From f7ec35f7b3b79e362ef30300470a60fccaceed14 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jhsuss Date: Mon, 4 Nov 2024 12:13:55 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] Data update --- data/superforecasts.csv | 586 ++++++++++++++++++++-------------------- 1 file changed, 293 insertions(+), 293 deletions(-) diff --git a/data/superforecasts.csv b/data/superforecasts.csv index 10d5f7f..99475e0 100644 --- a/data/superforecasts.csv +++ b/data/superforecasts.csv @@ -1,308 +1,308 @@ "QNum","Title","AnsOption","AnswerText","CurrFcast","30-Day","StartDate","EndDate","LastUpdate" -1452,"GR US Biden cease","A","Before 20 January 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1452,"GR US Biden cease","B","Between 20 January 2023 and 19 January 2025","1","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1452,"GR US Biden cease","C","On 20 January 2025","99","0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1452,"GR US Biden cease","D","Not before 21 January 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","A","Less than 0.75","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","B","Between 0.75 and 2.00, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","C","More than 2.00 but less than 3.50","21","0.55, 0.5, 0.5, 0.48, 0.46, 0.45, 0.44, 0.42, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.3, 0.28, 0.28, 0.26, 0.25, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","D","Between 3.50 and 5.00, inclusive","77","0.44, 0.49, 0.49, 0.51, 0.53, 0.54, 0.55, 0.57, 0.57, 0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.67, 0.67, 0.68, 0.69, 0.7, 0.71, 0.72, 0.73, 0.76, 0.77, 0.77, 0.77, 0.77","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","E","More than 5.00","2","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","A","Less than 0.75","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","B","Between 0.75 and 2.00, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","C","More than 2.00 but less than 3.50","9","0.24, 0.21, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","D","Between 3.50 and 5.00, inclusive","89","0.74, 0.77, 0.78, 0.78, 0.79, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.84, 0.84, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.88, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","E","More than 5.00","2","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","A","Less than 0.0%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","B","Between 0.0% and 1.5%, inclusive","5","0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","C","More than 1.5% but less than 3.0%","88","0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.8, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.88, 0.88, 0.88, 0.88","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","D","Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive","6","0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","E","More than 4.5%","0","0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","A","Less than 1.0%","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","B","Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive","87","0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","C","More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%","13","0.17, 0.17, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","D","Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","E","More than 5.5%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","A","The Democratic Party nominee will win both the electoral vote and the popular vote","52","0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.52, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.52","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-03Z" -1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","B","The Democratic Party nominee will win the electoral vote, but not the popular vote","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-03Z" -1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","C","The Republican Party nominee will win both the electoral vote and the popular vote","9","0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-03Z" -1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","D","The Republican Party nominee will win the electoral vote, but not the popular vote","38","0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.38","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-03Z" -1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","E","Another outcome","0","0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-03Z" -1661,"GR CNTW shots v2","A","Yes","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1661,"GR CNTW shots v2","B","No","100","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1662,"GR CNQuad shots v2","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1662,"GR CNQuad shots v2","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1711,"GR CNTW main 90","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1711,"GR CNTW main 90","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1712,"GR CNTW outlying 90","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1712,"GR CNTW outlying 90","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1728,"GR CNTW blockade","A","Before 1 July 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1728,"GR CNTW blockade","B","Between 1 July 2023 and 31 December 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1728,"GR CNTW blockade","C","Between 1 January 2024 and 30 June 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1728,"GR CNTW blockade","D","Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1728,"GR CNTW blockade","E","Not before 1 January 2025","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1729,"GR CNTW jamming","A","Before 1 July 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1729,"GR CNTW jamming","B","Between 1 July 2023 and 31 December 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1729,"GR CNTW jamming","C","Between 1 January 2024 and 30 June 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1729,"GR CNTW jamming","D","Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1729,"GR CNTW jamming","E","Not before 1 January 2025","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","A","Democrats will control the House and Senate","17","0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.22, 0.22, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","B","Democrats will control the House, Republicans the Senate","47","0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","C","Republicans will control the House, Democrats the Senate","6","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","D","Republicans will control the House and Senate","30","0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.29, 0.29, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","A","Less than 0.0%","6","0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","B","Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive","43","0.41, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","C","More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%","44","0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","D","Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive","6","0.06, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","E","More than 6.0%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","A","Less than 1.0%","3","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","B","Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive","70","0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","C","More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%","24","0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","D","Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive","2","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","E","More than 5.5%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","A","Less than 3.5%","4","0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","B","Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive","70","0.7, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.73, 0.73, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.71, 0.71, 0.71, 0.71, 0.71, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","C","More than 5.0% but less than 6.5%","21","0.21, 0.2, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","D","Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive","3","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","E","More than 8.0%","2","0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","A","Less than 0.5%","2","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","B","Between 0.5% and 2.0%, inclusive","7","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","C","More than 2.0% but less than 3.5%","49","0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.51, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","D","Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive","39","0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","E","More than 5.0%","3","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1756,"OP H5N1 declaration","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1756,"OP H5N1 declaration","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","A","Fewer than 100","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","B","Between 100 and 1,000, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","C","More than 1,000 but fewer than 10,000","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","D","Between 10,000 and 100,000, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","E","More than 100,000","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-03Z" +1452,"GR US Biden cease","A","Before 20 January 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1452,"GR US Biden cease","B","Between 20 January 2023 and 19 January 2025","1","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1452,"GR US Biden cease","C","On 20 January 2025","99","0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1452,"GR US Biden cease","D","Not before 21 January 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-01-29Z","2024-07-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","A","Less than 0.75","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","B","Between 0.75 and 2.00, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","C","More than 2.00 but less than 3.50","21","0.5, 0.5, 0.48, 0.46, 0.45, 0.44, 0.42, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.3, 0.28, 0.28, 0.26, 0.25, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","D","Between 3.50 and 5.00, inclusive","77","0.49, 0.49, 0.51, 0.53, 0.54, 0.55, 0.57, 0.57, 0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.67, 0.67, 0.68, 0.69, 0.7, 0.71, 0.72, 0.73, 0.76, 0.77, 0.77, 0.77, 0.77, 0.77","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1556,"Fed 5yr Treasury 2024","E","More than 5.00","2","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","A","Less than 0.75","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","B","Between 0.75 and 2.00, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","C","More than 2.00 but less than 3.50","9","0.21, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","D","Between 3.50 and 5.00, inclusive","89","0.77, 0.78, 0.78, 0.79, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.84, 0.84, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.88, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1557,"Fed 10yr Treasury 2024","E","More than 5.00","2","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2021-12-17Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","A","Less than 0.0%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","B","Between 0.0% and 1.5%, inclusive","5","0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","C","More than 1.5% but less than 3.0%","88","0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.8, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.88, 0.88, 0.88, 0.88, 0.88","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","D","Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive","6","0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1563,"Fed 