting to buy that product anymore, and they'll buy from a competitor made in the USA, too. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "You know, when I listen to that and then I see the horror that he's left us, the stupidity of the transactions that he made. Look what we're doing: We have our great border wall. We have security. We have the UAE deal, which has been universally praised praised by people that aren't exactly fans of Donald Trump for various reasons. I don't know why; can't be my personality. But they're not fans. Right?" + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.644, + "raw_confidence": 0.644, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "And when I look at what we have now, look at how bad he was, how ineffective a President he was. He was so ineffective, so terrible. Slowest-growing recovery in the history I guess, since 1929 on the economy." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7651, + "raw_confidence": 0.7651, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Don't forget, until the China virus came in, we had the greatest economy in the history of the world. And now we're doing it again. I'm going to have to do it a second time. We're doing it again hard to believe." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7828, + "raw_confidence": 0.7828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "We're doing very well. You heard the numbers; they're way, way down on the on the virus." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.735, + "raw_confidence": 0.735, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "But when you look at the kind of numbers that we're producing on the stock markets, we're almost at the level in fact, NASDAQ and S&P are higher than they were at their highest point prior to the China virus coming in the plague coming in." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "No, President Obama did not do a good job. And the reason I'm here is because of President Obama and Joe Biden. Because if they did a good job, I wouldn't be here. And probably, if they did a good job, I wouldn't have even run; I would have been very happy. I enjoyed my previous life very much, but they did such a bad job that I stand before you as President." + }, + { + "tid": "W5sZkHWHKnE", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-conference-coronavirus-briefing-august-19-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-19", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. We had a very successful day. Pennsylvania was that was incredible. The crowd was incredible. You saw what was unable to get in. We had thousands of people unable to get in. And I appreciate everybody being there. That was really a terrific moment, I think, coming off the plane. And it doesn't get any bigger than that." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4728, + "raw_confidence": 0.5272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I did hear, though, when reentering the plane, I was told by Mark and Hope and some others that some horrible things were said. Fake things. Fake news. Corrupt news. The kind of news that's ruining your profession. And everyone knows it's totally false." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2831, + "raw_confidence": 0.7169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "General Keith Kellogg, who's a highly respected man, couldn't believe when he heard it. And he knows everything about all of it. And to think that I would make statements negative to our military and our fallen heroes, when nobody has done what I've done, with the budgets, with the military budgets, with getting pay raises for our military." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.273, + "raw_confidence": 0.727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It is a disgraceful situation by a magazine that's a terrible magazine. I don't read it, but I just heard about it. They made it up. And, probably, it's a couple of people that have been failures in the administration that I got rid of. And I couldn't get rid of them fast enough. But or it was just made up." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "But it's unthinkable. As far as John McCain is concerned, I was never a fan. And I will admit that openly. I disagreed with him on the endless wars. I disagreed with him with respect to the vets and the taking care of the VA. I wanted to do it a much different way. And I think it's proven to be a much more successful way when you look at the success we've had with the VA and with our vets, with Choice and with Accountability, all the things I've gotten." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "So I disagreed with John McCain, but I still respected him. And I had to approve his funeral as President. We lowered the flags. I had to approve that, nobody else. I had to approve it. When you think as I'm just thinking back, I had to approve either Air Force One or a military plane to go to Arizona to pick up his casket." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1948, + "raw_confidence": 0.8052, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And I approved it immediately. I had to approve the funeral, because he had a first-class, triple-A funeral that lasted for nine days, by the way. I had to approve it. All of that had to be approved by the President. I approved it without hesitation and without complaint. And I felt he deserved it. I disagreed with him on things, and he was a tough guy, but I felt he deserved it." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "For somebody to say the things that they say I said is a total lie. It's fake news. It's a disgrace. And frankly, it's a disgrace to your profession. Now, with all of that being said, you'll speak to Keith Kellogg, you'll speak to other people, because many people knew. Let me just go into the if I might, into the trip to Europe and to France." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7298, + "raw_confidence": 0.7298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I was ready to go to a ceremony; I had two of them. One the following day; it was pouring, and I went to that. But the helicopter could not fly. The reason it couldn't fly is because it was raining about as hard as I've ever seen. And, on top of that, it was very, very foggy. And the helicopter was unable to fly." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1927, + "raw_confidence": 0.8073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "It was a fairly long helicopter flight, but it was a very long drive. In order for me to go, we would have had to leave immediately and go through very busy areas of, I guess, Paris but a very, very heavily traveled area, a very a big city. I think it was Paris. And the Secret Service told me, You can't do it. I said, I have to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I want to be there. They said, You can't do it. We'll get you confirmation on this. They said, For you to do that make that trip not by helicopter flying over everything we have to work with the police. We have to work with everything. And I think you'll find on record, in the police force, in the areas that we're talking about areas of Paris that we're talking about I think you'll find on-record requests." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And we actually have Secret Service that I'm going to ask to give you details. They said, You can't do it. It was two and a half hours or two hours of driving. It was a long drive. They said, You can't do it. So I said, No, I want to do it. They said, You can't. There was no way I would have been able to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And they would never have been able to get the police and everybody else in line to have a President go through a very crowded, very congested area. So I went and I called home. I spoke to my wife. I said, I hate this. I came here to go to that ceremony, and to the one that was the following day, which I did go to." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I said, I feel terribly. And that was the end of it. Now, all of a sudden, somebody makes up this horrible story that I didn't want to go. And then they make up an even worse story an even worse story, calling certain names to our fallen heroes. It's a disgrace that a magazine is able to write it. And anybody that if the if they really exist, if people really exist that would have said that, they're low-lives and they're liars." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And I would be willing to swear on anything that I never said that about our fallen heroes. There is nobody that respects them more. So I just think it's a horrible, horrible thing. We made a great evening into, frankly, a very sad evening, when I see a statement like that. No animal, nobody what animal would say such a thing?" + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2828, + "raw_confidence": 0.7172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And especially since I've done more, I think, than almost anybody to help our military" + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "to get the budgets of our military, to get the pay raises for our military. So I just think it's a horrible thing that they're allowed to write that. And we can refute it. We have other people that will refute it." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "And the one I would like you to speak to is General Keith Kellogg, because he knows exactly the story. But you can also speak to Secret Service. They wouldn't let me go no matter what happened, because of security, because of safety. So I want to thank you for being here. There's nothing much more that I can say." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5326, + "raw_confidence": 0.5326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "All they're trying to do is influence a presidential election, where we've gone very high in the polls in the last short period of time, where we're doing very well, where we're going to win and they're going crazy. The magazine in question is a never-Trumper magazine, probably doing badly. I know nothing about it." + }, + { + "tid": "weDhBR7VbUY", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-september-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-03", + "claim_text": "I don't read it; I just heard about it now about this story. But it's a total never-Trumper magazine and other people that are trying to influence the outcome of a presidential election. And you know what? People are too smart for it. And somebody has to make a stand. This fake press is a disgrace. Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. We're here to celebrate a very big achievement. And it's Yuma, and it's hot. a little hot out there. I'm supposed to speak for 45 minutes. It's about 120 degrees. Do you think Joe Biden could do that? I don't think so. I have a feeling he couldn't do it. So we're really, sort of, celebrating a lot of things. The incredible people right over there have done such an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7178, + "raw_confidence": 0.7178, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I will say this: You're setting records at the border. You've been unbelievable, and I know the wall is helping. You know, in two weeks, we will have hit 300 miles of wall. And this is a small version of it because, actually, the real deal goes up 30 feet. This is much smaller than that. But this is a small version of it. This is what the finish will be." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1849, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Those are anti-climb plates at top, so that makes it much more difficult when you get to the top because you see these guys climbing up with drugs on their back, and when you see that, it's actually they look at the wall and they say, Let's pass. Let's take a pass on it. So it's a it's been a really incredible success." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3052, + "raw_confidence": 0.6948, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So, within two weeks, we'll be in 300 General, I think in 300 miles." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And we're doing about how many a week? About 10 miles a week?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's fantastic. That's fantastic. So, it's a great it's a great feeling to have closed up the border. Now people come in if they come in through merit, if they come in legally but they don't come in like they used to. And human trafficking is I think we're down 96 percent or something. It's been incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Mark, why don't you say a few words, please." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Not a bad job. That was a not a bad job, Mark. I'm impressed. Well, you've been my friend, and you've been with us from very early on, and we appreciate it. We've made a lot of progress." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2228, + "raw_confidence": 0.7772, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know, you don't hear about the wall anymore because we won. When you win if you're us you never hear about it again. And we have page after page of achievement that you never hear of anymore. And people say, Oh, let's not talk about Space Force. Let's not talk about all of the things we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7266, + "raw_confidence": 0.7266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But the wall is something that probably was the most visible of all. And it's working so incredibly 280 miles, a little more than that. And again, that'll be a great whether it's next week or the week after knowing the general, we'll do it next week but we'll be at that 300-mile mark. And the difference is like day and night. Number one, you can use a lot less people, so you can be doing other things, which is great. Because once you have the wall, nobody gets through it." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7528, + "raw_confidence": 0.7528, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Additionally, the wall is equipped with various things. It's it's set up for cameras and all sorts of elements. You control a lot of things, even from the air, within the wall." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2515, + "raw_confidence": 0.7485, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Interestingly, if you look, this is steel the exterior but inside the steel is hardened concrete. Very, very strong, heavy-strength concrete. And inside the concrete is rebar. So you have steel. You have concrete. You have rebar. You have all different materials. So it's very, very hard to get through. Very, very hard. And it made it, actually, much stronger than it would be, even if it was steel. So, inside, concrete. Inside that, what's called grade-A hardened rebar, which is very hard to saw. You cannot do it very easily. But I think it's going to be fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2491, + "raw_confidence": 0.7509, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And again, the big thing is that plate; that's a big deal. We had people, they couldn't they couldn't get over that. That was the thing that stopped them. They could get up to the plate, but once they got there, there was nothing to grab. So it's called anti-climb. It's been it's been great." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "General, would you like to say something?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7491, + "raw_confidence": 0.7491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "As you know, we have some natural walls, so to speak. We have mountain areas. We have very, very rough areas that are virtually impossible to get by. We have the river itself. We have a river that's a rough river, a dangerous river. And you don't need walls at certain locations, but we have covered it. And this is something that's very special, very important." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I looked at the platform. I didn't see it, but I know they used to talk about it that they would take down the wall if they got in. They would take it down. And one of the incredible things in terms, Mark, of timing, is that because of the coronavirus, or whatever you want to call it the China plague. Call it whatever you want. China plague is more accurate. But because of what happened with this, Mexico is heavily infected, and it's stopping people from coming across." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6851, + "raw_confidence": 0.6851, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We put up 18 miles in San Diego, as an example, right opposite Tijuana. And Tijuana is probably the worst place in South America, in terms of the China virus. It's I think it is the worst place. And San Diego is not suffering at all because of it. So it's I mean, it's an incredible thing that happened." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7276, + "raw_confidence": 0.7276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So California is actually very happy that we built the wall. They don't say it publicly because they can't; it's not good, politically, for them, although I actually think it probably is good, politically, for them." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So it's been an incredible success. Chad, do you want to say a couple of words, please?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2239, + "raw_confidence": 0.7761, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, a lot of people, even the media, frankly I mean, they see what's happening, they see the numbers, and there hasn't been very much criticism, amazingly." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Would anybody have anything to say to the we call it the fake news media, but we don't want to say that. Do you have anything to say? Any statements to make or questions to ask of them? Huh?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4591, + "raw_confidence": 0.5409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And if I could add: I never met him, to the best of my knowledge. I never heard of him. I don't know who he is. I then said, When did he leave? And it was like a year and a half ago. He said the best things about what we're doing, unbelievable statements, and he left a year and a half ago. All of a sudden, he's badmouthing." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Now, the reason is the Democrats or somebody got to him and said, How would you like to speak? or whatever. He's a lowlife. Anybody that does that is a lowlife to me, and it's a shame, because these people work so hard. And I don't even know if you know Miles Taylor. Do you know who he is?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3755, + "raw_confidence": 0.6245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yeah, the Post Office is running as well as it has in a long time. They took a lot of old administrative acts where they wanted to do from past administrations and they've done them." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6504, + "raw_confidence": 0.6504, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Look, I have a much better idea on the Post Office: You raise the price per package by a number that it should be, so that instead of Amazon and these other companies making a fortune including the fact that they pay virtually no tax, which is ridiculous, and very unfair to regular stores Amazon will pay for the cost of the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1558, + "raw_confidence": 0.8442, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So now, instead of losing tens of billions of dollars a year, like it has been for 30, 40 years, Amazon should pay for it and so should other companies in the business of Amazon delivery. They should pay. They should also pay tax, by the way. And then you'll solve your problem with the Post Office, because I don't want to lay people off. I'm not laying postal workers off." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4071, + "raw_confidence": 0.5929, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And let me just tell you, what we do is: It's price per package, and they haven't figured out exactly whether it's $2 or $3. And you make it so Amazon has to pay, and they can't pass it on. They make a lot of money; they can't pass it on to their customer." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Right now, Amazon comes in, they build their big plant, and they deliver the easy ones; and the hard ones, they give to the Post Office. And the plant is usually right next to a big Post Office building or Post Office. They dump packages into the Post Office; we, the United States, delivers the package for Amazon, and we lose a lot of money. Unacceptable." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I've been telling these people to do this for the last three years, but they just got the board, and we're going to be doing it. Amazon is going to pay for the Post Office." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "No, I wasn't involved. You have a good man and the head man. And he was carrying on for years what has been taking place at Mark, is that a correct statement?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1946, + "raw_confidence": 0.8054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "This has been going on for a long time. But I have a much better idea: You get more per package, because the people that used to be there under the Obama administration, appointed by Obama, they never went really, they never raised the prices on Amazon. So Amazon is paying an ancient price, and they shouldn't be. And they shouldn't be allowed to pass it on to their customer. They have to pay for it themselves. They make a fortune." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So they've used the Post Office, and they've used it very smartly, very well. And I've known this for a period of time, but now you have a full board. And we should raise the price of packages Amazon has to pay, and we shouldn't get rid of any of our postal workers. I don't want to get rid of our postal workers. If you look at past administrations, they wanted to cut the Post Office way down; I don't want to do that." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4525, + "raw_confidence": 0.5475, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, Amazon could never replicate the Post Office. The Post Office is bigger than Amazon, by a lot. Hard to believe how big it is. But it also loses billions and billions. Lost $78 billion over a short period, like a 12-year period of time. Something like that. Seventy-eight billion." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Now, we'll fix it very easily. It can be done in one day. We charge Amazon for use, because it's part of their model. They think the Post Office is stupid. They think the people in government are stupid. So he builds plants, he builds his receptor plant, or whatever he may call it or they may call it, and he takes a lot of that stuff, and he drops it into the Post Office. Then the Post Office loses two and a half dollars every time they deliver a package. They shouldn't do that." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So my idea is very simple: Amazon has to pay. They can't pass it on to their customer because they shouldn't. They make so much money. They've made money by using the U.S. Post Office, and nobody did anything about it. I did, because we started this project two years ago, and now we're in a position to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So that's what they should be doing. This way, you keep everything. Your Post Office could almost, probably, make money. Probably ends up making money, where first time in 45 years that it would actually make money. And I don't want to fire anybody in the Postal Service, all right? I think that's pretty clear." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3976, + "raw_confidence": 0.6024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't know anything about it. I didn't read it. I did see Senator Rubio saying, Donald Trump had absolutely nothing to do with it. He was on before; he said, Donald Trump had absolutely nothing to do with Russia. It's all a hoax. It's a big hoax." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2568, + "raw_confidence": 0.7432, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "What was in a report done by some politicians on the other side, like Warner? What was in the report? That, I don't know? But I know one thing that was in the report: that Donald Trump had absolutely nothing to do with it or with Russia. Is that right? Did you read that?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Go ahead. Did you read it? Come on. You can say." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So, I thought it was Russia. You mean now it's" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Who are you with? Who are you with?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7864, + "raw_confidence": 0.7864, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You're telling me that Ukraine did interfere now." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2494, + "raw_confidence": 0.7506, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't know anything about it. I don't know about Ukraine. I don't know about Russia. All I know is that I had nothing to do with either one of them, and that came out loud and clear in the report. Loud and clear." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3073, + "raw_confidence": 0.6927, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I want to thank Senator Rubio. He made it very, very powerfully; he made a very powerful statement today. He said, Donald Trump had absolutely nothing to do with Russia. And that's true." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't want to that's right." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1798, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I postponed talks with China. You know why? I don't want to deal with them now. I don't want to deal with them now. With what they did to this country and to the world, I don't want to talk to China right now. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We'll see. We'll see what happens. Look, let me tell you, what China did to the world was not even thinkable. They could have stopped it. They stopped it from going into China, and they should have stopped it. So that's correct: I cancelled talks with China." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2923, + "raw_confidence": 0.7077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, if Sleepy Joe Biden ever got in, China would own the United States. They'd own it. They'd own every one of these people. They'd own this building. They'd own the United States because Biden would give them everything for two reasons: Number one, he's not smart; and number two, he's weak. China would own our country." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2019, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you know what else? You'll have a deal the first month, or sooner, with Iran. Iran is dying to make a deal. But I said, Let's wait until after the election. And they would want to wait because there's a chance if Biden ever got in, they'd give them another $150 billion, like they did. The dumbest deal I've ever seen." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You're going to see. You're going to see. You're going to see very soon. I don't talk about that. You'll see very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6533, + "raw_confidence": 0.6533, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I know nothing about it other than I know he's got something that he's working with some science people." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But I don't know anything about it. I haven't heard that. What is he doing?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "He's wait. He's promoting some kind of a" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't know the name. But I know Mike; he's a good man. He does he's a good man, and he makes a good pillow." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You're going to have to say it louder." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5085, + "raw_confidence": 0.5085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't even know who you're talking about. I know that I know that Ukraine sent a phony document, saying it was a Manafort document and it was a forged document the black book; they call it a black book. And it turned out, I believed, to be forged. But I wouldn't know what you're talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5193, + "raw_confidence": 0.5193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I can only tell you this: They said, Donald Trump knew nothing about anything. And that came out loud and clear. You could find a couple of sentences inside that say something; I don't know. But I can say this: That black book that had to do with somebody that worked for me for a very short period of time I think he's a good man, if you want to know the truth. But I don't know. But will say that the book, I think, they said was forged. It was a phony book, just like everything else was phony with that whole deal." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7873, + "raw_confidence": 0.7873, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Look, we caught the Obama administration spying on our campaign. They spied on our campaign. That's treason. That's treason. If this were the other way around, and it was Democrats instead of Republicans, there'd be people many people would be in jail already. It's a disgrace that it's taking this long. We caught him spying on our campaign. Let's see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6581, + "raw_confidence": 0.6581, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Just last week I guess they announced last week that a very high-level person from the FBI was forging documents in order to make me look bad. All right? It's all about making me look bad. So he was a high-level man. He was forging documents. Let's see what happens to him." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.771, + "raw_confidence": 0.771, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But the bottom line is: We caught President Obama and Sleepy Joe spying on our campaign. That's treason. That's illegal. These people should take them and do something with them I'll tell you. It's a disgrace. It's really a disgrace. And they knew it. And not only spying; they were working on our campaign before I won and after I won, hence the insurance policy from Strzok and his lover, Page. Two lovers. They got caught because they were lovers." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1759, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And she said, and he said, She's going to win, but just in case she loses, we have an insurance policy. Well, we went through the insurance policy. The problem is we caught them, and we caught them cold. And let's see what happens. And Obama knew about it, and I'm sure Michelle knew about it, and Biden knew about it. All right?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3478, + "raw_confidence": 0.6522, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I think he was treated unbelievably, because the black book, they say, was a phony book. So we'll see what happens with him. We'll see." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.646, + "raw_confidence": 0.646, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I'm very happy to have given a full and complete pardon to Susan B. Anthony. That was a great thing. That was very popular too. That was a very good one. And I actually asked the other day; I said they were talking about Susan B. Anthony, and, you know, she made she did that for other people, and she didn't want herself included. She wasn't included in the pardon from many years ago." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I said, Well, so, she has a record? And they said, Yeah, she has a record. I said, Why can't we pardon her? They said, That's the coolest idea I've ever heard. And it's been very, very popular. Susan B. Anthony. And I've just signed the pardon. I've just signed the papers. And she is fully pardoned. The first time in a long time, she's fully pardoned." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1886, + "raw_confidence": 0.8114, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, I think Oracle is a great company, and I think its owner is a tremendous guy. He's a tremendous person. I think that Oracle would be certainly somebody that could handle it. Yeah. We gave them until September 15th." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2423, + "raw_confidence": 0.7577, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "After that, they got to close shop, okay? That's TikTok." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, I guess Microsoft wants it and so does Oracle, and probably so do other people, but they have to also make sure the United States is well compensated because we're the ones making it possible. Very simple: We're the ones making it possible. So our Treasury has to be very well compensated." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5985, + "raw_confidence": 0.5985, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's very simple how it would work. It's called: You have to put money into the Treasury." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1762, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, their ratings were very bad. They just announced their ratings. I thought it was not the best television I've ever watched. It was brutal, actually." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "No, their ratings were very bad. I think we're going to do great. Thursday night, I'm doing it live. Unlike Michelle Obama, I'm doing it live. And it'll be Thursday night. It'll be at the White House, on the South Lawn. And, hopefully, you'll enjoy it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2168, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Live, by the way, it always much more exciting than a tape, especially once you made the tape long before the event. She didn't even have the accurate facts. And then they say, What a wonderful job. What what was wonderful about it? It was a divisive speech, devoid of facts, and it wasn't current; it was old. It was done probably two, three weeks ago. So, you know. But the media will always say good." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7909, + "raw_confidence": 0.7909, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They're going to pay at the border, at the gate cars going through. We're going to do a toll, or we may do a toll for money being sent back and forth. They will pay for it. Yeah, they are paying for it. It's a hundred percent." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "No, no, it doesn't matter whether they pay now or over the next 12 months. No, no, Mexico will be paying. We have a very good relationship with Mexico. And we built the wall under budget, ahead of schedule. Once we started, these guys the Army Corps of Engineers did a great job. And Mexico is paying for the wall, yeah either through the toll. And it's a very small charge because we do such big business." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7996, + "raw_confidence": 0.7996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know, it's the largest entry to a country in terms of business anywhere in the world, by far a lot of people don't know that our southern our border between Mexico and other countries. But our southern border, it's the largest point of entry anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So they are paying for it. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1905, + "raw_confidence": 0.8095, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, I think what we're doing is we're figuring how much we have to charge, what the charge would be. It won't be very substantial because we have millions and millions of cars and trucks going through the border. And we also may do it as a tax or a combination. We may do it as a tax money being sent back into Mexico." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7321, + "raw_confidence": 0.7321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you know what? That's closed, but it's not going to always be closed. And it's open at entry. At the points of entry, it's open, but we're very, very careful. But it will be fully open in a short period of . When the pandemic, when the China virus goes, it will be open." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5733, + "raw_confidence": 0.5733, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But I will tell you this: We built a great wall. The Army Corps of Engineers did a spectacular job, maybe even superseded by Border Patrol and all of the people, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7724, + "raw_confidence": 0.7724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Because the job you've done without the wall is incredible. You know, the Democrats used to say, You don't need a wall. We need drones. What are you going to do with the drone? Watch people go by? Two things never got old. You know, technology is an amazing thing. Two things never got. You know what it was? One is the wall and one is a wheel. And you can come back in 1,000 years from now, and you're going to have walls and you're going to have wheels. Other things, they're all obsolete." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But we can run drones right from the wall. We have technology that we flip onto the wall. We can run our drones; we can run all sorts of cameras. It's all wired up. We have everything you can possibly have. It's an amazing it's an amazing and very complex setup." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I don't know what she says. She doesn't know what she says. She reminds me of Joe Biden. She doesn't know what she says." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Okay. Thank you very much. Now, I've got to make a speech. I'm sure you'll enjoy a speech in 120-degree weather. But I got to do it, and I will do it." + }, + { + "tid": "WgAuft2sEwk", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-border-wall-construction-update-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. If anybody wants to stay, let's get this." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. That's quite a turnout, I will say. That's really nice." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2177, + "raw_confidence": 0.7823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Well, we're honoring great heroes, including congressional medal of honor winners. One of them, Woody, is 97 years old and he's sharp as a tack. They say 78 is old. 78 is not old, it's not old. It should be fine. We may be old, but it's not old. I look at Woody, 97, and he's a hundred percent. really amazing." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "That's right. It's a big deal. It's a big thing in the whole country and it's an honor. You have a lot of television, you have a lot of media there. I'm going, as you know, to the Battleship, the great Battleship North Carolina. I saw a picture of it on the plane coming out. There are plenty of televisions on that plane." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1899, + "raw_confidence": 0.8101, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "It was a picture sailing in Prime Time, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "They don't build them like that anymore. I have to say that is one beautiful ship." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we're winning. I think we're winning. But one thing, I have a grand daughter who is just in Carolina, which helps." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "But I do believe we're winning. We can say that without question you had the best year you've ever had, the economy has here. We're now back, we had to close it up. We saved millions of lives. We're now back to a B. I think the city couldn't be a B, it's more than a B, it's a super B. The jobs are coming back." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2234, + "raw_confidence": 0.7766, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Nine million less what were erected in the history of our country, and it's all coming back. This State in particular is doing very well, so we're very proud of if. We're very, very proud of it." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "Well, they'll go out and they'll vote, and they're going to have to go and check their vote by going to the poll and voting that way because if it tabulates then they won't be able to do that. So let them send it in, and let them go vote. And if their system is as good as they say it is then obviously they won't be able to vote." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "If it isn't tabulated they'll be able to vote. So that's the way it is, and that's what they should do. I don't like the idea of these unsolicited votes. I never did. It leads to a lot of problems. They've got 11 problems already on very small contests, so I'm not happy about it." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7654, + "raw_confidence": 0.7654, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "At the same time we're in court with a lot of it. We're going to see if it could be stopped. But send in your ballots, send them in strong, whether it's solicited or unsolicited. The absentees are fine, we have to work to get them. You know, it means something. And you send them in, but you've got to vote." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "If they haven't counted it, you can vote. So, that's the way I view it." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "I want to thank you very much. You've been such a gentleman." + }, + { + "tid": "wqtuLW9LdDw", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-jon-evans-wect-wilmington-september-2-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-02", + "claim_text": "really a great job, man. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Hello, Georgia. I'm really thrilled to be talking with you today. There are a lot of people on this call and I like that and you like that. We have a lot of spirit, never been so much spirit, even beyond 2016, but we're thinking about and talking about the critical decision Americans will make on November 3rd and to pass forward to really having our country be better than ever before, greater than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "There's never been a bigger difference between two candidates and two parties. Our movement is about building up America and protecting our prosperity. When you look at the stock market, it's setting almost record highs again, which is amazing. NASDAQ is actually at its all time high. It's been setting records on a daily basis, our security and our Liberty, but the radical Democrats want to burn it all down, tear it all down." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3079, + "raw_confidence": 0.6921, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "If Joe Biden gets in the far left, Democrats have total control over him, total control. He's a puppet, and they will get into power and they'll destroy our country. You see what's happening all over. You see what's happening in Seattle and you see what's happening in Portland. They'll have that all over the country." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They won't have the law and order that we have to have. The Democrats are consumed with hatred for our history, for our heritage and our constitution, our values, our police, our traditional values, our businesses, and most of all, the hatred for anyone who rejects their politically insane ideas, their dogma, but their ideas." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They can't stand it, but our movement is based on love of our country and our communities, our fellow citizens, and our American flag. We're fighting to save America and with your help, we will win. It will indeed be greater than ever before. It was better. We had the greatest economy in the history of the world until the China virus hit." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2097, + "raw_confidence": 0.7903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I want to just thank some of the incredible Republicans who are on the line now and fighting right by our side. Senator David Perdue, an incredible Senator, totally respected in Washington. He's really an idol to many. He's a fantastic man. David Perdue, he's going to be running. His opponent is a not much." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1574, + "raw_confidence": 0.8426, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Super liberal, going to be totally controlled by Schumer. David Perdue is just a highly respected man. He gets what he wants. He's brought so much back to Georgia, including aid for farmers when we had the bad weather hits. Governor Brian Kemp, another great friend of mine. He's been a really strong leader and he's been through so much opposition with somebody that refuse to believe." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1604, + "raw_confidence": 0.8396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That he sort of had a little bit what I had, refused to accept the fact that she was fairly easily defeated. He's been really a fantastic champion for your state. He loves Georgia. He loves the people of Georgia, and it's great to have him on the call. Lieutenant Governor Geoff Duncan, somebody that's been really a big help to Brian and to everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "It's great to have him on the call. Two great candidates for Congress. A friend of mine, Karen Handel, who is a somebody that was in. She is missed dearly in Congress. She's going to get back. We need her so much for the second amendment for life, for so many different things, including our military. The same goes to Rich McCormick, who is just a winner and a warrior." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We need Karen and we need Rich back. We have to get Karen back and Rich. They both have my total and complete endorsement. They're strong on second amendment. They're strong in our military. They're strong in reducing taxes and regulations. All of the things that MAGA stands for, that we stand for and most of the people on this call stand for." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So Karen and Rich, we have to get them back and we'll be helping them a lot. No administration has ever done so much in the first three and a half years as the Trump administration. We achieved record low unemployment for African-Americans, Hispanic-Americans, Asian-Americans, women, young people, people with a diploma, without a diploma, with high school, without high school, workers at all levels of education." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.182, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Georgia unemployment was the lowest in its history. Last year, it was the most successful economy of the history of Georgia. That's not bad. We're getting it back to right where it was. We're going to be back very soon too. Next year is going to be an incredible year. When the China virus invaded our country, we had no choice but to shut down our economy." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1926, + "raw_confidence": 0.8074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We saved millions of lives by doing so. We had to shut it down. We had no choice. We had the greatest economy ever. We had to shut it down, but we did the right thing and we saved millions of lives. Now, were reopening and we've already gained 7.5 million jobs. Seven and a half million jobs, that's a new record." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Never happened before that number. New business applications have doubled. Retail sales have been through the roof. Car sales and car production just announced yesterday is massive, far greater than anybody would have thought even possible at this stage under a pandemic. Under my administration, China will also be held fully accountable for unleashing the China virus upon the world." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1862, + "raw_confidence": 0.8138, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "That's what happened. They could have stopped it. They stopped it going into China, but they didn't stop it going to the US or Europe or all of the other places, 188 countries around the world. Many countries that were once held up as models for fighting the virus are now experiencing rising case loads including Germany, Australia, Japan, Israel, and France, which proves that the blanket shutdowns are not longterm solutions." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4377, + "raw_confidence": 0.5623, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "These were countries that were being looked up to and now they're being hit and they're being hit pretty hard in some cases. Two vaccine candidates are in the final phases of clinical trials, which is at a record. This could take years and we did it in a matter of months. We will have that vaccine. We expect to have the vaccine itself available before the end of the year, as I said, and maybe long before." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1715, + "raw_confidence": 0.8285, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I hope it's going to be long before and certainly far ahead of schedule. We've also cut mountains of red tape to speed the development of hundreds of new therapeutics and treatments and all sorts of things that nobody thought possible this quickly. Through the paycheck protection program, we provided more than $14 billion over 156,000 small businesses in your state, meaning you have a big state." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1527, + "raw_confidence": 0.8473, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Think of that. 156,000 small businesses in your state saving 1.5 million Georgia jobs. We're restoring law and order to Democrat run cities like, I hate to say it, like Atlanta because we love Atlanta. It's a great place. It's a great city, but they've had a lot of problems with the crime. Nearly 350 people have been shot this year." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1586, + "raw_confidence": 0.8414, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Murder is increased by 34%. An eight year old girl was gunned down in cold blood after local politicians surrendered to the anarchist mob and the agitators, anarchist, that's exactly what they are. We're surging federal law enforcement into the communities to help solve the violent crime problem you have in Atlanta and other cities all throughout the country." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're starting a process. This has to do with drugs. It has to do with this basic good policing and we're putting criminals behind bars. Many, many criminals behind bars. By contrast, Joe Biden is flooding our neighborhoods with dangerous criminals by abolishing cash bail. Biden also supports sanctuary cities, which are a disaster in Atlanta." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6373, + "raw_confidence": 0.6373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Last year, ICE arrested over 12,000 criminal aliens charged or convicted with heinous crimes like rape and murder. Biden would let local politicians set them free as is happening in Philadelphia and many other places. The FBI has opened 300 domestic terror investigations as a result of the left wing riots." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You've been seeing these riots, they're out of control and so easy to solve. We sent in the national guard into Minneapolis. By the way, Atlanta, if you have any problems, we'll have that national guard there so fast, you won't even believe it. We're also defending our national monuments. Anyone who defaces our statues or any of our monuments, automatically it's 10 years in prison." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6788, + "raw_confidence": 0.6788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Once we announced that a couple of months ago, incredibly and amazingly it stopped happening. They weren't knocking down any of our statutes, and we have numerous people in jail right now that have long prison sentences. I recently signed four groundbreaking executive orders to bring down the cost of prescription drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7899, + "raw_confidence": 0.7899, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Drug prices had skyrocketed, more than 35% under the last administration. They went way up and I'm the first President to lower drug prices in 51 years. First President in 51 years and prices will soon be dropping like a rock. They'll be dropping 50% and more, because for decades, America was forced to pay much higher prices for prescription drugs than other nations." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3725, + "raw_confidence": 0.6275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We subsidized socialist countries and we funded R&D for literally for the entire world and we paid the price, but now the global freeloading is over and my orders require Medicare to purchase drugs at the exact same price as other countries pay. We are finally allowing the safe importation of low cost prescription drugs from Canada and other countries." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, if other countries sell them for less, we buy them from the other countries and avoid all of the problems of the crazy drug laws that have cost so much. We are most importantly though, when they sell, it's called favored nations. We put in a favored nations and I just signed it, a favored nations law." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, if Germany or UK or any place, European Union, anyone gets the drugs for less, we get them for the same price. We may reduce prices by 50%, 60%, 70% or more. We also passed right to try for those people that are very terminally ill. Well, we have great drugs possibly, but they haven't been approved and final stages by the FDA." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1913, + "raw_confidence": 0.8087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You have a right to try now, which for 40 years, they've been trying to get it more than that. To defend Georgia farmers and ranchers, we officially replaced the disaster known as NAFTA with a brand new USMCA opening incredible new opportunities for Georgia agriculture, textiles and manufacturing of all kinds." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1943, + "raw_confidence": 0.8057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "To increase Georgia exports even further, I've asked Congress for more than $90 million to deepen the port of Savannah. So the port of Savannah, after working on it for so many years, we're getting it done. We'll be getting it done very quickly. When China targeted our farmers, I provided $28 billion in relief all paid for with tariffs that I charged China, so compliments of China, but they targeted the farmers and ranches $28 million over a two year period." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I got the money and I gave it back to the farmers. Nobody else would do that. No other President would do that. We've invested more than $2.5 trillion in our great military including major contracts to build the F-35 Lightning in Marietta, we're doing an F-35 Lightning. It's a fantastic. We've now have 277 miles of wall completed and we'll have up to 500. In fact, we'll probably go a little bit over 500 miles shortly after the end of the year." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1962, + "raw_confidence": 0.8038, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We had total opposition from the Democrats, but it's working and we're setting record numbers of people coming across the border. Record in a positive sense. It's very hard and with all of those miles, people don't get through the wall. You can't. We passed veterans choice and veterans accountability for the VA. We fired more than 8,000 employees who were not giving our vets that care and the respect that they deserve." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7897, + "raw_confidence": 0.7897, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They were treating our vets badly. You couldn't get rid of the people that were treating them badly. I pass veterans accountability or accountable to our veterans. Now, the VA has a 91% approval rating from our veterans. The highest rate we've ever had. Remember, veterans choice for 50 years, they've been trying to get it and I got it. So, when you have to wait two weeks or three weeks or one week or five days or a long period of time, which unfortunately was happening, you go out, you get a private doctor, you get fixed, we pay the bill." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Number one, we take care of our vets, and number two, it actually saves us money. Again, they've been trying to get veterans choice and veterans accountability for many, many decades, and they were unable. I got it done. I got them both signed. They're done. They're in effect and we're very proud of them." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're working with governors to safely reopen our school in the fall. We want to get our schools open. A lot of Democrat governors and Democrat mayors don't want to do it because they think it'll be good for the election, on November 3rd, where you got to get out and vote, but I'm also fighting for school choice." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Every parent should be able to send their child to the public private charter, religious or independent school of their choice. We passed the largest package of tax cuts and regulation cuts in American history saving the average family of four substantially over $5,000 a year. You see that in your paycheck." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You see that with what's happening. We've saved a lot of money, and you also have $2 gasoline, which nobody thought would happen. It's actually going to be below that and has been below that. We ended the war on American energy. We're now a net exporter of energy for the first time. Again, that gasoline price we're having." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We have millions jobs. We're getting a great deal on gasoline for your car, so you can travel around and it's made a massive difference. We are energy independent. The first time ever, we're energy independent. So, we don't have to go to the faraway lands and do things that we certainly would prefer not doing." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.794, + "raw_confidence": 0.794, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We'll have appointed close to 300 federal judges by the end of my first term, including two great Supreme Court justices. So, we'll have 300 judges, could even be a little bit more than that by the end of the first term. That's a record. It hasn't been done before, including two great Supreme Court justices and you'll see that in the court system." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "These are great judges, talented judges, conservative judges, judges that do it the right way. Joe Biden has signed a joint manifesto. It's a manifesto literally with Bernie Sanders and the radical left, which means that Biden is now running as the most extreme left wing candidate in history. He's a left wing candidate and he's not calling the shots." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2081, + "raw_confidence": 0.7919, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "They're calling all the shots at telling him what to do. You know that. All you have to do is watch him and you'll see that. Biden has vowed to defund the police and to take away your guns. Joe Biden, under him, you're going to have a real problem with your second amendment. I protected your second amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2067, + "raw_confidence": 0.7933, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Nothing's happening to it. Nothing whatsoever has happened to it, except that it's been totally protected. In Joe Biden's America, you and your family will not be safe. Maybe that's the most important thing I can say, because ultimately it's about your safety, but in his America, if he were ever President and I hope that's not going to happen for the good of our country, you and your family will not be safe." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Biden supported every globalist attack on the American worker, NAFTA, TPP, the horrible Korea deal, and China's entry into WTO. That's a World Trade Organization. China lost nearly 10,000 factories. We lost to China 10,000 factories while Biden was Vice President. That includes what left for Mexico. We have so many businesses move to Mexico, but under our new great trade bill with Mexico and Canada, they'll all start coming back." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You watch what's going to happen. It's already happening. Biden voted for the war in Iraq and he voted for mass amnesty of millions and millions of illegal immigrants. Now, Biden supports raising your taxes by many times in some cases. We're talking about massive tax increases, massive regulation increases, packing the courts with radical far left judges and destroying your 401(k)s and your stocks." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6814, + "raw_confidence": 0.6814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "If you have stocks, you can forget about it, because your 401(k)s and stocks will be literally destroyed. You're going to have open borders and you're going to have a ripping down the wall. They want to rip down the wall, so people just flood in indiscriminately into our country. That's not what we want." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1875, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "The ones that really like what I'm saying are our great Hispanic American people that love our country. They love what we're doing on the border. They understand the border better than anybody, and they don't want that to happen. They don't want people taking their jobs and they don't want people taking their homes and their safety." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So to the many Hispanic Americans on the line, you know it better than anybody else. So Biden, if you look, and literally Biden, Sanders, AOC plus three, these are the real leaders. Nancy Pelosi, if you can believe that, they want to abolish borders, stop all deportations. This is in their manifesto and prosecution of illegal border crossers." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.188, + "raw_confidence": 0.812, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "In other words, they come in illegally and you don't prosecute. They want to support horrible sanctuary cities, which protect some very bad people. Incentivize illegal alien child smuggling, provide tax payer funded lawyers for illegal alien so everybody gets a lawyer, provide government healthcare for illegal aliens, free community college for illegal aliens, end all travel bands including from jihadist regions." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7844, + "raw_confidence": 0.7844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I got the travel ban approved. Everybody said it would never happen. I got it approved. They want to grant mass amnesty, end cash bail if you can believe that releasing dangerous criminals onto the streets, increase refugee admissions by 700%. So, increase refugee admissions by seven. We've never had anything like this in the country." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Incentivize prison closure so that they close your prisons and then provide free federal housing for former inmates. This is things that Bernie Sanders never dreamed about and he's got them in the agreement made with Biden. Mandate net zero carbon emissions for homes, offices, and all new buildings, mandate zero carbon emissions from power plants." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1572, + "raw_confidence": 0.8428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Now, when you do that, your electrical costs will go literally through the roof. They want to end school choice, abolish charter schools, abolish suburbs. What we're doing is we got rid of low income housing in the suburbs. People's dream was being ripped from them. Now, if you live in the suburbs, you don't have to worry about that." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2287, + "raw_confidence": 0.7713, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "You have a beautiful home. You fought like crazy to get into the suburbs. By the way, African American, Hispanic American, Asian American have a big percentage of the housing that was so badly affected in the suburbs and the house values would go down and the crime would go up, but tremendous African American population, Asian American population, Hispanic American population in the suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So with your help, it's going to be something very special. We're getting very good poll numbers. The real polls, not the fake polls that the papers put out just like they did the last time. We were in Texas recently, it's been unbelievable the response. We have law enforcement endorsements. It was an incredible trip and the same thing with Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7576, + "raw_confidence": 0.7576, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "With Georgia, I've done so much for Georgia. Again, you had the best economy you've ever had in the history of the state and the history of our country. A few of the things just in ending, we will at least the full power of the American economy, we created an unprecedented economic miracle once and now we're doing it again and already you see the numbers coming back very quickly." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7867, + "raw_confidence": 0.7867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We'll shut down illegal immigration and we'll finish the wall, but if you're a farmer, you'll be able to get the same people that you've had for many years. We'll shut it down, but the farmers will be allowed to have those same people come in. We're not going to make... Otherwise, you'd make it very tough on the farmers, that we've made it very easy on the farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We'll be tough on China, demanding accountability and fair trade. We'll bring medical, manufacturing and critical supply chains back to America, which I've been fighting for and succeeding in, but we've never ever done the things that I'm doing. We're going to bring them back to our country. We'll root out anti-American bias in our public schools and colleges." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7004, + "raw_confidence": 0.7004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We will bring big tech assault. As you know, we have... big tech is being assaulted by so many, both in terms of China assaulting and stealing and big techs assaulting of us, because big tech, what they're doing is assaulting free speech. At the same time, we're being assaulted because China is stealing our companies and our secrets." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, it's a double whammy, but we are going to end big tech assault on free speech. At the same time, we're not going to let China and other countries take our great secrets. It's sort of an interesting combination. We'll defend your God Given rights to bear arms. Your second amendment will be totally secure." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1844, + "raw_confidence": 0.8156, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "Your right to bear arms will be totally secure. Under Biden, they will end, your second amendment. They will take away your guns as sure as you're listening. We will support the heroes of law enforcement. We will defend sanctuary cities. We will create an immigration system based on merit. So people come in and they'll love our country and they'll want to work hard and make it successful." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "We're bringing our troops back as you know from Afghanistan and all these endless far away places, endless wars, and that's happening rapidly, Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria. We've done a great job on that, but we're not the policemen of the world. We'll drain the Washington swamp, and we will make America greater than ever before." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1584, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "So, I just want to tell you next year is going to be an incredible year for our country, unless somebody raised taxes like the other side wants to do or they want to raise him viciously and violently, next year will be one of the greatest years we've ever had. We have more regulation cutting to do. We have more tax cutting to do. I'll always fight for the people of Georgia, just like I've been doing for three and a half years and that's why you're doing so well." + }, + { + "tid": "X8tKVYbJOXU", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-georgia-august-5-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-05", + "claim_text": "I've never let you down and I never will. So, get out and vote on November 3rd. So important. Just get out and vote. It's big stuff. There's never been a more important vote. This is the equivalent to what happened in 2016. I want to thank you for joining this call. So many people, I want to thank you all and God bless America. God bless you all. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2032, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So we had the greatest economy in the history of the world, not only in our country, in every country. We were beating China, beating everybody. They were having the worst economy they've had in over 67 years. So we were doing with the tariffs and all the things that I was doing. And then we had to close it up. It came from China." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2128, + "raw_confidence": 0.7872, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "They should have stopped it. They could have stopped it, but they didn't. They stopped it from going into their country, but they didn't stop it from here, Europe, or the rest of the world. And we had to close it up and we did that. And now we're coming back and we're doing stimulus. We've already done it, as you know, very successfully." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And we'll probably have something worked out. We'll see what happens. The problem with the Democrats, as you know, they want bailout money for their states and cities that have done so poorly under Democrat leadership. And I'm not happy with that. It's not appropriate. This is having to do with the corona, I call it the China-virus. And so I think we're doing very well." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4287, + "raw_confidence": 0.5713, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "We had the best job numbers we've ever had, percentage-wise. You take a look at what happened, close to seven million jobs over the last two months. New numbers are going to be coming out very soon. We're back. We're doing very well. I think next year is going to be one of the best years we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1863, + "raw_confidence": 0.8137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I think the third quarter is going to be good. I think it's going to be good. I think the fourth quarter is going to be very, very good. But we're just coming out of something that we had no choice. We saved millions of lives by closing. If we didn't close it up, you would have lost millions of lives. And by closing it, I mean, we've done a really good job." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7933, + "raw_confidence": 0.7933, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "The ban on China was very important. We banned people coming in, highly infected, and we banned people from coming in from China and then from Europe. We did the ban on Europe, very important. It really, I think, is going to be, I think we're going to have a very special economy in about...for next year." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But I think third quarter actually is going to be very good." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2011, + "raw_confidence": 0.7989, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I think they should open the churches. It's up to the governors. But, I think, and I'm recommending it, you open the churches. They'll spread, they'll be socially spread, they'll have masks and they'll do what they have to do, you know, the hygiene and everything else that we know. It's a very simple list, but I think it's very unfair that they have I saw Jim Jordan the other day talking about it very well, that they have 50,000 people protesting and they're standing on top of each other practically, and yet you're not allowed to go to church." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2476, + "raw_confidence": 0.7524, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "You don't go to schools. We want to open our churches. We want to open our schools. And everybody wants to be safe. They know what to do. They'll stay away. And, you know, we'll be the same way. Maybe you'll have an extra service or two or three. But they have to let the churches open. They want to put, the Democrats want to put them out of business." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2486, + "raw_confidence": 0.7514, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "They want to put the churches out of business. And it's very unfair. So they don't complain about the protests, which are horrible in many cases. You look at Portland, it's a disaster, but they don't want the churches open, they don't want the schools open, they don't want offices open. So it's a very, very unfair situation to a lot of people." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I am looking at that because I think it's enough already. You have some states, I think they never want them open. They don't want churches open. Look, the Democrats, frankly, if you look at the radical left, Democrats, which are radical left now, they've gone radical left. Whether you're talking about life or whether you're talking about almost anything, they're not liking it. They're not liking it." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I think it's a disgrace. And I think it's partially because they're not allowed to function, they're not allowed to really function. And I think it's disgraceful that it can happen. And, you know, they want to defund the police. They want to stop the police. They want to have them at least to a minimum. And we're just the opposite." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2357, + "raw_confidence": 0.7643, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I just got endorsed by Texas law enforcement, by Florida, all of the sheriffs and the law enforcement. I think, I can't imagine them ever, I can't imagine law enforcement ever endorsing Biden. He's got a hard time in a lot of ways, let's face it, but I can't imagine that ever happening. So we just about have everybody endorsing us in terms of law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2134, + "raw_confidence": 0.7866, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And, you know, with the churches, you need some law enforcement to help you out also. But it's the fact that they're closed and they you know, bad things happen when they're closed. It's a very terrible situation, what they're doing to churches and these are governors that are radical left or Democrat, it's almost becoming the same thing." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2687, + "raw_confidence": 0.7313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "And I don't think they want churches open." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, what you need is you need the law enforcement. It's areas usually run by radical left Democrats. I mean, where you have Republican leadership, where you have Republican governors and mayors, you don't have this problem. You have this problem where you have radical left Democrats in virtually every instance." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So what you have to do is elect Republicans. And if you had a Republican, as an example, if Biden got in, you'd have Portland all over our country. It would be like Portland. These people are agitators. They're anarchists. You'd have that all over our country. You know, we stopped it, we stepped in and a lot of people said we were early." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, let us let us be early. Better early than late. But we did a good job there. We did a great job in Seattle that would have been burned to the ground, frankly. But with Portland, and we didn't do our big job, we did a much smaller job. We had to protect our building, and our buildings, actually, a number of buildings." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "But the courthouse would have been burned down. The courthouse would have been destroyed if we didn't step in. People said, Oh, we went early. Well, if we didn't go then, the courthouse would have been destroyed because Seattle was not protecting it. So you would have that situation all over the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "I want the schools open. First of all, children are unbelievably strong, right? Their immune system. Something's going on because out of thousands of deaths in New Jersey, thousands, because I just saw the statistics, many thousands of people died, one person under the age of 18. And that was a person I believe had diabetes on top of everything." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2053, + "raw_confidence": 0.7947, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So children just are, I guess I heard one doctor say, virtually they're immune from it. They have a strong, they have a very strong something, and they are not affected. And we have to open our schools. You know, there's a big danger to keeping people locked in. And they're also finding it's wonderful to use computers, but it's not a great way of learning." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "They now know that it's much better to be with a teacher on campus or in a school, that's much better than looking at a computer all day long. So we have to get our schools open. We have to get them open soon." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6092, + "raw_confidence": 0.6092, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "Well, I think anybody having to do with, frankly, religion, but certainly the Catholic Church, you have to be with President Trump when it comes to pro-life, when it comes to all of the things, these people are going to take all of your rights away, including Second Amendment, because, you know, Catholics like their Second Amendment." + }, + { + "tid": "yFUJygAWCR4", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2028, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-tracy-sabol-ewtn-august-4-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-04", + "claim_text": "So I saved the Second Amendment. If I wasn't here, you wouldn't have a Second Amendment. And pro-life is your big thing and you won't be on that side of the issue, I guarantee, if the radical left, because they're going to take over, they're going to push him around like he was nothing." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8033, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I was investigated practically from the time I came down the escalator with our great first lady. I was under investigation. And it\u2019s a disgrace. And it should never be allowed to happen again. And I say this" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8039, + "raw_confidence": 0.8039, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "openly, Bill Barr can go down as the greatest attorney general in the history of our country or he can go down as just another guy. It depends. They have all the stuff you don\u2019t need anything else. You know, they want everything. You don\u2019t need anything else. They all lied to Congress. They were liars." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7938, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They were cheaters. They were treasonists. There was treason." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7992, + "raw_confidence": 0.7992, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I will I\u2019ll let you know about that, and I really like him a lot, but I\u2019ll let you know about that. Right now if I just read the newspapers, even the bad ones, even the ones that are" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8066, + "raw_confidence": 0.8066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "fake news, there\u2019s a case look, there was a 78-page report about Comey done by Horowitz, and I have to tell you Inspector General Horowitz. I have to tell you, that report was one of the most brutal reports I\u2019ve ever seen. Let\u2019s see what happens with it. The report on McCabe was one of the most brutal." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8025, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "One of the most brutal reports I\u2019ve ever seen. Let\u2019s see what happens with them. If I get another report if I were a Democrat, this whole thing would have been so different. People would be in jail now two years ago for 50-year terms because this was treason. This was subversion. This was the overthrow of a country, and" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8018, + "raw_confidence": 0.8018, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, the protests were interesting because they thought the protests would be good for them because that\u2019s all Democrat stirred up and led. They thought and the same cities they\u2019ve lost control of it. They\u2019ve actually lost control. They thought the protests would be good for them and turned out to be very bad." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8009, + "raw_confidence": 0.8009, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And they like her, and they love her style, her class, her grace. I thought she gave an incredible speech. And you have to understand, it\u2019s not her first language. How many people could come over and make a speech to the world?" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "No, think of it. When you think of it, she did an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8033, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Yes, she\u2019ll be very much involved. She wants to she wants to see this be a victory. She" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8001, + "raw_confidence": 0.8001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They are unhinged, but you know a lot of those people are going to vote for me because they don\u2019t want to lose their money, because they know if Biden gets in, the stock market\u2019s going to crash. They're going to lose their money. And I saw a recent number on Beverly Hills the people in Beverly Hills, California where I had a home, sold it, but I lived for awhile, you know, on and off because I was doing a project out there." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8043, + "raw_confidence": 0.8043, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Beverly Hills, California that many, many people voted for me and then I\u2019ll see them on television saying bad things, and they say, you know, that person voted for you. A large percentage of people voted for you" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8006, + "raw_confidence": 0.8006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Yes, but they don\u2019t want to lose their wealth. You know, they're very they\u2019re greedy people. They don\u2019t want to lose their wealth, so they\u2019ll talk one way but they're going to vote another way. And I think I saw one poll, 62 percent of the people said they were lying about the polls. I think that\u2019s going to be I will say this" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.806, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well 2018 I wasn\u2019t on the ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7999, + "raw_confidence": 0.7999, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They try and tag me with that. You're going to win the House and you\u2019re going to get rid of Pelosi. You're going to win the House. You're going to win it. We\u2019re going to win here. The Senate\u2019s going to be tough, but we\u2019re going to, I think, come through. We\u2019re going to win the House because people are angry." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7996, + "raw_confidence": 0.7996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And 2018, you know, they tried so hard, but I wasn\u2019t on the ballot, and they went out and did polls on that, too. Many people said I\u2019m not voting if Trump\u2019s not on the ballot. Watch what happens. The level of enthusiasm for this campaign is far greater. Hey, this crazy Michael Bor said it the best. He said I\u2019ve never seen anything like it." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The level of enthusiasm now is more" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2093, + "raw_confidence": 0.7907, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I think I could win I think I did win the popular vote in a true sense. I think there was tremendous cheating in California, there was tremendous cheating in New York and other places. And, if you take a look at the Libertarian you know they always talk about Jill Stein. Jill Stein took, what, half a percent." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6842, + "raw_confidence": 0.6842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They talk about Jill Stein. Well, I have a Libertarian, I'm somewhat Libertarian, I have to be honest with you. Rand Paul will tell you that. I have a Libertarian candidate on last time that got, what, four and half or so percent. Those are all Republican voters. They're wasting their vote because they have to vote for us." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8085, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "If there wasn't a Libertarian on the ticket, I would win the popular vote. I would have won it last time." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7852, + "raw_confidence": 0.7852, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The biggest risk we have, I have to say, is this whole crazy thing where they're sending out 80 million ballots to people that don't even know what a ballot is. They're getting them they're sending them all over." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Who's sending them? Where are they sending them? They're sending 80 million ballots to everybody and there's tremendous cheating going to go on. As sure as you're sitting there, and all you have to do is look at the recent races that happened. It's the single biggest problem that there is, because everybody wants an honest election." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, it's wrong. It shouldn't the courts it's in many courts and hopefully the courts will stop it. If you take a look at what's going on with that, where they're sending unsolicited I came up with a new name, because they call them universal, they call them live they're unsolicited. You're sending out 80 million ballots unsolicited, then you have solicited ballots, that's absentee ballot, it's the biggest problem." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7486, + "raw_confidence": 0.7486, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "You look at New York, Carolyn Maloney, they gave her a victory, they don't even know where the ballots are. You look at you take a look at what's happening in New Jersey, you take a look at what's happened in Virginia, you take a look at what's happening all over, these are small little races that are easy." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.81, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They can't find the ballots. The ballots are a fraud. Now we're sending 80 million ballots out." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5272, + "raw_confidence": 0.5272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I think Hillary's a sick woman, honestly. She's deranged. She's remember the famous debate where she said, will you, you know, respect the wishes of the voter? I didn't say yes or no, I didn't give her an answer, but it was like, you know, she was saying, you must respect she didn't. She lost, she wanted to get in again this time, as you know, and she got defeated then, too." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "She wanted it very badly behind the scenes. She worked she wanted to be vice president behind the scenes. Hillary is a sick person. She should just take it nice and easy, relax, go out, vote. Maybe she should go to the poll instead of sending out an unsolicited ballot. But the biggest problem we have in this country is going to be this election with the unsolicited ballots, because even a small little district race, a small little congressional race, Carolyn Maloney, they should do that race over again they should do that race over again." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7433, + "raw_confidence": 0.7433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "There's fraud, there's deception. What what they've done with the ballots, there's there's seven different things are happening. You know, the other thing, who are they sending them to? Who's sending them" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8018, + "raw_confidence": 0.8018, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "We have lawyers they do. They have more lawyers than any human being has ever hired. I don't know who's hiring their lawyer, but they the Democrats have lawyers and we do, too. We\u2019re in Pennsylvania right now. We\u2019re in Nevada right now. We\u2019re in all different states fighting this. Everybody knows, including the Democrats, they know more than anybody else." