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index.qmd
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---
title: "Homepage fΓΌr 02.132.6110 Seminar: Fortgeschrittene statistische Methoden II in WiSe 22/23 an der JGU."
tbl-colwidths: [5,10,30,5,5,5,5,5,5,5]
---
This page contains an outline of the topics, content, and assignments for the semester.
Note that this schedule will be updated as the semester progresses, with all changes documented here.
::: column-screen-inset-right
| Week | Date | Topic | Prepare | Slides | AE | Lab | HW | Exam | Project |
|:------:|--------|--------|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|
| [1](/weeks/week-1.html) | Wed, Jan 5 | Lab 0 - Meet + greet | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lab-0.html "Lab slides"){aria-label="Lab 0 slides"} | | [π»](/labs/lab-0.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 0 instructions"} | | | |
| | Thu, Jan 6 | Welcome to STA 210! | [π](/weeks/week-1.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 1 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-1.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 1 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-0-movies.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 0 instructions"} | | | | |
| [2](/weeks/week-2.html) | Mon, Jan 10 | Lab 1 - Meet the toolkit | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lab-1.html "Lab slides"){aria-label="Lab 1 slides"} | | [π»](/labs/lab-1.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 1 instructions"} | | | |
| | Tue, Jan 11 | Simple linear regression (SLR) | [π](/weeks/week-2.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 2 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-2.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 2 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Jan 13 | SLR: Model fitting in R with tidymodels | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-3.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 3 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-1-dcbikeshare.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 1 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Fri, Jan 14 | Released: HW 5 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-5.html){aria-label="HW 5 instructions"} | | |
| | | Due: Lab 1 | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-1.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 1 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/lab-1-key.pdf){aria-label="Lab 1 key"} | | | |
| [3](/weeks/week-3.html) | Mon, Jan 17 | *Martin Luther King, Jr. Day* | | | | | | | |
| | Tue, Jan 18 | SLR: Prediction + model evaluation | [π](/weeks/week-3.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 3 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-4.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 4 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-2-dcbikeshare.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 2 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Thu, Jan 20 | SLR: Simulation-based inference | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-5.html "Lab slides"){aria-label="Lecture 5 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Fri, Jan 21 | Released: HW 1 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-1.html){aria-label="HW 1 instructions"} | | |
| [4](/weeks/week-4.html) | Mon, Jan 24 | Lab 2 - College scorecard | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lab-2.pdf "Lab slides"){aria-label="Lab 2 slides"} | | [π»](/labs/lab-2.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 2 instructions"} | | | |
| | Tue, Jan 25 | SLR: Mathematical models for inference | [π](/weeks/week-4.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 4 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-6.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 6 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Jan 27 | SLR: Model diagnostics | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-7.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 7 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-3-duke-forest.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 3 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Fri, Jan 28 | Due: HW 1 + Lab 2 | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-2.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 2 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/lab-2-key.pdf){aria-label="Lab 2 key"} | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-1.html){aria-label="HW 1 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/hw-1-key.pdf){aria-label="HW 1 key"} | | |
| [5](/weeks/week-5.html) | Mon, Jan 31 | Lab 3 - Coffee ratings | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lab-3.html "Lab slides"){aria-label="Lab 3 slides"} | | [π»](/labs/lab-3.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 3 instructions"} | | | |
| | Tue, Feb 1 | Multiple linear regression (MLR) | [π](/weeks/week-5.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 5 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-8.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 8 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Feb 3 | Exam 1 review | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-9.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 9 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-4-exam-1-review.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 4 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Fri, Feb 4 | Released: Exam 1 | | | | | | [β
](/exams/exam-1.html){aria-label="Exam 1 instructions"} | |
| | | Due: Lab 3 | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-3.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 3 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/lab-3-key.pdf){aria-label="Lab 3 key"} | | | |
| [6](/weeks/week-6.html) | Mon, Feb 7 | No lab: Work on Exam 1 | | | | | | | |
| | | Due: Exam 1 | | | | | | [β