4Q24 GDP","E","More than 4.5%","0","0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","A","Less than 1.0%","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","B","Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive","87","0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","C","More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%","13","0.17, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","D","Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1564,"Fed 4Q24 PCE","E","More than 5.5%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-01-28Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","A","The Democratic Party nominee will win both the electoral vote and the popular vote","53","0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.56, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.52, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.52, 0.53","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-04Z" +1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","B","The Democratic Party nominee will win the electoral vote, but not the popular vote","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-04Z" +1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","C","The Republican Party nominee will win both the electoral vote and the popular vote","8","0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-04Z" +1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","D","The Republican Party nominee will win the electoral vote, but not the popular vote","38","0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.38, 0.38","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-04Z" +1656,"GR US 2024 outcome","E","Another outcome","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-09-16Z","2024-10-14Z","2024-11-04Z" +1661,"GR CNTW shots v2","A","Yes","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1661,"GR CNTW shots v2","B","No","100","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1662,"GR CNQuad shots v2","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1662,"GR CNQuad shots v2","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-09-27Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1711,"GR CNTW main 90","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1711,"GR CNTW main 90","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1712,"GR CNTW outlying 90","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1712,"GR CNTW outlying 90","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-10-25Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1728,"GR CNTW blockade","A","Before 1 July 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1728,"GR CNTW blockade","B","Between 1 July 2023 and 31 December 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1728,"GR CNTW blockade","C","Between 1 January 2024 and 30 June 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1728,"GR CNTW blockade","D","Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1728,"GR CNTW blockade","E","Not before 1 January 2025","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1729,"GR CNTW jamming","A","Before 1 July 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1729,"GR CNTW jamming","B","Between 1 July 2023 and 31 December 2023","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1729,"GR CNTW jamming","C","Between 1 January 2024 and 30 June 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1729,"GR CNTW jamming","D","Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1729,"GR CNTW jamming","E","Not before 1 January 2025","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2022-11-04Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","A","Democrats will control the House and Senate","17","0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.22, 0.22, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","B","Democrats will control the House, Republicans the Senate","47","0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","C","Republicans will control the House, Democrats the Senate","6","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1733,"GR US 2024 Congress","D","Republicans will control the House and Senate","30","0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.29, 0.29, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3","2022-11-22Z","2024-01-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","A","Less than 0.0%","6","0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","B","Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive","43","0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","C","More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%","44","0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","D","Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive","6","0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1751,"Fed 4Q25 GDP","E","More than 6.0%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","A","Less than 1.0%","3","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","B","Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive","70","0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","C","More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%","24","0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","D","Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive","2","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1752,"Fed 4Q25 PCE","E","More than 5.5%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","A","Less than 3.5%","4","0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","B","Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive","70","0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.73, 0.73, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.71, 0.71, 0.71, 0.71, 0.71, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","C","More than 5.0% but less than 6.5%","21","0.2, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","D","Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive","3","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1753,"Fed 4Q25 U3","E","More than 8.0%","2","0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","A","Less than 0.5%","2","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","B","Between 0.5% and 2.0%, inclusive","7","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","C","More than 2.0% but less than 3.5%","49","0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.51, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","D","Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive","39","0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1754,"Fed 4Q25 Funds","E","More than 5.0%","3","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2023-02-03Z","2026-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1756,"OP H5N1 declaration","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1756,"OP H5N1 declaration","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","A","Fewer than 100","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","B","Between 100 and 1,000, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","C","More than 1,000 but fewer than 10,000","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","D","Between 10,000 and 100,000, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1757,"OP H5N1 deaths","E","More than 100,000","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-02-09Z","2025-01-01Z","2024-11-04Z" 1762,"GR US shutdown 2024","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-03-24Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-01Z" 1762,"GR US shutdown 2024","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-03-24Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-01Z" -1797,"EW EZ recession 23-24","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1797,"EW EZ recession 23-24","B","No, but there will be at least one quarter of negative real GDP growth","10","0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1797,"EW EZ recession 23-24","C","No, and there will be zero quarters of negative real GDP growth","90","0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.88, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1798,"EW China GDP 2024","A","Higher by less than 1.50%, or lower","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1798,"EW China GDP 2024","B","Higher by between 1.50% and 3.00%, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1798,"EW China GDP 2024","C","Higher by more than 3.00% but less than 4.50%","4","0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1798,"EW China GDP 2024","D","Higher by between 4.50% and 6.00%, inclusive","96","0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1798,"EW China GDP 2024","E","Higher by more than 6.00%","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-03Z" -1799,"EW global GDP 2024","A","Lower than 0.00%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1799,"EW global GDP 2024","B","Higher by between 0.00% and 1.50%, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1799,"EW global GDP 2024","C","Higher by more than 1.50% but less than 3.00%","10","0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.26, 0.25, 0.26, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.19, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1799,"EW global GDP 2024","D","Higher by between 3.00% and 4.50%, inclusive","90","0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.74, 0.75, 0.74, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.81, 0.84, 0.86, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1799,"EW global GDP 2024","E","Higher by more than 4.50%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","A","Less than 5%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","B","At least 5%, but less than 10%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","C","At least 10%, but less than 15%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","D","At least 15%, but less than 20%","100","0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","E","20% or more","0","0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1806,"GR ME IR nuclear","A","Yes","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01","2023-10-27Z","2023-11-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1806,"GR ME IR nuclear","B","No","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99","2023-10-27Z","2023-11-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","A","Before 1 May 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","B","Between 1 May 2024 and 31 October 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","C","Between 1 November 2024 and 30 April 2025","1","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","D","Not before 1 May 2025","99","0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.99","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-03Z" +1797,"EW EZ recession 23-24","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1797,"EW EZ recession 23-24","B","No, but there will be at least one quarter of negative real GDP growth","10","0.18, 0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1797,"EW EZ recession 23-24","C","No, and there will be zero quarters of negative real GDP growth","90","0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.88, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1798,"EW China GDP 2024","A","Higher by less than 1.50%, or lower","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1798,"EW China GDP 2024","B","Higher by between 1.50% and 3.00%, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1798,"EW China GDP 2024","C","Higher by more than 3.00% but less than 4.50%","4","0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1798,"EW China GDP 2024","D","Higher by between 4.50% and 6.00%, inclusive","96","0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1798,"EW China GDP 2024","E","Higher by more than 6.00%","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-10-12Z","2024-11-04Z" +1799,"EW global GDP 2024","A","Lower than 0.00%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1799,"EW global GDP 2024","B","Higher by between 0.00% and 1.50%, inclusive","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1799,"EW