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8061, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Look at what they and then they harvest. Harvesting is illegal, except in California. They do ballot harvesting. So they\u2019ll be sending them all over" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8041, + "raw_confidence": 0.8041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Because I watched Biden in the previous debates and he was horrible. And I watched him in the Bernie debate and he was normal. He wasn\u2019t Winston Churchill but he was normal. It was sort of like an even deal. He got by it. And I said that was a different guy than the guy that was in the debates where Kamala just took him apart." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8006, + "raw_confidence": 0.8006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Now, Kamala is terrible. She went down from 15 to I watched her drop like a rock, right. So that\u2019s automatically that\u2019s like a poll. OK. She never even got to Iowa. She never got she never even because she was so low. So that\u2019s the person. But she was really mean to him. She said the worst things." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8013, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Because I\u2019ll tell you well, he\u2019s on some kind of an enhancement, in my opinion, and I say we should both. I should take a drug test, so should he because we don\u2019t want to have a situation where a guy is taking some kind of a" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8029, + "raw_confidence": 0.8029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "No, he should take I want to take one. I\u2019ll take one, he\u2019ll take one. We should both take a drug test. Note" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8063, + "raw_confidence": 0.8063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "It shows you the lie of the Democrats. I'm the one that says play football. I said, they're young strong people, they're not going to have a problem with COVID or the China virus or whatever you want to call it. I\u2019m the one and they didn\u2019t like my narrative, so they just made a narrative because if you look, Michigan is closed." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8047, + "raw_confidence": 0.8047, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "All of these states that are closed, North Carolina is closed these states that are closed are run by Democrats, and the reason they're closed is because we have an election on November 3, and they don\u2019t want the opening of the states and they don\u2019t want the income. They want to keep it nice and closed." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8032, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "But you take a look at what the states that are closed, it\u2019s terrible what they\u2019ve done. And those people and you know, you discuss it a lot. So do I. There\u2019s a lot of death, depression, drug addiction on the other side. When you keep it closed, I think you're losing more people than it\u2019s terrible what you're doing to people than when you open it." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8016, + "raw_confidence": 0.8016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "So I\u2019m the football guy. I\u2019m the one that wants to have football. I put it out all the time. I\u2019m very upset with Big 10. Big 10, they should have opened it, but I\u2019m the one that wants the football. Everybody knows it. They saw that, and they said Trump these people are just you know, they lie." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8003, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Absolutely, and there are a number of them in that category, but look at Pennsylvania. You have a Democrat governor. You have a Democrat in North Carolina. You have a Democrat in Michigan. They're all Democrats. Those are the states, and I do believe the governors are telling those colleges we don\u2019t want it." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7857, + "raw_confidence": 0.7857, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "The governor of Pennsylvania, the governor of Michigan, the governor of North Carolina, they control those teams directly or indirectly because they have to you know, so much money, so much aid, so many other things, including traffic signs and everything else that they have to give. Those governors control those schools." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7991, + "raw_confidence": 0.7991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "That\u2019s all done by Democrats, but just to show you how they lie and how they cheat, and the biggest problem we have I want football back. By the way, Laura, are you watching? I want football, OK? Joe Biden doesn\u2019t even know football. Joe Biden look, Joe doesn\u2019t know he\u2019s alive, but let\u2019s see how it all turns out, OK?" + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8013, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Let\u2019s see how it all turns out. It\u2019s a very sad thing. I will say this. We have tremendous potential. We closed it up. We\u2019re opening it up. We\u2019re doing record numbers, as you saw. Over nine million people employed now over the last three months. It\u2019s a record in the history of our country. We have a chance of having one of the best years we\u2019ve ever had next year." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8017, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Unless somebody comes in and wants to raise your taxes, put back on regulations you know, I\u2019m not sure. I gave the biggest tax decrease in the history of our country and we\u2019re going down lower, but I\u2019m not sure. I think that the regulation cuts that I did, which were the biggest in the history of our country, might have been even more important than the tax cuts." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8046, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well, number one, you look at his son walking away with a billion and a half dollars, Joe is they he doesn\u2019t even criticize China. I've never heard him even criticize China. He was the one that said, oh, China\u2019s wonderful. China\u2019s this. China\u2019s that. China\u2019s not the enemy. They're not the problem." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8082, + "raw_confidence": 0.8082, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I\u2019ve taken billions and billions tens of billions of dollars out of China." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7995, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "China oh the tariffs are going to come off. We\u2019re taking in billions of dollars on tariffs. That would destroy us because it gives them such an unfair competitive advantage. No, we\u2019re taking in billions. They don\u2019t want me. I get along very well with President Xi, although I must tell you since the COVID situation, I have not exactly been talking to him too much." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1937, + "raw_confidence": 0.8063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Well we they are paying a lot now." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8003, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Can I be honest? What they\u2019ve done to us in terms of the death of people and I\u2019m not talking about just us, I\u2019m talking about the world. You can never pay for that. What they\u2019ve done to this country, what they\u2019ve done to the world, you can never just in terms of death economically, at some point, maybe you can catch up but you\u2019re talking about a lot of good trade deals." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7962, + "raw_confidence": 0.7962, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I made an unbelievable trade deal. They and, frankly, they ordered more corn last week than any time at any time in the history of this country." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8058, + "raw_confidence": 0.8058, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I think that I think that they\u2019re hurt much worse than people think. They\u2019re having a very hard time in China. China is going very bad inside, the real numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8008, + "raw_confidence": 0.8008, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "It\u2019s not. And they\u2019re doing very poorly. China\u2019s doing very poorly. And they lost tens of thousands of people. They lost more than any other country. They just don\u2019t report it. You know, we report everything." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.806, + "raw_confidence": 0.806, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, I saw a statistic come out the other day, talking about only 6 percent of the people actually died from COVID, which is a very interest . That they died for from other reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8038, + "raw_confidence": 0.8038, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "I\u2019m having a good time because we\u2019re doing a job like just about nobody else has ever done. And I said it before, I\u2019ll say it again. And nobody even challenges me on it. I, this administration, despite all of the fake Russia, Russia, Russia and hoaxes and impeachments, we\u2019ve done more in this administration than any president in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8049, + "raw_confidence": 0.8049, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "If you look at our military\u2019s rebuilt, if you look at choice for the vets and if you look at accountability for the vets and I protected the Second Amendment which, by the way, if they got in, your Second Amendment is gone. Your taxes are tripled, your Second Amendment is gone, your religious liberty, forget it." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8051, + "raw_confidence": 0.8051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "They\u2019re keeping the churches closed on purposes. You have churches that still aren\u2019t open but you\u2019re allowed to go to a casino. It\u2019s a terrible thing that\u2019s happening." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8019, + "raw_confidence": 0.8019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "It is a very serious this isn\u2019t time for games. And, you know, people say, gee, he\u2019s comes across as a little bit rough or a little bit direct. I don\u2019t have time not to be. I really don\u2019t have much time not to be. We have to get things done. And we\u2019re getting them done like no president has ever despite the obstruction, because they are obstructers." + }, + { + "tid": "YI_XUG5u3EE", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8093, + "raw_confidence": 0.8093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-laura-ingraham-fox-news-september-1-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-01", + "claim_text": "Despite the tremendous obstruction, we\u2019re getting them done like nobody has ever done before and that makes me happy." + }, + { + "tid": "Yp6pmzgg53M", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-unscheduled-pizza-stop-pennsylvaniai-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Because they have great pizza. They supposedly have the best pizza. We'll let you know about it in a half hour. Thank you everybody." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Hello, everybody. Thank you. Thank you very much, everybody. Please. That's a nice crowd on a nice, cool day. It's beautiful, though. Might be hot, but it's beautiful." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We're here today to celebrate and expand our historic campaign to rescue American workers from job-killing regulations. Before I came into office, American workers were smothered by a merciless avalanche of wasteful and expensive and intrusive federal regulation. These oppressive, burdensome mandates were a stealth tax on our people slashing take-home pay, suppressing innovation, surging the cost of goods, and shipping millions of American jobs overseas millions and millions and millions. It never ended." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2077, + "raw_confidence": 0.7923, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Nearly four years ago, we ended this regulatory assault on the American worker, and we launched the most dramatic regulatory relief campaign in American history by far. No other administration has done anywhere near. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1761, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "At the heart of this effort was a revolutionary promise: For every one new regulation issued, we pledged that two federal regulations would be permanently removed. We not only met that ambitious goal which, at the time, people said was impossible we vastly exceeded it. For every one new regulation added, nearly eight federal regulations have been terminated. Been an incredible achievement." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "As you can see behind me, we have removed the gigantic, regulatory burden Americans have been forced to carry for decades, freeing our citizens to reach their highest potential. Our historic regulatory relief is providing the average American household an extra $3,100 every single year. And we're going up from that number. We're going up from that number. Think of that: $3,100 per household." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Joining us today is Vice President Mike Pence. Thank you, Mike. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross. Wilbur, thank you very much. Labor Secretary, Eugene Scalia. Thank you. Thank you, Gene. Health and Human Services Secretary, Alex Azar. Thank you, Alex. Transportation Secretary, Elaine Chao. Thank you, Elaine. We had a great day in Georgia yesterday, cutting regulations like nobody has ever seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1713, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "EPA Administrator Andrew Wheeler. Thank you, Andrew. Thank you very much. OMB Acting Director, Russ Vought. Thank you, Russ. And Small Business Administrator I love her name Jovita Carranza. Jovita, thank you. Thank you. And CMS Administrator Seema Verma. Thank you, Seema." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Great people. Those are great people. They do an incredible job." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "I also want to thank the many state and local, tribal leaders who join us in this great cause. Thank you very much, and thank you for being here. We appreciate it. Thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4073, + "raw_confidence": 0.5927, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "What we have achieved together is truly without precedent never happened before. The previous administration added over 16,000 pages of heavy-handed regulations to the Federal Register. That's why nothing got done." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.797, + "raw_confidence": 0.797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, we have removed nearly 25,000 pages of job-destroying regulations more than any other President by far in the history of our country, whether it was four years, eight years, or, in one case, more than eight years." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7891, + "raw_confidence": 0.7891, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The prior administration piled up more than 600 major new regulations a cruel and punishing regulatory burden that cost the average American an additional $2,300 per year. Think of that: The average American, $2,300, regulation hitting low-income Americans, by far, the hardest. These regulations also inflicted a steep economic toll on African American communities." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "By contrast, our reforms are putting more money into the pockets of hardworking Americans. In addition to saving every family more than $3,000 per year, my administration has just issued another reform that my Council of Economic Advisers estimates will lower the price of new vehicles by more than $2,200 per vehicle. And I think we're going to get that up to $3,500 per vehicle. It's very exciting." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, the vehicles will be better, they'll be stronger, and they'll be safer. Our regulation cuts are also delivering massive savings on broadband Internet services, and some home energy bills will be really historically cut it's actually amazing as well as historically low gasoline prices. Gasoline prices you look today I think it was $1.99." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2274, + "raw_confidence": 0.7726, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "At the same time, we saved our oil companies we're now the largest since we've been here the largest energy source in the world. Nobody is even close. So it's great. But we saved them. They had a hard time a number of months ago and, frankly, for a long time but we've saved them. But $1.99, they were telling me and, in some cases, lower than that." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We're bringing back consumer choice in home appliances so that you can buy washers and dryers, showerheads and faucets. So showerheads you take a shower, the water doesn't come out. You want to wash your hands, the water doesn't come out. So what do you do? You just stand there longer or you take a shower longer? Because my hair I don't know about you, but it has to be perfect. Perfect." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2567, + "raw_confidence": 0.7433, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Dishwashers you didn't have any water, so you the people that do the dishes you press it, and it goes again, and you do it again and again. So you might as well give them the water because you'll end up using less water. So we made it so dishwashers now have a lot more water. And in many places in most places of the country, water is not a problem. They don't know what to do with it. It's called rain. They don't have a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.584, + "raw_confidence": 0.584, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And old-fashioned incandescent lightbulbs I brought them back. I brought them back. They have two nice qualities: They're cheaper and they're better. They look better, and they make you look so much better. That's important to all of us. But they're better and much cheaper. And they were mandated out, legislated out. And we brought them back, and they're selling like hotcakes." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7889, + "raw_confidence": 0.7889, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We stopped the egregious abuse of the Clean Water Act, which extreme activists have used to shut down construction projects all across our country. When I signed that legislation, I had many farmers and construction people standing behind me people that haven't cried since they were a baby. Some of them never even when they were a baby, and they were crying. Many people were cry- we gave them back their life. They took away their land. They took away their rights. They took away their life." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.262, + "raw_confidence": 0.738, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "By reining in EPA overreach, my administration has returned the agency to its core mission of ensuring clean air, clean water, and a truly pristine natural environment. Our air now and our water is as clean as it's been in the last four decades." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2718, + "raw_confidence": 0.7282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Yesterday, our country achieved yet another groundbreaking milestone by completing a sweeping overhaul of America's badly broken infrastructure approval process. It was totally out of control. Instead of taking up to 20 years to approve a major project, we're cutting the federal permitting timeline it's already been done to a maximum of two years or less; in some cases, even less than one year." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And it's possible that it won't qualify. It's possible that it won't be good environmentally or safety-wise, in which case, at least in a period of a year or two, we'll raise the hand and you won't make it. But most projects will make it, but you won't go for 10, 15, 18 or 20 years. There are many horror stories that we could relay." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "No administration in history has removed more red tape more quickly to rescue the economy and to protect the health of our people. When you think of it, we are all set up; that as we get the vaccine or therapeutic and we're set up, militarily we're going to be delivering it in record time. It's all set to move. We put an investment upfront. And we have logistical people generals, great people they're going to be delivering this all over the country as soon as we have it. And we've made tremendous progress. You've been reading about it." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2009, + "raw_confidence": 0.7991, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "In total, we've taken more than 740 actions to suspend regulations that would have slowed our response to the China virus. This includes lifting restrictions on manufacturers so that our great autoworkers could produce more than 100,000 ventilators. So we've done over 100,000 in 100 days. Think of that. And we didn't have ventilators. We weren't set up for ventilators. We became a country that's making a lot of them, helping so many others countries that are never going to be in a position to make them. They're complex, they're expensive, they're big. Very, very, very tough to do. And we've saved a lot of lives." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.767, + "raw_confidence": 0.767, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And there's never been a person in our country even though we started with almost nothing; I say the cupboard was bare when we took over. We started with nothing. There's never been a person in our country even though we had just absolutely no we were we were going on empty never been one person that needed a ventilator that didn't get it. Think of that. Not one person as complex as they are, as big, as expensive. Take a long time to get them done. Not one person has ever needed a ventilator that didn't get it." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8075, + "raw_confidence": 0.8075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We made telemedicine . Thank you. Great job. Great really, a great job. The people here, they get no credit for it. I don't want any credit. They should get the credit, but they get no credit. But we've done a great job helping so many other countries now." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3441, + "raw_confidence": 0.6559, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We made telemedicine available to all American patients and allowed doctors to work across state lines. I will tell you, the telemedicine is something that's really gone up by thousands and thousands of percentage points of percent. Because what happened is people that wouldn't even think of using telemedicine, all of a sudden, started using it, and it's really turned out to be good. Really, really turned out to be good, and it solved a lot of problems. So that's something. There's been great advancement." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Furthermore, I have ordered federal agencies to look for ways to make these healthcare reforms totally permanent. Vice President Pence is also working closely with state, local, and tribal leaders to streamline occupational licensing. Over 30 states have taken steps to reduce these barriers to unemployment and to employment, and including a state that I love very much I have a little history in that state the great state of Alaska. Thank you very much, Governor, for being here. Mike Dunleavy. Mike, thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1848, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "In Idaho, Governor Brad Little, who is here today with us as well, set a new record for regulatory relief. Good job, Brad. Good. Good governor. Great governor. Two great governors." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The American people know best how to run their own lives. They don't need Washington bureaucrats controlling their every move and micromanaging their every decision. With each regulation we cut, we're not only returning the money and the power to our citizens, we are draining the Washington swamp, and they're not happy about it I can tell you that. I think you know that. The swamp was deep. I just didn't know how deep. Deeper than I thought." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Joining us today are a few of the countless Americans who are personally benefitting from our pro-worker reforms. Joe Cambria owns Cambria Truck Center in New Jersey a good state, New Jersey and it's been really something that he's seen firsthand how our regulation cuts have helped create thousands and thousands of jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Joe, please come up and say a few words. Thank you, Joe." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thanks. Good job. Good job. That was easy, wasn't it? Huh? Thank you very much. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Dr. Amy Johnson is a nurse practitioner in rural Virginia. Amy, please come up and share with us how important expanded healthcare and telehealth has been for you and your patients. Thank you. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Great job. Thank you. So that's been a great help to you, telehealth. It's been an incredible it's been an incredible thing. Great job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.324, + "raw_confidence": 0.676, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Jim Chilton is a rancher from Arizona who was crushed by the Obama-Biden administration's ridiculous Waters of the United States rule it's been a catastrophic rule, but it's gone now which gave bureaucrats power to regulate every puddle on private land as though it were a lake." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Jim, please come up and tell us of your experience, which I know wasn't a good one, but it's a good one now. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Jim. Thank you very much. Thank you, Jim. That was my honor, Jim, and thank you very much. It's terrible. It was that you had to suffer so long. They took your property away from you. And you want to take care of your property better than any government is going to tell you to take care of your property. You'll take care of it better, so we don't have to worry about that. Thank you very much. Beautifully said. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1645, + "raw_confidence": 0.8355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "I want to just, as President, say that I will always fight to defend your rights and your freedoms. We'll fight very hard for your rights and your freedoms. The hard left wants to reverse these extraordinary gains and re-impose these disastrous regulations. They want to take what we've taken off, Jim, and they want to they want to put them back on. And I guess they can do that. You'll fight them for a little while, but eventually you'll lose." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And they want to bury our economy under suffocating, relentless landslides of Washington red tape like we had before I got here. We must never return to the days of soul-crushing regulation that ravaged our cities, devastated our workers, drained our vitality and right out of our people and thoroughly crippled our nation's prized competitive edge. It's what we have: We have great, great people. The greatest people in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Our entire economy and our very way of life are threatened by Biden's plans to transform our nation and subjugate our communities through the blunt-force instrument of federal regulation at a level that you haven't even seen yet. You think that was bad? You haven't even seen it yet. They want to go many times what they put you under in the past." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7686, + "raw_confidence": 0.7686, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Under the unity platform Joe Biden published with socialist Bernie Sanders, they are proposing and this is all in writing; it's done; they agreed they are proposing to reenter the job-killing, unfair Paris Climate Accord, which will cost our country trillions of dollars trillions and trillions of dollars and put us in a very, very bad competitive position relative to the world." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2368, + "raw_confidence": 0.7632, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Not surprising to you, China will be greatly advanced under this ridiculous agreement, and so will Russia, so will many other countries. They propose to mandate net-zero emissions from all new homes and buildings, skyrocketing the cost of construction and putting the goal of homeownership out of reach for millions destroying the look of the home, the beauty of the home." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6491, + "raw_confidence": 0.6491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "I'm somebody that's built many homes, many buildings. If you take a look at this, it doesn't look good. You still have to sell, right? You still have to sell. But they've put it out of reach, from a cost standpoint. Totally out of reach. It's not practical, it's not good, and it doesn't work." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7885, + "raw_confidence": 0.7885, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "They want to eliminate carbon from the U.S. energy industry, which means abolishing all American oil, clean coal, and natural gas. No coal, no gas, no oil, nothing to fire our massive plants." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4875, + "raw_confidence": 0.5125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The result of this federally mandated shutdown would be the wholesale destruction of the entire energy industry and many other industries, the economic evisceration of entire communities, and the unfettered offshoring of millions of our best jobs to foreign countries and foreign polluters. Millions and millions of jobs would go. Thousands and thousands of countries would be at a level that you've never seen. Companies would be disappearing left and right, just like they did with NAFTA, which we terminated for the USMCA, which was another beauty that we've done not for now, but another great beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2124, + "raw_confidence": 0.7876, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "But thousands of companies, plants, factories would be closed. Under this dismal future, energy would be unaffordable for the vast majority of Americans, and the American Dream would be sniffed out so quickly and replaced with a socialist disaster." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7603, + "raw_confidence": 0.7603, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The Democrats in D.C. have been and want to, at a much higher level, abolish our beautiful and successful suburbs by placing far-left Washington bureaucrats in charge of local zoning decisions. They are absolutely determined to eliminate single-family zoning, destroy the value of houses and communities already built, just as they have in Minneapolis and other locations that you read about today. Your home will go down in value and crime rates will rapidly rise." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7359, + "raw_confidence": 0.7359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden and his bosses from the radical left want to significantly multiply what they're doing now. And what will be the end result is you will totally destroy the beautiful suburbs. Suburbia will be no longer as we know it. So they wanted to defund and abolish your police and law enforcement while at the same time destroying our great suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The suburb destruction will end with us. Next week, I will be discussing the AFFH rule AFFH rule, a disaster and our plans to protect the suburbs from being obliterated by Washington Democrats, by people on the far left that want to see the suburbs destroyed, that don't care. People have worked all their lives to get into a community, and now they're going to watch it go to hell. Not going to happen, not while I'm here." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2863, + "raw_confidence": 0.7137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The Biden-Bernie plan would also use the weapon of federal regulation to tie the hands of our police departments by abolishing cash bail think of that. Think of that: bail. No problem. They killed somebody? Let them out. Take a look at what's happening: Crime in New York City up 368 percent from just a short while ago. They got rid of a lot of police, and they're in the process of doing it a billion dollars. They probably want to abolish. It's not even believable." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2847, + "raw_confidence": 0.7153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "When I first heard about it, when you first heard about it, you didn't think it was real. You didn't think it was believable. Just like the Green New Deal. How crazy is that? But they're actually trying to put it into play. It'll mean the end of this country." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "So by getting rid of bail, they are incentivizing jail and prison closures they want to get rid of prisons; they don't think anybody should go to prison setting loose violent criminals; appointing left-wing social justice prosecutors, like you have in Philadelphia, where people creating and doing the most criminal of acts are let go, in many cases immediately, and making our wonderful cops our great, great police, cops subordinate to distant bureaucrats who have never spent a day in their lives fighting crime." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Unlike the socialists, we believe in the rule of the people, not the rule of the unelected bureaucrats that don't know what they're doing. We believe in the dignity of the individual, not the iron grip of the state. Our regulatory reforms are vital not only to the success of our economy, but the strength of our democracy and the survival of liberty itself." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1582, + "raw_confidence": 0.8418, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "My administration will continue pressing forward until we have made every last vestige of Washington fully, completely, and totally accountable to the citizens of the United States. We are putting our faith in the workers who power our country: the doctors who care for our country, the truckers who sustain our country, and the farmers and ranchers who preserve our country in all of its majestic beauty." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "The American people are the ones who made our nation great, and together, we will make it greater, by far, than ever before. God bless you and God bless America. Thank you very much for being with us." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1606, + "raw_confidence": 0.8394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We must've said something right. I guess we said it absolutely right. It's about our country. It's about our country. We want to be strong, we want to respect everybody, but we have to have strong law enforcement. And that's taking place in the areas that we're responsible for." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6527, + "raw_confidence": 0.6527, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "It wasn't the police's fault in in any of these places. They were told to leave. The police are, generally speaking, they do a great job. They were told to leave. But you saw what happened." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Minneapolis Grab grab your gun and run. That's not what they wanted to do. But the National Guard came in, and we did a great job. No problem after that, do you notice?" + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3388, + "raw_confidence": 0.6612, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "We just passed a statues and monument executive order. And they were going wild. They see that beautiful look at it right there. It's so beautiful the Washington Monument. If they had the choice, they'd take it down. And I guarantee you they'd rename it. They want to rename it. They want George Washington out. They want Thomas Jefferson out. They want Abraham Lincoln out. They want abolitionists out." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "They don't know what they want. They just want to destroy our country. We're not going to let it happen. We're not letting it happen." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "So I'd now like to ask Vice President Mike Pence to say a few words. Thank you, Mike." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Good. Thank you very much, Brad. Thank you. Thank you, Brad." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. Thank you very much, Mike. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "But you'll see levels of detail, and you'll see levels of thought that a lot of people believed very strongly we didn't have in this country. We're going to get things done. We're going to get things done that they've wanted to see done for a long, long time." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "So I think we'll start sometime on Tuesday. We'll be discussing our one plan on suburbia, but that's one of many, many different plans. Then we're going into the immigration the world of immigration, the world of education. We're going into the world of healthcare very complete healthcare." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And we have a lot of very exciting things to discuss. But cutting of regulation has been really something that I felt we could do, and we could do fairly easily. Nothing is easy in this country. We had statutory requirements where we'd do phase one, and then we'd have to wait 90 days. We'd do phase two, and we'd have to wait 60 days. You'd do phase three, and we're set Let's do phase four, sir. I'm sorry you have to wait one year." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7444, + "raw_confidence": 0.7444, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "But we were able to do things that nobody has ever been able to do, or even close, on deregulation." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "And these trucks this really is a great a great little example. I don't know who thought of this idea, but it's actually quite, quite simple and quite good. Is that Brooke? Quite simple and quite good. I don't love having that big sucker hanging over my head. I want to get out of here as fast as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "YsSrttvyO0k", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-government-regulations-july-16-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-16", + "claim_text": "But I do want to thank you all. Incredible people. You've done an incredible job. And to the speakers, please, thank you very much. Great job. Thank you very much. Thank you, everybody. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, Brad." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. This is really great. We love this state. We won this state. I don't know if you know what's going on outside, but that's Right, Lou? That's as many people as you can possibly have all the way back. How did you get in? That's my question. I know you're special friends of a group of people that have done a really good job, and I want to thank you very much for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But Pennsylvania has been very important to me. I went to school in Pennsylvania, as you know, college, and I love it. Please sit down. And by the time I finished, I'm going to have a nice sunburn right here. This is good. Where's my sunblock? But I want to thank everybody. In 75 days, we're going to win this state." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're going to win four more years. They've had us under siege, and we beat them, and we beat them, and we keep beating them. But I'll tell you, I've never seen anything No President should have to go through what we've gone through. No President. Should never happen. And I watched President Obama last night, and I watched him talking about everything, and I had to put it out." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I said, yeah, but he spied on our campaign, and he got caught. That's about as bad a thing as you can imagine. If that happened to another campaign on the other side, they would have had 25 people in jail for many years already. Many, many years. It's a disgrace. But in three years, and what we've done in just this short period of time, there's been no administration that's accomplished what we've accomplished, and that's despite pandemics and despite all of the opposition and all of the witch hunts, the phony witch hunts." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "No administration has done what we've done. We've secured our borders, brought back our manufacturing jobs, rebuilt our military, wiped out the ISIS caliphate 100%, killed our terrorist enemies, achieved American energy independence, and guess what? We're just getting started. That's just a small part of it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "That's a small part of it. At stake in this election is the, and you know this, you know it, and I mean it, and I've never meant it more. At stake in this election is the survival of our nation. It's true. Because we're dealing with crazy people in the other side. They've gone totally stone cold crazy. You know, you look at Hillary." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "She was a lot smarter than Joe. But I'll tell you, there was a certain sense of sanity four years ago. These people have gone insane, and they're radical left, and you look at some of the things happening in these Democrat- run cities, which we could solve in two minutes. All they'd have to do is call us, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Our great ex-congressman. All they have to do is And thank you for being here. But all they have to do is call us. We'll be in there in two minutes, and we'll take care of the problem. Joe Biden is a puppet of the radical left movement that seeks to destroy the American way of life. They don't understand, and probably when it happened, they'd say, what did we ever do?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4007, + "raw_confidence": 0.5993, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden has pledged to hike your taxes by $4 trillion in the largest tax hike in history. And they're going to waste the money on the Green New Deal, the Green New Deal. You know what you get out of that? Nothing. Nothing except debt and death. They want to eviscerate the Second Amendment. They want to take away your guns." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2703, + "raw_confidence": 0.7297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They want to take away your guns. Well, you remember that, just that one point alone, and they want to take away your guns. So who's going to vote for that? I mean, we want our Second Amendment. I've held it strong, and you think it was easy? I've held it totally strong. Give free healthcare to illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You don't get free healthcare? Expand deadly sanctuary cities. Force taxpayers to subsidize late-term abortion. Shut down the energy fields of Pennsylvania. They want to shut them down. No fossil fuels. No fossil fuel. Texas isn't too happy, either. Go to Texas. I just left Texas a little while ago, two weeks." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I said, they don't want energy, they don't want guns, and they don't want religion. A guy stands up, says, Not going to win Texas! But you have the same thing, because you do a big, you're a big fracking state. You want to see your taxes go up? Stop fracking. Doesn't hurt you at all, fracking. They want to throw up windmills that are going to ruin your houses." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5231, + "raw_confidence": 0.5231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Put up a big windmill. You walk out your door. You'll see those big monsters churning. But even that they don't want to do. I don't think they want to do anything. I think they want to close your businesses. But just remember, Second Amendment. They're going to take it away. As sure as you're sitting or standing." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1572, + "raw_confidence": 0.8428, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They're going to take it away from you. The Second Amendment. Don't let it happen. Close down charter schools. Eliminate school choice. So important. Abolish the suburbs. They want to put low-income housing in the suburbs. So the American dream And by the way, we have a lot of minority groups that live in the suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "African American, Asian American, Hispanic American, all did phenomenally last year with jobs. Best jobs we've ever had in the history of our country, the best economy we've ever had. But they're a big part of the suburbs. And they want to put low income housing in the suburbs at a level that they've never done it before." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And it's been a very Look, this has been going on for 20 years. I terminated the regulation that did that. They said, Well, we can change that. I said, No, let's terminate it. People have to aspire to go there. They want to aspire to live in the suburbs. They want to abolish cash bail, releasing 400,000 criminals onto our streets." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1976, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Think of no No more cash bail. Look at what happened in New York. Cuomo ended cash bail. Cuomo. That wasn't even de Blasio that did it. It was Cuomo, the governor. He ended it in New York, and now the crime rate has gone through the roof. The speaker at Biden's convention, proudly declared, we're talking about abolishing the police." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're talking about abolishing ICE, and we're talking about abolishing prisons. And that's, the only thing they're not abolishing are taxes because your taxes are going to go up at a level that you've never even heard of before. If you want a vision of your life under Biden presidency, think of the smoldering ruins in Minneapolis, the violent anarchy of Portland, the bloodstained sidewalks of Chicago, and imagine the mayhem coming to your town and every single town in America." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1877, + "raw_confidence": 0.8123, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You're not going to have law and order. Do you notice? And I shouldn't say it because he'll put it in his speech, if he can read it, which I doubt. But they'll put it in there tonight. I shouldn't say it because he's going to speak later. He's going to have a good audience. People are going to find out what the hell's going on." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1779, + "raw_confidence": 0.8221, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I see he hasn't answered a question since, they just said Did you see it on the newscasts? Since July 17th. Hasn't taken a question from the fake news back there. No, think of it. I take about a hundred questions a day. These people. It's one thing I've learned, the people heading these other countries, whether it's President Xi of China, Putin of Russia, Erdogan, Turkey, any of them, Kim Jong Un, North Korea." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7764, + "raw_confidence": 0.7764, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Remember we're going to be in war with North Korea? Remember? It's going to be a war? Right, congressman? There's going to be a war. If Trump's, oh, we're going to have a war. No, it would have been a war if you had Hillary Clinton. Would've been a war if Obama were allowed to stay any longer. He thought there was going to be a war." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2751, + "raw_confidence": 0.7249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Where's the war? I don't see the war. Maybe things happen. You don't know. But there's been no war. Nobody killed. He would have lost 25, 30 million people. They don't say that. They say a hundred thousand people. No, no. Seoul is 32 million people, and it's right next to the cannon fire. And we have a good relationship with him." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.169, + "raw_confidence": 0.831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I have a good relationship with him. You know, when I say that, isn't that terrible? They say. No, it's not terrible. It's great. It's great. I have a relationship. President Obama said when I sat down that first meeting, right? In the White House. He said it was the biggest problem we had. North Korea." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And you would have had a big problem, would have been a hell of a war. Tell you right now. You'd probably be in that war right now. So when I say that we got along and we've met, everyone says, oh, that's so terrible. No, it's a good thing. It's a good thing. Not a bad thing. It's a good thing. Doesn't mean bad things don't happen, but it's a good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3592, + "raw_confidence": 0.6408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "There's only one thing standing between your family and the radical left wing mob, and that's your vote this November. This is a very important I feel like I'm a wall. You know, we built the wall on the Southern border. We're going to have 300 miles by two weeks from now, even less, 300 miles. And by the end of the year, we'll be up to almost 500 miles, and then we're going to go on a little bit further, some areas that are loose, a little bit loose." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We found out. We're going to put a little bit more, about 536 miles going up at a record clip. It's doing phenomenally well. If you want mobs and criminals, you got to vote Democrat. Look, because that's what it's about. They don't talk about law and order. Now, I'm bringing it up now, but they haven't, I haven't seen anybody get up I got just the other day endorsed by all the sheriffs of Florida, all the law enforcement." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1846, + "raw_confidence": 0.8154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I got endorsed by Pennsylvania. I got endorsed by Texas, by Ohio. I think everybody, I don't know. How can you endorse somebody else? How could law enforcement endorse somebody else? We gave all of our ex-army equipment. We have tremendous surplus equipment, and it was sitting in warehouses all over the United States." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1976, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Hundreds of millions of dollars, I distributed it to the police, whereas Biden and Obama, they didn't want to do that because they said, no, no, no. It makes the police look too strong. I want the police to look strong. You got to look strong. And a lot of it was protective equipment. If you want jobs and you want a lot of police and you want a lack of crime, if you take away New York and Chicago and some of these terrible cities that you see about with the crime, the crime is so bad." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7886, + "raw_confidence": 0.7886, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I left New York four years ago, and I could see, because he's a terrible mayor, I could see there were things that were happening that were bad. He's no Rudy Giuliani, I can tell you that. But I could see things were happening. But the last six months, seven months, it just exploded. It's incredible. Crime up 368%, 368%. It's crazy." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's crazy. But if you want law and order, and I can say it, sometimes they'll say, sir, say it gently. People want to hear gentle. They don't want, say it gently. Don't say law and order. Say, if you'd like law and order and safety. Nah, I can't do that. If you want law and order, you've got to have law and order." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2762, + "raw_confidence": 0.7238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You can't have what's happening in Portland. Did you see the kid get whacked the other day? Just whacked, like he was a piece of garbage? I mean, who could take it? We don't want that, and pretty soon we're going to have to send in our people because we're supposed to wait to request? Now, I don't know if they're embarrassed or what, but these Democrat cities, they're out of control." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They have none. Look at Seattle, where she said, no, we want a summer of love. I mean, this woman is crazy, and they would have never taken back Seattle except they knew we were going in the next day. That's the only reason they even did it. So tonight we have slow Joe will speak at the Democrat Convention, and I'm sure that he'll just knock them dead." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7516, + "raw_confidence": 0.7516, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And he'll remind us that he was born in Scranton. But you know, he left like 70 years ago, right? He left a long time ago. He wasn't one I view it differently. He'd say he was born here, but he left when he was like eight, nine, or 10. So he left, 68 years ago, he left. Long time ago. So I view it differently." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2746, + "raw_confidence": 0.7254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He wasn't born here. He abandoned Scranton. Okay? His family had something to do with that. You know, his parents. But he loves Scranton. I mean, he keeps talking about, I was born in Scranton. I lived in Scranton. Yeah, for a few years, and then he left for another state. You know the state. But this Scranton stuff." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "That's why I figured I'd come here and explain to you one thing. But I think you people know it better than I do. He left! He abandoned Pennsylvania. He abandoned Scranton. He was here for a short period of time and he didn't even know it. And today it's amazing. It goes around in a circle. He still doesn't know it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4612, + "raw_confidence": 0.5388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But he spent the last half century in Washington selling out our country and ripping off our jobs and letting other countries steal our jobs, Mexico, China, all of them stealing our jobs. He's been there for 47 years, and now he's going to come in and make a change. I don't think so. His son who walked out with $1.5 billion to manage." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "That's billions of dollars a year, and the son didn't even have a job before that. And I asked the Wall Street people, tell me, is that possible? Smartest people, top people on Wall Street. They say, can't happen. It can't happen. The smartest people, the people that do get money from every country, from everybody, they say can't happen." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4569, + "raw_confidence": 0.5431, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He walked out of there in 10 minutes with $1.5 billion. You explain that one, right? And then if they want to look at him, nobody looks at him. Nobody looks at Ukraine. He gets 83,000 a month and a $3 million upfront payment because of his great expertise in energy. But he had none. And he even admitted, no, I don't know anything about energy." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But he goes onto an energy company. It's millions of dollars, 83, it's actually double that because it was him and some guy that knew less than he did. And is that okay? Yeah? Is it okay when Joe Biden goes and says, a billion dollars, you're not getting it unless you get rid of those prosecutors. You talk about quid pro quo, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "That's your quid pro quo. And they did, quid pro quo. Right? And they did, they got rid of the prosecutors. And then he's called. He says, now you're getting your money. Okay? Figure this. How about if that's a Republican doing that, what happens to that republican? It's over. It's a disgrace. But it's changing slowly, too slowly, as far as I'm concerned." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4386, + "raw_confidence": 0.5614, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden is no friend of Pennsylvania. He's actually, for the reasons we just said, he's your worst nightmare. Biden supported every single globalist attack on Pennsylvania workers, NAFTA, China's entry into the World Trade Organization, which built China into a power, TPP, Korea, the horrible, ridiculous Paris Climate Accord, which stripped our nation of its energy, and the so-called Clean Power Plan." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2175, + "raw_confidence": 0.7825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "The only good thing about it was the name. It was a horrible, unfair deal, horrible for you and horrible for Pennsylvania. They want to take your power away. You know what your power is? Your power is the billions of dollars you make in going deep into the earth and taking out As you make on going deep into the earth and taking out what you have to take out." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2578, + "raw_confidence": 0.7422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Everything you want, from fracking. You don't realize how big a fracking state. Does anybody know how big fracking is? You're not going to be allowed to frack anymore. You're not going to be allowed. No oil, no nothing. No oil, no gas, no nothing. Just think of that. What would happen is, well, first of all, many of you, I guess 600,000, 670,000 lose their jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "No money, no oil, higher taxes. Your stock market would crash. If they get in beyond fracking, if they get in, you'll have your 401ks, which are setting records, by the way, stock market just hit a new high. And don't forget, we've been going through this horrible plague from China. It just hit a new high." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So think of that. It's incredible. But your 401ks. How many people have 401ks here? Good. That's a lot. That's a lot. How about if they went down to like 10% of what they are now? Because that can happen. That can happen. And it will happen if we're stupid and we don't go out and vote and secure your ballot." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2331, + "raw_confidence": 0.7669, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Absentee ballots are good. But the stuff where they take millions and millions of ballots and send them all over the place, we'll grab it and we'll just put them in a big pile there. Everyone grab it. It's a disgrace. Even common sense tells you that. Look at New York, look at what happened in New Jersey." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7686, + "raw_confidence": 0.7686, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Look at what happened in Virginia. Look at what happened. I won't go through the details, you know the story. They have no control whatsoever. In New Jersey, 20% of the ballots were defective, fraudulent, 20%. And that's because they did a good job. Okay? So this is just a way they're trying to steal the election and everybody knows that." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Because the only way they're going to win is by a rigged election. I really believe that. I saw the crowd outside. For every sign we had for Trump Pence, every single sign. And that's not that atypical in Texas. We had people on the highways, on the roadways, we're driving to some oil well where we gave a speech." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5782, + "raw_confidence": 0.5782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It was a 20 minute drive, between the plane and that oil well, there were tens of thousands of people and they had the signs, Trump and Trump Pence and flags, American flags. When the other side does show up, which is rarely, they never have an American flag. I can always tell if there's a group of people." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1965, + "raw_confidence": 0.8035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You never see an American flag. The fake news would tell you that. But you never see, but they don't put it down, they'll tell you that personally, but they won't write it. But you never see an American flag. It's an amazing thing. But if you look outside today, is it a hundred to one, 200 to one? And then you'll read tomorrow that Biden was well-represented." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He wasn't well, there were hardly anybody there. Every once in a while, I'd see a Biden that'd be waving to the people. I'd see Biden, I'd say, Wow. I waved to her anyway. Who cares? But was it a hundred to one? It's just massive. And you'll read tomorrow that he had a massive crowd also. Pennsylvania lost more than one in three manufacturing jobs after NAFTA and China's entry into the WTO." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And that was a vote and courtesy of sleepy Joe. Biden looked American labor into the eyes and took care of dues, their union endorsements and their votes. The unions, I mean the unions have to be more reasonable. They have to be more reasonable. And we love the unions. We love non-union. I've had it all." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7887, + "raw_confidence": 0.7887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I built every building I built in New York was with unions and unions are fine. A lot of Republicans don't want me to say that, but I'll tell you, unions are fine. Tell them to keep their dues down, please. But they're fine. And you have unions here. You have non-unions. What I talk about is the worker." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They treated our workers horribly. We lost our jobs to foreign lands. Our workers got fired, whether they were in the unions or not. Then he sold out and he passed the Cadillac tax. You know what that is, on union healthcare plans? Attack their energy jobs and sent their factories to China. And now he's back begging for their votes." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2203, + "raw_confidence": 0.7797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And it's like a custom, Democrats. Except with me. I came in, I got so many union votes. I get far more. I mean, you've seen it. A couple of people either lost their job or came very close, that were unbeatable, because they let it charge for the Democrats for crooked Hillary last time. They let her charge." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And the people in the union didn't want that. They didn't want Hillary, they wanted Trump. And we had union revolts, we call them. They revolted. But these guys right here, are you all union people? I can tell. Are you union? It's good, right? It's fine. That's fine. Look at that. You got a hand. Certain parts of the country, they wouldn't be as happy, but that's okay, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And it's great. But they were not happy. And you know what was happening? They were not happy when the bosses got endorsed by the Democrats. American labor will vote for Trump Pence in 2020. They're all saying that. And this area is going to be an incredible area. This used to be all Democrat until I came along." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2097, + "raw_confidence": 0.7903, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Until I came along, this was Democrat. This was heavily union. It was Democrat. It was everything. But they liked Trump and I'm going to never let you down and they will let you down. They will let you down. First of all, the country will be let down because the country, you will see a crash like you've never seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And as good as those stock market numbers are, there's a headwind. They headwind is that if he won, the market's going to crash. The Green New Deal, all of the different things, socialized medicine, that's what they want. It's socialized medicine. No doctor, no plan. Obama lied about it 28 times. Do you remember he said, You can keep your doctor." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You can keep your plan. It wasn't true. 28 different times, they have them. For the last four years, we've been reversing Biden's betrayals and delivering historic wins. For the people of Pennsylvania, your state lost over 50,000 manufacturing jobs when Biden was Vice President. In my first three years, Pennsylvania gained 14,000 jobs, manufacturing, and going up at a level that nobody's ever seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We'll catch all of those jobs that were lost. They said manufacturing jobs will never come back. Remember, you need a magic wand. Where's the magic wand? Well, we have the magic wand. My first week in office, I withdrew from the Trans-Pacific partnership. It would have been totally destructive to your jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It would have been a horror show. I withdrew from the one-sided Paris climate accord, which would have cost us so many billions of dollars. And all it would have done is made the competition even tougher all over the world. I believe it was designed to hurt the United States and to get jobs away from us and companies." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I stood up to China's rampant cheating, plunder, and theft. I repealed that horrible tax. So many taxes. How many taxes did I repeal? I'm getting a list of them now, I'll have it for you for the next meeting. Because I'll be back to Pennsylvania, that I promise. And I'm standing up to the special interests and to big pharma." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7749, + "raw_confidence": 0.7749, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Weeks ago, I signed four historic directives to dramatically reduce the cost of prescription drugs. Think of it. You know what I did? I signed, as you know and as you've seen, I guess, but other countries have sometimes 10% of what we pay for the same exact pill, same drug, same prescription drug. And I signed a deal that we get, it's not signed by the drug companies, they hate it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They'll take in advertising. Whenever you see bad ads on me from drug companies, just remember one thing, that means your prices are coming down. That means your prices. But it's called Favored Nations, Favored Nations. We were the least favorite nation in the whole world. We paid the highest price. So I signed if Germany has an example, pays 25 cents for a pill and we pay $3 for the exact same pill, we pay 25 cents also." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Now what means is they're going to go up, we're going to come way down. We could drop drug prices by 50, 60 or 70%, at a level that has made them very angry. And rebates too, I ended rebates. Rebates go to you. Nobody else would have done that. They could have done that a long time ago. Biden could have done it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1753, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He didn't know what it meant. But I will tell you, most people do know what, but they can't do it because big pharma is the most powerful group. And I guess they say, number one, is it number one, mister? But you didn't take any money from big pharma, right? I bet you didn't. I'll bet you didn't, my man." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7236, + "raw_confidence": 0.7236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I ended the NAFTA disaster and I signed USMCA in Deloitte. USMCA is phenomenal. And it's going to keep your companies from moving to Mexico and other places. After years of building up other nations, we're finally building up our nation and we are finally doing something that I've been talking about for years." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're finally putting America first, and I've done that right from the beginning. We're honored to be joined today by some incredible warriors that were really fantastic to me and friends of mine, but they really fight. These Pennsylvania people are fighters, in case you haven't noticed. Representative Scott Perry." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Scott, where's Scott? Thank you, Scott. Great job, Scott. The warriors. Lloyd Smucker. Lloyd, thank you. Thank you, Lloyd. John Joyce. John, thank you. Great job. Great job. And a friend of mine and a great, great man. He would have been here forever if he decided to, but he decided maybe it was time to do something else." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But this was a fighter like no other fighter. And those three other gentlemen will attest, right? Our friend Lou Barletta. Lou. And they're shouting. I'm saying this for the media. They're shouting Lou, they're not booing. They'll say, He stood up and he got booed horribly. It was a horrible embarrassing. No, that's what they do." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They're fake. Thanks also to our congressional candidates, Jim Bognet. Jim, oh, look at him. I've heard good things, Jim. Is it easy out there on the stump?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Good, good. And you're going to win, Jim. You're going to win. And Lisa Scheller. Lisa, thank you very much. Great job. I hear you too are doing really good. If you have any problems, call Lou, he'll help you. Let me also thank my campaign state chairwoman, Bernie Comfort. Where are you? Thank you very much Bernie." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Bernie. Great job you're doing. How are we doing in Pennsylvania? Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1576, + "raw_confidence": 0.8424, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I think so. I think so. If we don't, they did a lot of manipulation. Also, a friend of mine for a long time and a great friend of his father and maybe his grandfather. I don't even know. I hate to say that because it makes me sound a little bit older than I feel. I feel young. State GOP Chairman, Lawrence Tabas." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "What a great family. I miss Dan Tabas. You know that? Dan Tabas, what a great man he was. I don't know if you know him, but he started out with about 2 cents and he ended up being a rich man. And he employed a lot of people and he was a real friend of mine. That was long before I ran for politics. He didn't like many people, but he liked Trump." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Right? People would go, He's a rough guy. People would go up to him and say, Hi, Dan. How you doing? He became a very successful guy. And he'd look out and say, I don't want to talk to anybody. I just want to talk to Trump. I like that kind of a guy, right? But he was a fantastic man, actually. He was a good man." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3772, + "raw_confidence": 0.6228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Before the China virus invaded our shores, we built the greatest economy in history, nothing even close. We added seven million jobs nationwide, including 209,000 new jobs in Pennsylvania. By the way, in the last three months, right Bernie? Over nine million jobs, an all time record. This is now during and hopefully closing moments of the pandemic." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4306, + "raw_confidence": 0.5694, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You notice how they, anytime there's a good country, they like to compare, because we've done an incredible job. You look at our mortality rates, you look at all the things. But they like to compare us to others. So they were talking about New Zealand. New Zealand, it's over, it's over for Zealand. Everything's gone." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They're beautiful. They had a massive breakout yesterday. South Korea, it's over, it's over. Big breakout yesterday. It's a tough deal. We've done a great job. We're a big, big country. And maybe this is popular to say, maybe it's not, I don't care. Because based on the crowd outside, it looks to me like we're going to win this thing." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.178, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I think, by the way, by a lot. But your governor has you on a shut down like, what's going on? How did they all get out there? And they were not socially distanced, I can tell you. We'll have to. On the way back, they'll still be there because they're incredible people. But what is he doing? He's got you in a shutdown, still." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.724, + "raw_confidence": 0.724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Shut down wolf. He can't do this. He's going to destroy your soul. What happens is depression, anxiety problems with family members, drugs, heart attacks, obesity. I mean, what is he doing? It's more dangerous than the virus. He's got to open this state up. You know when he's going to open it up? No, I know what he's doing." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Because a lot of them are doing it, doing it in the great State of North Carolina, right? They're doing it in North Carolina. But they're doing it in a lot of different areas. They've got to open this state up and you have to do it, right? This wonderful, incredible Commonwealth. Right? I would call it a Commonwealth." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2416, + "raw_confidence": 0.7584, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Do you ever mind of they call it a state? No, call it Commonwealth. Whatever the hell you want to open it up. And what is he doing? What is he doing? So the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, we're going to get it open. And I know when he's going to do it. You know when it is? November 4th. November 4th, he's going to say, Well, we're going to open it up. Then your results are no better than other states, by the way." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1687, + "raw_confidence": 0.8313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's not like, Oh gee, this is great. Michigan has it closed down and North Carolina has a closed down, and this Commonwealth has a closed down. It's a very sad thing to see. And the results are not good. The results, it's not like, Oh, this is wonderful. The results in some of these places, as worse than those that are open." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1555, + "raw_confidence": 0.8445, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And you have other states. I mean, you look at the country, it's really, we have states we're thriving, we're thriving. And there's no shutdown. It's enough. We shut it down because we had to, we didn't know anything about what was happening. We shut it down. We learned a lot. Protect our seniors, et cetera, et cetera." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You've all heard it. We learned a lot, protect our seniors, et cetera, et cetera. You've all heard it. But we learned a lot. Then we opened it up and now we have a big V. Remember they said the V will never happen? We have a big beautiful V. We enacted the largest financial relief package in American history." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2196, + "raw_confidence": 0.7804, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And through the Paycheck Protection Program, we saved nearly two million Pennsylvania jobs. We've also delivered nearly That's right. Two million jobs. We delivered nearly $11 billion in direct support to Pennsylvania families. And over the past three months, we've gained over nine million jobs. Nobody could even believe the numbers." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And watch. The numbers will get better and better because we're opening up. And frankly, the Democrats should do it. They should do what's right for the country. They know they should open. Wolf knows he should open. He knows that. And how about his person with her mother, right? With her mother? Where the mother was protected, but the other people weren't. You had a massive number of deaths in nursing homes, but 95 year old mother as I read." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1776, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And I said, Well, that person will be gone very quickly. And that person is still there. I would say that's something that if somebody ever wants to run for the governor of Pennsylvania, that would be something good to use. So they took the mother out of harm's way and then moved her back when everything was okay." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And nobody says anything about it? There's no firing? Retail spending is now at an all time high. Who would have believed that? Auto production has gained 28%. Biden would terminate this unprecedented recovery. He wants to impose a permanent lockdown combined with a socialist takeover of the US economy." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Did you hear him the other day? Lock it down. He wants to lock it down. So everything that we've gained over the last number of months, he wants to lock it down. No, we're doing good. Florida's going down substantially. Arizona, done a great job in Arizona. Texas going down. California is going down. They'd opened these states up and everybody wants to practice good hygiene." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "All of the different things. Do the masks. I mean, it's just not going to hurt. Do them. Do them. You feel it, do them. But these things, these places have to be opened up. But November 4th, you'll open. Don't worry about it. But that's a long time from now if you think about it, right? That's a long time for now." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.242, + "raw_confidence": 0.758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "In Biden's policy manifesto written with socialist Bernie Sanders, Biden pledges to quickly outlaw American oil. He's going to outlaw American oil, coal, American coal. He's going to outlaw it. Natural gas, which is really an amazing form of energy, it clean, by mandating net zero carbon emissions from all homes and buildings within nine years and from all power plants by 2035. So he wants to basically get rid of all fossil fuels." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And you know, I know everything about energy. I know so much about energy. Our new forms of alternative energy just aren't powerful enough to power these massive plants and all of the things that are creating all of these jobs and all of this wealth for your state and for the country. This week in California, there were rolling blackouts because the radical Democrats have mandated impossible restrictions on energy production." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6475, + "raw_confidence": 0.6475, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And I see again, the forest fires are starting. They're starting again in California. I said, You got to clean your floors. You got to clean your forests. They have many, many years of leaves and broken trees. And they're like, so flammable. You touch them and it goes up. I've been telling them this now for three years, but they don't want to listen." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1594, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "The environment, the environment. But they have massive fires again in California. Maybe we're just going to have to make them pay for it because they don't listen to us. We say, You got to get rid of the leaves. You got to get rid of the debris. You got to get rid of the fallen trees. You know when a tree falls, after 13 to 14 months, it becomes extremely dry." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2146, + "raw_confidence": 0.7854, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You look at some of these fires, they don't really catch where the trees are growing because they're wet. The water's pouring up the tree. And they just don't want to listen. They mocked us when I said that you got to clean your floors, just an expression. Clean the floors. And they have many, many years, decades of leaves, dry leaves." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And that's why they have it. There are other places, forest cities, they're forests, they were developed in forests and they don't have any problem, with more flammable trees than you have in California, but they just don't want to do it. Senior citizens were forced to sit in their homes with no air conditioning in the middle of the summer and Biden wants to eliminate power plants all across America." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You had a problem over here. But think of that, if they do that, get used to no air conditioning. They probably don't want that either. Under my administration, we ended the war on American energy and I put the miners back to work. We put them back to work. The miners are back to work now. I approved the Keystone XL and the Dakota Access Pipelines almost right at the beginning." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1597, + "raw_confidence": 0.8403, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I just approved them right at the beginning and a lot of jobs. And by the way, it's a much cleaner form of transportation. America is now the number one producer of oil and natural gas in the world. Think of that one. To protect our great steelworkers Do you have a couple of Any steelworkers here by the way?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7483, + "raw_confidence": 0.7483, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "To protect our great steelworkers, I placed tariffs on nations that were dumping cheap, foreign steel all over the place. And we have created an incredible industry out of nothing. It was ready to go out. Within months, steel imports dropped by 26% and American steel production surged by 18 million tons, almost immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2039, + "raw_confidence": 0.7961, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Biden abandoned the steel industry and saved other industries that were worthless, but he didn't save the steel industry. We saved the steel industry. You wouldn't have a steel industry right now. When Joe Biden was Vice President, the border was an open pipeline for criminals, gang members and cartels, flooding our schools with drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7891, + "raw_confidence": 0.7891, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Under my administration, we ended the catch and release, horrible catch and release. You catch the criminal. You take their name. You say, Is this right? We don't have identification. Oh, that's okay. It's like voting. They don't want to have voter ID. Why? There's only one reason the Democrats don't want voter ID." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2602, + "raw_confidence": 0.7398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You have ID for almost everything. You have your picture, everything nice, but not on a vote. Most important thing you can do is to vote. And voter ID, but they don't want it. There's only one reason they don't want voter ID. And you know what that is, right? That's really better. You guys all in favor, by the way, of voter ID?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Everybody? If they weren't, they wouldn't be congressmen in good standing for very long. I'll tell you that. We stopped asylum fraud and we deported 20,000 gang members and 423,000 criminal aliens. We got them the hell out of our country. But if Biden is elected, all of this security will quickly vanish." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6578, + "raw_confidence": 0.6578, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Control of the border will be seceded to violent cartels and the left wing crazies who empower them. And you used to see these massive amounts of illegals coming up from Honduras, from Guatemala, El Salvador. They'd come up and it'd be just thousands of them. You don't see that anymore. Mexico is putting They have right now." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2098, + "raw_confidence": 0.7902, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They have for months, 27,000 of their soldiers on our Southern border. You got to do it. You got to do it. Mexico has been really working with us very well. I have to tell you the new President of Mexico, now he's not so new. He's been there a little while. But the President of Mexico has done a great job as far as I'm concerned, from the standpoint of our relationship and our relationship with Mexico." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3395, + "raw_confidence": 0.6605, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "In his joint manifesto with Bernie Sanders, Biden just called for a complete suspension of deportations, closing down detention facilities, ending border prosecutions. Think of this. Restoring and expanding catch and release, handing out free welfare to new arrivals, work permits for illegal crossers, and mass amnesty for all illegal aliens." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Can you believe this? This is Bernie plus I feel like Biden would be taken right. This is to show you how good a negotiate he is. Bernie took him left. It's supposed to start and they're supposed to meet a little bit left of center maybe, for them. For us it's right of center. But Bernie actually took him left along with AOC plus three, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2606, + "raw_confidence": 0.7394, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "AOC plus It's another beauty. She's the designer of the Green New Deal. She knows nothing about the environment. She probably never studied Ask her. How many hours have you taken on the environment? Biden wants to open your borders in the middle of the pandemic. Thank goodness we have that 300 miles of wall because you would have had a problem like you never would've seen before." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I want strong borders and I want safe communities. If we don't have borders I was saying this from day one. If we don't have borders, we don't have a country. I imposed a travel ban on jihadist regions to keep terrorists out of our country. And it worked. And it got approved and the press said he failed." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And they were right. The lower court failed. Your appeals court failed. And I won at the Supreme court. So they still say it failed because I lost it the first two courts. That's how dishonest they are. They say he lost because I lost in the first two courts, but we won at the Supreme court. They forget to mention that fact." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden has pledged to remove this ban, opening the flood gates to terror and terror hotspots, and increasing the number of refugees allowed into our country by 700%. That's the manifesto of AOC and Bernie. Joe Biden and Kamala. She's another beauty. Also strongly support the deadly sanctuary cities that have been so bad for you and everybody else's. District Attorney in San Francisco, Kamala put a drug dealing illegal alien into a job and jobs program instead of into prison." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Four months later, the illegal alien robbed a 29 year old woman, mowed her down with an SUV, fracturing her skull and ruining her life. We believe our country should be a sanctuary for law abiding Americans, not for criminal aliens. After eight long years, Joe Biden and Barack Obama left America weak, disrespected, and endangered." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1984, + "raw_confidence": 0.8016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We are respected again. We are a respected country again. They said that one of the leaders called up, top top leader of one of the countries. He asked me to call President Erdogan of Turkey, who I get along with very well. He said, Sir, please, would you do me a favor? Call Erdogan. I said, Why can't you do it? He says, You're the only one he respects." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You're the only person he respects. I tell you this story. I like telling very personal stories. But they did say that. You're the only one he'll listen to. I said, Is that because of the United States? They said, No, it's because of you. So that's not so bad. I might as well. I might as well tell you the stories because they won't. We've invested more than $2 trillion to rebuild our military." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1552, + "raw_confidence": 0.8448, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Our military is in the best shape it's ever been and everything is made in the USA. And we revived the historic shipyard in a place called Philadelphia with hundreds and hundreds of new jobs. You know that. And we've just launched Space Force. I never talked about it on the campaign trail. Lou, right? I never talked about it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2336, + "raw_confidence": 0.7664, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I'm the only one probably that ever ran for office in this country that's achieved more than I said I would. I never talked about Space Force. I never talked about it. But I realized how important it was and we got it. A sixth branch. Think of that. Sixth branch. That's a big deal. American rockets are once again sending American astronauts into space." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7331, + "raw_confidence": 0.7331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We renewed NASA. It was a field of weeds. A field of weeds. President Obama closed it down. We're not sending rockets up. And a lot of those rockets are paid by rich people. They like sending up rockets for whatever reason. They like it. I say, go ahead. You can pay us a little rent and you can use our property." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We withdrew from the disastrous Iran Nuclear Deal, a horror show. The ISIS caliphate was destroyed. The founder and leader of ISIS, the animal known as Al- Baghdadi is dead. The world's number one terrorist, Qasem Soleimani, is dead. Joe Biden voted for the war in Iraq. I kept us out of new wars. Everyone said, Oh, Trump, it's his He'll be in a war his first week. Instead of that, I got you out of wars." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3894, + "raw_confidence": 0.6106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're down to a minimum number in Iraq. Afghanistan will be down very shortly to 4,000 troops and that'll come back shortly too. Syria, we took them all out other than where we kept the oil if that's okay with you. We kept the oil. We have some back and keeping the oil. We should have kept the oil in Iraq too." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1755, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Remember, I used to say, Keep the oil. Don't go in. I'd say, Don't go into Iraq. But I was a civilian. Nobody cared. I was like you. So nobody cares. I want to get that mosquito out of here. I don't like They'll say it's cruelty to animals. I don't know. No, it's true. They were saying the other night, the shark." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1824, + "raw_confidence": 0.8176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They were saying, Oh, sharks. We have to protect them. I said, Wait a minute. Wait. They actually want to remove all the seals in order to save the shark. I said, Wait, don't you have it the other way around? That's true. I'm not a big fan of sharks either. I don't know how many votes am I going to lose?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I have people calling me up, Sir, we have a fund to save the shark. It's called Save the Shark. I say, No thank you. I have other things I can contribute to. I recognized Israel's true capital, opened the American embassy in Jerusalem, and recognized Israel and its sovereignty over the Golan Heights." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1775, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Nobody else. They talked about it for years. For years and years, many, many Presidents talked about the capital of Israel, Jerusalem. And they never did it. I did it. And Golan Heights, 52 years, they've been meeting on Golan Heights. I did it. Last week we reached a historic breakthrough in the Middle East, finalizing a groundbreaking agreement between Israel and the United Arab Emirates." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "People can Israel and the United Arab Emirates. People can't even believe it. Even the New York Times gave us a great editorial. They can't even believe it. We passed veterans choice and veterans accountability for our great vets. Nobody's done for the vets what I have. Nobody. Not even close. We love the vets." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2077, + "raw_confidence": 0.7923, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And federal workers who failed and mistreated our veterans now can be told, You're fired. That's accountability. We couldn't fire them. We had sadists. We had thieves. We had some bad people. They let go of 9,000 people in the VA. They were bad people. They didn't love our vets. Now they have to love our vets." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1556, + "raw_confidence": 0.8444, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "In a second term in office we will create 10 million jobs in the next year. We will hire more police. We will ban sanctuary cities. We will appoint prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in the rule of law, not the rule of that horrible mob that you get to watch on television. We will provide school choice in every home." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1787, + "raw_confidence": 0.8213, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're going to let you have school choice. That's a very important thing. The Democrats don't want anything to do with school choice. We will lower the price of prescription drugs as I said. We will build and expand our energy infrastructure to a level that is even greater than what we have right now, and when I said before we're number one, we're number one by a lot, nobody thought we'd ever be number one." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And we are energy independent, which is very nice. As we've been doing, we will end our reliance on China and other countries for drugs and other things. We will make our critical drugs, medicines, and supplies, here in the United States. We will give tax credits to companies to bring jobs back to America, and if they don't do it, we'll put tariffs on those companies, and they'll have to pay us a lot of money." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So what are they going to do? They're going to bring the jobs back. In every action, every moment, and every decision I'm fighting for you. I'm fighting for Pennsylvania. A lot of people got rich and got powerful at your expense. Now these same liberal hypocrites want to open up borders and let violent mobs rule the streets while they live in Waldorf compounds in communities." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2171, + "raw_confidence": 0.7829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They want to defund police while hiring private security. They want to let rioters burn churches while jailing you for praying in your church. They want to abolish school choice while sending their children to the best private schools in the land. They want to cancel you. Totally cancel you. Take your job, turn your family against you for speaking your mind, while they indoctrinate your children with twisted, twisted, world views that nobody ever thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7896, + "raw_confidence": 0.7896, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You notice they're not knocking down statues and monuments anymore because when I saw what was happening I took an old law and I signed a nice new executive order. Then I explained, 10 years, if you knock down a statue, federal statue, or monument. They were all set to March on Washington. We're going to knock down some nice statues, and then they said, You know what?" + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Let's not march. The march ended very quickly. There was no more marching. They said, You know, 10 years that's a long time. That's a long time to knock over a statue that many people love and many people don't. There's a way of getting it down. You do it through a legal process. It'll go quickly if it's right." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden is the candidate of these privileged liberal hypocrites who hold you and your values in disdain. But you can send them all a thundering message on election day by voting for Trump-Pence. Do we love our Vice President too? Do we love our Vice President? I'll tell you, I watched Kamala last night and I said, I'll take Mike. I'll take Mike by a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He's been a great Vice President actually. Pennsylvania is the state that gave us the Declaration of Independence, Valley Forge, Gettysburg, and generations of American patriots. Just like you. You're patriots. You love this country. That's why you're here. You're sitting in this boiling, crazy hot, sun." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But you're smarter than me because with you it's on the back of your head. With me, I'm going to go home and my wife is going to say, What happened? You look like a lobster. Look the sun. This is great. I want to look like Lou, nice and dark. Right Lou? But with Lou it's a little easier I think. This is the state where workers got their hands dirty mining the coal and forging the steel that raised up the mightiest nation in the history of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1577, + "raw_confidence": 0.8423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're going to be stronger than ever before. Remember that. We are already. We are going to be stronger than ever before, and that's happening right now. Proud citizens like you helped build this country, and you know this. Look, together we're taking back our country. But I was just thinking as I said stronger, they want to come in and raise your taxes." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They want to come in and put regulations on all of your factories, and all of your jobs, and all of your personal things. You know, little things, and they laugh at it when I say it. The light bulb. Those new expensive light bulbs. I said, What happened to the old ones? They're better. They said, They were mandated out. I said, Why? Nobody could explain why." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I said, We're letting them back. The light bulbs are back. Dishwashers. They have dishwashers they don't give you any water. They give you not enough water, so they're lousy. So what do people do? They press the button again, and again. No water. I let them have lots of water. We just got back from Whirlpool in Ohio." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1899, + "raw_confidence": 0.8101, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They're thriving now because of what I did to competition from other countries. I tariffed them, and Whirlpool now went from a company that was just about over to a company that's thriving. Sink faucets, shower faucets. I won't say the third element of the bathroom because they always just bring that up, so I won't say that but you know what I'm talking about." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7623, + "raw_confidence": 0.7623, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They don't allow water. You go into a new hotel. You turn on the water. There's no water. I opened it up. I said they could have as much water. I mean does Pennsylvania have a problem with water? No. Yeah you have a problem with water. You have too much of it. Right? You have too much water. You got to get rid of it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So why are we having restrictors? They have restrictors on, so I took it off. These are little things. I tell you about them. A lot of people appreciate them. A lot of people don't know about it. But now you could go out, buy a light bulb for a tiny fraction of the cost that's better. Won't last as long, but it's better." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "It's better light. Makes me look much better. That's a very important, it's a very important thing. But you can buy now faucets where water actually comes out, and so instead of having it like on for many times longer Actually when I take a shower, I can have water hit my hair instead of drop, drop. It's hard enough my hair without that." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 145, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1746, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So now we can actually have water pouring out of our shower heads. Okay? So a lot of good things. We've done a lot of things that nobody talks about, nobody writes about, but it's about quality of life, and I think the people really appreciate it. I really do. Not so easy to do. Not so easy to do. I don't think anybody else could have done it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Nobody else would have thought to do things like that, but nobody else would have done it. We're returning power to you the American people from Scranton to Easton. How's Ernie doing? Good? Huh? How good is Ernie? Right? Right? Is he great? Ernie Holmes? He was heavyweight champ. Right? The champ. Larry." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Larry. Sorry about that. I know another one named Ernie Holmes. Larry Holmes. Is he still in the area of How good was Larry? Right? That was probably Muhammad Ali's most dangerous fight. I've never seen anything like it. Mohammad would never go down, but Larry Holmes was a great champion and I know he loved Easton." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "He used to tell me that, I want to invest my money in Easton. I don't know if that was a good thing or a bad thing. I hope he's doing well, but he was one hell of a fighter. From Scranton to Easton, to Allentown, we're going to fight for every job, every family, every neighborhood, and every vote. Together we'll unite citizens of every race, color, religion, and creed, as one people, one family, one glorious nation under God." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 149, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1834, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "That's another word they don't want you to say, God. You know that, right? Did you see they were doing something last night that was extremely basic, and always has had the word God in it, and they decided to take the word God out. But this is where they're coming from. They're coming to get you. This is where they're coming from." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2322, + "raw_confidence": 0.7678, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And me, we, we're the wall between the American dream and total insanity, and the destruction of the greatest country in the history of the world. We're all that stands. We're all that stands, and a typical Republican probably wouldn't get there but I think I'm very Republican in many ways, but your typical Republican would not be able to win." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1526, + "raw_confidence": 0.8474, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Like your area. This has always been a Democrat area, and yet the votes for Trump here are through the roof. You know how successful we were four years ago. Incredible. It's a great area. These are great people. They're great, hardworking, incredible people, and we love them. With your drive and devotion we will win a historic victory on November 3rd, and we will make America greater than it's ever been before." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1837, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I just want to thank the people of Scranton, the lack of home, okay, the lack of home for Joe Biden. Remember the next time. We've got to stop him from saying these things. But you look at He's going to make a speech tonight. It's going to be very interesting to see how he does, and I hope he does well." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 153, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I'll be honest. I do. I hope he does well. I really hope he does well, but I also want him to tell the truth. He's got to tell the truth about things, and he's going to do a lot better if he does, but hopefully not well enough. Right now we are leading a war that's incredible. But right now we're leading in so many polls that they refuse to put out." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 154, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1932, + "raw_confidence": 0.8068, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're doing so good in this state, in North Carolina, in Florida, in Texas, in Ohio, in Michigan. You know how many car plants are being built or expanded in Michigan? We're doing fantastically in Michigan. We're doing great in New Hampshire. These are real polls. These aren't suppression polls. These aren't polls where they do registered voters." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Registered. No. You want to do voters that are going to vote. Registered voters. You want to do what's called likely voters. Likely. In other words, people that are likely to vote. Not registered voters, many of whom have died, many of whom aren't going to vote, and then you want to do an even count. You don't want to do many more Democrats." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1737, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They do a poll. Right? Many, many Democrats, few, few Republicans. Trump is down by six, and then you look and you say, Well, if that poll is true, we're up by 10. So we're going to see. You're going to see. They did it last time. They had me losing every swing state. I think they had me losing like nine states that I won." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But he's going to lose. Right? You were the first one that told me Lou. He's going to lose seven swing states. He's going to lose them all. He's down by 14. Washington Post-ABC, they had me down one week before the election 12 to 14 points. The day of the election, because we complained that it was a fake poll, so they changed it the day of the election, and they had us just about even." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 158, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7193, + "raw_confidence": 0.7193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Remember that whole big deal? We said, You can't say we're down because that's called suppression. Then you say, Hey, I love Trump, but I can't vote for him because I don't have the time because he's not going to win. But if you would have gone out and voted, we would have won. The problem was last time for them, 2016, everybody went out and voted." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 159, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6909, + "raw_confidence": 0.6909, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "There was no suppression. There was incredible exhilaration except on the other side that they would not You ever see those pictures of the craziness going on? But the polls were fake. Just like their stories are fake. Just like the news is fake. The polls are even worse, and we're now actually doing worse." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7758, + "raw_confidence": 0.7758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "One of the most accurate polls was Rasmussen, and Rasmussen came out today. Did you see it? 51 for Trump, 51. I think they were one of the three most accurate polls and the ones that are telling the truth. Sometimes, I mean they have a poll that came out recently that was very favorable, they refused to release it." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1638, + "raw_confidence": 0.8362, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "They didn't want the people to see it. What kind of stuff is this? That's why you're going to do a great job. Right? You're going to make sure this stuff doesn't happen, but we're going to make sure too. So we're going to win this, and I think we're going to win it really big. When you see those people outside, and I mean you can take this crowd and multiply it times It looks like a hundred." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Right? You can multiply it times a hundred, but when you see this crowd, and when you see the kind of enthusiasm, there's nothing like it. We're leading by the way, even they admit, we're leading by enthusiasm by numbers like they've never seen before, record numbers. Meaning we have record enthusiasm, and he has a record lack of enthusiasm, and that is a big, big factor." + }, + { + "tid": "z_gP5LJI27Q", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-old-forge-pennsylvania-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So I just want to thank all of the people from this incredible place. I mean it's just a great, a great, great place. I've been here for so long and so much, and I love it, and I love the people. We're going to have the biggest victory. We're going to have a victory that will equal or surpass what we did in 2016. Thank you all very much. Thank you very much. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "To an extent. I also think in terms of the downside. I do. I've been given a lot of credit for positive thinking, but I also think about downside because only a fool doesn't." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1823, + "raw_confidence": 0.8177, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I think you have to have a positive outlook. Otherwise, you would have nothing without a positive outlook. I think we've done an incredible job, between the ventilators and stopping very infected people from China coming in, meaning putting the ban on China, which frankly nobody wanted me to do, practically nobody because it was very early in January." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3847, + "raw_confidence": 0.6153, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Then putting the ban on Europe, not an easy thing to do. When you put a ban on Europe, that's a big thing. We would have probably lost hundreds of thousands of lives more had I not done that. And all of the experts, every one of them, not one of them wanted to do it. They thought it was too severe. Three months later, they're all saying, I'm glad you did it." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.199, + "raw_confidence": 0.801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Nobody knew what this thing was all about. This has never happened before. 1917, but it was a totally different, it was a flu in that case. Okay? But other than 1917, there's never been anything like this. And by the way, if you watch the fake news on television, they don't even talk about it. But you know, there are 188 of the countries right now that are suffering, some proportionately far greater than we are." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Some proportionately greater than we are. Right now, right now, Spain is having a big spike. There are tremendous problems in the world. You look at Moscow, look at what's going on with Moscow. Look at Brazil, look at these countries what's going on. This was sent to us by China, one way or the other, and we're never going to forget it. Believe me, we're never going to forget it. And we were beating China at every single point." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2265, + "raw_confidence": 0.7735, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We were beating them on trade, we were making progress like nobody's ever made progress. Before the pandemic, they had the worst year, Jonathan, that they've had in 67 years. You know that. With the tariffs and everything else I did, we would taking in billions of dollars. I was giving some of it to the farmers." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3335, + "raw_confidence": 0.6665, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The farmers were doing well because they were targeting the farmers, I was targeting China. We were doing good. Then all of a sudden, the game changed, and I had to close it down. I closed down the greatest economy ever in history." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, wait. And then, I closed it down. And now we're opening it. And we saved, by the way, by closing it down, we saved millions of lives. If we would have gone to herd and we knew very little about the disease, if we would've gone herd, we would have lost millions of people, millions of people. One person's too much." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We're at 140,000 people. One person is too much. We're at 140. We would have lost millions of people. And those people that really understand it, they really understand it. They said, it's incredible the job that we've done. And again, I bring it up, the ban" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.729, + "raw_confidence": 0.729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Banning China from coming in far earlier" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Nobody knew the extent. Nobody knew how contagious it was. You know What? Maybe China knew." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7662, + "raw_confidence": 0.7662, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Excuse me, Jonathan, we had a 19,000 seat stadium and first of all, we had 12,000 people, not 6,000, which you reported and other people reported. But you couldn't even get in. It was like an armed camp." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6492, + "raw_confidence": 0.6492, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Because they had 120 Black Lives Matter people there and Tulsa" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1979, + "raw_confidence": 0.8021, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Excuse me, wait. And Tulsa, well, because that area was a very good area at the time. It was an area that was pretty much over. After, after, a month later, it started going up. That's a month later, but Tulsa was a very good, Oklahoma was doing very well as a state. It was almost free. It spiked a month later, a month and a half, two months later." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1628, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But it was a good area. We had a tremendous crowd, we had tremendous response. It was like an armed camp. You couldn't even get through. You couldn't get anybody in. But we had 12,000 people. It was incorrectly reported. The other thing we had that nobody wants to talk about, so Fox broadcast it. It was the highest rating in the history of Fox television Saturday night." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, wait a minute. You're saying something. That speech was the highest rated speech in the history of Fox television on Saturday night. And nobody says that." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I'm just saying this. I'm just saying this. At the time... And I canceled another one. I had to cancel it and we were going to have a great crowd in New Hampshire, and I canceled it for the same reason." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah. Under the circumstances right now, I think it's under control. I'll tell you what" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They are dying. That's true. And it is what it is. But that doesn't mean we aren't doing everything we can. It's under control as much as you can control it. This is a horrible plague that beset us." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I'll tell you, I'd like to know if somebody... First of all, we have done a great job. We've gotten the governors everything they needed, they didn't do their job. Many of them didn't and some of them did. Someday we'll sit down. We'll talk about the successful ones, the good ones. Look at that smile." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The good ones and the bad. We had good and bad. And we had a lot in the middle, but we had some incredible governors. I could tell you right now who the great ones are and who the not so great ones are, but the governors do it. We gave them massive amounts of material." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5188, + "raw_confidence": 0.5188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "By the way, not get worse like the original flow. You understand that." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2646, + "raw_confidence": 0.7354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But If you look, Arizona's going down. Texas is going down, and Florida is going down." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, I'm not going to get bored. I never get bored of talking about this, it's too big a thing." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7709, + "raw_confidence": 0.7709, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And again, it should have been stopped by China, and it wasn't." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, I think I'm very consistent. No, this is a very serious thing. We have 140,000 people at this moment." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1741, + "raw_confidence": 0.8259, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This is a very, very serious situation. And what you have to do, is handle it the best it can be handled. And again, I'm working with the governors. I got them tremendous amounts of equipment that they would have never gotten. Jonathan, they wouldn't have equipment now, if I didn't get." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1754, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, we have great testing. We're doing and many other people do" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.606, + "raw_confidence": 0.606, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let me explain the testing. We have tested more people than any other country, than all of Europe put together times two. We have tested more people than anybody ever thought of. India has 1.4 billion people. They've done 11 million tests. We've done 55, it'll be close to 60 million tests. And there are those that say, you can test too much." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You do And there are those that say you can test too much. You do know that." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Oh, just read the manuals, read the books." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2063, + "raw_confidence": 0.7937, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let me explain. What testing does, it shows cases. It shows where there may be cases. Other countries test... you know when they test? They test when somebody is sick. That's when they test. And I'm not saying they're right or wrong. Nobody has done it like we've done it. We've gotten absolutely no credit for it. But we've come up with so many different tests." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The only thing that we have now is some people have to wait longer than we'd like them to. We want it" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1813, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We want point to point. We want to have a five minute to a 15 minute test." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And we have... and like many others" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2006, + "raw_confidence": 0.7994, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And, from what I understand, we're close to 50% where it's point to point tests. We are making thousands of instruments, thousands of tests right now, tens of thousands that can be distributed to various parts of the country. But you have to understand. And we've even sent some of them to other countries where they had a big problem." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1922, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Jonathan, almost 50%, in fact, I think the number might be over, is immediate testing. The other is tough. You take a test. You have to send it to a laboratory. Let's say that takes a day. Let's say it's a day." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So, it's three, or four, or five days." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "There is nothing you can do about that." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I think that you will have that relatively soon. I mean" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I would much rather get back to you." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3247, + "raw_confidence": 0.6753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Because I don't want to have you write in one month, I didn't make it." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Excuse me. One thing I would say about testing." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6853, + "raw_confidence": 0.6853, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Because we test so much, we show cases. So, we show many, many cases. We show tremendous number of cases. I know you're smiling when I say that, but I'm telling you." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I know. Other countries don't test like we do. So, they don't show case." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7791, + "raw_confidence": 0.7791, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We're testing so much because we had the ability to test." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7011, + "raw_confidence": 0.7011, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Jonathan, we didn't even have a test. When I took over, we didn't even have a test. Now, in all fairness" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Excuse me. I was going to say" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7961, + "raw_confidence": 0.7961, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "There was no test for this. We didn't have a test because there was no test." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3199, + "raw_confidence": 0.6801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And, in a very short order, we got one test. We got another test." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4719, + "raw_confidence": 0.5281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We got another. Many of those tests are now obsolete because it's called science." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2102, + "raw_confidence": 0.7898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And, all of a sudden, something is better. But, because we tested so many people, 55, 60 million people, very soon, we get cases. You test. Some kid has even just a little runny nose. It's a case. And then, you report many cases. So, we look like we have more cases than massive countries like China, which by the way, doesn't report, as you know." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7975, + "raw_confidence": 0.7975, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The point is, because we are so much better at testing than any other country in the world, we show more cases." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2326, + "raw_confidence": 0.7674, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Take a look at some of these charts." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And, if you look at death per" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1997, + "raw_confidence": 0.8003, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Here is one. Well, right here, United States is lowest in numerous categories. We're lower than the world." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Look. Take a look. Right there. Here is case death." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You have to go by where... look. Here is the United States. You have to go by the cases. The cases are there." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "What it says is, when you have somebody where there's a case" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1707, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The people that live from those cases." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No. Because you have to go by the cases." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I won't get into that because I have a very good relationship with the country." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But you don't know that. And they have spikes. Look, here's one of" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Here's one. Here's one right here, United States." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now look, we're last meaning we're first." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7831, + "raw_confidence": 0.7831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And we have cases because of the testing." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, but you're not reporting it correctly, Jonathan." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "If you take a look at this other chart... look, this is our testing. I believe this is the testing. Yeah." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1559, + "raw_confidence": 0.8441, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, wait a minute. Well, don't we get credit for that? And, because we do more tests, we have more cases. In other words, we test more. We have... now, take a look. The top one, that's a good thing not a bad thing. But the top... Jonathan" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7493, + "raw_confidence": 0.7493, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "If you watch the news or read the papers, they usually talk about new cases, new cases, new cases." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7992, + "raw_confidence": 0.7992, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Death is way down from where it was." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7584, + "raw_confidence": 0.7584, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Death... excuse me. Where it was is much higher than where it is right now." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7759, + "raw_confidence": 0.7759, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It spiked, but now it's going down again." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7988, + "raw_confidence": 0.7988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's gone down in Arizona. It's going down in Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.273, + "raw_confidence": 0.727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's going down in Texas. Take a look at this. These are the tests." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Yeah. It leveled out and it's going down. That's my report, as of yesterday." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7821, + "raw_confidence": 0.7821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It is going down in Arizona. It is gong down in Texas." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5949, + "raw_confidence": 0.5949, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And it is spiked. It spiked and is now going down in Florida. It's evened out and going down in Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1965, + "raw_confidence": 0.8035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But you have to look at this. This is the number of tests compared to the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Right. And, because we've done more tests, we have more cases." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6194, + "raw_confidence": 0.6194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now, you can take them back. Check it out in your office." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No. That was a phone call to discuss other things. And frankly, that's an issue that many people said was fake news." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2469, + "raw_confidence": 0.7531, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I think a lot of people. If you look at some of the wonderful folks from the Bush Administration, some of them, not any friends of mine, were saying that it's a fake issue. But a lot of people said, it's a fake issue." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1785, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But we had a call. We had a call talking about nuclear proliferation." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Which is a very big subject where they would like to do something. And so would I. We discussed numbers things. We did not discuss that. No." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I have never discussed it with him. No. I would. I'd have no problem with it." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But you know it never got to" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's interesting. Nobody ever brings up China. They always bring Russia, Russia, Russia. If we can do something with Russia in terms of nuclear proliferation, which is a very big problem." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7188, + "raw_confidence": 0.7188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "A much bigger problem than global warming in terms of the real world, that would be a great thing. No. It never reached my desk." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2062, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You know why? Because intelligence, they didn't think it was real." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "They didn't think it was worthy. I wouldn't mind. If it reached my desk, I would have done something about it. It never reached my desk because" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7258, + "raw_confidence": 0.7258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I read a lot. They like to say I don't read. I read a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 131, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1993, + "raw_confidence": 0.8007, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I comprehend extraordinarily well, probably better than anybody that you've interviewed in a long time. I read a lot. I spend a lot of time at meetings. Usually it's once a day or at least two or three times a week, intelligence meetings." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6587, + "raw_confidence": 0.6587, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Talking about India, talking about the problems with China." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1942, + "raw_confidence": 0.8058, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Talking about so many different elements of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The world is a very angry place, if you look all over the world. We call up. I see a 22 soldiers were killed in India with China fighting over the border. It's been raging for many, many decades. And they've been fighting and back and forth. I have so many briefings on so many different countries, but this one didn't reach my desk." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2276, + "raw_confidence": 0.7724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, we sold them weapons when they were fighting Russia too. When they were fighting with the Taliban in Afghanistan" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, it's a different... I'm just saying. Yes." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I'm just saying we did that too." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't know. I didn't ask Nicholson about that. He was there for a long time. Didn't have great success because he was there before me. And then, ultimately, I made a change." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1633, + "raw_confidence": 0.8367, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't know. When you say arming is" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3012, + "raw_confidence": 0.6988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I have heard that but, again, it's never reached my desk." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1804, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Hey, Russia doesn't want anything to do with Afghanistan. Let me just say about Russia. Russia used to be a thing called the Soviet Union. Because of Afghanistan, they went bankrupt. They became Russia, just so you do understand. Okay? The last Went bankrupt, they became Russia, just so you do understand, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7789, + "raw_confidence": 0.7789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The last thing that Russia wants to do is get too much involved with Afghanistan. They tried that once. It didn't work out too well." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.789, + "raw_confidence": 0.789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And by the way, we're largely out of Afghanistan, as you probably know." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 147, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.727, + "raw_confidence": 0.727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We'll be down in a very short... It's already planned." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1811, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let me explain. We'll be down in a very short period of time to 8,000, then we're going to be down to 4,000. We're negotiating right now. We've been there for 19 years." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 152, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We'll be at 4,000. I'll get you the exact" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't want to tell you that. I don't want to tell you." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We had much more. We had a lot of people over there too." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1608, + "raw_confidence": 0.8392, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "A lot of people. And we did a good job. We wiped out ISIS. Let me just tell you what you don't see." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 163, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2159, + "raw_confidence": 0.7841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We took out, in Syria, we took out ISIS. We a hundred percent of the caliphate. When I took over Obama, it was totally rampant. ISIS was all over the place. We took them out. We captured them. We killed them a hundred percent, not 99%. I wanted to get out at 99. Everyone said, Oh, please, would you stay? I stayed." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 164, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2073, + "raw_confidence": 0.7927, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "99% was good, but a hundred percent of the caliphate. We took out Soleimani. We took out al-Baghdadi. We took out people that nobody thought possible. Al-Baghdadi was the biggest terrorist of them all. They couldn't find him. I took him out. Soleimani, even bigger. I took him out. I've done things that no other president's done." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 165, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "None. I mean, fortunately, not too many. They should have never been in the Middle East. The decision to go to the Middle East and get into the Middle East was the single biggest mistake made in the history of our country. That's my opinion." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 167, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1912, + "raw_confidence": 0.8088, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I mean, she doesn't accept them and she got beaten very easily." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 168, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1879, + "raw_confidence": 0.8121, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Grumbled? Grumbled? She wrote books about it." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 172, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "306 to 223. That's a lot. That's a lot." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 173, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I'll tell you what it looks like." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 174, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let me tell you what it looks." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 175, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So we have a new phenomena. It's called mail-in voting, where you send, where a governor" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 177, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6686, + "raw_confidence": 0.6686, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "In terms of kind of the kind of millions and millions of ballots. They've never done anything like that." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 179, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1634, + "raw_confidence": 0.8366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "So they're going to send tens of millions of ballots to California, all over the place, to who's going to get them. I have a friend who lives in Westchester County" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 180, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "His son passed away. He had a beautiful, wonderful son. Young man. Passed away seven years ago. He called me, he said, I just got a ballot for my son, Robert." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 181, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8006, + "raw_confidence": 0.8006, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He died seven years ago. Somebody got at ballot for a dog. Somebody got a ballot for something else. You got millions of ballots going, nobody even knows where they're going. You look at some of the corruption having to do with universal mail-in voting... Absentee voting is okay. You have to apply, you have to go through a process." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 182, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2359, + "raw_confidence": 0.7641, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Absentee voting is good. Look, you're sending it out" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 185, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7968, + "raw_confidence": 0.7968, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "There is no way you can go through a mail-in vote without massive cheating." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 188, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Let me tell you. We have no choice." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 190, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2153, + "raw_confidence": 0.7847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We have no choice because right now, we have, but we have many court cases that we're waiting. We have one filed in Western Pennsylvania. We have many court cases where we're trying to end it. We went through World War I, you went to the polls, you voted, we went through World War II, you went to the polls, you voted." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 191, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7328, + "raw_confidence": 0.7328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And now because of the China virus, we're supposed to stay home, send millions of ballots all over the country, millions and millions. You know, you could have a case where this election won't be decided on the evening of November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 192, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2696, + "raw_confidence": 0.7304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "This election could be decided two months later," + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 193, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.168, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It could be decided many months later." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 194, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You know why? Because lots of things will happen during that period of time. Especially when you have tight margins, lots of things can happen. There's never been anything like this when you try... Now, of course, right now, we have to live with it, but we're challenging it in many courts, as you know, all over the country." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 195, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, first of all, I don't know that, but I do know this" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 197, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Was either killed or committed suicide in jail. She's now in jail. Yeah, I wish you well, I'd wish you well, I'd wish a lot of people well. Good luck. Let them prove somebody was guilty. I mean, you do know that she" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 198, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, her boyfriend died in jail and people are still trying to figure out how did it happened? Was it suicide? Was he killed? And I do wish her well. I'm not looking for anything bad for her. I'm not looking bad for anybody. And they took that and made it such a big deal" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 199, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "But all it is is her boyfriend died. He died in jail. Was he killed? Was it suicide? I do, I wish her well." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 200, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "No, no, no, no, no, no. No. No." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 203, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2725, + "raw_confidence": 0.7275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "For 59 days, these people were anarchists and agitators, and some protesters, but these were anarchists. These people were beating the hell out of the city. They were beating up our federal buildings and our federal courthouse. We told the police to stop it. You make sure. And the police wouldn't do it. Not the police" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 205, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2506, + "raw_confidence": 0.7494, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You're trying now to blame law enforcement instead of anarchists" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 207, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's Antifa and anarchists that are causing the problems, not law enforcement. Our law enforcement, if we didn't have people at our courthouse, and they're strong, tough people, and they don't want... They try and be very good, believe me. But if we didn't have people there, you would have your federal courthouse, a $600 million building, you would have that thing burned to the ground right now." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 208, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay, let me tell you about unmarked." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 209, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well let me tell you about unmarked." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 210, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1767, + "raw_confidence": 0.8233, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "First of all, these are Homeland Security people. They're securing a courthouse." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 212, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5225, + "raw_confidence": 0.5225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Border, hopefully they have ICE in there." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 213, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Hopefully they have ICE. Now, do you know why they're unmarked?" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 214, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5234, + "raw_confidence": 0.5234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Because these terrorists, these Antifa people, these people that are at anarchists and agitators, when they see the name on a uniform of a person, a policeman or a law enforcement person, they find out where that person lives. And then they go and they scare the hell out of the person's family. And so they do it for that reason." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 215, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It's just common... There's nothing secret about this. And you know it. You see what's going on right now. We have Chad Wolf. They have people. He's doing a fantastic job. He's the acting head. He's doing a fantastic job. Chad Wolf has pickets and very dangerous looking people outside of his house. He's going to be just fine." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 216, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1622, + "raw_confidence": 0.8378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He's tough and he's got people, but if you have the names on all of these uniforms, you'll have these maniacs in front of their houses, scaring their family and their wives or husbands, whatever it may be. I think it's a very good reason not to have your name. Why should you have identification? My name is Bill Smith and here's where I live and I'm a member of-" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 219, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.158, + "raw_confidence": 0.842, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You know why? You know why they're being detained? Well," + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 220, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I haven't seen the result yet. Let me see the result." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 222, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I think Antifa should be investigated, not the law enforcement. They're investigating, think of" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 223, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Have you been watching television They're investigating" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 226, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1781, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Now, if you watch NBC News like I watch NBC fake news. I'm watching it. Lester Holt, real beauty. I'm watching this NBC News sham, and you have a mayor named Wheeler and he's standing out there and he's being accosted by the people. You know that. I mean, it's horrible what they're doing to him in Portland, the mayor of Portland and he thought he'd go out." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 227, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2052, + "raw_confidence": 0.7948, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He'd be a man. What they were doing and saying, and everything else to him, I happened to watch it on a different station. He had to get out. He had five security guards." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 228, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He got out with his life. Okay." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 229, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Wait. If you watch NBC News, they make them like he's standing there bravely fighting with the people, in a positive sense, that everything is wonderful. No. He went out there. He's lucky he got away with his life because they would've killed him. He had five guards, but NBC News showed it like he's standing with the people for justice." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 230, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3747, + "raw_confidence": 0.6253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Look, those people, take a look at what they've done to the courthouse. Take a look at what they've done to the streets. Take a look at the violence." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 231, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Actually, it's getting better. We had a very good... We've arrested a lot of people and we now have a 10 year rule. You try not to knock down our courthouse" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 232, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8001, + "raw_confidence": 0.8001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "You touch our courthouse, you go to jail for 10 years." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 234, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And they're doing it for political reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 237, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1701, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, Black Lives Matter started off to me very badly because it was" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 238, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1851, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... pigs in a blanket, burn them like bacon. That was the first time I ever of Black... That was three, four years ago. Pigs meaning policemen. Pigs is what they're referring to, in a blanket, fry them like bacon. So I got off to a bad start. I got off to a very bad start." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 240, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I would. But I think right now when they paint" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 241, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1529, + "raw_confidence": 0.8471, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... the sign. Nobody's asked for a meeting, right? I've never been, nobody's ever asked me for a meeting. Let me tell you with African Americans, I'm doing very well. They had the best employment numbers they've ever had. They had the best job numbers they've ever had. They were making more money than they ever made." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 242, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.786, + "raw_confidence": 0.786, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "We were all set until we got hit by China with the virus. Jonathan, there was actually, we were becoming a very unified country." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 244, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I hope not. I hope not. Certainly the\u00e2\u0080\u00a6" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 245, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "The knee on the neck was a disgrace. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 247, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I hope the answer to that question is no. Does anybody really answer that question accurately? Does anybody really know?" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 248, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I have seen where there is a difference and I don't want there to be a difference. I don't like that there would be a difference. But with that being said" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 250, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1883, + "raw_confidence": 0.8117, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... in larger number, police have killed white people." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 253, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't know why, but I don't like it. I do know this" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 254, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... that police have killed many white people also." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 255, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "It speaks to something, if that's the number?" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 256, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Okay. If that's the number, it speaks to something that to me is unacceptable." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 257, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, I think we've already done a lot of things" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 259, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7938, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I've done a thing called criminal justice reform." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 260, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7994, + "raw_confidence": 0.7994, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "And your friend President Obama couldn't get done." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 261, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6693, + "raw_confidence": 0.6693, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He tried, but he couldn't get it done. I got criminal justice" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 262, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6718, + "raw_confidence": 0.6718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I got opportunities on, I took care of the historically Black... If you look at what I've done for colleges, for Black colleges and universities, I got them funding. Obama never did it. I did more for the Black community than anybody with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln, whether you like it or not." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 265, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7892, + "raw_confidence": 0.7892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Because I got criminal justice reform done, I got prison reform" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 267, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Ask. Ask. How has it worked out? If you take a look at what Lyndon Johnson did?" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 268, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "How has it worked out? Because frankly, it took a long time, but for African Americans" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 269, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... under my administration, Jonathan, under my administration, African Americans were doing better than they have ever done in the history of this country. So I did a lot, job numbers, all of it, money. They had money, they were getting great. Their percentage was up, their housing ownership was up. They did better than they've ever done until we got hit" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 270, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... and now you know what we're doing? I'm building it up again. We're going to have it. Next year will be a great year, unless it's screwed up by somebody that doesn't know what he's doing, which could happen, but I don't think it will." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 271, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2062, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I don't know. I really don't know. I don't know. I don't know John Lewis. He chose not to come to my inauguration. He chose... I never met John Lewis, actually, I don't believe." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 272, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I can't say one or the other. I find a lot of people impressive. I find many people not impressive. But no, but I didn't go" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 273, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1794, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He didn't come to my inauguration. He didn't come to my State of the Union speeches, and that's okay. That's his right. And again, nobody has done more" + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 274, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1708, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "... for Black Americans than I have." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 275, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1763, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He should've come. I think he made a big mistake by not showing up." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 276, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4755, + "raw_confidence": 0.5245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "He was a person that devoted a lot of energy and a lot of heart to civil rights, but there were many others also." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 277, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1738, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "I would have no objection to it if they've like to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 278, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Would have no objection to it whatsoever." + }, + { + "tid": "zaaTZkqsaxY", + "sid": 279, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-axios-jonathan-swan-hbo-august-3-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-03", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. Great honor." + }, + { + "tid": "zFnCxPC-Syk", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "So, I'm going to New York now. I'm going into Manhattan, into the a certain area that's a little bit private, to put it mildly. And we'll see you there. I don't know who's going, but we'll see you there. We'll then be coming out here." + }, + { + "tid": "zFnCxPC-Syk", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1673, + "raw_confidence": 0.8327, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We're being honored by the police, by New York City's Finest, tonight. And they'll be doing an endorsement, so we're very honored by that. And we will see you probably later. Do you have any questions?" + }, + { + "tid": "zFnCxPC-Syk", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "Well, that's where I'm going. I'll be going to the hospital, so I'll see my brother." + }, + { + "tid": "zFnCxPC-Syk", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1704, + "raw_confidence": 0.8296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "I hope he's okay. He has a tough time. He's having a tough time." + }, + { + "tid": "zFnCxPC-Syk", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-press-gaggle-air-force-one-arrival-august-14-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-14", + "claim_text": "We're doing very well on our trade deal, but I feel differently about China than I've ever felt. I'll see you later." + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, especially in this time, where we have the COVID, and we have all of the things going on, and we're opening up our country again. So to have baseball back is so even though it's an abbreviated season to have baseball back means so much to me, and to the country. It's spirit, it's a spirit. It's a time. It's a special time. Usually it's spring, and that means" + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.167, + "raw_confidence": 0.833, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "the nice weather. Here we are. It's even beyond spring. I think it's going to work out really great. I hear there's tremendous interest in watching the games." + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I think it's going to be good. I'll be watching. I'm going to try and watch a little bit, at least. So let me ask you for an audience, big audience. You were the greatest reliever of all time. You got the Presidential Medal of Freedom. In fact, Tiger Woods got it. And you did it right, right after Tiger and great people have it. Great athletes have it. You had a pitch that broke a lot of bats, Mariano." + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1959, + "raw_confidence": 0.8041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I've watched many sitting with George. Good old George, who's watching you right now, is very proud of you. But sitting with George, and I watch you break more bats. What do you attribute that to, because I've never seen a pitcher do it. They'd get up, and the bat would just shatter. What was that all about?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "I think it means so much. When you retired, I remember watching you in that last season, you were really pitching good, and I said, he's good for another three or five years or something, but you could have gone on, don't you think?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.18, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Well, one of the most exciting things in sports was an important game, a World Series or a playoff game, and you hear the Sandman playing at Yankee stadium, and this guy walked in, like it was nothing to it, and he just blew them away. My wife, I said to the First Lady, she was asking me, why do they play the Sandman?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "What does it mean? I said, he just put the batters to sleep, right? He just put 'em in, just about every single time." + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Yes. I spoke with Randy Lavine. He says the team is going to be great. They're going to have a great season, and they do have a good team and they have some strong hitters. So we'll see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "But, it's an honor to have you at The White House. You're my friend, and a very special person. Great athlete. Great, great athlete, but a special person." + }, + { + "tid": "ZGlgZR-Tp8w", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1587, + "raw_confidence": 0.8413, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-interview-mariano-rivera-baseball-july-23-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-23", + "claim_text": "Appreciate it. Thank you everybody very much." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. And thank you for being here to discuss the relentless work that we're doing to defeat the China virus and protect the people of Florida. Great state. Just got the endorsement of the sheriffs, and they are amazing people. Law enforcement in Florida is very very, very first rate. We appreciate the that endorsement in particular." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "First, I want to provide an update to our response and on our response to a hurricane. So the hurricane is I'm not sure it's a hurricane yet. It's right now, it's sort of projected as a storm/hurricane, right? What's going to happen? Is that looking like a hurricane to you, Ron?" + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Let's keep it that. Let's not let it get any bigger. But it's it's pretty severe nevertheless. A lot of water coming in. It's approach approaching the Florida coast." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The storm has already passed through Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, and I've approved emergency declarations for both of those areas. FEMA is closely coordinating with Florida, with your governor, who happens to be on my right. Good job, by the way, Ron. You're doing a great job. And we're in constant contact with the Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama, and anybody else that may have a problem." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But we think it's going to be it's going to work out very well. But we have FEMA all set to go. In some of those states, they're already there." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I ask all of those in the path of the storm to follow the guidance of your state, local, and tribal officials. My administration will be here for you every single step of the way. We've done everything we can do, and now we're just waiting for the storm. And I guess it's right behind me. It's following me." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're grateful to be joined by Health and Human Services Secretary, who's doing a fantastic job on COVID, or whatever you want to call it. There are many different names. All we know is it came from China and they shouldn't have let it happen. But Alex Azar is here. Thank you, Alex, very much." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Governor Ron DeSantis, doing a fantastic job. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Previous governor, and now senator, Rick Scott, he's representing Florida very well in in Washington. And I just spoke with Marco Rubio, and likewise, he's doing a great job. And he sends his regards." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1724, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "State Senator Wilton Simpson. Thank you very much, Senator. Great job you're doing. State Representative Daniel Perez. Daniel? Thank you, Daniel, very much. Pinellas County Commissioner Kathleen Peters. Hi, Kathleen." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And CEO of Safety Net Hospital Alliance of Florida, Justin Senior. Thank you. Thank you, Justin, very much very much for being here." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So we continue to take very aggressive action to combat the virus in Florida. And your state officials are amazing. They've been working so hard." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4996, + "raw_confidence": 0.5004, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The rate of positive cases in Florida has now declined. It's declining. And hospitalizations are declining in most places, and pretty steadily. And we think there's going to be a big decline starting very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5622, + "raw_confidence": 0.5622, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "There is currently over 21 percent inpatient hospital bed capacity available. So there's plenty of bed capacity. And over 16 percent ICU capacity available, and some of that's going to be emptying out as people get better. They do get better and they get better pretty fast." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Statewide, we're providing additional resources and personnel to help save lives. We remain concerned about Florida, about Miami, and in a certain area of Miami in particular. But local officials are working very hard, and we think we have that one in the right step also." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The test positivity rate has declined over the last week and in some cases, very substantially as have hospitalization levels. But we must further reduce the spread, and that's what we're doing. We're working closely with health officials on the ground to support this effort." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The single best way to defeat the disease is personal responsibility. You've heard me say it. You've heard a lot of people say it, actually. I urge all Americans to protect the elderly. The fact is you have to do the social distancing thing. It's very important. Socially distance. Wear a mask when you cannot avoid crowded places or socially distance. And wash your hands as often as possible." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Almost half of all deaths nationwide have been in nursing homes and assisted living centers. And I have to say, the state of Florida, with regard to the nursing homes, has done an incredible job. Really, an incredible job. They watched what was happening in some places, even beyond our own country the other other countries. They were seeing what was happening with the elderly, and particularly in nursing homes. And, Ron, you've done a great job on that. We appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5518, + "raw_confidence": 0.5518, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I have to say that there's been a big surge of the China virus in other countries very big. Countries that we thought we they were doing a good job. And they were; they were doing a great job in some cases. But big headline in the Wall Street Journal just yesterday, and an editorial, that all of a sudden they started to surge. So, countries that we thought were doing great, turned out to have difficulty big difficulty. I won't name the countries, but you know them. There are a lot of them actually." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The average age of those who succumb to the virus is 78 years old. We're also closely monitoring the situation in Latin America and its impact on the United States. Latin America has more confirmed cases than anywhere else in the world. Actually, substantially more. They're having a hard time." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6884, + "raw_confidence": 0.6884, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We've sent many ventilators to Latin America. We've sent many ventilators to different countries in Europe, Africa, and all over the world. We've we're making thousands of ventilators now, a month. We started off with essentially very little, and we've become a ventilator manufacturer, so to speak." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5873, + "raw_confidence": 0.5873, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we're helping a lot of a lot of countries. We've sent them to France. We've sent him to Italy a lot to Italy. We sent them to Mexico. We've sent them to Russia. Moscow is having a tremendous problem. And we've sent them to a lot of different countries many. And we have a full supply in our country." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The amazing thing is we started with very few, and not one person that needed a ventilator did not get a ventilator. So that's a pretty amazing statistic. We have nearly 1,400 federal personnel on the ground already in Florida, including personnel supporting nursing homes. We have doctors military doctors they're incredible and very talented people. And frankly, they're very brave people. But they're all over the state helping with your medical folks. And Ron asked if he could get some extra people here. We did it immediately." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "In the last week, we've opened five new surge testing sites in Florida in Fort Lauderdale, Hollywood Beach, Pompano Beach, and two in Miami. We're sending rapid test kits to 701 Medicare- and Medicaid-certified nursing homes in the state. We've also sent multiple shipments of protective equipment to all of the nursing homes. And as I said on ventilators I can also talk about in Florida and Miami, they have everything they need. They have they don't need any. We've sent a lot. They don't need any." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5654, + "raw_confidence": 0.5654, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Testing wise, we've tested almost 60 million people throughout the country, which is about six times more than any other country close to six times more than any other country. We have if you look at India, they're at 11 million. We're going to be at over 60 million. So they've done a tremendous job in testing, considering we started off with very little. It was an unknown disease and it was an unknown test." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1921, + "raw_confidence": 0.8079, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "FEMA, HHS, and the private sector have delivered more than 10 million N95 masks, 43 million surgical masks, 19.7 million gowns, and 1.3 billion medical gloves to Florida. 1.3 billion gloves, Ron." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7313, + "raw_confidence": 0.7313, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We've secured 90 percent of the world's supply of remdesivir, which has been very, very successful, and have sent over 143 vials to Florida hospitals as a really something that's very special and we're working on very hard." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5396, + "raw_confidence": 0.5396, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Operation Warp Speed today we reached a 2-billion-dollar agreement with Sanofi and GSX to conduct clinical trials and mass-produce 100 million doses of vaccine." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6841, + "raw_confidence": 0.6841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "What we've done is rather incredible, I have to say. We have many companies great companies Johnson & Johnson Merck, Pfizer. Many companies are very close to getting the vaccine. We think it's going to be in a very short time from now." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1989, + "raw_confidence": 0.8011, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we're set with our military to deliver the vaccine. We have a a tremendous military delivery service, and that, we'll be doing it. It's called logistics, and they will be taking the vaccine and bringing it all over the country. And I'm sure that we'll be supplying it beyond our country also. But we're going to have it very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I just want to thank Rick and Ron and everybody. They've done, really, a fantastic job. We've worked together so long and so hard. And this is something that came upon us. It should have never happened, but it came upon us. And there's been great bravery from our doctors and our nurses, our frontline people. And we're very proud of what's happening. And we'll get rid of it. We'll beat it, and it'll be soon." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We want to get our schools open. We want to get our businesses open. Much of the country is open. We've set records on number of employees, and hiring and employment. Basically, if you look at the number, I think last month was the highest number ever hired in one month. And the month before that, we broke that record. So from that standpoint, we've done well. Retail sales set a record last month. So we're doing, really, record increase. So we're doing really well, and I think this will end, hopefully, very soon. But we're fighting hard and we're fighting smart." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And I'd like to ask your governor to say a few words. Please, Ron." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2578, + "raw_confidence": 0.7422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And you have the numbers in 5 minutes to 15 minutes or something ." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1625, + "raw_confidence": 0.8375, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "That's great, Rick. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Rick. And the speed of approval is just a tiny fraction of the time that it would have been in a let's say, another administration. It's the FDA has been fantastic. They're getting things through, Ron, at levels that nobody ever thought possible. We're close to a vaccine. We think we're close to a vaccine, and that's been a matter of months, as opposed to many years. It could be take many years. And we think we're going to have a great answer very, very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Alex. I appreciate it. Please, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1939, + "raw_confidence": 0.8061, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And I just signed an executive order whereby the gentleman on my right can go out and buy your prescription drugs at a number that you'd never thought possible. And I assume you're going to be doing that pretty soon, Ron, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1788, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, you've really done a good job on the nursing homes. When I look at you compared to other places, frankly, you've really done a great job on nursing homes. I know you're focused on it. But that's been a very good situation compared to other places." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, that's been really an amazing job." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Really good job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It was an amazing group of people, wasn't it?" + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "As long as we rode and we rode a long time we had tremendous crowds. And we appreciate it, and we love Miami. We'll take care of it. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Do you have any questions, please, for anybody?" + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.189, + "raw_confidence": 0.811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, based on the polls, I'm doing very well in Florida. And the local government is doing a fantastic job. I think we're doing, really, a fantastic job, and we're getting everything that they need. They've, for the most part, had it anyway; we had it all stocked up and stacked up." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7796, + "raw_confidence": 0.7796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And you remember I used to say the cupboards were bare, federally. From the federal standpoint, we had very empty cupboards. We whether it was the military or the cupboards for medical, they were bare." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1802, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And Ron I think Ron and Rick would both say we've really supplied you with a lot, not only having to do with the medical and the COVID, but having to do with a lot more. In particular, some of the hurricanes your time and your time where you had some really bad ones, and we came through." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So the polls are looking very good. And I think when you see those crowds of people along the roads, there's a very good feeling." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, I hate it anywhere. But if you look at other countries, other countries are doing terribly. This is a horrible disease. This is a disease that should have never happened. It's something never should have been allowed to get out of China, but it did. It came here. It went to Europe. It went all over the world. It's in 188 countries." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And I will say this: Proportionately, relatively, when you look at your nursing home situation, it's a tribute to your governor and government the job they've done. You've done a really great job, and you have a very big nursing home population. You've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So I think we're doing really well in Florida." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7701, + "raw_confidence": 0.7701, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I read it all the time. I see it all the time. It was never brought to my attention. I think it's another Russia hoax. They've been giving me the Russia hoax Shifty Schiff and all these characters from the day I got here." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2197, + "raw_confidence": 0.7803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And we're working with Russia right now on a nonproliferation agreement nuclear nonproliferation. And if we can get something like that, it'd be great. But it was never brought to my attention, and because it didn't reach the level. There were a lot of people, including Democrats, that said it never took place. If it did take place, it would have been brought to my attention, and I would take very strong action. There's been nobody tougher with Russia or China than I have, not even by a longshot." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "When you look at we've what we've done compared to the past administrations, it's not even a contest. We've been very tough on Russia, with the sanctions and so many other things, including letting people know that we're not so happy about what's going on with NATO and the oil. You know." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7585, + "raw_confidence": 0.7585, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But speaking of NATO, we've raised $130 billion a year from countries from, as you know, from our partners with NATO. You have 28 countries. We had seven that were paid up; now we have a very much bigger number. We're getting $130 billion more. That's going to $400 billion. And that's money to really protect themselves, for the most part, against Russia." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2569, + "raw_confidence": 0.7431, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So nobody has done more against Russia. But it was never brought to my attention, and it perhaps wasn't brought because they didn't consider it to be real. And if it is brought to my attention, I'll do something about it." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Well, we're going to be doing a healthcare plan. We're going to be doing a very inclusive healthcare plan. I'll be signing it sometime very soon." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It might be it might be Sunday, but it's it's going to be very soon. We're also doing a full immigration plan. We're going to take care of a lot things that, for 25 years, they've been trying to get an immigration plan." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're going to be doing merit-based immigration. I'm sure you'd be happy to hear that. But it's merit-based. It's very powerfully merit-based. It's going to be very inclusive. It's going to cover just about everything that most people would have said couldn't happen, and we'll be releasing that over the next couple of weeks. So we're going we're doing a healthcare plan. We're doing a immigration plan. And we're doing another one that's very important are the drugs prescription drug prices." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1733, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We pay the highest of any country in the world, by far. You look at Germany and you look at UK and Canada and other countries, and they pay a fraction of what we pay. And we're doing a series of signatures, which I've done, and one goes into effect very soon. But we're doing matching grants and all sorts of things that are going to bring our drug prices down at levels that nobody ever thought possible. We're doing things that nobody ever thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2441, + "raw_confidence": 0.7559, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The bad news is, the pharmaceutical companies aren't exactly in love with Donald Trump, and they'll advertise they've already started it. I've seen they've already started it. I've seen the ads. And anytime you see an ad from a pharmaceutical company against me, you know that means the drug prices are coming down. But they're going to be coming down to a level that nobody ever thought possible." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7162, + "raw_confidence": 0.7162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We are as an example, Germany has very low prices, and we have very high prices many times the amount. And we're doing we have to get, no matter what the price lowest price in the world, that's what they have to give us. And right now, we have, by far, the highest price in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1693, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "We're going to allow states like Florida go to Canada and to buy their prices are much lower than ours. So they're going to be able to buy directly from Canada rather than going through their traditional sources. And I think in the state of Florida what will that cut the prescription drug prices, Ron?" + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "How about that? Seventy-five percent less. So they're going to be buying it at approximately 75 percent less." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1647, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "What we're doing, really, which is the most we're doing: rebates. And the rebates are going to go to the people and they're going to go in the form of drug reduction, drug price reduction. But we're doing something called favored nations. And nobody thought anybody would ever do that." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But, look, I want what's right for the people, and it's been very unfair. So, favored nations, meaning if another nation is paying lower, and another nation is paying even lower than that, we take the lowest nation in the world, and that's what we have to pay. Right now, we're paying many times the lowest nation in the world. You have some of the socialistic or social well, I guess you could say socialistic nations. They have drugs at a low price. Well, we'll use that to our advantage, because we're going to be getting the price that they have." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1702, + "raw_confidence": 0.8298, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Now, what's going to happen is their price will probably have to go up and our price will go way down. And I could see 50, 60, 70 percent maybe more than that reduction in prices. And no other President will ever do that. And the heat I've taken in the last couple of weeks because of that is unbelievable. And, frankly, the ads I've taken are unbelievable. It's sort of incredible. You see drug companies taking these massive ads." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7677, + "raw_confidence": 0.7677, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "You'll be buying the same drug that you paid a fortune for, for half the price, maybe better than that even. And the exact same drug made maybe in the same factory, the same company, and you're going to be paying a fraction of the price." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "But the drug companies are not happy. And, look, we want them to be happy. We want them to do well with the vaccines. We want them to do well with everything. But they've made a fortune, and that's why they can afford the ads, that's for sure." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1764, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "So when you see ads against us, and me in particular because I'm the one that's I've signed four acts we'll call it executive orders and they're the most powerful ever signed in this industry by a factor of about 20. And it's going to bring your drug prices down to a level that you've never seen before. So we're very I'm very happy about that." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1869, + "raw_confidence": 0.8131, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "The drug companies don't contribute to my campaign. I don't need their money. I haven't asked for their money. And if they did, it wouldn't matter to me anyway, but I am not somebody that's reliant on the drug companies. And we call it big pharma. Big pharma is probably the most powerful lobbyists of any lobbyists there is, probably. I don't know. Maybe the lawyers lobby is pretty powerful too. But big pharma would be just about up there. And we have to do what's right." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6989, + "raw_confidence": 0.6989, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "They've been talking about reducing drug prices ever since I can remember, ever since I've been starting to really watch politics with interest, which was actually at a very young age. But we've been talking about drug price reductions and prescription drug reductions." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2863, + "raw_confidence": 0.7137, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "And I will tell you, you're going to see the biggest reductions in the history of our country by many times. We're not talking about a 1 percent. And as you know, last year, for the first time in 51 years, drug prices went down. Marginally, but they went down. First time in 51 years. So I was President, and drug prices went down first time in 51 years. Now you're going to see numbers that you wouldn't even believe, and it's going to be fair." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.743, + "raw_confidence": 0.743, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "It's not fair that other countries pay a fraction of a and I mean a fraction of what we do. We pay all research and development and promotional costs and everything; it's put onto the United States. They pay nothing. Nothing. And then, on top of it, they say, This is what we'll pay, and this is what it is. And the United States will pay the remainder of the difference." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "I mean, this is the way they buy. They go and I won't mention names of comp- of countries. But they say, This is what we're going to pay. The United States will make up the difference. And that's not going to happen anymore." + }, + { + "tid": "zI-1LsICeEs", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1641, + "raw_confidence": 0.8359, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-coronavcirus-preparedness-florida-july-31-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-31", + "claim_text": "Okay, thank you all very much. We appreciate it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1734, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. It's great to have the Prime Minister of Iraq, a very highly respected gentleman all over the Middle East, and respected very much by our country, too. I can say that." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And we will be discussing, today, the obvious: defense and offense, I have to say. But we'll be discussing military. We're also involved in many oil projects and oil development within their country, and I think we've had a very, very good relationship since we started." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7587, + "raw_confidence": 0.7587, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're down to a very small number of soldiers in Iraq now. We defeated the ISIS caliphate in Iraq and Syria, and it's that has been defeated very strongly, and it does have a different feeling to it now that you've got it. We had it at 98 percent, and we said, Well, we can leave. And then, everybody said, Would you bring it to 100 percent? Then we brought it 100 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But the relationship is very good. We have become friends. We have become, I think, friendly. I think our relationship now is better than ever before. But we have very few soldiers in Iraq, and but we're there to help. And the Prime Minister knows that. We are there to help. We're with some people that also Mike and Mike we and Robert. We very much feel that if Iran should do anything, we will be there to help the Iraqi people." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1703, + "raw_confidence": 0.8297, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So, that's where we are. We're doing big trade deals, we're doing military deals, and we're doing military purchases by them, where they're spending a lot of money on purchasing equipment and they're building up their military rapidly, and we like to see that." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So, thank you very much, Mr. Prime Minister, for being here. I appreciate it. Please." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1908, + "raw_confidence": 0.8092, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, I feel very badly. I haven't been dealing with him for a long period of time, as most of the people in this room know. He was involved in our campaign. He worked for Goldman Sachs. He worked for a lot of companies. But he was involved, likewise, in our campaign, and for a small part of the administration, very early on. I haven't been dealing with him at all." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2316, + "raw_confidence": 0.7684, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I know nothing about the project, other than I didn't like when I read about it, I didn't like it. I said, This is for government. This isn't for private people. And it sounded, to me, like showboating. And I think I let my opinion be very strongly stated at the time. I didn't like it. It was showboating and maybe looking for funds. But you'll have to see what happens." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I think it's a very sad thing for Mr. Bannon. I think it's surprising. But this was something, as you know, just by reading social media and by reading whatever it is, and by speaking to Mike and Mike and all of them, I didn't like that project. I thought that was a project that was being done for showboating reasons." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I don't know that he was in charge. I didn't know any of the other people either. But it's sad. It's very sad." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1778, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, no, there was great lawlessness in the Obama administration. They spied on our campaign illegally. And if you look at all of the things and all of the scandals they had, they had tremendous lawlessness." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1689, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But I know nothing about it. I was not involved in the project. I have no idea who was. But I can tell you: I didn't know the people; the three people that were talked about were people that I did not know. I don't believe I ever met them." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 16, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3044, + "raw_confidence": 0.6956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I don't think that should be a privately financed wall. I don't think it's too complex; it's too big. And we're now up to 300 miles, almost. In another week, week and a half, we'll be up to 300 miles of wall at the highest level. They were even having construction problems." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4021, + "raw_confidence": 0.5979, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I was reading the little I know about it, I got from you. I was reading, where they were having construction problems with the wall that they were they had a small area just to show people that they could build a wall, and they were having a lot of problems where it was toppling over and other things. And I didn't like it because I didn't want to be associated with that." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7623, + "raw_confidence": 0.7623, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We built a very powerful wall. It was a wall that is virtually impossible to get through. It's very, very tough. It's very strong, and it's everything the Border Patrol wanted. And I didn't want to have a wall that was going to be an inferior wall. And I felt this was going to be an inferior wall." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So I didn't I didn't know I didn't know that. I didn't know about Bannon's involvement, but I didn't know any I didn't know the other people. And I but I do think it's a sad event." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 20, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1943, + "raw_confidence": 0.8057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And, again, Steve has had a great career at Goldman Sachs. He's had a career with a lot of other people. I haven't dealt with him at all, over years now literally, years. And I guess this was a project he was involved in, but it was something that in fact, you can see I made statements about it a long time ago. It was something that I very much felt was inappropriate to be doing." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "You know, you're you're very hard to understand. Could you maybe help me with it?" + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7898, + "raw_confidence": 0.7898, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "When I got to when we came into office, ISIS was running rampant all over Iraq and Syria. And we knocked out the 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate. But the Obama administration did a very, very poor job. They were running rampant all over. And we came in and we did a real job, and we got rid of that, and that was a good thing." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "And now we're working with Iraq. They use the great American Dollar, which is the most powerful currency in the world. And they're starting to do well. And we are with them. And this gentleman, in particular, we've developed a very good relationship. And hopefully, it's going to be very strong for your country." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1609, + "raw_confidence": 0.8391, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "So, at some point, we obviously will be gone. We've brought it down to a very, very low level. We deal where there are attacks, we take care of those attacks, and we take care of them very easily. Nobody has the weaponry we have. Nobody has the anything of what we have. We have the finest, the greatest military in the world. When somebody hits us, we hit back hard than they hit us. So we handle it." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1616, + "raw_confidence": 0.8384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "In addition to that, Iraq has been very helpful, where necessary. But we have been taking our troops out of Iraq fairly rapidly, and we look forward to the day when we don't have to be there. And hopefully Iraq can live their own lives and they can defend themselves, which they've been doing long before we got involved." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, you don't know about the bounties. I mean, you're telling me if you know something, you can let us know, but you obviously don't know very much about it. But if we found out, that would be true; if we found, that would be a very it would be a fact, what you just said. We would hit them so hard your head would spin." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6218, + "raw_confidence": 0.6218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, the Kurds helped us greatly in defeating the as you know, the ISIS, and getting the ISIS 100 percent of the ISIS caliphate. So we have a very good relationship with the Kurds, and we've also treated them very well." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, what we're doing is we're helping where we can. But again, that's a country that's a separate country. They have a prime minister, and they have people in office, and they have to run their country. We've been in Iraq for a long time. I won't say whether or not I said we should be there, but frankly, I didn't think it was a good idea. But I was a civilian, so who's going to listen to me? But I made my point pretty clear; I guess as clear as a civilian can do it." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But we were there, and now we're getting out. We'll be leaving shortly. And the relationship is very good. We're making very big oil deals. Our oil companies are making massive deals. And that's basically the story." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2152, + "raw_confidence": 0.7848, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I mean, we're very we're very happy with the relationship that we've developed over the last couple of years. I thought, before that, frankly, the United States was being taken advantage of. But we're going to be leaving, and hopefully we're going to be leaving a country that can defend itself." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, they'll have to make a specific request, but certainly, the Prime Minister has my ear. So if he does that, we'll take a look. They do have it's a very unstable part of the world. And I'm not talking about Iraq; I'm talking about the the whole of the Middle East. It's a very, very unstable part of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But we're there to help. And because of the relationship, we would certainly be willing to lend you the kind of support that you need." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6443, + "raw_confidence": 0.6443, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "I will say this: The United States, and me in particular, has a very good relationship with Turkey and with President Erdo\u00c4\u009fan, and we'll be talking to him. But we have a very, very good relationship with Turkey and with President Erdo\u00c4\u009fan." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Mike, what would you say to that?" + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7918, + "raw_confidence": 0.7918, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We're at the lowest level now, Jeff we're at the lowest level in Afghanistan that we have been in many years. We'll be down to about 4,000 troops in Afghanistan." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Yeah, within a few months. A couple of months." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3494, + "raw_confidence": 0.6506, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "As you know, in Syria we're down to almost nothing, except we kept the oil. But we'll work out some kind of a deal with the Kurds on that. But we left, but we kept the oil. And we left the border. We said Turkey and Syria can take care of their own border; we don't have to do it. And that worked out very well. I remember when I did that, I was scorned by everybody. They said, This is terrible." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1699, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, I did it. It's now two years ago. And we did it with Mike Pence went over and met with the various parties and very successfully, and we removed our troops. Nobody was killed. Nobody. And now they protect their own border like they have been for hundreds of years. And we'll we've left. But we did keep a small force, and we kept the oil. And we'll make a determination on that oil fairly soon." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2002, + "raw_confidence": 0.7998, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "Well, the Supreme Court said, if it's a fishing expedition, you don't have to do it. And this is a fishing expedition." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6607, + "raw_confidence": 0.6607, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But more importantly, this is a continuation of the witch hunt the greatest witch hunt in history. There's never been anything like it, where people want to examine every deal you've ever done to see if they can find that there's a comma out of place. No President has ever had to go through this. The Supreme Court shouldn't have allowed this to happen. But no President has ever had to go through this." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3422, + "raw_confidence": 0.6578, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But what the Supreme Court did do is say if it's a fishing expedition, you my interpretation is essentially, you don't have to do it. So we'll probably end up back in the Supreme Court." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2925, + "raw_confidence": 0.7075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But this is just a continuation of the most hideous witch hunt in the history of our country. We beat Mueller. We won at every level in this in Washington, in D.C. We won at every lev- level. So, now, what they do: They send it into New York. So now we have an all-Democrat state all Democrats. And they send it into New York. This should never be allowed to happen to another President." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7825, + "raw_confidence": 0.7825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "This is a continuation of the most disgusting witch hunt in the history of our country all it is. But the Supreme Court said fishing expedition. This is the ultimate fishing expedition. Nobody has anything. We didn't we don't do things wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "But they'll say, Let's go in and inspect every deal he's ever done. Let's get papers from 10 years. Every paper. Every deal he's ever signed. Maybe we can find where some lawyer made a mistake, where they didn't dot an i, where they didn't put a comma down someplace. And then we can do something. This is a disgrace and this should never, ever be allowed to happen again." + }, + { + "tid": "Zj4HfWCIJv8", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-bilat-iraq-mustafa-al-kadhimi-august-20-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-20", + "claim_text": "We haven't seen it yet. We're looking at it. And Mike is going to be reporting to me soon. Okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much. I guess I might begin. It's an honor to be with you and really brave men and women. The job you do is incredible, and the progress that you've made in the last short period of time has been unbelievable." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "On April 1st of this year, I announced the launch of a powerful U.S. military law enforcement operation to combat the flow of illegal drugs across the Western Hemisphere. Today I'm pleased to be with Admiral Craig Faller and his team done an incredible job at the U.S. Southern Command headquarters to provide an update on this incredible successful effort." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1722, + "raw_confidence": 0.8278, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're joined by Secretary of Defense Mark Esper. Thank you, Mark. Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Chad Wolf. Chad, thank you. Thank you. Commandant of U.S. Coast Guard, Admiral Karl Schultz. Admiral. Associate Deputy Attorney General Amanda Liskamm. Thank you. Thank you, Amanda. Congressman Mario D\u00c3\u00adaz-Balart, who is a friend of mine for a long time. Thank you very much, Mario. Great job you're doing down here. And many, many others: leaders and military geniuses and people that do a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 3, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "In just 12 weeks, SOUTHCOM's surge operation, conducted with key regional partners, has resulted in more than 1,000 arrests and the interdiction of 120 metric tons. I can only tell you that's a lot of narcotics, worth billions and billions of dollars. We're determined to keep dangerous drugs out of the country and away from our children. We're securing our seas. We're securing our borders. This is a new operation, not been done before. And this operation has been incredibly successful." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7931, + "raw_confidence": 0.7931, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "As you know, in the United States, at least before the COVID came to us the flu, the virus, the China virus, whatever you'd like to call it; it's got many different names but before it hit, we were doing really well, and we're still doing very well, but now we're getting back on track." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.773, + "raw_confidence": 0.773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Last year, 70,000 precious American lives were taken because of the poison that cartels bring into our country. Under my administration, drug overdose deaths fell for the first time in nearly 30 years. And they fell fairly substantially. Unfortunately, the shutdowns caused by the China virus have led to a recent rise in overdose deaths, still below the level that they were at. But nevertheless, it went up a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "This is one of the reasons that we're working to safely and responsibly reopen our country, reopen our schools, get our country going again, a hundred percent. We're setting records on jobs; we're setting records on many different things. We're going to have a great third quarter. The third quarter is going to be tremendous numbers. Fourth quarter, likewise. And next year, economically, will be one of the best years we've ever had." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1678, + "raw_confidence": 0.8322, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "But you'll see the numbers starting to come out really, really high in the third quarter, and you've already seen the record-breaking job numbers. NASDAQ just hit, recently, about 12 record highs 12 days, record highs. And the other markets are right behind it. They'll be hitting records hopefully very shortly also. That means people have a lot of confidence in what we're doing." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1925, + "raw_confidence": 0.8075, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "With the help of the heroes here at SOUTHCOM Coast Guard CBP, DEA, and law enforcement we'll work relentlessly to seize illegal drugs, arrest vile traffickers the traffickers are truly vile; they're terrible, terrible people what they do, mostly to women and children, but women and dismantle criminal cartels who are responsible for the deaths of thousands and thousands of Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I'd like now to introduce Secretary Esper to say a few words. Mark, please." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "They seem to be. That's a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Mr. Congressman, would you like to say something? Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8001, + "raw_confidence": 0.8001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "REPRESENTATIVE D\u00c3\u008dAZ-BALART: Mr. President, nothing nothing prepared, but I can tell you, in my time of Congress, which is now almost 18 years, this region has, frankly, been looked over. Just barely any attention paid to it. And sometimes when the attention was paid, bad things were done." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1664, + "raw_confidence": 0.8336, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I will tell you that your administration has emphasized freedom. I want to thank you, by the way, on a personal note a little bit of a more parochial note for your emphasis on helping the people of Venezuela regain their freedom, helping the people of Nicaragua regain their freedom, and your solidarity to the people of Cuba, which has been, frankly, like we've never seen." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1662, + "raw_confidence": 0.8338, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "But your leadership here, in fighting narcotics coming to the United States, is literally saving American lives. So again, just as one who represents Southern Command, grateful for your emphasis of this command and what they do, but for your leadership and actually saving American lives, those who are victimized every year by this scourge of illicit narcotics. So thank you for being here, but more importantly, thank you for your leadership and your emphasis on those key issues. Thank you, sir." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And maybe I could ask Amanda to say a few words, please." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you, Amanda. Great job you're doing. Appreciate it. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you very much, Admiral. I appreciate it." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1757, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Now, Chad Wolf, maybe you could also mention what's going on in Portland, because we sent you there recently. It was out of control. The locals couldn't handle it, and you people are handling it very nicely so nicely that the press doesn't want to write about it. But why don't you tell them what you're doing in Portland, and also go into this, please?" + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And I know you have it in very good control, but it's a it's a pretty wild group, but you have it in very good control." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So we're appreciate it. Local law enforcement has been told not to do too much. It's not the way it's supposed to be, but that's okay." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Good job. You've really done a great job." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And the wall is coming along very well. Chad is responsible for supervising that, along with the Army Corps of the of Engineers, who have been fantastic. And, Mark Esper, that's been really one of your pet projects and it's been going along." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7704, + "raw_confidence": 0.7704, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "We're up to 250 miles, and that's real wall. That's a wall that you don't get through. It's tough stuff, and built to the highest standard. Built to everything that Border Patrol wanted. They all sat down and they designed their perfect wall, and then we said, Let's build it that way. And we're up to 250 miles. By the end of the year, we'll be up to 450 or so, and we'll have it finished very shortly thereafter." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4254, + "raw_confidence": 0.5746, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And it's made a tremendous difference, because your numbers on the southern border are very, very small coming through. And especially with COVID that turned out to be very lucky for us that we had the wall, or we would have been inundated, because they do have some big problems." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7453, + "raw_confidence": 0.7453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I was with a great gentleman, the President of Mexico, two days ago. We had a long talk about the southern border and Mexico. And they've had some difficulty, but he's doing a fantastic job as President. But the wall is very exciting, and we'll have that opened relatively very, very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1769, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And that was despite all odds, I would say, Mark. Wouldn't you say? That was despite all odds. We had a certain party that was against it. They're not against it anymore. You know, in the end, they just raised their hand, they said, We don't want to take this on, because politically it turned out to be as good as we always knew." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7789, + "raw_confidence": 0.7789, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "You know, two things never change: walls and wheels. A wheel will never change. You know, they were talking about technology. Technology is no good without the wall. And but it's something that I've heard for a long time. Two things you will never change, in a thousand years from now: a wheel and a wall. They work. And this wall has really been unbelievable the way it's worked." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So, great job, and let's get it finished. And tremendous numbers on the southern border. Very few people coming in. Appreciate it. And we've made a lot of legal changes too. It makes it a lot easier for you." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "MR. O'BRIEN: Mr. President, thank you. I want to take folks back to April 1st, as the COVID crisis was breaking and all attention was focused on it. The President had the foresight to launch an enhanced operation to disrupt the flow of dangerous drugs to the United States from narco-terrorists. Our adversaries believed that the United States would be distracted. But, Mr. President, you weren't distracted. And I think you remember you sent Secretary Wolf and Admiral Schultz, Secretary Esper, Attorney General Barr, and me out to make the announcement on this operation." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7663, + "raw_confidence": 0.7663, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The traffickers use their funds for nefarious purposes, among them to finance the regime of Nicol\u00c3\u00a1s Maduro, the illegitimate regime in Venezuela. And for years, Venezuela has flooded the United States with cocaine. It poisons our communities, and it fuels a dangerous epidemic of addiction that threatens the safety and security of all Americans." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1818, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The situation in Venezuela has gotten so bad that, earlier this week, Admiral Fuller Faller called Venezuela a paradise for drug traffickers who enjoy the support and cooperation of the Maduro regime and his allies." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1729, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "At a crackdown on the traffickers, President Trump deployed additional ships, aircraft, security forces that you've heard about. But the other thing that he did, which is less focused on, is he rallied our 22-nation coalition partnership to help in this effort to interdict drugs." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So that fight includes, as you've heard, Colombia, Ecuador, Honduras, El Salvador. On the flight down from Air Force One, Mr. President, I told you I was on the phone with my counterpart in the Netherlands, the Dutch national security advisor, and they have been part of this coalition fight. And they're they're very proud to be partnered up with Customs and Border Patrol, DEA, the Coast Guard, our military, working in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific, where they've had where we've all had a huge effect." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5267, + "raw_confidence": 0.5267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "In addition to this operation, the Colombian-led operation Orion 5, in partnership with the United States, has disrupted or seized approximately 50 additional metric tons of cocaine that would have otherwise come into our country, Mr. President." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So President Trump has been resolute in his commitment to protecting the American people from the scourge of narco-terrorists and traffickers. Our military deployments in the Caribbean and in the eastern Pacific will endure. Those profiting from illicit drugs and the destruction of our communities will be brought to justice." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "The United States will continue its maximum pressure campaign on the Maduro regime, which has a criminal hold over Venezuela. And I can tell, for the Venezuelan people, when I speak with President Trump, he asks almost every day, How are things going in Venezuela? What can we do to help the Venezuelan people? This operation is part of that effort." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7721, + "raw_confidence": 0.7721, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Venezuela is a narco-state, led by a corrupt, criminal, illegitimate regime, and the people of Venezuela are suffering because of Maduro." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1711, + "raw_confidence": 0.8289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Mr. President, you've been committed to cutting off his financial lifelines, identifying ways to continue to support the Venezuelan people and ensure the unfettered flow of humanitarian aid to those same people that are suffering." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1743, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So for those of you in Venezuela, I can I can let you know that President Trump continues to stand with you. He stands with Interim President Guaid\u00c3\u00b3, the democratically elected National Assembly, and all the people that are fighting for their freedom and their basic human rights, and a restoration of democracy and the rule of law in Venezuela." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2579, + "raw_confidence": 0.7421, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "President Trump's fight against drugs and narco-trafficking in the Caribbean and in the eastern Pacific are good for the United States of America, they're good for the people of the region, including Venezuela, but they're also good for the entire world." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So, Mr. President, it's an honor to serve with you in this in this effort. Thank you for all that you're doing, sir." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "And, Douglas and Henry, if you'd like to say something, go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1607, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Would you like to start? Go ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.197, + "raw_confidence": 0.803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "So we're working on your immune system." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "That's an interesting one. Not too many people have heard that one. I like that. What do you do for your immune system? Stay in shape?" + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I'm going to have to start doing that, I think. That's a good idea." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1728, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you. And, Mario, obviously you had a good immune system because you recovered." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1631, + "raw_confidence": 0.8369, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "It wasn't pleasant, but you you got there, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7892, + "raw_confidence": 0.7892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "REPRESENTATIVE D\u00c3\u008dAZ-BALART: I don't recommend that as a dietary ." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1666, + "raw_confidence": 0.8334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "No, it's not good. But you did a good job." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3427, + "raw_confidence": 0.6573, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "REPRESENTATIVE D\u00c3\u008dAZ-BALART: And, by the way, thank you for your kind, multiple calls while I was ." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.161, + "raw_confidence": 0.839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Absolutely. Well, you've been my friend. Thank you very much, Mario." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1639, + "raw_confidence": 0.8361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "Well, thank you very much. I appreciate it, Douglas." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1668, + "raw_confidence": 0.8332, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "But we have things happening that nobody has even thought about. So thank you very much. You've done a fantastic job. You have all done a really fantastic job, and it's an honor to be here." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "I want to thank all of the folks behind me too. I don't want to be rude, because you're more important than all of us, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1654, + "raw_confidence": 0.8346, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "But I want to thank you all very much. Great job. Really great job. Great to work with you and you. And say hello. Tell them to get well fast, right? Great man. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "zmT4XWtO9OY", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-counternarcotics-briefing-southcom-doral-florida-july-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-07-10", + "claim_text": "You've done a great job. Thank you very much. Thank you, Admiral. Thank you, Admiral. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6938, + "raw_confidence": 0.6938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We brought you a lot of car plants face you again. We brought you a lot of car plants. You know that right long time, it's been a long time since you had all these plants being built, but we brought you a lot over the last three and a half years and we're going to bring you a lot more hello, Michigan and I'm thrilled to be In free land, with thousands of loyal, hardworking American patriots, fifty four days from now we're going to win Michigan and we're going to win for this is the most important election in the history of our country." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3198, + "raw_confidence": 0.6802, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden devoted his career to off shoring Michigan jobs. Outsourcing outlets, we shouldn't be smiling about it, but we've changed it around outsourcing Michigan's factories, throwing open your borders, dragging us into endless foreign wars and surrendering our children's future to China and other faraway lands." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5879, + "raw_confidence": 0.5879, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Biden supported every disastrous, globalist sell out for over a half a century, including NAFTA, China and TPP. You know that Joe Biden surrendered your jobs to China, and now he wants to surrender our country to the violent left wing mob and you're, seeing that every night, if Biden wins China wins, if Biden wins, the mob wins if Biden wins the rioters and Marcus arsonists And flag burners win, but I wouldn't worry about it because he's not winning." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I don't know if that's good or bad, I don't know, I don't know. If that's good or bad, because in all those polls where we were down last time, we won so maybe we're better off being down a little bit hello, John james, I see you had some guy John James get out and vote for John. I'm going to introduce you to a second John James." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "What is your job you've done? You know I have to tell you he took. I saw this group of people, they were running all nice people, three very rich people and one guy that was John James and I saw them all right. I saw them all and I said, wait. You know with the wonderful invention of TiVo one of the greats." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 6, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You can play it back, I said Who was that they said? I don't know, sir. I said play it back. I said That man is going to be a star, it was John Jay, and that was in the Republican primary and after learning about him with his incredible career and helicopter and he's a great and actually a great flier. I heard the other day a great one." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7907, + "raw_confidence": 0.7907, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Last year before the China plague came in, we have the China plague. Thank you. China. Very much should never let that happen. They should have never ever let it happen. They stopped it from going into China, but they didn't stop it from coming out here and coming into the U.S and Europe and the rest of the world." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2059, + "raw_confidence": 0.7941, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Biden has pledged to have a 700 percent increase. He made this deal with crazy Bernie, a 700 percent increase in the flow of refugees, so he wants to lift it up by seven hundred percent. This is in their manifesto he's also pledged to terminate all national security travel bans overwhelming your state with poorly vetted migrants from jihadist regions making matters worse." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2057, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He would open the floodgates in the middle of a pandemic and by the way, the wall over three hundred and eleven miles. Long right now biden is waging war against the American middle class. I think most of you are not middle class you're upper class you're, the elite. You know the way they talk about the elite, the elite, they're really elite." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 12, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.163, + "raw_confidence": 0.837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I see them, they're, not elite. You're the elite. The elite has decided boy. Have we hurt the elite? Haven't we you're the Super League? The left wants to get rid of me, so they can come after you, it's very simple. Over the last three and a half years, we've secured America's borders blocked the entry of foreign terrorists fix our disastrous trade deals and we have fixed our trade deals good." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1705, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They are good. In fact, Biden was interviewed today on there they are CNN. Now he was just interviewed today he was interviewed by Jake Tapper who's. I find to be a nice guy. I don't think he likes me too much, but that's OK. He was interviewed on CNN and they said which is better NAFTA or the USMCA. He said." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 14, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No! No, the USMC and Tapper goes what couldn't believe it said USMC. He made a mistake from his perspective. He made a mistake because he doesn't know what's going on, even though he's right, he doesn't know that we're a little surprised to hear that they gave him a few chances. Let's ask that question again, but we brought back our manufacturing jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We rebuilt the awesome power of the US military, we obliterated, we obliterated the ISIS caliphate and built the greatest economy in the history of the world, and now we are doing it again, bigger and better than ever before. Before the end of the year, we will have a safe and effective vaccine and we will defeat the China virus." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "At no time before has there been a clearer choice between two parties: two visions, two philosophies and two agendas for the future. There's never been a vision like this. You have sleepy Joe and you have from sleepy Joe he's a beauty he's a Vietnam. You know I watched the Democrat debates right and I watched them up there at he was so bad." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1756, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I said there's no way he makes it sad isn't. Is that the first lady actually came in at one time she watches she goes and she's a nice person and she met this really. I mean I view it differently, but she looked at you watch the debate and she watched Joe and she said darling. It's so said this was earlier and this is the guy I'm running against." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's so sad darling, it's so sad, but we got him. Joe Biden has put forward the most extreme platform and it's not him. He doesn't know what platform he doesn't. It's. Your radical left people, it's AOC, plus three. It's all these people Bernie it's Bernie, it's Kamala, the most liberal person in the U.S senate." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 21, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7931, + "raw_confidence": 0.7931, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I got you so many damn car plants I'll tell you what I'll be so angry at you. I got you a lot of plants. Is that right I mean. Have you seen what we're doing here on the plants that had been built or are being built, and what about the plants that are being expanded? They don't want to give you credit for that they just expanded." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5653, + "raw_confidence": 0.5653, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I went to Prime Minister Abe of Japan. I say, Prime Minister, you have to start doing something, you know, is a great guy he'll be retiring. Soon, he's a great guy, the Prime Minister of Japan, I'll be, I say, Shinzo Shinzo. You have to do me. A favor you've got send car plants over here. You know you're sending all those cars we stupidly, don't charge you tariffs on those cars that pour into our country." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 23, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I said: Shinzo you've got to give us plants. No! No! No. I can't do that. That is up to the free enterprise system of Japan. I say Shinzo you're, a powerful man, you can do it well. I can't do it. The next day they announced five car companies are coming to Michigan right and you hadn't had a plant built now." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2523, + "raw_confidence": 0.7477, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They've been building it for a number of years, but you haven't had a plant built in like forty two years. You know they were the old plants and it's been amazing. What's happened in Michigan, but honestly, it's been amazing. What's happened in Ohio and North Carolina and South Carolina and Florida, New, Hampshire and so many other places our country is doing great." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We had to take a pause to get rid of the China virus and we got rid of we're getting good we're coming around we're. Coming around that turn, I'm telling you you watch next year better than last year, it's going to be better Michigan will decide whether we will quickly return to record prosperity or whether will allow sleepy Joe to impose $4 trillion in tax hikes band." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1617, + "raw_confidence": 0.8383, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "American energy. Confiscate your guns, shut down the economy and tell your governor to open up your state. You know it's all Democrat governors and I think they do it for political reasons, not because they'll be less activity, you'd be doing even better. If you had a governor that knew what the hell she was doing, you got to open up and also you have to have a governor, because you know right now: Michigan's lagging great football, great coach, great team." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2033, + "raw_confidence": 0.7967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We want a governor, John James, that's going to let Michigan play Big Ten football this year, you've been seeing a lot of the other schools want to open big ten, at my suggestion, How about sleepy Joe, he said. Donald Trump is against football. No! No! No! I'm the one that says Open it up. Let's play football." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "These people practice disinformation like nobody, has ever practiced that they're liars I'll tell you they lie, but we have a good chance. You have a very good commissioner, and the commission is working hard and hopefully very soon, they'll say you're going to play football and I hope they're not leaving Michigan out, because it's never the same if they do." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But you have Maryland where they have a problem. In terms of playing and the governors have a lot of power over that they have a lot of power, a lot of say so, let's play Big Ten football right. They want to shut down. Auto production delay the vaccine. They want to destroy your suburbs. Look what I've done for your suburbs?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1821, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You know what I've done. You know what I've done. Does anybody want to have somebody from an TFA as a member and as a resident of your suburb? I don't think so say Darling who moved in next door? Oh, it's a resident of a. no thank you. Let's get out here, let's get the hell out of here darling. Let's leave our suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.175, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I wish Trump were President. He wouldn't have allowed that to happen. That's exactly right! I won't allow it to happen. The suburbs are the American dream and I will tell you: I have protected your suburbs. You know I get rid of regulation that played with you zoning and played with other things where they force projects into the suburbs of our great country, and I got rid of it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1598, + "raw_confidence": 0.8402, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They said, Sir, we can amend it and make it less crazy. I said: No, I don't want to amend it. I don't want to do that. I want to get rid of it. Well, sir, why do we just do a simple amendment? It would be. I said I want to get rid of, it ended and we ended it. I think the people living in the suburbs, which I know very well I watch Westchester in New York, where they were doing things that should never have been done, and it's not going to happen to our suburbs." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3163, + "raw_confidence": 0.6837, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They want to erase your borders and indoctrinate your children with poisonous anti American lies in our schools not going to have aren't going to happen for the last four years. They've tried everything to stop us and they are only getting more desperate by the day. Can you imagine if, on September 3rd, they say?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2101, + "raw_confidence": 0.7899, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Ladies and gentlemen, Donald Trump has been declared the winner. Donald. At first they'll, go crazy and then they'll say: OK, it's time now to be reasonable. They will have had it, they will have had it. You know we were coming together as a nation very interesting. Before the plague came in from China, we were coming together, it was success." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5157, + "raw_confidence": 0.5157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Somebody said what's going to bring you together and it was we were coming together. I was starting to get calls from Democrats that, frankly, we didn't speak much and I was starting to get calls and then all of a sudden we saw the plague pour in and we saw what was happening and it really stopped things." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 36, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1725, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But success was getting very, very close to bringing us all together and then we had to say: let's take a timeout, we've got to fix this mess and we did and now we're coming back strong. But success brings us together and it was happening and then we got that terrible situation happened and we'll never forget." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 37, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It biden and his party tried to lock law abiding Americans into their homes while they encourage rioters and vandals rampaging through all. In all cases, Democrat run cities, you know, Republican run, cities are doing very well. I hope you know that, and I hope you know like in many Annapolis Minneapolis, we were asked to come in." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2151, + "raw_confidence": 0.7849, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We went in. We took care of that problem in about what 30 minutes. Unfortunately, they left on those two weeks go by and if you look at what we just did in Wisconsin, which was so amazing three days and we went in and by the way the U.S marshals went in to get the killer. And that was the end of that they got the killer, they got the killer, you know what I'm talking about and we were going to go into Seattle." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 39, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3079, + "raw_confidence": 0.6921, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The next day, we're all set all lined up looking forward to it. We just said we're doing it. I mean they actually took over a part of the city, and the mayor said this is gonna, be a summer of love right, whether these people come from, but we're all set to go in there and we were going in. We informed them we're going in and they sent their police to do it and we never even had to go in, but we can solve those problems in a matter of literally minutes." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Don't say that I'll start to cry that wouldn't be good for my image. We don't want it, you don't want to see me cry I'll start to cry. You know what are the fake news broadcasters, because this happened the other day we had a tremendous crowd like like this. I mean we had a tremendous crowd in North Carolina." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They started chanting, We love you, We love you, we love it and you know it's incredible. They said with all the years that they've been covering Presidential elections. They've never heard that chant that we love. You know it's very nice, you know now they'll say now. They'll say they'll say He misrepresented. 18 years ago there was a rally held by somebody, and we heard the words from two people that we love." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1675, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You, sir, now is what we're dealing with by the way. I look at a lot of people that look at this. I love this people back there. I can even get. Thank you Michigan. Thank you. It's really nice to be with you as President. I will always support the heroes of law enforcement. I was very honored to receive the endorsement of the Police Officers Association of Michigan, where on where, on that day, here someplace, where thank you fellows, that's really, nice I'll." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1547, + "raw_confidence": 0.8453, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Tell you that's an honor. I have to be honest. I got it from Florida, Texas, Ohio, North Carolina, this outcome, but Michigan is Michigan. Thank you. I don't think there's any law enforcement officer that is against us. What is our poll number? Ninety nine. I know they had three hundred and sixty 5,000 at one group and they got a unanimous vote." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 44, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I said that's pretty good. How can you go the other way you people are fantastic and we love you. Thank you. That's great. Thank you very much appreciate it. Biden says he wants to protect Black lives, but his radical platform will cut short the lives of thousands of young African-American citizens. Thousands, the murder rate in Democrat, run cities like Chicago Baltimore, New York, so many others is higher than in Afghanistan." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Yet Biden supports imposing these failed policies nationwide. You will have crime like you've, never seen before. You'll have crime like you've. Never seen. Last week, Joe Biden proudly accepted the endorsement of the pro criminal Portland district attorney, who has a policy of releasing rioters criminals and violent extremists without charge biden's plan, and every time I say Biden's plan to start his plan." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's the people that tell him what they're going to do so. Please understand. I just don't want to say that every time I mention this they're, so it should say the people that control Biden's plan is to appease domestic terrorists. My plan is to arrest them to lock them up. If Joe Biden is elected, far left lunatics won't just be running." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 47, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.173, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Failed Democrats, city they'll be running the Department of Justice, the Department of Homeland Security and the United States Supreme Court, and we can't let that happen. No city, town or suburb will be safe on November 3rd. Your vote will save. America remembers the most important election we've ever had so I'm joined tonight by some great warriors that have really helped me a lot in Washington with the fake impeachment, the impeachment hoax." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The rush, your rush, your Russia hopes somebody said Russia's coming up again, adam Schiff said We'd like to find out about. I said What about China? What about other countries, as always Russia, russia or Russia, they're at it again. I want to just thank these guys because these were real warriors for all of us." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1657, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They love you state and they love our country, congressman jack, Burkman, great job, Jack, John Morgan. Thank you, John great great, going John he's a tough cookie and Tim Walberg tim. Thank you great job. What great people and I talked about him a little while before I could talk about him all night, he's a star he's gonna be a future star." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4806, + "raw_confidence": 0.5194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You know we have a very much different party than we had four years ago. We're now the party of the workers we're the party of a lot of different things now, but we weren't really considered the party of the workers, certainly not anymore. Remember this we're the party of Abraham Lincoln. A lot of people forget that remember when they used to say he doesn't act." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2866, + "raw_confidence": 0.7134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Presidential and I used to say it's so easy to be. Presidential I'd only have about. 10 or 15 people here, you'd be bored, but remember I used to do that. But I'd always say I couldn't be more Presidential than any President in our history, except for the possibility of Abraham Lincoln when he wears his hat comfortably." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "That's that stuff to be John James, but seriously if you want to be well represented. You know your current senator. I don't even know this guy, I don't even know this guy, nobody does they don't know who he is, they don't even know he comes into the office. I say Who is that guy? I know every senator democrat Republican." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.386, + "raw_confidence": 0.614, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I don't know this guy. I know your other Senator I can tell by her hair she's got interesting, you know, but that was John's first crack. He learned a lot and frankly and I mean this if he had more support from the Republican Party, he would have won that race. He would have, but this guy Peters peters, I say who is Peter's. Nobody knows him, he doesn't do anything." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I really mean look. I we're going to end this, but I have to tell you John James can be so great. He loves this whole. He loves our country, he's been he's been educated at the highest level. He was always the top with everything he's ever done, and this is what he has and I'll be honest with you, John. I think I can tell this story John, and I were thinking about John." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 55, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.183, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I was thinking about John more than myself, because I know talent and I said you know John. You can run for a certain house seat right and you're guaranteed to win. You can run for another House, seat, it'll, be a tough race but you're going to win, or you can have a tough race against somebody that nobody ever heard of it's like a habit that they press that particular trigger." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But that's a tough race. So you can be an absolute congressman or you can take a shot at this one. He said, Sir, I can do more of the Senate than I can do in the house, and that was his decision. It took a lot of guts, so John, I'm with you, you have my total and complete endorsement. You have everything I can do everything I can do." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We will do for you and I really believe, you're going to make it you're running against somebody. That is just ridiculous. It's ridiculous! Don't do it also with us, are some other great candidates and people that are going to do a tremendous job, helping out Congressman Paul Junge. Junge. Paul. Thank you good luck." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I hope you're doing well Paul. Paul Junge. Lisa, McLain. Lisa great job. It's going well and Eric Esshaki. Thank you. Larry. Good luck! Good luck! We're going to be out here, helping you too we're going to be out here. I hope John doesn't even need help, but we're going to help John too we're going to help all of you all right, we're going to be doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1691, + "raw_confidence": 0.8309, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Also with you is RNC chairwoman. You know she was the head of the whole state and she kept calling me back back. So what more speech you're going to win? Michigan hadn't been won in decades. One more speech: are you going to win Michigan tonight, Ron, I'm coming in one more time, but that's it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 60, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I said that woman is the most aggressive person I've ever met. She said I'm telling you, sir one more speech. I said I'll, do it one more time, but that's it about a day after I got back, I said I just got back from Michigan. It was wonderful. I get a call from Rhonda McDaniel and she goes Sir. Could you come in tomorrow for another speech?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 61, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1692, + "raw_confidence": 0.8308, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Well, whatever happens, she's the one that got me here at midnight on. She is so when it came time to pick in the head of the RNC, you know as President, you have a couple of things to say about it right. I said who's that woman that kept getting me back to Michigan boy. Oh boy, she'll be great run up McDaniel and somebody is doing a fantastic job and tells us we're really pretty far ahead, maybe way ahead." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2204, + "raw_confidence": 0.7796, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You know they had a poll. I think it was a Gallup poll, they said, 62 percent of the people are lying about their poll now they're only lying having to do with buy, and I don't know if I'm supposed to be insulted by that or not but we'll take it. But we can have a very big win and look, no President has done for Michigan what President Trump has done and you're going to remember that and I'm going to remember, Michigan." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1833, + "raw_confidence": 0.8167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Michigan GOP Chair, Laura Cox right. Thank you great job, great job. Thank you. Thank you very much thanks Laura. We spent the last four years reversing the horrible damage Joe Biden inflicted over the last forty seven years. Forty seven years of bad votes after the last administration nearly killed the U.S auto industry." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 64, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7262, + "raw_confidence": 0.7262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I saved the U.S auto industry. Joe Biden supported the disastrous Trans-Pacific Partnership, which would have been a death sentence for American auto jobs. I withdrew from the TPP my first week in office that was so easy that was so easy. You wouldn't have been making cars. You would have been buying cars from foreign lands." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3535, + "raw_confidence": 0.6465, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We have enough of that Biden supported the horrendous South Korea deal that would have wiped out U.S production of the pick up truck, which is the most. The pickup truck, is the most profitable thing the auto industry makes. You know why we have something called the chicken tax. Does anyone know what I'm talking about the chicken tax?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 66, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2358, + "raw_confidence": 0.7642, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's a tariff of 25 percent and it keeps other countries out of here and it expired, and South Korea didn't want to do it, but they did it. We got it right back and we put it on for a long time and now you're making, but remember this, go check it out the chicken tax I'll tell you why, some day at another meeting, why they call it that?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1596, + "raw_confidence": 0.8404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Maybe you don't want to know about it, but we're keeping those small drops and we're keeping our whole industry good and we're expanding our autos now our cars and we're doing a great job of it. I want to thank everybody doing a great job and by the way, many other things in Michigan Biden supported the outrageous fuel economy, standards that have hammered the auto industry, and I reversed that rule." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 68, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2904, + "raw_confidence": 0.7096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I actually reverse it and it helped millions of families be able to afford a car. The United States lost five hundred auto and auto parts factories under the Obama Biden disaster before the virus. My administration ended over 200 new, auto and auto parts plants in 2007. How about two hundred I didn't know that. 200. 200. I thought it was a little less than that when I went to see that again, two hundred, it says two hundred you believe in that's a lie." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2112, + "raw_confidence": 0.7888, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You know I have a choice between teleprompter and freelance. I hate to say the freelance is always a hell of a lot better, but if you remember and you remember well I actually got elected because a freelance we didn't have teleprompters. There were no teleprompters, but think of that 200 we're talking about 200 plants." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I thought it was a much lower number and I thought you should put me in office based on a much lower number. Two hundred you have no choice. Yes, biden was in Michigan. He said I'd better, get out of the basement, this guy, starting to do very well lying about his lifetime of cold hearted, globalist, betrayals Biden, chipped in after perhaps the worst trade deal in the history of our country and he continued to embrace and promote NAFTA." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2041, + "raw_confidence": 0.7959, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "For decades and I told you he just said it was not as good as the deal I made. I can't believe oh they've, given him hell tonight, they giving him hell. What did you say that for bye, bye, yeah, I Joe Heiden, look, you know this doesn't sound nice I'll, say it and they'll criticize before you watch, but I have the distinct pleasure of running against the worst Presidential candidate in the history of Presidential politics." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1792, + "raw_confidence": 0.8208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I read: can you imagine if I lost him, I'd have to say I lost to the worst candidate ever put up. Don't do that to me Michigan, don't do that biden supported China's entry into the World Trade Organization which, by the way was a disaster? China was flatlining for years and years and decades and it got into this World Trade Organization with all sorts of advantages." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6483, + "raw_confidence": 0.6483, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Just a terrible, terrible situation took place and that's when China became a big, powerful economic power. But if you look at the numbers just before the plague, now the numbers are different. We were going up up up, we were beating them like a drum they weren't, even close, we were gaining gaining gaining." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1659, + "raw_confidence": 0.8341, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We were number one by far you know. For years, I've heard that in 2019, China was going to surpass as well. In 2019. We gained a lot of them. We were doing great. We were doing great and we'll be doing even better. Next year you watch yesterday, it was revealed that a fund partly owned by Joe Biden's son wears Hunter see his first name by now name." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 75, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4611, + "raw_confidence": 0.5389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "His first name is where, whereas Hunter, he must be a brilliant guy, because with no experience he's taken more money from more countries, he had no job and then it became rich, but whereas Hunter facilitated the sale of a Michigan automotive company to a leading Chinese military Defense contractor does anyone know that China's military got yet another piece of American manufacturing might and the Biden family made a lot of money on it, a lot of money." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 76, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7848, + "raw_confidence": 0.7848, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "What about Ukraine? He got $183,000 a month, $3 million upfront and he had no experience with energy working for an energy company by the way. What's your experience hunter? What's your experience with energy, I don't have any okay, we'll pay you 183,000 a month and we'll give you an upfront payment hunter of $3 million." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Will that be satisfactory? He goes yes I'll. Take it! What anybody here not take that deal? Anybody please raise your head. This is one guy right. You must be a pretty rich guy. If Biden selected, China will own America Washington, vultures, like Biden and others ripped apart entire towns, all across your state, Michigan lost half of all manufacturing jobs after the trade deals that Biden supported and by the way I don't know, if any, but does anybody remember, like 12 years ago, long before I thought about running for President, when I enjoyed my life, I had the greatest life." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Where would we like to go? Let's go to Monte Carlo this weekend. Let's go no, I had a great life, but I was honored. I was doing very well, I was honored and Michigan deserved. Anybody know that I was given man of the year award by somebody that I came in and I spent like forty five minutes talking about how you've been ripped off." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "How was your auto companies are, leaving and going to Mexico and by the way, to Canada to but how they're all leaving and going to Mexico and Canada? I spent the whole time talking about it. I said at the end I felt embarrassed. I said I hope I haven't insulted the sick too much, but why do you let this happen?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I stopped it. I stopped it won't be happy, it won't be happening. It's not going to happen. Anymore biden took a sledgehammer to your state. Earlier this year I kept my promise to Michigan workers when we ended the NAFTA nightmare that everybody said was impossible to end and when we signed that brand new U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement into law, the USMCA includes powerful wage protections to keep auto manufacturing jobs." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7715, + "raw_confidence": 0.7715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Right here in Michigan now they have a tremendous disincentive to leave Michigan fire. All of our workers go to Mexico or Canada, make the car or the product send it in here without tariffs, we end up with closed factories, no job and no taxes. That's not happening anymore, that's not happening, but you remember how bad it was just before I took office." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 82, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1565, + "raw_confidence": 0.8435, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It was. It was like an avalanche of companies leaving our country. I also took the toughest ever action to stand up to China's rampant theft of Michigan jobs. Biden has vowed to remove these tariffs and allow China to resume its pillaging. Just so you know China's paying us tens of billions of dollars a month before me." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7956, + "raw_confidence": 0.7956, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "China never paid anything, they didn't pay us 10 cents, and you know what I did with some of that money. I gave it to our farmers. I don't know if we have a lot to do here. Farmers where farmers raise your hand, farmers come back. No, I gave $28 billion to our farmers because they were targeted by China." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They were targeted, they said you know and that's what they did in the past other Presidents. They said, if you do this, we're going to stop doing business with you, farmers and you're not going to be able to get any votes and you're going to lose the Midwest. And all of that and I said you know what I'd do whatever you want, then I went to Sonny Perdue Secretary of Agriculture, a great guy, I said Sonny." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2645, + "raw_confidence": 0.7355, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "How much are they being targeted for, sir? $12 billion the first year, two years three years ago, and then 16 billion a total of 28 billion? I said: that's, OK, we're putting tariffs on everything they send into our country. Twenty five percent was going to raise it to 50 percent, also 10 percent and 12 percent all different tariffs." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3981, + "raw_confidence": 0.6019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We took in billions and billions, and I said you know we're going to do we're going to take of that. The 12 in the 16 $28 billion and we're going to give it to our farmers, who were targeted and our farmers are doing great. That's what we did you think Joe Biden would do that. He wouldn't have a clue. Hillary wouldn't have had a clue." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.237, + "raw_confidence": 0.763, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Crazy Bernie, wouldn't that nobody would've had a clue on that one and by the way we had billions tens of billions of dollars left over. You know what I did with that. We gave it to the U.S treasury right smack into the heart of the US Treasury and we're still getting those big tariffs. Even though we made a trade deal with China, I said I got to leave." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7194, + "raw_confidence": 0.7194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The tariffs. Are a lot of people didn't know it. Schumer? What well I don't like the idea? First of all, he didn't like trade tariffs and all of a sudden he loved it. But when I made the deal with China, I left the tariffs of 25 percent and some different amounts when I left tariffs largely on and nobody could believe what they said to Schumer." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1603, + "raw_confidence": 0.8397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "What do you think of the deal? I don't like it because he got rid of the tariffs, they said. No, we left the tariffs on. This is what it is. No matter how you do it, no matter how good a deal they'll say: it's no good because they don't love the country. They don't love the country. Remember that Joe Biden's agenda is made in China." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "My agenda is made in the USA. That's a nice plain. Somebody said to me: your plane is just as nice. As that I said. No, it's not that's Air Force One. That's the nice hat's the always that's the nicest. I also authorized billions of dollars to save Michigan Sue Lux and forget. I forget all the problems they had for years and years they fought over the money." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 92, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I think we're going to have to sue the ass off of the company. That has it I don't know, I don't know why we're doing it I'll tell you why we're doing it our great Congressman. Thank you Congressman great job. Thank you. He called up. He said, Sir, we have to do it at a private dam. I said: Well, it's a private dam." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 93, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1627, + "raw_confidence": 0.8373, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No, they have to do it say it will never happen right, but we'll end up getting some of that back. I think great great representative you have. I want to tell you you fought like a tiger. Perhaps in no area have our opponents more thoroughly betrayed working families of all backgrounds and on the subject of immigration, under my administration, we've achieved the most secure border in American history." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3306, + "raw_confidence": 0.6694, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We've ended catch and release stopped asylum fraud and we've deported over 20000 vicious gang members and over a half a million criminal illegal Aliens. As I said, we've already built over three hundred and ten miles of border wall, it's all gonna be finished very quickly. We're averaging about 10 new brand new beautiful miles every single week, it'll be finished very shortly." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2062, + "raw_confidence": 0.7938, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We've invested $2.5 trillion in the US military all made in the USA by the way. All maybe you know where the fake news today I said, and we have systems and missiles and rockets and military and tech. We have systems that you've never even seen before President. She has nothing like it. Putin has nothing like it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4153, + "raw_confidence": 0.5847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Nobody has anything like what we have and they said is he giving away military information? No, I'm saying we have the greatest weapons in the world. That's what I'm saying they said he may be giving away classified information, not to worry about it. His people are sick. Never speak well about our technology because you're giving away classified information now I just want to let people know we have the greatest systems, the greatest equipment and the greatest people anywhere in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2078, + "raw_confidence": 0.7922, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "There's nobody like the US, the most powerful. We have the most powerful military in the world and when I took it over, it was depleted. It was in trouble. It was exhausted from these ridiculous endless wars that last 19 and 20 years and you know those soldiers are starting to come home very big. You know that right, they're, all coming they're all coming home and we launched the first new branch of the U.S armed forces in nearly 75 years since the Air Force, we launched the space force." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1855, + "raw_confidence": 0.8145, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Very, very we passed the mission act. We call it V.A. choice and V.A. accountability. We hold people accountable if they don't treat our vets. Good you're fired, get out, you're fired, we did more in forty seven months than sleepy Joe Biden did in 47 years. That's true. We did more, that sort of has a nice ring to it right." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Think of it, we didn't mourn his show just take it. Take a look space walks by itself. That would be a major achievement with us. We did so many things so many things, but we did more in forty seven months than he did in 47 years. So it's a lot of what I did is destroy some of the horrible things that they did, including regulations all over the place." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1661, + "raw_confidence": 0.8339, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I withdrew from the last administration's disastrous Iran nuclear deal. We paid $150 billion. 1.8 billion in cash. We ought to speak to law enforcement. About that. How do we send 1.8 billion in cash in cash. You guys ought to take a look at that. Please I kept my promise recognize the true capital of Israel and open the American embassy and Jews." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2699, + "raw_confidence": 0.7301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Every President said they were going to do that. None of them did it for decades and decades. They all said and I tell the story you know it was a hard thing to get done. It was easy to talk about in the campaign we're going to open up the embassy in Jerusalem. We're going gonna make it it becomes automatically the capital of Israel." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1962, + "raw_confidence": 0.8038, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "That's everybody said it for very, very many decades for decades many Presidents, but I realize now why it wasn't their focus as soon as I got it. I was lobbied by everybody. Please don't do it, don't do it don't make the capital of Israel Jerusalem, don't move your embassy, oK, so went on and on and then I said: let's do it anyway and the word got out." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.719, + "raw_confidence": 0.719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The word got out that I was going to do it and I was called by every king and every queen and every Prime Minister and every four everybody was calling me. Please, sir, don't do it please, so I did what we sometimes will do in business. I told them when the king calls, when somebody calls in a mirror when somebody calls tell them I'll call them back in a few days." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I'm sorry, sir, he won't be able to speak right now, I'll call you back on Wednesday. Okay. Thank you very much. I appreciate it. On Tuesday I announced that I'm doing good, and then I got on the phone with 18 different companies. I go Hey how you doing you call them just returning your call. It's too late, sir." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We called about Israel, it's too late. I said Yes, sir, I wish you got to be a little bit sooner. I recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights and we achieved the first breakthrough in Middle East peace in decades and by the way on Wednesday. I believe next week, Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu and, as you know, the country very powerful, very respected country with a great leader UAE, is coming to the White House and we're going to sign an agreement that hasn't been signed in many decades." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 106, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "It's peace and it's recognition of Israel and all of the things nobody thought it could be done, and you know it's an amazing thing. I don't say this out of ego, but I was nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize. Now I have to tell you that's sort of a big thing and the networks and most of the news didn't cover it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7988, + "raw_confidence": 0.7988, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Can you imagine when Obama came to office, they said we're going to give him the Nobel Peace Prize. He actually said what did I do? I didn't do anything he didn't do anything for eight years frankly, but he said What did I do. They gave it to him in a matter of weeks right weeks and with us. We've done so much with." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 108, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2333, + "raw_confidence": 0.7667, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We have done so much on so many different fronts. Remember, North Korea remember they were going to be at war with North Korea with the war, the word where's the war and we have a good relationship with Kim Jong un. Who knows what happens? All I know is we're not in war and that's OK. They said, but he gave away so much." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 109, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1991, + "raw_confidence": 0.8009, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I said I gave away nothing, no, he gave away so much when I said. Why did I give away? You know what they said? We don't know. I said here's what I gave you. I gave away nothing. They said. Oh, but you agreed to meet. Oh, I see I agreed to meet so now. They're saying I agreed to meet with such a big deal." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 110, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1905, + "raw_confidence": 0.8095, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Instead of being in a war, I think agreeing to meet is OK right and we did these different kind of a guy and he's a smart guy. Smart, very smart guy we get along you know getting along with foreign powers, is not a bad thing. We're trying to teach that to the media, these idiots that ran our government for so many years, these schools, these schools, you know you got nuclear weapons, you got big armies, big navies, he gets along with Putin, that's a terrible thing." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 111, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1686, + "raw_confidence": 0.8314, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No, it's a good thing! If I get along that's good, he likes me. I like him, no t so bad. He gets along with Kim Jong un. That's a terrible thing. No, it's a good thing! I'm trying to convince him! It's ok! It's ok! Not to go to war. It's really! Ok! He gets along with President Xi. He gets along with Prime Minister Harper." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 112, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1652, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He gets along with a lot of people and it's OK. That's a good thing. It's really hard! These stupid people that have been running this operation for 30 40 years and they come out against me and all they did is stick us in these endless wars, we're fighting for sand and blood sand and blood Syria. What do you get out of it?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 113, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "You get sand, you get blood, you get injuries, you get death, these people, don't know what the hell they're doing and it's one of the reasons I got elected. I can tell you we don't like his foreign policy, and this is said by one of the guys that got us into the war in Iraq got us into the middle east. So it's we're doing a great job, we're doing a great job for you we're doing a great job for Michigan." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1748, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Just to finish in the Middle East, we killed the founder and leader of ISIS al-Baghdadi and, by the way, we're pulling back and we're doing everything so beautifully. If we do get into war, we win the war, we don't fight for nothing, we fought for nothing, we don't ever want to have war, but if there is a war nobody's going to even come close to being able to beat us and we won't be depleted From fighting and all these ridiculous locations all over the globe, you people know that a lot better than the idiots in Washington that have represented us." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1809, + "raw_confidence": 0.8191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "For 35 years we took out the world's number one terrorist and the mass murder of American troops Qasem Soleimani is dead. We kept America out of new wars and we're bringing our troops back home and they're coming on very rapidly. You see the sleepy Joe Biden voted for the Iraq war. He supported the defense sequester that gutted our military destroyed our military set us back so many years." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 116, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I got rid of it immediately. He opposed the mission to take out Osama bin Laden. He was against it. Everything he did. He was wrong on. As said by gates, you know Secretary of Defense, Secretary of everything he was sort of like he had more jobs than any human being I've ever seen, but he said everything everything that Biden was for was wrong." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 117, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He opposed killing Soleimani, he oversaw the rise of ISIS. He was unable to do anything with ISIS. You know I had the leader of a very important country in my office recently and he said, and I'll probably refer, the press. They'll say Who is it? He said. Thank you, sir. You were the one that got rid of ISIS." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 118, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7446, + "raw_confidence": 0.7446, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I said I was the one you're actually giving me credit. He said absolutely when you took over iSIS in Iraq and ISIS in Syria was all over. It was growing at a level like we've. Never seen you came in and you absolutely wiped it out happens to be the man that said that happens to be the leader of Iraq and he was very nice." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5568, + "raw_confidence": 0.5568, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He was very generous in his step as he came to the White House two weeks ago and we cheered, as we looked at all of the SEC's success that we've had, but he really oversaw the rise of China as a positive development. Remember he said No, it's a positive development for America and for the world he's been in Washington for 47 years." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 120, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Now, he's all of a sudden going to change he's going to change. It's not going to change. Don't forget! He was in Washington in his primetime, which was never considered great, and now it's no longer primetime when I banned travel from China Biden, called it hysterical and xenophobic. If we had listened to Joe hundreds of thousands more Americans would have died from the China plague." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 121, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7995, + "raw_confidence": 0.7995, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Biden was willing to sacrifice American lives on the altar of open borders, and now Joe Biden is once again hurting innocent people with his dangerous anti vaccine. Conspiracy theories, putting millions of lives around the world at risk, and the only reason he's doing that is. He knows where right next to having a vaccine, so he wants to belittle the vaccine because he doesn't want us to get credit." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 122, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1591, + "raw_confidence": 0.8409, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But again it's not him. It's the people surrounding him. When the virus arrived, we launched the largest national mobilization since World War II. Recently I visited the workers at Ford's historic ravage world plant who converted their factory to produce tens of thousands of ventilators. After we invoked the Defense Production Act and they've done a fantastic job." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 123, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2263, + "raw_confidence": 0.7737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Not a single American who has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator. Any time in our whole country, they needed a ventilator and we had nothing. We were left bare cupboards. I would say the cupboards were bare we're delivering lifesaving therapies and have achieved among the lowest case fatality rates anywhere of any country in the world." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 124, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Europe's excess mortality rate is 24 percent higher than the rate in the United States. You don't hear that from the fake news. America will prevail over the China virus. As Franklin Delano, Roosevelt said, The only thing we have to fear is fear itself. That said, we're doing very well, as the British government advised the British people in the face of World War, to keep Calm and Carry On that's what I did this whack job that wrote the book he said well to do a little bit." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "They wanted me to come out and scream people are dying with dying. No, no, we did it just the right way. We have to be calm, we don't want to be crazed, lunatics, we have to leave when Hitler was bombing. I don't know if you know this: when Hitler was bombing London, Churchill, great leader, would oftentimes go to a roof in London and speak and he always spoke with calmness." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 126, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1674, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "He said we have to show calmness now we did it the right way and we've done a job like nobody all of those great generals, all of those great admirals, our great Vice President Mike Pence. They did a fantastic job, our doctors and they don't get any credit because they want to discredit us as much as possible because they wanted to carry over to November 3rd." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 127, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1649, + "raw_confidence": 0.8351, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "But we've done a fantastic job. I think we've probably done the best job of any country. Certainly of any major country anywhere in the world on defend through our historic relief programs, we've saved more than 1.6 million Michigan jobs and over 128,000, 128,000 Michigan businesses. Michigan, has already gained and regained more Than half of the jobs that it lost and if your state was ever allowed to safely reopen by your governor who doesn't have a clue that she's like Joe, you would have regained far more than that open up your state." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1903, + "raw_confidence": 0.8097, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Madam Governor open up your store just like crazy Nancy Pelosi. Your governor is a liberal hypocrite who lives by a different set of rules. Her husband was caught trying to put his boat in the water on Memorial Day weekend, while she was ordering the people of Michigan to stay in their homes and forcing businesses into bankruptcy left and right." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 129, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5989, + "raw_confidence": 0.5989, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "The Biden agenda would collapse our economy and destroy this great opportunity that we're having right now he would oppose job destroying regulations that would demolish the auto industry. You know on regulations, it took in many cases, 18, 19, 20 years to get a roadway or a highway approved. We have it down now to two years we're trying to get it down to one year and it may get this approved for environmental or safety reasons, but we're going to know about it very fast." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 130, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7379, + "raw_confidence": 0.7379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "No more 20 year approvals or disapproval wants to force you to provide free government healthcare to illegal aliens. He will destroy your Social Security. He will destroy your protections for pre-existing conditions and we will save Social Security. Remember they said last time. Oh trump is going to destroy Social Security." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 132, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1635, + "raw_confidence": 0.8365, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We've been doing, we will make our medical supplies right here in the United States and right here in Michigan we will enact fair trade deals that create American jobs and grow american wages. We will rapidly return to full employment, soaring incomes and record prosperity and that's already happening. We will hire more police increase penalties for assaults and for surge, federal prosecutors into high crime communities and we will ban sanctuary cities." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 133, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1894, + "raw_confidence": 0.8106, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We will appoint prosecutors, judges and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda. We will ensure equal justice for citizens of every race, color, religion and creed. We will defend the dignity of work and the sanctity of life. We will uphold religious liberty, free speech and the right to keep and bear arms and you're lucky I'm here, because your Second Amendment would be gone." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 134, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "If I was it, and I didn't touch it, we will strike down terrorists who threaten our citizens, and we will keep our people keep them out of these horrible horrible situations where they hurt our country. They hurt the people of our country and we're also going to be staying out of the endless ridiculous foreign wars in countries that you've never even heard of." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1643, + "raw_confidence": 0.8357, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We will build the most powerful missile in cyber defense. We've already got it pretty much and we will maintain peace through strength. We will end surprise. Medical billing require the biggest thing that nobody even knows about, and it's all signed and it goes into effect on January 1st, you better make sure I win." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1613, + "raw_confidence": 0.8387, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "Can you imagine this is gonna be the biggest thing and nobody understands what it is: you'll figure it out, price transparency. Did they fight me in January and further reduce health insurance premiums and the costs of prescription drugs at a level like you've never seen before? I've already signed it favored Nations, the drug companies are not happy." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "I will tell you this. All you have to do is take a look at all the ads you're running against me, favorite nations, where we pay whatever the lowest is in the world. We pay that number, we will protect Medicare and Social Security and we will always protect our patients. We will always protect our people." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 138, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1551, + "raw_confidence": 0.8449, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We will protect your pre-existing conditions. As I said, america will land. The first woman on the moon and the United States will be the first nation to land an astronaut on Mars. We will restore patriotic education, you know what I mean by that and we will teach our children to love our country, honor our history and always respect our great american flag, and we will live by the timeless words of our national motto." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 139, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5384, + "raw_confidence": 0.5384, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "In God, We Trust and I don't know if you saw it, but during the Democrat National Convention and caucus they took twice. I thought I was sort of. Maybe they made a mistake. You saw that they took the word God out of the Pledge of Allegiance and then they said Oh too late. Well, maybe it was a mistake. It wasn't a mistake, that's where they're coming from don't be foolish! That's where they're coming from and there's nothing that sleepy Joe Biden can do about it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 140, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6942, + "raw_confidence": 0.6942, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "For years you had a President who apologized for America. Now you have a President who is standing up for America and standing up for Michigan. So get your friends get your family. Get your neighbors and your co-workers and get out and vote so applaud from Grand Rapids to Saginaw, from Kalamazoo to Mackinaw and from Flint to right here in free land." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We stand on the shoulders of generations of Michigan patriots who gave their blood sweat and tears. For this beloved nation, this is the state where Henry Ford invented the assembly line. It's the place where General Motors Chrysler and Kellogg revolutionized entire industries mission. Well, you know this." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 142, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1854, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "One right Michigan gave us Motown right right. That's right! Motown we love Motown, Michigan gave us Motown gave us, Motown gave us the Mustang and the unrivaled by of the American Midwest. This is the state where tough, strong and determined workers made America into the greatest and most powerful nation in the history of the world, and we are making it greater and greater every single day, proud citizens like you, helped build this country and together we will be Taking back our country we'll be taking it back from people that don't love our country and that take back is almost complete." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 143, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.164, + "raw_confidence": 0.836, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We have to win on November 3rd we're returning power to you, the American people. With your help, your devotion and your drive, we are going to keep on working, we are going to keep on fighting and we are going to keep on winning winning winning. We are going to keep going vote for John James, John James." + }, + { + "tid": "ZNdnDByTTi0", + "sid": 144, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-speech-campaign-rally-freeland-michigan-september-10-2020", + "t_date": "2020-09-10", + "claim_text": "We need John James. We are one movement, one people, one family and one glorious nation. Under God, and together with the incredible people of Michigan, we will make america wealthy again. We will make america stronger again. We will make america proud again. We will make America safe again and we will make america great again. Thank you, Michigan. Thank you." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 0, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Good morning everybody. Thank you very much for being with us. This is a big day in many ways many, many ways. The First Lady and I are delighted to welcome the members of Women's Suffrage Centennial Commission to the White House to celebrate the 100th anniversary of women securing the right to vote. That's something." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 1, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1623, + "raw_confidence": 0.8377, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I want to thank the commission members who have worked tirelessly for three years to tell the very powerful story of America's suffrage and America's suffrage movement." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 2, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1865, + "raw_confidence": 0.8135, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I'd like to introduce the women that have done such an incredible job for a long period of time. Jovita Carranza, SBA Administrator. Jovita?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 4, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4756, + "raw_confidence": 0.5244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "She's the biggest banker in the world right now. Even though it says Small Business, it's a big business, right?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 5, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.197, + "raw_confidence": 0.803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Kay Coles James, president of the Heritage Foundation." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 7, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1796, + "raw_confidence": 0.8204, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Anna Laymon, executive director of Women's Suffrage Centennial Commission. Thank you very much. Good. Great job. Oh, you're going to be so happy in a little while because we're giving you a very special treat that you don't know about. Even you don't know about it. You know everything, you people." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 8, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5229, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.42, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.807, + "npr": 0.193, + "tp_ratio": 0.339, + "tn_ratio": 0.183, + "fp_ratio": 0.468, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Cleta Mitchell, attorney, former member of the Oklahoma House of Representatives. A great attorney, I might add. Beyond beyond an attorney. A great attorney. Okay? I know that for a fact. Thank you, Cleta, very much." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 9, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1947, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of the Susan B. Anthony List. You are going to be so happy" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 10, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "in about seven minutes. You won't even believe it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 11, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2665, + "raw_confidence": 0.7335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Karen Hill, CEO of the Harriet Tubman National Historic Park." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 13, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2168, + "raw_confidence": 0.7832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Penny Nance, president of the Concerned Women of America." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 15, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2224, + "raw_confidence": 0.7776, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Heather Higgins, president of Independent Women's Voice." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 17, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1913, + "raw_confidence": 0.8087, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Debra Steidel Wall, Deputy Archivist of the United States. That sounds like a very big job. That's a lot of archives, isn't it?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 18, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1602, + "raw_confidence": 0.8398, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "How many buildings does that take up, right? Great. Great job. I hear you do a great job. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 19, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.199, + "raw_confidence": 0.801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Colleen Shogan, Deputy Director, National and International Outreach for the Library of Congress. Fantastic." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 22, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Susan Combs, Assistant Secretary of Policy Management and Budget at the Department of Interior. Thank you very much. Great job." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 24, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1716, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Today, I'm honored to sign a proclamation celebrating August 18th, 2020, as the 100th anniversary of the 19th Amendment. In the summer of 1848, Elizabeth Cady Stanton stood before the first-ever women's rights convention in Seneca Falls, New York, and declared that women should enjoy this fundamental civil right. What a job she did." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 25, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1721, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Seven decades later, the suffrage movement succeeded. On this day in 1920, the United States ratified the 19th Amendment. It was a monumental victory for equality, for justice, and a monumental victory for America." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 26, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1626, + "raw_confidence": 0.8374, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Today, a record-breaking 131 women are serving in Congress. Nearly 70 million women vote in elections. Fifty-six percent of our nation's college students are women. More than 11 million women own successful businesses. In other words, women dominate the United States. I think we can say that very strongly." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 27, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2202, + "raw_confidence": 0.7798, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Before the China virus set in and struck our nation, women had gained 4.3 million jobs a record. The women's unemployment rate had plummeted to the lowest level in more than 65 years. And last year, over 70 percent of the new jobs went to women. And I will say we're coming back very strongly, and we're going to see those numbers again very soon. But the numbers that we have for unemployment and employment, frankly we had 160 million people working. We've never even been close to that. And by next year, we'll be even higher than that number. Tremendous things are happening." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 28, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "As we fight to deliver a better future for all women and for all Americans, we remember the wonderful victory, one century ago. While I am President, America will always honor its heroes, and we will always celebrate the patriots who secured women's right to vote. So this is an incredible document that I'm signing." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 29, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1612, + "raw_confidence": 0.8388, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I wanted to just add something because this was brought up a week ago, and I was so surprised that it was never done before. Because later today, I will be signing a full and complete pardon for Susan B. Anthony. She was never pardoned." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 30, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Did you know that? She was never pardoned. What took so long?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 31, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7064, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you know that she got a pardon for a lot of other women, and she didn't put her name on the list. So she was never pardoned" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 32, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1682, + "raw_confidence": 0.8318, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "and we're for voting. That's right." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 33, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1726, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's right. She was guilty for voting. And we are going to be signing a full and complete pardon." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 34, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1611, + "raw_confidence": 0.8389, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I think that's really fantastic. Right? She deserves it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 35, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1694, + "raw_confidence": 0.8306, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So thank you all very much. And let us sign, and we'll do the other signing later on. It's being prepared right now, and I look forward to doing it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 38, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1663, + "raw_confidence": 0.8337, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So let's take these and hand these out," + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 40, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1615, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "This is much better than signing one letter at a time. Did you all see what those signatures look like?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 41, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1644, + "raw_confidence": 0.8356, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "They're not they're not good. They're not good. So thank you all very much." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 42, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1717, + "raw_confidence": 0.8283, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And who would like to have the privilege of delivering this? Who would like to have that?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 43, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1599, + "raw_confidence": 0.8401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yes, I think so. I think so. Congratulations. Really fantastic. Let's get a picture." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 45, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1819, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's a great picture. One hundred years." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 46, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1679, + "raw_confidence": 0.8321, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Would anybody like to ask any questions of the commission? They've done a fantastic job. If you have any questions, please. This is your this is your shot. This is your time." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 48, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2176, + "raw_confidence": 0.7824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you. We did do it once, and we're doing it again. And the number it looks like beyond a V. It looks like a super V, based on the kind of numbers we're coming out. I guess you're seeing that. They were they they were saying, That's not possible. And now they're saying it's a super V, and that's what we're having." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 49, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.162, + "raw_confidence": 0.838, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Any other questions, please, for the commission?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 50, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.172, + "raw_confidence": 0.828, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, we'll talk about that later. I mean, we'll talk about that. The Democrats want to make it a political issue. It's not a political issue; it's really about a correct vote." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 51, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.753, + "raw_confidence": 0.753, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You have to get voting voting right. You can't have millions and millions of ballots sent all over the place sent to people that are dead; sent to dogs, cats; sent to everyone. I mean, this is a serious situation. This isn't games. And you have to get it right." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 52, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1706, + "raw_confidence": 0.8294, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I just want to get it right. Win, lose, or draw I think we're going to win win, lose, or draw, we have to get it right." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 53, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1688, + "raw_confidence": 0.8312, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, they're going to do something in Congress, but everything they do is political. As an example, why don't they do it now, instead of on Monday? They picked a day, actually they picked another day on Monday, as you know. Well, that's when the Republican Convention starts." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 54, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1742, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Why don't they do it during the Democratic Convention? Because everything they do Nancy and Chuck they play games. How's it working out? I think this is the White House, isn't it? How's it working out for them? Not so good. So, I I will tell you, it's disgraceful. It's disgraceful." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 56, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1658, + "raw_confidence": 0.8342, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Go ahead, please. Let's talk about this subject, however although, indirectly, we're probably talking about the same subject. Wouldn't you say, Cleta?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 57, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1671, + "raw_confidence": 0.8329, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Cleta is an expert on this. I've never even asked. She's one of the great attorneys in Washington. Do you have an opinion on it?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 58, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1676, + "raw_confidence": 0.8324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And if it's not my opinion, please don't say it, okay?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 59, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1655, + "raw_confidence": 0.8345, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Come come on up here. I and I must say it's very interesting." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 62, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1632, + "raw_confidence": 0.8368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you. And give me that letter if you could. Oh, do you have it?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 63, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "No, if you have it, I'll from you, I'll take it. She's really one of the great lawyers. Thank you very much, and I'll wait for it. I'd like it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 65, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.17, + "raw_confidence": 0.83, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So nice that you say that because they don't speak about it, but transparency is a very controversial issue because doctors don't like and, frankly, hospitals don't. The good doctors love it, and the good hospitals love it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 67, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2439, + "raw_confidence": 0.7561, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I've had many people that are really expert at it. They say it's a bigger issue than healthcare itself. It'll save so much money. And it's the full deal. I signed it. It's done. It goes into effect on January 1st. And you're right; if the Democrats get in, they'll probably try and end it. And what a shame that would be because it was so hard to get it done and it will save people massive amounts of money. I'm not talking about 1 percent or 2 percent." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 69, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4438, + "raw_confidence": 0.5562, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5455, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.37, + "npv": 0.672, + "ppr": 0.418, + "npr": 0.582, + "tp_ratio": 0.155, + "tn_ratio": 0.391, + "fp_ratio": 0.264, + "fn_ratio": 0.191, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And all it means, when you see ads from drug companies all it means is one thing: The drug prices are going to be coming down 50, 60, 70 percent. And they never thought anybody would do that." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 70, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7745, + "raw_confidence": 0.7745, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "I also signed a rebate clause. So the rebate money, instead of going to the middlemen, who are among the richest men in this country and men and women, I guess in this country by far the middleman. The middleman makes more money than the people that produce. At least the drug companies produce something. But I signed where the rebate goes to the people." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 71, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1614, + "raw_confidence": 0.8386, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "There's never been anything like this. And as a nonpolitician, I can do it. And I will tell you, I was called by a lot of politicians that I was surprised at, literally begging me not to do it. Please don't do it. Please don't do it. And because, you know, the big pharma is, by far, the number one lobbyist-paying group in the country, and people are loyal to big pharma. And I'm all for big pharma, but this is a tremendous this will be a tremendous drop." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 72, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3129, + "raw_confidence": 0.6871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So between between transparency and what I just did with respect to favored nations that means if Germany pays 10 cents, and we're paying $2.50, we go down to 10 cents. That's a number that nobody has even thought of. And what will happen is they'll have to pay more, and we're going to have to pay much, much less like numbers and it could be 70, 80 percent. So we're not talking about games." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 73, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And nobody had the courage to sign it. And a lot of people didn't even know about it. A lot of people. So I appreciate very much your saying it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 74, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1815, + "raw_confidence": 0.8185, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5046, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.333, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.716, + "npr": 0.284, + "tp_ratio": 0.239, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.477, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And it may be that transparency is even more important than that." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 77, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1672, + "raw_confidence": 0.8328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's so great that it's so great let's see, Voters for Women. Oh, that's interesting. So you're you're just" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 78, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1709, + "raw_confidence": 0.8291, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "No, this is very good. No, but can I tell you that no, I think it's great that you're doing we're talking about something that you know a lot about. And it does portend it does, really, portend to exactly what you're doing. I think it's true." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 79, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2672, + "raw_confidence": 0.7328, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "You know, we did one other thing that is so important: pharmacies. They didn't have to give any information. You go in for a pill, and the pharmacy gives you this crazy price. And you can't price it, you can't go around, you can't do anything. I ended that practice. I said, What do you mean you can't negotiate? You didn't even have the right to negotiate. I ended that and was met with a hail of storm." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 80, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Everything I do, I get met with a hail of storm. But you know what? I do the right thing. I do the right thing for the people. I don't need big pharma. They don't help me. They help a lot of other people, but they don't help me. I'm doing the right thing for the country, and let's see whether or not people realize it. They're spending millions and millions of dollars on negative ads on me, and you see it's big pharma. Unlimited money. I mean, they have so much money. They have unlimited money, and let's see." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 81, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2074, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But I think when people see big pharma taking ads on me that I'm such a bad person, what it means and I hope they understand that it means drug prices are going down." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 83, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1745, + "raw_confidence": 0.8255, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yeah, no, she was over her head. And, frankly, she should have made the speech live, which she didn't do; she taped it. And it was not only taped, it was taped a long time ago because she had the wrong deaths. She didn't even mention the vice presidential candidate in the speech. And, you know, she gets these fawning reviews. If you gave a real review, it wouldn't be so fawning. I thought it was a very divisive speech, extremely divisive." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 84, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "We have a tremendous amount of enthusiasm for my campaign because of things like we're talking about now drug prices and drug cuts, and transparency with hospitals and doctors that are going to lower bills by 50 percent, 70 percent. You're talking about numbers that are incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 85, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.466, + "npv": 0.863, + "ppr": 0.532, + "npr": 0.468, + "tp_ratio": 0.248, + "tn_ratio": 0.404, + "fp_ratio": 0.284, + "fn_ratio": 0.064, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "There's a procedure I won't mention what it is but there's a procedure where one hospital was charging $2,500; another hospital was charging $32 for the exact same procedure, using the exact same kit. And the people weren't able to go around and even have that option, and it was the exact same." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 86, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2922, + "raw_confidence": 0.7078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "In fact, we did a study, and the one for $32 actually did a better job. Okay? How about that? $2,500; $32 and the cheap one did a better job, using the exact same stuff. So that's what we're talking about. We're talking about numbers that are incredible." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 87, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1656, + "raw_confidence": 0.8344, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "No, I thought her speech was very divisive. And, frankly, I wouldn't even be here if it weren't for Barack Obama. See? We're standing in the White House. I wouldn't be in the White House except for Barack Obama. Because they did a bad job Biden and Obama. And if they did a good job, I wouldn't be here; I'd be building buildings someplace and having a good time." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 88, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2792, + "raw_confidence": 0.7208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6273, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.556, + "npv": 0.723, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.318, + "tn_ratio": 0.309, + "fp_ratio": 0.255, + "fn_ratio": 0.118, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Well, they get very bad reviews. If you look at the Gallup poll Gallup poll did a review of them. Now, you have to understand, that was a far lesser vicious disease. It was not the same in the same ballpark." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 89, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1685, + "raw_confidence": 0.8315, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But yeah, yeah, I know. It was also a much lesser disease. But they got very bad reviews. Gallup gave very bad reviews. And, by the way, Gallup, at that same time, gave us very, very good reviews for the job we're we've done." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 90, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7483, + "raw_confidence": 0.7483, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "So if you take a look at the Gallup poll from a couple of months ago, we got very good reviews, and they got very bad reviews. They were they were I mean, the reviews they got for the handling of swine flu or H1N1, which Biden calls N1H1 and I don't even correct him on that. I don't even correct him. I said, Oh, that's a mistake you can make. But that's what he calls it. He's got the he's got it a little mixed up, but that's all right." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 91, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8029, + "raw_confidence": 0.8029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Take a look at the Gallup poll. And there were others, too. They got horrible marks, and that disease is a much lesser problem." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 94, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1949, + "raw_confidence": 0.8051, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7431, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.519, + "npv": 0.964, + "ppr": 0.495, + "npr": 0.505, + "tp_ratio": 0.257, + "tn_ratio": 0.486, + "fp_ratio": 0.239, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Oh, I thought you said protestors and terrorists." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 95, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Yeah. You have to understand me: I like seeing democracy. Democracy is a very important word. It doesn't seem like it's too much democracy there, in Belarus. But we are speaking to lots of people. And we'll be speaking, at the appropriate time, to Russia. And we'll be speaking to other people that are involved." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 96, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But it's certainly a very big march. And it seems to be a very peaceful march, other than the other unlike some of the so-called peaceful protests that we have, where they burn down stores. Okay? Peaceful protests those are not peaceful. Those are anarchists going over to Portland and other places. These are anarchists, agitators. These are very bad people." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 97, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1653, + "raw_confidence": 0.8347, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "But it seems to be very peaceful, and it's a peaceful protest. And I do I support democracy. Okay, any other question?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 98, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1637, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Not supporters. These are just people that are outstanding people. Some support me" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 99, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1619, + "raw_confidence": 0.8381, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "That's right. This is very bipartisan. Some were appointed by people that I don't get along with so well. Okay? I won't say who, because I happen to like you all. I happen to like you all, so what can I do?" + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 100, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's a very fair question. A great question, actually. Look, I view it very strongly that the suburban voter, the suburban housewife, women and men living in the suburbs they want security and they want safety. They don't want to have a lifetime of working hard and buying a house." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 101, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1747, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.532, + "npv": 0.967, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.385, + "tn_ratio": 0.266, + "fp_ratio": 0.339, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And, by the way, 30 percent of the people living in suburbia are minority groups African American, Hispanic American, Asian American. They're minority groups. They don't want to have their American Dream fulfilled and then have a low-income housing project built right next to their house or in the neighborhood. They don't want it. That's not part of the deal. And I terminated that." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1866, + "raw_confidence": 0.8134, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5413, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.367, + "npv": 1.0, + "ppr": 0.725, + "npr": 0.275, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.275, + "fp_ratio": 0.459, + "fn_ratio": 0.0, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And I think that the suburban housewife, as you say, and I think that women and men living in the suburbs who fulfilled their American Dream or at least got a big part of it, they now live in a safe, beautiful area. They don't want to have people coming in and forcing low-income housing down their throats." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1618, + "raw_confidence": 0.8382, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "And you know what? People can say I'm a bad person for doing that, or they can say I'm a good person. But I think that suburban women very much appreciate what I did. I terminated it. This has been a hot issue for before President Obama, but he took it to a new level. And Biden is going to take it to yet another level. In fact, they say that Cory Booker there's another beauty that Cory Booker is involved. And if Cory Booker is involved, nothing good is going to happen." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7602, + "raw_confidence": 0.7602, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6514, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.468, + "npv": 0.894, + "ppr": 0.569, + "npr": 0.431, + "tp_ratio": 0.266, + "tn_ratio": 0.385, + "fp_ratio": 0.303, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "It's very unfair to suburbia men, women; husbands, housewives whatever you want to say. It's very unfair. And I think it's a very important issue, and I think they respect very much what I did. And nobody else would have had the guts to do it." + }, + { + "tid": "ZpVaw38MYR8", + "sid": 105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1665, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8899, + "global_acc": 0.63, + "global_auc": 0.74, + "global_mcc": 0.36, + "ppv": 0.855, + "npv": 0.97, + "ppr": 0.697, + "npr": 0.303, + "tp_ratio": 0.596, + "tn_ratio": 0.294, + "fp_ratio": 0.101, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://factba.se/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-anniversary-19th-amendment-women-vote-august-18-2020", + "t_date": "2020-08-18", + "claim_text": "Thank you all very much. We'll be signing for Susan B. Anthony the full pardon very, very soon. Thank you very much." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71551, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8246, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281206354334625793", + "t_date": "2020-07-09 12:39:33", + "claim_text": "For the 1/100th time, the reason we show so many Cases, compared to other countries that haven\u2019t done nearly as well as we have, is that our TESTING is much bigger and better. We have tested 40,000,000 people. If we did 20,000,000 instead, Cases would be half, etc. NOT REPORTED!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71553, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8262, + "raw_confidence": 0.8262, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281209215953113098", + "t_date": "2020-07-09 12:50:55", + "claim_text": "\u201cWe know what took place. We have already seen criminality. What is happening? Biggest political scandal of our time.\u201d You are 100% correct, Maria, it is a disgrace that nothing happens. Obama and Biden spied on my campaign, AND GOT CAUGHT...BUT NOTHING!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71556, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8325, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281236412667432961", + "t_date": "2020-07-09 14:38:59", + "claim_text": "Courts in the past have given \u201cbroad deference\u201d. BUT NOT ME!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71560, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.19, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281355449523146752", + "t_date": "2020-07-09 22:32:00", + "claim_text": "At the request of Congressman Moolenaar, I have approved a major Disaster Declaration to provide more than $43 million in Federal Funds to help the people of the GREAT State of Michigan recover from the recent dam break flooding. I will always stand with Michigan!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71561, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.813, + "raw_confidence": 0.813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281447465774919680", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 04:37:38", + "claim_text": "President Trump Approval Rating in the Republican Party at 96%. Thank You!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71563, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7847, + "raw_confidence": 0.7847, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281552520612057088", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 11:35:05", + "claim_text": "The great has a very important new book coming out shortly. \u201cThe Trump Century, How Our President Changed the Course Of History Forever\u201d, looks like it will be a big bestseller. Make it Number 1 for Lou. Pre-Order now at A great honor, Lou!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71564, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8243, + "raw_confidence": 0.8243, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281554061972692994", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 11:41:13", + "claim_text": "Now that we have witnessed it on a large scale basis, and firsthand, Virtual Learning has proven to be TERRIBLE compared to In School, or On Campus, Learning. Not even close! Schools must be open in the Fall. If not open, why would the Federal Government give Funding? It won\u2019t!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71565, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6769, + "raw_confidence": 0.6769, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281554521748119553", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 11:43:02", + "claim_text": "Get it done or the Federal Government will come in and get it done for you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71566, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8258, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281556758457188352", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 11:51:56", + "claim_text": " Mail-In Ballot fraud found in many elections. People are just now seeing how bad, dishonest and slow it is. Election results could be delayed for months. No more big election night answers? 1% not even counted in 2016. Ridiculous! Just a formula for RIGGING an Election Absentee Ballots are fine because you have to go through a precise process to get your voting privilege. Not so with Mail-Ins. Rigged Election!!! 20% fraudulent ballots?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71567, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8242, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281556766086574080", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 11:51:57", + "claim_text": "\u201cDon\u2019t throw the American story into the river, don\u2019t throw it into the lake. Be proud of it.\u201d" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71568, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1485, + "raw_confidence": 0.8515, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281603566071771136", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 14:57:55", + "claim_text": "On my way to U.S. Southern Command ( in the Great State of Florida!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71569, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.485, + "raw_confidence": 0.515, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281616590060965888", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 15:49:41", + "claim_text": " Too many Universities and School Systems are about Radical Left Indoctrination, not Education. Therefore, I am telling the Treasury Department to re-examine their Tax-Exempt Status and/or Funding, which will be taken away if this Propaganda or Act Against Public Policy continues. Our children must be Educated, not Indoctrinated!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71571, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1696, + "raw_confidence": 0.8304, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281637140951109632", + "t_date": "2020-07-10 17:11:20", + "claim_text": "With Tropical Storm Fay heading towards the Great State of New Hampshire this weekend, we are forced to reschedule our Portsmouth, New Hampshire Rally at the Portsmouth International Airport at Pease. Stay safe, we will be there soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71579, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8189, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281757895860740096", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 01:11:10", + "claim_text": "\u201cJoe Biden, a little out of it, let\u2019s face it, so he is the perfect vessel, an empty vessel, to transform the Country.\u201d \u201cDestroying your dreams and ending your life.\u201d Ned Ryan" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71581, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281761719552036867", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 01:26:22", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to on a big night, as usual!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71592, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9977, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.998, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.998, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.002, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281919692123316224", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 11:54:06", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to A.G. Barr. Law & Order!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71593, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7863, + "raw_confidence": 0.7863, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281921247950131200", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:00:17", + "claim_text": "This man should be extradited, tried, and thrown into jail. A sick lier who was paid by Crooked Hillary & the DNC!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71594, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7299, + "raw_confidence": 0.7299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281922216876224513", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:04:08", + "claim_text": "This was just another phony hit job by the They had no source, they made it up. FAKE NEWS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71595, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8265, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281923845222522880", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:10:36", + "claim_text": "John, among others, should have gotten a Pulitzer for exposing Russia, Russia, Russia as Fake News. He was right. The \u201cjournalists\u201d who got them were all WRONG. Take back the Pulitzers, which have become a JOKE!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71596, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8222, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281924439748349962", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:12:58", + "claim_text": "That shouldn\u2019t be hard. Corrupt Joe has done nothing good for Black people!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71601, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8376, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281927265589309441", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:24:11", + "claim_text": "Roger Stone was targeted by an illegal Witch Hunt that never should have taken place. It is the other side that are criminals, including Biden and Obama, who spied on my campaign - AND GOT CAUGHT!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71609, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8085, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281930300960976897", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:36:15", + "claim_text": "Big Senate Race in Alabama on Tuesday. Vote for he is a winner who will never let you down. Jeff Sessions is a disaster who has let us all down. We don\u2019t want him back in Washington!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71610, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8099, + "raw_confidence": 0.8099, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1281932578048614402", + "t_date": "2020-07-11 12:45:18", + "claim_text": "New documents just released reveal General Flynn was telling the truth, and the FBI knew it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71623, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2561, + "raw_confidence": 0.7439, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282104681154609152", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 00:09:10", + "claim_text": "What an INCREDIBLE opening by I will put it up later for everyone to see!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71625, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7957, + "raw_confidence": 0.7957, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282129696382234625", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 01:48:35", + "claim_text": "Does anyone notice that the real Polls, as opposed to the Fake Suppression Polls also used in 2016, are starting to define Sleepy Joe Biden as someone totally ill-equipped to control the Radical Left, Crime, Cancel Culture, or to even come close to me on REBUILDING THE ECONOMY?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71626, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8325, + "raw_confidence": 0.8325, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282155171909435393", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 03:29:48", + "claim_text": "Do RINO\u2019S Pat Toomey & Mitt Romney have any problem with the fact that we caught Obama, Biden, & Company illegally spying on my campaign? Do they care if Comey, McCabe, Page & her lover, Peter S, the whole group, ran rampant, wild & unchecked - lying & leaking all the way? NO!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71627, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8348, + "raw_confidence": 0.8348, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282276752090431490", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 11:32:55", + "claim_text": "I disagreed with doing this very small (tiny) section of wall, in a tricky area, by a private group which raised money by ads. It was only done to make me look bad, and perhsps it now doesn\u2019t even work. Should have been built like rest of Wall, 500 plus miles." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71633, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8275, + "raw_confidence": 0.8275, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282281745585504265", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 11:52:46", + "claim_text": "We have now built 240 Miles of new Border Wall on our Southern Border. We will have over 450 Miles built by the end of the year. Have established some of the best Border Numbers ever. The Radical Left Democrats want Open Borders for anyone, including many criminals, to come in!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71634, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8162, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282286510390288384", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 12:11:42", + "claim_text": " I know many in business and politics that work out endlessly, in some cases to a point of exhaustion. It is their number one passion in life, but nobody complains. My \u201cexercise\u201d is playing, almost never during the week, a quick round of golf. Obama played more and much longer rounds, no problem. When I play, Fake News CNN, and others, park themselves anywhere they can to get a picture, then scream \u201cPresident Trump is playing golf.\u201d Actually, I play VERY fast, get a lot of work done on the golf course, and also get a \u201ctiny\u201d bit of exercise. Not bad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71635, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1871, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282288813075771392", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 12:20:51", + "claim_text": "Thank you to J.R. Majewski, a great Air Force Veteran and Trump Supporter who did a beautiful job of turning his lawn into a giant Trump Sign. Thanks also to your fantastic Ohio neighbors. We are making record progress on JOBS, etc. Big Silent Majority!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71636, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8279, + "raw_confidence": 0.8279, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282291265661472771", + "t_date": "2020-07-12 12:30:36", + "claim_text": "No, Radical Left anarchists, agitators, looters or protesters will not be knocking down or harming the Washington Monument, the Lincoln or Jefferson Memorials, or just about any other Federal Monumrnt or Statue. If they even try, an automatic 10 years in prison. Sorry!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71644, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.767, + "raw_confidence": 0.767, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282641318460653568", + "t_date": "2020-07-13 11:41:35", + "claim_text": "Is this what you want for your President??? With no ratings, media will go down along with our great USA!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71645, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8028, + "raw_confidence": 0.8028, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282644601665458176", + "t_date": "2020-07-13 11:54:38", + "claim_text": "\u201cRepublican voter registration is way up, Democrat numbers are down.\u201d" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71646, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5911, + "raw_confidence": 0.5911, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282647375257964544", + "t_date": "2020-07-13 12:05:39", + "claim_text": "Never in history have Police been treated so badly as they are in Democrat run cities - and these cities are a mess. Police must take a stronger stand with the Radical Left politicians that are treating them so badly, and so disrespectfully!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71648, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282668779575615494", + "t_date": "2020-07-13 13:30:42", + "claim_text": "So hard to watch anymore. They are working so hard against the people (viewers) that got them there. Their contributors are a disaster, and all over the place. The Radical Left has scared Fox into submission, just like they have so many others. Sad, but we will WIN!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71650, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7936, + "raw_confidence": 0.7936, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282675421541289985", + "t_date": "2020-07-13 13:57:06", + "claim_text": "The Lamestream Media is not talking about what is happening with the Stock Market and JOBS. Both are doing GREAT! The Radical Left will destroy the USA. Be careful what you wish for!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71653, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1832, + "raw_confidence": 0.8168, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282814301452095489", + "t_date": "2020-07-13 23:08:57", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to my friend President of Poland on his historic re-election! Looking forward to continuing our important work together across many issues, including defense, trade, energy, and telecommunications security!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71665, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7965, + "raw_confidence": 0.7965, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1282890085483061248", + "t_date": "2020-07-14 04:10:05", + "claim_text": "This is why we have so many \u201ccases\u201d for the media to constantly refer to!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71669, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8163, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283029342084358147", + "t_date": "2020-07-14 13:23:27", + "claim_text": "Would be so great if the Media would get the word out to the people in a \u201cfair and balanced\u201d way. We will win anyway, but they are a far more difficult adversary than their Radical Left Do Nothing Democrat Partner!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71677, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8205, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283192212986232837", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 00:10:38", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden claims to be prioritizing \u2018safety of kids\u2019 by keeping schools closed this Fall. Yet he remains silent about children being slaughtered by violence on the streets of Democrat run cities. You & your children won\u2019t be SAFE in Biden\u2019s America, and neither will anyone else!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71679, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2374, + "raw_confidence": 0.7626, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283215676488986628", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 01:43:52", + "claim_text": "Wow, just called! - Tommy Tuberville WON big against Jeff Sessions. Will be a GREAT Senator for the incredible people of Alabama. is a terrible Senator who is just a Super Liberal puppet for Schumer & Pelosi. Represents Alabama poorly. On to November 3rd." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71686, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1928, + "raw_confidence": 0.8072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283240204522921984", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 03:21:20", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to on a big win against a tough and really good opponent. Ronny will be a fantastic Congressman - Will represent the wonderful people of the Great State of Texas, and the USA, very well. Proud of you Ronny!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71690, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8174, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283365563553767424", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 11:39:28", + "claim_text": "\u201cJoe Biden has made a lot of promises - and not gotten a lot done.\u201d That is the understatement of the year!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71691, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8224, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283368139204567040", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 11:49:42", + "claim_text": "Has anybody seen or reviewed the written \u201cpact\u201d between Bernie Sanders & Sleepy Joe. It is further left than even Bernie had in mind. Open Borders, crime, really bad to cops and military - The guaranteed destruction of America. Joe never told us this. Never been so CLEAR!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71692, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7217, + "raw_confidence": 0.7217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283370156341760001", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 11:57:43", + "claim_text": ". is doing GREAT. The Radical Left smear machine backfired, people are buying like crazy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71693, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6451, + "raw_confidence": 0.6451, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283371800982949891", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 12:04:15", + "claim_text": "88 and 2 (really 1) in ENDORSEMENTS this election cycle, and was critical. Has anyone ever done so well? I doubt it! Steve D." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71694, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8026, + "raw_confidence": 0.8026, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283373044791160832", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 12:09:12", + "claim_text": "96% Approval Rating of President Trump in the Republican Party. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71696, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7715, + "raw_confidence": 0.7715, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283376421767917568", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 12:22:37", + "claim_text": "Wow. The is under siege. The real reason is that it has become Fake News. They never covered me correctly - they blew it. People are fleeing, a total mess!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71697, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8277, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283428971611389952", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 15:51:26", + "claim_text": "The Biden-Sanders unity plan takes a sledgehammer to charter schools, punishing students for their zip codes. No one will be SAFE in Joe Biden\u2019s America!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71698, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8187, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283429106768662528", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 15:51:58", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden and the Radical Left want to Abolish Police, Abolish ICE, Abolish Bail, Abolish Suburbs, Abolish the 2nd Amendment and Abolish the American Way of Life. No one will be SAFE in Joe Biden\u2019s America!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71699, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2848, + "raw_confidence": 0.7152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283434482322808837", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 16:13:20", + "claim_text": "Three individuals were sentenced to death in Iran for participating in protests. The execution is expected momentarily. Executing these three people sends a terrible signal to the world and should not be done!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71700, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2096, + "raw_confidence": 0.7904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283434584689049601", + "t_date": "2020-07-15 16:13:44", + "claim_text": "\u0633\u0647 \u0646\u0641\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0634\u0631\u06a9\u062a \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u06a9\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0631\u06af \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062f. \u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0622\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0647\u0631 \u0644\u062d\u0638\u0647 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0638\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0633\u0647 \u0646\u0641\u0631 \u067e\u06cc\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u0641\u0646\u0627\u06a9 \u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0646\u06cc\u0627 \u0645\u06cc \u0641\u0631\u0633\u062a\u062f \u0648 \u0646\u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f \u0627\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0645 \u0634\u0648\u062f." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71714, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1916, + "raw_confidence": 0.8084, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283600539599675397", + "t_date": "2020-07-16 03:13:11", + "claim_text": "THANK YOU and their 241,000 brave law enforcement members for a FULL & COMPLETE ENDORSEMENT! I will ALWAYS back the men and women in blue, and never let you down. LAW AND ORDER will prevail!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71718, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8276, + "raw_confidence": 0.8276, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1283943240434163712", + "t_date": "2020-07-17 01:54:57", + "claim_text": "Another one of many Fake T.V. Ads, this one about the Tennessee Valley Authority, which for years has paid its top executive a ridiculous FORTUNE. Not run by the U.S., but I have long been fighting that crazy \u201csalary\u201d & its polices. Strange ad paid for (?) by \u201cU.S. Tech Workers\u201d." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71735, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2135, + "raw_confidence": 0.7865, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284162207232733185", + "t_date": "2020-07-17 16:25:03", + "claim_text": "THANK YOU to the 5 million members of the for once again entrusting me with your FULL & COMPLETE ENDORSEMENT! As long as I am President, I will ALWAYS protect our Great Second Amendment, and never let the Radical Left take away your Rights, your Guns, or your Police!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71736, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6361, + "raw_confidence": 0.6361, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284224894092312581", + "t_date": "2020-07-17 20:34:09", + "claim_text": "In addition to nearly $8 billion that Treasury provided tribal communities, is releasing an additional $25 million in funding today to respond to the CoronaVirus with improved housing, indoor air quality, and food pantry support." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71737, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1872, + "raw_confidence": 0.8128, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284225001659523077", + "t_date": "2020-07-17 20:34:34", + "claim_text": "I am proud to announce $2 million for the in NYC! This special site ensures that the memory of the nearly 3,000 people killed in the terror attacks of September 11, 2001, as well as those lost in the World Trade Center bombing in 1993, will never be forgotten!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71738, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8224, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284255472229519360", + "t_date": "2020-07-17 22:35:39", + "claim_text": "I am the ultimate member of The Book of the Month Club. First I have lowlife dummy John Bolton, a war mongering fool, violating the law (he released massive amounts of Classified Information) and an NDA in order to build badly needed credibility and make a few dollars, which" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71739, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8287, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284255474691575808", + "t_date": "2020-07-17 22:35:40", + "claim_text": " will all end up going to the government anyway. Next up is Mary Trump, a seldom seen niece who knows little about me, says untruthful things about my wonderful parents (who couldn\u2019t stand her!) and me, and violated her NDA. She also broke the Law by givng out my Tax Returns. She\u2019s a mess! Many books have been written about me, some good, some bad. Both happily and sadly, there will be more to come!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71740, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8176, + "raw_confidence": 0.8176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284282946850086912", + "t_date": "2020-07-18 00:24:50", + "claim_text": "Corrupt Joe Biden wants to defund our police. He may use different words, but when you look at his pact with Crazy Bernie, and other things, that\u2019s what he wants to do. It would destroy America!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71786, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1864, + "raw_confidence": 0.8136, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284549896389955585", + "t_date": "2020-07-18 18:05:35", + "claim_text": "Saddened to hear the news of civil rights hero John Lewis passing. Melania and I send our prayers to he and his family." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71796, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8035, + "raw_confidence": 0.8035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284831061181173761", + "t_date": "2020-07-19 12:42:50", + "claim_text": "We are trying to help Portland, not hurt it. Their leadership has, for months, lost control of the anarchists and agitators. They are missing in action. We must protect Federal property, AND OUR PEOPLE. These were not merely protesters, these are the real deal!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71797, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4877, + "raw_confidence": 0.5123, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284894845614600194", + "t_date": "2020-07-19 16:56:18", + "claim_text": "The Radical Left Democrats, who totally control Biden, will destroy our Country as we know it. Unimaginably bad things would happen to America. Look at Portland, where the pols are just fine with 50 days of anarchy. We sent in help. Look at New York, Chicago, Philadelphia. NO!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71799, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8343, + "raw_confidence": 0.8343, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1284899438591451137", + "t_date": "2020-07-19 17:14:33", + "claim_text": "So we catch Obama & Biden, not to even mention the rest of their crew, SPYING on my campaign, AND NOTHING HAPPENS? I hope not! If it were the other way around, 50 years for treason. NEVER FORGET!!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71802, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.822, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285299379746811915", + "t_date": "2020-07-20 19:43:46", + "claim_text": "We are United in our effort to defeat the Invisible China Virus, and many people say that it is Patriotic to wear a face mask when you can\u2019t socially distance. There is nobody more Patriotic than me, your favorite President!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71803, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6718, + "raw_confidence": 0.6718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285520211593105413", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 10:21:16", + "claim_text": "Thank you for the good reviews and comments on my interview with Chris Wallace of We may have set a record for doing such an interview in the heat. It was 100 degrees, making things very interesting!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71804, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7463, + "raw_confidence": 0.7463, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285520982648729600", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 10:24:20", + "claim_text": "Looking forward to live sports, but any time I witness a player kneeling during the National Anthem, a sign of great disrespect for our Country and our Flag, the game is over for me!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71805, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2889, + "raw_confidence": 0.7111, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285522754129858560", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 10:31:23", + "claim_text": "Tremendous progress being made on Vaccines and Therapeutics!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71806, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8078, + "raw_confidence": 0.8078, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285524871666118656", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 10:39:47", + "claim_text": "You will never hear this on the Fake News concerning the China Virus, but by comparison to most other countries, who are suffering greatly, we are doing very well - and we have done things that few other countries could have done!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71807, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8079, + "raw_confidence": 0.8079, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285526989667958784", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 10:48:12", + "claim_text": "\u201cIn my view General Flynn should never have been prosecuted in the first place.\u201d Judge Andrew Napolitano" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71808, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5948, + "raw_confidence": 0.5948, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285538283892748288", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 11:33:05", + "claim_text": "Strong Stock Market Numbers. You want to see them dive? Vote for the Radical Left with their BIG Tax Hikes!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71809, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8263, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1285540318503407622", + "t_date": "2020-07-21 11:41:10", + "claim_text": "Mail-In Voting, unless changed by the courts, will lead to the most CORRUPT ELECTION in our Nation\u2019s History!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71816, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286021372070830084", + "t_date": "2020-07-22 19:32:42", + "claim_text": "We MUST protect our National Parks for our children and grandchildren. I am calling on the House to pass the GREAT AMERICAN OUTDOORS ACT today. Thanks and for all your work on this HISTORIC BILL!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71827, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2183, + "raw_confidence": 0.7817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286070129965649922", + "t_date": "2020-07-22 22:46:27", + "claim_text": "I am deeply saddened by the loss of my friend Charles Evers. Charles was a trail blazer in politics and a fearless leader, alongside his brother Medgar, for Civil Rights." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71828, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.762, + "raw_confidence": 0.762, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286266178789310465", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 11:45:29", + "claim_text": "Liz Cheney is only upset because I have been actively getting our great and beautiful Country out of the ridiculous and costly Endless Wars. I am also making our so-called allies pay tens of billions of dollars in delinquent military costs. They must, at least, treat us fairly!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71834, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5201, + "raw_confidence": 0.5201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286272857337663489", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 12:12:01", + "claim_text": "Great, but did MAGA have anything to do with this great ratings success?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71836, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7996, + "raw_confidence": 0.7996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286273485514448900", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 12:14:31", + "claim_text": "John Bolton is, with the exception of Hillary, by far the worst offender of them all!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71875, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.823, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286280956710723585", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 12:44:12", + "claim_text": "We did great things, but it doesn\u2019t matter to the Dems!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71876, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3399, + "raw_confidence": 0.6601, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286299924141932550", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 13:59:34", + "claim_text": "Recently watched failed RINO Tom Ridge, former head of Homeland Security, trying to justify his sudden love of the Radical Left Mayor of Portland, who last night was booed & shouted out of existence by the agitators & anarchists. Love watching pathetic Never Trumpers squirm!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71877, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8201, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286332695023431683", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 16:09:48", + "claim_text": "The Democrats have stated strongly that they won\u2019t approve a Payroll Tax Cut (too bad!). It would be great for workers. The Republicans, therefore, didn\u2019t want to ask for it. Dems, as usual, are hurting the working men and women of our Country!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71878, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8231, + "raw_confidence": 0.8231, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286337596206055432", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 16:29:16", + "claim_text": "Obama, who wouldn\u2019t even endorse Biden until everyone else was out of the primaries (and even then waited a long time!), is now making a commercial of support. Remember, I wouldn\u2019t even be here if it weren\u2019t for them. I wouldn\u2019t be President. They did a terrible job!