](/exams/exam-1.html){aria-label="Exam 1 instructions"} | |
| | Tue, Feb 8 | MLR: Types of predictors | [π](/weeks/week-6.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 6 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-10.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 10 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Feb 10 | MLR: Model comparison | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-11.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 11 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Fri, Feb 11 | Released: HW 2 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-2.html){aria-label="HW 2 instructions"} | | |
| [7](/weeks/week-7.html) | Mon, Feb 14 | Lab: [Project topic ideas](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#topic-ideas) | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#topic-ideas){aria-label="Project topic ideas"} |
| | Tue, Feb 15 | MLR: Feature engineering | [π](/weeks/week-7.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 7 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-12.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 12 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-5-the-office.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 5 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Thu, Feb 17 | MLR: Feature engineering | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-13.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 13 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Fri, Feb 18 | Due: HW 2 + Project topic ideas | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-2.html){aria-label="HW 2 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/hw-2-key.pdf){aria-label="HW 2 key"} | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#topic-ideas){aria-label="Project topic ideas"} |
| [8](/weeks/week-8.html) | Mon, Feb 21 | Lab 4: The Office | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-4.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 4 instructions"} | | | |
| | Tue, Feb 22 | MLR: Cross validation | [π](/weeks/week-8.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 8 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-14.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 14 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-6-the-office-cv.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 6 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Thu, Feb 24 | Exam 2 review | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-15.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 15 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-7-exam-2-review.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 7 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Fri, Feb 25 | Released: Exam 2 | | | | | | [β
](/exams/exam-2.html){aria-label="Exam 2 instructions"} | |
| | | Due: Lab 4 | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-4.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 4 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/lab-4-key.pdf){aria-label="Lab 4 key"} | | | |
| [9](/weeks/week-9.html) | Mon, Feb 28 | No lab: Work on Exam 2 | | | | | | | |
| | | Due: Exam 2 | | | | | | [β
](/exams/exam-2.html){aria-label="Exam 2 instructions"} | |
| | Tue, Mar 1 | MLR: Inference | [π](/weeks/week-9.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 9 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-16.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 16 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-8-rail-trail.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 8 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Thu, Mar 3 | MLR: Inference conditions + multicollinearity | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-17.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 17 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Mon, Mar 7 | *Spring break* | | | | | | | |
| | Tue, Mar 8 | *Spring break* | | | | | | | |
| | Thu, Mar 10 | *Spring break* | | | | | | | |
| [10](/weeks/week-10.html) | Mon, Mar 14 | Lab: Work on [project proposals](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#project-proposal) | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#project-proposal){aria-label="Project topic proposal"} |
| | Tue, Mar 15 | Logistic regression (LR) | [π](/weeks/week-10.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 10 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-18.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 18 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-9-odds.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 9 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Thu, Mar 17 | Probabilities, odds, and odds ratios | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-19.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 19 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Fri, Mar 18 | Due: Project proposals | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#project-proposal){aria-label="Project topic proposal" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| | | Released: HW 3 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-3.html){aria-label="HW 3 instructions"} | | |
| [11](/weeks/week-11.html) | Mon, Mar 21 | Lab 5: General Social Survey | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-5.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 5 instructions"} | | | |
| | Tue, Mar 22 | LR: Prediction / classification | [π](/weeks/week-11.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 11 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-20.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 20 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Mar 24 | LR: Model comparison | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-21.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 21 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-10-flight-delays.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 10 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Fri, Mar 25 | Due: HW 3 + Lab 5 | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-5.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 5 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/lab-5-key.pdf){aria-label="Lab 5 key"} | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-3.html){aria-label="HW 3 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/hw-3-key.pdf){aria-label="HW 3 key"} | | |