global GDP 2024","C","Higher by more than 1.50% but less than 3.00%","10","0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.26, 0.25, 0.26, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.19, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1799,"EW global GDP 2024","D","Higher by between 3.00% and 4.50%, inclusive","90","0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.74, 0.75, 0.74, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.75, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.81, 0.84, 0.86, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1799,"EW global GDP 2024","E","Higher by more than 4.50%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2023-11-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","A","Less than 5%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","B","At least 5%, but less than 10%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","C","At least 10%, but less than 15%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","D","At least 15%, but less than 20%","100","0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1800,"EW RUUA territory v2","E","20% or more","0","0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-10-06Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1806,"GR ME IR nuclear","A","Yes","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-10-27Z","2023-11-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1806,"GR ME IR nuclear","B","No","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2023-10-27Z","2023-11-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","A","Before 1 May 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","B","Between 1 May 2024 and 31 October 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","C","Between 1 November 2024 and 30 April 2025","1","0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1810,"GR ME SA normalize IL","D","Not before 1 May 2025","99","0.97, 0.97, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.98, 0.99, 0.99","2023-11-03Z","2024-11-01Z","2024-11-04Z" 1814,"GR ME EG JO extracon","A","Yes, only Egypt","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-10Z","2023-12-15Z","2024-11-01Z" 1814,"GR ME EG JO extracon","B","Yes, only Jordan","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-10Z","2023-12-15Z","2024-11-01Z" 1814,"GR ME EG JO extracon","C","Yes, both Egypt and Jordan","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-10Z","2023-12-15Z","2024-11-01Z" 1814,"GR ME EG JO extracon","D","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2023-11-10Z","2023-12-15Z","2024-11-01Z" -1815,"GR CN US exports","A","Less than 10.5%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1815,"GR CN US exports","B","At least 10.5%, but less than 13.0%","8","0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.21, 0.21, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.16, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1815,"GR CN US exports","C","At least 13.0%, but less than 15.5%","91","0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.78, 0.78, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.82, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1815,"GR CN US exports","D","At least 15.5%, but less than 18.0%","1","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1815,"GR CN US exports","E","18.0% or more","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-03Z" -1817,"GR DE election","A","Alliance 90/The Greens","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-03Z" -1817,"GR DE election","B","Alternative for Germany (AfD)","3","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-03Z" -1817,"GR DE election","C","Christian Democratic Union (CDU)/Christian Social Union (CSU)","86","0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-03Z" -1817,"GR DE election","D","Social Democratic Party (SPD)","10","0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-03Z" -1817,"GR DE election","E","Another party","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-03Z" -1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","A","Before 1 July 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","B","Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","C","Between 1 January 2025 and 30 June 2025","5","0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","D","Between 1 July 2025 and 31 December 2025","13","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.13, 0.12, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","E","Not before 1 January 2026","82","0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-03Z" +1815,"GR CN US exports","A","Less than 10.5%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1815,"GR CN US exports","B","At least 10.5%, but less than 13.0%","8","0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.21, 0.21, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.16, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1815,"GR CN US exports","C","At least 13.0%, but less than 15.5%","91","0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.78, 0.78, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.82, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1815,"GR CN US exports","D","At least 15.5%, but less than 18.0%","1","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1815,"GR CN US exports","E","18.0% or more","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-11-24Z","2023-12-01Z","2024-11-04Z" +1817,"GR DE election","A","Alliance 90/The Greens","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-04Z" +1817,"GR DE election","B","Alternative for Germany (AfD)","3","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-04Z" +1817,"GR DE election","C","Christian Democratic Union (CDU)/Christian Social Union (CSU)","86","0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-04Z" +1817,"GR DE election","D","Social Democratic Party (SPD)","10","0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-04Z" +1817,"GR DE election","E","Another party","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2023-12-15Z","2024-07-25Z","2024-11-04Z" +1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","A","Before 1 July 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","B","Between 1 July 2024 and 31 December 2024","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","C","Between 1 January 2025 and 30 June 2025","5","0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","D","Between 1 July 2025 and 31 December 2025","13","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.13, 0.12, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1822,"GR RUUA peace v5","E","Not before 1 January 2026","82","0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.82, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82","2024-01-19Z","2024-07-09Z","2024-11-04Z" 1826,"GR ME IL Netanyahu","A","Yes, Netanyahu will cease to the be the prime minister of Israel, but new Knesset elections will not be called","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-09Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-01Z" 1826,"GR ME IL Netanyahu","B","Yes, new Knesset elections will be called, but Netanyahu will not cease to be the prime minister of Israel","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-09Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-01Z" 1826,"GR ME IL Netanyahu","C","Yes, Netanyahu will cease to the be the prime minister of Israel and new Knesset elections will be called","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-09Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-01Z" 1826,"GR ME IL Netanyahu","D","No","100","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-02-09Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-01Z" -1829,"GR ME PL recognize","A","Yes, the UK will, but the US won't","11","0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-03Z" -1829,"GR ME PL recognize","B","Yes, the US will, but the UK won't","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-03Z" -1829,"GR ME PL recognize","C","Yes, both will","3","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-03Z" -1829,"GR ME PL recognize","D","No","86","0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.86, 0.86","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-03Z" -1830,"GR US 2024 total control","A","Yes, the Democratic Party","13","0.18, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.12, 0.13, 0.11, 0.13","2024-02-23Z","2024-02-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1830,"GR US 2024 total control","B","Yes, the Republican Party","20","0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.15, 0.15, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.16, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.21, 0.2","2024-02-23Z","2024-02-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1830,"GR US 2024 total control","C","No","67","0.68, 0.68, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.68, 0.68, 0.66, 0.66, 0.67, 0.68, 0.68, 0.67, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.68, 0.67, 0.68, 0.67","2024-02-23Z","2024-02-23Z","2024-11-03Z" -1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","A","Before 15 June 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-03Z" -1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","B","Between 15 June 2024 and 12 October 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-03Z" -1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","C","Between 13 October 2024 and 9 February 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-03Z" -1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","D","Between 10 February 2025 and 9 June 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-03Z" -1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","E","Not before 10 June 2025","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-03Z" -1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","A","Less than 3.4%","0","0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","B","At least 3.4%, but less than 4.1%","4","0, 0.04, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02, 0.04","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","C","At least 4.1%, but less than 4.8%","93","0.95, 0.92, 0.93, 0.91, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.94, 0.95, 0.93","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","D","At least 4.8%, but less than 5.5%","2","0.03, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","E","5.5% or more","1","0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","A","Less than 3.6%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","B","At least 3.6%, but less than 4.2%","2","0.09, 0.08, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","C","At least 4.2%, but less than 4.8%","97","0.87, 0.88, 0.9, 0.9, 0.89, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.97","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","D","At least 4.8%, but less than 5.4%","0","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","E","5.4% or more","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-03Z" -1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","A","Yes, federal only","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","B","Yes, state only","100","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","C","Yes, both federal and state","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","D","No","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","A","Less than 0.0%","8","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","B","At least 0.0%, but less than 2.0%","41","0.4, 0.39, 0.39, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","C","At least 2.0%, but less than 4.0%","42","0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","D","At least 4.0%, but less than 6.0%","8","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","E","6.0% or more","1","0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","A","Less than 1.0%","13","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","B","At least 1.0%, but less than 3.0%","66","0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","C","At least 3.0%, but less than 