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71879, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2831, + "raw_confidence": 0.7169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286372175117791236", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 18:46:40", + "claim_text": "The Suburban Housewives of America must read this article. Biden will destroy your neighborhood and your American Dream. I will preserve it, and make it even better!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71880, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1966, + "raw_confidence": 0.8034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286404022442831873", + "t_date": "2020-07-23 20:53:13", + "claim_text": "White House Press Conference at 5:15 P.M. Live!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71883, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1812, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286455767462219778", + "t_date": "2020-07-24 00:18:50", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed by tonight at 9:00 P.M. on Enjoy!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71885, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1935, + "raw_confidence": 0.8065, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286646085541416960", + "t_date": "2020-07-24 12:55:06", + "claim_text": "The great Jim Ryun will be honored this morning at the White House with the presentation of The Presidential Medal of Freedom. Congratulations to Jim and the entire Ryun family. 11:00 A.M." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71886, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6973, + "raw_confidence": 0.6973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286662316717744128", + "t_date": "2020-07-24 13:59:35", + "claim_text": "Great job by in agreeing to build, in TEXAS, what is expected to be the largest auto plant anywhere in the world. He kept his word to me. Texas & are big winners. MADE IN THE USA!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71887, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8163, + "raw_confidence": 0.8163, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286669631072108546", + "t_date": "2020-07-24 14:28:39", + "claim_text": "I spoke to highly respected (Chairman) Senator who has informed me that he WILL NOT be changing the names of our great Military Bases and Forts, places from which we won two World Wars (and more!). Like me, Jim is not a believer in \u201cCancel Culture\u201d." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71897, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8266, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286807899314872320", + "t_date": "2020-07-24 23:38:05", + "claim_text": "So Obama and his team of lowlifes spied on my campaign, and got caught - Open and shut case! More papers released today which are devastating to them. Will they ever pay the price? The political Crime of the Century!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71905, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2622, + "raw_confidence": 0.7378, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286878242377478144", + "t_date": "2020-07-25 04:17:36", + "claim_text": "Congratulations Jim. It was a great and beautiful event. Well deserved!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71909, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8162, + "raw_confidence": 0.8162, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286982004358160384", + "t_date": "2020-07-25 11:09:55", + "claim_text": " Yesterday I signed four measures that will massively reduce the prices of prescription drugs, in many cases by more than 50%. Nothing like this has ever been done before because Big Pharma, with its vast power, would not let it happen. Expensive Insulin went from big dollars to virtual pennies. Epi-pens went from their incredibly high, jacked up prices, to lower than their original give away bargains. Biggest price reductions in history, by far! Nothing like this has ever for our citizens, especially our Seniors. REMEMBER YOUR FAVORITE PRESIDENT!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71911, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6703, + "raw_confidence": 0.6703, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286990480102825984", + "t_date": "2020-07-25 11:43:36", + "claim_text": "The Democrats in the House are trying to undo my big win Travel Ban Bill, which successfully keeps very bad and dangerous people out of our great Country. Passed along party lines. Hopefully, will be DEAD in the Senate! The Dems have gone Stone Cold Left - Venezuela on steroids!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71917, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3427, + "raw_confidence": 0.6573, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1286994880808591360", + "t_date": "2020-07-25 12:01:05", + "claim_text": "Many Democrats are leaving the party over calls to Defund the Police. Great going Brandon. You really get it!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71918, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7945, + "raw_confidence": 0.7945, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287119189359104006", + "t_date": "2020-07-25 20:15:02", + "claim_text": " One of the greats in the history of television, Regis Philbin has passed on to even greater airwaves, at 88. He was a fantastic person, and my friend. He kept telling me to run for President. Holds the record for \u201cmost live television\u201d, and he did it well. Regis, we love you And to Joy, his wonderful wife who he loved so much, my warmest condolences!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71919, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287164119867699202", + "t_date": "2020-07-25 23:13:35", + "claim_text": "My Administration is closely monitoring Hurricane Douglas off Hawaii & Hurricane Hanna, which has now made landfall in Texas. We continue to coordinate closely with both states listen to your emergency management officials & to protect your family & property!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71922, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8108, + "raw_confidence": 0.8108, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287366627672166401", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 12:38:16", + "claim_text": "This week you had Joe Biden call Arizona a CITY. Nothing matters with him, however, because the Opposition Party (Lamestream Media) covers everything up - especially the corruption. The Obama/Biden Administration is the most corrupt in history. They even spied on my campaign!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71923, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1629, + "raw_confidence": 0.8371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287368577557975041", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 12:46:01", + "claim_text": "Brett LOVES Wisconsin, Mississippi and Minnesota. A good golfer - hits it LONG!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71927, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8041, + "raw_confidence": 0.8041, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287371355332190208", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 12:57:03", + "claim_text": "Crazy Nancy Pelosi said I made a mistake when I banned people from infected China from entering the U.S. in January. Tens of thousands of lives were saved, as she danced in the Streets of Chinatown (SF) in late February. Biden agreed with her, but soon admitted that I was right!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71928, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8176, + "raw_confidence": 0.8176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287373747180244992", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 13:06:34", + "claim_text": "The Trump Campaign has more ENTHUSIASM, according to many, than any campaign in the history of our great Country - Even more than 2016. Biden has NONE! The Silent Majority will speak on NOVEMBER THIRD!!! Fake Suppression Polls & Fake News will not save the Radical Left." + }, + { + "thread_id": 71929, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7809, + "raw_confidence": 0.7809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287455273473507330", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 18:30:31", + "claim_text": "So the Washington Post is running the Reagan Foundation, and RINO Paul Ryan is on the Board of Fox, which has been terrible. We will win anyway, even with the phony suppression polls (which have been seriously wrong for 5 years)!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71930, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6797, + "raw_confidence": 0.6797, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287470740237946882", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 19:31:59", + "claim_text": "There is NO WAY a place like Pennsylvania can vote for the Radical Left and their puppet, Joe Biden, when they are against fracking, steel production, and just about everything else that Pennsylvania stands for. Likewise, Texas, and many other states!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71931, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8129, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287472054527197190", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 19:37:12", + "claim_text": "The Lamestream Media, including which has really checked out, is refusing to show what is REALLY going on in Portland, Seattle, and other places. They want the American public to believe that these are just some wonderful protesters, not radical left ANARCHISTS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71932, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8222, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287473812733341696", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 19:44:11", + "claim_text": "Because of my strong focus on the China Virus, including scheduled meetings on Vaccines, our economy and much else, I won\u2019t be able to be in New York to throw out the opening pitch for the on August 15th. We will make it later in the season!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71935, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8238, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287490820669616128", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 20:51:46", + "claim_text": "The 2020 Election will be totally rigged if Mail-In Voting is allowed to take place, & everyone knows it. So much time is taken talking about foreign influence, but the same people won\u2019t even discuss Mail-In election corruption. Look at Patterson, N.J. 20% of vote was corrupted!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71936, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8254, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287517470497083393", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 22:37:40", + "claim_text": "The \u201cprotesters\u201d are actually anarchists who hate our Country. The line of innocent \u201cmothers\u201d were a scam that Lamestream refuses to acknowledge, just like they don\u2019t report the violence of these demonstrations!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71938, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8151, + "raw_confidence": 0.8151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287536846050820102", + "t_date": "2020-07-26 23:54:40", + "claim_text": "We do more testing than any country in the World, by far, over 55 million tests. Fake News says we should do more testing. But even if we did 100 times more, they would then say it is still not enough. They are totally discredited, just want Sleepy Joe to win in November!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71945, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4742, + "raw_confidence": 0.5258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287539708072009730", + "t_date": "2020-07-27 00:06:02", + "claim_text": "He is, and people are not happy about it. The Washington Post is a political front for Amazon. Nobody treated Ronald Reagan worse!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 71986, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8206, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287748921956208640", + "t_date": "2020-07-27 13:57:22", + "claim_text": "Homeland Security or Federal Forces are little involved in Seattle, other than we have a large standby team in case of emergency. The media is calling that one wrong also. In Portland, we are protecting Federal property, including the Courthouse, which wouldn\u2019t last a day!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72023, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.827, + "raw_confidence": 0.827, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287877621380837378", + "t_date": "2020-07-27 22:28:47", + "claim_text": "Anarchists, Agitators or Protestors who vandalize or damage our Federal Courthouse in Portland, or any Federal Buildings in any of our Cities or States, will be prosecuted under our recently re-enacted Statues & Monuments Act. MINIMUM TEN YEARS IN PRISON. Don\u2019t do it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72024, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8323, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287880895051907072", + "t_date": "2020-07-27 22:41:47", + "claim_text": "So disgusting to watch Twitter\u2019s so-called \u201cTrending\u201d, where sooo many trends are about me, and never a good one. They look for anything they can find, make it as bad as possible, and blow it up, trying to make it trend. Really ridiculous, illegal, and, of course, very unfair!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72027, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8263, + "raw_confidence": 0.8263, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1287945545600966658", + "t_date": "2020-07-28 02:58:41", + "claim_text": " The Fake News Media is trying to portray the Portland and Seattle \u201cprotesters\u201d as wonderful, sweet and innocent people just out for a little stroll. Actually, they are sick and deranged Anarchists & Agitators who our great men & women of Law Enforcement easily control, but who would destroy our American cities, and worse, if Sleepy Joe Biden, the puppet of the Left, ever won. Markets would crash and cities would burn. Our Country would suffer like never before. We will beat the Virus, soon, and go on to the Golden Age - better than ever before!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72049, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8152, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288095296363405314", + "t_date": "2020-07-28 12:53:44", + "claim_text": "\u201cNadler calls ANTIFA violence a MYTH.\u201d They are Anarchists with miles of \u201ctape\u201d showing their illegal activity. Jerry, blame it on Russia, Russia, Russia!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72050, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7881, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288109093694005253", + "t_date": "2020-07-28 13:48:34", + "claim_text": "be able to produce what I have. So when you see those nasty ads from Big Pharma remember, the only reason they are going all out is the massive PRICE REDUCTIONS you are getting - not good for them. Plus, I was only President in 51 years that got a Prescription D reduction!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72066, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4947, + "raw_confidence": 0.5053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288433749156388864", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 11:18:38", + "claim_text": "Vote these people out. They are CRAZY!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72067, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2416, + "raw_confidence": 0.7584, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288434112559292417", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 11:20:05", + "claim_text": "Great going to a very talented group!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72076, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8252, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288435342182318081", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 11:24:58", + "claim_text": "\u201cThe Plus, Self-Help for People Who Hate Self-Help\u201d, by the very smart and witty is on sale now. It is great, Canceling Cancel Culture. Make his book as successful as his T.V. Show. Buy it now!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72081, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3784, + "raw_confidence": 0.6216, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288436755646099459", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 11:30:35", + "claim_text": "Sleepy Joe Biden is just a Trojan Horse for the Radical Left Agenda. He will do whatever they want!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72085, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.813, + "raw_confidence": 0.813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288502576229445632", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:52:08", + "claim_text": "Texarkana Regional Airport has a major grant coming its way from I\u2019m designating $3.6 million to reconstruct its terminal building, in addition to 5 more airport grants around the State. Glad to help the people of Arkansas!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72086, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.218, + "raw_confidence": 0.782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288502990798639105", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:53:46", + "claim_text": "I am designating $18.77M from for 7 airports across Pennsylvania. Northeast Philadelphia Airport, Erie International Airport, and others around the State. GREAT news for a GREAT State!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72087, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8186, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288503057999749121", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:54:02", + "claim_text": "Great news for Florida! $3.3 million will be sent to from for airport improvements and safety enhancements. This is so important for Central Florida and will bring a much-needed boost to the State\u2019s economy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72088, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2088, + "raw_confidence": 0.7912, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288503162404397061", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:54:27", + "claim_text": "I am designating $18.9 million from to MANY airports in Ohio, including and several others, for improvements, updates, and safety. Great for the economy and the people of Ohio!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72089, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.19, + "raw_confidence": 0.81, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288503343640276994", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:55:11", + "claim_text": "BIG bucks are on their way to Over $21.1 MILLION designated to Wilmington International from to expand their terminal and make other major upgrades and safety enhancements. This will help to create JOBS and growth in the region!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72090, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2141, + "raw_confidence": 0.7859, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288503660264058880", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:56:26", + "claim_text": "I am in flying to the Great State of Texas. It is AMAZING in watching how different they are from four years ago. Not even watchable. They totally forgot who got them where they are!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72091, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8188, + "raw_confidence": 0.8188, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288503765008445441", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 15:56:51", + "claim_text": "Reno-Stead Airport has big bucks coming its way. I\u2019m designating over $4.8 million from to reconstruct the airport\u2019s taxiway and ramp. This, along with 4 other airport grants to Nevada, will help in the economic recovery and GROWTH of the State!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72092, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8301, + "raw_confidence": 0.8301, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288506554585505793", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 16:07:56", + "claim_text": "If Congress doesn\u2019t bring fairness to Big Tech, which they should have done years ago, I will do it myself with Executive Orders. In Washington, it has been ALL TALK and NO ACTION for years, and the people of our Country are sick and tired of it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72093, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6625, + "raw_confidence": 0.6625, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288509572223651840", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 16:19:56", + "claim_text": " I am happy to inform all of the people living their Suburban Lifestyle Dream that you will no longer be bothered or financially hurt by having low income housing built in your neighborhood Your housing prices will go up based on the market, and crime will go down. I have rescinded the Obama-Biden AFFH Rule. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72094, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8214, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288511210543964162", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 16:26:26", + "claim_text": " The drug companies are spending millions of dollars in advertising against me, only because I am lowering drug prices massively, 50% and more! Biden and Obama said they would do this for eight years, but never did With Biden, drug prices will quadruple! After many years, the game is finally up for Big Pharma, and they\u2019re NOT HAPPY about it! Please understand that when you see their negative ads!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72095, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7242, + "raw_confidence": 0.7242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288519158368481280", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 16:58:01", + "claim_text": "I was on Air Force One flying to the Great State of Texas, where I just landed. It is AMAZING in watching how different they are from four years ago. Not even watchable. They totally forgot who got them where they are!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72096, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1739, + "raw_confidence": 0.8261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288519484823810048", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 16:59:19", + "claim_text": "Just landed in the Great State of Texas!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72097, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.822, + "raw_confidence": 0.822, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288520310531272708", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 17:02:36", + "claim_text": " If the Federal Government and its brilliant Law Enforcement (Homeland) didn\u2019t go into Portland one week ago, there would be no Portland It would be burned and beaten to the ground. If the Mayor and Governor do not stop the Crime and Violence from the Anarchists and Agitators immediately, the Federal Government will go in and do the job that local law enforcement was supposed to do!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72102, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3276, + "raw_confidence": 0.6724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288599151349923840", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 22:15:53", + "claim_text": ". reported incorrectly what the Federal Government is doing with respect to Portland. We are demanding that the Governor & Mayor do their job or we will do it for them. To complicated to discuss in a Tweet, but bad reporting by Fox (possibly on purpose!)." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72106, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7778, + "raw_confidence": 0.7778, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288602262567153664", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 22:28:15", + "claim_text": "New York Mail-In voting is in a disastrous state of condition. Votes from many weeks ago are missing - a total mess. They have no idea what is going on. Rigged Election. I told you so. Same thing would happen, but on massive scale, with USA. Fake News refuses to report!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72107, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5176, + "raw_confidence": 0.5176, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288616496638255105", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 23:24:48", + "claim_text": "Check out this Mail-In Voting experiment by a local news station!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72108, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8282, + "raw_confidence": 0.8282, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288620254130626561", + "t_date": "2020-07-29 23:39:44", + "claim_text": "Germany pays Russia billions of dollars a year for Energy, and we are supposed to protect Germany from Russia. What\u2019s that all about? Also, Germany is very delinquent in their 2% fee to NATO. We are therefore moving some troops out of Germany!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72109, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8244, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288809157722877952", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 12:10:22", + "claim_text": "Mail-In Voting is already proving to be a catastrophic disaster. Even testing areas are way off. The Dems talk of foreign influence in voting, but they know that Mail-In Voting is an easy way for foreign countries to enter the race. Even beyond that, there\u2019s no accurate count!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8223, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288815049604292610", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 12:33:47", + "claim_text": "Major China Virus flare ups in many of the countries that the Fake News was touting as doing so well. Some of these countries are now a disaster. Lamestream Media doesn\u2019t want to report this. Also, highly inaccurate numbers being reported by many other countries!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72111, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8406, + "raw_confidence": 0.8406, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288818160389558273", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 12:46:09", + "claim_text": "With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72112, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.815, + "raw_confidence": 0.815, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288826742539464707", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 13:20:15", + "claim_text": "Kate Brown, Governor of Oregon, isn\u2019t doing her job. She must clear out, and in some cases arrest, the Anarchists & Agitators in Portland. If she can\u2019t do it, the Federal Government will do it for her. We will not be leaving until there is safety!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7948, + "raw_confidence": 0.7948, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288832830773100544", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 13:44:26", + "claim_text": "Drug prices will soon be lowered massively. Big Pharma (Drug Companies) are advertising against me like crazy because lower prices mean less profit. When you watch a Fake Ad, just think lower drug prices!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72114, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1621, + "raw_confidence": 0.8379, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288843391065882629", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 14:26:24", + "claim_text": "Support Patio Pizza and its wonderful owner, Guy Caligiuri, in St. James, Long Island (N.Y.). Great Pizza!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72115, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2129, + "raw_confidence": 0.7871, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288907923914137604", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 18:42:50", + "claim_text": " My friend Herman Cain, a Powerful Voice of Freedom and all that is good, passed away this morning. Herman had an incredible career and was adored by everyone that ever met him, especially me. He was a very special man, an American Patriot, and great friend. I just got off the phone with his amazing wife Gloria, daughter, Melanie, and son Vincent to express my deepest condolences to the entire family. Melania and I loved Herman Cain, a great man. Herman, Rest In Peace!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72117, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6944, + "raw_confidence": 0.6944, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288932940337090561", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 20:22:14", + "claim_text": "Glad I was able to get the very dishonest LameStream Media to finally start talking about the RISKS to our Democracy from dangerous Universal Mail-In-Voting (not Absentee Voting, which I totally support!)." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72118, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2119, + "raw_confidence": 0.7881, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288933078287745024", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 20:22:47", + "claim_text": "Must know Election results on the night of the Election, not days, months, or even years later!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72119, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4191, + "raw_confidence": 0.5809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288933202812456968", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 20:23:17", + "claim_text": "We are going to WIN the 2020 Election, BIG!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72121, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8238, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288966119676616704", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 22:34:05", + "claim_text": "As the Wall goes up, illegal crossings go down. This past week we built over 10 miles of Wall at our Southern Border. We now have 256 miles of NEW Wall and we are on track to have 300 miles completed by the end of August!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72122, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7758, + "raw_confidence": 0.7758, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288968970331213830", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 22:45:25", + "claim_text": "My Administration has been focused on finding treatments for Coronavirus. If you\u2019ve recovered from Coronavirus, donate your plasma today to help SAVE LIVES! Together, we will beat the Virus!\ud83c\udf10" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72123, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7724, + "raw_confidence": 0.7724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1288981002849865728", + "t_date": "2020-07-30 23:33:13", + "claim_text": "Great to spend time with Mike Singletary while going to Texas. He\u2019s one of the greatest football players ever A strong man and a really good person. Great being with you Mike!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72124, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8305, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289201326375804930", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 14:08:43", + "claim_text": " Somebody please tell Congressman Clyburn, who doesn\u2019t have a clue, that the chart he put up indicating more CASES for the U.S. than Europe, is because we do MUCH MORE testing than any other country in the World. If we had no testing, or bad testing, we would show very few CASES Our massive testing capability, rather than being praised, is used by the Lamestream Media and their partner, the Do Nothing Radical Left Democrats, as a point of scorn. This testing, and what we have so quickly done, is used as a Fake News weapon. Sad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72125, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1669, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289260338135699456", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 18:03:12", + "claim_text": "Great job by Jim Jordan, and also some very good statements by Tony Fauci. Big progress being made!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72127, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8335, + "raw_confidence": 0.8335, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9907, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289275311272521728", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 19:02:42", + "claim_text": "We just got 50% in Rasmussen, and much higher in our internal polls. We are doing a new ad campaign on Sleepy Joe Biden that will be out on Monday. He has been brought even further LEFT than Crazy Bernie Sanders ever thought possible. By the way, Bernie\u2019s people love me on Trade!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72128, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1772, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289275972919816192", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 19:05:20", + "claim_text": ". an outstanding man and one of the best Ambassadors ever (Japan), is running an excellent campaign for the Senate. He loves Tennessee and loves our Country. We need him badly in Washington. He has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72130, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7724, + "raw_confidence": 0.7724, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289282585718190080", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 19:31:36", + "claim_text": "Pelosi & Schumer have no interest in making a deal that is good for our Country and our People. All they want is a trillion dollars, and much more, for their Radical Left Governed States, most of which are doing very badly. It is called a BAILOUT for many years of bad Dem Mgmt!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8214, + "raw_confidence": 0.8214, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289283091635122176", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 19:33:37", + "claim_text": "Pelosi & Schumer blocked desperately needed unemployment payments, which is so terrible, especially since they fully understand that it was not the workers fault that they are unemployed, it\u2019s the fault of China!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72132, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7619, + "raw_confidence": 0.7619, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289283987718828032", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 19:37:11", + "claim_text": "Very disappointed in for blocking the temporary extension of the $600 unemployment benefits. The Do Nothing Democrats are more interested in playing politics than in helping our deserving people. DRAIN THE SWAMP ON NOVEMBER 3RD!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72133, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8046, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289284178127646720", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 19:37:56", + "claim_text": "The Democrats are holding back the $1,200 to $3,400 (family of four) checks that were ready to be sent out!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72135, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1749, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289312630608465920", + "t_date": "2020-07-31 21:31:00", + "claim_text": "I am thrilled to be back in my home state of Floridaand honored to receive the endorsement of dozens of incredible Florida Sheriffs, THANK YOU!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72137, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8037, + "raw_confidence": 0.8037, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289353615224668160", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 00:13:51", + "claim_text": "I\u2019m with you all the way, thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72138, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8271, + "raw_confidence": 0.8271, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289358246541553664", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 00:32:15", + "claim_text": "We beat Obama 4 years ago, he worked harder than Crooked Hillary, and we\u2019ll do it again!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72139, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8267, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289397528639791104", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 03:08:21", + "claim_text": "We have more Cases because we do more Testing. It\u2019s Lamestream Media Gold!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72140, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8247, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289407195029762049", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 03:46:45", + "claim_text": "Obama worked harder for Hillary Clinton and the losing Clinton Campaign than she worked for herself! Now he\u2019s working with Sleepy Joe - will be same result. MAGA is energized like never before!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72141, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2488, + "raw_confidence": 0.7512, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289408673324777472", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 03:52:38", + "claim_text": "Homeland Security is not leaving Portland until local police complete cleanup of Anarchists and Agitators!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6164, + "raw_confidence": 0.6164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289633359681839105", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 18:45:27", + "claim_text": "Wrong! We have more cases because we have tested far more than any other country, 60,000,000. If we tested less, there would be less cases. How did Italy, France & Spain do? Now Europe sadly has flare ups. Most of our governors worked hard & smart. We will come back STRONG!::" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72145, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8019, + "raw_confidence": 0.8019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289636367283232768", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 18:57:24", + "claim_text": "Jake, this wasn\u2019t a Trump Rally, but rather a very successful gathering of the great Sheriffs and Law Enforcement (of Florida) who gave me their unequivocal ENDORSEMENT. No Defund the Police here. Best Wishes!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72147, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8232, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289644402906763265", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 19:29:20", + "claim_text": "Peggy Noonan, a \u201cConcast\u201d MSDNC puppet, doesn\u2019t have a clue, and hasn\u2019t for many years. Never got the \u201cTrump thing\u201d. She plays right into the hands of the stupid people!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72148, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5887, + "raw_confidence": 0.5887, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289646330361470977", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 19:37:00", + "claim_text": "I actually agree with this. Too much income disparity. Changes must be made, and soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72149, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7435, + "raw_confidence": 0.7435, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289656445261119490", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 20:17:11", + "claim_text": "A great new book, \u201cDefender in Chief: Donald Trump's Fight for Presidential Power\u201d, written by celebrated constitutional scholar, John Yoo, is now available. Thanks so much John greatly appreciate your support and words of wisdom!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72150, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2444, + "raw_confidence": 0.7556, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289657702608547840", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 20:22:11", + "claim_text": "Very excited to see long awaited new book, 'Live Free or Die: America (and the World) on the Brink' which will be released on Tuesday, August 4th. Sean is a Great American Patriot. Make sure to get your copy today!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72151, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8274, + "raw_confidence": 0.8274, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289674638285447168", + "t_date": "2020-08-01 21:29:29", + "claim_text": "\u201cBiden to raise taxes by 3 Trillion Dollars.\u201d Actually, it will be much more than that, and much of it on nonsense. Markets and your 401k\u2019s will CRASH. Jobs will disappear!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72153, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8227, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289731760838721536", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:16:28", + "claim_text": "Big flare ups in Europe. Fake News USA doesn\u2019t like talking about this!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72155, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1803, + "raw_confidence": 0.8197, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734498561617920", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:21", + "claim_text": "Dale Crafts ( will be a tremendous Congressman for Maine! An experienced businessman, Dale knows how to Create Jobs. He loves our Vets and Military, and he will always defend your Second Amendment. Dale has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72156, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734510964281345", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:24", + "claim_text": "Congressman Jason Smith ( is a conservative warrior for Missouri! He helped us Cut your Taxes, Build the Wall, and he stands strongly with me against the Radical Left! Jason has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72157, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7151, + "raw_confidence": 0.7151, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734528043372547", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:28", + "claim_text": "Cathy McMorris Rodgers ( has been a tremendous advocate for the people of Washington State! She supports our Military and Vets, and protects your State\u2019s incredible Natural Resources. Cathy has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72158, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7442, + "raw_confidence": 0.7442, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734544426442752", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:32", + "claim_text": "Congressman Dan Newhouse ( is doing a phenomenal job for Washington State! He is Strong on the Economy and Law Enforcement, and he works hard to preserve your State\u2019s beautiful Public Lands. Dan has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72159, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1878, + "raw_confidence": 0.8122, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734560863854593", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:36", + "claim_text": "Congressman Billy Long ( fully supports our America First agenda! He strongly supports our WALL, protects our Vets, and defends Life and your Second Amendment. Billy has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7773, + "raw_confidence": 0.7773, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734578815381504", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:40", + "claim_text": "Congressman Sam Graves is doing an incredible job for Missouri! He fights for American Energy Independence, defends your Second Amendment, and he\u2019ll help us rebuild our nation\u2019s Infrastructure. Sam has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72161, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1926, + "raw_confidence": 0.8074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734596846731265", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:44", + "claim_text": "Congresswoman Vicky Hartzler ( works hard for the people of Missouri! She strongly supports our incredible Military and Vets, protects American Farmers, and fights for Life. Vicky has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72162, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1731, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289734620347473920", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 01:27:50", + "claim_text": "Congressman Blaine Luetkemeyer ( is doing a terrific job for Missouri! As a Small Businessman, he helped us Lower your Taxes, Strengthen our Military, and Defend your Second Amendment. Blaine has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72185, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4957, + "raw_confidence": 0.5043, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289776166174248960", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 04:12:55", + "claim_text": "Death penalty! He killed and badly wounded many. Justice!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72194, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3154, + "raw_confidence": 0.6846, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289858922690621440", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 09:41:46", + "claim_text": "This is outrageous. Must be met with immediate litigation!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72197, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2027, + "raw_confidence": 0.7973, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289863070836121601", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 09:58:15", + "claim_text": "Hunter - Meadow is proud of you. So am I. Congratulations!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72202, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8202, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289870016272166913", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 10:25:51", + "claim_text": "That\u2019s because it is mostly FAKE NEWS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72205, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289873585318899712", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 10:40:02", + "claim_text": "Madison is a star who loves the USA and his Great State, North Carolina. Will fight for Military, Vets, 2nd Amendment, Lower Taxes & Regulations. He is a winner who has my Complete & Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72207, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8238, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289877179791110144", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 10:54:19", + "claim_text": "Was in the Great State of Texas this week and explained that the Radical Left Do Nothing Democrats, headed up by their great leader, Sleepy Joe Biden (who never leaves his basement), are strongly against \u201cOil, Gas, Guns, & God\u201d. Must be tough to win Texas on that platform!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72220, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8245, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289887533250351110", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 11:35:27", + "claim_text": "Big China Virus breakouts all over the World, including nations which were thought to have done a great job. The Fake News doesn\u2019t report this. USA will be stronger than ever before, and soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72221, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8292, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289894127778377728", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 12:01:39", + "claim_text": "When you see the Drug Companies taking massive television ads against me, forget what they say (which is false), YOU KNOW THAT DRUG PRICES ARE COMING DOWN, BIG. Favored Nations Clause means USA will pay the lowest price of any nation in the World. Never done before. Watch!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72222, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289997897723863040", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 18:54:00", + "claim_text": "Great to have NASA Astronauts return to Earth after very successful two month mission. Thank you to all!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72223, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6034, + "raw_confidence": 0.6034, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1289999271664787463", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 18:59:28", + "claim_text": "Astronauts complete first splashdown in 45 years. Very exciting!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72224, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8256, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290011585587666946", + "t_date": "2020-08-02 19:48:23", + "claim_text": " Rarely has anybody deserved the death penalty more than the Boston Bomber, Dzhokhar Tsarnaev. The court agreed that this \u201cwas one of the worst domestic terrorist attacks since the 9/11 atrocities\u201d. Yet the appellate court tossed out the death sentence. So many lives lost and ruined. The Federal Government must again seek the Death Penalty in a do-over of that chapter of the original trial. Our Country cannot let the appellate decision stand. Also, it is ridiculous that this process is taking so long!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72232, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8292, + "raw_confidence": 0.8292, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290250416278532096", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 11:37:25", + "claim_text": "In an illegal late night coup, Nevada\u2019s clubhouse Governor made it impossible for Republicans to win the state. Post Office could never handle the Traffic of Mail-In Votes without preparation. Using Covid to steal the state. See you in Court!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72233, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8268, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290252674777133057", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 11:46:24", + "claim_text": "With the exception of New York & a few other locations, we\u2019ve done MUCH better than most other Countries in dealing with the China Virus. Many of these countries are now having a major second wave. The Fake News is working overtime to make the USA (& me) look as bad as possible!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72234, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5471, + "raw_confidence": 0.5471, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290253369404092417", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 11:49:09", + "claim_text": "FAKE NEWS IS THE ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72235, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7368, + "raw_confidence": 0.7368, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290257055534551043", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 12:03:48", + "claim_text": "Cases up because of BIG Testing! Much of our Country is doing very well. Open the Schools!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72236, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8013, + "raw_confidence": 0.8013, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290261807282757632", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 12:22:41", + "claim_text": "96% Approval Rating in the Republican Party. 50% in new Rasmussen Poll (higher than Obama at this point in time). Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72237, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6518, + "raw_confidence": 0.6518, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290270589945430016", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 12:57:35", + "claim_text": "Wow! Really bad TV Ratings for Morning Joe ( doing great, leading all others by far. not a factor!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72238, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.748, + "raw_confidence": 0.748, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290282508303716352", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 13:44:56", + "claim_text": "So Crazy Nancy Pelosi said horrible things about Dr. Deborah Birx, going after her because she was too positive on the very good job we are doing on combatting the China Virus, including Vaccines & Therapeutics. In order to counter Nancy, Deborah took the bait & hit us. Pathetic!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72239, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8353, + "raw_confidence": 0.8353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290283634130214913", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 13:49:25", + "claim_text": "RECORD HIGH NASDAQ! It would all come crashing down, including your Jobs, Stocks, and 401k\u2019s, if Sleepy Joe ever became President. China and others would own us!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72241, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8181, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290308363872538624", + "t_date": "2020-08-03 15:27:41", + "claim_text": "My visits last week to Texas and Florida had massive numbers of cheering people gathered along the roads and highways, thousands and thousands, even bigger (by far) than the crowds of 2016. Saw no Biden supporters, and yet some in the Fake News said it was an equal number. Sad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72258, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3562, + "raw_confidence": 0.6438, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290623558461411333", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 12:20:09", + "claim_text": "People are not happy that players are not standing for our National Anthem!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72261, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.82, + "raw_confidence": 0.82, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290648990242004992", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 14:01:13", + "claim_text": "Big Pharma is taking ads against me because I am MASSIVELY lowering your drug prices, which is obviously not good for them. Medicare premiums will also be going down. I am the first President to take them on. Don\u2019t fall for their false ads. Biden plan is for very big increases!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72265, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8311, + "raw_confidence": 0.8311, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290692768675901440", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 16:55:10", + "claim_text": "Whether you call it Vote by Mail or Absentee Voting, in Florida the election system is Safe and Secure, Tried and True. Florida\u2019s Voting system has been cleaned up (we defeated Democrats attempts at change), so in Florida I encourage all to request a Ballot & Vote by Mail!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72266, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8081, + "raw_confidence": 0.8081, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290727631114166272", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 19:13:42", + "claim_text": "Today we celebrated the passage of landmark legislation that will preserve America\u2019s majestic natural wonders, priceless historic treasures, grand national monuments, and glorious national parks. It was my great honor to sign the Great American Outdoors Act into law!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72267, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1891, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290730748132167681", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 19:26:05", + "claim_text": "I am deeply saddened by the tragic loss of eight Marines and one Sailor during a training exercise off the coast of California. Our prayers are with their families. I thank them for the brave service their loved ones gave to our Nation." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72268, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8187, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290741980813824005", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 20:10:43", + "claim_text": "THE WALL STREET JOURNAL\u201cTrump Wins in Portland\u201d\u201cSomething big has changed in Portland, Ore. After weeks of chaos and flames outside the city\u2019s federal courthouse, the past few days have seen the violence subside dramatically. What happened?\u201d William McGurn" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72279, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1642, + "raw_confidence": 0.8358, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290784892469555201", + "t_date": "2020-08-04 23:01:14", + "claim_text": "Great meeting today with the CoronaVirus Task Force in the Oval Office. Stay informed at: ." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72280, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8253, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290949993600294913", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 09:57:17", + "claim_text": "There is TREMENDOUS Lawlessness in America\u2019s Liberal Cities. Would be so easy to stop but they have a clouded vision of what should be done. They are indoctrinated with a philosophy which will never work, a philosophy which would destroy America. Portland would be the norm!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72281, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1744, + "raw_confidence": 0.8256, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290952940602130437", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 10:09:00", + "claim_text": "A great race run by Roger against a very tough and smart opponent. Roger loves Kansas and will represent it incredibly well. He has my Complete and Total Endorsement. Will be a Big Win on November 3rd. This is not the opponent the Democrats wanted!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72282, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8202, + "raw_confidence": 0.8202, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290954271140216833", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 10:14:17", + "claim_text": "For those that thought I wasn\u2019t into the Environment, this is the biggest bill ever passed, by far. I wonder if this will silence the Fake News? Probably not!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72284, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8217, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290956691488612358", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 10:23:54", + "claim_text": "NASA was Closed & Dead until I got it going again. Now it is the most vibrant place of its kind on the Planet...And we have Space Force to go along with it. We have accomplished more than any Administration in first 3 1/2 years. Sorry, but it all doesn\u2019t happen with Sleepy Joe!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72285, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1935, + "raw_confidence": 0.8065, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290957656321073152", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 10:27:44", + "claim_text": "I will be interviewed on at 7:30 A.M. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72289, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7591, + "raw_confidence": 0.7591, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1290967953542909952", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 11:08:39", + "claim_text": "Nevada has ZERO infrastructure for Mail-In Voting. It will be a corrupt disaster if not ended by the Courts. It will take months, or years, to figure out. Florida has built a great infrastructure, over years, with two great Republican Governors. Florida, send in your Ballots!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72290, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8211, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291012543419482113", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 14:05:50", + "claim_text": ". has no sources on the Task Force. Their \u201csources\u201d are made up, pure fiction! Jim Acosta is a Fake reporter!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72291, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7267, + "raw_confidence": 0.7267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291015075541786624", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 14:15:54", + "claim_text": "Sally Yates has zero credibility. She was a part of the greatest political crime of the Century, and ObamaBiden knew EVERYTHING! Sally Yates leaked the General Flynn conversation? Ask her under oath. Republicans should start playing the Democrats game!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72292, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7892, + "raw_confidence": 0.7892, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291073985107693568", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 18:09:59", + "claim_text": "Every time you see a negative Big Pharma commercial against me remember, it means your drug prices are coming way down!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72293, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8077, + "raw_confidence": 0.8077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291074236992323590", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 18:10:59", + "claim_text": "BIG NEWS! The Political Crime of the Century is unfolding. ObamaBiden illegally spied on the Trump Campaign, both before and after the election. Treason!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72296, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1814, + "raw_confidence": 0.8186, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291144294259200000", + "t_date": "2020-08-05 22:49:22", + "claim_text": "Congressman Scott DesJarlais ( has been a tremendous advocate for Tennessee! One of my earliest supporters, he fights for our Military, Vets, Law Enforcement and the Second Amendment! Scott has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72298, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8157, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291166830946656259", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 00:18:55", + "claim_text": "\u201cCities across the Nation that are run by Democrats are in shambles.\u201d Matt Walsh" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72299, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8157, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291220257416282115", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 03:51:13", + "claim_text": "A very big CONGRATULATIONS to the great on having the Number One Book on the Planet, \u201cLive Free Or Die\u201d. The book is fantastic, and so true. Keep Sean Number One!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72301, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8241, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291224128427642882", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 04:06:36", + "claim_text": "Sally Yates is either lying or grossly incompetent. It is not possible she could have known so little about Dirty Cop James Comey (and others) from her high position in the Department of \u201cJustice\u201d. The political Crime of the Century, and she had no idea what they were doing?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72312, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7066, + "raw_confidence": 0.7066, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291339436727382016", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 11:44:48", + "claim_text": "How can voters be sending in Ballots starting, in some cases, one month before the First Presidential Debate. Move the First Debate up. A debate, to me, is a Public Service. Joe Biden and I owe it to the American People!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72314, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8039, + "raw_confidence": 0.8039, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291402819287814145", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 15:56:39", + "claim_text": "Upon departing the Oval Office for Ohio, I\u2019ve notified my staff to continue working on an Executive Order with respect to Payroll Tax Cut, Eviction Protections, Unemployment Extensions, and Student Loan Repayment Options." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72316, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1774, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291416662059544576", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 16:51:40", + "claim_text": "Just departed for the Great State of Ohio!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72317, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8182, + "raw_confidence": 0.8182, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291421560658472960", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 17:11:08", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden: \u2018Unlike the African American Community ... the Latino Community Is an Incredibly Diverse Community\u2018 via Wow! Joe Biden just lost the entire African American community. What a \u201cdumb\u201d thing to say!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72320, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8247, + "raw_confidence": 0.8247, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291435765575176192", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 18:07:34", + "claim_text": "Just like Radical Left New York is trying to destroy the NRA, if Biden becomes President your GREAT SECOND AMENDMENT doesn\u2019t have a chance. Your guns will be taken away, immediately and without notice. No police, no guns!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72331, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.782, + "raw_confidence": 0.782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291494244943908865", + "t_date": "2020-08-06 21:59:57", + "claim_text": "WE will WIN Ohio even bigger than we did in 2016 MAGA is stronger than ever before!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72332, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8203, + "raw_confidence": 0.8203, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291713214066184192", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 12:30:03", + "claim_text": "I called the politicization of the China Virus by the Radical Left Democrats a Hoax, not the China Virus itself. Everybody knows this except for the Fake and very Corrupt Media!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72343, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7831, + "raw_confidence": 0.7831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291718731224305670", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 12:51:59", + "claim_text": "This is the biggest political crime and scandal in American history. Hopefully, for the good of our Country, it is coming soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72345, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8174, + "raw_confidence": 0.8174, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291722355471941633", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 13:06:23", + "claim_text": "After yesterday\u2019s statement, Sleepy Joe Biden is no longer worthy of the Black Vote!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72347, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7423, + "raw_confidence": 0.7423, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291842540023558146", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 21:03:57", + "claim_text": "Pelosi and Schumer only interested in Bailout Money for poorly run Democrat cities and states. Nothing to do with China Virus! Want one trillion dollars. No interest. We are going a different way!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72348, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1723, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291864496571666438", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 22:31:12", + "claim_text": " Had a lengthy discussion this morning with President Macron of France concerning numerous subjects, but in particular the catastrophic event which took place in Beirut, Lebanon At 3pm this afternoon, spoke to President Aoun of Lebanon to inform him that 3 large aircraft are on the way, loaded up with Medical Supplies, Food and Water. Also, First Responders, Technicians, Doctors, and Nurses on the way We will be having a conference call on Sunday with President Macron, leaders of Lebanon, and leaders from various other parts of the world. Everyone wants to help!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72349, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1906, + "raw_confidence": 0.8094, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291864911509938176", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 22:32:51", + "claim_text": "I will be doing a news conference on the ChinaVirus, the just announced very good economic numbers, and the improving economy, at 7pm from Bedminster, New Jersey. Also, the subject of the Beirut, Lebanon catastrophe will be discussed." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72350, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1842, + "raw_confidence": 0.8158, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1291871370197041152", + "t_date": "2020-08-07 22:58:31", + "claim_text": "Big wins in Tennessee and Kansas! Congratulations to and They love our Country and they love their Great States. Strong on Crime, Military, our Vets and the Second Amendment. They have my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72358, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8331, + "raw_confidence": 0.8331, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292181029541879812", + "t_date": "2020-08-08 19:28:59", + "claim_text": "Sleepy Joe Biden just agreed with the Radical Left Democrats to raise Taxes by Three Trillion Dollars. Everyone will pay - Will kill your Stocks, 401k\u2019s, and the ECONOMY. BIG CRASH!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72372, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8241, + "raw_confidence": 0.8241, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292628590425759747", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 01:07:26", + "claim_text": "This is Fake News by the failing & bad ratings Never suggested it although, based on all of the many things accomplished during the first 3 1/2 years, perhaps more than any other Presidency, sounds like a good idea to me!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72373, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8295, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292638186842337281", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 01:45:34", + "claim_text": ". who just made a fool of himself as he got taken apart by only lasted 11 days in his favorite of all time Administration, before being fired for, again, making a fool of himself. Anthony is a loser who begged to come back. I said \u201cNo Thanks\u201d." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72374, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8226, + "raw_confidence": 0.8226, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292810574603202565", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 13:10:34", + "claim_text": "So now Schumer and Pelosi want to meet to make a deal. Amazing how it all works, isn\u2019t it. Where have they been for the last 4 weeks when they were \u201chardliners\u201d, and only wanted BAILOUT MONEY for Democrat run states and cities that are failing badly? They know my phone number!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72375, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8239, + "raw_confidence": 0.8239, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292832946077007886", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 14:39:28", + "claim_text": "RINO Ben Sasse, who needed my support and endorsement in order to get the Republican nomination for Senate from the GREAT State of Nebraska, has, now that he\u2019s got it (Thank you President T), gone rogue, again. This foolishness plays right into the hands of the Radical Left Dems!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72376, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8237, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292837084152107010", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 14:55:55", + "claim_text": "Portland, which is out of control, should finally, after almost 3 months, bring in the National Guard. The Mayor and Governor are putting people\u2019s lives at risk. They will be held responsible. The Guard is ready to act immediately. The Courthouse is secured by Homeland!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72377, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1667, + "raw_confidence": 0.8333, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9907, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292838130526158848", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 15:00:04", + "claim_text": "Thank you to Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana for his very smart words on the just signed Executive Orders!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72378, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1581, + "raw_confidence": 0.8419, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292872318562205699", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:15:55", + "claim_text": "We have narrowed the Presidential Nomination Acceptance Speech, to be delivered on the final night of the Convention (Thursday), to two locations - The Great Battlefield of Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, and the White House, Washington, D.C. We will announce the decision soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72379, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7803, + "raw_confidence": 0.7803, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292873531382992901", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:20:44", + "claim_text": "The student-athletes have been working too hard for their season to be cancelled." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72380, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8198, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292877984488198147", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:38:26", + "claim_text": "CONGRATS to General Dynamic\u2019s Bath Iron Works & Local S6 on reaching a tentative agreement after the long strike. GD builds GREAT Arleigh-Burke destroyers. Super boost for Maine Economy. Glad to have helped. I\u2019ve done a lot for Maine!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72381, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1975, + "raw_confidence": 0.8025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292879622145814529", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:44:57", + "claim_text": "Vote for Michelle a real winner!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72382, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1907, + "raw_confidence": 0.8093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292879715775250432", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:45:19", + "claim_text": "Congratulations on your big primary win, Governor You have my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72383, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.189, + "raw_confidence": 0.811, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292879824210595842", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:45:45", + "claim_text": "Congressman Jim Hagedorn ( is an incredible advocate for Minnesota! He fights for our Farmers, Vets and Small Businesses, and he strongly defends your Second Amendment! Jim has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72384, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1801, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292880004183920641", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:46:28", + "claim_text": "Congressman fights for the hard-working people of Northeastern Minnesota! A former professional hockey player, Pete knows how to win. He stands for Law Enforcement, Small Business and our Vets. Pete has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72385, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1986, + "raw_confidence": 0.8014, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292880134022795266", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:46:59", + "claim_text": "My friend, Congressman is doing a tremendous job for the people of Minnesota! He strongly supports our brave Law Enforcement & National Guard, fights for our Vets and works hard to Cut your Taxes! Tom has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72386, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4846, + "raw_confidence": 0.5154, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292880641311334400", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:49:00", + "claim_text": "Jason Lewis ( will be an incredible Senator for the State of Minnesota! He is a proven leader who will help us Lower your Taxes, Protect our Communities and Defend your Second Amendment\u2026" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72387, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1828, + "raw_confidence": 0.8172, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292880642276036608", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 17:49:00", + "claim_text": "Jason worked with me to save Minneapolis along with your great National Guard after your local political leaders failed to do so. Jason has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72393, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1971, + "raw_confidence": 0.8029, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1292908143920455681", + "t_date": "2020-08-10 19:38:17", + "claim_text": "White House News Conference today at 5:30 P.M. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72396, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8225, + "raw_confidence": 0.8225, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293141672440877056", + "t_date": "2020-08-11 11:06:14", + "claim_text": " Great new book by former Director of Oval Office Operations, Madeleine Westerhout, entitled \u201cOff the Record\u201d. When I look at all of the Fake Books and garbage written about me, it\u2019s really nice to see a very smart and already wise young woman write an honest depiction of what went on at the White House during some extremely interesting and important times. So many good stories by someone who, unlike most other so called writers, was actually there, and a part of the action - of which there was plenty. Go buy this book, a job well done!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72397, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8352, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293151454069391360", + "t_date": "2020-08-11 11:45:06", + "claim_text": " John Bolton, one of the dumbest people I\u2019ve met in government and sadly, I\u2019ve met plenty, states often that I respected, and even trusted, Vladimir Putin of Russia more than those in our Intelligence Agencies. While of course that is not true, if the first people you met from so called American Intelligence were Dirty Cops who have now proven to be sleazebags at the highest level like James Comey, proven liar James Clapper, & perhaps the lowest of them all, Wacko John Brennan who headed the CIA, you could perhaps understand my reluctance to embrace!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72398, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8416, + "raw_confidence": 0.8416, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293163704188645385", + "t_date": "2020-08-11 12:33:47", + "claim_text": "More Testing, which is a good thing (we have the most in the world), equals more Cases, which is Fake News Gold. They use Cases to demean the incredible job being done by the great men & women of the U.S. fighting the China Plague!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72401, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1697, + "raw_confidence": 0.8303, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293314244008644609", + "t_date": "2020-08-11 22:31:59", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed tonight on at 9:00 P.M." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72402, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7661, + "raw_confidence": 0.7661, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293335144775004160", + "t_date": "2020-08-11 23:55:02", + "claim_text": "Thank you to Sheriff Gonzales of Bernalillo County, New Mexico, for joining my call with our Nation\u2019s sheriffs. Appreciate your partnership to help make your county safe great comments on Operation Legend!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72403, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1528, + "raw_confidence": 0.8472, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293335445879820288", + "t_date": "2020-08-11 23:56:13", + "claim_text": "Sad to see the damage from the derecho in Midwest. 112 mile per hour winds in Midway, Iowa! The Federal government is in close coordination with State officials. We are with you all the way - Stay safe and strong!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72404, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8295, + "raw_confidence": 0.8295, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293510853074051073", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 11:33:14", + "claim_text": ". started strong in the Democrat Primaries, and finished weak, ultimately fleeing the race with almost zero support. That\u2019s the kind of opponent everyone dreams of!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72405, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.795, + "raw_confidence": 0.795, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293513735533924352", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 11:44:41", + "claim_text": "96% Approval Rating in the Republican Party. Thank you! Also, leading in most swing states!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72406, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8183, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293517514798960640", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 11:59:42", + "claim_text": "The \u201csuburban housewife\u201d will be voting for me. They want safety & are thrilled that I ended the long running program where low income housing would invade their neighborhood. Biden would reinstall it, in a bigger form, with Corey Booker in charge!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72407, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8307, + "raw_confidence": 0.8307, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293520377952567307", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 12:11:05", + "claim_text": "Watched last week for the first time in a long time. He\u2019s totally SHOT, looks terrible, exhausted, gaunt, and weak. If there was ever a good reason for no shutdown, check out this jerk. He never had much going for him, but whatever he did have is missing in action!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72408, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.165, + "raw_confidence": 0.835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293525010523578375", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 12:29:29", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to future Republican Star Marjorie Taylor Greene on a big Congressional primary win in Georgia against a very tough and smart opponent. Marjorie is strong on everything and never gives up - a real WINNER!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72409, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1867, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293586660790239238", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 16:34:28", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to Andrew Clyde on a big win last night against a strong opponent in An early supporter of ours, Andrew will be an incredible Congressman for the people of Georgia!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72410, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.818, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293618631943901185", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:41:30", + "claim_text": "Big news, Oklahoma! I\u2019m proud to support infrastructure in your state with $13.7 million from for bus improvements across the state. SO important for helping people get where they need to go safely." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72411, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7209, + "raw_confidence": 0.7209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293618870746570756", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:42:27", + "claim_text": "Happy to announce that is providing $12.5M in federal infrastructure funds for bus improvements for the great people of Alabama." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72412, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8127, + "raw_confidence": 0.8127, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293618908654645248", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:42:36", + "claim_text": "Bus investments are in the works for the people of Nebraska! I\u2019m sending $13.6M from in federal infrastructure funds for improvements to bus service in Omaha. Great news!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72413, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.799, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293618947586248704", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:42:46", + "claim_text": "Happy to send $18 MILLION in funding to Utah to support their transit infrastructure and improve bus service. Huge and badly needed investment in the Cache Valley Region!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72414, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8146, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293618992150720512", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:42:56", + "claim_text": "I\u2019m awarding $14.7M in funding to New Jersey to support bus infrastructure in Helping make sure people can move quickly and safely!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72415, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2262, + "raw_confidence": 0.7738, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619029836468224", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:05", + "claim_text": "$13.9M is heading to New Orleans in funding for Happy to support bus service and major fleet improvements for the great people of Louisiana and help them keep moving safely." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72416, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.313, + "raw_confidence": 0.687, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619078129692672", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:17", + "claim_text": "BIG bucks heading to Illinois! $18.9M in federal infrastructure funds from will be awarded to and for improvements to bus service in the areas. Congratulations!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72417, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1648, + "raw_confidence": 0.8352, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619109180080128", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:24", + "claim_text": "Congrats to Pennsylvania for receiving $11.5M in federal infrastructure funds from Huge investments in Hazleton and Erie County to improve transit service and bring an economic boost to these areas!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72418, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1563, + "raw_confidence": 0.8437, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619129354801163", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:29", + "claim_text": "New Hampshire will receive nearly $822K in funds for bus service in the city of Nashua. Happy to support and keep the people of Nashua moving!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72419, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1646, + "raw_confidence": 0.8354, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619155422400512", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:35", + "claim_text": "Sending $8.3M in funding to North Carolina for bus and bus facility improvements in Asheville, Fayetteville, and Chapel Hill. Glad to support bus service in these areas!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72420, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.283, + "raw_confidence": 0.717, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619197096927232", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:45", + "claim_text": "Big improvements in rural bus service will be on their way to Michigan! I am awarding $27.8M in federal funding through to improve bus service statewide. SO important for transit in this great state!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72421, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3161, + "raw_confidence": 0.6839, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619226020806659", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:43:52", + "claim_text": "Georgia will be receiving $13M in federal infrastructure funds from BIG investment in bus facilities for people in metro Atlanta must keep people moving safely!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72422, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8121, + "raw_confidence": 0.8121, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619264973414401", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:44:01", + "claim_text": "Good news for Florida! I\u2019m awarding $27.8M from in federal infrastructure funds to five areas including Orlando, Jacksonville, Ft. Myers/Naples, St. Petersburg, and Tampa. Happy to support bus service for the people in beautiful Florida!