From 09f23b5c6bfe4cced81bd2a6a473472031a55c2b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jevanilla Date: Fri, 23 Aug 2024 09:22:08 -0700 Subject: [PATCH] Adding 8 new PSP predictions on 2024-08-23 --- README.html | 52 +++++++++--------- README.md | 46 ++++++++-------- README_files/figure-gfm/cm24-1.png | Bin 44242 -> 44634 bytes README_files/figure-gfm/scatter24-1.png | Bin 38928 -> 38918 bytes .../figure-gfm/unnamed-chunk-14-1.png | Bin 40698 -> 40742 bytes inst/forecastdb/current_forecast.csv | 17 +++--- inst/forecastdb/dmr_webpage_table.csv | 17 +++--- inst/forecastdb/dmr_webpage_table.geojson | 17 +++--- inst/forecastdb/psp_forecast_2024.csv.gz | Bin 31749 -> 32358 bytes .../psp_forecast_all_predictions_2024.csv.gz | Bin 210491 -> 214254 bytes 10 files changed, 73 insertions(+), 76 deletions(-) diff --git a/README.html b/README.html index 1db8cc3..0afbd43 100644 --- a/README.html +++ b/README.html @@ -648,36 +648,36 @@

Variables:

distinct() glimpse(predictions) -
## Rows: 449
+
## Rows: 457
 ## Columns: 19
-## $ version             <chr> "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3…
-## $ ensemble_n          <dbl> 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,…
-## $ location            <chr> "PSP10.11", "PSP10.33", "PSP12.01", "PSP12.03", "PSP12.13", "PSP12.28", "PSP12.34", "PSP15.25", "PSP16.41", "PSP19.…
-## $ date                <date> 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-0…
-## $ name                <chr> "Ogunquit River", "Spurwink River", "Basin Pt.", "Potts Pt.", "Lumbos Hole", "Bear Island", "Head Beach", "Christma…
-## $ lat                 <dbl> 43.25030, 43.56632, 43.73848, 43.73064, 43.79553, 43.78556, 43.71711, 43.84476, 43.92526, 44.15419, 44.23824, 44.90…
-## $ lon                 <dbl> -70.59540, -70.27305, -70.04343, -70.02556, -69.94557, -69.87415, -69.84999, -69.55365, -69.25900, -68.65947, -68.3…
-## $ class_bins          <chr> "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,…
-## $ forecast_start_date <date> 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-0…
-## $ forecast_end_date   <date> 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-0…
-## $ p_0                 <dbl> 93, 100, 100, 99, 31, 3, 95, 94, 95, 95, 100, 99, 100, 55, 91, 38, 39, 53, 98, 91, 69, 57, 37, 2, 93, 97, 66, 98, 1…
-## $ p_1                 <dbl> 6, 0, 0, 1, 44, 13, 4, 5, 4, 5, 0, 1, 0, 42, 9, 40, 46, 37, 2, 9, 26, 32, 36, 10, 6, 3, 28, 2, 0, 1, 2, 52, 29, 43,…
-## $ p_2                 <dbl> 1, 0, 0, 0, 18, 43, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 17, 12, 8, 0, 0, 4, 9, 21, 39, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 27, 44, 34, 3, 7…
-## $ p_3                 <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 42, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 3, 2, 0, 0, 1, 2, 6, 50, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 21, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0…
-## $ p3_sd               <dbl> 2.537746e-02, 1.702311e-04, 5.835063e-07, 3.170006e-04, 2.573652e+00, 1.032039e+01, 6.801030e-03, 1.598628e-02, 8.7…
-## $ p_3_min             <dbl> 2.803591e-02, 1.613240e-06, 4.298889e-09, 3.494154e-05, 3.757856e+00, 2.148448e+01, 6.643038e-03, 1.782123e-02, 9.0…
-## $ p_3_max             <dbl> 1.114067e-01, 5.424280e-04, 1.839769e-06, 9.452227e-04, 1.157185e+01, 5.338209e+01, 3.128168e-02, 7.217547e-02, 3.9…
-## $ predicted_class     <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
-## $ f_id                <chr> "PSP10.11_2024-05-06", "PSP10.33_2024-05-06", "PSP12.01_2024-05-08", "PSP12.03_2024-05-08", "PSP12.13_2024-05-08", …