5.0%","16","0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","D","At least 5.0%, but less than 7.0%","4","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","E","7.0% or more","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","A","Less than 3.5%","4","0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","B","At least 3.5%, but less than 5.0%","58","0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","C","At least 5.0%, but less than 6.5%","28","0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","D","At least 6.5%, but less than 8.0%","8","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","E","8.0% or more","2","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","A","Less than 1.0%","7","0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","B","At least 1.0%, but less than 3.0%","39","0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","C","At least 3.0%, but less than 5.0%","46","0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","D","At least 5.0%, but less than 7.0%","7","0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","E","7.0% or more","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1851,"GR RUUA nuclear deploy v3","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-05-24Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1851,"GR RUUA nuclear deploy v3","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-05-24Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-03Z" -1852,"GR CNTW shots v3","A","Yes","10","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1","2024-05-31Z","2024-05-31Z","2024-11-03Z" -1852,"GR CNTW shots v3","B","No","90","0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9","2024-05-31Z","2024-05-31Z","2024-11-03Z" -1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","A","Before 31 July 2024 ","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","B","Between 31 July 2024 and 29 September 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","C","Between 30 September 2024 and 29 November 2024","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","D","Not before 30 November 2024","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1857,"Fed Nov24 rate","A","Lower","99","1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.98, 0.97, 0.96, 0.95, 0.95, 0.96, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.98, 0.97, 0.98, 0.99","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1857,"Fed Nov24 rate","B","Same","1","0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.02, 0.03, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02, 0.01","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1857,"Fed Nov24 rate","C","Higher","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1858,"GR US 2024 concede","A","Before 7 November 2024","17","0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.21, 0.21, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.2, 0.19, 0.2, 0.22, 0.22, 0.23, 0.22, 0.22, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.22, 0.19, 0.17, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1858,"GR US 2024 concede","B","Between 7 November 2024 and 14 November 2024","23","0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.21, 0.2, 0.21, 0.21, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1858,"GR US 2024 concede","C","By Thanksgiving Day (15 November 2024 through 28 November 2024)","12","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1858,"GR US 2024 concede","D","By Inauguration Day (29 November 2024 through 20 January 2025)","29","0.29, 0.29, 0.3, 0.28, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3, 0.29, 0.3, 0.29, 0.28, 0.28, 0.26, 0.27, 0.26, 0.26, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.28, 0.29, 0.28, 0.29, 0.29","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1858,"GR US 2024 concede","E","Not before 21 January 2025","19","0.22, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-03Z" -1871,"GR US SupCt vacancy v2","A","Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 20 January 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-07-19Z","2024-07-19Z","2024-11-03Z" -1871,"GR US SupCt vacancy v2","B","Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 20 January 2025","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-07-19Z","2024-07-19Z","2024-11-03Z" -1871,"GR US SupCt vacancy v2","C","No","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2024-07-19Z","2024-07-19Z","2024-11-03Z" -1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","A","Before 13 September 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-03Z" -1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","B","Between 13 September 2024 and 7 November 2024","2","0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-03Z" -1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","C","Between 8 November 2024 and 2 January 2025","2","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-03Z" -1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","D","Between 3 January 2025 and 27 February 2025","5","0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-03Z" -1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","E","Not before 28 February 2025","91","0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.92, 0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-03Z" -1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","A","Fewer than 7","99","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","B","Between 7 and 13","1","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","C","Between 14 and 27","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","D","Between 28 and 55","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","E","More than 55","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-03Z" -1874,"Fed Dec24 rate","A","Lower","87","0.95, 0.93, 0.91, 0.91, 0.9, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.89, 0.89, 0.88, 0.89, 0.88, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.85, 0.85, 0.87, 0.87, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.87, 0.87","2024-08-09Z","2024-08-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1874,"Fed Dec24 rate","B","Same","13","0.05, 0.07, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.12, 0.11, 0.12, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.14, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13","2024-08-09Z","2024-08-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1874,"Fed Dec24 rate","C","Higher","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-09Z","2024-08-09Z","2024-11-03Z" -1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","A","Less than 60.0%","5","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.04, 0.05","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-03Z" -1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","B","At least 60.0%, but less than 64.0%","37","0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.32, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3, 0.31, 0.3, 0.3, 0.32, 0.34, 0.34, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-03Z" -1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","C","At least 64.0%, but less than 68.0%","48","0.52, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56, 0.57, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.5, 0.49, 0.48","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-03Z" -1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","D","At least 68.0%, but less than 72.0%","10","0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-03Z" -1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","E","72.0% or more","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-03Z" -1878,"GR US Google remedy","A","Yes","81","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.32, 0.44, 0.51, 0.57, 0.57, 0.6, 0.66, 0.68, 0.68, 0.71, 0.73, 0.75, 0.73, 0.73, 0.74, 0.76, 0.76, 0.77, 0.77, 0.79, 0.79, 0.8, 0.78, 0.81, 0.81","2024-08-30Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1878,"GR US Google remedy","B","No","19","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.68, 0.56, 0.49, 0.43, 0.43, 0.4, 0.34, 0.32, 0.32, 0.29, 0.27, 0.25, 0.27, 0.27, 0.26, 0.24, 0.24, 0.23, 0.23, 0.21, 0.21, 0.2, 0.22, 0.19, 0.19","2024-08-30Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-03Z" -1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","A","Yes, Netanyahu will cease to the be the prime minister of Israel, but new Knesset elections will not be called","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-03Z" -1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","B","Yes, new Knesset elections will be called, but Netanyahu will not cease to be the prime minister of Israel","10","0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-03Z" -1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","C","Yes, Netanyahu will cease to the be the prime minister of Israel and new Knesset elections will be called","6","0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-03Z" -1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","D","No","83","0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-03Z" -1880,"GR US 2024 AZ","A","The Democratic Party candidate","35","0.49, 0.48, 0.48, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.42, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.39, 0.38, 0.37, 0.36, 0.37, 0.36, 0.35","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1880,"GR US 2024 AZ","B","The Republican Party candidate","65","0.51, 0.52, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.58, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.61, 0.61, 0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.63, 0.64, 0.65","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1880,"GR US 2024 AZ","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1881,"GR US 2024 GA","A","The Democratic Party candidate","41","0.51, 0.51, 0.49, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.39, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1881,"GR US 2024 GA","B","The Republican Party candidate","59","0.49, 0.49, 0.51, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.61, 0.6, 0.6, 0.59","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1881,"GR US 2024 GA","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1882,"GR US 2024 MI","A","The Democratic Party candidate","64","0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.71, 0.71, 0.68, 0.68, 0.62, 0.63, 0.63, 0.62, 0.63, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.64, 0.62, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.64, 0.64","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1882,"GR US 2024 MI","B","The Republican Party candidate","36","0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.29, 0.29, 0.32, 0.32, 0.38, 0.37, 0.37, 0.38, 0.37, 0.38, 0.38, 0.38, 0.36, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1882,"GR US 2024 MI","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1883,"GR US 2024 NV","A","The Democratic Party candidate","49","0.61, 0.62, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.62, 0.61, 0.59, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.58, 0.54, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.51, 0.5, 0.48, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1883,"GR US 2024 NV","B","The Republican Party candidate","51","0.39, 0.38, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.46, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.49, 0.5, 0.52, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1883,"GR US 2024 NV","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1884,"GR US 2024 NC","A","The Democratic Party candidate","43","0.49, 0.51, 0.51, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.47, 0.46, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.43, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.43","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1884,"GR US 2024 NC","B","The Republican Party candidate","57","0.51, 0.49, 0.49, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.53, 0.54, 0.55, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56, 0.57, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.57","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1884,"GR