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72423, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1954, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619293628829696", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:44:08", + "claim_text": "Big news for Wisconsin! is awarding $7.7M in federal infrastructure funds to support bus service for the people of Madison and Milwaukee County!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72424, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.16, + "raw_confidence": 0.84, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619360762925057", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:44:24", + "claim_text": "Honored to send $25.9 MILLION in funds to the great State of Texas to support bus infrastructure improvements. Congratulations to the MANY Texans who will benefit!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72425, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.174, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619626681737219", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:45:27", + "claim_text": "Congrats to Colorado who will be receiving $14.9M in federal infrastructure funds from Happy to support bus service for residents throughout this great state!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72426, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2281, + "raw_confidence": 0.7719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293619734894837760", + "t_date": "2020-08-12 18:45:53", + "claim_text": "I am sending $15M from to beautiful North Dakota! This federal funding will support bus service for people from Bismarck to Grand Forks and several other areas statewide. Congratulations!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72430, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1967, + "raw_confidence": 0.8033, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293860654626078721", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 10:43:13", + "claim_text": "I will be interviewed by on this morning at 7:30. A.M. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72431, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8139, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293861034009268224", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 10:44:43", + "claim_text": "Very poor morning TV ratings for MSDNC\u2019s Morning Joe, headed by a complete Psycho named Joe Scarborough and his ditzy airhead wife, Mika, and also headed by complete unknowns. Congratulations to on dominating the mornings (thank you President Trump!)." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72432, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8143, + "raw_confidence": 0.8143, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293869227036811265", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 11:17:17", + "claim_text": "The Fake News Media is giving a free pass despite her Radical Left failures and very poor run in the Democrat Primary. There was nobody meaner or more condescending to Slow Joe, not even me, and yet she quickly evaporated down to almost zero in the polls. Bad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72433, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7869, + "raw_confidence": 0.7869, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293909392459350019", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 13:56:53", + "claim_text": "Drug companies, which are being forced by me to substantially reduce Drug Prices, are taking $millions in ads saying I want to increase Medicare Primiums. Wrong, just the opposite! These ads show DRUG PRICES ARE GOING DOWN, and they are not happy! False advertising!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72436, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1808, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293922803419353088", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 14:50:10", + "claim_text": "Joint Statement of the United States, the State of Israel, and the United Arab Emirates" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72437, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293922936609546240", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 14:50:42", + "claim_text": "HUGE breakthrough today! Historic Peace Agreement between our two GREAT friends, Israel and the United Arab Emirates!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72438, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2315, + "raw_confidence": 0.7685, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293937233037230080", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 15:47:31", + "claim_text": "Great National Champions, thank you Coach O!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72439, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7683, + "raw_confidence": 0.7683, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1293937894525227013", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 15:50:08", + "claim_text": "The world will be laughing and taking full advantage of the United States if Joe Biden ever became President. Our Country would COLLAPSE!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72441, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1807, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294051967933841415", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 23:23:26", + "claim_text": " . is a friend of mine and a great woman. She is running for Senate in the very Special State of Wyoming. Cynthia is Strongly for our Military, our Vets, and protection of the Second Amendment She will be a great Senator, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72442, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1695, + "raw_confidence": 0.8305, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294052825845182464", + "t_date": "2020-08-13 23:26:50", + "claim_text": ". really produces for Alaska. He is an incredible Congressman who loves his State and works tirelessly for it. Strong on Public Lands, Energy, and our Second Amendment. He will never let you down, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72466, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3454, + "raw_confidence": 0.6546, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294235168471953409", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 11:31:24", + "claim_text": "Thank you James. Sadly, you are 100% correct!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72467, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8219, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294235587931668481", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 11:33:04", + "claim_text": "It was showing signs of future problems, but was so good when I left 4 years ago!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72494, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2301, + "raw_confidence": 0.7699, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294264832200515584", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 13:29:16", + "claim_text": "Today, we honor the brave Native American/First Nations soldiers who served our Nation and played a vital role in America's victory in WWII. The Navajo Code was never broken and saved untold American lives. Our country will be forever grateful. Happy Navajo Code Talkers Day!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72497, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2312, + "raw_confidence": 0.7688, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294270573011492864", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 13:52:05", + "claim_text": "Vote for TRUMP on November 3rd. I am going to bring our beloved New York back!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72500, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8284, + "raw_confidence": 0.8284, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294307234017681413", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 16:17:46", + "claim_text": " Everybody does phony books on Donald Trump and Republicans, just like the Fake Dossier, which turned out to be a total fraud perpetrated by Crooked Hillary Clinton and the DNC The Bob Woodward book will be a FAKE, as always, just as many of the others have been. But, believe it or not, lately I\u2019ve been getting lots of GREAT books!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72501, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8229, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294307884055040001", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 16:20:21", + "claim_text": " I have done more for WOMEN than just about any President in HISTORY! As we celebrate the 100th Anniversary of women\u2019s voting rights, we should build a BEAUTIFUL STATUE in Washington D.C. to honor the many brave women who made this possible for our GREAT COUNTRY Congress should send me H.R.473 ASAP and make this happen! It will INSPIRE all women to continue being bold and brave in achieving their DREAMS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72502, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7814, + "raw_confidence": 0.7814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294308655718969345", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 16:23:25", + "claim_text": "I have directed to get ready to send direct payments ($3,400 for family of four) to all Americans. DEMOCRATS ARE HOLDING THIS UP!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72503, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8057, + "raw_confidence": 0.8057, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294309253717598213", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 16:25:47", + "claim_text": "I am ready to have and send additional PPP payments to small businesses that have been hurt by the ChinaVirus. DEMOCRATS ARE HOLDING THIS UP!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72504, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3975, + "raw_confidence": 0.6025, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294309521922437120", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 16:26:51", + "claim_text": "I am ready to send more money to States and Local governments to save jobs for Police, Fire Fighters, First Responders, and Teachers. DEMOCRATS ARE HOLDING THIS UP!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72507, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7547, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294346904629805057", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 18:55:24", + "claim_text": "I am ready to send $105B to the states to help open schools safely with additional PPE. DEMOCRATS ARE HOLDING THIS UP!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72508, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7904, + "raw_confidence": 0.7904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294348702987894784", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 19:02:33", + "claim_text": "I am ready to send Rental Assistance payments to hardworking Americans that have been hurt by the ChinaVirus. DEMOCRATS ARE HOLDING THIS UP!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72510, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7943, + "raw_confidence": 0.7943, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294364456370286596", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 20:05:09", + "claim_text": "Just landed in New York to see my brother, Robert. We\u2019re going for New York on November 3rd. We\u2019re going to Reduce Taxes, Increase Law Enforcement, and bring it back BIG TIME!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72522, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8157, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294388698738569224", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 21:41:29", + "claim_text": "Going up the East River Drive, and fast. THANK YOU NYPD! On November 3rd we\u2019re bringing you back!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72523, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4303, + "raw_confidence": 0.5697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294397381073678339", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 22:15:59", + "claim_text": "I promised YOU I would not take a dime of salary as your President. I donate the entire $400,000! It is my honor to give $100,000 to to help repair and restore our GREAT National Monuments. So important to our American History! Thank You!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72524, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7558, + "raw_confidence": 0.7558, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294400686772420609", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 22:29:07", + "claim_text": "The biggest difference between the Presidential Race in 2020 and that of 2016 is the 2016 candidate, Crooked Hillary Clinton, was much smarter and sharper than Slow Joe, we have even more ENTHUSIASM now, and has become politically correct and no longer the big deal!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72525, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1601, + "raw_confidence": 0.8399, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294419010512211971", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 23:41:55", + "claim_text": "Senator is doing a terrific job - we just passed his landmark legislation, the Great American Outdoors Act. Strong on our Military, Vets and the Second Amendment, Cory has always had my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72526, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2295, + "raw_confidence": 0.7705, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294419296047833091", + "t_date": "2020-08-14 23:43:03", + "claim_text": " Senator is doing a tremendous job for the people of Montana! He just helped me pass the Great American Outdoors Act, which protects the Montana way of life. His opponent, Steve Bullock, would be an absolute horror for Montana Steve Bullock is totally against your Second Amendment and just received an F rating from the Steve, on the other hand, just received an A+ rating. Vote for Steve Daines. He has always had my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72527, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7972, + "raw_confidence": 0.7972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294483779478786048", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 03:59:18", + "claim_text": "Today, it was my great honor to proudly accept the endorsement of the I have deeply and profoundly admired the brave men and women of the for my entire life. New York\u2019s Finest are truly the best of the best I will NEVER let you down!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72528, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1981, + "raw_confidence": 0.8019, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294487623285837824", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 04:14:34", + "claim_text": "We will bring safety to our cities. We will bring hope to our most distressed communities and in everything we do, we will stand in solidarity with the men and women of LAW ENFORCEMENT! Thank you to the for your endorsement. God Bless the and God Bless America!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72534, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2031, + "raw_confidence": 0.7969, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294595814254415872", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 11:24:29", + "claim_text": "Thank you to the great Pat Lynch & the I will never let you down!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72535, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8266, + "raw_confidence": 0.8266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294598510885638151", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 11:35:12", + "claim_text": "Very strange. Sleepy Joe never takes questions. Also, his reporters have zero drive. Why can\u2019t my reporters behave like that? Something is going on!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72541, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7435, + "raw_confidence": 0.7435, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294601307068735488", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 11:46:18", + "claim_text": "The Democrats know the 2020 Election will be a fraudulent mess. Will maybe never know who won!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72547, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8257, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294612940776185856", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 12:32:32", + "claim_text": "So true, but we won\u2019t let that happen!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72548, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1822, + "raw_confidence": 0.8178, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294658967944265728", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 15:35:26", + "claim_text": "Great work by the Governors of AZ, IA, LA, and NM ( & who responded to my Executive Action and promptly submitted applications, that we APPROVED QUICKLY, to support Americans out of work because of the ChinaVirus. More states to come!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72560, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.745, + "raw_confidence": 0.745, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294728590773428225", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 20:12:05", + "claim_text": "If Obama did this, they would speak of nothing else. Biden could NEVER do it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72562, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7526, + "raw_confidence": 0.7526, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1294731591030378497", + "t_date": "2020-08-15 20:24:00", + "claim_text": "The honorable thing to do is drop the Mail-In Scam before it is too late! Absentee Ballots, like they have in Florida, are good!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72587, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8219, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295050523742175233", + "t_date": "2020-08-16 17:31:20", + "claim_text": ". is not watchable during weekend afternoons. It is worse than Fake News I strongly suggest turning your dial to They do a really \u201cFair & Balanced\u201d job!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72590, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8129, + "raw_confidence": 0.8129, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295065684788088833", + "t_date": "2020-08-16 18:31:35", + "claim_text": "\u201cIf carefully done, according to the guidelines, there is no reason why you shouldn\u2019t be able to do that (vote at polling place).\u201d Doctor Anthony Fauci" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72602, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8142, + "raw_confidence": 0.8142, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295165122974015495", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 01:06:42", + "claim_text": "Law and Order. If can\u2019t do it, we will!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72622, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1683, + "raw_confidence": 0.8317, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9954, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.995, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.995, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.005, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295320924938481667", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 11:25:49", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed on this morning at 8:00 A.M. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72623, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8244, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295385113862090753", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 15:40:52", + "claim_text": "Some states use \u201cdrop boxes\u201d for the collection of Universal Mail-In Ballots. So who is going to \u201ccollect\u201d the Ballots, and what might be done to them prior to tabulation? A Rigged Election? So bad for our Country. Only Absentee Ballots acceptable!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72624, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.819, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295396978482802691", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 16:28:01", + "claim_text": "The U.S. Post Office (System) has been failing for many decades. We simply want to MAKE THE POST OFFICE GREAT AGAIN, while at the same time saving billions of dollars a year for American Taxpayers. Dems don\u2019t have a clue!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72625, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2034, + "raw_confidence": 0.7966, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295407319694680066", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 17:09:07", + "claim_text": "Getting ready to land in Minneapolis. Our great National Guard saved the city from further destruction. Should have been called up sooner by local government!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72626, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8323, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295407324086128641", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 17:09:08", + "claim_text": "What\u2019s with POLLS increasing me by 10 points in a short period of time. Maybe they want to take over from" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72627, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2022, + "raw_confidence": 0.7978, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295428543359287296", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 18:33:27", + "claim_text": "Just approved (and fast) the FULL Emergency Declaration for the Great State of Iowa. They got hit hard by record setting winds. Thank you to and Governor Kim Reynolds." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72629, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7353, + "raw_confidence": 0.7353, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295452178010615808", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 20:07:22", + "claim_text": "Great division between the Bernie Sanders crowd and the other Radical Lefties. Our Country would be destroyed!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72630, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7703, + "raw_confidence": 0.7703, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295454264412667904", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 20:15:39", + "claim_text": "Why is Congress scheduled to meet (on Post Office) next Monday, during the Republican Convention, rather than now, while the Dems are having their Convention. They are always playing games. GET TOUGH REPUBLICANS!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72633, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7404, + "raw_confidence": 0.7404, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295504964379242498", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 23:37:07", + "claim_text": "Why would put on phony Congresswoman A total waste of airtime!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72634, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5754, + "raw_confidence": 0.5754, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295507087166857216", + "t_date": "2020-08-17 23:45:33", + "claim_text": "She was fired because she was boring and never had what it took. Perhaps that has proven to be a mistake!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72635, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6349, + "raw_confidence": 0.6349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295548611699322882", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 02:30:33", + "claim_text": "A proposal by Pentagon officials to slash Military Healthcare by $2.2 billion dollars has been firmly and totally rejected by me. We will do nothing to hurt our great Military professionals & heroes as long as I am your President. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72643, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8098, + "raw_confidence": 0.8098, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295557963516698624", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 03:07:43", + "claim_text": "Cuomo, just like his brother Fredo, has not got a very good memory!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72646, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8249, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295562738400362497", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 03:26:41", + "claim_text": "Now AP estimates that the real Cuomo number of people killed because of his total incompetence is 11,000, not the 6000 that was originally thought!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72665, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2984, + "raw_confidence": 0.7016, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295569697866473473", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 03:54:21", + "claim_text": "Thank you. Will never let you down!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72666, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8238, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295677038301523968", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 11:00:53", + "claim_text": " Somebody please explain to that Donald J. Trump would not be here, in the beautiful White House, if it weren\u2019t for the job done by your husband, Barack Obama. Biden was merely an afterthought, a good reason for that very late & unenthusiastic endorsement My Administration and I built the greatest economy in history, of any country, turned it off, saved millions of lives, and now am building an even greater economy than it was before. Jobs are flowing, NASDAQ is already at a record high, the rest to follow. Sit back & watch!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72667, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8273, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295679412365594625", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 11:10:19", + "claim_text": "Looking back into history, the response by the ObamaBiden team to the H1N1 Swine Flu was considered a weak and pathetic one. Check out the polling, it\u2019s really bad. The big difference is that they got a free pass from the Corrupt Fake News Media!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72668, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8248, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295680975184310272", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 11:16:31", + "claim_text": "The ObamaBiden Administration was the most corrupt in history, including the fact that they got caught SPYING ON MY CAMPAIGN, the biggest political scandal in the history of our Country. It\u2019s called Treason, and more. Thanks for your very kind words Michelle!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72669, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8254, + "raw_confidence": 0.8254, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295699653753745408", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 12:30:45", + "claim_text": "Many thousands of people work for our government. With that said, a former DISGRUNTLED EMPLOYEE named Miles Taylor, who I do not know (never heard of him), said he left & is on the open arms Fake News circuit. Said to be a real \u201cstiff\u201d. They will take anyone against us!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72670, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.181, + "raw_confidence": 0.819, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295702666903945217", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 12:42:43", + "claim_text": "John Kasich did a bad job in Ohio, ran for President and was easy to beat, and now went to the other side desperate for relevance. Good Job by Chris C in exposing yet another loser!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72671, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7481, + "raw_confidence": 0.7481, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295726834865274880", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 14:18:45", + "claim_text": "A horrible Governor. Crime is taking over NYC & State, everyone is leaving. He is after the NRA - They should move to Texas or elsewhere, and must get tough. Cuomo killed 11,000 people in nursing homes alone. Crooked & Incompetent!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72672, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8215, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295744066466934784", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 15:27:13", + "claim_text": "People forget how divided our Country was under ObamaBiden. The anger and hatred were unbelievable. They shouldn\u2019t be lecturing to us. I\u2019m here, as your President, because of them!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72676, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5334, + "raw_confidence": 0.5334, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295777044765143040", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 17:38:16", + "claim_text": "The Democrats have to start enforcing Law and Order in their cities and states. New York City, Chicago and Portland are a total DISASTER!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72678, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8258, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295792202526973952", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 18:38:30", + "claim_text": " In California, Democrats have intentionally implemented rolling blackouts forcing Americans in the dark. Democrats are unable to keep up with energy demand Meanwhile, I gave America energy independence in fact, so much energy we could never use it all. The Bernie/Biden/AOC Green New Deal plan would take California\u2019s failed policies to every American!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72679, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8237, + "raw_confidence": 0.8237, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295855291523723264", + "t_date": "2020-08-18 22:49:11", + "claim_text": ". and others in that business, should be charged (by the U.S. Postal System) much more per package, and the Post Office would be immediately brought back to \u201cgood health\u201d, now vibrant, with ALL jobs saved. No pass on to customers. Get it done!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72682, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8212, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295897125507670017", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 01:35:25", + "claim_text": "Tell the Dems that we have more Cases because we do FAR more Testing than any other Country!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72699, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2086, + "raw_confidence": 0.7914, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295920309946777600", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 03:07:33", + "claim_text": "Great WIN Anna! Watched your race from beginning, very impressed. Your next opponent, Charlie Crist, is a Pelosi puppet who is bad on Crime, our Military, Vets, & 2nd Amendment. You have my Complete & Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72700, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8166, + "raw_confidence": 0.8166, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295930978582568963", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 03:49:57", + "claim_text": "Kimberly will work with the Trump Administration and we will bring Baltimore back, and fast. Don\u2019t blow it Baltimore, the Democrats have destroyed your city!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72702, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2554, + "raw_confidence": 0.7446, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295932138290917376", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 03:54:33", + "claim_text": "Great going Laura. You have a great chance against a Pelosi puppet!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72703, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7415, + "raw_confidence": 0.7415, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295933109272219648", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 03:58:25", + "claim_text": "She was a terrible A.G. Was she the leaker?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72708, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.813, + "raw_confidence": 0.813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1295943677181927424", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 04:40:24", + "claim_text": "\u201cSenate Intelligence Panel found absolutely no evidence of collusion. There was no evidence that the Trump campaign conspired with the Russian government to influence 2016, affirming the findings of other investigations.\u201d Daily Caller" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72716, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4853, + "raw_confidence": 0.5147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296079095479050241", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 13:38:31", + "claim_text": "IF YOU CAN PROTEST IN PERSON, YOU CAN VOTE IN PERSON!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72717, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8212, + "raw_confidence": 0.8212, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296084723165470721", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 14:00:52", + "claim_text": "With what I am doing in the fight with the Drug Companies, drug prices will be coming down 50, 60, and even 70 per cent. The Democrats are fighting hard to stop me with big ad buys, plus. Likewise, Big Pharma. FAVORED NATIONS AND REBATES ARE BRINGING PRICES DOWN NOW. We will win!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72718, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8244, + "raw_confidence": 0.8244, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296092859226042368", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 14:33:12", + "claim_text": "Don\u2019t buy GOODYEAR TIRES - They announced a BAN ON MAGA HATS. Get better tires for far less! (This is what the Radical Left Democrats do. Two can play the same game, and we have to start playing it now!)." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72719, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7718, + "raw_confidence": 0.7718, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296104752284082176", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 15:20:28", + "claim_text": "Why are Republicans allowing the Democrats to have ridiculous Post Office hearings on Saturday & Monday, just before and during our Convention. Let them hold them NOW (during their Convention) or after our Convention is over. Always playing right into their hands!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72720, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1989, + "raw_confidence": 0.8011, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296198517573201923", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 21:33:03", + "claim_text": "Will be having a Press Conference at 5:45 P.M. See you in 15 minutes!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72722, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1999, + "raw_confidence": 0.8001, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296219101623459841", + "t_date": "2020-08-19 22:54:51", + "claim_text": "Welcome, Barack and Crooked Hillary. See you on the field of battle!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72723, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8119, + "raw_confidence": 0.8119, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296257282980880385", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 01:26:34", + "claim_text": "\u201cI live in New York. Even the most Liberal friends that I have are thinking twice about voting Democrat this time because they\u2019ve seen what\u2019s happened to the City under de Blasio and the State under - They\u2019re getting eaten up by taxes.\u201d" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72724, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8124, + "raw_confidence": 0.8124, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296274065762717696", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 02:33:15", + "claim_text": "HE SPIED ON MY CAMPAIGN, AND GOT CAUGHT!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72725, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7878, + "raw_confidence": 0.7878, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296275840649625601", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 02:40:18", + "claim_text": "WHY DID HE REFUSE TO ENDORSE SLOW JOE UNTIL IT WAS ALL OVER, AND EVEN THEN WAS VERY LATE? WHY DID HE TRY TO GET HIM NOT TO RUN?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72726, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8024, + "raw_confidence": 0.8024, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296285289497997317", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 03:17:51", + "claim_text": "BUT DIDN\u2019T SHE CALL HIM A RACIST??? DIDN\u2019T SHE SAY HE WAS INCOMPETENT???" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72730, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8267, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296413178566410241", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 11:46:02", + "claim_text": "Sarah is correct. McCain was a lousy candidate with lots of bad policy, but the \u201cdeadheads\u201d sabotaged his campaign from the inside, and never gave him a chance to win. Hope they were happy with OBiden, who gave you me!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72731, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8277, + "raw_confidence": 0.8277, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296414732627435520", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 11:52:13", + "claim_text": "It\u2019s never a real Twitter Trending. It\u2019s Twitter Executive\u2019s Choice. Only negative on Republican voices, especially mine!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72758, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2558, + "raw_confidence": 0.7442, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296589900804915202", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 23:28:16", + "claim_text": "I STAND FOR LAW AND ORDER AND I TOOK ACTION! Operation LeGend has led to the arrest of over 1,000 criminals, including 90 killers, all while Sleepy Joe Biden and the Radical Left excuses violence and crime in their Democrat-run cities. I want safety & security, Joe allows CRIME!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72760, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8215, + "raw_confidence": 0.8215, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296597150181330944", + "t_date": "2020-08-20 23:57:04", + "claim_text": "The Democrats are demanding Mail-In Ballots because the enthusiasm meter for Slow Joe Biden is the lowest in recorded history, and they are concerned that very few people will turn out to vote. Instead, they will search & find people, then \u201charvest\u201d & return Ballots. Not fair!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72761, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8265, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296601698891374593", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 00:15:09", + "claim_text": "They are sending out 51,000,000 Ballots to people who haven\u2019t even requested a Ballot. Many of those people don\u2019t even exist. They are trying to STEAL this election. This should not be allowed!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72764, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7844, + "raw_confidence": 0.7844, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296608655228502016", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 00:42:47", + "claim_text": "To get into the Democrat National Convention, you must have an ID card with a picture...Yet the Democrats refuse to do this when it come to your very important VOTE! Gee, I wonder WHY???" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72765, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1758, + "raw_confidence": 0.8242, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296610840033087488", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 00:51:28", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed by tonight at 9:00 P.M. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72766, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8133, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296630605900390400", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 02:10:01", + "claim_text": "96% Approval Rating in the Republican Party. 51% Approval Rating overal in the Rasmussen Poll. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72767, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1861, + "raw_confidence": 0.8139, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296636041017925633", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 02:31:37", + "claim_text": "After the worst debate performance in the history of politics, Michael Bloomberg, commonly known as Mini Mike, is trying to make a comeback by begging the Democrats for relevance. They treated him like a dog - and always will. Before politics, he said GREAT things about me!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72768, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8109, + "raw_confidence": 0.8109, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296638316281044992", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 02:40:39", + "claim_text": "96% Approval Rating in the Republican Party. 51% Approval Rating overall in the Rasmussen Poll. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72770, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.78, + "raw_confidence": 0.78, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296645682875506688", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 03:09:55", + "claim_text": "In 47 years, Joe did none of the things of which he now speaks. He will never change, just words!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72773, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2505, + "raw_confidence": 0.7495, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1296944031264649216", + "t_date": "2020-08-21 22:55:27", + "claim_text": "Robert, I Love You. Rest In Peace!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72774, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4526, + "raw_confidence": 0.5474, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297130026857627649", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 11:14:32", + "claim_text": "Another bad night of Rioting in Portland, Oregon. A small number of Federal troops there to protect courthouse and other Federal property only (great job!). Wanting to be asked by City & State to STOP THE RIOTS. Would bring in National Guard, end problem immediately. ASK!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72775, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.817, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297132096448864258", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 11:22:45", + "claim_text": "The Democrats took the word GOD out of the Pledge of Allegiance at the Democrat National Convention. At first I thought they made a mistake, but it wasn\u2019t. It was done on purpose. Remember Evangelical Christians, and ALL, this is where they are coming from-it\u2019s done. Vote Nov 3!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72776, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5722, + "raw_confidence": 0.5722, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297135664069214208", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 11:36:56", + "claim_text": "Biden and the Democrats have greatly disrespected the Great State of Wisconsin by not even paying a small visit to Milwaukee, the designated site of the DNC. The State & City worked very hard to make sure things would be good. Not nice. Vote Trump Wisconsin!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72777, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.826, + "raw_confidence": 0.826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297138033918173184", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 11:46:21", + "claim_text": "Why would Suburban Women vote for Biden and the Democrats when Democrat run cities are now rampant with crime (and they aren\u2019t asking the Federal Government for help) which could easily spread to the suburbs, and they will reconstitute, on steroids, their low income suburbs plan!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72778, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7093, + "raw_confidence": 0.7093, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297138862108663808", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 11:49:39", + "claim_text": "The deep state, or whoever, over at the FDA is making it very difficult for drug companies to get people in order to test the vaccines and therapeutics. Obviously, they are hoping to delay the answer until after November 3rd. Must focus on speed, and saving lives!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72780, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7782, + "raw_confidence": 0.7782, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297148038385991680", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 12:26:06", + "claim_text": "Many doctors and studies disagree with this!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72781, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7877, + "raw_confidence": 0.7877, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297152619526393856", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 12:44:19", + "claim_text": "In New Jersey they want you to certify that you asked for the Universal Mail-In Ballot that they sent you. But you never asked for it. Disaster in the wings!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72783, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8293, + "raw_confidence": 0.8293, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297275241203458048", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 20:51:34", + "claim_text": " Representatives of the Post Office have repeatedly stated that they DO NOT NEED MONEY, and will not make changes. This is all another HOAX by the Democrats to give 25 Billion unneeded dollars for political purposes, without talking about the Universal Mail-In Ballot Scam that they are trying to pull off in violation of everything that our Country stands for. Vote NO to the Pelosi/ Schumer money wasting HOAX which is taking place now. Then fight the $51 million unasked for Ballots. Only ABSENTEE BALLOTS are acceptable!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72785, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7397, + "raw_confidence": 0.7397, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297293860754817024", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 22:05:33", + "claim_text": "We did Criminal Justice Reform without many politically motivated Democrats. The Black & Hispanic community will remember this on November 3rd." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72789, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8146, + "raw_confidence": 0.8146, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297296779520745476", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 22:17:09", + "claim_text": "Despite biggest ever job gains and a V shaped recovery, Joe Biden said, \u201cI would shut it down\u201d, referring to our Country. He has no clue!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72790, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1782, + "raw_confidence": 0.8218, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297305569758511105", + "t_date": "2020-08-22 22:52:05", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed by on 9:00 P.M. Sunday Night. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72791, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8192, + "raw_confidence": 0.8192, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297329827859632130", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 00:28:28", + "claim_text": "A \u201cFavored Nations Clause\u201d against Big Pharma, which I signed last week, means that the USA gets a price on Prescription Drugs that matches the price of the Country that pays the lowest price anywhere in the World. 50%, 60%, maybe 70% reduction. No other President would do this!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72792, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8155, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297331615564259328", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 00:35:35", + "claim_text": ". wrote a great new book, \u201cThe Trump Century, How Our President Changed the Course of History Forever\u201d. Strongly recommended...A special guy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72793, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8147, + "raw_confidence": 0.8147, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297344504111017989", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 01:26:47", + "claim_text": "Now they\u2019re trying to deny this, but they can\u2019t!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72794, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8535, + "raw_confidence": 0.8535, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297495295266357248", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 11:25:59", + "claim_text": "So now the Democrats are using Mail Drop Boxes, which are a voter security disaster. Among other things, they make it possible for a person to vote multiple times. Also, who controls them, are they placed in Republican or Democrat areas? They are not Covid sanitized. A big fraud!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72795, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5261, + "raw_confidence": 0.5261, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297507346705522689", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 12:13:52", + "claim_text": "These riots are an antigovernment movement from the Left that are all in Democrat run cities. The mayors have got to let their police do what they know how to do. Would be very easy to suppress or, call in the Federal Government. We will solve problem fast!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72796, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8246, + "raw_confidence": 0.8246, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297521970813317121", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 13:11:59", + "claim_text": "Two Democrat Caucus Meetings removed \u201cUNDER GOD\u201d from the Pledge of Allegiance. It sounded not only strange, but terrible. That\u2019s where they\u2019re coming from!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72798, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.191, + "raw_confidence": 0.809, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297587881607864326", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 17:33:53", + "claim_text": "Important White House News Conference at 5:30 (sharp) today. Very good news!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72799, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.807, + "raw_confidence": 0.807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297601762384371719", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 18:29:03", + "claim_text": "\u201cNext we\u2019ll turn to people of the Biden inner circle\u201d, said by Chris Wallace of after unsuccessfully GRILLING Mark Meadows. Then all softball questions to a group of Biden lightweights, including Senator Chris Coons of Delaware." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72800, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8249, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297604008832573444", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 18:37:58", + "claim_text": "Chris Wallace \u201cforgot\u201d to ask a very weak and pathetic Schumer puppet, Senator Chrisie Coons, why Biden fought me when I put an extremely early BAN on people coming into our Country from heavily infected China. Biden later admitted I was right! But why no question?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72801, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8236, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297605856712970246", + "t_date": "2020-08-23 18:45:19", + "claim_text": "Actually, I think I\u2019m leading in the Polls!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72804, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1927, + "raw_confidence": 0.8073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297685653564674053", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 00:02:24", + "claim_text": "Watch Mark Levin, on air now. Great!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72807, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.832, + "raw_confidence": 0.832, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9954, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.995, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.995, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.005, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297706044236472320", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 01:23:25", + "claim_text": "The greatest Election Fraud in our history is about to happen. This may top the Democrats illegally spying on my campaign!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72808, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1831, + "raw_confidence": 0.8169, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297715098795094017", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 01:59:24", + "claim_text": "Please watch highly respected Dr. Harvey Risch of Yale, on Hydroxychloroquine." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72811, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8253, + "raw_confidence": 0.8253, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297918034045100032", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 15:25:48", + "claim_text": "Incredible that & MSDNC aren\u2019t covering the Roll Call of States. Fake News! This is what the Republican Party is up against. Also, I\u2019d like to hear the remarks of the Delegates from individual States, rather than anchors. Ridiculous!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72812, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8055, + "raw_confidence": 0.8055, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1297922993021042688", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 15:45:30", + "claim_text": "All the Radical Left Democrats are trying to do with the Post Office hearings is blame the Republicans for the FRAUD that will occur because of the 51 Million Ballots that are being sent to people who have not even requested them. They are setting the table for a BIG MESS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72821, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3213, + "raw_confidence": 0.6787, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298027987384840192", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 22:42:43", + "claim_text": "Exclusive: Eyewitness Says as Many as 20,000 Unverified Absentee Ballots Counted in Detroit Primary via" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72822, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8155, + "raw_confidence": 0.8155, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298029780437270530", + "t_date": "2020-08-24 22:49:50", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden has said he would lock down the Country again. That\u2019s crazy! We\u2019re having record job growth and a booming stock market, but Joe would end it all and close it all down. Ridiculous!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72825, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1915, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298079128567123970", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 02:05:56", + "claim_text": "Thank you to for this evenings opening prayer." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72827, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2711, + "raw_confidence": 0.7289, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298236091313651715", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 12:29:38", + "claim_text": "Very appreciative that covered the vast majority of the Republican Convention last night. That was really good for CNN, while at the same time being good for our Country. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72828, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8376, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298256297431666688", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 13:49:56", + "claim_text": "For our Country to be sending 80 million UNSOLICITED BALLOTS is very unfair and a roadmap to disaster. Even recent small and easier to control elections which did this are a catastrophic disaster. Fraudulent & missing Ballots like never seen before. 20% and 30% off. STOP!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72829, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8199, + "raw_confidence": 0.8199, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298283961551138817", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 15:39:52", + "claim_text": " Beautiful Maine Lobsters will now move tariff-free to Europe! For first time in many years. GREAT new deal by USTR levels playing field with Canada. Millions of $\u2019s more in EXPORTS More JOBS from Eastport, Cutler, & Jonesport to Stonington, Friendship, and Casco Bay. I am proud to help the great people of Maine!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72830, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1727, + "raw_confidence": 0.8273, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298296592764735490", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 16:30:03", + "claim_text": "I am pleased to inform the American Public that Acting Secretary Chad Wolf will be nominated to be the Secretary of Homeland Security. Chad has done an outstanding job and we greatly appreciate his service!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72831, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8132, + "raw_confidence": 0.8132, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298307828789194752", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 17:14:42", + "claim_text": " We again request Kate Brown ( the Governor of Oregon, and Mayor of Portland, to call up the National Guard like should have been done 3 months ago They must stop calling these anarchists and agitators \u201cpeaceful protestors\u201d. Come back into the real world! The Federal Government is ready to end this problem immediately upon your request." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72837, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7364, + "raw_confidence": 0.7364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298404245629284354", + "t_date": "2020-08-25 23:37:49", + "claim_text": "80 Million Unsolicited Ballots are impossible for election centers to tabulate accurately. The Democrats know this better than anyone else. The fraud and abuse will be an embarrassment to our Country. Hopefully the Courts will stop this scam!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72839, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1524, + "raw_confidence": 0.8476, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298414089769750530", + "t_date": "2020-08-26 00:16:57", + "claim_text": "Governor should call in the National Guard in Wisconsin. It is ready, willing, and more than able. End problem FAST!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72842, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8189, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298637609871212545", + "t_date": "2020-08-26 15:05:08", + "claim_text": "Just In: Chinese State Media and Leaders of CHINA want Biden to win \u201cthe U.S. Election\u201d. If this happened (which it won\u2019t), China would own our Country, and our Record Setting Stock Markets would literally CRASH!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72843, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1822, + "raw_confidence": 0.8178, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298655748466057217", + "t_date": "2020-08-26 16:17:12", + "claim_text": "Hurricane Laura is a very dangerous and rapidly intensifying hurricane. My Administration remains fully engaged with state & local emergency managers to continue preparing and assisting the great people Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. Listen to local officials. We are with you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72844, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1926, + "raw_confidence": 0.8074, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1298671451030073344", + "t_date": "2020-08-26 17:19:36", + "claim_text": " We will NOT stand for looting, arson, violence, and lawlessness on American streets. My team just got off the phone with Governor Evers who agreed to accept federal assistance (Portland should do the same!) TODAY, I will be sending federal law enforcement and the National Guard to Kenosha, WI to restore LAW and ORDER!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72849, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8251, + "raw_confidence": 0.8251, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299121427879276544", + "t_date": "2020-08-27 23:07:39", + "claim_text": "The Ten Most Dangerous Cities in the U.S. are ALL run by Democrats, and this has gone on for DECADES!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72850, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8187, + "raw_confidence": 0.8187, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299124203552210951", + "t_date": "2020-08-27 23:18:41", + "claim_text": "Democrats and Biden didn\u2019t even mention the Anarchists, Agitators, Looters and so called \u201cPeaceful Protesters\u201d at their Convention. They will allow rampant crime, just as they do in Portland. If they ask us, as they must do, we will end crime in their Democrat run cities, FAST!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72851, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7575, + "raw_confidence": 0.7575, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299133174564491265", + "t_date": "2020-08-27 23:54:20", + "claim_text": "Democrats Hate that I called for Big Pharma to match the lowest prescription drug prices in the World by using a FAVORED NATIONS CLAUSE. Prices will plunge!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72854, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2532, + "raw_confidence": 0.7468, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299345147294109697", + "t_date": "2020-08-28 13:56:38", + "claim_text": "Great Ratings & Reviews Last Night. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72855, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2133, + "raw_confidence": 0.7867, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299376529672208384", + "t_date": "2020-08-28 16:01:20", + "claim_text": "Succes: Since the National Guard moved into Kenosha, Wisconsin, two days ago, there has been NO FURTHER VIOLENCE, not even a small problem. When legally asked to help by local authorities, the Federal Government will act and quickly succeed. Are you listening Portland?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72856, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2634, + "raw_confidence": 0.7366, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299391572384059397", + "t_date": "2020-08-28 17:01:07", + "claim_text": "Success: Since the National Guard moved into Kenosha, Wisconsin, two days ago, there has been NO FURTHER VIOLENCE, not even a small problem. When legally asked to help by local authorities, the Federal Government will act and quickly succeed. Are you listening Portland?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72863, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8236, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299471313128452097", + "t_date": "2020-08-28 22:17:58", + "claim_text": "No, I want Big Ten, and all other football, back - NOW. The Dems don\u2019t want football back, for political reasons, but are trying to blame me and the Republicans. Another LIE, but this is what we are up against! They should also open up all of their Shutdown States." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72868, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7208, + "raw_confidence": 0.7208, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299518320714985475", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 01:24:46", + "claim_text": "Leading in Michigan, leading in Minnesota, leading all over. Sorry!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72869, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8152, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299520405871316992", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 01:33:03", + "claim_text": "If the incompetent Mayor of Portland, Ted Wheeler, doesn\u2019t get control of his city and stop the Anarchists, Agitators, Rioters and Looters, causing great danger to innocent people, we will go in and take care of matters the way they should have been taken care of 100 days ago!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72870, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2437, + "raw_confidence": 0.7563, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299559244593860608", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 04:07:23", + "claim_text": "Great total numbers for the Republican National Convention. Blows Democrat National Convention away. Also, much bigger fund raising numbers!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72871, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7875, + "raw_confidence": 0.7875, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299561148493242368", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 04:14:57", + "claim_text": "How does the Fake News not include Online Streaming Numbers where Republicans blow the Dem Numbers away?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72872, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4265, + "raw_confidence": 0.5735, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299562199837478913", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 04:19:07", + "claim_text": "Disgraceful that Big Ten is not playing football. Let them PLAY!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72875, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8222, + "raw_confidence": 0.8222, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299575308442652672", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 05:11:13", + "claim_text": "Kenosha has been very quiet for the third night in a row or, since the National Guard has shown up. That\u2019s the way it works, it\u2019s all very simple. Portland, with a very ungifted mayor, should request help from the Federal Government. If lives are endangered, we\u2019re going in!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72876, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2489, + "raw_confidence": 0.7511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299673322775613440", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 11:40:41", + "claim_text": "The Democrats see chaos as their way while President Trump sees the Rule of Law. Mayor Thank you Ken!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72877, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8063, + "raw_confidence": 0.8063, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299676445128765440", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 11:53:05", + "claim_text": "Wow! Despite the Democrats views across TV and online lie (Con!), we had 147.9 million, the Republican National Convention blew the Democrat National Convention AWAY. Not even close! Just like their lies on Russia, Football (PLAY!) and everything else! NOVEMBER 3rd." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72878, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7727, + "raw_confidence": 0.7727, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299678590750142464", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 12:01:37", + "claim_text": "My Campaign, despite all of the Fake News, Fake Books, and pathetic reporting written about me and it, has more spirit and enthusiasm than ever before, including the great and wonderful Campaign of 2016!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72881, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8219, + "raw_confidence": 0.8219, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299681573713960960", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 12:13:28", + "claim_text": "The Fake News doesn\u2019t want to report these numbers. The and others believed the Crooked Dems before the real numbers came out. Too bad we don\u2019t have honest reporting when it comes to \u201cTrump\u201d. Phony sources, they say anything and think they get away with it. November 3rd." + }, + { + "thread_id": 72882, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6687, + "raw_confidence": 0.6687, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299682591549911040", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 12:17:31", + "claim_text": "Another Democrat run city. They are a real mess!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72884, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2159, + "raw_confidence": 0.7841, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299684861171687426", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 12:26:32", + "claim_text": "Dan has my Complete and Total Endorsement. We need Dan in Washington!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72895, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2073, + "raw_confidence": 0.7927, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299686694380359680", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 12:33:49", + "claim_text": "Steve has my Complete and Total support. HE IS GREAT!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72899, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6914, + "raw_confidence": 0.6914, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299688064969854977", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 12:39:16", + "claim_text": "I saved the Iron Range from the Obama Closure. We opened it up again, proudly. Also sent the National Guard the Minneapolis to squelch a big problem. It worked, and quickly!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72901, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8193, + "raw_confidence": 0.8193, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299732423207301120", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 15:35:32", + "claim_text": "About the only way a person is able to write a book on me is if they agree that it will contain as much bad \u201cstuff\u201d as possible, much of which is lies. It\u2019s like getting a job with CNN or MSDNC and saying that \u201cPresident Trump is great.\u201d You have ZERO chance. FAKE NEWS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72902, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.823, + "raw_confidence": 0.823, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299732426873135105", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 15:35:33", + "claim_text": "Even whether it\u2019s dumb warmongers like John Bolton, social pretenders like Bob Woodward, who never has anything good to say, or an unstable niece, who was now rightfully shunned, scorned and mocked her entire life, and never even liked by her own very kind & caring grandfather!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72903, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8133, + "raw_confidence": 0.8133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299750156519129095", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 16:46:00", + "claim_text": "Now that Biden\u2019s Polls are dropping fast, he has agreed to get out of his basement and start campaignin,\u201cin ten days.\u201d Sadly, that is a very slow reaction time for a President. Our beloved USA needs a much faster, smarter, and tougher response than that. Get out there today, Joe!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72904, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.171, + "raw_confidence": 0.829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299750159958511622", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 16:46:00", + "claim_text": "New Hampshire - and the big crowds - was great last night. Thank you! Heading now for Louisiana & Texas to check out the damage done by Hurricane Laura. & are, together with Law Enforcement and First Responders, doing a great job!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72905, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1827, + "raw_confidence": 0.8173, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299751373303545856", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 16:50:50", + "claim_text": "Trump Lands Major Endorsements From Democrat Mayors in Minnesota Thank you so much. I will never let you down!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72908, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2152, + "raw_confidence": 0.7848, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299845420932235264", + "t_date": "2020-08-29 23:04:32", + "claim_text": "Watch Mark Levin NOW on Topic: Mail-In Voting!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72909, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8076, + "raw_confidence": 0.8076, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299875840830910464", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 01:05:25", + "claim_text": "Probably Shifty Schiff, but others also, LEAK information to the Fake News. No matter what or who it is about, including China, these deranged lowlifes like the Russia, Russia, Russia narrative. Plays better for them. doing a great job!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72910, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1714, + "raw_confidence": 0.8286, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299878894531739650", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 01:17:33", + "claim_text": "Just returned to Washington from Louisiana & Texas, after tours and discussions concerning Hurricane Laura. Thank you to and ALL. God bless the families of those who perished!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72911, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2791, + "raw_confidence": 0.7209, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299893494669094912", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 02:15:34", + "claim_text": "The thugs who accosted Senator and his wonderful wife, Kelly, together with those who made threats to many other people who had just attended the Republican National Convention at the White House, must be sought out and immediately arrested. Well documented evidence!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72918, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1509, + "raw_confidence": 0.8491, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1299899241360510978", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 02:38:24", + "claim_text": "U.S. planning to cut military presence in Iraq -" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72923, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8112, + "raw_confidence": 0.8112, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300007786101772288", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 09:49:43", + "claim_text": "Everything a Governor asked the Federal Government for with respect to the Pandemic, they got. They all said, on tape, the Federal government did a great job. Governor Cuomo used the word \u201cphenomenal.\u201d The Task Force worked well with the States. Feds bailed out many States!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72924, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8194, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300010374855524352", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:00:01", + "claim_text": "The big backlash going on in Portland cannot be unexpected after 95 days of watching and incompetent Mayor admit that he has no idea what he is doing. The people of Portland won\u2019t put up with no safety any longer.The Mayor is a FOOL. Bring in the National Guard!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72932, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8234, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300013635046182912", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:12:58", + "claim_text": "Our great National Guard could solve these problems in less than 1 hour. Local authorities must ask before it is too late. People of Portland, and other Democrat run cities, are disgusted with Schumer, Pelosi, and thier local \u201cleaders\u201d. They want Law & Order!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72933, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4923, + "raw_confidence": 0.5077, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300015097218240512", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:18:46", + "claim_text": "Wheeler is incompetent, much like Sleepy Joe Biden. This is not what our great Country wants. They want Safety & Security, and do NOT want to Defund our Police!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72942, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7422, + "raw_confidence": 0.7422, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300017613377097730", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:28:46", + "claim_text": "ANTIFA is a Radical Left group that only wants bad things for our Country. They are supported by $FOOLS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72944, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8085, + "raw_confidence": 0.8085, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300018396130611200", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:31:53", + "claim_text": "Democrat \u201cLeadership\u201d has no clue. Request help now....Problem Over!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72946, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7455, + "raw_confidence": 0.7455, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6005, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.313, + "npv": 0.935, + "ppr": 0.538, + "npr": 0.462, + "tp_ratio": 0.169, + "tn_ratio": 0.432, + "fp_ratio": 0.37, + "fn_ratio": 0.03, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300019490177069060", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:36:14", + "claim_text": "Disgraceful Anarchists. We are watching them closely, but stupidly protected by the Radical Left Dems!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72954, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3458, + "raw_confidence": 0.6542, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300020995630264320", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:42:13", + "claim_text": "Thank you. We will not let them down!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72964, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7652, + "raw_confidence": 0.7652, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300024113487138817", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:54:36", + "claim_text": "This is where his crazed leaders are taking their puppet!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72968, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1806, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300025245626228736", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 10:59:06", + "claim_text": "The National Guard is Ready, Willing and Able. All the Governor has to do is call!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 72970, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6733, + "raw_confidence": 0.6733, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300027733293047810", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 11:08:59", + "claim_text": ". should arrest these agitators and thugs!Clean up D.C. or the Federal Government will do it for you. Enough!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73010, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7895, + "raw_confidence": 0.7895, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300171130326716418", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 20:38:48", + "claim_text": "The only way you will stop the violence in the high crime Democrat run cities is through strength!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73021, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8238, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300195730527784960", + "t_date": "2020-08-30 22:16:33", + "claim_text": "Rushing him out of basement after seeing some very disturbing numbers. Don\u2019t worry, he\u2019ll go back to basement soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73024, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8189, + "raw_confidence": 0.8189, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300258464170758144", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 02:25:50", + "claim_text": " Joe Biden is coming out of the basement earlier than his hoped for ten days because his people told him he has no choice, his poll numbers are PLUNGING! Going to Pittsburgh, where I have helped industry to a record last year, & then back to his basement for an extended period His problem is interesting. He must always be weak on CRIME because of the Bernie Sanders Radical Left voter. If he loses them, like Crooked Hillary did, he is \u201ctoast\u201d, and many will vote for me because of TRADE (Bernie was good on trade). Joe MUST always be weak on crime!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73025, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8234, + "raw_confidence": 0.8234, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300261079071830019", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 02:36:13", + "claim_text": "When is Slow Joe Biden going to criticize the Anarchists, Thugs & Agitators in ANTIFA? When is he going to suggest bringing up the National Guard in BADLY RUN & Crime Infested Democrat Cities & States? Remember, he can\u2019t lose the Crazy Bernie Super Liberal vote!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73026, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1968, + "raw_confidence": 0.8032, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300267963254222854", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 03:03:34", + "claim_text": "Just had a wonderful conversation with my friend, Prime Minister of Japan, who will be leaving office soon. Shinzo will soon be recognized as the greatest Prime Minister in the history of Japan, whose relationship with the USA is the best it has ever been. Special man!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73027, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8114, + "raw_confidence": 0.8114, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300420725837266944", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 13:10:36", + "claim_text": "If I didn\u2019t INSIST on having the National Guard activate and go into Kenosha, Wisconsin, there would be no Kenosha right now. Also, there would have been great death and injury. I want to thank Law Enforcement and the National Guard. I will see you on Tuesday!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73028, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8227, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300421406849671168", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 13:13:18", + "claim_text": "Portland is a mess, and it has been for many years. If this joke of a mayor doesn\u2019t clean it up, we will go in and do it for them!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73029, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8272, + "raw_confidence": 0.8272, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300426765496725504", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 13:34:36", + "claim_text": "I\u2019ve been getting really good polls, some over 50%, except for one Fake Poll done by NEWS, which gives NO INFORMATION about the sample, R or D, or anything else. They did this last Election, with one week to go, down 12 points, and I won. They are disgusting Fake News!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73030, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8183, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300428128309907457", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 13:40:01", + "claim_text": "The Radical Left Mayors & Governors of Cities where this crazy violence is taking place have lost control of their \u201cMovement\u201d. It wasn\u2019t supposed to be like this, but the Anarchists & Agitators got carried away and don\u2019t listen anymore - even forced Slow Joe out of basement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73032, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8229, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300503351101186048", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 18:38:55", + "claim_text": "Just watched what Biden had to say. To me, he\u2019s blaming the Police far more than he\u2019s blaming the Rioters, Anarchists, Agitators, and Looters, which he could never blame or he would lose the Radical Left Bernie supports!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73035, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1592, + "raw_confidence": 0.8408, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300559123189301252", + "t_date": "2020-08-31 22:20:32", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed by Laura Ingraham ( tonight at 10:00 P.M. Eastern on Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73037, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.192, + "raw_confidence": 0.808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300609727060217862", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 01:41:37", + "claim_text": "I will be interviewed on tonight at 10:00 P.M. on Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73038, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.807, + "raw_confidence": 0.807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300630744759500807", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 03:05:08", + "claim_text": "My son, Donald, just wrote a really important new book, \u201cLiberal Privilege\u201d, talking, with great knowledge, of our world today. Lets make him a number one bestseller, again!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73039, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1773, + "raw_confidence": 0.8227, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300639323436523520", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 03:39:14", + "claim_text": "Kimberly Klacik is really working hard to help the people of Baltimore. She is running for Congress as a Republican, & if she wins she will be an inspiration to all. She is strong on inner city rebuilding, healthcare, our Military & Vets. She has my Complete & Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73040, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7679, + "raw_confidence": 0.7679, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300640042105344001", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 03:42:05", + "claim_text": "Biden will also raise your taxes like never before. Sad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73050, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8073, + "raw_confidence": 0.8073, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300778602301190144", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 12:52:40", + "claim_text": "People are tired of watching the highly political Basketball ratings are WAY down, and they won\u2019t be coming back. I hope football and baseball are watching and learning because the same thing will be happening to them. Stand tall for our Country and our Flag!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73051, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1651, + "raw_confidence": 0.8349, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300796174207680512", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 14:02:30", + "claim_text": "Good luck to Sean Compton, a winner at everything he does!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73052, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8046, + "raw_confidence": 0.8046, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300811758051954695", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 15:04:25", + "claim_text": "It never ends! Now they are trying to say that your favorite President, me, went to Walter Reed Medical Center, having suffered a series of mini-strokes. Never happened to THIS candidate - FAKE NEWS. Perhaps they are referring to another candidate from another Party!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73053, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1768, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300813079366770689", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 15:09:40", + "claim_text": "Heading to Kenosha, Wisconsin, to thank Law Enforcement and the National Guard for a job well done. The Violence stopped six days ago, the moment the Guard entered the picture. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73054, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.186, + "raw_confidence": 0.814, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300815396950478849", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 15:18:53", + "claim_text": "Had a very productive conversation with Kevin Warren, Commissioner of the Big Ten Conference, about immediately starting up Big Ten football. Would be good (great!) for everyone - Players, Fans, Country. On the one yard line!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73055, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1752, + "raw_confidence": 0.8248, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300840191771340801", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 16:57:24", + "claim_text": "I was saddened to learn of the passing of India's former President, Pranab Mukherjee. I send my condolences to his family and the people of India as they grieve the loss of a great leader." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73060, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8252, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300913237869752321", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 21:47:40", + "claim_text": "Drudge didn\u2019t support me in 2016, and I hear he doesn\u2019t support me now. Maybe that\u2019s why he is doing poorly. His Fake News report on Mini-Strokes is incorrect. Possibly thinking about himself, or the other party\u2019s \u201ccandidate\u201d." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73062, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.807, + "raw_confidence": 0.807, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300916103229526017", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 21:59:03", + "claim_text": "Not even a \u201cminor\u201d one. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73063, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7054, + "raw_confidence": 0.7054, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300917361147629569", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 22:04:03", + "claim_text": "There has not. They are the Enemy of the People. TDS!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73071, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7657, + "raw_confidence": 0.7657, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300921475713597447", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 22:20:24", + "claim_text": "Great honor, but think we are much higher than 46%. Hidden vote!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73077, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7981, + "raw_confidence": 0.7981, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300933256762798080", + "t_date": "2020-09-01 23:07:13", + "claim_text": "Kenosha, Wisconsin, we\u2019re with you all the way!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73080, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4833, + "raw_confidence": 0.5167, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1300983667561562118", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 02:27:32", + "claim_text": " Mike Pence was never put on standby, & there were no mini-strokes. This is just more Fake News by a phony story. The reason for the visit to Walter Reed, together with the full press pool, was to complete my yearly physical. Short visit, then returned (with press) to W.H" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73081, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8238, + "raw_confidence": 0.8238, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301090370508464129", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 09:31:32", + "claim_text": "Will Fredo be fired by Fake News He speaks with great disrespect about women, and it will only get worse. Fredo\u2019s Ratings are bad, so this is the time. Always terrible to speak to sleazebags, especially when you are being recorded. CNN has no choice, Fredo must go!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73082, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8181, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301092327017140224", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 09:39:18", + "claim_text": "Like Fredo at Fake News the very untalented Joy Reid should be fired for this horrible use of the words \u201cMuslim Terrorists\u201d. Such xenophobia and racism on MSDNC. Anyone else would be gone, and fast!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73085, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.825, + "raw_confidence": 0.825, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301094208967774208", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 09:46:47", + "claim_text": "See, even a Kennedy isn\u2019t safe in the new Radical Left Democrat Party. Taxes up big, no 2A. Biden has completely lost control. Pelosi strongly backed the loser!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73086, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2303, + "raw_confidence": 0.7697, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301095272039186432", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 09:51:00", + "claim_text": "This is the NEW and very sick Democrat Party. We will win on November 3rd, and MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73088, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8036, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301096114578436097", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 09:54:21", + "claim_text": "Some things just don\u2019t get any crazier. Just call me Kate, problem over!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73089, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8265, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301097177054359552", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 09:58:34", + "claim_text": "The Unsolicited Ballots Scam is their only hope. Will be the most corrupt election in history, by far!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73094, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8195, + "raw_confidence": 0.8195, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301134325782638593", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 12:26:11", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden is not on the side of Law Enforcement, and that was spectacularly evident on my very successful trip yesterday to Kenosha. We solved the problem quickly, and it was very much appreciated by the people of Wisconsin. Joe Biden wouldn\u2019t know where to begin - a bad record!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73095, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3734, + "raw_confidence": 0.6266, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301137855885070336", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 12:40:13", + "claim_text": "Seriously, is this what our great USA wants as its leader?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73098, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4867, + "raw_confidence": 0.5133, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301145978096025601", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 13:12:29", + "claim_text": "Crazy Nancy Pelosi is being decimated for having a beauty parlor opened, when all others are closed, and for not wearing a Mask - despite constantly lecturing everyone else. We will almost certainly take back the House, and send Nancy packing!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73099, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8268, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301148373916024832", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 13:22:01", + "claim_text": "Joe Biden is a Low Energy Candidate the likes of which we have never seen before. The last thing our country needs is a Low Energy Individual, especially when surrounded by High Energy Chess Players scattered all over the world. He\u2019s back in his basement now - no schedule!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73100, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7829, + "raw_confidence": 0.7829, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301150012194332672", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 13:28:31", + "claim_text": "The Beauty Parlor owner must really dislike Crazy Nancy Pelosi. Turning her in, on tape, is a really big deal. She probably treats him like she treats everyone else...And she strongly supported a Kennedy who just lost in, of all places, Massachusetts!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73101, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8269, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301163707540660224", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 14:22:56", + "claim_text": "We had FAR more people (many millions) watching us at the RNC than did Sleepy Joe and the DNC, and yet an ad just ran saying the opposite. This is what we\u2019re up against. Lies. But we will WIN!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73102, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7967, + "raw_confidence": 0.7967, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301164041935749125", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 14:24:16", + "claim_text": "2016 was AMAZING, but we never had this kind of ENTHUSIASM!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73103, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.176, + "raw_confidence": 0.824, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301165073583534081", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 14:28:22", + "claim_text": "Will soon be heading to Wilmington, North Carolina, and then will be going to Battleship North Carolina. Look forward to seeing all of my friends!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73104, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8372, + "raw_confidence": 0.8372, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301196763769057282", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 16:34:18", + "claim_text": "When a Kennedy loses a Democrat Primary in Massachusetts, by a lot, it just shows how far LEFT that party has gone. Joe Hiden\u2019 will never be able to hold them back. Life, 2nd A, Energy, Religion, Jobs and the Economy, would be totally obliterated!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73105, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1712, + "raw_confidence": 0.8288, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301211884759199746", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 17:34:23", + "claim_text": "Will be landing shortly in the Great State of North Carolina. See you soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73110, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8198, + "raw_confidence": 0.8198, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301246706525241346", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 19:52:45", + "claim_text": "Can you believe what\u2019s happening!? They give Joe Hiden\u2019 the questions, and he reads them an answer!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73112, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7869, + "raw_confidence": 0.7869, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301249968091455488", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 20:05:43", + "claim_text": "The Dow Jones Industrial just closed above 29,000! You are so lucky to have me as your President\ud83d\ude09With Joe Hiden\u2019 it would crash\ud83d\ude27" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73113, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8196, + "raw_confidence": 0.8196, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301253108404613121", + "t_date": "2020-09-02 20:18:11", + "claim_text": "Mayor Wheeler just got harassed out of his own home in Portland by so-called \u201cfriendly protesters\u201d. The Anarchists, Agitators and Looters treat him HORRIBLY, even though he is so nice and respectful to them. Criminals only understand strength!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73117, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8217, + "raw_confidence": 0.8217, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301315810485579776", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 00:27:21", + "claim_text": "My Administration will do everything in its power to prevent weak mayors and lawless cities from taking Federal dollars while they let anarchists harm people, burn buildings, and ruin lives and businesses. We\u2019re putting them on notice today." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73119, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7719, + "raw_confidence": 0.7719, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301499699069882368", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 12:38:03", + "claim_text": "Governors Andrew Cuomo of New York has the worst record on death and China Virus. 11,000 people alone died in Nursing Homes because of his incompetence!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73120, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301514116222287875", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 13:35:20", + "claim_text": "Sleepy Joe Hiden\u2019 was acknowledged by his own people to have done a terrible job on a much easier situation, H1N1 Swine Flu. The OBiden Administration failed badly on this, & now he sits back in his basement and criticizes every move we make on the China Virus. DOING GREAT JOB!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73121, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.788, + "raw_confidence": 0.788, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301516949793505287", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 13:46:36", + "claim_text": ". should get his puppet New York prosecutors, who have been illegally after me and my family for years, to investigate his incompetent handling of the China Virus, and all of the deaths caused by this incompetence. It is at minimum a Nursing Home Scandal - 11,000 DEAD!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73123, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5296, + "raw_confidence": 0.5296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301538617005875201", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 15:12:42", + "claim_text": ". Polls are, as in the past, Fake News. They have been from the beginning, way off in 2016. Get a new pollster. I believe we are leading BIG!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73124, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8036, + "raw_confidence": 0.8036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301540878381703168", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 15:21:41", + "claim_text": "Do you notice that any time Fake News Suppression Polls are put out, like the Stock Market goes DOWN. We are going to WIN!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73125, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8236, + "raw_confidence": 0.8236, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301570802551324672", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 17:20:36", + "claim_text": "Crazy Nancy Pelosi said she was \u201cset up\u201d by the beauty parlor owner when she improperly had the salon opened (and didn\u2019t wear a MASK!). Does anyone want a Speaker of the House who can be so easily SET UP?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73126, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8179, + "raw_confidence": 0.8179, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301587555301896194", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 18:27:10", + "claim_text": "Nancy Pelosi says she got \u201cset up\u201d by a Beauty Parlor owner. Maybe the Beauty Parlor owner should be running the House of Representatives instead of Crazy Nancy?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73127, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.818, + "raw_confidence": 0.818, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301627761715490817", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 21:06:56", + "claim_text": " Hearing that Iran is looking to execute a great and popular wrestling star, 27-year-old Navid Afkarai, whose sole act was an anti-government demonstration on the streets. They were protesting the \u201ccountry\u2019s worsening economic situation and inflation\u201d To the leaders of Iran, I would greatly appreciate if you would spare this young man\u2019s life, and not execute him. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73128, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7552, + "raw_confidence": 0.7552, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301631770975232003", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 21:22:52", + "claim_text": "I\u2019m going to Latrobe, Pennsylvania, the home of the late, great Arnold Palmer - There was nobody like him. I got to know Arnold well, played golf with him, and miss him. See you tonight in Latrobe!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73131, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8287, + "raw_confidence": 0.8287, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301638082484150272", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 21:47:56", + "claim_text": "Joe Hiden\u2019 gets off his airplane, grabs and shakes a rather stunned man\u2019s hand (like in the old days), then touches his (Joe\u2019s) face and mask with the same hand. No crowd, no enthusiasm for Joe today. Law & Order!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73136, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9977, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.998, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.998, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.002, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301645711910400001", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 22:18:15", + "claim_text": "Volunteer to be a Trump Election Poll Watcher. Sign up today!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73137, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.192, + "raw_confidence": 0.808, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301650007703957504", + "t_date": "2020-09-03 22:35:19", + "claim_text": "Landing soon - see you in Latrobe, Pennsylvania. Speech will be broadcast on and at 6:45 P.M. Enjoy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73142, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8149, + "raw_confidence": 0.8149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301726907298385921", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 03:40:54", + "claim_text": "Why aren\u2019t the Portland Police ARRESTING the cold blooded killer of Aaron \u201cJay\u201d Danielson. Do your job, and do it fast. Everybody knows who this thug is. No wonder Portland is going to hell!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73144, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8096, + "raw_confidence": 0.8096, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301868845678952448", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 13:04:55", + "claim_text": "Great Jobs Numbers! 1.37 Million Jobs Added In August. Unemployment Rate Falls To 8.4% (Wow, much better than expected!). Broke the 10% level faster and deeper than thought possible." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73145, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7976, + "raw_confidence": 0.7976, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301893907295371266", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 14:44:30", + "claim_text": "The Atlantic Magazine is dying, like most magazines, so they make up a fake story in order to gain some relevance. Story already refuted, but this is what we are up against. Just like the Fake Dossier. You fight and and fight, and then people realize it was a total fraud!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73146, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1928, + "raw_confidence": 0.8072, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301921581090959360", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 16:34:28", + "claim_text": " Another day everyone thought would be impossible! Congratulations to Vucic of Serbia and PM Hoti of Kosovo on committing to \u00a0This is a major step forward to bringing prosperity and peace to the Balkans and the world. I am proud to have assisted these leaders!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73147, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7996, + "raw_confidence": 0.7996, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301923485225230337", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 16:42:02", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to\u00a0 Vucic for announcing the move of Serbia\u2019s Embassy to Jerusalem by July. It is a brave and historic move!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73148, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1593, + "raw_confidence": 0.8407, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301924019147616257", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 16:44:09", + "claim_text": "Another great day for peace with Middle East Muslim-majority Kosovo and Israel have agreed to normalize ties and establish diplomatic relations. Well-done! More Islamic and Arab nations will follow soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73151, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1719, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1301968873487564802", + "t_date": "2020-09-04 19:42:23", + "claim_text": "The United States of America will NOT be cutting funding to magazine under my watch. It will continue to be a wonderful source of information to our Great Military!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73157, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3137, + "raw_confidence": 0.6863, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302078604612964358", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 02:58:25", + "claim_text": "Exclusive: Nearly 700 U.S. Veterans Issue Open Letter in Support of Trump via Thank you! As we get closer and closer to the November 3rd Election, and as my poll numbers rocket up, the attacks get more and more vicious. I love our HEROES!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73158, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8124, + "raw_confidence": 0.8124, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302083885384249344", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 03:19:24", + "claim_text": "Jennifer Griffin of Fox News Did Not Confirm \u2018Most Salacious\u2018 Part of Atlantic Story via All refuted by many witnesses. Jennifer Griffin should be fired for this kind of reporting. Never even called us for comment. is gone!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73159, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7527, + "raw_confidence": 0.7527, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302085111597408256", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 03:24:16", + "claim_text": "Owner of Salon Visited by Pelosi Raises over $220,000 on GoFundMe via Great!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73160, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8257, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302087414031290368", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 03:33:25", + "claim_text": "Pollak: The Stunning Synergy of The Atlantic\u2018s Anonymous Attack on Trump via Fake writer Goldberg is considered \u201cthe unofficial stenographer of the Obama White House\u201d." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73161, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6972, + "raw_confidence": 0.6972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302088395074793472", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 03:37:19", + "claim_text": "First Lady Melania Trump Hits Back: \u2018The Atlantic Story Is Not True\u2018 via" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73165, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.199, + "raw_confidence": 0.801, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302093297410805760", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 03:56:48", + "claim_text": "Thank you to our wonderful First Lady!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73191, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8252, + "raw_confidence": 0.8252, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302212909808971776", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 11:52:06", + "claim_text": "Trump Orders Purge of \u2018Critical Race Theory\u2018 from Federal Agencies via This is a sickness that cannot be allowed to continue. Please report any sightings so we can quickly extinguish!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73192, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1947, + "raw_confidence": 0.8053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302218250533642242", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 12:13:19", + "claim_text": "Letters from so many coaches, athletes and others pushed hard for this. I agree, has done so much for so many!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73193, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8299, + "raw_confidence": 0.8299, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9885, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.988, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.012, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302222782583967745", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 12:31:20", + "claim_text": " You work so hard for the military, from completely rebuilding a depleted mess that was left by OBiden, to fixing a broken V.A. and fighting for large scale military pay raises, and then a slimeball reporter, maybe working with disgruntled people, makes up such a horrible charge This reminds me of the Dirty Dossier, which was pushed hard by John McCain, & then with a thud turned out to be a total fraud. So many other scams also. The Radical Far Left is VICIOUS, they will do or say anything to win. But they won\u2019t, we will WIN, & have four great years!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73213, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3028, + "raw_confidence": 0.6972, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302228546874732544", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 12:54:14", + "claim_text": "Great job one of a kind!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73218, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.821, + "raw_confidence": 0.821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302339764218204160", + "t_date": "2020-09-05 20:16:10", + "claim_text": "Nancy Pelosi said she got \u201cset up\u201d by the owner (a very good one) of a beauty parlor. If so, how will she do in negotiations against President Xi of China, President Putin of Russia, or Kim Jong Un of North Korea. Not so well, I suspect, but far better than Joe Hiden\u2019 would do!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73219, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1484, + "raw_confidence": 0.8516, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302447673606275073", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 03:24:58", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to the U.S. Marshals on a job well done in Portland. LAW & ORDER!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73220, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2947, + "raw_confidence": 0.7053, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302449457045426178", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 03:32:03", + "claim_text": "Wish I could join you, but totally focused on November 3rd. Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73236, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4165, + "raw_confidence": 0.5835, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302559362771292160", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 10:48:47", + "claim_text": "Steve Jobs would not be happy that his wife is wasting money he left her on a failing Radical Left Magazine that is run by a con man (Goldberg) and spews FAKE NEWS & HATE. Call her, write her, let her know how you feel!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73237, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2406, + "raw_confidence": 0.7594, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302585109246287872", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 12:31:05", + "claim_text": "The Democrats know that they are creating havoc on Election night. This is what they want. WE WILL WIN!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73240, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3174, + "raw_confidence": 0.6826, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302586046551597061", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 12:34:49", + "claim_text": "Department of Education is looking at this. If so, they will not be funded!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73241, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7619, + "raw_confidence": 0.7619, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302601868313538560", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 13:37:41", + "claim_text": "The Democrats, together with the corrupt Fake News Media, have launched a massive Disinformation Campaign the likes of which has never been seen before. They will say anything, like their recent lies about me and the Military, and hope that it sticks... But gets it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73242, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8157, + "raw_confidence": 0.8157, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302628942680068096", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 15:25:16", + "claim_text": "Big Ten Football is looking really good, but may lose Michigan, Illinois, and Maryland because of those Governors\u2019 ridiculous lack of interest or political support. They will play without them?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73245, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8183, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302675943241199618", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 18:32:02", + "claim_text": "These are the Democrats \u201cpeaceful protests\u201d. Sick!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73249, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.31, + "raw_confidence": 0.69, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302700900272738305", + "t_date": "2020-09-06 20:11:12", + "claim_text": "Our Economy and Jobs are doing really well. Next Year will be a Record Setter. Stay Tuned!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73251, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8048, + "raw_confidence": 0.8048, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302769466804252673", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 00:43:39", + "claim_text": "A massive Disinformation Campaign is going on by the Democrats, their partner, the Fake News Media, & Big Tech. They create false stories and then push them like has never been done before, even beyond the 2016 Campaign. It imperils our Country, and must stop now. Victory 2020!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73260, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8071, + "raw_confidence": 0.8071, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302961482716639233", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 13:26:39", + "claim_text": "Starting to get VERY high marks in our handling of the Coronavirus (China Virus), especially when compared to other countries and areas of the world. Now the Vaccines (Plus) are coming, and fast!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73261, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1983, + "raw_confidence": 0.8017, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302964489806139392", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 13:38:36", + "claim_text": "Will be having a Labor Day News Conference today at the White House, 1:00 P.M. Jobs number, and the Economic comeback, are looking GREAT. Happy Labor Day!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73262, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8205, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302968271306711046", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 13:53:38", + "claim_text": "Gordon Chang: China Seems \u2018to Be Favoring Joe Biden\u2018 in Presidential Election via Of course they want Biden. I have taken $Billions from China and given it to our Farmers and U.S. Treasury. China would own the U.S. if Biden & Hunter got in!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73263, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7547, + "raw_confidence": 0.7547, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302969740374298624", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 13:59:28", + "claim_text": "Biden Underperforming! What else is new, the story of his life." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73264, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7983, + "raw_confidence": 0.7983, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302970414394740736", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 14:02:09", + "claim_text": "10.6 Million Jobs Created In Just 4 Months, A Record!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73265, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6149, + "raw_confidence": 0.6149, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302972258034614273", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 14:09:29", + "claim_text": "Rochester N.Y., Brooklyn N.Y., Portland - All had bad nights, all weakly run by Radical Left Democrat Governors and Mayors! Get the picture?" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73266, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8194, + "raw_confidence": 0.8194, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1302996272249548807", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 15:44:54", + "claim_text": "Just heard that Wacko John Bolton was talking of the fact that I discussed \u201clove letters from Kim Jong Un\u201d as though I viewed them as just that. Obviously, was just being sarcastic. Bolton was such a jerk!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73270, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8069, + "raw_confidence": 0.8069, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303006236078637064", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 16:24:30", + "claim_text": "Biggest & Fastest Financial Recovery In History. Next year will be BEST EVER, unless a very Sleepy person becomes President and massively raises your taxes - In which case, CRASH!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73271, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2426, + "raw_confidence": 0.7574, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303012637064802306", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 16:49:56", + "claim_text": "Exclusive: Zach Fuentes, Top Aide to John Kelly, Denies Atlantic Story About Trump via Thanks Zach. Just more corrupt Fake News trying to change the course of our most important, ever, Election!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73272, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1771, + "raw_confidence": 0.8229, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303098353492865024", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 22:30:32", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to Dustin Johnson on not only a great winning streak and golf season, but on capping it off with a fantastic Tour Championship and becoming the 2020 FEDEXCUP Champion. Dustin is a true WINNER in so many ways!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73277, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5511, + "raw_confidence": 0.5511, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303103464323649536", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 22:50:51", + "claim_text": ". IS FAKE NEWS, and all smart people know that!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73280, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8152, + "raw_confidence": 0.8152, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303105851130081280", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 23:00:20", + "claim_text": "The Fake News knows that Sleepy Joe doesn\u2019t have a clue, and they want to protect his Radical Left Democrat enablers. He is so bad for the USA!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73281, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5036, + "raw_confidence": 0.5036, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303106939476496390", + "t_date": "2020-09-07 23:04:39", + "claim_text": "Great job Erin. Just a 4 year continuation of the Great American Hoax!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73292, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1933, + "raw_confidence": 0.8067, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303140622946242560", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 01:18:30", + "claim_text": "Get Out and Vote for Corky Messner (" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73301, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8012, + "raw_confidence": 0.8012, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303147729049325568", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 01:46:44", + "claim_text": "This guy is given the answer to questions, which he reads from his teleprompter. Is Donna involved in this scam? Could you imagine if I got caught doing this. The media will never report this scam (FAKE) candidate. Sad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73314, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7821, + "raw_confidence": 0.7821, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303156993847328771", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 02:23:33", + "claim_text": "The Real Polls are starting to look GREAT! We will be having an even bigger victory than that of 2016. The Radical Left Anarchists, Agitators, Looters, and just plain Lunatics, will not be happy, but they will behave!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73315, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8021, + "raw_confidence": 0.8021, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9423, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.936, + "npv": 0.952, + "ppr": 0.617, + "npr": 0.383, + "tp_ratio": 0.577, + "tn_ratio": 0.365, + "fp_ratio": 0.039, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303292111136190465", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 11:20:27", + "claim_text": "BLM Protesters horribly harass elderly Pittsburgh diners, scaring them with loud taunts while taking their food right off their plate. These Anarchists, not protesters, are Biden voters, but he has no control and nothing to say. Disgraceful. Never seen anything like it. Thugs!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73316, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8211, + "raw_confidence": 0.8211, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303292112075661313", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 11:20:28", + "claim_text": "And because of weak and pathetic Democrat leadership, this thuggery is happening in other Democrat run cities and states. Must shut them down fast. Biden and his most Liberal in Senate running mate, Kamala, won\u2019t even talk about it. They won\u2019t utter the words, LAW & ORDER!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73327, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8258, + "raw_confidence": 0.8258, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303296282170200064", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 11:37:02", + "claim_text": "Because the CORRUPT MEDIA doesn\u2019t want to show all of our good work in that it will hurt the Radical Left\u2019s Election chances!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73355, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8281, + "raw_confidence": 0.8281, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9815, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.982, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.982, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303301026095734789", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 11:55:53", + "claim_text": "Same guy that didn\u2019t want to take off his mask yesterday in asking a question while being very socially distanced. Fake News!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73359, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7722, + "raw_confidence": 0.7722, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303301563868479490", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 11:58:01", + "claim_text": "Why does Twitter leave phony pictures like this up, but take down Republican/Conservative pictures and statements that are true? Mitch must fight back and repeal Section 230, immediately. Stop biased Big Tech before they stop you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73360, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8363, + "raw_confidence": 0.8363, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9977, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.998, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.998, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.002, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303301816772329472", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 11:59:01", + "claim_text": "Fredo\u2019s got a convicted lier for a lawyer, who may be going back to jail for an even longer time - additional lies to Congress. Many more tapes of him with Fredo and other media scum reporters. Reveals how deranged & sick they all are!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73362, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8181, + "raw_confidence": 0.8181, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303302195555827714", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 12:00:32", + "claim_text": "If Biden\u2019s Polling wasn\u2019t going down, and fast, he wouldn\u2019t be going to Pittsburgh." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73363, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8206, + "raw_confidence": 0.8206, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303302824747577344", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 12:03:02", + "claim_text": "Great! Biden is finally being forced out of his basement. Now you\u2019ll be able to see what is going on \u201cup there\u201d. He may do some \u201climited\u201d campaigning. Basement Biden is no longer playing well in the Polls!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73365, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4629, + "raw_confidence": 0.5371, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303303534587318272", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 12:05:51", + "claim_text": "Based on their bad ratings, so would many!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73367, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3929, + "raw_confidence": 0.6071, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303305303249870854", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 12:12:53", + "claim_text": "New York City must stop the Shutdown now. The Governor & Mayor are destroying the place!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73368, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7901, + "raw_confidence": 0.7901, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303311207022067720", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 12:36:20", + "claim_text": "The wonderful Charles Payne of just wrote a great and inspirational new book, UNSTOPPABLE PROSPERITY. Get it NOW. So many important thoughts and suggestions on investing and \u201cMaking Money\u201d. Also, Charles just happens to be a Great Guy!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73369, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8118, + "raw_confidence": 0.8118, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303313054281666584", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 12:43:41", + "claim_text": "The Democrats will open up their states on November 4th, the day after the Election. These shutdowns are ridiculous, and only being done to hurt the economy prior to the most important election, perhaps, in our history!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73370, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8385, + "raw_confidence": 0.8385, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9977, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.998, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.998, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.002, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303322616078503938", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 13:21:40", + "claim_text": "My Campaign spent a lot of money up front in order to compensate for the false reporting and Fake News concerning our handling of the China Virus. Now they see the GREAT job we have done, and we have 3 times more than we had 4 years ago - & are up in polls. Lots of $\u2019s & ENERGY!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73371, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.816, + "raw_confidence": 0.816, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303339826016550912", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 14:30:04", + "claim_text": "Suburban voters are pouring into the Republican Party because of the violence in Democrat run cities and states. If Biden gets in, this violence is \u201ccoming to the Suburbs\u201d, and FAST. You could say goodbye to your American Dream!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73374, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8465, + "raw_confidence": 0.8465, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303368660736598016", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 16:24:38", + "claim_text": " Because of the China Virus, my Campaign, which has raised a lot of money, was forced to spend in order to counter the Fake News reporting about the way we handled it (China Ban, etc.). We did, and are doing, a GREAT job, and have a lot of money left over, much more than 2016 Like I did in the 2016 Primaries, if more money is needed, which I doubt it will be, I will put it up!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73375, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8125, + "raw_confidence": 0.8125, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303371151792513024", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 16:34:32", + "claim_text": "They are not \u201cpeaceful protesters\u201d, as Sleepy Joe and the Democrats call them, they are THUGS - And it is all taking place in Democrat run cities. Call me and request Federal HELP. We will solve your problems in a matter of minutes - And thanks to the U.S. Marshalls in Portland!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73376, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1816, + "raw_confidence": 0.8184, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303380082807828480", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 17:10:02", + "claim_text": "On my way to the Great State of Florida, see you soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73377, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8228, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303390488175599622", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 17:51:22", + "claim_text": "Democrats admit that President Trump\u2019s message is \u201cworking\u201d on violence coming to the Suburbs in a Looney Biden Administration. Plus, Biden just doubled down on forcing Federal control of local zoning. This means low income housing and projects. So much for the American Dream!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73378, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8207, + "raw_confidence": 0.8207, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303394057926840320", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 18:05:33", + "claim_text": "Sleepy Joe Biden has pledged to ABOLISH Suburban Communites as they currently exist by reinstating Obama\u2019s radical AFFH Regulation. There goes Suburbia!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73390, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1817, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303441474923749379", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 21:13:59", + "claim_text": "Just left Florida, see everyone tonight in North Carolina!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73391, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1906, + "raw_confidence": 0.8094, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9515, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.969, + "npv": 0.937, + "ppr": 0.453, + "npr": 0.547, + "tp_ratio": 0.439, + "tn_ratio": 0.513, + "fp_ratio": 0.014, + "fn_ratio": 0.035, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303443150963343361", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 21:20:38", + "claim_text": "Heading to North Carolina. See you soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73392, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3676, + "raw_confidence": 0.6324, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303458451671011328", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 22:21:26", + "claim_text": "Police Chief, and most of the police in Rochester, N.Y., have resigned. The Democrat Mayor and, of courses, Governor Cuomo, have no idea what to do. New York State is a mess - No Money, High Taxes & Crime, Everyone Fleeing. November 3rd. We can fix it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73393, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1624, + "raw_confidence": 0.8376, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303462828473331712", + "t_date": "2020-09-08 22:38:50", + "claim_text": "Just landed in North Carolina, thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73396, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1735, + "raw_confidence": 0.8265, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303496842735312898", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 00:53:59", + "claim_text": ". will be talking about the big North Carolina Rally tonight. Great crowd! Also, congratulations to Sean, and on the Great Ratings!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73397, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7707, + "raw_confidence": 0.7707, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303506731222339586", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 01:33:17", + "claim_text": "Great new book out today, \u201cSpeaking for Myself: Faith, Freedom, and the Fight of Our Lives Inside the Trump White House\u201d by Sanders. Make sure you get your copy today!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73406, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8183, + "raw_confidence": 0.8183, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303558498291245056", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 04:58:59", + "claim_text": "Donald Trump: If Biden Wins, China Wins. It\u2018s as Simple as That via Would be a disaster for the USA!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73407, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8326, + "raw_confidence": 0.8326, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303562581643350021", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 05:15:13", + "claim_text": "A FAKE story made up by the Democrats in order to save Biden\u2019s failing campaign. Thanks Zach!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73413, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6634, + "raw_confidence": 0.6634, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303665208322412544", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 12:03:01", + "claim_text": "Salon Owner Nancy Pelosi Attacked Raises over $310,000 via Great!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73418, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.5843, + "raw_confidence": 0.5843, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303677963200798720", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 12:53:42", + "claim_text": "We will be substantially LOWERING Medicare Premiums and Prescription Drug Prices, bringing them down to levels that were not thought possible!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73420, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1684, + "raw_confidence": 0.8316, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9954, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.995, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.995, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.005, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303679528926142465", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 12:59:55", + "claim_text": "Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize following Israel-UAE accord via" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73436, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1636, + "raw_confidence": 0.8364, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9977, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.998, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.998, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.002, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303688337723723776", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 13:34:55", + "claim_text": "Volunteer to be a Trump Election Poll Watcher. Sign up today!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73437, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1877, + "raw_confidence": 0.8123, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303698549054607360", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 14:15:30", + "claim_text": "The United States Navy, or the Department of Defense, will NOT be cancelling its contract with Catholic Priests who serve our men and women in the Armed Forces so well, and with such great compassion & skill. This will no longer be even a point of discussion!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73440, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303765212789698560", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 18:40:24", + "claim_text": "I will be announcing a list of future potential Supreme Court Justices\u00a0at 3:30\u00a0P.M. Eastern from the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73442, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7904, + "raw_confidence": 0.7904, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303797159230402560", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 20:47:20", + "claim_text": "Today we join millions of baseball fans and Puerto Ricans in celebrating Roberto Clemente\u2019s life and his immense contributions to baseball and equality. He was one of my all-time favorite players Roberto had everything!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73443, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8164, + "raw_confidence": 0.8164, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303831588598415368", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 23:04:09", + "claim_text": " The failed former Governor of Michigan, RINO Rick Snyder, who was responsible for the Flint Water Disaster (and I let him know it!), is now endorsing Sleepy Joe Biden, who doesn\u2019t have a clue! Snyder, whose political career was ruined by Flint, hurt a lot of people in Michigan I\u2019ll take the Endorsement of Law Enforcement all over the Country, and Joe can have the RINO\u2019S. This Snyder mess was made during the OBiden era - no wonder they\u2019re friends!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73444, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8228, + "raw_confidence": 0.8228, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303832553296719873", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 23:07:59", + "claim_text": " On top of a lie made up by a low-life \u201creporter\u201d, who is known for disinformation, the Democrats have taken his false words and put them into a TV commercial. We now have 21 witnesses stating that the story is a BIG LIE. Even Biden admits this may not be true Secret Service would not allow the trip to the cemetery based on very bad weather and security concerns. Now these low-life Biden handlers are making commercials of this fictional statement, with no proof, and think they can get away with it These are horrendous people that we must defeat on November 3rd!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73445, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.22, + "raw_confidence": 0.78, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303835269343346688", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 23:18:46", + "claim_text": "These are my real words about our GREAT HEROES, not made up lies by the enemy. THANK YOU and God Bless You All!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73446, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8245, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303843244451729413", + "t_date": "2020-09-09 23:50:28", + "claim_text": " Fake News asks why I bring up Booker. It\u2019s because Biden supports Booker\u2019s bill that forces federal control of local zoning and low income housing in suburbs If in doubt, ask why the bill withholds $12 billion in highway funds until local authorities agree to federal control? I will protect the suburbs. Biden will destroy the suburbs!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73447, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8393, + "raw_confidence": 0.8393, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9977, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.998, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.998, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.002, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303860823975178240", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 01:00:19", + "claim_text": "For years Fake stories and investigations, then the phony Russia, Russia, Russia HOAX, next Ukraine and the failed Impeachment, now the crummy Atlantic Magazine\u2019s MADE UP STORY, and lastly, the political hit job by rapidly fading Bob Woodward and his boring book. It never ends!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73448, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1777, + "raw_confidence": 0.8223, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303861737507172352", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 01:03:57", + "claim_text": "Will be interviewed by on - NOW!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73450, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3169, + "raw_confidence": 0.6831, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303877584409722880", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 02:06:55", + "claim_text": "Great job you really get it!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73453, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7964, + "raw_confidence": 0.7964, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1303884257182519296", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 02:33:26", + "claim_text": "You don\u2019t want to miss segment with Thank you!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73455, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7729, + "raw_confidence": 0.7729, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6628, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.48, + "npv": 0.908, + "ppr": 0.573, + "npr": 0.427, + "tp_ratio": 0.275, + "tn_ratio": 0.388, + "fp_ratio": 0.298, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304033005191692288", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:24:30", + "claim_text": "Fake News is at it again! They will take any statement from me, no matter how proper or well delivered, & systematically, in complete conjunction with all of their allies, dismantle it. With Biden, they only give him softballs, and let him read the answers from a teleprompter!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73457, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3704, + "raw_confidence": 0.6296, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304033430062202880", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:26:12", + "claim_text": "New York City indoor dining to reopen on September 30, at 25% capacity. A step in the right direction, but should go faster!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73458, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8267, + "raw_confidence": 0.8267, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304034829386887168", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:31:45", + "claim_text": "No, Vindman knew the call itself to the Ukrainian President was \u201cperfect\u201d, but also knew the whistleblower report described the call incorrectly, way off. Why didn\u2019t Vindman say so? That\u2019s why Shifty didn\u2019t want the whistleblower to testify. A big scam!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73466, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3263, + "raw_confidence": 0.6737, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304036421980893184", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:38:05", + "claim_text": "Governor Cuomo has completely lost control. Sad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73467, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8245, + "raw_confidence": 0.8245, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304036654588534789", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:39:00", + "claim_text": "One of the WORST governors in the USA. Caused 11,000 deaths in nursing homes alone due to his bad moves and incompetence. At least he said I \u201cdid a phenomenal job\u201d. But he didn\u2019t!!!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73468, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8148, + "raw_confidence": 0.8148, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304037450793115648", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:42:10", + "claim_text": "Now is putting on yet another loser, Jamie Weinstein, into their stable of Trump haters. People who failed for many years are now going on Fox to explain \u201cTrump\u201d. Schumer puppet Chris Hahn and his twin brother, Richard Goodstein, together with cheater Donna Brazil. Bad!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73470, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3588, + "raw_confidence": 0.6412, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304038348772855810", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:45:44", + "claim_text": "Kim Jong Un is in good health. Never underestimate him!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73481, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.799, + "raw_confidence": 0.799, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.8545, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.817, + "npv": 0.939, + "ppr": 0.695, + "npr": 0.305, + "tp_ratio": 0.568, + "tn_ratio": 0.286, + "fp_ratio": 0.127, + "fn_ratio": 0.018, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304039852988493824", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:51:43", + "claim_text": "\u201cComey is a disgraced lier & leaker. Two years wasted on the Russia Witch Hunt was in large part because of his failings as Director of the FBI. They refused to support the results of the 2016 Election. Part of the biggest political scandal we have ever seen.\u201d" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73482, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8257, + "raw_confidence": 0.8257, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304040627332689920", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:54:48", + "claim_text": "Sending out 80 MILLION BALLOTS to people who aren\u2019t even asking for a Ballot is unfair and a total fraud in the making. Look at what\u2019s going on right now!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73483, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6401, + "raw_confidence": 0.6401, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304040990550958081", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:56:14", + "claim_text": "Obama is lucky he ran against a man with very little talent or political skill, as opposed to someone who knows how to fight and win!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73484, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4965, + "raw_confidence": 0.5035, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304041349243645958", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 12:57:40", + "claim_text": "New Mexico will only be GREAT with President Trump. We will win!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73485, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8191, + "raw_confidence": 0.8191, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304042651147284480", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 13:02:50", + "claim_text": "Bob Woodward had my quotes for many months. If he thought they were so bad or dangerous, why didn\u2019t he immediately report them in an effort to save lives? Didn\u2019t he have an obligation to do so? No, because he knew they were good and proper answers. Calm, no panic!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73486, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8224, + "raw_confidence": 0.8224, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304055016731422722", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 13:51:58", + "claim_text": "Democrats, OPEN THE SCHOOLS ( SAFELY), NOW! When schools are closed, let the money follow the child (FAMILY). Why should schools be paid when they are closed? They shouldn\u2019t!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73487, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8232, + "raw_confidence": 0.8232, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304060630656311296", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 14:14:17", + "claim_text": "The Democrats never even mentioned the words LAW & ORDER at their National Convention. That\u2019s where they are coming from. If I don\u2019t win, America\u2019s Suburbs will be OVERRUN with Low Income Projects, Anarchists, Agitators, Looters and, of course, \u201cFriendly Protesters\u201d." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73488, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1732, + "raw_confidence": 0.8268, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304133443861843969", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 19:03:37", + "claim_text": "Will be doing a News Conference live from the White House at 3:30 P.M. Eastern." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73490, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1856, + "raw_confidence": 0.8144, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166554515451912", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:15:11", + "claim_text": ". will be a phenomenal Congressman for the people of Florida! He strongly supports our Brave Law Enforcement, School Choice, Military, Vets and the Second Amendment! Byron is a Rising Star! He has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73491, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1835, + "raw_confidence": 0.8165, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166604972924929", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:15:23", + "claim_text": ". will be an incredible Congresswoman and leader for Florida! A Successful Businesswoman, she strongly supports our Brave First Responders & Law Enforcement, Life and the Second Amendment! Kat has my Complete and Total Endorsement" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73492, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1799, + "raw_confidence": 0.8201, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166640112881664", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:15:31", + "claim_text": ". is a tremendous fighter for the people of Colorado! A Rising Star, Lauren is Strong on the Second Amendment, Jobs, Energy, Healthcare and our incredible Military & Vets. Lauren has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73493, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1751, + "raw_confidence": 0.8249, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9607, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.961, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.961, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166675902758918", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:15:40", + "claim_text": "Jim Bognet ( will be a tremendous advocate for Pennsylvania in Congress! He is Tough on Immigration and Crime, and he is Strong on Jobs, our Military, Vets, and the Second Amendment. Jim has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73494, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.166, + "raw_confidence": 0.834, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9907, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166722912636936", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:15:51", + "claim_text": "Yvette Herrell ( is a proven fighter for New Mexico! She strongly supports our Brave Law Enforcement, Life and the Second Amendment. Strong on the Border and Trade, Yvette has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73495, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1876, + "raw_confidence": 0.8124, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166769419005955", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:16:02", + "claim_text": "Congressman is working hard and creating jobs for the people of North Carolina! He strongly supports our Military, Vets and the Second Amendment. Richard has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73496, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1795, + "raw_confidence": 0.8205, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9538, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.954, + "ppr": 0.002, + "npr": 0.998, + "tp_ratio": 0.002, + "tn_ratio": 0.952, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.046, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304166803283771392", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 21:16:10", + "claim_text": "Mary Miller ( will be a terrific Congresswoman for Illinois! She is Strong on the Border, Life, Low Taxes, and she will always protect and defend your Second Amendment. Mary has my Complete and Total Endorsement!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73497, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1677, + "raw_confidence": 0.8323, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9908, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.991, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.991, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.009, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304192424462278657", + "t_date": "2020-09-10 22:57:59", + "claim_text": "Landing in the Great State of Michigan now. See you soon!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73499, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.7545, + "raw_confidence": 0.7545, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.6051, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.389, + "npv": 0.906, + "ppr": 0.582, + "npr": 0.418, + "tp_ratio": 0.226, + "tn_ratio": 0.379, + "fp_ratio": 0.356, + "fn_ratio": 0.039, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304235190571597824", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 01:47:55", + "claim_text": "When we win I, as your President, will totally forgive ALL deferred payroll taxes with money from the General Fund. I will ALWAYS protect Seniors and your Social Security! Sleepy Joe Biden will do the opposite, he will raise your taxes and DESTROY our Country!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73500, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.6618, + "raw_confidence": 0.6618, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304236585790009344", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 01:53:28", + "claim_text": " On November 3rd, Michigan will decide whether we will quickly return to record prosperityor whether we allow Sleepy Joe Biden to impose a $4 TRILLION DOLLAR TAX HIKE, ban American Energy, confiscate your guns, shutdown the economy, shutdown auto production, delay the vaccine, destroy the suburbs, erase your borders, and indoctrinate your children with poisonous anti-American lies!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73501, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.817, + "raw_confidence": 0.817, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304237564203679745", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 01:57:21", + "claim_text": "If Joe Biden is elected, far-left lunatics won\u2019t just be running failed Dem Citiesthey will be running the Department of Justice, the Department of Homeland Security, and the U.S. Supreme Court. No city, town or suburb will be safe. On November 3rd, your vote will SAVE AMERICA!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73502, + "prediction": 1, + "raw_pred": 0.8269, + "raw_confidence": 0.8269, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9861, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.986, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.986, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.014, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304242043116552194", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 02:15:09", + "claim_text": "I have taken the toughest-ever action to stand up to China\u2019s rampant theft of Michigan jobs. Sleepy Joe Biden has vowed to remove those Tariffs and allow China to resume its pillaging. Joe Biden\u2019s Agenda is Made in China, my agenda is Made in the USA!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73503, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.4187, + "raw_confidence": 0.5813, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.4873, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.148, + "npv": 0.804, + "ppr": 0.483, + "npr": 0.517, + "tp_ratio": 0.072, + "tn_ratio": 0.416, + "fp_ratio": 0.411, + "fn_ratio": 0.102, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304243263445118976", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 02:20:00", + "claim_text": "A vote for Republicans is a vote for safe communities, great jobs, and a limitless future for ALL Americans. Instead of letting Washington change us, despite all that we have been through, we are changing Washington!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73504, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1549, + "raw_confidence": 0.8451, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9931, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.0, + "npv": 0.993, + "ppr": 0.0, + "npr": 1.0, + "tp_ratio": 0.0, + "tn_ratio": 0.993, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.007, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304362313743560704", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 10:13:04", + "claim_text": "Congratulations to JPMorgan Chase for ordering everyone BACK TO OFFICE on September 21st. Will always be better than working from home!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73505, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.2074, + "raw_confidence": 0.7926, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.7252, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.648, + "npv": 0.872, + "ppr": 0.656, + "npr": 0.344, + "tp_ratio": 0.425, + "tn_ratio": 0.3, + "fp_ratio": 0.231, + "fn_ratio": 0.044, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304384845280403456", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 11:42:36", + "claim_text": "In 2001, our Nation, united under God, made an unbreakable promise never to forget the nearly 3,000 innocent Americans who were senselessly killed on September 11th. On this sacred day Patriot Day we solemnly honor that commitment." + }, + { + "thread_id": 73511, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304464848831631361", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 17:00:30", + "claim_text": "Joint Statement of the United States, the Kingdom of Bahrain, and the State of Israel" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73512, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.1841, + "raw_confidence": 0.8159, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.9746, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 1.0, + "npv": 0.972, + "ppr": 0.109, + "npr": 0.891, + "tp_ratio": 0.109, + "tn_ratio": 0.866, + "fp_ratio": 0.0, + "fn_ratio": 0.025, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304464923469193217", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 17:00:48", + "claim_text": "Another HISTORIC breakthrough today! Our two GREAT friends Israel and the Kingdom of Bahrain agree to a Peace Deal the second Arab country to make peace with Israel in 30 days!" + }, + { + "thread_id": 73514, + "prediction": 0, + "raw_pred": 0.3393, + "raw_confidence": 0.6607, + "model_version": "20200911151036", + "bucket_acc": 0.5935, + "global_acc": 0.89, + "global_auc": 0.94, + "global_mcc": 0.63, + "ppv": 0.298, + "npv": 0.86, + "ppr": 0.473, + "npr": 0.527, + "tp_ratio": 0.141, + "tn_ratio": 0.453, + "fp_ratio": 0.333, + "fn_ratio": 0.074, + "test_start_date": "2020-04-03", + "test_end_date": "2020-07-08", + "transcript_url": "https://twitter.com/a/status/1304511871152795650", + "t_date": "2020-09-11 20:07:21", + "claim_text": "Pelosi and Schumer want Trillions of Dollars of BAILOUT money for Blue States that are doing badly, both economically and in terms of high crime, as a condition to making a deal on stimulus - But the USA is coming back strong!" + } +] diff --git a/docs/assets/global_metrics_summ.png b/docs/assets/global_metrics_summ.png index 5a7cc91..d44d688 100644 Binary files a/docs/assets/global_metrics_summ.png and b/docs/assets/global_metrics_summ.png differ diff --git a/docs/assets/js/current_pred_nav.js b/docs/assets/js/current_pred_nav.js index 44300f7..25ca94b 100644 --- a/docs/assets/js/current_pred_nav.js +++ b/docs/assets/js/current_pred_nav.js @@ -66,13 +66,23 @@ async function loadJSON(latest_recs) { let response = {}; try { response = await fetchTimeout(latest_recs[0], 10000); - } catch(err) { + } + catch(err) { console.log("Failed loading from primary gateway "+latest_recs[0]+" attempting to fetch from backup "+latest_recs[1]); await $("#progress_bar").toggle(); $( ".loading_msg" ).html( "Failed loading from primary gateway:
    "+latest_recs[0]+ ".
    Attempting to fetch from backup
    "+ latest_recs[1]+"...    " ); - response = await fetchTimeout(latest_recs[1], 10000); + try { + response = await fetchTimeout(latest_recs[1], 10000); + } + catch(err) { + console.log("Failed loading from backup gateway "+latest_recs[1]+". Falling back to local cache: "+latest_recs[2]); + $( ".loading_msg" ).html( "Failed loading from backup gateway "+latest_recs[1]+ + ".
    Falling back to local cache
    "+ + latest_recs[2]+"...    " ); + response = await fetchTimeout(latest_recs[2], 10000); + } } let result = await readStreamResponse(response); let curr_json = await JSON.parse(result); @@ -86,8 +96,8 @@ function dec_fmt( data, type, row ) { async function add_table_func() { let curr_json = {}; var num_fmt = ['', '.', 2, '']; - const latest_recs = ["https://gateway.pinata.cloud/ipns/predictions-dev.deepclassiflie.org", - "https://cloudflare-ipfs.com/ipns/predictions-dev.deepclassiflie.org"]; + const latest_recs = ["https://gateway.pinata.cloud/ipns/predictions.deepclassiflie.org", + "https://cloudflare-ipfs.com/ipns/predictions.deepclassiflie.org", "/assets/dc_infsvc_pub_cache.json"]; curr_json = await loadJSON(latest_recs); var datatab = $('#curr_preds').DataTable( { data: curr_json, @@ -126,7 +136,7 @@ async function add_table_func() { render: function ( data, type, row ) { if ( type === 'display' || type === 'filter' ) { var d = new Date( data ); - return (d.getMonth()+1) + '/' + (d.getDate()+1) +'/'+ d.getFullYear(); + return (d.getMonth()+1) + '/' + (d.getDate()) +'/'+ d.getFullYear(); } return data; } diff --git a/docs/assets/max_acc_nontweets.png b/docs/assets/max_acc_nontweets.png index 62f05af..3c9e063 100644 Binary files a/docs/assets/max_acc_nontweets.png and b/docs/assets/max_acc_nontweets.png differ diff --git a/docs/assets/max_acc_tweets.png b/docs/assets/max_acc_tweets.png index e974425..1c6382e 100644 Binary files a/docs/assets/max_acc_tweets.png and b/docs/assets/max_acc_tweets.png differ diff --git a/docs/current_explorer.html b/docs/current_explorer.html index 092dfc2..bd5a5bf 100644 --- a/docs/current_explorer.html +++ b/docs/current_explorer.html @@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ TN FP FN - Claim Date + Claim Date[1] @@ -33,7 +33,8 @@
    1. [0] New predictions are continuously generated and added to ipfs as statements are issued. Twitter statements will be delayed by ~15 minutes to allow thread-based scoring. - Factba.se is polled for new statements every 10 minutes. See relevant about page section for additional context ↩
      2. + Factba.se is polled for new statements every 10 minutes.See relevant about page section for additional context ↩ +
    2. [1] Uses GMT↩
    diff --git a/docs/pred_explorer.html b/docs/pred_explorer.html index 7c9c8f5..118d220 100644 --- a/docs/pred_explorer.html +++ b/docs/pred_explorer.html @@ -31,6 +31,6 @@
    1. [0] Current model performance over the entire test set. See relevant about page section for additional context ↩
    2. [1] Local accuracy estimated by sorting & bucketing the test set sigmoid outputs, averaging performance in each bucket. See relevant about page section for more context.↩
      3. -
    3. [2] The explorer samples 100 statements from each of four confidence buckets: the maximum and minimum accuracy buckets for each statement type. The selected tweet/nontweet, max/min bucket is then filtered by the specified confusion matrix class. See relevant about page section for more context.↩
      4. +
    4. [2] The explorer samples 100 statements from each of four confidence buckets: the maximum and minimum positive prediction value buckets for each statement type. The selected tweet/nontweet, max/min bucket is then filtered by the specified confusion matrix class. See relevant about page section for more context.↩
    \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/requirements.txt b/requirements.txt index 235d45f..f2cd194 100644 --- a/requirements.txt +++ b/requirements.txt @@ -1,6 +1,5 @@ numpy~=1.19.1 matplotlib~=3.3.1 -ipython~=7.17.0 typing_extensions~=3.7.4.2 traitlets~=4.3.3 beautifulsoup4~=4.9.1 @@ -18,7 +17,7 @@ cuml~=0.14.0 weasyprint~=51 adjusttext~=0.7.3.1 pandas~=0.25.3 -bokeh~=2.1.1 +bokeh>=2.1.1 scipy~=1.5.2 python-dotenv~=0.14.0 dateparser~=0.7.6 @@ -34,7 +33,5 @@ sentencepiece~=0.1.91 six~=1.15.0 pillow~=7.2.0 torch~=1.6.0 -ipfshttpclient~=0.6.1 scikit-learn~=0.23.2 -multiaddr~=0.0.9 urllib3~=1.25.10 \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/utils/deep_classiflie.yml b/utils/deep_classiflie.yml index a026a36..406ed71 100644 --- a/utils/deep_classiflie.yml +++ b/utils/deep_classiflie.yml @@ -9,11 +9,11 @@ channels: dependencies: - _libgcc_mutex=0.1=conda_forge - _openmp_mutex=4.5=1_gnu - - absl-py=0.9.0=py37hc8dfbb8_1 + - absl-py=0.10.0=py37hc8dfbb8_0 - adjusttext=0.7.3.1=py_1 - argon2-cffi=20.1.0=py37h8f50634_1 - arrow-cpp=0.15.0=py37h090bef1_2 - - attrs=19.3.0=py_0 + - attrs=20.1.0=py_0 - backcall=0.2.0=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - backports=1.0=py_2 - backports.functools_lru_cache=1.6.1=py_0 @@ -21,66 +21,66 @@ dependencies: - blas=2.16=mkl - bleach=3.1.5=py_0 - blinker=1.4=py_1 - - bokeh=2.1.1=py37_0 + - bokeh=2.2.1=py37_0 - boost-cpp=1.70.0=h7b93d67_3 - - brotli=1.0.7=he1b5a44_1004 + - brotli=1.0.9=he1b5a44_0 - brotlipy=0.7.0=py37h8f50634_1000 - - bzip2=1.0.8=h516909a_2 - - c-ares=1.16.1=h516909a_0 + - bzip2=1.0.8=h516909a_3 + - c-ares=1.16.1=h516909a_3 - ca-certificates=2020.6.20=hecda079_0 - cachetools=4.1.1=py_0 - cairo=1.16.0=h3fc0475_1005 - cairocffi=1.1.0=py_0 - cairosvg=2.4.2=py_0 - certifi=2020.6.20=py37hc8dfbb8_0 - - cffi=1.14.1=py37he30daa8_0 + - cffi=1.14.2=py37he30daa8_0 - chardet=3.0.4=py37hc8dfbb8_1006 - click=7.1.2=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - - cloudpickle=1.5.0=py_0 - - cryptography=3.0=py37hb09aad4_0 + - cloudpickle=1.6.0=py_0 + - cryptography=3.1=py37hb09aad4_0 - cssselect2=0.2.1=pyh9f0ad1d_1 - cudatoolkit=10.2.89=h6bb024c_0 - cudf=0.14.0=py37_0 - cudnn=7.6.5=cuda10.2_0 - cuml=0.14.0=cuda10.2_py37_0 - - cupy=7.7.0=py37h940342b_0 + - cupy=7.8.0=py37h940342b_0 - cycler=0.10.0=py37_0 - cytoolz=0.10.1=py37h516909a_0 - - dask=2.23.0=py_0 - - dask-core=2.23.0=py_0 + - dask=2.25.0=py_0 + - dask-core=2.25.0=py_0 - dask-cudf=0.14.0=py37_0 - dateparser=0.7.6=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - decorator=4.4.2=py_0 - defusedxml=0.6.0=py_0 - - distributed=2.23.0=py37hc8dfbb8_0 + - distributed=2.25.0=py37hc8dfbb8_0 - dlpack=0.3=he1b5a44_1 - dotmap=1.2.20=py_0 - double-conversion=3.1.5=he1b5a44_2 - entrypoints=0.3=py37_0 - - fastavro=0.24.1=py37h8f50634_0 + - fastavro=1.0.0.post1=py37h8f50634_0 - fastrlock=0.5=py37h3340039_0 - fontconfig=2.13.1=h1056068_1002 - freetype=2.10.2=he06d7ca_0 - fribidi=1.0.10=h516909a_0 - - fsspec=0.8.0=py_0 + - fsspec=0.8.2=py_0 - gflags=2.2.2=he1b5a44_1004 - glib=2.65.0=h3eb4bd4_0 - glog=0.4.0=h49b9bf7_3 - - google-auth=1.20.1=py_0 + - google-auth=1.21.1=py_0 - google-auth-oauthlib=0.4.1=py_2 - graphite2=1.3.13=he1b5a44_1001 - grpc-cpp=1.23.0=h18db393_0 - grpcio=1.31.0=py37hb0870dc_0 - - harfbuzz=2.7.1=hee91db6_0 + - harfbuzz=2.7.2=hee91db6_0 - heapdict=1.0.1=py_0 - html5lib=1.1=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - icu=67.1=he1b5a44_0 - idna=2.10=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - importlib-metadata=1.7.0=py37_0 - importlib_metadata=1.7.0=0 - - intel-openmp=2020.1=217 + - intel-openmp=2020.2=254 - ipykernel=5.3.4=py37h43977f1_0 - - ipython=7.17.0=py37hc6149b9_0 + - ipython=7.18.1=py37hc6149b9_0 - ipython_genutils=0.2.0=py37_0 - jedi=0.15.2=py37_0 - jinja2=2.11.2=pyh9f0ad1d_0 @@ -88,9 +88,9 @@ dependencies: - jpeg=9d=h516909a_0 - json5=0.9.4=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - jsonschema=3.2.0=py37_1 - - jupyter_client=6.1.6=py_0 + - jupyter_client=6.1.7=py_0 - jupyter_core=4.6.3=py37_0 - - jupyterlab=2.2.5=py_0 + - jupyterlab=2.2.7=py_0 - jupyterlab_server=1.2.0=py_0 - kiwisolver=1.2.0=py37hfd86e86_0 - lcms2=2.11=hbd6801e_0 @@ -101,16 +101,16 @@ dependencies: - libcuml=0.14.0=cuda10.2_0 - libcumlprims=0.14.1=cuda10.2_0 - libedit=3.1.20191231=h14c3975_1 - - libevent=2.1.10=hcdb4288_1 + - libevent=2.1.10=hcdb4288_2 - libffi=3.3=he6710b0_2 - - libgcc-ng=9.3.0=h24d8f2e_15 - - libgfortran-ng=7.5.0=hdf63c60_15 - - libgomp=9.3.0=h24d8f2e_15 + - libgcc-ng=9.3.0=h24d8f2e_16 + - libgfortran-ng=7.5.0=hdf63c60_16 + - libgomp=9.3.0=h24d8f2e_16 - libhwloc=2.1.0=h3c4fd83_0 - libiconv=1.16=h516909a_0 - liblapack=3.8.0=16_mkl - liblapacke=3.8.0=16_mkl - - libllvm10=10.0.1=he513fc3_1 + - libllvm10=10.0.1=he513fc3_3 - libnvstrings=0.14.0=cuda10.2_0 - libopenblas=0.3.10=pthreads_hb3c22a3_4 - libpng=1.6.37=hed695b0_2 @@ -124,16 +124,16 @@ dependencies: - libxcb=1.13=h14c3975_1002 - libxml2=2.9.10=h68273f3_2 - libxslt=1.1.33=h572872d_1 - - llvmlite=0.34.0=py37h5202443_0 + - llvmlite=0.34.0=py37h5202443_1 - locket=0.2.0=py_2 - lxml=4.5.1=py37hefd8a0e_0 - lz4-c=1.8.3=he1b5a44_1001 - markdown=3.2.2=py_0 - markupsafe=1.1.1=py37h8f50634_1 - - matplotlib=3.3.1=0 - - matplotlib-base=3.3.1=py37hd478181_0 + - matplotlib=3.3.1=1 + - matplotlib-base=3.3.1=py37h817c723_0 - mistune=0.8.4=py37h14c3975_1001 - - mkl=2020.1=217 + - mkl=2020.2=256 - msgpack-python=1.0.0=py37h99015e2_1 - mysql-connector-c=6.1.11=h597af5e_1 - mysql-connector-python=8.0.18=py37h7adf49d_0 @@ -141,10 +141,10 @@ dependencies: - nbformat=5.0.7=py_0 - nccl=2.7.8.1=hc6a2c23_0 - ncurses=6.2=he6710b0_1 - - ninja=1.10.0=hc9558a2_0 - - notebook=6.1.3=py37hc8dfbb8_0 - - numba=0.51.0=py37h9fdb41a_0 - - numpy=1.19.1=py37h8960a57_0 + - ninja=1.10.1=hc9558a2_1 + - notebook=6.1.4=py37hc8dfbb8_0 + - numba=0.51.2=py37h9fdb41a_0 + - numpy=1.19.1=py37h7ea13bd_2 - nvstrings=0.14.0=py37_0 - oauthlib=3.0.1=py_0 - olefile=0.46=py_0 @@ -164,9 +164,9 @@ dependencies: - pip=20.2.2=py37_0 - pixman=0.38.0=h516909a_1003 - prometheus_client=0.8.0=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - - prompt-toolkit=3.0.6=py_0 + - prompt-toolkit=3.0.7=py_0 - protobuf=3.8.0=py37he6710b0_0 - - psutil=5.7.0=py37h7b6447c_0 + - psutil=5.7.2=py37h7b6447c_0 - pthread-stubs=0.4=h14c3975_1001 - ptyprocess=0.6.0=py_1001 - pyarrow=0.15.0=py37h8b68381_1 @@ -180,7 +180,7 @@ dependencies: - pyphen=0.9.5=py_0 - pyrsistent=0.16.0=py37h7b6447c_0 - pysocks=1.7.1=py37hc8dfbb8_1 - - python=3.7.7=hcff3b4d_5 + - python=3.7.9=h7579374_0 - python-dateutil=2.8.1=py_0 - python-dotenv=0.14.0=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - python_abi=3.7=1_cp37m @@ -197,7 +197,7 @@ dependencies: - rsa=4.6=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - ruamel.yaml=0.16.10=py37h7b6447c_1 - ruamel.yaml.clib=0.2.0=py37h14c3975_1 - - scikit-learn=0.23.2=py37h6785257_0 + - scikit-learn=0.23.2=py37h0573a6f_0 - scipy=1.5.2=py37hb14ef9d_0 - seaborn=0.10.1=py_0 - selenium=3.141.0=py37h8f50634_1001 @@ -207,9 +207,9 @@ dependencies: - snappy=1.1.8=he1b5a44_3 - sortedcontainers=2.2.2=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - soupsieve=2.0.1=py_1 - - spdlog=1.7.0=hc9558a2_2 - - sqlalchemy=1.3.18=py37h7b6447c_0 - - sqlite=3.32.3=h62c20be_0 + - spdlog=1.8.0=hc9558a2_0 + - sqlalchemy=1.3.19=py37h7b6447c_0 + - sqlite=3.33.0=h62c20be_0 - tblib=1.6.0=py_0 - tensorboard=2.3.0=py_0 - tensorboard-plugin-wit=1.6.0=pyh9f0ad1d_0 @@ -234,11 +234,11 @@ dependencies: - weasyprint=51=py37hf1d8f60_1 - webencodings=0.5.1=py37_1 - werkzeug=1.0.1=pyh9f0ad1d_0 - - wheel=0.34.2=py37_0 + - wheel=0.35.1=py_0 - xorg-kbproto=1.0.7=h14c3975_1002 - xorg-libice=1.0.10=h516909a_0 - xorg-libsm=1.2.3=h84519dc_1000 - - xorg-libx11=1.6.11=h516909a_0 + - xorg-libx11=1.6.12=h516909a_0 - xorg-libxau=1.0.9=h14c3975_0 - xorg-libxdmcp=1.1.3=h516909a_0 - xorg-libxext=1.3.4=h516909a_0 @@ -253,6 +253,4 @@ dependencies: - zipp=3.1.0=py_0 - zlib=1.2.11=h7b6447c_3 - zstd=1.4.4=h3b9ef0a_2 - - pip: - - torchcontrib==0.0.2 prefix: /opt/anaconda/envs/deep_classiflie