| [12](/weeks/week-12.html) | Mon, Mar 28 | Lab: Work on [project drafts](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#draft-report) | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#draft-report){aria-label="Project draft report" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| | Tue, Mar 29 | LR: Inference + conditions | [π](/weeks/week-12.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 12 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-22.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 22 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Mar 31 | Multinomial Logistic Regression (MultiLR) | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-23.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 23 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Fri, Apr 1 | Released: HW 4 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-4.html){aria-label="HW 4 instructions"} | | |
| [13](/weeks/week-13.html) | Mon, Apr 4 | Lab 6: Why Many Americans Don't Vote | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-6.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 6 instructions"} | | | |
| | Tue, Apr 5 | MultiLR: Prediction + inferential models | [π](/weeks/week-13.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 13 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-24.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 24 slides"} | | | | | |
| | Thu, Apr 7 | MultiLR: Predictive models | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-25.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 25 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-11-volcanoes.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 11 instructions"} | | | | |
| | Fri, Apr 8 | Due: Lab 6 | | | | [π»](/labs/lab-6.html "Lab instructions"){aria-label="Lab 6 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/lab-6-key.pdf){aria-label="Lab 6 key"} | | | |
| | Sun, Apr 10 | Due: Project drafts | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#draft-report){aria-label="Project draft report" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| [14](/weeks/week-14.html) | Mon, Apr 11 | Lab: [Project peer review of drafts](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#peer-review) | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#peer-review){aria-label="Project peer review" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| | Tue, Apr 12 | MultiLR: Predictive models (cont.) | [π](/weeks/week-14.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 14 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-26.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 26 slides"} | | | | | |
| | | Due: HW 4 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-4.html){aria-label="HW 4 instructions"} [ποΈ](https://sakai.duke.edu/access/content/group/779c3ebe-3b88-4bcc-bd01-1813e8396a23/hw-4-key.pdf){aria-label="HW 4 key"} | | |
| | Thu, Apr 14 | Exam 3 review | | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-27.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 27 slides"} | [π](/ae/ae-12-exam-3-review.html "Application exercise"){aria-label="Application Exercise 12 instructions"} | | | | |
| | | Due: Peer review | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#peer-review){aria-label="Project peer review" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| | Fri, Apr 15 | Released: Exam 3 | | | | | | [β
](/exams/exam-3.html){aria-label="Exam 3 instructions"} | |
| [15](/weeks/week-15.html) | Mon, Apr 18 | No lab: Work on Exam 3 | | | | | | | |
| | | Due: Exam 3 | | | | | | [β
](/exams/exam-3.html){aria-label="Exam 3 instructions"} | |
| | Tue, Apr 19 | Wrap-up | [π](/weeks/week-15.html#prepare){aria-label="Week 15 summary"} | [π₯οΈ](/slides/lec-28.html "Lecture slides"){aria-label="Lecture 28 slides"} | [π](https://github.com/sta210-s22/ae-13-tale-of-two-creeks){aria-label="Application Exercise 13 instructions"} | | | | |
| | | Due: HW 5 | | | | | [βοΈ](/hw/hw-5.html){aria-label="HW 5 instructions"} | | |
| [16](/weeks/week-16.html) | Mon, Apr 25 | Due: [Project write-up](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#written-report) | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#written-report){aria-label="Project written report" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| | Thu, Apr 28 | Due: [Video presentation](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#video-presentation-slides) + repo | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#video-presentation-slides){aria-label="Project video presentation and slides" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
| | Sat, Apr 30 | Due: [Video comments](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#presentation-comments) | | | | | | | [π](https://sta210-s22.github.io/website/project-description.html#presentation-comments){aria-label="Project presentation comments" style="text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(133, 153, 0) !important; cursor: text; font-family: \"Lucida Grande\", serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: none; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(245, 240, 222);"} |
:::
```{r echo = FALSE}
knitr::knit_exit()
```
| | | | Prepare | Slides | AE | Labs | HW | Exam | Project |
|--------|--------|--------|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|:------:|
| Week | Date | Topic | π | π₯οΈ | π | [π»](https://sakai.duke.edu/samigo-app/servlet/Login?id=6fa7ebf3-01af-42a6-91ba-3e813d3901221641094171786) | βοΈ | β
| π |