US 2024 NC","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1885,"GR US 2024 PA","A","The Democratic Party candidate","56","0.61, 0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.64, 0.6, 0.6, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.58, 0.57, 0.59, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.57, 0.57, 0.55, 0.56, 0.55, 0.56, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.56","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1885,"GR US 2024 PA","B","The Republican Party candidate","44","0.39, 0.38, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36, 0.4, 0.4, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.42, 0.43, 0.41, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43, 0.45, 0.44, 0.45, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.44","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1885,"GR US 2024 PA","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1886,"GR US 2024 WI","A","The Democratic Party candidate","62","0.73, 0.74, 0.74, 0.74, 0.74, 0.73, 0.7, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.65, 0.66, 0.65, 0.64, 0.63, 0.63, 0.64, 0.63, 0.62, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.62","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1886,"GR US 2024 WI","B","The Republican Party candidate","38","0.27, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.27, 0.3, 0.33, 0.33, 0.33, 0.33, 0.33, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.35, 0.34, 0.35, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.38","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1886,"GR US 2024 WI","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-03Z" -1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","A","Less than 4.50%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","B","At least 4.50%, but less than 4.75%","1","0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","C","At least 4.75%, but less than 5.00%","95","0.74, 0.74, 0.8, 0.78, 0.78, 0.77, 0.76, 0.76, 0.79, 0.8, 0.79, 0.79, 0.81, 0.84, 0.87, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.93, 0.95, 0.92, 0.94, 0.95","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","D","At least 5.00%, but less than 5.25%","4","0.21, 0.21, 0.15, 0.19, 0.19, 0.21, 0.21, 0.19, 0.16, 0.15, 0.16, 0.16, 0.12, 0.1, 0.08, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.03, 0.02, 0.06, 0.04, 0.04","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","E","5.25% or more","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" +1829,"GR ME PL recognize","A","Yes, the UK will, but the US won't","11","0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-04Z" +1829,"GR ME PL recognize","B","Yes, the US will, but the UK won't","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-04Z" +1829,"GR ME PL recognize","C","Yes, both will","3","0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-04Z" +1829,"GR ME PL recognize","D","No","86","0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86","2024-02-16Z","2024-02-15Z","2024-11-04Z" +1830,"GR US 2024 total control","A","Yes, the Democratic Party","13","0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.12, 0.13, 0.11, 0.13, 0.13","2024-02-23Z","2024-02-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1830,"GR US 2024 total control","B","Yes, the Republican Party","20","0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.15, 0.15, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.16, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.21, 0.2, 0.2","2024-02-23Z","2024-02-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1830,"GR US 2024 total control","C","No","67","0.68, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.68, 0.68, 0.66, 0.66, 0.67, 0.68, 0.68, 0.67, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.68, 0.67, 0.68, 0.67, 0.67","2024-02-23Z","2024-02-23Z","2024-11-04Z" +1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","A","Before 15 June 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-04Z" +1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","B","Between 15 June 2024 and 12 October 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-04Z" +1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","C","Between 13 October 2024 and 9 February 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-04Z" +1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","D","Between 10 February 2025 and 9 June 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-04Z" +1831,"GR ME IL leave Gaza v2","E","Not before 10 June 2025","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-02-23Z","2024-10-21Z","2024-11-04Z" +1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","A","Less than 3.4%","0","0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","B","At least 3.4%, but less than 4.1%","4","0.04, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02, 0.04, 0.04","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","C","At least 4.1%, but less than 4.8%","93","0.92, 0.93, 0.91, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.94, 0.95, 0.93, 0.93","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","D","At least 4.8%, but less than 5.5%","2","0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1832,"Fed 4Q24 U3 v2","E","5.5% or more","1","0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","A","Less than 3.6%","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","B","At least 3.6%, but less than 4.2%","2","0.08, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","C","At least 4.2%, but less than 4.8%","97","0.88, 0.9, 0.9, 0.89, 0.92, 0.92, 0.92, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.93, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.96, 0.97, 0.97","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","D","At least 4.8%, but less than 5.4%","0","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1833,"Fed 4Q24 Funds v2","E","5.4% or more","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-01Z","2024-03-08Z","2024-11-04Z" +1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","A","Yes, federal only","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","B","Yes, state only","100","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","C","Yes, both federal and state","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1834,"GR US Trump convict 2024","D","No","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-03-15Z","2024-05-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","A","Less than 0.0%","8","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","B","At least 0.0%, but less than 2.0%","41","0.39, 0.39, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","C","At least 2.0%, but less than 4.0%","42","0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","D","At least 4.0%, but less than 6.0%","8","0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1839,"Fed 4Q26 GDP","E","6.0% or more","1","0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","A","Less than 1.0%","13","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","B","At least 1.0%, but less than 3.0%","66","0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","C","At least 3.0%, but less than 5.0%","16","0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.17, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","D","At least 5.0%, but less than 7.0%","4","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1840,"Fed 4Q26 PCE","E","7.0% or more","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","A","Less than 3.5%","4","0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","B","At least 3.5%, but less than 5.0%","58","0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","C","At least 5.0%, but less than 6.5%","28","0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","D","At least 6.5%, but less than 8.0%","8","0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1841,"Fed 4Q26 U3","E","8.0% or more","2","0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","A","Less than 1.0%","7","0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","B","At least 1.0%, but less than 3.0%","39","0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.39","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","C","At least 3.0%, but less than 5.0%","46","0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","D","At least 5.0%, but less than 7.0%","7","0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1842,"Fed 4Q26 Funds","E","7.0% or more","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-04-19Z","2024-04-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1851,"GR RUUA nuclear deploy v3","A","Yes","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-05-24Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1851,"GR RUUA nuclear deploy v3","B","No","100","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1","2024-05-24Z","2024-08-05Z","2024-11-04Z" +1852,"GR CNTW shots v3","A","Yes","9","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09","2024-05-31Z","2024-05-31Z","2024-11-04Z" +1852,"GR CNTW shots v3","B","No","91","0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91","2024-05-31Z","2024-05-31Z","2024-11-04Z" +1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","A","Before 31 July 2024 ","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","B","Between 31 July 2024 and 29 September 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","C","Between 30 September 2024 and 29 November 2024","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1853,"GR ME US hostages v2 ","D","Not before 30 November 2024","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2024-06-07Z","2024-09-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1857,"Fed Nov24 rate","A","Lower","99","1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.98, 0.97, 0.96, 0.95, 0.95, 0.96, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.98, 0.97, 0.98, 0.99, 0.99","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1857,"Fed Nov24 rate","B","Same","1","0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.02, 0.03, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1857,"Fed Nov24 rate","C","Higher","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1858,"GR US 2024 concede","A","Before 7 November 2024","18","0.19, 0.19, 0.21, 0.21, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.2, 0.19, 0.2, 0.22, 0.22, 0.23, 0.22, 0.22, 0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.22, 0.19, 0.17, 0.18, 0.17, 0.17, 0.18","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1858,"GR US 2024 concede","B","Between 7 November 2024 and 14 November 2024","23","0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.21, 0.2, 0.21, 0.21, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1858,"GR US 2024 concede","C","By Thanksgiving Day (15 November 2024 through 28 November 2024)","12","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1858,"GR US 2024 concede","D","By Inauguration Day (29 November 2024 through 20 January 2025)","28","0.29, 0.3, 0.28, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3, 0.29, 0.3, 0.29, 0.28, 0.28, 0.26, 0.27, 0.26, 0.26, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.28, 0.29, 0.28, 0.29, 0.29, 0.28","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1858,"GR US 2024 concede","E","Not before 21 January 2025","19","0.22, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.19, 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.19","2024-06-21Z","2024-06-20Z","2024-11-04Z" +1871,"GR US SupCt vacancy v2","A","Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 20 January 2025","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-07-19Z","2024-07-19Z","2024-11-04Z" +1871,"GR US SupCt vacancy v2","B","Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 20 January 2025","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-07-19Z","2024-07-19Z","2024-11-04Z" +1871,"GR US SupCt vacancy v2","C","No","99","0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2024-07-19Z","2024-07-19Z","2024-11-04Z" +1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","A","Before 13 September 