+## $ version             <chr> "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0", "v0.3.0…
+## $ ensemble_n          <dbl> 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,…
+## $ location            <chr> "PSP10.11", "PSP10.33", "PSP12.01", "PSP12.03", "PSP12.13", "PSP12.28", "PSP12.34", "PSP15.25", "PSP16.41", "PSP19.15", "PSP21.09", "PSP27.05", "PSP27.46", "PSP10.11", "PSP10.33", "PSP11.…
+## $ date                <date> 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-08, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-06, 2024-05-07, 2024-05-07, 2024-05-14, 2024-05-14, 2024-0…
+## $ name                <chr> "Ogunquit River", "Spurwink River", "Basin Pt.", "Potts Pt.", "Lumbos Hole", "Bear Island", "Head Beach", "Christmas Cove Town Landing", "Port Clyde", "Stonington", "Bass Hbr.", "Gove Pt.…
+## $ lat                 <dbl> 43.25030, 43.56632, 43.73848, 43.73064, 43.79553, 43.78556, 43.71711, 43.84476, 43.92526, 44.15419, 44.23824, 44.90545, 44.97084, 43.25030, 43.56632, 43.72800, 43.73316, 43.71190, 43.7384…
+## $ lon                 <dbl> -70.59540, -70.27305, -70.04343, -70.02556, -69.94557, -69.87415, -69.84999, -69.55365, -69.25900, -68.65947, -68.34792, -67.05621, -67.05254, -70.59540, -70.27305, -70.09500, -70.16358, …
+## $ class_bins          <chr> "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10,30,80", "0,10…
+## $ forecast_start_date <date> 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-12, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-10, 2024-05-11, 2024-05-11, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-0…
+## $ forecast_end_date   <date> 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-18, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-16, 2024-05-17, 2024-05-17, 2024-05-24, 2024-05-24, 2024-0…
+## $ p_0                 <dbl> 93, 100, 100, 99, 31, 3, 95, 94, 95, 95, 100, 99, 100, 55, 91, 38, 39, 53, 98, 91, 69, 57, 37, 2, 93, 97, 66, 98, 100, 99, 98, 19, 6, 17, 75, 60, 86, 89, 63, 94, 46, 5, 61, 99, 83, 41, 93…
+## $ p_1                 <dbl> 6, 0, 0, 1, 44, 13, 4, 5, 4, 5, 0, 1, 0, 42, 9, 40, 46, 37, 2, 9, 26, 32, 36, 10, 6, 3, 28, 2, 0, 1, 2, 52, 29, 43, 21, 33, 13, 10, 30, 6, 42, 24, 31, 1, 15, 39, 7, 20, 39, 23, 4, 5, 5, 2…
+## $ p_2                 <dbl> 1, 0, 0, 0, 18, 43, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 17, 12, 8, 0, 0, 4, 9, 21, 39, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 27, 44, 34, 3, 7, 1, 1, 6, 0, 11, 40, 7, 0, 1, 16, 0, 41, 26, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1,…
+## $ p_3                 <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 42, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 3, 2, 0, 0, 1, 2, 6, 50, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 21, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 32, 1, 0, 0, 4, 0, 33, 10, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 52, 54,…
+## $ p3_sd               <dbl> 2.537746e-02, 1.702311e-04, 5.835063e-07, 3.170006e-04, 2.573652e+00, 1.032039e+01, 6.801030e-03, 1.598628e-02, 8.719488e-03, 4.358502e-03, 1.378183e-06, 5.185523e-05, 5.231048e-07, 2.781…
+## $ p_3_min             <dbl> 2.803591e-02, 1.613240e-06, 4.298889e-09, 3.494154e-05, 3.757856e+00, 2.148448e+01, 6.643038e-03, 1.782123e-02, 9.030735e-03, 2.118392e-03, 9.372612e-10, 3.377466e-06, 2.084870e-10, 1.508…
+## $ p_3_max             <dbl> 1.114067e-01, 5.424280e-04, 1.839769e-06, 9.452227e-04, 1.157185e+01, 5.338209e+01, 3.128168e-02, 7.217547e-02, 3.986240e-02, 1.588983e-02, 4.431532e-06, 1.838427e-04, 1.674185e-06, 9.820…
+## $ predicted_class     <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3, 2, 2, 0…
+## $ f_id                <chr> "PSP10.11_2024-05-06", "PSP10.33_2024-05-06", "PSP12.01_2024-05-08", "PSP12.03_2024-05-08", "PSP12.13_2024-05-08", "PSP12.28_2024-05-06", "PSP12.34_2024-05-06", "PSP15.25_2024-05-06", "PS…

2024 Season Results

-

-

+

+

Metrics

Season Accuracy:

## # A tibble: 1 × 1
 ##   accuracy
 ##      <dbl>
-## 1    0.706
+## 1 0.711

Closure-level (Class 3) Predictions