2024","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-04Z" +1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","B","Between 13 September 2024 and 7 November 2024","2","0.01, 0, 0, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-04Z" +1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","C","Between 8 November 2024 and 2 January 2025","2","0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-04Z" +1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","D","Between 3 January 2025 and 27 February 2025","5","0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-04Z" +1872,"GR ME IL PS ceasefire v3","E","Not before 28 February 2025","91","0.91, 0.92, 0.92, 0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.92, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91, 0.91","2024-07-26Z","2024-09-13Z","2024-11-04Z" +1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","A","Fewer than 7","99","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99, 0.99","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","B","Between 7 and 13","1","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","C","Between 14 and 27","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","D","Between 28 and 55","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1873,"GR US 2024 3rd electors v2","E","More than 55","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-02Z","2024-08-02Z","2024-11-04Z" +1874,"Fed Dec24 rate","A","Lower","87","0.93, 0.91, 0.91, 0.9, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.89, 0.89, 0.88, 0.89, 0.88, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87, 0.85, 0.85, 0.87, 0.87, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85, 0.87, 0.87, 0.87","2024-08-09Z","2024-08-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1874,"Fed Dec24 rate","B","Same","13","0.07, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.11, 0.12, 0.11, 0.12, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.14, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13","2024-08-09Z","2024-08-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1874,"Fed Dec24 rate","C","Higher","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-08-09Z","2024-08-09Z","2024-11-04Z" +1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","A","Less than 60.0%","5","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.04, 0.05, 0.05","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-04Z" +1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","B","At least 60.0%, but less than 64.0%","37","0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.32, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3, 0.31, 0.3, 0.3, 0.32, 0.34, 0.34, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-04Z" +1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","C","At least 64.0%, but less than 68.0%","49","0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56, 0.57, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.5, 0.49, 0.48, 0.49","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-04Z" +1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","D","At least 68.0%, but less than 72.0%","9","0.15, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.09","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-04Z" +1875,"GR US 2024 turnout","E","72.0% or more","0","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0","2024-08-16Z","2024-08-16Z","2024-11-04Z" +1878,"GR US Google remedy","A","Yes","83","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.32, 0.44, 0.51, 0.57, 0.57, 0.6, 0.66, 0.68, 0.68, 0.71, 0.73, 0.75, 0.73, 0.73, 0.74, 0.76, 0.76, 0.77, 0.77, 0.79, 0.79, 0.8, 0.78, 0.81, 0.81, 0.83","2024-08-30Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1878,"GR US Google remedy","B","No","17","1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0.68, 0.56, 0.49, 0.43, 0.43, 0.4, 0.34, 0.32, 0.32, 0.29, 0.27, 0.25, 0.27, 0.27, 0.26, 0.24, 0.24, 0.23, 0.23, 0.21, 0.21, 0.2, 0.22, 0.19, 0.19, 0.17","2024-08-30Z","2024-08-30Z","2024-11-04Z" +1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","A","Yes, Netanyahu will cease to the be the prime minister of Israel, but new Knesset elections will not be called","1","0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-04Z" +1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","B","Yes, new Knesset elections will be called, but Netanyahu will not cease to be the prime minister of Israel","10","0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-04Z" +1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","C","Yes, Netanyahu will cease to the be the prime minister of Israel and new Knesset elections will be called","6","0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-04Z" +1879,"GR ME IL Netanyahu v2","D","No","83","0.84, 0.84, 0.84, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.8, 0.8, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.81, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.82, 0.83, 0.83, 0.83","2024-09-06Z","2024-09-03Z","2024-11-04Z" +1880,"GR US 2024 AZ","A","The Democratic Party candidate","34","0.48, 0.48, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.42, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.39, 0.39, 0.38, 0.37, 0.36, 0.37, 0.36, 0.35, 0.34","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1880,"GR US 2024 AZ","B","The Republican Party candidate","66","0.52, 0.52, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.58, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.61, 0.61, 0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.63, 0.64, 0.65, 0.66","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1880,"GR US 2024 AZ","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1881,"GR US 2024 GA","A","The Democratic Party candidate","42","0.51, 0.49, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4, 0.39, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.42","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1881,"GR US 2024 GA","B","The Republican Party candidate","58","0.49, 0.51, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.54, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.61, 0.6, 0.6, 0.59, 0.58","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1881,"GR US 2024 GA","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1882,"GR US 2024 MI","A","The Democratic Party candidate","66","0.7, 0.7, 0.71, 0.71, 0.68, 0.68, 0.62, 0.63, 0.63, 0.62, 0.63, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.64, 0.62, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.64, 0.64, 0.66","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1882,"GR US 2024 MI","B","The Republican Party candidate","34","0.3, 0.3, 0.29, 0.29, 0.32, 0.32, 0.38, 0.37, 0.37, 0.38, 0.37, 0.38, 0.38, 0.38, 0.36, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36, 0.34","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1882,"GR US 2024 MI","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1883,"GR US 2024 NV","A","The Democratic Party candidate","49","0.62, 0.63, 0.63, 0.63, 0.62, 0.61, 0.59, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.58, 0.54, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.52, 0.51, 0.5, 0.48, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49, 0.49","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1883,"GR US 2024 NV","B","The Republican Party candidate","51","0.38, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.41, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.46, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.48, 0.49, 0.5, 0.52, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51, 0.51","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1883,"GR US 2024 NV","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1884,"GR US 2024 NC","A","The Democratic Party candidate","43","0.51, 0.51, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.47, 0.46, 0.47, 0.46, 0.45, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.43, 0.41, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1884,"GR US 2024 NC","B","The Republican Party candidate","57","0.49, 0.49, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.53, 0.54, 0.53, 0.54, 0.55, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56, 0.57, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.57, 0.57","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1884,"GR US 2024 NC","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1885,"GR US 2024 PA","A","The Democratic Party candidate","56","0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.64, 0.6, 0.6, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.57, 0.58, 0.57, 0.59, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.57, 0.57, 0.55, 0.56, 0.55, 0.56, 0.55, 0.55, 0.56, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.56, 0.56","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1885,"GR US 2024 PA","B","The Republican Party candidate","44","0.38, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36, 0.4, 0.4, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.42, 0.43, 0.41, 0.42, 0.41, 0.41, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43, 0.45, 0.44, 0.45, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.44, 0.46, 0.46, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1885,"GR US 2024 PA","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1886,"GR US 2024 WI","A","The Democratic Party candidate","63","0.74, 0.74, 0.74, 0.74, 0.73, 0.7, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.67, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.65, 0.66, 0.65, 0.64, 0.63, 0.63, 0.64, 0.63, 0.62, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.62, 0.63","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1886,"GR US 2024 WI","B","The Republican Party candidate","37","0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.26, 0.27, 0.3, 0.33, 0.33, 0.33, 0.33, 0.33, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.35, 0.34, 0.35, 0.36, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.39, 0.38, 0.37","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1886,"GR US 2024 WI","C","Someone else","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-08Z","2024-10-04Z","2024-11-04Z" +1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","A","Less than 4.50%","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","B","At least 4.50%, but less than 4.75%","1","0.05, 0.05, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","C","At least 4.75%, but less than 5.00%","95","0.74, 0.8, 0.78, 0.78, 0.77, 0.76, 0.76, 0.79, 0.8, 0.79, 0.79, 0.81, 0.84, 0.87, 0.86, 0.86, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9, 0.91, 0.93, 0.95, 0.92, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","D","At least 5.00%, but less than 5.25%","4","0.21, 0.15, 0.19, 0.19, 0.21, 0.21, 0.19, 0.16, 0.15, 0.16, 0.16, 0.12, 0.1, 0.08, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.03, 0.02, 0.06, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1890,"BoE Nov24 rate","E","5.25% or more","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" 1891,"BOJ Oct24 rate","A","Less than 0.25%","1","0.04, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.01","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-10-31Z" 1891,"BOJ Oct24 rate","B","0.25%","97","0.8, 0.82, 0.85, 0.89, 0.89, 0.9, 0.9, 0.92, 0.93, 0.92, 0.93, 0.94, 0.95, 0.95, 0.95, 0.97, 0.97, 0.96, 0.98, 0.98, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97, 0.97","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-10-31Z" 1891,"BOJ Oct24 rate","C","More than 0.25%, but less than 0.50%","2","0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-10-31Z" 1891,"BOJ Oct24 rate","D","0.50% or more","0","0.05, 0.05, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-10-31Z" -1892,"Fed Jan25 rate","A","Lower","64","0.8, 0.75, 0.72, 0.71, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.71, 0.73, 0.74, 0.7, 0.71, 0.71, 0.68, 0.62, 0.64, 0.63, 0.66, 0.65, 0.68, 0.68, 0.67, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.63, 0.63, 0.64","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1892,"Fed Jan25 rate","B","Same","36","0.2, 0.25, 0.28, 0.29, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.29, 0.27, 0.26, 0.3, 0.29, 0.29, 0.32, 0.38, 0.36, 0.37, 0.34, 0.35, 0.32, 0.32, 0.33, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1892,"Fed Jan25 rate","C","Higher","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-03Z" -1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","A","Daniel Noboa (ADN), in the first round","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.1, 0.11, 0.12, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.1, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","B","Daniel Noboa (ADN), but in the second round","44","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.4, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.44, 0.44, 0.46, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.48, 0.47, 0.47, 0.44, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","C","Luisa González (RC), in the first round","9","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.07, 0.08, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.08, 0.08, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","D","Luisa González (RC), but in the second round","31","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.42, 0.39, 0.36, 0.38, 0.38, 0.38, 0.33, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.38, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.35, 0.35, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","E","Another candidate or another outcome","9","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.1, 0.08, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.08, 0.07, 0.09, 0.09","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","A","Before 24 January 2025","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.11, 0.1, 0.07, 0.05, 0.06, 0.09, 0.09, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","B","Between 24 January 2025 and 9 May 2025","8","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.14, 0.12, 0.09, 0.08, 0.11, 0.11, 0.14, 0.1, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.09, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","C","Between 10 May 2025 and 23 August 2025","10","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.12, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.09, 0.1, 0.12, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","D","Between 24 August 2025 and 7 December 2025","12","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.08, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","E","Not before 8 December 2025","69","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.52, 0.6, 0.66, 0.7, 0.67, 0.62, 0.55, 0.63, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.62, 0.63, 0.65, 0.69, 0.69","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-03Z" -1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","A","Less than 9.5%","2","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.02, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-03Z" -1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","B","At least 9.5%, but less than 11.0%","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.08, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.09, 0.07","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-03Z" -1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","C","At least 11.0%, but less than 12.5%","47","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.47","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-03Z" -1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","D","At least 12.5%, but less than 15.0%","31","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.34, 0.34, 0.35, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-03Z" -1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","E","15.0% or more","13","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.17, 0.17, 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.14, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-03Z" -1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","A","Less than $2.5 trillion","6","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.17, 0.12, 0.14, 0.11, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.06","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","B","At least $2.5 trillion, but less than $4.0 trillion","30","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.41, 0.44, 0.41, 0.33, 0.34, 0.33, 0.33, 0.39, 0.36, 0.3","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","C","At least $4.0 trillion, but less than $5.5 trillion","48","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.32, 0.37, 0.34, 0.41, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.4, 0.43, 0.48","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","D","At least $5.5 trillion, but less than $7.0 trillion","13","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.08, 0.06, 0.08, 0.12, 0.1, 0.12, 0.12, 0.1, 0.11, 0.13","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","E","$7.0 trillion or more","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1898,"EW RU UA ceasefire","A","If Donald Trump is inaugurated as president of the US on 20 January 2025","14","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.17, 0.12, 0.13, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.17, 0.14","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1898,"EW RU UA ceasefire","B","If Donald Trump is not inaugurated as president of the US on 20 January 2025","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.14, 0.1, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1899,"EW AU 2025 election","A","A majority","23","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.28, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31, 0.26, 0.26, 0.23, 0.23","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1899,"EW AU 2025 election","B","A plurality","34","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.25, 0.25, 0.28, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31, 0.34, 0.34","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1899,"EW AU 2025 election","C","Neither a majority nor a plurality","43","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.47, 0.47, 0.42, 0.42, 0.39, 0.39, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1900,"EW CA 2025 election","A","Fewer than 172","11","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1900,"EW CA 2025 election","B","Between 172 and 205","42","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.37, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.43, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1900,"EW CA 2025 election","C","Between 206 and 240","44","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.43, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1900,"EW CA 2025 election","D","More than 240","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.07, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1901,"EW DE 2025 election","A","Fewer than 166","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1901,"EW DE 2025 election","B","Between 166 and 215","23","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.24, 0.24, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1901,"EW DE 2025 election","C","Between 216 and 265","57","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.57","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1901,"EW DE 2025 election","D","Between 266 and 315","18","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.18","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1901,"EW DE 2025 election","E","More than 315","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","A","Less than 0.00%","13","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.22, 0.22, 0.17, 0.13","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","B","At least 0.00%, but less than 1.00%","45","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.44, 0.48, 0.46, 0.45","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","C","At least 1.00%, but less than 2.00%","34","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.29, 0.25, 0.32, 0.34","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","D","At least 2.00%, but less than 3.00%","8","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.08","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","E","3.00% or higher","0","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1903,"EW MM HoG cease","A","Yes","11","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.07, 0.08, 0.12, 0.11","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1903,"EW MM HoG cease","B","No","89","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.93, 0.92, 0.88, 0.89","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","A","Less than 0.90°C","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","B","At least 0.90°C, but less than 1.1°C","19","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.2, 0.2, 0.16, 0.19","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","C","At least 1.10°C, but less than 1.30°C","52","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.55, 0.55, 0.54, 0.52","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","D","At least 1.30°C, but less than 1.50°C","24","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.2, 0.2, 0.25, 0.24","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","E","1.50°C or more","2","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1905,"EW Artemis II launch","A","Yes","8","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.18, 0.1, 0.1, 0.08","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1905,"EW Artemis II launch","B","No","92","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.82, 0.9, 0.9, 0.92","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","A","Less than 2.25%","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.01","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","B","At least 2.25%, but less than 3.50%","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1, 0.07","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","C","At least 3.50%, but less than 4.75%","32","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.41, 0.41, 0.43, 0.32","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","D","At least 4.75%, but less than 6.00%","55","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.36, 0.36, 0.4, 0.55","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","E","6.00% or higher","5","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","A","Less than 2.75%","0","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.01, 0, 0, 0","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","B","At least 2.75%, but less than 3.00%","20","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.25, 0.15, 0.16, 0.2","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","C","At least 3.00%, but less than 3.25%","68","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7, 0.68","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","D","At least 3.25%, but less than 3.50%","12","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.05, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" -1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","E","3.50% or higher","0","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-03Z" +1892,"Fed Jan25 rate","A","Lower","64","0.75, 0.72, 0.71, 0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.71, 0.73, 0.74, 0.7, 0.71, 0.71, 0.68, 0.62, 0.64, 0.63, 0.66, 0.65, 0.68, 0.68, 0.67, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.63, 0.63, 0.64, 0.64","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1892,"Fed Jan25 rate","B","Same","36","0.25, 0.28, 0.29, 0.28, 0.28, 0.28, 0.29, 0.27, 0.26, 0.3, 0.29, 0.29, 0.32, 0.38, 0.36, 0.37, 0.34, 0.35, 0.32, 0.32, 0.33, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.36","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1892,"Fed Jan25 rate","C","Higher","0","0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-09-27Z","2024-09-26Z","2024-11-04Z" +1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","A","Daniel Noboa (ADN), in the first round","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.1, 0.11, 0.12, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.11, 0.1, 0.08, 0.08, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","B","Daniel Noboa (ADN), but in the second round","44","null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.37, 0.4, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.44, 0.44, 0.46, 0.46, 0.47, 0.47, 0.48, 0.47, 0.47, 0.44, 0.45, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","C","Luisa González (RC), in the first round","9","null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.07, 0.08, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.08, 0.08, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","D","Luisa González (RC), but in the second round","31","null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.42, 0.39, 0.36, 0.38, 0.38, 0.38, 0.33, 0.35, 0.36, 0.36, 0.37, 0.38, 0.38, 0.39, 0.39, 0.37, 0.37, 0.36, 0.35, 0.35, 0.32, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1894,"GR EC 2025 prez","E","Another candidate or another outcome","9","null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.06, 0.07, 0.07, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.1, 0.08, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.08, 0.07, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09","2024-10-11Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","A","Before 24 January 2025","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.11, 0.1, 0.07, 0.05, 0.06, 0.09, 0.09, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","B","Between 24 January 2025 and 9 May 2025","8","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.14, 0.12, 0.09, 0.08, 0.11, 0.11, 0.14, 0.1, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.09, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.08, 0.08","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","C","Between 10 May 2025 and 23 August 2025","10","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.12, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.09, 0.1, 0.12, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","D","Between 24 August 2025 and 7 December 2025","12","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.08, 0.1, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.12","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1895,"GR ME IL leave LB","E","Not before 8 December 2025","69","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.52, 0.6, 0.66, 0.7, 0.67, 0.62, 0.55, 0.63, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.6, 0.62, 0.63, 0.65, 0.69, 0.69, 0.69","2024-10-18Z","2024-10-11Z","2024-11-04Z" +1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","A","Less than 9.5%","2","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.02, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-04Z" +1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","B","At least 9.5%, but less than 11.0%","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.08, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.1, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-04Z" +1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","C","At least 11.0%, but less than 12.5%","47","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.42, 0.43, 0.43, 0.44, 0.45, 0.45, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.47, 0.47","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-04Z" +1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","D","At least 12.5%, but less than 15.0%","31","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.34, 0.34, 0.35, 0.32, 0.31, 0.31, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-04Z" +1896,"EW US tariff CN v7","E","15.0% or more","13","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.17, 0.17, 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.14, 0.16, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-27Z","2024-11-04Z" +1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","A","Less than $2.5 trillion","6","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.17, 0.12, 0.14, 0.11, 0.1, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.08, 0.06, 0.06","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","B","At least $2.5 trillion, but less than $4.0 trillion","30","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.41, 0.44, 0.41, 0.33, 0.34, 0.33, 0.33, 0.39, 0.36, 0.3, 0.3","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","C","At least $4.0 trillion, but less than $5.5 trillion","48","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.32, 0.37, 0.34, 0.41, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.4, 0.43, 0.48, 0.48","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","D","At least $5.5 trillion, but less than $7.0 trillion","13","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.08, 0.06, 0.08, 0.12, 0.1, 0.12, 0.12, 0.1, 0.11, 0.13, 0.13","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1897,"EW NVDA mkt cap","E","$7.0 trillion or more","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1898,"EW RU UA ceasefire","A","If Donald Trump is inaugurated as president of the US on 20 January 2025","14","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.17, 0.12, 0.13, 0.19, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.17, 0.14, 0.14","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1898,"EW RU UA ceasefire","B","If Donald Trump is not inaugurated as president of the US on 20 January 2025","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.14, 0.1, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.07, 0.07, 0.07","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1899,"EW AU 2025 election","A","A majority","23","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.28, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31, 0.26, 0.26, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1899,"EW AU 2025 election","B","A plurality","34","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.25, 0.25, 0.28, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3, 0.31, 0.31, 0.34, 0.34, 0.34","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1899,"EW AU 2025 election","C","Neither a majority nor a plurality","43","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.47, 0.47, 0.42, 0.42, 0.39, 0.39, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43, 0.43","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1900,"EW CA 2025 election","A","Fewer than 172","9","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.15, 0.13, 0.13, 0.13, 0.12, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.09","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1900,"EW CA 2025 election","B","Between 172 and 205","38","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.37, 0.4, 0.41, 0.41, 0.43, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.38","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1900,"EW CA 2025 election","C","Between 206 and 240","50","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.41, 0.42, 0.42, 0.42, 0.43, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.44, 0.5","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1900,"EW CA 2025 election","D","More than 240","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.07, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1901,"EW DE 2025 election","A","Fewer than 166","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1901,"EW DE 2025 election","B","Between 166 and 215","23","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.24, 0.24, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23, 0.23","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1901,"EW DE 2025 election","C","Between 216 and 265","57","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.58, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.59, 0.58, 0.58, 0.58, 0.57, 0.57","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1901,"EW DE 2025 election","D","Between 266 and 315","18","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.15, 0.16, 0.16, 0.16, 0.18, 0.18","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1901,"EW DE 2025 election","E","More than 315","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01","2024-10-25Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","A","Less than 0.00%","13","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.22, 0.22, 0.17, 0.13, 0.13","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","B","At least 0.00%, but less than 1.00%","45","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.44, 0.48, 0.46, 0.45, 0.45","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","C","At least 1.00%, but less than 2.00%","34","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.29, 0.25, 0.32, 0.34, 0.34","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","D","At least 2.00%, but less than 3.00%","8","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.05, 0.05, 0.05, 0.08, 0.08","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1902,"EW CN 2025 inflation","E","3.00% or higher","0","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1903,"EW MM HoG cease","A","Yes","11","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.07, 0.08, 0.12, 0.11, 0.11","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1903,"EW MM HoG cease","B","No","89","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.93, 0.92, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","A","Less than 0.90°C","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","B","At least 0.90°C, but less than 1.1°C","18","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.2, 0.2, 0.16, 0.19, 0.18","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","C","At least 1.10°C, but less than 1.30°C","52","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.55, 0.55, 0.54, 0.52, 0.52","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","D","At least 1.30°C, but less than 1.50°C","24","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.2, 0.2, 0.25, 0.24, 0.24","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1904,"EW WD 2025 anomaly","E","1.50°C or more","3","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.02, 0.03","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1905,"EW Artemis II launch","A","Yes","4","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.18, 0.1, 0.1, 0.08, 0.04","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1905,"EW Artemis II launch","B","No","96","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.82, 0.9, 0.9, 0.92, 0.96","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","A","Less than 2.25%","1","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","B","At least 2.25%, but less than 3.50%","7","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1, 0.07, 0.07","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","C","At least 3.50%, but less than 4.75%","38","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.41, 0.41, 0.43, 0.32, 0.38","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","D","At least 4.75%, but less than 6.00%","50","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.36, 0.36, 0.4, 0.55, 0.5","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1906,"EW CN 2025 GDP","E","6.00% or higher","4","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.06, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","A","Less than 2.75%","0","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.01, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","B","At least 2.75%, but less than 3.00%","20","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.25, 0.15, 0.16, 0.2, 0.2","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","C","At least 3.00%, but less than 3.25%","68","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.69, 0.69, 0.7, 0.68, 0.68","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","D","At least 3.25%, but less than 3.50%","12","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.05, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.12","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z" +1907,"ECB Dec24 rate","E","3.50% or higher","0","null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0","2024-10-31Z","2024-10-24Z","2024-11-04Z"